Pool C

Started by Pat Coleman, January 20, 2006, 02:35:54 PM

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Gregory Sager

Sure, but the common understanding is that they are going to evaluate results vRRO based upon evidence that is public knowledge -- the games themselves taken singly, the games themselves taken collectively, or a combination of the two. If they're evaluating vRRO in part or in whole based upon a Top 50 or a Top 100 that nobody else sees and whose construction is equally mysterious, then that makes the vRRO criterion opaque.
"To see what is in front of one's nose is a constant struggle." -- George Orwell

Ralph Turner

Quote from: Gregory Sager on February 26, 2019, 03:30:28 PM
Sure, but the common understanding is that they are going to evaluate results vRRO based upon evidence that is public knowledge -- the games themselves taken singly, the games themselves taken collectively, or a combination of the two. If they're evaluating vRRO in part or in whole based upon a Top 50 or a Top 100 that nobody else sees and whose construction is equally mysterious, then that makes the vRRO criterion opaque.
+1!

Dave 'd-mac' McHugh



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Titan Q

Quote from: Titan Q on December 09, 2019, 10:52:33 AM
Quote from: Titan Q on February 25, 2019, 07:20:26 PM
(I can't confirm the order of these selection...just my best guess at the time.)

2018-19 Season
1. (C) Augustana: .889, 24-3/.547/8-3
2. (S) Randolph-Macon: .893, 25-3/.534/6-3
3. (NE) Hamilton: .885, 23-3/.553/4-3
4. (NE) Williams: .769, 20-6/.598/6-5
5. (C) UW-Oshkosh: .885, 23-3/.542/3-3
6. (W) Loras: .778, 21-6/.587/2-2
7. (GL) Marietta: .769, 20-6/.549/6-4
8. (MA) York (Pa.): .750, 21-7/.561/6-4
9. (W) St. Thomas: .846, 22-4/.532/4-1
10. (GL) Wooster: .821, 23-5/.543/3-4
11. (E) Rochester: .800, 20-5/.539/5-2
12. (GL) Capital: .741, 20-7/.546/6-4
13. (E) Plattsburgh State: .760, 19-6/.531/6-6
14. (AT) New Jersey City: .741, 20-7/.551/6-6
15. (NE) MIT: .846, 22-4/.555/1-0
16. (NE) Middlebury: .708, 17-7/.600/4-5
17. (MA) Salisbury: .704, 19-8/.575/4-7
18. (C) Wheaton: .704, 19-8/.574/4-5
19. (AT) Ramapo: .667, 18-9/.567/8-5
20. (C) UW-La Crosse .654, 17-9/.574/4-4

2017-18 Season
1. Hamilton (NE/NESCAC): .846 (22-4)/.573/6-3 
2. Wesleyan (NE/NESCAC): .778 (21-6)/.590/8-4   
3. UW-Platteville (CE/WIAC: .833 (20-4)/.577/4-1   
4. Whitman (WE/NWC): .962 (25-1)/.515/4-1
5. Swarthmore (MA/CC): .815 (22-5)/.542/3-4   
6. St. John's (WE/MIAC): .880 (22-3)/.524/3-2 
7. Middlebury (NE/NESCAC): .760 (19-6).590/4-6   
8. Wooster (GL/NCAC): .778 (21-6)/.565/4-3
9. Marietta (GL/OAC): .778 (21-6)/.564/4-5   
10. New Jersey City (AT/NJAC): .731 (19-7)/.567/6-4   
11. Emory (SO/UAA): .840 (21-4)/.530/4-2 
12. Christopher Newport (MA/CAC): .777 (21-6)/.546/3-2   
13. UW-Oshkosh (CE/WIAC): .741 (20-7)/.554/2-4   
14. St. Olaf (WE/MIAC): .731 (19-7)/.544/3-2   
15. Albright (MA/Commonwealth): .769 (20-6)/.544/3-2   
16. Franklin and Marshall (MA/CC): .769 (20-6)/.536/3-4 
17. North Central (CE/CCIW): .692 (18-8)/.563/4-5   
18. Illinois Wesleyan (CE/CCIW): .731 (19-7)/.550/3-6 
19. Springfield (NE/NEWMAC): .692 (18-8)/.558/4-2 
20. Brockport (E/SUNYAC): .731/.529/3-3
21. LeTourneau (SO/ASC): .852 (23-4)/.511/2-2

2016-17 Season
1. Babson (NE/NEWMAC): .926/.574/4-1
2. Williams (NE/NESCAC): .731/.592/7-4   
3. Susquehanna (MA/LAND): .800/.556/4-4
4. UW-Whitewater (C/WIAC): .769/.567/3-5
5. Rochester (E/UAA): .840/.534/4-2
6. Amherst (NE/NESCAC): .708/.598/5-5
7. Tufts (NE/NESCAC): .769/.566/4-4
8. Wesleyan (NE/NESCAC): .760/.560/4-3
9. Whitworth (W/NWC): .852/.544/0-3
10. Salisbury (MA/CAC): .741/.546/3-4
11. New Jersey City (AT/NJAC): .750/.533/5-4
12. Hope (GL/MIAA): .800/.525/2-1
13. Cabrini (AT/CSAC): .760/.531/2-3
14. Emory (S/UAA): .720/.547/2-3
15. Skidmore (E/LL): .731/.527/6-1
16. St. Lawrence (E/LL): .769/.526/3-5
17. Augustana (C/CCIW): .704/.542/2-2
18. Keene State (NE/LEC): .679/.575/3-4
19. Endicott (NE/CCC): .786/.532/1-1
20. St. Thomas (W/MIAC): .731/.530/1-2
21. UW-Oshkosh: (C/WIAC): .630/.601/5-6

Pool C Bids: 2019/2018/2017 = Total
* Northeast: 4/4/7 = 15

* Central: 4/4/3 = 11

* Great Lakes: 3/2/2 = 7

* Mid Atlantic: 2/4/1 = 7

* West: 2/3/2 = 7

* East: 2/1/3 = 6

* Atlantic: 2/1/2 = 5

* South: 1/2/1 = 4

We might talk some Pool C (high level stuff) on Hoopsville tonight.  Pasting this here in case we do.

Dave 'd-mac' McHugh



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Titan Q

#8285
My 20 Pool Cs as of Christmas Day.

Data courtesy of Matt Snyder - https://tomaroonandgold.blogspot.com/p/division-iii-mens-regional-rankings.html.

(WP/SOS/notable wins)

1. (C/UAA) Wash U .900/.579 (vs Eau Claire, vs Augustana, at IWU)
2. (MA/CC) Johns Hopkins .889/613 (vs Christopher Newport, at Muhlenberg)
3. (NE/NEWMAC) Springfield .889/.644 (n/a)
4. (C/WIAC) UW-Eau Claire .800/.599 (at Whitworth)
5. (NE/NESCAC) Hamilton .900/.547 (vs Nichols)
6. (GL/OAC) Mount Union .750/.601 (vs Carnegie Mellon, at Wooster)
7. (GL/NCAC) Wooster .875/.591 (vs Wabash, vs Brockport)
8. (S/ODAC) Virginia Wesleyan .875/.576 (at Guilford, vs Christopher Newport)
9. (S/ODAC) Guilford .800/.617 (vs Mary Hardin-Baylor)
10. (C/WIAC) UW-La Crosse 1.000/.523 (vs Augsburg)
11. (NE/NESCAC) Middlebury 1.000/.526 (n/a)
12. (C/CCIW) Illinois Wesleyan .700/.615 (vs Carthage, at Augustana)
13. (C/CCIW) Augustana .700/.647 (vs Loras, at UW-Stevens Point)
14. (C/WIAC) Stevens Point .778/.597 (at Christopher Newport, vs Hope)
15. (C/CCIW) Carthage .900/.509 (vs UW-Oshkosh, vs North Central)
16. (NE/NEWMAC) WPI .800/.573 (vs Tufts)
17. (W/MIAC) Augsburg .778/.555 (vs UW-River Falls)
18. (C/CCIW) Elmhurst .900/.467 (vs St. Norbert, at UW-Oshkosh)
19. (C/WIAC) UW-River Falls .750/.590 (vs Nebraska Wesleyan)
20. (S/SAA) Centre: .800/.579 (at Wabash)
--------
21. (W/ARC) Buena Vista .900/.526 (n/a)
22. (E/UAA) Rochester .889/.572 (n/a)
23. (S/ASC) LeTourneau .857/.563 (n/a)
24. (W/MIAC) St. Johns .900/.474 (n/a)
25. (W/MIAC) Bethel .667/.549 (at UW-Stevens Point)
26. (NE/NESCAC) Tufts .778/.652 (n/a)
27. (GL/NCAC) Allegheny .700/.594 (vs Carnegie Mellon)
28. (AT/NJAC) Rutgers-Newark .700/.551 (vs Utica)
29. (C/WIAC) UW-Oshkosh .556/.646 (at Augustana, at North Central)
30. (C/CCIW) North Central .700/.519 (at Elmhurst)
31. (E/LL) Union .800/.563 (n/a)
32. (MA/CC) Muhlenberg .800/.523 (n/a)
33. (MA/CAC) Christopher Newport .636/.615 (n/a)
34. (GL/UAA) Carnegie Mellon .778/.576 (n/a)
35. (GL/MIAA) Albion .750/.571 (n/a)
36. (E/E8) Nazareth .750/.542 (n/a)
37. (W/ARC) Loras .800/.508 (n/a)


Assumed Pool A (not all conferences are listed here)
SAA - Berry
CAC - York (Pa)
NESCAC - Colby
NCAC - Wittenberg
Centennial - Swarthmore
MIAC - St. Thomas
ODAD - Randolph-Macon
OAC - Marietta
ARC - Nebraska Wesleyan
UAA - Emory
WIAC - UW-Platteville
CCIW - Wheaton
MWC - St. Norbert
NACC - Benedictine
NEWMAC - Babson
Liberty - Hobart
NJAC - Stockton
ASC - Mary Hardin-Baylor
MIAA - Hope
NWC - Whitworth
SCIAC - Pomona-Pitzer
E8 - Utica

Baldini

Great stuff Titan Q. Who would of thought at Christmas that both North Central and UW-Oshkosh would be off the Pool C radar.

ronk

Quote from: Titan Q on December 25, 2019, 10:06:19 AM
My 20 Pool Cs as of Christmas Day.

Data courtesy of Matt Snyder - https://tomaroonandgold.blogspot.com/p/division-iii-mens-regional-rankings.html.

(WP/SOS/notable wins)

1. (C/UAA) Wash U .900/.579 (vs Eau Claire, vs Augustana, at IWU)
2. (MA/CC) Johns Hopkins .889/613 (vs Christopher Newport, at Muhlenberg)
3. (NE/NESCAC) Springfield .889/.644 (n/a)
4. (C/WIAC) UW-Eau Claire .800/.599 (at Whitworth)
5. (NE/NESCAC) Hamilton .900/.547 (vs Nichols)
6. (GL/OAC) Mount Union .750/.601 (vs Carnegie Mellon, at Wooster)
7. (GL/NCAC) Wooster .875/.591 (vs Wabash, vs Brockport)
8. (S/ODAC) Virginia Wesleyan .875/.576 (at Guilford, vs Christopher Newport)
9. (S/ODAC) Guilford .800/.617 (vs Mary Hardin-Baylor)
10. (C/WIAC) UW-La Crosse 1.000/.523 (vs Augsburg)
11. (NE/NESCAC) Middlebury 1.000/.526 (n/a)
12. (C/CCIW) Illinois Wesleyan .700/.615 (vs Carthage, at Augustana)
13. (C/CCIW) Augustana .700/.647 (vs Loras, at UW-Stevens Point)
14. (C/WIAC) Stevens Point .778/.597 (at Christopher Newport, vs Hope)
15. (C/CCIW) Carthage .900/.509 (vs UW-Oshkosh, vs North Central)
16. (NE/NEWMAC) WPI .800/.573 (vs Tufts)
17. (W/MIAC) Augsburg .778/.555 (vs UW-River Falls)
18. (C/CCIW) Wheaton: .800/.482 (vs UW-River Falls, at Illinois Wesleyan)
19. (C/WIAC) UW-River Falls .750/.590 (vs Nebraska Wesleyan)
20. (S/SAA) Centre: .800/.579 (at Wabash)
--------
21. (W/ARC) Buena Vista .900/.526 (n/a)
22. (E/UAA) Rochester .889/.572 (n/a)
23. (NE/NESCAC) Tufts .778/.652 (n/a)
24. (S/ASC) LeTourneau .857/.563 (n/a)
25. (W/MIAC) St. Johns .900/.474 (n/a)
27. (W/MIAC) Bethel .667/.549 (at UW-Stevens Point)
28. (MA/CC) Muhlenberg .800/.523 (n/a)
29. (AT/NJAC) Rutgers-Newark .700/.551 (vs Utica)
30. (MA/CAC) Christopher Newport .636/.615 (n/a)
31. (C/WIAC) UW-Oshkosh .556/.646 (at Augustana, at North Central)
32. (C/CCIW) North Central .700/.519 (at Elmhurst)
33. (E/LL) Union .800/.563 (n/a)
34. (GL/NCAC) Allegheny .700/.594 (vs Carnegie Mellon)
35. (GL/UAA) Carnegie Mellon .778/.576 (n/a)
36. (GL/MIAA) Albion .750/.571 (n/a)
37. (E/E8) Nazareth .750/.542 (n/a)
38. (W/ARC) Loras .800/.508 (n/a)


Assumed Pool A (all conferences not listed here)
NESCAC - Colby
NCAC - Wittenberg
Centennial - Swarthmore
MIAC - St. Thomas
ODAD - Randolph-Macon
OAC - Marietta
ARC - Nebraska Wesleyan
UAA - Emory
WIAC - UW-Platteville
CCIW - Elmhurst
MWC - St. Norbert
NACC - Benedictine
NEWMAC - Babson
Liberty - Hobart
NJAC - Stockton
ASC - Mary Hardin-Baylor
MIAA - Hope
NWC - Whitworth
SCIAC - Pomona-Pitzer

Good stuff, Titan. Suggest that u add a Pool A 4 whichever conferences u have a Pool C; e.g., CAC would be York(PA).

Titan Q

Quote from: ronk on December 25, 2019, 10:54:30 AM
Good stuff, Titan. Suggest that u add a Pool A 4 whichever conferences u have a Pool C; e.g., CAC would be York(PA).
Yes, good call.  Added CAC and SAA.


Greek Tragedy

9 of 20 from the central? Obviously a long way to go...
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Titan Q

#8290
Quote from: Greek Tragedy on December 25, 2019, 02:33:57 PM
9 of 20 from the central? Obviously a long way to go...

The "long way to go" part is the key.  That is where I see things at this very early point.  Conference play will change the picture pretty dramatically.

Looks like Matt Snyder has 7 Central now - https://tomaroonandgold.blogspot.com/p/division-iii-mens-regional-rankings.html.

Massey would have 9 Central - https://www.masseyratings.com/cb2020/ncaa-d3/ratings.
1 Elmhurst
2 UW-La Crosse
3 Wash U
4 Johns Hopkins
5 Middlebury
6 UW-Oshkosh
7 Augustana
8 Tufts
9 UW-Stevens Point
10 St. John's
11 Springfield
12 Illinois Wesleyan
13 Carthage
14 Mount Union
15 Virginia Wesleyan
16 Hamilton
17 Amherst
18 North Central
19 Guilford
20 Rochester

Greek Tragedy

Unfortunately for the WIAC and CCIW, that's true because they'll beat each other up in conference play while other leagues are top heavy and the big dogs will just continue to win.
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Titan Q

#8292
Quote from: Greek Tragedy on December 26, 2019, 06:59:20 AM
Unfortunately for the WIAC and CCIW, that's true because they'll beat each other up in conference play while other leagues are top heavy and the big dogs will just continue to win.
For sure.  Conferences that are deep and balanced will be the most impacted as we get full-time into league play.  While that depth is great for SOS, it obviously hurts WP...and generally when WP dips below .700 that is Pool C trouble.

There are 6 CCIW teams in the Massey top 50, and 5 WIAC teams.  Even the regular season champions of these leagues are going to have a bunch of conference losses...not to mention finishers 2, 3, and 4.

CCIW
#8 Elmhurst
#13 Wheaton
#18 Augustana
#26 Illinois Wesleyan
#27 Carthage
#32 North Central

WIAC
#5 UW-Platteville
#10 UW-La Crosse
#17 UW-Oshkosh
#23 UW-Stevens Point
#38 UW-Eau Claire
(#52 UW-River Falls) - beat Nebraska Wesleyan

Contrast that with, say, the NEWMAC, that has 3 in the Massey top 50 -- #9 Babson, #25 Springfield, #45 WPI.

Or the OAC, with 2 - #2 Marietta, #28 Mount Union.

NWC with 2 - #20 Whitworth, #43 Whitman.

NCAC with 2 - #7 Wittenberg, #40 Wooster.

Etc.


Safe to say a lot of those CCIW/WIAC teams in my 12/25/19 Pool C projection will fall out by Selection Sunday because winning percentages will fall so dramatically.

While the CCIW and WIAC are always deep, I don't think I can recall this much balance from 1 down to 5 or 6.  This is a pretty unique year for the two Central powers.

D3RetiredHooper

Question with regards to Pool C and amount of teams from one Region (Titan Q having 9 from the Central!).  Do you have to finish ranked in the final regional rankings to be eligible for a Pool C berth? If not, who decides which team is next to be brought to the table?

Pat Coleman

You do not have to be in the final regional rankings in order to get into the playoffs as an at-large bid. It has happened -- rarely, but it has happened, in both women's and men's basketball.

In addition to the published regional rankings, the regional committee ranks additional teams, in case they are needed in the at-large process.
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