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D3baseball.com => National topics => Topic started by: BigPoppa on March 11, 2013, 01:04:29 PM

Title: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 11, 2013, 01:04:29 PM
Here is my top 25 this week:

1. Christopher Newport
2. Cortland State
3. Marietta
4. Trinity- Texas
5. Wheaton (Mass)
6. Western New England
7. Kean
8. St. Joseph's (Maine)
9. Linfield
10. St. Thomas
11. Whitewater
12. La Crosse
13. Salisbury
14. Stevens Point
15. Washington and Jefferson
16. Keystone
17. Shenandoah
18. Trinity (CT)
19. Bridgewater
20. Tyler (TX)
21. St. Scholastica
22. Pomona-Pitzer
23. Manchester
24. Misercorida
25. Illinois Wesleyan


Go ahead... hammer away at my rankings:)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 11, 2013, 02:33:05 PM
I think I would leave #1 vacant :)

I seriously have no idea what I would do, but I don't think I'd put two teams in the top 5 that lost 2 of 3 over the weekend to the same team. I suppose if you dragged me kicking and screaming to vote for someone it would be Linfield. Cortland probably 2nd even though their schedule hasn't really picked up yet.

Also not sure I would have penalized St. Thomas quite as much considering they have gone through quite a bit of pitching playing all top 25 teams all only playing 2 games in the week.

You seem to stick closer to the preseason/previous week rankings than I would/used to. I would have had Manchester quite a bit higher and Keystone and Misericordia lower, for example.

Next week it should be a lot easier to make sense of things. A lot of teams play a lot of games this week. Mount Union has I think 11.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 11, 2013, 02:59:26 PM
Spence- you are right about #1... Not sure what to do there. As of the next poll, most teams will have a handful of games under their belts, so it will be much easier to get a handle on what is happening. It is always tough to rank teams early as many of them have yet to play or are just starting out.

Also, it is tough to judge teams on spring trips that play 8-10 games in a single week. They are throwing guys late in the rotations that may never see the mound once they return home. I can almost always excuse a loss or two in a week when a team plays those brutal 10-games-in-6-days stretches.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Jack Parkman on March 11, 2013, 03:03:19 PM
I don't know much about anywhere but the West but I think Trinity staying at 4 is a little high.  They are a solid club, but they lost 2/3 and I really don't know if they play solid enough D to be a championship club.  Pitching is pretty solid and they have a fairly straight shot into a regional.  I would probably place them around the 9/10 slot right there with Linfield.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 11, 2013, 03:32:44 PM
Quote from: Jack Parkman on March 11, 2013, 03:03:19 PM
I don't know much about anywhere but the West but I think Trinity staying at 4 is a little high.  They are a solid club, but they lost 2/3 and I really don't know if they play solid enough D to be a championship club.  Pitching is pretty solid and they have a fairly straight shot into a regional.  I would probably place them around the 9/10 slot right there with Linfield.

The nice thing about the next few weeks is that it will all sort itself out.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on March 11, 2013, 03:44:25 PM
I am with Jack and Spence. It is really hard to know about all of the teams, particularly those outside of our respective region(s). The top two spots are a crap shoot from what I can see. I can't see Trinity at #4 right now, just too many errors and a few other questions, I would drop them down a few spots, but again not knowing the teams around them in the rankings make it difficult. The rest of the West teams seem about right.

Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 11, 2013, 06:09:19 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on March 11, 2013, 02:59:26 PM
Spence- you are right about #1... Not sure what to do there. As of the next poll, most teams will have a handful of games under their belts, so it will be much easier to get a handle on what is happening. It is always tough to rank teams early as many of them have yet to play or are just starting out.

Also, it is tough to judge teams on spring trips that play 8-10 games in a single week. They are throwing guys late in the rotations that may never see the mound once they return home. I can almost always excuse a loss or two in a week when a team plays those brutal 10-games-in-6-days stretches.

Definitely true on that last bit.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 11, 2013, 07:06:45 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 11, 2013, 03:44:25 PM
I am with Jack and Spence. It is really hard to know about all of the teams, particularly those outside of our respective region(s). The top two spots are a crap shoot from what I can see. I can't see Trinity at #4 right now, just too many errors and a few other questions, I would drop them down a few spots, but again not knowing the teams around them in the rankings make it difficult. The rest of the West teams seem about right.
IMO Trinity is not the top team in the West.

I would say Linfield even though they lost to lowly Williamette. Also consideration has to be given to Centenary(*), Texas-Tyler also.

* I know Centenary is not eligible for the NCAA playoffs.,
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Whatagame on March 11, 2013, 07:26:36 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 11, 2013, 07:06:45 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 11, 2013, 03:44:25 PM
I am with Jack and Spence. It is really hard to know about all of the teams, particularly those outside of our respective region(s). The top two spots are a crap shoot from what I can see. I can't see Trinity at #4 right now, just too many errors and a few other questions, I would drop them down a few spots, but again not knowing the teams around them in the rankings make it difficult. The rest of the West teams seem about right.
IMO Trinity is not the top team in the West.

I would say Linfield even though they lost to lowly Williamette. Also consideration has to be given to Centenary(*), Texas-Tyler also.

* I know Centenary is not eligible for the NCAA playoffs.,

I'd posit that one should reconsider the "lowly Willamette" classification this season.  Three of their losses are to NAIA teams, then they lost to Whitworth by one run in a pre-conference play matchup.  Then, they opened Northwest Conference play against PLU, at PLU, losing two games by one run, and then taking game three.  Then, they faced Linfield this past weekend in conference, losing two close ones and taking the 3rd game in the weekend series.  Hell, put Willamette in some other conferences, and they'd probably be in a regional this year....

Against D3 competition this season, their big blowout losses have been a 6-3 loss to Hendrix (first game of season), and a 6-1 loss to Linfield this weekend.


Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 12, 2013, 12:12:27 PM
Chapman takes down another TOP 25 team.
http://www.chapmanathletics.com/sports/bsb/2012-13/releases/20130312oipzl9
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 12, 2013, 12:16:41 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 12, 2013, 12:12:27 PM
Chapman takes down another TOP 25 team.
http://www.chapmanathletics.com/sports/bsb/2012-13/releases/20130312oipzl9

Looks like much like the Yacko era, you have to beat Chapman before the last couple of innings.

Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 12, 2013, 12:18:36 PM
Quote from: Whatagame on March 11, 2013, 07:26:36 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 11, 2013, 07:06:45 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 11, 2013, 03:44:25 PM
I am with Jack and Spence. It is really hard to know about all of the teams, particularly those outside of our respective region(s). The top two spots are a crap shoot from what I can see. I can't see Trinity at #4 right now, just too many errors and a few other questions, I would drop them down a few spots, but again not knowing the teams around them in the rankings make it difficult. The rest of the West teams seem about right.
IMO Trinity is not the top team in the West.

I would say Linfield even though they lost to lowly Williamette. Also consideration has to be given to Centenary(*), Texas-Tyler also.

* I know Centenary is not eligible for the NCAA playoffs.,

I'd posit that one should reconsider the "lowly Willamette" classification this season.  Three of their losses are to NAIA teams, then they lost to Whitworth by one run in a pre-conference play matchup.  Then, they opened Northwest Conference play against PLU, at PLU, losing two games by one run, and then taking game three.  Then, they faced Linfield this past weekend in conference, losing two close ones and taking the 3rd game in the weekend series.  Hell, put Willamette in some other conferences, and they'd probably be in a regional this year....

Against D3 competition this season, their big blowout losses have been a 6-3 loss to Hendrix (first game of season), and a 6-1 loss to Linfield this weekend.

I would agree with this. The NWC looks improved over last year, which itself was a deeper league than it was several years ago. With the way a few of the top leagues have fallen off, the NWC may be one of the best leagues in the country now.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 12, 2013, 04:02:25 PM
What currently unranked 2012 NCAA Tourney team is 6 - 0 with 4 of those wins coming against 2012 NCAA Tourney teams in it's region?  "#norespect"
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on March 12, 2013, 05:51:19 PM
Hammer, it is often that unranked teams early in the season get overlooked....however 2012 has little to do with 2013 unless of course there is a significant number of returners and or a history of the program being strong year over year.

Drum roll....and the mystery team is?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 12, 2013, 06:32:52 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 12, 2013, 05:51:19 PM
Hammer, it is often that unranked teams early in the season get overlooked....however 2012 has little to do with 2013 unless of course there is a significant number of returners and or a history of the program being strong year over year.

Drum roll....and the mystery team is?
Haverford qualifies. The 6-0 Fords have beaten Drew, Rowan, Skidmore and Pitt-Bradford.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 12, 2013, 08:29:43 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 12, 2013, 06:32:52 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 12, 2013, 05:51:19 PM
Hammer, it is often that unranked teams early in the season get overlooked....however 2012 has little to do with 2013 unless of course there is a significant number of returners and or a history of the program being strong year over year.

Drum roll....and the mystery team is?
Haverford qualifies. The 6-0 Fords have beaten Drew, Rowan, Skidmore and Pitt-Bradford.

I had no recollection that 3 of those teams were in a regional.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 12, 2013, 09:11:18 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 12, 2013, 08:29:43 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 12, 2013, 06:32:52 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 12, 2013, 05:51:19 PM
Hammer, it is often that unranked teams early in the season get overlooked....however 2012 has little to do with 2013 unless of course there is a significant number of returners and or a history of the program being strong year over year.

Drum roll....and the mystery team is?
Haverford qualifies. The 6-0 Fords have beaten Drew, Rowan, Skidmore and Pitt-Bradford.

I had no recollection that 3 of those teams were in a regional.
http://www.d3baseball.com/notables/2012/05/Playoff_Central  ;D
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 13, 2013, 04:54:40 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 12, 2013, 09:11:18 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 12, 2013, 08:29:43 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 12, 2013, 06:32:52 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 12, 2013, 05:51:19 PM
Hammer, it is often that unranked teams early in the season get overlooked....however 2012 has little to do with 2013 unless of course there is a significant number of returners and or a history of the program being strong year over year.

Drum roll....and the mystery team is?
Haverford qualifies. The 6-0 Fords have beaten Drew, Rowan, Skidmore and Pitt-Bradford.

I had no recollection that 3 of those teams were in a regional.
http://www.d3baseball.com/notables/2012/05/Playoff_Central  ;D

Still can't find Pitt Bradford, and Drew and Skidmore were two and out. No wonder I don't remember.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 07:18:30 AM
Should Keans 4 losses (all to unranked teams) drop them out of the top 25?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on March 14, 2013, 09:26:36 AM
They were all close games against solid teams, while they are on an early season trip so my guess is that they will drop a lot but likely not out. I get the impression that once you make it to the top 10 it takes a couple of weeks of poor play to drop you off.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 10:59:45 AM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 14, 2013, 09:26:36 AM
They were all close games against solid teams, while they are on an early season trip so my guess is that they will drop a lot but likely not out. I get the impression that once you make it to the top 10 it takes a couple of weeks of poor play to drop you off.
Agree.  The D3baseball.com "rankers" seem to heavily weight a programs historic performance, forecasting that the team will produce like results by seasons end.  Thus delaying any precipitous descent in the teams rank.  It takes a couple of weeks of poor performance for weight to be given to current in-season performance. We will see if 4 losses to unranked teams are enough to drop Kean out of the rankings.  On the D1 side BA dropped Stanford clear out of the Top 25 from 13, after getting swept by a previously unranked UNLV (now 21).  This despite Stanfords sweep of a ranked Texas team one week prior.  So, big drops, from respected rankers, to perennially highly ranked teams can happen in a single week.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 14, 2013, 12:23:20 PM
D1 and D3 seem to be 2 different animals.  Kean went to the West Coast with 7 games under its belt and then played 5 games in 6 days. The west coast competition was in mid-season form.  For example, LaVerne had played 13 games, 1/3 of its season by that time.

The SCIAC is a well-balanced league in its top 4-5 teams.  Kean played well against that competition.

Another factor is that you don't always know whether Kean pitched its early season #4 pitcher against another team's mid-season #2! 

In baseball, we usually like at least best 2-of-3 and commonly best 3-of-5 or better in the highest quality of competition.  Before 1969, we played 154 or 162 games to determine a league championship, so we wanted a real endurance test to detemine the best team.  The modern playoffs were made for TV!
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 12:44:58 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on March 14, 2013, 12:23:20 PM
D1 and D3 seem to be 2 different animals.  Kean went to the West Coast with 7 games under its belt and then played 5 games in 6 days. The west coast competition was in mid-season form.  For example, LaVerne had played 13 games, 1/3 of its season by that time.

The SCIAC is a well-balanced league in its top 4-5 teams.  Kean played well against that competition.

Another factor is that you don't always know whether Kean pitched its early season #4 pitcher against another team's mid-season #2! 

In baseball, we usually like at least best 2-of-3 and commonly best 3-of-5 or better in the highest quality of competition.  Before 1969, we played 154 or 162 games to determine a league championship, so we wanted a real endurance test to detemine the best team.  The modern playoffs were made for TV!
I'm with you - except I would not over weight "playing well" into a ranking decision when it involves play in more than one game. A loss is a loss, or in Keans case 4 losses are 4 losses.  If you want to be highly ranked you must earn it by winning. However, 4 blowout wins against teams with RPI's in the bottom 10% would mean very little to me. The subjective nature of rankings such as these is exposed each week.  That is what makes them interesting I guess.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 14, 2013, 02:14:02 PM
Hammer- I look forward to seeing your own top 25 next week.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 14, 2013, 02:22:19 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 12:44:58 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on March 14, 2013, 12:23:20 PM
D1 and D3 seem to be 2 different animals.  Kean went to the West Coast with 7 games under its belt and then played 5 games in 6 days. The west coast competition was in mid-season form.  For example, LaVerne had played 13 games, 1/3 of its season by that time.

The SCIAC is a well-balanced league in its top 4-5 teams.  Kean played well against that competition.

Another factor is that you don't always know whether Kean pitched its early season #4 pitcher against another team's mid-season #2! 

In baseball, we usually like at least best 2-of-3 and commonly best 3-of-5 or better in the highest quality of competition.  Before 1969, we played 154 or 162 games to determine a league championship, so we wanted a real endurance test to detemine the best team.  The modern playoffs were made for TV!
I'm with you - except I would not over weight "playing well" into a ranking decision when it involves play in more than one game. A loss is a loss, or in Keans case 4 losses are 4 losses.  If you want to be highly ranked you must earn it by winning. However, 4 blowout wins against teams with RPI's in the bottom 10% would mean very little to me. The subjective nature of rankings such as these is exposed each week.  That is what makes them interesting I guess.
"Playing well", which brings us to the discussion of "results" (please note the precision and latitude of the wording) versus regionally ranked teams, which is one of the criteria used by the Evaluation Committees.

This is always a great divide and discussion point among fans.  I strongly believe that we will see fewer of these types on early-season/mid-season, inter-region games next year because why does a coach wish to penalize his team with such a loss in the strictest rankings?

If we are watching Top 25 teams, does  it make sense to have 15 teams from the West and South Region in the Top 25 in the last week of February, just because they are the only teams that have played a few games?  As soon as the Mid-Atlantic and New England powers get a few games under their belt, then you have to knock most of the West and South Region early season pretenders out of the rankings.

Another way to consider the Top 25 is to ask the question, is this likely to be one of the teams that wins 2 of its first 3 games in the Regional Playoffs?  That gives you about 30-35 teams from which to consider your Top 25.  In the Mid-Atlantic Region, the NJAC schools always deserve consideration.    :)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 14, 2013, 02:43:34 PM
I think "unranked" is a bit of a misnomer. Kean didn't lose to 2-10 teams. Ithaca is in my top 25. Brockport was removed from my 25 at the 11th hour. La Verne is in someone's 25. Chapman is capable of beating any team. Redlands has one home loss and has beaten Pomona, CLU, UTD, Bridgewater and Kean at their place.

UW-Whitewater moved into the top 10 after a split against an unranked team.

UNLV was unranked by Baseball America in a literal sense. Plus, Stanford was swept at home in three games. I disagree that KU and Stanford is an apt analogy.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 14, 2013, 02:47:37 PM
Adrian went from No. 8 to "unranked" last week by the way.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 04:03:04 PM
Another way to consider the Top 25 is to ask the question, is this likely to be one of the teams that wins 2 of its first 3 games in the Regional Playoffs?  That gives you about 30-35 teams from which to consider your Top 25.  In the Mid-Atlantic Region, the NJAC schools always deserve consideration.    :)
[/quote]
I think you hit on one of my points: Should the Top 25 purely reflect performance as of the day of ranking?  or should whether this is likely to be one of the teams that wins 2 of its first 3 games in the Regional Playoffs be a factor? I think the ranking should have nothing to do with perdicting the future but rather evaluating the seasons performance to date.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 14, 2013, 04:48:15 PM
Hammer- your theory of the poll reflecting only "performance to date" completely leaves out the teams that have yet to play a single game becuase of geography. If this were the case, the entire top 25 would be teams from the West and South, which I am not certain is an accurate way to assess the "national" inclusiveness of the poll.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 14, 2013, 05:19:21 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 07:18:30 AM
Should Keans 4 losses (all to unranked teams) drop them out of the top 25?
Yes IMO
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 14, 2013, 05:19:43 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on March 14, 2013, 04:48:15 PM
Hammer- your theory of the poll reflecting only "performance to date" completely leaves out the teams that have yet to play a single game becuase of geography. If this were the case, the entire top 25 would be teams from the West and South, which I am not certain is an accurate way to assess the "national" inclusiveness of the poll.
True
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 14, 2013, 05:27:13 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 04:03:04 PM
Another way to consider the Top 25 is to ask the question, is this likely to be one of the teams that wins 2 of its first 3 games in the Regional Playoffs?  That gives you about 30-35 teams from which to consider your Top 25.  In the Mid-Atlantic Region, the NJAC schools always deserve consideration.    :)

I think you hit on one of my points: Should the Top 25 purely reflect performance as of the day of ranking?  or should whether this is likely to be one of the teams that wins 2 of its first 3 games in the Regional Playoffs be a factor? I think the ranking should have nothing to do with perdicting the future but rather evaluating the seasons performance to date.
I disagree. Past, Present, Future......Example Marrietta, Cortland, Trinity-Texas
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 14, 2013, 05:28:52 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 14, 2013, 02:43:34 PM
I think "unranked" is a bit of a misnomer. Kean didn't lose to 2-10 teams. Ithaca is in my top 25. Brockport was removed from my 25 at the 11th hour. La Verne is in someone's 25. Chapman is capable of beating any team. Redlands has one home loss and has beaten Pomona, CLU, UTD, Bridgewater and Kean at their place.

UW-Whitewater moved into the top 10 after a split against an unranked team.

UNLV was unranked by Baseball America in a literal sense. Plus, Stanford was swept at home in three games. I disagree that KU and Stanford is an apt analogy.
Your right...Apples and Oranges comparison

Occidental(15-2) Not in TOP 25, Not even a single vote. If it beats Cal Lu 2 of 3 they deserve a top 25 ranking with a 17-3 record.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Babe Truth on March 14, 2013, 06:19:39 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 14, 2013, 02:43:34 PM
. . . UW-Whitewater moved into the top 10 after a split against an unranked team.

Actually, Whitewater split with #2 St. Thomas to move from 11 to 10.  UW La Crosse did the same thing in slightly better fashion and stays at #16.   St. Thomas is now #5 despite losing 3 of 8. All of which seems to fit some of the reasoning here regarding historic performance and program reputation being factors.  Of course early polls are always educated guesses that often don't resemble the final polls.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 07:24:13 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 14, 2013, 05:19:43 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on March 14, 2013, 04:48:15 PM
Hammer- your theory of the poll reflecting only "performance to date" completely leaves out the teams that have yet to play a single game becuase of geography. If this were the case, the entire top 25 would be teams from the West and South, which I am not certain is an accurate way to assess the "national" inclusiveness of the poll.
True
Does this support an argument that polls should not be started until after a certain date or that we should start polls as currently done but just omit teams that do not have a sufficient in-season body of work? D3 differs greatly from D1 in that recruiting/transfers are not followed and reported on in a similar fashion. As unreliable as preseason polls are in D1 (see unranked Fresno St. winning championship a few years ago) such polls may be absurd in D3. Although they are fun.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 14, 2013, 08:30:27 PM
What would give me pause about Kean is that in 4 of the last 5 games, they've given up a number of runs. Really only two pitchers have distinguished themselves for them so far.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Mr. Ypsi on March 14, 2013, 09:18:44 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 14, 2013, 07:24:13 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 14, 2013, 05:19:43 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on March 14, 2013, 04:48:15 PM
Hammer- your theory of the poll reflecting only "performance to date" completely leaves out the teams that have yet to play a single game becuase of geography. If this were the case, the entire top 25 would be teams from the West and South, which I am not certain is an accurate way to assess the "national" inclusiveness of the poll.
True
Does this support an argument that polls should not be started until after a certain date or that we should start polls as currently done but just omit teams that do not have a sufficient in-season body of work? D3 differs greatly from D1 in that recruiting/transfers are not followed and reported on in a similar fashion. As unreliable as preseason polls are in D1 (see unranked Fresno St. winning championship a few years ago) such polls may be absurd in D3. Although they are fun.

Some of that is just that weird things happen in baseball.  As recently as 2010, IWU won the national title after having had a losing record with less than two weeks left in the regular season.

Of all sports that I follow, baseball is probably the least predictable (and therefore the least rankable).  IWU was certainly not THE best team in d3 that season (I'm a devout Titan fan, and doubt they were even top 25 :o), but they were the best for a few weeks at the end of the season - we are NOT returning the trophy! ;D  (After all, if you get a hit 35% of the time in MLB, you'll make the Hall of Fame; if you shoot 35% in the NBA or complete 35% of passes in the NFL, you'll be looking for a new line of work!  Of course this over-simplified explanation for the unpredictability of baseball breaks down with some other sports - even Wayne Gretzky couldn't score on 35% of his shots! :P)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 14, 2013, 10:20:07 PM
Quote from: Babe Truth on March 14, 2013, 06:19:39 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 14, 2013, 02:43:34 PM
. . . UW-Whitewater moved into the top 10 after a split against an unranked team.

Actually, Whitewater split with #2 St. Thomas to move from 11 to 10.  UW La Crosse did the same thing in slightly better fashion and stays at #16.   St. Thomas is now #5 despite losing 3 of 8. All of which seems to fit some of the reasoning here regarding historic performance and program reputation being factors.  Of course early polls are always educated guesses that often don't resemble the final polls.
Of course. Had UWW playing CSS for whatever reason.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 14, 2013, 10:31:45 PM
And if you want me to build a 6-team bracket for the Midwest Regionals 2 months from now, I will take St Thomas, UWW, UWL and the Pool A bid from the UMAC, CSS.  Add the IIAC Pool A bid and the NATHC champ and voila!
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 14, 2013, 10:47:57 PM
Kean loses in California quite often.
2013: 3-3 record (2-3 vs CA teams); 2012: 4-2; 2011: 3-3; 2010: DNP; 2009: 3-3; 2008: 4-2; 2007: 4-2.

KU made the tournament each of those seasons, won a regional in 2007-09 and 2011-12, and won it all in 2007.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 15, 2013, 01:46:53 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 14, 2013, 10:47:57 PM
Kean loses in California quite often.
2013: 3-3 record (2-3 vs CA teams); 2012: 4-2; 2011: 3-3; 2010: DNP; 2009: 3-3; 2008: 4-2; 2007: 4-2.

KU made the tournament each of those seasons, won a regional in 2007-09 and 2011-12, and won it all in 2007.

Did those teams get beaten around pitching-wise like this one has?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 15, 2013, 01:47:36 AM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on March 14, 2013, 10:31:45 PM
And if you want me to build a 6-team bracket for the Midwest Regionals 2 months from now, I will take St Thomas, UWW, UWL and the Pool A bid from the UMAC, CSS.  Add the IIAC Pool A bid and the NATHC champ and voila!

I hope the committee will be more creative than that given how many regionals are close by.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 15, 2013, 03:56:58 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 14, 2013, 10:47:57 PM
Kean loses in California quite often.
2013: 3-3 record (2-3 vs CA teams); 2012: 4-2; 2011: 3-3; 2010: DNP; 2009: 3-3; 2008: 4-2; 2007: 4-2.

KU made the tournament each of those seasons, won a regional in 2007-09 and 2011-12, and won it all in 2007.
By coming to CA every year Kean gets to play teams that are in mid season form and is better competition than staying home and playing teams near them. It also help them find out and develop their pitching with so many innings in their week trip prepares them for conference tourney and regional tournaments. The formula seems to work based on the past history.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 15, 2013, 11:55:36 AM
Plus, those games are non-region games for Kean and do not really hurt them in bigger picture. When I was a head coach at an NAIA program in California, I scheduled Kean on their 2003 trip out West and we beat them pretty handily at the time. Still, Kean a nice run that season as they got on track out West and pounded theams once they returned to the East. Say what you will, this method has produced results late in the season year after year.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 15, 2013, 04:37:58 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 15, 2013, 01:47:36 AM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on March 14, 2013, 10:31:45 PM
And if you want me to build a 6-team bracket for the Midwest Regionals 2 months from now, I will take St Thomas, UWW, UWL and the Pool A bid from the UMAC, CSS.  Add the IIAC Pool A bid and the NATHC champ and voila!

I hope the committee will be more creative than that given how many regionals are close by.
You have to move the teams out of the Mid-Atlantic.

When you look at the 500-mile radii of the host sites, I think that Concordia-Austin gets filled with the West Region teams, then the next one will be Millington TN.

From there, I think that they start sorting out the east coast.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 15, 2013, 05:25:35 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on March 15, 2013, 04:37:58 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 15, 2013, 01:47:36 AM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on March 14, 2013, 10:31:45 PM
And if you want me to build a 6-team bracket for the Midwest Regionals 2 months from now, I will take St Thomas, UWW, UWL and the Pool A bid from the UMAC, CSS.  Add the IIAC Pool A bid and the NATHC champ and voila!

I hope the committee will be more creative than that given how many regionals are close by.
You have to move the teams out of the Mid-Atlantic.

When you look at the 500-mile radii of the host sites, I think that Concordia-Austin gets filled with the West Region teams, then the next one will be Millington TN.

From there, I think that they start sorting out the east coast.

You could do anything you want between Whitewater, Augustana and Terre Haute with just about anyone except St. Scholastica.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 15, 2013, 07:11:40 PM
I am figuring on 6 team brackets in Concordia-Tx (West) Millington TN (South), Whitewater (Midwest) and Augustana (Central).  Everyone will have an 8-team bracket.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 15, 2013, 07:49:23 PM
Given the results over the last couple of days, it might benefit voters to do a complete reset of previous assumptions and voting.

I'm not sure anyone in the top 10 right now deserves a first-place vote.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Just_Some_Guy on March 17, 2013, 11:30:50 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 14, 2013, 05:28:52 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 14, 2013, 02:43:34 PM
I think "unranked" is a bit of a misnomer. Kean didn't lose to 2-10 teams. Ithaca is in my top 25. Brockport was removed from my 25 at the 11th hour. La Verne is in someone's 25. Chapman is capable of beating any team. Redlands has one home loss and has beaten Pomona, CLU, UTD, Bridgewater and Kean at their place.

UW-Whitewater moved into the top 10 after a split against an unranked team.

UNLV was unranked by Baseball America in a literal sense. Plus, Stanford was swept at home in three games. I disagree that KU and Stanford is an apt analogy.

Your right...Apples and Oranges comparison

Occidental(15-2) Not in TOP 25, Not even a single vote. If it beats Cal Lu 2 of 3 they deserve a top 25 ranking with a 17-3 record.

You're right. Had they beat Cal Lu 2 of 3 they probably deserved to be ranked, but anyone who's followed the SCIAC the last 6-8 years is going to be hesitant to rank Oxy until they win a big series - regardless of record. Had they taken 2 of 3 from Chapman, then perhaps they're 'also receiving votes,' but their body of work, despite the W-L record, wouldn't have put them in my ballot. It would be like Howard Payne in the ASC or Lewis & Clark in the NWC. You inherently know better, until you don't.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 17, 2013, 04:21:24 PM
Quality win for Kean on a miserable day in NJ. Damp 36 - 39 degree weather not hitter friendly especially against 2 90+ mph throwers.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 17, 2013, 06:22:31 PM
Seems like a lot of that going around this weekend.

As of now, here's my top 25...in case anyone cares. It's pretty much entirely different than last week's poll ranking lol. It's also changed a ton this weekend because ranked teams have liked to lose.

1. Linfield
2. St. Thomas
3. Western New England
4. St. Joseph's
5. Salisbury
6. Cortland State
7. UW-LaCrosse
8. St. Scholastica
9. Webster
10. Wheaton (Mass.)
11. Huntingdon
12. UW-Whitewater
13. Kean
14. Marietta
15. Millsaps
16. Heidelberg
17. Haverford
18. Illinois Wesleyan
19. Manchester
20. Spalding
21. Cal Lutheran
22. Keystone
23. UT-Tyler
24. Neumann
25. Concordia (Ill.)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Just_Some_Guy on March 17, 2013, 07:14:56 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 17, 2013, 06:22:31 PM
Seems like a lot of that going around this weekend.

As of now, here's my top 25...in case anyone cares. It's pretty much entirely different than last week's poll ranking lol. It's also changed a ton this weekend because ranked teams have liked to lose.

1. Linfield
21. Cal Lutheran
23. UT-Tyler


I can only speak for the West since that's the region I follow closely, but I'm a bit surprised by the omission of Trinity. Their SoS isn't great, but it's not bad either and at 18-4 I feel like they're a top 12-15 team, especially with the depth they've begun to develop on the bump and the way Hirschberg is swinging the bat.

JSG
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 17, 2013, 07:23:16 PM
Quote from: Just_Some_Guy on March 17, 2013, 07:14:56 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 17, 2013, 06:22:31 PM
Seems like a lot of that going around this weekend.

As of now, here's my top 25...in case anyone cares. It's pretty much entirely different than last week's poll ranking lol. It's also changed a ton this weekend because ranked teams have liked to lose.

1. Linfield
21. Cal Lutheran
23. UT-Tyler


I can only speak for the West since that's the region I follow closely, but I'm a bit surprised by the omission of Trinity. Their SoS isn't great, but it's not bad either and at 18-4 I feel like they're a top 12-15 team, especially with the depth they've begun to develop on the bump and the way Hirschberg is swinging the bat.

JSG

The way I thought of it...if they were 9-2 with that schedule, would I rank them over some of the other teams that have played a similar number of games with a similar record. Answer was no. If they had won more than 1 of 3 against Centenary I might feel differently.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 18, 2013, 11:15:17 AM
Here goes my Week #4 Poll:

1st Linfield
2nd Trinity (Tex.)
3rd Chris. Newport
4th Salisbury
5th Western New Eng.
6th St. Thomas (Minn.)
7th Pomona-Pitzer
8th Wis.-Whitewater
9th Ill. Wesleyan
10th Marietta
11th Wis.-Stevens Point
12th Kean
13th Eastern Conn. St.
14th Wis.-La Crosse
15th Cortland St.
16th Wash. & Jeff.
17th Shenandoah
18th Texas-Tyler
19th Saint Joseph's (Me.)
20th Wheaton (Mass.)
21st St. Scholastica
22nd Concordia (Ill.)
23rd Wis.-Oshkosh
24th Augustana (Ill.)
25th Spalding


Hammer away. I know someone will be unhappy...
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 18, 2013, 12:35:48 PM
My first, and last, attempt at a Poll. 
No teams with fewer then 10 games considered.  With less than 10 the sample size of in-season games is not sufficient to rank without relying on past performance and prognosticating where the team might end up at years end. Those factors, imo, are not a proper gauge on a teams performance at a particular point in a season. (The number 10 is arbitrary.) I should note that in doing this I realized how speculative an exercise it is.  I have seen 11 D3 teams play this year and might be able to fairly rank them.  (I even question my ability to do that after only a single game.) Yes the ISR and SOS weigh heavily.

and Big Poppa, how could anyone be unhappy talking baseball?

1 - California Lutheran
2 - Linfield
3 - George Fox
4 - Pomona-Pitzer
5 - Millsaps
6 - Texas-Tyler
7 - Huntingdon
8 - Manchester
9 - Pacific Lutheran
10 - Haverford
11 - Heidelberg
12 - Texas Lutheran
13 - Spalding
14 - Augustana, Illinois
15 - Neumann
16 - Marietta
17 - Kean
18 - Salisbury
19 - Trinity, Texas
20 - Christopher Newport
21 - Shenandoah
22 - Chapman
23 - Whitworth
24 - Redlands
25 - Cal Tech (for never giving up . . . and likely designing the defense weapons/systems that protect our country.)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 18, 2013, 01:51:16 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on March 18, 2013, 11:15:17 AM

Hammer away. I know someone will be unhappy...

First off, good job on Linfield #1.

In general I think you place too much importance on wins and not enough on strength of schedule. But even besides that, CNU is 17-6 against a weak schedule -- would you rank an 8-3 team with a weak schedule in the top 5?

Trinity has similarly beaten a bunch of oil cans and lost 2 of 3 to the only good team they've played since February 2nd.

Cal Lu already leads the SCIAC and it will be a major surprise if they aren't 14-4 or better by the end of their next 2 series (vs. Caltech and CMS). They already took 2 out of 3 from Pitzer playing 2 of the 3 at Pitzer.

On the flip side, Webster and Wheaton may have taken some losses but they also beat some really good teams. I had Webster lower in my poll but teams this weekend kept losing and Webster kept moving up as a result. Winning 5 of 6 against Wheaton, Cortland, Marietta, St. Joe's, Augustana and New Jersey (5 ranked opponents) puts you well in the rankings IMO.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 18, 2013, 01:55:05 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 18, 2013, 12:35:48 PM
My first, and last, attempt at a Poll. 
No teams with fewer then 10 games considered.  With less than 10 the sample size of in-season games is not sufficient to rank without relying on past performance and prognosticating where the team might end up at years end. Those factors, imo, are not a proper gauge on a teams performance at a particular point in a season. (The number 10 is arbitrary.) I should note that in doing this I realized how speculative an exercise it is.  I have seen 11 D3 teams play this year and might be able to fairly rank them.  (I even question my ability to do that after only a single game.) Yes the ISR and SOS weigh heavily.

and Big Poppa, how could anyone be unhappy talking baseball?

1 - California Lutheran
2 - Linfield
3 - George Fox
4 - Pomona-Pitzer
5 - Millsaps
6 - Texas-Tyler
7 - Huntingdon
8 - Manchester
9 - Pacific Lutheran
10 - Haverford
11 - Heidelberg
12 - Texas Lutheran
13 - Spalding
14 - Augustana, Illinois
15 - Neumann
16 - Marietta
17 - Kean
18 - Salisbury
19 - Trinity, Texas
20 - Christopher Newport
21 - Shenandoah
22 - Chapman
23 - Whitworth
24 - Redlands
25 - Cal Tech (for never giving up . . . and likely designing the defense weapons/systems that protect our country.)

I use the ISRs mainly to see how it ranks teams and SOS among teams in the same region. It's fairly obvious that it overranks the West region though. I'm not sure why but I think it might be because of some of the games against non D-III teams.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 18, 2013, 03:48:49 PM
Quite a divergent sample of rankings. For what it's worth, mine trended toward Spence's.

Anyone else have a top 25? I like seeing other takes.

This week was one of the hardest to compile in my years of voting. This time of year is always difficult though.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Just_Some_Guy on March 18, 2013, 11:23:56 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 18, 2013, 01:51:16 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on March 18, 2013, 11:15:17 AM

Hammer away. I know someone will be unhappy...

First off, good job on Linfield #1.

Trinity has similarly beaten a bunch of oil cans and lost 2 of 3 to the only good team they've played since February 2nd.

Cal Lu already leads the SCIAC and it will be a major surprise if they aren't 14-4 or better by the end of their next 2 series (vs. Caltech and CMS). They already took 2 out of 3 from Pitzer playing 2 of the 3 at Pitzer.


Agree w/ Spence regarding Cal Lu > Pomona based on the sample size/what I've seen thus far. I don't think any SCIAC teams are top 15, though.

I'm not as bullish on Trinity as BigPoppa, but I do think they should be in the mix around 12-16.

I like Tyler's rotation and envision their record sitting pretty as they don't have much competition this year in the ASC East now that they've already taken 2 of 3 from UTD. That said, they've never gone deep enough in post season play for me to warrant ranking them much higher.

JSG
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 19, 2013, 08:24:23 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 18, 2013, 03:48:49 PM
Quite a divergent sample of rankings. For what it's worth, mine trended toward Spence's.

Anyone else have a top 25? I like seeing other takes.

This week was one of the hardest to compile in my years of voting. This time of year is always difficult though.

Agree... this week was tough to vote. Now that just about everyone is off and running it should make things a bit easier to do and allow us separate contenders from pretenders. One teams that I really struggled with this week was my omission of Webster (some huge wins for them last week, but at 7-5 they have a few losses they shouldn't have. Still, they will be there in the end as the should plow through the SCIAC again).
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 19, 2013, 10:35:47 AM
I clearly do not understand the ranking system and the numbers that go into the decision making.  As an example: Salisbury is 13 - 2 and has a 116.2 ISR (31st) and a 115 SOS and is ranked #1.  Cal Lu is 13 - 5 and has a 138.6 ISR (1st) and a 2 SOS but is not in the top 25.  There are many on this board much more experienced than me, hopefully one or more of you can explain how this makes sense and stop my uninformed ramblings.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 19, 2013, 11:31:59 AM
Another question for the board veterans:  Who are the 25 coaches, Sports Information Directors and media members from across the country that vote for the D3baseball.com Top 25?  Are their identities and votes made public? Or are they protected as if they are members of Seal Team 6?  It would be interesting to know the geographical spread of the voters and which voters have seen which teams play. 
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 19, 2013, 11:44:30 AM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 19, 2013, 11:31:59 AM
Another question for the board veterans:  Who are the 25 coaches, Sports Information Directors and media members from across the country that vote for the D3baseball.com Top 25?  Are their identities and votes made public? Or are they protected as if they are members of Seal Team 6?  It would be interesting to know the geographical spread of the voters and which voters have seen which teams play.
The general outline for D3sports.com is to have 3 representatives from each of the 8 regions plus the head kahuna to give 25.

I believe that in football there are 6 representatives from the 4 regions plus the head kahuna to give 25.

I have never seen a public disclosure of the panels.

I have participated in the Men's Hoops Fan Poll and the South Region Football poll.  The ballots end up looking alike for the most part.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 19, 2013, 11:47:33 AM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 19, 2013, 11:31:59 AM
Another question for the board veterans:  Who are the 25 coaches, Sports Information Directors and media members from across the country that vote for the D3baseball.com Top 25?  Are their identities and votes made public? Or are they protected as if they are members of Seal Team 6?  It would be interesting to know the geographical spread of the voters and which voters have seen which teams play.
The general outline for D3sports.com is to have 3 representatives from each of the 8 regions plus the head kahuna to give 25.

I believe that in football there are 6 representatives from the 4 regions plus the head kahuna to give 25.

I have never seen a public disclosure of the panels.

I have participated in the Men's Hoops Fan Poll and the South Region Football fan poll.  The ballots end up looking alike for the most part by the time that you start looking at the scores and teams.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 19, 2013, 11:54:28 AM
http://d3baseball.com/top25/2013/2013week-4

7 loss teams do not belong in Top 25. Same team lost 4 games in a row.

How does Pomona-Pitzer get more votes than Cal Lutheran.

Not sure Trinity Texas is a #2 yet.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Jack Parkman on March 19, 2013, 12:40:25 PM
I really don't have a whole lot to say about the poll since I really only follow the West but a few things stand out to me...

1. Birmingham Southern really had a terrible week and lost 4 in a row but didn't move???
2. Oxy getting votes after a 2-3 week, which included getting swept in regional games.
3. Trinity moving up 5 spots while going 4-0 with a great win over TLU and 3 over an average Dallas team.
4. Pomona still getting more votes than Cal Lu.  Cal Lu took 2 of 3 from them already and is better in the SCIAC so far as well as the region.
5. Whitworth not receiving a single vote surprises me. 

My biggest question is whether or not people (voters) look at the SOS tab on the front page?  I fully understand that many teams are just getting their seasons started but those get updated all the time. 
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Mike Falk on March 19, 2013, 01:48:47 PM
The first ABCA/Collegiate Baseball poll of the 2013 season was released today.

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/sports/abcapoll.html

The poll has an expanded panel this season and will be released every Tuesday morning from now through the end of the season.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: doodlesdad on March 19, 2013, 01:57:28 PM
Kind of amusing how the voters know about the SCIAC, which has certainly held its own nationally over the years (two titles, three seconds among Cal Lutheran, Chapman and La Verne since 1992). While I'm not sure either team is a Top 25 yet, the fact that Pomona-Pitzer (10-5, 15-5) is just outside the Top 25 with 52 points while Cal Lutheran is down the line with 18 (9-3, 13-5-1) tell me no one is paying much attention. The Kingsmen hammered the Sagehens in two of three meetings and is 9-3 against the conference, taking at least two of three each time, without yet facing either of the dogs (Claremont-Mudd-Scripps and Caltech). Pomona-Pitzer is 5-0 nonconference against teams with a cumulative 21-23-1 record and Cal Lutheran is 3-21 against clubs with a 34-18-1 cumulative mark. Things to think about. (Just saw the ABCA poll: Cal Lutheran 11, Pomona-Pitzer 18 makes more sense.)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 19, 2013, 02:20:29 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 19, 2013, 10:35:47 AM
I clearly do not understand the ranking system and the numbers that go into the decision making.  As an example: Salisbury is 13 - 2 and has a 116.2 ISR (31st) and a 115 SOS and is ranked #1.  Cal Lu is 13 - 5 and has a 138.6 ISR (1st) and a 2 SOS but is not in the top 25.  There are many on this board much more experienced than me, hopefully one or more of you can explain how this makes sense and stop my uninformed ramblings.

Very obviously people don't look at the ISR much. But, and you may believe this or not but it's obvious, the ISR SOS formula favors the West Region. As I've said, it could be because of the games they play against D-II and NAIA, I don't know but it would make sense. But if the West was as dominant as the ISRs make it look, they would win it every year. And they don't.

As far as the poll goes, IMO people look too much at won-lost record (and to some extent just wins) and reputation alone, without regard for who you've played, who you've beaten and where. That's how you get Salisbury, CNU and Trinity so high. Salisbury and CNU have been regional championship before...I don't really understand how Trinity got to be so favored given that they have never won a regional...I guess just because you see their high win totals early in the season every year. But strength of schedule certainly seems to be underweighted by the polls, and not just this one.

I was glad to see Huntingdon in the ABCA poll and really surprised to see how few votes they got in the D3baseball one.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 19, 2013, 02:22:21 PM
Quote from: doodlesdad on March 19, 2013, 01:57:28 PM
Kind of amusing how the voters know about the SCIAC, which has certainly held its own nationally over the years (two titles, three seconds among Cal Lutheran, Chapman and La Verne since 1992). While I'm not sure either team is a Top 25 yet, the fact that Pomona-Pitzer (10-5, 15-5) is just outside the Top 25 with 52 points while Cal Lutheran is down the line with 18 (9-3, 13-5-1) tell me no one is paying much attention. The Kingsmen hammered the Sagehens in two of three meetings and is 9-3 against the conference, taking at least two of three each time, without yet facing either of the dogs (Claremont-Mudd-Scripps and Caltech). Pomona-Pitzer is 5-0 nonconference against teams with a cumulative 21-23-1 record and Cal Lutheran is 3-21 against clubs with a 34-18-1 cumulative mark. Things to think about. (Just saw the ABCA poll: Cal Lutheran 11, Pomona-Pitzer 18 makes more sense.)

Watch Cal Lu move up in the rankings now because they beat some oil cans and the ABCA ranked them. It would be a real surprise if Cal Lu lost more than 1 game in their next 2 conference series. In a few weeks those of us ranking them now will just have been ahead of the curve. :)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 19, 2013, 02:54:38 PM
Quote from: Jack Parkman on March 19, 2013, 12:40:25 PM
I really don't have a whole lot to say about the poll since I really only follow the West but a few things stand out to me...

1. Birmingham Southern really had a terrible week and lost 4 in a row but didn't move???

The losses to Adrian and to Ill.Wesleyan may be to teams that will be regionally ranked. Adrian is an in-region game.  How strong is Huntingdon?  That was a good pair of wins for the Hawks.  


2. Oxy getting votes after a 2-3 week, which included getting swept in regional games. But they got some love for the wins over Bridgewater Va and Ithaca.  You are right. Being swept by Cal Lu is big.

3. Trinity moving up 5 spots while going 4-0 with a great win over TLU and 3 over an average Dallas team.

I think that it was Big Poppa who said that this was a hard week for him to vote.  Everyone above Trinity had a sub-optimal week.  They must have "floated up", and not rose to those heights by their outstanding effort.

4. Pomona still getting more votes than Cal Lu.  Cal Lu took 2 of 3 from them already and is better in the SCIAC so far as well as the region.

Yeah, go figure.  Cal Lu won the George Fox series, too.

5. Whitworth not receiving a single vote surprises me.

(But why do you give votes to a team that has a 9-6-1 record against West Region teams and 9-8-1 overall?)

My biggest question is whether or not people (voters) look at the SOS tab on the front page?  I fully understand that many teams are just getting their seasons started but those get updated all the time.

And my question about SOS at this time of the year, is that not every team is in late season form when comparing across the regions.  That is a problem for me some times.  I am glad that they play 40 game schedules to level some of that out.
Thanks for the comments.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 19, 2013, 03:00:19 PM
I got some ribbing for my placement of CNU on this week's ballot. You can see my votes in tomorrow's Around the Nation column.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: rob on March 19, 2013, 04:27:35 PM
Quote from: doodlesdad on March 19, 2013, 01:57:28 PM
Kind of amusing how the voters know about the SCIAC, which has certainly held its own nationally over the years (two titles, three seconds among Cal Lutheran, Chapman and La Verne since 1992). While I'm not sure either team is a Top 25 yet, the fact that Pomona-Pitzer (10-5, 15-5) is just outside the Top 25 with 52 points while Cal Lutheran is down the line with 18 (9-3, 13-5-1) tell me no one is paying much attention. The Kingsmen hammered the Sagehens in two of three meetings and is 9-3 against the conference, taking at least two of three each time, without yet facing either of the dogs (Claremont-Mudd-Scripps and Caltech). Pomona-Pitzer is 5-0 nonconference against teams with a cumulative 21-23-1 record and Cal Lutheran is 3-21 against clubs with a 34-18-1 cumulative mark. Things to think about. (Just saw the ABCA poll: Cal Lutheran 11, Pomona-Pitzer 18 makes more sense.)
It seems the two polls are not very dissimilar.  Many of the same teams, although rankings are slightly different especially in the top 15 or so.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Jack Parkman on March 19, 2013, 04:33:57 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on March 19, 2013, 02:54:38 PM
Quote from: Jack Parkman on March 19, 2013, 12:40:25 PM
I really don't have a whole lot to say about the poll since I really only follow the West but a few things stand out to me...

1. Birmingham Southern really had a terrible week and lost 4 in a row but didn't move???

The losses to Adrian and to Ill.Wesleyan may be to teams that will be regionally ranked. Adrian is an in-region game.  How strong is Huntingdon?  That was a good pair of wins for the Hawks.  


2. Oxy getting votes after a 2-3 week, which included getting swept in regional games. But they got some love for the wins over Bridgewater Va and Ithaca.  You are right. Being swept by Cal Lu is big.

3. Trinity moving up 5 spots while going 4-0 with a great win over TLU and 3 over an average Dallas team.

I think that it was Big Poppa who said that this was a hard week for him to vote.  Everyone above Trinity had a sub-optimal week.  They must have "floated up", and not rose to those heights by their outstanding effort.

4. Pomona still getting more votes than Cal Lu.  Cal Lu took 2 of 3 from them already and is better in the SCIAC so far as well as the region.

Yeah, go figure.  Cal Lu won the George Fox series, too.

5. Whitworth not receiving a single vote surprises me.

(But why do you give votes to a team that has a 9-6-1 record against West Region teams and 9-8-1 overall?)

My biggest question is whether or not people (voters) look at the SOS tab on the front page?  I fully understand that many teams are just getting their seasons started but those get updated all the time.

And my question about SOS at this time of the year, is that not every team is in late season form when comparing across the regions.  That is a problem for me some times.  I am glad that they play 40 game schedules to level some of that out.
Thanks for the comments.

Very valid points, Ralph.  Some things I didn't really think of.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 19, 2013, 05:30:31 PM
 ABCA/Collegiate Baseball poll. More love to the SCIAC in this poll. Also seems more teams in the West made it in this poll.

Polls are fun...Allows us to argue why and why not. As always everyone has an opinion which you may or may not agree with...

Better than just having computers pop out the numbers.

Of course the only poll that counts is the last game of the year...From that you know who is number 1 and 2...and then the rest is just one big educated guess. May madness coming soon
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 19, 2013, 05:33:43 PM
Quote from: Jack Parkman on March 19, 2013, 04:33:57 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on March 19, 2013, 02:54:38 PM
Quote from: Jack Parkman on March 19, 2013, 12:40:25 PM
I really don't have a whole lot to say about the poll since I really only follow the West but a few things stand out to me...

1. Birmingham Southern really had a terrible week and lost 4 in a row but didn't move???

The losses to Adrian and to Ill.Wesleyan may be to teams that will be regionally ranked. Adrian is an in-region game.  How strong is Huntingdon?  That was a good pair of wins for the Hawks.    

2. Oxy getting votes after a 2-3 week, which included getting swept in regional games. But they got some love for the wins over Bridgewater Va and Ithaca.  You are right. Being swept by Cal Lu is big.

3. Trinity moving up 5 spots while going 4-0 with a great win over TLU and 3 over an average Dallas team.

I think that it was Big Poppa who said that this was a hard week for him to vote.  Everyone above Trinity had a sub-optimal week.  They must have "floated up", and not rose to those heights by their outstanding effort.

4. Pomona still getting more votes than Cal Lu.  Cal Lu took 2 of 3 from them already and is better in the SCIAC so far as well as the region.

Yeah, go figure.  Cal Lu won the George Fox series, too.

5. Whitworth not receiving a single vote surprises me.

(But why do you give votes to a team that has a 9-6-1 record against West Region teams and 9-8-1 overall?)

My biggest question is whether or not people (voters) look at the SOS tab on the front page?  I fully understand that many teams are just getting their seasons started but those get updated all the time.

And my question about SOS at this time of the year, is that not every team is in late season form when comparing across the regions.  That is a problem for me some times.  I am glad that they play 40 game schedules to level some of that out.
Thanks for the comments.

Very valid points, Ralph.  Some things I didn't really think of.

Very valid points but 7 losses overall and 4 in a row...I would have dropped the team near the bottom or out of the TOP 25 in my opinon.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 20, 2013, 10:11:18 AM
I have a vote and I always post my Top 25 (and always welcome the discussion and argument related to my poll). Early polls are always tough to factor and mid-March leaves very uneven factors (often weather related) that make it close to impossible to evaluate the 300+ teams on a level playing surface. By April, things start to even out as the cold-weather teams start piling up games and close the gap on the South and West regions in terms of usable data to help in the evaluation process.

In addition, I also have a lot of contacts throughout the nation that collectively see a lot of D3 games and I truly value their opinions and observations. The trend with many schools now moving towards live video feeds of games also allows me (and probably others) to watch and evaluate teams not playing near where we live.

I attempt to be as transparent as possible, but I do get a lot of "inside info" on teams that I generally do not share for fear of outing my sources (and out of respect for them professionally and personally), but those connections help me evaluate programs. If I leave a team out, there is usually a quantifiable reason.  I love it when people argue my poll as it allows me to keep quality teams on my radar that (let's face it... 300+ teams are tough to follow at times) may or may not be overlooked at times.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 20, 2013, 10:55:01 AM
Quote from: BigPoppa on March 20, 2013, 10:11:18 AM

In addition, I also have a lot of contacts throughout the nation that collectively see a lot of D3 games and I truly value their opinions and observations. The trend with many schools now moving towards live video feeds of games also allows me (and probably others) to watch and evaluate teams not playing near where we live.

This is definitely true, and I give d3baseball.com a lot of credit for the availability of these. Without it, there might be the live streams, but we might not know about them. I've definitely clicked on a good matchup even if I had no rooting interest just to see what's up. I do it with live stats a lot more because video requires my full attention lol.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 20, 2013, 10:58:08 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 19, 2013, 03:00:19 PM
I got some ribbing for my placement of CNU on this week's ballot. You can see my votes in tomorrow's Around the Nation column.

Boy you weren't kidding about our ballots being similar! Not identical surely, but similar philosophy, I think.

I was big on CNU coming into the year, but their schedule and some non-quality losses more or less forced me to drop them.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 20, 2013, 12:51:35 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 20, 2013, 10:58:08 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 19, 2013, 03:00:19 PM
I got some ribbing for my placement of CNU on this week's ballot. You can see my votes in tomorrow's Around the Nation column.

Boy you weren't kidding about our ballots being similar! Not identical surely, but similar philosophy, I think.

I was big on CNU coming into the year, but their schedule and some non-quality losses more or less forced me to drop them.
I picked CNU to win a regional. Depending on the draw, I still would today. But I treat those picks and top 25 ballots differently. With the ballots I tend to be more reflective than predictive once the season gets underway. Not everyone votes that way, obviously, and my ballot has some predictive votes left over from the preseason.

Most times I relish making the tough calls near the end of ballots. I wish I had a top 30 in Week 4. There were several teams I wanted to include.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: rolln2 on March 20, 2013, 01:43:28 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 20, 2013, 10:58:08 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 19, 2013, 03:00:19 PM
I got some ribbing for my placement of CNU on this week's ballot. You can see my votes in tomorrow's Around the Nation column.

Boy you weren't kidding about our ballots being similar! Not identical surely, but similar philosophy, I think.

I was big on CNU coming into the year, but their schedule and some non-quality losses more or less forced me to drop them.
I think people out there did not take a real hard look at CNU for 2013. This is a very young team w/ only two position starters back from the last two seasons. However their pitching staff is very solid w/ the returners and some key new additions. The USAS starts conference play w/ 3 game series the second weekend of February.  This makes it very tough to schedule strong out of region teams like in previous years. CNU has always carried one of the toughest out of conference schedules in the nation each year. Still this year they are playing the top teams from in region conferences during the mid-week like Salisbury and Bridewater. With that said I think you will see this very young team get better as they play more. Being 14-4 in their conference is pretty good while starting 4 and 5 freshman.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 20, 2013, 04:06:40 PM
Quote from: rolln2 on March 20, 2013, 01:43:28 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 20, 2013, 10:58:08 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 19, 2013, 03:00:19 PM
I got some ribbing for my placement of CNU on this week's ballot. You can see my votes in tomorrow's Around the Nation column.

Boy you weren't kidding about our ballots being similar! Not identical surely, but similar philosophy, I think.

I was big on CNU coming into the year, but their schedule and some non-quality losses more or less forced me to drop them.
I think people out there did not take a real hard look at CNU for 2013. This is a very young team w/ only two position starters back from the last two seasons. However their pitching staff is very solid w/ the returners and some key new additions. The USAS starts conference play w/ 3 game series the second weekend of February.  This makes it very tough to schedule strong out of region teams like in previous years. CNU has always carried one of the toughest out of conference schedules in the nation each year. Still this year they are playing the top teams from in region conferences during the mid-week like Salisbury and Bridewater. With that said I think you will see this very young team get better as they play more. Being 14-4 in their conference is pretty good while starting 4 and 5 freshman.

The USAS tried to monkey with their scheduling a few years back and only did 2 game series so they'd have more pitching for midweek games against in-region teams from conferences that only played 2 game series. I guess they decided that wasn't working out.

Losing 2 of 3 to LaGrange, even away, was when I really started to think twice. Before that I was willing to give them the benefit of doubt like Salisbury, who also has a very weak SOS. I think CNU could be a very good team and I don't think I'd want to see them in the first game or two of a regional, but right now they haven't proven enough to make my personal list (as far as I know, my ballot wasn't used in the top 25).
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: doodlesdad on March 20, 2013, 04:21:51 PM
Amazing! I never seriously believed in parallel universes before. That's until I reviewed this week's two D3 baseball polls.

I've followed polls at a lot of levels, and there are always differences, but never they way they are between the D3 poll and the ABCA poll.

Biggest case in point: George Fox (Ore.),  the Northwest Conference leader, is eighth in the ABCA poll but didn't get a a single vote in the D3 poll. The same is true for Centenary (La.), 25th in ABCA, and Texas Lutheran, 30th in ABCA. The other way around, Wisconsin-Stevens Point is 20th in the D3 poll but got only three votes to rank 50th in ABCA. Those running the polls should be embarrassed if this is the bast they can do.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 20, 2013, 10:08:10 PM
I have a feeling that which ever poll best suits everyone's favorite team is the one they feel is doing the best job... Regardless of other facts and circumstances that shape either poll.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 21, 2013, 02:55:06 AM
Quote from: BigPoppa on March 20, 2013, 10:08:10 PM
I have a feeling that which ever poll best suits everyone's favorite team is the one they feel is doing the best job... Regardless of other facts and circumstances that shape either poll.

Eh I have no problem saying so if my team isn't doing very well (pretty sure I rate them lower than either poll right now). No one's goal is to be playing their best baseball in mid-March anyway. :)

But obviously the best *poll* is the one that looks the most like *my* top 25! ;)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on March 21, 2013, 04:49:23 AM
Quote from: doodlesdad on March 20, 2013, 04:21:51 PM

Biggest case in point: George Fox (Ore.),  the Northwest Conference leader, is eighth in the ABCA poll but didn't get a a single vote in the D3 poll. The same is true for Centenary (La.), 25th in ABCA, and Texas Lutheran, 30th in ABCA. The other way around, Wisconsin-Stevens Point is 20th in the D3 poll but got only three votes to rank 50th in ABCA. Those running the polls should be embarrassed if this is the bast they can do.

dodles, I think the reason for Centenary not being ranked in the D3 poll is the fact that they are transitional, so the D3 folks don't rank them.(or at least I believe this)  I personally think this is wrong and they should be ranked like all other D3 teams, even though they can not move to a Regional. The program and the kids should get the recognition IMO.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Mike Falk on March 21, 2013, 10:48:13 AM
doodlesdad -

Why should anyone be embarrassed? The difference in the polls points to the difficulty in evaluating teams that have played more than half their schedule vs. team that have only played a few games. Do you vote on performance or potential, results or reputation? Different voters have different philosophies, so early in the year this is going to happen. As others have written, this will change when the cold weather schools get more games under their belts, and the polls should be more similar.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 21, 2013, 11:11:20 AM
Quote from: Mike Falk on March 21, 2013, 10:48:13 AM
doodlesdad -

Why should anyone be embarrassed? The difference in the polls points to the difficulty in evaluating teams that have played more than half their schedule vs. team that have only played a few games. Do you vote on performance or potential, results or reputation? Different voters have different philosophies, so early in the year this is going to happen. As others have written, this will change when the cold weather schools get more games under their belts, and the polls should be more similar.
Definitely no need for pollsters to be embarrased - Mike hit the nail(s) on the head(s) - plus its all for fun.  Enjoy the games!
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 21, 2013, 11:55:12 AM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 21, 2013, 04:49:23 AM
Quote from: doodlesdad on March 20, 2013, 04:21:51 PM

Biggest case in point: George Fox (Ore.),  the Northwest Conference leader, is eighth in the ABCA poll but didn't get a a single vote in the D3 poll. The same is true for Centenary (La.), 25th in ABCA, and Texas Lutheran, 30th in ABCA. The other way around, Wisconsin-Stevens Point is 20th in the D3 poll but got only three votes to rank 50th in ABCA. Those running the polls should be embarrassed if this is the bast they can do.

dodles, I think the reason for Centenary not being ranked in the D3 poll is the fact that they are transitional, so the D3 folks don't rank them.(or at least I believe this)  I personally think this is wrong and they should be ranked like all other D3 teams, even though they can not move to a Regional. The program and the kids should get the recognition IMO.

My reason for not ranking them is that I don't think they're good enough to be ranked.

Were teams like UT Tyler and Birmingham Southern included in the polls when they were in their provisional periods?

Covenant would be another one to consider.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 21, 2013, 12:13:03 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 21, 2013, 11:55:12 AM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 21, 2013, 04:49:23 AM
Quote from: doodlesdad on March 20, 2013, 04:21:51 PM

Biggest case in point: George Fox (Ore.),  the Northwest Conference leader, is eighth in the ABCA poll but didn't get a a single vote in the D3 poll. The same is true for Centenary (La.), 25th in ABCA, and Texas Lutheran, 30th in ABCA. The other way around, Wisconsin-Stevens Point is 20th in the D3 poll but got only three votes to rank 50th in ABCA. Those running the polls should be embarrassed if this is the bast they can do.

dodles, I think the reason for Centenary not being ranked in the D3 poll is the fact that they are transitional, so the D3 folks don't rank them.(or at least I believe this)  I personally think this is wrong and they should be ranked like all other D3 teams, even though they can not move to a Regional. The program and the kids should get the recognition IMO.

My reason for not ranking them is that I don't think they're good enough to be ranked.

Were teams like UT Tyler and Birmingham Southern included in the polls when they were in their provisional periods?
Covenant would be another one to consider.

Spence- they were not included in the polls. I only know this because I was VERY high on Birmingham Southern and place them in my top five that season(and they were VERY good that year), but the D3 poll made it clear that the poll was intended for eligible post-season teams. I believe it was eventually put into writing on the poll as a result of my continued efforts to rank them that season.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 21, 2013, 03:42:11 PM
ISR/SOS
http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/isr/d3_isr.html
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 23, 2013, 03:20:39 PM
Huntingdon gets a big win, 6-5 over Marietta with a chance to play for the sweep coming up.

Looks like a good club. Played better in the field than MC, showed good speed and obviously hit the ball pretty well. Their closer Lawler had no trouble at all in the 9th.

EDIT TO ADD: Marietta gets the split, winning the second game 9-2.

No shame at all for Huntingdon though with a split. The last time Marietta was swept at home was 2008.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 25, 2013, 11:55:17 AM
Who's No.1 Poll

Sal – 15-4 overall (2-2 for the week) sos 178 lost Series to 9-14 St. Marys
Trinity Tx – 23-5 (4-1) sos 169 lost to 2-10 Rockford
Cort St. – 13-4 (3-0) sos 146(in region) swept a 3-10 New Paltz

The No. 1 team should not have a sos of 146+, lose to a 2-10 team or lose a series to a 9-14 team - all 3 of the above are out of contention.

Marrietta – 9-4 (2-1) sos 25 split with 16-6 Huntingdon no issue 4 losses in 13 games hurts chances.
St. Tom – 9-4 (4-1) sos 32 lost to 5-2 (2-2) UW-SP. again 4 losses in 13 games hurts chances.
Linfield – 17-3 (3-0) sos 14 swept 9-12 (0-4) Whitworth. Strong Contender.
Chris New – 20-7-1 (2-1) sos 100 no shame in losing to 20-11 Averett.  2 early season losses to 11-13 LaGrange remove from contention.
Kean – 13-4 (3-0) sos 50 Nice wins v Alvernia, ECSU this wk. 4 losses v .500+ teams are still 4 losses. Factor in.

Others to Consider

Ramapo 10-1 (6-0) sos 143 3 wins v teams with winning records and 3 v losing teams. sos takes them out, for now. NJAC season will improve sos quickly.
Haverford 12-0 (2-0) sos 70 Swept 2 from 8-5 St. John Fisher. Only team to do what all others want – not lose a game. 6 wins v 2012 tourney teams. In the discussion.

For me it comes down to 3 teams. Linfield, Kean and Haverford. As only one of them has accomplished what all 3 want (win every game) I give it to Haverford.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 25, 2013, 12:02:18 PM
FYI, Huntingdon is 16-6 rather than 6-6 and was ranked in the ABCA poll. For me there's only one choice for #1 (but a lot for #2), but just in the interest of accuracy I thought I'd point that out.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 25, 2013, 12:10:57 PM
Here's what I've got. Comments/criticisms welcome.

1. Linfield
2. St. Joseph's
3. Cortland State
4. St. Thomas
5. St. Scholastica
6. Huntingdon
7. Webster
8. Wheaton (Mass.)
9. UW-Whitewater
10. Kean
11. Marietta
12. Haverford
13. UW-Stevens Point
14. Ramapo
15. Western New England
16. Manchester
17. Salisbury
18. UT-Tyler
19. Cal Lutheran
20. Keystone
21. Wartburg
22. Johns Hopkins
23. Concordia (Ill.)
24. Christopher Newport
25. Spalding
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 25, 2013, 02:58:38 PM
Not sure if everyone knows, but the SOS numbers from the front page are in-region only.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 25, 2013, 03:19:54 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 25, 2013, 12:10:57 PM
Here's what I've got. Comments/criticisms welcome.

1. Linfield
2. St. Joseph's
3. Cortland State
4. St. Thomas
5. St. Scholastica
6. Huntingdon
7. Webster
8. Wheaton (Mass.)
9. UW-Whitewater
10. Kean
11. Marietta
12. Haverford
13. UW-Stevens Point
14. Ramapo
15. Western New England
16. Manchester
17. Salisbury
18. UT-Tyler
19. Cal Lutheran
20. Keystone
21. Wartburg
22. Johns Hopkins
23. Concordia (Ill.)
24. Christopher Newport
25. Spalding
I am ok with your #1 and most of your other picks but your #2 does not belong in top 25...

Why?
They have not beaten a team with a winning record.(They have beat teams with a combined record of 10-36)
They have only played 9 games.
They have lost to a team with a losing record.
LOW ISR And SOS for their oppponents.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 25, 2013, 03:29:17 PM
Wrong St. Joe's, Crash. Benefit of the doubt, but I assume Spence ranked the one from Maine.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 25, 2013, 03:56:44 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 25, 2013, 02:58:38 PM
Not sure if everyone knows, but the SOS numbers from the front page are in-region only.
I got my sos from boyds xcpt cort st,  which i could not find on boyds.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Whatagame on March 25, 2013, 04:32:16 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 25, 2013, 03:56:44 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 25, 2013, 02:58:38 PM
Not sure if everyone knows, but the SOS numbers from the front page are in-region only.
I got my sos from boyds xcpt cort st,  which i could not find on boyds.

The SOS rankings from Boyd's are just totally different from the D3.com SOS rankings. 

As I understand it, Boyd's looks at all D3 games a team plays, but does not rank a team until they have played 10 games.

D3.com SOS only takes into account in-region games, and begins ranking a team as soon as they've played a game.

Am I correct in that the current Boyd's method is accurate to what the official SOS calculation will be next year, when "a D3 game is a game."
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 25, 2013, 04:39:19 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 25, 2013, 03:29:17 PM
Wrong St. Joe's, Crash. Benefit of the doubt, but I assume Spence ranked the one from Maine.

Correct. Suppose I should have specified.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 25, 2013, 04:42:14 PM
Quote from: Whatagame on March 25, 2013, 04:32:16 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 25, 2013, 03:56:44 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 25, 2013, 02:58:38 PM
Not sure if everyone knows, but the SOS numbers from the front page are in-region only.
I got my sos from boyds xcpt cort st,  which i could not find on boyds.

The SOS rankings from Boyd's are just totally different from the D3.com SOS rankings. 

As I understand it, Boyd's looks at all D3 games a team plays, but does not rank a team until they have played 10 games.

D3.com SOS only takes into account in-region games, and begins ranking a team as soon as they've played a game.

Am I correct in that the current Boyd's method is accurate to what the official SOS calculation will be next year, when "a D3 game is a game."

Probably not. I don't know what Boyd's method is, but it HEAVILY skews those rankings toward the West region (and still Trinity's SOS is very low). I like the ISRs, but IMO you have to take that into account, the less than 10 games thing, and the fact that they're not always accurate in terms of games played. Still, I find them useful.

But I would think the NCAA's SOS will be quite a bit different.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 26, 2013, 09:28:58 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 25, 2013, 02:58:38 PM
Not sure if everyone knows, but the SOS numbers from the front page are in-region only.
How accurate are those numbers.  It shows Trinity (TX) in region record as 19-5.  Their total record is 23-5.  DeSales, Cardinal Stritch, and Rockford aren't in region.  That is 5 wins a 1 loss.  There is a debate if Centenary counts as in region since they aren't eligible for NCAA post season play.  With Centenary, TU should have a record of 18-4 and without it would be 17-2.   
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 09:46:42 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 25, 2013, 03:19:54 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 25, 2013, 12:10:57 PM
Here's what I've got. Comments/criticisms welcome.

1. Linfield
2. St. Joseph's
3. Cortland State
4. St. Thomas
5. St. Scholastica
6. Huntingdon
7. Webster
8. Wheaton (Mass.)
9. UW-Whitewater
10. Kean
11. Marietta
12. Haverford
13. UW-Stevens Point
14. Ramapo
15. Western New England
16. Manchester
17. Salisbury
18. UT-Tyler
19. Cal Lutheran
20. Keystone
21. Wartburg
22. Johns Hopkins
23. Concordia (Ill.)
24. Christopher Newport
25. Spalding
I am ok with your #1 and most of your other picks but your #2 does not belong in top 25...

Why?
They have not beaten a team with a winning record.(They have beat teams with a combined record of 10-36)
They have only played 9 games.
They have lost to a team with a losing record.
LOW ISR And SOS for their oppponents.
I was wrong AGAIN. I was looking at the wrong team. 2 teams are St. Joseph in D3.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 09:59:28 AM
http://www.d3baseball.com/top25/2013/2013week-5

Things are starting to get sorted out.

Some things to think about and discuss.

Should teams with less than 10 games be in top 25?

Should teams with winning percentages .600 or less be in top 25?

SCIAC teams got votes but no love for top 25 yet. SCIAC teams have beaten Trinity, Linfield, Kean all in the top 10.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 26, 2013, 10:29:39 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 09:59:28 AM
http://www.d3baseball.com/top25/2013/2013week-5

Things are starting to get sorted out.

Some things to think about and discuss.

Should teams with less than 10 games be in top 25? as a rule no
Should teams with winning percentages .600 or less be in top 25? up to the voter but imo no
SCIAC teams got votes but no love for top 25 yet. SCIAC teams have beaten Trinity, Linfield, Kean all in the top 10. this poll seems to lean away from west region teams
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Mike Falk on March 26, 2013, 10:36:12 AM
Here is the American Baseball Coaches Association/Collegiate Baseball poll for games through March 24:

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/athletics/abcapoll_032613.pdf
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 10:42:02 AM
Quote from: Mike Falk on March 26, 2013, 10:36:12 AM
Here is the American Baseball Coaches Association/Collegiate Baseball poll for games through March 24:

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/athletics/abcapoll_032613.pdf
I see SCIAC teams are in top 20 in the ABCA/CB poll while are not in the D3baseball poll.

Is there some Anti-SCIAC bias out there?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 26, 2013, 11:13:35 AM
I am missing the reason behind the ranking given St. Joe's(ME) in both polls.  Seems very high to me.
They do not have enough games to be given a SOS on boyds but their in-region SOS on D3baseball for 7 of their 9 games is 313!  Is that right? They swept a 2-12 Rhode Island and 4-5 Ripon and beat a 4 loss Wheaton(MA) and 5-9 Keene St.  Worst yet, they lost to a 3-6 UMass-Boston.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Jim Dixon on March 26, 2013, 12:17:42 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 10:42:02 AM
Quote from: Mike Falk on March 26, 2013, 10:36:12 AM
Here is the American Baseball Coaches Association/Collegiate Baseball poll for games through March 24:

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/athletics/abcapoll_032613.pdf
I see SCIAC teams are in top 20 in the ABCA/CB poll while are not in the D3baseball poll.

Is there some Anti-SCIAC bias out there?

Well no there is not.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Jim Dixon on March 26, 2013, 12:18:02 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 10:42:02 AM
Quote from: Mike Falk on March 26, 2013, 10:36:12 AM
Here is the American Baseball Coaches Association/Collegiate Baseball poll for games through March 24:

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/athletics/abcapoll_032613.pdf
I see SCIAC teams are in top 20 in the ABCA/CB poll while are not in the D3baseball poll.

Is there some Anti-SCIAC bias out there?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Just_Some_Guy on March 26, 2013, 02:48:38 PM
If you combined the two polls assigning equal value to the corresponding rank of each list the top 35 would look very close to this:

1.) Linfield
2.) Trinity
2.) Cortland State
4.) Salisbury
5.) Kean
5.) Marietta
7.) Christopher Newport
7.) St. Thomas
9.) Wheaton
10.) UT Tyler
11.) Shenandoah
12.) St. Joseph's (ME)
13.) Ramapo
14.) Keystone
15.) Haverford
16.) Johns Hopkins
17.) UW Whitewater
18.) Cal Lutheran
19.) Manchester
20.) Huntingdon
20.) Webster
22.) George Fox
22.) Pomona Pitzer
24.) Birmingham Southern
24.) Western New England
26.)   Augustana
26.) Wis-Oshkosh
28.)   Eastern Conn St.
28.)   UW Stevens Point
30.)   Texas Lutheran
31.)   UW-LaCrosse
32.)   St. Scholastica
32.)   Ithaca
34.)   Rowan
35.)   Heidelberg

Some of the "bigger" discrepancies come out West where the ABCA seems to value those team's body of work more-so than the D3 Baseball poll. As someone who follows the West relatively closely, my opinion would be that Trinity is ranked too high (in both polls), though I'd have them between 8 and 12. I'd have Cal Lutheran ranked between 18-24 and I would not have George Fox ranked at this time.

JSG
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 03:19:38 PM
Quote from: Just_Some_Guy on March 26, 2013, 02:48:38 PM
If you combined the two polls assigning equal value to the corresponding rank of each list the top 35 would look very close to this:

1.) Linfield
2.) Trinity
2.) Cortland State
4.) Salisbury
5.) Kean
5.) Marietta
7.) Christopher Newport
7.) St. Thomas
9.) Wheaton
10.) UT Tyler
11.) Shenandoah
12.) St. Joseph’s (ME)
13.) Ramapo
14.) Keystone
15.) Haverford
16.) Johns Hopkins
17.) UW Whitewater
18.) Cal Lutheran
19.) Manchester
20.) Huntingdon
20.) Webster
22.) George Fox
22.) Pomona Pitzer
24.) Birmingham Southern
24.) Western New England
26.)   Augustana
26.) Wis-Oshkosh
28.)   Eastern Conn St.
28.)   UW Stevens Point
30.)   Texas Lutheran
31.)   UW-LaCrosse
32.)   St. Scholastica
32.)   Ithaca
34.)   Rowan
35.)   Heidelberg

Some of the "bigger" discrepancies come out West where the ABCA seems to value those team's body of work more-so than the D3 Baseball poll. As someone who follows the West relatively closely, my opinion would be that Trinity is ranked too high (in both polls), though I'd have them between 8 and 12. I'd have Cal Lutheran ranked between 18-24 and I would not have George Fox ranked at this time.

JSG


I agree Trinity may be ranked too high. I also agree Cal Lu should be in the top 25. I also agree George Fox should not be ranked and Pomona Pitzer should almost ranked in the top 25.

Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 26, 2013, 03:29:59 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 26, 2013, 09:28:58 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 25, 2013, 02:58:38 PM
Not sure if everyone knows, but the SOS numbers from the front page are in-region only.
How accurate are those numbers.  It shows Trinity (TX) in region record as 19-5.  Their total record is 23-5.  DeSales, Cardinal Stritch, and Rockford aren't in region.  That is 5 wins a 1 loss.  There is a debate if Centenary counts as in region since they aren't eligible for NCAA post season play.  With Centenary, TU should have a record of 18-4 and without it would be 17-2.
People are working daily to get the in-region designations correct. It's a lot of work.

Rockford is in-region for Trinity (Texas). No debate on Centenary. That's an in-region game for TU as well. All third- and fourth-year reclassifying programs count in the primary criteria.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 26, 2013, 04:23:48 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 26, 2013, 03:29:59 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 26, 2013, 09:28:58 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 25, 2013, 02:58:38 PM
Not sure if everyone knows, but the SOS numbers from the front page are in-region only.
How accurate are those numbers.  It shows Trinity (TX) in region record as 19-5.  Their total record is 23-5.  DeSales, Cardinal Stritch, and Rockford aren't in region.  That is 5 wins a 1 loss.  There is a debate if Centenary counts as in region since they aren't eligible for NCAA post season play.  With Centenary, TU should have a record of 18-4 and without it would be 17-2.
People are working daily to get the in-region designations correct. It's a lot of work.

Rockford is in-region for Trinity (Texas). No debate on Centenary. That's an in-region game for TU as well. All third- and fourth-year reclassifying programs count in the primary criteria.
thanks for the clarification. Can you tell me how to determine if a team is in region? Seems crazy a team that is 1100 miles away is in region
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 26, 2013, 04:30:32 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 26, 2013, 10:29:39 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 09:59:28 AM
http://www.d3baseball.com/top25/2013/2013week-5

Things are starting to get sorted out.

Some things to think about and discuss.

Should teams with less than 10 games be in top 25? as a rule no

If you were going to ban teams with less than 10 games from the poll, you'd have to wait until probably this week to have a poll unless you just wanted the national poll to be the South and West region rankings...as if those regions don't get enough exposure from their early starts...
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on March 26, 2013, 05:00:59 PM
Quotethanks for the clarification. Can you tell me how to determine if a team is in region? Seems crazy a team that is 1100 miles away is in region

San Antonio to Spokane ~2,000 miles. In region. It is the Wild Wild West!

...and a little East depending on your perspective.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 26, 2013, 05:56:38 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 26, 2013, 05:00:59 PM
Quotethanks for the clarification. Can you tell me how to determine if a team is in region? Seems crazy a team that is 1100 miles away is in region

San Antonio to Spokane ~2,000 miles. In region. It is the Wild Wild West!

...and a little East depending on your perspective.

Part of the deal if you live out west. I live in North Dakota and it's nothing for someone to hop in the car and drive 4-5 hours here. I used to date a Wyoming girl and her high school alma mater's closest conference opponent was a 2 hour drive.

I haven't seen much of these western and southern teams coming east or north to play. I give big props to Huntingdon for being one of the very few I can ever remember doing it when they played at Marietta this past weekend. Methodist and Ferrum did it in the 90s as well, but Ferrum is only about 4-5 hours from Marietta and they got to play 6 games in 3 days thanks to a rule that no longer exists.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 26, 2013, 06:27:02 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 26, 2013, 11:13:35 AM
I am missing the reason behind the ranking given St. Joe's(ME) in both polls.  Seems very high to me.
They do not have enough games to be given a SOS on boyds but their in-region SOS on D3baseball for 7 of their 9 games is 313!  Is that right? They swept a 2-12 Rhode Island and 4-5 Ripon and beat a 4 loss Wheaton(MA) and 5-9 Keene St.  Worst yet, they lost to a 3-6 UMass-Boston.

That 4-loss Wheaton took home a piece of wood last year from Appleton. UMass-Boston and Keene State are respected programs as well. Keene State has a lot of losses but they also beat Bowdoin and Western New England. St. Joe's also beat UMass-Boston and their other loss is to Webster who was also in Appleton last year.

If you extrapolated their record to teams that have played more games that would be 14-4 or 21-6 against mostly pretty good programs. It would surprise me if St. Joe's finishes with less than 28 wins, and they could end up with many more.

But at least they actually beat those 2-12 type teams they played. We've got a team in the top 5 that lost to a 2-10 team.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 26, 2013, 07:08:52 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 26, 2013, 05:00:59 PM
Quotethanks for the clarification. Can you tell me how to determine if a team is in region? Seems crazy a team that is 1100 miles away is in region

San Antonio to Spokane ~2,000 miles. In region. It is the Wild Wild West!

...and a little East depending on your perspective.
i get that, they are both in the same region, the West.  I dont think Rockford from Illinois who participates in the Northern Athletic Conference which is part of the Midwest Evaluation Region and is 1193 miles from Trinity would count as an In Region game.  Unless I misread Ricky's post, he is saying they are in-region.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 07:14:22 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 26, 2013, 06:27:02 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 26, 2013, 11:13:35 AM
I am missing the reason behind the ranking given St. Joe's(ME) in both polls.  Seems very high to me.
They do not have enough games to be given a SOS on boyds but their in-region SOS on D3baseball for 7 of their 9 games is 313!  Is that right? They swept a 2-12 Rhode Island and 4-5 Ripon and beat a 4 loss Wheaton(MA) and 5-9 Keene St.  Worst yet, they lost to a 3-6 UMass-Boston.


That 4-loss Wheaton took home a piece of wood last year from Appleton. UMass-Boston and Keene State are respected programs as well. Keene State has a lot of losses but they also beat Bowdoin and Western New England. St. Joe's also beat UMass-Boston and their other loss is to Webster who was also in Appleton last year.

If you extrapolated their record to teams that have played more games that would be 14-4 or 21-6 against mostly pretty good programs. It would surprise me if St. Joe's finishes with less than 28 wins, and they could end up with many more.

But at least they actually beat those 2-12 type teams they played. We've got a team in the top 5 that lost to a 2-10 team.
I guess the issue remains is the poll vote should reflect where there are now,  not where they might be in 4 weeks. Not what their opponents did last year but what they have done this year. In 4 weeks that is a different poll. Time will sort things out if they truly belong where they are IMO but too much future predictions with polls IMO instead of the present.

I have seen respected powerhouse programs go to 20 loss seasons and miss the playoffs. Also 20 loss teams have won National Championships also.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Mr. Ypsi on March 26, 2013, 07:33:54 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 26, 2013, 07:08:52 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 26, 2013, 05:00:59 PM
Quotethanks for the clarification. Can you tell me how to determine if a team is in region? Seems crazy a team that is 1100 miles away is in region

San Antonio to Spokane ~2,000 miles. In region. It is the Wild Wild West!

...and a little East depending on your perspective.
i get that, they are both in the same region, the West.  I dont think Rockford from Illinois who participates in the Northern Athletic Conference which is part of the Midwest Evaluation Region and is 1193 miles from Trinity would count as an In Region game.  Unless I misread Ricky's post, he is saying they are in-region.

Illinois and Texas are both in the same NCAA administrative region.  See the FAQ on the home page for a full description of 'what is an-in-region game'.  In short:

1.  same conference = in region
2.  within 200 miles = in region
3.  same sports region = in region (obviously!)
4.  same NCAA administrative region = in region

Beginning next year (all sports?) all games against d3 teams are in region as long as you play at least 70% of games against teams that are in region by the current standards.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 26, 2013, 08:16:33 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 07:14:22 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 26, 2013, 06:27:02 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 26, 2013, 11:13:35 AM
I am missing the reason behind the ranking given St. Joe's(ME) in both polls.  Seems very high to me.
They do not have enough games to be given a SOS on boyds but their in-region SOS on D3baseball for 7 of their 9 games is 313!  Is that right? They swept a 2-12 Rhode Island and 4-5 Ripon and beat a 4 loss Wheaton(MA) and 5-9 Keene St.  Worst yet, they lost to a 3-6 UMass-Boston.


That 4-loss Wheaton took home a piece of wood last year from Appleton. UMass-Boston and Keene State are respected programs as well. Keene State has a lot of losses but they also beat Bowdoin and Western New England. St. Joe's also beat UMass-Boston and their other loss is to Webster who was also in Appleton last year.

If you extrapolated their record to teams that have played more games that would be 14-4 or 21-6 against mostly pretty good programs. It would surprise me if St. Joe's finishes with less than 28 wins, and they could end up with many more.

But at least they actually beat those 2-12 type teams they played. We've got a team in the top 5 that lost to a 2-10 team.
I guess the issue remains is the poll vote should reflect where there are now,  not where they might be in 4 weeks.

Right now they're 7-2 having played several quality opponents, including a win over last year's runner ups.

But by all means continue to have a 23-5 team that's played a trash schedule and just lost to a 2-10 team ranked second in your personal regional rankings and top 5 in the country by the voters.

And then later we can all look surprised when they flame out in the regional like they do every year.

Is CUA a quality opponent for Trinity today? They're 14-14.

And people wonder why I get upset at folks on this board. Even on the national board people are so territorial.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Just_Some_Guy on March 26, 2013, 08:52:56 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 26, 2013, 08:16:33 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 26, 2013, 07:14:22 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 26, 2013, 06:27:02 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 26, 2013, 11:13:35 AM
I am missing the reason behind the ranking given St. Joe's(ME) in both polls.  Seems very high to me.
They do not have enough games to be given a SOS on boyds but their in-region SOS on D3baseball for 7 of their 9 games is 313!  Is that right? They swept a 2-12 Rhode Island and 4-5 Ripon and beat a 4 loss Wheaton(MA) and 5-9 Keene St.  Worst yet, they lost to a 3-6 UMass-Boston.

That 4-loss Wheaton took home a piece of wood last year from Appleton. UMass-Boston and Keene State are respected programs as well. Keene State has a lot of losses but they also beat Bowdoin and Western New England. St. Joe's also beat UMass-Boston and their other loss is to Webster who was also in Appleton last year.

If you extrapolated their record to teams that have played more games that would be 14-4 or 21-6 against mostly pretty good programs. It would surprise me if St. Joe's finishes with less than 28 wins, and they could end up with many more.

But at least they actually beat those 2-12 type teams they played. We've got a team in the top 5 that lost to a 2-10 team.
I guess the issue remains is the poll vote should reflect where there are now,  not where they might be in 4 weeks.

Right now they're 7-2 having played several quality opponents, including a win over last year's runner ups.

But by all means continue to have a 23-5 team that's played a trash schedule and just lost to a 2-10 team ranked second in your personal regional rankings and top 5 in the country by the voters.

And then later we can all look surprised when they flame out in the regional like they do every year.

Is CUA a quality opponent for Trinity today? They're 14-14.

And people wonder why I get upset at folks on this board. Even on the national board people are so territorial.

The bolded above is why I mostly agree with Spence.

I primarily follow the west region and I don't stake too much stock in polls aside from the fact that they're fun to evaluate and can lead to good discussion about the merits of a team's body of work.

If it was all about where they are now then the first couple weeks of polls would strongly favor the west merely because they're easy to evaluate because they've played more games. I think it's illogical to argue so strenuously for these west teams, yet still advocate for early season polling. Either you wait to poll or you let voters extrapolate and project a bit based on their knowledge: including how they looked in their first few games, but also what teams did in the past, how they ordinarily fare and what players returned. There's certainly exceptions to *every* rule.

I'd have Trinity as my #2 in the west right now, but I'm not as bullish nationally as many of the other west homers are (and the current voters seem to be), but I also don't put as much stock into dropping one game in a 4-game series to a 2-10 team that had a good outing by a kid who's started the year off in decent fashion on the bump.

Also, as much as my fellow West peeps don't want to admit it, we're never going to get respect nation-wide until someone besides Chapman makes a deep run at a regional. And, personally, I think that's fair.

JSG
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on March 26, 2013, 09:03:04 PM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on March 26, 2013, 07:33:54 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 26, 2013, 07:08:52 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 26, 2013, 05:00:59 PM
Quotethanks for the clarification. Can you tell me how to determine if a team is in region? Seems crazy a team that is 1100 miles away is in region

San Antonio to Spokane ~2,000 miles. In region. It is the Wild Wild West!

...and a little East depending on your perspective.
i get that, they are both in the same region, the West.  I dont think Rockford from Illinois who participates in the Northern Athletic Conference which is part of the Midwest Evaluation Region and is 1193 miles from Trinity would count as an In Region game.  Unless I misread Ricky's post, he is saying they are in-region.

Illinois and Texas are both in the same NCAA administrative region.  See the FAQ on the home page for a full description of 'what is an-in-region game'.  In short:

1.  same conference = in region
2.  within 200 miles = in region
3.  same sports region = in region (obviously!)
4.  same NCAA administrative region = in region

Beginning next year (all sports?) all games against d3 teams are in region as long as you play at least 70% of games against teams that are in region by the current standards.
Seconded. I encourage everyone to view the FAQ for any refreshers.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 27, 2013, 01:52:01 AM
Quote from: Just_Some_Guy on March 26, 2013, 08:52:56 PM

I'd have Trinity as my #2 in the west right now, but I'm not as bullish nationally as many of the other west homers are (and the current voters seem to be), but I also don't put as much stock into dropping one game in a 4-game series to a 2-10 team that had a good outing by a kid who's started the year off in decent fashion on the bump.

Also, as much as my fellow West peeps don't want to admit it, we're never going to get respect nation-wide until someone besides Chapman makes a deep run at a regional. And, personally, I think that's fair.

JSG

Well there's been George Fox, who actually won it all, and Linfield made a respectable showing in Appleton. CUA has been there as well. So I wouldn't say that no one besides Chapman has shown anything. I don't think it's too much different than how Marietta has dominated the Mideast...other programs have made the series and shown well, but no one else has won a championship.

I just want to see the programs that make an effort and play a reasonably challenging schedule to be given credit for that. I don't know where you're supposed to rank Trinity right now because I just don't know how you're supposed to know anything about them. It's about like UW-Oshkosh or Otterbein right now...only 28 games into the season. I've got Otterbein something like 6th in the Mideast right now and that won't change until they play someone good. I imagine Midwest region observers have a similar "I'm from Missouri" attitude about Oshkosh. Hard to see them any higher than 5th.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 27, 2013, 08:19:20 AM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on March 26, 2013, 09:03:04 PM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on March 26, 2013, 07:33:54 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 26, 2013, 07:08:52 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 26, 2013, 05:00:59 PM
Quotethanks for the clarification. Can you tell me how to determine if a team is in region? Seems crazy a team that is 1100 miles away is in region

San Antonio to Spokane ~2,000 miles. In region. It is the Wild Wild West!

...and a little East depending on your perspective.
i get that, they are both in the same region, the West.  I dont think Rockford from Illinois who participates in the Northern Athletic Conference which is part of the Midwest Evaluation Region and is 1193 miles from Trinity would count as an In Region game.  Unless I misread Ricky's post, he is saying they are in-region.

Illinois and Texas are both in the same NCAA administrative region.  See the FAQ on the home page for a full description of 'what is an-in-region game'.  In short:

1.  same conference = in region
2.  within 200 miles = in region
3.  same sports region = in region (obviously!)
4.  same NCAA administrative region = in region

Beginning next year (all sports?) all games against d3 teams are in region as long as you play at least 70% of games against teams that are in region by the current standards.
Seconded. I encourage everyone to view the FAQ for any refreshers.
wow.  Thanks for that.  Hope Rockford has another winning record then, since they count. 
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 27, 2013, 09:52:36 AM
The West has a long history of teams as Champions or Runnerups in DIII Baseball.

http://www.d3baseball.com/playoffs/all-time
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on March 27, 2013, 01:34:52 PM
Quote

Well there's been George Fox, who actually won it all, and Linfield made a respectable showing in Appleton. CUA has been there as well. So I wouldn't say that no one besides Chapman has shown anything. I don't think it's too much different than how Marietta has dominated the Mideast...other programs have made the series and shown well, but no one else has won a championship.

I just want to see the programs that make an effort and play a reasonably challenging schedule to be given credit for that. I don't know where you're supposed to rank Trinity right now because I just don't know how you're supposed to know anything about them. It's about like UW-Oshkosh or Otterbein right now...only 28 games into the season. I've got Otterbein something like 6th in the Mideast right now and that won't change until they play someone good. I imagine Midwest region observers have a similar "I'm from Missouri" attitude about Oshkosh. Hard to see them any higher than 5th.

Trinity has historically played a challenging schedule, but this year the stars aligned and has made it weaker. This is not their fault. Geographically they have limitations, but they do a home/away every year with Chapman who is historically one of the top teams in the country.

As far as knowing about the team, last year it was one game short of going to Appleton, they lost their number two pitcher late in the year which most feel if he was healthy they would have had the arms to get though. This year they only lost two key players (Number 1 pitcher, and number 3 hole hitter) You keep pointing out they lost to a 2-10 team and as others have posted they got beat by a good pitcher in a 4 game series that they otherwise completely dominated. It happens.

So for this year, the rest of the squad is back with some strong freshmen contributing, along with the expected growth of the rest of the team. They have a much improved offense, with one of the top offensive players in DIII ball. Their pitching is significantly deeper, with a dominant number one, (not quite as dominant as last year) but they have 2-5 pitchers with a strong bull pen and two late inning closer types. (actually maybe three now) They are not as good defensively this year, which is perplexing given the same guys are back, but it is what it is.

So from a "potential" standpoint and performance against the top teams they have played they are playing like a top ten team nationally, which is why they are ranked where they are. Are they a number 1 or 2 team in the country? Not IMO, but they are certainly a top 10 team and probably the second best team in the West. They will continue to develop and lets see what happens in 6 weeks.

While they have not broken through to Appleton they are always very competitive and there a certainly a lot of DIII teams that wish they had their success.

Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 01:47:41 AM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 27, 2013, 01:34:52 PM
Quote

Well there's been George Fox, who actually won it all, and Linfield made a respectable showing in Appleton. CUA has been there as well. So I wouldn't say that no one besides Chapman has shown anything. I don't think it's too much different than how Marietta has dominated the Mideast...other programs have made the series and shown well, but no one else has won a championship.

I just want to see the programs that make an effort and play a reasonably challenging schedule to be given credit for that. I don't know where you're supposed to rank Trinity right now because I just don't know how you're supposed to know anything about them. It's about like UW-Oshkosh or Otterbein right now...only 28 games into the season. I've got Otterbein something like 6th in the Mideast right now and that won't change until they play someone good. I imagine Midwest region observers have a similar "I'm from Missouri" attitude about Oshkosh. Hard to see them any higher than 5th.

Trinity has historically played a challenging schedule, but this year the stars aligned and has made it weaker. This is not their fault. Geographically they have limitations, but they do a home/away every year with Chapman who is historically one of the top teams in the country.

As far as knowing about the team, last year it was one game short of going to Appleton, they lost their number two pitcher late in the year which most feel if he was healthy they would have had the arms to get though. This year they only lost two key players (Number 1 pitcher, and number 3 hole hitter) You keep pointing out they lost to a 2-10 team and as others have posted they got beat by a good pitcher in a 4 game series that they otherwise completely dominated. It happens.

So for this year, the rest of the squad is back with some strong freshmen contributing, along with the expected growth of the rest of the team. They have a much improved offense, with one of the top offensive players in DIII ball. Their pitching is significantly deeper, with a dominant number one, (not quite as dominant as last year) but they have 2-5 pitchers with a strong bull pen and two late inning closer types. (actually maybe three now) They are not as good defensively this year, which is perplexing given the same guys are back, but it is what it is.

So from a "potential" standpoint and performance against the top teams they have played they are playing like a top ten team nationally, which is why they are ranked where they are. Are they a number 1 or 2 team in the country? Not IMO, but they are certainly a top 10 team and probably the second best team in the West. They will continue to develop and lets see what happens in 6 weeks.

While they have not broken through to Appleton they are always very competitive and there a certainly a lot of DIII teams that wish they had their success.

Trinity has never played (or perhaps I should say rarely in case there was a time I don't remember) what I would call a strong schedule. I can remember making this critique in the past and being criticized for it but it hasn't burned me yet.

This year is even worse. Why isn't Trinity playing Tyler? Why did they play 4 games against Rockford? They also could have played more games on their road trip west like some of the New Jersey and New York teams do. Get a few teams together and meet somewhere and play some games. I'm not too convinced that Trinity is playing the toughest schedule it could, even considering the circumstances. La Roche played at Marietta today on one day's notice. John Carroll played a few games in Beckley, W.Va. to try to get games in. Some teams play at 2 a.m. in the Metrodome. Huntingdon and Montclair went to Ohio to play 3 games. You do what you have to do. It's only going to be more important next year when every game counts the same for NCAA criteria.

As for what Trinity had last year, one might see that as a reason to doubt them this year. How often does a team that didn't win their region lose a first-team All-American pitcher that was draft quality and win their regional for the first time ever in the next year?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 08:45:33 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 01:47:41 AM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 27, 2013, 01:34:52 PM
Quote

Well there's been George Fox, who actually won it all, and Linfield made a respectable showing in Appleton. CUA has been there as well. So I wouldn't say that no one besides Chapman has shown anything. I don't think it's too much different than how Marietta has dominated the Mideast...other programs have made the series and shown well, but no one else has won a championship.

I just want to see the programs that make an effort and play a reasonably challenging schedule to be given credit for that. I don't know where you're supposed to rank Trinity right now because I just don't know how you're supposed to know anything about them. It's about like UW-Oshkosh or Otterbein right now...only 28 games into the season. I've got Otterbein something like 6th in the Mideast right now and that won't change until they play someone good. I imagine Midwest region observers have a similar "I'm from Missouri" attitude about Oshkosh. Hard to see them any higher than 5th.

Trinity has historically played a challenging schedule, but this year the stars aligned and has made it weaker. This is not their fault. Geographically they have limitations, but they do a home/away every year with Chapman who is historically one of the top teams in the country.

As far as knowing about the team, last year it was one game short of going to Appleton, they lost their number two pitcher late in the year which most feel if he was healthy they would have had the arms to get though. This year they only lost two key players (Number 1 pitcher, and number 3 hole hitter) You keep pointing out they lost to a 2-10 team and as others have posted they got beat by a good pitcher in a 4 game series that they otherwise completely dominated. It happens.

So for this year, the rest of the squad is back with some strong freshmen contributing, along with the expected growth of the rest of the team. They have a much improved offense, with one of the top offensive players in DIII ball. Their pitching is significantly deeper, with a dominant number one, (not quite as dominant as last year) but they have 2-5 pitchers with a strong bull pen and two late inning closer types. (actually maybe three now) They are not as good defensively this year, which is perplexing given the same guys are back, but it is what it is.

So from a "potential" standpoint and performance against the top teams they have played they are playing like a top ten team nationally, which is why they are ranked where they are. Are they a number 1 or 2 team in the country? Not IMO, but they are certainly a top 10 team and probably the second best team in the West. They will continue to develop and lets see what happens in 6 weeks.

While they have not broken through to Appleton they are always very competitive and there a certainly a lot of DIII teams that wish they had their success.

Trinity has never played (or perhaps I should say rarely in case there was a time I don't remember) what I would call a strong schedule. I can remember making this critique in the past and being criticized for it but it hasn't burned me yet.

This year is even worse. Why isn't Trinity playing Tyler? Why did they play 4 games against Rockford? They also could have played more games on their road trip west like some of the New Jersey and New York teams do. Get a few teams together and meet somewhere and play some games. I'm not too convinced that Trinity is playing the toughest schedule it could, even considering the circumstances. La Roche played at Marietta today on one day's notice. John Carroll played a few games in Beckley, W.Va. to try to get games in. Some teams play at 2 a.m. in the Metrodome. Huntingdon and Montclair went to Ohio to play 3 games. You do what you have to do. It's only going to be more important next year when every game counts the same for NCAA criteria.

As for what Trinity had last year, one might see that as a reason to doubt them this year. How often does a team that didn't win their region lose a first-team All-American pitcher that was draft quality and win their regional for the first time ever in the next year?
Not here to argue that TU has played a tough schedule, because they haven't.  They went to Chapman and when that was scheduled, Chapman was better than they are now.  A Quick check on schedules shows that UT-Tyler's open weekends were the first weekend of March and the first weekend of April.  TU has conference games both of those weekends.  I doubt either team sees the merit in a 7 hour, one-way, bus ride for a midweek game.  But, to each their own.  Win the conference and the SOS doesn't matter at all.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on March 28, 2013, 09:38:53 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 26, 2013, 06:27:02 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on March 26, 2013, 11:13:35 AM
I am missing the reason behind the ranking given St. Joe's(ME) in both polls.  Seems very high to me.
They do not have enough games to be given a SOS on boyds but their in-region SOS on D3baseball for 7 of their 9 games is 313!  Is that right? They swept a 2-12 Rhode Island and 4-5 Ripon and beat a 4 loss Wheaton(MA) and 5-9 Keene St.  Worst yet, they lost to a 3-6 UMass-Boston.

That 4-loss Wheaton took home a piece of wood last year from Appleton. UMass-Boston and Keene State are respected programs as well. Keene State has a lot of losses but they also beat Bowdoin and Western New England. St. Joe's also beat UMass-Boston and their other loss is to Webster who was also in Appleton last year.

If you extrapolated their record to teams that have played more games that would be 14-4 or 21-6 against mostly pretty good programs. It would surprise me if St. Joe's finishes with less than 28 wins, and they could end up with many more.

But at least they actually beat those 2-12 type teams they played. We've got a team in the top 5 that lost to a 2-10 team.
Respected does not mean winning, especially as to the Beacons.  They caught lightning in a bottle in 2010, but have only had 2 other winning seasons in the last 30, including 2 straight losing seasons in 11 and 12. In the end Keene St.'s going to 5-10 and St. Joes loss to Endicott likely will remove St. Joes from the Top 25.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 10:09:30 AM
Spence has a very long history of seeming undue attention directed toward Trinity. Without knowing the logistics of trying to run a top D3program in the vast West Region, and in Texas, with little administration support until recently, he continues to play the game of Trinity "flaming" in the Regional. Well, the fact is Trinity made 7 regionals since 2002 and played in the Championship game 4 times, if I calculate correctly, possibly 5 times.  In the West, probably only Chapman  would have overall    better results since they have the coveted CWS,. Along the way, Trinity has beaten nearly every top team in the West Region and until the SAA split, the top teams in the South including Millsaps and BSC.
They have had the post season results despite a situation of not playing games for about 20 days following the SCAC Championships.
Add to that the individual success of the Trinity program in having players drafted and those players having plenty of success in Milb as well as Summer Wood bat leagues and it seems clear Spence will pick out a loss to Rockford and avoid the great point made by JSG on the quality of the Rockford pitcher in that loss. As tigerfan noted, the goal here is to win and be ready for the SCAC's and win those and do everything possible to be prepared during that 20 day wait.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 10:12:31 AM
Quote from: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 10:09:30 AM
Spence has a very long history of seeming undue attention directed toward Trinity.

It may seem undue to you. To me it's completely due because this program is annually ranked higher than it should be because they play a lot of games early in the season and people notice.

Without knowing the logistics of trying to run a top D3program in the vast West Region, and in Texas, with little administration support until recently, he continues to play the game of Trinity "flaming" in the Regional.

I don't care what the logistics are. You do what you have to do. Almost everyone has problems to overcome in D-III. Distance, weather, money, time, resources...they're all a factor for most programs. No one said you only could play 1 game in a day or on a trip. Webster has a humdrum conference schedule so they went to Florida and played every good program they could before that conference slate starts. I already listed numerous other examples. Marietta used to play in Texas on their spring trip...did Trinity ever try to schedule a neutral site game against them? They played Texas Wesleyan at the Rangers ballpark a few times. I think you're going to have a hard time getting sympathy in a division where a bunch of northern teams scramble trying to put a season into 6 weeks.

Well, the fact is Trinity made 7 regionals since 2002 and played in the Championship game 4 times, if I calculate correctly, possibly 5 times. 

Well with any assertion of fact on the Internet comes a fact check. Uh oh.

Last year they finished 2nd and had two chances to beat Whitworth and couldn't do it. That was really a golden opportunity going against a less experienced program with a supposed pitching advantage. 2011 -- 1-2, 2010 -- 0-2. 2009 they didn't make the regional at all. 2008 they won the first two and couldn't seal it against Chapman. 2007 went 1-2. 2006 -- 1-2. 2005 -- not in the regional. 2004 -- lost the first game, went 2-2. 2003 -- no regional.

So in the last decade (more than 7 years), that looks like 2 championship games. In that time Chapman, Whitworth, George Fox, Linfield have all won the regional and Concordia-Austin won it in 2002 and is so far the only Texas school to win the regional.


They have had the post season results despite a situation of not playing games for about 20 days following the SCAC Championships.

No one said you couldn't play games after that. Dixie/USA South regional-caliber programs have been doing it for years because Averett's academic schedule pushes the tournament forward. You can play up until I believe the Sunday before regionals.

Add to that the individual success of the Trinity program in having players drafted and those players having plenty of success in Milb as well as Summer Wood bat leagues and it seems clear Spence will pick out a loss to Rockford and avoid the great point made by JSG on the quality of the Rockford pitcher in that loss. As tigerfan noted, the goal here is to win and be ready for the SCAC's and win those and do everything possible to be prepared during that 20 day wait.

You want to talk about the quality of the Rockford pitcher? Olivet beat him. He's got about 4 strikeouts per 9 innings. Almost 1 hit per 9. He has a low ERA but has given up 5 unearned runs. Just because they're not earned doesn't mean you're absolved of them. Part of good pitching is making up for mistakes behind you from time to time.

His ERA last year was 6.38 in 42 innings. It's not like Trinity was facing Brian Rauh. It's also not like Trinity scored a run. Rockford is ISR #180 today.

I'm not inclined to continue with this line of conversation because it'll on turn into a pissing match, if it hasn't already. The history is what it is, and schedule strength is what it is.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 10:27:05 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 10:12:31 AM
Quote from: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 10:09:30 AM
Spence has a very long history of seeming undue attention directed toward Trinity.

It may seem undue to you. To me it's completely due because this program is annually ranked higher than it should be because they play a lot of games early in the season and people notice.

Without knowing the logistics of trying to run a top D3program in the vast West Region, and in Texas, with little administration support until recently, he continues to play the game of Trinity "flaming" in the Regional. Well, the fact is Trinity made 7 regionals since 2002 and played in the Championship game 4 times, if I calculate correctly, possibly 5 times.  In the West, probably only Chapman  would have overall    better results since they have the coveted CWS,. Along the way, Trinity has beaten nearly every top team in the West Region and until the SAA split, the top teams in the South including Millsaps and BSC.
They have had the post season results despite a situation of not playing games for about 20 days following the SCAC Championships.
Add to that the individual success of the Trinity program in having players drafted and those players having plenty of success in Milb as well as Summer Wood bat leagues and it seems clear Spence will pick out a loss to Rockford and avoid the great point made by JSG on the quality of the Rockford pitcher in that loss. As tigerfan noted, the goal here is to win and be ready for the SCAC's and win those and do everything possible to be prepared during that 20 day wait.

You want to talk about the quality of the Rockford pitcher? Olivet beat him.
hard to fault a pitcher when he doesnt give up an earned run. 
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 11:17:14 AM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 10:27:05 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 10:12:31 AM
Quote from: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 10:09:30 AM
Spence has a very long history of seeming undue attention directed toward Trinity.

It may seem undue to you. To me it's completely due because this program is annually ranked higher than it should be because they play a lot of games early in the season and people notice.

Without knowing the logistics of trying to run a top D3program in the vast West Region, and in Texas, with little administration support until recently, he continues to play the game of Trinity "flaming" in the Regional. Well, the fact is Trinity made 7 regionals since 2002 and played in the Championship game 4 times, if I calculate correctly, possibly 5 times.  In the West, probably only Chapman  would have overall    better results since they have the coveted CWS,. Along the way, Trinity has beaten nearly every top team in the West Region and until the SAA split, the top teams in the South including Millsaps and BSC.
They have had the post season results despite a situation of not playing games for about 20 days following the SCAC Championships.
Add to that the individual success of the Trinity program in having players drafted and those players having plenty of success in Milb as well as Summer Wood bat leagues and it seems clear Spence will pick out a loss to Rockford and avoid the great point made by JSG on the quality of the Rockford pitcher in that loss. As tigerfan noted, the goal here is to win and be ready for the SCAC's and win those and do everything possible to be prepared during that 20 day wait.

You want to talk about the quality of the Rockford pitcher? Olivet beat him.
hard to fault a pitcher when he doesnt give up an earned run.

Why is it? Does a guy just stop pitching because there's an error behind him? Doesn't help your own cause when you walk 4 guys in 3 innings.

Time to stop pretending like you were facing an All-American.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 11:52:47 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 11:17:14 AM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 10:27:05 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 10:12:31 AM
Quote from: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 10:09:30 AM
Spence has a very long history of seeming undue attention directed toward Trinity.

It may seem undue to you. To me it's completely due because this program is annually ranked higher than it should be because they play a lot of games early in the season and people notice.

Without knowing the logistics of trying to run a top D3program in the vast West Region, and in Texas, with little administration support until recently, he continues to play the game of Trinity "flaming" in the Regional. Well, the fact is Trinity made 7 regionals since 2002 and played in the Championship game 4 times, if I calculate correctly, possibly 5 times.  In the West, probably only Chapman  would have overall    better results since they have the coveted CWS,. Along the way, Trinity has beaten nearly every top team in the West Region and until the SAA split, the top teams in the South including Millsaps and BSC.
They have had the post season results despite a situation of not playing games for about 20 days following the SCAC Championships.
Add to that the individual success of the Trinity program in having players drafted and those players having plenty of success in Milb as well as Summer Wood bat leagues and it seems clear Spence will pick out a loss to Rockford and avoid the great point made by JSG on the quality of the Rockford pitcher in that loss. As tigerfan noted, the goal here is to win and be ready for the SCAC's and win those and do everything possible to be prepared during that 20 day wait.

You want to talk about the quality of the Rockford pitcher? Olivet beat him.
hard to fault a pitcher when he doesnt give up an earned run.

Why is it? Does a guy just stop pitching because there's an error behind him? Doesn't help your own cause when you walk 4 guys in 3 innings.

Time to stop pretending like you were facing an All-American.
thanks, but i haven't played in a long long time, i wasn't facing anyone.  And to answer your question, no, you dont stop pitching just because someone makes an error.  However, that is the reason for the ERA, as in runs that were your fault. 

Isn't your big thing to judge teams on who they have played?  Why would you bring up the fact that Rockford lost to Olivet, who is 5-3 on the year and has played the 25th hardest schedule.  Seems losing to them isnt a bad thing.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 12:01:57 PM
My gosh Spence, he got the loss to Olivet when he came on in relief, gave up 0 earned runs, and did so on 3 days rest following a 7 inning opening game in which  the kid gave up one run and threw almost 100 pitches in his first outing of the season.
JSG is right with the very best on the knowledge of the West Region.  Trinity does not play in the championship game of the West Regional so many times by being overrated.  They beat darn good teams every year in every Regional but you can pick stuff out just like you did with the loss to Olivet and continue to criticize.
Doesn't bother anyone because JSG posts such solid information with clear objectivity and no axe to grind..
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:07:55 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 11:52:47 AM

Isn't your big thing to judge teams on who they have played?  Why would you bring up the fact that Rockford lost to Olivet, who is 5-3 on the year and has played the 25th hardest schedule.  Seems losing to them isnt a bad thing.

I don't think Olivet has ever won their league. If they have, it's been a long time.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 12:10:12 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:07:55 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 11:52:47 AM

Isn't your big thing to judge teams on who they have played?  Why would you bring up the fact that Rockford lost to Olivet, who is 5-3 on the year and has played the 25th hardest schedule.  Seems losing to them isnt a bad thing.

I don't think Olivet has ever won their league. If they have, it's been a long time.
so now we are going based on history, is that how you define a good team?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 28, 2013, 12:14:19 PM
Seems we have strayed a bit from the TOP 25 TOPIC....
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 12:15:00 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 28, 2013, 12:14:19 PM
Seems we have strayed a bit from the TOP 25 TOPIC....
good point....partly my fault. back on topic.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:37:24 PM
Quote from: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 12:01:57 PM
My gosh Spence, he got the loss to Olivet when he came on in relief, gave up 0 earned runs, and did so on 3 days rest following a 7 inning opening game in which  the kid gave up one run and threw almost 100 pitches in his first outing of the season.
JSG is right with the very best on the knowledge of the West Region.  Trinity does not play in the championship game of the West Regional so many times by being overrated.  They beat darn good teams every year in every Regional but you can pick stuff out just like you did with the loss to Olivet and continue to criticize.
Doesn't bother anyone because JSG posts such solid information with clear objectivity and no axe to grind..

Yeah 2 = so many times. Pretty sure I already debunked the "4-5 times in 7 years" myth.

I would appreciate it if you would not respond to anything I post in the future. I'm tired of the insults and accusations and it's junk like this that caused me to get banned last time and I don't want it to happen again. Let me be on the record that I am trying to end this conversation before any further personal attacks are lodged against me.

I have simply given my assessment of a team's resume with regard to national ranking. I have not made it anything personal about any team, coach, or player. I do not deserve the accusations of personal bias. Everyone has bias, every single person on this board. That doesn't mean it's personal. It just means we have different frames of reference and depth and breadth of knowledge. I think mine is pretty deep and broad of all regions having followed them for 15 or so years now and being a part of a program heritage that goes back much further than that. D3baseball.com makes it a lot easier than it used to be.

I could say more about other parts of the post but that might spark a legitimate reason for reply that I don't want to give.

It's unfortunate that there is one particular fan group that has consistently shown an inability to thicken their skins. I've said the same things about other teams and haven't gotten any backlash about it.

And now, I hope this is over and we can return to civil discussion.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:37:57 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 12:10:12 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:07:55 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 11:52:47 AM

Isn't your big thing to judge teams on who they have played?  Why would you bring up the fact that Rockford lost to Olivet, who is 5-3 on the year and has played the 25th hardest schedule.  Seems losing to them isnt a bad thing.

I don't think Olivet has ever won their league. If they have, it's been a long time.
so now we are going based on history, is that how you define a good team?

EDIT: Never mind that's probably not a good idea on a college sports board.

Btw, I forgot how long the MIAA's been around...Olivet has won at least a share of the championship 5 times...twice in the last 98 years. Don't think too many are banking on this being their year either.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 01:57:49 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:37:57 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 12:10:12 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:07:55 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 11:52:47 AM

Isn't your big thing to judge teams on who they have played?  Why would you bring up the fact that Rockford lost to Olivet, who is 5-3 on the year and has played the 25th hardest schedule.  Seems losing to them isnt a bad thing.

I don't think Olivet has ever won their league. If they have, it's been a long time.
so now we are going based on history, is that how you define a good team?

EDIT: Never mind that's probably not a good idea on a college sports board.

Btw, I forgot how long the MIAA's been around...Olivet has won at least a share of the championship 5 times...twice in the last 98 years. Don't think too many are banking on this being their year either.
thanks for the history lesson.  also glad to know that history is what defines how good a team is currently.  will keep that in mind.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 03:45:09 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 01:57:49 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:37:57 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 12:10:12 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:07:55 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 11:52:47 AM

Isn't your big thing to judge teams on who they have played?  Why would you bring up the fact that Rockford lost to Olivet, who is 5-3 on the year and has played the 25th hardest schedule.  Seems losing to them isnt a bad thing.

I don't think Olivet has ever won their league. If they have, it's been a long time.
so now we are going based on history, is that how you define a good team?

EDIT: Never mind that's probably not a good idea on a college sports board.

Btw, I forgot how long the MIAA's been around...Olivet has won at least a share of the championship 5 times...twice in the last 98 years. Don't think too many are banking on this being their year either.
thanks for the history lesson.  also glad to know that history is what defines how good a team is currently.  will keep that in mind.

I just looked at their supposed tough schedule...you make me laugh. Ignorance is bliss, I suppose.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 04:00:15 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 03:45:09 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 01:57:49 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:37:57 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 12:10:12 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:07:55 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 11:52:47 AM

Isn't your big thing to judge teams on who they have played?  Why would you bring up the fact that Rockford lost to Olivet, who is 5-3 on the year and has played the 25th hardest schedule.  Seems losing to them isnt a bad thing.

I don't think Olivet has ever won their league. If they have, it's been a long time.
so now we are going based on history, is that how you define a good team?

EDIT: Never mind that's probably not a good idea on a college sports board.

Btw, I forgot how long the MIAA's been around...Olivet has won at least a share of the championship 5 times...twice in the last 98 years. Don't think too many are banking on this being their year either.
thanks for the history lesson.  also glad to know that history is what defines how good a team is currently.  will keep that in mind.

I just looked at their supposed tough schedule...you make me laugh. Ignorance is bliss, I suppose.
you commented that the guy that beat Trinity lost to Olivet, implying that Olivet is not very good.  They are 5-3, according to d3baseball and their SOS is 46th.  That seems like a pretty good record with a challenging schedule.  Not sure why you laugh at it.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 04:13:28 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 04:00:15 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 03:45:09 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 01:57:49 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:37:57 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 12:10:12 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 12:07:55 PM
Quote from: tigerfan_2001 on March 28, 2013, 11:52:47 AM

Isn't your big thing to judge teams on who they have played?  Why would you bring up the fact that Rockford lost to Olivet, who is 5-3 on the year and has played the 25th hardest schedule.  Seems losing to them isnt a bad thing.

I don't think Olivet has ever won their league. If they have, it's been a long time.
so now we are going based on history, is that how you define a good team?

EDIT: Never mind that's probably not a good idea on a college sports board.

Btw, I forgot how long the MIAA's been around...Olivet has won at least a share of the championship 5 times...twice in the last 98 years. Don't think too many are banking on this being their year either.
thanks for the history lesson.  also glad to know that history is what defines how good a team is currently.  will keep that in mind.

I just looked at their supposed tough schedule...you make me laugh. Ignorance is bliss, I suppose.
you commented that the guy that beat Trinity lost to Olivet, implying that Olivet is not very good.  They are 5-3, according to d3baseball and their SOS is 46th.  That seems like a pretty good record with a challenging schedule.  Not sure why you laugh at it.

That you don't get it is part of why it's funny. All of these gymnastics to excuse a loss to a team ranked closer closer to 200 to 100 in the ISRs is funny enough.

Let's end this and revisit in a month or so. I (along with everyone else no doubt) have grown tired of restating what should be obvious.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 28, 2013, 04:27:42 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 01:47:41 AM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 27, 2013, 01:34:52 PM
Quote

Well there's been George Fox, who actually won it all, and Linfield made a respectable showing in Appleton. CUA has been there as well. So I wouldn't say that no one besides Chapman has shown anything. I don't think it's too much different than how Marietta has dominated the Mideast...other programs have made the series and shown well, but no one else has won a championship.

I just want to see the programs that make an effort and play a reasonably challenging schedule to be given credit for that. I don't know where you're supposed to rank Trinity right now because I just don't know how you're supposed to know anything about them. It's about like UW-Oshkosh or Otterbein right now...only 28 games into the season. I've got Otterbein something like 6th in the Mideast right now and that won't change until they play someone good. I imagine Midwest region observers have a similar "I'm from Missouri" attitude about Oshkosh. Hard to see them any higher than 5th.

Trinity has historically played a challenging schedule, but this year the stars aligned and has made it weaker. This is not their fault. Geographically they have limitations, but they do a home/away every year with Chapman who is historically one of the top teams in the country.

As far as knowing about the team, last year it was one game short of going to Appleton, they lost their number two pitcher late in the year which most feel if he was healthy they would have had the arms to get though. This year they only lost two key players (Number 1 pitcher, and number 3 hole hitter) You keep pointing out they lost to a 2-10 team and as others have posted they got beat by a good pitcher in a 4 game series that they otherwise completely dominated. It happens.

So for this year, the rest of the squad is back with some strong freshmen contributing, along with the expected growth of the rest of the team. They have a much improved offense, with one of the top offensive players in DIII ball. Their pitching is significantly deeper, with a dominant number one, (not quite as dominant as last year) but they have 2-5 pitchers with a strong bull pen and two late inning closer types. (actually maybe three now) They are not as good defensively this year, which is perplexing given the same guys are back, but it is what it is.

So from a "potential" standpoint and performance against the top teams they have played they are playing like a top ten team nationally, which is why they are ranked where they are. Are they a number 1 or 2 team in the country? Not IMO, but they are certainly a top 10 team and probably the second best team in the West. They will continue to develop and lets see what happens in 6 weeks.

While they have not broken through to Appleton they are always very competitive and there a certainly a lot of DIII teams that wish they had their success.

Trinity has never played (or perhaps I should say rarely in case there was a time I don't remember) what I would call a strong schedule. I can remember making this critique in the past and being criticized for it but it hasn't burned me yet.

This year is even worse. Why isn't Trinity playing Tyler? Why did they play 4 games against Rockford? They also could have played more games on their road trip west like some of the New Jersey and New York teams do. Get a few teams together and meet somewhere and play some games. I'm not too convinced that Trinity is playing the toughest schedule it could, even considering the circumstances. La Roche played at Marietta today on one day's notice. John Carroll played a few games in Beckley, W.Va. to try to get games in. Some teams play at 2 a.m. in the Metrodome. Huntingdon and Montclair went to Ohio to play 3 games. You do what you have to do. It's only going to be more important next year when every game counts the same for NCAA criteria.

As for what Trinity had last year, one might see that as a reason to doubt them this year. How often does a team that didn't win their region lose a first-team All-American pitcher that was draft quality and win their regional for the first time ever in the next year?

Does it hurt there Trinity that their last game could be April 28th for SCAC Championship and then not play until May 15-18 for Regional. That is OVER 2 WEEKS not playing another team....Makes it hard to get thru a regional. I see it as being their number 1 problem in prior years not winning a regional.

Also teams can win a regional without their #1 All American pitcher available. Chapman did in 2009. Also in 2011 Chapman got to the Championship game also without the 3 time #1 All American pitcher.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 04:36:26 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on March 28, 2013, 04:27:42 PM

Does it hurt there Trinity that their last game could be April 28th for SCAC Championship and then not play until May 15-18 for Regional. That is OVER 2 WEEKS not playing another team....Makes it hard to get thru a regional. I see it as being their number 1 problem in prior years not winning a regional.

Also teams can win a regional without their #1 All American pitcher available. Chapman did in 2009. Also in 2011 Chapman got to the Championship game also without the 3 time #1 All American pitcher.

Yep. And Marietta in 2002 without DeSalvo finished 2nd as well. One could say those might have been the two best teams in the past x number of years not to win a championship. The teams that did win the championship in both cases though were very worthy.

As for the break in between...again, they are not prohibited from scheduling and playing games during that time. That they choose not to is no excuse in my mind. If you fancy yourself a program that expects to compete the regional level, then schedule like you don't expect your last game to be the conference tournament.

There are other options as well. Trinity's coaches are paid better than I am to manage their program, and so I'll keep them to myself.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on March 28, 2013, 05:08:39 PM
Spence you made a comment to Infielddad to not post to your posts, may I suggest you take your own advice, just let this go so we can move on to some other interesting top 25 discussions. I actually enjoy hearing about teams from other regions and what is happening. Speaking of this what are the prospects for a SAA team getting into a regional this year?

One thing we all seem to forget is that all of the players Student Athletes and I do know that TU's finals are May 8-14 which would preclude playing real games during this period of time.  (or at least I am sure the administration would have some say in this regardless what the coach wants)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 05:26:32 PM
Spence is it certainly intriguing  that you spent so much energy in past years and now continue to spend so much time seeming to torture ways to try and discredit what Coach Scannell and his players have accomplished since the 2000-2001 season.  Curious fascination on a message board, for sure.
This is actually pretty easy: you don't believe TU should be in the top 25. What you are posting for 2013 isn't much different than the places you went in previous years in making the same aarguments. When all else gets challenged, the fall back is Trinity has not been to Appleton. .
Others including JSG have thoughtfully posted their perspectives on why Trinity does belong in their top 25.
JSG really does a solid job on the West Region and has for many, many years.
If you don't want others to post, it might be prudent to do the same.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 07:32:11 PM
OK this is completely ridiculous. You people have lost your frickin' minds.

I haven't tried to discredit anything...I've only tried to keep some people on this board from taking credit for things not accomplished...far as I know I'm not the one that got caught in a bold-faced lie on this thread.

I'm fine with people posting their perspectives. I'm not fine with people disparaging me for mine and turning a perfectly good thread into an unbelievable mess.

May I remind that this started because a West region poster was completely hypocritical in criticizing St. Joe's ranking because of their schedule while placing Trinity high despite theirs. I called him on it, and all hell broke loose.

Aside from letting people make criticisms they don't themselves follow, or letting fans claim accomplishments their programs haven't earned (like making 4 championships in 7 years, which is clearly and provably false), I don't know what I'm supposed to do.

Why in the world would I have any reason to "try to torture ways" (I'm not sure what that means, actually) to discredit Trinity? I'm a Marietta grad and supporter...I don't even know how many regionals we've won. I'm not saying that to brag at all, but to say "are you kidding me? You really think I have a personal reason to give a crap?"

Your team is playing right now. It's on video. Why don't you give up this foolishness and go enjoy a ballgame?

By the way, I missed a doubleheader to take a final when I was in school. Several other team members missed most of it too. We lost the first ballgame 1-0 and the players that drove a van up after their final got there after the second game started. The guy that drove the van came on in relief and was the winning pitcher in the second game.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 08:25:06 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 28, 2013, 05:08:39 PM
Speaking of this what are the prospects for a SAA team getting into a regional this year?

Decent maybe? I think Huntingdon is the top Pool B down south but Millsaps or BSC could certainly play their way in. Case Western Reserve and Washington STL are candidates as well. Then of course there's Ithaca and St. John Fisher, and then who knows what anyone will do with St. Joes Brooklyn if they keep this pace.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 08:34:56 PM
Spence,
My mind is just fine but thanks for asking????
Any player who puts on a uniform for Trinity learns very quickly from the coaching staff that they do it one leg at a time, nothing is given to them and they work for everything they get.  Anyone with a different impression had them quickly reworked with the 13 hour bus ride to Millsaps or the day in Abilene which began with climbing the bus in  the dark, riding 7-8 hours, playing a Noon game against a very good McMurry team followed by about an hour break and then another game at a different field against Hardin Simmons, followed by the 7-8 hour bus ride back to SAT arriving after Midnight, with the expectation to be at every class the next day.
You have every right to be proud of Marietta.  They have a very long history of being a top D3 program and can recruit a very fertile area rather than against top DI's, JC's, DII's and baseball scholarships, which is the case with schools like Trinity and Chapman. Different programs in different areas with different challenges and Marietta makes the best of them, for sure.
Since you seem to be suggesting I posted something clearly false to be called on, what I posted is Trinity has been to 7 Regionals since 2002.  They played in the final game in those 7 Regionals at least 4 times, losing to the team which went to Appleton.  They beat every team in the West Region, except one, each year.
Nothing for you to get your shorts in a jam over and quite factual.
As I said earlier and many times many years before, JSG has a very solid view of the West Region and especially the Texas schools. I don't know who he is but I don't believe he has anything to do with TU.
You have your opinions on the top 25 worked from your perspective.
JSG has his.  One thing we can disagree about is whether a team/program is overrated when they play in the final game of a Regional at least 4 times in 10 years, coupled with the number of players drafted during that same time.  You use selective information one way and I use other information a different way.
There is nothing more to be said I don't think and this topic should go back to the top 25 where it belongs.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 10:10:49 PM
Quote from: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 08:34:56 PM
You have every right to be proud of Marietta.  They have a very long history of being a top D3 program and can recruit a very fertile area rather than against top DI's, JC's, DII's and baseball scholarships, which is the case with schools like Trinity and Chapman. Different programs in different areas with different challenges and Marietta makes the best of them, for sure.

Yeah, there's a lot less baseball talent in Texas and California :P

Believe it or not, D-Is and JUCO D-Is recruit the north too. Most of the top players in the cities in Ohio and PA go to either local D-Is (of which there are like 10 in Ohio alone) or down south. There are also not that many JUCOs nearby to draw from up north.


Since you seem to be suggesting I posted something clearly false to be called on, what I posted is Trinity has been to 7 Regionals since 2002.  They played in the final game in those 7 Regionals at least 4 times, losing to the team which went to Appleton.

I already demonstrated that this is false. I suggest you reread the post. That's all I'm saying. It is impossible to go 1-2 in a regional and play in the championship. It cannot happen.

You have your opinions on the top 25 worked from your perspective.
JSG has his.  One thing we can disagree about is whether a team/program is overrated when they play in the final game of a Regional at least 4 times in 10 years, coupled with the number of players drafted during that same time.  You use selective information one way and I use other information a different way.
There is nothing more to be said I don't think and this topic should go back to the top 25 where it belongs.

So are you saying you agree that Trinity shouldn't be in this discussion then? ;)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: infielddad on March 28, 2013, 10:23:11 PM
Nothing false other than what you posted. Here is a start where "false" isn't:
2002: Trinity lost the final game of that Regional to Concordia.  TU went home, Concordia to Appleton; I was there so I have a pretty good first hand knowledge of that Regional.
2004: Trinity lost the final game of that Regional to George Fox. TU went home, George Fox rode Scott Hyde for 36 or so innings in 12 days and won the CWS. I was in Orange for that Regional and have a pretty good knowledge of the final game with TU and George Fox, even the starter for TU who came on and gave them 5 solid innings when he had pitched less than 10 innings all year.
I won't keep going other than to contrast this with your earlier post, if anyone cares.
I guess you love to argue every point.
Not for me.  I'll go back to reading and enjoying the West Region discussion.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 28, 2013, 10:39:26 PM
*throws hands in the air*

I give up.

So you were moving the goal posts talking in one phrase about one time period and then switching to another without specifying. Pretty confusing, but I'm sure that's my fault.

I love to argue every point? I'm not the one that's gotten all butthurt and hijacked the thread for 2 pages because someone criticized their team.

Btw, I'm more familiar than you think. If you look up the Austin paper's stories from CUA's trip to the series, you might recognize the byline.

We'll see if Trinity can manage 2 wins in 5 games against Centenary tomorrow. Starting to wonder if they're even the top seed in the SCAC tournament.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 29, 2013, 12:58:13 AM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 28, 2013, 05:08:39 PM
Spence you made a comment to Infielddad to not post to your posts, may I suggest you take your own advice, just let this go so we can move on to some other interesting top 25 discussions. I actually enjoy hearing about teams from other regions and what is happening. Speaking of this what are the prospects for a SAA team getting into a regional this year?

One thing we all seem to forget is that all of the players Student Athletes and I do know that TU's finals are May 8-14 which would preclude playing real games during this period of time.  (or at least I am sure the administration would have some say in this regardless what the coach wants)
I know of one program that the Student Athletes that took their finals in hotel lobbies, baseball dugouts and baseball stadium stands for several years in a row. Several of those student athletes have gone on to become doctors, lawyers, and CPA's at major accounting firms. So both can be done. Being a student and athlete and play baseball during the finals.

Trinity is a great school and has a great baseball program that is well coached and does very well almost every single year. They just choose to do things differently than others and it works for them.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: MIACLUV on March 29, 2013, 12:03:20 PM
Soooo... how about those rankings  ;D
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 29, 2013, 02:29:48 PM
Quote from: MIACLUV on March 29, 2013, 12:03:20 PM
Soooo... how about those rankings  ;D

I thought about posting the same thing last night haha.

Anyone other than St. Thomas warrant consideration from the MIAC? I've been wondering about Hamline and Bethel but I'm not there yet.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 29, 2013, 04:17:20 PM
Observation relevant to top 25 discussion: Trinity now has 3 losses in their last 4 home games and is 3 games back of first in their conference.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: tigerfan_2001 on March 29, 2013, 04:59:28 PM
Quote from: Spence on March 29, 2013, 04:17:20 PM
Observation relevant to top 25 discussion: Trinity now has 3 losses in their last 4 home games and is 3 games back of first in their conference.
and should fall out of the top 25 now that most programs have 10-15 games under their belts.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: infielddad on March 29, 2013, 05:12:09 PM
When you throw your #1 and lose 3-1 and come back the next day and get 23 hits and lose again, it seems the team has far more important things to address and improve upon than those being tossed around in a top 25 discussion.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 29, 2013, 05:40:51 PM
I don't know if I've ever seen a team use that many pitchers in a game without doing it on purpose.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Patriotfan87 on March 29, 2013, 06:08:12 PM
UTT had some pitching problems over the weekend too. Game one pitcher did fine (CG, 5 hits, 2 unearned runs) in an 8-2 win. Game two starter was making his first start of the season (Lost 8-5), and the game three starter came out with a sore shoulder after 1 inning, and the bullpen got roughed up in a 12-10 win.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on March 30, 2013, 12:16:42 AM
At the beginning of the season this Trinity team had a chance to break through..... finally, but I think a combination of too many errors, and pitching that is not consistent enough may limit this team. Maybe they will get it together, but time is running out. They have the easiest path of any team in the West to a regional, but will they earn that right? 
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Just_Some_Guy on March 30, 2013, 09:54:41 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 08:25:06 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 28, 2013, 05:08:39 PM
Speaking of this what are the prospects for a SAA team getting into a regional this year?

Decent maybe? I think Huntingdon is the top Pool B down south but Millsaps or BSC could certainly play their way in. Case Western Reserve and Washington STL are candidates as well. Then of course there's Ithaca and St. John Fisher, and then who knows what anyone will do with St. Joes Brooklyn if they keep this pace.

Huntingdon has played well against the SAA this year and also took 2 of 3 from Emory so they may be a pool B lock for the South, but I'm wondering how the 2 losses to Mississippi College will impact their road to the regional. The Choctaws are 12-15 and in danger of not making the ASC tournament this year. I guess we'll see if MC can complete the sweep today.

A few other observations from out West (team's current D3baseball ranking in parenthesis):

JSG
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 30, 2013, 11:10:56 AM
CDD3 Comments   :o

Cal Lu will be a lock for a Pool C if they dont win the SCIAC tournament. Only a complete collapse will change this.

Pomona-Pitzer and Cal Lu are favorites now to win the POOL A Bid with the SCIAC tournament.

Linfield will win the NWC and is the favorite to win the West Regional at this time. George Fox could see their Pool C bid slipping away.

ASC is hard to predict with its 2 round tournament to win the Pool A Bid. Texas Lutheran is playing the best baseball but will they survive the ASC tourney.

Trinity will get the Pool A bid for the SCAC only because the better team Centenary is not eligible this year.

Chapman looks like it may miss the playoffs for the 2nd consecutive year after playing in the Championship Game in 2011. 2014 could be their year will such a young team in 2013.

Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: MIACLUV on March 30, 2013, 11:11:19 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 29, 2013, 02:29:48 PM
Quote from: MIACLUV on March 29, 2013, 12:03:20 PM
Soooo... how about those rankings  ;D

I thought about posting the same thing last night haha.

Anyone other than St. Thomas warrant consideration from the MIAC? I've been wondering about Hamline and Bethel but I'm not there yet.
They have to be in the talks, they held pitching to throw at the University of Minnesota and it cost them a couple games against Stout but played Minnesota well in a 3-1 loss. Also had a very nice spring trip picking up good wins over UW-Lacrosse and Buena Vista. In the LAX game they knocked out Joel Effertz after 4.2 innings on 9 hits and 8 ER. For those that don't know who that kid is, you will! Senior transfer from the University of Virginia that has been drafted twice with a low to mid 90's fastball and 2-3 secondary pitches to go along with it. Saw LAX in their first games of the year and it was impressive. Scouts had him still sitting 93 in the 6th inning when they pulled him out.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 30, 2013, 12:32:34 PM
Quote from: Just_Some_Guy on March 30, 2013, 09:54:41 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 28, 2013, 08:25:06 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on March 28, 2013, 05:08:39 PM
Speaking of this what are the prospects for a SAA team getting into a regional this year?

Decent maybe? I think Huntingdon is the top Pool B down south but Millsaps or BSC could certainly play their way in. Case Western Reserve and Washington STL are candidates as well. Then of course there's Ithaca and St. John Fisher, and then who knows what anyone will do with St. Joes Brooklyn if they keep this pace.

Huntingdon has played well against the SAA this year and also took 2 of 3 from Emory so they may be a pool B lock for the South, but I'm wondering how the 2 losses to Mississippi College will impact their road to the regional. The Choctaws are 12-15 and in danger of not making the ASC tournament this year. I guess we'll see if MC can complete the sweep today.

A few other observations from out West (team's current D3baseball ranking in parenthesis):

  • Linfield (1) continues to look like a top tier team in the country.
  • Trinity's (3) 2 losses to Centenary will certainly drop them in the polls.
  • UT Tyler (14) struggled on the bump against Ozarks; will be nice to see them against Centenary next week.
  • Texas Lutheran (RV) has quietly gone 9-0 in conference play so far beating people they're supposed to beat.
  • The SCIAC still looks like a 2 horse race with Cal Lu (RV) & Pomona (RV) both taking care of business yesterday.
  • After dropping 2 of 3 to Whitman last week GFU is trying to stay in the Pool C hunt despite a 3 game series with Linfield left.

JSG

They really don't like playing against Mississippi teams, do they? 0-4 against Millsaps and Miss College now.  Obviously it doesn't help but I'm not seeing many other Pool B's setting the world on fire either. They also have probably the best in-region win anyone will have all year, having split at Marietta.

Seedings are pretty much bunk. You're either in or you're out.

I've been saying Linfield was national #1 for about a month or so now, and Cal Lu #2 out west. Then GFU, P-P and UT-Tyler in one order or another. Tyler was on the road and only lost 1 of 3, so not sure they should be out of that group yet.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on March 30, 2013, 12:55:31 PM
Linfield will stay #1 until they lose

Trinity TX will drop out of top 5

After that will check back in on Monday.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Babe Truth on March 30, 2013, 04:38:12 PM
Quote from: MIACLUV on March 30, 2013, 11:11:19 AM
Quote from: Spence on March 29, 2013, 02:29:48 PM
Quote from: MIACLUV on March 29, 2013, 12:03:20 PM
Soooo... how about those rankings  ;D

I thought about posting the same thing last night haha.

Anyone other than St. Thomas warrant consideration from the MIAC? I've been wondering about Hamline and Bethel but I'm not there yet.
They have to be in the talks, they held pitching to throw at the University of Minnesota and it cost them a couple games against Stout but played Minnesota well in a 3-1 loss. Also had a very nice spring trip picking up good wins over UW-Lacrosse and Buena Vista. In the LAX game they knocked out Joel Effertz after 4.2 innings on 9 hits and 8 ER. For those that don't know who that kid is, you will! Senior transfer from the University of Virginia that has been drafted twice with a low to mid 90's fastball and 2-3 secondary pitches to go along with it. Saw LAX in their first games of the year and it was impressive. Scouts had him still sitting 93 in the 6th inning when they pulled him out.

Yes Hamiline had an impressive comeback win over La Crosse after trailing 8-0 with Effertz on the mound.  They hit him and he was a bit wild, but actually only 1 of the 9 runs was earned.  In fact, he's only surrendered 2 ER so far for a 0.79 ERA, but has been victimized by a normally decent defense into also giving up 17 unearned runs over the four starts.   His Thursday start was an impressive return to form, pounding the zone vs. St. Scholastica and allowing just one hit over 7 to get the win.  He's the real deal with more than just a good fastball.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on March 30, 2013, 04:47:46 PM
Ramapo gets a dramatic sweep, winning both games over Rowan in come-from-behind fashion. The second game ended on a play at the plate on a fly ball. Ramapo got the out and won 6-5.

Pretty legitimizing road sweep. 
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: rob on March 31, 2013, 04:17:51 PM
With a Linfield loss this week, will we have another new #1?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 04:09:02 AM
Quote from: rob on March 31, 2013, 04:17:51 PM
With a Linfield loss this week, will we have another new #1?
I would say yes...Cortland is one that did not lose...Linfield and Trinity lose and should both drop in the polls along with Salisbury. Lose you should drop and win and you should rise. IMO
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 01, 2013, 04:01:20 PM
I think Linfield was #1 by a significant enough amount that they should stay there. No guarantee that they will.

Starting to look really familiar in the top 15 or so.

1. Linfield
2. Cortland State
3. St. Thomas
4. St. Scholastica
5. Webster
6. Wheaton (Mass.)
7. UW-Whitewater
8. Marietta
9. Ramapo
10. UW-Stevens Point
11. Cal Lutheran
12. Kean
13. Johns Hopkins
14. Keystone
15. Wartburg
16. Manchester
17. UT-Tyler
18. Illinois Wesleyan
19. Salisbury
20. George Fox
21. Huntingdon
22. Haverford
23. Benedictine
24. Augustana
25. Misericordia
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: rob on April 01, 2013, 04:42:24 PM
Quote from: Spence on April 01, 2013, 04:01:20 PM
I think Linfield was #1 by a significant enough amount that they should stay there. No guarantee that they will.

Starting to look really familiar in the top 15 or so.

1. Linfield
2. Cortland State
3. St. Thomas
4. St. Scholastica
5. Webster
6. Wheaton (Mass.)

You may be right, Linfield could stay at #1.  I'm not sure what being "#1 by a significant enough amount" means though.  According to the poll itself there weren't many votes separating the top 5 or so teams.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 01, 2013, 04:57:47 PM
Quote from: rob on April 01, 2013, 04:42:24 PM
Quote from: Spence on April 01, 2013, 04:01:20 PM
I think Linfield was #1 by a significant enough amount that they should stay there. No guarantee that they will.

Starting to look really familiar in the top 15 or so.

1. Linfield
2. Cortland State
3. St. Thomas
4. St. Scholastica
5. Webster
6. Wheaton (Mass.)

You may be right, Linfield could stay at #1.  I'm not sure what being "#1 by a significant enough amount" means though.  According to the poll itself there weren't many votes separating the top 5 or so teams.

Well, I've thought Linfield was #1 for the last month. The poll hasn't. So obviously the poll voters aren't as impressed by them as I am.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 05:35:33 PM
IMO Linfield lost this weekend and they should move down from #1. Cortland won and should move up to #1.  Linfield's loss was to Puget Sound(11-15). Use facts not gut feel and opinion to support your views.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Whatagame on April 01, 2013, 06:46:41 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 05:35:33 PM
IMO Linfield lost this weekend and they should move down from #1. Cortland won and should move up to #1.  Linfield's loss was to Puget Sound(11-15). Use facts not gut feel and opinion to support your views.

Puget has played a strange schedule I think, with 7 of their losses coming against NAIA teams.  While not ideal for Linfield, dropping a single game to Puget (on a late inning grand slam) from a 3 game series is not the end-of-the-world in the scheme of things for Linfield.  Puget did sweep PLU, and PLU isn't terrible by any stretch of the imagination.  It's like CLU or Pomona-Pitzer dropping a game during a series to a Whittier or a Chapman, scrappy little squads, but also each well below .500 overall.

But, they lost a game, so I suppose Cortland St. should move ahead, let's see what transpires.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Just_Some_Guy on April 01, 2013, 06:47:32 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 05:35:33 PM
IMO Linfield lost this weekend and they should move down from #1. Cortland won and should move up to #1.  Linfield's loss was to Puget Sound(11-15). Use facts not gut feel and opinion to support your views.

Seems unnecessary. Don't have to agree with Spence. Don't even have to like the guy, but he clearly puts a fair amount of thought into his rankings. I primarily follow the west region so I appreciate it when guys like Spence, Big Poppa, Ricky and others provide their nation-wide insights. It gives me a frame of reference to dive a bit deeper where I'm unfamiliar.

Most of us don't get paid to spend any time here and our personal rankings don't matter in the scheme of things. Hell, the current top 25 doesn't even really matter in the scheme of things. There's no right or wrong way to go about providing our own personal opinions and insights. I'd venture Spence does it a bit more objectively than most. Providing rationale why for why you disagree based on W/L makes sense. Attacking his approach to sharing his top 25 doesn't.

But that's just my $0.02 and it's probably not worth that.

JSG
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Westside on April 01, 2013, 06:53:00 PM
If we were to look 'just at facts', Linfield would still be ahead of Cortland State. Sure, Linfield lost a game last week, but they are still 20-4 compared to Cortland State being 17-4. If you ignore overall record, every team that went undefeated last week would jump Linfield...
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 01, 2013, 07:21:48 PM
Basically, I think Linfield was ahead of #2 by enough that they could lose to a middle of the road (far from the worst) NWC team and still be #1.

After the loss, Linfield is 18-3 against D-III and Cortland is 17-4. That doesn't say everything, but I don't think the different in schedules is enough that there's more than 1-loss difference.

Linfield beat Pac Lu, swept at Whitworth and has taken at least 2 of 3 from everyone in league play. Their next 10 or so games will truly tell the measure of them, but I think they've already played some pretty good opponents. I don't expect them to go undefeated in April and don't think it's a sign of weakness if they don't. 3 at Pac Lu, 3 at Pomona-Pitzer, 1 at LaVerne, and then home for 3 against George Fox. Doubt anyone outside New Jersey is playing that kind of schedule in a 3 week stretch in April. Even 8-2 would be really good.

Cortland had some ups and downs against a very strong southern schedule before running off a winning streak against weaker competition up north. That's basically what they do every year and it's pretty hard to argue with their results.

I think they're both really good teams.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 01, 2013, 09:16:56 PM
Quote from: Just_Some_Guy on April 01, 2013, 06:47:32 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 05:35:33 PM
IMO Linfield lost this weekend and they should move down from #1. Cortland won and should move up to #1.  Linfield's loss was to Puget Sound(11-15). Use facts not gut feel and opinion to support your views.

Seems unnecessary. Don't have to agree with Spence. Don't even have to like the guy, but he clearly puts a fair amount of thought into his rankings. I primarily follow the west region so I appreciate it when guys like Spence, Big Poppa, Ricky and others provide their nation-wide insights. It gives me a frame of reference to dive a bit deeper where I'm unfamiliar.

Most of us don't get paid to spend any time here and our personal rankings don't matter in the scheme of things. Hell, the current top 25 doesn't even really matter in the scheme of things. There's no right or wrong way to go about providing our own personal opinions and insights. I'd venture Spence does it a bit more objectively than most. Providing rationale why for why you disagree based on W/L makes sense. Attacking his approach to sharing his top 25 doesn't.

But that's just my $0.02 and it's probably not worth that.

JSG

Thanks. I appreciate this and it's all exactly right. I used to get upset about teams being IMO improperly rated but fortunately this isn't D-I football -- it all comes out in the end, even moreso now with larger regionals. If you've got a weakness, you can pretty much count on it being found in the regional. It wasn't always like that.

But I do still try to do my best. If nothing else, it helps me keep an eye on what is happening nationwide thanks to d3baseball.com. Anyone that was around back in the listserv days knows how much easier keeping up with the nation is thanks to the work of those associated with the site. I really think they get better every year. And now I live in a state that has no D-III sports of any kind, so I'm more dependent on it than ever.

I was a little upset when I read Crash's post, but then I saw this and that upset was totally replaced.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 10:28:29 PM
Nothing to be upset about. Everyone has an opinion. No one is right or wrong and these are just polls for discussions. I can tell you coaches and players never care what we say or do on these boards. I am sure there are good reasons people have their views.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Boysofsummer21 on April 01, 2013, 11:12:10 PM
I am really liking me so Rampo and Johns Hopkins is it to early to get on that wagon?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 02, 2013, 11:33:42 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 10:28:29 PM
Nothing to be upset about. Everyone has an opinion. No one is right or wrong and these are just polls for discussions. I can tell you coaches and players never care what we say or do on these boards. I am sure there are good reasons people have their views.

Fair enough.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Mike Falk on April 02, 2013, 11:47:06 AM
The American Baseball Coaches Association/Collegiate Baseball poll for games through March 31 is out

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/sports/abcapoll.html

Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on April 02, 2013, 12:02:49 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 10:28:29 PM
Nothing to be upset about. Everyone has an opinion. No one is right or wrong and these are just polls for discussions. I can tell you coaches and players never care what we say or do on these boards. I am sure there are good reasons people have their views.

I beg to differ... at times, I have been contacted by coaches (and quality coaches at that) who ask my thoughts and opinions on what this board says and does. Believe it or not, much of the nation pays close attention to what we do and say. We may THINK we don't have any impact, but my experiences would say differently.

(especially near tourney time... people want outside opinions on where others feel they stand)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 02, 2013, 12:25:07 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on April 02, 2013, 12:02:49 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 01, 2013, 10:28:29 PM
Nothing to be upset about. Everyone has an opinion. No one is right or wrong and these are just polls for discussions. I can tell you coaches and players never care what we say or do on these boards. I am sure there are good reasons people have their views.

I beg to differ... at times, I have been contacted by coaches (and quality coaches at that) who ask my thoughts and opinions on what this board says and does. Believe it or not, much of the nation pays close attention to what we do and say. We may THINK we don't have any impact, but my experiences would say differently.

(especially near tourney time... people want outside opinions on where others feel they stand)
I guess I am wrong again. Not the first and it wont be the last. It's great to get feedback from people who have access to more information.

The D3 Top 25 is starting to shape up now with most teams with a good chunk of games under their belt. It is good to see teams now rise when then win and teams drop when they lose. It's great to see teams are being evaluated for their results on the field now and not what they may do or what they did in prior years.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on April 02, 2013, 01:01:20 PM
Quote from: Boysofsummer21 on April 01, 2013, 11:12:10 PM
I am really liking me so Rampo and Johns Hopkins is it to early to get on that wagon?
Nope. Glad to have you on the bandwagon. It's been lonely.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 02, 2013, 01:15:39 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on April 02, 2013, 01:01:20 PM
Quote from: Boysofsummer21 on April 01, 2013, 11:12:10 PM
I am really liking me so Rampo and Johns Hopkins is it to early to get on that wagon?
Nope. Glad to have you on the bandwagon. It's been lonely.
A good case can be made for Rampo as #1....
http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/isr/d3_isr.html
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: OshDude on April 02, 2013, 01:26:52 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 02, 2013, 01:15:39 PM
Quote from: Ricky Nelson on April 02, 2013, 01:01:20 PM
Quote from: Boysofsummer21 on April 01, 2013, 11:12:10 PM
I am really liking me so Rampo and Johns Hopkins is it to early to get on that wagon?
Nope. Glad to have you on the bandwagon. It's been lonely.
A good case can be made for Rampo as #1....
http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/isr/d3_isr.html
The Roadrunners did get one first-place vote this week.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Whatagame on April 04, 2013, 07:57:06 PM
Interesting to compare the D3.com Top 25 versus the ABCA versus Boyd's ISR's for this week.  Things are starting to fall into place, although the ABCA and Boyd's are valuing the resumes of Cal Lutheran, George Fox and Pomona-Pitzer higher than D3 poll.

The strength of schedule numbers between Boyd's and D3.com are still very different from each other, even with a large majority of teams in the nation having played at least 12 - 15 games.  Who's got it correct?

Personally, I like the Boyd's World SOS, it seems to reward a more even mixture of teams across the country who have made the decision to play tough schedules.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on April 04, 2013, 09:59:45 PM
The D3baseball.com SoS is based on in-region games only(which is what is used when handing out bids)... Boyd's is an overall rating... Someone correct me if 8 I am wrong.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 05, 2013, 01:03:01 AM
In 2014 Regional Rankings will be based on ALL D3 games played not just in region. If I am wrong please correct me.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on April 05, 2013, 09:42:48 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 05, 2013, 01:03:01 AM
In 2014 Regional Rankings will be based on ALL D3 games played not just in region. If I am wrong please correct me.

I believe you are correct... it will interesting to see how this plays out. There will surely be a team this year left out based on the 2013 criteris that would be in based on the 2014 criteria and vice-versa.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 05, 2013, 06:49:40 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on April 05, 2013, 09:42:48 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 05, 2013, 01:03:01 AM
In 2014 Regional Rankings will be based on ALL D3 games played not just in region. If I am wrong please correct me.

I believe you are correct... it will interesting to see how this plays out. There will surely be a team this year left out based on the 2013 criteris that would be in based on the 2014 criteria and vice-versa.
All I got to say to many teams is win your a Pool A Bid and you don't stay home. That just leaves the Pool B/Pool C teams that have to leave it up to the MAGIC formula and committee to get in.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 05, 2013, 07:21:34 PM
The "magic formula" is play good teams whenever you can and win more of them than you lose, and do well in your league.

It was a lot worse 6-12 years ago, when getting a Pool C berth meant despite losing your league you were a national championship contender.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Patriotfan87 on April 05, 2013, 11:18:51 PM
UTT takes game 1 from Centenary 7-4.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Patriotfan87 on April 07, 2013, 12:27:41 AM
UTT splits the DH with Centenary (4-6 / 8-5) to win the series.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on April 07, 2013, 10:26:04 PM
Quote from: Whatagame on April 04, 2013, 07:57:06 PM
Interesting to compare the D3.com Top 25 versus the ABCA versus Boyd's ISR's for this week.  Things are starting to fall into place, although the ABCA and Boyd's are valuing the resumes of Cal Lutheran, George Fox and Pomona-Pitzer higher than D3 poll.

The strength of schedule numbers between Boyd's and D3.com are still very different from each other, even with a large majority of teams in the nation having played at least 12 - 15 games.  Who's got it correct?

Personally, I like the Boyd's World SOS, it seems to reward a more even mixture of teams across the country who have made the decision to play tough schedules.
Agree
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 08, 2013, 01:43:07 AM
In case anyone cares, here's what I've got for a top 25 for the week.

Re: the ISRs, I look at it but I'm not married to it.

1. Linfield
2. St. Thomas
3. UW-Whitewater
4. UW-Stevens Point
5. Cal Lutheran
6. Kean
7. Johns Hopkins
8. St. Scholastica
9. Webster
10. Wheaton (Mass.)
11. Manchester
12. Illinois Wesleyan
13. Wartburg
14. UT-Tyler
15. Marietta
16. Cortland State
17. Ramapo
18. Keystone
19. Salisbury
20. George Fox
21. Huntingdon
22. Haverford
23. Augustana
24. Misericordia
25. Southern Maine
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 08, 2013, 11:52:15 AM
Lot of losses this past week for Top 25. I would expect a new #1.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on April 08, 2013, 12:55:58 PM
Quote from: Spence on April 08, 2013, 01:43:07 AM
In case anyone cares, here's what I've got for a top 25 for the week.

Re: the ISRs, I look at it but I'm not married to it.

1. Linfield
2. St. Thomas
3. UW-Whitewater
4. UW-Stevens Point
5. Cal Lutheran
6. Kean
7. Johns Hopkins
8. St. Scholastica
9. Webster
10. Wheaton (Mass.)
11. Manchester
12. Illinois Wesleyan
13. Wartburg
14. UT-Tyler
15. Marietta
16. Cortland State
17. Ramapo
18. Keystone
19. Salisbury
20. George Fox
21. Huntingdon
22. Haverford
23. Augustana
24. Misericordia
25. Southern Maine
Wouldn't DOMA prevent you from marrying ISR's anyway?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Mike Falk on April 09, 2013, 11:35:21 AM
The ABCA/Collegiate Baseball poll for this week is out

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/sports/abcapoll.html
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: CrashDavisD3 on April 09, 2013, 11:35:39 AM
A new #1. Teams lose drop, teams win rise.

http://www.d3baseball.com/top25/2013/2013week-7

Trivia question:

Which team has beaten 4 top 25 teams this year(1,10,18, 22) in this week's poll BUT has a losing record.  ??? ??? ???
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 09, 2013, 12:31:47 PM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on April 09, 2013, 11:35:39 AM
A new #1. Teams lose drop, teams win rise.

http://www.d3baseball.com/top25/2013/2013week-7

Trivia question:

Which team has beaten 4 top 25 teams this year(1,10,18, 22) in this week's poll BUT has a losing record.  ??? ??? ???

I assumed it was Chapman without even looking at their schedule. Kean's only loss to a losing team is to Chapman.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on April 09, 2013, 12:52:38 PM
I would have guessed Chapman as well. A true Jeckly and Hyde team this season.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 09, 2013, 12:56:45 PM
Really surprised Whitewater was ranked so low. 15-3 team, very solid pre-conference schedule.


Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: doodlesdad on April 11, 2013, 03:59:06 AM
Kean is 2-3 against the SCIAC this year, while Linfield is 1-1 with four games down here this weekend (three with Pomona-Pitzer, one with La Verne), Trinity (Texas) is 2-1 and George Fox is 3-3. All are ranked higher in the D3.com than SCIAC leader Cal Lutheran and No. 2 Pomona-Pitzer. Overall, the SCIAC is a solid 46-38-1 in nonconference play; take out the two dreadful bottom feeders (Claremont-Mudd-Scripss and Caltech), plus subpar Chapman and Whittier (all below .500), and the top five are 36-12-1. 8-)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 11, 2013, 10:38:32 AM
Let me know when some of these teams play true road games against in-form teams from the north and east.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on April 11, 2013, 11:51:35 AM
Sorry to say Spence this usually happens in Appleton, and usually they lose.....
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 11, 2013, 12:04:45 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on April 11, 2013, 11:51:35 AM
Sorry to say Spence this usually happens in Appleton, and usually they lose.....

I don't think a SCIAC team has ever been to Appleton. Chapman did of course, but before they were in the SCIAC. Cal Lu and Laverne went to Salem, and there they did quite well. But that's been quite a while now. Maybe Cal Lu will have the stuff this year.

FWIW I expect some of these cross-country no-return-game arrangements will be harder to come by in the game-is-a-game era.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Bishopleftiesdad on April 11, 2013, 01:53:09 PM
I agree with Spence on this. Why would an east team travel across the country early in their season, play against teams in mid season form and let it ding them.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on April 11, 2013, 04:33:09 PM
Quote from: Spence on April 11, 2013, 12:04:45 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on April 11, 2013, 11:51:35 AM
Sorry to say Spence this usually happens in Appleton, and usually they lose.....

I don't think a SCIAC team has ever been to Appleton. Chapman did of course, but before they were in the SCIAC. Cal Lu and Laverne went to Salem, and there they did quite well. But that's been quite a while now. Maybe Cal Lu will have the stuff this year.

FWIW I expect some of these cross-country no-return-game arrangements will be harder to come by in the game-is-a-game era.
Which has been one of my objections to the change in the rules, too.

Kean and Ithaca can go to Florida and play teams that are at the same stage of development.

The old arrangement would permit a coach to experiment with players and lineups against comparable talent and not suffer major consequences.  I think that the committees had a good handle on how to judge these games by secondary criteria.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on April 11, 2013, 04:34:58 PM
Quote from: doodlesdad on April 11, 2013, 03:59:06 AM
Kean is 2-3 against the SCIAC this year, while Linfield is 1-1 with four games down here this weekend (three with Pomona-Pitzer, one with La Verne), Trinity (Texas) is 2-1 and George Fox is 3-3. All are ranked higher in the D3.com than SCIAC leader Cal Lutheran and No. 2 Pomona-Pitzer. Overall, the SCIAC is a solid 46-38-1 in nonconference play; take out the two dreadful bottom feeders (Claremont-Mudd-Scripss and Caltech), plus subpar Chapman and Whittier (all below .500), and the top five are 36-12-1. 8-)
We have seen the SCIAC in action against other region teams over the last decade.  They have not excelled against the outside competition.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 13, 2013, 09:20:15 PM
And as if on cue, Linfield sweeps Pomona-Pitzer in dominant fashion.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: wildcat11 on April 14, 2013, 12:15:46 AM
Quote from: Spence on April 13, 2013, 09:20:15 PM
And as if on cue, Linfield sweeps Pomona-Pitzer in dominant fashion.

Smoked 'em.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Jack Parkman on April 14, 2013, 05:02:54 PM
I think this weekend shows how little Pomona has on the mound.  The only way I see the SCIAC getting 2 bids after this weekend is if CLU doesn't win the conference tournament.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 14, 2013, 06:04:24 PM
To me it shows how good Linfield is. Long trip, 4 true road games in 4 days, all pretty solid wins assuming they don't let 12-0 get away.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Jack Parkman on April 14, 2013, 06:25:54 PM
Quote from: Spence on April 14, 2013, 06:04:24 PM
To me it shows how good Linfield is. Long trip, 4 true road games in 4 days, all pretty solid wins assuming they don't let 12-0 get away.

Absolutely, was not at all taking anything away from Linfield as they have gone on the road and flat out destroyed Pomona and are in the process of destroying La Verne.  This shows how good the NWC is as well as that has been an extremely competitive conference this year.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 14, 2013, 06:51:35 PM
1. Linfield
2. St. Thomas
3. UW-Whitewater
4. Cal Lutheran
5. Johns Hopkins
6. UW-Stevens Point
7. Kean
8. St. Scholastica
9. Webster
10. Southern Maine
11. Manchester
12. Illinois Wesleyan
13. Wartburg
14. Wheaton (Mass.)
15. UT-Tyler
16. Marietta
17. Cortland State
18. Ramapo
19. George Fox
20. Huntingdon
21. Salisbury
22. Millsaps
23. Augustana
24. Ithaca
25. Case Western Reserve
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: JohnnyU on April 19, 2013, 03:27:51 PM
I don't know if I think these are the BEST 50 teams in the country but I think they are 50 most likely to be selected for Pool C (or B) in order of most likely:

Team
Southern Maine
UW-Whitewater
St. Thomas
Johns Hopkins
Kean
Ithaca
Marietta
Ramapo
Illinois Wesleyan
Eastern Connecticut
St. Olaf
Texas-Tyler
Linfield
Huntingdon
Rowan
Cortland State
Wooster
Tufts
Salisbury
Washington U.
Misericordia
Wartburg
Endicott
William Paterson
DeSales
UW-Stevens Point
Wheaton (Mass.)
Adrian
RPI
Coe
Bridgewater (Va.)
Case Western Reserve
Benedictine
Western New England
Concordia (Ill.)
Salve Regina
St. John Fisher
Webster
Amherst
Union
Kenyon
Alvernia
Coast Guard
Millsaps
Denison
MIT
George Fox
Keystone
Manchester
Haverford
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on April 19, 2013, 05:13:08 PM
Here is Spence's Top 25 and how they would make the playoffs, if current "seeding" stood.


Quote from: Spence on April 14, 2013, 06:51:35 PM
1. Linfield
2. St. Thomas
3. UW-Whitewater
4. Cal Lutheran
5. Johns Hopkins
6. UW-Stevens Point                                         POOL C
7. Kean
8. St. Scholastica
9. Webster
10. Southern Maine
11. Manchester
12. Illinois Wesleyan
13. Wartburg
14. Wheaton (Mass.)
15. UT-Tyler
16. Marietta
17. Cortland State
18. Ramapo                                                           POOL C 
19. George Fox                                                      POOL C  
20. Huntingdon              POOL B   
21. Salisbury
22. Millsaps              POOL B       
23. Augustana                                                     POOL C
24. Ithaca                POOL B
25. Case Western Reserve   POOL B/C depending on whether there will be 3 or 4 Pool B bids when the final Handbook comes out
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 19, 2013, 08:24:25 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on April 19, 2013, 05:13:08 PM
Here is Spence's Top 25 and how they would make the playoffs, if current "seeding" stood.


Quote from: Spence on April 14, 2013, 06:51:35 PM
1. Linfield
2. St. Thomas
3. UW-Whitewater
4. Cal Lutheran
5. Johns Hopkins
6. UW-Stevens Point                                         POOL C
7. Kean
8. St. Scholastica
9. Webster
10. Southern Maine
11. Manchester
12. Illinois Wesleyan
13. Wartburg
14. Wheaton (Mass.)
15. UT-Tyler
16. Marietta
17. Cortland State
18. Ramapo                                                           POOL C 
19. George Fox                                                      POOL C  
20. Huntingdon              POOL B   
21. Salisbury
22. Millsaps              POOL B       
23. Augustana                                                     POOL C
24. Ithaca                POOL B
25. Case Western Reserve   POOL B/C depending on whether there will be 3 or 4 Pool B bids when the final Handbook comes out

Subject to change, and in fact probably already has. :) Millsaps lost to Rhodes, and Case split a DH with...Oberlin. Yikes. Case has a ton of games coming up though.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on April 19, 2013, 10:14:07 PM
Fun time of year!   :)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Spence on April 20, 2013, 01:28:40 AM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on April 19, 2013, 10:14:07 PM
Fun time of year!   :)

Yeah.

Also, national rankings aren't necessarily going to look like regional rankings because I'm looking at all games.

Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on May 10, 2016, 02:33:33 PM
Johns Hopkins loses 4 of it's last 6, the Conf championship (won by Haverford), finishes 1/2 game over Haverford in Conf by virtue of a tie and goes 0-4 agst Haverford, yet JHU gets 3 Top 25 votes to Haverfords 2. . . . .  Voters please pay attention.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on May 10, 2016, 02:52:18 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on May 10, 2016, 02:33:33 PM
Johns Hopkins loses 4 of it's last 6, the Conf championship (won by Haverford), finishes 1/2 game over Haverford in Conf by virtue of a tie and goes 0-4 agst Haverford, yet JHU gets 3 Top 25 votes to Haverfords 2. . . . .  Voters please pay attention.

The vote doesn't ONLY take into account conference games... it looks at a lot of factors. All that really matters in the NCAA Regional Rankings, not the Top 25 Poll. Hopkins is 4th while Haverford in 7th in the latest Mid-Atlantic Regional Ranking.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: 108 Stitches on May 10, 2016, 02:54:54 PM
The top 25 means nothing at this point, only winning your conference and the regional rankings.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Hammer Ball on May 12, 2016, 12:13:18 PM
Quote from: BigPoppa on May 10, 2016, 02:52:18 PM
Quote from: Hammer Ball on May 10, 2016, 02:33:33 PM
Johns Hopkins loses 4 of it's last 6, the Conf championship (won by Haverford), finishes 1/2 game over Haverford in Conf by virtue of a tie and goes 0-4 agst Haverford, yet JHU gets 3 Top 25 votes to Haverfords 2. . . . .  Voters please pay attention.

The vote doesn't ONLY take into account conference games... it looks at a lot of factors. All that really matters in the NCAA Regional Rankings, not the Top 25 Poll. Hopkins is 4th while Haverford in 7th in the latest Mid-Atlantic Regional Ranking.

Sure. Know that. But as between 2 teams i thought head to head and similar opponents would count more.  Plus I think only Haverford has beaten a present Top 25 Team (TCNJ). But i am not certain on that.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: ElRetornodelEspencio on May 14, 2016, 10:30:25 PM
Haverford is now ahead of Hopkins in the regional rankings.

There will probably be teams in the top 25 that won't get bids. Occidental is unlikely to, and Buena Vista, St. Thomas and Wartburg will likely all be on the bubble. There may be a couple more depending on how much the committee adjusts the regional rankings.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on May 15, 2016, 08:58:27 PM
Quote from: ElRetornodelEspencio on May 14, 2016, 10:30:25 PM
Haverford is now ahead of Hopkins in the regional rankings.

There will probably be teams in the top 25 that won't get bids. Occidental is unlikely to, and Buena Vista, St. Thomas and Wartburg will likely all be on the bubble. There may be a couple more depending on how much the committee adjusts the regional rankings.

A weekend full of upsets didn't help the bubble teams.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on May 28, 2018, 02:26:07 PM
Here is an update of how the Week #12 Top 25 performed in the 2018 National Championships.  The W-L records are as before the start of the NCAA tourney.





#   School (1st votes)   Rec   Pts   Prev.  Reg Rec. (Standing**)World Series
....
1   UW-Whitewater (19)   31-6   618   12-3 (3)*
2   Rowan (3)   33-9   566   42-2 (4)*
3   Mass-Boston   34-8   560   54-2 (2) New Eng Reg*
4   Wooster (3)   36-8   539   24-0 (1)0-2
5   Randolph-Macon   31-7-1   508   34-0 (1)Bracket Finalist 2-2
6   Texas Lutheran   34-9   452   64-0 (1)Finalist 4-1
7   UW-Oshkosh   31-8   423   73-2 (2) Midwest Reg *
8   Concordia-Chicago   33-12   383   105-1 (1)Bracket Finalist 2-2
9   Cortland   32-10   368   93-2 (3)*
10   Salisbury   33-10   348   151-2 (4)*
11   TCNJ   28-9   325   121-2 (4)*
12   Franklin   38-3   307   141-2 (4)*
13   Christopher Newport   32-10   281   113-2 (2) South Reg*
14   La Roche   34-8-1   263   161-2 (4)*
15   Chapman   34-11   259   191-2 (4)*
16   Shenandoah   34-10   246   181-2 (4)*
17   Trinity (Texas)   33-9   238   8not selected*
18   Webster   36-8   228   202-2 (3)*
19   Redlands   33-11   196   170-2 (5)*
20   Roanoke   31-11   184   13not selected*
21   Keystone   34-10   136   212-2 (4)*
22   Oswego State   26-12   126   234-0 (1) 0-2
23   Babson   32-10   97   rv3-2 (2) Mid-Atl Reg*

24   Southern Maine   
27-13   62   223-2 (2) New York Reg *
25   Adrian   33-10   56   rv2-2 (3)*
.
RV Swarthmore 32-917rv4-0 (1)1-2
RV  Rhodes 29-1411rv3-2 (2) Central Reg*
*
*  Misericordia 31-12****5-1 (1)1-2
*  Texas- Tyler 29-16**rv6-1 (1)3-1 Finalist
*   Wabash 28-15****4-2 (2) Mideast Reg**
*   Willamette 28-17****3-2 (2) West Reg**

Standings**

(1)  Won the regional
(2)  Regional Finalist
(3)  Elimination bracket finalist
(4)  Won at least 1 game in the Regionals
(5)  Went 0-2 in the Regionals



Corrections are always appreciated.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 17, 2019, 04:33:13 PM
Anyone have a list compiled of the top records in D3 as of today? I am curious to see how many wins some teams have already piled up while other parts of the country are still shoveling out.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Pat Coleman on March 18, 2019, 12:23:51 PM
This would be the place to look:
https://www.d3baseball.com/seasons/2019/index
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on March 18, 2019, 06:23:44 PM
Thanks, Pat!
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on January 27, 2023, 12:35:39 PM
https://www.d3baseball.com/top25/2023/2023Top25-week-0

I noticed the vote distribution in the Top 25. There is a very solid opinion about the top 6 teams. Were Marietta Pioneers (499 votes) to have been given 6th place on all twenty-five ballots, they would have earned 500 votes.

Out of a possible 3325 votes for the top 6 teams, 3243 were awarded and #7 Chapman at 427 is almost 3 spots on the ballot lower.

That even holds for Wooster at #22 receiving 124 votes. (The "perfect #22" would have received 100 votes.)
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: BigPoppa on January 30, 2023, 04:27:21 PM
Can't wait for the season to get rolling!

Any predictions for top 2-3 teams in each region?
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on February 11, 2023, 12:42:46 PM
I am following the Regional previews. In the West, uh Region 10, Trinity and Chapman were noted but Chapman already has a loss.
Title: Re: Top 25 Discussion
Post by: Ralph Turner on March 27, 2023, 12:17:31 AM
McMurry 9, Trinity TX 5

https://www.d3baseball.com/seasons/2023/boxscores/20230321_5v6g.xml

This was a mid-week game with pitch-by-committee. Trinity's Harrison Durow got in 4 good innings, but McMurry hit the remainder of the deep Trinity staff pretty well. I think that Coach Scannell was using this game to assess deeper aspects of the team