Figured instead of doing a year to year thread lets just keep one thread going forever like the NESCAC and others have. :)
Preseason Polls:
http://landmarkconference.org/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/8282017msocpreseason
2017 Landmark Men's Soccer Preseason Poll
Rank Institution Points (First-Place Votes)
1. Scranton 66 (5)
2. Elizabethtown 62 (3)
3. Drew 44
4. Catholic 27
4. Moravian 27
6. Susquehanna 26
7. Goucher 13
8. Juniata 7
http://www.csacsports.com/news/2017/8/23/general-centenary-top-pick-in-mens-soccer-preseason-poll.aspx
2017 CSAC Men's Soccer Preseason Poll
School Points (First-place votes)
Centenary 96 (8)
Cabrini 88 (1)
Immaculata 74
Neumann 71 (1)
Keystone 65
Marywood 43
Gwynedd Mercy 38
Cairn 36
Rosemont 22
Clarks Summit 17
http://www.gomacsports.com/news/2017/8/21/MSOC_0821175533.aspx
2017 MAC Freedom Men's Soccer Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1 Eastern 44 (5)
2 Misericordia 40 (3)
3 Manhattanville 35
4 King's 34
5 DeSales 31
6 FDU-Florham 20
7 Wilkes 13
8 Delaware Valley 7
http://www.gomacsports.com/news/2017/8/21/MSOC_0821174009.aspx
2017 MAC Commonwealth Men's Soccer Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1 Messiah 64 (8)
2 Lebanon Valley 53
3 Lycoming 50
4 Alvernia 39
5 Arcadia 37
6 Hood 32
7 Stevenson 22
8 Widener 19
9 Albright 8
http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/Poll
2017 Centennial Conference Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1- Haverford 78 points (6 first-place votes)
2- Franklin & Marshall 73 (2)
3- Johns Hopkins 67 (2)
4- Gettysburg 55
5- Dickinson 50
6- Swarthmore 37
7- Washington College 33
8- Muhlenberg 31
9- Ursinus 16
10- McDaniel 10
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 29, 2017, 02:53:57 PM
Preseason Polls:
http://landmarkconference.org/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/8282017msocpreseason
2017 Landmark Men's Soccer Preseason Poll
Rank Institution Points (First-Place Votes)
1. Scranton 66 (5)
2. Elizabethtown 62 (3)
3. Drew 44
4. Catholic 27
4. Moravian 27
6. Susquehanna 26
7. Goucher 13
8. Juniata 7
http://www.csacsports.com/news/2017/8/23/general-centenary-top-pick-in-mens-soccer-preseason-poll.aspx
2017 CSAC Men's Soccer Preseason Poll
School Points (First-place votes)
Centenary 96 (8)
Cabrini 88 (1)
Immaculata 74
Neumann 71 (1)
Keystone 65
Marywood 43
Gwynedd Mercy 38
Cairn 36
Rosemont 22
Clarks Summit 17
http://www.gomacsports.com/news/2017/8/21/MSOC_0821175533.aspx
2017 MAC Freedom Men's Soccer Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1 Eastern 44 (5)
2 Misericordia 40 (3)
3 Manhattanville 35
4 King's 34
5 DeSales 31
6 FDU-Florham 20
7 Wilkes 13
8 Delaware Valley 7
http://www.gomacsports.com/news/2017/8/21/MSOC_0821174009.aspx
2017 MAC Commonwealth Men's Soccer Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1 Messiah 64 (8)
2 Lebanon Valley 53
3 Lycoming 50
4 Alvernia 39
5 Arcadia 37
6 Hood 32
7 Stevenson 22
8 Widener 19
9 Albright 8
http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/Poll
2017 Centennial Conference Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1- Haverford 78 points (6 first-place votes)
2- Franklin & Marshall 73 (2)
3- Johns Hopkins 67 (2)
4- Gettysburg 55
5- Dickinson 50
6- Swarthmore 37
7- Washington College 33
8- Muhlenberg 31
9- Ursinus 16
10- McDaniel 10
Dumb question but does this cover all the teams in the mid Atlantic?
Quote from: NEPAFAN on August 29, 2017, 03:12:08 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 29, 2017, 02:53:57 PM
Preseason Polls:
http://landmarkconference.org/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/8282017msocpreseason
2017 Landmark Men's Soccer Preseason Poll
Rank Institution Points (First-Place Votes)
1. Scranton 66 (5)
2. Elizabethtown 62 (3)
3. Drew 44
4. Catholic 27
4. Moravian 27
6. Susquehanna 26
7. Goucher 13
8. Juniata 7
http://www.csacsports.com/news/2017/8/23/general-centenary-top-pick-in-mens-soccer-preseason-poll.aspx
2017 CSAC Men's Soccer Preseason Poll
School Points (First-place votes)
Centenary 96 (8)
Cabrini 88 (1)
Immaculata 74
Neumann 71 (1)
Keystone 65
Marywood 43
Gwynedd Mercy 38
Cairn 36
Rosemont 22
Clarks Summit 17
http://www.gomacsports.com/news/2017/8/21/MSOC_0821175533.aspx
2017 MAC Freedom Men's Soccer Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1 Eastern 44 (5)
2 Misericordia 40 (3)
3 Manhattanville 35
4 King's 34
5 DeSales 31
6 FDU-Florham 20
7 Wilkes 13
8 Delaware Valley 7
http://www.gomacsports.com/news/2017/8/21/MSOC_0821174009.aspx
2017 MAC Commonwealth Men's Soccer Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1 Messiah 64 (8)
2 Lebanon Valley 53
3 Lycoming 50
4 Alvernia 39
5 Arcadia 37
6 Hood 32
7 Stevenson 22
8 Widener 19
9 Albright 8
http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/Poll
2017 Centennial Conference Coaches' Preseason Poll
Rank Team Points (1st Place Votes)
1- Haverford 78 points (6 first-place votes)
2- Franklin & Marshall 73 (2)
3- Johns Hopkins 67 (2)
4- Gettysburg 55
5- Dickinson 50
6- Swarthmore 37
7- Washington College 33
8- Muhlenberg 31
9- Ursinus 16
10- McDaniel 10
Dumb question but does this cover all the teams in the mid Atlantic?
Only poll that has not been released for teams in this region is the NEAC. Other than that I believe most teams are included in these conferences listed above.
Thanks.
Pre-season Landmark #1 Scranton faces off with CSAC Pre-season #1 Centenary tomorrow in Scranton.
Interesting day one results in the Mid-Atlantic.
Would have to say the three biggest winners were Lyco over RUC, Dickinson over William Paterson and Etown over Morrisville. Those three results show Lyco & Dickinson might be back while Etown is a contender again.
F&M not worried about as it looked like they dominated the game and got unlucky.
Haverford 3-0 over Cabrini - saw the game and they are a shell of what they were the last two years. They might be in for a long season.
Other good results:
Muhlenberg 2-1 over LVC
Messiah over 3-1 over Chapman
Eastern over Alvernia 3-1
Susquehanna over Ursinus 3-1
Quote from: backyarddawg on September 02, 2017, 08:18:28 AM
Interesting day one results in the Mid-Atlantic.
Would have to say the three biggest winners were Lyco over RUC, Dickinson over William Paterson and Etown over Morrisville. Those three results show Lyco & Dickinson might be back while Etown is a contender again.
F&M not worried about as it looked like they dominated the game and got unlucky.
Haverford 3-0 over Cabrini - saw the game and they are a shell of what they were the last two years. They might be in for a long season.
Other good results:
Muhlenberg 2-1 over LVC
Messiah over 3-1 over Chapman
Eastern over Alvernia 3-1
Susquehanna over Ursinus 3-1
Messiah pulls away 3-1 over Mary Washington. Jumpy video and no audio made it tough to watch. Messiah did not look to be at their best... but early in the season so a win against a couple quality sides with 3 goals in each game is a good start. They play at Haverford this week so that should be good indicator of where both teams are early in the season.
Quote from: backyarddawg on September 02, 2017, 08:18:28 AM
Interesting day one results in the Mid-Atlantic.
Would have to say the three biggest winners were Lyco over RUC, Dickinson over William Paterson and Etown over Morrisville. Those three results show Lyco & Dickinson might be back while Etown is a contender again.
F&M not worried about as it looked like they dominated the game and got unlucky.
Haverford 3-0 over Cabrini - saw the game and they are a shell of what they were the last two years. They might be in for a long season.
Other good results:
Muhlenberg 2-1 over LVC
Messiah over 3-1 over Chapman
Eastern over Alvernia 3-1
Susquehanna over Ursinus 3-1
Are you saying Haverford is a shell of what they were last year? Can you please provide more color?
Drew hammered two weak opponents in Mt. Ida (6-0) and Hunter (5-1), but was interesting is number of impact freshman they had.
W&L beat CNU 2-1 in a rain soaked physical match. Only saw the second half but W&L controlled the MF and CNUs defense was very shakey at best.
Gettysburg beat Salisbury in 1-0 OT. Only saw the first half, but Gettysburg moved the ball really well and Santini's speed caused fits for Salisbury defenders.
Losers from the weekend:
F&M
Etown
Misericordia
Alvernia
Morrisville St
F&M losing to Cal Lutheran is the big head scratcher of the weekend. That may hurt them down the road. Etown losing to W&P a day after putting up 7 goals also is a game to take note of. Morrisville State gives up 15 goals in 2 games this weekend...ouch. Misericordia also dropping both games this weekend is something to monitor.
Winners from the weekend:
Dickinson
Messiah
Lycoming
Gettysburg
Eastern
Scranton
Dickinson opens up with two strong performances putting up 12 goals in 2 games! Messiah wins a pair as expected both 3-1 and are off to a nice start. Lycoming comes away with a 2-0 start as well including possibly the biggest win of the weekend as they snuck away with a win at Rowan. Gettysburg has a nice start with two quality wins. Eastern and Scranton both take care of business as expected and are also off to a 2-0 start.
Still more games to come today around the region!
Quote from: D3soccerwatcher on September 03, 2017, 02:23:20 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on September 02, 2017, 08:18:28 AM
Interesting day one results in the Mid-Atlantic.
Would have to say the three biggest winners were Lyco over RUC, Dickinson over William Paterson and Etown over Morrisville. Those three results show Lyco & Dickinson might be back while Etown is a contender again.
F&M not worried about as it looked like they dominated the game and got unlucky.
Haverford 3-0 over Cabrini - saw the game and they are a shell of what they were the last two years. They might be in for a long season.
Other good results:
Muhlenberg 2-1 over LVC
Messiah over 3-1 over Chapman
Eastern over Alvernia 3-1
Susquehanna over Ursinus 3-1
Are you saying Haverford is a shell of what they were last year? Can you please provide more color?
Yes Haverford is going to struggle this year.
Quote from: backyarddawg on September 04, 2017, 04:23:00 PM
Quote from: D3soccerwatcher on September 03, 2017, 02:23:20 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on September 02, 2017, 08:18:28 AM
Interesting day one results in the Mid-Atlantic.
Would have to say the three biggest winners were Lyco over RUC, Dickinson over William Paterson and Etown over Morrisville. Those three results show Lyco & Dickinson might be back while Etown is a contender again.
F&M not worried about as it looked like they dominated the game and got unlucky.
Haverford 3-0 over Cabrini - saw the game and they are a shell of what they were the last two years. They might be in for a long season.
Other good results:
Muhlenberg 2-1 over LVC
Messiah over 3-1 over Chapman
Eastern over Alvernia 3-1
Susquehanna over Ursinus 3-1
Are you saying Haverford is a shell of what they were last year? Can you please provide more color?
Yes Haverford is going to struggle this year.
Why will the Fords struggle? What are your thoughts behind this?
Haverford plays Messiah tomorrow so that result should provide some better insight.
Quote from: paclassic89 on September 05, 2017, 11:33:19 AM
Haverford plays Messiah tomorrow so that result should provide some better insight.
I will take Messiah in this one by a score of 2-0.
Some other games of interest today around the region feature Catholic vs Mary Wash, Fords vs Messiah as mentioned, Lycoming vs Susquehanna, Frostburg vs Hopkins, Manhattanville vs Vassar, Arcadia vs Ursinus, FDU-Florham vs Drew, Misericordia vs Leb Val, Kings vs Scranton, and Swat vs Widener.
Lyco beating Sus 5-0 with 25 minutes left. Student defeating the teacher, right?
Fords beat Falcons 2-1. Game moved to Rosemont due to weather.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on September 06, 2017, 07:14:58 PM
Fords beat Falcons 2-1. Game moved to Rosemont due to weather.
Did anyone see this one? There was no streaming. From the box score, the Falcons had the better of it, but obviously just one number matters in the end. The sophomore who scored both Haverford goals was rookie of the year in his conference last year. I think he has four goals in two games already. Apparently a very dangerous guy who must be hard to mark.
I've seen posts that Haverford is a shell of what they were last year. Is it possible they Messiah is a little overrated. I'm a Central region guy, but would enjoy any thoughts.
I've seen posts that Haverford is a shell of what they were last year. Is it possible they Messiah is a little overrated. I'm a Central region guy, but would enjoy any thoughts.
That was only 1 opinion based off of a 3-0 victory. I think a 2-1 victory over #11 Messiah shows that they're going to be a solid squad again this year. Messiah has let in 4 goals in 3 matches and has yet to keep a clean sheet. Will they continue to struggle defensively?
I was at the Cabrini game and totally disagree they are a shell of themselves. They miss Corkery's service but they have a ton of good strong athletic players. Cabrini competed with them for a half but Haverford ramped up their pressure in the second half and they closed it out.
Haverford will have a fine season. I would guess they end the year ranked somewhere around 15.
Quote from: Falconer on September 06, 2017, 07:55:39 PM
Quote from: FelixCloudy on September 06, 2017, 07:14:58 PM
Fords beat Falcons 2-1. Game moved to Rosemont due to weather.
Did anyone see this one? There was no streaming. From the box score, the Falcons had the better of it, but obviously just one number matters in the end. The sophomore who scored both Haverford goals was rookie of the year in his conference last year. I think he has four goals in two games already. Apparently a very dangerous guy who must be hard to mark.
I was able to make it to this one. Messiah did seem to be on the front foot most of the game. Haverford definitely put together some dangerous chances, but the Falcons had more possession and opportunities. Both of Haverford's goals came from #7, Jannelli, and unfortunately for Messiah, they both involved defenders slipping/getting tripped. The first half goal was a great turn with the ball at the top of the box that caused his defender to slip and opened up a wide lane for a beautiful left-footed strike inside the far-post. His second looked virtually the same, but the space was a result of his marker getting tripped by a Fords player cutting through the play. Other than those two opportunities, the Fords only had one or two other good looks offensively. They actually seemed to do their best work defensively and in the midfield - it seemed they were stepping in front of passes constantly, and they recovered quickly on defense most of the way. Messiah finally started carving them up pretty good in the last 20-25 minutes, but outside of West's goal to pull them back within one, they just couldn't get that final touch to draw level. Several times the ball was bouncing around loose at the penalty spot and a Fords defender just managed to clear it away before a Falcon could get there.
All in all, it was frankly a pretty high-quality and well-played game from both sides, especially considering both come from grass fields (this was played on concrete-colored turf) and that it poured down rain at times. A win Haverford should be proud of, and nothing for the Falcons to hang their heads over - they both looked like top 15-quality talent. Speaking of which, just to add to the "Haverford-shell-of-themselves" discussion, I'd have to disagree with that as well. They are obviously going to miss their key losses - players like Corkery don't come around very often. But they have plenty of big bodies who also have great touch and skill with the ball. They might not be a team that possesses you to death or runs you into the ground, but they can string passes together in the buildup and get a goal in a blink. Both goals today came seemingly out of nowhere. They look dangerous enough to me, anyway.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 06, 2017, 07:54:08 AM
Quote from: paclassic89 on September 05, 2017, 11:33:19 AM
Haverford plays Messiah tomorrow so that result should provide some better insight.
I will take Messiah in this one by a score of 2-0.
Some other games of interest today around the region feature Catholic vs Mary Wash, Fords vs Messiah as mentioned, Lycoming vs Susquehanna, Frostburg vs Hopkins, Manhattanville vs Vassar, Arcadia vs Ursinus, FDU-Florham vs Drew, Misericordia vs Leb Val, Kings vs Scranton, and Swat vs Widener.
Fords beat Messiah 2-1
Catholic and MW draw 0-0
Lyco beats Susqu. 5-0
Hopkins beats FSU 3-0
Manhattanville beats Vassar 2-1
Ursinus beats Arcadia 3-2
Drew spanks FDU 9-2
LVC beats Mis 2-0
Scranton beats Kings 2-1
Swat beats Widener 1-0
Big result of the day comes with the Fords edging out Messiah 2-1. I don't think you can say Messiah is overrated or that the Fords are a shell of last year. Teams are only 2-3 games in and still figuring things out. Additionally, both these teams are in the top 20 so on paper it was a toss up. I am sure both will have strong seasons once again.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 07, 2017, 07:49:25 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 06, 2017, 07:54:08 AM
Quote from: paclassic89 on September 05, 2017, 11:33:19 AM
Haverford plays Messiah tomorrow so that result should provide some better insight.
I will take Messiah in this one by a score of 2-0.
Some other games of interest today around the region feature Catholic vs Mary Wash, Fords vs Messiah as mentioned, Lycoming vs Susquehanna, Frostburg vs Hopkins, Manhattanville vs Vassar, Arcadia vs Ursinus, FDU-Florham vs Drew, Misericordia vs Leb Val, Kings vs Scranton, and Swat vs Widener.
Fords beat Messiah 2-1
Catholic and MW draw 0-0
Lyco beats Susqu. 5-0
Hopkins beats FSU 3-0
Manhattanville beats Vassar 2-1
Ursinus beats Arcadia 3-2
Drew spanks FDU 9-2
LVC beats Mis 2-0
Scranton beats Kings 2-1
Swat beats Widener 1-0
Big result of the day comes with the Fords edging out Messiah 2-1. I don't think you can say Messiah is overrated or that the Fords are a shell of last year. Teams are only 2-3 games in and still figuring things out. Additionally, both these teams are in the top 20 so on paper it was a toss up. I am sure both will have strong seasons once again.
What do you make of the Drew Score? Miseri off to a slow start at 0-3. Unfortunately I was all set to watch the Kings-Scranton game but no video available.
Quote from: NEPAFAN on September 07, 2017, 08:27:14 AM
What do you make of the Drew Score? Miseri off to a slow start at 0-3. Unfortunately I was all set to watch the Kings-Scranton game but no video available.
Once again, Drew was paced by Fr. and So.'s. They've now scored 20 goals in 3 games so they clearly have offensive fire power. Concerning though is they've played 3 patty cakes and should really have 3 clean sheets. I wouldn't be surprised to see a few 5-4 or 4-3 score lines against stiffer competition.
Goucher beat Cairn 2-0 and stands with 1 win and 2 losses so far.
attended the LVC vs MISERICORDIA game. Miser looked lost on Offense. LVC's D is above average.
yeah it seems like Misericordia is going to be weaker this year. LVC's main issue from what I've seen so far is their midfield. If they can get that sorted then I think they have a chance at cracking the top 25 again this season
Quote from: paclassic89 on September 07, 2017, 09:40:09 PM
yeah it seems like Misericordia is going to be weaker this year. LVC's main issue from what I've seen so far is their midfield. If they can get that sorted then I think they have a chance at cracking the top 25 again this season
I don't anticipate Misericordia making any Top 25 polls this year after an 0-3 start. Especially with remaining games vs Scranton, @Salisbury, @Rutgers Camden, @Messiah, @Lycoming, vs Dickinson, and @Eastern. They will be fortunate to make it into the regional rankings this season.
LVC could crack the 25 again though.
Quote from: darad44 on September 08, 2017, 09:32:19 AM
LVC could crack the 25 again though.
Yes LVC definitely has a chance if they can string together some wins. I misread the previous post and thought it referred to Misericordia making the top 25!! ::)
haha yeah I was referring to LVC. Misericordia would have to string together a hell of a run to make top 25 after this start
Quote from: Sherlock Holmes on September 06, 2017, 11:07:24 PM
Quote from: Falconer on September 06, 2017, 07:55:39 PM
Quote from: FelixCloudy on September 06, 2017, 07:14:58 PM
Fords beat Falcons 2-1. Game moved to Rosemont due to weather.
Did anyone see this one? There was no streaming. From the box score, the Falcons had the better of it, but obviously just one number matters in the end. The sophomore who scored both Haverford goals was rookie of the year in his conference last year. I think he has four goals in two games already. Apparently a very dangerous guy who must be hard to mark.
I was able to make it to this one. Messiah did seem to be on the front foot most of the game. Haverford definitely put together some dangerous chances, but the Falcons had more possession and opportunities. Both of Haverford's goals came from #7, Jannelli, and unfortunately for Messiah, they both involved defenders slipping/getting tripped. The first half goal was a great turn with the ball at the top of the box that caused his defender to slip and opened up a wide lane for a beautiful left-footed strike inside the far-post. His second looked virtually the same, but the space was a result of his marker getting tripped by a Fords player cutting through the play. Other than those two opportunities, the Fords only had one or two other good looks offensively. They actually seemed to do their best work defensively and in the midfield - it seemed they were stepping in front of passes constantly, and they recovered quickly on defense most of the way. Messiah finally started carving them up pretty good in the last 20-25 minutes, but outside of West's goal to pull them back within one, they just couldn't get that final touch to draw level. Several times the ball was bouncing around loose at the penalty spot and a Fords defender just managed to clear it away before a Falcon could get there.
All in all, it was frankly a pretty high-quality and well-played game from both sides, especially considering both come from grass fields (this was played on concrete-colored turf) and that it poured down rain at times. A win Haverford should be proud of, and nothing for the Falcons to hang their heads over - they both looked like top 15-quality talent. Speaking of which, just to add to the "Haverford-shell-of-themselves" discussion, I'd have to disagree with that as well. They are obviously going to miss their key losses - players like Corkery don't come around very often. But they have plenty of big bodies who also have great touch and skill with the ball. They might not be a team that possesses you to death or runs you into the ground, but they can string passes together in the buildup and get a goal in a blink. Both goals today came seemingly out of nowhere. They look dangerous enough to me, anyway.
Thank you for the eyewitness account, Sherlock. Wet artificial fields always cause problems for the Falcons, but usually more on the offensive end (by disrupting their one-touch passing attack) than the defensive end. From your description, it sounds as though there might have been a different result on a dry grass field. But, no doubt Jennelli is a load and he might well have scored at least one goal if his defenders didn't fall down.
Counting Haverford, Messiah has 3 games this year vs Centennial teams, all of them very good and Haverford was actually picked to win that conference: http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/Poll
All of the cupcakes on the Falcon schedule are in their own conference. Most of the other games are against teams that, in any given year, are legitimate tournament teams, as some of them surely will be this time. This could be the toughest overall schedule the Falcons have put together in many years. Montclair will be the first home game tomorrow night. If the Falcons play up to their potential they should win it, but they never have easy ones against Montclair.
Montclair lost a ton of talent including 2 All-Americans. A trip to Grantham for Messiah's home opener is probably the last thing they need right now. I'm sure Montclair would love to earn a point, but the reality is they are probably more interested in seeing how the team performs in that environment to gauge what they have this year. A 1-2 loss could certainly be a moral victory if such a thing exists. League play starts next weekend and it's always a battle in the NJAC.
Some games to watch this weekend...
9/9
Lycoming @ Dickinson
Scranton @ Cortland
Etown @ Fords
Hopkins @ Manhattanville
Catholic @ Eastern
Montclair @ Messiah
9/10
Whitman @ Drew
Gordon @ Dickinson
Catholic @ Fords
F&M @ W&L
Etown @ Eastern
Gettysburg @ York
Gettysburg defeated Stevenson 3-2. They're now 3-0 and have won all three games by one goal. Santini has 4 of their 6 goals, including all 3 game winners. Oh, he also has assisted on the other two goals.
Quote from: EB2319 on September 08, 2017, 12:16:40 PM
Montclair lost a ton of talent including 2 All-Americans. A trip to Grantham for Messiah's home opener is probably the last thing they need right now. I'm sure Montclair would love to earn a point, but the reality is they are probably more interested in seeing how the team performs in that environment to gauge what they have this year. A 1-2 loss could certainly be a moral victory if such a thing exists. League play starts next weekend and it's always a battle in the NJAC.
After seeing the game tonight, I have to agree with you, EB. Montclair isn't nearly as strong this fall. They still have some men who can score goals--and twice tonight they almost did, including a shot off the bar against the Falcons' third team late in the game--but they have a ways to go if they want to be near the top in the NJAC. The 4-0 score was about right. Messiah dominated both ends, except for a couple of major defensive miscues, one involving a newbie who gave away teh ball in a dangerous place. The Falcons got a fully deserved PK from Colby Thomas (who was taken down hard well inside the box as he was moving from right to left and looking to shoot), two very nice goals from Kirby Robbins (who often missed similar shots last year), and one more very late when CB Cooper Robbins ran onto a loose ball in the box and used his left foot for hard shot on which the keeper really had no chance.
Good to see the Falcons play well in front of a large, loud crowd at home. If that isn't the best place to play soccer in all of D3, I don't know what is. The new kids have to be somewhat in awe. :D
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 08, 2017, 03:08:30 PM
Some games to watch this weekend...
9/9
Lycoming @ Dickinson
Scranton @ Cortland
Etown @ Fords
Hopkins @ Manhattanville
Catholic @ Eastern
Montclair @ Messiah
9/10
Whitman @ Drew
Gordon @ Dickinson
Catholic @ Fords
F&M @ W&L
Etown @ Eastern
Gettysburg @ York
Lyco over Dickinson 3-0. They continue a strong start to the season. Look to be poised to challenge Messiah again for the league title. Still early but clearly they are playing well.
Great weekend games - it is early but some teams are starting to separate themselves.
Lycoming has to be the winner of the Mid-Atlantic after two weeks going 5-0 with wins over RUC, Rowan, Susquehanna, Dickinson & Washington College. They look to be on the heels of Messiah which they host this year. Other teams with great starts are Gettysburg and John Hopkins. Watch out for those two in the Centennial Conference.
Other winners has to be Etown coming out of a tournament 1-1 where they should've beat Haverford and gone 2-0. Great win for ETown yesterday vs Eastern.
Great set of mid-week games coming up this week:
9/12:
Scranton vs Misericordia
9/13:
Swarthmore vs Eastern
Stevens vs Haverford (After seeing Haverford hang on vs Etown and look not much better vs Catholic I am expecting an 0-2 week from them with Stevens and Hopkins Saturday.
Salisbury vs Washington
Dickinson vs Messiah
Moravian vs Montclair
York vs John Hopkins
Etown vs F&M (The "BOOT")
Quote from: rudy on September 10, 2017, 09:47:45 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 08, 2017, 03:08:30 PM
Some games to watch this weekend...
9/9
Lycoming @ Dickinson
Scranton @ Cortland
Etown @ Fords
Hopkins @ Manhattanville
Catholic @ Eastern
Montclair @ Messiah
9/10
Whitman @ Drew
Gordon @ Dickinson
Catholic @ Fords
F&M @ W&L
Etown @ Eastern
Gettysburg @ York
Lyco over Dickinson 3-0. They continue a strong start to the season. Look to be poised to challenge Messiah again for the league title. Still early but clearly they are playing well.
If I had to do power rankings up to this point I think it would go something like this...
1. Fords (3-0-1)
2. Lyco (5-0-0)
3. Messiah (3-1-0)
4. Scranton (4-0-0)
5. Gettysburg (4-0-0)
6. Hopkins (4-0-0)
7. Dickinson (3-1-0)
8. F&M (2-1-1)
9. Eastern (3-1-0)
10. Muhles (2-0-1)
RV: Etown, LVC, Drew, Moravian, Catholic
This is based off records, wins, ties, losses etc not necessarily who I believe are the best or top teams in any given order. This is my best guess at what the regional rankings might look like for United Soccer Coaches poll (old NSCAA).
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 11, 2017, 11:06:40 AM
If I had to do power rankings up to this point I think it would go something like this...
1. Fords (3-0-1)
2. Lyco (5-0-0)
3. Messiah (3-1-0)
4. Scranton (4-0-0)
5. Gettysburg (4-0-0)
6. Hopkins (4-0-0)
7. Dickinson (3-1-0)
8. F&M (2-1-1)
9. Eastern (3-1-0)
10. Muhles (2-0-1)
RV: Etown, LVC, Drew, Moravian, Catholic
This is based off records, wins, ties, losses etc not necessarily who I believe are the best or top teams in any given order. This is my best guess at what the regional rankings might look like for United Soccer Coaches poll (old NSCAA).
I might have the order a bit different but overall I like this, though I'd drop Eastern and Muhlenberg and add Etown and Drew.
http://unitedsoccercoaches.org/web/Rankings/College_Rankings/NCAA_DIII_MEN/web/rankings/ncaa/diii_men.aspx
1 Lycoming - DH Susquehanna University 5-0; DA Dickinson College 3-0; DA Washington College (Md.) 3-1; NR 5-0-0
2 Haverford - DH Messiah College 2-1; DA Elizabethtown College 1-0; DH Catholic University 1-0; NR 4-0-0
3 Messiah - LA Haverford College 1-2; DH Montclair State University 4-0; NR 3-1-0
4 F&M - DH Randolph College 2-1; TA Washington & Lee University 2-2; NR 2-1-1
5 Gettysburg - DH Stevenson University 3-2; DA York College (Pa.) 4-0; NR 4-0-0
6 Scranton - DA King's College 2-1; DA SUNY Cortland 2-1; NR 4-0-0
7 Johns Hopkins - DA Frostburg State University 3-0; DH Manhattanville College 2-0; NR 3-0-0
8 Dickinson - LH Lycoming College 0-3; DH Gordon College 1-0; NR 3-1-0
9 Eastern - DH Catholic University 1-0; LA Elizabethtown College 0-2; NR 3-1-0
10 Drew - DA Fairleigh Dickinson University-Florham 9-2; TH Elmhurst College 0-0; DH Whitman College 3-2; NR 4-0-1
Scranton is halfway through what I thought would be a difficult stretch:
Kings W
Cortland St W
Miseri W ( Miseri can't score, down year for them)
Lycoming on Saturday (likely L)
Haverford next week...will be happy with a T
Quote from: NEPAFAN on September 13, 2017, 09:10:25 AM
Scranton is halfway through what I thought would be a difficult stretch:
Kings W
Cortland St W
Miseri W ( Miseri can't score, down year for them)
Lycoming on Saturday (likely L)
Haverford next week...will be happy with a T
Doesn't get much easier after that with away games at E-Town, Drew and Dickinson. Those are three potential L's as well.
Quote from: Falconer on September 08, 2017, 11:18:24 AM
Quote from: Sherlock Holmes on September 06, 2017, 11:07:24 PM
Quote from: Falconer on September 06, 2017, 07:55:39 PM
Quote from: FelixCloudy on September 06, 2017, 07:14:58 PM
Fords beat Falcons 2-1. Game moved to Rosemont due to weather.
Did anyone see this one? There was no streaming. From the box score, the Falcons had the better of it, but obviously just one number matters in the end. The sophomore who scored both Haverford goals was rookie of the year in his conference last year. I think he has four goals in two games already. Apparently a very dangerous guy who must be hard to mark.
I was able to make it to this one. Messiah did seem to be on the front foot most of the game. Haverford definitely put together some dangerous chances, but the Falcons had more possession and opportunities. Both of Haverford's goals came from #7, Jannelli, and unfortunately for Messiah, they both involved defenders slipping/getting tripped. The first half goal was a great turn with the ball at the top of the box that caused his defender to slip and opened up a wide lane for a beautiful left-footed strike inside the far-post. His second looked virtually the same, but the space was a result of his marker getting tripped by a Fords player cutting through the play. Other than those two opportunities, the Fords only had one or two other good looks offensively. They actually seemed to do their best work defensively and in the midfield - it seemed they were stepping in front of passes constantly, and they recovered quickly on defense most of the way. Messiah finally started carving them up pretty good in the last 20-25 minutes, but outside of West's goal to pull them back within one, they just couldn't get that final touch to draw level. Several times the ball was bouncing around loose at the penalty spot and a Fords defender just managed to clear it away before a Falcon could get there.
All in all, it was frankly a pretty high-quality and well-played game from both sides, especially considering both come from grass fields (this was played on concrete-colored turf) and that it poured down rain at times. A win Haverford should be proud of, and nothing for the Falcons to hang their heads over - they both looked like top 15-quality talent. Speaking of which, just to add to the "Haverford-shell-of-themselves" discussion, I'd have to disagree with that as well. They are obviously going to miss their key losses - players like Corkery don't come around very often. But they have plenty of big bodies who also have great touch and skill with the ball. They might not be a team that possesses you to death or runs you into the ground, but they can string passes together in the buildup and get a goal in a blink. Both goals today came seemingly out of nowhere. They look dangerous enough to me, anyway.
Thank you for the eyewitness account, Sherlock. Wet artificial fields always cause problems for the Falcons, but usually more on the offensive end (by disrupting their one-touch passing attack) than the defensive end. From your description, it sounds as though there might have been a different result on a dry grass field. But, no doubt Jennelli is a load and he might well have scored at least one goal if his defenders didn't fall down.
Sure thing Falconer. Happy to share my take. I'll reserve judgement on what would've happened had it been played under perfect conditions. Obviously Messiah would've benefited from a dry night on a natural grass field, but then, so would the Fords, as they play on a pretty nice grass field themselves. I would love to see a repeat of this one for sure though - maybe these two sides will meet up again late in the tournament.
WEDNESDAY 9/13 RESULTS
1 Lycoming - Defeated Medaille 2-0
2 Haverford - Defeated Stevens 1-0
3 Messiah - Defeated #8 Dickinson 4-0
4 F&M - Lost to E-Town 0-1
5 Gettysburg - DNP
6 Scranton - DNP
7 Johns Hopkins - Defeated York 4-1
8 Dickinson - Lost to #3 Messiah 0-4
9 Eastern - Defeated Swarthmore 3-0
10 Drew - Defeated Muhlenberg 6-0
Messiah at Rowan will be interesting. If game were played in Grantham I would give Messiah the edge. I believe Rowan plays on artificial turf which seems to be a problem for Messiah. Maybe just coincidence but they seem to have tighter games on artificial..like the Haverford game recently..but that had rain factor too. Rowan could be favored at home but either way it should be hard fought game... maybe a draw
Messiah with a 3-2 2OT win last night at Rowan. Big win for the Falcons and a heartbreaking loss for the Profs.
Other big games this weekend include...
Lycoming at Scranton
Haverford at Hopkins
Gettysburg at Washington
Etown at PSU Harrisburg
Manhattanville at Drew
Dickinson at Swat
Muhles at F&M
Just read the Tarot cards and here's what they said:
Lycoming at Scranton - Lycoming 2-1
Haverford at Hopkins - Draw 1-1
Gettysburg at Washington - Gettysburg 1-0 OT
Etown at PSU Harrisburg - Draw 2-2
Manhattanville at Drew - Drew 4-1
Dickinson at Swat - Dickinson 3-0
Muhles at F&M - F&M 4-0
The Lycoming train rolls on with a convincing 3-1 win. Etown barely edges PSU-Harrisburg in OT. After playing some bottom feeders early in the season, it seems like PSU-Harrisburg actually has a bit of quality
Hopkins up 2-0 on Haverford at halftime. Streaming now.
Has anyone seen a 35-0 shot number? Wilkes took zero shots against LVC
I was at that game. Wilkes were really, really poor. I'm not sure they strung more than 4 passes together at any point during the game. And somehow they already had 2 wins on the season, including a 5-0 result. It really puts into perspective the gulf in quality between the top tier and bottom tier D3 teams
1 Lycoming - Defeated Medaille 2-0; Defeated #6 Scranton 3-1
2 Haverford - Defeated Stevens 1-0; Lost to #7 Hopkins 0-2
3 Messiah - Defeated #8 Dickinson 4-0; Defeated Rowan 3-2
4 F&M - Lost to E-Town 0-1; Defeated Muhlenberg 1-0
5 Gettysburg – Defeated York 4-0; Defeated Washington 3-0
6 Scranton – Defeated Misericordia 2-0; Lost to #1 Lycoming 1-3
7 Johns Hopkins - Defeated York 4-1; Defeated #2 Haverford 2-0
8 Dickinson - Lost to #3 Messiah 0-4; Tied Swarthmore 2-2
9 Eastern - Defeated Swarthmore 3-0; Defeated Centenary 2-1
10 Drew - Defeated Muhlenberg 6-0; Defeated Manhattanville 2-1
Games this week:
Lycoming - @ Frostburg; @ Case Western
Haverford - @ Scranton; vs. F&M
Messiah - @ York; vs. Misericordia
F&M - @ Rowan; @ Haverford
Gettysburg - vs. Lebanon Valley; vs. Hopkins
Scranton - vs. Haverford; vs. Moravian
Hopkins - vs. Neumann; @ Gettysburg
Dickinson - @ Mary Washington; vs. McDaniel
Eastern - vs. PS-Abington; vs. Cabrini
Drew - @ TCNJ; vs. E-Town
Quote from: EB2319 on September 18, 2017, 10:55:55 AM
1 Lycoming - Defeated Medaille 2-0; Defeated #6 Scranton 3-1
2 Haverford - Defeated Stevens 1-0; Lost to #7 Hopkins 0-2
3 Messiah - Defeated #8 Dickinson 4-0; Defeated Rowan 3-2
4 F&M - Lost to E-Town 0-1; Defeated Muhlenberg 1-0
5 Gettysburg – Defeated York 4-0; Defeated Washington 3-0
6 Scranton – Defeated Misericordia 2-0; Lost to #1 Lycoming 1-3
7 Johns Hopkins - Defeated York 4-1; Defeated #2 Haverford 2-0
8 Dickinson - Lost to #3 Messiah 0-4; Tied Swarthmore 2-2
9 Eastern - Defeated Swarthmore 3-0; Defeated Centenary 2-1
10 Drew - Defeated Muhlenberg 6-0; Defeated Manhattanville 2-1
Games this week:
Lycoming - @ Frostburg; @ Case Western
Haverford - @ Scranton; vs. F&M
Messiah - @ York; vs. Misericordia
F&M - @ Rowan; @ Haverford
Gettysburg - vs. Lebanon Valley; vs. Hopkins
Scranton - vs. Haverford; vs. Moravian
Hopkins - vs. Neumann; @ Gettysburg
Dickinson - @ Mary Washington; vs. McDaniel
Eastern - vs. PS-Abington; vs. Cabrini
Drew - @ TCNJ; vs. E-Town
Seems JHU should be moving up while Haverford and F&M may move down? Poll should be interesting.
My best guess would be this...
Regional Rankings
1. Lyco
2. Messiah
3. JHU
4. Gettysburg
5. Fords
6. Scranton
7. F&M
8. Eastern
9. Drew
10. Dickinson
RV: Etown, LVC, Moravian
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 18, 2017, 02:39:36 PM
My best guess would be this...
Regional Rankings
1. Lyco
2. Messiah
3. JHU
4. Gettysburg
5. Fords
6. Scranton
7. F&M
8. Eastern
9. Drew
10. Dickinson
RV: Etown, LVC, Moravian
Looks reasonable. Both F&m and fords have 2 tough games this week (one against each other). Messiah on paper looks like much easier games but anything can happen. Etown may replace Dickinson at the bottom
Far be it from me, a Messiah fan, to stick up for E-town, but I think they may deserve to be ranked, not just RV. They beat Eastern 2-0 at Eastern and beat F&M 1-0 at F&M. They outshot Haverford 14-6 at Haverford, but fell 1-0 on a goal with 4 minutes left. Sure, the Wm. Paterson loss hurts, but Paterson is 6-1-0, albeit against a weak schedule (and Dickinson beat them 4-1 a day earlier). E-town is not the only side with a poor result. 2-loss Dickinson tied Swat (2-4-1) 2-2 this past weekend. F&M has the loss to Cal Lutheran to open the season. So I wouldn't be surprised if E-town is ranked.
Quote from: darad44 on September 17, 2017, 12:41:18 PM
Has anyone seen a 35-0 shot number? Wilkes took zero shots against LVC
I have not seen 35-0, but back in 2004 UC Santa Cruz, who finished 22-2 losing in the National Championship match, traveled to Cal State Hayward. They outshot Hayward something like 27-0 in regulation. Game went to OT and Hayward's first shot of the game went in for a golden goal.
Week 2 Poll... http://unitedsoccercoaches.org/web/Rankings/College_Rankings/NCAA_DIII_MEN/web/rankings/ncaa/diii_men.aspx
1. Lycoming College
2. Messiah College
3. Johns Hopkins University
4. Haverford College
5. Gettysburg College
6. University Of Scranton
7. Drew University
8. Eastern University
9. Elizabethtown College
10. Franklin & Marshall College
Some fun games to watch in the region tonight
#3 Lycoming @ Frostburg
Neumann @ #7 Hopkins
#9 Mesisah @ York
#15 Haverford @ #18 Scranton
F&M @ #19 Rowan
Leb Val @ #20 Gettysburg
#23 Stockton @ Moravian
Dickinson @ Mary Wash
Etown @ Alvernia
PSU-Abington @ Eastern
Muhles @ DeSales
Kings @ Cabrini
Drew @ TCNJ
Catholic @ Randolph Macon
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on September 20, 2017, 08:14:43 AM
Some fun games to watch in the region tonight
#3 Lycoming @ Frostburg
Neumann @ #7 Hopkins
#9 Mesisah @ York
#15 Haverford @ #18 Scranton
F&M @ #19 Rowan
Leb Val @ #20 Gettysburg
#23 Stockton @ Moravian
Dickinson @ Mary Wash
Etown @ Alvernia
PSU-Abington @ Eastern
Muhles @ DeSales
Kings @ Cabrini
Drew @ TCNJ
Catholic @ Randolph Macon
My crystal ball was 5/7 last week. Here's what it's telling me tonight:
#3 Lycoming @ Frostburg =
Lycoming 6-0
Neumann @ #7 Hopkins =
Hopkins 5-0
#9 Mesisah @ York =
Messiah 2-0
#15 Haverford @ #18 Scranton =
Scranton 1-0 OT
F&M @ #19 Rowan =
Rowan 2-0
Leb Val @ #20 Gettysburg =
Gettysburg 3-1
#23 Stockton @ Moravian =
Stockton 2-0
Dickinson @ Mary Wash =
Mary Washington 2-1
Etown @ Alvernia =
ETown 2-0
PSU-Abington @ Eastern =
Draw 2-2
Muhles @ DeSales =
DeSales 2-1
Kings @ Cabrini =
Kings 3-1
Drew @ TCNJ =
Drew 2-1
Catholic @ Randolph Macon =
Draw 1-1
I will go with the following:
#3 Lycoming @ Frostburg= Lyco 3-1
Neumann @ #7 Hopkins= JHU 3-0
#9 Mesisah @ York= Messiah 4-1
#15 Haverford @ #18 Scranton= Scranton 1-0 OT
F&M @ #19 Rowan= Rowan 2-1
Leb Val @ #20 Gettysburg= LVC 2-1 2OT
#23 Stockton @ Moravian= Draw 1-1
Dickinson @ Mary Wash= Dickinson 1-0
Etown @ Alvernia= Draw 2-2
PSU-Abington @ Eastern= Eastern 3-1
Muhles @ DeSales= Muhles 2-1
Kings @ Cabrini= Kings 1-0
Drew @ TCNJ= Drew 4-3
Catholic @ Randolph Macon= Catholic 1-0 OT
I would like to say Fords and Royals will tie but think both teams will push for a winner and someone will capitalize. Looking forward to watching that one tonight!
Lycoming DA Frostberg 2-0; EB & Shooter
Hopkins DH Newuman 5-0; EB (exact) & Shooter
Messiah DA York 4-0; EB & Shooter
Haverford DA Scranton 1-0; Neither
Rowan DH F&M; 3-0 EB & Shooter
LVC DA Gettysburg 2-0; Shooter
Stockton DA Moravian 2-0; EB (exact)
Dickinson DA Mary Washington 1-0; Shooter (exact)
Etown DA Alvernia 3-2; EB
Eastern DH PS-A 2-0; Shooter
DeSales DH Muhlenberg 1-0; EB
Kings DA Cabrini 1-0; EB & Shooter (exact)
Drew DA TCNJ 2-1; EB (exact) & Shooter
Randolph Macon DH Catholic1-0; neither
Totals: EB 9/14 (3 exact); Shooter 9/14 (2exact)
Well done Shooter!
I believe Randolph Macon actually beat Catholic 1-0.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 21, 2017, 07:30:14 AM
I believe Randolph Macon actually beat Catholic 1-0.
my bad - edited the post - thanks for catching
Wednesday's Results 9/20
1. Lycoming College- def FSU 2-0
2. Messiah College- def York 1-0
3. Johns Hopkins University- def Neumann 5-0
4. Haverford College- def #6 Scranton 1-0 2OT
5. Gettysburg College- lost to LVC 2-0
6. University Of Scranton- lost to #4 Fords 1-0 2OT
7. Drew University- def TCNJ 2-1 2OT
8. Eastern University- def PSU Abington 2-0
9. Elizabethtown College- def Alvernia 3-2
10. Franklin & Marshall College- lost to Rowan 3-0
Others: Dickinson def MW 1-0, LVC def #5 Getty 2-0, DeSales def Muhles 1-0, Moravian lost to Stockton 2-0
Very tough loss for Scranton. I thought it was an overall even game. Fords looked solid in possession while Scranton looked dangerous in the air and strong defensively. This one could have gone either way and a tough way for the Royals to lose in the closing seconds of the first overtime. Fords had the better of play during that overtime and it was a brilliant free kick by Janelli. Both teams will be ranked regionally and nationally, I would imagine, for the remainder of the season. Scranton needs to get back to there winning ways though after two tough home defeats in a row. Fords have a faltering F&M side next who are in an almost must win or die mode. 4 blemishes already for the Diplomats and they can't afford many more.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on September 21, 2017, 10:12:30 AM
Very tough loss for Scranton. I thought it was an overall even game. Fords looked solid in possession while Scranton looked dangerous in the air and strong defensively. This one could have gone either way and a tough way for the Royals to lose in the closing seconds of the first overtime. Fords had the better of play during that overtime and it was a brilliant free kick by Janelli. Both teams will be ranked regionally and nationally, I would imagine, for the remainder of the season. Scranton needs to get back to there winning ways though after two tough home defeats in a row. Fords have a faltering F&M side next who are in an almost must win or die mode. 4 blemishes already for the Diplomats and they can't afford many more.
Amen. Scranton had a break out and run and turned the ball over leading to the foul with 45 seconds left. Need to get back on track against Moravian.
Quote from: EB2319 on September 20, 2017, 10:20:39 PM
Lycoming DA Frostberg 2-0; EB & Shooter
Hopkins DH Newuman 5-0; EB (exact) & Shooter
Messiah DA York 4-0; EB & Shooter
Haverford DA Scranton 1-0; Neither
Rowan DH F&M; 3-0 EB & Shooter
LVC DA Gettysburg 2-0; Shooter
Stockton DA Moravian 2-0; EB (exact)
Dickinson DA Mary Washington 1-0; Shooter (exact)
Etown DA Alvernia 3-2; EB
Eastern DH PS-A 2-0; Shooter
DeSales DH Muhlenberg 1-0; EB
Kings DA Cabrini 1-0; EB & Shooter (exact)
Drew DA TCNJ 2-1; EB (exact) & Shooter
Randolph Macon DH Catholic1-0; neither
Totals: EB 9/14 (3 exact); Shooter 9/14 (2exact)
Well done Shooter!
You as well EB! Thanks for putting that together.
Weekend Games
#3 Lycoming @ Case Western
#7 Hopkins @ #20 Gettysburg
Misericordia @ #9 Messiah
F&M @ #15 Haverford
Moravian @ #18 Scranton
Cabrini @ Eastern
McDaniel @ Dickinson
Susquehanna @ Catholic
Etown @ Drew
Juniata @ Goucher
Swat @ Muhles
Wow. Just wow! Drew 6-0 over ETown
Quote from: EB2319 on September 23, 2017, 06:42:38 PM
Wow. Just wow! Drew 6-0 over ETown
Yikes. Where did that come from. And Lycoming loses 1-0 to CWRU. Not a blowout by any means but somewhat of an upset after lyco hot start
Scranton also lost to Moravian 2-0. Lots of unexpected results this weekend
Misericordia didn't look at all like a team without a result this year, and they almost got one tonight vs Messiah. The Falcons' most dangerous player, Colby Thomas, finally got one past the Cougars' keeper (who played a terrific game and kept it scoreless) in OT. Thomas usually plays on the right wing, but McCarty switched him to the left in OT so that the Falcons could try to find something across the box instead of from the corners--and it worked. His characteristically hard shot from maybe 25 yards out hit the net, after he'd been stiffed multiple times from closer in by the keeper and the very active, well organized defense. Many Falcon shots were blocked before reaching the keeper, and he made some great saves on those that weren't.
The Cougars tried to score for a grand total of perhaps 40 seconds, and at least once they almost did. Had they done so, the score would not have accurately reflected the game. Messiah dominated almost completely, except that most of their best shots were blocked and many of their best passes were deflected just enough to nullify them, or else didn't end up on a friendly foot b/c someone slowed down or stopped too early. I give the game balls to Ruiz Plaza for controlling the game and to Alejos for creative energy, especially in the second half and OT. His terrific cross three yards in front of the goal late in the game came up empty somehow, or it would have ended earlier.
Etown is next, on their pitch. They are going to be awfully motivated after getting bombed by Drew today. The Falcons had better get a couple of early ones if they want to come out ahead.
1. Lycoming College- def FSU 2-0, lost to Case 1-0
2. Messiah College- def York 1-0, def Miseri. 1-0 OT
3. Johns Hopkins University- def Neumann 5-0, def Getty 1-0
4. Haverford College- def #6 Scranton 1-0 2OT, def F&M 3-2
5. Gettysburg College- lost to LVC 2-0, lost to JHU 1-0
6. University Of Scranton- lost to #4 Fords 1-0 2OT, lost to Moravian 2-0
7. Drew University- def TCNJ 2-1 2OT, def Etown 6-0
8. Eastern University- def PSU Abington 2-0, def Cabrini 3-0
9. Elizabethtown College- def Alvernia 3-2, lost to Drew 6-0
10. Franklin & Marshall College- lost to Rowan 3-0, lost to Fords 3-2
Others:
Dickinson def MW 1-0, def McDaniel 5-0
LVC def #5 Getty 2-0, def Keystone 4-0
DeSales def Muhles 1-0, def LBC 1-0 2OT
Moravian lost to Stockton 2-0, def Scranton 2-0
I think the region will shape up close to this:
1. Hopkins (8-0-0)
2. Messiah (7-1-0)
3. Lycoming (8-1-0)
4. Haverford (6-1-1)
5. Drew (8-0-1)
6. Eastern (7-1-0)
7. Dickinson (5-2-1)
8. Moravian (6-1-1)
9. Lebanon Valley (5-1-1)
10. Gettysburg (5-2-0)
RV: Etown (5-3-0), Scranton (5-3-0), DeSales (7-1-0), Arcadia (6-1-1)
Hopkins being undefeated, only giving up 1 goal, and big wins over Fords and Getty gets them the jump to #1. Messiah's stagnant game vs winless Misericordia keeps them from jumping to #1. Lycoming falls only 2 spots as they drop a tough road game but have big wins over Rowan, Dickinson, and Scranton. Fords stay put at #4 having lost to Hopkins and another blemish vs Catholic. Drew jumps to #5 after a thumping of Etown but this was the first legit team they have played. Look for them to continue to rise as the wins keep coming. Eastern follows Drew at #6 with a nice 2 slot jump thanks to some woeful results from others around the region. #7 welcomes Dickinson back to the picture. Losses to Lycoming and Messiah are respectable but the draw vs Swat keeps them outside the top 6. #8 also welcomes maybe the biggest surprise in Moravian. A tie vs Montclair and loss to Stockton rebounded by an away win vs Scranton gets them into the top 10. #9 With a lack of SOS so far and dropped results vs struggling sides of Susquehanna and Muhles keeps LVC leveled at the 9 slot but a nice win vs Gettysburg helps the cause. Rounding out the top 10 is Gettysburg. A hot start followed by 2 straight losses drops them 5 spots but with plenty of big games ahead they can climb back up the ladder. On the outside looking in is Etown, Scranton, DeSales, and Arcadia. F&M is not even in the picture after dropping out of the top 10.
Shooter's 10:
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. Fords
5. Drew
6. Eastern
7. Dickinson
8. Getty
9. LVC
10. Moravian
RV: Etown & Scranton
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 24, 2017, 08:59:21 AM
I think the region will shape up close to this:
1. Hopkins (8-0-0)
2. Messiah (7-1-0)
3. Lycoming (8-1-0)
4. Haverford (6-1-1)
5. Drew (8-0-1)
6. Eastern (7-1-0)
7. Dickinson (5-2-1)
8. Moravian (6-1-1)
9. Lebanon Valley (5-1-1)
10. Gettysburg (5-2-0)
RV: Etown (5-3-0), Scranton (5-3-0), DeSales (7-1-0), Arcadia (6-1-1)
Hopkins being undefeated, only giving up 1 goal, and big wins over Fords and Getty gets them the jump to #1. Messiah's stagnant game vs winless Misericordia keeps them from jumping to #1. Lycoming falls only 2 spots as they drop a tough road game but have big wins over Rowan, Dickinson, and Scranton. Fords stay put at #4 having lost to Hopkins and another blemish vs Catholic. Drew jumps to #5 after a thumping of Etown but this was the first legit team they have played. Look for them to continue to rise as the wins keep coming. Eastern follows Drew at #6 with a nice 2 slot jump thanks to some woeful results from others around the region. #7 welcomes Dickinson back to the picture. Losses to Lycoming and Messiah are respectable but the draw vs Swat keeps them outside the top 6. #8 also welcomes maybe the biggest surprise in Moravian. A tie vs Montclair and loss to Stockton rebounded by an away win vs Scranton gets them into the top 10. #9 With a lack of SOS so far and dropped results vs struggling sides of Susquehanna and Muhles keeps LVC leveled at the 9 slot but a nice win vs Gettysburg helps the cause. Rounding out the top 10 is Gettysburg. A hot start followed by 2 straight losses drops them 5 spots but with plenty of big games ahead they can climb back up the ladder. On the outside looking in is Etown, Scranton, DeSales, and Arcadia. F&M is not even in the picture after dropping out of the top 10.
While Hopkins may deserve #1 I highly doubt they will move ahead of Messiah since Messiah won both games played. A win is a win. If they tied or lost then Hopkins would pass them.
Quote from: rudy on September 24, 2017, 02:16:00 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 24, 2017, 08:59:21 AM
I think the region will shape up close to this:
1. Hopkins (8-0-0)
2. Messiah (7-1-0)
3. Lycoming (8-1-0)
4. Haverford (6-1-1)
5. Drew (8-0-1)
6. Eastern (7-1-0)
7. Dickinson (5-2-1)
8. Moravian (6-1-1)
9. Lebanon Valley (5-1-1)
10. Gettysburg (5-2-0)
RV: Etown (5-3-0), Scranton (5-3-0), DeSales (7-1-0), Arcadia (6-1-1)
Hopkins being undefeated, only giving up 1 goal, and big wins over Fords and Getty gets them the jump to #1. Messiah's stagnant game vs winless Misericordia keeps them from jumping to #1. Lycoming falls only 2 spots as they drop a tough road game but have big wins over Rowan, Dickinson, and Scranton. Fords stay put at #4 having lost to Hopkins and another blemish vs Catholic. Drew jumps to #5 after a thumping of Etown but this was the first legit team they have played. Look for them to continue to rise as the wins keep coming. Eastern follows Drew at #6 with a nice 2 slot jump thanks to some woeful results from others around the region. #7 welcomes Dickinson back to the picture. Losses to Lycoming and Messiah are respectable but the draw vs Swat keeps them outside the top 6. #8 also welcomes maybe the biggest surprise in Moravian. A tie vs Montclair and loss to Stockton rebounded by an away win vs Scranton gets them into the top 10. #9 With a lack of SOS so far and dropped results vs struggling sides of Susquehanna and Muhles keeps LVC leveled at the 9 slot but a nice win vs Gettysburg helps the cause. Rounding out the top 10 is Gettysburg. A hot start followed by 2 straight losses drops them 5 spots but with plenty of big games ahead they can climb back up the ladder. On the outside looking in is Etown, Scranton, DeSales, and Arcadia. F&M is not even in the picture after dropping out of the top 10.
While Hopkins may deserve #1 I highly doubt they will move ahead of Messiah since Messiah won both games played. A win is a win. If they tied or lost then Hopkins would pass them.
That might be true, but then 8-0 vs. one loss, and more favorable results against the only two common opponents to date (Haverford, York) would argue for JHU being #1 regardless. However, history rather than logic will likely rule here.
Quote from: JHU Fan on September 24, 2017, 05:43:20 PM
Quote from: rudy on September 24, 2017, 02:16:00 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 24, 2017, 08:59:21 AM
I think the region will shape up close to this:
1. Hopkins (8-0-0)
2. Messiah (7-1-0)
3. Lycoming (8-1-0)
4. Haverford (6-1-1)
5. Drew (8-0-1)
6. Eastern (7-1-0)
7. Dickinson (5-2-1)
8. Moravian (6-1-1)
9. Lebanon Valley (5-1-1)
10. Gettysburg (5-2-0)
RV: Etown (5-3-0), Scranton (5-3-0), DeSales (7-1-0), Arcadia (6-1-1)
Hopkins being undefeated, only giving up 1 goal, and big wins over Fords and Getty gets them the jump to #1. Messiah's stagnant game vs winless Misericordia keeps them from jumping to #1. Lycoming falls only 2 spots as they drop a tough road game but have big wins over Rowan, Dickinson, and Scranton. Fords stay put at #4 having lost to Hopkins and another blemish vs Catholic. Drew jumps to #5 after a thumping of Etown but this was the first legit team they have played. Look for them to continue to rise as the wins keep coming. Eastern follows Drew at #6 with a nice 2 slot jump thanks to some woeful results from others around the region. #7 welcomes Dickinson back to the picture. Losses to Lycoming and Messiah are respectable but the draw vs Swat keeps them outside the top 6. #8 also welcomes maybe the biggest surprise in Moravian. A tie vs Montclair and loss to Stockton rebounded by an away win vs Scranton gets them into the top 10. #9 With a lack of SOS so far and dropped results vs struggling sides of Susquehanna and Muhles keeps LVC leveled at the 9 slot but a nice win vs Gettysburg helps the cause. Rounding out the top 10 is Gettysburg. A hot start followed by 2 straight losses drops them 5 spots but with plenty of big games ahead they can climb back up the ladder. On the outside looking in is Etown, Scranton, DeSales, and Arcadia. F&M is not even in the picture after dropping out of the top 10.
While Hopkins may deserve #1 I highly doubt they will move ahead of Messiah since Messiah won both games played. A win is a win. If they tied or lost then Hopkins would pass them.
That might be true, but then 8-0 vs. one loss, and more favorable results against the only two common opponents to date (Haverford, York) would argue for JHU being #1 regardless. However, history rather than logic will likely rule here.
The logic makes sense but I don't think they ever move a team ahead of a team that was above them in previous poll if the higher team does not have a blemish since last poll.
Hopkins could certainly jump Messiah and in my opinion they should jump them in this week's regional poll.
Even though Messiah should have lost to Rowan (missed PK in OT), and they squeaked by Misericordia (despite outshooting them by 20+), they're still winning and therefore will likely stay on top. We can end this discussion on 10/5 when Hopkins travels to Grantham.
Rankings at this level go by results so they dont care about much more. It also doesnt matter at this point who is 1 or who is 4, the season will play out and the rankings will reflect the results.
Quote from: franklyspeaking on September 25, 2017, 08:59:21 AM
Rankings at this level go by results so they dont care about much more. It also doesnt matter at this point who is 1 or who is 4, the season will play out and the rankings will reflect the results.
Agreed. But what makes these boards fun are these kinds of debate :)
Quote from: EB2319 on September 25, 2017, 08:18:16 AM
Even though Messiah should have lost to Rowan (missed PK in OT), and they squeaked by Misericordia (despite outshooting them by 20+), they're still winning and therefore will likely stay on top. We can end this discussion on 10/5 when Hopkins travels to Grantham.
Looking forward to this game. Messiah home field will help I think. Both teams will have had time to work out any remaining kinks by then. Should be very telling result for both teams.
WEEK 3 REGIONAL RANKINGS
http://unitedsoccercoaches.org/web/Rankings/College_Rankings/NCAA_DIII_MEN/web/rankings/ncaa/diii_men.aspx
1 Messiah College
2 Johns Hopkins University
3 Lycoming College
4 Haverford College
5 Drew University
6 Eastern University
7 Gettysburg College
8 Lebanon Valley College
9 Dickinson College
10 University Of Scranton
Moravian still getting no love.
Quote from: EB2319 on September 26, 2017, 02:23:17 PM
WEEK 3 REGIONAL RANKINGS
http://unitedsoccercoaches.org/web/Rankings/College_Rankings/NCAA_DIII_MEN/web/rankings/ncaa/diii_men.aspx
1 Messiah College
2 Johns Hopkins University
3 Lycoming College
4 Haverford College
5 Drew University
6 Eastern University
7 Gettysburg College
8 Lebanon Valley College
9 Dickinson College
10 University Of Scranton
Moravian still getting no love.
While Moravian has a good record (6-1-1), it's hard to argue their SOS warrants a mention. They have a quality win over Scranton, but no other results to make a note of. If they can beat Drew this weekend and follow it up with a strong performance against E-town, then we can talk about them.
Games to Watch
Misericordia @ Lycoming
Hopkins @ Washington
Messiah @ Etown
Fords @ Muhles
Wilkes @ Scranton
Getty @ McDaniel
York @ LVC
Catholic @ Salisbury
Alvernia @ Kings
Dickinson @ F&M
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 27, 2017, 01:52:43 PM
Games to Watch
Misericordia @ Lycoming
Hopkins @ Washington
Messiah @ Etown
Fords @ Muhles
Wilkes @ Scranton
Getty @ McDaniel
York @ LVC
Catholic @ Salisbury
Alvernia @ Kings
Dickinson @ F&M
Here's my go...
Misericordia @ Lycoming –
Lycoming 3-0
Hopkins @ Washington –
Hopkins 3-0
Messiah @ Etown –
Messiah 2-1
Fords @ Muhles –
Haverford 3-0
Wilkes @ Scranton –
Scranton 2-0
Getty @ McDaniel –
Gettysburg 2-0
York @ LVC –
LVC 2-1 OT
Catholic @ Salisbury –
Salisbury 1-0
Alvernia @ Kings –
Alvernia 2-1 OT
Dickinson @ F&M –
Dickinson 2-1 OT
Added... Drew @ Moravian –
Drew 3-1
Messiah went to Herr Field in Elizabethtown tonight with a singular mission: don't let Gilbert Waso beat you, which is exactly what he did on their previous visit two years ago. He almost did it again. Probably the most dangerous player in this region, Waso was often denied the ball and almost always double-teamed when he had it, but somehow despite being short of stature he rose above everyone else in front the goal and hit the crossbar late in the first half of what was at that point about a dead-even scoreless game. If his shot had gone in, Etown probably wins this one--but, it didn't. The Blue Jays finally did score on a very nice header off a free kick (on a call near the sideline that could have gone either way) mid-way into the second half to put the Falcons in a hole. Given how well the Jays had played defensively to that point, stepping into the passing lanes and fighting hard for space, I thought it was probably over. However, once again Colby Thomas (the most dangerous Falcon) rescued his teammates with a hard shot (most of his are like that) from outside the box on the left side, where he was assigned to play after coming back into the game with the other starters a few minutes earlier. (Etown's goal actually came against the second team, though one or two starting defenders were still on the field.)
I have to believe this still is the greatest rivalry in D3 soccer. Nothing against Amherst-Williams, OWU-Kenyon, or any other rivalry that merits mentioning. Almost always these games are barn burners, regardless of the record of either team, and they always play 'em before an overflow, very knowledgeable crowd, many of them standing the whole time. If you've never been there, make it a priority to do so at least once if you live anywhere in the region--or even if you don't.
Etown almost always brings their A+ game, especially at home, and if the Falcons don't do likewise they lose. Tonight both teams earned full A's on the defensive end--Messiah especially needed to prove they can do that, after some shaky play in a few earlier games. The offenses didn't look quite as good, but mostly b/c the pressure on both ends was intense and Etown knows exactly how to slow down or stop the Falcons' one-touch, build-from-the-back attack. Overall the Falcons created more dangerous opportunities, but the Etown keeper rose to the occasion multiple times and made no mistakes. He had no chance whatsoever on the GW, a truly brilliant combination that in my mind's eye ranks up there as one of the great all-time Falcon goals, perhaps even in the top ten. Nick West, who'd been held under wraps most of the evening, sent a high cross from the right wing that ended up squarely on the head of Kirby Robbins, whose shot was a perfectly placed rocket from in close.
It was really good to see the Falcons come from behind late in the game, just as they did against Rowan, and then to win it in OT. Those are the kinds of games that make men ready to go deep into the tournament. This team should. It's not quite as deep on either end as some previous teams, but there are no major weaknesses on the first team and the talented freshmen of two years ago (four of whom started regularly, something I hadn't seen in almost 20 years) are now seasoned veterans who know how to win. The keeper could be quicker, but he rarely makes mistakes (none tonight) and sophomore CB Cooper Robbins is playing up to the high potential everyone knew he had. As he grows in confidence, experience, and judgement I'd say that he has a good chance to be an AA, like his brother Carter, perhaps even this year. And, Colby Thomas is just Colby Thomas. He can always be counted on to create shots and put it hard on frame. I give him a game ball with another to Shay Quintin, the smallish, left-footed, cat-like outside back from Massachusetts who can beat most forwards one-on-one when he has the ball, as he did often tonight. I still don't know how he ever got out of New England, but I'm mighty glad he did.
Speaking of which, I recently heard from someone in the know that Messiah is getting another first-rate player from New England next year, indeed an all-New England MF with a really fast mile time. I've known about him for a while, but it was a toss-up whether he would go D1 or to Messiah. I'll keep his name out of this, but I'll offer a hint: he scored 2 goals in the final to help his team win their third straight state title. That should keep the many NESCAC fans here guessing. ;D
The gooey, sticky aftermath of a Marshmallow Cup! (Check out the shoe prints!)
Quote from: Falconer on September 28, 2017, 12:12:35 AM
Messiah went to Herr Field in Elizabethtown tonight with a singular mission: don't let Gilbert Waso beat you, which is exactly what he did on their previous visit two years ago. He almost did it again. Probably the most dangerous player in this region, Waso was often denied the ball and almost always double-teamed when he had it, but somehow despite being short of stature he rose above everyone else in front the goal and hit the crossbar late in the first half of what was at that point about a dead-even scoreless game. If his shot had gone in, Etown probably wins this one--but, it didn't. The Blue Jays finally did score on a very nice header off a free kick (on a call near the sideline that could have gone either way) mid-way into the second half to put the Falcons in a hole. Given how well the Jays had played defensively to that point, stepping into the passing lanes and fighting hard for space, I thought it was probably over. However, once again Colby Thomas (the most dangerous Falcon) rescued his teammates with a hard shot (most of his are like that) from outside the box on the left side, where he was assigned to play after coming back into the game with the other starters a few minutes earlier. (Etown's goal actually came against the second team, though one or two starting defenders were still on the field.)
I have to believe this still is the greatest rivalry in D3 soccer. Nothing against Amherst-Williams, OWU-Kenyon, or any other rivalry that merits mentioning. Almost always these games are barn burners, regardless of the record of either team, and they always play 'em before an overflow, very knowledgeable crowd, many of them standing the whole time. If you've never been there, make it a priority to do so at least once if you live anywhere in the region--or even if you don't.
Etown almost always brings their A+ game, especially at home, and if the Falcons don't do likewise they lose. Tonight both teams earned full A's on the defensive end--Messiah especially needed to prove they can do that, after some shaky play in a few earlier games. The offenses didn't look quite as good, but mostly b/c the pressure on both ends was intense and Etown knows exactly how to slow down or stop the Falcons' one-touch, build-from-the-back attack. Overall the Falcons created more dangerous opportunities, but the Etown keeper rose to the occasion multiple times and made no mistakes. He had no chance whatsoever on the GW, a truly brilliant combination that in my mind's eye ranks up there as one of the great all-time Falcon goals, perhaps even in the top ten. Nick West, who'd been held under wraps most of the evening, sent a high cross from the right wing that ended up squarely on the head of Kirby Robbins, whose shot was a perfectly placed rocket from in close.
It was really good to see the Falcons come from behind late in the game, just as they did against Rowan, and then to win it in OT. Those are the kinds of games that make men ready to go deep into the tournament. This team should. It's not quite as deep on either end as some previous teams, but there are no major weaknesses on the first team and the talented freshmen of two years ago (four of whom started regularly, something I hadn't seen in almost 20 years) are now seasoned veterans who know how to win. The keeper could be quicker, but he rarely makes mistakes (none tonight) and sophomore CB Cooper Robbins is playing up to the high potential everyone knew he had. As he grows in confidence, experience, and judgement I'd say that he has a good chance to be an AA, like his brother Carter, perhaps even this year. And, Colby Thomas is just Colby Thomas. He can always be counted on to create shots and put it hard on frame. I give him a game ball with another to Shay Quintin, the smallish, left-footed, cat-like outside back from Massachusetts who can beat most forwards one-on-one when he has the ball, as he did often tonight. I still don't know how he ever got out of New England, but I'm mighty glad he did.
Speaking of which, I recently heard from someone in the know that Messiah is getting another first-rate player from New England next year, indeed an all-New England MF with a really fast mile time. I've known about him for a while, but it was a toss-up whether he would go D1 or to Messiah. I'll keep his name out of this, but I'll offer a hint: he scored 2 goals in the final to help his team win their third straight state title. That should keep the many NESCAC fans here guessing. ;D
Nice write-up. Here is my question. Will Thomas be slotted on the left side permanently or more often to jump start the scoring earlierr? That's 2 games in a row he came through with a big goal on a right foot rocket after being moved to the left side. Messiah has been struggling to score 3 games in a row now. Plenty of shots but not enough to challenge the keeper. Seems like some adjustments are needed. They get nothing off corner kicks.. maybe play a short corner more often.
Good write up on the Messiah-ETown game. I thought ETown won the first half and were unlikely not to take the lead. Messiah played like a new team in the second and didn't seemed phased when ETown scored. You just knew they'd win eventually. On the first Messiah goal, I thought ETown did a very poor job of closing space - that shot should never have gotten off. The game winner was a peach.
Results
Misericordia @ Lycoming===Lyco 3-0---Lyco bounces back and dominates from start to finish.
Hopkins @ Washington===JHU 2-1---JHU in control all game and gives one back late. Nice win to keep rolling.
Messiah @ Etown===Messiah 2-1 OT---Great game and a solid response by Etown after the let down vs Drew. Unlucky not to get a result here at home after a valiant effort. Messiah comes away the victor and overall was the better team. The Falcons continue to find ways to win tight games on the road which is a good sign for Falcon fans!
Fords @ Muhles===Draw 0-0---Fords drop what could be a costly game and add a blemish to the record. Conference road games are difficult but from the box score in this one looked pretty even. Great result for the Muhles.
Wilkes @ Scranton===Royals 3-0 ---Scranton finally stops the bleeding and snaps a 3 game losing streak with convincing display.
Getty @ McDaniel===Getty 1-0---Gettysburg in control from start to finish and pick up a conference road win to stay with the pack.
York @ LVC===LVC 6-1---Leb Val embarrasses York with 6 goals. This one was close for a half then all LVC after that. When was the last time York was relevant? Sad decline for that program.
Catholic @ Salisbury===2-1 2OT---Salisbury wins it with 4 minutes left in 2OT in what looked like a dead even game. Tough one for Catholic to swallow but plenty to look forward to with conference play.
Alvernia @ Kings===Draw 0-0---If you wanted to watch an exciting goal-fest then this was not your game. Featuring almost more yellow cards than total shots, King's and Alvernia play to a draw.
Dickinson @ F&M===F&M 2-1---A must win at home for the Diplomats, F&M finds a way to sneak out a win late despite losing the corner kick battle 12-3. This is a crushing loss for Dickinson as they deserved at least a result.
Regional Rankings:
1 Messiah College---def Etown 2-1 OT
2 Johns Hopkins University---def Wash Coll 2-1
3 Lycoming College---def Miseri 3-0
4 Haverford College---draw Muhles 0-0
5 Drew University---DNP
6 Eastern University---DNP
7 Gettysburg College---def McDaniel 1-0
8 Lebanon Valley College---def York 6-1
9 Dickinson College---lost 2-1 to F&M
10 University Of Scranton---def Wilkes 3-0
Really excited for Elizabethtown-Scranton on Saturday night. Good feed from E-town and both teams need to avoid going 0-2 in conference in the worst way.
Haverford drawing with Muhlenberg is actually a huge loss in my eyes.
I wouldn't say E-town won the first half, but it certainly was closer to 50-50 in that while Messiah had a noticeable edge in possession, E-town was more effective in possession than they would be in the second half and were creating as much danger and chances as were the Falcons.
Second half Messiah controlled the game even more than in the first half and E-town spent long stretches pinned back. E-town's goal largely came against the run of play, and, in contrast to EB2319's assessment, I did think it had an effect on Messiah play for about 5 or so minutes with a little impatience and perhaps nervousness resulting in a lot of errant and/or ill-advised passes that turned-over possession. But the Falcons got through that stretch and then started pinning E-town back again, and had two golden 1-v-1's with the keeper that they couldn't put away (among some other good looks) before finally getting the equalizer.
Finishing and productive play from/use of a target man is an issue for the Falcons (a re-occurring issue over the past 10 years--Josh Wood's healthy seasons being the exceptions). Defending corners kicks and FK's and crosses from the flanks seems to also be an issue for the Falcon defense. Waso nearly opened the scoring in the first half when, despite being the shortest guy in a crowded box, got his head to a corner kick and put it off the crossbar. And the Blue Jays' goal to open the scoring came from a FK from the flank.
Overall, the Falcons did a good job of keeping Waso in-check throughout, but there were the occasions when he was dangerous with his quickness and ball control in tight spaces. Two years ago when Waso scored to give E-town the win, Messiah didn't seem prepared for him--the first time they had faced him--and he repeatedly created havoc for the Falcon defense in the first half (including scoring his goal), but Messiah made adjustments at halftime and Waso was largely a non-factor in the second half of that game. Messiah did a good job on him from start to finish this time around (can't remember how well they played him last year at home). I noticed that after E-town went up 1-0, Waso dropped back into more of an attacking midfield postion, and then when Messiah equalized he returned to the top of the Blue Jay attack again.
This year's Messiah squad can win the midfield battle and hold significant possession advantages like Messiah is known for, but there are question marks in the final 15 yards at both ends of the field. But they have another month to work on that and improve before the NCAA tournament. And with Hopkins at home next Thursday night, Lycoming away in conference play, and maybe even LVC in conference play, they still have some measuring stick games even if the conference slate overall isn't the most challenging.
Two other thoughts...
1. What was with the pitch? On video, the grass looked extremely long and players were slipping all over the place, and not just near the marshmallows ;-)
2. Messiah plays a zone on defensive corners. That's gonna bite them someday.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 28, 2017, 10:51:06 AM
I wouldn't say E-town won the first half, but it certainly was closer to 50-50 in that while Messiah had a noticeable edge in possession, E-town was more effective in possession than they would be in the second half and were creating as much danger and chances as were the Falcons.
Second half Messiah controlled the game even more than in the first half and E-town spent long stretches pinned back. E-town's goal largely came against the run of play, and, in contrast to EB2319's assessment, I did think it had an effect on Messiah play for about 5 or so minutes with a little impatience and perhaps nervousness resulting in a lot of errant and/or ill-advised passes that turned-over possession. But the Falcons got through that stretch and then started pinning E-town back again, and had two golden 1-v-1's with the keeper that they couldn't put away (among some other good looks) before finally getting the equalizer.
Finishing and productive play from/use of a target man is an issue for the Falcons (a re-occurring issue over the past 10 years--Josh Wood's healthy seasons being the exceptions). Defending corners kicks and FK's and crosses from the flanks seems to also be an issue for the Falcon defense. Waso nearly opened the scoring in the first half when, despite being the shortest guy in a crowded box, got his head to a corner kick and put it off the crossbar. And the Blue Jays' goal to open the scoring came from a FK from the flank.
Overall, the Falcons did a good job of keeping Waso in-check throughout, but there were the occasions when he was dangerous with his quickness and ball control in tight spaces. Two years ago when Waso scored to give E-town the win, Messiah didn't seem prepared for him--the first time they had faced him--and he repeatedly created havoc for the Falcon defense in the first half (including scoring his goal), but Messiah made adjustments at halftime and Waso was largely a non-factor in the second half of that game. Messiah did a good job on him from start to finish this time around (can't remember how well they played him last year at home). I noticed that after E-town went up 1-0, Waso dropped back into more of an attacking midfield postion, and then when Messiah equalized he returned to the top of the Blue Jay attack again.
This year's Messiah squad can win the midfield battle and hold significant possession advantages like Messiah is known for, but there are question marks in the final 15 yards at both ends of the field. But they have another month to work on that and improve before the NCAA tournament. And with Hopkins at home next Thursday night, Lycoming away in conference play, and maybe even LVC in conference play, they still have some measuring stick games even if the conference slate overall isn't the most challenging.
Agree most goals they let in are from free kicks or corners. ..or even the long throw in . Their own corners have been poor..need to get shots on net out of them more often and a goal once in a while. That could be the difference in a tournament game..both defending fk's and corners and getting some goals out of their fk's and corners. Of course finishing some more of the golden opportunities you speak of would be nice too. Colby likes that right foot shot straight on outside the box...gotta get him those looks more often! The big positive is this team does not give up when down late in a game. Find a way to win...have to like that grit.
The Messiah starters are top class like always but I'm not sure I've ever seen a Messiah squad with the type of dropoff between starters and subs that this one has. Messiah controlled that Etown game as long as their starters were in but as soon as the subs started rolling in then Etown would take the upper hand, and it was a pretty dramatic shift in my opinion. Messiah would struggle to string passes together and would start to concede shots on goal.
Quote from: rudy on September 28, 2017, 07:31:31 AM
Messiah has been struggling to score 3 games in a row now. Plenty of shots but not enough to challenge the keeper. Seems like some adjustments are needed. They get nothing off corner kicks.. maybe play a short corner more often.
You're right, Rudy, they haven't scored much lately. However, vs Misericordia they put several shots hard on frame, even a couple of superb shots, only to be skunked by an excellent keeper having a pretty good night. And, last night vs Etown, they could easily have scored at least two more goals, had not the Etown keeper skunked them. (Etown was definitely unlucky when Waso hit the crossbar with that header, but Messiah was also unlucky when some excellent opportunities were denied by the keeper.)
I'm not as concerned as you about the scarcity of goals per se, but I do share your concern about corner kicks (and other set plays). For the past decade, there's always been someone on the field like Jacob "Bend it like" Bender, Brian Ramirez, or Geoff Pezon to take the inswingers and the free kicks. A few other guys were well skilled with those also. This year I don't see the same thing. I also don't see as much verticality as in earlier years. True, when Brandt started winning titles his players were usually on the shorter side, though a few (especially Hayden Woodworth) were good in the air, but later he got more big guys and that continued under McCarty until the last couple of years. I hope this is just a temporary situation, but the absence of an A game on set plays is a genuine cause for concern and one reason why I think the Falcons might not win it all this year. Time will tell.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 28, 2017, 10:51:06 AM
I wouldn't say E-town won the first half, but it certainly was closer to 50-50 in that while Messiah had a noticeable edge in possession, E-town was more effective in possession than they would be in the second half and were creating as much danger and chances as were the Falcons.
Second half Messiah controlled the game even more than in the first half and E-town spent long stretches pinned back. E-town's goal largely came against the run of play, and, in contrast to EB2319's assessment, I did think it had an effect on Messiah play for about 5 or so minutes with a little impatience and perhaps nervousness resulting in a lot of errant and/or ill-advised passes that turned-over possession. But the Falcons got through that stretch and then started pinning E-town back again, and had two golden 1-v-1's with the keeper that they couldn't put away (among some other good looks) before finally getting the equalizer.
Finishing and productive play from/use of a target man is an issue for the Falcons (a re-occurring issue over the past 10 years--Josh Wood's healthy seasons being the exceptions). Defending corners kicks and FK's and crosses from the flanks seems to also be an issue for the Falcon defense. Waso nearly opened the scoring in the first half when, despite being the shortest guy in a crowded box, got his head to a corner kick and put it off the crossbar. And the Blue Jays' goal to open the scoring came from a FK from the flank.
Overall, the Falcons did a good job of keeping Waso in-check throughout, but there were the occasions when he was dangerous with his quickness and ball control in tight spaces. Two years ago when Waso scored to give E-town the win, Messiah didn't seem prepared for him--the first time they had faced him--and he repeatedly created havoc for the Falcon defense in the first half (including scoring his goal), but Messiah made adjustments at halftime and Waso was largely a non-factor in the second half of that game. Messiah did a good job on him from start to finish this time around (can't remember how well they played him last year at home). I noticed that after E-town went up 1-0, Waso dropped back into more of an attacking midfield postion, and then when Messiah equalized he returned to the top of the Blue Jay attack again.
This year's Messiah squad can win the midfield battle and hold significant possession advantages like Messiah is known for, but there are question marks in the final 15 yards at both ends of the field. But they have another month to work on that and improve before the NCAA tournament. And with Hopkins at home next Thursday night, Lycoming away in conference play, and maybe even LVC in conference play, they still have some measuring stick games even if the conference slate overall isn't the most challenging.
FW..have you seen Hopkins play? I watched them against Haverford online and they looked pretty impressive. Two or three dangerous offensive players and solid all around. That game will definitely be one to watch and a good measuring stick.
Quote from: rudy on September 28, 2017, 05:21:04 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 28, 2017, 10:51:06 AM
I wouldn't say E-town won the first half, but it certainly was closer to 50-50 in that while Messiah had a noticeable edge in possession, E-town was more effective in possession than they would be in the second half and were creating as much danger and chances as were the Falcons.
Second half Messiah controlled the game even more than in the first half and E-town spent long stretches pinned back. E-town's goal largely came against the run of play, and, in contrast to EB2319's assessment, I did think it had an effect on Messiah play for about 5 or so minutes with a little impatience and perhaps nervousness resulting in a lot of errant and/or ill-advised passes that turned-over possession. But the Falcons got through that stretch and then started pinning E-town back again, and had two golden 1-v-1's with the keeper that they couldn't put away (among some other good looks) before finally getting the equalizer.
Finishing and productive play from/use of a target man is an issue for the Falcons (a re-occurring issue over the past 10 years--Josh Wood's healthy seasons being the exceptions). Defending corners kicks and FK's and crosses from the flanks seems to also be an issue for the Falcon defense. Waso nearly opened the scoring in the first half when, despite being the shortest guy in a crowded box, got his head to a corner kick and put it off the crossbar. And the Blue Jays' goal to open the scoring came from a FK from the flank.
Overall, the Falcons did a good job of keeping Waso in-check throughout, but there were the occasions when he was dangerous with his quickness and ball control in tight spaces. Two years ago when Waso scored to give E-town the win, Messiah didn't seem prepared for him--the first time they had faced him--and he repeatedly created havoc for the Falcon defense in the first half (including scoring his goal), but Messiah made adjustments at halftime and Waso was largely a non-factor in the second half of that game. Messiah did a good job on him from start to finish this time around (can't remember how well they played him last year at home). I noticed that after E-town went up 1-0, Waso dropped back into more of an attacking midfield postion, and then when Messiah equalized he returned to the top of the Blue Jay attack again.
This year's Messiah squad can win the midfield battle and hold significant possession advantages like Messiah is known for, but there are question marks in the final 15 yards at both ends of the field. But they have another month to work on that and improve before the NCAA tournament. And with Hopkins at home next Thursday night, Lycoming away in conference play, and maybe even LVC in conference play, they still have some measuring stick games even if the conference slate overall isn't the most challenging.
FW..have you seen Hopkins play? I watched them against Haverford online and they looked pretty impressive. Two or three dangerous offensive players and solid all around. That game will definitely be one to watch and a good measuring stick.
The JHU team can hang tight and even win against any top D1 program. They are very fluid and have very good technical players. The keeper is from Malaysia and is winning a lot of accolades.
Quote from: sokermom on September 28, 2017, 08:04:52 PM
Quote from: rudy on September 28, 2017, 05:21:04 PM
FW..have you seen Hopkins play? I watched them against Haverford online and they looked pretty impressive. Two or three dangerous offensive players and solid all around. That game will definitely be one to watch and a good measuring stick.
The JHU team can hang tight and even win against any top D1 program. They are very fluid and have very good technical players. The keeper is from Malaysia and is winning a lot of accolades.
I wouldn't go as far as saying any "top" D1 team. I am sure they can hang with smaller mid-majors, as we have seen evidence of this in the recent past by other top D3 teams scrimmaging mid-major schools, but I highly doubt they would hang tight or beat Maryland, Indiana, Wake Forest, UNC, etc. Saying that less than 10 games into the D3 season is a stretch to put it nicely. If they go undefeated and win the National Championship then you have more of an argument, but until then I will take Maryland over Hopkins any day of the week.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on September 29, 2017, 07:45:57 AM
Quote from: sokermom on September 28, 2017, 08:04:52 PM
Quote from: rudy on September 28, 2017, 05:21:04 PM
FW..have you seen Hopkins play? I watched them against Haverford online and they looked pretty impressive. Two or three dangerous offensive players and solid all around. That game will definitely be one to watch and a good measuring stick.
The JHU team can hang tight and even win against any top D1 program. They are very fluid and have very good technical players. The keeper is from Malaysia and is winning a lot of accolades.
I wouldn't go as far as saying any "top" D1 team. I am sure they can hang with smaller mid-majors, as we have seen evidence of this in the recent past by other top D3 teams scrimmaging mid-major schools, but I highly doubt they would hang tight or beat Maryland, Indiana, Wake Forest, UNC, etc. Saying that less than 10 games into the D3 season is a stretch to put it nicely. If they go undefeated and win the National Championship then you have more of an argument, but until then I will take Maryland over Hopkins any day of the week.
I assumed that was a typo and was meant to be "any top D3 team".
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on September 29, 2017, 07:45:57 AM
Quote from: sokermom on September 28, 2017, 08:04:52 PM
Quote from: rudy on September 28, 2017, 05:21:04 PM
FW..have you seen Hopkins play? I watched them against Haverford online and they looked pretty impressive. Two or three dangerous offensive players and solid all around. That game will definitely be one to watch and a good measuring stick.
The JHU team can hang tight and even win against any top D1 program. They are very fluid and have very good technical players. The keeper is from Malaysia and is winning a lot of accolades.
I wouldn't go as far as saying any "top" D1 team. I am sure they can hang with smaller mid-majors, as we have seen evidence of this in the recent past by other top D3 teams scrimmaging mid-major schools, but I highly doubt they would hang tight or beat Maryland, Indiana, Wake Forest, UNC, etc. Saying that less than 10 games into the D3 season is a stretch to put it nicely. If they go undefeated and win the National Championship then you have more of an argument, but until then I will take Maryland over Hopkins any day of the week.
I also assume a typo and should say D3. Even if they won the National Championship there is no way that JHU, or any other D3 team, hangs with the top 5-10 D1 programs. I have watched Maryland play..and they would easily beat NESCAC, Messiah, UAA, whatever team you want to put on the field.
I made it to the Messiah-Alvernia game last night. When the Falcons played the Crusaders (now known as the Golden Wolves) on the Crusaders' turf field a year ago, it went into double OT owing to great saves from the Alvernia keeper and a PK that tied it late in regulation: http://gomessiah.com/news/2016/10/5/mens-soccer-quintins-double-ot-winner-leads-messiah-to-road-win.aspx?path=msoc
The same keeper came up big last night on an early challenge, but the Falcons broke through later and went on to win 3-0. Here's my observations on the game within the game.
McCarty did some novel experimenting on the offensive end, trying several combinations on the wings and in the attacking MF, presumably in an effort to jump-start scoring. Although the Falcons have frequently been dangerous in recent games, scoring has been unusually low by Messiah standards. It's not a lack of experienced attackers: the main components have been there for multiple seasons. In the most interesting move, he shifted West from left to right, reinserted Alejos on the left wing, and put Thomas at MF on the right, near West. That proved an electric combination, giving Thomas more options to use his strength and speed, and it resulted in 3 assists for Colby, though at least one (if I recall correctly) came from his usual spot on the right wing. My guess is that McCarty will go back to that combination again, whether or not he starts the next few games that way.
Game balls to Colby and Kirby Robbins (who played the finisher role properly), with honorable mention to Nick West (for always being dangerous) and Shay Quintin (who made the greatest move of the night, a superb shake-and-bake in the box followed by a terrific cross that just missed resulting in another goal), who hasn't figured out yet that he's really an outside defender and doesn't belong down there. :o Of course Falcon fans have seen defenders suddenly morph into forwards before--guys like Jon Brubaker, JD Binger, and Jevon Gondwe--so maybe there's just something in the water.
Overall the Falcons looked awfully good. Their aggressive one-touch attack is running seamlessly right now, and finally the goals are coming. If they play this well the rest of this week, Hopkins is going to have their hands full Thursday night on a rare visit to Grantham. If the Blue Jays are as good as their record (and better than they were yesterday vs the Muhls, who aren't any better this year than Alvernia), it should be a good one. Looking forward to it.
I watched the entire Hopkins game yesterday and I was not very impressed (particularly against a sub-.500 team). If they are number 4 in the nation it seems to me that there may not be a lot of difference in quality in the top 25. Perhaps the tournament will be wide open this year.
I too watched a majority of the 2nd half and OT and I didn't think Hopkins was as poor as everyone says. Granted I didn't see a ton of good opportunities created in the final third, but they controlled the midfield and played a very patient game out the back. The wind was terrible so that certainly had an impact on the accuracy of any ball played in the air. In fact, I saw one instance where a ball play almost straight up ended going backward about 30 yards. I think they'll give Messiah a game and it actually wouldn't shock me to see them sneak one in on a restart to pull off the "upset".
I'm also keeping an eye on Drew. Another 3 goal win, and Cserhat scored yet again for the 7th game in a row. He now has 13 goals in 11 games and has scored in 9 of 11 this season. I suspect they'll jump Haverford in the rankings, moving into 4th as they head into a big Landmark clash at home against Scranton on Wednesday.
Regional Rankings:
1 Messiah College---def Etown 2-1 OT, def Alvernia 3-0
2 Johns Hopkins University---def Wash Coll 2-1, def Muhles 1-0 2OT
3 Lycoming College---def Miseri 3-0, def Widener 2-1
4 Haverford College---draw Muhles 0-0, lost Getty 4-1
5 Drew University---def Moravian 3-0
6 Eastern University---lost Manhattanville 3-1
7 Gettysburg College---def McDaniel 1-0, def Fords 4-1
8 Lebanon Valley College---def York 6-1
9 Dickinson College---lost 2-1 to F&M, def Ursinus 4-0
10 University Of Scranton---def Wilkes 3-0, def Etown 2-0
I would rank them like this...
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. Drew
5. Getty
6. LVC
7. Fords
8. Scranton
9. Dickinson
10. Eastern
--------------------
DeSales, Arcadia
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 01, 2017, 03:56:56 PM
I would rank them like this...
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. Drew
5. Getty
6. LVC
7. Fords
8. Scranton
9. Dickinson
10. Eastern
--------------------
DeSales, Arcadia
I am thinking this:
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lycoming
4. Drew
5. Gettysburg
6. Haverford
7. Scranton
8. Dickinson
9. Leb Val
10. Eastern
Quote from: Falconer on October 01, 2017, 09:03:03 AM
I made it to the Messiah-Alvernia game last night. When the Falcons played the Crusaders (now known as the Golden Wolves) on the Crusaders' turf field a year ago, it went into double OT owing to great saves from the Alvernia keeper and a PK that tied it late in regulation: http://gomessiah.com/news/2016/10/5/mens-soccer-quintins-double-ot-winner-leads-messiah-to-road-win.aspx?path=msoc
The same keeper came up big last night on an early challenge, but the Falcons broke through later and went on to win 3-0. Here's my observations on the game within the game.
McCarty did some novel experimenting on the offensive end, trying several combinations on the wings and in the attacking MF, presumably in an effort to jump-start scoring. Although the Falcons have frequently been dangerous in recent games, scoring has been unusually low by Messiah standards. It's not a lack of experienced attackers: the main components have been there for multiple seasons. In the most interesting move, he shifted West from left to right, reinserted Alejos on the left wing, and put Thomas at MF on the right, near West. That proved an electric combination, giving Thomas more options to use his strength and speed, and it resulted in 3 assists for Colby, though at least one (if I recall correctly) came from his usual spot on the right wing. My guess is that McCarty will go back to that combination again, whether or not he starts the next few games that way.
Game balls to Colby and Kirby Robbins (who played the finisher role properly), with honorable mention to Nick West (for always being dangerous) and Shay Quintin (who made the greatest move of the night, a superb shake-and-bake in the box followed by a terrific cross that just missed resulting in another goal), who hasn't figured out yet that he's really an outside defender and doesn't belong down there. :o Of course Falcon fans have seen defenders suddenly morph into forwards before--guys like Jon Brubaker, JD Binger, and Jevon Gondwe--so maybe there's just something in the water.
Overall the Falcons looked awfully good. Their aggressive one-touch attack is running seamlessly right now, and finally the goals are coming. If they play this well the rest of this week, Hopkins is going to have their hands full Thursday night on a rare visit to Grantham. If the Blue Jays are as good as their record (and better than they were yesterday vs the Muhls, who aren't any better this year than Alvernia), it should be a good one. Looking forward to it.
Shay is a great player, and even better kid. My played with and against him for years during their club years. You could legit put him anywhere on the field, with the exception of GK, and he's produce. Although, we have seen him in net in meaningless summer tourneys, and he's fine back there as well. :-)
Quote from: stillwatching on October 02, 2017, 10:25:57 AM
Quote from: Falconer on October 01, 2017, 09:03:03 AM
I made it to the Messiah-Alvernia game last night. When the Falcons played the Crusaders (now known as the Golden Wolves) on the Crusaders' turf field a year ago, it went into double OT owing to great saves from the Alvernia keeper and a PK that tied it late in regulation: http://gomessiah.com/news/2016/10/5/mens-soccer-quintins-double-ot-winner-leads-messiah-to-road-win.aspx?path=msoc
The same keeper came up big last night on an early challenge, but the Falcons broke through later and went on to win 3-0. Here's my observations on the game within the game.
McCarty did some novel experimenting on the offensive end, trying several combinations on the wings and in the attacking MF, presumably in an effort to jump-start scoring. Although the Falcons have frequently been dangerous in recent games, scoring has been unusually low by Messiah standards. It's not a lack of experienced attackers: the main components have been there for multiple seasons. In the most interesting move, he shifted West from left to right, reinserted Alejos on the left wing, and put Thomas at MF on the right, near West. That proved an electric combination, giving Thomas more options to use his strength and speed, and it resulted in 3 assists for Colby, though at least one (if I recall correctly) came from his usual spot on the right wing. My guess is that McCarty will go back to that combination again, whether or not he starts the next few games that way.
Game balls to Colby and Kirby Robbins (who played the finisher role properly), with honorable mention to Nick West (for always being dangerous) and Shay Quintin (who made the greatest move of the night, a superb shake-and-bake in the box followed by a terrific cross that just missed resulting in another goal), who hasn't figured out yet that he's really an outside defender and doesn't belong down there. :o Of course Falcon fans have seen defenders suddenly morph into forwards before--guys like Jon Brubaker, JD Binger, and Jevon Gondwe--so maybe there's just something in the water.
Overall the Falcons looked awfully good. Their aggressive one-touch attack is running seamlessly right now, and finally the goals are coming. If they play this well the rest of this week, Hopkins is going to have their hands full Thursday night on a rare visit to Grantham. If the Blue Jays are as good as their record (and better than they were yesterday vs the Muhls, who aren't any better this year than Alvernia), it should be a good one. Looking forward to it.
Shay is a great player, and even better kid. My played with and against him for years during their club years. You could legit put him anywhere on the field, with the exception of GK, and he's produce. Although, we have seen him in net in meaningless summer tourneys, and he's fine back there as well. :-)
I much appreciate your affirmation of my enthusiasm about Shay, stillwatching. I know he didn't score a great deal for his HS team, but it was a truly great team (as you would know more than me) with other players who apparently fit better up front. Shay could indeed play anywhere. The fact that he's at left outside back is simply a result of circumstances at Messiah and nothing else as far as I can see. When he arrived on campus last fall, there was a crucial need for someone to fill that position, and at least three other returning players were very experienced at left wing, with other very experienced starters in MF.
There's been much discussion of Amherst here lately, so let me point out that two of Shay's teammates at Milton Academy play for Amherst. The big scorer for Milton accepted a scholarship to D1 Boston University. I see where Shay has a younger brother who also played for Milton: can you tell me whether he's also playing somewhere in college?
6 teams in the D3 Top 25 and 1 RV
Hopkins (3)
Messiah (5)
Lycoming (11)
Drew (17
Gettysburg (23)
Haverford (25)
Scranton (RV)
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 4 - October 3, 2017 (Results updated thru 10/3)
1. Messiah---def Albright 5-0
2. Hopkins---def Stevenson 3-0
3. Lycoming---def #6 LVC 2-0
4. Drew---
5. Gettysburg---
6. Lebanon Valley---lost to #3 Lyco 2-0
7. Haverford---
8. Scranton---
9. Eastern---
10. Dickinson---def Misericordia 5-0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Games to Watch (10/4)
Scranton @ Drew
Eastern @ Gettysburg
Fords @ Rutgers Camden
Goucher @ Catholic
William & Patterson @ DeSales
Moravian @ Etown
Other Results (10/3)
Stevens over F&M 1-0
Rowan over Muhles 3-2
Hood and Widener tie 1-1
Kings over Penn College 4-0
Cabrini over Keystone 2-0
Alvernia over Arcadia 1-0
What does the board think about Lycoming's game play? High foul counts; 182 to date. High yellow card count; 22. They had 25 fouls and 2 yellow cards yesterday. Vs Messiah who only has 69 fouls and 3 yellow cards. Is that taught or just the type of player Lycoming recruits?
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 04, 2017, 11:41:32 AM
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 4 - October 3, 2017 (Results updated thru 10/3)
1. Messiah---def Albright 5-0
2. Hopkins---def Stevenson 3-0
3. Lycoming---def #6 LVC 2-0
4. Drew---
5. Gettysburg---
6. Lebanon Valley---lost to #3 Lyco 2-0
7. Haverford---
8. Scranton---
9. Eastern---
10. Dickinson---def Misericordia 5-0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Games to Watch (10/4)
Scranton @ Drew
Eastern @ Gettysburg
Fords @ Rutgers Camden
Goucher @ Catholic
William & Patterson @ DeSales
Moravian @ Etown
Other Results (10/3)
Stevens over F&M 1-0
Rowan over Muhles 3-2
Hood and Widener tie 1-1
Kings over Penn College 4-0
Cabrini over Keystone 2-0
Alvernia over Arcadia 1-0
Scranton vs drew will be interesting game. Big game tomorrow for the region Hopkins at Messiah. Stevens over F&M..that's a surprise. F&M not having a great year.
Drew - 2
Scranton - 0
Cserhat with 2 more goals. 15 for the season and he's now scored in all but 2 games.
I still don't understand how he wound up at Drew. He's clearly a D1 caliber player. He's also from New Mexico so i'm not sure how Drew snagged him
Quote from: Falconer on October 02, 2017, 12:39:51 PM
Quote from: stillwatching on October 02, 2017, 10:25:57 AM
Quote from: Falconer on October 01, 2017, 09:03:03 AM
I made it to the Messiah-Alvernia game last night. When the Falcons played the Crusaders (now known as the Golden Wolves) on the Crusaders' turf field a year ago, it went into double OT owing to great saves from the Alvernia keeper and a PK that tied it late in regulation: http://gomessiah.com/news/2016/10/5/mens-soccer-quintins-double-ot-winner-leads-messiah-to-road-win.aspx?path=msoc
The same keeper came up big last night on an early challenge, but the Falcons broke through later and went on to win 3-0. Here's my observations on the game within the game.
McCarty did some novel experimenting on the offensive end, trying several combinations on the wings and in the attacking MF, presumably in an effort to jump-start scoring. Although the Falcons have frequently been dangerous in recent games, scoring has been unusually low by Messiah standards. It's not a lack of experienced attackers: the main components have been there for multiple seasons. In the most interesting move, he shifted West from left to right, reinserted Alejos on the left wing, and put Thomas at MF on the right, near West. That proved an electric combination, giving Thomas more options to use his strength and speed, and it resulted in 3 assists for Colby, though at least one (if I recall correctly) came from his usual spot on the right wing. My guess is that McCarty will go back to that combination again, whether or not he starts the next few games that way.
Game balls to Colby and Kirby Robbins (who played the finisher role properly), with honorable mention to Nick West (for always being dangerous) and Shay Quintin (who made the greatest move of the night, a superb shake-and-bake in the box followed by a terrific cross that just missed resulting in another goal), who hasn't figured out yet that he's really an outside defender and doesn't belong down there. :o Of course Falcon fans have seen defenders suddenly morph into forwards before--guys like Jon Brubaker, JD Binger, and Jevon Gondwe--so maybe there's just something in the water.
Overall the Falcons looked awfully good. Their aggressive one-touch attack is running seamlessly right now, and finally the goals are coming. If they play this well the rest of this week, Hopkins is going to have their hands full Thursday night on a rare visit to Grantham. If the Blue Jays are as good as their record (and better than they were yesterday vs the Muhls, who aren't any better this year than Alvernia), it should be a good one. Looking forward to it.
Shay is a great player, and even better kid. My played with and against him for years during their club years. You could legit put him anywhere on the field, with the exception of GK, and he's produce. Although, we have seen him in net in meaningless summer tourneys, and he's fine back there as well. :-)
I much appreciate your affirmation of my enthusiasm about Shay, stillwatching. I know he didn't score a great deal for his HS team, but it was a truly great team (as you would know more than me) with other players who apparently fit better up front. Shay could indeed play anywhere. The fact that he's at left outside back is simply a result of circumstances at Messiah and nothing else as far as I can see. When he arrived on campus last fall, there was a crucial need for someone to fill that position, and at least three other returning players were very experienced at left wing, with other very experienced starters in MF.
There's been much discussion of Amherst here lately, so let me point out that two of Shay's teammates at Milton Academy play for Amherst. The big scorer for Milton accepted a scholarship to D1 Boston University. I see where Shay has a younger brother who also played for Milton: can you tell me whether he's also playing somewhere in college?
My son played against that Milton team. He came away very impressed with that team in general and Shay in particular, whom he thought was the best player on that team.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 04, 2017, 11:41:32 AM
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 4 - October 3, 2017 (Results updated thru 10/3)
1. Messiah---def Albright 5-0
2. Hopkins---def Stevenson 3-0
3. Lycoming---def #6 LVC 2-0
4. Drew---
5. Gettysburg---
6. Lebanon Valley---lost to #3 Lyco 2-0
7. Haverford---
8. Scranton---
9. Eastern---
10. Dickinson---def Misericordia 5-0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Games to Watch (10/4)
Scranton @ Drew
Eastern @ Gettysburg
Fords @ Rutgers Camden
Goucher @ Catholic
William & Patterson @ DeSales
Moravian @ Etown
Other Results (10/3)
Stevens over F&M 1-0
Rowan over Muhles 3-2
Hood and Widener tie 1-1
Kings over Penn College 4-0
Cabrini over Keystone 2-0
Alvernia over Arcadia 1-0
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 4 - October 3, 2017 (Results updated thru 10/4)
1. Messiah---def Albright 5-0
2. Hopkins---def Stevenson 3-0
3. Lycoming---def #6 LVC 2-0
4. Drew---def #8 Scranton 2-0
5. Gettysburg---def #9 Eastern 2-1 OT
6. Lebanon Valley---
lost to #3 Lyco 2-0
7. Haverford---
tied Rutgers Camden
8. Scranton---
lost to #4 Drew 2-0
9. Eastern---
lost to #5 Gettysburg 2-1 OT
10. Dickinson---def Misericordia 5-0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Games to Watch (10/4)Scranton @ Drew (0-2)
Eastern @ Gettysburg (1-2 OT)
Fords @ Rutgers Camden (0-0)
Goucher @ Catholic (0-2)
William & Patterson @ DeSales (3-3)
Moravian @ Etown (1-1)
Game to Watch:
#3 JHU travels to #5 Messiah @7pm
As we start to move towards the last third of the season teams are starting to separate themselves for the good and for the bad. Little bit of a breakdown for what the regional rankings might start to look like over the next few weeks. SOS and RvR will play big factors in the actual rankings by the NCAA, but so far these are the teams I feel are competing to be ranked.
Comfortably Safe (So Far)
Hopkins (11-0-0) w/Messiah, F&M, & Dickinson left
Messiah (10-1-0) w/Hopkins, Lyco, & LVC left
Lyco (11-1-0) w/Messiah left
Safe (But on the Edge)
Drew (11-0-1) w/Haverford & Kean left
Gettysburg (8-2-0) w/Muhles, Dickinson, & F&M left
Work to Do (And Needs Some Help)
Leb Val (6-2-1) w/Messiah left
Dickinson (7-3-1) w/Scranton, Gettysburg, Fords, & Hopkins
Scranton (7-4-0) w/Dickinson left
Eastern (7-3-0) w/Stockton left
Fords (6-2-3) w/Drew & Dickinson left
Long-shots (Really Needs Help)
DeSales (9-1-1) w/Kings, Moravian, & Eastern left
Arcadia (7-2-1) w/Lyco, Messiah & LVC left
Done (No Chance unless they win the AQ)
Moravian (6-2-2)
Kings (7-3-1)
McDaniel (7-2-1)
Etown (5-5-1)
F&M (4-5-1)
Catholic (4-4-4)
Manhattanville (6-5-0)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 05, 2017, 09:38:31 AM
As we start to move towards the last third of the season teams are starting to separate themselves for the good and for the bad. Little bit of a breakdown for what the regional rankings might start to look like over the next few weeks. SOS and RvR will play big factors in the actual rankings by the NCAA, but so far these are the teams I feel are competing to be ranked.
Comfortably Safe (So Far)
Hopkins (11-0-0) w/Messiah, F&M, & Dickinson left
Messiah (10-1-0) w/Hopkins, Lyco, & LVC left
Lyco (11-1-0) w/Messiah left
I hope you're right, MAF, that Messiah and Lyco are both safe.
Back when Messiah and Etown were in the same conference, they would almost always end up playing twice, with the second game being the conference playoffs. (Sometimes they would both get a bid and end up playing a third time, but that wasn't common.) Some years they would split the two games, or one would end in a tie, whether or not followed by PKs as it would be in the conference tournament. But, if Messiah won them both (I don't remember the opposite result, but perhaps I'm forgetting such), Etown was definitely not safe for a bid. When Messiah lost twice to Lyco two years ago (when both games were in Williamsport), the Falcons failed to get a bid.
Obviously I am ignoring the whole "body of work" in this musing, and that obviously matters. (I agree e.g. that Messiah didn't deserve a bid in 2015.) However, I could still see scenarios in which bids this year were not given to BOTH of those teams. If Messiah beats Hopkins tonight I'll feel better about their chances, but they might still stumble badly enough not to get a bid if Lyco beats them twice.
And, that could happen. Lyco doesn't have anything to prove this year. They have a significant advantage playing at home. Their field hinders the Falcon's one-touch passing game, and they have shown the ability to beat or tie Messiah, even the very best Falcon teams, such as the NCAA championship team that failed to score in the 2013 conference title game, only to lose in PKS: http://www.gomessiah.com/news/2013/11/6/MSOC_1106133242.aspx?path=msoc.
Lyco almost always plays a very physical game, regardless of the opponent, so the officiating might be a factor. Much depends on whether the referee "lets them play," or calls the tighter game that normally favors the Falcons. Weather obviously a potential factor as well. I'd say right now, before the Messiah-Hopkins game result is known, that Lyco should probably be a slight favorite at their own place, perhaps 53-47 on the odds. I'd reverse it to 60-40 if it were in Grantham. Just one person's opinion. Soon we'll have facts instead.
Having watched the Lyco vs LVC game, I predict that Messiah have about a 65% chance of winning. LVC had a PK saved in their game against Lyco. If that had gone in to tie it 1-1 then I think LVC probably would have taken the game. They controlled possesion and only conceded a second goal once they began throwing bodies forward. Lyco plays an extremely direct game and very rarely will try to play out of the back or even through the midfield. If Messiah can control possession and slow the game down then they should dominate.
Quote from: Falconer on October 05, 2017, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 05, 2017, 09:38:31 AM
As we start to move towards the last third of the season teams are starting to separate themselves for the good and for the bad. Little bit of a breakdown for what the regional rankings might start to look like over the next few weeks. SOS and RvR will play big factors in the actual rankings by the NCAA, but so far these are the teams I feel are competing to be ranked.
Comfortably Safe (So Far)
Hopkins (11-0-0) w/Messiah, F&M, & Dickinson left
Messiah (10-1-0) w/Hopkins, Lyco, & LVC left
Lyco (11-1-0) w/Messiah left
I hope you're right, MAF, that Messiah and Lyco are both safe.
Back when Messiah and Etown were in the same conference, they would almost always end up playing twice, with the second game being the conference playoffs. (Sometimes they would both get a bid and end up playing a third time, but that wasn't common.) Some years they would split the two games, or one would end in a tie, whether or not followed by PKs as it would be in the conference tournament. But, if Messiah won them both (I don't remember the opposite result, but perhaps I'm forgetting such), Etown was definitely not safe for a bid. When Messiah lost twice to Lyco two years ago (when both games were in Williamsport), the Falcons failed to get a bid.
Obviously I am ignoring the whole "body of work" in this musing, and that obviously matters. (I agree e.g. that Messiah didn't deserve a bid in 2015.) However, I could still see scenarios in which bids this year were not given to BOTH of those teams. If Messiah beats Hopkins tonight I'll feel better about their chances, but they might still stumble badly enough not to get a bid if Lyco beats them twice.
And, that could happen. Lyco doesn't have anything to prove this year. They have a significant advantage playing at home. Their field hinders the Falcon's one-touch passing game, and they have shown the ability to beat or tie Messiah, even the very best Falcon teams, such as the NCAA championship team that failed to score in the 2013 conference title game, only to lose in PKS: http://www.gomessiah.com/news/2013/11/6/MSOC_1106133242.aspx?path=msoc.
Lyco almost always plays a very physical game, regardless of the opponent, so the officiating might be a factor. Much depends on whether the referee "lets them play," or calls the tighter game that normally favors the Falcons. Weather obviously a potential factor as well. I'd say right now, before the Messiah-Hopkins game result is known, that Lyco should probably be a slight favorite at their own place, perhaps 53-47 on the odds. I'd reverse it to 60-40 if it were in Grantham. Just one person's opinion. Soon we'll have facts instead.
I'm thinking even a tie with Hopkins would be "enough" to stay safe unless they stumble and tie/lose later against weaker opponents..which is possible. A lesser team can definitely get a draw under the right conditions. Look at Tufts last year..lost twice to Bowdoin at the end of the season..had only 9 wins (9-4-2) ...and they got a berth. And then they won it all. I think Tufts was fortunate last year to get the bid.
Quote from: Falconer on October 05, 2017, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 05, 2017, 09:38:31 AM
As we start to move towards the last third of the season teams are starting to separate themselves for the good and for the bad. Little bit of a breakdown for what the regional rankings might start to look like over the next few weeks. SOS and RvR will play big factors in the actual rankings by the NCAA, but so far these are the teams I feel are competing to be ranked.
Comfortably Safe (So Far)
Hopkins (11-0-0) w/Messiah, F&M, & Dickinson left
Messiah (10-1-0) w/Hopkins, Lyco, & LVC left
Lyco (11-1-0) w/Messiah left
I hope you're right, MAF, that Messiah and Lyco are both safe.
Back when Messiah and Etown were in the same conference, they would almost always end up playing twice, with the second game being the conference playoffs. (Sometimes they would both get a bid and end up playing a third time, but that wasn't common.) Some years they would split the two games, or one would end in a tie, whether or not followed by PKs as it would be in the conference tournament. But, if Messiah won them both (I don't remember the opposite result, but perhaps I'm forgetting such), Etown was definitely not safe for a bid. When Messiah lost twice to Lyco two years ago (when both games were in Williamsport), the Falcons failed to get a bid.
Obviously I am ignoring the whole "body of work" in this musing, and that obviously matters. (I agree e.g. that Messiah didn't deserve a bid in 2015.) However, I could still see scenarios in which bids this year were not given to BOTH of those teams. If Messiah beats Hopkins tonight I'll feel better about their chances, but they might still stumble badly enough not to get a bid if Lyco beats them twice.
And, that could happen. Lyco doesn't have anything to prove this year. They have a significant advantage playing at home. Their field hinders the Falcon's one-touch passing game, and they have shown the ability to beat or tie Messiah, even the very best Falcon teams, such as the NCAA championship team that failed to score in the 2013 conference title game, only to lose in PKS: http://www.gomessiah.com/news/2013/11/6/MSOC_1106133242.aspx?path=msoc.
Lyco almost always plays a very physical game, regardless of the opponent, so the officiating might be a factor. Much depends on whether the referee "lets them play," or calls the tighter game that normally favors the Falcons. Weather obviously a potential factor as well. I'd say right now, before the Messiah-Hopkins game result is known, that Lyco should probably be a slight favorite at their own place, perhaps 53-47 on the odds. I'd reverse it to 60-40 if it were in Grantham. Just one person's opinion. Soon we'll have facts instead.
I agree with a majority of that Falconer. Those are just my views as of today. Obviously if any team takes a few more losses and others behind win some then things will shift. But as of today those are the probable scenarios for regional ranking teams. I a not saying who is getting in or anything like that because a lot will depend on AQ's for who battles for at-large bids. A lot of soccer to be played yet and anything can happen. I think right now though the clear favorites are Hopkins, Messiah, Lyco, and then Drew in it's own area then Gettysburg closely following them. After that it is a toss up between 4-5 teams jostling for those next spots.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 05, 2017, 01:35:43 PM
Having watched the Lyco vs LVC game, I predict that Messiah have about a 65% chance of winning. LVC had a PK saved in their game against Lyco. If that had gone in to tie it 1-1 then I think LVC probably would have taken the game. They controlled possesion and only conceded a second goal once they began throwing bodies forward. Lyco plays an extremely direct game and very rarely will try to play out of the back or even through the midfield. If Messiah can control possession and slow the game down then they should dominate.
I watched some of this game and was stat checking while I was watching others and I disagree with a portion of this. Saying Messiah has a 65% chance to win based off of watching Lycoming play one game vs a good opponent is a stretch. I agree with your assessment of the game and think the PK save was big but to say LVC wins that game if they make that PK is a guess. Also as Falconer stated above, Lycoming and Messiah have had some good battles since 2013 when they stunned the Falcons in Grantham. With the regular season game being at Lycoming I think the odds are better than 65/35 as you think. I'd say 54/46 in favor of the Falcons based from what I have seen of both teams this year. Also, with the way Messiah plays, they should want to speed up the game if anything, not slow it down. The quicker they can move the ball the better. Not sure why you would think slowing down the pace of play would benefit the Falcons.
I saw the second half of Scranton-Drew. Scranton was denied on a PK and had a few chances in the 2nd half. Looks like Drew will have home field advantage in the playoffs. Also watched Etown-Moravian play to a 2OT draw.
It's quite some time since I saw a game like the one tonight in Grantham. Hopkins brought their best game, as I frankly hoped they would, and so did Messiah. It was like watching a chess match the entire first half and most of the second. Neither team was conceding anything to their opponent, and both teams were sometimes very dangerous, but the defenses stepped up and usually prevented shots on goal. Both exhilarating and frustrating to watch. Messiah had the edge in the first half, but the Jays actually dominated the second half until about ten minutes remained, when the Falcons took over and didn't look back. Target Kirby Robbins bulled his way through the defense and made a great, tough shot, moving to his right but shooting hard back to his left.
Hopkins made a valiant effort to even it in the closing seconds, but if their keeper hadn't made two brilliant saves it would have finished 3-0.
I think I saw a Final Four match tonight. Both teams are that good right now. Honestly, I wouldn't budge the rankings one bit based on this result. Keep Hopkins #3 and Messiah #5, though move either one up if someone else stumbles.
Quote from: Falconer on October 05, 2017, 09:25:17 PM
It's quite some time since I saw a game like the one tonight in Grantham. Hopkins brought their best game, as I frankly hoped they would, and so did Messiah. It was like watching a chess match the entire first half and most of the second. Neither team was conceding anything to their opponent, and both teams were sometimes very dangerous, but the defenses stepped up and usually prevented shots on goal. Both exhilarating and frustrating to watch. Messiah had the edge in the first half, but the Jays actually dominated the second half until about ten minutes remained, when the Falcons took over and didn't look back. Target Kirby Robbins bulled his way through the defense and made a great, tough shot, moving to his right but shooting hard back to his left.
Hopkins made a valiant effort to even it in the closing seconds, but if their keeper hadn't made two brilliant saves it would have finished 3-0.
I think I saw a Final Four match tonight. Both teams are that good right now. Honestly, I wouldn't budge the rankings one bit based on this result. Keep Hopkins #3 and Messiah #5, though move either one up if someone else stumbles.
Falconer, that is a fascinating post. There are so many things going on, and they can't all be true. You went to some lengths to praise JHU but concluded that they would have lost 3-0 IF GK hadn't made 2 saves. Were the saves lucky or extra-ordinary? Both teams had 3 saves. So if JHU had had no saves out of 3 SOG then yes the score would have been 3-0. But if JHU made 3 saves and Messiah had none then JHU would have won 3-0. And you said JHU dominated much of the 2nd half and after Messiah scored tried valiantly to equalize. Messiah didn't score until the 83rd minute. And then you conclude that JHU should keep a higher ranking. At any rate, it seems that your conclusion is that Messiah is one of if not the best team in the country.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 05, 2017, 03:03:50 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 05, 2017, 01:35:43 PM
Having watched the Lyco vs LVC game, I predict that Messiah have about a 65% chance of winning. LVC had a PK saved in their game against Lyco. If that had gone in to tie it 1-1 then I think LVC probably would have taken the game. They controlled possesion and only conceded a second goal once they began throwing bodies forward. Lyco plays an extremely direct game and very rarely will try to play out of the back or even through the midfield. If Messiah can control possession and slow the game down then they should dominate.
I watched some of this game and was stat checking while I was watching others and I disagree with a portion of this. Saying Messiah has a 65% chance to win based off of watching Lycoming play one game vs a good opponent is a stretch. I agree with your assessment of the game and think the PK save was big but to say LVC wins that game if they make that PK is a guess. Also as Falconer stated above, Lycoming and Messiah have had some good battles since 2013 when they stunned the Falcons in Grantham. With the regular season game being at Lycoming I think the odds are better than 65/35 as you think. I'd say 54/46 in favor of the Falcons based from what I have seen of both teams this year. Also, with the way Messiah plays, they should want to speed up the game if anything, not slow it down. The quicker they can move the ball the better. Not sure why you would think slowing down the pace of play would benefit the Falcons.
Lyco wants a physical and sloppy game with possession changing hands frequently. It suits their style better. That's just a fact. They will not fare well if Messiah dominates possession. Moving the ball quickly while having possession has nothing to do with the actual pace of the game (see barca). We can come back to these posts once Messiah wins.
Quote from: Falconer on October 05, 2017, 09:25:17 PM
It's quite some time since I saw a game like the one tonight in Grantham. Hopkins brought their best game, as I frankly hoped they would, and so did Messiah. It was like watching a chess match the entire first half and most of the second. Neither team was conceding anything to their opponent, and both teams were sometimes very dangerous, but the defenses stepped up and usually prevented shots on goal. Both exhilarating and frustrating to watch. Messiah had the edge in the first half, but the Jays actually dominated the second half until about ten minutes remained, when the Falcons took over and didn't look back. Target Kirby Robbins bulled his way through the defense and made a great, tough shot, moving to his right but shooting hard back to his left.
Hopkins made a valiant effort to even it in the closing seconds, but if their keeper hadn't made two brilliant saves it would have finished 3-0.
I think I saw a Final Four match tonight. Both teams are that good right now. Honestly, I wouldn't budge the rankings one bit based on this result. Keep Hopkins #3 and Messiah #5, though move either one up if someone else stumbles.
I really wanted to be at the game last night but wasn't able to make it. Thanks for the write-up.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 05, 2017, 09:53:20 PM
Quote from: Falconer on October 05, 2017, 09:25:17 PM
It's quite some time since I saw a game like the one tonight in Grantham. Hopkins brought their best game, as I frankly hoped they would, and so did Messiah. It was like watching a chess match the entire first half and most of the second. Neither team was conceding anything to their opponent, and both teams were sometimes very dangerous, but the defenses stepped up and usually prevented shots on goal. Both exhilarating and frustrating to watch. Messiah had the edge in the first half, but the Jays actually dominated the second half until about ten minutes remained, when the Falcons took over and didn't look back. Target Kirby Robbins bulled his way through the defense and made a great, tough shot, moving to his right but shooting hard back to his left.
Hopkins made a valiant effort to even it in the closing seconds, but if their keeper hadn't made two brilliant saves it would have finished 3-0.
I think I saw a Final Four match tonight. Both teams are that good right now. Honestly, I wouldn't budge the rankings one bit based on this result. Keep Hopkins #3 and Messiah #5, though move either one up if someone else stumbles.
Falconer, that is a fascinating post. There are so many things going on, and they can't all be true. You went to some lengths to praise JHU but concluded that they would have lost 3-0 IF GK hadn't made 2 saves. Were the saves lucky or extra-ordinary? Both teams had 3 saves. So if JHU had had no saves out of 3 SOG then yes the score would have been 3-0. But if JHU made 3 saves and Messiah had none then JHU would have won 3-0. And you said JHU dominated much of the 2nd half and after Messiah scored tried valiantly to equalize. Messiah didn't score until the 83rd minute. And then you conclude that JHU should keep a higher ranking. At any rate, it seems that your conclusion is that Messiah is one of if not the best team in the country.
I have to say that I don't understand the tone of your post. What is it that you think Falconer said that isn't true? You questioned his "2 saves" comment, but Falconer specifically said 2 brilliant saves, and we all know that not all saves are equal. Plus, the saves happened after JHU was trying to equalize (late in the game) which usually opens up the opportunity for quick counter plays by the other team. Lastly, by calling it a Final Four quality match, I read that as saying that both teams are one of if not the best teams in the country.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 05, 2017, 11:21:04 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 05, 2017, 03:03:50 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 05, 2017, 01:35:43 PM
Having watched the Lyco vs LVC game, I predict that Messiah have about a 65% chance of winning. LVC had a PK saved in their game against Lyco. If that had gone in to tie it 1-1 then I think LVC probably would have taken the game. They controlled possesion and only conceded a second goal once they began throwing bodies forward. Lyco plays an extremely direct game and very rarely will try to play out of the back or even through the midfield. If Messiah can control possession and slow the game down then they should dominate.
I watched some of this game and was stat checking while I was watching others and I disagree with a portion of this. Saying Messiah has a 65% chance to win based off of watching Lycoming play one game vs a good opponent is a stretch. I agree with your assessment of the game and think the PK save was big but to say LVC wins that game if they make that PK is a guess. Also as Falconer stated above, Lycoming and Messiah have had some good battles since 2013 when they stunned the Falcons in Grantham. With the regular season game being at Lycoming I think the odds are better than 65/35 as you think. I'd say 54/46 in favor of the Falcons based from what I have seen of both teams this year. Also, with the way Messiah plays, they should want to speed up the game if anything, not slow it down. The quicker they can move the ball the better. Not sure why you would think slowing down the pace of play would benefit the Falcons.
Lyco wants a physical and sloppy game with possession changing hands frequently. It suits their style better. That's just a fact. They will not fare well if Messiah dominates possession. Moving the ball quickly while having possession has nothing to do with the actual pace of the game (see barca). We can come back to these posts once Messiah wins.
I am not taking sides here as I think you both have valid points trying to be made. However, I want to touch on the statement paclassics made about Lycoming not doing well if Messiah dominates the possession statistics. Let me start with this...Messiah dominates possession in almost every game they play. They have dominated possession in every game vs Lycoming that I have watched and yet they have not always won those games. To my knowledge Lycoming is the only team in the last 3-5 years to have continued success vs the Falcons, beating them multiple times. In just the last 2 seasons Messiah is 1-2-0 vs Lycoming, having dominated possession in all 3 games. If I had to guess the possession probably was around 65/35 in favor of the Falcons and yet they have 1 win and 2 losses.
I personally think this game (Lyco vs Messiah) is going to be more entertaining than the Hopkins game from last night. And Messiah most likely will win and is, in my opinion, the better team right now, but for anyone that thinks having more possession means that you will win is a stretch. Lebanon Valley had more possession than Lycoming earlier this week as stated in other posts and Lycoming won 2-0...do I need to share more examples?
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 05, 2017, 09:38:31 AM
As we start to move towards the last third of the season teams are starting to separate themselves for the good and for the bad. Little bit of a breakdown for what the regional rankings might start to look like over the next few weeks. SOS and RvR will play big factors in the actual rankings by the NCAA, but so far these are the teams I feel are competing to be ranked.
Comfortably Safe (So Far)
Hopkins (11-0-0) w/Messiah, F&M, & Dickinson left
Messiah (10-1-0) w/Hopkins, Lyco, & LVC left
Lyco (11-1-0) w/Messiah left
Safe (But on the Edge)
Drew (11-0-1) w/Haverford & Kean left
Gettysburg (8-2-0) w/Muhles, Dickinson, & F&M left
Work to Do (And Needs Some Help)
Leb Val (6-2-1) w/Messiah left
Dickinson (7-3-1) w/Scranton, Gettysburg, Fords, & Hopkins
Scranton (7-4-0) w/Dickinson left
Eastern (7-3-0) w/Stockton left
Fords (6-2-3) w/Drew & Dickinson left
Long-shots (Really Needs Help)
DeSales (9-1-1) w/Kings, Moravian, & Eastern left
Arcadia (7-2-1) w/Lyco, Messiah & LVC left
Done (No Chance unless they win the AQ)
Moravian (6-2-2)
Kings (7-3-1)
McDaniel (7-2-1)
Etown (5-5-1)
F&M (4-5-1)
Catholic (4-4-4)
Manhattanville (6-5-0)
I don't think you can eliminate Moravian quiet yet. I'd put them in the long-shots section.
My rankings as of today would be this:
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. Drew
5. Gettysburg
6. Dickinson
7. LVC
8. Fords
9. Scranton
10. Eastern/DeSales
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 05, 2017, 11:21:04 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 05, 2017, 03:03:50 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 05, 2017, 01:35:43 PM
Having watched the Lyco vs LVC game, I predict that Messiah have about a 65% chance of winning. LVC had a PK saved in their game against Lyco. If that had gone in to tie it 1-1 then I think LVC probably would have taken the game. They controlled possesion and only conceded a second goal once they began throwing bodies forward. Lyco plays an extremely direct game and very rarely will try to play out of the back or even through the midfield. If Messiah can control possession and slow the game down then they should dominate.
I watched some of this game and was stat checking while I was watching others and I disagree with a portion of this. Saying Messiah has a 65% chance to win based off of watching Lycoming play one game vs a good opponent is a stretch. I agree with your assessment of the game and think the PK save was big but to say LVC wins that game if they make that PK is a guess. Also as Falconer stated above, Lycoming and Messiah have had some good battles since 2013 when they stunned the Falcons in Grantham. With the regular season game being at Lycoming I think the odds are better than 65/35 as you think. I'd say 54/46 in favor of the Falcons based from what I have seen of both teams this year. Also, with the way Messiah plays, they should want to speed up the game if anything, not slow it down. The quicker they can move the ball the better. Not sure why you would think slowing down the pace of play would benefit the Falcons.
Lyco wants a physical and sloppy game with possession changing hands frequently. It suits their style better. That's just a fact. They will not fare well if Messiah dominates possession. Moving the ball quickly while having possession has nothing to do with the actual pace of the game (see barca). We can come back to these posts once Messiah wins.
"We can come back to these posts when Messiah wins." I never stated they wouldn't win. I am simply stating that I disagreed with a portion of what you offered because I think the odds are closer to 50/50 than 65/35 as you rashly put it. That does not mean I think Lycoming will win and I am not going to offer my thoughts on that prediction until the game is much closer to being played.
"They will not fare well if Messiah dominates possession." Messiah is a possession heavy team and usually dominates this stat line in every game vs every opponent they play and they are very good at it. This does not automatically qualify you for victory though.
I watched most of the second half of the Hop-Messiah game. I know exactly what Falconer is saying. Hopkins dominated possession, though they didn't have a lot of true danger moments. Falcons scored on a brilliant individual effort, then Hopkins threw everything they had going forward. Falcons countered on them and See (hop gk) made some stand on your head saves. Not all that complicated if you'd watched the game.
=-=-=-==
Someone on this thread made a very astute observation in recent weeks: Messiah's starting 11 is top notch. When they throw in the subs.. hoo boy. Hopkins was absolutely killing them in the 70-80 minute block and really should've stepped on it to get a goal. The first string couldn't get back in the game and you could feel a goal was coming. Then the first string came on and about 3 minutes later, Falcons score.
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 4 - October 3, 2017 (Results updated thru 10/5)
1. Messiah---def Albright 5-0, def #2 Hopkins 1-0
2. Hopkins---def Stevenson 3-0, lost to #1 Messiah 1-0
3. Lycoming---def #6 LVC 2-0
4. Drew---def #8 Scranton 2-0
5. Gettysburg---def #9 Eastern 2-1 OT
6. Lebanon Valley---lost to #3 Lyco 2-0
7. Haverford---tied Rutgers Camden
8. Scranton---lost to #4 Drew 2-0
9. Eastern---lost to #5 Gettysburg 2-1 OT
10. Dickinson---def Misericordia 5-0
And I'm not trying to be a jerk or call anyone out, I'm just saying that having actually watched the webcast, it was not a very complicated game. Hopkins did that thing they do in the back, Falcons chased it with a lone forward until Hop was in their offensive 1/3 and then the Falcons D tended to collapse. The thing that surprised me was that Messiah was just giving the ball right back to Hopkins for long stretches.
When the first string come on late, they started producing counters off of those TOs, which is what led to the goal and to the other danger moments late in the game. When they do that, they are scary good.
Hopkins needs to figure out what to do with all that possession against a packed in D. If I'm playing them, they can play around in the back all day long. Show me you can break down my D and I'll do more to pressure you. Until then, like someone said, it's a chess match. (It was driving the Messiah broadcast team nuts. :D)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 06, 2017, 09:30:17 AM
And I'm not trying to be a jerk or call anyone out, I'm just saying that having actually watched the webcast, it was not a very complicated game. Hopkins did that thing they do in the back, Falcons chased it with a lone forward until Hop was in their offensive 1/3 and then the Falcons D tended to collapse. The thing that surprised me was that Messiah was just giving the ball right back to Hopkins for long stretches.
When the first string come on late, they started producing counters off of those TOs, which is what led to the goal and to the other danger moments late in the game. When they do that, they are scary good.
Hopkins needs to figure out what to do with all that possession against a packed in D. If I'm playing them, they can play around in the back all day long. Show me you can break down my D and I'll do more to pressure you. Until then, like someone said, it's a chess match. (It was driving the Messiah broadcast team nuts. :D)
Did you watch the first half or second half only? For some reason Messiah came out in the 2nd half and dropped way off Hopkins allowing them to dribble penetrate well into the offensive half without any pressure and casually pass the ball around on their own half with no pressure. First half was nothing like this. Messiah looked to be the dominant team in first half and did not give all this time and space. Apparently Hopkins changed formation/strategy but I don't understand why Messiah decided to go into a a defensive shell for long periods of the 2nd half..even with the starters in. It wasn't until the last 10-12 minutes when the starting forwards came back in that they resumed pressuring Hopkins in their own end. Messiah also switched things up as they have done in recent games moving players around and then they got the goal. As stated earlier the goalie snagged a second shot by Brandt (after the goal in 82nd minute) headed over his head like he had some soccer ball magnets in his hands. From the video it looked like a crazy save. ..followed by a second great save shortly after. So that is where the 3-0 scoreline came from.
Robbins goal was a thing of beauty weaving through 4-5 defenders and shooting across his body to the far post. That was the difference in the end along with the defense limiting Hopkins to not many quality looks. The other encouraging thing for Messiah in this game is they were getting heads on corner kicks directed toward the net...something they have not been able to do very often.
I think chess match was a good way to describe this game..adjustments, counter moves, each team carrying play during different times in the game. Of course the game could have gone either way in the end..I thought home field would benefit Messiah and that was probably the difference in the end.
Dave B, Falconer, rudy, et al...
I appreciate the further explanation and I will readily state that I did not watch any of the game.
I was reading Falconer's account, which was an excellent description of what sounded like a taut, tense, highly competitive affair that could have gone either way. Then the sentence about could of or should of ended 3-0 came in, and that seemed contrary to the rest of the tone of the whole post (speaking of tone). So, now reading the replies, sounds like this was a game that could have gone either way, and that JHU might have equalized very late with heavy pressure (and that in the context of JHU possibly equalizing Messiah could have scored again). My only point is that the overall description sounded nothing like a 3-0 game and to throw out that the final result very well could have been 3-0 seemed to distort the rest of the description.
P.S. And if JHU had scored in the 35 or so minutes that they dominated the 2nd half (according to the account), what then? And then after saying the end result very well couldhave been 3-0, it's confusing to read that JHU should stay ahead of Messiah in the polls? Why would JHU stay ahead in the polls? Anyway, sorry, but seemed like natural questions to wonder about just reading the post.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 06, 2017, 10:18:19 AM
Dave B, Falconer, rudy, et al...
I appreciate the further explanation and I will readily state that I did not watch any of the game.
I was reading Falconer's account, which was an excellent description of what sounded like a taut, tense, highly competitive affair that could have gone either way. Then the sentence about could of or should of ended 3-0 came in, and that seemed contrary to the rest of the tone of the whole post (speaking of tone). So, now reading the replies, sounds like this was a game that could have gone either way, and that JHU might have equalized very late with heavy pressure (and that in the context of JHU possibly equalizing Messiah could have scored again). My only point is that the overall description sounded nothing like a 3-0 game and to throw out that the final result very well could have been 3-0 seemed to distort the rest of the description.
P.S. And if JHU had scored in the 35 or so minutes that they dominated the 2nd half (according to the account), what then? And then after saying the end result very well couldhave been 3-0, it's confusing to read that JHU should stay ahead of Messiah in the polls? Why would JHU stay ahead in the polls? Anyway, sorry, but seemed like natural questions to wonder about just reading the post.
My impression was that the 3-0 comment only referred to the 2 chances Messiah had late in the game when JHU was pressing to equalize, and the quality of the saves it took to keep the ball out of the net. I don't think it was a reflection on the game as a whole.
Yeah, rudy, like I said, only caught a chunk of the second. I was really surprised by Messiah's tactics, but it sure seemed like coach decided Hopkins didn't have the dangerman up front to break down a walled up D.
I don't have the perspective some of you have, but I don't see how Hopkins stays above Messiah in the polls at this point. I mean, they are probably 1a/1b in the region, but a result is a result.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 06, 2017, 09:24:15 AM
I watched most of the second half of the Hop-Messiah game. I know exactly what Falconer is saying. Hopkins dominated possession, though they didn't have a lot of true danger moments. Falcons scored on a brilliant individual effort, then Hopkins threw everything they had going forward. Falcons countered on them and See (hop gk) made some stand on your head saves. Not all that complicated if you'd watched the game.
=-=-=-==
Someone on this thread made a very astute observation in recent weeks: Messiah's starting 11 is top notch. When they throw in the subs.. hoo boy. Hopkins was absolutely killing them in the 70-80 minute block and really should've stepped on it to get a goal. The first string couldn't get back in the game and you could feel a goal was coming. Then the first string came on and about 3 minutes later, Falcons score.
Bingo. Exactly what I saw too. And your second post was spot on as well
(Hopkins needs to figure out what to do with all that possession against a packed in D. If I'm playing them, they can play around in the back all day long. Show me you can break down my D and I'll do more to pressure you. Until then, like someone said, it's a chess match.)
Quote from: Dave B on October 06, 2017, 10:55:56 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 06, 2017, 10:18:19 AM
Dave B, Falconer, rudy, et al...
I appreciate the further explanation and I will readily state that I did not watch any of the game.
I was reading Falconer's account, which was an excellent description of what sounded like a taut, tense, highly competitive affair that could have gone either way. Then the sentence about could of or should of ended 3-0 came in, and that seemed contrary to the rest of the tone of the whole post (speaking of tone). So, now reading the replies, sounds like this was a game that could have gone either way, and that JHU might have equalized very late with heavy pressure (and that in the context of JHU possibly equalizing Messiah could have scored again). My only point is that the overall description sounded nothing like a 3-0 game and to throw out that the final result very well could have been 3-0 seemed to distort the rest of the description.
P.S. And if JHU had scored in the 35 or so minutes that they dominated the 2nd half (according to the account), what then? And then after saying the end result very well couldhave been 3-0, it's confusing to read that JHU should stay ahead of Messiah in the polls? Why would JHU stay ahead in the polls? Anyway, sorry, but seemed like natural questions to wonder about just reading the post.
My impression was that the 3-0 comment only referred to the 2 chances Messiah had late in the game when JHU was pressing to equalize, and the quality of the saves it took to keep the ball out of the net. I don't think it was a reflection on the game as a whole.
I understand, and I now know that is no doubt correct.
I was just sharing how it read as a neutral, without the additional information.
Imagine as a Messiah fan how you might have read the same thing if JHU had won and there was a comment from a JHU person that could have been a 3-0 game. I mean, geez, Messiah didn't even score until the 83rd minute, apparently after being dominated for the prior 35 minutes or so, so IMHO any reference to "could have been" 3-0 based on two possible goals in the last 6-7 minutes could give an impression that was not intended.
Not trying to tick off Messiah nation. Hopefully we get to see these two teams again, and I also hope we get a Messiah-Tufts rematch somewhere along the line.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 06, 2017, 10:18:19 AM
Dave B, Falconer, rudy, et al...
I appreciate the further explanation and I will readily state that I did not watch any of the game.
I was reading Falconer's account, which was an excellent description of what sounded like a taut, tense, highly competitive affair that could have gone either way. Then the sentence about could of or should of ended 3-0 came in, and that seemed contrary to the rest of the tone of the whole post (speaking of tone). So, now reading the replies, sounds like this was a game that could have gone either way, and that JHU might have equalized very late with heavy pressure (and that in the context of JHU possibly equalizing Messiah could have scored again). My only point is that the overall description sounded nothing like a 3-0 game and to throw out that the final result very well could have been 3-0 seemed to distort the rest of the description.
P.S. And if JHU had scored in the 35 or so minutes that they dominated the 2nd half (according to the account), what then? And then after saying the end result very well couldhave been 3-0, it's confusing to read that JHU should stay ahead of Messiah in the polls? Why would JHU stay ahead in the polls? Anyway, sorry, but seemed like natural questions to wonder about just reading the post.
I scratched my head a bit as well regarding Hopkins staying ahead in poll. Of course Messiah should move ahead.
Quote from: darad44 on October 04, 2017, 12:04:07 PM
What does the board think about Lycoming's game play? High foul counts; 182 to date. High yellow card count; 22. They had 25 fouls and 2 yellow cards yesterday. Vs Messiah who only has 69 fouls and 3 yellow cards. Is that taught or just the type of player Lycoming recruits?
I feel like this post was lost in the excitement of the JHU-Messiah game. I am confused as to what this post post is trying to accomplish. This isn't the first time Lycoming's Foul count has been brought up as I know it was mentioned last year and probably the year before. Lycoming plays a high pressure defensive game which depending on how the Ref calls the game can result in high fouls. As for the comparison to Messiah...they play two competently different styles of soccer so the stats on everything are going to be different probably fouls being the biggest difference since possessing the ball for 65% of the game means it is hard to foul. We are a week and a half away from the game and it is exciting to read the debates on the outcome of the game. However the foul counts of the two teams tells you little more than possibly one team plays more physical than the other. As another poster so elegantly posted "Lycoming wants a physical sloppy game" and Messiah wants possession. Yet they both sit at 11-1 and 2-0 in conference.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 06, 2017, 10:18:19 AM
Dave B, Falconer, rudy, et al...
I appreciate the further explanation and I will readily state that I did not watch any of the game.
I was reading Falconer's account, which was an excellent description of what sounded like a taut, tense, highly competitive affair that could have gone either way. Then the sentence about could of or should of ended 3-0 came in, and that seemed contrary to the rest of the tone of the whole post (speaking of tone). So, now reading the replies, sounds like this was a game that could have gone either way, and that JHU might have equalized very late with heavy pressure (and that in the context of JHU possibly equalizing Messiah could have scored again). My only point is that the overall description sounded nothing like a 3-0 game and to throw out that the final result very well could have been 3-0 seemed to distort the rest of the description.
P.S. And if JHU had scored in the 35 or so minutes that they dominated the 2nd half (according to the account), what then? And then after saying the end result very well couldhave been 3-0, it's confusing to read that JHU should stay ahead of Messiah in the polls? Why would JHU stay ahead in the polls? Anyway, sorry, but seemed like natural questions to wonder about just reading the post.
I understand why you questioned the sum total of my comments, PN. If you'd seen the game you would have probably agreed with my summary of the game, but I certainly could have said more and been less cryptic in my overall effect on someone who didn't see it.
Others have explained the puzzling points, except this part: yes, I think that Messiah and Hopkins are the two best teams I have seen this year. Emphasis on "I have seen." I have not seen Chicago or Calvin. I've seen streams involving Tufts and Amherst, but enough to think that neither of them is quite at the level of the Falcons or the Jays, but Tufts has proved that they can pull rabbits out of hats and win titles, so even if I'm right they can't be discounted come December. I watched maybe 10 minutes of a Chicago game and they were very impressive, but the opponent wasn't so it's hard to draw a conclusion. Calvin I saw last fall, and they lost relatively little (compared with Messiah, who lost the POY). Last fall I said they were the best team in D3, and I would not be quick to say something different this fall without seeing them.
In my book, the top four (in alphabet order) are Calvin, Chicago, Hopkins, and Messiah. The polls agree closely, if not exactly, with this opinion.
Lots of things could change my opinion, including especially major injuries to key players. For now, that's my Final Four.
Quote from: Falconer on October 06, 2017, 01:39:46 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 06, 2017, 10:18:19 AM
Dave B, Falconer, rudy, et al...
I appreciate the further explanation and I will readily state that I did not watch any of the game.
I was reading Falconer's account, which was an excellent description of what sounded like a taut, tense, highly competitive affair that could have gone either way. Then the sentence about could of or should of ended 3-0 came in, and that seemed contrary to the rest of the tone of the whole post (speaking of tone). So, now reading the replies, sounds like this was a game that could have gone either way, and that JHU might have equalized very late with heavy pressure (and that in the context of JHU possibly equalizing Messiah could have scored again). My only point is that the overall description sounded nothing like a 3-0 game and to throw out that the final result very well could have been 3-0 seemed to distort the rest of the description.
P.S. And if JHU had scored in the 35 or so minutes that they dominated the 2nd half (according to the account), what then? And then after saying the end result very well couldhave been 3-0, it's confusing to read that JHU should stay ahead of Messiah in the polls? Why would JHU stay ahead in the polls? Anyway, sorry, but seemed like natural questions to wonder about just reading the post.
I understand why you questioned the sum total of my comments, PN. If you'd seen the game you would have probably agreed with my summary of the game, but I certainly could have said more and been less cryptic in my overall effect on someone who didn't see it.
Others have explained the puzzling points, except this part: yes, I think that Messiah and Hopkins are the two best teams I have seen this year. Emphasis on "I have seen." I have not seen Chicago or Calvin. I've seen streams involving Tufts and Amherst, but enough to think that neither of them is quite at the level of the Falcons or the Jays, but Tufts has proved that they can pull rabbits out of hats and win titles, so even if I'm right they can't be discounted come December. I watched maybe 10 minutes of a Chicago game and they were very impressive, but the opponent wasn't so it's hard to draw a conclusion. Calvin I saw last fall, and they lost relatively little (compared with Messiah, who lost the POY). Last fall I said they were the best team in D3, and I would not be quick to say something different this fall without seeing them.
In my book, the top four (in alphabet order) are Calvin, Chicago, Hopkins, and Messiah. The polls agree closely, if not exactly, with this opinion.
Lots of things could change my opinion, including especially major injuries to key players. For now, that's my Final Four.
Falconer, I agree with all of that. I haven't seen Hopkins but I have no doubts about the other three. I would pick Messiah over Calvin although that team (and coach) keep proving everyone wrong every year it seems. I am going to stick to my guns on Tufts, and maybe in part because one is always wary of the last team that burned you (re: my team). They are so big and have a lot of talent and they obviously have a coach with a magic touch come November. They certainly would not going into any game with any doubt. If Messiah was playing Tufts tomorrow I would consider it a toss up. Tufts is perhaps not as good as the 2014 but that Messiah team I think some of you in Messiah Nation would agree might have been the best Messiah squad ever (and one of best D3 teams ever).
I only saw the 2nd half of the Messiah/JH game last night, but have read the comments here and understand it was a game of very different halves for whatever reason. I'd agree that JH wasn't terribly dangerous in the final third, but for those of you who know the teams, do you really suppose it was Messiah's game plan to sit that deep in the 2nd half? From what I saw, they weren't just giving JH half of the field, they weren't often giving them 2/3 before they put any pressure on the ball. Maybe this was the period the reserves were playing, as the pressure was stepped up a bit as the half wore on (M had one guy somewhat harassing JH's two backs passing the ball laterally). It just seems like an awfully risky strategy to cede much of the field to JH and bet on then not being able to generate anything in the final third (even by just lumping balls repeatedly into the box), and then plan on an unbelievable individual play to win the game for you (or maybe they were just playing for the tie, but after having the better of the play in the first half?). JH cooperated, as they even wasted their opportunities on corners.
Quote from: Dog Face on October 06, 2017, 02:31:17 PM
I only saw the 2nd half of the Messiah/JH game last night, but have read the comments here and understand it was a game of very different halves for whatever reason. I'd agree that JH wasn't terribly dangerous in the final third, but for those of you who know the teams, do you really suppose it was Messiah's game plan to sit that deep in the 2nd half? From what I saw, they weren't just giving JH half of the field, they weren't often giving them 2/3 before they put any pressure on the ball. Maybe this was the period the reserves were playing, as the pressure was stepped up a bit as the half wore on (M had one guy somewhat harassing JH's two backs passing the ball laterally). It just seems like an awfully risky strategy to cede much of the field to JH and bet on then not being able to generate anything in the final third (even by just lumping balls repeatedly into the box), and then plan on an unbelievable individual play to win the game for you (or maybe they were just playing for the tie, but after having the better of the play in the first half?). JH cooperated, as they even wasted their opportunities on corners.
It had to be a deliberate decision to sit back in 2nd half. I have never seen them play like that so not sure what prompted it. If you had seen the first half you would have seen the usual style of play.
Mid-Atlantic Poll (Results updated thru 10/8)
1. Messiah---def Albright 5-0, def #2 Hopkins 1-0
2. Hopkins---def Stevenson 3-0, lost to #1 Messiah 1-0, tied Swarthmore 0-0
3. Lycoming---def #6 LVC 2-0, def Arcadia 2-0
4. Drew---def #8 Scranton 2-0, def Juniata 3-0
5. Gettysburg---def #9 Eastern 2-1 OT, def Muhlenberg 2-0
6. Lebanon Valley---lost to #3 Lyco 2-0, def Albright 3-1
7. Haverford---tied Rutgers Camden, def McDaniel 1-0
8. Scranton---lost to #4 Drew 2-0, lost to Susquehanna 1-0
9. Eastern---lost to #5 Gettysburg 2-1 OT, def Del Val 7-0
10. Dickinson---def Misericordia 5-0, def Washington College 3-2
I think we will see some more shifting within the region after a week of up and down results.
1. Messiah (11-1-0)
2. Lycoming (12-1-0)
3. Hopkins (11-1-1)
4. Drew (12-0-1)
5. Gettysburg (9-2-0)
6. LVC (7-2-1)
T7. Fords (7-2-3)
T7. Dickinson (8-3-1)
9. Eastern (8-3-0)
10. Moravian (6-2-3)
------------------------------
Scranton (7-5-0)
DeSales (9-1-2)
Kings (8-3-1)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 08, 2017, 10:18:17 AM
I think we will see some more shifting within the region after a week of up and down results.
1. Messiah (11-1-0)
2. Lycoming (12-1-0)
3. Hopkins (11-1-1)
4. Drew (12-0-1)
5. Gettysburg (9-2-0)
6. LVC (7-2-1)
T7. Fords (7-2-3)
T7. Dickinson (8-3-1)
9. Eastern (8-3-0)
10. Moravian (6-2-3)
------------------------------
Scranton (7-5-0)
DeSales (9-1-2)
Kings (8-3-1)
I'm thinking Hopkins tie with swarthmore may move Drew ahead of them
Quote from: rudy on October 08, 2017, 07:02:38 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 08, 2017, 10:18:17 AM
I think we will see some more shifting within the region after a week of up and down results.
1. Messiah (11-1-0)
2. Lycoming (12-1-0)
3. Hopkins (11-1-1)
4. Drew (12-0-1)
5. Gettysburg (9-2-0)
6. LVC (7-2-1)
T7. Fords (7-2-3)
T7. Dickinson (8-3-1)
9. Eastern (8-3-0)
10. Moravian (6-2-3)
------------------------------
Scranton (7-5-0)
DeSales (9-1-2)
Kings (8-3-1)
I'm thinking Hopkins tie with swarthmore may move Drew ahead of them
I am going with this!
1. Messiah
2. Lyco
3. Drew
4. Hopkins
5. Getty
6. Dickinson
7. Fords
8. LVC
9. Eastern
10. Scranton
RV: Moravian, DeSales, Kings
Quote from: futballfan20 on October 06, 2017, 12:19:57 PM
Quote from: darad44 on October 04, 2017, 12:04:07 PM
What does the board think about Lycoming's game play? High foul counts; 182 to date. High yellow card count; 22. They had 25 fouls and 2 yellow cards yesterday. Vs Messiah who only has 69 fouls and 3 yellow cards. Is that taught or just the type of player Lycoming recruits?
I feel like this post was lost in the excitement of the JHU-Messiah game. I am confused as to what this post post is trying to accomplish. This isn't the first time Lycoming's Foul count has been brought up as I know it was mentioned last year and probably the year before. Lycoming plays a high pressure defensive game which depending on how the Ref calls the game can result in high fouls. As for the comparison to Messiah...they play two competently different styles of soccer so the stats on everything are going to be different probably fouls being the biggest difference since possessing the ball for 65% of the game means it is hard to foul. We are a week and a half away from the game and it is exciting to read the debates on the outcome of the game. However the foul counts of the two teams tells you little more than possibly one team plays more physical than the other. As another poster so elegantly posted "Lycoming wants a physical sloppy game" and Messiah wants possession. Yet they both sit at 11-1 and 2-0 in conference.
A player on OWU's first championship team told me recently that at half time the coaching staff would ask for the foul count - in games OWU trailed, they trailed in fouls committed. Coaching staff helped adjust the team's attitude for the second half.
Jerry Yeagley - in the 70's - would tell his IU players: In the first 5 minutes of the game I want you to knock your opponent on his ass. You'll know two things: what he's made of and what the referee will call.
Fouls are subjective - referees draw "the line" differently every time we/they do a game. I give teams the first 10 to 15 minutes to help me draw "the line" - for that game, on that day.
Fouls are (can be) indicative of going hard for a ball, making 50/50 battles 51/49. I posted in GL my weekly update on the top 12 GL teams -using Massey data -this week I added goals for/against, fouls and YC. Elite teams can play a tough SoS and commit fewer fouls. Good teams playing soft schedules don't have to foul much to have winning records: are they prepared for tougher match-ups? Good teams playing tough schedules will have more fouls - generally speaking - but will they beat Elite teams?
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 08, 2017, 10:18:17 AM
I think we will see some more shifting within the region after a week of up and down results.
1. Messiah (11-1-0)
2. Lycoming (12-1-0)
3. Hopkins (11-1-1)
4. Drew (12-0-1)
5. Gettysburg (9-2-0)
6. LVC (7-2-1)
T7. Fords (7-2-3)
T7. Dickinson (8-3-1)
9. Eastern (8-3-0)
10. Moravian (6-2-3)
------------------------------
Scranton (7-5-0)
DeSales (9-1-2)
Kings (8-3-1)
Not sure why Scranton is in the mix. They are 1-3 in conference play.
Quote from: sokermom on October 10, 2017, 09:57:41 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 08, 2017, 10:18:17 AM
I think we will see some more shifting within the region after a week of up and down results.
1. Messiah (11-1-0)
2. Lycoming (12-1-0)
3. Hopkins (11-1-1)
4. Drew (12-0-1)
5. Gettysburg (9-2-0)
6. LVC (7-2-1)
T7. Fords (7-2-3)
T7. Dickinson (8-3-1)
9. Eastern (8-3-0)
10. Moravian (6-2-3)
------------------------------
Scranton (7-5-0)
DeSales (9-1-2)
Kings (8-3-1)
Not sure why Scranton is in the mix. They are 1-3 in conference play.
Conference play doesn't reflect any outcome in terms of regional rankings. Overall record, win %, SOS, RvR, head to head, etc all factor into regional rankings which will be released next week. The current regional polls are opinions not necessarily based on all of those factors. I listed Scranton because they have played 5 ranked teams, beating 1 of them losing to 3 and the other to be played tonight. For comparison purposes, King's has played 1 ranked opponent in Scranton, which they lost. So a team with 4 blemishes like Kings vs a team with 5 blemishes and the head to head win like Scranton makes me want to put them ahead of Kings plus Scranton will have a much higher SOS, more ranked wins and more ranked opponents.
The same goes for DeSales. They have played 2 ranked opponents and are 0-1-1 vs them. Scranton is 1-3-0 vs the ranked opponents they have faced. Scranton will have a much higher SOS, more ranked opponents, more ranked wins etc. The 1-3 conference record means practically nothing in the sense of who should be slotted where. If it really boils down to something like that then it has to be such a tight decision but normally the above factors can eliminate ever getting to conference records.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2017, 02:35:15 PM
Quote from: sokermom on October 10, 2017, 09:57:41 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 08, 2017, 10:18:17 AM
I think we will see some more shifting within the region after a week of up and down results.
1. Messiah (11-1-0)
2. Lycoming (12-1-0)
3. Hopkins (11-1-1)
4. Drew (12-0-1)
5. Gettysburg (9-2-0)
6. LVC (7-2-1)
T7. Fords (7-2-3)
T7. Dickinson (8-3-1)
9. Eastern (8-3-0)
10. Moravian (6-2-3)
------------------------------
Scranton (7-5-0)
DeSales (9-1-2)
Kings (8-3-1)
Not sure why Scranton is in the mix. They are 1-3 in conference play.
Conference play doesn't reflect any outcome in terms of regional rankings. Overall record, win %, SOS, RvR, head to head, etc all factor into regional rankings which will be released next week. The current regional polls are opinions not necessarily based on all of those factors. I listed Scranton because they have played 5 ranked teams, beating 1 of them losing to 3 and the other to be played tonight. For comparison purposes, King's has played 1 ranked opponent in Scranton, which they lost. So a team with 4 blemishes like Kings vs a team with 5 blemishes and the head to head win like Scranton makes me want to put them ahead of Kings plus Scranton will have a much higher SOS, more ranked wins and more ranked opponents.
The same goes for DeSales. They have played 2 ranked opponents and are 0-1-1 vs them. Scranton is 1-3-0 vs the ranked opponents they have faced. Scranton will have a much higher SOS, more ranked opponents, more ranked wins etc. The 1-3 conference record means practically nothing in the sense of who should be slotted where. If it really boils down to something like that then it has to be such a tight decision but normally the above factors can eliminate ever getting to conference records.
Got it. Thanks.
welp scranton got smoked 6-0. Time for me to start focusing on Basketball season.
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 10, 2017, 08:57:46 PM
welp scranton got smoked 6-0. Time for me to start focusing on Basketball season.
Yes AQ or bust. If they can win out they might sneak into the final regional rankings but not looking like it at this point. Conference playoffs is even a stretch at this point as sokermom pointed out.
Other than the preseason rankings, what is it that is keeping Scranton in the conversation? They have played enough games at this point for everyone to know that they are not the team people guessed they would be. Being able to get back in the regional rankings? Why even think that at this point.
Quote from: franklyspeaking on October 11, 2017, 07:23:57 AM
Other than the preseason rankings, what is it that is keeping Scranton in the conversation? They have played enough games at this point for everyone to know that they are not the team people guessed they would be. Being able to get back in the regional rankings? Why even think that at this point.
Before last night's match they had a decent chance to be ranked if they didn't lose heading into conference playoffs. Drew was ranked last season with 8 blemishes (5 losses and 3 ties). Scranton has 6 right now and after the debacle last night I doubt they sniff the NCAA regional rankings unless they win out. 11-6-0 verse the schedule they play would give them a shot depending on what others around the region do. But getting to double digit wins is even a stretch of a thought right now.
Some regional results from last night and other games to be played today...
Drew over Fords 2-1
Gettysburg over Susquehanna 1-0
Dickinson over Scranton 6-0
Washington over Catholic 1-0
Today's Action
Arcadia at Messiah
Albright at Lycoming
Misericordia at Eastern
Alvernia at Leb Val
DeSales at Manhattanville
Stevenson at Hood
Kings at Wilkes
Muhlenberg at Moravian
F&M at Swat
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 5 - October 10, 2017
1 Messiah
2 Lycoming
3 Drew---def #6 Fords 2-1
4 Hopkins
5 Gettysburg---def Susquehanna 1-0
6 Haverford---lost to #3 Drew 2-1
7 Leb Val
8 Dickinson---def Scranton 6-0
9 Eastern
10 DeSales
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 11, 2017, 07:35:41 AM
Quote from: franklyspeaking on October 11, 2017, 07:23:57 AM
Other than the preseason rankings, what is it that is keeping Scranton in the conversation? They have played enough games at this point for everyone to know that they are not the team people guessed they would be. Being able to get back in the regional rankings? Why even think that at this point.
Before last night's match they had a decent chance to be ranked if they didn't lose heading into conference playoffs. Drew was ranked last season with 8 blemishes (5 losses and 3 ties). Scranton has 6 right now and after the debacle last night I doubt they sniff the NCAA regional rankings unless they win out. 11-6-0 verse the schedule they play would give them a shot depending on what others around the region do. But getting to double digit wins is even a stretch of a thought right now.
Scranton is done. A shame since they do have talent and already knocked off a very good Cortland team. They have been in NCAA's the past couple of years which is most likely why some on this feed are high on them. But the ride has ended for them unless they win the Landmark.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 11, 2017, 07:51:09 AM
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 5 - October 10, 2017
1 Messiah
2 Lycoming
3 Drew---def #6 Fords 2-1
4 Hopkins
5 Gettysburg---def Susquehanna 1-0
6 Haverford---lost to #3 Drew 2-1
7 Leb Val
8 Dickinson---def Scranton 6-0
9 Eastern
10 DeSales
That could be the result that leaves Haverford out of NCAA's (assuming they don't win the AQ). 6 blemishes with Dickinson still left (another potential blemish) plus conference playoffs. Only 15 goals in 13 games for the Fords. The result vs Messiah is a saving grace but it was early on when teams are trying to sort things out. I don't think it merits as much weight as we once thought but nonetheless still the best result for them. Will it save them though? Currently looking at 1-3-0 RvR, SOS will be above .600, but head to head losses vs Gettysburg, Hopkins, and now Drew make it almost impossible for them to jump any of those teams. Depending on the Dickinson result they could also be jumped by them as well with as much as a tie in that game. Ties vs Catholic, Muhlenberg, and Rutgers-Camden don't help the cause either. I will be interested to see where they land in next week's first NCAA regional rankings which doesn't include RvR but I can only see a decline from there as each new ranking comes out.
That is, IF Scranton makes it into the top four in the Landmark. I do not see them doing that.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 11, 2017, 11:26:26 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 11, 2017, 07:51:09 AM
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 5 - October 10, 2017
1 Messiah
2 Lycoming
3 Drew---def #6 Fords 2-1
4 Hopkins
5 Gettysburg---def Susquehanna 1-0
6 Haverford---lost to #3 Drew 2-1
7 Leb Val
8 Dickinson---def Scranton 6-0
9 Eastern
10 DeSales
That could be the result that leaves Haverford out of NCAA's (assuming they don't win the AQ). 6 blemishes with Dickinson still left (another potential blemish) plus conference playoffs. Only 15 goals in 13 games for the Fords. The result vs Messiah is a saving grace but it was early on when teams are trying to sort things out. I don't think it merits as much weight as we once thought but nonetheless still the best result for them. Will it save them though? Currently looking at 1-3-0 RvR, SOS will be above .600, but head to head losses vs Gettysburg, Hopkins, and now Drew make it almost impossible for them to jump any of those teams. Depending on the Dickinson result they could also be jumped by them as well with as much as a tie in that game. Ties vs Catholic, Muhlenberg, and Rutgers-Camden don't help the cause either. I will be interested to see where they land in next week's first NCAA regional rankings which doesn't include RvR but I can only see a decline from there as each new ranking comes out.
9 of the 15 goals from one player. Same player that scored 2 in Messiah win ..perhaps aided by slippery conditions .. defender fell on both goals from reports here ( not making excuses..just observation). Without this player they are a well below .500 team probably. They will struggle to win the AQ if teams can shut him down.
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 5 - October 10, 2017 (Updated thru 10/11)
1 Messiah---def Arcadia 4-0
2 Lycoming---def Albright 3-0
3 Drew---def #6 Fords 2-1
4 Hopkins---DNP
5 Gettysburg---def Susquehanna 1-0
6 Haverford---lost to #3 Drew 2-1
7 Leb Val---def Alvernia 1-0
8 Dickinson---def Scranton 6-0
9 Eastern---def Misericordia 2-0
10 DeSales---def Manhattanville 1-0
Upcoming Weekend Games:
Messiah at Widener
Hopkins at F&M
Lycoming at Alvernia
Drew at Susquehanna
Dickinson at Gettysburg
Swat at McDaniel
Wilkes at DeSales
FDU-Florham at Eastern
Moravian at Catholic
Hood at Leb Val
Scranton at Juniata
Etown at Goucher
Fords at Washington
Mid-Atlantic - Poll 5 - October 10, 2017 (Updated thru 10/14)
1 Messiah---def Arcadia 4-0, def Widener 1-0
2 Lycoming---def Albright 3-0, def Alvernia 1-0
3 Drew---def #6 Fords 2-1, def Susquehanna 4-0
4 Hopkins---tied F&M 1-1
5 Gettysburg---def Susquehanna 1-0, def #8 Dickinson 2-0
6 Haverford---lost to #3 Drew 2-1,def Washington 2-1 OT
7 Leb Val---def Alvernia 1-0, def Hood 3-2
8 Dickinson---def Scranton 6-0, lost to #5 Gettysburg 2-0
9 Eastern---def Misericordia 2-0, def FDU-Florham 1-0
10 DeSales---def Manhattanville 1-0, tied Wilkes 0-0
MAF Rankings thru 10/14
1. Messiah (13-1-0)---A huge showdown with Lyco awaits on Tuesday
2. Lyco (14-1-0)---Battle of the top 2 on Tuesday as they host Messiah
3. Drew (14-0-1)---Will they ever lose or stop scoring goals? Potentially 17-0-1 heading into playoffs
4. Hopkins (11-1-2)---0-1-2 in the last 3 but the head to head win over the Bullets keeps them in front for now
5. Gettysburg (11-2-0)---One more slip up from Hopkins sees Gettysburg sliding into the top 4
6. Leb Val (9-2-1)---Quietly keeping pace with the top 5. One more big game left at Messiah next week
7. Dickinson (9-4-1)---Haverford and Hopkins still await
8. Haverford (8-3-3)---A showdown with Dickinson will help determine regional slots
9. Eastern (10-3-0)---A lack of SOS keeps them grounded. 4 big games left for the Eagles
10. DeSales (10-1-3) or Kings (10-3-1)---DeSales mediocre schedule and 1-0-3 run over last 4 keep the ? mark next to the name. Kings hasn't lost in a month but they shouldn't with the fluff schedule they have. Big tests for both remain
Who's going to have the highest SOS in the Mid-Atlantic?
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Need to win final three to be in convo but no mid-Atlantic team has played their schedule.
Tuesday & Wednesday's games will determine a lot in conference play.
Yeah, according to both Massey and Bennett rankings Haverford has had the toughest SOS in the Mid Atlantic this season. They're in the top 10 in the nation for SOS according to those. The Dickinson v Haverford game on saturday will be huge for both teams
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games
away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:17:56 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Disappointing they got ride of the home/away multiplier. I think there is a true difference between road games and home games and to place them as equal doesn't make much sense to me. Does anyone know why they got rid of this multiplier?
Games to Watch
Tuesday
Messiah at Lyco
Scranton at Elmira
Leb Val at Stevenson
Eastern at Kings
Wednesday
McDaniel at Hopkins
Drew at Kean
F&M at Gettysburg
Ursinus at Haverford
Muhlenberg at Dickinson
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 08:01:36 AM
Games to Watch
Tuesday
Messiah at Lyco
Scranton at Elmira
Leb Val at Stevenson
Eastern at Kings
Wednesday
McDaniel at Hopkins
Drew at Kean
F&M at Gettysburg
Ursinus at Haverford
Muhlenberg at Dickinson
Messiah at Lycoming is definitely the game to watch this week and maybe this year. I will be tuning into this one!
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 17, 2017, 08:53:27 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 08:01:36 AM
Games to Watch
Tuesday
Messiah at Lyco
Scranton at Elmira
Leb Val at Stevenson
Eastern at Kings
Wednesday
McDaniel at Hopkins
Drew at Kean
F&M at Gettysburg
Ursinus at Haverford
Muhlenberg at Dickinson
Messiah at Lycoming is definitely the game to watch this week and maybe this year. I will be tuning into this one!
Predictions? Lyco home field is nice for them but as a Homer I'll go with Messiah 1-0 or maybe OT 2-1.
Quote from: rudy on October 17, 2017, 09:44:57 AM
Predictions? Lyco home field is nice for them but as a Homer I'll go with Messiah 1-0 or maybe OT 2-1.
I'll take Lyco 2-1 OT. Messiah has been playing with fire, and they're bound to end up on the short end of the stick eventually.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:17:56 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Basically right, though it's worth pointing out that the game with Messiah was scheduled as a home game for Haverford. It got moved 5 miles down the road to Cabrini College's Sprinturf field at the last minute, owing to heavy rain. The rest of the scheduling, of course, speaks for itself.
The Falcons had played the Fords twice in the past decade, winning each contest.
2102: 4-0 win at Haverford
2011: 1-0 win in heavy rain at Gettysburg (don't remember why the game was located there, but it might have been the weather since they have FieldTurf)
So, they haven't actually played Haverford at home since ... I don't know when, although I know there were two more contests (both also Falcon victories) at some point in the distant past.
Perhaps they will have the Fords at home next year? If so, I hope it doesn't rain too hard. Would be nice to see that game on real, dry grass. It never helps the Falcons to play in other conditions. Never. :-X
Quote from: EB2319 on October 17, 2017, 10:44:51 AM
Quote from: rudy on October 17, 2017, 09:44:57 AM
Predictions? Lyco home field is nice for them but as a Homer I'll go with Messiah 1-0 or maybe OT 2-1.
I'll take Lyco 2-1 OT. Messiah has been playing with fire, and they're bound to end up on the short end of the stick eventually.
In keeping with the comment in my previous post, Lycoming plays on FieldTurf (like Gettysburg), which gives Lycoming a definite home field advantage vs the Falcons. That's the main reason I have it about dead even on the odds. 2-1 OT for Lycoming is consistent with that.
Perhaps Lycoming has been playing with fire also. According to the recap on their own site, their last game at Alvernia could have ended 1-1 instead of 1-0. Alvernia apparently had a golden opportunity with 3 mins remaining. Messiah beat Alvernia 3-0 at home last month. And two weeks ago they survived 2-0 at LVC, when their keeper saved a PK and they outshot the Dutchmen only 7-5.
I also will try to watch this one, if the stream works.
Quote from: Falconer on October 17, 2017, 10:58:01 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:17:56 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Basically right, though it's worth pointing out that the game with Messiah was scheduled as a home game for Haverford. It got moved 5 miles down the road to Cabrini College's Sprinturf field at the last minute, owing to heavy rain. The rest of the scheduling, of course, speaks for itself.
The Falcons had played the Fords twice in the past decade, winning each contest.
2102: 4-0 win at Haverford
2011: 1-0 win in heavy rain at Gettysburg (don't remember why the game was located there, but it might have been the weather since they have FieldTurf)
So, they haven't actually played Haverford at home since ... I don't know when, although I know there were two more contests (both also Falcon victories) at some point in the distant past.
Perhaps they will have the Fords at home next year? If so, I hope it doesn't rain too hard. Would be nice to see that game on real, dry grass. It never helps the Falcons to play in other conditions. Never. :-X
No idea what this discussion has to do with the history of the the Messiah-Haverford match-up, but you are right that the Messiah game was scheduled as a home game. Now as I understand it, the game was played at Rosemont College--not Cabrini--due to rain. But whether the Messiah game had been played at home or a neutral site doesn't change the number of away games scheduled which was the reason for joking that Haverford was trying to copy Amherst.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 11:16:06 AM
Quote from: Falconer on October 17, 2017, 10:58:01 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:17:56 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Basically right, though it's worth pointing out that the game with Messiah was scheduled as a home game for Haverford. It got moved 5 miles down the road to Cabrini College's Sprinturf field at the last minute, owing to heavy rain. The rest of the scheduling, of course, speaks for itself.
The Falcons had played the Fords twice in the past decade, winning each contest.
2102: 4-0 win at Haverford
2011: 1-0 win in heavy rain at Gettysburg (don't remember why the game was located there, but it might have been the weather since they have FieldTurf)
So, they haven't actually played Haverford at home since ... I don't know when, although I know there were two more contests (both also Falcon victories) at some point in the distant past.
Perhaps they will have the Fords at home next year? If so, I hope it doesn't rain too hard. Would be nice to see that game on real, dry grass. It never helps the Falcons to play in other conditions. Never. :-X
No idea what this discussion has to do with the history of the the Messiah-Haverford match-up, but you are right that the Messiah game was scheduled as a home game. Now as I understand it, the game was played at Rosemont College--not Cabrini--due to rain. But whether the Messiah game had been played at home or a neutral site doesn't change the number of away games scheduled which was the reason for joking that Haverford was trying to copy Amherst.
Thanks for the correction about Rosemont being the location of that game. I was obviously out to lunch.
I mentioned earlier contests with Haverford, simply b/c the context was scheduling tough teams. Haverford and Messiah scheduled each other twice earlier this decade, so if Haverford put a home game vs Messiah on their schedule this fall, it wasn't an unprecedented move for either team. Both teams played substantially more difficult schedules this fall, so perhaps they scheduled each other for the same reasons?
According to college coaches I am friends with, the NCAA decided to do away with the multiplier after the new year so many coaches played away games which maybe they would not in the future. The reason I heard is the multiplier was too different between home and away.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 07:55:31 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:17:56 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Disappointing they got ride of the home/away multiplier. I think there is a true difference between road games and home games and to place them as equal doesn't make much sense to me. Does anyone know why they got rid of this multiplier?
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 17, 2017, 11:47:33 AM
According to college coaches I am friends with, the NCAA decided to do away with the multiplier after the new year so many coaches played away games which maybe they would not in the future. The reason I heard is the multiplier was too different between home and away.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 07:55:31 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:17:56 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Disappointing they got ride of the home/away multiplier. I think there is a true difference between road games and home games and to place them as equal doesn't make much sense to me. Does anyone know why they got rid of this multiplier?
You would think the logical thing to do would be to start that next season (2018) since teams have schedules done almost a year in advance.
I am going with a 1-1 entertaining and energetic draw for Messiah and Lyco today. I think both teams have quality sides and will play their best today. The field will help Lycoming but the possession and chances will favor the Falcons. In the end I think both will find the back of the net and neither defense will budge after that. Looking forward to watching this one.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 17, 2017, 11:59:14 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 17, 2017, 11:47:33 AM
According to college coaches I am friends with, the NCAA decided to do away with the multiplier after the new year so many coaches played away games which maybe they would not in the future. The reason I heard is the multiplier was too different between home and away.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 07:55:31 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:17:56 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Disappointing they got ride of the home/away multiplier. I think there is a true difference between road games and home games and to place them as equal doesn't make much sense to me. Does anyone know why they got rid of this multiplier?
You would think the logical thing to do would be to start that next season (2018) since teams have schedules done almost a year in advance.
The change was decided and announced prior to last season. I'd have to look up the exact meeting and date in which it was made official, but this was in the works for some time. A modification of the multipliers seemed more likely, but apparently no one came up with anything that could be backed up statistically and could gain widespread support.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 07:55:31 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:17:56 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 16, 2017, 10:27:33 PM
I still think out of all these teams Haverford has had the toughest schedule. On the National Perspective chat they are speaking of schedules and I would put the Fords up there with anyone especially since they played a majority of them on the road. I know 8-3-3 isn't great but if they finish with three wins and get to 11-3-3 I would think they would be higher on this list.
@Cabrini
N vs Messiah
N vs Etown
@JHU
@Scranton
@Getty
@Muhls
@Camden
@Drew
@WAC
@Dickinson
Looks like the Haverford coach took a page out of Serpone's book up at Amherst, scheduling as many non-conference games away as possible to boost the SOS ! ! ! Before this year, Haverford's SOS would have been especially high given all those away matches, but now that the home/away multiplier has been eliminated it won't be quite as high.
Disappointing they got ride of the home/away multiplier. I think there is a true difference between road games and home games and to place them as equal doesn't make much sense to me. Does anyone know why they got rid of this multiplier?
The stated reason is as follows (quoted from REPORT OF THE NCAA DIVISION III CHAMPIONSHIPS COMMITTEE SEPTEMBER 12-13, 2016, MEETING (http://www.ncaa.org/sites/default/files/2016_DIII_Champs_Sept_Report_20161102.pdf)):
QuoteThe committee approved that the current strength of schedule multiplier be eliminated from the strength of schedule calculation, effective with the 2017 championship. Due to a revised calculation from the original method, the current strength of schedule multiplier is no longer achieving the intended effect as when the multiplier was implemented for the men in 2011.
It's not clear how the change in the calculation of the OWP's and OOWP's that occurred a couple years ago could be the cause of the multiplier not achieving it's intended effect.
What we have pointed out at D3soccer.com since the multipliers were introduced is that is the multipliers are too drastic. The multipliers were 0.85 for home games and 1.25 for away games with neutral site games being unfactored. So there is a 40% difference between the home and away multipliers, meaning an away game is worth nearly 50% more than a home game (1.25/0.85 = 1.47). Therefore, travelling to a team with a .550 winning percentage is worth more to a team's SOS than playing a home game against a team with a .800 winning percentage. That just doesn't seem right. It doesn't pass the smell test. And yet, that's what was used for 6 years. I'm not sure how much the multipliers influenced scheduling, but from the hypothetical just presented you can see how a coach can elevate his SOS number without really making his schedule more challenging. Our concern, however, has been that the regional rankings and at-large selections are based on SOS numbers that do not truly reflect of the difficulty of a schedule as that hypothetical example illustrates. Seems a statistical analysis of results over the past 5 years would have been able to guide the selection of more reasonable, statistical-based multipliers. And the a statistical analysis was an action item, but no indication of the results of that analysis, but in the end they scraped the multipliers entirely.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 17, 2017, 08:53:27 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 08:01:36 AM
Games to Watch
Tuesday
Messiah at Lyco
Scranton at Elmira
Leb Val at Stevenson
Eastern at Kings
Wednesday
McDaniel at Hopkins
Drew at Kean
F&M at Gettysburg
Ursinus at Haverford
Muhlenberg at Dickinson
Messiah at Lycoming is definitely the game to watch this week and maybe this year. I will be tuning into this one!
I will be as well to get a sense of what Lycoming has as I have not seen them this year. I have seen Messiah about 3-4 times.
The Home/Away multiplier was always a talking point because it was skewed to high IMO..I am not sure I agree with everything being equal though..I guess I am not sure what the answer is. I am guessing I was not alone so they decided to scrap the whole thing instead of putting some time into researching a good solution. Maybe that is what they are doing now. Just scrap it until research and analysis leads to a better system. Why do I doubt that is what is going on though.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 17, 2017, 01:47:44 PM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 17, 2017, 08:53:27 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 08:01:36 AM
Games to Watch
Tuesday
Messiah at Lyco
Scranton at Elmira
Leb Val at Stevenson
Eastern at Kings
Wednesday
McDaniel at Hopkins
Drew at Kean
F&M at Gettysburg
Ursinus at Haverford
Muhlenberg at Dickinson
Messiah at Lycoming is definitely the game to watch this week and maybe this year. I will be tuning into this one!
I will be as well to get a sense of what Lycoming has as I have not seen them this year. I have seen Messiah about 3-4 times.
Counting on your game updates Mr Right. I can't watch the stream today!
My stream seems to not be working for this Lycoming v Messiah match..I will keep trying
There we go...Got it going..Lycoming's stream is difficult to follow because it is field level..I like to look down on the field as you can get a bigger picture of the whole game
Danny Brandt with goal at 11:18 mark for Messiah. Assist by Nick West. That's huge for the Falcons to score early like that.
1-0 Messiah takes an early lead on a Danny Brandt goal off a bad giveaway by Lycoming in their back 3rd of the field..Messiah got the ball immediately out wide and a nice cross into the box was finished...Weak sauce defending though by Lycoming on the cross..A lot of ball watching
God Lycoming's field is TIGHT...I would be surprised if that field is much over 65 yards wide...They do have some athletes for sure
25 minutes in, just 2 shots for Messiah, none for Lycoming if Match Tracker is to be believed.
Yes it is accurate as the game is being played so far between the boxes as besides the goal neither team has generated any dangerous chances as of yet.
Messiah up 1-0 at HT.
Messiah's backs are not screwing around in this game as they are hoofing more than I have ever seen them hoof(like maybe 5 times) due to IMO the way Lycoming is playing and the width of the field. Messiah dominating possession but Lycoming has weapons for sure..I would like to see them test Messiah's GK more when they due get the ball..
In other news the announcer of this game is announcing it has if he were an auctioneer except I doubt he is trying to hypnotize the viewer.
Halftime: Messiah 1, Lycoming 0
Shots: Lycoming 2 : 5 Messiah
SOG: Lycoming 1 : 3 Messiah
Corners: Lycoming 0 : 0 Messiah
Fouls: Lycoming 9 : 3 Messiah
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 04:20:42 PM
Halftime: Messiah 1, Lycoming 0
Shots: Lycoming 2 : 5 Messiah
SOG: Lycoming 1 : 3 Messiah
Corners: Lycoming 0 : 0 Messiah
Fouls: Lycoming 9 : 3 Messiah
It will be interesting to see if either side makes adjustments for second half or if they come out in same formations and player positions. First 10-15 minutes will be telling
Messiah has three centerbacks in to start the 2nd half. Wonder how they lined-up?
Game has picked up now..Lycoming almost ties it up off a long throw that went thru messiah's GK hands but Lycoming player could not finish it off his head..Good chance
Lycoming just rushing a bit as they look a little tight as they cannot keep possession and keep giving the ball away in their final 3rd.
Messiah's #4 with a brutal tackle gives Lycoming a dangerous set piece that was punched out by Messiah GK but put right back into the mixer and Lycoming's striker ripped a shot that either went off the post or was a fantastic save by messiah's GK. Stream was screened. Lycoming starting to generate more dangerous chances and Messiah seems content to sit back a bit and soak the pressure.
Lycoming reminds me of a Nescac side..Very athletic, pacey, have some skill, long throws, dangerous on set pieces and big...
Lycoming MUST start sending #'s forward still 1-0 messiah with about 13 minutes left..I would imagine Messiah is one of the most dangerous sides on the counter in the nation but Lycoming has to push now
At the moment, Lyco has as many shots as Messiah. That doesn't happen very often. Kind of nerve-wracking with just a 1-goal lead.
Danny Brandt almost makes it 2-0 with a shot that went just wide
Lycoming's #16 who is HUGE gets a nice chance on net with his head but Messiah's GK was equal to the task...
1-0 messiah about 6 minutes left..They are sending numbers now but their final pass has just not been great today..
FINAL: Messiah 1, Lycoming 0
Shots: Lycoming 11 : 10 Messiah
SOG: Lycoming 6 : 5 Messiah
Corners: Lycoming 2 : 0 Messiah
Fouls: Lycoming 14 : 5 Messiah
Final Score....Messiah 1-0 over Lycoming...Good game BUT that field does no one any favors..It obviously affected Messiah but besides long throws I think it doesn't help Lycoming as well...Their final pass just was not there in this game
Quote from: rudy on October 17, 2017, 09:44:57 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 17, 2017, 08:53:27 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 08:01:36 AM
Games to Watch
Tuesday
Messiah at Lyco
Scranton at Elmira
Leb Val at Stevenson
Eastern at Kings
Wednesday
McDaniel at Hopkins
Drew at Kean
F&M at Gettysburg
Ursinus at Haverford
Muhlenberg at Dickinson
Messiah at Lycoming is definitely the game to watch this week and maybe this year. I will be tuning into this one!
Predictions? Lyco home field is nice for them but as a Homer I'll go with Messiah 1-0 or maybe OT 2-1.
Not to brag...but you heard it here first. Messiah 1-0 .
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 17, 2017, 05:24:49 PM
Final Score....Messiah 1-0 over Lycoming...Good game BUT that field does no one any favors..It obviously affected Messiah but besides long throws I think it doesn't help Lycoming as well...Their final pass just was not there in this game
We may see a replay on Messiah field for MAC finals if both teams are able to play through to the finals. That will be a good indicator of how both teams play each other on a wide grass field. Have to give credit to Messiah to pull out wins away at Rowan and now Lycoming on turf . That's a tall order.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 17, 2017, 05:24:49 PM
Final Score....Messiah 1-0 over Lycoming...Good game BUT that field does no one any favors..It obviously affected Messiah but besides long throws I think it doesn't help Lycoming as well...Their final pass just was not there in this game
Now you see, Mr Right, why I'm always nervous when the Falcons have to win in Williamsport in order to keep home field advantage for the conference playoffs. Lose there, and they are a good bet to lose again in the conference final. This year they would still get a bid in that scenario, but not necessarily in some other year. Lycoming started to become a serious threat in the conference not too many years ago, but ever since then they usually play Messiah dead even, or almost dead even, when the game is in their place.
That very narrow artificial surface just kills Messiah's offense. You saw it today. Lycoming knows how to use it to their advantage. They're very athletic, skilled, and well coached (except for a tendency to pick up needless fouls, which could really hurt them in the tournament where the officiating is usually pretty tight). They just try to create havoc, get the loose balls, and generate good shots off turnovers. They have the horses to do it, as you saw today. Not pretty soccer, not by a long shot, but very effective soccer against most teams.
Quote from: Falconer on October 17, 2017, 06:22:51 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 17, 2017, 05:24:49 PM
Final Score....Messiah 1-0 over Lycoming...Good game BUT that field does no one any favors..It obviously affected Messiah but besides long throws I think it doesn't help Lycoming as well...Their final pass just was not there in this game
Now you see, Mr Right, why I'm always nervous when the Falcons have to win in Williamsport in order to keep home field advantage for the conference playoffs. Lose there, and they are a good bet to lose again in the conference final. This year they would still get a bid in that scenario, but not necessarily in some other year. Lycoming started to become a serious threat in the conference not too many years ago, but ever since then they usually play Messiah dead even, or almost dead even, when the game is in their place.
That very narrow artificial surface just kills Messiah's offense. You saw it today. Lycoming knows how to use it to their advantage. They're very athletic, skilled, and well coached (except for a tendency to pick up needless fouls, which could really hurt them in the tournament where the officiating is usually pretty tight). They just try to create havoc, get the loose balls, and generate good shots off turnovers. They have the horses to do it, as you saw today. Not pretty soccer, not by a long shot, but very effective soccer against most teams.
Yup....That is why they remind me of a Nescac squad. When they played Amherst a couple years ago IMO they were not quite as athletic as what i saw today and Amherst overwhelmed them a bit. Now they have the athleticism to beat anybody playing that style. Maybe I am immune to it but you are correct it is not great futbol but it was not that bad. 2nd Half was very entertaining and full of drama and some near misses. I mean they accomplished everything they wanted to today except win. I thought especially 2nd Half they controlled the way the game was being played. Meaning they imposed their style on Messiah and were quite effective but they just could not finish and like I said they seemed a bit tight as they were giving the ball away way to much but on that field it is very difficult not to give the ball away playing like they did.However, Messiah still possessed today just not in the back as they were forced to whack the ball a bit. Actually, that was probably one of the best practices Messiah will have all year..Forcing Messiah to play quick 2 touch in tight spaces. BTW on that shot that Lycoming nearly scored on did the Messiah GK make the save or did it clank off the post? If he made the save that was one heck of a save. On the flip, that was one heck of a GK'ing error by Bell to let the ball go thru his hands off of that long throw in the first 5 minutes of the 2nd half. Lycoming just did not capitalize on the play...Good game though
The smaller field helps Lyco close down and double team opponents much more quickly than you could do on a larger field and to do so without tiring as fast because it's less ground to cover. On a larger field, playing that way, you won't be as effective and you'll tire. So it's a dual effect that benefits Lyco at home. Messiah certainly has had some squads during their reign as kings of D-III that would have been able to handle this better than the Messiah of the past few years. Glad to see the Falcons get out of Williamsport with the win and kind of get that monkey off their backs. For so long E-town was that rival that pushed Messiah to be at their best, than is was York and now Lycoming is that team. Would love to have all three be Top 25 caliber teams each year. It's always great to have more dates you circle on the calendar when the schedules come out.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 17, 2017, 07:28:24 PM
The smaller field helps Lyco close down and double team opponents much more quickly than you could do on a larger field and to do so without tiring as fast because it's less ground to cover. On a larger field, playing that way, you won't be as effective and you'll tire. So it's a dual effect that benefits Lyco at home. Messiah certainly has had some squads during their reign as kings of D-III that would have been able to handle this better than the Messiah of the past few years. Glad to see the Falcons get out of Williamsport with the win and kind of get that monkey off their backs. For so long E-town was that rival that pushed Messiah to be at their best, than is was York and now Lycoming is that team. Would love to have all three be Top 25 caliber teams each year. It's always great to have more dates you circle on the calendar when the schedules come out.
That is a good point...They are able to press and close MUCH faster. Also, if they are not a deep team(although it seemed like they were subbing as much as Messiah) it preserves energy.
I agree with most of those assessments. Mr. Right I believe that shot was saved by the GK. Heck of a save. Messiah's lack of depth would be the big concern for Falcon fans. The starting 11 might be the best in the country but they looked tired in that second half and didn't sub more than 4 or 5 guys. Much different than years past where they would sub much more. I thought Messiah got away with 2 potential PK calls in the second half. Lycoming's forward had to be helped off the field after what looked like a foul in the box but no call came from it. The other was a potential handball that the entire team went nuts about on the field. Tough position for the official and although I don't think he did a bad job I don't think I would say he did a good job. The game was more physical than I anticipated from Messiah's perspective. They seemed up to the challenge and tackled harder than I have seen in the past. Not sure if that's good or bad but just an observation. Overall I thought it was a quality game and both sides are extremely talented.
I looked at Lycoming home games to see how they have done at home on their small field. They never scored less than 2 goals in a home game this season until today. As expected there only other loss was away. Sure they had good chances against Messiah but GK was up to the challenge. Messiah also had some good looks in second half...not just Lyco with.other scoring opportunities. Sounds a bit like Amherst with their narrow home field and style of play.. although I would pick Lyco over Amherst right now
I agree MId-Atlantic that Messiah matched Lyco's physicality very well. Not sure Messiah had more than 1 dangerous chance 2nd half except for Brandt's near miss
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 17, 2017, 08:13:22 PM
I agree MId-Atlantic that Messiah matched Lyco's physicality very well. Not sure Messiah had more than 1 dangerous chance 2nd half except for Brandt's near miss
I watched on my tiny phone screen in low def but I think there were 2-3 good looks in 2nd. Robbins hit one wide left and Thomas early second half put one on goal but he did not strike it the way he would have liked. If he got all if it then it would have been more dangerous. Didn't challenge the keeper much but it was a good look.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2017, 07:40:55 PM
I agree with most of those assessments. Mr. Right I believe that shot was saved by the GK. Heck of a save. Messiah's lack of depth would be the big concern for Falcon fans. The starting 11 might be the best in the country but they looked tired in that second half and didn't sub more than 4 or 5 guys. Much different than years past where they would sub much more. I thought Messiah got away with 2 potential PK calls in the second half. Lycoming's forward had to be helped off the field after what looked like a foul in the box but no call came from it. The other was a potential handball that the entire team went nuts about on the field. Tough position for the official and although I don't think he did a bad job I don't think I would say he did a good job. The game was more physical than I anticipated from Messiah's perspective. They seemed up to the challenge and tackled harder than I have seen in the past. Not sure if that's good or bad but just an observation. Overall I thought it was a quality game and both sides are extremely talented.
I missed almost all of the things being said about specific details, b/c I didn't pay for the HD stream and the one I got was very blurry. I could not tell what was happening at either end of the field, only when they played in the middle--which was much of time, to be sure. I didn't see the great saves at all, and I didn't see who fouled whom on the important contact plays. Not the greatest experience for me as a soccer fan, but I got what I paid for.
Messiah is capable of playing as physically as anyone else. That's been true since Brandt started coaching. Physical play in general isn't their preference; they'd always rather have a tightly called game and generate free kicks, even if (as this year) they don't have really dangerous man to take the kicks. They don't back down on anyone, however.
LOL yes we had to watch a "free" low quality broadcast
Do you get a different announcer with the HD broadcast? ;)
Any thoughts on Regional rankings for the Mid-Atlantic?
1 - Messiah
2 - JHU
3 - Lyco
4 - Getty
5 - Drew
6 - Fords
7 - LVC
8 - Dickinson
Others:
Eastern, Kings, Scranton
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 18, 2017, 09:35:44 AM
Any thoughts on Regional rankings for the Mid-Atlantic?
1 - Messiah
2 - JHU
3 - Lyco
4 - Getty
5 - Drew
6 - Fords
7 - LVC
8 - Dickinson
Others:
Eastern, Kings, Scranton
I am thinking something like this...
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Hopkins
4. Drew
5. Gettysburg
6. Haverford
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Eastern
10. ??? DeSales/Kings/Etown/Moravian/Scranton/F&M
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 18, 2017, 10:42:08 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 18, 2017, 09:35:44 AM
Any thoughts on Regional rankings for the Mid-Atlantic?
1 - Messiah
2 - JHU
3 - Lyco
4 - Getty
5 - Drew
6 - Fords
7 - LVC
8 - Dickinson
Others:
Eastern, Kings, Scranton
I am thinking something like this...
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Hopkins
4. Drew
5. Gettysburg
6. Haverford
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Eastern
10. ??? DeSales/Kings/Etown/Moravian/Scranton/F&M
I believe these rankings are based on W% and SOS correct?
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 18, 2017, 10:51:53 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 18, 2017, 10:42:08 AM
Quote from: backyarddawg on October 18, 2017, 09:35:44 AM
Any thoughts on Regional rankings for the Mid-Atlantic?
1 - Messiah
2 - JHU
3 - Lyco
4 - Getty
5 - Drew
6 - Fords
7 - LVC
8 - Dickinson
Others:
Eastern, Kings, Scranton
I am thinking something like this...
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Hopkins
4. Drew
5. Gettysburg
6. Haverford
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Eastern
10. ??? DeSales/Kings/Etown/Moravian/Scranton/F&M
I believe these rankings are based on W% and SOS correct?
Yes I believe so as well as head to head matches and common opponents. RvR comes into play in the 2nd regional rankings based off these initial rankings.
Mine would be the following:
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Hopkins
4. Drew
5. Gettysburg
6. Fords
7. LVC
8. Dickinson
9. Eastern
10. DeSales
Will be interesting to see what the committee values...LVC has the head to head win over Gettysburg but Gettysburg will most likely have a higher SOS and 1 less blemish. RvR typically helps distinguish more but for these first set of rankings that's a toss up based on what they value. Will they value the head to head win or will they value the SOS and 1 less blemish more? Depending on that will determine many of the slots.
If the past rankings are any indication, SOS is far and away the most important criteria. Sometimes it seems like that is all the committee looks at.
SOS and RvR are looked at almost equally. But for the first one there are no RvR so SOS will have more of an emphasis along with win% and head to head if I had to guess.
As for the Messiah at Lycoming game...wow! What a game it was. Definitely lived up to the hype and expectations. Both teams have bright futures ahead of them and I wouldn't be surprised if we see a rematch in Grantham in early November. I felt that Lycoming played well enough to get a tying goal and deserved a goal but Messiah defended well and were tough to break down. Tons of credit to Messiah for the victory and they look like a serious national title contender this year. They have the pieces and a win like this should give them the confidence. With that said I also think Lycoming can be a contender come NCAA's. They are very solid and will be a tough out for anybody. Great game and hope to see a rematch soon. :D
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2017, 11:18:41 AM
SOS and RvR are looked at almost equally. But for the first one there are no RvR so SOS will have more of an emphasis along with win% and head to head if I had to guess.
If SOS is a huge part then I would expect the Fords to be higher around 3-4 in this first ranking. What could keep them is 1-3 vs R&R but does the weight of beating Messiah and possible win at Dickinson on Saturday do a enough for them?
Giving Messiah their only loss will be big IMO. Alone it would not get them in but if they could get 3 wins v Ranked it would push them over the line.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 18, 2017, 01:38:09 PM
Giving Messiah their only loss will be big IMO. Alone it would not get them in but if they could get 3 wins v Ranked it would push them over the line.
I think it will depend on the others ahead of them and their SOS/RvR as well. The win vs Messiah is massive to keep them alive but they already have 6 blemishes. Assuming they don't win the Centennial Championship that adds another blemish putting them at 7. That doesn't even include the 3 remaining games which aren't going to be easy for them. Losses to Drew, Gettysburg and Hopkins all will make it difficult to jump those teams with the head to head factor. Then the 3 poor ties on top of that hurt too. Right now if I am guessing correctly they will be 1-3-0 RvR for the 2nd rankings and a toss up for what happens with Dickinson is a ranked result one way or the other. That's not good enough to jump those other teams that have the head to head, better winning %, similar SOS and possibly better or similar RvR.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 18, 2017, 01:49:37 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 18, 2017, 01:38:09 PM
Giving Messiah their only loss will be big IMO. Alone it would not get them in but if they could get 3 wins v Ranked it would push them over the line.
I think it will depend on the others ahead of them and their SOS/RvR as well. The win vs Messiah is massive to keep them alive but they already have 6 blemishes. Assuming they don't win the Centennial Championship that adds another blemish putting them at 7. That doesn't even include the 3 remaining games which aren't going to be easy for them. Losses to Drew, Gettysburg and Hopkins all will make it difficult to jump those teams with the head to head factor. Then the 3 poor ties on top of that hurt too. Right now if I am guessing correctly they will be 1-3-0 RvR for the 2nd rankings and a toss up for what happens with Dickinson is a ranked result one way or the other. That's not good enough to jump those other teams that have the head to head, better winning %, similar SOS and possibly better or similar RvR.
Oh i was being lazy and did not check their record. Had no idea they already have 6 losses. Yea they would have to win out and draw in the Centennial Championship game by PK's to have a shot I guess.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 18, 2017, 02:03:26 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 18, 2017, 01:49:37 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 18, 2017, 01:38:09 PM
Giving Messiah their only loss will be big IMO. Alone it would not get them in but if they could get 3 wins v Ranked it would push them over the line.
I think it will depend on the others ahead of them and their SOS/RvR as well. The win vs Messiah is massive to keep them alive but they already have 6 blemishes. Assuming they don't win the Centennial Championship that adds another blemish putting them at 7. That doesn't even include the 3 remaining games which aren't going to be easy for them. Losses to Drew, Gettysburg and Hopkins all will make it difficult to jump those teams with the head to head factor. Then the 3 poor ties on top of that hurt too. Right now if I am guessing correctly they will be 1-3-0 RvR for the 2nd rankings and a toss up for what happens with Dickinson is a ranked result one way or the other. That's not good enough to jump those other teams that have the head to head, better winning %, similar SOS and possibly better or similar RvR.
Oh i was being lazy and did not check their record. Had no idea they already have 6 losses. Yea they would have to win out and draw in the Centennial Championship game by PK's to have a shot I guess.
They are 8-3-3 so not 6 losses.
MID-ATLANTIC REGIONAL RANKINGS
http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/Men/regional-rankings-1 (http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/Men/regional-rankings-1) / http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3 (http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3)
Rank School Division III Overall SOS
1. Messiah 13-1-0 13-1-0 0.606
2. Johns Hopkins 11-1-2 11-1-2 0.560
3. Gettysburg 11-2-0 11-2-0 0.580
4. Lycoming 14-1-0 14-1-0 0.542
5. Haverford 8-3-3 8-3-3 0.621
6. Dickinson 9-4-1 9-4-1 0.589
7. Drew 14-0-1 14-0-1 0.515
8. Lebanon Valley 9-2-1 9-2-1 0.522
9. Elizabethtown 8-5-1 8-5-1 0.602
10. Eastern 10-3-0 10-3-0 0.497
Data Sheets: http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/men/Data_10-18/Mid-Atlantic_Men_Data_10-18-17.pdf (http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/men/Data_10-18/Mid-Atlantic_Men_Data_10-18-17.pdf) / http://web1.ncaa.org/champsel_new/exec/staticpdfrank?doWhat=publicrankingsRedirect&sportCode=MSO®ion=15&division=3 (http://web1.ncaa.org/champsel_new/exec/staticpdfrank?doWhat=publicrankingsRedirect&sportCode=MSO®ion=15&division=3)
Haverford with highest SOS in the region.
So how did Eastern get ranked with a sub .500 SOS? Has that been eliminated?
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 18, 2017, 06:43:32 PM
So how did Eastern get ranked with a sub .500 SOS? Has that been eliminated?
That jumped off the page for me as well.
The only time the committee seemed to acknowledge the use of a .500 SOS threshold to be ranked was in 2010. The basis for doing so was never clear, because it most certainly was not stipulated in the Championship Manual. The implementation of the threshold that season created quite the negative reaction when an undefeated Dominican and undefeated Swarthmore were left out of the first weekly rankings. A week later they had already abandoned the threshold and Dominican and Swarthmore, despite ironically both picking up their first losses that week, were ranked #3 in the Mid-Atlantic and #2 in the Central regions. As far as I know, they didn't try that again until possibly in 2014 when it seemed very suspicious that Luther went from #2 in the North region in week 1 with a.518 SOS to unranked in Week 2 after winning a pair of games by shutout but seeing their SOS drop just below .500. When asked, the committee denied any threshold was being used. So officially, there is no .500 SOS threshold, but there has seemed to be an unwritten, unspoken one at work at times.
Maybe they just couldn't find another Mid-Atlantic team with a SOS over .500 that seemed worthy of being ranked. With the increase from ranking the top 15% to 16% of teams in a region, the Mid-Atlantic gained an extra spot (10 instead of 9 as in the past). That may be one too many this season.
I do remember the Luther situation in 2014. I do not remember the Swat example at all. So Swat had a sub .500 SOS playing in the Centennial? That is more surprising than anything
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 18, 2017, 05:00:32 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGIONAL RANKINGS
http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/Men/regional-rankings-1 (http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/Men/regional-rankings-1) / http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3 (http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3)
Rank School Division III Overall SOS
1. Messiah 13-1-0 13-1-0 0.606
2. Johns Hopkins 11-1-2 11-1-2 0.560
3. Gettysburg 11-2-0 11-2-0 0.580
4. Lycoming 14-1-0 14-1-0 0.542
5. Haverford 8-3-3 8-3-3 0.621
6. Dickinson 9-4-1 9-4-1 0.589
7. Drew 14-0-1 14-0-1 0.515
8. Lebanon Valley 9-2-1 9-2-1 0.522
9. Elizabethtown 8-5-1 8-5-1 0.602
10. Eastern 10-3-0 10-3-0 0.497
Data Sheets: http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/men/Data_10-18/Mid-Atlantic_Men_Data_10-18-17.pdf (http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/men/Data_10-18/Mid-Atlantic_Men_Data_10-18-17.pdf) / http://web1.ncaa.org/champsel_new/exec/staticpdfrank?doWhat=publicrankingsRedirect&sportCode=MSO®ion=15&division=3 (http://web1.ncaa.org/champsel_new/exec/staticpdfrank?doWhat=publicrankingsRedirect&sportCode=MSO®ion=15&division=3)
So the SOS you show here is only for conference SOS according to the data sheets right? I assume out of conference SOS (also in Data) is considered as well in the ranking? Eastern has a .573 out of conf SOS. Maybe that boosts them
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2017, 08:35:44 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 18, 2017, 05:00:32 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGIONAL RANKINGS
http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/Men/regional-rankings-1 (http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/Men/regional-rankings-1) / http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3 (http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3)
Rank School Division III Overall SOS
1. Messiah 13-1-0 13-1-0 0.606
2. Johns Hopkins 11-1-2 11-1-2 0.560
3. Gettysburg 11-2-0 11-2-0 0.580
4. Lycoming 14-1-0 14-1-0 0.542
5. Haverford 8-3-3 8-3-3 0.621
6. Dickinson 9-4-1 9-4-1 0.589
7. Drew 14-0-1 14-0-1 0.515
8. Lebanon Valley 9-2-1 9-2-1 0.522
9. Elizabethtown 8-5-1 8-5-1 0.602
10. Eastern 10-3-0 10-3-0 0.497
Data Sheets: http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/men/Data_10-18/Mid-Atlantic_Men_Data_10-18-17.pdf (http://www.d3soccer.com/rankings/2017/men/Data_10-18/Mid-Atlantic_Men_Data_10-18-17.pdf) / http://web1.ncaa.org/champsel_new/exec/staticpdfrank?doWhat=publicrankingsRedirect&sportCode=MSO®ion=15&division=3 (http://web1.ncaa.org/champsel_new/exec/staticpdfrank?doWhat=publicrankingsRedirect&sportCode=MSO®ion=15&division=3)
So the SOS you show here is only for conference SOS according to the data sheets right? I assume out of conference SOS (also in Data) is considered as well in the ranking? Eastern has a .573 out of conf SOS. Maybe that boosts them
No, the SOS shown is a team's overall D-III SOS. That is, the SOS based on all its D-III opponents. It just neglects D-I, D-II, NAIA, etc. opponents. The non-conference SOS is a secondary criteria that has been added this year. It's is an indicator of how much a team sought to challenge itself with the part of the schedule they have control over. If a team is in a weak conference that hurts their SOS, the non-conference SOS can illustrate that the team did a good job of trying to seek out challenging opponents to test themselves. So if the committee can't decide between two teams based on primary criteria, something like this can be a tie-breaker.
I like that but why is that secondary? IMO it should be Primary
It seems like year after year there are some real head scratchers in the rankings. In my opinion, they need to use an RPI system like D1 and get rid of the ridiculous ranking committees.
Rank School Division III Overall SOS
1. Messiah 13-1-0 13-1-0 0.606----def #4 Lyco 1-0
2. Hopkins 11-1-2 11-1-2 0.560---def McDaniel 2-0
3. Gettysburg 11-2-0 11-2-0 0.580---lost to F&M 3-2
4. Lycoming 14-1-0 14-1-0 0.542---lost to #1 Messiah 1-0
5. Haverford 8-3-3 8-3-3 0.621---def Ursinus 4-0
6. Dickinson 9-4-1 9-4-1 0.589---tied Muhlenberg 1-1
7. Drew 14-0-1 14-0-1 0.515---def Kean 3-1
8. Leb Val 9-2-1 9-2-1 0.522---def Stevenson 2-0
9. Etown 8-5-1 8-5-1 0.602---DNP
10. Eastern 10-3-0 10-3-0 0.497---def Kings 2-1
*Note that the records are not adjusted with the recent results*
Next Week RvR:
Messiah (6-1-0)
Hopkins (3-1-0)
Gettysburg (3-2-0)
Lycoming (3-1-0)
Haverford (3-3-0)
Dickinson (2-3-0)
Drew (1-0-0)
Leb Val (1-1-0)
Etown (1-3-0)
Eastern (0-2-0)
------------------------------
Scranton 9-6-0 .570 (2-4-0) (head to head over Etown as well)
F&M 7-5-2 .608 (2-4-2)
And with Messiah hosting LVC and Dickinson hosting Haverford on Saturday, the RvR for those four teams will change for next week's rankings. Messiah could have a 7-1-0 RvR. They could very well lose a win or two by selection Monday depending if some teams would drop out of the rankings, but--stating the obvious--Messiah is a Pool C lock with that SOS and probably assured of 5 wins vs. ranked teams even if they would lose to LVC Saturday and lose in the Commonwealth playoffs.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 19, 2017, 08:30:13 AM
And with Messiah hosting LVC and Dickinson hosting Haverford on Saturday, the RvR for those four teams will change for next week's rankings. Messiah could have a 7-1-0 RvR. They could very well lose a win or two by selection Monday depending if some teams would drop out of the rankings, but--stating the obvious--Messiah is a Pool C lock with that SOS and probably assured of 5 wins vs. ranked teams even if they would lose to LVC Saturday and lose in the Commonwealth playoffs.
Messiah is most certainly a lock! Gettysburg with a huge loss last night and that will hurt them even more if F&M would end up getting ranked somehow by the third rankings. Haverford and Dickinson game is big for both teams and jostling for position in the rankings.
Games to Watch
Lycoming at Stevenson (Friday)
Leb Val at Messiah
Hopkins at Ursinus
Drew at Catholic
Gettysburg at Swat
Eastern at Wilkes
DeSales at Kings
Scranton at Goucher
Haverford at Dickinson
Susquehanna at Etown
F&M at Washington
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 20, 2017, 08:15:19 AM
Games to Watch
Lycoming at Stevenson (Friday)
Leb Val at Messiah
Hopkins at Ursinus
Drew at Catholic
Gettysburg at Swat
Eastern at Wilkes
DeSales at Kings
Scranton at Goucher
Haverford at Dickinson
Susquehanna at Etown
F&M at Washington
I'll take a stab...
Lycoming (2) at Stevenson (Friday) (0)
Leb Val (0) at
Messiah (1)Hopkins (3) at Ursinus (0)
Drew (2) at Catholic (1)
Gettysburg (2) at Swat (0)
Eastern (2) at Wilkes (1)
DeSales (2) at Kings (1)
Scranton (1) at Goucher (0)
Haverford (1) at
Dickinson (2) OTSusquehanna (1) at Etown (1)
F&M (1) at Washington (0)
I will try too EB!
Lycoming at Stevenson---3-1 Lycoming
Leb Val at Messiah---3-0 Messiah
Hopkins at Ursinus---2-1 Hopkins
Drew at Catholic---5-0 Drew
Gettysburg at Swat---Tie 2-2
Eastern at Wilkes---Eastern 4-2
DeSales at Kings---Kings 1-0 OT
Scranton at Goucher---Scranton 2-1 OT
Haverford at Dickinson---Tie 2-2
Susquehanna at Etown---Etown 3-2 OT
F&M at Washington---F&M 2-0
Messiah gets a golden goal in 2 OT to beat LVC, 2-1. All things considered, it's good to have two very tough conference opponents (Lycoming of course is the other) in the wake of Etown leaving the conference a few years ago. LVC had multiple chances to win this one, just as Messiah had multiple chances for more goals only to be skunked by Cam Avery, LVC's excellent keeper. Conner Bell for the Falcons also saved their bacon more than once. A back and forth game, though Messiah did have the bulk of possession.
Kirby Robbins got both goals, and both were highly skilled shots with his left foot. He has emerged as the missing Falcon finisher at just the right point in the season. He gets the game ball, with honorable mention to keeper Bell and both outside backs, Quintin and Bender. The defense definitely looked shakier tonight than in some other recent games, but that's partly owing to the greatly improved attack that LVC now has. They can be relied upon to score goals against excellent teams. This year they had 2 vs Gettysburg, 1 vs Messiah, and almost 1 (a missed PK) vs Lycoming. Can't figure out how they lost to a not very good Muhlenberg side to open the season. If that one went the other way, their only losses would be to Lycoming and Messiah. Rowan can say the same thing, but I don't really think they are nearly as good as Rowan. Will be interesting to see how they do in the conference tourney, now less than two weeks away.
A huge crowd for homecoming in Grantham, upwards of 3000 for sure. Earlier today I saw attendance figures for 2015 NCAA soccer in all 3 divisions. Messiah obviously led D3 by almost a 2-1 margin, but they also would have led D2 in attendance. In D1 they would have finished 15th in average attendance, right behind UVA.
Weekend Results
Lycoming at Stevenson---Lycoming 4-1
Leb Val at Messiah---Messiah 2-1
Hopkins at Ursinus---Hopkins 6-0
Drew at Catholic---Drew 1-0
Gettysburg at Swat---G'Burg 3-1
Eastern at Wilkes---Wilkes 1-0
DeSales at Kings---DeSales 3-2
Scranton at Goucher---Scranton 3-1
Haverford at Dickinson---Dickinson 3-2
Susquehanna at Etown---Etown 1-0
F&M at Washington---F&M 5-0
Predicted Results:
EB = 9-2
Shooter = 7-4
Better luck next time ;D
Quote from: Falconer on October 21, 2017, 08:35:14 PM
Messiah gets a golden goal in 2 OT to beat LVC, 2-1. All things considered, it's good to have two very tough conference opponents (Lycoming of course is the other) in the wake of Etown leaving the conference a few years ago. LVC had multiple chances to win this one, just as Messiah had multiple chances for more goals only to be skunked by Cam Avery, LVC's excellent keeper. Conner Bell for the Falcons also saved their bacon more than once. A back and forth game, though Messiah did have the bulk of possession.
Kirby Robbins got both goals, and both were highly skilled shots with his left foot. He has emerged as the missing Falcon finisher at just the right point in the season. He gets the game ball, with honorable mention to keeper Bell and both outside backs, Quintin and Bender. The defense definitely looked shakier tonight than in some other recent games, but that's partly owing to the greatly improved attack that LVC now has. They can be relied upon to score goals against excellent teams. This year they had 2 vs Gettysburg, 1 vs Messiah, and almost 1 (a missed PK) vs Lycoming. Can't figure out how they lost to a not very good Muhlenberg side to open the season. If that one went the other way, their only losses would be to Lycoming and Messiah. Rowan can say the same thing, but I don't really think they are nearly as good as Rowan. Will be interesting to see how they do in the conference tourney, now less than two weeks away.
A huge crowd for homecoming in Grantham, upwards of 3000 for sure. Earlier today I saw attendance figures for 2015 NCAA soccer in all 3 divisions. Messiah obviously led D3 by almost a 2-1 margin, but they also would have led D2 in attendance. In D1 they would have finished 15th in average attendance, right behind UVA.
Messiah definitely isn't the offense juggernaut that they were in the past. In 2013, they had SEVEN different players finish the season with 15+ points. This year, they have three, and have a chance for four at best by season's end. They're also not getting help from their second group. I haven't had a chance to watch Messiah much this year... Are they subbing less or is their second group just not getting it done?
Falconer, could you post the top 5-10 for attendance in D3? I'm curious to see who comes after Messiah. I would assume OWU is up there, and probably historically Wheaton (Ill), maybe Trinity (TX), maybe Loras, probably CNU, maybe a Roanoke and/or Lynchburg, maybe a Centennial school. SLU? Calvin? Hope?
Quote from: redsoccer06 on October 23, 2017, 11:38:59 AM
Quote from: Falconer on October 21, 2017, 08:35:14 PM
Messiah gets a golden goal in 2 OT to beat LVC, 2-1. All things considered, it's good to have two very tough conference opponents (Lycoming of course is the other) in the wake of Etown leaving the conference a few years ago. LVC had multiple chances to win this one, just as Messiah had multiple chances for more goals only to be skunked by Cam Avery, LVC's excellent keeper. Conner Bell for the Falcons also saved their bacon more than once. A back and forth game, though Messiah did have the bulk of possession.
Kirby Robbins got both goals, and both were highly skilled shots with his left foot. He has emerged as the missing Falcon finisher at just the right point in the season. He gets the game ball, with honorable mention to keeper Bell and both outside backs, Quintin and Bender. The defense definitely looked shakier tonight than in some other recent games, but that's partly owing to the greatly improved attack that LVC now has. They can be relied upon to score goals against excellent teams. This year they had 2 vs Gettysburg, 1 vs Messiah, and almost 1 (a missed PK) vs Lycoming. Can't figure out how they lost to a not very good Muhlenberg side to open the season. If that one went the other way, their only losses would be to Lycoming and Messiah. Rowan can say the same thing, but I don't really think they are nearly as good as Rowan. Will be interesting to see how they do in the conference tourney, now less than two weeks away.
A huge crowd for homecoming in Grantham, upwards of 3000 for sure. Earlier today I saw attendance figures for 2015 NCAA soccer in all 3 divisions. Messiah obviously led D3 by almost a 2-1 margin, but they also would have led D2 in attendance. In D1 they would have finished 15th in average attendance, right behind UVA.
Messiah definitely isn't the offense juggernaut that they were in the past. In 2013, they had SEVEN different players finish the season with 15+ points. This year, they have three, and have a chance for four at best by season's end. They're also not getting help from their second group. I haven't had a chance to watch Messiah much this year... Are they subbing less or is their second group just not getting it done?
The second line has a soph that can definitely score but maybe not getting as much time as he could. Hastletine has 2 goals in limited action. Last year I think he had 4 goals. He definitely is a scorer. On goal on a header and the other off his foot. I expect next year with graduation he may get opportunity. Plaza can also score but has not shot much this year
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 23, 2017, 11:40:59 AM
Falconer, could you post the top 5-10 for attendance in D3? I'm curious to see who comes after Messiah. I would assume OWU is up there, and probably historically Wheaton (Ill), maybe Trinity (TX), maybe Loras, probably CNU, maybe a Roanoke and/or Lynchburg, maybe a Centennial school. SLU? Calvin? Hope?
I was actually looking at this the other day (for 2015 stats):
1. Messiah - 11 - 19,187 - 1,744
2. Wheaton (IL) - 13 - 11,393 - 876
3. Ohio Wesleyan - 13 - 11,036 - 848
4. Chris. Newport - 8 - 6,112 - 764
5. SUNY Canton - 6 - 3,495 - 582
6. Mary Washington - 10 - 5,770 - 577
7. North Park - 10 - 5,615 - 561
8. Hope - 10 - 5,486 - 548
9. Elizabethtown - 12 - 5,659 - 471
10. Lynchburg - 8 - 3,349 - 418
Single-game Attendance Highs4,000 - Messiah vs. Rowan - Sept. 19, 2015
3,421 - Messiah vs. Arcadia - Oct. 17, 2015
3,150 - Messiah vs. Randolph - Sept. 11, 2015
3,000 - Mary Washington vs. Chris. Newport - Oct. 24, 2015
http://fs.ncaa.org/Docs/stats/m_soccer_RB/2016/2015attendance.pdf
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 23, 2017, 11:40:59 AM
Falconer, could you post the top 5-10 for attendance in D3? I'm curious to see who comes after Messiah. I would assume OWU is up there, and probably historically Wheaton (Ill), maybe Trinity (TX), maybe Loras, probably CNU, maybe a Roanoke and/or Lynchburg, maybe a Centennial school. SLU? Calvin? Hope?
2017 NCAA MEN'S SOCCER ATTENDANCE RECORDS (http://static.psbin.com/y/6/nc8syy010mzgrp/2017-NCAA-Mens-Soccer_Attendance-Records.pdf)
(D3soccer.com > Resources > NCAA Record Books > Men's Attendance Records)
for the 2016 season . . .
Average Home AttendanceTeam Games Total Avg.
1. Messiah 14 21,484 1,534
2. Ohio Wesleyan 11 11,003 1,000
3. Chris. Newport 11 7,695 699
4. Loras 10 5,449 544
5. Wheaton (IL) 8 4,232 529
6. Hope 10 5,237 523
7. Roanoke 9 4,651 516
8. Frank. & Marsh. 12 6,051 504
9. York (PA) 7 3,382 483
10. St. Lawrence 8 3,591 448
11. Calvin 11 4,763 433
12. Texas-Dallas 8 3,336 417
13. Geneva 12 4,936 411
14. Trinity (TX) 13 5,146 395
15. Va. Wesleyan 7 2,748 392
16. Elizabethtown 11 4,292 390
17. Immaculata 10 3,872 387
18. Kalamazoo 7 2,671 381
19. SUNY Cortland 15 5,677 378
20. Rowan 11 4,147 377
However, keep in mind that these numbers are all self-reported and who knows how often they come form a true count versus an estimate since regular season games often are free. And how accurate those estimates are probably varies considerably.
If you look at the single-game attendance highs which are primarily Messiah's, I honestly have no idea how Messiah reports attendances so precisely since the games are free until conference and NCAA tournament games. I would think rounding to the nearest 100 would be the best you could really do most nights.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 23, 2017, 12:47:46 PM
However, keep in mind that these numbers are all self-reported and who knows how often they come form a true count versus an estimate since regular season games often are free. And how accurate those estimates are probably varies considerably.
If you look at the single-game attendance highs which are primarily Messiah's, I honestly have no idea how Messiah reports attendances so precisely since the games are free until conference and NCAA tournament games. I would think rounding to the nearest 100 would be the best you could really do most nights.
I was going to chime in on this point. One of the running gags at Hopkins was to try and sell Freshmen on a sweet season ticket deal for the regular season. Ha ha ha.
Anyways, seems like looking around and seeing a relatively full stands is roughly equivalent to holding your finger in the air to gauge the temperature.
Not taking anything away from the schools listed. Having played at E-town, Rowan and others on that list, those crowds were pretty amazing. (Swat and Haverford used to bring it, too. Great crowds to play in front of.)
Quote from: rudy on October 23, 2017, 12:17:30 PM
Quote from: redsoccer06 on October 23, 2017, 11:38:59 AM
Quote from: Falconer on October 21, 2017, 08:35:14 PM
Messiah gets a golden goal in 2 OT to beat LVC, 2-1. All things considered, it's good to have two very tough conference opponents (Lycoming of course is the other) in the wake of Etown leaving the conference a few years ago. LVC had multiple chances to win this one, just as Messiah had multiple chances for more goals only to be skunked by Cam Avery, LVC's excellent keeper. Conner Bell for the Falcons also saved their bacon more than once. A back and forth game, though Messiah did have the bulk of possession.
Kirby Robbins got both goals, and both were highly skilled shots with his left foot. He has emerged as the missing Falcon finisher at just the right point in the season. He gets the game ball, with honorable mention to keeper Bell and both outside backs, Quintin and Bender. The defense definitely looked shakier tonight than in some other recent games, but that's partly owing to the greatly improved attack that LVC now has. They can be relied upon to score goals against excellent teams. This year they had 2 vs Gettysburg, 1 vs Messiah, and almost 1 (a missed PK) vs Lycoming. Can't figure out how they lost to a not very good Muhlenberg side to open the season. If that one went the other way, their only losses would be to Lycoming and Messiah. Rowan can say the same thing, but I don't really think they are nearly as good as Rowan. Will be interesting to see how they do in the conference tourney, now less than two weeks away.
A huge crowd for homecoming in Grantham, upwards of 3000 for sure. Earlier today I saw attendance figures for 2015 NCAA soccer in all 3 divisions. Messiah obviously led D3 by almost a 2-1 margin, but they also would have led D2 in attendance. In D1 they would have finished 15th in average attendance, right behind UVA.
Messiah definitely isn't the offense juggernaut that they were in the past. In 2013, they had SEVEN different players finish the season with 15+ points. This year, they have three, and have a chance for four at best by season's end. They're also not getting help from their second group. I haven't had a chance to watch Messiah much this year... Are they subbing less or is their second group just not getting it done?
The second line has a soph that can definitely score but maybe not getting as much time as he could. Hastletine has 2 goals in limited action. Last year I think he had 4 goals. He definitely is a scorer. On goal on a header and the other off his foot. I expect next year with graduation he may get opportunity. Plaza can also score but has not shot much this year
In my extremely limited sample (2nd half of the Hopkins game), my observation was that the subs were a very noticeable drop-off from the top unit. An overall lack of technical skill had them pretty much giving the ball back to Hopkins and then Messiah dropped back into a shell (zone.)
Just one game against a pretty decent opponent, but it was a pretty stark contrast when the top guys got back in and started flying around. (Also, to be fair, the subs were obviously getting gassed, as the game went a pretty long stretch with no stoppage/opp. to sub.)
And who knows which schools don't even bother to report attendance. If my memory serves me, in the early 2000's Messiah wasn't reporting attendance and so even though they surely were near the top in attendance, the record books didn't reflect that. Now, 15 or so year later, Messiah reports attendances to the person (how, I have no idea). Anyway, maybe even now there are some schools that draw very well, but don't report their attendances.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 23, 2017, 01:06:56 PM
And who knows which schools don't even bother to report attendance. If my memory serves me, in the early 2000's Messiah wasn't reporting attendance and so even though they surely were near the top in attendance, the record books didn't reflect that. Now, 15 or so year later, Messiah reports attendances to the person (how, I have no idea). Anyway, maybe even now there are some schools that draw very well, but don't report their attendances.
Messiah reported 4150 for homecoming game this past weekend. I venture to say that was an estimate. I wonder who comes up with the attendance number. Eyeball test I'm guessing. Stands full to capacity probably 2000-2500? The add area around fence, people in the grass, etc.
According to this shoemaker field can seat several thousand. http://gomessiah.com/sports/2012/1/3/GEN_0103121421.aspx
Thanks for the data. I pretty much nailed it. Would have guessed OWU, Wheaton, CNU and Loras all in top 5-6. Also was pretty confident about Roanoke or Lynchburg and Hope. Mildly surprised about F&M but not sure why I'm surprised. And Geneva and SUNY Canton. And I thought Trinity might have been a little higher, and maybe another West school like Redlands.
Rank School Division III Overall SOS (thru 10/23)
1. Messiah 13-1-0 13-1-0 0.606----def #4 Lyco 1-0, def #8 LVC 2-1 2OT
2. Hopkins 11-1-2 11-1-2 0.560---def McDaniel 2-0, def Ursinus 6-0
3. Gettysburg 11-2-0 11-2-0 0.580---lost to F&M 3-2, def Swat 3-1
4. Lycoming 14-1-0 14-1-0 0.542---lost to #1 Messiah 1-0, def Stevenson 4-1
5. Haverford 8-3-3 8-3-3 0.621---def Ursinus 4-0, lost to #6 Dickinson 3-2 OT
6. Dickinson 9-4-1 9-4-1 0.589---tied Muhlenberg 1-1, def #5 Fords 3-2 OT
7. Drew 14-0-1 14-0-1 0.515---def Kean 3-1, def Catholic 1-0
8. Leb Val 9-2-1 9-2-1 0.522---def Stevenson 2-0, lost to #1 Messiah 2-1 2OT
9. Etown 8-5-1 8-5-1 0.602---def Susquehanna 1-0
10. Eastern 10-3-0 10-3-0 0.497---def Kings 2-1, lost to Wilkes 1-0, tied Stockton 1-1
*Note records not updated with recent results*
How are you updating the SOS? A heck of a lot of number crunching goes into the OOWP portion of the SOS.
Forget that. I see that you did not update the SOS's either. The "(thru 10/23)" after "SOS" threw me.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 24, 2017, 12:34:17 PM
How are you updating the SOS? A heck of a lot of number crunching goes into the OOWP portion of the SOS.
Forget that. I see that you did not update the SOS's either. The "(thru 10/23)" after "SOS" threw me.
The only thing updated are the results from the the games played. Everything else is copied from last week's regional rankings. :)
Don't know all of the RvR and we will find out tomorrow but based on knowing some of those numbers, the SOS from last week and this week's results I think there will be some shifting in the rankings. I will give it my best guess.
1. Messiah (that was easy)
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. Gettysburg
5. Dickinson
6. Haverford
7. Drew
8. LVC
9. F&M
10. Etown
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 24, 2017, 04:20:37 PM
Don't know all of the RvR and we will find out tomorrow but based on knowing some of those numbers, the SOS from last week and this week's results I think there will be some shifting in the rankings. I will give it my best guess.
1. Messiah (that was easy)
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. Gettysburg
5. Dickinson
6. Haverford
7. Drew
8. LVC
9. F&M
10. Etown
It was fun while it lasted. G'Burg loses to Catholic 3-2 in OT. This is a HUGE loss
Rank School Division III Overall SOS (thru 10/24)
1. Messiah 13-1-0 13-1-0 0.606----def #4 Lyco 1-0, def #8 LVC 2-1 2OT
2. Hopkins 11-1-2 11-1-2 0.560---def McDaniel 2-0, def Ursinus 6-0
3. Gettysburg 11-2-0 11-2-0 0.580---lost to F&M 3-2, def Swat 3-1, lost to Catholic 3-2 OT
4. Lycoming 14-1-0 14-1-0 0.542---lost to #1 Messiah 1-0, def Stevenson 4-1
5. Haverford 8-3-3 8-3-3 0.621---def Ursinus 4-0, lost to #6 Dickinson 3-2 OT
6. Dickinson 9-4-1 9-4-1 0.589---tied Muhlenberg 1-1, def #5 Fords 3-2 OT
7. Drew 14-0-1 14-0-1 0.515---def Kean 3-1, def Catholic 1-0
8. Leb Val 9-2-1 9-2-1 0.522---def Stevenson 2-0,lost to #1 Messiah 2-1 2OT
9. Etown 8-5-1 8-5-1 0.602---def Susquehanna 1-0
10. Eastern 10-3-0 10-3-0 0.497---def Kings 2-1, lost to Wilkes 1-0, tied Stockton 1-1
*Note records not updated with recent results*
Devastating loss for Gettysburg last night which will surely drop them in the 3rd rankings. It will not affect them today but they have a lot of work to do after last night's defeat to Catholic. This seems to be the trend with Gettysburg. Start out hot and look like a contender then fade away when it matters most down the stretch.
Some games to watch today around the region include:
Hood at Messiah
Arcadia at Leb Val
Muhlenberg at Etown
Susquehanna at Misericordia
Stevenson at Alvernia
DeSales at Moravian
Playoff implications on the line as well as keeping pace within the region. This week and weekend are critical for many teams playoff hopes.
Projected Regional Rankings (games thru 10/22)
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Hopkins
4. Gettysburg
5. Dickinson
6. Haverford
7. Drew
8. Leb Val
9. F&M
10. Scranton
Others: Etown & Eastern
You're probably pretty close, but I would certainly not want to play Drew - I don't care what their SOS is.
Quote from: EB2319 on October 25, 2017, 08:57:17 AM
You're probably pretty close, but I would certainly not want to play Drew - I don't care what their SOS is.
I'd personally flip Drew and Haverford because of the head to head result but I think the committee will keep Haverford ahead based on RvR and SOS. Although if it's close they should favor head to head, so if they are neck and neck maybe Drew will jump them, but I can't see the committee doing that based on each team's SOS alone.
Is F&M a dangerous sleeper team if they can find a way to get into the tournament....AQ or otherwise? Didn't look but assume their SoS is good.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 25, 2017, 09:24:29 AM
Is F&M a dangerous sleeper team if they can find a way to get into the tournament....AQ or otherwise? Didn't look but assume their SoS is good.
I think they could be. They need the AQ at this point though in my opinion. They had a sluggish start trying to figure out how to play without Ugo. They would be 2-4-2 RvR and SOS around .600ish. Definitely worthy of a ranking slot but for me they need the AQ for any hopes of NCAA's or a lot of other twists to happen in order to jump into a top 5 regional spot.
Reason I have them and Scranton in my predicted rankings over Etown and Eastern for this week is due to the amount of ranked opponents. 2-4-2 isn't awful but it's not good. Scranton is similar with a .575ish SOS and 2-4-0 RvR AND the head to head on Etown, which is why they swapped places in my view. F&M at 5 losses and 2 ties, Scranton at 6 losses, Etown at 5 losses and a tie. All are in the same boat in terms of # of blemishes. Etown I believe will be around .590ish SOS and 1-4-0 RvR including that head to head loss with Scranton. Can't see how the Blue Jays would stay in front of them but they do have a win over F&M which could come into play. Regardless, its AQ or bust for both Scranton and Etown and more than likely AQ or bust for F&M as well.
Yeah, F&M need the AQ at this point. And Haverford doesn't have much room for error, if any, after their head-to-head loss to Dickinson. Their very high SOS is huge and they do have 3 wins versus ranked teams and 4 losses. Their RvR can change as teams drop in and out of the rankings, but I think they'll be stuck with those 4 losses. They may pick up a win vs, ranked if Scranton or F&M could sneak back in, but that could come at the expense of E-town being ranked. Also, Stevens could drop out of the East rankings which would cost them a win vs. ranked.
It's going to help them that the Mid-Atlantic has the extra spot this year (10 versus 9 in previous years), as that could help them have one more opponent that they beat in the rankings. The change in the RvR criteria to include both the 4th/Final rankings and the 3rd Weekly rankings could also help them hold onto an extra win vs. ranked if two of the teams they beat would swap in and out from the 3rd to the 4th/Final ranking. Actually, that could help them hold onto both a Mid-Atlantic win versus ranked as well as Stevens in the East region.
They probably need to win two Centennial tournament games and reach the final (which would also give them more wins vs. ranked) to get an at-large, but who knows. Depends on what other teams do, both in the Mid-Atlantic as well as teams in other regions.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 25, 2017, 11:02:46 AM
It's going to help them that the Mid-Atlantic has the extra spot this year (10 versus 9 in previous years), as that could help them have one more opponent that they beat in the rankings. The change in the RvR criteria to include both the 4th/Final rankings and the 3rd Weekly rankings could also help them hold onto an extra win vs. ranked if two of the teams they beat would swap in and out from the 3rd to the 4th/Final ranking. Actually, that could help them hold onto both a Mid-Atlantic win versus ranked as well as Stevens in the East region.
Can you dive deeper into the rule change for RvR please? I haven't heard of this yet. So say Drew is ranked in the 3rd rankings but falls out in the final rankings. That would be 1 win for anyone that beat them and say Etown replaced Drew in the final rankings then teams would also pick up a win vs them as well even though they were not in the 3rd rankings?
So instead of just having the 1 win a team would get 2 in that case if they played both of those teams. Is this logic accurate?
That's how I understand it, MAF. The RvR data that the committee will be looking at when they are making at-large selections with be based upon the 3rd and the 4th/Final rankings: that is, results against teams ranked in either the 3rd or the 4th/Final rankings.
So as to predicting the at-large selections, we will know the RvR based on the 3rd rankings, and we can anticipate who will be ranked in the 4th/Final rankings and see if that adds any more results into each teams' RvR.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 25, 2017Rank | School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Non-Conf. . SOS | . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 15-1-0 | 0.618 | 7-1-0 | 0.652 | 15-1-0 | 1 |
2. | Lycoming | 15-2-0 | 0.552 | 3-1-0 | 0.553 | 15-2-0 | 4 |
3. | Gettysburg | 12-3-0 | 0.563 | 3-2-0 | 0.554 | 12-3-0 | 3 |
4. | Johns Hopkins | 13-1-2 | 0.535 | 3-1-0 | 0.549 | 13-1-2 | 2 |
5. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.577 | 3-3-0 | 0.644 | 10-4-2 | 6 |
6. | Drew | 16-0-1 | 0.528 | 2-0-0 | 0.548 | 16-0-1 | 7 |
7. | Haverford | 9-4-3 | 0.607 | 3-4-0 | 0.652 | 9-4-3 | 5 |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 10-3-1 | 0.538 | 1-2-0 | 0.525 | 10-3-1 | 8 |
9. | Scranton | 10-6-0 | 0.555 | 2-4-0 | 0.566 | 10-6-0 | -- |
10. | Elizabethtown | 9-5-1 | 0.595 | 1-3-0 | 0.622 | 9-5-1 | 9 |
Haverford might still be in the running for a Pool C with 3 ranked wins as other regions are way down...RvR of 3-4-0 is not bad
Falcons win 1-0 on a brilliant breakaway goal by Nick West with no time left in regulation. The official assist (singular) goes to Kirby Robbins, but there should have been a second to Brit Haseltine for his perfect through pass to Robbins from the defensive third. The goal ended a very frustrating evening for Messiah, in which Hood's keeper and back line saved several good SOG including a great one saved off the line. Hood threatened a few times in the first half, almost never in the second half, but still were in it with under a minute left. Congratulations to them for a hard-played, well-organized defensive effort at home.
Quote from: Falconer on October 25, 2017, 08:57:23 PM
Falcons win 1-0 on a brilliant breakaway goal by Nick West with no time left in regulation. The official assist (singular) goes to Kirby Robbins, but there should have been a second to Brit Haseltine for his perfect through pass to Robbins from the defensive third. The goal ended a very frustrating evening for Messiah, in which Hood's keeper and back line saved several good SOG including a great one saved off the line. Hood threatened a few times in the first half, almost never in the second half, but still were in it with under a minute left. Congratulations to them for a hard-played, well-organized defensive effort at home.
Never seen a goal like that with 2 seconds on the clock! The camera work on this one was enough to give me a headache. Like watching a silent movie...what's with no audio on these streams.
Yet again, Messiah wins by the skin of their teeth. I don't know if all these games are making them a battle-hardened team poised to win it all, or if fate will finally catch up and they get blown out in the second round. I honestly wouldn't be surprised with either result.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 25, 2017, 05:16:06 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 25, 2017Rank | School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Non-Conf. . SOS | . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 15-1-0 | 0.618 | 7-1-0 | 0.652 | 15-1-0 | 1 |
2. | Lycoming | 15-2-0 | 0.552 | 3-1-0 | 0.553 | 15-2-0 | 4 |
3. | Gettysburg | 12-3-0 | 0.563 | 3-2-0 | 0.554 | 12-3-0 | 3 |
4. | Johns Hopkins | 13-1-2 | 0.535 | 3-1-0 | 0.549 | 13-1-2 | 2 |
5. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.577 | 3-3-0 | 0.644 | 10-4-2 | 6 |
6. | Drew | 16-0-1 | 0.528 | 2-0-0 | 0.548 | 16-0-1 | 7 |
7. | Haverford | 9-4-3 | 0.607 | 3-4-0 | 0.652 | 9-4-3 | 5 |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 10-3-1 | 0.538 | 1-2-0 | 0.525 | 10-3-1 | 8 |
9. | Scranton | 10-6-0 | 0.555 | 2-4-0 | 0.566 | 10-6-0 | -- |
10. | Elizabethtown | 9-5-1 | 0.595 | 1-3-0 | 0.622 | 9-5-1 | 9 |
I am a little perplexed by Gettysburg being ahead of Hopkins given the head to head win for Hopkins which was @Gettysburg btw, better record/winning %, more overall wins, less losses, and better RvR. All of that cannot be outweighed by a lower SOS. I think the committee got that one wrong but other than that the region looks like it should. Hopkins will certainly pass Gettysburg in the next rankings after Gettysburg's blunder to Catholic.
Interesting results last night around the region!
Messiah beats Hood 1-0 on a game winning breakaway as time expires. Shots were only 15-6 in favor of the Falcons. To be a little picky here, I think a majority of us would agree that we'd expect a little more from the #1 team in the country. This isn't the first time they have survived a scare against a clearly average or below average team. The Falcons have struggled with (at the time winless) Misericordia at home and won 1-0 in OT, on the road vs Widener in a 1-0 win, and now most recently at Hood with last second heroics for a 1-0 win. Yes they are winning. Yes they are a talented team. Yes they are strong defensively. But I am not sure they have the firepower going forward to be the clear favorites as other Messiah teams have demonstrated in the past. Is it fair to be this picky...probably not, but that is the expectation when you play for a program as stellar as Messiah. On the bright-side they haven't lost since early September but I wonder if this isn't necessarily a good thing. 5 of the last 6 games have been decided by only 1 goal. 3 of those games were against teams I would consider top quality in Hopkins, @Lycoming, and Leb Val. The other 3 were far less superior than the Falcons, at least on paper. I would be cautious if I were a Messiah fan. But once again looking toward the good side of things they have gotten 5 shutouts in those last 6 games and 11 total on the year. Maybe 1 goal will be all they need in NCAA's. :)
Arcadia stuns Leb Val 2-1 on the road and clinches a playoff spot with the win in the MAC Commonwealth. How bad will this hurt Leb Val in the region? It all but guarantees they are AQ or bust at this point for NCAA's. I think they will stay in the regional rankings for the time being.
Muhlenberg upsets Etown 2-1 on the road! A come from behind win may be the dagger in Etown's regional rankings hopes. It's AQ or bust anyways at this point, but being regionally ranked is at least something the Blue Jays could have claimed to salvage their disappointing campaign this fall...right? Look for F&M to swap places with Etown in the next rankings pending other results.
Other Action
-Susquehanna survives 1-0 in OT at Misericordia in non-conference play.
-Alvernia dismantles Stevenson 3-0 and clinches the last playoff spot in the MAC Commonwealth.
-DeSales and Moravian battle to a 1-1 draw in non-conference play. Credit to DeSales that they do find ways to not lose. 12-1-4 on the year and haven't lost since the season opener, but a horrendous SOS of .450 and no ranked opponents will keep them from not even sniffing the top 10.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 26, 2017, 09:24:19 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 25, 2017, 05:16:06 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 25, 2017Rank | School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Non-Conf. . SOS | . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 15-1-0 | 0.618 | 7-1-0 | 0.652 | 15-1-0 | 1 |
2. | Lycoming | 15-2-0 | 0.552 | 3-1-0 | 0.553 | 15-2-0 | 4 |
3. | Gettysburg | 12-3-0 | 0.563 | 3-2-0 | 0.554 | 12-3-0 | 3 |
4. | Johns Hopkins | 13-1-2 | 0.535 | 3-1-0 | 0.549 | 13-1-2 | 2 |
5. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.577 | 3-3-0 | 0.644 | 10-4-2 | 6 |
6. | Drew | 16-0-1 | 0.528 | 2-0-0 | 0.548 | 16-0-1 | 7 |
7. | Haverford | 9-4-3 | 0.607 | 3-4-0 | 0.652 | 9-4-3 | 5 |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 10-3-1 | 0.538 | 1-2-0 | 0.525 | 10-3-1 | 8 |
9. | Scranton | 10-6-0 | 0.555 | 2-4-0 | 0.566 | 10-6-0 | -- |
10. | Elizabethtown | 9-5-1 | 0.595 | 1-3-0 | 0.622 | 9-5-1 | 9 |
I am a little perplexed by Gettysburg being ahead of Hopkins given the head to head win for Hopkins which was @Gettysburg btw, better record/winning %, more overall wins, less losses, and better RvR. All of that cannot be outweighed by a lower SOS. I think the committee got that one wrong but other than that the region looks like it should. Hopkins will certainly pass Gettysburg in the next rankings after Gettysburg's blunder to Catholic.
Yeah, I know there's a lag, but it sure seems odd for a team to drop 2 spots. That said, their October run had a tough loss @ Messiah, and then 2 ties at home (Muhlenberg, Swat.)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 26, 2017, 09:59:55 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 26, 2017, 09:24:19 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 25, 2017, 05:16:06 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 25, 2017Rank | School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Non-Conf. . SOS | . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 15-1-0 | 0.618 | 7-1-0 | 0.652 | 15-1-0 | 1 |
2. | Lycoming | 15-2-0 | 0.552 | 3-1-0 | 0.553 | 15-2-0 | 4 |
3. | Gettysburg | 12-3-0 | 0.563 | 3-2-0 | 0.554 | 12-3-0 | 3 |
4. | Johns Hopkins | 13-1-2 | 0.535 | 3-1-0 | 0.549 | 13-1-2 | 2 |
5. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.577 | 3-3-0 | 0.644 | 10-4-2 | 6 |
6. | Drew | 16-0-1 | 0.528 | 2-0-0 | 0.548 | 16-0-1 | 7 |
7. | Haverford | 9-4-3 | 0.607 | 3-4-0 | 0.652 | 9-4-3 | 5 |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 10-3-1 | 0.538 | 1-2-0 | 0.525 | 10-3-1 | 8 |
9. | Scranton | 10-6-0 | 0.555 | 2-4-0 | 0.566 | 10-6-0 | -- |
10. | Elizabethtown | 9-5-1 | 0.595 | 1-3-0 | 0.622 | 9-5-1 | 9 |
I am a little perplexed by Gettysburg being ahead of Hopkins given the head to head win for Hopkins which was @Gettysburg btw, better record/winning %, more overall wins, less losses, and better RvR. All of that cannot be outweighed by a lower SOS. I think the committee got that one wrong but other than that the region looks like it should. Hopkins will certainly pass Gettysburg in the next rankings after Gettysburg's blunder to Catholic.
Yeah, I know there's a lag, but it sure seems odd for a team to drop 2 spots. That said, their October run had a tough loss @ Messiah, and then 2 ties at home (Muhlenberg, Swat.)
I am not against a team dropping X amount of slots or jumping X amount of slots. It's the fact that they have the head to head on Gettysburg for one and two all the other advantages mentioned minus SOS. Just can't see how they thought Gettysburg should be ahead other than SOS and more ranked opponents. Other than flipping Hopkins to 3 and Gettysburg to 4 I think the committee got it spot on.
I agree that having Gettysburg slotted above Hopkins is had to figure out. The one primary criteria that hasn't been discussed is "Results versus common Division III opponents". But that does nothing to really separate the two. They have 6 common conference opponents so far with Hopkins going 6-0-2 (tied Swat & F&M) and Gettysburg 5-1-0 (lost to F&M). They have two common out-of-conference opponents (Stevenson & York) in which both won both games. If you look at the scores and margin of victory/loss in these games, it favors Gettysburg a little.
Quote from: EB2319 on October 26, 2017, 09:03:08 AM
Yet again, Messiah wins by the skin of their teeth. I don't know if all these games are making them a battle-hardened team poised to win it all, or if fate will finally catch up and they get blown out in the second round. I honestly wouldn't be surprised with either result.
Blown out no...but could drop a game by a goal. Certainly have pulled out a few games this year with a timely goal. They need Plaza back and healthy.
Quote from: rudy on October 26, 2017, 01:48:08 PM
Quote from: EB2319 on October 26, 2017, 09:03:08 AM
Yet again, Messiah wins by the skin of their teeth. I don't know if all these games are making them a battle-hardened team poised to win it all, or if fate will finally catch up and they get blown out in the second round. I honestly wouldn't be surprised with either result.
Blown out no...but could drop a game by a goal. Certainly have pulled out a few games this year with a timely goal. They need Plaza back and healthy.
What is Plaza's injury status? Do we even know what he injured? They look a little lost without him in the past few games.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 26, 2017, 06:13:30 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 26, 2017, 01:48:08 PM
Quote from: EB2319 on October 26, 2017, 09:03:08 AM
Yet again, Messiah wins by the skin of their teeth. I don't know if all these games are making them a battle-hardened team poised to win it all, or if fate will finally catch up and they get blown out in the second round. I honestly wouldn't be surprised with either result.
Blown out no...but could drop a game by a goal. Certainly have pulled out a few games this year with a timely goal. They need Plaza back and healthy.
What is Plaza's injury status? Do we even know what he injured? They look a little lost without him in the past few games.
I don't know the extent of injury. Assume muscle or ligament strain acting up but I can't confirm. I'd guess at this point they will rest him at least until MAC tournament.. maybe even until MAC final or NCAA . I have not heard anything about it being season ending injury. He played at the end of game prior to the last 2 games. He sat out one other game a few weeks ago.
I agree they did not look as organized and composed with him out. But with NCAA bid a lock they may rest him longer and get treatments and he comes back stronger. We'll see.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 26, 2017, 09:59:55 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 26, 2017, 09:24:19 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 25, 2017, 05:16:06 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 25, 2017Rank | School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Non-Conf. . SOS | . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 15-1-0 | 0.618 | 7-1-0 | 0.652 | 15-1-0 | 1 |
2. | Lycoming | 15-2-0 | 0.552 | 3-1-0 | 0.553 | 15-2-0 | 4 |
3. | Gettysburg | 12-3-0 | 0.563 | 3-2-0 | 0.554 | 12-3-0 | 3 |
4. | Johns Hopkins | 13-1-2 | 0.535 | 3-1-0 | 0.549 | 13-1-2 | 2 |
5. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.577 | 3-3-0 | 0.644 | 10-4-2 | 6 |
6. | Drew | 16-0-1 | 0.528 | 2-0-0 | 0.548 | 16-0-1 | 7 |
7. | Haverford | 9-4-3 | 0.607 | 3-4-0 | 0.652 | 9-4-3 | 5 |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 10-3-1 | 0.538 | 1-2-0 | 0.525 | 10-3-1 | 8 |
9. | Scranton | 10-6-0 | 0.555 | 2-4-0 | 0.566 | 10-6-0 | -- |
10. | Elizabethtown | 9-5-1 | 0.595 | 1-3-0 | 0.622 | 9-5-1 | 9 |
I am a little perplexed by Gettysburg being ahead of Hopkins given the head to head win for Hopkins which was @Gettysburg btw, better record/winning %, more overall wins, less losses, and better RvR. All of that cannot be outweighed by a lower SOS. I think the committee got that one wrong but other than that the region looks like it should. Hopkins will certainly pass Gettysburg in the next rankings after Gettysburg's blunder to Catholic.
Yeah, I know there's a lag, but it sure seems odd for a team to drop 2 spots. That said, their October run had a tough loss @ Messiah, and then 2 ties at home (Muhlenberg, Swat.)
Respectfully, both of JHU's ties were on the road, and were to Swat and F&M. They beat Muhlenberg.
Conference Playoffs Edition
CENTENNIAL Men
First Round - Wed., Nov. 1 (at higher seed)
#5 Dickinson at #4 Haverford, TBA
Semifinals - Sat., Nov. 4 (at #1 Johns Hopkins)
#4/#5 winner at #1 Johns Hopkins, TBA
#3 Gettysburg vs. #2 Franklin and Marshall, TBA
Final - Sun., Nov. 5 (at #1 Johns Hopkins)
Semifinal winners, TBA
Champion / AQ:
CSAC Men
► Teams will be re-bracketed after first round games so that lowest remaining seed will face the #1 seed.
First Round - Tue., Oct. 31 (at higher seeds)
#6 Cairn at #3 Centenary (N.J.), TBA
#5 Marywood at #4 Neumann, TBA
Semifinals - Thu., Nov. 2 (at higher seeds)
TBD at #1 Cabrini, TBA
TBD at #2 Keystone, TBA
Final - Sat., Nov. 4 (at higher seed)
Semifinal winners, TBA
Champion / AQ:
COMMONWEALTH Men
First Round - Mon., Oct. 30 (at higher seed)
#5 Alvernia at #4 Arcadia, 7:00 pm ET
Semifinals - Wed., Nov. 1 (at higher seeds)
#4/#5 winner at #1 Messiah, TBA
#3 Lebanon Valley at #2 Lycoming, TBA
Final - Sat., Nov. 4 (at higher seed)
Semifinal winners, TBA
Champion / AQ:
FREEDOM Men
Semifinals - Wed., Nov. 1 (at higher seeds)
#4 FDU-Florham at #1 Eastern, TBA
#3 DeSales at #2 King's, TBA
Final - Sat., Nov. 4 (at higher seed)
Semifinal winners, TBA
Champion / AQ:
LANDMARK Men
Semifinals - Tue., Oct. 31 (at higher seeds)
#4 Susquehanna at #1 Drew, 7:00 pm ET
#3 Catholic at #2 Elizabethtown, 7:00 pm ET
Final - Sat., Nov. 4 (at higher seed)
Semifinal winners, 7:00 pm ET
Champion / AQ:
NEAC Men
► Tournament awards automatic berth (AQ) only; 2017 conference champion based on regular season.
► Teams are seeded by division: "N" for North Division; "S" for South Division.
► Teams will be re-seeded on a conference basis after the quarterfinals and the lowest seed will face the highest seed.
Quarterfinals - Tue., Oct. 31 (at higher seeds)
N#4 SUNY Poly at N#1 Morrisville State, 2:00 pm ET
N#3 Penn College at N#2 Keuka, 4:00 pm ET
S#4 Wilson at S#1 Penn State-Abington, 2:00 pm ET
S#3 Lancaster Bible at S#2 Penn State-Berks, 2:00 pm ET
Semifinals - Sat., Nov. 4 (at highest remaining seed)
lowest remaining seed at highest remaining seed, 11:30 am ET
other two remaining teams , 2:00 pm ET
Final - Sun., Nov. 5 (at semifinal site)
Semifinal winners, 1:00 pm ET
AQ:
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 29, 2017, 10:22:02 AM
Conference Playoffs Edition
CENTENNIAL Men
First Round - Wed., Nov. 1 (at higher seed)
#5 Dickinson at #4 Haverford, TBA
Semifinals - Sat., Nov. 4 (at #1 Johns Hopkins)
#4/#5 winner at #1 Johns Hopkins, TBA
#3 Gettysburg vs. #2 Franklin and Marshall, TBA
Final - Sun., Nov. 5 (at #1 Johns Hopkins)
Semifinal winners, TBA
Champion / AQ:
I believe both the CC play-in game and semi-final are rescheduled as JHU is hosting games for a few of their other teams and sports. The Dickinson vs. Haverford game will be @ Haverford in the afternoon about 2:30 on TUESDAY 10/31, and the semi-final game on FRIDAY 11/3 at JHU at 5:30. No game on Saturday.
My best guess at the 3rd regional rankings!
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Hopkins
4. Gettysburg
5. Drew
6. Dickinson
7. Haverford
8. Leb Val
9. F&M (Etown has H2H if this comes into play)
10. Eastern or Etown/Scranton (toss up as both lost since last week and Scranton has the H2H result)
Resumes with current records and last weeks SOS and RvR data:
Eastern: 12-4-1, SOS .508, RvR 0-2-0 (SOS will stay close to same)
Scranton: 10-7-0, SOS .555, RvR 2-4-0 (SOS will stay close to same)
Etown: 10-6-1, SOS .595, RvR 1-3-0 (SOS will drop to .583 ish?) Lost H2H w/Scranton
3rd Ranking Predictions
Team---New RvR
1. Messiah---7-1-0
2. Lyco---4-1-0
3. JHU---3-1-0
4. Drew---3-0-0
5. Getty---2-2-0
6. Dickin---4-4-0
7. Fords---4-4-0
8. LVC---1-2-0
9. F&M---2-4-2
10. Scranton---2-4-0
Others:
Etown---0-4-0
Eastern---0-2-0
It looks like the namesake of our mid-Atlantic pal had a rough day (probably driven to drink due to a struggle of whether to pick Messiah or Calvin as the winner of the D3 tournament):
https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/actor-who-played-shooter-mcgavin-arrested-for-dui-plays-happy-gilmore-card/
Quote from: Ommadawn on October 31, 2017, 02:56:49 AM
It looks like the namesake of our mid-Atlantic pal had a rough day (probably driven to drink due to a struggle of whether to pick Messiah or Calvin as the winner of the D3 tournament):
https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/actor-who-played-shooter-mcgavin-arrested-for-dui-plays-happy-gilmore-card/
Still waiting for bail money. Can you help a brother out? I was in Happy Gilmore ya know!
Haverford trails Dickinson 2-0 on home turf in a do or die situation for both teams. Dickinson looks the much more threatening side. Sitting back and absorbing pressure before turning over Haverford and countering well. The second half should intensify as Haverford will certainly look to throw the house at Dickinson. I think the loser of this game will be left out of NCAA's and the winner will sneak in on the right side of the bubble.
Wow. So, uh, Dickinson throttles Haverford 5-0. The Fords lost in OT in Carlisle two weeks ago, but I figured the home rematch would be much more competitive.
Quote from: blooter442 on October 31, 2017, 04:37:15 PM
Wow. So, uh, Dickinson throttles Haverford 5-0. The Fords lost in OT in Carlisle two weeks ago, but I figured the home rematch would be much more competitive.
Yikes. Looking at the box score..9 shots on goal and 5 goals?! Is their starting keeper out or something? Or was Dickinson that efficient. That's an unusual stat line.
Same starting GK as the whole season. Is Dickinson playing that well at the moment, or is Haverford that poor at the moment?
Any one have any insight or ideas as to why Haverford wasn't able to live up to expectations this season? Is it simply a matter of having graduated their best players that helped elevate the program back into national prominence? Did they lose some critical players to injury? Did they have an Achilles heel that they just couldn't compensate for? Or is it not so much that they dropped off so much, but that Hopkins, Drew, and Gettysburg improved significantly and Dickinson bounced back from an off year turning 3 or 4 games they would have won the past couple years into losses this year?
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 31, 2017, 05:03:17 PM
Same starting GK as the whole season. Is Dickinson playing that well at the moment, or is Haverford that poor at the moment?
Any one have any insight or ideas as to why Haverford wasn't able to live up to expectations this season? Is it simply a matter of having graduated their best players that helped elevate the program back into national prominence? Did they lose some critical players to injury? Did they have an Achilles heel that they just couldn't compensate for? Or is it not so much that they dropped off so much, but that Hopkins, Drew, and Gettysburg improved significantly and Dickinson bounced back from an off year turning 3 or 4 games they would have won the past couple years into losses this year?
They seemed to lack a goal scorer. The Janelli kid is fantastic but after him they didn't really have offensive firepower. Also, the commentary for yesterday said they lost 2 starting CB's to injury earlier in the year. I am sure that had to hurt at the time but they trended the wrong way down the stretch. Other than the lack of goals and graduating a nice class I am not sure what the issue was for them this season. All in all it wasn't a bad season but just not what we have come to expect from the Fords as of late.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 01, 2017, 08:18:20 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 31, 2017, 05:03:17 PM
Same starting GK as the whole season. Is Dickinson playing that well at the moment, or is Haverford that poor at the moment?
Any one have any insight or ideas as to why Haverford wasn't able to live up to expectations this season? Is it simply a matter of having graduated their best players that helped elevate the program back into national prominence? Did they lose some critical players to injury? Did they have an Achilles heel that they just couldn't compensate for? Or is it not so much that they dropped off so much, but that Hopkins, Drew, and Gettysburg improved significantly and Dickinson bounced back from an off year turning 3 or 4 games they would have won the past couple years into losses this year?
They seemed to lack a goal scorer. The Janelli kid is fantastic but after him they didn't really have offensive firepower. Also, the commentary for yesterday said they lost 2 starting CB's to injury earlier in the year. I am sure that had to hurt at the time but they trended the wrong way down the stretch. Other than the lack of goals and graduating a nice class I am not sure what the issue was for them this season. All in all it wasn't a bad season but just not what we have come to expect from the Fords as of late.
Yes I heard injuries definitely got to them down the stretch - heard three Cb's who were playing were out for the year.
Looking at a lot of the rankings I still think the Fords have a shot at an at-large. Their winning % might hold them back but teams in the past have gotten in with worse winning % but high SOS and RvR. Interesting to see where they land in this weeks rankings - they will need help but looking at other region's they compete in two of the three categories.
Wow. That's a pretty shocking result. I wonder what was going on when Hopkins played Dickinson on the weekend and put up that 3-0 score. ??
Hopkins went through that run in early October where they couldn't find the back of the net. They've now scored 11 goals in the last three games. (They scored 2 in 3 games at the beginning of Oct.)
I haven't been able to watch... Wonder if they figured something out. (And I realize putting up a bunch on McDaniel and Ursinus is no reason to beat your chest, but putting up 3 on Dickinson, who just waxed Haverford -- away... A positive trend, surely.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 01, 2017 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 17-1-0 | 0.595 | 7-1-0 | 17-1-0 | 1 |
2. | Lycoming | 16-2-0 | 0.548 | 4-1-0 | 16-2-0 | 2 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 14-1-2 | 0.545 | 3-1-0 | 14-1-2 | 4 |
4. | Gettysburg | 13-4-0 | 0.545 | 2-2-0 | 13-4-0 | 3 |
5. | Dickinson | 10-5-2 | 0.587 | 4-4-0 | 10-5-2 | 5 |
6. | Drew | 17-0-1 | 0.521 | 3-0-0 | 17-0-1 | 6 |
7. | Haverford | 10-4-3 | 0.591 | 4-4-0 | 10-4-3 | 7 |
8. | Franklin and Marshall | 9-5-2 | 0.596 | 2-4-2 | 9-5-2 | -- |
9. | Lebanon Valley | 11-4-1 | 0.535 | 1-2-0 | 11-4-1 | 8 |
10. | Elizabethtown | 10-6-1 | 0.576 | 0-4-0 | 10-6-1 | 10 |
falcon CB Cooper Robbins has missed three (I think) straight games. Anyone know the situation? He's versatile, steady, and mentally tough--a very serious loss if he will miss the tournament, though Figueroa is as good a backup as there is.
In the first semifinal, Lycoming crushed Leb Val 5-1 :o at home and took a 4-0 lead into halftime. I watched a majority of this game and the Warriors looked incredible. They pressed Leb Val to the max and never let them get into the flow of the game. On top of this, Lycoming put away 3 goals in the first 20 minutes and it was all but over, with a couple of incredible goals during this sequence.
In the second semifinal of the day, Messiah had equal success as they tore apart visiting Arcadia 5-0. It took the Falcons a tad longer to find the back of the net but they boasted a comfortable 2-0 lead going into the halftime break and sealed the deal a few minutes into the second half. I thought Messiah looked very good in this game and as mentioned previously I also noticed that Cooper Robbins was out yesterday. Is he hurt? I also noticed that Ruiz-Plaza was back in the line-up which is great news for them but I doubt they wanted to trade one injury for another.
In the end we all get the rematch that everyone has been waiting and hoping for! On Saturday, Messiah will host Lycoming in what will certainly be a hotly contested match. I am interested to see how the Warriors will play on Messiah's grass although they have already won in Grantham in the past, but that has to be advantage to the Falcons. I anticipate another well played game and this will be great preparation for both teams before entering the NCAA tournament.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 02, 2017, 08:05:09 AM
In the end we all get the rematch that everyone has been waiting and hoping for! On Saturday, Messiah will host Lycoming in what will certainly be a hotly contested match. I am interested to see how the Warriors will play on Messiah's grass although they have already won in Grantham in the past, but that has to be advantage to the Falcons. I anticipate another well played game and this will be great preparation for both teams before entering the NCAA tournament.
As I said a few weeks ago, Lycoming has nothing to prove, and this year might be their best team ever--I'll let their fans sort that out if they wish. They certainly have a decent chance to win the automatic bid on Saturday. They beat Messiah twice in 2015, denying the Falcons an NCAA bid for the first time this century. But, both of those games were in Williamsport, and the Falcons were very, very young--it was the youngest Falcon team this century, with (at one point or another) as many as five freshman starters and usually four. Those guys are now juniors, and the seniors on this squad are better than the seniors from 2015. (I'm just doing an eyeball comparison, not dissing the very fine young men from the 2015 class.) Lycoming also won the 2013 AQ in Grantham, against one of the greatest Falcon teams ever (in my opinion, either the second or third greatest). But, that game was a scoreless tie decided 5-4 in PKs, not a victory for Lycoming. So, I can't recall Lycoming ever winning in Grantham. I'm sure someone will provide chapter and verse if I my memory has failed--not that I would be too surprised about that.
I too expect a really good game that will prepare both teams well for the tournament. Messiah will get a high seed unless they lose big, which no one expects. Lycoming is also a lock, and if they win they should also have a high seed. That's very unusual in Commonwealth history, actually, and speaks awfully well for the conference and also for the future of Falcon soccer. It's always good to have dangerous opponents in your conference. We probably all agree on that.
I know I don't do predictions, but this time I will. 2-1 Falcons in regulation.
Quote from: Falconer on November 02, 2017, 10:34:39 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 02, 2017, 08:05:09 AM
In the end we all get the rematch that everyone has been waiting and hoping for! On Saturday, Messiah will host Lycoming in what will certainly be a hotly contested match. I am interested to see how the Warriors will play on Messiah's grass although they have already won in Grantham in the past, but that has to be advantage to the Falcons. I anticipate another well played game and this will be great preparation for both teams before entering the NCAA tournament.
As I said a few weeks ago, Lycoming has nothing to prove, and this year might be their best team ever--I'll let their fans sort that out if they wish. They certainly have a decent chance to win the automatic bid on Saturday. They beat Messiah twice in 2015, denying the Falcons an NCAA bid for the first time this century. But, both of those games were in Williamsport, and the Falcons were very, very young--it was the youngest Falcon team this century, with (at one point or another) as many as five freshman starters and usually four. Those guys are now juniors, and the seniors on this squad are better than the seniors from 2015. (I'm just doing an eyeball comparison, not dissing the very fine young men from the 2015 class.) Lycoming also won the 2013 AQ in Grantham, against one of the greatest Falcon teams ever (in my opinion, either the second or third greatest). But, that game was a scoreless tie decided 5-4 in PKs, not a victory for Lycoming. So, I can't recall Lycoming ever winning in Grantham. I'm sure someone will provide chapter and verse if I my memory has failed--not that I would be too surprised about that.
I too expect a really good game that will prepare both teams well for the tournament. Messiah will get a high seed unless they lose big, which no one expects. Lycoming is also a lock, and if they win they should also have a high seed. That's very unusual in Commonwealth history, actually, and speaks awfully well for the conference and also for the future of Falcon soccer. It's always good to have dangerous opponents in your conference. We probably all agree on that.
I know I don't do predictions, but this time I will. 2-1 Falcons in regulation.
Lycoming won the AQ at Etown in 2013. They defeated Messiah in the semifinals. Yes it was in PK's and shows up as a tie on the resume, but at this point in the season someone needs to move on and that is a win in Grantham for Lycoming. They did the same at Etown the next game for the championship. No one will say "oh they tied in the championship." PK's or not, at this point it's a win.
I wouldn't be surprised to see another PK shootout this time around although I don't think either team would want that. If it is tied and goes to overtime I think you will see both sides push for the winner but without exposing themselves too much in the back. Predictions are always difficult especially with 2 of the best teams in the country going at it. Both have to be considered Final 4 contenders at this point and I may have a better chance at flipping a coin than actually predicting the outcome!
I thought the first game between these two was one of the best games I have seen all season. I would expect nothing less this time around. Messiah playing at home will be a big advantage for the Falcons and I think the size of the field will make it easier for them to play out of Lycoming's pressure. With that said, field size had nothing to do with Lycoming absolutely dominating the entire 2nd half in the first meeting. Messiah could not get out the defensive zone and had a couple counters early on in the half but that was all. They looked tired with 15 to go, which may be because of the lack of depth this year, but they fought and survived. I anticipate the depth to favor the Warriors again. Another thing to watch is Ruiz-Plaza and Cooper Robbins. Will they play? My gut tells me Plaza will since he suited up in the semifinal after missing the last few games. But Cooper Robbins has missed the last 2 and that will be an issue on Saturday if he cannot go. When it is all said and done the game can go either way. I think you will see a similar style to the first game which will be a treat for everyone watching. I am going with another 1 goal game in favor of Messiah. 2-1 Falcons in the first OT.
Quote from: Falconer on November 02, 2017, 10:34:39 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 02, 2017, 08:05:09 AM
In the end we all get the rematch that everyone has been waiting and hoping for! On Saturday, Messiah will host Lycoming in what will certainly be a hotly contested match. I am interested to see how the Warriors will play on Messiah's grass although they have already won in Grantham in the past, but that has to be advantage to the Falcons. I anticipate another well played game and this will be great preparation for both teams before entering the NCAA tournament.
As I said a few weeks ago, Lycoming has nothing to prove, and this year might be their best team ever--I'll let their fans sort that out if they wish. They certainly have a decent chance to win the automatic bid on Saturday. They beat Messiah twice in 2015, denying the Falcons an NCAA bid for the first time this century. But, both of those games were in Williamsport, and the Falcons were very, very young--it was the youngest Falcon team this century, with (at one point or another) as many as five freshman starters and usually four. Those guys are now juniors, and the seniors on this squad are better than the seniors from 2015. (I'm just doing an eyeball comparison, not dissing the very fine young men from the 2015 class.) Lycoming also won the 2013 AQ in Grantham, against one of the greatest Falcon teams ever (in my opinion, either the second or third greatest). But, that game was a scoreless tie decided 5-4 in PKs, not a victory for Lycoming. So, I can't recall Lycoming ever winning in Grantham. I'm sure someone will provide chapter and verse if I my memory has failed--not that I would be too surprised about that.
I too expect a really good game that will prepare both teams well for the tournament. Messiah will get a high seed unless they lose big, which no one expects. Lycoming is also a lock, and if they win they should also have a high seed. That's very unusual in Commonwealth history, actually, and speaks awfully well for the conference and also for the future of Falcon soccer. It's always good to have dangerous opponents in your conference. We probably all agree on that.
I know I don't do predictions, but this time I will. 2-1 Falcons in regulation.
Hi all, I'm usually just a content bystander to these posts, but I thought I'd add my two cents for this game... This is most certainly one of the best teams that Lycoming has seen in a while, and it has been building for the past 5 years. Let's not forget that 5 years ago Lycoming was picked to finish 9th in the CONFERENCE and now they are considered the main rival within the conference! And while you are right that the semi-final game against Messiah in 2013 wasn't a "W" in the official stats, they did eliminate Messiah from the conference title contention and end a 7-year run (I believe) of conference titles. Counting that as a "W" for the purpose of this post, the head to head since 2013 is Messiah: 4 and Lycoming: 3 wins.
While Lycoming does get a chance to play Messiah every year at least once, I'd be interested to know if there is any team in the country that has come close to that kind of record against the Falcons over that span.
On the semi-final game, I think Mid-Atlantic Fans analysis was pretty much spot on. The Warriors came out flying and didn't take their foot off the pedal even slightly until it was already 4-0 going into half. It reminded me of the game that they played against Leb Val back in 2014 when they beat Leb Val 4-0 in Williamsport. It was an all-around "Lycoming Soccer" game. While a lot of the fans out there don't appreciate the way that Lycoming plays, and I will defer to say that everyone has their own right to that opinion, it is hard to argue with their body of work.
Since Coach Gibboney has taken the reigns in 2013 the Warriors have done this (including this year thus far):
Overall Record: 70-21-13,
4/5 Conference Championship Games, 2 MACC Titles (2013,2015), 2 NCAA appearances (2013,2015), Best NCAA: Sweet 16 (loss to eventual champion-Amherst)
Looking forward to the Championship game... WOW! I can't wait to watch this game. I do give a slight edge considering it is at Messiah, but I don't think it will tip the scales too much. I think this match up might be a foreshadow to a potential Sweet 16/ Elite 8 match-up as well. I see this game going to overtime, and for the sake of the viewers I hope it does! I think it is going to be 2-2 going into overtime... although I don't want to make a prediction past that! Thanks for letting me join in on the convo!
Quote from: RetiredWarrior on November 02, 2017, 11:27:21 AM
Hi all, I’m usually just a content bystander to these posts, but I thought I’d add my two cents for this game… This is most certainly one of the best teams that Lycoming has seen in a while, and it has been building for the past 5 years. Let's not forget that 5 years ago Lycoming was picked to finish 9th in the CONFERENCE and now they are considered the main rival within the conference! And while you are right that the semi-final game against Messiah in 2013 wasn't a "W" in the official stats, they did eliminate Messiah from the conference title contention and end a 7-year run (I believe) of conference titles. Counting that as a “W” for the purpose of this post, the head to head since 2013 is Messiah: 4 and Lycoming: 3 wins.
While Lycoming does get a chance to play Messiah every year at least once, I’d be interested to know if there is any team in the country that has come close to that kind of record against the Falcons over that span.
Not in the same span of time. No other conference team has ever done that well vs Messiah in the "modern era," that is since Brandt and McCarty were coaching and Messiah was a national contender virtually every year.
Among non-conference teams, Messiah very often plays York, Gettysburg (not this season), Etown, and Dickinson. Those are the teams that would theoretically have a chance to match Lycoming. The great York teams of the last decade actually dominated Messiah at one point. From 2006-2009, York went 3-0-1 vs the Falcons, winning once in Grantham. The Ports brothers, both IMO high level D1 players, had much to do with that. IMO, those York teams were more talented overall than either Messiah or Lycoming this year. Yet, they never managed to make the Final Four, b/c they somehow couldn't score consistently in the tournament, while Messiah won multiple championships in those years. Go figure.
After sleeping on it I am going to say we will see a 1-1 draw which will head to PK's with Lycoming winning 4-2 in penalties. Bold prediction but it is that time of year! 8-)
Even as someone who hasn't paid attention to the Mid-Atlantic Region for that long (although I am becoming more familiar by the year), it's been really fun to watch Lycoming emerge in the past few years. The 2013 semi-final win over Messiah (I agree with Shooter -- I call it a win) made me take note, but then getting to the Sweet 16 two years later I think really augmented the Warriors' rise as a legit program.
Kind of reminded me of when Randolph got to the Sweet 16 back in 2011 seemingly out of nowhere on the back of Corey Sindle, who is now an assistant at Wheaton (MA). The WildCats haven't attained that level since, but I think it's cool to see teams go on a surprise run, and even better if they can attain similar levels year-in, year-out, as Lycoming is starting to do.
Quote from: blooter442 on November 03, 2017, 11:27:00 AM
Even as someone who hasn't paid attention to the Mid-Atlantic Region for that long (although I am becoming more familiar by the year), it's been really fun to watch Lycoming emerge in the past few years. The 2013 semi-final win over Messiah (I agree with Shooter -- I call it a win) made me take note, but then getting to the Sweet 16 two years later I think really augmented the Warriors' rise as a legit program.
Kind of reminded me of when Randolph got to the Sweet 16 back in 2011 seemingly out of nowhere on the back of Corey Sindle, who is now an assistant at Wheaton (MA). The WildCats haven't attained that level since, but I think it's cool to see teams go on a surprise run, and even better if they can attain similar levels year-in, year-out, as Lycoming is starting to do.
Be careful what you wish for, blooter, or one of these days (perhaps very soon, who knows) you'll see Lycoming manhandle Amherst or Tufts or some other NESCAC team in the tournament. Now, when it comes to Amherst, maybe that would just be a few chickens coming home to roost. ;D
Nah, I didn't say that. Strike that.
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2017, 01:28:51 PM
Be careful what you wish for, blooter, or one of these days (perhaps very soon, who knows) you'll see Lycoming manhandle Amherst or Tufts or some other NESCAC team in the tournament. Now, when it comes to Amherst, maybe that would just be a few chickens coming home to roost. ;D
Nah, I didn't say that. Strike that.
I may live in New England, but I have no NESCAC loyalties other than a mother (and some extended family) who attended Bowdoin. ;)
I'm going to predict a Messiah win. If this was being played at Lycoming then I might give them the edge but I don't think they'll be able to press Messiah as effectively at Shoemaker. The big test for this Lycoming program, and what will determine whether they will be a perennial power or not, will be how they perform the next 2-3 years. They will be graduating 7 starting seniors (by my count) after this season. In terms of a deep NCAA run, this may be their best shot for awhile.
What was that pass by the Hopkins back that lead to Dickinson's goal..lol announcer called it a brain fart?..Maybe the laziest pass i have seen all year was picked off and scored but JHU finishes one 2 minutes later to make it 1-1...
Much improved stream from the Centennial Conference..well done...
Quote from: RetiredWarrior on November 02, 2017, 11:27:21 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 02, 2017, 10:34:39 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 02, 2017, 08:05:09 AM
In the end we all get the rematch that everyone has been waiting and hoping for! On Saturday, Messiah will host Lycoming in what will certainly be a hotly contested match. I am interested to see how the Warriors will play on Messiah's grass although they have already won in Grantham in the past, but that has to be advantage to the Falcons. I anticipate another well played game and this will be great preparation for both teams before entering the NCAA tournament.
As I said a few weeks ago, Lycoming has nothing to prove, and this year might be their best team ever--I'll let their fans sort that out if they wish. They certainly have a decent chance to win the automatic bid on Saturday. They beat Messiah twice in 2015, denying the Falcons an NCAA bid for the first time this century. But, both of those games were in Williamsport, and the Falcons were very, very young--it was the youngest Falcon team this century, with (at one point or another) as many as five freshman starters and usually four. Those guys are now juniors, and the seniors on this squad are better than the seniors from 2015. (I'm just doing an eyeball comparison, not dissing the very fine young men from the 2015 class.) Lycoming also won the 2013 AQ in Grantham, against one of the greatest Falcon teams ever (in my opinion, either the second or third greatest). But, that game was a scoreless tie decided 5-4 in PKs, not a victory for Lycoming. So, I can't recall Lycoming ever winning in Grantham. I'm sure someone will provide chapter and verse if I my memory has failed--not that I would be too surprised about that.
I too expect a really good game that will prepare both teams well for the tournament. Messiah will get a high seed unless they lose big, which no one expects. Lycoming is also a lock, and if they win they should also have a high seed. That's very unusual in Commonwealth history, actually, and speaks awfully well for the conference and also for the future of Falcon soccer. It's always good to have dangerous opponents in your conference. We probably all agree on that.
I know I don't do predictions, but this time I will. 2-1 Falcons in regulation.
Hi all, I'm usually just a content bystander to these posts, but I thought I'd add my two cents for this game... This is most certainly one of the best teams that Lycoming has seen in a while, and it has been building for the past 5 years. Let's not forget that 5 years ago Lycoming was picked to finish 9th in the CONFERENCE and now they are considered the main rival within the conference! And while you are right that the semi-final game against Messiah in 2013 wasn't a "W" in the official stats, they did eliminate Messiah from the conference title contention and end a 7-year run (I believe) of conference titles. Counting that as a "W" for the purpose of this post, the head to head since 2013 is Messiah: 4 and Lycoming: 3 wins.
While Lycoming does get a chance to play Messiah every year at least once, I'd be interested to know if there is any team in the country that has come close to that kind of record against the Falcons over that span.
On the semi-final game, I think Mid-Atlantic Fans analysis was pretty much spot on. The Warriors came out flying and didn't take their foot off the pedal even slightly until it was already 4-0 going into half. It reminded me of the game that they played against Leb Val back in 2014 when they beat Leb Val 4-0 in Williamsport. It was an all-around "Lycoming Soccer" game. While a lot of the fans out there don't appreciate the way that Lycoming plays, and I will defer to say that everyone has their own right to that opinion, it is hard to argue with their body of work.
Since Coach Gibboney has taken the reigns in 2013 the Warriors have done this (including this year thus far):
Overall Record: 70-21-13,
4/5 Conference Championship Games, 2 MACC Titles (2013,2015), 2 NCAA appearances (2013,2015), Best NCAA: Sweet 16 (loss to eventual champion-Amherst)
Looking forward to the Championship game... WOW! I can't wait to watch this game. I do give a slight edge considering it is at Messiah, but I don't think it will tip the scales too much. I think this match up might be a foreshadow to a potential Sweet 16/ Elite 8 match-up as well. I see this game going to overtime, and for the sake of the viewers I hope it does! I think it is going to be 2-2 going into overtime... although I don't want to make a prediction past that! Thanks for letting me join in on the convo!
Just a few points of clarification...
#1 – If I were a Lycoming fan I would certainly consider the 2013 conference semi-final PK shootout versus Messiah a "W". But just to be fair, let's recap that season between the two teams.
2013 REGULAR SEASON GAME:
Score:
Messiah 2
Lycoming 1
Shots/Corners:
Messiah 23/7
Lycoming 2/1
2013 CONFERENCE SEMI-FINAL GAME:
Score:
Messiah 0
Lycoming 0 (advanced on PK's)
Shots/Corners:
Messiah 32/12
Lycoming 2/2
2013 NATIONAL TOURNAMENT:
Lycoming lost in the second round to Rutgers-Camden 4-0
Messiah beat Rutgers-Camden in the final to win the 2013 National Championship
#2 - While Lycoming has been building in recent years, let's not forget that they did not make the Conf play-offs at all just last season (i.e. were not a top 5 team in the Conf). That was perplexing given that I think they were returning most if not all of their key players from the prior year. But to be fair, Lycoming did win the Conf outright in 2015 and they are absolutely real contenders this year. But inconsistency makes it a bit difficult to get a really good gauge on the long-term outlook for a team.
#3 The current record of the two teams since 2013 is...
Messiah 5 wins (not 4 as Retired Warrior quoted)
Lycoming 3 wins (including the 2013 PK "W")
Prediction for today's game: Just like it is tough to beat Lycoming on their small home artificial turf field, it is also extremely difficult to beat Messiah on their large home natural grass field. This will be a very hard fought game. While this will be a game of completely contrasting styles, I think the advantage goes to Messiah in this one. As for the actual score of tonight's game – I think it will be relatively low scoring – but I can't begin to predict it. In the end, I think Messiah will prevail. It should be very entertaining. No matter the outcome tonight, the good news for both teams is that they both will make the national tournament based on their accomplishments this year...and that speaks well to strength of the Conference and the region. Congrats to both teams.
You are correct D3soccerwatcher. I intended to include this years result with out actually doing it. In regards to the 2013 stats, you are right, Messiah did dominate Lycoming on the stat sheet. But at the end of the day Lycoming raised a conference banner and Messiah didn't. I already know someone will come back with, but they won the National Championship. And that is true too and I do not disagree with their dominance. It was arguably the best Messiah team of all time, or atleast contained the best class.
My point being, in the playoffs it doesn't matter what the stats are, all that matters is who moves on and who ends their season. Thankfully for the enjoyment of the NCAA tournament both of these teams should still be playing regardless of tonights result. But for both of these teams this has to feel like a late round tournament game.
I already can't wait for the game to start! It is a chance for Lycoming to right the ship after an unfortunate detour last year and show the country that they are legit. And for Messiah this is a real strain on their dominance within the Mid-Atlantic and even within the conference. I think both teams will have a little bit extra in the tank tonight with what is at stake of the legacies of these programs. 56 years Lycoming went with out a conference title and now 2/4 since Gibboney signed on. And for Messiah the 7 year stretch on conference titles was interrupted by Lycoming back in 2013 and they are the only teams to have won since, can Messiah put themselves firmly back in the drivers seat of the league.... oh I am so excited!
Drew up 2-0 at the half. Gotta say, I can see why they're 17-0-1. I would not want to play them. They've got players all over the field. Will provide further analysis later. And by the way, these ETown parents are the worst. They complain about EVERYTHING.
Quote from: RetiredWarrior on November 04, 2017, 11:16:12 AM
You are correct D3soccerwatcher. I intended to include this years result with out actually doing it. In regards to the 2013 stats, you are right, Messiah did dominate Lycoming on the stat sheet. But at the end of the day Lycoming raised a conference banner and Messiah didn't. I already know someone will come back with, but they won the National Championship. And that is true too and I do not disagree with their dominance. It was arguably the best Messiah team of all time, or atleast contained the best class.
My point being, in the playoffs it doesn't matter what the stats are, all that matters is who moves on and who ends their season. Thankfully for the enjoyment of the NCAA tournament both of these teams should still be playing regardless of tonights result. But for both of these teams this has to feel like a late round tournament game.
I already can't wait for the game to start! It is a chance for Lycoming to right the ship after an unfortunate detour last year and show the country that they are legit. And for Messiah this is a real strain on their dominance within the Mid-Atlantic and even within the conference. I think both teams will have a little bit extra in the tank tonight with what is at stake of the legacies of these programs. 56 years Lycoming went with out a conference title and now 2/4 since Gibboney signed on. And for Messiah the 7 year stretch on conference titles was interrupted by Lycoming back in 2013 and they are the only teams to have won since, can Messiah put themselves firmly back in the drivers seat of the league.... oh I am so excited!
A couple early corner kick goals by Lyco and Messiah could not recover. The rain is a mess as the game got later. Messiah pulls one back but too little too late. Ref allowed rather physical play. Some blatant no calls. But we know they commit a ton of fouls..have to play through it. These 2 teams may possibly meet again in NCAA. I'd say this rivalry may stick for a few years...alternating MAC champions last 5 years..
Quote from: rudy on November 04, 2017, 09:43:22 PM
Quote from: RetiredWarrior on November 04, 2017, 11:16:12 AM
You are correct D3soccerwatcher. I intended to include this years result with out actually doing it. In regards to the 2013 stats, you are right, Messiah did dominate Lycoming on the stat sheet. But at the end of the day Lycoming raised a conference banner and Messiah didn't. I already know someone will come back with, but they won the National Championship. And that is true too and I do not disagree with their dominance. It was arguably the best Messiah team of all time, or atleast contained the best class.
My point being, in the playoffs it doesn't matter what the stats are, all that matters is who moves on and who ends their season. Thankfully for the enjoyment of the NCAA tournament both of these teams should still be playing regardless of tonights result. But for both of these teams this has to feel like a late round tournament game.
I already can't wait for the game to start! It is a chance for Lycoming to right the ship after an unfortunate detour last year and show the country that they are legit. And for Messiah this is a real strain on their dominance within the Mid-Atlantic and even within the conference. I think both teams will have a little bit extra in the tank tonight with what is at stake of the legacies of these programs. 56 years Lycoming went with out a conference title and now 2/4 since Gibboney signed on. And for Messiah the 7 year stretch on conference titles was interrupted by Lycoming back in 2013 and they are the only teams to have won since, can Messiah put themselves firmly back in the drivers seat of the league.... oh I am so excited!
A couple early corner kick goals by Lyco and Messiah could not recover. The rain is a mess as the game got later. Messiah pulls one back but too little too late. Ref allowed rather physical play. Some blatant no calls. But we know they commit a ton of fouls..have to play through it. These 2 teams may possibly meet again in NCAA. I'd say this rivalry may stick for a few years...alternating MAC champions last 5 years..
As you say, Rudy, ref allowed physical play. That is a paradigm of understatement. The downpour didn't help, but both teams had to deal with that. IMO the second goal was a direct result of the water--Connor Bell couldn't cleanly get his hands on the ball, it went over the end line, and the Cougars scored on the corner. You have to live with that and credit Lyco for the score.
I knew in the first two minutes that this was going to be a tough night, when the official ignored deliberate fouling twice, right in front of his eyes, and remained consistent in swallowing his whistle all game long. IMO he should have pulled his card seven times, once on Messiah, but he found it just once--or, was there a card for complaining by Lyco somewhere in there during the heaviest downpour when nothing could be seen clearly from the stands? I have seen worse officiating many times, but never before in a game of this significance. It's tough to play against twelve men...
If that sounds like a rant, it is. I will leave it to more objective eyes to gauge it's accuracy. I was really looking forward to a great game (regardless of the score) tonight. Competent officiating might have given us one, despite the rain.
As neither a Messiah nor a Lyco supporter, I have to agree on the ref. He was just plain bad.
Quote from: Falconer on November 04, 2017, 10:03:04 PM
Quote from: rudy on November 04, 2017, 09:43:22 PM
Quote from: RetiredWarrior on November 04, 2017, 11:16:12 AM
You are correct D3soccerwatcher. I intended to include this years result with out actually doing it. In regards to the 2013 stats, you are right, Messiah did dominate Lycoming on the stat sheet. But at the end of the day Lycoming raised a conference banner and Messiah didn't. I already know someone will come back with, but they won the National Championship. And that is true too and I do not disagree with their dominance. It was arguably the best Messiah team of all time, or atleast contained the best class.
My point being, in the playoffs it doesn't matter what the stats are, all that matters is who moves on and who ends their season. Thankfully for the enjoyment of the NCAA tournament both of these teams should still be playing regardless of tonights result. But for both of these teams this has to feel like a late round tournament game.
I already can't wait for the game to start! It is a chance for Lycoming to right the ship after an unfortunate detour last year and show the country that they are legit. And for Messiah this is a real strain on their dominance within the Mid-Atlantic and even within the conference. I think both teams will have a little bit extra in the tank tonight with what is at stake of the legacies of these programs. 56 years Lycoming went with out a conference title and now 2/4 since Gibboney signed on. And for Messiah the 7 year stretch on conference titles was interrupted by Lycoming back in 2013 and they are the only teams to have won since, can Messiah put themselves firmly back in the drivers seat of the league.... oh I am so excited!
A couple early corner kick goals by Lyco and Messiah could not recover. The rain is a mess as the game got later. Messiah pulls one back but too little too late. Ref allowed rather physical play. Some blatant no calls. But we know they commit a ton of fouls..have to play through it. These 2 teams may possibly meet again in NCAA. I'd say this rivalry may stick for a few years...alternating MAC champions last 5 years..
As you say, Rudy, ref allowed physical play. That is a paradigm of understatement. The downpour didn't help, but both teams had to deal with that. IMO the second goal was a direct result of the water--Connor Bell couldn't cleanly get his hands on the ball, it went over the end line, and the Cougars scored on the corner. You have to live with that and credit Lyco for the score.
I knew in the first two minutes that this was going to be a tough night, when the official ignored deliberate fouling twice, right in front of his eyes, and remained consistent in swallowing his whistle all game long. IMO he should have pulled his card seven times, once on Messiah, but he found it just once--or, was there a card for complaining by Lyco somewhere in there during the heaviest downpour when nothing could be seen clearly from the stands? I have seen worse officiating many times, but never before in a game of this significance. It's tough to play against twelve men...
If that sounds like a rant, it is. I will leave it to more objective eyes to gauge it's accuracy. I was really looking forward to a great game (regardless of the score) tonight. Competent officiating might have given us one, despite the rain.
I couldn't agree more about the officiating, especially the first 20 minutes. I know that sounds like sour grapes, but it was pretty blatant.
But that said, Lyco played a very strong game and pressed Messiah very effectively. After the second goal, I thought they sat back just a little bit and Messiah started possessing more, but most of that possession was in the mid-field. They had trouble getting any dangerous looks. And of course, the rain didn't help at all, but I don't think it affected Lycoming's style of play as much.
Falconer,
I'd love to see a replay of that second goal. To my eyes, it went in untouched, banging in off of the back post. Which brings up another point. Both Lycoming goals were off of set plays and those have given Messiah trouble all year.
Really looking forward to see where both teams are placed in the bracket. I'm thinking that Lycoming will have a good chance to host the opening weekend.
Quote from: Falconer on November 04, 2017, 10:03:04 PM
Quote from: rudy on November 04, 2017, 09:43:22 PM
Quote from: RetiredWarrior on November 04, 2017, 11:16:12 AM
You are correct D3soccerwatcher. I intended to include this years result with out actually doing it. In regards to the 2013 stats, you are right, Messiah did dominate Lycoming on the stat sheet. But at the end of the day Lycoming raised a conference banner and Messiah didn't. I already know someone will come back with, but they won the National Championship. And that is true too and I do not disagree with their dominance. It was arguably the best Messiah team of all time, or atleast contained the best class.
My point being, in the playoffs it doesn't matter what the stats are, all that matters is who moves on and who ends their season. Thankfully for the enjoyment of the NCAA tournament both of these teams should still be playing regardless of tonights result. But for both of these teams this has to feel like a late round tournament game.
I already can't wait for the game to start! It is a chance for Lycoming to right the ship after an unfortunate detour last year and show the country that they are legit. And for Messiah this is a real strain on their dominance within the Mid-Atlantic and even within the conference. I think both teams will have a little bit extra in the tank tonight with what is at stake of the legacies of these programs. 56 years Lycoming went with out a conference title and now 2/4 since Gibboney signed on. And for Messiah the 7 year stretch on conference titles was interrupted by Lycoming back in 2013 and they are the only teams to have won since, can Messiah put themselves firmly back in the drivers seat of the league.... oh I am so excited!
A couple early corner kick goals by Lyco and Messiah could not recover. The rain is a mess as the game got later. Messiah pulls one back but too little too late. Ref allowed rather physical play. Some blatant no calls. But we know they commit a ton of fouls..have to play through it. These 2 teams may possibly meet again in NCAA. I'd say this rivalry may stick for a few years...alternating MAC champions last 5 years..
As you say, Rudy, ref allowed physical play. That is a paradigm of understatement. The downpour didn't help, but both teams had to deal with that. IMO the second goal was a direct result of the water--Connor Bell couldn't cleanly get his hands on the ball, it went over the end line, and the Cougars scored on the corner. You have to live with that and credit Lyco for the score.
I knew in the first two minutes that this was going to be a tough night, when the official ignored deliberate fouling twice, right in front of his eyes, and remained consistent in swallowing his whistle all game long. IMO he should have pulled his card seven times, once on Messiah, but he found it just once--or, was there a card for complaining by Lyco somewhere in there during the heaviest downpour when nothing could be seen clearly from the stands? I have seen worse officiating many times, but never before in a game of this significance. It's tough to play against twelve men...
If that sounds like a rant, it is. I will leave it to more objective eyes to gauge it's accuracy. I was really looking forward to a great game (regardless of the score) tonight. Competent officiating might have given us one, despite the rain.
Seemed like they were targeting Colby early ... knocking him down every way they could think of. Shirt torn to pieces. I would have lost my cool if I were Colby. I give him.credit for not retaliating with a well placed elbow. Ref could have thrown 4-5 yellows on fouls against Colby alone! As you say..I think in a tournament game Lyco may have been playing one or two men down by the end. Have to call blatant shoves in the back. They called 16 fouls on Lyco but it could have been 30.
Made the 45 minute drive to Madison to watch Drew vs. E-Town in the Landmark Championship. I've seen them a few times via stream and wasn't super impressed, but seeing them in person today I get the feeling they are legit. At 19-0-1, they are certainly capable of making a very deep run in the tournament. Yes I know their SOS isn't as impressive as others, but until someone demonstrates they can beat Drew, they are an elite 8, if not final 4, contender in my eyes.
While the stats may indicate today was a fairly close game, honestly there was never a doubt that Drew was going to win. Obviously they benefited from playing an only slightly-above-average E-Town team, but they have some serious talent. What's scary is they are loaded with underclassman having started only 2 seniors!
Forwards: Imoh and Cserhat, both sophomores, are extremely dangerous. Cserhat has an incredibly soft touch for someone that's 6'5. He's not just a big body, but has skill and finesse. Simply put, he's hard to defend. He scored two today to bring his season total to 20. Imoh showed today why we was conference ROY last season and a Regional All-American. He had two assists to bring his season numbers to 10g, 9a. At 6'2, 200lbs, he's a beast who you cannot knock off the ball. Although not overly speedy, he's still deceptively fast and has very good foot skills. He's as good, if not better, than Wasso from E-Town. My only knock on Cserhat and Imoh is they are both lazy on D, don't track back, and are content to take their time getting back onside, thereby negating Drew's ability to play quickly forward after a MF turnover.
Midfielder: Martinez pulls the strings. He too is a big body at 6'2, 195. He plays as a holding MF, rarely taking more than 2 touches. He has great vision and is capable of making a crisp 40 yard pass. Defensively he keeps it simple, tackling when necessary but usually just clogging the passing/dribbling lanes. Audi, Kwak and Correra were extremely effective and have good motors - definitely the workhorses on the team.
Defense: 3 in the back. The elder Cserhat, at 6'3 is a fine CB. Thought he took some unnecessary chances, but overall was pretty solid. Rodriguez at 6'1, 195 uses his size to his advantage and didn't really get beat. Goncalves is smaller but obviously quicker. Both he and Rodriguez play simple and smart - rarely taking chances and are happy to play through Martinez or up top to Imoh and Cserhat.
Keeper: Adamo wasn't really tested so it's hard to say what he's got. Listed at 5'9" so that can certainly be a challenge.
Subs: Drew went about 6 deep with any significant playing time - again mostly fresh/soph. In fact, their starting unit in the second half featured 4-5 bench players and they scored within the first 45 seconds.
Drew was incredibly impressive in the first half, less so in the second, but that could be because they were up 3-0 and had the bench getting a lot of minutes. In my opinion, this is not a team you want to play. They have the size to play physically, and the skill to play pretty. Imoh/Cserhat have to be one of the best 1-2 forward combinations in the country and either of them can beat you so you can't just focus on shutting down one of them. I'd love to see a better work rate from them but maybe that's just me.
Now don't get me wrong, they are beatable, but I don't see it being 0-1. I can see losing 2-3 in OT, or perhaps PK's, but they will certainly be an interesting team to follow through the tournament.
Same post as I have in the National Thread.
Ah Selection Monday is upon us! Maybe the only good Monday of the year ;D
Now that tensions have died down and I was able to digest the gravity of the game let me add my opinion on to what we witnessed Saturday night in Grantham. Unbelievable game by two of the very best in the nation. That was as good as any Division 1 soccer game I have watched this year. The Warriors came out flying with intensity that Messiah could not match and it showed with 2 goals in less than 20 minutes. The stat line favored the Warriors through the first 25 minutes, out-shooting Messiah 8-2 and gaining 2-0 advantage on the scoreboard! When was the last time that happened to a Messiah team let alone on their home surface. For the last 15 minutes Messiah finally started to settle in but this may be because of the mass subbing that the Warriors were able to do towards the end of the half. Once again Lycoming's depth was a big advantage over Messiah's small bench.
Onto the second half! Messiah came out gunning as expected and started to push for that first and pivotal goal, but Lycoming answered every charge they threw at them. The 2 CB's for Lycoming were incredible and I don't know if I have seen a duo that good in the back this year. The first time around they were clearly solid players and defenders but they stood out to me during this game. With that being said, the GK for Lycoming also made some crucial saves in the second half after not being challenged once in the first half. I recall him making multiple diving saves as the pressure mounted and he gobbled up everything that came his way. In the 88th minute the Falcons finally got on the board and gave us all an exciting final 2 minutes of the game, but Lycoming closed it out and stood victorious while earning the AQ.
WHAT A GAME!!!!
I see many different posts about the officiating and weather. Keep in mind both teams had to play in the same conditions with the same officials. I actually thought the official did a nice job in the sense that he was consistent. Someone in this thread earlier stated that if he or she calls X a foul and not Y in the first 15 minutes then you know how the game is going to be called and have to adapt to that. Messiah did not adapt well to that style of officiating, which was letting the teams play. I thought he did a good job with keeping the flow of the game going which should have actually benefited the Falcons offense. As for the rain it clearly affected Messiah and not in a good way. But they were not the only team playing on a slick muddy surface so it's hard to blame anything on the rain.
Why did Messiah not throw numbers forward more towards the end of the game? I am sure they were concerned with Lycoming's ability to counter but they were down 2 goals!!! At that point, in my opinion, it's all or nothing. I was disappointed to see Messiah's lack of urgency down the stretch to get back in this game. Or was it Lycoming's ability to shut down the Messiah offense that it just seems like they weren't urgent enough? Regardless, the goal in the final 2 minutes was simply a consolation. All in all Lycoming out played Messiah for 90 minutes and thoroughly earned this victory. I thought it was a magnificent match that had a little bit of everything for the spectators. I would have to say this was the best game I have watched so far this season. And lastly, I feel that both of these teams have the chance to go far in the NCAA tournament. For the sake of the region, I hope one of them wins it all! :)
Ah, D3 soccer, where your starting, record-breaking goalie misses the first half due to a job interview.* I only caught the end of OT of the Hopkins - Dickinson game, but according to a Facebook post, See (Hopkins senior goalie) couldn't make the start and they had to put a Freshman in the net. Gave up a soft goal. See played out the rest of the game.
That said, Dickinson seemed to be playing very well at the end and Hopkins mustered little (again, just talking about the very end.)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 06, 2017, 08:25:34 AM
Same post as I have in the National Thread.
Ah Selection Monday is upon us! Maybe the only good Monday of the year ;D
Now that tensions have died down and I was able to digest the gravity of the game let me add my opinion on to what we witnessed Saturday night in Grantham. Unbelievable game by two of the very best in the nation. That was as good as any Division 1 soccer game I have watched this year. The Warriors came out flying with intensity that Messiah could not match and it showed with 2 goals in less than 20 minutes. The stat line favored the Warriors through the first 25 minutes, out-shooting Messiah 8-2 and gaining 2-0 advantage on the scoreboard! When was the last time that happened to a Messiah team let alone on their home surface. For the last 15 minutes Messiah finally started to settle in but this may be because of the mass subbing that the Warriors were able to do towards the end of the half. Once again Lycoming's depth was a big advantage over Messiah's small bench.
Onto the second half! Messiah came out gunning as expected and started to push for that first and pivotal goal, but Lycoming answered every charge they threw at them. The 2 CB's for Lycoming were incredible and I don't know if I have seen a duo that good in the back this year. The first time around they were clearly solid players and defenders but they stood out to me during this game. With that being said, the GK for Lycoming also made some crucial saves in the second half after not being challenged once in the first half. I recall him making multiple diving saves as the pressure mounted and he gobbled up everything that came his way. In the 88th minute the Falcons finally got on the board and gave us all an exciting final 2 minutes of the game, but Lycoming closed it out and stood victorious while earning the AQ.
WHAT A GAME!!!!
I see many different posts about the officiating and weather. Keep in mind both teams had to play in the same conditions with the same officials. I actually thought the official did a nice job in the sense that he was consistent. Someone in this thread earlier stated that if he or she calls X a foul and not Y in the first 15 minutes then you know how the game is going to be called and have to adapt to that. Messiah did not adapt well to that style of officiating, which was letting the teams play. I thought he did a good job with keeping the flow of the game going which should have actually benefited the Falcons offense. As for the rain it clearly affected Messiah and not in a good way. But they were not the only team playing on a slick muddy surface so it's hard to blame anything on the rain.
Why did Messiah not throw numbers forward more towards the end of the game? I am sure they were concerned with Lycoming's ability to counter but they were down 2 goals!!! At that point, in my opinion, it's all or nothing. I was disappointed to see Messiah's lack of urgency down the stretch to get back in this game. Or was it Lycoming's ability to shut down the Messiah offense that it just seems like they weren't urgent enough? Regardless, the goal in the final 2 minutes was simply a consolation. All in all Lycoming out played Messiah for 90 minutes and thoroughly earned this victory. I thought it was a magnificent match that had a little bit of everything for the spectators. I would have to say this was the best game I have watched so far this season. And lastly, I feel that both of these teams have the chance to go far in the NCAA tournament. For the sake of the region, I hope one of them wins it all! :)
This is actually pretty spot on MAF. Nice summary. I would love to see another game between these two in the Final 4! What a treat that would be. Both teams are of the highest quality this season. We will see how the bracket shapes up for their chances to make a deep run in the tournament.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2017, 09:36:10 AM
Ah, D3 soccer, where your starting, record-breaking goalie misses the first half due to a job interview.* I only caught the end of OT of the Hopkins - Dickinson game, but according to a Facebook post, See (Hopkins senior goalie) couldn't make the start and they had to put a Freshman in the net. Gave up a soft goal. See played out the rest of the game.
That said, Dickinson seemed to be playing very well at the end and Hopkins mustered little (again, just talking about the very end.)
WOW!
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 06, 2017, 08:25:34 AM
Same post as I have in the National Thread.
Ah Selection Monday is upon us! Maybe the only good Monday of the year ;D
Now that tensions have died down and I was able to digest the gravity of the game let me add my opinion on to what we witnessed Saturday night in Grantham. Unbelievable game by two of the very best in the nation. That was as good as any Division 1 soccer game I have watched this year. The Warriors came out flying with intensity that Messiah could not match and it showed with 2 goals in less than 20 minutes. The stat line favored the Warriors through the first 25 minutes, out-shooting Messiah 8-2 and gaining 2-0 advantage on the scoreboard! When was the last time that happened to a Messiah team let alone on their home surface. For the last 15 minutes Messiah finally started to settle in but this may be because of the mass subbing that the Warriors were able to do towards the end of the half. Once again Lycoming's depth was a big advantage over Messiah's small bench.
Onto the second half! Messiah came out gunning as expected and started to push for that first and pivotal goal, but Lycoming answered every charge they threw at them. The 2 CB's for Lycoming were incredible and I don't know if I have seen a duo that good in the back this year. The first time around they were clearly solid players and defenders but they stood out to me during this game. With that being said, the GK for Lycoming also made some crucial saves in the second half after not being challenged once in the first half. I recall him making multiple diving saves as the pressure mounted and he gobbled up everything that came his way. In the 88th minute the Falcons finally got on the board and gave us all an exciting final 2 minutes of the game, but Lycoming closed it out and stood victorious while earning the AQ.
WHAT A GAME!!!!
I see many different posts about the officiating and weather. Keep in mind both teams had to play in the same conditions with the same officials. I actually thought the official did a nice job in the sense that he was consistent. Someone in this thread earlier stated that if he or she calls X a foul and not Y in the first 15 minutes then you know how the game is going to be called and have to adapt to that. Messiah did not adapt well to that style of officiating, which was letting the teams play. I thought he did a good job with keeping the flow of the game going which should have actually benefited the Falcons offense. As for the rain it clearly affected Messiah and not in a good way. But they were not the only team playing on a slick muddy surface so it's hard to blame anything on the rain.
Why did Messiah not throw numbers forward more towards the end of the game? I am sure they were concerned with Lycoming's ability to counter but they were down 2 goals!!! At that point, in my opinion, it's all or nothing. I was disappointed to see Messiah's lack of urgency down the stretch to get back in this game. Or was it Lycoming's ability to shut down the Messiah offense that it just seems like they weren't urgent enough? Regardless, the goal in the final 2 minutes was simply a consolation. All in all Lycoming out played Messiah for 90 minutes and thoroughly earned this victory. I thought it was a magnificent match that had a little bit of everything for the spectators. I would have to say this was the best game I have watched so far this season. And lastly, I feel that both of these teams have the chance to go far in the NCAA tournament. For the sake of the region, I hope one of them wins it all! :)
"All in all Lycoming out played Messiah for 90 minutes"
Don't agree with this..but everyone is entitled to their opinion! Certainly 2 corner kick goals in first 20 minutes put Messiah in a difficult hole. Lyco outplayed Messiah in first half. First goal was a terrific header from Tueno. He was the difference maker in this game on both sides of the field. Messiah hopefully will do better putting a body on players on corners in the tournament. Second goal I could not really see what happened. Well taken corner but did not see how the ball got in the net.
Second half Messiah outplayed Lyco..even stats show that (12 shots to 2 in 2nd half in favor of Messiah). Messiah did make adjustments coming out for second half. Of course Lyco adjusted their style up 2 goals but I don't think that was the only reason Messiah had many more shots and better control of possession. The puddles on the field though were certainly not helping.
Players/coaches on both sides getting to know each other with this rivalry and I think it's great to have a rivalry like this. It makes games so much more interesting and exciting. Look forward to potential re-match in the tournament.
Unfortunately I have no idea how to quote someone and am too old and lazy to figure it out but Dave B's thought that Lycoming would host seems very unlikely to me because of the size of their field and the lack of seating for fans. We shall see and it is a shame because I think they have earned it. Perhaps, the success of the men's team will lead to some improvements in their soccer facilities.
Quote from: 2xfaux on November 06, 2017, 10:58:40 AM
Unfortunately I have no idea how to quote someone and am too old and lazy to figure it out but Dave B's thought that Lycoming would host seems very unlikely to me because of the size of their field and the lack of seating for fans. We shall see and it is a shame because I think they have earned it. Perhaps, the success of the men's team will lead to some improvements in their soccer facilities.
FYI- there is a Quote button on the upper right of each post.
Lycoming hosted in 2015, so there is precedent, even though you are right about their need to upgrade their facilities. However, they are very "land-locked" at the present time.
Quote from: rudy on November 06, 2017, 10:35:12 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 06, 2017, 08:25:34 AM
Same post as I have in the National Thread.
Ah Selection Monday is upon us! Maybe the only good Monday of the year ;D
Now that tensions have died down and I was able to digest the gravity of the game let me add my opinion on to what we witnessed Saturday night in Grantham. Unbelievable game by two of the very best in the nation. That was as good as any Division 1 soccer game I have watched this year. The Warriors came out flying with intensity that Messiah could not match and it showed with 2 goals in less than 20 minutes. The stat line favored the Warriors through the first 25 minutes, out-shooting Messiah 8-2 and gaining 2-0 advantage on the scoreboard! When was the last time that happened to a Messiah team let alone on their home surface. For the last 15 minutes Messiah finally started to settle in but this may be because of the mass subbing that the Warriors were able to do towards the end of the half. Once again Lycoming's depth was a big advantage over Messiah's small bench.
Onto the second half! Messiah came out gunning as expected and started to push for that first and pivotal goal, but Lycoming answered every charge they threw at them. The 2 CB's for Lycoming were incredible and I don't know if I have seen a duo that good in the back this year. The first time around they were clearly solid players and defenders but they stood out to me during this game. With that being said, the GK for Lycoming also made some crucial saves in the second half after not being challenged once in the first half. I recall him making multiple diving saves as the pressure mounted and he gobbled up everything that came his way. In the 88th minute the Falcons finally got on the board and gave us all an exciting final 2 minutes of the game, but Lycoming closed it out and stood victorious while earning the AQ.
WHAT A GAME!!!!
I see many different posts about the officiating and weather. Keep in mind both teams had to play in the same conditions with the same officials. I actually thought the official did a nice job in the sense that he was consistent. Someone in this thread earlier stated that if he or she calls X a foul and not Y in the first 15 minutes then you know how the game is going to be called and have to adapt to that. Messiah did not adapt well to that style of officiating, which was letting the teams play. I thought he did a good job with keeping the flow of the game going which should have actually benefited the Falcons offense. As for the rain it clearly affected Messiah and not in a good way. But they were not the only team playing on a slick muddy surface so it's hard to blame anything on the rain.
Why did Messiah not throw numbers forward more towards the end of the game? I am sure they were concerned with Lycoming's ability to counter but they were down 2 goals!!! At that point, in my opinion, it's all or nothing. I was disappointed to see Messiah's lack of urgency down the stretch to get back in this game. Or was it Lycoming's ability to shut down the Messiah offense that it just seems like they weren't urgent enough? Regardless, the goal in the final 2 minutes was simply a consolation. All in all Lycoming out played Messiah for 90 minutes and thoroughly earned this victory. I thought it was a magnificent match that had a little bit of everything for the spectators. I would have to say this was the best game I have watched so far this season. And lastly, I feel that both of these teams have the chance to go far in the NCAA tournament. For the sake of the region, I hope one of them wins it all! :)
"All in all Lycoming out played Messiah for 90 minutes"
Don't agree with this..but everyone is entitled to their opinion! Certainly 2 corner kick goals in first 20 minutes put Messiah in a difficult hole. Lyco outplayed Messiah in first half. First goal was a terrific header from Tueno. He was the difference maker in this game on both sides of the field. Messiah hopefully will do better putting a body on players on corners in the tournament. Second goal I could not really see what happened. Well taken corner but did not see how the ball got in the net.
Second half Messiah outplayed Lyco..even stats show that (12 shots to 2 in 2nd half in favor of Messiah). Messiah did make adjustments coming out for second half. Of course Lyco adjusted their style up 2 goals but I don't think that was the only reason Messiah had many more shots and better control of possession. The puddles on the field though were certainly not helping.
Players/coaches on both sides getting to know each other with this rivalry and I think it's great to have a rivalry like this. It makes games so much more interesting and exciting. Look forward to potential re-match in the tournament.
That second corner actually went in untouched (or marginally touched). I thought it curled in (off of the back post) on the fly, but Messiah's recap says that the ball skipped under Bell's save attempt before hitting the back post. Either way, it isn't something you see very often and is one that shouldn't have gone in the way it did.
I had said earlier that Messiah has had trouble defending set pieces this year. What I didn't say is the Lycoming is very good (offensively) on their set pieces. CB Sainclair Tueno, who scored on the first corner, is Lycoming's leading scorer. How often do you see that?
Quote from: Dave B on November 06, 2017, 11:44:57 AM
I had said earlier that Messiah has had trouble defending set pieces this year. What I didn't say is the Lycoming is very good (offensively) on their set pieces. CB Sainclair Tueno, who scored on the first corner, is Lycoming's leading scorer. How often do you see that?
Not very often, but as John Madden would say, it often means that the CB is very good. 2015 D3soccer.com DPOY Tom Carwile of Trinity led his team in goals IIRC, although I do remember that he took PKs for the Tigers.
Quote from: Dave B on November 06, 2017, 11:11:49 AM
Quote from: 2xfaux on November 06, 2017, 10:58:40 AM
Unfortunately I have no idea how to quote someone and am too old and lazy to figure it out but Dave B's thought that Lycoming would host seems very unlikely to me because of the size of their field and the lack of seating for fans. We shall see and it is a shame because I think they have earned it. Perhaps, the success of the men's team will lead to some improvements in their soccer facilities.
FYI- there is a Quote button on the upper right of each post.
Lycoming hosted in 2015, so there is precedent, even though you are right about their need to upgrade their facilities. However, they are very "land-locked" at the present time.
Who knew? Thanks.
Quote from: 2xfaux on November 06, 2017, 12:06:51 PM
Quote from: Dave B on November 06, 2017, 11:11:49 AM
Quote from: 2xfaux on November 06, 2017, 10:58:40 AM
Unfortunately I have no idea how to quote someone and am too old and lazy to figure it out but Dave B's thought that Lycoming would host seems very unlikely to me because of the size of their field and the lack of seating for fans. We shall see and it is a shame because I think they have earned it. Perhaps, the success of the men's team will lead to some improvements in their soccer facilities.
FYI- there is a Quote button on the upper right of each post.
Lycoming hosted in 2015, so there is precedent, even though you are right about their need to upgrade their facilities. However, they are very "land-locked" at the present time.
Who knew? Thanks.
Like everyone said, they hosted in 2015. And it was a very good atmosphere and well run host site, IMO, given the restrictions. My insight into the facilities is on par with Dave B. The field is surrounded by single family homes, and they haven't even been able to put up lights on the football field, much less the soccer field because of the resistance from the community. It is actually very sad, because it should be a school that continues develop an amazing soccer culture, new facilities would only speed up that process IMO.
On a side note, I'm interested in everyone's thoughts on the top 10 as of now. We should have more clarity here in a few minutes, but the results from the weekend seem like there could be a bit more shifting than normal at this time of year.
Quote from: RetiredWarrior on November 06, 2017, 01:30:11 PM
Quote from: 2xfaux on November 06, 2017, 12:06:51 PM
Quote from: Dave B on November 06, 2017, 11:11:49 AM
Quote from: 2xfaux on November 06, 2017, 10:58:40 AM
Unfortunately I have no idea how to quote someone and am too old and lazy to figure it out but Dave B's thought that Lycoming would host seems very unlikely to me because of the size of their field and the lack of seating for fans. We shall see and it is a shame because I think they have earned it. Perhaps, the success of the men's team will lead to some improvements in their soccer facilities.
FYI- there is a Quote button on the upper right of each post.
Lycoming hosted in 2015, so there is precedent, even though you are right about their need to upgrade their facilities. However, they are very "land-locked" at the present time.
Who knew? Thanks.
Like everyone said, they hosted in 2015. And it was a very good atmosphere and well run host site, IMO, given the restrictions. My insight into the facilities is on par with Dave B. The field is surrounded by single family homes, and they haven't even been able to put up lights on the football field, much less the soccer field because of the resistance from the community. It is actually very sad, because it should be a school that continues develop an amazing soccer culture, new facilities would only speed up that process IMO.
On a side note, I'm interested in everyone's thoughts on the top 10 as of now. We should have more clarity here in a few minutes, but the results from the weekend seem like there could be a bit more shifting than normal at this time of year.
Lycoming again gets to host. Matchup looms with Drew if they both win their first game.
9 teams will be representing the region this year.
First Round Match-ups
Lynchburg vs PSU-Abington
Dickinson vs Emory
Rowan vs Cabrini
Hopkins vs DeSales
Lycoming vs Lehman
F&M vs Drew
Messiah vs Castleton
I expect Abington and Cabrini to bow out in the first rounds as well as DeSales although I think they will give Hopkins a little bit more of a push than Abington and Cabrini will give Lynchburg and Rowan. Hopkins, Lycoming, and Messiah should all advance out of the first round with relative ease, but it is the NCAA tournament and anything can happen. This leaves a couple toss-ups between Dickinson/Emory and F&M/Drew. I anticipate both of these games to be highly contested and entertaining games to watch. Keep in mind that F&M made an Elite 8 run last year before getting ousted by Calvin. A slow start to the season for them after losing their All-American forward, but they have recovered nicely and been hot going into the tournament. They get matched with Drew who may be the hottest team in the country right now and are boasting an undefeated record, 1 of only 3 remaining unbeaten teams. As for Dickinson and Emory we might as well flip a coin. But I will be a little bias here and favor the red Devils in a 2-1 OT win.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 07, 2017, 08:31:24 AM
9 teams will be representing the region this year.
First Round Match-ups
Lynchburg vs PSU-Abington
Dickinson vs Emory
Rowan vs Cabrini
Hopkins vs DeSales
Lycoming vs Lehman
F&M vs Drew
Messiah vs Castleton
I expect Abington and Cabrini to bow out in the first rounds as well as DeSales although I think they will give Hopkins a little bit more of a push than Abington and Cabrini will give Lynchburg and Rowan. Hopkins, Lycoming, and Messiah should all advance out of the first round with relative ease, but it is the NCAA tournament and anything can happen. This leaves a couple toss-ups between Dickinson/Emory and F&M/Drew. I anticipate both of these games to be highly contested and entertaining games to watch. Keep in mind that F&M made an Elite 8 run last year before getting ousted by Calvin. A slow start to the season for them after losing their All-American forward, but they have recovered nicely and been hot going into the tournament. They get matched with Drew who may be the hottest team in the country right now and are boasting an undefeated record, 1 of only 3 remaining unbeaten teams. As for Dickinson and Emory we might as well flip a coin. But I will be a little bias here and favor the red Devils in a 2-1 OT win.
Hopkins will get bounced in the first round. DeSales will get a fluke goal and pack it in and survive 1-0. They will get out-shot 24-5 and 9-2 SOG and pull the massive upset.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 07, 2017, 08:31:24 AM
9 teams will be representing the region this year.
First Round Match-ups
Lynchburg vs PSU-Abington
Dickinson vs Emory
Rowan vs Cabrini
Hopkins vs DeSales
Lycoming vs Lehman
F&M vs Drew
Messiah vs Castleton
I expect Abington and Cabrini to bow out in the first rounds as well as DeSales although I think they will give Hopkins a little bit more of a push than Abington and Cabrini will give Lynchburg and Rowan. Hopkins, Lycoming, and Messiah should all advance out of the first round with relative ease, but it is the NCAA tournament and anything can happen. This leaves a couple toss-ups between Dickinson/Emory and F&M/Drew. I anticipate both of these games to be highly contested and entertaining games to watch. Keep in mind that F&M made an Elite 8 run last year before getting ousted by Calvin. A slow start to the season for them after losing their All-American forward, but they have recovered nicely and been hot going into the tournament. They get matched with Drew who may be the hottest team in the country right now and are boasting an undefeated record, 1 of only 3 remaining unbeaten teams. As for Dickinson and Emory we might as well flip a coin. But I will be a little bias here and favor the red Devils in a 2-1 OT win.
Good summary MAF of the region teams/matchups!
That F&M/Drew game is definitely a tough first round draw for both teams. As you say..F&M started slow but have really come together and managed to win their conference. They will give Drew all they can handle for sure. Lyco is in a tough quadrant after they get by the first game. PLaying either Drew or F&M and then if they manage to win that game they have likely RUN/Bowdoin/Brandeis waiting for them. They will definitely have to earn their way to the Elite 8 and things don't get any easier then! Hopkins has an even tougher road maybe..with Rowan likely second game and then Tufts waiting (should be a lock with a first round by and then a game they should win). Messiah has a much easier first 2 games than either..but it is the tournament and anything can happen.
Should be interesting..
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 06, 2017 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 18-2-0 | 0.608 | 7-2-0 | 18-2-0 | 1 |
2. | Lycoming | 18-2-0 | 0.572 | 5-1-0 | 18-2-0 | 2 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 14-1-3 | 0.553 | 4-1-2 | 14-1-3 | 3 |
4. | Franklin and Marshall | 11-5-2 | 0.607 | 4-5-2 | 11-5-2 | 8 |
5. | Dickinson | 11-6-3 | 0.604 | 4-6-1 | 11-6-3 | 5 |
6. | Drew | 19-0-1 | 0.522 | 3-0-0 | 19-0-1 | 6 |
7. | Gettysburg | 13-5-0 | 0.547 | 2-4-0 | 13-5-0 | 4 |
8. | Haverford | 10-5-3 | 0.595 | 4-5-0 | 10-5-3 | 7 |
9. | Lebanon Valley | 11-5-1 | 0.547 | 1-3-0 | 11-5-1 | 9 |
10. | Elizabethtown | 10-7-2 | 0.583 | 1-4-0 | 10-7-2 | 10 |
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 07, 2017, 08:31:24 AM
9 teams will be representing the region this year.
First Round Match-ups
Lynchburg vs PSU-Abington
Dickinson vs Emory
Rowan vs Cabrini
Hopkins vs DeSales
Lycoming vs Lehman
F&M vs Drew
Messiah vs Castleton
I expect Abington and Cabrini to bow out in the first rounds as well as DeSales although I think they will give Hopkins a little bit more of a push than Abington and Cabrini will give Lynchburg and Rowan. Hopkins, Lycoming, and Messiah should all advance out of the first round with relative ease, but it is the NCAA tournament and anything can happen. This leaves a couple toss-ups between Dickinson/Emory and F&M/Drew. I anticipate both of these games to be highly contested and entertaining games to watch. Keep in mind that F&M made an Elite 8 run last year before getting ousted by Calvin. A slow start to the season for them after losing their All-American forward, but they have recovered nicely and been hot going into the tournament. They get matched with Drew who may be the hottest team in the country right now and are boasting an undefeated record, 1 of only 3 remaining unbeaten teams. As for Dickinson and Emory we might as well flip a coin. But I will be a little bias here and favor the red Devils in a 2-1 OT win.
Quoting myself here but who do we think has the best chance at making a deep run?
Based on the bracket I'd rank them like this:
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Dickinson
4. Hopkins
T5. F&M
T5. Drew
6. DeSales
7. PSU-Abington
8. Cabrini
2 out of those 3 will be out after the second round. Drew/F&M/Lycoming.......only 1 will make it through round 2
Quote from: franklyspeaking on November 09, 2017, 11:02:32 AM
2 out of those 3 will be out after the second round. Drew/F&M/Lycoming.......only 1 will make it through round 2
frankly - You are correct. And of these three teams, I have Drew advancing to sectionals on my bracket (although I do think F&M is playing well right now - they haven't lost a game in over a month).
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 09, 2017, 09:13:38 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 07, 2017, 08:31:24 AM
9 teams will be representing the region this year.
First Round Match-ups
Lynchburg vs PSU-Abington
Dickinson vs Emory
Rowan vs Cabrini
Hopkins vs DeSales
Lycoming vs Lehman
F&M vs Drew
Messiah vs Castleton
I expect Abington and Cabrini to bow out in the first rounds as well as DeSales although I think they will give Hopkins a little bit more of a push than Abington and Cabrini will give Lynchburg and Rowan. Hopkins, Lycoming, and Messiah should all advance out of the first round with relative ease, but it is the NCAA tournament and anything can happen. This leaves a couple toss-ups between Dickinson/Emory and F&M/Drew. I anticipate both of these games to be highly contested and entertaining games to watch. Keep in mind that F&M made an Elite 8 run last year before getting ousted by Calvin. A slow start to the season for them after losing their All-American forward, but they have recovered nicely and been hot going into the tournament. They get matched with Drew who may be the hottest team in the country right now and are boasting an undefeated record, 1 of only 3 remaining unbeaten teams. As for Dickinson and Emory we might as well flip a coin. But I will be a little bias here and favor the red Devils in a 2-1 OT win.
Quoting myself here but who do we think has the best chance at making a deep run?
Based on the bracket I'd rank them like this:
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Dickinson
4. Hopkins
T5. F&M
T5. Drew
6. DeSales
7. PSU-Abington
8. Cabrini
Of these nine teams, here's how I see deep run potential...
1. Messiah
2. Drew
3. Hopkins
3. F&M
5. Lycoming
6. Dickinson
7. DeSales
8. Cabrini
9. PSU - Abington
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 09, 2017, 09:13:38 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 07, 2017, 08:31:24 AM
9 teams will be representing the region this year.
First Round Match-ups
Lynchburg vs PSU-Abington
Dickinson vs Emory
Rowan vs Cabrini
Hopkins vs DeSales
Lycoming vs Lehman
F&M vs Drew
Messiah vs Castleton
I expect Abington and Cabrini to bow out in the first rounds as well as DeSales although I think they will give Hopkins a little bit more of a push than Abington and Cabrini will give Lynchburg and Rowan. Hopkins, Lycoming, and Messiah should all advance out of the first round with relative ease, but it is the NCAA tournament and anything can happen. This leaves a couple toss-ups between Dickinson/Emory and F&M/Drew. I anticipate both of these games to be highly contested and entertaining games to watch. Keep in mind that F&M made an Elite 8 run last year before getting ousted by Calvin. A slow start to the season for them after losing their All-American forward, but they have recovered nicely and been hot going into the tournament. They get matched with Drew who may be the hottest team in the country right now and are boasting an undefeated record, 1 of only 3 remaining unbeaten teams. As for Dickinson and Emory we might as well flip a coin. But I will be a little bias here and favor the red Devils in a 2-1 OT win.
Quoting myself here but who do we think has the best chance at making a deep run?
Based on the bracket I'd rank them like this:
1. Messiah
2. Lycoming
3. Dickinson
4. Hopkins
T5. F&M
T5. Drew
6. DeSales
7. PSU-Abington
8. Cabrini
Drew outlasts F&M 3-2. Lyco takes care of business 2-0.
Cabrini knocks off #17 Rowan 1-0 in OT!
WOW! Congrats Cavs!!
Up next DeSales or Hopkins.
Quote from: mailsy on November 11, 2017, 07:14:23 PM
Cabrini knocks off #17 Rowan 1-0 in OT!
WOW! Congrats Cavs!!
Up next DeSales or Hopkins.
I wonder what that game looked like. 42 shots to 2 and Rowan lost 1-0. OUCH. Doubt Cabrini can pull off another one like that but great to see the underdog find a way to win.
Pretty crazy that Messiah only scored once against Castleton despite bossing shots 25-3. Castleton keeper with 13 saves. Anyone at the game? (I'd imagine the answer is yes.) I have seen those types of games before but am curious to hear from someone who actually saw it.
Quote from: blooter442 on November 11, 2017, 07:44:29 PM
Pretty crazy that Messiah only scored once against Castleton despite bossing shots 25-3. Castleton keeper with 13 saves. Anyone at the game? (I'd imagine the answer is yes.) I have seen those types of games before but am curious to hear from someone who actually saw it.
I watched online. Messiah didn't have a lot of great shots to be honest. One goal was called back after a hard shot knocked off keeper and rebound put in. I guess it was called offside. Not an overpowering performance but enough to get the win. Could have met same fate as Rowan. Lots of possession...80-20..but need to score more goals..
Quote from: rudy on November 11, 2017, 07:54:26 PM
I watched online. Messiah didn't have a lot of great shots to be honest. One goal was called back after a hard shot knocked off keeper and rebound put in. I guess it was called offside. Not an overpowering performance but enough to get the win. Could have met same fate as Rowan. Lots of possession...80-20..but need to score more goals..
Thanks. Sometimes teams have those days -- even national powerhouses.
They've had a lot of " those days" this season. The fact they keep winning is either a sign of great resilience or great luck. Which is why I've said I would not be surprised if they won it all, or if they get bounced early.
Quote from: blooter442 on November 11, 2017, 07:44:29 PM
Pretty crazy that Messiah only scored once against Castleton despite bossing shots 25-3. Castleton keeper with 13 saves. Anyone at the game? (I'd imagine the answer is yes.) I have seen those types of games before but am curious to hear from someone who actually saw it.
Saw a bit of it (arrived early for the second game ...) and watched Messiah dominate possession. Castleton stayed organized and compact, making quality shots very hard to generate. Once the goal was scored it seemed strange that Castleton did not attack more -- though they needed a GOAL. With no pressure going forward/on Messiah's back line, the game sort of cruised along to the end.
I keep wondering why Messiah is in Buffalo playing on a frozen piece of heavily used turf, in the dark/under the lights.
Game time temp was 31F yesterday. Today's 7PM game v. Hobart will be a balmy 40F.
Quote from: Part_Bart on November 12, 2017, 09:56:59 AM
Quote from: blooter442 on November 11, 2017, 07:44:29 PM
Pretty crazy that Messiah only scored once against Castleton despite bossing shots 25-3. Castleton keeper with 13 saves. Anyone at the game? (I'd imagine the answer is yes.) I have seen those types of games before but am curious to hear from someone who actually saw it.
Saw a bit of it (arrived early for the second game ...) and watched Messiah dominate possession. Castleton stayed organized and compact, making quality shots very hard to generate. Once the goal was scored it seemed strange that Castleton did not attack more -- though they needed a GOAL. With no pressure going forward/on Messiah's back line, the game sort of cruised along to the end.
I keep wondering why Messiah is in Buffalo playing on a frozen piece of heavily used turf, in the dark/under the lights.
Game time temp was 31F yesterday. Today's 7PM game v. Hobart will be a balmy 40F.
Messiah women's team is hosting first round games so the men had to go on the road. I believe if they managed to win today they would host at home next weekend. I'm sure Hobart will give it all they have to pull the upset. I don't get why they can't just play at 3 or something. Do they have some 24 hr rule between games in the tournament? Tough for fans that have to travel far to have to wait until 7 and then drive home after game finishes. I opted to stay home and watch online!
Lyco and Drew still knotted at 0 with around 25 to go
Drew gets one. 1-0. Final drew wins. Lot of fouls in this game. 20+ on each team. Must have been a chippy game. Tueno got red at the end.
Quote from: rudy on November 12, 2017, 03:01:01 PM
Drew gets one. 1-0. Final drew wins. Lot of fouls in this game. 20+ on each team. Must have been a chippy game. Tueno got red at the end.
I saw those stats, too--7 cards, including one on the bench. Chippy games are common in Williamsport.
I think Tueno has another year left to play. Would the red card mean that he has to sit out the opener in 2018?
Quote from: Falconer on November 12, 2017, 04:07:59 PM
I think Tueno has another year left to play. Would the red card mean that he has to sit out the opener in 2018?
Yes.
I've said it before... Drew is legit. Their SOS may not be the best, but they have to be looked at as a legitimate final 4 contender. They can beat anyone in this field.
Drew plays with an edge and Lycoming plays borderline dirty, it was inevitable that reds would be handed out
Quote from: franklyspeaking on November 12, 2017, 04:41:18 PM
Drew plays with an edge and Lycoming plays borderline dirty, it was inevitable that reds would be handed out
If you would have watched the game you would have saw that Drew's head coach got a red card, not some random substitute on the bench. This was a physical match in which the referee lost control of from the opening whistle and it showed with 2 reds late in the game and multiple yellows.
Drew may very well be the dirtiest team I have seen play all year. I was shocked to see the cheap, late hits and elbows that went without notice to the officiating crew. I thought both teams battled hard and Lycoming had some great chances to end the game early and couldn't find the back of the net. They must have had 4 or 5 chances within the 18 that were WIDE OPEN and somehow managed to miss. You can't do that at this point in the season and it surely cost them. They let Drew continue to hang around and a poor call by the official gave Drew a free kick from 20 out and the kid hit a beautiful strike. Lycoming had some opportunities that didn't go the way they had hoped with potentially 2 no-call PK's throughout the game that seemed pretty evident if you were watching. A tough draw for the Warriors to get Drew in the second round and I anticipate Brandeis having no problems with them next weekend. Drew never really got dangerous and the 2 stud forwards up top were not impressive to me at all. To combine for over 30 goals as a duo and not even get a shot off was disappointing. The only time Drew got dangerous offensively was after they scored and Lycoming started to throw numbers forward. Other than that the free kick was the only decent chance they had and they took advantage of it. Looking ahead to next week I am going with a 4-1 win to Brandeis. Drew is poor defensively and will get picked apart. They were extremely lucky to survive both games this weekend in which they were outplayed in both matches.
Actually I did watch the match and I didnt say a player got a Red. Coach received a Red because he spent about 1 minute arguing with a ref about a non call on a Lycoming player who came studs up at one of the Drew players knee. Drew team is not innocent here at all, but Lycoming plays this way every match I have seen them play. Drew has it in them to play like that also, no doubt.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 13, 2017, 08:28:35 AM
Looking ahead to next week I am going with a 4-1 win to Brandeis. Drew is poor defensively and will get picked apart. They were extremely lucky to survive both games this weekend in which they were outplayed in both matches.
I'll take that bet in a heartbeat. No way Brandeis wins by 3.
Quote from: EB2319 on November 13, 2017, 10:19:26 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 13, 2017, 08:28:35 AM
Looking ahead to next week I am going with a 4-1 win to Brandeis. Drew is poor defensively and will get picked apart. They were extremely lucky to survive both games this weekend in which they were outplayed in both matches.
I'll take that bet in a heartbeat. No way Brandeis wins by 3.
yeah can I get in on this bet? I have Drew winning I watched brandeis against RUN.. it will be close maybe even OT but at a 2-1 3-2 scoreline
Where is FW? Any insight as to whether Messiah will host next weekend? I assume they will. Also with top seeds in other regions still alive they will host as well. Tufts, Chicago, North Park
http://i.turner.ncaa.com/sites/default/files/external/gametool/brackets/soccer-men_d3_2017.pdf
If I'm reading that correctly, Messiah, Chicago, North Park and Tufts all host this weekend. But I'm a newb with this stuff, so take it with a grain of salt.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 13, 2017, 11:19:45 AM
http://i.turner.ncaa.com/sites/default/files/external/gametool/brackets/soccer-men_d3_2017.pdf
If I'm reading that correctly, Messiah, Chicago, North Park and Tufts all host this weekend. But I'm a newb with this stuff, so take it with a grain of salt.
Thanks Hopkins..looks to be correct!
Quote from: franklyspeaking on November 13, 2017, 08:57:21 AM
Actually I did watch the match and I didnt say a player got a Red. Coach received a Red because he spent about 1 minute arguing with a ref about a non call on a Lycoming player who came studs up at one of the Drew players knee. Drew team is not innocent here at all, but Lycoming plays this way every match I have seen them play. Drew has it in them to play like that also, no doubt.
You said the team got a red so I can see why Shooter was clarifying because that makes it seem like the bench (typically a player or assistant) got the card when it fact it was the head coach. Most times if a head coach gets a red card most people would point that out. As for that specific tackle it was not knee height. The Lycoming player actually won the ball on a hard tackle but it was no where near knee height. That same play happened throughout the entire game so I am not sure why the Drew coach was going nuts.
As for the game itself I thought it was poorly officiated. I thought Lycoming played well in the first half and okay in the second half. It looked like Drew was sluggish out of the gate then came alive in the second half. Drew was able to hang around and ultimately they made a play that won it. I don't think either team is bad or played poorly. I think both teams worked hard and it was an interesting game to watch. To suggest Drew is just "edgy" and Lycoming is "dirty" isn't fair in my view. Both teams played hard and were able to get away with multiple fouls. Drew will be tested in the next round once again and that is the problem when you play the kind of schedule they do. No real challenges so far this year and they barely escaped the first weekend. It could easily have been either Lycoming or F&M in the 3rd round. With that said kudos to Drew for advancing and staying unbeaten.
I agree that the Drew coach over reacted but that is the reason why he did react in the first place. Lycoming was unlucky not to have scored in the first half but as predicted they could not lose with grace.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 13, 2017, 11:31:46 AM
As for the game itself I thought it was poorly officiated. I thought Lycoming played well in the first half and okay in the second half. It looked like Drew was sluggish out of the gate then came alive in the second half. Drew was able to hang around and ultimately they made a play that won it. I don't think either team is bad or played poorly. I think both teams worked hard and it was an interesting game to watch. To suggest Drew is just "edgy" and Lycoming is "dirty" isn't fair in my view. Both teams played hard and were able to get away with multiple fouls. Drew will be tested in the next round once again and that is the problem when you play the kind of schedule they do. No real challenges so far this year and they barely escaped the first weekend. It could easily have been either Lycoming or F&M in the 3rd round. With that said kudos to Drew for advancing and staying unbeaten.
Does this mean he can't coach next round against Brandeis? Apologies in advance if that is a dumb question...
Quote from: NEsoccerfan on November 13, 2017, 11:58:22 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 13, 2017, 11:31:46 AM
As for the game itself I thought it was poorly officiated. I thought Lycoming played well in the first half and okay in the second half. It looked like Drew was sluggish out of the gate then came alive in the second half. Drew was able to hang around and ultimately they made a play that won it. I don't think either team is bad or played poorly. I think both teams worked hard and it was an interesting game to watch. To suggest Drew is just "edgy" and Lycoming is "dirty" isn't fair in my view. Both teams played hard and were able to get away with multiple fouls. Drew will be tested in the next round once again and that is the problem when you play the kind of schedule they do. No real challenges so far this year and they barely escaped the first weekend. It could easily have been either Lycoming or F&M in the 3rd round. With that said kudos to Drew for advancing and staying unbeaten.
Does this mean he can't coach next round against Brandeis? Apologies in advance if that is a dumb question...
Absolutely correct. He cannot coach next round against Brandeis. He can only watch the game from the spectator section or watch the game on-line from a remote location. No contact with the team, either directly or indirectly, from the start of the game until its conclusion.
Quote from: deiscanton on November 13, 2017, 01:27:16 PM
Quote from: NEsoccerfan on November 13, 2017, 11:58:22 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 13, 2017, 11:31:46 AM
As for the game itself I thought it was poorly officiated. I thought Lycoming played well in the first half and okay in the second half. It looked like Drew was sluggish out of the gate then came alive in the second half. Drew was able to hang around and ultimately they made a play that won it. I don't think either team is bad or played poorly. I think both teams worked hard and it was an interesting game to watch. To suggest Drew is just "edgy" and Lycoming is "dirty" isn't fair in my view. Both teams played hard and were able to get away with multiple fouls. Drew will be tested in the next round once again and that is the problem when you play the kind of schedule they do. No real challenges so far this year and they barely escaped the first weekend. It could easily have been either Lycoming or F&M in the 3rd round. With that said kudos to Drew for advancing and staying unbeaten.
Does this mean he can't coach next round against Brandeis? Apologies in advance if that is a dumb question...
Absolutely correct. He cannot coach next round against Brandeis. He can only watch the game from the spectator section or watch the game on-line from a remote location. No contact with the team, either directly or indirectly, from the start of the game until its conclusion.
Looks like his assistants are pretty green. I doubt it will make much of a difference, since the HC will still be able to help them prepare throughout the week, but as a Brandeis fan we will take any small edge we can get!
Agreed. Game day influence is minimal. If the coach wanted to text instructions to the assistants, how would that be monitored?
Did Shooter have money on Lycoming?
Quote from: franklyspeaking on November 13, 2017, 02:17:25 PM
Agreed. Game day influence is minimal. If the coach wanted to text instructions to the assistants, how would that be monitored?
This recently happened in a conference tournament in New England. The coach of one of the teams received a red card in the final regular season game and was suspended for the conference quarterfinals. He sat in the stands in the opposite side of the field from the benches and
had no contact (even texting) with the team or assistants during the game. Perhaps it is an honor system, as there is obviously no way that an extra official would be available (or assigned) to monitor, but any coach trying to set an example for his team would be honorable.
Quote from: NEPAFAN on November 13, 2017, 02:20:25 PM
Did Shooter have money on Lycoming?
Luckily no. I just haven't witnessed a team that dirty in a long time. Hard for me to say the better team won in this case and to have bad officiating at this level is hard to imagine as well. Not a good image for the NCAA.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 13, 2017, 03:45:48 PM
Quote from: NEPAFAN on November 13, 2017, 02:20:25 PM
Did Shooter have money on Lycoming?
Luckily no. I just haven't witnessed a team that dirty in a long time. Hard for me to say the better team won in this case and to have bad officiating at this level is hard to imagine as well. Not a good image for the NCAA.
the NCAA really needs to start talking their referee selections more seriously. they should 100% need a decent background of playing/coaching/reffing. some of these guys are just plain and simple terrible.
Congrats to LVC men's soccer. Back to back ECAC titles
Yes, very happy for Coach Grimes and his boys. It'd be nice to see LVC get over the hump get themselves positioned for a berth to the NCAA tournament.
They will be losing some key seniors. Let's see how the recruiting goes
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 19, 2017, 10:40:14 PM
Yes, very happy for Coach Grimes and his boys. It'd be nice to see LVC get over the hump get themselves positioned for a berth to the NCAA tournament.
They will never get an at-large due to the lack of SOS. Until they start to schedule a few more good teams and less sub-par teams they will always be on the outside looking in IMO. This year was the year to grab a bid with how much parity there was nationwide. A win vs the likes of Messiah or Lycoming might have done it for them but even then I don't know how high they would have climbed with the poor SOS.
this might be a better thread to ask this but what clubs do messiah recruit from in the area? which clubs are the best in your area?
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 30, 2017, 09:47:26 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 19, 2017, 10:40:14 PM
Yes, very happy for Coach Grimes and his boys. It'd be nice to see LVC get over the hump get themselves positioned for a berth to the NCAA tournament.
They will never get an at-large due to the lack of SOS. Until they start to schedule a few more good teams and less sub-par teams they will always be on the outside looking in IMO. This year was the year to grab a bid with how much parity there was nationwide. A win vs the likes of Messiah or Lycoming might have done it for them but even then I don't know how high they would have climbed with the poor SOS.
LVC has always played a poor schedule non-conference. Would like to see how they stack up verse some better teams and give themselves a chance at at-large berths more often.
Quote from: firstplaceloser on December 03, 2017, 11:35:30 PM
this might be a better thread to ask this but what clubs do messiah recruit from in the area? which clubs are the best in your area?
A majority of the roster typically tends to be from PA with the remaining being sprinkled in from NJ, MD, VA, and a couple odd balls from states far away. I don't know if they tend to always recruit certain areas but central PA seems to be the main recruiting area for them this year and in many past. Multiple players have come through Messiah from this area although many are different clubs.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on December 04, 2017, 10:49:39 AM
Quote from: firstplaceloser on December 03, 2017, 11:35:30 PM
this might be a better thread to ask this but what clubs do messiah recruit from in the area? which clubs are the best in your area?
A majority of the roster typically tends to be from PA with the remaining being sprinkled in from NJ, MD, VA, and a couple odd balls from states far away. I don't know if they tend to always recruit certain areas but central PA seems to be the main recruiting area for them this year and in many past. Multiple players have come through Messiah from this area although many are different clubs.
Partly true, but with a major caveat: in general, the more geographical distribution one finds in an incoming class, the stronger that class turns out to be. For example, the highly talented JR class had five starters this year, from NY, PA, NC, MN, and Mexico. The current SR starters are from PA, PA, MD (Brandt since he's probably played his last season), MD (Bender) and NC. The sophomores had two starters (MA and NC), with the others from ME (but mainly CA where he grew up), PA, PA, NJ, and VA. Similar diversity will be found in the best previous classes.
Quote from: firstplaceloser on December 03, 2017, 11:35:30 PM
this might be a better thread to ask this but what clubs do messiah recruit from in the area? which clubs are the best in your area?
From the following article:
Ruark will continue the Wesleyan-to-Mechanicsburg pipeline that started with Carter Robbins, Messiah's 2014 conference defensive player of the year. Carter, the older brother of Kirby and Cooper, is currently the assistant coach Wesleyan and coaches for the Piedmont Triad Football Club.
http://www.greensboro.com/sports/college/triad-trio-makes-messiah-a-home-team-in-ncaa-division/article_f5285702-6a93-5dd9-b78d-2379de68d66a.html
Quote from: joking777 on December 04, 2017, 03:13:47 PM
Quote from: firstplaceloser on December 03, 2017, 11:35:30 PM
this might be a better thread to ask this but what clubs do messiah recruit from in the area? which clubs are the best in your area?
From the following article:
Ruark will continue the Wesleyan-to-Mechanicsburg pipeline that started with Carter Robbins, Messiah's 2014 conference defensive player of the year. Carter, the older brother of Kirby and Cooper, is currently the assistant coach Wesleyan and coaches for the Piedmont Triad Football Club.
http://www.greensboro.com/sports/college/triad-trio-makes-messiah-a-home-team-in-ncaa-division/article_f5285702-6a93-5dd9-b78d-2379de68d66a.html
Thanks much for this information, joking. Another recruit is Carlisle (PA) GK Jared Pavlovich, first team in his conference. The same school that produced a great Falcon keeper who qualified for the Olympic trials in the decathlon, Chris Boyles. Not to mention Mark Acklee, a speedster from the first championship team.
A third recruit is a high level player from Maine, all-New England MF Luke Groothoff. His brother Jonathan is a current SO MF. Here's more information on him: http://www.ncsasports.org/mens-soccer-recruiting/maine/yarmouth/yarmouth-high-school/luke-groothoff and http://www.theforecaster.net/yarmouth-soccer-standouts-named-to-all-american-game-watch-list/
And http://www.wcsh6.com/sports/high-school/varsity-club/varsity-club-luke-groothoff-yarmouth-high-school/484302321
Quote from: Falconer on December 04, 2017, 05:04:13 PM
Thanks much for this information, joking. Another recruit is Carlisle (PA) GK Jared Pavlovich, first team in his conference. The same school that produced a great Falcon keeper who qualified for the Olympic trials in the decathlon, Chris Boyles. Not to mention Mark Acklee, a speedster from the first championship team.
A third recruit is a high level player from Maine, all-New England MF Luke Groothoff. His brother Jonathan is a current SO MF. Here's more information on him: http://www.ncsasports.org/mens-soccer-recruiting/maine/yarmouth/yarmouth-high-school/luke-groothoff and http://www.theforecaster.net/yarmouth-soccer-standouts-named-to-all-american-game-watch-list/
And http://www.wcsh6.com/sports/high-school/varsity-club/varsity-club-luke-groothoff-yarmouth-high-school/484302321
Never knew them personally, but both brothers seem like really good kids. Never saw Jonathan play but Luke impressed the one game I saw him. Their HS coach is a class act but also a very honest guy, and he has praised them a lot for both their soccer smarts and their off-field demeanor. If nothing else, Falconer, you'll certainly be getting another kid who carries himself well and will be a good addition to the program.
Quote from: Falconer on December 04, 2017, 05:04:13 PM
Quote from: joking777 on December 04, 2017, 03:13:47 PM
Quote from: firstplaceloser on December 03, 2017, 11:35:30 PM
this might be a better thread to ask this but what clubs do messiah recruit from in the area? which clubs are the best in your area?
From the following article:
Ruark will continue the Wesleyan-to-Mechanicsburg pipeline that started with Carter Robbins, Messiah's 2014 conference defensive player of the year. Carter, the older brother of Kirby and Cooper, is currently the assistant coach Wesleyan and coaches for the Piedmont Triad Football Club.
http://www.greensboro.com/sports/college/triad-trio-makes-messiah-a-home-team-in-ncaa-division/article_f5285702-6a93-5dd9-b78d-2379de68d66a.html
Thanks much for this information, joking. Another recruit is Carlisle (PA) GK Jared Pavlovich, first team in his conference. The same school that produced a great Falcon keeper who qualified for the Olympic trials in the decathlon, Chris Boyles. Not to mention Mark Acklee, a speedster from the first championship team.
A third recruit is a high level player from Maine, all-New England MF Luke Groothoff. His brother Jonathan is a current SO MF. Here's more information on him: http://www.ncsasports.org/mens-soccer-recruiting/maine/yarmouth/yarmouth-high-school/luke-groothoff and http://www.theforecaster.net/yarmouth-soccer-standouts-named-to-all-american-game-watch-list/
And http://www.wcsh6.com/sports/high-school/varsity-club/varsity-club-luke-groothoff-yarmouth-high-school/484302321
Here is another one for you falconer.
http://www.azyouthsoccer.org/boys_commitments_top_tier_programs_with_historical_success/
Any word on who will take over the job at Haverford? Read that Shane is leaving for assistant position at Colgate...
Going to be a ton of qualified applicants. Haverford will have to decide they want a D3 Head Coach, D3 Assistant or a D1 Asst. I'm sure they have multiple applicants from all of those backgrounds.
Excellent academics, a competitive program and conference, and a great location. Very desirable opportunity. I agree that there will be a diverse pool of (strong) applicants.
Quote from: blooter442 on February 14, 2018, 10:50:40 AM
Excellent academics, a competitive program and conference, and a great location. Very desirable opportunity. I agree that there will be a diverse pool of (strong) applicants.
All of which means that it probably won't get done in a hurry . . .
I wonder what this will do for Haverford's recruits? They need a new coach ASAP! Could lose an entire class due to the timing of this departure.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on February 18, 2018, 06:21:38 PM
I wonder what this will do for Haverford's recruits? They need a new coach ASAP! Could lose an entire class due to the timing of this departure.
My guess is they more then others will be pretty secure with their commitments. It's an incredible academic school, so my guess is a kid who got accepted is willing to wait a few months to see what shakes out here. Second, the kids committed there have been committed since the early Fall. It's not like they committed two weeks ago.
Quote from: Falconer on November 12, 2017, 04:07:59 PM
Quote from: rudy on November 12, 2017, 03:01:01 PM
Drew gets one. 1-0. Final drew wins. Lot of fouls in this game. 20+ on each team. Must have been a chippy game. Tueno got red at the end.
I saw those stats, too--7 cards, including one on the bench. Chippy games are common in Williamsport.
I think Tueno has another year left to play. Would the red card mean that he has to sit out the opener in 2018?
Add public reprimand from the NCAA to the 2-game suspension to open the 2018 season (which the article confirms).
Lycoming receives reprimand, penaltiesCommittee cites student-athlete misconduct during DIII men's soccer tournamenthttps://www.ncaa.org/about/resources/media-center/news/lycoming-receives-reprimand-penalties
Quote from: Flying Weasel on March 14, 2018, 08:55:29 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 12, 2017, 04:07:59 PM
Quote from: rudy on November 12, 2017, 03:01:01 PM
Drew gets one. 1-0. Final drew wins. Lot of fouls in this game. 20+ on each team. Must have been a chippy game. Tueno got red at the end.
I saw those stats, too--7 cards, including one on the bench. Chippy games are common in Williamsport.
I think Tueno has another year left to play. Would the red card mean that he has to sit out the opener in 2018?
Add public reprimand from the NCAA to the 2-game suspension to open the 2018 season (which the article confirms).
Lycoming receives reprimand, penalties
Committee cites student-athlete misconduct during DIII men's soccer tournament
https://www.ncaa.org/about/resources/media-center/news/lycoming-receives-reprimand-penalties
What has been Lycomimg's response to this reprimand by the NCAA? What action have they taken as an institution and/or team to address the issue?
Sounds like Lyco is accepting the reprimand. Not much they can do to fight it really. The national committee makes those decisions. I am sure they were fully aware, though. As for what they are doing on campus about this, you would have to ask them. I find these things tend to be in-department in nature and calling to get answers isn't always successful. They don't have anything on their website (not surprising; only things like this that are mandated or actual infractions).
Typically, when do schedules start getting released for the next year? Thanks
Release of schedules can be all over the board. Some schools have already posted them on their websites; some won't get posted until August. It's pretty spread out. Not sure if there's really a typical time/month that the most get released or not.
Lycoming 2018 Schedule
8-31 @Grove City
9-1 @Geneva
9-5 @Susquehanna
9-7 @CMU*
9-12 @Medaille
9-15 Scranton*
9-16 Penn College
9-19 Eastern*
9-22 CNU*
9-26 @Misericordia
9-29 @Albright
10-3 Moravian
10-6 Stevenson
10-9 Alvernia
10-13 @Widener
10-17 @Messiah*
10-20 Arcadia
10-23 LVC
10-27 @Hood
Dropped: RUC, Rowan, Dickinson, Washington, FSU, CWRU,
Added: Grove City, Geneva, CMU, Penn College, Eastern, CNU, Moravian
(Added * next to significant games in my opinion)
Lycoming's schedule seems a little tougher this year. Drop Rowan, but pick up Carnegie Mellon and Christoper Newport. Drop Dickinson and Case Western, but pick up Eastern, Grove City, Geneva.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on March 30, 2018, 01:40:40 PM
Lycoming's schedule seems a little tougher this year. Drop Rowan, but pick up Carnegie Mellon and Christoper Newport. Drop Dickinson and Case Western, but pick up Eastern, Grove City, Geneva.
CMU-Lycoming...that's a good one...would expect the over-under for yellow cards to be the same as I predicted for Rochester-Amherst (5, which ended up being the exact number of yellows in that game. :))
Fords coach announced...
http://www.haverfordathletics.com/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/20180330e24vj9 (http://www.haverfordathletics.com/sports/msoc/2017-18/releases/20180330e24vj9)
Seems like a great hire. Word has it the Haverford position wasn't as appealing for many reasons as one would think.
This guy will have knowledge of the conference, familiarity with coaching a strong program, and an understanding of recruiting to a stronger academic school.
Quote from: luckylefty on March 31, 2018, 08:00:04 AM
Seems like a great hire. Word has it the Haverford position wasn't as appealing for many reasons as one would think.
This guy will have knowledge of the conference, familiarity with coaching a strong program, and an understanding of recruiting to a stronger academic school.
Care to elaborate?
Quote from: Hopkins92 on April 02, 2018, 01:37:07 PM
Quote from: luckylefty on March 31, 2018, 08:00:04 AM
Seems like a great hire. Word has it the Haverford position wasn't as appealing for many reasons as one would think.
This guy will have knowledge of the conference, familiarity with coaching a strong program, and an understanding of recruiting to a stronger academic school.
Care to elaborate?
My guess is and TOTALLY A GUESS but he means MONEY.....Maybe Haverford was going on the cheap and that is why they hired such a young coach. I mean he is VERY YOUNG...Couldn't be older than 28..To me a coach should have a little more experience than what he has but hey if Haverford wasn't offering much money than the quality of candidates is naturally going to diminish. You have to ask yourself why the previous Coach wanted to leave to be a D1 Assistant at Colgate which is not exactly a soccer powerhouse. I can see when the old Stevens Head Coach left to be Ray Reid's top Lieutenant at UCONN when UCONN was a sick program and now is Navy's Head Coach. You would have to say that was a good reason to leave Stevens and go to a Top D1 School but leaving Haverford to go to Colgate is a bit strange. I am guessing Haverford did not pay very well compared to other D3 programs. Was Rineer Full Time at Haverford? Because if it was Part-Time than I understand leaving but I do not think Haverford is Part Time.
Another factor could be that Haverford coaches are reputed to have less "pull" in admissions than some their academic and athletic peers, presumably because of the distinctive campus culture and the importance of "fit" in admissions decisions. There is chatter that recruits in various sports who have gotten positive pre-reads and have coach support have been deferred/denied as ED applicants, presumably making it challenging for the coach to build the roster he wants.
Thanks fellas, even if speculative, seems plausible as a combo of the pay and the pull. Very valid/good point re: the admissions office at Haverford.
Both points made regarding the job are correct. Pay was rumored to be very light, and Admissions isn't providing much support. These are things I heard from a friend who is a former long time d3 coach.
I will say I think much of the reason the former Coach left Haverford is because he wanted to be a Division 1 Head Coach one day. Look at the jobs the last two Colgate Assistants and the jobs they took Both took very good head coaching positions.
Any updates from this past weekends scrimmages?
TCNJ got beat by Bucknell 4-0 but that is not a surprise. Only surprise was that Bucknell scheduled it in the first place, what were they hoping to get out of it? They would have been better off playing Lycoming, Bloomsburg, or Susquehnna all of which are in their area.
Messiah favored to win the Commonwealth
Eastern favored to win the Freedom
Keystone favored to win the CSAC
Hopkins favored to win the Centennial
Drew/Scranton/Etown I imagine favored to win the Landmark but no preseason poll has been released yet.
The NEAC and newly formed AEC have not released preseason polls either but I would guess PSU-Abington and Cabrini to be tabbed the favorites from each.
Thoughts on the region as a whole?
Messiah beat Randolph Macon 2-0, both goals in the opening minutes of the game. I heard conflicting reports on who scored. If my sources are accurate, the entire bench got into the game, except injured players--who would include JR CB Cooper Robbins, who will miss at least a month. That's a huge loss, but I think they expect him back before the end of the conference season.
Quote from: Falconer on August 27, 2018, 05:20:16 PM
Messiah beat Randolph Macon 2-0, both goals in the opening minutes of the game. I heard conflicting reports on who scored. If my sources are accurate, the entire bench got into the game, except injured players--who would include JR CB Cooper Robbins, who will miss at least a month. That's a huge loss, but I think they expect him back before the end of the conference season.
I think Cooper will be back sooner than a month. Possibly a couple weeks. From pictures I saw it looked like Joe King and possibly Jonny Groothoff scored in scrimmage. Looks like as of second scrimmage new starters include Mica Fitz at right winger, Luke Groothoff CB , Jonny Groothoff attacking mid , David Alejos back in starting lineup at left wing, Joe King right back, and looks like Reid Ruark taking Cooper CB position until he returns. Of course this could change by opening day but that's best I can deduce at this point. The rest are returning starters.
Quote from: rudy on August 28, 2018, 10:41:22 AM
Luke Groothoff CB
I get that this is pre-season where coaches are still trying to figure out everyone's best position, and that's particularly the case for incoming freshmen, but wouldn't have guessed that one myself. He played mid/forward his entire high school career, and is 5'11". While I've seen some guys who were midfielders in high school convert to CB in college (Conor Lanahan being perhaps the most successful example), the trend generally seems to be that those converts are generally "big" guys. Still, perhaps if Messiah wants to play the ball out from the back, it could help to have a ball-playing center back — and having seen Groothoff play myself, I have no doubt that he could challenge for a starting XI spot.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 27, 2018, 02:15:34 PM
Messiah favored to win the Commonwealth
Eastern favored to win the Freedom
Keystone favored to win the CSAC
Hopkins favored to win the Centennial
Drew/Scranton/Etown I imagine favored to win the Landmark but no preseason poll has been released yet.
The NEAC and newly formed AEC have not released preseason polls either but I would guess PSU-Abington and Cabrini to be tabbed the favorites from each.
Thoughts on the region as a whole?
Dew has to be the overwhelming favorite for Landmark this year.
Quote from: blooter442 on August 28, 2018, 11:50:31 AM
Quote from: rudy on August 28, 2018, 10:41:22 AM
Luke Groothoff CB
I get that this is pre-season where coaches are still trying to figure out everyone's best position, and that's particularly the case for incoming freshmen, but wouldn't have guessed that one myself. He played mid/forward his entire high school career, and is 5'11". While I've seen some guys who were midfielders in high school convert to CB in college (Conor Lanahan being perhaps the most successful example), the trend generally seems to be that those converts are generally "big" guys. Still, perhaps if Messiah wants to play the ball out from the back, it could help to have a ball-playing center back — and having seen Groothoff play myself, I have no doubt that he could challenge for a starting XI spot.
I actually expected this move; I really did. The Falcons lost their fastest defender, by far, when 1st team AA Dakota Rosenberg graduated. There's no way McCarty goes into this season without finding another really fast man for the backfield. He had two spots to fill, CB (Rosenberg) and outside right back (Josh Bender). Groothoff was the obvious man to fill one of those two spots. I agree it's slightly surprising to see him at CB, given his modest height and HS background, but he has the skill set to play anywhere on the field effectively, even at target (the spot I thought he'd get if not in the back), since he's much faster than most D3 defenders and he could create a lot of plays from the MF moving forward.
The information that somewhat startled me doesn't involve Groothoff. It involves West, the other (with Rosenberg) speedster from last fall's team. I hear he's been playing target since the spring, and apparently he was in that place in both scrimmages. This I did not foresee at all, and I think it might be a bad move. (I grant that McCarty knows far more about his team and the game of soccer than I'll ever know, but I am scratching my head.) I certainly expected Alejos to take the empty spot on the right wing (where Colby Thomas was last fall), leaving West on the opposite wing, or perhaps the other way around since Alejos started on the left as a freshman. But, to put West in the middle? My gosh, there's not a man in D3 who can handle him from the wing. Why fix what ain't broke? If this were my team, I put West and Alejos on the two wings and bring Justin Brautigam out of the MF and put him up front. He's good in the air, pretty strong, and great with his feet: just what the Falcons need there. Leave West where he was to be dangerous all game long, and let Brautigam hold the ball in front of the net and get his share, especially cleaning up junk.
The one positive thing I can say about this major strategic change: West is going to wreak havoc in certain situations, when the other team comes too far forward on the attack. Perhaps the Falcons will even turn the clock back 20+ years and start looking to play dump and run in those situations. If the keeper or a CB can play bombs away, West could have free run of the last third of the field and score a lot of goals.
I'll have to see what happens this weekend vs Cortland and Whitworth--a pretty good pair of opponents to start the season.
Quote from: Falconer on August 28, 2018, 10:05:08 PM
Quote from: blooter442 on August 28, 2018, 11:50:31 AM
Quote from: rudy on August 28, 2018, 10:41:22 AM
Luke Groothoff CB
I get that this is pre-season where coaches are still trying to figure out everyone's best position, and that's particularly the case for incoming freshmen, but wouldn't have guessed that one myself. He played mid/forward his entire high school career, and is 5'11". While I've seen some guys who were midfielders in high school convert to CB in college (Conor Lanahan being perhaps the most successful example), the trend generally seems to be that those converts are generally "big" guys. Still, perhaps if Messiah wants to play the ball out from the back, it could help to have a ball-playing center back — and having seen Groothoff play myself, I have no doubt that he could challenge for a starting XI spot.
I actually expected this move; I really did. The Falcons lost their fastest defender, by far, when 1st team AA Dakota Rosenberg graduated. There's no way McCarty goes into this season without finding another really fast man for the backfield. He had two spots to fill, CB (Rosenberg) and outside right back (Josh Bender). Groothoff was the obvious man to fill one of those two spots. I agree it's slightly surprising to see him at CB, given his modest height and HS background, but he has the skill set to play anywhere on the field effectively, even at target (the spot I thought he'd get if not in the back), since he's much faster than most D3 defenders and he could create a lot of plays from the MF moving forward.
The information that somewhat startled me doesn't involve Groothoff. It involves West, the other (with Rosenberg) speedster from last fall's team. I hear he's been playing target since the spring, and apparently he was in that place in both scrimmages. This I did not foresee at all, and I think it might be a bad move. (I grant that McCarty knows far more about his team and the game of soccer than I'll ever know, but I am scratching my head.) I certainly expected Alejos to take the empty spot on the right wing (where Colby Thomas was last fall), leaving West on the opposite wing, or perhaps the other way around since Alejos started on the left as a freshman. But, to put West in the middle? My gosh, there's not a man in D3 who can handle him from the wing. Why fix what ain't broke? If this were my team, I put West and Alejos on the two wings and bring Justin Brautigam out of the MF and put him up front. He's good in the air, pretty strong, and great with his feet: just what the Falcons need there. Leave West where he was to be dangerous all game long, and let Brautigam hold the ball in front of the net and get his share, especially cleaning up junk.
The one positive thing I can say about this major strategic change: West is going to wreak havoc in certain situations, when the other team comes too far forward on the attack. Perhaps the Falcons will even turn the clock back 20+ years and start looking to play dump and run in those situations. If the keeper or a CB can play bombs away, West could have free run of the last third of the field and score a lot of goals.
I'll have to see what happens this weekend vs Cortland and Whitworth--a pretty good pair of opponents to start the season.
I'm sure there will be some tinkering in the first half of season. It may even change by opening weekend based on scrimmages. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out. My understanding is that all the new freshman are good enough to play solid minutes so we may see deeper bench play through the season and some more may end up starters before the season is done.
Quote from: rudy on August 29, 2018, 08:00:09 AM
I'm sure there will be some tinkering in the first half of season. It may even change by opening weekend based on scrimmages. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out. My understanding is that all the new freshman are good enough to play solid minutes so we may see deeper bench play through the season and some more may end up starters before the season is done.
As you say, Rudy, the incoming class is very deep--and this bodes well for the Falcons. Last year (IMO) the two biggest weaknesses for Messiah were (1) a bench that wasn't as talented overall as (say) 5 or 10 years ago; and (2) an inability to score on set plays (we badly missed those direct kicks by Jacob "Bend it like" Bender), coupled with serious vulnerability defensively on set plays. I think (1) is not going to be a problem at all this year. But (2) might remain a big problem, with no obvious fixes. To some extent, problem (2) might be alleviated by playing JR CB Joey Cianciotta more, now that he's finally healthy (I hear he got lots of time last weekend) after two years of major medical issues. He's the tallest and perhaps biggest Falcon, on a team that is vertically challenged. And, as far as I can tell from viewing HS highlight clips, FR winger Darryl Daniels is awfully good at direct kicks--a skill badly needed. I hope he gets enough minutes to see him get a couple of goals that way, if not in the other ways at which he also seems to have a top-drawer skill set.
Quote from: Falconer on August 29, 2018, 01:55:54 PM
Quote from: rudy on August 29, 2018, 08:00:09 AM
I'm sure there will be some tinkering in the first half of season. It may even change by opening weekend based on scrimmages. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out. My understanding is that all the new freshman are good enough to play solid minutes so we may see deeper bench play through the season and some more may end up starters before the season is done.
As you say, Rudy, the incoming class is very deep--and this bodes well for the Falcons. Last year (IMO) the two biggest weaknesses for Messiah were (1) a bench that wasn't as talented overall as (say) 5 or 10 years ago; and (2) an inability to score on set plays (we badly missed those direct kicks by Jacob "Bend it like" Bender), coupled with serious vulnerability defensively on set plays. I think (1) is not going to be a problem at all this year. But (2) might remain a big problem, with no obvious fixes. To some extent, problem (2) might be alleviated by playing JR CB Joey Cianciotta more, now that he's finally healthy (I hear he got lots of time last weekend) after two years of major medical issues. He's the tallest and perhaps biggest Falcon, on a team that is vertically challenged. And, as far as I can tell from viewing HS highlight clips, FR winger Darryl Daniels is awfully good at direct kicks--a skill badly needed. I hope he gets enough minutes to see him get a couple of goals that way, if not in the other ways at which he also seems to have a top-drawer skill set.
The good news is that even with some of these weaknesses last season they won the national championship and matched the most wins ever in a season with 24...with probably one of the more difficult non conference schedules in a while. Scrappy team that never gave up in a game. If they can maintain that then they will be fine
Quote from: rudy on August 30, 2018, 12:44:18 PM
Scrappy team that never gave up in a game. If they can maintain that then they will be fine
Great summation. In the years I have been following D3 pound-for-pound I wouldn't say last year's Messiah side was as talented as, say, the 2012 national title team (or even the 2014 side which got knocked out by Tufts) but — as I've said a million times before, talent alone doesn't win you games, and — last year's group showed unique resiliency. Went behind three times in the Final 4 (including once in the first minute of the national final) but found its way back into each game and managed to win as well. Even in the regular season, winning 2-1 at ETown in OT after falling behind in the second half was impressive. The Lycoming tournament game also saw them get one back with a minute or so left on the clock, and I think they just ran out of time in that game (too little, too late), although Lyco did well to keep them off the board for that long. At that point in the year, mental toughness and resiliency are just as important as talent — and I still think they had a fair amount of talent, even if not as much as the aforementioned superlative groups.
Quote from: blooter442 on August 30, 2018, 01:17:43 PM
Quote from: rudy on August 30, 2018, 12:44:18 PM
Scrappy team that never gave up in a game. If they can maintain that then they will be fine
Great summation. In the years I have been following D3 pound-for-pound I wouldn't say last year's Messiah side was as talented as, say, the 2012 national title team (or even the 2014 side which got knocked out by Tufts) but — as I've said a million times before, talent alone doesn't win you games, and — last year's group showed unique resiliency. Went behind three times in the Final 4 (including once in the first minute of the national final) but found its way back into each game and managed to win as well. Even in the regular season, winning 2-1 at ETown in OT after falling behind in the second half was impressive. The Lycoming tournament game also saw them get one back with a minute or so left on the clock, and I think they just ran out of time in that game (too little, too late), although Lyco did well to keep them off the board for that long. At that point in the year, mental toughness and resiliency are just as important as talent — and I still think they had a fair amount of talent, even if not as much as the aforementioned superlative groups.
Yes, indeed. Not only did they always come back when behind, even if they didn't win, they were never shut out all season. Not once. That for me is the most impressive piece of evidence. When tournament time comes, the first order of business is to score--otherwise the risk of losing on PKs is always in the front of your mind. Obviously you can still end up there, but scoring is the best way to prevent it. Historically, very few Messiah teams can match that factoid. They found ways to score, even literally in the final seconds (think Hobart in the tournament), better than any other Falcon team ever. Yet, their offensive totals weren't very impressive compared with several other Falcon teams.
The other factoid--well, it's really an opinion, but bordering on fact--is that last year's team did not IMO have any obvious weak positions. All 11 starters were really good at their positions. A few were above really good, or there would probably have been no national title, but all 11 were hard to replace. That's this year's problem: replace 5 really good players. The greater depth this fall can help with that, obviously, but not necessarily with 5 really good players who have a lot of collegiate experience.
Just watched Drew dominate Marymount on their way to a 4-0 win. They only lost 3 starters to graduation so I anticipate expectations are high in Madison for another run to the Sweet 16 and beyond. A little disappointing to see the patty cake schedule however. Nonetheless, returning All-American forward Cserhat opened his account this year with 2 goals and 1 assist.
One beef and three takeaways from the Messiah-Cortland game.
OK, first the beef. At the risk of sounding like a broken record, once again I had to sit through a dismal performance by an incompetent official. Cortland is big and very physical--which is fine. You play to your strengths, and they did. But, not within the rules, not by a long stretch. Probably a dozen times, a big guy from Cortland ran into or over a Falcon, whether near the sidelines or near the center of the field, while making little or no effort to make a play on the ball. The second or third time this happened, a card should have been shown, but none were until almost the 70-minute mark, by which time Falcon starter David Alejos was long gone with an unknown injury that prevented him from playing at all in the second half; and Justin Brautigam also left, not to return, after being knocked down or taken down in front of the goal. If Alejos misses significant time, I entirely blame the officials: their job is to keep the lid on violence in a game where violence is supposed to be incidental, not central to a team's strategy. They failed completely to do so. At least twice last night, starting outside defender Joseph King was just obliterated by a much larger opponent who didn't get the ball: from where I was sitting, both plays looked like mandatory cards. The second one was so blatant--as though Cortland just wanted that little nemesis out of the game, so a guy runs him over right in front of their own bench--that if I'm officiating the game I give a straight red. Dangerous stuff like that is supposed to be called, regardless of the score, but in fact the game was tied (thanks to King's terrific run from the back and shoot early in the second half) and Cortland should have had to play a man down the rest of the way.
OK, rant is over. What are my three takeaways?
First, the Falcons were lucky not to give up a third goal somewhere, especially off one of the 7 corners that the Red Dragons legitimately earned to just 2 for the Falcons. This remains a weakness that big teams are going to exploit. Indeed, IMO if Messiah had played Amherst rather than Rochester in the Elite Eight last fall, their season might have ended then and there. Fortunately for them, Amherst gave Rochester the chance to move on by playing lazy in the second half, and there was no way that Rochester was going to out-possess Messiah.
Second, Cortland had just two shots on goal. Yes, they were rockets from outside the box, such that Falcon keeper Connor Bell had no chance on either one. Kudos to Cortland. There was also a well struck ball later that hit the outside of the net, and a close play in front of the goal when a great cross into space just missed a charging forward and resulted in a goal kick. So, they were dangerous more than twice, but not nearly as often as they should have been given their aggressive style of play. Most of their 11 shots were going through the motions. So, bottom line: Messiah played better defensively than I expected, given that (owing to the graduation of 1st team AA CB Dakota Rosenberg and the injury to JR CB Cooper Robbins) the Falcons had three new starters in the back line, two of them Freshmen, one of whom had no HS experience there. They didn't look too good on the two goals, but to be fair the men from Cortland created open shots for themselves and buried them. Sometimes good forwards just beat good defenders and merit praise for that. Apart from those two plays, however, the Falcons usually looked pretty good in the back, and two guys stand out for their superb defensive play all evening: SO Joe King and FR Luke Groothoff. IMO, Groothoff was the best player on the field last night, though King was a close second. Time and again, he beat attackers to the ball, or stole it from them after they had it, and then made pinpoint passes to teammates downfield or into open space that half a dozen times were something to behold. Once his teammates figure out what he can do, those plays are going to start leading directly to goals on counterattacks. They'll start expecting it. Groothoff also got off the best Falcon shot of the night, when he (like King on the second goal) brought the ball himself out of the back into the attacking third and fired a shot. Whereas King's shot was low and ate some grass, Groothoff's was a bullet. If the keeper hadn't been standing right in front of it, it's probably either pure net or a corner kick or a rebound that goes right back into the goal. Just a great shot, on the dead run, a long way out. This kid has all the skills, and if he stays healthy he can accomplish great things.
Finally, Groothoff wasn't the only rookie who played brilliantly. So did Lucas Kokolios, who (I think) played both MF and left wing. He's fast, gangly, and highly skilled with the ball. He can also deliver free kicks--perhaps an answer to Falcon prayers. The first goal came off a free kick not far from the corner of the box. He banged it off the wall and backup target Britt Haseltine cleaned it up perfectly. Late in the game, Nick West smashed another free kick off the crossbar--a near-goal experience for the keeper. All told, the Falcons looked a lot more dangerous on free kicks than all last season, yet the Freshman I had expected to bring that particular skill--Darryl Daniels, voted by Pittsburgh sports writers as the best HS player in Western PA--hasn't yet had many meaningful minutes, including (I hear) the two scrimmages. If Alejos misses significant time, however, perhaps we'll get a chance to see him play more. The other starting CB last night, Reid Ruark, is also a freshman, and mostly he also played very well in his first collegiate game. So, once Robbins comes back, the Falcons will have some depth at CB. All told, the new kids on the block looked as good on the field as they did on paper. I won't be surprised to see them getting a lot of PT down the road.
The Falcons defeated Whitworth, 3-0, in a game they totally dominated. Yet, the first half ended scoreless, as the Whitworth keeper kept them in the game and the back line deflected many shots. The first goal came when Messiah went over the top, and Nick West ran onto it--the type of play I said might be common this year, since West is now the target and his speed can turn into goals. They weren't looking to do that in the first half; this appeared to be a mid-game strategic move that clearly worked. West then promptly got two more goals, but neither resulted from dump and run. His third came when he intercepted a pass from the keeper, dribbled around him and another defender and slotted it easily into goal.
The Falcons looked terrific most of the night, although it wasn't easy to build in the MF for some reason. Yet another freshman started--Trevor Swartz. He played well on as the right outside back. Joe King, who had such a good game last night, played at the same level tonight, but on the left side this time, replacing Shay Quintin, who did not make an appearance for unknown reasons. Shay wasn't mugged by Cortland yesterday (unlike Alejos, who is definitely out for the time being), but still he didn't play. To put this another way: of the Falcon back line last fall, NONE of the four starters played even one minute tonight, and 3 freshmen and a sophomore (King) started in their places. JR Joey Cianciotta also got some quality minutes at CB off the bench, and he hardly played at all the previous two years. Once Robbins and Quintin do return, the backline will be very deep in both talent and experience, for being so young. Yet another freshman, Lucas Kokolios, started on the left wing instead of the injured Alejos, and still another freshman, Luke Brautigam, made that pass to West to start the scoring. If I didn't already know he's a rookie, I never would have guessed. Like Luke Groothoff, he plays like a veteran already. That means that four freshmen started for Messiah tonight. The last time that happened was 3 years ago, when the current seniors were freshmen. They ended that season (the one in which Messiah didn't get a tournament bid) with five freshman starters, after Conner Bell took over in goal. All five started last night, but Alejos' injury left a slot open for another freshman tonight. And, both JR starters (Robbins and Quintin) are out, leaving more open slots. Finally, however, the Falcons have a deep bench again. Good thing. I have a feeling that some of those injured men are going to miss a lot of games this year. Guys will need to step up, and the great freshman class is doing it in spades.
Quote from: EB2319 on August 31, 2018, 10:09:26 PM
Just watched Drew dominate Marymount on their way to a 4-0 win. They only lost 3 starters to graduation so I anticipate expectations are high in Madison for another run to the Sweet 16 and beyond. A little disappointing to see the patty cake schedule however. Nonetheless, returning All-American forward Cserhat opened his account this year with 2 goals and 1 assist.
Not a good result today in Madison, what happened?
Video of Joe King's outstanding run and shoot goal vs Cortland is here: https://www.facebook.com/MessiahMensSoccer/videos/2176501185930932/
Also note the cardable tackle as he shot--which wasn't even called a foul. This one is in addition to the ones I specifically mentioned in my beef. The Cortland player who did this (who appears to be wearing number 4) shouldn't be allowed to play his next game. I invite other opinions, but I content this is yet one more example of incompetent officiating that night, with dangerous consequences for the players on the receiving end of unpenalized illegal plays.
Quote from: Falconer on September 01, 2018, 08:25:31 PM
The Falcons defeated Whitworth, 3-0, in a game they totally dominated. Yet, the first half ended scoreless, as the Whitworth keeper kept them in the game and the back line deflected many shots. The first goal came when Messiah went over the top, and Nick West ran onto it--the type of play I said might be common this year, since West is now the target and his speed can turn into goals. They weren't looking to do that in the first half; this appeared to be a mid-game strategic move that clearly worked. West then promptly got two more goals, but neither resulted from dump and run. His third came when he intercepted a pass from the keeper, dribbled around him and another defender and slotted it easily into goal.
The Falcons looked terrific most of the night, although it wasn't easy to build in the MF for some reason. Yet another freshman started--Trevor Swartz. He played well on as the right outside back. Joe King, who had such a good game last night, played at the same level tonight, but on the left side this time, replacing Shay Quintin, who did not make an appearance for unknown reasons. Shay wasn't mugged by Cortland yesterday (unlike Alejos, who is definitely out for the time being), but still he didn't play. To put this another way: of the Falcon back line last fall, NONE of the four starters played even one minute tonight, and 3 freshmen and a sophomore (King) started in their places. JR Joey Cianciotta also got some quality minutes at CB off the bench, and he hardly played at all the previous two years. Once Robbins and Quintin do return, the backline will be very deep in both talent and experience, for being so young. Yet another freshman, Lucas Kokolios, started on the left wing instead of the injured Alejos, and still another freshman, Luke Brautigam, made that pass to West to start the scoring. If I didn't already know he's a rookie, I never would have guessed. Like Luke Groothoff, he plays like a veteran already. That means that four freshmen started for Messiah tonight. The last time that happened was 3 years ago, when the current seniors were freshmen. They ended that season (the one in which Messiah didn't get a tournament bid) with five freshman starters, after Conner Bell took over in goal. All five started last night, but Alejos' injury left a slot open for another freshman tonight. And, both JR starters (Robbins and Quintin) are out, leaving more open slots. Finally, however, the Falcons have a deep bench again. Good thing. I have a feeling that some of those injured men are going to miss a lot of games this year. Guys will need to step up, and the great freshman class is doing it in spades.
Every non injured field player got time in this one. I expect the same against the decimated Hartwick team Wed. Another injured veteran is Ben Haines who should return soon. The others timetable uncertain but probably Shay and David miss a few games..knee and ankle. Robbins not sure but hopefully able to return healthy ..nagging type injury. Possible when he comes back they move Luke groothoff up. He played some time up yesterday when joey was in at cb.
Quote from: NEPAFAN on September 01, 2018, 08:49:49 PM
Quote from: EB2319 on August 31, 2018, 10:09:26 PM
Just watched Drew dominate Marymount on their way to a 4-0 win. They only lost 3 starters to graduation so I anticipate expectations are high in Madison for another run to the Sweet 16 and beyond. A little disappointing to see the patty cake schedule however. Nonetheless, returning All-American forward Cserhat opened his account this year with 2 goals and 1 assist.
Not a good result today in Madison, what happened?
I only caught a few minutes of the game. They lacked any creativity and their transition to the final third was terrible. Spent more time watching Gettysburg get hammered by Cortland. G'burg simply doesn't appear to have anyone who can replace their All-American Santini. The speed up top isn't the same and frankly either is the skill. Could be a long season for the Bullets if they don't adjust their style. Edit to add: did not see Cerhart play for Drew, though it appears he's not a 90 minute player.
Quote from: Falconer on September 02, 2018, 08:57:36 AM
Video of Joe King's outstanding run and shoot goal vs Cortland is here: https://www.facebook.com/MessiahMensSoccer/videos/2176501185930932/
Also note the cardable tackle as he shot--which wasn't even called a foul. This one is in addition to the ones I specifically mentioned in my beef. The Cortland player who did this (who appears to be wearing number 4) shouldn't be allowed to play his next game. I invite other opinions, but I content this is yet one more example of incompetent officiating that night, with dangerous consequences for the players on the receiving end of unpenalized illegal plays.
I don't necessarily agree with that being cardable. The player made an attempt at the ball and block the shot well in advance and was committed before the shot was even taken. He is well in front of the player and half his body has slide past before there is even contact. It is all in front and it isn't like he drove through the shooter's legs with a cleat. I think that is a clean play and see it all of the time. I think you may be watching the game through particular colored glasses and maybe no Falcon player should ever be touched? I kid, I honestly am kidding, but I don't agree with your assessment on this play.
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on September 02, 2018, 02:00:36 PM
Quote from: Falconer on September 02, 2018, 08:57:36 AM
Video of Joe King's outstanding run and shoot goal vs Cortland is here: https://www.facebook.com/MessiahMensSoccer/videos/2176501185930932/
Also note the cardable tackle as he shot--which wasn't even called a foul. This one is in addition to the ones I specifically mentioned in my beef. The Cortland player who did this (who appears to be wearing number 4) shouldn't be allowed to play his next game. I invite other opinions, but I content this is yet one more example of incompetent officiating that night, with dangerous consequences for the players on the receiving end of unpenalized illegal plays.
I don't necessarily agree with that being cardable. The player made an attempt at the ball and block the shot well in advance and was committed before the shot was even taken. He is well in front of the player and half his body has slide past before there is even contact. It is all in front and it isn't like he drove through the shooter's legs with a cleat. I think that is a clean play and see it all of the time. I think you may be watching the game through particular colored glasses and maybe no Falcon player should ever be touched? I kid, I honestly am kidding, but I don't agree with your assessment on this play.
Thank you for offering a second opinion, Dave. I left +K for making the case well for an alternative view.
This may be a matter of interpretation, and as someone (apparently) in the college sports business you are in general more qualified than me to render an opinion. However, in this instance, we probably agree on the crucial detail--if not, please (again) express dissent. The defender did not make contact with the ball, and he did make a lot of contact with the shooter. According to Jim Allen, a well known instructor of soccer officials, the play should have been penalized. (Allen is identified here: https://www.ussoccer.com/stories/2014/03/17/11/26/u-s-soccer-national-referee-instructor-and-national-assessor-jim-allen-named-2004-eddie-pearson-awar.)
Allen made the comments below about legal and illegal slide tackles on this site: http://www.askasoccerreferee.com/when-is-a-slide-tackle-legal-or-illegal/. The boldface type is my editorial addition.
"The referee must judge whether the tackle of an opponent is fair or whether it is careless, reckless, or involves the use of excessive force.
Making contact with the opponent before the ball when making a tackle is unfair and should be penalized. On the other hand, the fact that contact with the ball was made first does not automatically mean that the tackle is fair. The declaration by a player that he or she "got the ball first" is irrelevant if, while tackling for the ball, the player carelessly, recklessly, or with excessive force commits any of the prohibited actions. Remember that it is not a foul if a sliding tackle is successful and the player whose ball was tackled away then falls over the tackler's foot.
"
How can tackles become illegal? There are many ways but two of the most common are by making contact with the opponent first (before contacting the ball) and by striking the opponent with a raised upper leg before, during, or after contacting the ball with the lower leg. Referees must be vigilant and firm in assessing any tackle, because the likely point of contact is the lower legs of the opponent and this is a particularly vulnerable area. We must not be swayed by protests of "But I got the ball, ref" and we must be prepared to assess the proper penalty for misconduct where that is warranted."
On this basis, Dave, I think that tackle was illegal. I see no evidence in that (admittedly low quality) video that the defender ever touched the ball at all, let alone before he made contact with the shooter. If this is accurate conclusion, then it's a card, in which case you've made the argument for yellow rather than red.
I take your joke about thinking that Falcons should never be touched in the spirit offered. I certainly don't believe such a silly idea. I simply take umbrage when officials consistently fail to call cardable offenses--the types of plays that can and do injure players, whether those players are Falcons, Blue Jays, Eagles, or Robins. Now, I admit, I might show less umbrage if they happen to be Bears or Wolverines or Vikings or Pirates or Raiders. I do have a certain preference for birds. Just sayin'. :o
He's not getting a card there unless the shot is not a goal. If the foul is called, card comes out...
Actually great discipline by the ref to keep with the slow whistle and not blow for the foul immediately as some do.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on September 02, 2018, 07:37:48 PM
He's not getting a card there unless the shot is not a goal. If the foul is called, card comes out...
Actually great discipline by the ref to keep with the slow whistle and not blow for the foul immediately as some do.
That's interesting, if correct. I don't know soccer rules in minute detail, and I'd like to know more about this type of situation, in which a goal is scored despite an apparently cardable offense. It sounds wrong to me, that a player wouldn't be carded simply b/c an opponent scored anyway. For instance, if a player receives a red card for a foul in the penalty area, the fouled man gets a PK, which usually results in a goal. So--in a situation (say) in which a man is flat pulled down in front of the goal, and he manages to score despite the manhandling, isn't the defender still sent off? If not, why not? What made his totally unacceptable behavior suddenly acceptable?
If there is a specific rule you have in mind here, lastguy, please quote the rule for the benefit of ignorant guy (me). I would be obliged to you for the education.
Incidentally, many years ago I saw a tournament game in which a GK came out of his goal, wrapped his arms around the other team's striker (who had the ball by himself in front of the goal, but wasn't moving toward the goal), and wrestle him to the ground. If memory serves, for some reason the keeper didn't get a straight red, although there was a PK awarded and I think also a YC. Maybe my memory is just worse than last month (it probably is, given my age), but shouldn't that type of play require a straight red?
Quote from: EB2319 on September 02, 2018, 09:30:40 AM
Quote from: NEPAFAN on September 01, 2018, 08:49:49 PM
Quote from: EB2319 on August 31, 2018, 10:09:26 PM
Just watched Drew dominate Marymount on their way to a 4-0 win. They only lost 3 starters to graduation so I anticipate expectations are high in Madison for another run to the Sweet 16 and beyond. A little disappointing to see the patty cake schedule however. Nonetheless, returning All-American forward Cserhat opened his account this year with 2 goals and 1 assist.
Not a good result today in Madison, what happened?
I only caught a few minutes of the game. They lacked any creativity and their transition to the final third was terrible. Spent more time watching Gettysburg get hammered by Cortland. G'burg simply doesn't appear to have anyone who can replace their All-American Santini. The speed up top isn't the same and frankly either is the skill. Could be a long season for the Bullets if they don't adjust their style. Edit to add: did not see Cerhart play for Drew, though it appears he's not a 90 minute player.
I was smiling because i just read your post and tune in to see Centenary score their goal. Is drew missing a few players?
Video of Nick West's 3 goals vs Whitworth is now up: https://gomessiah.com/news/2018/9/1/mens-soccer-west-gets-tricky-in-second-half-downs-pirates.aspx?path=msoc
A few days ago, I expressed my concerns about moving West to target from the wing, underscoring the obvious drawbacks of removing from the outside a guy who really can't be guarded there by a D3 defender. However, I also noted one possible benefit: putting him as target suggests that the Falcons might now start playing some dump and run--which, historically, they just never do. In the first half vs Whitworth, it was the usual Falcon offense of building from the back, and with a scoreless result despite taking about 20 shots, including a header by West off a corner that was perfectly executed (a good sign, especially considering that the Falcons scored zero goals on corners all last fall), but ended up in the keeper's hands. In the second half, however, there was apparently a deliberate strategic change, as this clip shows. On the first two goals, but especially the second, the Falcon looked to go over the top to West. That second goal is a classic example of dump and run, something Falcon teams have almost never done in the Brandt-McCarty years. With West up top, however, it presents itself as an obvious possibility that they now seem to be realizing.
It will be interesting to see if dump and run stays in the tool box the rest of the way. If so, then these Falcons are a new breed of bird, or at least have grown a big new claw that can grab anyone who isn't very carefully expecting it.
Quote from: Falconer on September 03, 2018, 05:06:50 PM
A few days ago, I expressed my concerns about moving West to target from the wing, underscoring the obvious drawbacks of removing from the outside a guy who really can't be guarded there by a D3 defender. However, I also noted one possible benefit: putting him as target suggests that the Falcons might now start playing some dump and run--which, historically, they just never do.
Assuming Messiah continues to play 4-3-3 as I've observed them do, could it also be that his move to "target," which I call Center Forward or CF, is being done to keep the opposition on their toes?
It may sound illogical, but let me explain: I've seen a number of three-man forward lines have one designated CF. However, said CF will consistently overlap and change positions with his fellow forwards as to drag defenders out of position and make it more difficult to track and mark attackers. Of course, in soccer, positions are relative (you can look at a heat map or "average position" map of a given professional team and see a given player's average position(s) on a field can be far different from what you might imagine). However, as commonly mentioned, West has unreal speed and has been traditionally deployed on the wing, so I don't think it's unreasonable to assume he could still play a role out wide. Either way, while Messiah has certainly been a possession-based team in the past, it certainly doesn't hurt to have a more direct strategy to be able to pull out of the bag of tricks.
Quote from: Falconer on September 02, 2018, 08:51:28 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on September 02, 2018, 07:37:48 PM
He's not getting a card there unless the shot is not a goal. If the foul is called, card comes out...
Actually great discipline by the ref to keep with the slow whistle and not blow for the foul immediately as some do.
That's interesting, if correct. I don't know soccer rules in minute detail, and I'd like to know more about this type of situation, in which a goal is scored despite an apparently cardable offense. It sounds wrong to me, that a player wouldn't be carded simply b/c an opponent scored anyway. For instance, if a player receives a red card for a foul in the penalty area, the fouled man gets a PK, which usually results in a goal. So--in a situation (say) in which a man is flat pulled down in front of the goal, and he manages to score despite the manhandling, isn't the defender still sent off? If not, why not? What made his totally unacceptable behavior suddenly acceptable?
If there is a specific rule you have in mind here, lastguy, please quote the rule for the benefit of ignorant guy (me). I would be obliged to you for the education.
Incidentally, many years ago I saw a tournament game in which a GK came out of his goal, wrapped his arms around the other team's striker (who had the ball by himself in front of the goal, but wasn't moving toward the goal), and wrestle him to the ground. If memory serves, for some reason the keeper didn't get a straight red, although there was a PK awarded and I think also a YC. Maybe my memory is just worse than last month (it probably is, given my age), but shouldn't that type of play require a straight red?
If a player gets man-handled and still scores, unless serious foul play/violent conduct, you may see a card/you may not. There are rules and there are laws. Laws are for interpretation. While it might be a cardable offense, it is a case by case basis, in the opinion of the referee. In most scenarios, after the goal is scored where advantage is applied, the ref will talk to the player and acknowledge what happened. In other situations, you may see a cardable offence, where the referee applies an advantage, but waits until a stoppage to caution the player. If there is serious foul play or a violent conduct type situation, unless there is a TRUE goal scoring opportunity, play is stopped and RED issued immediately.
The DOGSO (denial of obvious goal scoring opportunity) has changed with the landscape of soccer to avoid triple whammies (Red Card, PK, Suspension), not to mention a likely goal being scored. The only time a Red Card is issued is if the defender is not making an attempt to play the ball, deliberate handling to stop a goal, pushing/pulling/holding, or if there is serious foul play/violent conduct. Last defender doesn't even apply, as long as there is attempt to play the ball. NOW, if the player was tackled OUTSIDE the box in a DOGSO situation, with the same criteria, you're going to see the Red Card come out, because there is no triple whammy.
You are correct with your assumption regarding the play with the GK wrapping up the player and bringing him to the ground. Should have been a red card then as well as now... NO attempt to play the ball.
Very very early assessment after the opening weekend of play for this region...
1. Hopkins 2-0-0---We will know more when tested with a stretch of MW, Drew, @York, @Fords, and Getty. Also have Messiah later in the year which could be a crucial game for both teams
2. Messiah 1-0-1---Injury plagued to start the year but showed resilience in game 1 to fight back for a tie vs a national contender in Cortland. The Falcons will be just fine.
3. F&M 2-0-0---Two very impressive wins for the Diplomats. They have lost just once in their last 11 games dating back to last season.
4. Scranton 2-0-0---Two solid wins to open the year with plenty of goals. Look for the Royals to push Drew in the Landmark this year.
5. Lycoming 1-0-1---Solid start for the Warriors as they earn two shutouts on the road and remain unbeaten. An early test with Carnegie Mellon will tell us more.
6. Dickinson 1-0-1---Solid start for the Red Devils as they battled Babson to a 1-1 draw. The next 3 prove difficult and we will see how they handle the early challenges.
7. Eastern 2-0-0---Two wins for the Eagles but were outplayed vs York and survived thanks to a PK. They won't be tested until early October so we will circle back then.
8. Haverford 1-0-0---A nice start for the new head coach but the real tests will be next week with a 4 game stretch of @Stevens,, JHU, @Rowan, and @F&M.
9. Drew 1-1-0---A shocking loss to Centenary could prove costly this early in the year. An early season clash with JHU becomes that much more crucial for the Rangers.
10. Keystone 1-1-0---A big win over Etown and a hard fought battle with Dickinson has the Giants cracking the top 10 after the opening weekend games.
http://www.d3soccer.com/columns/men-atlantic-spotlight/2018/altantic-spotlight_wk1
Nice summary from the D3Soccer website which includes multiple teams from the region. Well done!
+K for you, lastguy, as my thanks for that explanation.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 04, 2018, 12:20:47 PM
http://www.d3soccer.com/columns/men-atlantic-spotlight/2018/altantic-spotlight_wk1
Nice summary from the D3Soccer website which includes multiple teams from the region. Well done!
Indeed. And I love the upcoming games of interest. So many big match-ups early in the season
Emory challenges the NJAC squaring off against
Rutgers-Camden on the 8th and
Rowan on the 9th.
Drew journeys to
Johns HopkinsStevens visits
OneontaLycoming visits
Carnegie MellonLynchburg visits
Christopher NewportOglethorpe entertains
Mary Hardin-BaylorMessiah travels to
Montclair State
Quote from: Falconer on September 02, 2018, 02:57:35 PM
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on September 02, 2018, 02:00:36 PM
Quote from: Falconer on September 02, 2018, 08:57:36 AM
Video of Joe King's outstanding run and shoot goal vs Cortland is here: https://www.facebook.com/MessiahMensSoccer/videos/2176501185930932/
Also note the cardable tackle as he shot--which wasn't even called a foul. This one is in addition to the ones I specifically mentioned in my beef. The Cortland player who did this (who appears to be wearing number 4) shouldn't be allowed to play his next game. I invite other opinions, but I content this is yet one more example of incompetent officiating that night, with dangerous consequences for the players on the receiving end of unpenalized illegal plays.
I don't necessarily agree with that being cardable. The player made an attempt at the ball and block the shot well in advance and was committed before the shot was even taken. He is well in front of the player and half his body has slide past before there is even contact. It is all in front and it isn't like he drove through the shooter's legs with a cleat. I think that is a clean play and see it all of the time. I think you may be watching the game through particular colored glasses and maybe no Falcon player should ever be touched? I kid, I honestly am kidding, but I don't agree with your assessment on this play.
Thank you for offering a second opinion, Dave. I left +K for making the case well for an alternative view.
This may be a matter of interpretation, and as someone (apparently) in the college sports business you are in general more qualified than me to render an opinion. However, in this instance, we probably agree on the crucial detail--if not, please (again) express dissent. The defender did not make contact with the ball, and he did make a lot of contact with the shooter. According to Jim Allen, a well known instructor of soccer officials, the play should have been penalized. (Allen is identified here: https://www.ussoccer.com/stories/2014/03/17/11/26/u-s-soccer-national-referee-instructor-and-national-assessor-jim-allen-named-2004-eddie-pearson-awar.)
Allen made the comments below about legal and illegal slide tackles on this site: http://www.askasoccerreferee.com/when-is-a-slide-tackle-legal-or-illegal/. The boldface type is my editorial addition.
"The referee must judge whether the tackle of an opponent is fair or whether it is careless, reckless, or involves the use of excessive force. Making contact with the opponent before the ball when making a tackle is unfair and should be penalized. On the other hand, the fact that contact with the ball was made first does not automatically mean that the tackle is fair. The declaration by a player that he or she "got the ball first" is irrelevant if, while tackling for the ball, the player carelessly, recklessly, or with excessive force commits any of the prohibited actions. Remember that it is not a foul if a sliding tackle is successful and the player whose ball was tackled away then falls over the tackler's foot.
"How can tackles become illegal? There are many ways but two of the most common are by making contact with the opponent first (before contacting the ball) and by striking the opponent with a raised upper leg before, during, or after contacting the ball with the lower leg. Referees must be vigilant and firm in assessing any tackle, because the likely point of contact is the lower legs of the opponent and this is a particularly vulnerable area. We must not be swayed by protests of "But I got the ball, ref" and we must be prepared to assess the proper penalty for misconduct where that is warranted."
On this basis, Dave, I think that tackle was illegal. I see no evidence in that (admittedly low quality) video that the defender ever touched the ball at all, let alone before he made contact with the shooter. If this is accurate conclusion, then it's a card, in which case you've made the argument for yellow rather than red.
I take your joke about thinking that Falcons should never be touched in the spirit offered. I certainly don't believe such a silly idea. I simply take umbrage when officials consistently fail to call cardable offenses--the types of plays that can and do injure players, whether those players are Falcons, Blue Jays, Eagles, or Robins. Now, I admit, I might show less umbrage if they happen to be Bears or Wolverines or Vikings or Pirates or Raiders. I do have a certain preference for birds. Just sayin'. :o
Responding just so you (or anyone) doesn't think I've disappeared or something. I've just been pretty busy. Had a few soccer games to call, plus other sports, plus other responsibilities. I will read through this in more detail in the future, but just to reaffirm, I just didn't see the play in the same manner. However, I will go back and confirm what I saw again when things slow down ... for a few days. LOL
A big game for two teams facing off this weekend is Etown traveling to Rutgers-Newark. The Bluejays come in to the contest 0-1-1 with a full week of rest under their belts and really need any kind of result. Meanwhile, the Raiders also are in a spot where a result is necessary after dropping 2 of their 3 games and a challenging NJAC schedule awaits. If either of these teams wants a shot at an at-large bid they need to take care of business in this one. A tie does harm both but would still keep both alive, but a loss can be devastating for either side. We are less than 5 matches in and some contests are already going to have a lasting impact on what we see at the season's end.
Must Watch Weekend Games
Catholic @ Buffalo State
Lycoming @ Carnegie Mellon
Dickinson @ Lynchburg
Wesleyan @ Haverford
Mary Washington @ Hopkins
Washington & Lee @ Franklin & Marshall
Keystone @ Lebanon Valley
Catholic @ Fredonia State
Cortland St @ Scranton
Etown @ Newark
Dickinson @ Roanoke
Messiah @ Montclair
William Patterson @ Haverford
Drew at Hopkins
Stockton at Franklin & Marshall
Gettysburg @ Newark
Wow! These are some great early season match-ups!
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 06, 2018, 01:22:17 PM
Must Watch Weekend Games
Catholic @ Buffalo State
Lycoming @ Carnegie Mellon
Dickinson @ Lynchburg
Wesleyan @ Haverford
Mary Washington @ Hopkins
Washington & Lee @ Franklin & Marshall
Keystone @ Lebanon Valley
Catholic @ Fredonia State
Cortland St @ Scranton
Etown @ Newark
Dickinson @ Roanoke
Messiah @ Montclair
William Patterson @ Haverford
Drew at Hopkins
Stockton at Franklin & Marshall
Gettysburg @ Newark
Lycoming looks like they will fall to CMU 2-0 with a few minutes to go. Good result for CMU.
Messiah leads Montclair, 3-0, midway through the second half. The first half was back and forth, with both teams possessing well and generating some scoring chances, but the Falcons got the only goal. the quality of the stream is poor, such that I can tell who the players are only by already knowing what they usually look like as moving blobs, not b/c I can clearly see anything more than that. I think they said Luis Plaza had that goal, which appeared to be a rocket on the run outside the box.
Falcons dominating the second half. The official has it all well under control, so although the game is physical it doesn't appear to be a slugfest. Hard to tell for sure given the images.
Montclair was well organized earlier, but now they seem to be tiring and breaking down as the Falcons have substituted very liberally in both halves.
Montclair gets new wind and scores with numbers in the box, then Nick West gets a goal (might be his second today, but it's just to hard to tell) when he beats a defender and goes through the keeper on a counterattack. 4-1 Falcons with unknown time left--no clock visible on the video.
Falcons get one more--unclear who, when they prevent Montclair from clearing out of their own end. Game over now, 5-1 final. Huge win for the Falcons over a very good team on the road.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 06, 2018, 01:22:17 PM
Must Watch Weekend Games
Friday:
Catholic @ Buffalo State-----Buff St wins 2-1
Lycoming @ Carnegie Mellon----CMU wins 2-1
Dickinson @ Lynchburg----Lynchburg wins 4-3 in a thriller!
Saturday:
Wesleyan @ Haverford---Fords survive 2-1 in OT
Mary Washington @ Hopkins---MW upsets JHU 2-1 in OT
Washington & Lee @ Franklin & Marshall---F&M storms back for a 2-1 win
Keystone @ Lebanon Valley---Leb Val wins a shootout 4-2
Catholic @ Fredonia State---Catholic rebounds with a 2-0 win
Cortland St @ Scranton---Scranton loses a nail biter 1-0
Etown @ Newark---Newark trounces Etown 3-0
Dickinson @ Roanoke---Dickinson captures a nice 1-0 win
Messiah @ Montclair---Messiah destroys MSU 5-1
Sunday:
William Patterson @ Haverford
Drew at Hopkins
Stockton at Franklin & Marshall
Gettysburg @ Newark
Other games of significance that weren't listed was Eastern losing 2-1 vs William Patterson and Gettysburg losing 2-1 vs TCNJ.
Quote from: rudy on September 07, 2018, 08:57:50 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 06, 2018, 01:22:17 PM
Must Watch Weekend Games
Catholic @ Buffalo State
Lycoming @ Carnegie Mellon
Dickinson @ Lynchburg
Wesleyan @ Haverford
Mary Washington @ Hopkins
Washington & Lee @ Franklin & Marshall
Keystone @ Lebanon Valley
Catholic @ Fredonia State
Cortland St @ Scranton
Etown @ Newark
Dickinson @ Roanoke
Messiah @ Montclair
William Patterson @ Haverford
Drew at Hopkins
Stockton at Franklin & Marshall
Gettysburg @ Newark
Lycoming looks like they will fall to CMU 2-0 with a few minutes to go. Good result for CMU.
2-1 final here. Really could have gone either way from what I saw but a signature win for CMU.
Rowan struggling to score ...past 3 games only 1 goal. Very uncharacteristic of them. Graduation losses may have had big impact on offense.
Update from Sunday:
William Patterson @ Haverford---Fords lose 2-1
Drew at Hopkins---JHU beats Drew 2-1
Stockton at Franklin & Marshall---F&M pounds Stockton 4-1
Gettysburg @ Newark---A scoreless draw here
Wesleyan at Eastern---Eagles lose 1-0 in OT
MAF Regional Rankings (9/10)
1. Messiah (3-0-1)
2. F&M (4-0-0)
3. Hopkins (4-1-0)
4. Dickinson ( 2-1-1)
5. Lycoming (2-1-1)
6. Scranton (2-1-1)
7. Leb Val (2-1-0)
8. Fords (2-1-0)
9. Muhles (3-0-0)
10. Drew (3-2-0)
Others: Catholic (2-1-0), Moravian (2-1-1), Swat (3-1-0), Manhattanville (3-1-0), Keystone (2-2-0), Eastern (2-2-0)
Messiah is the clear favorite in the pack and JHU & F&M are close behind. Dickinson and Lycoming both have been battled tested on the road thus far and survived the treks. Scranton, LVC, and Fords are close behind with some nice results. Muhles are off to a quality start so keep an eye on them as they face some tougher competition and Drew rounds out the top 10 despite 2 losses early.
http://unitedsoccercoaches.org/web/Rankings/College_Rankings/NCAA_DIII_MEN/web/rankings/ncaa/diii_men.aspx
United Soccer Coaches NCAA Division III Men - Mid-Atlantic - Poll 1 - September 11, 2018
Rank
School
Prev.
W-L-T
1
Messiah College
DH Hartwick College 3-0; DA Montclair State University 5-1;
NR
3-0-1
2
Franklin & Marshall College
DH Whitworth University 2-0;
NR
2-0-0
3
Johns Hopkins University
DH Frostburg State University 2-0; LH University Of Mary Washington 1-2;
NR
3-1-0
4
Lycoming College
DA Susquehanna University 1-0; LA Carnegie Mellon University 1-2;
NR
2-1-1
5
Dickinson College
LA University of Lynchburg 3-4;
NR
1-1-1
6
Muhlenberg College
DA Immaculata University 2-0; DA Centenary University 3-0;
NR
3-0-0
7
University Of Scranton
TH King's College 0-0;
NR
2-0-1
8
Swarthmore College
DA Widener University 3-1;
NR
2-1-0
9
Haverford College
NR
1-0-0
10
Lebanon Valley College
DH Misericordia University 4-0; DH Keystone College 4-2;
NR
2-1-0
Records shown are through games of Sept. 9, 2018
Watching Scranton vs. Misericordia. 0-1 to the guests with 25 left in 1st half. Scranton plays a nice game, it just doesn't appear they have enough talent. And the parents are super annoying. I had to mute it.
1-1 draw in Scranton. Again, thought Scranton played a nice game and moved the ball well, but they didn't generate many good chances. Misericordia on the other hand had several good chances, but Scranton keeper came up big multiple times.
Quote from: EB2319 on September 11, 2018, 09:22:39 PM
1-1 draw in Scranton. Again, thought Scranton played a nice game and moved the ball well, but they didn't generate many good chances. Misericordia on the other hand had several good chances, but Scranton keeper came up big multiple times.
Watched the first half of this and, as mentioned above, the parents were just treacherous to listen to so I switched to a different game. From what I saw early on, it was wide open with plenty of chances so I assume this didn't change as the game progressed and opened up even more. Nice result for Misericordia and a tough draw for Scranton.
9/12 Games to Watch
Messiah at Dickinson
Etown at F&M
Hopkins at York
Lycoming at Medaille
Catholic at Stevenson
Fords at Stevens
Susquehanna at Leb Val
Camden at Cabrini
Arcadia at Stockton
Eastern at Swat
Drew at Muhles
Non-Region
Wheaton at Chicago
Lynchburg at Mary Wash
ONU at OWU
Oneonta at RPI
Roanoke at Rowan
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 10, 2018, 03:09:44 PM
MAF Regional Rankings (9/10)
1. Messiah (3-0-1)
2. F&M (4-0-0)
3. Hopkins (4-1-0)
4. Dickinson ( 2-1-1)
5. Lycoming (2-1-1)
6. Scranton (2-1-1)
7. Leb Val (2-1-0)
8. Fords (2-1-0)
9. Muhles (3-0-0)
10. Drew (3-2-0)
Others: Catholic (2-1-0), Moravian (2-1-1), Swat (3-1-0), Manhattanville (3-1-0), Keystone (2-2-0), Eastern (2-2-0)
Messiah is the clear favorite in the pack and JHU & F&M are close behind. Dickinson and Lycoming both have been battled tested on the road thus far and survived the treks. Scranton, LVC, and Fords are close behind with some nice results. Muhles are off to a quality start so keep an eye on them as they face some tougher competition and Drew rounds out the top 10 despite 2 losses early.
Getting back into the swing of things! Nice assessment MAF but I do view it a little differently thus far...
Shooter's Top 101. Messiah (3-0-1)---Big regional battle at Dickinson tonight
2. Hopkins (4-1-0)---Still the biggest threat to Messiah despite a loss to a good MW team. Lets see how the deal w/York today
3. F&M (4-0-0)---Easily can be flipped with JHU but I think they are a step behind at the moment. Face Etown today.
4. Lycoming (2-1-1)---Tough tests await as they travel to Medaille today
5. Dickinson ( 2-1-1)---A chance for a signature win today vs the Falcons. A must watch game!
6. Muhles (3-0-0)---Chance to possibly knock Drew out of the at-large bid discussion today
7. Fords (2-1-0)---Stevens will be a tough one today but a good start through 3
8. Leb Val (2-1-0)---Faces Susquehanna this afternoon
9. Scranton (2-1-2)---A poor result last night as they tied Misericordia at home. Trending down for me.
10. Swat (3-1-0)---Nice start and have a big match with Eastern today.
Others: Drew (3-2-0), Catholic (2-1-0), Moravian (2-1-1), Manhattanville (3-1-0), Keystone (3-2-0),
Guys, when does Wesley get some love?
Quote from: willchar on September 12, 2018, 05:16:30 PM
Guys, when does Wesley get some love?
Good start vs. a weak schedule so far. Not much to say other than that
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 12, 2018, 09:31:33 AM
9/12 Games to Watch
Messiah at Dickinson 5-2 Falcons
Etown at F&M 1-5 Diplomats
Hopkins at York 2-0 JHU
Lycoming at Medaille 1-0 Lyco
Catholic at Stevenson 3-2 Catholic
Fords at Stevens 1-3 Stevens
Susquehanna at Leb Val 0-1 LVC
Camden at Cabrini 0-1 Cabrini
Arcadia at Stockton 1-2 Stockton
Eastern at Swat 1-0 Eagles OT
Drew at Muhles 3-2 Drew 2OT
Non-Region
Wheaton at Chicago 0-3 Chicago
Lynchburg at Mary Wash 0-0
ONU at OWU 3-0 ONU
Oneonta at RPI 1-1
Roanoke at Rowan 0-3 Rowan
Big wins for Messiah, F&M, JHU, Lyco, Eastern, and Drew.
Scores from around the region:
Haverford defeats JHU 1-0. A big result for the Fords and a damaging loss for JHU.
Drew defeats Manhattanville 2-1.
Dickinson embarasses Swarthmore 4-1.
PSU-Harrisburg improves to 7-0-0 with another win today.
Lycoming defeats Scranton 2-1.
Eastern defeats Alvernia 4-1.
Messiah, LVC, Etown, Gettysburg, F&M and Muhles all still in action this evening.
Messiah handles EMU, 2-0. It was a pretty game to watch--lots of motion by both teams, though the Falcons easily dominated possession, with lots of communication among the players, such that many 1-2 or 1-2-3 combinations were attempted, though none led directly to a score and 5 or 6 were offsides. David Alejos got the first goal and nearly got a second. Nick West should have taken a couple of shots he created for himself just inside the box, rather than passing to teammates for shots that might have been better ones if Nick hadn't been the man who turned down the first one. He got the second goal anyway, a brilliant blast from 25 yards while running parallel to the goal to his right. Given how dangerous he was on the wing last year and how fun to watch, it's almost astonishing that he's even more dangerous now and even more fun to watch. If there's a better attacker in D3, I can't imagine who it is. I still can't believe he wasn't named AA last year; this year he has to be in the mix for POY, regardless of whether the Falcons go deep or repeat. Be sure to see the highlights when they go up.
I could argue that there are two at Chicago Koh and Lopez. Koh has 14 points and Lopez 10 and four of the six games that they have played are regionally ranked. West is a great player, but Messiah has not played near the schedule that Chicago has. I get that that West has put 10 in the net, but you also have to look at who you've played and Chicago's sos is by far more difficult than Messiah. Chicago beat regionally ranked Macalester today and will play another tomorrow against Loras lest to say at Calvin next weekend.
Quote from: 4samuy on September 16, 2018, 12:04:08 AM
I could argue that there are two at Chicago Koh and Lopez. Koh has 14 points and Lopez 10 and four of the six games that they have played are regionally ranked. West is a great player, but Messiah has not played near the schedule that Chicago has. I get that that West has put 10 in the net, but you also have to look at who you've played and Chicago's sos is by far more difficult than Messiah. Chicago beat regionally ranked Macalester today and will play another tomorrow against Loras lest to say at Calvin next weekend.
You certainly could make that argument, 4samuy, and you did. I've seen the Maroons play a few times last year and this year (just the Trinity game this year), always on video. Obviously that doesn't let me see what I want to see--a player in the context of the whole field and without any blurry images--but, it's enough for me to agree that either Koh (D3soccer.com 1AA in 2917) or Lopez (D3soccer.com forward of the year in 2017) presents the best challenge to my opinion. And, if I hadn't seen West so often these past two years, I would not be offering the opinion I offered. I entirely agree that the eye test and the stats gave both Lopez and Koh the nod over West last year, when West was being used differently and when his supporting cast up front included two D3soccer.com & USC AA's, both of them now graduated (Kirby Robbins and Colby Thomas).
Have you seen him play this year? This year is particularly important, b/c the Falcons are using him very differently than in previous years, whereas to the best of my knowledge the Maroons are using Lopez and Koh no differently than in the past. Had that change not taken place, I wouldn't have said that West is even more dangerous now than in the past. I thought he deserved at least a 3rd team AA nod last year, and he got that from d3soccer.com but not from the USC vote (where he was left out entirely), but probably not higher than that.
This year he doesn't have two AAs sharing the load up front. He's called upon to do more, and he does. I don't merely mean more in a statistical sense, of course, even though that part is evident. Indeed, comparing present numbers for West and the two-headed striker in Chicago, they are about even. 10 G and 23 SOG each, with West taking 9 fewer shots and therefore more efficient. The Maroon striker has 4 A and West 2, but the two-headed man in Chicago can feed himself. As you quite correctly note, however, context is different: Chicago's SOS is a lot higher, and that matters much. Having two great strikers is always better for a team than having one--which is why IMO the Falcons with Wood and Payne in 2013 were better than without Wood in 2014. Chicago in 2018 is probably better than Messiah in 2018, partly for this very reason (the Falcons lost 2 AA forwards from last year)--but maybe they will settle that on the field this time, having not had a chance to do it last year.
As I say, I don't mean West does more in 2018 merely in a statistical sense. I mean in his composure and versatility. I judge those with the eye test, not the numbers. Assessing an earlier game this year, I opined that West is an even more dangerous attacker than POY David McClellan, a MF who led the team to the 2005 title. Many regarded DMac as the most dangerous Falcon attacker in 2004-2005, and IMO he was the most dangerous all-around scorer the Falcons have had in the championship seasons. (Opinions on this will certainly differ. I regard his teammate Kasiguran as the greatest all-around attacker in Falcon history, but he was less of a scorer than DMac even though he was at least equally dangerous 1-v-1 and would get a crucial goal when needed.) DMac could initiate a scoring play from anywhere in the attacking third. He could play with his back to the goal or out on the sideline. He was very mobile, nimble, and put his shots on goal. West IMO is fully the equal of DMac in all of these respects, but West also has a weapon DMac didn't have: blazing speed, which doesn't diminish late in the game: in HS track, he ran 400, 800, and 1600 meters, and he owns the all-time Falcon record in the pre-season mile. So, West can also initiate a scoring play from anywhere on the field. And, he does.
So, the basis for my statement is now clear. I've seen Koh and Lopez play several times. (Seeing them a few more times could potentially adjust my assessments upward. Let me grant that. We all have limited opportunities to see any D3 player, either in live streaming or in person. Isolated highlights help, but nothing substitutes for the real thing.) Prior to West, the most dangerous attacker I've seen in the past five years was probably Mike Ryan of RU-Camden. (Going back another five years, I'd put Terrance Johnson of Stevens in the mix.) I think Ryan and Johnson were better than either Lopez or Koh--certainly they were faster--and I think West is even better than Ryan or Johnson. West is now an extremely dangerous threat in many situations: breakaways, free kicks, headers, with his back to the goal, and 1-v-1 on the wings. We already knew from numerous games against the very best teams in previous years that no one can handle him when he has room on either wing (he's played both sides often). We already knew that his top-end speed can break open a game from near mid-field against the very best defenses--but now he's finishing those plays himself, rather than passing to someone else for the coupe de gras. We would sometimes see him in previous years post a defender up in the box, but now we know he can (like DMac) create plays and score from anywhere inside or outside the box. And, now we know he's a serious threat on free kicks and that he uses his head well on corner kicks. I certainly give Lopez a big margin over West in the air, but nowhere else. And West is unexcelled by anyone I've seen for a very long time at the breakaways--which he can initiate with the ball already at his feet, or by running it down when dumped over the defense. I just don't think Lopez or Koh can do all those things as well as West.
Maybe I'm wrong about West. Maybe he isn't quite as good as I think. It's the eye test I'm using, vs opponents great and small, and he passes it with flying colors. I hope he gets the chance to show it in the Final Four, but the Falcons are re-loading this year and they might not get that far (it's hard to think that Chicago won't). Time will tell.
I actually think Jack Thompson was one of best I've seen in terms of dangerousness. He of course had to share the ball with Payne, Wood etc but he looked impossible to contain off the dribble.
When assessing All-American honors, just remember that it is a year-long award, not a NCAA tournament award. West had an awesome tournament last year, but IMO he was not playing at that level regularly during the regular season--he was good, sometimes great, but not All-American great. But he raised his game in the tournament, playing like a 1st Team AA throughout.
IMO, Jack Thompson never got the honors he deserved. I thought he was the most dangerous, game-changing threat in the 2013 tournament his junior year as he was at his unstoppable best on the wing and off the dribble during that championship run. Nick West's 2017 tournament was reminiscent of Jack Thompson in 2013, but Thompson, who didn't have the blazing speed of West, had more "trickery" in his tool bag than West and IMO was a more complete, multi-faceted player. The other thing about Jack Thompson is that he played at a level that deserved AA consideration for three full years after a decent freshman season. IMO, West has performed at an AA level on something approaching a consistent basis only in November 2017 and now in the first half of September 2018.
And that's not a knock on Nick West. I'm a huge fan. As the target/center-forward, he has exceeded my expectations as I didn't think the center would best suite him and his skill-set. I may have underestimated what he brought to the table and/or maybe he has expanded his game. I think Messiah has smartly adjusted their approach as well to take advantage of West's strengths. That said, Messiah hasn't played the toughest schedule so far and against their strongest opponent, Cortland State, West wasn't as dangerous and didn't score. Now that may be partially due to it being the season opener and being played in less than ideal conditions. But it's against that level opponent that he will need to prove his worth. He's had an awesome run of games here in early September, but it's a little too early to try to assess how he stacks up to other top strikers around the nation. Chicago's forward duo, for example, has played a better strength of schedule not just so far this year, but in previous years, and have earned their status. I'm looking forward to West earning his due over the course of the season as he, more importantly, helps Messiah pursue another championship.
It's just WAY TOO EARLY to basically be having the discussion about who will/should be pronounced the best forward in the country (i.e. NPOY). There simply isn't enough data available yet for anyone to support their opinions (and I have my own). So this is just all opinion supported by opinion. At this early point in the season its like flipping a coin four times and heads comes up three times...and you pronounce heads the NPOY because...well...tails just didn't show up. That's mathematically/statistically nuts. With such a small sample size you simply have no opportunity to overcome randomness. So I think this discussion is completely and extremely premature. I suggest we all just sit back and enjoy watching the season unfold and the numbers will speak for themselves (and I don't believe that number of goals should be THE determining factor for NPOY). Some names will continue to perform and some will fade as new names emerge. Sit back, watch and enjoy. And in the meantime...just flip a coin.
Another player to watch is sophomore from lynchburg Abibi. He had a spectacular bicycle kick goal against Dickinson. 5 goals on 14 shots in 5 games and 2 assists. Team total is 10 goals. Team is undefeated so far. I was impressed with him but only watched half a game.
Quote from: Falconer on September 16, 2018, 11:27:08 AM
Quote from: 4samuy on September 16, 2018, 12:04:08 AM
I could argue that there are two at Chicago Koh and Lopez. Koh has 14 points and Lopez 10 and four of the six games that they have played are regionally ranked. West is a great player, but Messiah has not played near the schedule that Chicago has. I get that that West has put 10 in the net, but you also have to look at who you've played and Chicago's sos is by far more difficult than Messiah. Chicago beat regionally ranked Macalester today and will play another tomorrow against Loras lest to say at Calvin next weekend.
You certainly could make that argument, 4samuy, and you did. I've seen the Maroons play a few times last year and this year (just the Trinity game this year), always on video. Obviously that doesn't let me see what I want to see--a player in the context of the whole field and without any blurry images--but, it's enough for me to agree that either Koh (D3soccer.com 1AA in 2917) or Lopez (D3soccer.com forward of the year in 2017) presents the best challenge to my opinion. And, if I hadn't seen West so often these past two years, I would not be offering the opinion I offered. I entirely agree that the eye test and the stats gave both Lopez and Koh the nod over West last year, when West was being used differently and when his supporting cast up front included two D3soccer.com & USC AA's, both of them now graduated (Kirby Robbins and Colby Thomas).
Have you seen him play this year? This year is particularly important, b/c the Falcons are using him very differently than in previous years, whereas to the best of my knowledge the Maroons are using Lopez and Koh no differently than in the past. Had that change not taken place, I wouldn't have said that West is even more dangerous now than in the past. I thought he deserved at least a 3rd team AA nod last year, and he got that from d3soccer.com but not from the USC vote (where he was left out entirely), but probably not higher than that.
This year he doesn't have two AAs sharing the load up front. He's called upon to do more, and he does. I don't merely mean more in a statistical sense, of course, even though that part is evident. Indeed, comparing present numbers for West and the two-headed striker in Chicago, they are about even. 10 G and 23 SOG each, with West taking 9 fewer shots and therefore more efficient. The Maroon striker has 4 A and West 2, but the two-headed man in Chicago can feed himself. As you quite correctly note, however, context is different: Chicago's SOS is a lot higher, and that matters much. Having two great strikers is always better for a team than having one--which is why IMO the Falcons with Wood and Payne in 2013 were better than without Wood in 2014. Chicago in 2018 is probably better than Messiah in 2018, partly for this very reason (the Falcons lost 2 AA forwards from last year)--but maybe they will settle that on the field this time, having not had a chance to do it last year.
As I say, I don't mean West does more in 2018 merely in a statistical sense. I mean in his composure and versatility. I judge those with the eye test, not the numbers. Assessing an earlier game this year, I opined that West is an even more dangerous attacker than POY David McClellan, a MF who led the team to the 2005 title. Many regarded DMac as the most dangerous Falcon attacker in 2004-2005, and IMO he was the most dangerous all-around scorer the Falcons have had in the championship seasons. (Opinions on this will certainly differ. I regard his teammate Kasiguran as the greatest all-around attacker in Falcon history, but he was less of a scorer than DMac even though he was at least equally dangerous 1-v-1 and would get a crucial goal when needed.) DMac could initiate a scoring play from anywhere in the attacking third. He could play with his back to the goal or out on the sideline. He was very mobile, nimble, and put his shots on goal. West IMO is fully the equal of DMac in all of these respects, but West also has a weapon DMac didn't have: blazing speed, which doesn't diminish late in the game: in HS track, he ran 400, 800, and 1600 meters, and he owns the all-time Falcon record in the pre-season mile. So, West can also initiate a scoring play from anywhere on the field. And, he does.
So, the basis for my statement is now clear. I've seen Koh and Lopez play several times. (Seeing them a few more times could potentially adjust my assessments upward. Let me grant that. We all have limited opportunities to see any D3 player, either in live streaming or in person. Isolated highlights help, but nothing substitutes for the real thing.) Prior to West, the most dangerous attacker I've seen in the past five years was probably Mike Ryan of RU-Camden. (Going back another five years, I'd put Terrance Johnson of Stevens in the mix.) I think Ryan and Johnson were better than either Lopez or Koh--certainly they were faster--and I think West is even better than Ryan or Johnson. West is now an extremely dangerous threat in many situations: breakaways, free kicks, headers, with his back to the goal, and 1-v-1 on the wings. We already knew from numerous games against the very best teams in previous years that no one can handle him when he has room on either wing (he's played both sides often). We already knew that his top-end speed can break open a game from near mid-field against the very best defenses--but now he's finishing those plays himself, rather than passing to someone else for the coupe de gras. We would sometimes see him in previous years post a defender up in the box, but now we know he can (like DMac) create plays and score from anywhere inside or outside the box. And, now we know he's a serious threat on free kicks and that he uses his head well on corner kicks. I certainly give Lopez a big margin over West in the air, but nowhere else. And West is unexcelled by anyone I've seen for a very long time at the breakaways--which he can initiate with the ball already at his feet, or by running it down when dumped over the defense. I just don't think Lopez or Koh can do all those things as well as West.
Maybe I'm wrong about West. Maybe he isn't quite as good as I think. It's the eye test I'm using, vs opponents great and small, and he passes it with flying colors. I hope he gets the chance to show it in the Final Four, but the Falcons are re-loading this year and they might not get that far (it's hard to think that Chicago won't). Time will tell.
West is awesome and could very well be the nation's highest scorer this year. Problem with your comparisons are that you clearly have not seen enough of Lopez and Koh. There's no one better in the air in the nation than Lopez over last 3 years, about half his goals have been headers in that time. Anyone who has seen Koh in person knows that he's the fastest player on any pitch he's on. They timed his 40 last year and he ran about 4.3. He is uncoverable one-on-one, ask any coach who has faced him. The initial quickness burst is head shaking, fastest I've seen in 10 years. Lopez has underrated athleticism and canny touch, his backheel goal versus Loras tonight happened so fast that if you blinked, you missed it.
This is all to say that all three are amazing players. I wouldn't use one to denigrate attributes of the others. These guys are the cream of the crop and we can respect everything they bring to the table.
Cserhat from Drew will also probably be in the discussion. AA as a freshman last season. 6 goals 3 assists so far this season
Bluejay,
Any link to the backheel goal? I think Lopez is the nastiest striker especially in the air but West is a BEAST up top for Messiah.
Quote from: blue_jays on September 16, 2018, 09:39:21 PM
Quote from: Falconer on September 16, 2018, 11:27:08 AM
Quote from: 4samuy on September 16, 2018, 12:04:08 AM
I could argue that there are two at Chicago Koh and Lopez. Koh has 14 points and Lopez 10 and four of the six games that they have played are regionally ranked. West is a great player, but Messiah has not played near the schedule that Chicago has. I get that that West has put 10 in the net, but you also have to look at who you've played and Chicago's sos is by far more difficult than Messiah. Chicago beat regionally ranked Macalester today and will play another tomorrow against Loras lest to say at Calvin next weekend.
You certainly could make that argument, 4samuy, and you did. I've seen the Maroons play a few times last year and this year (just the Trinity game this year), always on video. Obviously that doesn't let me see what I want to see--a player in the context of the whole field and without any blurry images--but, it's enough for me to agree that either Koh (D3soccer.com 1AA in 2917) or Lopez (D3soccer.com forward of the year in 2017) presents the best challenge to my opinion. And, if I hadn't seen West so often these past two years, I would not be offering the opinion I offered. I entirely agree that the eye test and the stats gave both Lopez and Koh the nod over West last year, when West was being used differently and when his supporting cast up front included two D3soccer.com & USC AA's, both of them now graduated (Kirby Robbins and Colby Thomas).
Have you seen him play this year? This year is particularly important, b/c the Falcons are using him very differently than in previous years, whereas to the best of my knowledge the Maroons are using Lopez and Koh no differently than in the past. Had that change not taken place, I wouldn't have said that West is even more dangerous now than in the past. I thought he deserved at least a 3rd team AA nod last year, and he got that from d3soccer.com but not from the USC vote (where he was left out entirely), but probably not higher than that.
This year he doesn't have two AAs sharing the load up front. He's called upon to do more, and he does. I don't merely mean more in a statistical sense, of course, even though that part is evident. Indeed, comparing present numbers for West and the two-headed striker in Chicago, they are about even. 10 G and 23 SOG each, with West taking 9 fewer shots and therefore more efficient. The Maroon striker has 4 A and West 2, but the two-headed man in Chicago can feed himself. As you quite correctly note, however, context is different: Chicago's SOS is a lot higher, and that matters much. Having two great strikers is always better for a team than having one--which is why IMO the Falcons with Wood and Payne in 2013 were better than without Wood in 2014. Chicago in 2018 is probably better than Messiah in 2018, partly for this very reason (the Falcons lost 2 AA forwards from last year)--but maybe they will settle that on the field this time, having not had a chance to do it last year.
As I say, I don't mean West does more in 2018 merely in a statistical sense. I mean in his composure and versatility. I judge those with the eye test, not the numbers. Assessing an earlier game this year, I opined that West is an even more dangerous attacker than POY David McClellan, a MF who led the team to the 2005 title. Many regarded DMac as the most dangerous Falcon attacker in 2004-2005, and IMO he was the most dangerous all-around scorer the Falcons have had in the championship seasons. (Opinions on this will certainly differ. I regard his teammate Kasiguran as the greatest all-around attacker in Falcon history, but he was less of a scorer than DMac even though he was at least equally dangerous 1-v-1 and would get a crucial goal when needed.) DMac could initiate a scoring play from anywhere in the attacking third. He could play with his back to the goal or out on the sideline. He was very mobile, nimble, and put his shots on goal. West IMO is fully the equal of DMac in all of these respects, but West also has a weapon DMac didn't have: blazing speed, which doesn't diminish late in the game: in HS track, he ran 400, 800, and 1600 meters, and he owns the all-time Falcon record in the pre-season mile. So, West can also initiate a scoring play from anywhere on the field. And, he does.
So, the basis for my statement is now clear. I've seen Koh and Lopez play several times. (Seeing them a few more times could potentially adjust my assessments upward. Let me grant that. We all have limited opportunities to see any D3 player, either in live streaming or in person. Isolated highlights help, but nothing substitutes for the real thing.) Prior to West, the most dangerous attacker I've seen in the past five years was probably Mike Ryan of RU-Camden. (Going back another five years, I'd put Terrance Johnson of Stevens in the mix.) I think Ryan and Johnson were better than either Lopez or Koh--certainly they were faster--and I think West is even better than Ryan or Johnson. West is now an extremely dangerous threat in many situations: breakaways, free kicks, headers, with his back to the goal, and 1-v-1 on the wings. We already knew from numerous games against the very best teams in previous years that no one can handle him when he has room on either wing (he's played both sides often). We already knew that his top-end speed can break open a game from near mid-field against the very best defenses--but now he's finishing those plays himself, rather than passing to someone else for the coupe de gras. We would sometimes see him in previous years post a defender up in the box, but now we know he can (like DMac) create plays and score from anywhere inside or outside the box. And, now we know he's a serious threat on free kicks and that he uses his head well on corner kicks. I certainly give Lopez a big margin over West in the air, but nowhere else. And West is unexcelled by anyone I've seen for a very long time at the breakaways--which he can initiate with the ball already at his feet, or by running it down when dumped over the defense. I just don't think Lopez or Koh can do all those things as well as West.
Maybe I'm wrong about West. Maybe he isn't quite as good as I think. It's the eye test I'm using, vs opponents great and small, and he passes it with flying colors. I hope he gets the chance to show it in the Final Four, but the Falcons are re-loading this year and they might not get that far (it's hard to think that Chicago won't). Time will tell.
West is awesome and could very well be the nation's highest scorer this year. Problem with your comparisons are that you clearly have not seen enough of Lopez and Koh. There's no one better in the air in the nation than Lopez over last 3 years, about half his goals have been headers in that time. Anyone who has seen Koh in person knows that he's the fastest player on any pitch he's on. They timed his 40 last year and he ran about 4.3. He is uncoverable one-on-one, ask any coach who has faced him. The initial quickness burst is head shaking, fastest I've seen in 10 years. Lopez has underrated athleticism and canny touch, his backheel goal versus Loras tonight happened so fast that if you blinked, you missed it.
This is all to say that all three are amazing players. I wouldn't use one to denigrate attributes of the others. These guys are the cream of the crop and we can respect everything they bring to the table.
I find a 4.3 40 hard to believe. That's up there with the fastest NFL players. 4.5 maybe plausible. Track star and running back on my sons high school football team ran 4.45 and he was nasty fast. Not knocking his speed but I doubt 4.3 speed
Video of West's goal vs EMU is now up: https://gomessiah.com/index.aspx?path=msoc&tab=soccer
This type of goal--running parallel to the goal, outside the box, hitting a rocket dead on target--is one of the types of goals that West is now showcasing, given the new ways in which he's being used. I dare say he scores that particular goal vs any team, whether EMU (who has an excellent keeper) or Tufts or Chicago. The opponent doesn't matter. Images of the same thing from DMac are burned in my brain. This is one of the reasons I compared West to DMac. Just want to clarify what I meant, when I said that West is like DMac PLUS top end speed and what that brings. He can do everything DMac could do, and more. And, IMO DMac was the best all-around striker Messiah has had in the championship years.
(I might also say that Matt Bills was the best target Messiah has had in the same period. He was probably stronger than any of the others, except perhaps Josh Wood; he was fast enough, but nothing like West; and, he shot the ball consistently harder than any other Falcon I've seen. He was a classic target--stay in or near the box, even though he also could and did attack from further out. Whereas DMac was really a MF, not a F. I'm using "target" here to mean a box-based forward who loves to play with his back to the goal and receive the ball in or near the box rather than to go get the ball somewhere else and initiate a scoring play from there.)
Quote from: Falconer on September 17, 2018, 12:31:38 PM
Video of West's goal vs EMU is now up: https://gomessiah.com/index.aspx?path=msoc&tab=soccer
This type of goal--running parallel to the goal, outside the box, hitting a rocket dead on target--is one of the types of goals that West is now showcasing, given the new ways in which he's being used. I dare say he scores that particular goal vs any team, whether EMU (who has an excellent keeper) or Tufts or Chicago. The opponent doesn't matter. Images of the same thing from DMac are burned in my brain. This is one of the reasons I compared West to DMac. Just want to clarify what I meant, when I said that West is like DMac PLUS top end speed and what that brings. He can do everything DMac could do, and more. And, IMO DMac was the best all-around striker Messiah has had in the championship years.
(I might also say that Matt Bills was the best target Messiah has had in the same period. He was probably stronger than any of the others, except perhaps Josh Wood; he was fast enough, but nothing like West; and, he shot the ball consistently harder than any other Falcon I've seen. He was a classic target--stay in or near the box, even though he also could and did attack from further out. Whereas DMac was really a MF, not a F. I'm using "target" here to mean a box-based forward who loves to play with his back to the goal and receive the ball in or near the box rather than to go get the ball somewhere else and initiate a scoring play from there.)
But I didn't play soccer for Messiah. I played for Goucher. I appreciate your compliments on my abilities, though I mainly played goalie, I just didn't realize you were paying attention to DIII soccer during my playing days.
Thank you again .. but Goucher, not Messiah. :)
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on September 17, 2018, 01:18:18 PM
Quote from: Falconer on September 17, 2018, 12:31:38 PM
Video of West's goal vs EMU is now up: https://gomessiah.com/index.aspx?path=msoc&tab=soccer
This type of goal--running parallel to the goal, outside the box, hitting a rocket dead on target--is one of the types of goals that West is now showcasing, given the new ways in which he's being used. I dare say he scores that particular goal vs any team, whether EMU (who has an excellent keeper) or Tufts or Chicago. The opponent doesn't matter. Images of the same thing from DMac are burned in my brain. This is one of the reasons I compared West to DMac. Just want to clarify what I meant, when I said that West is like DMac PLUS top end speed and what that brings. He can do everything DMac could do, and more. And, IMO DMac was the best all-around striker Messiah has had in the championship years.
(I might also say that Matt Bills was the best target Messiah has had in the same period. He was probably stronger than any of the others, except perhaps Josh Wood; he was fast enough, but nothing like West; and, he shot the ball consistently harder than any other Falcon I've seen. He was a classic target--stay in or near the box, even though he also could and did attack from further out. Whereas DMac was really a MF, not a F. I'm using "target" here to mean a box-based forward who loves to play with his back to the goal and receive the ball in or near the box rather than to go get the ball somewhere else and initiate a scoring play from there.)
But I didn't play soccer for Messiah. I played for Goucher. I appreciate your compliments on my abilities, though I mainly played goalie, I just didn't realize you were paying attention to DIII soccer during my playing days.
Thank you again .. but Goucher, not Messiah. :)
My bad, DMac, my bad. A big one, too. Thanks for catching it. ;D
LOL All good ... just wanted a good chuckle on this Monday morning. :)
Looking to tomorrow's rankings here is how I would slate the region
MAF Week 2 Rankings
1. Messiah (5-0-1)
2. F&M (5-0-1)
3. Lycoming (5-1-1)
4. Hopkins (5-2-0)
5. Muhles (3-1-1)
6. Dickinson (3-2-1)
7. Haverford (3-2-0)
8. Drew (5-2-0)
9. Keystone (5-2-0)
10. Scranton (2-2-2)
Others: Catholic (3-1-0), Eastern (4-2-0), LVC (3-2-0), Gettysburg (2-2-1), Wesley (6-0-0), Moravian (3-2-1)
Little late to the party but here is how I see it...the region is starting to fill out and the top teams are separating themselves. Plenty of blemishes already!
Shooter's Power 10
1. Messiah (5-0-1)
2. F&M (6-0-1)
3. Lycoming (5-1-1)
4. Hopkins (5-2-0)
5. Drew (6-2-0)
6. Dickinson (4-2-1)
7. Muhles (3-1-2)
8. Scranton (2-2-2)
9. Gettysburg (3-2-1)
10. Keystone (5-2-0)
HM: Eastern (4-2-0), Catholic (3-2-0), Fords (3-3-0), Manhattanville (5-2-0)
Another game, and another goal for Nick West--the only one of the night, as the Falcons and Spartans battled hard in the midfield throughout. Neither team is a stranger to the other. Defenders on both sides knew where to go, to steal passes or block shots. Both teams were dangerous now and then--York hit on or near the corner of the frame deep into the second half, and Messiah had some golden opportunities snuffed out by hustling defenders. Messiah wins, 1-0.
West's goal came on a direct kick, after he was pushed down from behind while creating an opening just outside the box. It was a hard intentional foul to prevent a scoring opportunity, yet no card was given. Justice prevailed, as he got up and buried the free kick. He's now scored in every game except the opener, and almost all of his goals are highlight reels. He now leads the nation with 11 goals--and the Falcons needed him to carry them tonight, given the intensity of the defensive effort by York--my hat's off to them.
York has a 6'5" sophomore striker. If he were faster or bulkier, he could be really dangerous, but tonight he mostly ran around without the ball looking for the odd defender to run over. When he did get the ball, he was usually too far from the goal to give me heartburn. My indigestion appeared when a Spartan on the other end of the measuring stick had the ball on the outside. York has a mighty mite, a little waterbug of a player who gave the Falcons fits several times--their version of David Alejos, except that he does more moving forward than from side to side. A dangerous attacker who finds the ball and does something with it. With tenacious defenders and the ability to get the ball into the box, I predict they start winning more games going forward, and if they make their conference playoff they won't be the team you want to play next.
That was a nice strike by West with pace. I saw it on the live stream and the replay, but couldn't determine whether it went thru a hole in the wall. Didn't look as if it went over the wall, but it could have. Play by play guys didn't seem to be sure. Any thoughts?
You noticed the York player because he is so tall, other than that he did nothing in the 2 games I saw him play. People focus in so much on height, but the reality is that you also need to have skill.
Messiah coach McCarty is closing in on 200 wins in just his 10th year as head coach. I believe he is at 196 now. Perhaps coach Brandt got to 200 in less games but not sure. I doubt any other men's soccer coaches have reached 200 as quickly. Perhaps flying weasel would have these stats? Falconer any idea? Averaging over 20 wins a year is ridiculous.
Edit: found this on coach Brandt in Hope College profile
"He reached the 200-win mark faster than any other coach in NCAA history — doing so in 2006 in 220 matches over a span of 10 seasons."
Quote from: 4samuy on September 20, 2018, 09:45:05 PM
That was a nice strike by West with pace. I saw it on the live stream and the replay, but couldn't determine whether it went thru a hole in the wall. Didn't look as if it went over the wall, but it could have. Play by play guys didn't seem to be sure. Any thoughts?
You can see it again yourself here: https://gomessiah.com/index.aspx?path=msoc&tab=soccer
As the voice says, West kicked the ball over the wall and into the corner.
Don't really know what to expect from Misericordia on Saturday, when the Falcons visit them. They have given Messiah tough games recently, a 1-1 tie in 2016 on their turf and a Falcon 1-0 2 OT win at home in 2017. Their record this year is just 1-4-1, but two of the losses were by one goal to Salisbury and RU-C, and the tie was 1-1 in 2 OT at Scranton. On the other hand, they got hammered 4-0 at LVC.
Turf rarely helps the Falcons' one-touch game, so I anticipate a close contest in terms of scoring.
Right after playing Messiah, Misericordia plays Lycoming, DeSales, and Dickinson. That's 3 out of 4 tournament teams from last year. I credit them for reaching high.
I forgot to give game balls in my commentary on last night's contest with York. They go to (in order) MF Luis Plaza for nearly total control of the field, RB Joe King for fearless and effective play on both ends of the field, and Nick West for bringing home the bacon. Jonathan Groothoof seemed to be everywhere, almost always in the right place at the right time, b/c he put himself there. Honorable mention.
It was really good finally to see Cooper Robbins play for the first time since the Final Four. He almost scored from far out and made his presence known as their most experienced CB. I don't know what will happen to the lineup, once he is fit enough to start (he didn't start yesterday), but seeing how well the two freshmen have played at CB (Luke Grootoff and Reid Ruark), I wouldn't be shocked if Luke moves up front somewhere while Reid stays in the back alongside Robbins. With his speed and skill set, he has the potential to be an electrifying presence in the attacking third. I hope we have some chances to see what he can do there soon. Otherwise perhaps we'll have to wait another year...
Thanks Falconer.
Quote from: Falconer on September 21, 2018, 02:32:37 PM
I forgot to give game balls in my commentary on last night's contest with York. They go to (in order) MF Luis Plaza for nearly total control of the field, RB Joe King for fearless and effective play on both ends of the field, and Nick West for bringing home the bacon. Jonathan Groothoof seemed to be everywhere, almost always in the right place at the right time, b/c he put himself there. Honorable mention.
It was really good finally to see Cooper Robbins play for the first time since the Final Four. He almost scored from far out and made his presence known as their most experienced CB. I don't know what will happen to the lineup, once he is fit enough to start (he didn't start yesterday), but seeing how well the two freshmen have played at CB (Luke Grootoff and Reid Ruark), I wouldn't be shocked if Luke moves up front somewhere while Reid stays in the back alongside Robbins. With his speed and skill set, he has the potential to be an electrifying presence in the attacking third. I hope we have some chances to see what he can do there soon. Otherwise perhaps we'll have to wait another year...
I was thinking the same thing regarding Luke Groothoff and Cooper. Reid has been excellent so I could see Luke moving up the spine when Cooper returns full-time at CB. I also agree that Joe has been fantastic at right back.
Messiah defeated Misericordia, 4-1. West got the first and last goals--and (I think) also got woodwork on what would have been a great goal, but it stream wasn't clear enough to be sure it was him. Misericordia got a nice goal on a counter to tie it early in the second half, before Messiah turned it on.
Following the Thursday's game with York, I noted that Cooper Robbins played significant minutes while not starting, and once he was fully back they might put Luke Grootoff further up. They did today. Cooper started, and Luke was an attacking MF, and he scored his first two goals for Messiah. The first, a header off a rebound on a corner kick, might represent the first Falcon goal on a corner since some point in 2016. I haven't seen all of the goals this season, so I can't be sure. But, they had zero goals on corners all last year and so far this year I don't remember another one. Luke scored again a few minutes later with his feet on another rebound. His presence up front is obviously felt immediately. This is a good sign for Messiah: Nick West has some reliable scoring help.
Johns Hopkins fall to Gettysburg 2-1 in overtime. Played the majority of the game down a man after sophomore Creedon picked up a red card in the first half -- unnecessary hard foul in the middle of the park. Freshmen doing all the scoring for Gettysburg. Hopkins fall to 5-3. Very unlike the Hopkins teams we've become accustomed to.
Quote from: Falconer on September 22, 2018, 05:29:47 PM
Messiah defeated Misericordia, 4-1. West got the first and last goals--and (I think) also got woodwork on what would have been a great goal, but it stream wasn't clear enough to be sure it was him. Misericordia got a nice goal on a counter to tie it early in the second half, before Messiah turned it on.
Following the Thursday's game with York, I noted that Cooper Robbins played significant minutes while not starting, and once he was fully back they might put Luke Grootoff further up. They did today. Cooper started, and Luke was an attacking MF, and he scored his first two goals for Messiah. The first, a header off a rebound on a corner kick, might represent the first Falcon goal on a corner since some point in 2016. I haven't seen all of the goals this season, so I can't be sure. But, they had zero goals on corners all last year and so far this year I don't remember another one. Luke scored again a few minutes later with his feet on another rebound. His presence up front is obviously felt immediately. This is a good sign for Messiah: Nick West has some reliable scoring help.
L. Groothoff played most, if not all, of the game on Saturday at defensive mid.
Quote from: D3soccerwatcher on September 23, 2018, 11:10:02 PM
Quote from: Falconer on September 22, 2018, 05:29:47 PM
Messiah defeated Misericordia, 4-1. West got the first and last goals--and (I think) also got woodwork on what would have been a great goal, but it stream wasn't clear enough to be sure it was him. Misericordia got a nice goal on a counter to tie it early in the second half, before Messiah turned it on.
Following the Thursday's game with York, I noted that Cooper Robbins played significant minutes while not starting, and once he was fully back they might put Luke Grootoff further up. They did today. Cooper started, and Luke was an attacking MF, and he scored his first two goals for Messiah. The first, a header off a rebound on a corner kick, might represent the first Falcon goal on a corner since some point in 2016. I haven't seen all of the goals this season, so I can't be sure. But, they had zero goals on corners all last year and so far this year I don't remember another one. Luke scored again a few minutes later with his feet on another rebound. His presence up front is obviously felt immediately. This is a good sign for Messiah: Nick West has some reliable scoring help.
L. Groothoff played most, if not all, of the game on Saturday at defensive mid.
I'm obliged for the correction. On my screen, the images of players were small and unclear. I could tell that some of them were wearing single digit numbers, but rarely could I see the numbers well enough to read them. I knew that Luke scored those two goals only b/c the PA announcer said so--that's how bad it was on my end. I could see that on the first goal (header) he was immediately in front of the goal, and on the second he was only a few yards away. Hence, I inferred that he played attacking MF. I certainly couldn't tell (most of the time) exactly who was touching the ball in various parts of the field, though it's not hard to differentiate between some of the men on the back line and other men further upfield. I knew Groothoof wasn't on the back line--the first time in his career that he didn't start there.
So here is how the region sits in my eyes after this past weekend of play.
Shooters Power Rankings
1. Messiah (7-0-1)--The clear number 1 in the region w/the Marshmellow Bowl up next up for the Falcons
2. F&M (7-0-1)--Close behind Messiah after a nice win vs the Fords. Doesn't get any easier with Dickinson up next
3. Lycoming (6-1-1)--Quietly off to a nice start with an impressive win vs Christopher Newport. Next up is Misericordia
4. Drew (7-2-0)--Drew is on a nice streak with NYU up next
5. Dickinson (5-2-1)--Big game coming up next w/F&M
6. Hopkins (5-3-0)--Trending in the wrong direction w/back to back losses. Next up is Washington College
7. Gettysburg (4-2-1)--Trending up after a nice win vs Hopkins. Next up is McDaniel
8. Catholic (4-2-0)--Strong showing vs Scranton and a nice rebound win. Next 3 games will prove challenging w/Sailsbury, Drew and St. Marys.
9. Eastern (5-2-0)--Strength of schedule is the biggest concern for the Eagles but slowly trending up. Next up is LVC
10. Muhlenberg (3-2-2)--Trending down and haven't won in their last 4 games. Next up is Haverford in a battle of 2 desperate teams
Others: Manhattanville (6-2-0), LVC (4-3-0), Moravian (4-2-2), Swat (5-3-0)
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on September 24, 2018, 03:06:04 PM
So here is how the region sits in my eyes after this past weekend of play.
Shooters Power Rankings
1. Messiah (7-0-1)--The clear number 1 in the region w/the Marshmellow Bowl up next up for the Falcons
2. F&M (7-0-1)--Close behind Messiah after a nice win vs the Fords. Doesn't get any easier with Dickinson up next
3. Lycoming (6-1-1)--Quietly off to a nice start with an impressive win vs Christopher Newport. Next up is Misericordia
4. Drew (7-2-0)--Drew is on a nice streak with NYU up next
5. Dickinson (5-2-1)--Big game coming up next w/F&M
6. Hopkins (5-3-0)--Trending in the wrong direction w/back to back losses. Next up is Washington College
7. Gettysburg (4-2-1)--Trending up after a nice win vs Hopkins. Next up is McDaniel
8. Catholic (4-2-0)--Strong showing vs Scranton and a nice rebound win. Next 3 games will prove challenging w/Sailsbury, Drew and St. Marys.
9. Eastern (5-2-0)--Strength of schedule is the biggest concern for the Eagles but slowly trending up. Next up is LVC
10. Muhlenberg (3-2-2)--Trending down and haven't won in their last 4 games. Next up is Haverford in a battle of 2 desperate teams
Others: Manhattanville (6-2-0), LVC (4-3-0), Moravian (4-2-2), Swat (5-3-0)
Watch York. Seeing both Dickinson and York play Messiah I would say York is a much stronger and dangerous team. They have great team speed and conditioning. They have losses to Messiah , Hopkins and Eastern. I would much prefer to play Dickinson in NCAA tourney than York.
Quote from: rudy on September 24, 2018, 04:56:07 PM
Watch York. Seeing both Dickinson and York play Messiah I would say York is a much stronger and dangerous team. They have great team speed and conditioning. They have losses to Messiah , Hopkins and Eastern. I would much prefer to play Dickinson in NCAA tourney than York.
Dickinson has a much better striker, but otherwise I echo Rudy's sentiments. York is going to start beating some teams that on paper are a rung or two above them. They looked more athletic and better organized than Dickinson. Of course, perhaps they just had a good day and Dickinson didn't, but I'm going with York over Dickinson if they were to go head to head.
York is in the South Atlantic Region as well as PSU Harrisburg which I corrected myself earlier in the year by adding them to this region conversation ::)
I am thinking we will see this:
MAF Top 10
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Lycoming
4. Dickinson
5. Hopkins
6. Drew
7. Gettysburg
8. Eastern
9. Muhlenberg
10. Catholic
Others: Manhattanville, Moravian, LVC, Swat
Surprised that Haverford is not getting a little more love. of its 4 loses, two were in terrible weather, playing on small turf fields. Neither is conducive to its ball control style. Beat Hopkins and lost to F&M in OT. Not saying this team is final four material, but still should be considered a contender in the Centennial Conference. Not bad for a new coach. Wednesday's game against Muhlenberg should give us a sense of how they stack up in this competitive league.
Quote from: daddyEzK on September 25, 2018, 01:59:39 PM
Surprised that Haverford is not getting a little more love. ... Beat Hopkins and lost to F&M in OT.
Agreed... watching Saturday's FM vs. Haverford game gave a real sense of how close the game was, despite the outcome. And what's with the boxscore of that game? While it was a defensive/possession oriented game, there are missing stats in the play by play - shots and saves by both teams not noted it appears.
No Marshmallow Cup this year!!! :'(
For the first time in 37 years, rivals Messiah and Elizabethtown will not play each other (field conditions after more rain Tuesday) unless somehow E-town would win the Landmark and meet the Falcons in the NCAA tournament. Their 2014 match was suspended due to lightning in the second half before reaching the 70th minute and was not able to be resumed, therefore going in the books as "no contest", but they did play each other--just not for the full 90 minutes. That was the year Elizabethtown had joined the Landmark Conference, so it was a non-conference match and did not need to be made up. For the 31 years prior to that they were conference rivals, playing at minimum a regular season game each year.
Now, what am I supposed to do with a dozen bags of marshmallows (and three disappointed kids)?!?!?!
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 26, 2018, 11:20:28 AM
No Marshmallow Cup this year!!! :'(
Now, what am I supposed to do with a dozen bags of marshmallows (and three disappointed kids)?!?!?!
You are not that far from Hershey ... need I say s'more? ;)
Quote from: TwoLeftFeet on September 26, 2018, 04:02:58 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 26, 2018, 11:20:28 AM
No Marshmallow Cup this year!!! :'(
Now, what am I supposed to do with a dozen bags of marshmallows (and three disappointed kids)?!?!?!
You are not that far from Hershey ... need I say s'more? ;)
Well played!
First MAC conference game for Messiah and Hood tonight at 730. Hood off to a hot start at 6-1-1with their own version of Nick west as Clay Smith has 11 goals and 4 assists. Could be a competitive game in Grantham.
Well Clay did not play for unknown reasons. From Messiah side this looked to be the first time this group of starters were all healthy and playing together. Midfield with Luke Groothoff, Justin, and Samuel. Wingers David Alejos and Jonny Groothof with Nick West at top. Then back 4 Joe King, Reid Ruark, Cooper Robbins and Shay. This lineup looked strong and aggressive. Subs also came on and played energized with Mica Fitz and Brit Hastletine standing out to me. Most shots and goals in a game this year against a team that had only let up 4 goals all season. The Hopkins game this week will be very interesting to see how this lineup does against a tournament level team on the road on turf I believe.
Hopkins is a turf field.
Nice results over the weekend for Swat, Eastern, Drew, Hopkins, LVC, Kings
Expected results from Messiah, Lyco, F&M (tied), Dickinson
Gettysburg faces off with Haverford today at 2pm.
Messiah travels to Hopkins on Monday night in what looks to be the game of the year thus far for this region and has critical implications for the region. Game time is set for 7pm.
If I had my crack at it I would predict Messiah pulls this one out 3-1 despite being on the road with a turf surface. Nick West and the now healthy Falcons will prove to be too much for a struggling Hopkins side that will throw everything they can at the Falcons. 1-1 at halftime followed by an early second half goal from Messiah. As JHU pushes to tie it Messiah will seal it with a counter hence a 3-1 prediction. This is a must watch game for anyone who has the time!
I caught the 1st Half of Messiah's match with Hood. I thought Hood and its GK played well for the first 20 minutes but once Messiah broke thru the floodgates opened. I thought Messiah looked really solid but the kid Joe King might be a weakness for opponents to go after and attack / press. Under pressure he gave the ball away at least 3-4 times last night. Obviously, he is a solid player but maybe a bit suspect and someone Hopkins might want to go at. I believe he was the RB last night.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 30, 2018, 12:45:07 PM
Nice results over the weekend for Swat, Eastern, Drew, Hopkins, LVC, Kings
Expected results from Messiah, Lyco, F&M (tied), Dickinson
Gettysburg faces off with Haverford today at 2pm.
Messiah travels to Hopkins on Monday night in what looks to be the game of the year thus far for this region and has critical implications for the region. Game time is set for 7pm.
If I had my crack at it I would predict Messiah pulls this one out 3-1 despite being on the road with a turf surface. Nick West and the now healthy Falcons will prove to be too much for a struggling Hopkins side that will throw everything they can at the Falcons. 1-1 at halftime followed by an early second half goal from Messiah. As JHU pushes to tie it Messiah will seal it with a counter hence a 3-1 prediction. This is a must watch game for anyone who has the time!
Last year's game in Grantham was a barnburner most of the way, with Hopkins actually outplaying the Falcons in stretches. There are at least three important changes from last year. (1) The Falcons generally don't play as well on turf (as you obviously know, MAF). (2) Nick West has emerged as perhaps the most dangerous attacker in D3 (as I have argued elsewhere; with better luck, he could have scored 4 goals instead of just 2 vs Hood last night). (3) Hopkins lost to graduation the man I regarded as the best keeper in D3 (lots of people shared that opinion, since he was voted 1st team AA). This is soccer and anything can happen on any given day, but I think (2) and (3) are larger factors than (1), so I share your view that the Falcons will win--more easily than they did last fall.
Another factor would favor JHU: the Falcons played last night, so it's quick turnaround. However, they used the whole bench (including the GK) for very long periods last night, especially in the 2nd half when I can't recall any starter being in the game the final 30 minutes. That's when Hood scored, incidentally. McCarty was obviously looking ahead to tomorrow night.
Quote from: Mr.Right on September 30, 2018, 01:07:16 PM
I caught the 1st Half of Messiah's match with Hood. I thought Hood and its GK played well for the first 20 minutes but once Messiah broke thru the floodgates opened. I thought Messiah looked really solid but the kid Joe King might be a weakness for opponents to go after and attack / press. Under pressure he gave the ball away at least 3-4 times last night. Obviously, he is a solid player but maybe a bit suspect and someone Hopkins might want to go at. I believe he was the RB last night.
I didn't notice that problem with Joe King last night, but honestly I wasn't watching him that carefully and it's not as though Hood really threatened at all. The one goal they got, came in garbage time when all the starters were resting for the game tomorrow at JHU.
King has played both sides defensively this season, since Shay Quintin (an AA quality LB, IMO, but he won't get that honor since he's missed almost the entire season) hasn't played one minute since partway through the mugging against Cortland. Until last night, when Quintin started and looked his good old self, but (I assume owing to conditioning) he soon left and Joe King then switched sides (I think) from RB to LB. The same thing might have happened again in the second half. Mr Right, perhaps you are correct in your observations, or perhaps you were watching someone else part of the time, since I believe King switched sides a couple of times.
Generally, King has played LB in place of Quintin, but he's just as comfortable at RB, where he started both halves last night, but he also played partly at LB last night. Also in general, King has been terrific on both ends all season. A big surprise to me, at least. As a freshman, sometimes he played at outside back and sometimes he was a forward on the outside, so he's had collegiate experience on both ends of the field. I think he's most effective in the back, partly b/c (like Quintin) he is capable of bringing the ball very far forward and joining the offense as the situation warrants.
For Paul Newman: Did you get a chance to stream the Falcon game last night? If so, what did you think of West? (You'd said you would try to watch his next game to see whether you agree with my view that he's the most dangerous attacker in D3 this season. I think you're a very knowledgeable and objective soccer fan, so I am honestly interested in your opinion.)
West sat on the bench more than usual, since the Falcons had a big lead and were looking ahead to a quick turnaround at JHU tomorrow night. While in there, however, I thought he looked as dangerous as he has all season. But, on the stream you might have missed his greatest play--a backheel shot from close in that was either blocked or saved--even in live action it happened so quickly and far from my seat that I didn't quite see it. It was a brilliant play, even though he didn't score. He also just missed a goal less than two minutes before he got the first goal. Neither of West's goals are shown on the highlights this time, but on the way home from the game one of the play-by-play guys still picked West as player of the game--after giving other guys fair consideration. West scored the first goal in each half, and (as the man said) that's what you want from your target.
If you didn't watch last night, Paul, try to watch tomorrow vs Hopkins. I'd bet many here will do that. If West plays nearly as well as he has been against everyone else, then you're in for a treat--whether or not he scores. But, he has scored at least one goal in every single game except opening night against Cortland--the one game where they weren't actually looking for him over the top. As far as I can tell from my seat in the stands, that strategic change apparently took place at halftime in the second game (vs Whitworth). That change turned a scoreless game into West's first hat trick.
Here is my view on the region's top 10 after Haverford dismantled Gettysburg today. The region is starting to take form and I think we have a well established top 6.
MAF Top 10
1. Messiah (8-0-1)
2. F&M (8-0-2)
3. Lyco (8-1-1)
T4. Dickinson (6-3-1)
T4. Hopkins (7-3-0)
6. Drew (8-2-0)
7. Gettysburg (5-3-1)
8. Eastern (6-2-1)
9. Swat (6-3-1)
10. LVC (5-3-1)
Others: Manhattanville (7-3-0), Moravian (5-2-2), Haverford (4-4-0)
This is how the region sits in my eyes after this past weekend of play. 1 through 7 stays the same with some shifting at 8 through 10.
Shooters Power Rankings
1. Messiah (8-0-1)--Still the clear number 1 in the region with a road trip to Hopkins up next up for the Falcons
2. F&M (8-0-2)--Close behind Messiah but a draw with Swat keeps them in sole possession of the second slot
3. Lycoming (8-1-1)--6 straight wins for the Warriors has them in 3rd place through 10 games
4. Drew (8-2-0)--Would have liked to see them faceoff with NYU as the strength of schedule will drop without that one on the schedule
5. Dickinson (6-3-1)--Just a smidge ahead of Hopkins in my view
6. Hopkins (7-3-0)--A result vs Messiah would be huge
7. Gettysburg (5-3-1)--Struggling to score goals would have me worried if I was a Bullet fan
8. Eastern (6-2-1)--Strength of schedule is the biggest concern for the Eagles
9. Swat (6-3-1)--Great result to stay in the mix as they tied F&M over the weekend
10. Moravian (5-2-2)--Challenged themselves in the non-conference and doesn't get easier by traveling to Lyco next
Others: Manhattanville (7-3-0), LVC (5-3-1), Mules (3-3-2), Fords (4-4-0)
Quote from: Falconer on September 30, 2018, 02:52:23 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 30, 2018, 12:45:07 PM
Nice results over the weekend for Swat, Eastern, Drew, Hopkins, LVC, Kings
Expected results from Messiah, Lyco, F&M (tied), Dickinson
Gettysburg faces off with Haverford today at 2pm.
Messiah travels to Hopkins on Monday night in what looks to be the game of the year thus far for this region and has critical implications for the region. Game time is set for 7pm.
If I had my crack at it I would predict Messiah pulls this one out 3-1 despite being on the road with a turf surface. Nick West and the now healthy Falcons will prove to be too much for a struggling Hopkins side that will throw everything they can at the Falcons. 1-1 at halftime followed by an early second half goal from Messiah. As JHU pushes to tie it Messiah will seal it with a counter hence a 3-1 prediction. This is a must watch game for anyone who has the time!
Last year's game in Grantham was a barnburner most of the way, with Hopkins actually outplaying the Falcons in stretches. There are at least three important changes from last year. (1) The Falcons generally don't play as well on turf (as you obviously know, MAF). (2) Nick West has emerged as perhaps the most dangerous attacker in D3 (as I have argued elsewhere; with better luck, he could have scored 4 goals instead of just 2 vs Hood last night). (3) Hopkins lost to graduation the man I regarded as the best keeper in D3 (lots of people shared that opinion, since he was voted 1st team AA). This is soccer and anything can happen on any given day, but I think (2) and (3) are larger factors than (1), so I share your view that the Falcons will win--more easily than they did last fall.
Another factor would favor JHU: the Falcons played last night, so it's quick turnaround. However, they used the whole bench (including the GK) for very long periods last night, especially in the 2nd half when I can't recall any starter being in the game the final 30 minutes. That's when Hood scored, incidentally. McCarty was obviously looking ahead to tomorrow night.
On paper it doesn't look like this should be that much of a game. #1(USC)/#2 (D3S.com) nationally ranked and undefeated Messiah versus unranked JHU with 3 losses already this season. JHU has lost 2 of it's last 4 games. And JHU played a hard fought game on Saturday night versus a .500 team in Muhlenberg. A game where JHU was badly outshot but they still managed to barely eke out a 1-0 win with a late goal. So unlike Messiah they were not able to rest their starters last night.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on September 30, 2018, 05:25:39 PM
This is how the region sits in my eyes after this past weekend of play. 1 through 7 stays the same with some shifting at 8 through 10.
Shooters Power Rankings
1. Messiah (8-0-1)--Still the clear number 1 in the region with a road trip to Hopkins up next up for the Falcons
2. F&M (8-0-2)--Close behind Messiah but a draw with Swat keeps them in sole possession of the second slot
3. Lycoming (8-1-1)--6 straight wins for the Warriors has them in 3rd place through 10 games
4. Drew (8-2-0)--Would have liked to see them faceoff with NYU as the strength of schedule will drop without that one on the schedule
5. Dickinson (6-3-1)--Just a smidge ahead of Hopkins in my view
6. Hopkins (7-3-0)--A result vs Messiah would be huge
7. Gettysburg (5-3-1)--Struggling to score goals would have me worried if I was a Bullet fan
8. Eastern (6-2-1)--Strength of schedule is the biggest concern for the Eagles
9. Swat (6-3-1)--Great result to stay in the mix as they tied F&M over the weekend
10. Moravian (5-2-2)--Challenged themselves in the non-conference and doesn't get easier by traveling to Lyco next
Others: Manhattanville (7-3-0), LVC (5-3-1), Mules (3-3-2), Fords (4-4-0)
Fords have now beaten two of your top ten (and lost in OT to F&M) Early woes (two losses on very wet small turf fields) may have helped this team to get it itself together to challenge in the Centennial Conference.
Quote from: daddyEzK on September 30, 2018, 10:12:10 PM
Fords have now beaten two of your top ten (and lost in OT to F&M) Early woes (two losses on very wet small turf fields) may have helped this team to get it itself together to challenge in the Centennial Conference.
Agree... also interesting that the Fords held JHU and Getty scoreless.
Falconer, I've got my own problems....watching Kenyon completely spit the bit against CWRU (a very good team btw) in an embarrassment for Lords nation...and then hearing about playing half the next game with 10 men and barely squeaking by a 2-7-1 Denison squad.
I did not catch any of the Hood game...or any games this past weekend with family in town. I will try to catch part of the game tonight.
I don't have any doubts about how good West is and/or that he is a serious POY candidate especially if Messiah gets deep in the tournament. What I cannot do is put him in any historical perspective as my knowledge really begins around 2012-2013. I do maintain that Koh and Lopez for Chicago are very, very good...and I believe Emory has an excellent player as well who has had a strong career. I may be too out of touch, but I'm actually not aware of who the major D3 superstars are currently (beyond those named, Vegter, maybe the kid at Lynchburg who rudy has mentioned). I can't think a single player in all of NESCAC who is truly dominant above all others. Tufts is stacked with very good players and I think will be very difficult for anyone to beat come tourney time, but there is not one name on their team that in my mind stands out above all others. Not sure there is a Santos, Hoppenot or Kayne or even Majumder, but they are deep and seem to have a formula that is pretty tough to unlock especially with the confidence of their recent years of success at their backs.
At any rate, I'll let you know when I've developed more of an impression with West. BTW, is his brother the Messiah GK in 2013 and 2014?
And have we exhausted all of the Robbins crew, or are there one or two more on their way from North Carolina???
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 01, 2018, 12:34:52 PM
At any rate, I'll let you know when I've developed more of an impression with West. BTW, is his brother the Messiah GK in 2013 and 2014?
Yes, Nick's older brother Brandon was the GK at Messiah and is now the head coach of the women's team at Eastern. http://www.27east.com/news/article.cfm/general-interest-eh/91990/west-finds-perfect-fit-at-messiah (http://www.27east.com/news/article.cfm/general-interest-eh/91990/west-finds-perfect-fit-at-messiah).
Rutgers-Camden @ Haverford for TUES 2 OCT has been PPD. With the weather and the field situations so far this season; teams scrambling to make up or fit in, who knows if this will even be played in the future.
Falconer....I did catch large portions of the game last night. First, kind of a strange one....Messiah mostly playing and probing in the JHU half for the entire game with JHU having limited shots, but that said JHU easily could (and maybe should) have scored a couple more on great missed chances. The way regulation ended I too was surprised that JHU was able to hang on for the draw.
As for West, I actually missed the goals and glanced up in time to see the celebrations. I know that dogpile tradition must go way back for Messiah, but every time I see it I'm surprised that there are no injuries. I must be really, really old as I both don't really get it and if the coach would be terrified of a serious injury. At any rate, I was definitely impressed with West. Two goals inside of 10 minutes to pull Messiah level speaks volumes, even if the goals did look a bit like right place at the right time (which of course is part of the deal with great players). My assessment is that he is powerful, very quick with impressive initial burst of speed in addition to his obvious top end speed, shiftier than I expected such that the combo of his acceleration in any direction combined with a feint here and there makes him an extremely difficult cover. JHU obviously was very focused on him and he still was close to breaking free on multiple occasions. I also was impressed with his decision-making, and how quickly he will make a good pass to someone in open space when he does feel reasonable containment on him. He appears tireless and relentless as well, so he is primed to take advantage of any loss of coverage which is bound to happen even with good teams at least a few times over 90 minutes.
So, in short, I endorse your praise while still leaving the historical rankings to you and others. I do wonder why he is having such a breakout season this year and wasn't so obviously dominant in prior years.
I'm no expert on Messiah/West, but I'm pretty sure moving him to a central striker role, as opposed to having him out wide, is a major factor.
He also looks a ton stronger especially on the ball
I'm obliged to have your opinion, Paul--a measured, articulate assessment of what you saw. And, I'm no less obliged to have the other opinions too.
The sudden increase in West's productivity (he was plenty productive in 2017, but already has more goals than he scored all last season) is undoubtedly a result of two things. (1) Moving him from the wing into the middle, which I admit I didn't agree with at first. (So glad to have been so wrong.) (2) Looking for him regularly over the top. As far as I can tell, that didn't start until the second half of the second game (vs Whitworth), but of course I'm not privy to conversations on the sidelines and maybe I just didn't see it earlier. Traditionally, the Falcons go over the top only once in a while. They almost never did it in the Brandt years. I sense it was almost point of honor for Brandt always to stick with winning the battle of wills against an opponent, by imposing his brand of beautiful soccer on each and every opponent, just as it was a point of honor for Bob Knight to disdain fast breaks and zone defense and full-court pressure and always to stick with winning the battle of wills by imposing the motion offense on each and every opponent. McCarty has been a bit more willing to dump and run, though obviously it's not become a bad habit. West makes that such an obvious option that you can expect it now in any game. JHU did a terrific job preventing it--especially Cole Rosenberger, who with the GK get the game balls IMO. The keeper was a lot better than I had expected, given the fact that they graduated the AA who played ahead of him.
What the change to target did, which I hadn't anticipated, is to reveal West's full skill set. We always knew he was dangerously fast and inexhaustibly energetic, such that he could burn you in the final minute or the opening minute just as easily. We always knew that he could initiate assists--and sometimes goals for himself--from either sideline. We knew he could mix it up inside, too, when perchance that's where the ball sent. What I didn't know (let me change to I from we) is that he could score on free kicks and was such an extraordinarily dangerous man with the ball at his feet near the box--the type of play that DMac was so good at. He's such a deadly shooter from any reasonable distance with either foot, moving in any direction except backwards. I had not realized that before. (It's instructive to compare his shot percentages with the two-headed striker at Chicago. The difference jumps right out at you.) In other words, as an attacker he has no weaknesses, not even in the air even if that's not his strength (he got one with his head last night). And, he's just extraordinarily good at some things. The complete package, at least at a D3 level.
I've never seen anything quite like him, at least not on the Falcons since several years before Brandt started coaching. There was indeed another striker a very long time ago who had huge scoring numbers, but I never saw him play--and, I think the Falcons had not yet joined the NCAA at that point, so the context was not comparable.
I'll try not to revisit this topic again myself, unless perhaps it's after the season and cases are being made for possible POY. Thanks to all who indulged me or tolerated my noise about this.
In a non-conference regional match-up, Eastern "upset" F&M 1-0 last night. Up until the goal in the 64th minute, shots were even, 10-10 (SOG 2-2). F&M would take more shots afterwards seeking the equalizer, but none were on frame. Big win for Eastern. Will help their Pool C resume is needed.
Though a generation apart, both coaching staffs contained multiple former Messiah players, including both head coaches.
F&M:
Dan Wagner - head coach (Messiah 1991-1995)
Jeremy Kirchner - asst. coach (Messiah 1994-1997)
Eastern:
Jeremy Payne - head coach (Messiah 2011-2014)
Benji Kennel - asst. coach (Messiah 2012-2015)
Kirby Robbins - asst. coach (Messiah 2014-2017)
It was the first game between the two schools since 2002, Dan Wagner's first at F&M. He and his brother Mark Wagner, the former Eastern head coach, never scheduled each other. With Mark leaving Eastern two years ago, it's nice to see this match-up.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 03, 2018, 10:45:21 AM
In a non-conference regional match-up, Eastern "upset" F&M 1-0 last night. Up until the goal in the 64th minute, shots were even, 10-10 (SOG 2-2). F&M would take more shots afterwards seeking the equalizer, but none were on frame. Big win for Eastern. Will help their Pool C resume is needed.
Though a generation apart, both coaching staffs contained multiple former Messiah players, including both head coaches.
F&M:
Dan Wagner - head coach (Messiah 1991-1995)
Jeremy Kirchner - asst. coach (Messiah 1994-1997)
Eastern:
Jeremy Payne - head coach (Messiah 2011-2014)
Benji Kennel - asst. coach (Messiah 2012-2015)
Kirby Robbins - asst. coach (Messiah 2014-2017)
It was the first game between the two schools since 2002, Dan Wagner's first at F&M. He and his brother Mark Wagner, the former Eastern head coach, never scheduled each other. With Mark leaving Eastern two years ago, it's nice to see this match-up.
When will we see a Messiah vs F&M match-up?
I don't think Messiah ever schedules F&M during the regular season, so you're not gonna get the luxury of that until the NCAA Tournament.
Last meeting I can remember was in 2013 where Messiah won, convincingly. No surprise as that 2013 was one of the best I have ever watched at the d3 level... better than 2014 Falcons, 2004 Falcons.
2013 had two NSCAA POYs in Jeremy Payne and Joshua Wood, AAs Brian Ramirez, Carter Robbins, and future AA in Jacob Bender and Danny Rowe (who both came off the bench all year) with Jack Thompson terrorizing the flank, Kovach, Danny Brandt
Another wild week of games and results. Here is how the region stacks up!
MAF Top 10
1. Messiah (10-0-2)
2. F&M (9-1-2)
3. Lyco (10-1-1)
4. Hopkins (8-3-1)
5. Dickinson (7-3-1)
6. Eastern (8-2-1)
7. Gettysburg (6-3-1)
8. Drew (8-3-0)
9. LVC (6-3-1)
10. Moravian (6-3-2),
Others: Manhattanville (8-3-0), Haverford (5-4-0), Keystone (7-3-0)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 07, 2018, 05:09:30 PM
Another wild week of games and results. Here is how the region stacks up!
MAF Top 10
1. Messiah (10-0-2)
2. F&M (9-1-2)
3. Lyco (10-1-1)
4. Hopkins (8-3-1)
5. Dickinson (7-3-1)
6. Eastern (8-2-1)
7. Gettysburg (6-3-1)
8. Drew (8-3-0)
9. LVC (6-3-1)
10. Moravian (6-3-2),
Others: Manhattanville (8-3-0), Haverford (5-4-0), Keystone (7-3-0)
Nice MAF! I am going with this:
Shooter's Power 101. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Lyco
4. Hopkins
5. Drew
6. Dickinson
7. Eastern
8. Gettysburg
9. Leb Val
10. Moravian
Others: Fords, Manhattanville
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 07, 2018, 08:22:31 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 07, 2018, 05:09:30 PM
Another wild week of games and results. Here is how the region stacks up!
MAF Top 10
1. Messiah (10-0-2)
2. F&M (9-1-2)
3. Lyco (10-1-1)
4. Hopkins (8-3-1)
5. Dickinson (7-3-1)
6. Eastern (8-2-1)
7. Gettysburg (6-3-1)
8. Drew (8-3-0)
9. LVC (6-3-1)
10. Moravian (6-3-2),
Others: Manhattanville (8-3-0), Haverford (5-4-0), Keystone (7-3-0)
Nice MAF! I am going with this:
Shooter's Power 10
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Lyco
4. Hopkins
5. Drew
6. Dickinson
7. Eastern
8. Gettysburg
9. Leb Val
10. Moravian
Others: Fords, Manhattanville
What team on your top ten has played 4 teams in your top ten? None, BUT the Fords have and have a 3-1 record (the loss to F&M was in OT).
Maybe time to show some respect for Haverford? What do YOU think?
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 10, 2018, 07:09:12 PM\
Maybe time to show some respect for Haverford? What do YOU think?
I think the Fords had a strong game today by beating Drew 3-2. And the USC coach's poll last week reflects that as the Fords move up to ninth in the region's ranked teams which will likely continue with today's win, moving them to 6-4. It will be interesting to see how the region develops in the final weeks.
USC Poll Oct 9th
1 Messiah College (10-0-2)
2 Lycoming College (10-1-1)
3 Franklin & Marshall College (9-1-2)
4 Johns Hopkins University (8-3-1)
5 Eastern University (8-2-1)
6 Dickinson College (7-3-2)
7 Gettysburg College (6-3-1)
8 Drew University (8-3-0)
9 Haverford College (5-4-0)
10 Lebanon Valley College (6-3-1)
Records shown are through games of Oct. 7, 2018
[/quote]
What team on your top ten has played 4 teams in your top ten? None, BUT the Fords have and have a 3-1 record (the loss to F&M was in OT).
Maybe time to show some respect for Haverford? What do YOU think?
[/quote]
Actually two teams in your top ten have played other teams in your top ten....both Centennial Conference teams (maybe there should be a discussion sometime about how good of a conference it is): F&M with a 3-1 record and Hopkins with a 1-2-1 record.
With that said, Haverford should be ranked in the region.
Massey Ratings:
4 Messiah SOS 23
11 F&M SOS 14 (3 blemishes, big match at JHU on Saturday 10/13), winner will be in the #2 slot
18 JHU SOS 13 (4 blemishes, draw vs Messiah helps their cause, losses to Gettysburg, Haverford, MW doesn't hurt as much)
24 Eastern SOS 49
25 Lycoming SOS 126
38 Haverford SOS 7 (4 blemishes but have played the top end of the Centennial) Potential to finish 4th in region by end of season...
45 Gettysburg SOS 19 (4 blemishes: Lost at Haverford, at TCNJ, vs Cortland St)
50 Dickinson SOS 36 (5 blemishes: Lost at Lynchburg, vs Messiah, vs F&M) Dickinson should beat Gburg on Sat 10/13 and move up.
86 LVC SOS 42
90 Swat SOS 39
94 Drew SOS 124
Can't say I disagree with this model... I would think this is very close to how NCAA Regional Rankings will shape up for the first release. Lycoming does not have a strong schedule and not many games vs RR opponents.
I know I could go internet digging and get the answer, but isn't that a brand new coach at Haverford?
:goes and checks:
Right, so, brand new coach... Look, I'm disinclined to defend the Fords, but turnover at the coaching position can be really disruptive.
As mentioned above, it's going to be interesting to see how the Centennial plays out.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 11, 2018, 01:15:21 PM
Right, so, brand new coach... Look, I'm disinclined to defend the Fords, but turnover at the coaching position can be really disruptive.
As mentioned above, it's going to be interesting to see how the Centennial plays out.
Haverford had an off year last year. lots of reasons why, but they still had lots of talent. After early adjustment to new coach (and some bad weather and field issues), they seem to be rebounding back into form. Centennial Conference play-offs should be interesting!
+K lastguy for your post - appreciate the ratings info from Massey. Sorry, but I don't know how to increase your D3 karma officially.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 12, 2018, 08:44:45 AM
+K lastguy for your post - appreciate the ratings info from Massey. Sorry, but I don't know how to increase your D3 karma officially.
Felix..i believe you have to get to 200 posts before you are able to give karma points. Keep posting!
I am neutral on the Fords but this is the third or fourth time I have heard about these field conditions for Haverford. I hate to break it to you but the committee doesn't care about your field conditions. Last time I checked the other team they faced played the in the same conditions on the same field. Haverford also has 4 losses and at the time of your argument to have them in the top 10 was 4-4...a measly .500 win percentage. That doesn't cut it no matter how difficult the schedule is. So a team that's 1-9 but played the toughest schedule in the country should be regionally ranked? Makes no sense. If you don't get results it doesn't matter. They are however starting to turn the corner and I think they will be in the top 10 in the first rankings but I hope you realize how the rankings work. I am fairly neutral on this region and enjoy watching and discussing all the teams but don't be too much of a homer if you can't back it up and have to resort to poor field conditions as an excuse.
On a side note, when is the first set of regional rankings released? Has anything changed with the criteria from the NCAA?
Quote from: Ralph Turner on October 12, 2018, 11:03:07 AM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 11, 2018, 11:14:37 AM
Massey Ratings:
4 Messiah SOS 23
11 F&M SOS 14 (3 blemishes, big match at JHU on Saturday 10/13), winner will be in the #2 slot
18 JHU SOS 13 (4 blemishes, draw vs Messiah helps their cause, losses to Gettysburg, Haverford, MW doesn't hurt as much)
24 Eastern SOS 49
25 Lycoming SOS 126
38 Haverford SOS 7 (4 blemishes but have played the top end of the Centennial) Potential to finish 4th in region by end of season...
45 Gettysburg SOS 19 (4 blemishes: Lost at Haverford, at TCNJ, vs Cortland St)
50 Dickinson SOS 36 (5 blemishes: Lost at Lynchburg, vs Messiah, vs F&M) Dickinson should beat Gburg on Sat 10/13 and move up.
86 LVC SOS 42
90 Swat SOS 39
94 Drew SOS 124
Can't say I disagree with this model... I would think this is very close to how NCAA Regional Rankings will shape up for the first release. Lycoming does not have a strong schedule and not many games vs RR opponents.
Actually the regional rankings are explained elsewhere on this site, see the link below.
http://www.d3hoops.com/interactive/faq/ncaatournament
Is this accurate? Is Mens Soccer the exact same as Mens Basketball? I thought last year we still had 2 teams get bye's in the 1st Round. Also, I thought we either got rid of the Home/Away multiplier or modified it to make it a less drastic % for Home/Away matches....Now even I am confused
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 12, 2018, 11:14:03 AM
On a side note, when is the first set of regional rankings released? Has anything changed with the criteria from the NCAA?
I believe the first NCAA regional ranking comes out this Wednesday, October 17. Christian Shirk did a great explanation last season of the process. http://www.d3soccer.com/columns/christan-shirk/2017/the-rankings-that-matter (http://www.d3soccer.com/columns/christan-shirk/2017/the-rankings-that-matter) and I don't know if anything has changed a lot for 2018 - smarter folk here will have to chime in. SOS certainly has an impact on the ranking which is what daddyEzK was pointing out, thus Lastguy's data on Massey's SOS calculation is interesting. But ultimately winning is what counts... no matter the field conditions or the SOS. ;D
FYI - Massey SOS numbers are not the same as NCAA SOS numbers. They are calculated in very different ways. I am not sure if d3soccer.com has the ability to produce SOS numbers themselves (as I remember soccer, it is the same as women's basketball and thus doable; if similar to men's basketball calculations, it is very difficult).
There are always THREE Regional Rankings published before the end of the regular season. You can calculate that by going to the last day of the season and backing up to the previous Wednesday. That is the third rankings day. Two weeks prior would be the first.
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on October 12, 2018, 12:08:17 PM
FYI - Massey SOS numbers are not the same as NCAA SOS numbers. They are calculated in very different ways.
Thank you d-mac. Do you know if the two different SOS calculations between Massey and NCAA correlate at all?
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 12, 2018, 12:11:53 PM
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on October 12, 2018, 12:08:17 PM
FYI - Massey SOS numbers are not the same as NCAA SOS numbers. They are calculated in very different ways.
Thank you d-mac. Do you know if the two different SOS calculations between Massey and NCAA correlate at all?
Massey does his SOS based on whatever he wants to do for his SOS. It might be written on his website, but I have no idea the exact calculation. What I do know is that the SOS is based on the ENTIRE database. So, if teams are playing teams in other divisions, that has an impact (great or small) on their SOS and thus other teams' SOS numbers. He isn't able to parse out the out-of-division games (whether they count or not) and that tends to affect the SOS and rankings in ways I struggle with in basketball (at least for the first three-quarters of the season).
The NCAA basic SOS is calulated as such:
2/3s of a team's Opponent's Winning Percentage (OWP) and 1/3 of a team's Opponent's Opponent's Winning Percentage (OOWP).
Now, it isn't everyone they play ... it has to be in-region. The only reason I bring that up is if a team doesn't meet the criteria (70%) of their schedule against what is consider an "in-region" opponent, than those outside the region will not count. That isn't always a factor, but I always bring it up just in case.I think I might have that last part wrong. It is so rarely used as a factor, that I think it is the entire body of work against DIII opponents. I do know the "in-region" criteria is relevant for in-region record.
BTW... here are the official dates for Regional Rankings - the last one being the final rankings that were used for selections and bracketing:
● Wednesday, Oct. 17
● Wednesday, Oct. 24
● Wednesday, Oct. 31
● Monday, Nov. 5
I also looked up the exact math to see if the multiplier which men's basketball has is in play... that multiplier was removed from soccer after the 2016 season. So it is the "simple" math.
The better math example would be OWP (multiplied by 2/3) + OOWP (multiplied by 1/3) = SOS
I am aware that Massey and NCAA SOS differ in terms of calculation. I was just simply stating that the teams overall ranking for the NCAA Regional release will be almost similar.
Lycoming OWP is .487 (estimate). Factor in OOWP and they might not even qualify for the first release. They also do not have many RvR, at best they will be 1-1 (if Grove City qualifies).
My NCAA Ranking Predictions would be:
Messiah
F&M
JHU
Eastern
Haverford
Gettysburg
Lycoming
Dickinson
LVC
Swat
Keep in mind where Drew was slotted with-in the region due to incredibly low SOS and minimal RvR. Lycoming is in that same boat, but with Messiah in conference, it's win or bust.
Centennial is going to get three teams in NCAA
Cabrini wins AQ, Landmark is wide open.
(correction, Cabrini is Pool B)
Eastern should win the MACF...
Be aware, the first rankings will not have Results vs. Regionally Ranked Opponents (that is what you meant by RvR, right?). It doesn't exist and can't be made up for the first conversations. So, that will NOT be a factor for the first rankings. It will be in play the rest of the rankings starting with the second.
You will see what they will have for data for week two by looking at all the rankings, but since there are no rankings for the committees to consider in the first place ... it will be blank on the NCAA data sheets.
Wasn't Cabrini the side that knocked off Rowan in the 2017 NCAA 1st Round at Rowan? Didn't Rowan outshoot them like 40-2 and lose?......Anyhow why is Cabrini a Pool B this year? Did their conference lose NCAA affiliation?
Yes, that was Cabrini... they moved to form the Atlantic East Conference, tournament eligibility beginning in the 2020-21. If they stay there, they will earn the AQ almost every year.
Cabrini
Immaculata
Neumann
Wesley
Marymount
Marywood
Gwynedd-Mercy
Neumann sounds familiar because they upset 18-0-1 Messiah in 2011...
As stated above... there is a new conference this year (formed in a year's time) and thus that conference must earn it's AQ.
I will add, I am not sure where the AEC is considered regionally. Going through the manual, they have not listed the conference in the regional breakdown - which is odd. They do have a rep from Neumann on the men's regional committee and have that rep in the Mid-Atlantic which makes some sense for soccer (we are expecting the AEC to be in the Atlantic Region in basketball, moving several schools who used to be in the Mid-Atlantic). However, it is oddly not official for soccer as of yet.
Quote from: rudy on October 12, 2018, 10:29:17 AM
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 12, 2018, 08:44:45 AM
+K lastguy for your post - appreciate the ratings info from Massey. Sorry, but I don't know how to increase your D3 karma officially.
Felix..i believe you have to get to 200 posts before you are able to give karma points. Keep posting!
As a fellow non-qualifier, yes, that's my understanding. We'll have to see if I can get there before my son graduates.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 12, 2018, 11:12:59 AM
I am neutral on the Fords but this is the third or fourth time I have heard about these field conditions for Haverford. I hate to break it to you but the committee doesn't care about your field conditions. Last time I checked the other team they faced played the in the same conditions on the same field. Haverford also has 4 losses and at the time of your argument to have them in the top 10 was 4-4...a measly .500 win percentage. That doesn't cut it no matter how difficult the schedule is. So a team that's 1-9 but played the toughest schedule in the country should be regionally ranked? Makes no sense. If you don't get results it doesn't matter. They are however starting to turn the corner and I think they will be in the top 10 in the first rankings but I hope you realize how the rankings work. I am fairly neutral on this region and enjoy watching and discussing all the teams but don't be too much of a homer if you can't back it up and have to resort to poor field conditions as an excuse.
Wish I knew what team you supported, it would be fun to compare the relative merits. However, if you followed soccer for any period of time, close loses in adverse conditions ARE a factor in determining if a team is better than its record. Also there is a difference, as my thighs can attest, between a natural and turf field team. I don't think that any of this makes a difference in the NCAA rankings since the voters have not seen the games, but it is pertinent on a discussion board of fans who are throwing around their opinions. You can be neutral on Haverford, but this senior class has won their conference two out of three years and have gone as far as the eights in the NCAAs. They have beat 3 teams that that folks on this board had ranked ahead of them. My point was that they deserve to be considered. Hope you can do that.
Hmm seems a bit unfair to force this new conference to wait 2-3 years to get an AQ. I recognize all these teams and I am guessing they all have been longtime D3 members and in fact just looking most of them came from the same conference. Unless there is a school that is not considered a full D3 member as of yet and all these schools did was shuffle around conferences they should be allowed to get an AQ. Teams change conferences all the time without waiting 2-3 years, the only difference here is that it is a brand new conference. I suppose I could see giving the conference a full year to figure things out and get organized but 2 years seems a bit excessive especially since all these schools are dues paying members already.
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 12, 2018, 01:49:47 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 12, 2018, 11:12:59 AM
I am neutral on the Fords but this is the third or fourth time I have heard about these field conditions for Haverford. I hate to break it to you but the committee doesn't care about your field conditions. Last time I checked the other team they faced played the in the same conditions on the same field. Haverford also has 4 losses and at the time of your argument to have them in the top 10 was 4-4...a measly .500 win percentage. That doesn't cut it no matter how difficult the schedule is. So a team that's 1-9 but played the toughest schedule in the country should be regionally ranked? Makes no sense. If you don't get results it doesn't matter. They are however starting to turn the corner and I think they will be in the top 10 in the first rankings but I hope you realize how the rankings work. I am fairly neutral on this region and enjoy watching and discussing all the teams but don't be too much of a homer if you can't back it up and have to resort to poor field conditions as an excuse.
Wish I knew what team you supported, it would be fun to compare the relative merits. However, if you followed soccer for any period of time, close loses in adverse conditions ARE a factor in determining if a team is better than its record. Also there is a difference, as my thighs can attest, between a natural and turf field team. I don't think that any of this makes a difference in the NCAA rankings since the voters have not seen the games, but it is pertinent on a discussion board of fans who are throwing around their opinions. You can be neutral on Haverford, but this senior class has won their conference two out of three years and have gone as far as the eights in the NCAAs. They have beat 3 teams that that folks on this board had ranked ahead of them. My point was that they deserve to be considered. Hope you can do that.
Here's an idea. Make your own regional top ten list. Your pal felix can help out. You do realize that MAF's list has absolutely zero influence on the actual ncaa regional rankings right? Most on this board will agree that he does a pretty good job of accurately ranking teams however. I'm not sure why you're so insistent on repeating the same points ad nauseam.
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 12, 2018, 01:49:47 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 12, 2018, 11:12:59 AM
I am neutral on the Fords but this is the third or fourth time I have heard about these field conditions for Haverford. I hate to break it to you but the committee doesn't care about your field conditions. Last time I checked the other team they faced played the in the same conditions on the same field. Haverford also has 4 losses and at the time of your argument to have them in the top 10 was 4-4...a measly .500 win percentage. That doesn't cut it no matter how difficult the schedule is. So a team that's 1-9 but played the toughest schedule in the country should be regionally ranked? Makes no sense. If you don't get results it doesn't matter. They are however starting to turn the corner and I think they will be in the top 10 in the first rankings but I hope you realize how the rankings work. I am fairly neutral on this region and enjoy watching and discussing all the teams but don't be too much of a homer if you can't back it up and have to resort to poor field conditions as an excuse.
Wish I knew what team you supported, it would be fun to compare the relative merits. However, if you followed soccer for any period of time, close loses in adverse conditions ARE a factor in determining if a team is better than its record. Also there is a difference, as my thighs can attest, between a natural and turf field team. I don't think that any of this makes a difference in the NCAA rankings since the voters have not seen the games, but it is pertinent on a discussion board of fans who are throwing around their opinions. You can be neutral on Haverford, but this senior class has won their conference two out of three years and have gone as far as the eights in the NCAAs. They have beat 3 teams that that folks on this board had ranked ahead of them. My point was that they deserve to be considered. Hope you can do that.
Here's the more sympathetic response. Even if MAF or any of us felt horrible about the adverse conditions, bad luck, adjustment to coaching change, etc....the fact remains that none of that has any bearing on how teams are going to be regionally ranked, and I think most of us who do mock poll type of stuff or attempt to guess at what the real rankings will be try to consider what we know the people with real votes actually consider. I think that is what he was trying to communicate. We know that Haverford has been a big-time program over the past several years. And if they go on a major run with their typical SoS they may be in business or they may win the Centennial tournament.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 12, 2018, 02:05:46 PM
Hmm seems a bit unfair to force this new conference to wait 2-3 years to get an AQ. I recognize all these teams and I am guessing they all have been longtime D3 members and in fact just looking most of them came from the same conference. Unless there is a school that is not considered a full D3 member as of yet and all these schools did was shuffle around conferences they should be allowed to get an AQ. Teams change conferences all the time without waiting 2-3 years, the only difference here is that it is a brand new conference. I suppose I could see giving the conference a full year to figure things out and get organized but 2 years seems a bit excessive especially since all these schools are dues paying members already.
The system is in place so that conferences just don't form randomly trying to grab AQs. It also makes sure schools don't jump out of conferences and form new ones just trying to find an easier avenue to the AQ because they can't do anything about it in their conference (relatively speaking).
Teams can change conferences, but for a vast majority of those conferences a school has to wait two years OR they have to pay a fine (the MAC is I think the only one in the Mid-Atlantic with no financial fine, but there is a bigger reason for that). When a school decides they want to change conferences, they have to decide if they want to be in an established conference that has an AQ or not ... they also have to be accepted into that conference. That isn't always as simple as people think. PSU Harrisburg wanted to leave the CAC for the CSAC ... they were denied and find themselves heading back to the NEAC. There are plenty of other examples of schools who want to be in conferences and are not accepted.
Furthermore, those schools already have access to the AQ in one conference. Changing conferences to one that has an AQ doesn't change that equation. For that reason, I am not sure why your comparison is thus relevant.
The biggest reason for two years is it takes about that long for things to settle down - especially for the AEC who threw this conference together in about a year's time. They only hired their commissioner a few months ago, their assistant commissioner is currently doing two jobs, their website and social media just showed up in August, etc., etc., etc.
DIII membership wants to make sure conferences are doing what they should and are reputable with good intentions before they place another AQ in the hands of a conference. That is always why they have a minimum of seven members (in good standing) for those two years. I can think of several scenarios where those two years and beyond are very unstable (ACAA currently).
BTW, if conferences LOSE members and go below the AQ benchmark for a sport, they also have two years to find new members to stabilize things
before they lose the AQ. So this does work in the other direction to the benefit of conferences (see CAC next year).
BTW - it takes at least four years for a school to become a full fledged member of DIII, this is half the time. Also, Pool B exists in all sports (even those who don't have the numbers) for these type of situations. AEC has the chance at an at-large bid BEFORE the Pool C group does. AEC will most likely get a bid to the tournament in the two years they are waiting for their best team.
makes sense.....jeez what a waste of a Pool B if one of these teams get it..None of these schools would ever come close to getting a Pool C otherwise and am I right that if a Pool B is used it subtracts from the total # of Pool C's?
Anyhow....I am more curious on what you did not want to get into...When you have some time please post some schools that were rejected by different conferences...That is always a great kind of gossipy getting stuck in the weeds of D3 conversation. I remember someone posting that St.A's(NH) wanted to drop to D3 and thought it would perfectly fit nice and snug in the Newmac but were shot down by the conference. I'd love to hear a couple others preferably from schools on the East Coast.
Also, I never realized there was a financial fine....how much are we talking on average? and why does the MAC not charge it? I feel like the juicer parts of your post were left out in almost a tease like fashion and now I am curious.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 12, 2018, 02:57:55 PM
makes sense.....jeez what a waste of a Pool B if one of these teams get it..None of these schools would ever come close to getting a Pool C otherwise and am I right that if a Pool B is used it subtracts from the total # of Pool C's?
You can look at it as a waste of a Pool B ... but if they had an AQ they are in anyway, right? It is just a different process. If there are a number of other schools in that Pool B group, maybe they don't get it and have to rely on the Pool C only.
And yes, it subtracts from the number of Pool Cs. That number is getting reduced by one whether an additional Pool B bid is provided or an additional AQ.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 12, 2018, 02:57:55 PM
Anyhow....I am more curious on what you did not want to get into...When you have some time please post some schools that were rejected by different conferences...That is always a great kind of gossipy getting stuck in the weeds of D3 conversation. I remember someone posting that St.A's(NH) wanted to drop to D3 and thought it would perfectly fit nice and snug in the Newmac but were shot down by the conference. I'd love to hear a couple others preferably from schools on the East Coast.
Yeah... I can't get into it right now for a LOT of reasons (some of them include, prepping for a D1 football game and soccer game at two different campuses this weekend, grinding to get my basketball show ready for air in a few weeks, and lots of other things).
I can say this about St. A's... it appears they shot themselves in the foot. They decided to mention a number of NEWMAC schools they are "perfect" for (my wording) when they announced their decision to move to DIII. From what I was told, prior to that it was a rubber stamp for them to join the NEWMAC, but the cockiness apparently shown in the announcement when coming to DIII and calling out schools they would be a fit for didn't go over well in the NEWMAC. St. A's was contacted and told to remove the names and reference - which they did. However, the die had been cast and the NEWMAC ended up voting against St. A's joining the conference (do not know the vote tally). St. A's had to retreat to DII.
As for Harrisburg, the vote the CSAC had to make was whether to change the by-laws and accept state schools. Now, I was told by a reputable source who would know that the state-school rule would change (unrelated conversation to Harrisburg). I am not sure if the Harrisburg vote took place BEFORE that source's confidence in the state-school rule being changed or it didn't pass and that is why Harrisburg was left out of the CSAC. If it is the first option, there is a chance the CSAC will still allow state schools ... and maybe Harrisburg ends up joining after all. I think it happened the other way around and the vote that left Harrisburg out was a vote in the CSAC that squashed the idea, for now, that state schools should be in the conference.
As for other rumors and such ... I promise only one thing: I will post what I know and not spread things that are just rumors. There is too much crap that I have to wade through or gets thrown around for me to add to it. If I tell you a story, it's because I got it vetted.
For another time ...
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 12, 2018, 03:00:35 PM
Also, I never realized there was a financial fine....how much are we talking on average? and why does the MAC not charge it? I feel like the juicer parts of your post were left out in almost a tease like fashion and now I am curious.
I don't know the figures as each conference is different. I do know that those who left for the AEC ... some lost their "bonds" in their previous conference (i.e. the "deposit") and those tend to be five figures worth of money. However, I can't be absolutely sure about that. It can be significant enough that it does cause schools to carefully weigh their options on whether they want to pull a trigger prior to leaving or not. Stevens will be taking a financial hit for moving out of the Empire 8 and into the MAC Freedom next year, I just don't know how much.
As for the MAC not doing it ... they will tell you, publicly, that they don't believe it in because schools should want to be in their conference and remain in the MAC. I get that to some degree, but I think it has a bigger role ... they can't move schools between the Commonwealth and Freedom (as they are prone to do and is rumored if there is further expansion) if they have a fine in place. The NCAA has told the MAC they have to operate those two conferences as two difference conferences (even if they have a common office). That has been the compromise for the rest of the division who continues to get frustrated that the MAC gets two bids in a lot of sports (grandfathered in to the rule). If they had fines in place, then movement between the Commonwealth and Freedom would have to be a two-year process to make it work properly, or would require waiving the fee (which I think would further incense other DIII members), etc., etc. By not having a financial penalty in place, my belief is it allows the MAC greater freedom to move things as they need or see fit when needed.
Excellent stuff....+k.......had no idea that the MAC shuffles teams to a point where other D3 members get frustrated...also the St.A's stuff is interesting as it seems a bit stiff to shut them out for a single press release..I have always thought a bunch of those NE-10 schools should be in its own conference in D3 like Stonehill, St. A's, St. M's, Bentley, Merrimack. Then leave the rest in D2 or like Bryant they could pursue D1 which is very costly so they probably wouldn't do it. Adelphi used to be D1 at least in Men's Soccer. I just never understood what the schools I just listed have in common with their other conference counterparts like So.Conn, New Haven, etc....
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 12, 2018, 03:26:58 PM
Excellent stuff....+k.......had no idea that the MAC shuffles teams to a point where other D3 members get frustrated...also the St.A's stuff is interesting as it seems a bit stiff to shut them out for a single press release..I have always thought a bunch of those NE-10 schools should be in its own conference in D3 like Stonehill, St. A's, St. M's, Bentley, Merrimack. Then leave the rest in D2 or like Bryant they could pursue D1 which is very costly so they probably wouldn't do it. Adelphi used to be D1 at least in Men's Soccer. I just never understood what the schools I just listed have in common with their other conference counterparts like So.Conn, New Haven, etc....
Per the MAC... the frustrations is what I have gathered. The MAC has moved schools often, but there are conferences like the USA South, ASC, and others who have a lot of members. They can move them in their divisions with no issues, but those conferences have ONE AQ even though they are huge (not advocating they get an extra bid). They see the MAC shift teams around like the Commonwealth and Freedom are divisions (which is how they were treated, officially, in their history despite two bids) and it rubs badly on those conferences and others. They think the MAC, especially with a single office and commissioner, is taking too much of an advantage of their grandfather clause.
I suspect the St. A's thing didn't come down to just the release, but I do know the paragraph existed at one point and then was deleted. Was that the one thing that did it? Probably not. Was it the straw the broke the camel's back for some? Maybe. Who knows. I didn't try and dig too much into it after it was clear St. A's didn't have a suitor in DIII anymore.
FYI Merrimack is headed to D1 now.
The biggest problem for a lot of those schools, especially St. A's, is hockey. They have programs, but there is nothing in DII for them. I thought the St. A's move would open the flood gates for more transfers to DIII. It didn't happen. I also thought, if a group of them got smart, they would come into DIII and create their own conference (as you mentioned), but that hasn't happened, either.
For the most part the commonality is proximity and such. Not much more. I have heard from plenty that they are frustrated with the NE-10 and the direction it has gone ... but they haven't pulled the trigger to do much about it.
And, of course (given the recent discussion), Haverford's game vs. Washington College has been postponed to Sunday, presumably due to field conditions.
I believe that's the Fords' seventh game this year that won't be played at the originally scheduled time and location for reasons that are directly or indirectly due to the weather.
- Cabrini was delayed and moved
- Wesleyan was delayed by a couple of hours
- Wm. Paterson was moved
- Muhles was postponed
- Gettysburg was delayed by a day
- RUC was postponed indefinitely
It really is something else.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 12, 2018, 02:24:42 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 12, 2018, 01:49:47 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 12, 2018, 11:12:59 AM
I am neutral on the Fords but this is the third or fourth time I have heard about these field conditions for Haverford. I hate to break it to you but the committee doesn't care about your field conditions. Last time I checked the other team they faced played the in the same conditions on the same field. Haverford also has 4 losses and at the time of your argument to have them in the top 10 was 4-4...a measly .500 win percentage. That doesn't cut it no matter how difficult the schedule is. So a team that's 1-9 but played the toughest schedule in the country should be regionally ranked? Makes no sense. If you don't get results it doesn't matter. They are however starting to turn the corner and I think they will be in the top 10 in the first rankings but I hope you realize how the rankings work. I am fairly neutral on this region and enjoy watching and discussing all the teams but don't be too much of a homer if you can't back it up and have to resort to poor field conditions as an excuse.
Wish I knew what team you supported, it would be fun to compare the relative merits. However, if you followed soccer for any period of time, close loses in adverse conditions ARE a factor in determining if a team is better than its record. Also there is a difference, as my thighs can attest, between a natural and turf field team. I don't think that any of this makes a difference in the NCAA rankings since the voters have not seen the games, but it is pertinent on a discussion board of fans who are throwing around their opinions. You can be neutral on Haverford, but this senior class has won their conference two out of three years and have gone as far as the eights in the NCAAs. They have beat 3 teams that that folks on this board had ranked ahead of them. My point was that they deserve to be considered. Hope you can do that.
Here's the more sympathetic response. Even if MAF or any of us felt horrible about the adverse conditions, bad luck, adjustment to coaching change, etc....the fact remains that none of that has any bearing on how teams are going to be regionally ranked, and I think most of us who do mock poll type of stuff or attempt to guess at what the real rankings will be try to consider what we know the people with real votes actually consider. I think that is what he was trying to communicate. We know that Haverford has been a big-time program over the past several years. And if they go on a major run with their typical SoS they may be in business or they may win the Centennial tournament.
Really appreciate all of you learned folks explaining the facts of life to me. Of course, I never suggested that the committee looks at anything. My intent was merely to influence the discussion on this Board. Sorry to break up your private conversation. and yes I'm a homer. Glad to be so unique among the objective commentary.
Oh, so that's all you wanted. Yes, Haverford is an excellent team, fantastic school, and their field situation is very unfortunate. You may well get the last laugh as Haverford storms into the NCAA tournament.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 12, 2018, 11:39:24 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 12, 2018, 11:14:03 AM
On a side note, when is the first set of regional rankings released? Has anything changed with the criteria from the NCAA?
I believe the first NCAA regional ranking comes out this Wednesday, October 17. Christian Shirk did a great explanation last season of the process. http://www.d3soccer.com/columns/christan-shirk/2017/the-rankings-that-matter (http://www.d3soccer.com/columns/christan-shirk/2017/the-rankings-that-matter) and I don't know if anything has changed a lot for 2018 - smarter folk here will have to chime in. SOS certainly has an impact on the ranking which is what daddyEzK was pointing out, thus Lastguy's data on Massey's SOS calculation is interesting. But ultimately winning is what counts... no matter the field conditions or the SOS. ;D
I am sure "field conditions" will be looked into as part of the selection process criteria in the coming years if daddyEzK pushes for it ;)
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 12, 2018, 01:49:47 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 12, 2018, 11:12:59 AM
I am neutral on the Fords but this is the third or fourth time I have heard about these field conditions for Haverford. I hate to break it to you but the committee doesn't care about your field conditions. Last time I checked the other team they faced played the in the same conditions on the same field. Haverford also has 4 losses and at the time of your argument to have them in the top 10 was 4-4...a measly .500 win percentage. That doesn't cut it no matter how difficult the schedule is. So a team that's 1-9 but played the toughest schedule in the country should be regionally ranked? Makes no sense. If you don't get results it doesn't matter. They are however starting to turn the corner and I think they will be in the top 10 in the first rankings but I hope you realize how the rankings work. I am fairly neutral on this region and enjoy watching and discussing all the teams but don't be too much of a homer if you can't back it up and have to resort to poor field conditions as an excuse.
Wish I knew what team you supported, it would be fun to compare the relative merits. However, if you followed soccer for any period of time, close loses in adverse conditions ARE a factor in determining if a team is better than its record. Also there is a difference, as my thighs can attest, between a natural and turf field team. I don't think that any of this makes a difference in the NCAA rankings since the voters have not seen the games, but it is pertinent on a discussion board of fans who are throwing around their opinions. You can be neutral on Haverford, but this senior class has won their conference two out of three years and have gone as far as the eights in the NCAAs. They have beat 3 teams that that folks on this board had ranked ahead of them. My point was that they deserve to be considered. Hope you can do that.
For the sake of this discussion, it should be irrelevant what team I support? If you would look back through the boards I believe I am fairly neutral and say what I find true for the region as a whole. I have no beef with Haverford as you apparently think and I am sure will soon claim. They are a talented squad in a tough conference. For me 4-4 isn't worthy of a top 10 spot. Yes they played tough competition but results do matter and yes they matter more than poor field conditions. No one is attacking the senior class of Haverford either...calm down. Plenty of teams beat other teams in the region that may be ranked higher than them at the time. That's why we have rankings and that's why they change each week. As I mentioned before, I am sure Haverford will be ranked especially if they continue to pick up some wins, but when you started this discussion of "no love for Haverford" when they are sitting at 4-4 and only because of field conditions well that's not ranking worthy at the point in the season. They certainly deserve to be considered and at least from my perspective I have considered them in most of my mock polls since they have started to turn the corner. Take a deep breath and simmer down...it's a long season ;D
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 12, 2018, 02:14:11 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 12, 2018, 01:49:47 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 12, 2018, 11:12:59 AM
I am neutral on the Fords but this is the third or fourth time I have heard about these field conditions for Haverford. I hate to break it to you but the committee doesn't care about your field conditions. Last time I checked the other team they faced played the in the same conditions on the same field. Haverford also has 4 losses and at the time of your argument to have them in the top 10 was 4-4...a measly .500 win percentage. That doesn't cut it no matter how difficult the schedule is. So a team that's 1-9 but played the toughest schedule in the country should be regionally ranked? Makes no sense. If you don't get results it doesn't matter. They are however starting to turn the corner and I think they will be in the top 10 in the first rankings but I hope you realize how the rankings work. I am fairly neutral on this region and enjoy watching and discussing all the teams but don't be too much of a homer if you can't back it up and have to resort to poor field conditions as an excuse.
Wish I knew what team you supported, it would be fun to compare the relative merits. However, if you followed soccer for any period of time, close loses in adverse conditions ARE a factor in determining if a team is better than its record. Also there is a difference, as my thighs can attest, between a natural and turf field team. I don't think that any of this makes a difference in the NCAA rankings since the voters have not seen the games, but it is pertinent on a discussion board of fans who are throwing around their opinions. You can be neutral on Haverford, but this senior class has won their conference two out of three years and have gone as far as the eights in the NCAAs. They have beat 3 teams that that folks on this board had ranked ahead of them. My point was that they deserve to be considered. Hope you can do that.
Here's an idea. Make your own regional top ten list. Your pal felix can help out. You do realize that MAF's list has absolutely zero influence on the actual ncaa regional rankings right? Most on this board will agree that he does a pretty good job of accurately ranking teams however. I'm not sure why you're so insistent on repeating the same points ad nauseam.
Thanks for that! ;D
Lastguy NCAA Mid-Atlantic Regional Ranking Predictions FIRST RELEASE
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Eastern
5. Haverford
6. Lycoming
7. Dickinson
8. Gettysburg
9. Swat
10. LVC
MAF Top 10 (not my guess at the regional rankings)
1. Messiah (12-0-2)
2. Lyco (12-1-1)
3. Hopkins (10-3-1)
4. F&M (10-2-2)
5. Dickinson (9-3-2)
6. Eastern (10-2-1)
7. Fords (7-4-0)
8. Gettysburg (7-4-1)
9. LVC (7-4-1)
10. Drew (9-4-0)
Others: Swat (8-5-1), Catholic (7-5-0)
Massey Ratings as of 10/14/18
4 Messiah
14 F&M
15 JHU
22 Eastern
29 Lycoming
39 Haverford
45 Dickinson
63 Gettysburg
79 LVC
85 Swat
88 Drew
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 15, 2018, 10:21:00 AM
Lastguy NCAA Mid-Atlantic Regional Ranking Predictions FIRST RELEASE
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Eastern
5. Haverford
6. Lycoming
7. Dickinson
8. Gettysburg
9. Swat
10. Drew
Here's my guess at how I think the region will shape up for the NCAA rankings:
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Lyco
5. Eastern
6. Dickinson
7. Haverford
8. Gettysburg
9. LVC
10. Drew/Swat
Tonight's a big night for soccer in Grantham.
As many will remember, the last time Lycoming came to Grantham they left with a huge 2-1 win over the Falcons. Both scores came on corner kicks--the Falcons' Achilles heel in 2016 & 2017. To view the two Warrior goals (by defenders Sinclair Tueno and Jack Webb, both of whom are now seniors), go here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aisIkaQjDqc and start watching at 2:00, though if you want a glimpse of Gibboney's pep talk start about half a minute earlier.
Job #1 tonight for the Falcons is to minimize, or even eliminate, Warrior set pieces--while creating set pieces of their own. Contrary to recent seasons, the Falcons are now dangerous again on corners and free kicks. To a large degree, this is b/c Nick West has transformed his game. Where he was previously a marginal AA as a winger, now he's simply the most dangerous scorer in D3, without peer IMO. There's nothing he can't do on the offensive end. He's scored at least once, in a variety of ways, in every single game since the opener against Cortland--where he wasn't yet running free, and they weren't looking for him over the top. (If he scores tonight and again on Saturday, West would tie the all-time record for consecutive games with a goal scored.) Already he has at least 4 goals on free kicks and a few more on corner kicks.
The bottom line: the short corners that were the default option for a couple seasons are now much less common: West, Luke Groothoff, and other players are scoring or forcing the GK to make plays with much greater frequency this year. The ability of the Falcons to create such opportunities will loom large tonight. However, the Falcons still like to score by possessing the ball from the back. No surprise there. They've added by addition, not subtraction. Although I haven't watched the Warriors much this year (I streamed two recent games, including the one vs Widener), from what I've seen it appears they are less likely to try to possess the ball tonight. Indeed, many of their goals this year (and last year) come from set plays. So, here's what to look for tonight:
(1) Can Lycoming create enough set plays to get a goal or two? When they do get set plays--and I think we can assume there will be some--will they be as effective converting them as they were in that conference championship game last year? The Falcons lost two senior defenders from that team, including a 1st team AA (Dakota Rosenberg) who has been replaced by FR Luke Groothoff. Groothoff is probably not as fast as Rosenberg (West might be the only Falcon in that category), but he's terrific in the air. I won't be surprised if he ends up marking Tueno, who is by far the best player for Lycoming and arguably one of the most dangerous players in the nation coming out of the back (Groothoff's skill set is similar).
(2) Can Lycoming stop West from getting good looks? Some teams have indeed limited West's shots; he didn't get a single shot of any sort in the first half of one recent game, though he scored in the second half. So, it can be done--but at what cost defensively? Who else will be open? And, will it require fouling West in a place where you're giving him a free kick? Partly, this is about not fouling any of the Falcons if free kicks are coming, since that can translate into another goal for West. It's no secret that the Warriors play a very physical game, sometimes even over-the-top physical to their own detriment. (Just go find the box score from their final game last fall for concrete evidence of the latter.) So far this year, the Warriors have been called for 196 fouls, including 20 YCs and 1 RC, in 14 games. In the same number of contests, Messiah has 93 fouls, including 3 YCs, and Falcon opponents have 129 fouls with 10 YCs. In other words: if the Warriors aren't very careful tonight, they're going to be giving up free kicks--and Falcons might feast on that. Also, the Falcons have 101 corners so far, and Lycoming has 74. Again--this isn't last year's Falcons. You may want to play them differently.
(3) Will both teams look to counter? Probably yes. They both have a lot of team speed, so this will be interesting. I doubt Lycoming will try to out-possess Messiah, in which case they have to rely on set plays and counters for goals--and their ability to convert such opportunities must be highly respected. Ditto for Messiah: this year more than ever, the Falcons are looking for chances to go over the top or dump and run. West is peerless in that regard. Lycoming knows this. We'll see what happens.
(4) The key matchups: On Lycoming set plays (there will be some of those), who is marking Tueno? (My guess is Groothoff, but maybe it will be Cooper Robbins.) On the opposite end of the field, who is marking West? (My guess is Tueno, or else Webb.) There might in fact be two defenders on Tueno/West in those situations. We'll see.
I'll stick with my standard pattern and avoid making a prediction about the score.
I'll go with Messiah....in a statement game....4-1 or 5-1.
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on October 12, 2018, 03:09:52 PM
As for Harrisburg, the vote the CSAC had to make was whether to change the by-laws and accept state schools. Now, I was told by a reputable source who would know that the state-school rule would change (unrelated conversation to Harrisburg). I am not sure if the Harrisburg vote took place BEFORE that source's confidence in the state-school rule being changed or it didn't pass and that is why Harrisburg was left out of the CSAC. If it is the first option, there is a chance the CSAC will still allow state schools ... and maybe Harrisburg ends up joining after all. I think it happened the other way around and the vote that left Harrisburg out was a vote in the CSAC that squashed the idea, for now, that state schools should be in the conference.
So, I'm backing up on this last part. I had it on good authority that Harrisburg was denied entrance to the CSAC... I am now being told they never applied. Unfortunately, I can not confirm from the other source as of yet what happened.
So... for now, Harrisburg was interested in returning to the NEAC. Not sure if the CSAC was involved. I am not sure if the CSAC has voted on allowing state schools in the conference or not.
Just wanted to be sure my info was as accurate as possible.
Falconer.. I think based on this year's game stats that Lycoming may not be as good as last year but as you say they could score on set pieces. I saw Luke K leave last gamevwith some injury and not come back. He looked to be the most dangerous and consistent taking corner kicks so that could hurt if he is not playing tonight. With 2 right backs injured the staff has been trying different starting lineups including moving defenders around. Curious what the lineup will look like tonight. Luke G was back at center back last game.. Hope he is back at mid tonight with Coop and Ruark at center back. Danny Cole started at right back last game so curious if they stay with that. Goodling and Schwartz have played that position before as well. If weather is not rain then I expect Messiah to control play and win by 2.
Lycoming might not be as good as last year but NO WAY they are giving up 4-5 Goals. If they play their usual direct style and stay compact defensively they will keep this nice and close. Not sure they will Win but I do not see them getting blown off the field
Quote from: rudy on October 17, 2018, 01:01:03 PM
Falconer.. I think based on this year's game stats that Lycoming may not be as good as last year but as you say they could score on set pieces. I saw Luke K leave last gamevwith some injury and not come back. He looked to be the most dangerous and consistent taking corner kicks so that could hurt if he is not playing tonight. With 2 right backs injured the staff has been trying different starting lineups including moving defenders around. Curious what the lineup will look like tonight. Luke G was back at center back last game.. Hope he is back at mid tonight with Coop and Ruark at center back. Danny Cole started at right back last game so curious if they stay with that. Goodling and Schwartz have played that position before as well. If weather is not rain then I expect Messiah to control play and win by 2.
As always, rudy, you're on point and accurate. I especially agree that Luke K is very good on corner kicks (and free kicks, but West now gets all or most of those), and he will be sorely missed.
I agree with your implied judgement that the Falcons are best when Luke Groothoff goes into the MF, but I just don't know whether that works against Lycoming. They might really want him in the back tonight. I bet that's where he starts the game, perhaps even with Ruark at holding MF. Again, we agree that Groothoff is even better in the MF than in the back, but he's also better in the back than the alternatives. Will be interesting to see what transpires.
Do you have any information about the extent of the injuries to Joe King and his backup? I don't like the idea of playing Lycoming without King in the lineup.
Quote from: Falconer on October 17, 2018, 03:01:38 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 17, 2018, 01:01:03 PM
Falconer.. I think based on this year's game stats that Lycoming may not be as good as last year but as you say they could score on set pieces. I saw Luke K leave last gamevwith some injury and not come back. He looked to be the most dangerous and consistent taking corner kicks so that could hurt if he is not playing tonight. With 2 right backs injured the staff has been trying different starting lineups including moving defenders around. Curious what the lineup will look like tonight. Luke G was back at center back last game.. Hope he is back at mid tonight with Coop and Ruark at center back. Danny Cole started at right back last game so curious if they stay with that. Goodling and Schwartz have played that position before as well. If weather is not rain then I expect Messiah to control play and win by 2.
As always, rudy, you're on point and accurate. I especially agree that Luke K is very good on corner kicks (and free kicks, but West now gets all or most of those), and he will be sorely missed.
I agree with your implied judgement that the Falcons are best when Luke Groothoff goes into the MF, but I just don't know whether that works against Lycoming. They might really want him in the back tonight. I bet that's where he starts the game, perhaps even with Ruark at holding MF. Again, we agree that Groothoff is even better in the MF than in the back, but he's also better in the back than the alternatives. Will be interesting to see what transpires.
Do you have any information about the extent of the injuries to Joe King and his backup? I don't like the idea of playing Lycoming without King in the lineup.
Nick Kane broke his tibia from what I understand. Won't be back this year. He had started to play some right back whereas last year he played more forward position. Joe bad hamstring pull...with some luck maybe back for NCAA. He was playing well and has great speed so agree tough without him.
Could go either way with Luke tonight..maybe he will start in back and if get behind move up. May depend if Luke K is able to play. Adam Cole also back from injury and played mid last game.
Quote from: rudy on October 17, 2018, 03:09:03 PM
Nick Kane broke his tibia from what I understand. Won't be back this year. He had started to play some right back whereas last year he played more forward position. Joe bad hamstring pull...with some luck maybe back for NCAA. He was playing well and has great speed so agree tough without him.
Could go either way with Luke tonight..maybe he will start in back and if get behind move up. May depend if Luke K is able to play. Adam Cole also back from injury and played mid last game.
I know every team gets men injured at some point, but it does seem to be a bigger issue this year for the Falcons than in many other years. Has there been one single game this year, when the Falcons didn't have at least one starter out with an injury? For the first several weeks, Cooper was still hurt; in the opening game, Cortland made a point of trying to take out King, Alejos, and your son, and Alejos and your son missed a few games; now, Luke K and King are out. Where's this going to end? I hope they are full strength come tournament time, but in the meantime the back line is always in flux.
For all the Nick West fans on the board (and I count myself as one - as I was lucky enough to watch him play in the summer of 2016 for a local club's U23 team, his hometown is rooting for him. I really hope his coaches are right, it would be so great to see him get a shot at turning pro. He is just magical to watch and just a really nice kid too.
http://easthamptonstar.com/Sports/20181010/Nick-Wests-Aim-Usually-True (http://easthamptonstar.com/Sports/20181010/Nick-Wests-Aim-Usually-True)
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 17, 2018, 03:33:57 PM
For all the Nick West fans on the board (and I count myself as one - as I was lucky enough to watch him play in the summer of 2016 for a local club's U23 team, his hometown is rooting for him. I really hope his coaches are right, it would be so great to see him get a shot at turning pro. He is just magical to watch and just a really nice kid too.
http://easthamptonstar.com/Sports/20181010/Nick-Wests-Aim-Usually-True (http://easthamptonstar.com/Sports/20181010/Nick-Wests-Aim-Usually-True)
Never met the kid but seems like one of those people you can't dislike from what I have read/seen of him.
Interestingly, the school his team played in the state final in 2014 was Greece Athena, home of Jason "J-Mac" McElwain, the basketball team manager with Autism who hit six (or maybe seven?) three pointers in his senior night appearance back in 2006 and was on ESPN/etc.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 12-0-2 | 0.591 | -- | 12-0-2 | -- |
2. | Johns Hopkins | 10-3-1 | 0.629 | -- | 10-3-1 | -- |
3. | Eastern | 10-2-1 | 0.587 | -- | 10-2-1 | -- |
4. | Franklin and Marshall | 10-2-2 | 0.618 | -- | 10-2-2 | -- |
5. | Dickinson | 9-3-2 | 0.579 | -- | 9-3-2 | -- |
6. | Haverford | 7-4-0 | 0.626 | -- | 7-4-0 | -- |
7. | Gettysburg | 7-4-1 | 0.579 | -- | 7-4-1 | -- |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 7-4-1 | 0.570 | -- | 7-4-1 | -- |
9. | Lycoming | 12-1-1 | 0.516 | -- | 12-1-1 | -- |
10. | Swarthmore | 8-5-1 | 0.600 | -- | 8-5-1 | -- |
A very solid, satisfying 2-0 win for the Falcons tonight, despite terrible officiating and a powerful crosswind especially in the second half. Nick West scored both goals--I know, you've heard that before, but it's still true. He has now scored in 14 straight games, and if he scores again at the Homecoming game Saturday night he'll tie the all-time D3 record. Both goals were lovely, but the first is an absolute highlight. Be sure to see the video when it goes up. But, his best shot of the evening was a rocket that suddenly broke seemingly straight down and smashed off the crossbar perhaps mid-way through the first half. A few inches lower, and it's another hat trick.
The Falcons did tonight exactly what they had to do: minimize the corners for Lycoming (who nearly scored on one anyway), stay cool while being manhandled (the most incredible statistic tonight is zero cards, when at least five were mandatory and one should have been a double card on Tueno when he threw the ball down after deliberately shoving a Falcon to the ground and failing to receive a call against the Falcon), and take advantage of the opportunities given. Lycoming hustled, played with intelligence, were well organized defensively--no surprises there. Many teams would have been intimidated by their over-the-top physical play, but the official was the only man on the field who appeared to be intimidated. The Falcons kept getting back on their feet, making the right passes, and taking the best shots. The score tonight accurately reflects the way the game went on the field.
In what has been a disappointing season Scranton defeated Drew 3-0. I am not sure why Drew is down this year, I thought they didn't graduate anyone.
I would say this was a huge win for Scranton, but to your point Drew is down this year for some reason so I'm not sure 'huge" would be appropriate. Nonetheless, 3-0 is an absolute but whooping and congrats are certainly in order.
Quote from: Falconer on October 17, 2018, 09:29:38 PM
A very solid, satisfying 2-0 win for the Falcons tonight, despite terrible officiating and a powerful crosswind especially in the second half. Nick West scored both goals--I know, you've heard that before, but it's still true. He has now scored in 14 straight games, and if he scores again at the Homecoming game Saturday night he'll tie the all-time D3 record. Both goals were lovely, but the first is an absolute highlight. Be sure to see the video when it goes up. But, his best shot of the evening was a rocket that suddenly broke seemingly straight down and smashed off the crossbar perhaps mid-way through the first half. A few inches lower, and it's another hat trick.
The Falcons did tonight exactly what they had to do: minimize the corners for Lycoming (who nearly scored on one anyway), stay cool while being manhandled (the most incredible statistic tonight is zero cards, when at least five were mandatory and one should have been a double card on Tueno when he threw the ball down after deliberately shoving a Falcon to the ground and failing to receive a call against the Falcon), and take advantage of the opportunities given. Lycoming hustled, played with intelligence, were well organized defensively--no surprises there. Many teams would have been intimidated by their over-the-top physical play, but the official was the only man on the field who appeared to be intimidated. The Falcons kept getting back on their feet, making the right passes, and taking the best shots. The score tonight accurately reflects the way the game went on the field.
I agree with bits and pieces of this assessment Falconer. I do not think the officiating was terrible as there were no calls that had any major impact on the outcome of the game. I do agree that there easily could have and should have been some cards dished out throughout the duration of this contest. With that said, Messiah most certainly fouled more than 5 times so they also got away with plenty. Overall I thought the officiating wasn't the best but wasn't terrible as, you claim, by any means.
Now onto the fun stuff! West lives up to the hype (for any doubters left) and is a joy to watch. What a player! The Falcons controlled the ball a majority of the game which is expected when they face anyone but is always the case vs Lycoming. And as always Lycoming was able to minimize the Falcons chances and absorb stretches of pressure when they didn't have the ball. I'd say possession was 60/40 to the Flacons. Is that fair? But in the end both teams had about the same amount of dangerous chances which Messiah made the most of. This was a highly contested match and fun to watch from a neutral perspective. I may be bias as an avid lover of the region, but these are without a doubt 2 of the best teams in the country. This game could have gone either way and Lycoming was unfortunate not to get on the board as they had 2 saved off the goal line, one rocket the post, and a bicycle kick saved that if placed anywhere but down the middle was destine for the back of the net. Lycoming was dangerous on all set pieces but Messiah got through it, which is a testament to them. On the other side, Messiah moved the ball well and played within themselves. I did expect a little more from the Falcons with being at home and on their grass surface, but Lycoming didn't look phased at all. Ruiz-Plaza is the orchestrator of this team and so dynamic in moving the ball and getting it switched out the other side. Robbins was a force in the back as well and is starting to take form after some injuries earlier in the year. I don't anticipate the Falcons losing the rest of the regular season so that would put them at an impressive 15-0-2 headed into conference playoffs.
I would anticipate both of these teams being contenders come November if they make NCAA's (Messiah is already a lock). For all of our sakes I would love to see a rematch with these two as it has been the game to watch each year in the region.
I agree that the officiating was not horrible. I watched virtually the whole game and I didn't observe any dirty or outrageous play. Tueno seemed to be a hothead and lost his cool several times and certainly deserved a card. Other than that, I didn't see anything that one wouldn't see in an average NESCAC game. Lycoming looked like a good team and did not appear overwhelmed by Messiah as I expected. That said, IMO Messiah was fully in control throughout and clearly the stronger team. A Lycoming goal certainly could have changed the dynamic, but in my view that game was closer to a 3-0 score than a 1-0 outcome.
I will reiterate again that West is fantastic. My only question might be whether Messiah is starting to rely on him too much and will they be able to get scoring elsewhere on some rare occasion when West is held in check. I'm used to Messiah getting goals from at least 5-6 different places. Obviously every team in the country would love to have such problems.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 18, 2018, 09:47:32 AM
Quote from: Falconer on October 17, 2018, 09:29:38 PM
A very solid, satisfying 2-0 win for the Falcons tonight, despite terrible officiating and a powerful crosswind especially in the second half. Nick West scored both goals--I know, you've heard that before, but it's still true. He has now scored in 14 straight games, and if he scores again at the Homecoming game Saturday night he'll tie the all-time D3 record. Both goals were lovely, but the first is an absolute highlight. Be sure to see the video when it goes up. But, his best shot of the evening was a rocket that suddenly broke seemingly straight down and smashed off the crossbar perhaps mid-way through the first half. A few inches lower, and it's another hat trick.
The Falcons did tonight exactly what they had to do: minimize the corners for Lycoming (who nearly scored on one anyway), stay cool while being manhandled (the most incredible statistic tonight is zero cards, when at least five were mandatory and one should have been a double card on Tueno when he threw the ball down after deliberately shoving a Falcon to the ground and failing to receive a call against the Falcon), and take advantage of the opportunities given. Lycoming hustled, played with intelligence, were well organized defensively--no surprises there. Many teams would have been intimidated by their over-the-top physical play, but the official was the only man on the field who appeared to be intimidated. The Falcons kept getting back on their feet, making the right passes, and taking the best shots. The score tonight accurately reflects the way the game went on the field.
I agree with bits and pieces of this assessment Falconer. I do not think the officiating was terrible as there were no calls that had any major impact on the outcome of the game. I do agree that there easily could have and should have been some cards dished out throughout the duration of this contest. With that said, Messiah most certainly fouled more than 5 times so they also got away with plenty. Overall I thought the officiating wasn't the best but wasn't terrible as, you claim, by any means.
Now onto the fun stuff! West lives up to the hype (for any doubters left) and is a joy to watch. What a player! The Falcons controlled the ball a majority of the game which is expected when they face anyone but is always the case vs Lycoming. And as always Lycoming was able to minimize the Falcons chances and absorb stretches of pressure when they didn't have the ball. I'd say possession was 60/40 to the Flacons. Is that fair? But in the end both teams had about the same amount of dangerous chances which Messiah made the most of. This was a highly contested match and fun to watch from a neutral perspective. I may be bias as an avid lover of the region, but these are without a doubt 2 of the best teams in the country. This game could have gone either way and Lycoming was unfortunate not to get on the board as they had 2 saved off the goal line, one rocket the post, and a bicycle kick saved that if placed anywhere but down the middle was destine for the back of the net. Lycoming was dangerous on all set pieces but Messiah got through it, which is a testament to them. On the other side, Messiah moved the ball well and played within themselves. I did expect a little more from the Falcons with being at home and on their grass surface, but Lycoming didn't look phased at all. Ruiz-Plaza is the orchestrator of this team and so dynamic in moving the ball and getting it switched out the other side. Robbins was a force in the back as well and is starting to take form after some injuries earlier in the year. I don't anticipate the Falcons losing the rest of the regular season so that would put them at an impressive 15-0-2 headed into conference playoffs.
I would anticipate both of these teams being contenders come November if they make NCAA's (Messiah is already a lock). For all of our sakes I would love to see a rematch with these two as it has been the game to watch each year in the region.
More than likely there will be a conference finals rematch between the two at Messiah. If both teams results are what is expected. I do think Lycoming style of play is to foul often, and sometimes hard, to try to throw off the other team. Looked like they may have gotten away with a no call in the box against West once but hard to tell for sure. A stricter ref would have pulled out some yellows. Messiah dodged a couple bullets on corner and free kicks. I think missing some key players with injuries hurts Messiah but they did well to come out on top. Lycoming has speed, aggressiveness, and endurance so Messiah can't wear them down. Also surprisingly Lyco actually subbed more players than Messiah so they appear to be deep.
I did think West got hauled down from behind in the box....not dirty from my view but more desperate...and a clear PK even though the Messiah announcers concluded it was a fair no-call. West doesn't strike me as a player who goes down easily.
There was a tackle from behind in the box but the official waved it off right away and looked like all ball to me. Also no players even hinted at complaining for a call so I imagine it was the correct decision to not make a call in that situation.
PaulNewman--I do have to disagree with your stance that it was closer to 3-0 rather than 1-0...why do you feel this way? Lycoming completely switched things up trying to get an equalizer for the last half of the 2nd half by moving Tueno up top. I don't know if Messiah gets a 2nd goal if Lycoming either equalizes or doesn't give up the first one. It looked like they went to 3 in the back for the last 20ish minutes but I could be wrong. But Tueno was definitely up top and not at CB for the last half of the 2nd half. There was one strike that West had off the cross bar in the first half that was a rocket and I believe someone already mentioned this earlier. That was a well hit ball and half a yard down and its a wonder goal. I do agree that they are starting to rely a little much on him. What happens when he has an off game in NCAA's? Do they survive? That I do not know but at this rate he may not have an off game! ;D
Overall I thought this game could have gone either way even after Messiah went up 1-0. Lycoming responded well and cracked the post about 10 minutes later and had multiple chances to get one back. Giving up a second with 5 minutes left from pressing and throwing numbers forward to get a second happens but would you rather them sit back and play for a 1-0 loss? I am confused on your logic with that stance. Hopeful for a rematch as I enjoyed this game more than others I have watched throughout the nation.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2018, 10:36:54 AM
There was a tackle from behind in the box but the official waved it off right away and looked like all ball to me. Also no players even hinted at complaining for a call so I imagine it was the correct decision to not make a call in that situation.
PaulNewman--I do have to disagree with your stance that it was closer to 3-0 rather than 1-0...why do you feel this way? Lycoming completely switched things up trying to get an equalizer for the last half of the 2nd half by moving Tueno up top. I don't know if Messiah gets a 2nd goal if Lycoming either equalizes or doesn't give up the first one. It looked like they went to 3 in the back for the last 20ish minutes but I could be wrong. But Tueno was definitely up top and not at CB for the last half of the 2nd half. There was one strike that West had off the cross bar in the first half that was a rocket and I believe someone already mentioned this earlier. That was a well hit ball and half a yard down and its a wonder goal. I do agree that they are starting to rely a little much on him. What happens when he has an off game in NCAA's? Do they survive? That I do not know but at this rate he may not have an off game! ;D
Overall I thought this game could have gone either way even after Messiah went up 1-0. Lycoming responded well and cracked the post about 10 minutes later and had multiple chances to get one back. Giving up a second with 5 minutes left from pressing and throwing numbers forward to get a second happens but would you rather them sit back and play for a 1-0 loss? I am confused on your logic with that stance. Hopeful for a rematch as I enjoyed this game more than others I have watched throughout the nation.
You might be right. I never thought the game was in doubt even when it was 1-0. Now, if Lyco has scored on the bike kick or otherwise that might have tightened things up, but my guess is that Messiah would have responded. I did say that Lyco didn't look overwhelmed, which is a good sign, but I don't see them beating Messiah on that big grass field unless they can somehow get to PKs.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 17, 2018, 12:43:41 PM
I'll go with Messiah....in a statement game....4-1 or 5-1.
When was the last time they gave up 5 goals in a game? From what I found it looks like all the way back in 2012 vs Messiah when they lost 6-0. This was before the Gibboney era began at Lycoming and was in a year they went 4-10-2. Since Gibboney took over they have never given up 5 goals in a game and only given up 4 twice.
The last time they gave up 4 was the 2014 final vs Messiah and before that was in the 2013 NCAA tournament vs Rutgers-Camden in his first year.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2018, 10:47:57 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 17, 2018, 12:43:41 PM
I'll go with Messiah....in a statement game....4-1 or 5-1.
When was the last time they gave up 5 goals in a game? From what I found it looks like all the way back in 2012 vs Messiah when they lost 6-0. This was before the Gibboney era began at Lycoming and was in a year they went 4-10-2. Since Gibboney took over they have never given up 5 goals in a game and only given up 4 twice.
The last time they gave up 4 was the 2014 final vs Messiah and before that was in the 2013 NCAA tournament vs Rutgers-Camden in his first year.
You're right, and I was wrong. Would you concede, though, that Messiah could have gotten 3? And it's not like West wasn't covered on the 2nd goal...wasn't a breakaway with Lyco having no numbers back.
One other fun fact while I was looking back through the schedules was that since 2013 when Gibboney took over, the series between Messiah and Lycoming is in favor to the falcons 6 wins to 4 in 10 contests. Messiah has won 2 times at Lycoming and 4 times at home. Lycoming has won 2 times both home and away. The rivalry is real and fantastic to watch year in and year out. :)
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 18, 2018, 10:53:27 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2018, 10:47:57 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 17, 2018, 12:43:41 PM
I'll go with Messiah....in a statement game....4-1 or 5-1.
When was the last time they gave up 5 goals in a game? From what I found it looks like all the way back in 2012 vs Messiah when they lost 6-0. This was before the Gibboney era began at Lycoming and was in a year they went 4-10-2. Since Gibboney took over they have never given up 5 goals in a game and only given up 4 twice.
The last time they gave up 4 was the 2014 final vs Messiah and before that was in the 2013 NCAA tournament vs Rutgers-Camden in his first year.
You're right, and I was wrong. Would you concede, though, that Messiah could have gotten 3? And it's not like West wasn't covered on the 2nd goal...wasn't a breakaway with Lyco having no numbers back.
I don't disagree that they could have gotten 3. I also think Lycoming could have gotten 3 as well with the amount of dangerous chances they created which is why I think it was an even game rather than closer to a lopsided game as I think you are hinting at.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2018, 10:55:23 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 18, 2018, 10:53:27 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2018, 10:47:57 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 17, 2018, 12:43:41 PM
I'll go with Messiah....in a statement game....4-1 or 5-1.
When was the last time they gave up 5 goals in a game? From what I found it looks like all the way back in 2012 vs Messiah when they lost 6-0. This was before the Gibboney era began at Lycoming and was in a year they went 4-10-2. Since Gibboney took over they have never given up 5 goals in a game and only given up 4 twice.
The last time they gave up 4 was the 2014 final vs Messiah and before that was in the 2013 NCAA tournament vs Rutgers-Camden in his first year.
You're right, and I was wrong. Would you concede, though, that Messiah could have gotten 3? And it's not like West wasn't covered on the 2nd goal...wasn't a breakaway with Lyco having no numbers back.
I don't disagree that they could have gotten 3. I also think Lycoming could have gotten 3 as well with the amount of dangerous chances they created which is why I think it was an even game rather than closer to a lopsided game as I think you are hinting at.
As you were watching did you think Lyco was going to win, or get a draw?
I think sometimes perceptions are impacted by expectations. I never expect Messiah to lose and I don't have the anxiety that a Messiah fan might have watching, and I'm also not a Lyco supporter to influence me that way. I spent the entire Kenyon-OWU certain that Kenyon would lose, as I do every time they play, even when logic says otherwise or like yesterday when shots were 29-12.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 18, 2018, 09:47:32 AM
I agree with bits and pieces of this assessment Falconer. I do not think the officiating was terrible as there were no calls that had any major impact on the outcome of the game. I do agree that there easily could have and should have been some cards dished out throughout the duration of this contest. With that said, Messiah most certainly fouled more than 5 times so they also got away with plenty. Overall I thought the officiating wasn't the best but wasn't terrible as, you claim, by any means.
We do differ here, MAF. Some former players near my seat repeatedly commented on how bad the officiating was last night.
On one of the non-calls, West was knocked down in the box--and anyone who watches him regularly knows that he is pretty strong and never dives. That non-call was huge. Another non-call involved a Falcon who was breaking free into dangerous territory outside the box. Several Falcons were simply run over by Warriors, others were shoved (and sometimes went down) when they didn't have the ball at all. The term "cheap shot" comes to mind. Those are all cardable plays, and when they are consistently not called it emboldens the offenders--some of whom clearly were giving lip to the official when they were called, as if they had done nothing. I cannot fathom why Tueno's display drew no consequence.
I would say that the official foul count of 16 to 5 could fairly have been doubled, each way. This one got out of control in the first few minutes, unfortunately. How much better the game would have been, if it had been under control. Perhaps we would agree on at least that much.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 18, 2018, 10:58:54 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2018, 10:55:23 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 18, 2018, 10:53:27 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2018, 10:47:57 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 17, 2018, 12:43:41 PM
I'll go with Messiah....in a statement game....4-1 or 5-1.
When was the last time they gave up 5 goals in a game? From what I found it looks like all the way back in 2012 vs Messiah when they lost 6-0. This was before the Gibboney era began at Lycoming and was in a year they went 4-10-2. Since Gibboney took over they have never given up 5 goals in a game and only given up 4 twice.
The last time they gave up 4 was the 2014 final vs Messiah and before that was in the 2013 NCAA tournament vs Rutgers-Camden in his first year.
You're right, and I was wrong. Would you concede, though, that Messiah could have gotten 3? And it's not like West wasn't covered on the 2nd goal...wasn't a breakaway with Lyco having no numbers back.
I don't disagree that they could have gotten 3. I also think Lycoming could have gotten 3 as well with the amount of dangerous chances they created which is why I think it was an even game rather than closer to a lopsided game as I think you are hinting at.
As you were watching did you think Lyco was going to win, or get a draw?
When Messiah went up 1-0 I thought it would be difficult for Lycoming to get a win but I did think they were more than capable of getting a result. I did not think they would lose 3-0 as the game wore on and actually thought a 1 goal game was going to happen rather than a 3 or 4 goal game. Lycoming controlled nice stretches of the game and had Messiah on their heels but Messiah dealt with it well and finished them off on the counter. I do think Messiah was the better team but no where near lopsided.
On a happier note, other than West I thought the player of the game (for the Falcons) was Luke Groothoff. I lost count of how many times he defused plays as they were developing, or even after they had developed. He's fast, nimble, and terrific in the air--perhaps the best Falcon in that regard defensively since the great Hayden Woodworth. When he guarded Tueno man-to-man in the second half (and sometimes on set plays in the first half) he almost totally shut him down, often by denying him the ball through the air or by stealing it from his feet. I have not seen this year a better all-around defender, except for Vetger at Calvin. If Groothoff gets even better with experience, he will probably be in that category sooner or later. It was prudent to move him back to CB from the MF last night: the Falcons really needed him.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 18, 2018, 10:36:54 AM
There was one strike that West had off the cross bar in the first half that was a rocket and I believe someone already mentioned this earlier. That was a well hit ball and half a yard down and its a wonder goal. I do agree that they are starting to rely a little much on him. What happens when he has an off game in NCAA's? Do they survive? That I do not know but at this rate he may not have an off game! ;D
The Falcon's dependence on West to finish is certainly concerning; it's hard to think that he will continue to score in every single game, even though his numbers against three top teams (JHU, Lycoming, MSU) are truly impressive (7 goals)--if they can't stop him, who can?
On his second goal last night, Ruiz Plaza could probably have kept the ball himself and gotten off a shot inside the box, but obviously he didn't hesitate to pass it to West, who wasn't yet fully open. Now, granted, Plaza has always been a reluctant shooter--far too much so, IMO, since he hits rockets pretty much from anywhere--but given how hot West has been all year, why not let him finish the play?
The real question for the Falcons is, what happens to the front line next year? They lost two AA attackers from last fall, so West has been the obvious go-to man this year. An even bigger question looms for next year, when they will lose West and three more SR offensive threats, namely, Alejos (LF), Ruiz Plaza (MF), and Justin Brautigam (MF). They can all score in situations and will be sorely missed. There just isn't all that much behind them. The answer could involve putting Luke Groothoff up front somewhere, but that leaves an enormous hole defensively. It will be a tough call. Perhaps another of the newcomers will step up, someone like Luke Kukolios (missed the Lycoming game)or Darryl Daniels (who got a solid 15 minutes in the second half). Time well tell.
Falconer, it's interesting to not only hear you use the word "target" for center forward/central striker/etc. but also hear McCarty use that exact vernacular in that article about West. It very much makes sense — I'm not being critical of it — but I'd just never heard that used to describe that position before hearing it from two Messiah folks in a short span of time.
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 17, 2018, 03:59:48 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 12-0-2 | 0.591 | -- | 12-0-2 | -- |
2. | Johns Hopkins | 10-3-1 | 0.629 | -- | 10-3-1 | -- |
3. | Eastern | 10-2-1 | 0.587 | -- | 10-2-1 | -- |
4. | Franklin and Marshall | 10-2-2 | 0.618 | -- | 10-2-2 | -- |
5. | Dickinson | 9-3-2 | 0.579 | -- | 9-3-2 | -- |
6. | Haverford | 7-4-0 | 0.626 | -- | 7-4-0 | -- |
7. | Gettysburg | 7-4-1 | 0.579 | -- | 7-4-1 | -- |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 7-4-1 | 0.570 | -- | 7-4-1 | -- |
9. | Lycoming | 12-1-1 | 0.516 | -- | 12-1-1 | -- |
10. | Swarthmore | 8-5-1 | 0.600 | -- | 8-5-1 | -- |
A lot of respect for the Centennial Conference on this poll. Ooops, there I go being a homer again...
Which means the top teams in the Centennial will have TONS of ranked Wins if those middle of the road Centennial teams stay ranked...That bodes well for Haverford
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
The Centennial should have two at large bids. Will be interesting how the rest of the season plays out.
MACC Messiah over Lyco
MACF Eastern over Manhattanville
CSAC Keystone over Cairn
LAND E-town over Drew
NEAC PSU-Abington over Morrisville St
CC JHU over
Pool C: F&M
Pool C: Haverford
-----------------------------
Just missing out: Dickinson, Lycoming
Dickinson has two incredibly tough matches at Haverford and vs JHU. Even though they are sitting at 5-1-1, they could potentially fall to the #4 or #5 seed and have a play-in game for conference post-season.
Dickinson 5-1-1 10-3-2
Haverford 5-1-0 8-4-0
Johns Hopkins 5-2-0 11-3-1
Franklin and Marshall 4-1-2 11-2-2
Gettysburg 4-3-0 7-5-1
Swarthmore 3-3-1 8-6-1
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Lycoming typically plays one UAA school a year, and one or two Centennial. Perhaps Centennial schools dropped them from the schedule?
Here is the Top 15 regional ranking if the selection committee used an RPI system similar to college bball. Just another interesting perspective
MID-ATLANTIC REGION (PACLASSIC89 RPI) RANKINGS
Rank School RPI
1. Messiah .676
2. F&M .660
3. JHU .659
4. Eastern .642
5. Haverford .629
6. Dickinson .613
7. Lycoming . 610
8. Swarthmore .602
9. Gettysburg .591
10. LVC .584
11. Drew .573
12. Neumann .561
13. Catholic .550
14. Moravian .549
15. Washington College .542
Quote from: blooter442 on October 18, 2018, 12:24:54 PM
Falconer, it's interesting to not only hear you use the word "target" for center forward/central striker/etc. but also hear McCarty use that exact vernacular in that article about West. It very much makes sense — I'm not being critical of it — but I'd just never heard that used to describe that position before hearing it from two Messiah folks in a short span of time.
The term "target" for a central striker has been around for decades. It refers more to the player's role, rather than location on the field.
Quote from: 1970s NESCAC Player on October 18, 2018, 01:37:16 PM
The term "target" for a central striker has been around for decades. It refers more to the player's role, rather than location on the field.
I get that — just never heard it used before.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 18, 2018, 01:22:47 PM
Here is the Top 15 regional ranking if the selection committee used an RPI system similar to college bball. Just another interesting perspective
MID-ATLANTIC REGION (PACLASSIC89 RPI) RANKINGS
Rank School RPI
1. Messiah .676
2. F&M .660
3. JHU .659
4. Eastern .642
5. Haverford .629
6. Dickinson .613
7. Lycoming . 610
8. Swarthmore .602
9. Gettysburg .591
10. LVC .584
11. Drew .573
12. Neumann .561
13. Catholic .550
14. Moravian .549
15. Washington College .542
That is very interesting....Could you do that for the New England region when you have some time? I am curious
Quote from: blooter442 on October 18, 2018, 01:41:03 PM
Quote from: 1970s NESCAC Player on October 18, 2018, 01:37:16 PM
The term "target" for a central striker has been around for decades. It refers more to the player's role, rather than location on the field.
I get that — just never heard it used before.
Yeah, I am probably familiar with the term because I'm a long-time Messiah fan. When I first started hearing it used, it seemed odd to by used for Messiah because, without any prior awareness of what it was meant to convey, the term "target" conjured up images of a tall, strong forward who was good in the air and thus the target of longballs and crosses--the classic English center-forward. But I would come to understand that it meant something quite different.
A target forward doesn't have to be good in the air, because the target can be and preferrably should be their feet. Their role is to get free of their defender (or at least hold off the defender), and be an outlet (or target) to play into. So they need to be comfortable receiving the ball from all different angles and knowing when to turn and attack space and when to hold the ball up, shield the ball away from defenders, and wait for support to come or runners into the box.
For Messiah, Matt Bills (2000-2003) was the perfect "target" forward. He was great making himself available with his back to goal, was very hard to dispossess, and he was equally good at scoring himself as he was distributing the ball to teammates in and around the area. With the capable players around him, defenses had their hands full not knowing if he'd turn and have a go himself or would find a teammate to finish the play off, either option very dangerous and needing to be fully respected.
Nick West isn't utilized in a strict target role. He's proven to be strong and able to play with his back to goal in the center of the pitch (much better than some of us anticipated), but with his blazing speed, he's still regularly moving into space and wide areas with the team regularly sending balls in behind the defense for him to run onto or looking to get him the ball where he can run at defenders.
Bills, for me, was a better classic "target", but West's speed means he has other ways to beat you. And it's good he does because, unlike Bills who was surrounded by so many capable goal-scorers, he's having to carry the scoring load. In Bills' most prolific season, 2002 (Messiah's 2nd national title season), his 29 goals accounted for 28% of the Falcons goals, or looking just at just the regular season his 19 goals represented 24% of their goals. West currently is responsible for 47% of this year's goals, basically double that of Bills in the regular season.
So I too am concerned about the lack of distribution in the Falcons scoring this season. If West has an off game or one of the better teams they will face in the NCAA's has a defense that can shut him down, where are the goals going to come from? Who can you depend on to step up? In 2002, Messiah had nine players, yes nine, who tallied 5 to 10 goals (not including a CB who was leading the Falcons in scoring the previous season before being moved to the back) to compliment Bills' haul. Someone was going to come through if a team focused too much on making sure Bills didn't beat them. At this point of this season, you couldn't fault opponents for ganging up on West and taking their chances with someone else beating them. Of course, West's speed makes containing him a bit more challenging than a classic target. And Messiah clearly has a lot of talented players around West and more than not Messiah would find another way to win, but in a single-elimination tournament it only takes one game and it's over. What makes me less nervous is that the Falcons almost always elevate their game in the NCAA tournament, both collectively and individually with some players playing to their potential in ways only occasionally seen in the regular season, some just finding a new gear or level, some just being more consistently on. The Falcons so often save their best for last.
What was really special about Bills' 2002 season was his post-season run that saw him scored in every game from the conference semifinal through the national semifinal, 7 straight games, a streak that included
• six game-winning goals
• scoring the game's first goal four times and last goal four times
• scoring the game's lone goal twice (both in regulation)
• scoring two sudden-death overtime goals
• NCAA wins over these heavyweights (at that time): Johns Hopkins (17-2-0), Salisbury (15-2-2), Greensboro (16-4-0), Drew (21-1-1) and St. Lawrence (16-1-3).
It took his regular season tally of 19 goals to 29 total as he ran roughshod in the conference playoffs and then was absolutely clutch in the NCAA tournament. For me, until we see what West does in the post-season, Bills' season is the gold-standard at Messiah. West is having one of the best goal-scoring regular seasons. As a Messiah fan, here's hoping he can keep it going in the post-season Ă la Bills. Now that would be extraordinarily special.
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 18, 2018, 12:28:46 PM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 17, 2018, 03:59:48 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 17, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 12-0-2 | 0.591 | -- | 12-0-2 | -- |
2. | Johns Hopkins | 10-3-1 | 0.629 | -- | 10-3-1 | -- |
3. | Eastern | 10-2-1 | 0.587 | -- | 10-2-1 | -- |
4. | Franklin and Marshall | 10-2-2 | 0.618 | -- | 10-2-2 | -- |
5. | Dickinson | 9-3-2 | 0.579 | -- | 9-3-2 | -- |
6. | Haverford | 7-4-0 | 0.626 | -- | 7-4-0 | -- |
7. | Gettysburg | 7-4-1 | 0.579 | -- | 7-4-1 | -- |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 7-4-1 | 0.570 | -- | 7-4-1 | -- |
9. | Lycoming | 12-1-1 | 0.516 | -- | 12-1-1 | -- |
10. | Swarthmore | 8-5-1 | 0.600 | -- | 8-5-1 | -- |
A lot of respect for the Centennial Conference on this poll. Ooops, there I go being a homer again...
This has nothing to do with respect........the NCAA regional rankings are all numbers driven. Welcome to the boards rookie. ;)
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Looking at their schedule it looks like they had a relatively tough schedule again before the season started and I remember someone even commenting in this thread that this year's schedule was harder than the previous season. Looking at a few that stand out as a big drop from last year are Geneva, Susquehanna, Scranton, and Christopher Newport. Last season those teams combined for 44 wins. This season they have combined for just 18 wins. I think right there is the answer as these teams who are typically strong performers and NCAA tournament contenders have not had good seasons thus far. With that said, Lycoming's SOS will rise significantly after playing Messiah the other night probably to the .535 range at least from just that game. They also have LVC left and potentially Messiah again so I think their SOS will continue to rise as playoffs approach.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 19, 2018, 08:34:48 AM
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Looking at their schedule it looks like they had a relatively tough schedule again before the season started and I remember someone even commenting in this thread that this year's schedule was harder than the previous season. Looking at a few that stand out as a big drop from last year are Geneva, Susquehanna, Scranton, and Christopher Newport. Last season those teams combined for 44 wins. This season they have combined for just 18 wins. I think right there is the answer as these teams who are typically strong performers and NCAA tournament contenders have not had good seasons thus far. With that said, Lycoming's SOS will rise significantly after playing Messiah the other night probably to the .535 range at least from just that game. They also have LVC left and potentially Messiah again so I think their SOS will continue to rise as playoffs approach.
Excellent points, MAF. +K. You just don't know what your SOS will look like when you commit to an out-of-conference set of opponents. You aren't flying blind, obviously, but you just don't know. Geneva and Susequehanna might be iffy (in terms of lifting the SOS), but you'd think that Scranton and CNU are locks. And yes, Lyco's SOS is likely to go up noticeably in the next two weeks, unless for some reason the conference tournament final doesn't involve both Lyco and Messiah.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 18, 2018, 11:30:20 PM
For Messiah, Matt Bills (2000-2003) was the perfect "target" forward. He was great making himself available with his back to goal, was very hard to dispossess, and he was equally good at scoring himself as he was distributing the ball to teammates in and around the area. With the capable players around him, defenses had their hands full not knowing if he'd turn and have a go himself or would find a teammate to finish the play off, either option very dangerous and needing to be fully respected.
Nick West isn't utilized in a strict target role. He's proven to be strong and able to play with his back to goal in the center of the pitch (much better than some of us anticipated), but with his blazing speed, he's still regularly moving into space and wide areas with the team regularly sending balls in behind the defense for him to run onto or looking to get him the ball where he can run at defenders.
Bills, for me, was a better classic "target", but West's speed means he has other ways to beat you. And it's good he does because, unlike Bills who was surrounded by so many capable goal-scorers, he's having to carry the scoring load. In Bills' most prolific season, 2002 (Messiah's 2nd national title season), his 29 goals accounted for 28% of the Falcons goals, or looking just at just the regular season his 19 goals represented 24% of their goals. West currently is responsible for 47% of this year's goals, basically double that of Bills in the regular season.
I entirely agree with FW's analysis. I've often said that Bills--who probably shot the ball harder than any other top scorer for the Falcons--was the greatest "target," and I think I used that word in that context to mean exactly what FW says here: a guy who was great with his back to the goal, receiving the ball at his feet and either scoring or feeding someone else for the score. Bills was the best at this, with Josh Wood probably next, at least in the years I've watched Messiah play.
And, as FW says, it was somewhat surprising that West could also do this awfully well--that is, receive the ball with his back to the goal and score or feed. The main difference is that Bills had more really dangerous scorers to feed. I honestly think West's teammates look for him to shoot first and ask questions later--that's what they want, b/c he's just so good at putting the ball on frame from anywhere. While they too will sometimes make runs looking for the ball, I don't think they necessarily want to get it back. They want West to finish--and he does.
West's skill set is larger than Bills'. Bills was absolutely better in his more limited role as a "classic target." No question about that. But this year's version of West can do more things than Bills did. No question about that. I don't think there's anything West can't do well on the offensive end. And, he's a deadly shooter from anywhere and any angle. That's why I believe he's the most dangerous all-around striker Messiah has ever had.
(Incidentally, the full statistics for players aren't available on the Falcon's site prior to 2003, Bills' final season, when he was injured for several games and played hurt in the NCAA, when the Falcons lost to Salisbury on a huge number of PKs. Perhaps FW has access to more numbers. The all-time leaders page gives only goals for the team and for Bills--both of which peaked in 2002. It'd be nice to see his full lines for 2002 and earlier.)
As always, FW, I love to read your stuff. Keep it coming!
I should add that, if Bills hadn't missed those late season games in 2003, almost certainly he'd have scored at least one more goal, making him the all-time leading goal scorer at Messiah. As it is, he and Todd Suessmuth are tied for first with 68 career goals.
Also, I heard the radio broadcast of that tournament game with Salisbury, including the crazy long shootout that led Brandt to swear he'd never lose another shootout (which is why backup GK Nick Blossey was so well prepared when Messiah beat Stevens in PKs for the national title). It was probably Bills' first game back coming off a leg injury, though perhaps he tried to play in the previous game: the box score for the first-round game vs Penn State Behrend isn't available on Messiah's site. There are box scores for the earlier games, and Bills last played in the Oct 25 game vs Widener, earning an assist on a goal by future POY David McClellan. He then disappeared from the box score until that Salisbury game, missing two games vs Etown--so you know he really was hurt, since no Falcon ever wants to miss playing Etown. (The fact that a striker of the caliber of DMac was available to receive Bills' pass is almost incredible in itself, but that's how Bills got a lot of assists that year. Maybe he would have more goals himself otherwise.)
In any event, it was evident from the announcers that Bills wasn't 100% physically vs Salisbury: his movement was definitely somewhat restricted, and that day Messiah failed to score a goal. I do think those two dots are connected.
Here's the all-time Messiah record book: https://www.messiah.edu/gomessiah/sports/mens_soccer/archives/MSOC-StatRecords.pdf
Notice that it's not internally consistent about Bills' goals in 2002. The list for most points in one season has him in third, with 64 points in 2002 (27 goals, 10 assists), whereas in the opposite column it says he's second for most goals in one season, with 29 goals also in 2002. If memory serves, the former number (27 goals) is actually correct. That's one of the reasons I'd like to see the official stats for 2002. What we can publicly access is suspect.
Also suspect is the current statistic for West's GW goals (https://gomessiah.com/cumestats.aspx?path=msoc&year=2018 ), according to which he has only 7. I noticed an even lower number a couple of weeks ago, and I knew that had to be wrong. I can't believe he has only 7 GW goals. Indeed, the team is credited with 11 GWs, yet they have won 13 games as of this morning. Aren't those two numbers supposed to equate? (If not, I hope someone can explain that to me.) I think West probably has 9 GWs, but I haven't checked the stats for each game to verify my suspicion.
Bills had 29 goals that year. That's etched in my mind because of the season he had and the discussion afterword about how he only got 3rd team AA when he was a legitimate POY candidate in my opinion (teammate Hayden Woodworth got POY and not undeservedly, but I would have given POY to Woody in 2000 and to Bills in 2002). But if anyone doubts my memory, look at the 2002 schedule with results and goal scorers on page 37 of the complete* Messiah Men's Soccer Record Book (https://www.messiah.edu/gomessiah/sports/mens_soccer/archives/MSOCRecordBook.pdf), you can count up the 29 goals.
Now, one word of caution, there are errors in the record book. I'm making a mark-up to send to the Messiah SID. Just saying, don't take everything in the record book as gospel truth. But Bills scoring 29 goals in 2002 . . . that you can take to the bank.
* - you only linked to an excerpt from the record book.
Quote from: Falconer on October 19, 2018, 12:04:57 PM
I should add that, if Bills hadn't missed those late season games in 2003, almost certainly he'd have scored at least one more goal, making him the all-time leading goal scorer at Messiah. As it is, he and Todd Suessmuth are tied for first with 68 career goals.
Also, I heard the radio broadcast of that tournament game with Salisbury, including the crazy long shootout that led Brandt to swear he'd never lose another shootout (which is why backup GK Nick Blossey was so well prepared when Messiah beat Stevens in PKs for the national title). It was probably Bills' first game back coming off a leg injury, though perhaps he tried to play in the previous game: the box score for the first-round game vs Penn State Behrend isn't available on Messiah's site. There are box scores for the earlier games, and Bills last played in the Oct 25 game vs Widener, earning an assist on a goal by future POY David McClellan. He then disappeared from the box score until that Salisbury game, missing two games vs Etown--so you know he really was hurt, since no Falcon ever wants to miss playing Etown. (The fact that a striker of the caliber of DMac was available to receive Bills' pass is almost incredible in itself, but that's how Bills got a lot of assists that year. Maybe he would have more goals himself otherwise.)
Well, not sure you're remembering things correctly. Bills only was credited with 4 assists that season, only one of which was to DMac. DMac was not yet the player he became in 2004 and 2005. He was good in 2003 and had 7 goals and 5 assists, but I don't think anyone could have anticipated the 25-goal season he'd have the following season, just as no one saw Nick West's record setting season coming despite a good 2017 season. Bills goals were down that year due to a variety of factors. First, he missed games due to injury and played less 100% other times. And opponents knew who he was after 2002 if not before and some the replacements for the graduated Class of 2003 were still a year from approaching the same level, so opponents focused even more on shutting Bills down and making someone else beat them than they had and could afford to do the previous year.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 19, 2018, 01:19:14 PM
Bills had 29 goals that year. That's etched in my mind because of the season he had and the discussion afterword about how he only got 3rd team AA when he was a legitimate POY candidate in my opinion (teammate Hayden Woodworth got POY and not undeservedly, but I would have given POY to Woody in 2000 and to Bills in 2002). But if anyone doubts my memory, look at the 2002 schedule with results and goal scorers on page 37 of the complete* Messiah Men's Soccer Record Book (https://www.messiah.edu/gomessiah/sports/mens_soccer/archives/MSOCRecordBook.pdf), you can count up the 29 goals.
Now, one word of caution, there are errors in the record book. I'm making a mark-up to send to the Messiah SID. Just saying, don't take everything in the record book as gospel truth. But Bills scoring 29 goals in 2002 . . . that you can take to the bank.
* - you only linked to an excerpt from the record book.
I'm very grateful for this information, FW--and for your careful work to correct the record.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 19, 2018, 02:09:17 PM
Quote from: Falconer on October 19, 2018, 12:04:57 PM
I should add that, if Bills hadn't missed those late season games in 2003, almost certainly he'd have scored at least one more goal, making him the all-time leading goal scorer at Messiah. As it is, he and Todd Suessmuth are tied for first with 68 career goals.
Also, I heard the radio broadcast of that tournament game with Salisbury, including the crazy long shootout that led Brandt to swear he'd never lose another shootout (which is why backup GK Nick Blossey was so well prepared when Messiah beat Stevens in PKs for the national title). It was probably Bills' first game back coming off a leg injury, though perhaps he tried to play in the previous game: the box score for the first-round game vs Penn State Behrend isn't available on Messiah's site. There are box scores for the earlier games, and Bills last played in the Oct 25 game vs Widener, earning an assist on a goal by future POY David McClellan. He then disappeared from the box score until that Salisbury game, missing two games vs Etown--so you know he really was hurt, since no Falcon ever wants to miss playing Etown. (The fact that a striker of the caliber of DMac was available to receive Bills' pass is almost incredible in itself, but that's how Bills got a lot of assists that year. Maybe he would have more goals himself otherwise.)
Well, not sure you're remembering things correctly. Bills only was credited with 4 assists that season, only one of which was to DMac. DMac was not yet the player he became in 2004 and 2005. He was good in 2003 and had 7 goals and 5 assists, but I don't think anyone could have anticipated the 25-goal season he'd have the following season, just as no one saw Nick West's record setting season coming despite a good 2017 season. Bills goals were down that year due to a variety of factors. First, he missed games due to injury and played less 100% other times. And opponents knew who he was after 2002 if not before and some the replacements for the graduated Class of 2003 were still a year from approaching the same level, so opponents focused even more on shutting Bills down and making someone else beat them than they had and could afford to do the previous year.
Quite right, FW--but the problem here with my memory was very short term memory, not long term. I had in my mind that Bills got 10 assists that season, where that number was actually for 2002 not 2003 (according to the unreliable information I showed you). I had simply conflated the two seasons when typing and musing. My bad on that one.
I can't say I anticipated that DMac would emerge dramatically as a striker the next year--I doubt anyone could say that. But's it's still true that DMac was one of the supporting cast for Bills in 2003, and in fact he was third on the team with 7 goals, following Seth Lehman's surprising 11 goals. There were two other players on that team, Dan Wagner and Brian Mohney, who I think had huge HS scoring numbers--weren't they at that time among the biggest scorers in PA history? (You are good at this kind of information, FW, so maybe you can check that too, though it's hardly your job to be my fact checker.) They both scored quite a few goals in their collegiate careers, including in big games.
My point really was that Bills had a terrific supporting cast of scorers, which West lacks. West's frontline mates are mostly JRs and SRs whose apogees we already know (for sure with the SRs, probably for the JRs). Of the next 8 scorers after West this year, the first one is FR Lucas Kokolios with 3 goals and 5 assists, then all of the others are JRs or SRs. Perhaps Kokolios will develop into a big scorer--I'd love to see that--but none of the others is (present tense) or has been such. Bills played with a lot of guys who scored a lot more than 3 goals in multiple seasons. Obviously the 2002 team, as a team, had simply enormous numbers for playing the type of schedule they played (many good or excellent teams), and Bills' numbers can only have benefited greatly from being part of it, even if not as much as he contributed to it himself. West gets no such benefit: it's almost all on him.
Can we start a different thread for the Nick West discussion? I think he's having a great year too, but enough is enough. There's more to the Mid-Atlantic than Nick West.
Yes, West finds himself in a dramatically different situation than Bills was in in any of his seasons. No doubt about that.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 18, 2018, 01:14:56 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Lycoming typically plays one UAA school a year, and one or two Centennial. Perhaps Centennial schools dropped them from the schedule?
So I was curious about this, as I saw Lyco play an out of conference game against the Fords. Last year they played Dickinson and won 3-0, and in 2016 the Fords (T, 2-2) and also F&M who beat them 2-1. No Centennial teams scheduled this year which certainly has affected their SOS.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 18, 2018, 01:14:56 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Lycoming typically plays one UAA school a year, and one or two Centennial. Perhaps Centennial schools dropped them from the schedule?
After watching Lycoming maybe about 2-3 times every season for the past 3 years I can say with confidence they probably have some issues with scheduling non-conference games. Their direct style, athleticism at almost every position, pressing and physical play would definitely keep some Coaches from wanting to play them. UAA and Centennial teams I am guessing would rather not play an opponent like that because they muck up the game especially if they are running subs in on top of all the previous crap I mentioned. Amherst has the same reputation and if they were not in Nescac I can promise you more than half the league would not play them. More skilled teams see enough of that in the NCAA's so why deal with it in the regular season. Amherst also of course has all the bench antics, over coaching and berating of refs to go along with their unattractive style so it makes for an even more of a nuisance to play them if you do not have to.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 19, 2018, 03:32:58 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 18, 2018, 01:14:56 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Lycoming typically plays one UAA school a year, and one or two Centennial. Perhaps Centennial schools dropped them from the schedule?
So I was curious about this, as I saw Lyco play an out of conference game against the Fords. Last year they played Dickinson and won 3-0, and in 2016 the Fords (T, 2-2) and also F&M who beat them 2-1. No Centennial teams scheduled this year which certainly has affected their SOS.
They also played couple good NJAC teams last year..Rowan and RUN I think. Messiah typically has an NJAC in their schedule. Seems Lyco could have had an NJAC or Centennial. They could be in trouble if they don't win the conference tournament. We will see how things shape up in the next region rankings. I would think they have to get into top 5 by end of season to have pool C chance .
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 19, 2018, 03:46:16 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 18, 2018, 01:14:56 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Lycoming typically plays one UAA school a year, and one or two Centennial. Perhaps Centennial schools dropped them from the schedule?
After watching Lycoming maybe about 2-3 times every season for the past 3 years I can say with confidence they probably have some issues with scheduling non-conference games. Their direct style, athleticism at almost every position, pressing and physical play would definitely keep some Coaches from wanting to play them. UAA and Centennial teams I am guessing would rather not play an opponent like that because they muck up the game especially if they are running subs in on top of all the previous crap I mentioned. Amherst has the same reputation and if they were not in Nescac I can promise you more than half the league would not play them. More skilled teams see enough of that in the NCAA's so why deal with it in the regular season. Amherst also of course has all the bench antics, over coaching and berating of refs to go along with their unattractive style so it makes for an even more of a nuisance to play them if you do not have to.
That's putting it kindly...
2018 cumulative fouls thus far (Top 3 in MACC)
Lycoming 212
LVC 166
Messiah 98
2018 cumulative cards
Lycoming 21
LVC 9
Messiah 3
If you're a skillful out of conference centennial or UAA side, the risk of injury might outweigh the SOS upside when scheduling Lycoming
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2018, 04:07:59 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 19, 2018, 03:46:16 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 18, 2018, 01:14:56 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Lycoming typically plays one UAA school a year, and one or two Centennial. Perhaps Centennial schools dropped them from the schedule?
After watching Lycoming maybe about 2-3 times every season for the past 3 years I can say with confidence they probably have some issues with scheduling non-conference games. Their direct style, athleticism at almost every position, pressing and physical play would definitely keep some Coaches from wanting to play them. UAA and Centennial teams I am guessing would rather not play an opponent like that because they muck up the game especially if they are running subs in on top of all the previous crap I mentioned. Amherst has the same reputation and if they were not in Nescac I can promise you more than half the league would not play them. More skilled teams see enough of that in the NCAA's so why deal with it in the regular season. Amherst also of course has all the bench antics, over coaching and berating of refs to go along with their unattractive style so it makes for an even more of a nuisance to play them if you do not have to.
That's putting it kindly...
2018 cumulative fouls thus far (Top 3 in MACC)
Lycoming 212
LVC 166
Messiah 98
2018 cumulative cards
Lycoming 21
LVC 9
Messiah 3
If you're a skillful out of conference centennial or UAA side, the risk of injury might outweigh the SOS upside when scheduling Lycoming
How does that stack up against other teams like the aforementioned Amherst squad? NJAC traditionally considered a physical conference as well. My guess is similar number of fouls per game and cards per game. Lyco seems to use stiff arm technique a lot which I'm not sure is a foul as long as not a blatant push. It's the bad tackles or trips that can be dangerous so Mr Right may be onto something regarding out of conference teams staying clear. Hard to say for sure.
Shooter's Top 10
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. F&M
5. Eastern
6. Haverford
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Drew
10. Etown
Shooter's NCAA Regional Projection
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Eastern
4. F&M
5. Fords
6. Dickinson
7. Leb Val
8. Lyco
9. Swat
10. Catholic/Drew/Etown
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 21, 2018, 05:53:37 PM
Shooter's Top 10
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. F&M
5. Eastern
6. Haverford
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Drew
10. Etown
Shooter's NCAA Regional Projection
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Eastern
4. F&M
5. Fords
6. Dickinson
7. Leb Val
8. Lyco
9. Swat
10. Catholic/Drew/Etown
Rookie here...but if you don't put yourself into the game... it isn't sportsman-like to be chippy about others! Last week of regular season will have big impact. Haverford now #1 in CC, win against the Mules on Thursday would give them CC conference tilts on Walton field.
Shooter - you are clearly thinking the NCAA committee doesn't pick the top ten in the region - thus you put up two lists? Probably a stupid novice question, and I shouldn't go here - but why? And Lyco above F&M and Eastern? Their SOS is very low, and other than a loss to in-conference Messiah - haven't played any other ranked teams?
FelixCloudy Top 10 AND NCAA regional picks
TEAM Record1. Messiah 14-0-2
2. JHU 12-3-1
3. F&M 12-2-2 Loss to JHU will motivate them in CC tourney.
4. Eastern 13-2-1
5. Haverford 9-4 Shutout against Dickson moves them into first in CC Win against Mules Thursday clinches it.
6. Dickinson 10-4-2 Loss to Fords; tough final match on Saturday vs. JHU
7. LVC 9-4-1 Big game against Lyco on Tuesday.
8. Lyco 13-1-1 weak SOS hurts their ranking.
9. Swat 9-6-1 Fighting to secure the play-in game for CC tournament. Need a win in final game against Haverford to hold on to spot.
10. Getty 7-6-1 Getty loses 2 more, 3 losses to F&M, Dickinson and Swat move them down and almost out of the rankings.
But last CC match vs. Ursinus could give them them a shot in play-in game for CC tournament.
OR (tied)10 Etown 7-4-3 2nd half of season turned it around.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 22, 2018, 10:52:10 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 21, 2018, 05:53:37 PM
Shooter's Top 10
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. F&M
5. Eastern
6. Haverford
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Drew
10. Etown
Shooter's NCAA Regional Projection
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Eastern
4. F&M
5. Fords
6. Dickinson
7. Leb Val
8. Lyco
9. Swat
10. Catholic/Drew/Etown
Rookie here...but if you don't put yourself into the game... it isn't sportsman-like to be chippy about others! Last week of regular season will have big impact. Haverford now #1 in CC, win against the Mules on Thursday would give them CC conference tilts on Walton field.
Shooter - you are clearly thinking the NCAA committee doesn't pick the top ten in the region - thus you put up two lists? Probably a stupid novice question, and I shouldn't go here - but why? And Lyco above F&M and Eastern? Their SOS is very low, and other than a loss to in-conference Messiah - haven't played any other ranked teams?
FelixCloudy Top 10 AND NCAA regional picks
TEAM Record
1. Messiah 14-0-2
2. JHU 12-3-1
3. F&M 12-2-2 Loss to JHU will motivate them in CC tourney.
4. Eastern 13-2-1
5. Haverford 9-4 Shutout against Dickson moves them into first in CC Win against Mules Thursday clinches it.
6. Dickinson 10-4-2 Loss to Fords; tough final match on Saturday vs. JHU
7. LVC 9-4-1 Big game against Lyco on Tuesday.
8. Lyco 13-1-1 weak SOS hurts their ranking.
9. Swat 9-6-1 Fighting to secure the play-in game for CC tournament. Need a win in final game against Haverford to hold on to spot.
10. Getty 7-6-1 Getty loses 2 more, 3 losses to F&M, Dickinson and Swat move them down and almost out of the rankings.
But last CC match vs. Ursinus could give them them a shot in play-in game for CC tournament.
OR (tied)
10 Etown 7-4-3 2nd half of season turned it around.
+K Felix for the Rookie part of your statement! Glad you are partaking in this fun exchange of opinions with us ;D
As for the NCAA rankings and committee it's a complicated topic that gets discussed year in and year out. The system used isn't the most ideal with selecting teams and can be seen throughout the nation each year that some of the very best end up in danger of missing out of NCAA's if they don't win the AQ. For example, Calvin has been, by many, a top 5 team over the last 5 years no questions asked yet if they failed to win their conference they more than likely would not have received an at-large bid due to the system the committee uses for selection criteria. There is no "set" way of knowing what the committee values most from the criteria but it is evident from the past that they strongly look at your SOS and RvR as the drivers followed by record/win percentage, and head to head contests. All of this coincides with the amount of blemishes a team has (losses and ties are blemishes in the committee's eyes).
For me, I believe Lycoming is one of the best teams in the region and has once again proven that this season. As MAF pointed out a few posts ago their SOS is low due to the lack of performance from some of their traditionally strong non-conference teams. One example that stands out is CNU, which is a very good team with a brutal schedule and is sitting at .500 right now (this really hurts Lyco's SOS). As others mentioned how do you know when scheduling these teams? It's a guessing game to who will perform and won't. Looking at the schedules at the beginning of the year I would have told you Lycoming's schedule or Leb Val's schedule would be way harder in terms of SOS than what Eastern had scheduled but now looking at the numbers Eastern has the strongest SOS of the three. So with all of that said I think from watching a lot of teams play year in and year out I can conclude that I believe how I have ranked the team's in my own Top 10 is the order of the best. If we are looking at how the committee has traditionally selected teams and placed teams I took my best guess at the week 2 regional rankings below my own top 10. Also Lyco is 13-2-1 and CMU is the other ranked team they played with Leb Val remaining. I think Gettysburg will drop out of the top 10 as they have as many blemishes at win and I feel you can't reward teams for being .500 which was a lot of the debate earlier in the season with Haverford when they were 4-4-0. Results do matter and 6 losses and 1 tie equaling 7 wins will not get it done for the Bullets. I think you will see one of the Landmark teams steal their spot at 9 or 10 depending if Swat bumps up to 9 or stays at 10 and the Landmark team jumps straight to 9.
The other noticeable team that is top 10 in both polls but left out all together of the regional rankings is Lynchburg. Anybody that watches them play or knows soccer can clearly see they are deserving of the top 10 ranking yet the NCAA committee did not even select them last week (while they were undefeated still) for the regional rankings because they had a subpar SOS. Strong SOS's should be favored but there comes a time where the eyeball test is all you need. The selection process is not ideal by any means and one other factor this year that may have affected teams is doing away with the multiplier used for home games vs road games. The NCAA now values them the same compared to past years but I think most would agree that playing on the road is harder than playing at home. Those would have significantly altered many teams SOS either for the good or bad but I digress. ;)
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2018, 04:07:59 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 19, 2018, 03:46:16 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 18, 2018, 01:14:56 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 18, 2018, 12:42:35 PM
with the weak SOS and loss to Messiah last night it appears Lyco will have to win the conference tournament to make NCAA. That seems harsh given they are probably better than majority of teams that will get a berth. Wonder why they played a relatively weak schedule.
Lycoming typically plays one UAA school a year, and one or two Centennial. Perhaps Centennial schools dropped them from the schedule?
After watching Lycoming maybe about 2-3 times every season for the past 3 years I can say with confidence they probably have some issues with scheduling non-conference games. Their direct style, athleticism at almost every position, pressing and physical play would definitely keep some Coaches from wanting to play them. UAA and Centennial teams I am guessing would rather not play an opponent like that because they muck up the game especially if they are running subs in on top of all the previous crap I mentioned. Amherst has the same reputation and if they were not in Nescac I can promise you more than half the league would not play them. More skilled teams see enough of that in the NCAA's so why deal with it in the regular season. Amherst also of course has all the bench antics, over coaching and berating of refs to go along with their unattractive style so it makes for an even more of a nuisance to play them if you do not have to.
That's putting it kindly...
2018 cumulative fouls thus far (Top 3 in MACC)
Lycoming 212
LVC 166
Messiah 98
2018 cumulative cards
Lycoming 21
LVC 9
Messiah 3
If you're a skillful out of conference centennial or UAA side, the risk of injury might outweigh the SOS upside when scheduling Lycoming
I was curious on how Lycoming's totals compared to the opponents they played in the categories you mentioned above. We all know Lycoming plays physical. They will always have a high foul total, which in most cases automatically means they will have a high card total. That was evident in your post. After some brief research on the stat pages of the Commonwealth teams:
Lycoming is sitting at 20 YC and 1 RC
The total for cards against them. 20 YC and 1 RC.
This would suggest if Lycoming is a dangerous team they must get everyone's most dangerous game of the season as well.
When comparing fouls. Lycoming has committed the most fouls at 233. As a team they were fouled 194 times. Among the MAC Commonwealth that appears to be second only to Arcadia at 214. For Lycoming's fast and physical approach to the game a difference of 39 fouls for/against can still be a point for argument, but this does seem to provide some insight for how the Lycoming games are reffed.
I believe SOS to be grossly overrated. Proponents would say it prepares you for the tournament. I would argue that a lower SOS and a great record would be equally helpful, as you would enter the tournament brimming with confidence. For example take Drew last year. They entered the tournament at 19-1-1 but with a terribly low SOS. We even discussed the possibility of them missing out at 18-2-1 had they lost the AQ. But once in, they then defeated F&M and Lycoming before falling to Brandeis 0-1. I don't think you would have seen any different result had they played a more difficult regular season schedule.
Shooter mentioned the eyeball test and I would agree 100%. I tend to look at the field of teams and say "who would I not want to play" regardless of their SOS. And any team that's undefeated or just 1 loss would scare me - regardless of who they played.
Ya but they were totally outmatched in that Brandeis game as IIRC they did not have a sniff all game
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 22, 2018, 02:29:01 PM
Ya but they were totally outmatched in that Brandeis game as IIRC they did not have a sniff all game
Brandeis was better that's why! Doesn't mean Drew shouldn't make it especially after beating two other teams that were probably better than them as well. I think SOS should be a portion of it but as Shooter and others have mentioned not all teams play in a strong conference like the UAA or Centennial and don't have the opportunity to schedule all really good non-conference opponents based on location etc. I know past history shouldn't play a role in the selection but I think sometimes it does and justifiably so and also sometimes it doesn't help as maybe a team gets in that shouldn't have but that's rare.
As for my rankings this week I think we will see the following from the NCAA:
NCAA Regional Rankings Prediction: 1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Eastern
4. F&M
5. Haverford
6. Dickinson
7. LVC
8. Lycoming
9. Swat
10. Etown
The toss up will be at 3 and 4 with Eastern and F&M. Both have great SOS and RvR but Eastern has H2H. Will be interesting to see what happens.
MAF Power Rankings1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Lyco
5. Haverford
6. Dickinson
7. Eastern
8. LVC
9. Etown
10. Swat
Quote from: futballfan20 on October 22, 2018, 01:46:45 PM
I was curious on how Lycoming's totals compared to the opponents they played in the categories you mentioned above. We all know Lycoming plays physical. They will always have a high foul total, which in most cases automatically means they will have a high card total. That was evident in your post. After some brief research on the stat pages of the Commonwealth teams:
Lycoming is sitting at 20 YC and 1 RC
The total for cards against them. 20 YC and 1 RC.
This would suggest if Lycoming is a dangerous team they must get everyone's most dangerous game of the season as well.
When comparing fouls. Lycoming has committed the most fouls at 233. As a team they were fouled 194 times. Among the MAC Commonwealth that appears to be second only to Arcadia at 214. For Lycoming's fast and physical approach to the game a difference of 39 fouls for/against can still be a point for argument, but this does seem to provide some insight for how the Lycoming games are reffed.
This is an interesting way of looking at this topic. +K FutballFan.
Lycoming plays extremely physical and as a result it looks like they get fouled just as much which isn't something we discuss. I would be interested to see what those totals were like last year and previous years when they were being compared to other teams from the NJAC.
+K Shooter (although I am a rookie, and can't do it officially), for my education on NCAA regional ranking the SOS effect. As an avid fan, I was hoping that the SOS was a proxy for a team's desire to improve their skill in the beautiful game, as I grow pretty tired of watching games that are really rugby matches in disguise... or high school type soccer games with over the top punts and then a scramble in the box. If the "eyeball test" is an evaluation of a team's touch, passing, game sense, and strategy and that could somehow be quantified - it would be great. But I have a feeling an "eyeball test" is completely in the eye of the beholder... and also too subjective. Thus... back to SOS. ;D
But the home vs. away differential is HUGE especially at this level. Especially as the teams play on different field types and sizes.. and conditions. Surprised that that differential doesn't count anymore.
Quote from: futballfan20 on October 22, 2018, 01:46:45 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2018, 04:07:59 PM
That's putting it kindly...
2018 cumulative fouls thus far (Top 3 in MACC)
Lycoming 212
LVC 166
Messiah 98
2018 cumulative cards
Lycoming 21
LVC 9
Messiah 3
If you're a skillful out of conference centennial or UAA side, the risk of injury might outweigh the SOS upside when scheduling Lycoming
I was curious on how Lycoming's totals compared to the opponents they played in the categories you mentioned above. We all know Lycoming plays physical. They will always have a high foul total, which in most cases automatically means they will have a high card total. That was evident in your post. After some brief research on the stat pages of the Commonwealth teams:
Lycoming is sitting at 20 YC and 1 RC
The total for cards against them. 20 YC and 1 RC.
This would suggest if Lycoming is a dangerous team they must get everyone's most dangerous game of the season as well.
When comparing fouls. Lycoming has committed the most fouls at 233. As a team they were fouled 194 times. Among the MAC Commonwealth that appears to be second only to Arcadia at 214. For Lycoming's fast and physical approach to the game a difference of 39 fouls for/against can still be a point for argument, but this does seem to provide some insight for how the Lycoming games are reffed.
I don't think this has very much to do with how officials approach Lyco,
except that those officials who prefer to "let them play" (which can vary from simply ignoring incidental fouls to swallowing the whistle for intentional cheap shots) will not add as much to their already high numbers.
Let's look at numbers from a few previous seasons, to see that Lyco is typically an outlier on the high end, both for fouls and for cards.
2014 (21 games): 303 fouls, 33 YC, 2 RC
2015 (22 games): 367 fouls, 43 YC[!], 1 RC
2016 (19 games): 277 fouls, 36 YC, 4 RC[!]
2017 (22 games): 354 fouls, 37 YC, 2 RC
The average is 15.5 fouls/game. This year they have 14.6, certainly in the same ball park.
For comparison, the NJAC teams have each played 8 conference games so far this year. Here's the numbers for fouls, YCs and RCs in those 8 games only--for which, perhaps, the set of officials might have a lot of overlap:
Kean 125 13-3
Montclair State 116 23-1
New Jersey City 104 13-2
Ramapo 122 17-1
Rowan 141 8-1
Rutgers-Camden 93 18-0
Rutgers-Newark 103 13-2
Stockton 109 10-2
TCNJ 106 9-3
WPU 104 13-0
This comes to 14.0 fouls/game for "average" NJAC team. It's no secret that the NJAC has a reputation for being somewhat thuggish--whether deserved or not. This year's Warriors would fit right into this picture, and earlier Lyco teams would be in the top 2-3.
For comparison, consider the MACC statistics, again just for in-conference games. Lyco in 6 games has 95 fouls (almost 16 per game), which would put them below Rowan and above Ramapo in 2nd, but surprisingly just 1 YC and 1 RC in conference. Widener is next with 76 fouls in 6 games; the bottom dwellers are Hood (44 in 6 games) and Messiah (41 in 6 games). Overall, the MACC teams average just 10.6 fouls/game, and if we remove Lyco, then just 9.9 fouls/game.
This evidence, including for Lyco over a period of 5 years, strongly suggests that Lyco's numbers are what they are, not as a result of the whims of officials.
[Modified by moderator to fix format of quoted posts]
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 22, 2018, 02:58:44 PM
If the "eyeball test" is an evaluation of a team's touch, passing, game sense, and strategy and that could somehow be quantified - it would be great.
Style is a whole other discussion. My local HS team plays a beautiful possession game, but refuses to adjust based on game situation. They recently lost their county tournament game to an inferior opponent because they refused to adjust their 3-6-1 against a team that played 9 behind the ball. So while they owned 80% of the possession, it was "possession for the sake of possession" rather than "possession with a purpose". They played more backward passes than penetrating passes and ultimately got what they deserved because of the coach's stubbornness to only play "the right way".
Come tournament time, it's "win or go home" and yet another reason I'll take a 1 loss team into the tournament any day, regardless of SOS. If you know how to win, you know how to win. Just like the kid who scores 50 goals in HS against terrible teams. He's still going to make me nervous playing against him...
I think one of the reasons soccer got rid of the home and away weight is (a) some people just aren't convinced it does anything worthy to make a difference (in basketball, men have it and like it, women don't and don't care about it) and (b) with conference schedules not always double-round-robins (like the MIAA or you see in basketball), the weighted value takes on a bit of a good and bad side affect depending on the year. Teams are either rewarded or docked because the conference schedule has them playing a particular team at home or on the road ... out of their own control.
One of the reasons men's basketball likes the weight is (beyond the fact they play two games in conference, home and away)... it forced coaches to stop sitting in their own gyms in non-conference games and taking advantage of the home court. That continues to make sense as there are several coaches who haven't gotten the message. However in soccer, when you can't control the conference aspect, you are possibly unfairly rewarded or docked based on the conference schedule. I think they wanted to eliminate that, which I am sure was benefiting some teams in some years and hurting others. While at the same time I don't tend to see teams just camp out at home in their non-conference schedules that much in the game of soccer.
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on October 22, 2018, 03:20:47 PM
However in soccer, when you can't control the conference aspect, you are possibly unfairly rewarded or docked based on the conference schedule. I think they wanted to eliminate that, which I am sure was benefiting some teams in some years and hurting others.
Understood, especially when the #1 team hosts their conference tournament AND their field could be grass (or turf) - providing an additional advantage (or disadvantage) just in the games themselves. Piling on if it also affected regional ranking.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 22, 2018, 03:33:33 PM
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on October 22, 2018, 03:20:47 PM
However in soccer, when you can't control the conference aspect, you are possibly unfairly rewarded or docked based on the conference schedule. I think they wanted to eliminate that, which I am sure was benefiting some teams in some years and hurting others.
Understood, especially when the #1 team hosts their conference tournament AND their field could be grass (or turf) - providing an additional advantage (or disadvantage) just in the games themselves. Piling on if it also affected regional ranking.
Some would argue the #1 host hurts themselves by hosting with the weighted advantage. I don't think it ends up working out that way considering in most tournaments you end up playing top SOS numbers (unless forced to play the bottom of the conference in the first round).
The weighted number wasn't considering the turf type, just the "advantage" of being on your own campus and going through your normal routines and such (and of course knowing your own field).
I think there are good reasons to have a weighted measure on home and away games, but I can see how, especially in soccer, it may not have been getting the results they were looking for.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 22, 2018, 01:05:02 PM
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 22, 2018, 10:52:10 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 21, 2018, 05:53:37 PM
Shooter's Top 10
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Lyco
4. F&M
5. Eastern
6. Haverford
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Drew
10. Etown
Shooter's NCAA Regional Projection
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Eastern
4. F&M
5. Fords
6. Dickinson
7. Leb Val
8. Lyco
9. Swat
10. Catholic/Drew/Etown
Rookie here...but if you don't put yourself into the game... it isn't sportsman-like to be chippy about others! Last week of regular season will have big impact. Haverford now #1 in CC, win against the Mules on Thursday would give them CC conference tilts on Walton field.
Shooter - you are clearly thinking the NCAA committee doesn't pick the top ten in the region - thus you put up two lists? Probably a stupid novice question, and I shouldn't go here - but why? And Lyco above F&M and Eastern? Their SOS is very low, and other than a loss to in-conference Messiah - haven't played any other ranked teams?
FelixCloudy Top 10 AND NCAA regional picks
TEAM Record
1. Messiah 14-0-2
2. JHU 12-3-1
3. F&M 12-2-2 Loss to JHU will motivate them in CC tourney.
4. Eastern 13-2-1
5. Haverford 9-4 Shutout against Dickson moves them into first in CC Win against Mules Thursday clinches it.
6. Dickinson 10-4-2 Loss to Fords; tough final match on Saturday vs. JHU
7. LVC 9-4-1 Big game against Lyco on Tuesday.
8. Lyco 13-1-1 weak SOS hurts their ranking.
9. Swat 9-6-1 Fighting to secure the play-in game for CC tournament. Need a win in final game against Haverford to hold on to spot.
10. Getty 7-6-1 Getty loses 2 more, 3 losses to F&M, Dickinson and Swat move them down and almost out of the rankings.
But last CC match vs. Ursinus could give them them a shot in play-in game for CC tournament.
OR (tied)
10 Etown 7-4-3 2nd half of season turned it around.
+K Felix for the Rookie part of your statement! Glad you are partaking in this fun exchange of opinions with us ;D
As for the NCAA rankings and committee it's a complicated topic that gets discussed year in and year out. The system used isn't the most ideal with selecting teams and can be seen throughout the nation each year that some of the very best end up in danger of missing out of NCAA's if they don't win the AQ. For example, Calvin has been, by many, a top 5 team over the last 5 years no questions asked yet if they failed to win their conference they more than likely would not have received an at-large bid due to the system the committee uses for selection criteria. There is no "set" way of knowing what the committee values most from the criteria but it is evident from the past that they strongly look at your SOS and RvR as the drivers followed by record/win percentage, and head to head contests. All of this coincides with the amount of blemishes a team has (losses and ties are blemishes in the committee's eyes).
For me, I believe Lycoming is one of the best teams in the region and has once again proven that this season. As MAF pointed out a few posts ago their SOS is low due to the lack of performance from some of their traditionally strong non-conference teams. One example that stands out is CNU, which is a very good team with a brutal schedule and is sitting at .500 right now (this really hurts Lyco's SOS). As others mentioned how do you know when scheduling these teams? It's a guessing game to who will perform and won't. Looking at the schedules at the beginning of the year I would have told you Lycoming's schedule or Leb Val's schedule would be way harder in terms of SOS than what Eastern had scheduled but now looking at the numbers Eastern has the strongest SOS of the three. So with all of that said I think from watching a lot of teams play year in and year out I can conclude that I believe how I have ranked the team's in my own Top 10 is the order of the best. If we are looking at how the committee has traditionally selected teams and placed teams I took my best guess at the week 2 regional rankings below my own top 10. Also Lyco is 13-2-1 and CMU is the other ranked team they played with Leb Val remaining. I think Gettysburg will drop out of the top 10 as they have as many blemishes at win and I feel you can't reward teams for being .500 which was a lot of the debate earlier in the season with Haverford when they were 4-4-0. Results do matter and 6 losses and 1 tie equaling 7 wins will not get it done for the Bullets. I think you will see one of the Landmark teams steal their spot at 9 or 10 depending if Swat bumps up to 9 or stays at 10 and the Landmark team jumps straight to 9.
The other noticeable team that is top 10 in both polls but left out all together of the regional rankings is Lynchburg. Anybody that watches them play or knows soccer can clearly see they are deserving of the top 10 ranking yet the NCAA committee did not even select them last week (while they were undefeated still) for the regional rankings because they had a subpar SOS. Strong SOS's should be favored but there comes a time where the eyeball test is all you need. The selection process is not ideal by any means and one other factor this year that may have affected teams is doing away with the multiplier used for home games vs road games. The NCAA now values them the same compared to past years but I think most would agree that playing on the road is harder than playing at home. Those would have significantly altered many teams SOS either for the good or bad but I digress. ;)
Now that you've explained your thoughts as to how the process works, can someone explain
why it works this way? It's awfully byzantine, and if it leads to results that everyone seems to agree don't make much sense (e.g., teams like Calvin and St. Joe's (ME) being in danger of missing the tournament if they slip up in their conference tournament), why doesn't it get changed?
Quote from: Falconer on October 22, 2018, 03:05:35 PM
Quote from: futballfan20 on October 22, 2018, 01:46:45 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2018, 04:07:59 PM
That's putting it kindly...
2018 cumulative fouls thus far (Top 3 in MACC)
Lycoming 212
LVC 166
Messiah 98
2018 cumulative cards
Lycoming 21
LVC 9
Messiah 3
If you're a skillful out of conference centennial or UAA side, the risk of injury might outweigh the SOS upside when scheduling Lycoming
I was curious on how Lycoming's totals compared to the opponents they played in the categories you mentioned above. We all know Lycoming plays physical. They will always have a high foul total, which in most cases automatically means they will have a high card total. That was evident in your post. After some brief research on the stat pages of the Commonwealth teams:
Lycoming is sitting at 20 YC and 1 RC
The total for cards against them. 20 YC and 1 RC.
This would suggest if Lycoming is a dangerous team they must get everyone's most dangerous game of the season as well.
When comparing fouls. Lycoming has committed the most fouls at 233. As a team they were fouled 194 times. Among the MAC Commonwealth that appears to be second only to Arcadia at 214. For Lycoming's fast and physical approach to the game a difference of 39 fouls for/against can still be a point for argument, but this does seem to provide some insight for how the Lycoming games are reffed.
I don't think this has very much to do with how officials approach Lyco, except that those officials who prefer to "let them play" (which can vary from simply ignoring incidental fouls to swallowing the whistle for intentional cheap shots) will not add as much to their already high numbers.
Let's look at numbers from a few previous seasons, to see that Lyco is typically an outlier on the high end, both for fouls and for cards.
2014 (21 games): 303 fouls, 33 YC, 2 RC
2015 (22 games): 367 fouls, 43 YC[!], 1 RC
2016 (19 games): 277 fouls, 36 YC, 4 RC[!]
2017 (22 games): 354 fouls, 37 YC, 2 RC
The average is 15.5 fouls/game. This year they have 14.6, certainly in the same ball park.
For comparison, the NJAC teams have each played 8 conference games so far this year. Here's the numbers for fouls, YCs and RCs in those 8 games only--for which, perhaps, the set of officials might have a lot of overlap:
Kean 125 13-3
Montclair State 116 23-1
New Jersey City 104 13-2
Ramapo 122 17-1
Rowan 141 8-1
Rutgers-Camden 93 18-0
Rutgers-Newark 103 13-2
Stockton 109 10-2
TCNJ 106 9-3
WPU 104 13-0
This comes to 14.0 fouls/game for "average" NJAC team. It's no secret that the NJAC has a reputation for being somewhat thuggish--whether deserved or not. This year's Warriors would fit right into this picture, and earlier Lyco teams would be in the top 2-3.
For comparison, consider the MACC statistics, again just for in-conference games. Lyco in 6 games has 95 fouls (almost 16 per game), which would put them below Rowan and above Ramapo in 2nd, but surprisingly just 1 YC and 1 RC in conference. Widener is next with 76 fouls in 6 games; the bottom dwellers are Hood (44 in 6 games) and Messiah (41 in 6 games). Overall, the MACC teams average just 10.6 fouls/game, and if we remove Lyco, then just 9.9 fouls/game.
This evidence, including for Lyco over a period of 5 years, strongly suggests that Lyco's numbers are what they are, not as a result of the whims of officials.
My argument was not that Lycoming was at the whims of the officials and that is why they get called for fouls. Lycoming plays physical and fast and are going to get called for fouls and frankly that does not seem to bother them. Your statement that there are intentional cheap shots I am not sure. I do not watch every soccer game so can't say it never happens and I'll leave you to your opinion.
As far as your breakdown in fouls I will break it down the same way I did in my first post.
Lyco Opponents
2014 (21 games): 303 fouls, 33 YC, 2 RC 2014 (21 games): 271 fouls, 25 YC, 0 RC Difference + 32 Lyco
2015 (22 games): 367 fouls, 43 YC[!], 1 RC 2015 (22 games): 331 fouls, 33 YC, 3 RC Difference + 36 Lyco
2016 (19 games): 277 fouls, 36 YC, 4 RC[!] 2016 (19 games): 248 fouls, 26 YC, 1 RC Difference + 29 Lyco
2017 (22 games): 354 fouls, 37 YC, 2 RC 2017 (22 games): 255 fouls, 30 YC, 3 RC Difference + 99 Lyco
Now last year there appears to have been a more foul happy team on lyco but all in all the trend seems to hold true that while Lyco does get called for a good amount of fouls they earn a good amount as well. The argument just comes to is the +30ish too much not the overall total number. I will even throw in the argument that anyone watching Lyco games last year will admit that Adbi #9 only ever earned about 1 foul for every 10 that should have been called. But I also know many teams can point to a player like that as well.
To continue your argument of fouls per game
15.5 fouls/game for Lycoming for 2014 - 2017. Lycoming earned 13.15 fouls/game in that time.
This year in the MACC Lyco averages 13.6 in the 6 games but earned 12.33.
My argument was just as MAF said. While Lyco will always have a high foul count, the other side is they take a lot of fouls as well. Is averaging a little more than 2 fouls more per game than you earned that bad? Or a little over 1 this season?
[Modified by moderator to fix format of quoted posts]
As one who dives in deep and has covered regional rankings, selections, etc. in basketball and other sports ... the system works better than any other we have had. It is constantly being tweaked to make it better, but while it can be argued good teams are left out ... that will always happen in a system that is based on automatic bids and at-large choices.
Teams have a chance to position themselves. Whether it is winning the AQ, not losing too many games, and making sure they are competing with a solid schedule (not something easy).
In my years of doing this, I don't know many occasions (if any) where a program that could have legitimately won a national title was left out.
The problem Calvin finds itself is the same argument we make in basketball against Hope and Calvin ... stop wasting games against non-DIII opponents. We understand why they do it, but it isn't helping them to play Aquinas or even Kalamazoo a second time (out of conference). There are less games in soccer and thus one game has a bigger impact. That Aquinas game does not factor into the SOS, it doesn't count on the "in-region" record, and it can't count as a result versus a regionally ranked opponent.
That all said, Calvin has done what it's needed to do. They have one loss.
Don't put that much stock in the first regional rankings. They are a luke-warm barometer. They give you a taste of things, but with more games to be played AND the results versus regionally ranked opponents hasn't become a factor. They will have FOUR games against regionally ranked opponents and MOST of them are in the top tier of rankings. That is VERY good and will work for Calvin.
I don't see Calvin being at risk of missing out of an at-large selection if they needed it.
But back to my bigger point, the goal is to qualify for the tournament... Calvin (and no team) should ever put it in the hands of the committee. Then, yes, they risk being left out.
Lycoming defeats conference rival LVC 1-0 while playing down a man for the final 25 minutes after a 2nd yellow card was handed out to Lycoming's CB. For all you fans that love tracking fouls...LVC out-fouled Lycoming 15-14 in the contest but Lycoming gave up a PK in the first 10 minutes of the game (which was saved by GK) and also picked up 3 cards to 2 cards for LVC. Lycoming also held an advantage in shots 20-13 and corners 5-3. I did not watch the contest but it looks like a tough loss for the Dutchmen after being up a man and still giving up a goal, which came with less than 2 to play. Based on the conference standings we should get a rematch next week with these 2 teams in the Commonwealth semifinals.
Messiah cruises to a standard 2-0 win over Arcadia but the most newsworthy portion from this game comes from Nick West. West was held scoreless for the first time in 16 games! Congrats to him on an incredible streak.
Some other news from the region:
-Haverford beats Stevenson 1-0 in 2OT
-Catholic beats Gettysburg 1-0
-Etown beats Muhlenberg 1-0
-Eastern visits PSU-Abington today
-NCAA regional rankings get released soon!
E-Town quietly making a run. Undefeated in last 10 games after starting the season 0-5-1. Anyone know what's changed?
Quote from: EB2319 on October 24, 2018, 01:34:07 PM
E-Town quietly making a run. Undefeated in last 10 games after starting the season 0-5-1. Anyone know what's changed?
Yes....
...SOS
haha
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 24, 2018, 12:36:36 PM
Lycoming defeats conference rival LVC 1-0 while playing down a man for the final 25 minutes after a 2nd yellow card was handed out to Lycoming's CB. For all you fans that love tracking fouls...LVC out-fouled Lycoming 15-14 in the contest but Lycoming gave up a PK in the first 10 minutes of the game (which was saved by GK) and also picked up 3 cards to 2 cards for LVC. Lycoming also held an advantage in shots 20-13 and corners 5-3. I did not watch the contest but it looks like a tough loss for the Dutchmen after being up a man and still giving up a goal, which came with less than 2 to play. Based on the conference standings we should get a rematch next week with these 2 teams in the Commonwealth semifinals.
Messiah cruises to a standard 2-0 win over Arcadia but the most newsworthy portion from this game comes from Nick West. West was held scoreless for the first time in 16 games! Congrats to him on an incredible streak.
Some other news from the region:
-Haverford beats Stevenson 1-0 in 2OT
-Catholic beats Gettysburg 1-0
-Etown beats Muhlenberg 1-0
-Eastern visits PSU-Abington today
-NCAA regional rankings get released soon!
Arcadia played Messiah really tough on their home field. Only allowed 13 shots..probably a season low. I think West first and only shot was with a couple minutes left in the game. Probably would be a different game at Messiah in grass but still they had a very strong game. The last game against LVC could be interesting.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 24, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 14-0-2 | 0.592 | 5-0-2 | 14-0-2 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-2 | 0.611 | 5-2-1 | 12-2-2 | 4 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 12-3-1 | 0.594 | 3-3-1 | 12-3-1 | 2 |
4. | Eastern | 13-2-1 | 0.550 | 3-0-1 | 13-2-1 | 3 |
5. | Haverford | 9-4-0 | 0.597 | 3-2-0 | 9-4-0 | 6 |
6. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.584 | 2-3-1 | 10-4-2 | 5 |
7. | Lebanon Valley | 9-4-1 | 0.564 | 0-3-1 | 9-4-1 | 8 |
8. | Lycoming | 13-2-1 | 0.531 | 0-2-0 | 13-2-1 | 9 |
9. | Swarthmore | 9-6-1 | 0.589 | 1-3-1 | 9-6-1 | 10 |
10. | Gettysburg | 7-6-1 | 0.589 | 2-5-0 | 7-6-1 | 7 |
Updated Records
1. Messiah (15-0-2)---finishes season undefeated and playoffs await.
2. F&M (12-2-2)---McDaniel left plus playoffs
3. Hopkins (12-3-1)---Dickinson left plus playoffs
4. Eastern (14-2-1)---Kings left plus playoffs
5. Fords (10-4-0)---Muhles & Swat left plus playoffs
6. Dickinson (10-4-2)---JHU left plus playoffs
7. LVC (9-5-1)---Arcadia left plus playoffs
8. Lyco (14-2-1)---Hood left plus playoffs
9. Swat (9-6-1)---Fords and maybe playoffs
10. Gettysburg (7-7-1)---Ursinus and maybe playoffs
Others: Etown (SOS .522), Catholic (SOS .535), Drew (SOS .514)
I think you will see Gettysburg drop out and one of the three "others" slide into the rankings. Catholic hosts Etown which could decide that spot.
6 Centennial teams are regionally ranked which could set up a situation that 4 of them get Pool C's and if say a random team gets hot and goes on a run you could have 5 Centennial teams getting in. I have watched a couple of these sides this year and from what I have seen Hopkins, F&M and Haverford are "eye-ball" test legit NCAA teams. The two times I watched Dickinson I was not very impressed especially the effort against Messiah was atrocious but they have a decent resume and will most certainly be on the bubble. They have some work left. Swat and Gettysburg do not have legit resumes to get in and I have not seen them play plus with the Centennial only taking 5 teams into its Playoffs one of them will be left out anyhow. But if whoever takes the #5 slot and ends up winning the conference I would guess all 5 teams will get in with Dickinson left on the bubble.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 25, 2018, 02:13:35 PM
6 Centennial teams are regionally ranked which could set up a situation that 4 of them get Pool C's and if say a random team gets hot and goes on a run you could have 5 Centennial teams getting in. I have watched a couple of these sides this year and from what I have seen Hopkins, F&M and Haverford are "eye-ball" test legit NCAA teams. The two times I watched Dickinson I was not very impressed especially the effort against Messiah was atrocious but they have a decent resume and will most certainly be on the bubble. They have some work left. Swat and Gettysburg do not have legit resumes to get in and I have not seen them play plus with the Centennial only taking 5 teams into its Playoffs one of them will be left out anyhow. But if whoever takes the #5 slot and ends up winning the conference I would guess all 5 teams will get in with Dickinson left on the bubble.
Not a chance the Centennial gets 5 teams in. Has that ever happened before for any conference? UAA?
Quote from: futballfan20 on October 22, 2018, 04:18:58 PM
Quote from: Falconer on October 22, 2018, 03:05:35 PM
Quote from: futballfan20 on October 22, 2018, 01:46:45 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2018, 04:07:59 PM
That's putting it kindly...
2018 cumulative fouls thus far (Top 3 in MACC)
Lycoming 212
LVC 166
Messiah 98
2018 cumulative cards
Lycoming 21
LVC 9
Messiah 3
If you're a skillful out of conference centennial or UAA side, the risk of injury might outweigh the SOS upside when scheduling Lycoming
I was curious on how Lycoming's totals compared to the opponents they played in the categories you mentioned above. We all know Lycoming plays physical. They will always have a high foul total, which in most cases automatically means they will have a high card total. That was evident in your post. After some brief research on the stat pages of the Commonwealth teams:
Lycoming is sitting at 20 YC and 1 RC
The total for cards against them. 20 YC and 1 RC.
This would suggest if Lycoming is a dangerous team they must get everyone's most dangerous game of the season as well.
When comparing fouls. Lycoming has committed the most fouls at 233. As a team they were fouled 194 times. Among the MAC Commonwealth that appears to be second only to Arcadia at 214. For Lycoming's fast and physical approach to the game a difference of 39 fouls for/against can still be a point for argument, but this does seem to provide some insight for how the Lycoming games are reffed.
I don't think this has very much to do with how officials approach Lyco, except that those officials who prefer to "let them play" (which can vary from simply ignoring incidental fouls to swallowing the whistle for intentional cheap shots) will not add as much to their already high numbers.
Let's look at numbers from a few previous seasons, to see that Lyco is typically an outlier on the high end, both for fouls and for cards.
2014 (21 games): 303 fouls, 33 YC, 2 RC
2015 (22 games): 367 fouls, 43 YC[!], 1 RC
2016 (19 games): 277 fouls, 36 YC, 4 RC[!]
2017 (22 games): 354 fouls, 37 YC, 2 RC
The average is 15.5 fouls/game. This year they have 14.6, certainly in the same ball park.
For comparison, the NJAC teams have each played 8 conference games so far this year. Here's the numbers for fouls, YCs and RCs in those 8 games only--for which, perhaps, the set of officials might have a lot of overlap:
Kean 125 13-3
Montclair State 116 23-1
New Jersey City 104 13-2
Ramapo 122 17-1
Rowan 141 8-1
Rutgers-Camden 93 18-0
Rutgers-Newark 103 13-2
Stockton 109 10-2
TCNJ 106 9-3
WPU 104 13-0
This comes to 14.0 fouls/game for "average" NJAC team. It's no secret that the NJAC has a reputation for being somewhat thuggish--whether deserved or not. This year's Warriors would fit right into this picture, and earlier Lyco teams would be in the top 2-3.
For comparison, consider the MACC statistics, again just for in-conference games. Lyco in 6 games has 95 fouls (almost 16 per game), which would put them below Rowan and above Ramapo in 2nd, but surprisingly just 1 YC and 1 RC in conference. Widener is next with 76 fouls in 6 games; the bottom dwellers are Hood (44 in 6 games) and Messiah (41 in 6 games). Overall, the MACC teams average just 10.6 fouls/game, and if we remove Lyco, then just 9.9 fouls/game.
This evidence, including for Lyco over a period of 5 years, strongly suggests that Lyco's numbers are what they are, not as a result of the whims of officials.
My argument was not that Lycoming was at the whims of the officials and that is why they get called for fouls. Lycoming plays physical and fast and are going to get called for fouls and frankly that does not seem to bother them. Your statement that there are intentional cheap shots I am not sure. I do not watch every soccer game so can't say it never happens and I'll leave you to your opinion.
As far as your breakdown in fouls I will break it down the same way I did in my first post.
Lyco Opponents
2014 (21 games): 303 fouls, 33 YC, 2 RC 2014 (21 games): 271 fouls, 25 YC, 0 RC Difference + 32 Lyco
2015 (22 games): 367 fouls, 43 YC[!], 1 RC 2015 (22 games): 331 fouls, 33 YC, 3 RC Difference + 36 Lyco
2016 (19 games): 277 fouls, 36 YC, 4 RC[!] 2016 (19 games): 248 fouls, 26 YC, 1 RC Difference + 29 Lyco
2017 (22 games): 354 fouls, 37 YC, 2 RC 2017 (22 games): 255 fouls, 30 YC, 3 RC Difference + 99 Lyco
Now last year there appears to have been a more foul happy team on lyco but all in all the trend seems to hold true that while Lyco does get called for a good amount of fouls they earn a good amount as well. The argument just comes to is the +30ish too much not the overall total number. I will even throw in the argument that anyone watching Lyco games last year will admit that Adbi #9 only ever earned about 1 foul for every 10 that should have been called. But I also know many teams can point to a player like that as well.
To continue your argument of fouls per game
15.5 fouls/game for Lycoming for 2014 - 2017. Lycoming earned 13.15 fouls/game in that time.
This year in the MACC Lyco averages 13.6 in the 6 games but earned 12.33.
My argument was just as MAF said. While Lyco will always have a high foul count, the other side is they take a lot of fouls as well. Is averaging a little more than 2 fouls more per game than you earned that bad? Or a little over 1 this season?
[Modified by moderator to fix format of quoted posts]
Why do people care so much about fouls? Shouldn't we be focusing on wins and losses...? ;D
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 25, 2018, 09:11:17 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 25, 2018, 02:13:35 PM
6 Centennial teams are regionally ranked which could set up a situation that 4 of them get Pool C's and if say a random team gets hot and goes on a run you could have 5 Centennial teams getting in. I have watched a couple of these sides this year and from what I have seen Hopkins, F&M and Haverford are "eye-ball" test legit NCAA teams. The two times I watched Dickinson I was not very impressed especially the effort against Messiah was atrocious but they have a decent resume and will most certainly be on the bubble. They have some work left. Swat and Gettysburg do not have legit resumes to get in and I have not seen them play plus with the Centennial only taking 5 teams into its Playoffs one of them will be left out anyhow. But if whoever takes the #5 slot and ends up winning the conference I would guess all 5 teams will get in with Dickinson left on the bubble.
Not a chance the Centennial gets 5 teams in. Has that ever happened before for any conference? UAA?
Yes, in 2016 (Chicago, Deis, CMU, Rochester, WashU).
The Mid-Atlantic will have 6 AQ, so my guess is the region as a whole will only get a max of 3 Pool C. Possibly 4 if Messiah or Eastern are upset in conf finals.
I think Haverford, F&M, JHU are all in... Dickinson will have to reach the finals to possibly get a pool C, IMO.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 26, 2018, 07:29:46 AM
The Mid-Atlantic will have 6 AQ, so my guess is the region as a whole will only get a max of 3 Pool C. Possibly 4 if Messiah or Eastern are upset in conf finals.
I think Haverford, F&M, JHU are all in... Dickinson will have to reach the finals to possibly get a pool C, IMO.
I'm thinking Lyco moves past LVC in next ranking and maybe Dickinson in final ranking depending how conference tournaments go. If Lyco doesn't win the MAC tournament and 3 of the teams ranked above them get the AQ they may get a pool C.
Are there any pool B's this year?
The AEC conference (Neumann, Wesley, Cabrini, etc) is Pool B eligible. There is a total of 17 teams with only one earning a bid. This year it's going to be UW-Platteville.
The remaining pool of 16 teams are then Pool C eligible.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 26, 2018, 11:18:03 AM
The AEC conference (Neumann, Wesley, Cabrini, etc) is Pool B eligible. There is a total of 17 teams with only one earning a bid. This year it's going to be UW-Platteville.
The remaining pool of 16 teams are then Pool C eligible.
I need to check the access ratio ... I think it's 9:1 roughly (though, it can change in different sports). That's close a second pick, though I know the handbook says it is just one pick each.
Interesting, if two picks, then Cabrini and Neumann will be in the mix:
UW-Whitewater..........9-5-1 / 0-3 RvR / .532 SOS / Remaining games of Finlandia, Augustana, UW-Platteville
Neumann..................9-4-2 / H2H W over Cabrini / 0-3 RvR / .514 SOS
Cabrini....................10-6-1 / 1-2 RvR / .511 SOS
UW-W should finish, at worst, 11-6-1 with an SOS greater than both Neumann/Cabrini, and more RvR
Quote from: Dave 'd-mac' McHugh on October 26, 2018, 01:24:07 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 26, 2018, 11:18:03 AM
The AEC conference (Neumann, Wesley, Cabrini, etc) is Pool B eligible. There is a total of 17 teams with only one earning a bid. This year it's going to be UW-Platteville.
The remaining pool of 16 teams are then Pool C eligible.
I need to check the access ratio ... I think it's 9:1 roughly (though, it can change in different sports). That's close a second pick, though I know the handbook says it is just one pick each.
We've done all the math here: http://www.d3soccer.com/ncaatournament/2018/2018-about
Quote2018 Allocation of Berths
Men's Tournament
Pool A | No. of Automatic Qualifying Conferences | 42 berths |
Pool B | No. of Pool B teams / Pool A access ratio | 1 berth |
| 17 / (393/42) = 10 / 9.36 = 1.82 | |
Pool C | Field size - Pool A berths - Pool B berths | 19 berths |
| 62 - 42 - 1 = 19 | |
Women's Tournament
Pool A | No. of Automatic Qualifying Conferences | 43 berths |
Pool B | No. of Pool B teams / Pool A access ratio | 1 berths |
| 19 / (416/43) = 12 / 9.67 = 1.96 | |
Pool C | Field size - Pool A berths - Pool B berths | 20 berths |
| 64 - 43 - 1 = 20 | |
Thanks for the info. +1 to all. :)
The crazy thing ... numbers that close have been known to be rounded up in the past. But that has been inconsistent to say the least.
Hood leading Lyco, 2-1, with 3 minutes remaining. The score reflects the difference in intensity with which each team has played. Both teams have had some chances, but Hood in general seems more committed to getting a result. IMO, if the score stands, Lyco is finished unless they win the conference tournament.
Hood wins. This was a clinic on how to play dump and run ineffectively. Neither side made much effort to possess, though Hood tried to do so more than Lyco. Surely Lyco missed Sinclair Tueno, who earned himself a red in the previous game vs LVC.
Unfortunately for LVC, they still are stuck travelling to Lyco for their semifinal because of the head-to-head loss.
Swat gutted after ref awards what looked like weak handball call to Haverford with 3 min left. Of course Swat had the lead on a PK as well. Going OT now.
JHU with nice come from behind win over Dickinson, 3-2. That may do it for the Red Devils, but who knows, Dickinson every year seems to be the Emory of the Mid-Atlantic.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 27, 2018, 06:06:02 PM
Swat gutted after ref awards what looked like weak handball call to Haverford with 3 min left. Of course Swat had the lead on a PK as well. Going OT now.
JHU with nice come from behind win over Dickinson, 3-2. That may do it for the Red Devils, but who knows, Dickinson every year seems to be the Emory of the Mid-Atlantic.
Fords pull it out in the second OT. And Swat's season is done, as Gettysburg takes the last slot in the Centennial playoffs.
Haverford wins in 2nd OT, and most likely just punched a NCAA ticket.
And Cairn drops to Wilson (3-9-3) in PKs today.
Wilson plays Keystone (11-4) for the CSAC Final and NCAA AQ.
I cannot fathom a 3 or 4 win team in field, but it's definitely possible...
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 27, 2018, 06:06:02 PM
Swat gutted after ref awards what looked like weak handball call to Haverford with 3 min left. Of course Swat had the lead on a PK as well. Going OT now.
JHU with nice come from behind win over Dickinson, 3-2. That may do it for the Red Devils, but who knows, Dickinson every year seems to be the Emory of the Mid-Atlantic.
Badly called game between Swat and Haverford. Both PK calls were questionable. But Haverford clearly dominated in 2nd half. Swat had nothing left in OTs; Haverford, who played 4 games in 8 days gutted out the win.
Dickinson is young and talented. Very grabby and needs a lot of coaching. Could be a Centennial Conference power in the future.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 28, 2018, 06:36:44 PM
And Cairn drops to Wilson (3-9-3) in PKs today.
Wilson plays Keystone (11-4) for the CSAC Final and NCAA AQ.
I cannot fathom a 3 or 4 win team in field, but it's definitely possible...
Wilson's men's program is only 4 years old too. Keystone should win easily but anything can happen!
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 28, 2018, 11:26:42 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 28, 2018, 06:36:44 PM
And Cairn drops to Wilson (3-9-3) in PKs today.
Wilson plays Keystone (11-4) for the CSAC Final and NCAA AQ.
I cannot fathom a 3 or 4 win team in field, but it's definitely possible...
Wilson's men's program is only 4 years old too. Keystone should win easily but anything can happen!
Wilson has a pretty good goal keeper. Against Cairn, he stopped everything. Keystone just has to get one goal to win the game.
Quote from: Falconer on October 27, 2018, 02:04:56 PM
Hood wins. This was a clinic on how to play dump and run ineffectively. Neither side made much effort to possess, though Hood tried to do so more than Lyco. Surely Lyco missed Sinclair Tueno, who earned himself a red in the previous game vs LVC.
I was at the game. Lyco seemed slow on the field. The Hood goalkeeper did a good job, as well. But the Hood team, played faster and more physically than Lyco. The rain was not helpful to either team and contributed to less than stellar play. However, I don't think the rain was a factor in the outcome.
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 24, 2018, 08:30:35 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 24, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 14-0-2 | 0.592 | 5-0-2 | 14-0-2 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-2 | 0.611 | 5-2-1 | 12-2-2 | 4 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 12-3-1 | 0.594 | 3-3-1 | 12-3-1 | 2 |
4. | Eastern | 13-2-1 | 0.550 | 3-0-1 | 13-2-1 | 3 |
5. | Haverford | 9-4-0 | 0.597 | 3-2-0 | 9-4-0 | 6 |
6. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.584 | 2-3-1 | 10-4-2 | 5 |
7. | Lebanon Valley | 9-4-1 | 0.564 | 0-3-1 | 9-4-1 | 8 |
8. | Lycoming | 13-2-1 | 0.531 | 0-2-0 | 13-2-1 | 9 |
9. | Swarthmore | 9-6-1 | 0.589 | 1-3-1 | 9-6-1 | 10 |
10. | Gettysburg | 7-6-1 | 0.589 | 2-5-0 | 7-6-1 | 7 |
Projections for upcoming rankings (3rd)1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Haverford
5. Eastern
6. Dickinson
7. Lycoming
8. Leb Val
9. Swat/Etown/Catholic
10. Swat/Etown/Catholic
Lycoming needs to hope they jump Dickinson by the final rankings to have any shot of an at-large. I think they will be behind them for the 3rd rankings and could overtake them depending on how things shape up with conference tournaments. Even then it will be tight for that 6th place team to get an at-large bid. 1 through 5 should all be safe at this point.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 29, 2018, 03:44:31 PM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 24, 2018, 08:30:35 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 24, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 14-0-2 | 0.592 | 5-0-2 | 14-0-2 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-2 | 0.611 | 5-2-1 | 12-2-2 | 4 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 12-3-1 | 0.594 | 3-3-1 | 12-3-1 | 2 |
4. | Eastern | 13-2-1 | 0.550 | 3-0-1 | 13-2-1 | 3 |
5. | Haverford | 9-4-0 | 0.597 | 3-2-0 | 9-4-0 | 6 |
6. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.584 | 2-3-1 | 10-4-2 | 5 |
7. | Lebanon Valley | 9-4-1 | 0.564 | 0-3-1 | 9-4-1 | 8 |
8. | Lycoming | 13-2-1 | 0.531 | 0-2-0 | 13-2-1 | 9 |
9. | Swarthmore | 9-6-1 | 0.589 | 1-3-1 | 9-6-1 | 10 |
10. | Gettysburg | 7-6-1 | 0.589 | 2-5-0 | 7-6-1 | 7 |
Projections for upcoming rankings (3rd)
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Haverford
5. Eastern
6. Dickinson
7. Lycoming
8. Leb Val
9. Swat/Etown/Catholic
10. Swat/Etown/Catholic
Lycoming needs to hope they jump Dickinson by the final rankings to have any shot of an at-large. I think they will be behind them for the 3rd rankings and could overtake them depending on how things shape up with conference tournaments. Even then it will be tight for that 6th place team to get an at-large bid. 1 through 5 should all be safe at this point.
How can you have F&M in front of Haverford? F&M is seeded 3rd in Centennial conference and ended the regular season with a tie versus McDaniel. Haverford on nine game winning streak, including 4 wins in eight days over the last week,
Regardless of Haverford impressive run, F&M has the H2H, likely higher SOS, and more wins RvR. I agree, line by line with MAF
I'm still assuming that 3 Centennial teams are in, with Dickinson needing to win the AQ, IMO
The NESCAC and UAA are going to swallow up those Pool C, NJAC might get three. I think if Rowan loses, they are on the wrong side of the bubble.
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 29, 2018, 04:45:44 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 29, 2018, 03:44:31 PM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 24, 2018, 08:30:35 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 24, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 14-0-2 | 0.592 | 5-0-2 | 14-0-2 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-2 | 0.611 | 5-2-1 | 12-2-2 | 4 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 12-3-1 | 0.594 | 3-3-1 | 12-3-1 | 2 |
4. | Eastern | 13-2-1 | 0.550 | 3-0-1 | 13-2-1 | 3 |
5. | Haverford | 9-4-0 | 0.597 | 3-2-0 | 9-4-0 | 6 |
6. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.584 | 2-3-1 | 10-4-2 | 5 |
7. | Lebanon Valley | 9-4-1 | 0.564 | 0-3-1 | 9-4-1 | 8 |
8. | Lycoming | 13-2-1 | 0.531 | 0-2-0 | 13-2-1 | 9 |
9. | Swarthmore | 9-6-1 | 0.589 | 1-3-1 | 9-6-1 | 10 |
10. | Gettysburg | 7-6-1 | 0.589 | 2-5-0 | 7-6-1 | 7 |
Projections for upcoming rankings (3rd)
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Haverford
5. Eastern
6. Dickinson
7. Lycoming
8. Leb Val
9. Swat/Etown/Catholic
10. Swat/Etown/Catholic
Lycoming needs to hope they jump Dickinson by the final rankings to have any shot of an at-large. I think they will be behind them for the 3rd rankings and could overtake them depending on how things shape up with conference tournaments. Even then it will be tight for that 6th place team to get an at-large bid. 1 through 5 should all be safe at this point.
How can you have F&M in front of Haverford? F&M is seeded 3rd in Centennial conference and ended the regular season with a tie versus McDaniel. Haverford on nine game winning streak, including 4 wins in eight days over the last week,
F&M beat Haverford. ::)
Quote from: paclassic89 link=topic=8694.msg1895079#msg1895079 date=1540872339
F&M beat Haverford. ::)
/quote]
and Haverford beat Hopkins. Hopkins beat F&M
and Haverford's SOS is higher than F&M.
and Haverford and F&M have same number of overall wins (12)
and Haverford has a 8-1 conference record; F&M has a 5-1-3 conference record
but F&M did beat Haverford in OT
and Haverford lost to WPU, F$&M beat WPU
Haverford has a lower SOS last ranking and played Stevenson, Mules, and Swat
F&M played McDaniel.
For me the difference is RvR results.
Whether or not Haverford wins the AQ, they will be in the tournament. They might sweat it out if they lose the semifinal, but the body of work suggests they are more than deserving
Conference placement, standings, seeding (whatever) is not part of the criteria. That doesn't show the overall picture .. just the conference point of view.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 31, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 15-0-2 | 0.569 | 4-0-2 | 15-0-2 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-3 | 0.599 | 6-2-1 | 12-2-3 | 2 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 13-3-1 | 0.593 | 3-3-1 | 13-3-1 | 3 |
4. | Eastern | 15-2-1 | 0.550 | 2-1-1 | 15-2-1 | 4 |
5. | Haverford | 12-4-0 | 0.586 | 4-4-0 | 12-4-0 | 5 |
6. | Dickinson | 10-5-2 | 0.593 | 2-4-1 | 10-5-2 | 6 |
7. | Lycoming | 14-3-1 | 0.534 | 1-2-0 | 14-3-1 | 8 |
8. | Lebanon Valley | 10-5-1 | 0.558 | 0-4-1 | 10-5-1 | 7 |
9. | Swarthmore | 9-7-1 | 0.589 | 2-4-1 | 9-7-1 | 9 |
10. | Catholic | 10-5-1 | 0.533 | 1-2-0 | 10-5-1 | -- |
Catholic with a nice win over Drew tonight to advance to the Landmark final where they will travel to Etown. The Bluejays defeated Moravian tonight after trailing early on.
Eastern advanced to the Freedom final where they will host Kings. Eastern breezed past Misericordia 5-2 while Kings snuck by in OT 1-0 over Manhattanville.
Dickinson defeats Gettysburg 1-0 to advance and face Haverford in the Centennial semi-finals as F&M will face JHU.
Stevenson defeated Alvernia 3-2 in a second half thriller as they win the prize of travelling to Messiah for the Commonwealth semi-finals. Leb Val will travel to face Lycoming in the other semi-final match.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 31, 2018, 10:20:53 PM
Catholic with a nice win over Drew tonight to advance to the Landmark final where they will travel to Etown. The Bluejays defeated Moravian tonight after trailing early on.
Eastern advanced to the Freedom final where they will host Kings. Eastern breezed past Misericordia 5-2 while Kings snuck by in OT 1-0 over Manhattanville.
Dickinson defeats Gettysburg 1-0 to advance and face Haverford in the Centennial semi-finals as F&M will face JHU.
Stevenson defeated Alvernia 3-2 in a second half thriller as they win the prize of travelling to Messiah for the Commonwealth semi-finals. Leb Val will travel to face Lycoming in the other semi-final match.
Centennial may get well get 3 bids with all 4 of the semi finalists ranked. One will get the AQ..my bet is JHU or Haverford. I saw F&M play one game and they did not look as good as last year. Seemed to give the ball away a lot. Could have been an off game. I don't think Dickinson can pull it off so that leaves JHU and Haverford. Those 2 and F&M should all get bids.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 29, 2018, 03:44:31 PM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 24, 2018, 08:30:35 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 24, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 14-0-2 | 0.592 | 5-0-2 | 14-0-2 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-2 | 0.611 | 5-2-1 | 12-2-2 | 4 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 12-3-1 | 0.594 | 3-3-1 | 12-3-1 | 2 |
4. | Eastern | 13-2-1 | 0.550 | 3-0-1 | 13-2-1 | 3 |
5. | Haverford | 9-4-0 | 0.597 | 3-2-0 | 9-4-0 | 6 |
6. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.584 | 2-3-1 | 10-4-2 | 5 |
7. | Lebanon Valley | 9-4-1 | 0.564 | 0-3-1 | 9-4-1 | 8 |
8. | Lycoming | 13-2-1 | 0.531 | 0-2-0 | 13-2-1 | 9 |
9. | Swarthmore | 9-6-1 | 0.589 | 1-3-1 | 9-6-1 | 10 |
10. | Gettysburg | 7-6-1 | 0.589 | 2-5-0 | 7-6-1 | 7 |
Projections for upcoming rankings (3rd)
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Haverford
5. Eastern
6. Dickinson
7. Lycoming
8. Leb Val
9. Swat/Etown/Catholic
10. Swat/Etown/Catholic
Lycoming needs to hope they jump Dickinson by the final rankings to have any shot of an at-large. I think they will be behind them for the 3rd rankings and could overtake them depending on how things shape up with conference tournaments. Even then it will be tight for that 6th place team to get an at-large bid. 1 through 5 should all be safe at this point.
Reposting from the national perspective thread:
I watched bits and pieces of the Lycoming game from earlier this afternoon and Lycoming looked as good as they have all season. A nice statistic for those of you who track foul counts and card counts...fouls were 14-10 Lyco and not a single yellow or red card in the game for either team! Lycoming is most certainly a bubble team but will need a little bit of help for an at-large as all bubble teams do. If Dickinson loses to Haverford then Lycoming will certainly jump Dickinson in the final rankings regardless of the Messiah vs Lyco outcome. Being in the top 6 of the Mid-Atlantic region is a must for a shot at a bid. Even if Dickinson wins vs Haverford and loses in the final to JHU/F&M I still think Lycoming will jump them after the result today.
As for the conference final matchup it should be a spectacle! This is the 5th conference final Lycoming has advanced to in the last 6 seasons and they have won 3 of the last 5. It has proven to be a fun match to watch as a neutral fan over the last half decade. After watching these two teams throughout the year they both look like NCAA tournament teams to me along with F&M, Hopkins, Haverford, and Eastern. It would be great for the region to see all of these teams in the tournament this year!
Quote from: daddyEzK on October 29, 2018, 04:45:44 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 29, 2018, 03:44:31 PM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 24, 2018, 08:30:35 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 24, 2018 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 14-0-2 | 0.592 | 5-0-2 | 14-0-2 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-2 | 0.611 | 5-2-1 | 12-2-2 | 4 |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 12-3-1 | 0.594 | 3-3-1 | 12-3-1 | 2 |
4. | Eastern | 13-2-1 | 0.550 | 3-0-1 | 13-2-1 | 3 |
5. | Haverford | 9-4-0 | 0.597 | 3-2-0 | 9-4-0 | 6 |
6. | Dickinson | 10-4-2 | 0.584 | 2-3-1 | 10-4-2 | 5 |
7. | Lebanon Valley | 9-4-1 | 0.564 | 0-3-1 | 9-4-1 | 8 |
8. | Lycoming | 13-2-1 | 0.531 | 0-2-0 | 13-2-1 | 9 |
9. | Swarthmore | 9-6-1 | 0.589 | 1-3-1 | 9-6-1 | 10 |
10. | Gettysburg | 7-6-1 | 0.589 | 2-5-0 | 7-6-1 | 7 |
Projections for upcoming rankings (3rd)
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Haverford
5. Eastern
6. Dickinson
7. Lycoming
8. Leb Val
9. Swat/Etown/Catholic
10. Swat/Etown/Catholic
Lycoming needs to hope they jump Dickinson by the final rankings to have any shot of an at-large. I think they will be behind them for the 3rd rankings and could overtake them depending on how things shape up with conference tournaments. Even then it will be tight for that 6th place team to get an at-large bid. 1 through 5 should all be safe at this point.
How can you have F&M in front of Haverford? F&M is seeded 3rd in Centennial conference and ended the regular season with a tie versus McDaniel. Haverford on nine game winning streak, including 4 wins in eight days over the last week,
I had F&M ahead because F&M has more ranked wins, more wins total, less losses, a higher SOS and equal overall blemishes as well as the H2H over the Fords. No chance they were ever jumping F&M.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 31, 2018, 10:20:53 PM
Catholic with a nice win over Drew tonight to advance to the Landmark final where they will travel to Etown. The Bluejays defeated Moravian tonight after trailing early on.
Eastern advanced to the Freedom final where they will host Kings. Eastern breezed past Misericordia 5-2 while Kings snuck by in OT 1-0 over Manhattanville.
Dickinson defeats Gettysburg 1-0 to advance and face Haverford in the Centennial semi-finals as F&M will face JHU.
Stevenson defeated Alvernia 3-2 in a second half thriller as they win the prize of travelling to Messiah for the Commonwealth semi-finals. Leb Val will travel to face Lycoming in the other semi-final match.
Lycoming defeats Leb Val 2-0 and Messiah takes down Stevenson 1-0. The two will meet in the conference final at Messiah at 7:30pm on Saturday night. Looking forward to watching this rematch!
95% of the fields in the Philadelphia area are closed for USSF today
Oh those pesky field conditions will be why Haverford loses today if that's the case...
They must have contingency plans in place for turf fields you'd think since multiple games need to played...
Watching warmups. Haverford field looks good considering...
Messiah and Lycoming played one heck of a game last night and as many others have echoed across the boards over the year, these two teams are certainly worthy of competing in NCAA's. Messiah played beautifully last night but Lycoming never broke. It was a defensive clinic by the Warriors with some key saves from their GK and some incredible plays from Tueno. He showed why he will most likely repeat as an All-American this year, as he was one of the best, if not the best defensive player I have seen all year.
Messiah controlled large spells of the game and I think had more of the ball than the first match between the two. But Lycoming defended beautifully and created some nice opportunities as well. Both teams look to be playing some of their best soccer at the right time and PK's was the only way to decide this one as Messiah won with penalties.
I would expect Messiah to host straight through to the Final 4 if they advance and I would also expect Lycoming to get a Pool C bid as they strengthened their resume last night.
15-3-2 overall record, winning percentage of .800, SOS will jump to around .555 to .565 range, RvR of 2-2-1 with a quality result vs the top team in the country. I can't see how the committee would keep a resume like this out but will look more in depth this evening after the conclusion of some other finals this afternoon!
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2018, 10:35:49 AM
I would expect Messiah to host straight through to the Final 4 if they advance and I would also expect Lycoming to get a Pool C bid as they strengthened their resume last night.
Unless I'm mistaken, this year the men host the first weekend and (assuming that both the men and the women make the Sweet Sixteen) the women host the second weekend--in which case the men would be on the road. I'm sure FW will let us know if I am mistaken.
Quote from: Falconer on November 04, 2018, 12:23:12 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2018, 10:35:49 AM
I would expect Messiah to host straight through to the Final 4 if they advance and I would also expect Lycoming to get a Pool C bid as they strengthened their resume last night.
Unless I'm mistaken, this year the men host the first weekend and (assuming that both the men and the women make the Sweet Sixteen) the women host the second weekend--in which case the men would be on the road. I'm sure FW will let us know if I am mistaken.
I think it is the other way around....
Quote from: Mr.Right on November 04, 2018, 12:26:02 PM
Quote from: Falconer on November 04, 2018, 12:23:12 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2018, 10:35:49 AM
I would expect Messiah to host straight through to the Final 4 if they advance and I would also expect Lycoming to get a Pool C bid as they strengthened their resume last night.
Unless I'm mistaken, this year the men host the first weekend and (assuming that both the men and the women make the Sweet Sixteen) the women host the second weekend--in which case the men would be on the road. I'm sure FW will let us know if I am mistaken.
I think it is the other way around....
In even-numbered years, which this year is, the men have hosting preference for the 1st/2nd Round pods and the women have preference for Sectionals. Vice versa for odd-numbered years.
Gotcha....That possibly could have an impact on a couple teams that want to host in the Sweet 16/Elite 8 on the Men's side for sure.
Quote from: Falconer on November 04, 2018, 12:23:12 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2018, 10:35:49 AM
I would expect Messiah to host straight through to the Final 4 if they advance and I would also expect Lycoming to get a Pool C bid as they strengthened their resume last night.
Unless I'm mistaken, this year the men host the first weekend and (assuming that both the men and the women make the Sweet Sixteen) the women host the second weekend--in which case the men would be on the road. I'm sure FW will let us know if I am mistaken.
Of course, this all depends on the women being the top seed in their Sectional if they advance--not a guarantee.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on November 03, 2018, 10:28:18 AM
95% of the fields in the Philadelphia area are closed for USSF today
Oh those pesky field conditions will be why Haverford loses today if that's the case...
Despite a muddy field on Saturday, Haverford prevailed. Thank you for concern.
My point throughout this discussion is that reliance on records without perspective to determine whether the "official" rankings were accurate is fool's gold. First guy off the bench knows that weather conditions and pitch surfaces effect different teams differently. The teams performance against WPU was not an accurate way to compare them to F&M because of the circumstances of that game.
I also knew that their result in Lancaster would look different at historic Walton Field.
However, keep depending on your algorithms and formulas. I will continue to watch games to see if I agree with you experts who insisted that Hopkins and F&M were better than the Fords.
And you are more than welcome to join me this coming weekend, hopefully at Haverford.
Shooter's Final Regional Ranking Prediction
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Fords
4. Hopkins
5. Eastern
6. Lyco
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Swat
10. Catholic/Etown
AQs: Messiah, Fords, Eastern, Etown, Keystone, Abington
Pool C: F&M, JHU, Lyco
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 04, 2018, 09:03:54 PM
Shooter's Final Regional Ranking Prediction
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Fords
4. Hopkins
5. Eastern
6. Lyco
7. Dickinson
8. Leb Val
9. Swat
10. Catholic/Etown
AQs: Messiah, Fords, Eastern, Etown, Keystone, Abington
Pool C: F&M, JHU, Lyco
I think that is actually spot on Shooter. +K
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 04, 2018, 06:55:32 PM
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on November 03, 2018, 10:28:18 AM
95% of the fields in the Philadelphia area are closed for USSF today
Oh those pesky field conditions will be why Haverford loses today if that's the case...
Despite a muddy field on Saturday, Haverford prevailed. Thank you for concern.
My point throughout this discussion is that reliance on records without perspective to determine whether the "official" rankings were accurate is fool's gold. First guy off the bench knows that weather conditions and pitch surfaces effect different teams differently. The teams performance against WPU was not an accurate way to compare them to F&M because of the circumstances of that game.
I also knew that their result in Lancaster would look different at historic Walton Field.
However, keep depending on your algorithms and formulas. I will continue to watch games to see if I agree with you experts who insisted that Hopkins and F&M were better than the Fords.
And you are more than welcome to join me this coming weekend, hopefully at Haverford.
How else do you expect the ranking committees to rank teams if they can't "depend on algorithms and formulas"? Do you honestly think they should watch every single game played? Also, the SOS and rvr are data points so that rankings aren't solely dependent on records. This is why Haverford continued to climb the regional rankings. Not everyone on this forum has a son who plays for a particular school so we have to rely on records, s.o.s, and rvr to inform our opinions.
Quote from: daddyEzK on September 25, 2018, 01:59:39 PM
Surprised that Haverford is not getting a little more love. Of its 4 losses, two were in terrible weather, playing on small turf fields. Neither is conducive to its ball control style. Beat Hopkins and lost to F&M in OT. Not saying this team is final four material, but still should be considered a contender in the Centennial Conference. Not bad for a new coach. Wednesday's game against Muhlenberg should give us a sense of how they stack up in this competitive league.
daddyEZ noted way back that the Fords early blemishes for whatever reason, were not good indicators of the team's talent; before regional rankings, SOS, RvR were known. Kudos to him for pointing this out at that time. Ultimately, the Fords validated his point of view in achieving a number one rank in the CC earning hosting honors for this weekend's tournament, and taking care of business to land the AQ. Congratulations to the Fords.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on November 04, 2018, 09:56:39 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on September 25, 2018, 01:59:39 PM
Surprised that Haverford is not getting a little more love. Of its 4 losses, two were in terrible weather, playing on small turf fields. Neither is conducive to its ball control style. Beat Hopkins and lost to F&M in OT. Not saying this team is final four material, but still should be considered a contender in the Centennial Conference. Not bad for a new coach. Wednesday's game against Muhlenberg should give us a sense of how they stack up in this competitive league.
daddyEZ noted way back that the Fords early blemishes for whatever reason, were not good indicators of the team's talent; before regional rankings, SOS, RvR were known. Kudos to him for pointing this out at that time. Ultimately, the Fords validated his point of view in achieving a number one rank in the CC earning hosting honors for this weekend's tournament, and taking care of business to land the AQ. Congratulations to the Fords.
That's not my recollection....which was that the poster complained about rankings and the mock rankings of another poster. The poster seemed to suggest that rankings at that early point of time should have considered field conditions, as though that is something that has ever happened in any rankings anywhere. The poster could have said Haverford was off to a slow start and could have even blamed the field, arguing that Haverford would turn things around, as it turns out they did. But that's not what he did. His reactions actually have muddied the waters about Haverford. The Fords since those initial reactions have ripped off 10 or 11 straight wins and appear to be one of the hottest teams in country. They are getting their just due and are being ranked accordingly. That doesn't mean anyone should have ranked them more favorably in the early part of the season with some adjustment factor regarding weather and field condition.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 04, 2018, 10:06:13 PM
That's not my recollection....which was that the poster complained about rankings and the mock rankings of another poster.
PN... it was why I went back and quoted the poster's very first post on the topic. He was offering his thoughts into the conversation in order to add the Fords to the mix of mid Atlantic teams one might consider for a top ten list - despite their albeit rocky early season start. He'd seen the games... so could comment with authority. Ultimately his opinion has been completely validated - the Fords have not lost a game since his first post on the topic.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on November 04, 2018, 10:23:05 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 04, 2018, 10:06:13 PM
That's not my recollection....which was that the poster complained about rankings and the mock rankings of another poster.
PN... it was why I went back and quoted the poster's very first post on the topic. He was offering his thoughts into the conversation in order to add the Fords to the mix of mid Atlantic teams one might consider for a top ten list - despite their albeit rocky early season start. He'd seen the games... so could comment with authority. Ultimately his opinion has been completely validated - the Fords have not lost a game since his first post on the topic.
You're missing the point. No one is contesting that his opinion that Haverford was better than its results at the time has proven to be correct (and we didn't even contest that at the time). The point is his idea that
rankings should have been more favorable at that time made no sense. If Messiah started 0-3 we all would know that the Falcons would still be national contenders. That doesn't mean we should "show more love" when they are 0-3.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 04, 2018, 10:28:06 PM
You're missing the point. No one is contesting that his opinion that Haverford was better than its results at the time has proven to be correct (and we didn't even contest that at the time). The point is his idea that rankings should have been more favorable at that time made no sense.....
I really am not missing it, but I do agree that the best way to make one's point on a personal ranking projection is to make your own and not try to change somebody else', ESPECIALLY prior to the first regional ranking release, where one can be very influenced by the pre-season top 25 national teams ranking, which MANY on this board have commented frequently are sometimes not a very accurate way to forecast any team's next season (except maybe Messiah!). When the first regional rankings were released, and the Fords started out on the list at #6, it did show the poster's point of view was completley warranted. But it might have been better if s/he had just made their own top ten list and not try to persuade others to change theirs.
I actually went up to Haverford to watch the JHU - F&M semifinal. It was... weird?
Hopkins had a bunch of possession, but really didn't do much with it. The F&M bench stood the entire game and was really into it. Hopkins had a very strange team demeanor. My wife and I were really perplexed by it. It was almost like they were pouting or something? And this was from before the game all the way through.
I could break the game down more, but don't really feel like it unless anyone cares. The wind was a HUGE factor... F&M had the wind in the first half and the capitalized, up 2-0 at the half. Wind doesn't really help Hopkins' possession game, and they were so flat, they didn't really start to wake up and press until there were about 15 minutes left.
I really wish I had an inside line to that locker room to figure what the heck was going on with that team on Saturday. I don't think I've ever seen anything like it.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 05, 2018, 11:26:55 AM
I actually went up to Haverford to watch the JHU - F&M semifinal. It was... weird?
Hopkins had a bunch of possession, but really didn't do much with it. The F&M bench stood the entire game and was really into it. Hopkins had a very strange team demeanor. My wife and I were really perplexed by it. It was almost like they were pouting or something? And this was from before the game all the way through.
I could break the game down more, but don't really feel like it unless anyone cares. The wind was a HUGE factor... F&M had the wind in the first half and the capitalized, up 2-0 at the half. Wind doesn't really help Hopkins' possession game, and they were so flat, they didn't really start to wake up and press until there were about 15 minutes left.
I really wish I had an inside line to that locker room to figure what the heck was going on with that team on Saturday. I don't think I've ever seen anything like it.
You are SO right...both with the wind and the flat Hopkins bench. Apparently it isn't unusual for Hopkins to sit..but the quiet, low energy bench was... odd? The wind was a factor a bit in the first morning semi final game as well, and the field was a bit soggy too. But the wind
really picked up in the afternoon and absolutely was a factor in the game - at least gave F&M a tip with one of the goals.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on November 05, 2018, 12:27:24 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 05, 2018, 11:26:55 AM
I actually went up to Haverford to watch the JHU - F&M semifinal. It was... weird?
Hopkins had a bunch of possession, but really didn't do much with it. The F&M bench stood the entire game and was really into it. Hopkins had a very strange team demeanor. My wife and I were really perplexed by it. It was almost like they were pouting or something? And this was from before the game all the way through.
I could break the game down more, but don't really feel like it unless anyone cares. The wind was a HUGE factor... F&M had the wind in the first half and the capitalized, up 2-0 at the half. Wind doesn't really help Hopkins' possession game, and they were so flat, they didn't really start to wake up and press until there were about 15 minutes left.
I really wish I had an inside line to that locker room to figure what the heck was going on with that team on Saturday. I don't think I've ever seen anything like it.
You are SO right...both with the wind and the flat Hopkins bench. Apparently it isn't unusual for Hopkins to sit..but the quiet, low energy bench was... odd? The wind was a factor a bit in the first morning semi final game as well, and the field was a bit soggy too. But the wind really picked up in the afternoon and absolutely was a factor in the game - at least gave F&M a tip with one of the goals.
I don't know if you remember, but Hop had a chance to score on a breakaway mid-first half... Goalie made a truly outstanding save on an attempted chip. I wonder if that would've changed the momentum. The Dips really got energized and scored their first not long after.
The big guy off the bench was, by far, the most entertaining aspect of the game. The way Hopkins plays out of the back, if you are pressing with a lone striker, it can be exhausting. That dude was listed at 6'3" and 240 and he looked every inch and pound of it. He was gassed after 5 minutes. Then, lo and behold, dude slams in the second goal, immediately gets subbed off, and their bench is going CRAZY.
I mean, clearly I was rooting for Hopkins, but I had a huge grin on my face when that all went down.
And, I have to say, save for a couple of comments here and there, the Dip bench was into the game, but they weren't being jerks about it. I'm sure it was annoying for the Hopkins players, but it sure made for a good atmosphere on a neutral field.
Oh, and this has driven my crazy for years under this coach, but you know... Sometimes when you're trying to build out of the back, things hit a snag and you just need to bang the ball out of bounds and press reset. Hopkins NEVER does this and it really almost bit them I'd say easily 5 times. Their backs have a lot of skill, but they just seem prone to coughing the ball up too often. It directly led to F&M's first goal.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 05, 2018, 01:07:39 PM
Oh, and this has driven my crazy for years under this coach, but you know... Sometimes when you're trying to build out of the back, things hit a snag and you just need to bang the ball out of bounds and press reset. Hopkins NEVER does this and it really almost bit them I'd say easily 5 times. Their backs have a lot of skill, but they just seem prone to coughing the ball up too often. It directly led to F&M's first goal.
I missed the first goal...but was walking around to the stands and right behind the Hop GK when the second happened - wind certainly a factor. F&M's excitement was palpable.. and at a neutral field too. Excited fans and happy team... fun to see. I thought at that time the JHU coach would change strategy a bit - time was not on their side. Didn't even seem to adjust at all and bring some numbers forward. The BlueJay bench was so down after that second goal.. but I heard from others in the crowd they'd been that way from the start. Looked at the bracket... they are in a tough pod with Messiah..but assuming both birds get through their first game.. should be some great soccer to watch.
Yeah, that's my thing with this coach. They play a very patient style, and they have really top notch skill at all positions. Heck, they use the goalie as a quasi-sweeper and play through him quite regularly building out of the back.
But, yeah, at some point when you need to score, you have to adjust. I don't think he ever does. And I think they are wasting their best player pushing him so far out wide (#7, Adam Younker).
Oh, last thing... And I don't mean to be overly harsh, but JHU's lone striker had a VERY bad day. Touch was off, timing and direction of his runs were off. I get the impression that when he is clicking, they are a much more dangerous team.
Sounds exactly like the local HS here. They possess the hell out of the ball, but rarely generate any offense with one lone strikers and 6 MF's who aren't "allowed" to take on a defender. If teams play them straight-up, they do well, but a defensive team gives them fits because the coach is happy for possession with no penetration. Going down 0-1 in a tournament, and he still doesn't change tactics or formations. Soooo painful to watch.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 05, 2018, 02:10:49 PM
Oh, last thing... And I don't mean to be overly harsh, but JHU's lone striker had a VERY bad day. Touch was off, timing and direction of his runs were off. I get the impression that when he is clicking, they are a much more dangerous team.
Interesting.. I wonder if that is because they played on grass? JHU lost to the Fords on Walton during the regular season, and possibly the field surface was a factor? JHU's short, quick possession & passing style is wonderful to watch and true to the beautiful game of fuĂźball... but switching to grass if you don't get enough practice time on grass can really affect timing. And couple that with a rigid game strategy is a double whammy. But honestly, something else seemed to be up with the team... long drive from Baltimore maybe.
Franklin and Marshall hosting....are you kidding me?
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 05, 2018, 06:58:56 PM
Franklin and Marshall hosting....are you kidding me?
I'd offer to explain why but you refuse to listen to anybody on here...
F&M was the 2nd team in the region behind Messiah with .615 SOS and insane 8-3-1 RvR....why would they not host?
Messiah hosting Baruch and a very difficult second match with either JHU or W&L.
F&M hosting Western Connecticut and a tough second match with either Eastern or Mary Wash.
Haverford will travel to Montclair and take on NYU in a tough opening draw. Winner most likely gets Montclair but Colby is clearly no pushover and will give Montclair all they can handle.
Etown also with a difficult draw but this is expected as they will face a hot Williams team at Cortland. Winner gets a tough task with Cortland in the 2nd round.
Keystone also with an expected difficult opener as they travel to Case for the first round.
PSU-Abington also gets rewarded with a difficult opener as they travel to John Carroll.
Lycoming will also join them at John Carroll as they face a pesky PSU-Behrend in the first round.
Toughest to Easiest Draw
Keystone
PSU Abington
Eastern
Etown
Fords
Hopkins
Lyco
Messiah
F&M
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 07:09:47 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 05, 2018, 06:58:56 PM
Franklin and Marshall hosting....are you kidding me?
I'd offer to explain why but you refuse to listen to anybody on here...
F&M was the 2nd team in the region behind Messiah with .615 SOS and insane 8-3-1 RvR....why would they not host?
I've actually not refused to listen to anyone. Actually you are right, if listening and agreeing have the same definition. F&M tied three non ranked teams: Mulenberg, Swarthmore and McDaniel; and lost to three teams that are not hosting: Eastern, Hopkins and Haverford. Quite a resume.
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 05, 2018, 07:59:22 PM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 07:09:47 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 05, 2018, 06:58:56 PM
Franklin and Marshall hosting....are you kidding me?
I'd offer to explain why but you refuse to listen to anybody on here...
F&M was the 2nd team in the region behind Messiah with .615 SOS and insane 8-3-1 RvR....why would they not host?
I've actually not refused to listen to anyone. Actually you are right, if listening and agreeing have the same definition. F&M tied three non ranked teams: Mulenberg, Swarthmore and McDaniel; and lost to three teams that are not hosting: Eastern, Hopkins and Haverford. Quite a resume.
You don't have to agree you're just insane if you think Haverford has a better resume than F&M especially after they split with the H2H. You can't even argue that they are better because they beat F&M since they split results this year. You are a serious head scratcher my friend. I am all for people being a "homer" but at least be somewhat logical at some point.
DaddyBoy...please rank from best to worst from the 5 resumes below...best as #1 and worst as #5.
WLT/SOS/RvR
Team A: 13-3-3/0.615/8-3-1
Team B: 13-4-1/0.603 3-3-1
Team C: 15-2-3/0.579/3-2-3
Team D: 14-4-0/0.599/5-4-0
Team E: 14-3-1/0.613/6-3-0
Personally I'd go like this
1. Team A
2. Team E
3. Team D
4. Team C
5. Team B
DaddyBoy...please rank from best to worst from the 5 resumes below...best as #1 and worst as #5.
WLT/SOS/RvR
Team A: 13-3-3/0.615/8-3-1
Team B: 13-4-1/0.603 3-3-1
Team C: 15-2-3/0.579/3-2-3
Team D: 14-4-0/0.599/5-4-0
Team E: 14-3-1/0.613/6-3-0
Personally I'd go like this
1. Team A
2. Team E
3. Team D
4. Team C
5. Team B
[/quote]
This is a good exercise. I would say;
1. Team E
2. Team D
3. Team A
4. Team B
5. Team C
Obviously, I put more value on the non-winning record than you do.
I would be interested in seeing what others would suggest, but I reserve the right to not agree.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 08:15:11 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 05, 2018, 07:59:22 PM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 07:09:47 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 05, 2018, 06:58:56 PM
Franklin and Marshall hosting....are you kidding me?
I'd offer to explain why but you refuse to listen to anybody on here...
F&M was the 2nd team in the region behind Messiah with .615 SOS and insane 8-3-1 RvR....why would they not host?
I've actually not refused to listen to anyone. Actually you are right, if listening and agreeing have the same definition. F&M tied three non ranked teams: Mulenberg, Swarthmore and McDaniel; and lost to three teams that are not hosting: Eastern, Hopkins and Haverford. Quite a resume.
You don't have to agree you're just insane if you think Haverford has a better resume than F&M especially after they split with the H2H. You can't even argue that they are better because they beat F&M since they split results this year. You are a serious head scratcher my friend. I am all for people being a "homer" but at least be somewhat logical at some point.
DaddyBoy...please rank from best to worst from the 5 resumes below...best as #1 and worst as #5.
WLT/SOS/RvR
Team A: 13-3-3/0.615/8-3-1
Team B: 13-4-1/0.603 3-3-1
Team C: 15-2-3/0.579/3-2-3
Team D: 14-4-0/0.599/5-4-0
Team E: 14-3-1/0.613/6-3-0
Personally I'd go like this
1. Team A
2. Team E
3. Team D
4. Team C
5. Team B
IDK Shoots....That actually is a really difficult exercise but I am curious what point you were trying to make to "daddyboy"??
Now I will say he might be trying to be a tad difficult as I do not see how he puts anyone but Team E first...
Just curious which team your son plays for "daddyEzk"? Sorry I am to lazy to go back and catch up on previous convo...
Team A: 13-3-3/0.615/8-3-1 (F&M)
Team B: 13-4-1/0.603 3-3-1 (JHU)
Team C: 15-2-3/0.579/3-2-3 (Cortland)
Team D: 14-4-0/0.599/5-4-0 (Fords)
Team E: 14-3-1/0.613/6-3-0 (Case)
LOL u sly dog....+k
So DaddyBoy you went Case, Fords, F&M, Hopkins, Cortland. Why?
I went with F&M, Case, Fords, Cortland, JHU.
I went this way because I value the highest SOS and the most ranked wins when comparing these 5 teams. F&M has the highest SOS and most ranked wins of 8. Case follows suite with the second highest SOS and second most ranked wins of 6. They both also only have 3 ranked losses. All of these teams have very similar win percentage/overall records as well as similar overall blemishes so that is mostly a wash for me unless it is very nitty gritty for a pick.
Next I placed your Fords because the 5 ranked wins is impressive to me and the SOS is pretty much .600. I then chose Cortland (and could see if Cortland was swapped with Fords by some) due to quality SOS, ranked opponents record, and most ovrall wins of the group. All of this wasn't overshadowed by Hopkins higher SOS as they had twice as many losses as Cortland and a worse RvR.
I am not saying you have to agree, but I think most people would go this way based off how they know the committee tends to select teams. This does not mean the Fords aren't better than F&M, but a full body of work over a season has shown, and I think clearly, that F&M and Case are 1 and 2 on this list. The remaining 3 can be a toss up by many but I can't imagine others disagreeing with F&M slotted 1 and 2 from those 5 resumes.
Quote from: Mr.Right on November 05, 2018, 08:37:16 PM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 08:15:11 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 05, 2018, 07:59:22 PM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 07:09:47 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 05, 2018, 06:58:56 PM
Franklin and Marshall hosting....are you kidding me?
I'd offer to explain why but you refuse to listen to anybody on here...
F&M was the 2nd team in the region behind Messiah with .615 SOS and insane 8-3-1 RvR....why would they not host?
I've actually not refused to listen to anyone. Actually you are right, if listening and agreeing have the same definition. F&M tied three non ranked teams: Mulenberg, Swarthmore and McDaniel; and lost to three teams that are not hosting: Eastern, Hopkins and Haverford. Quite a resume.
You don't have to agree you're just insane if you think Haverford has a better resume than F&M especially after they split with the H2H. You can't even argue that they are better because they beat F&M since they split results this year. You are a serious head scratcher my friend. I am all for people being a "homer" but at least be somewhat logical at some point.
DaddyBoy...please rank from best to worst from the 5 resumes below...best as #1 and worst as #5.
WLT/SOS/RvR
Team A: 13-3-3/0.615/8-3-1
Team B: 13-4-1/0.603 3-3-1
Team C: 15-2-3/0.579/3-2-3
Team D: 14-4-0/0.599/5-4-0
Team E: 14-3-1/0.613/6-3-0
Personally I'd go like this
1. Team A
2. Team E
3. Team D
4. Team C
5. Team B
IDK Shoots....That actually is a really difficult exercise but I am curious what point you were trying to make to "daddyboy"??
Now I will say he might be trying to be a tad difficult as I do not see how he puts anyone but Team E first...
Just curious which team your son plays for "daddyEzk"? Sorry I am to lazy to go back and catch up on previous convo...
Haverford
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 08:58:25 PM
Team A: 13-3-3/0.615/8-3-1 (F&M)
Team B: 13-4-1/0.603 3-3-1 (JHU)
Team C: 15-2-3/0.579/3-2-3 (Cortland)
Team D: 14-4-0/0.599/5-4-0 (Fords)
Team E: 14-3-1/0.613/6-3-0 (Case)
Got to spend some more time on this while on a webinar this morning. Another interesting stat (and before y'all start barking I know that it is not part of the NCAAs consideration, but maybe should be); winning percentage of the teams that these teams did not defeat. Using this:
F&M 66.6%
Hop 70.5%
Cortland 60.7%
Fords 70.3%
Case 61.4%
If you are losing or tied with teams that are not as competitive with the teams that they are playing, that says something about you.
Understand that this has a lot to do with conferences, but that has seemed to be dismissed. And remember that in this instance, Hopkins and Cortland are helped by playing Messiah.
Knowing that, does it change your rankings of the 5 teams?
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 06, 2018, 09:46:47 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 08:58:25 PM
Team A: 13-3-3/0.615/8-3-1 (F&M)
Team B: 13-4-1/0.603 3-3-1 (JHU)
Team C: 15-2-3/0.579/3-2-3 (Cortland)
Team D: 14-4-0/0.599/5-4-0 (Fords)
Team E: 14-3-1/0.613/6-3-0 (Case)
Got to spend some more time on this while on a webinar this morning. Another interesting stat (and before y'all start barking I know that it is not part of the NCAAs consideration, but maybe should be); winning percentage of the teams that these teams did not defeat. Using this:
F&M 66.6%
Hop 70.5%
Cortland 60.7%
Fords 70.3%
Case 61.4%
If you are losing or tied with teams that are not as competitive with the teams that they are playing, that says something about you.
Understand that this has a lot to do with conferences, but that has seemed to be dismissed. And remember that in this instance, Hopkins and Cortland are helped by playing Messiah.
Knowing that, does it change your rankings of the 5 teams?
I'd say that Hopkins and Cortland are helped not just by playing Messiah--heck, Hartwick played Messiah and it didn't do them much good--they are helped by getting a result against Messiah. And, they might each get another chance to do the same thing in the next few weeks, especially if Cortland ends up playing at home, assuming that the Falcon women host on the second weekend.
Quote from: Falconer on November 06, 2018, 10:07:47 AM
I'd say that Hopkins and Cortland are helped not just by playing Messiah--heck, Hartwick played Messiah and it didn't do them much good--they are helped by getting a result against Messiah. And, they might each get another chance to do the same thing in the next few weeks, especially if Cortland ends up playing at home, assuming that the Falcon women host on the second weekend.
They are helped by playing Messiah is this instance that the winning percentage of the teams that they have losses of tied with is increased because of Messiah's success. That percentage would suffer without the Falcons.
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 06, 2018, 10:37:47 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 06, 2018, 10:07:47 AM
I'd say that Hopkins and Cortland are helped not just by playing Messiah--heck, Hartwick played Messiah and it didn't do them much good--they are helped by getting a result against Messiah. And, they might each get another chance to do the same thing in the next few weeks, especially if Cortland ends up playing at home, assuming that the Falcon women host on the second weekend.
They are helped by playing Messiah is this instance that the winning percentage of the teams that they have losses of tied with is increased because of Messiah's success. That percentage would suffer without the Falcons.
Daddy, what are you doing? The treatment of Haverford in the polls, rankings, on the board here, etc has mirrored their season. When they were struggling most of us knew that they might emerge as a strong team that could be formidable, but
at the time you have to rate based on the results at that point. You can't say, oh well, the field sucked, so voters should include that as a consideration. As Haverford the went on the string together an impressive list of wins, each week adjustments were made to how Haverford was rated.
Haverford is in the tournament! Haverford would have made the tournament even if they hadn't won the Centennial tournament! Now, Haverford did get a very challenging draw, but so did Messiah, JHU and W&L. Focus on how you all are going to beat NYU and Montclair.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 06, 2018, 10:45:47 AM
Daddy, what are you doing? The treatment of Haverford in the polls, rankings, on the board here, etc has mirrored their season. When they were struggling most of us knew that they might emerge as a strong team that could be formidable, but at the time you have to rate based on the results at that point. You can't say, oh well, the field sucked, so voters should include that as a consideration. As Haverford the went on the string together an impressive list of wins, each week adjustments were made to how Haverford was rated.
Haverford is in the tournament! Haverford would have made the tournament even if they hadn't won the Centennial tournament! Now, Haverford did get a very challenging draw, but so did Messiah, JHU and W&L. Focus on how you all are going to beat NYU and Montclair.
This is called banter. My initial postings and subsequent postings were to add to the discussion with some perspective that WOULD NOT be reflected in the polls, rankings and might not be available to folks on this Board. The early struggles were explainable and I explained. And it looks like I was correct. (And based on YOUR latest suggest poll, you agree with me)
I think F&M hosting is not supportable based on the FACTS. I have shared them with you. You decide if my reasons are accurate.
And at the end of day, it will be all be worked out on the field. I will be focusing on beating NYU and Montclair and depending on Coach Ward to figure out how.
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 06, 2018, 11:00:03 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 06, 2018, 10:45:47 AM
Daddy, what are you doing? The treatment of Haverford in the polls, rankings, on the board here, etc has mirrored their season. When they were struggling most of us knew that they might emerge as a strong team that could be formidable, but at the time you have to rate based on the results at that point. You can't say, oh well, the field sucked, so voters should include that as a consideration. As Haverford the went on the string together an impressive list of wins, each week adjustments were made to how Haverford was rated.
Haverford is in the tournament! Haverford would have made the tournament even if they hadn't won the Centennial tournament! Now, Haverford did get a very challenging draw, but so did Messiah, JHU and W&L. Focus on how you all are going to beat NYU and Montclair.
This is called banter. My initial postings and subsequent postings were to add to the discussion with some perspective that WOULD NOT be reflected in the polls, rankings and might not be available to folks on this Board. The early struggles were explainable and I explained. And it looks like I was correct. (And based on YOUR latest suggest poll, you agree with me)
I think F&M hosting is not supportable based on the FACTS. I have shared them with you. You decide if my reasons are accurate.
And at the end of day, it will be all be worked out on the field. I will be focusing on beating NYU and Montclair and depending on Coach Ward to figure out how.
But, and this is the thing the other guy doesn't get either, NO ONE ever said you weren't correct. The fact that they've done well proves what? That they were a good team off to a rough start for whatever reasons? Or that they were off to a rough start and because you knew they were good they should have been getting rankings love anyway? If you are insisting on the latter we totally disagree.
As for who hosts, various things go into that. I didn't blink for a second when I saw F&M is hosting...and I wouldn't have blinked if I saw Haverford hosting. F&M will have to win two tough games to get the Sweet 16.
Haverford will have their hands full on turf vs NYU...
Assuming that Lycoming was one of the last teams in, they got a pretty sweet draw for sweet 16 potential. Definitely good for recruiting purposes.
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 06, 2018, 09:46:47 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 08:58:25 PM
Team A: 13-3-3/0.615/8-3-1 (F&M)
Team B: 13-4-1/0.603 3-3-1 (JHU)
Team C: 15-2-3/0.579/3-2-3 (Cortland)
Team D: 14-4-0/0.599/5-4-0 (Fords)
Team E: 14-3-1/0.613/6-3-0 (Case)
Got to spend some more time on this while on a webinar this morning. Another interesting stat (and before y'all start barking I know that it is not part of the NCAAs consideration, but maybe should be); winning percentage of the teams that these teams did not defeat. Using this:
F&M 66.6%
Hop 70.5%
Cortland 60.7%
Fords 70.3%
Case 61.4%
If you are losing or tied with teams that are not as competitive with the teams that they are playing, that says something about you.
Understand that this has a lot to do with conferences, but that has seemed to be dismissed. And remember that in this instance, Hopkins and Cortland are helped by playing Messiah.
Knowing that, does it change your rankings of the 5 teams?
This is interesting because what if you lose to one team that happens to be 4-15-0...that team that ends up 18-1-0 should be punished for the win percentage of the team they lost to (which is bad in that one loss)? There would have to be a minimum number of losses to get an accurate avg etc. Fords could lose one game all year to Ursinus who didn't win a game yet beat JHU, F&M, and Dickinson but get punished for that kind of metric...interesting view point though.
F&M has a better resume and is more than deserving of hosting. Haverford also has a good resume and also could have hosted. Both are very good teams with tough draws in NCAA's. I do think F&M has a better resume and is more deserving of hosting than the Fords but both teams have quality players and can make a run. Both could also get bounced in the opening weekend. There are plenty of intriguing match ups!
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 05, 2018, 07:18:02 PM
Messiah hosting Baruch and a very difficult second match with either JHU or W&L.
F&M hosting Western Connecticut and a tough second match with either Eastern or Mary Wash.
Haverford will travel to Montclair and take on NYU in a tough opening draw. Winner most likely gets Montclair but Colby is clearly no pushover and will give Montclair all they can handle.
Etown also with a difficult draw but this is expected as they will face a hot Williams team at Cortland. Winner gets a tough task with Cortland in the 2nd round.
Keystone also with an expected difficult opener as they travel to Case for the first round.
PSU-Abington also gets rewarded with a difficult opener as they travel to John Carroll.
Lycoming will also join them at John Carroll as they face a pesky PSU-Behrend in the first round.
Toughest to Easiest Draw
Keystone
PSU Abington
Eastern
Etown
Fords
Hopkins
Lyco
Messiah
F&M
Great to see F&M, JHU, and Lyco all receive at-large bids! 3 for the region is a great number and is what is expected rather than the norm of 2 at-large bids most years. I think there is a good chance one of the teams from this region can make a run.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 06, 2018, 02:46:49 PM
F&M has a better resume and is more than deserving of hosting. Haverford also has a good resume and also could have hosted. Both are very good teams with tough draws in NCAA's. I do think F&M has a better resume and is more deserving of hosting than the Fords but both teams have quality players and can make a run. Both could also get bounced in the opening weekend. There are plenty of intriguing match ups!
Hosting is a clear advantage for a team in the tournament. F&M is not deserving based on conference finish, who they tied and rankings. They lost to three teams that are also in the tournament, who have to travel. Yes, they have a high SOS and a very impressive RVR, but it ain't enough to overcome the other factors. Maybe their true strength is that they have been consistently good for a number of years and the folks who gave out the hosting assignments didn't look hard enough this time.
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 06, 2018, 04:02:49 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 06, 2018, 02:46:49 PM
F&M has a better resume and is more than deserving of hosting. Haverford also has a good resume and also could have hosted. Both are very good teams with tough draws in NCAA's. I do think F&M has a better resume and is more deserving of hosting than the Fords but both teams have quality players and can make a run. Both could also get bounced in the opening weekend. There are plenty of intriguing match ups!
Hosting is a clear advantage for a team in the tournament. F&M is not deserving based on conference finish, who they tied and rankings. They lost to three teams that are also in the tournament, who have to travel. Yes, they have a high SOS and a very impressive RVR, but it ain't enough to overcome the other factors. Maybe their true strength is that they have been consistently good for a number of years and the folks who gave out the hosting assignments didn't look hard enough this time.
Ummmm....except it was enough. And it's not like the cmtes are unfamiliar with Haverford. The Fords were all set to host both weekends all the way to the Final Four until the debacle on Walton with UMass Boston.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 06, 2018, 04:15:42 PM
Ummmm....except it was enough. And it's not like the cmtes are unfamiliar with Haverford. The Fords were all set to host both weekends all the way to the Final Four until the debacle on Walton with UMass Boston.
For those who don't catch the reference: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypZO-ULHFxA
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 06, 2018, 04:22:50 PM
For those who don't catch the reference: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypZO-ULHFxA
Watching it again, still can't get over how accurate that drop-kick was.
(I am not condoning the abhorrent UMB behavior on the field nor in the comments section where former All-American Kenawy commented "#SoftPansies" and the mother of the player who launched the drop-kick saying "You people are being completely one sided...Both teams were not playing at a sportsmanship level but UMass came out the winner so deal with it!")
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 06, 2018, 04:02:49 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 06, 2018, 02:46:49 PM
F&M has a better resume and is more than deserving of hosting. Haverford also has a good resume and also could have hosted. Both are very good teams with tough draws in NCAA's. I do think F&M has a better resume and is more deserving of hosting than the Fords but both teams have quality players and can make a run. Both could also get bounced in the opening weekend. There are plenty of intriguing match ups!
Hosting is a clear advantage for a team in the tournament. F&M is not deserving based on conference finish, who they tied and rankings. They lost to three teams that are also in the tournament, who have to travel. Yes, they have a high SOS and a very impressive RVR, but it ain't enough to overcome the other factors. Maybe their true strength is that they have been consistently good for a number of years and the folks who gave out the hosting assignments didn't look hard enough this time.
Decisions aren't based on how a team finishes. This isn't D1 men's basketball where "the final ten games" have some kind of weight.
The entire season is a factor. The finish doesn't have some more weight. You mentioned a strong SOS and impressive vRRO ... but what actual criteria do you have that should trump those figures? "Conference finish" isn't a criteria. They also use that same criteria for hosting decisions (along with information you don't have like maybe some didn't want to host, mileage, etc.).
Nothing you have argued gives any reasons for them not to host.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on November 05, 2018, 03:04:48 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 05, 2018, 02:10:49 PM
Oh, last thing... And I don't mean to be overly harsh, but JHU's lone striker had a VERY bad day. Touch was off, timing and direction of his runs were off. I get the impression that when he is clicking, they are a much more dangerous team.
Interesting.. I wonder if that is because they played on grass? JHU lost to the Fords on Walton during the regular season, and possibly the field surface was a factor? JHU's short, quick possession & passing style is wonderful to watch and true to the beautiful game of fuĂźball... but switching to grass if you don't get enough practice time on grass can really affect timing. And couple that with a rigid game strategy is a double whammy. But honestly, something else seemed to be up with the team... long drive from Baltimore maybe.
I do think the field conditions slightly affected their play, but mostly because they were losing the footing a lot, and they rely on a lot of quick changes of directions both on and off the ball to get by/behind their marks.
In general, (apologies for the old-timer stuff) when I played Homewood was old astro-turf laid on top of concrete and it gave opposition fits. But we practiced on grass leading up to away games and other than really ****ty fields (I'm looking at you Widener), it wasn't a big deal. Now-a-days, it's not all that uncommon for players to grow up playing on a lot of turf, not to mention a lot of HS and college fields have gone that route.
ALSO, artificial fields just aren't THAT different now from grass. They play truer to grass in terms of weighted passes and stuff. Not saying they're the same, just that I don't think it's a big difference/advantage. Certainly not like it used to be, but again, different is all relative, I guess.
Quote from: blooter442 on November 06, 2018, 04:43:09 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on November 06, 2018, 04:22:50 PM
For those who don't catch the reference: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypZO-ULHFxA
Watching it again, still can't get over how accurate that drop-kick was.
(I am not condoning the abhorrent UMB behavior on the field nor in the comments section where former All-American Kenawy commented "#SoftPansies" and the mother of the player who launched the drop-kick saying "You people are being completely one sided...Both teams were not playing at a sportsmanship level but UMass came out the winner so deal with it!")
Ahhh memories....I remember watching that game in real time...Still boggles my mind that UMB just completely imploded in that game. That game was streamed without volume as well IIRC which probably would have given us a better idea why UMB just self destructed because while their behavior was pretty bad all year in 2016 it never got anything close to that.
Did anyone watch the Etown - Catholic game? Between the video freezing and all the fouls...
Solid showing from Mid Atlantic teams so far with ETown, Eastern, Hopkins, Messiah ant F&M advancing. Lycoming out early again. Still not sure of Haverford result.
Quote from: rudy on November 10, 2018, 11:15:24 PM
Solid showing from Mid Atlantic teams so far with ETown, Eastern, Hopkins, Messiah ant F&M advancing. Lycoming out early again. Still not sure of Haverford result.
Haverford went out on penalties.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2018, 10:35:49 AM
Messiah and Lycoming played one heck of a game last night and as many others have echoed across the boards over the year, these two teams are certainly worthy of competing in NCAA's. Messiah played beautifully last night but Lycoming never broke. It was a defensive clinic by the Warriors with some key saves from their GK and some incredible plays from Tueno. He showed why he will most likely repeat as an All-American this year, as he was one of the best, if not the best defensive player I have seen all year.
So far I've held my tongue about this game and this particular comment, MAF, but now that Lyco is out of the tournament and Tueno's career is over I am going to break my silence.
I know the stands are not very close to the field at Shoemaker, and my eyes aren't as young as they used to be. So, let me ask you, MAF: did you not see totally outrageous, wholly unacceptable behavior from Tueno in that game? When the PK was called and the Lyco players simply exploded out of control, trying to pressure the official to change his mind, wasn't it Tueno who got in the face of the official and intentionally bumped or pushed him? And, after the mob scene settled down a long time later (and the official still hadn't carded anyone, including Tueno or whoever else it was that shoved him), wasn't it Tueno who got in the face of PK kicker Ruiz Plaza, reached down, and actually moved the ball as he was getting ready to kick? Didn't these things happen? And--no cards given for any of this, which is just beyond my comprehension? (Tueno did get a YC later on, and so did 2 of his teammates, but this particular official has ignored outlandish behavior by Lyco players in the past. None of it, however, on this level of outlandish.)
Since everyone knows I'm a homer, MAF, what I've just said might be as unbelievable to others as it almost seems to me as I write this. Since you're not apparently a Falcon rooter, I'm asking you. Did these things happen, or am I just blind or making this up?
If they did happen, what did you think?
What I think, is that Tueno is a high-level player, certainly the best on Lyco's roster and among the best all-around defenders (who has a big offensive contribution too) in D3. As a Falcon fan, I'm glad he will not be playing Messiah again: he's someone who can beat you by himself. We entirely agree on this much, I gather.
But, speaking now not as a Falcon fan but as a fan of the game, I'm also glad I won't have to watch him anymore. Unlike someone like Gilbert Waso of Etown (see my praise for him on another thread this morning), another high-level player in this region who is also finishing his career this year, Tueno simply has no respect for the game. He's classless. He takes cheap shots when the official is not watching, he fouls people very hard even when the official is watching, and he bitches to high heaven when he gets called for fouls, even when a well-deserved card is not given. He does indeed lead his team by example with his skillful play, but he also leads them by example with his out-of-bounds behavior. (And, I suspect his coach applauds this, but I won't go further with that.)
This is serious stuff I've said this morning, MAF, and I'm not going to shrink from it. Do you agree with any of this?
Did anyone else see this stuff and want to comment on it?
Quote from: Falconer on November 11, 2018, 09:59:34 AM
This is serious stuff I've said this morning, MAF, and I'm not going to shrink from it. Do you agree with any of this?
(https://media.giphy.com/media/12aW6JtfvUdcdO/giphy.gif)
In all seriousness, I can't speak to this particular game, but I have known Tueno to push the envelope at times.
I gave you a +k for that, Falconer. You may not believe me but I do respect that you speak your mind and do not hide your allegiances and perceptions. In exchange, I appreciate that you at least overtly try to tolerate me calling you out with your remarkable ability to work in a Messiah reference, usually in very glowing terms about someone or some aspect of Messiah soccer, even when one wouldn't have seen the reference coming based on the team being discussed or topic at hand.
I was thinking yesterday, and almost PM'ed 1970s about this, about why I personally care so much and why I am even following D3 soccer and "my team" so....what's the word....diligently? I would guess that most of us who are former parents of now very much adults who played follow the action (and controversies and all the back and forth with minute details about bids, SoS, regions of the country and who gets dissed and who doesn't, who can't resist teaching the rest of us even when we don't as for it, programs and players and posters who annoy us, etc, etc, etc, etc) far more closely than our own kids who played. Is it a hobby? A sick obsession? I don't know. I know I enjoy it, get heartbroken over it, can't wait for another season even after swearing I'm done, etc, and those close to me just ignore me for a few weeks while the whole thing happens.
I did comment at the time on the Tueno incident you speak of above. I was watching, and at the time I didn't know who the player was or his significance, but I did think he was way out of line and should have been carded (and with a red card not being out of the question). I don't know enough to comment much further, except to wonder if (like a Draymond Green) he's a player you love to have when he's on your team and love to hate when he's not.
I was surprised about Lycoming having such an abrupt exit....to PS-Behrend. I had thought Lycoming might challenge Calvin a little and now the Knights have an even smoother road.
Some inside stuff I heard. Some teammates do not like his antics at all. For a big kid he goes down very easily and whines like a baby. Told some players in that game he was going to make them bleed. They laugh it off. Not sure I would have the temperament to put up with him a whole game without at least some choice words for him. Surprisingly he did not get any yellow cards in his last game. Coach is to blame imo...cant encourage this by doing nothing. It's embarrassment to the program and other teammates.
Quote from: Falconer on November 11, 2018, 09:59:34 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2018, 10:35:49 AM
Messiah and Lycoming played one heck of a game last night and as many others have echoed across the boards over the year, these two teams are certainly worthy of competing in NCAA's. Messiah played beautifully last night but Lycoming never broke. It was a defensive clinic by the Warriors with some key saves from their GK and some incredible plays from Tueno. He showed why he will most likely repeat as an All-American this year, as he was one of the best, if not the best defensive player I have seen all year.
So far I've held my tongue about this game and this particular comment, MAF, but now that Lyco is out of the tournament and Tueno's career is over I am going to break my silence.
I know the stands are not very close to the field at Shoemaker, and my eyes aren't as young as they used to be. So, let me ask you, MAF: did you not see totally outrageous, wholly unacceptable behavior from Tueno in that game? When the PK was called and the Lyco players simply exploded out of control, trying to pressure the official to change his mind, wasn't it Tueno who got in the face of the official and intentionally bumped or pushed him? And, after the mob scene settled down a long time later (and the official still hadn't carded anyone, including Tueno or whoever else it was that shoved him), wasn't it Tueno who got in the face of PK kicker Ruiz Plaza, reached down, and actually moved the ball as he was getting ready to kick? Didn't these things happen? And--no cards given for any of this, which is just beyond my comprehension? (Tueno did get a YC later on, and so did 2 of his teammates, but this particular official has ignored outlandish behavior by Lyco players in the past. None of it, however, on this level of outlandish.)
Since everyone knows I'm a homer, MAF, what I've just said might be as unbelievable to others as it almost seems to me as I write this. Since you're not apparently a Falcon rooter, I'm asking you. Did these things happen, or am I just blind or making this up?
If they did happen, what did you think?
What I think, is that Tueno is a high-level player, certainly the best on Lyco's roster and among the best all-around defenders (who has a big offensive contribution too) in D3. As a Falcon fan, I'm glad he will not be playing Messiah again: he's someone who can beat you by himself. We entirely agree on this much, I gather.
But, speaking now not as a Falcon fan but as a fan of the game, I'm also glad I won't have to watch him anymore. Unlike someone like Gilbert Waso of Etown (see my praise for him on another thread this morning), another high-level player in this region who is also finishing his career this year, Tueno simply has no respect for the game. He's classless. He takes cheap shots when the official is not watching, he fouls people very hard even when the official is watching, and he bitches to high heaven when he gets called for fouls, even when a well-deserved card is not given. He does indeed lead his team by example with his skillful play, but he also leads them by example with his out-of-bounds behavior. (And, I suspect his coach applauds this, but I won't go further with that.)
This is serious stuff I've said this morning, MAF, and I'm not going to shrink from it. Do you agree with any of this?
Did anyone else see this stuff and want to comment on it?
Finally back on the boards! Well this is fun to come back and see. As I recall the entire group of players on the field surrounded the official after the PK call and rightfully so as it was a poor decision to give in a big moment such as that championship game. Lycoming, Tueno specifically, got away with a blatant PK later that game so I guess the soccer Gods evened it up. I do not believe any of them deliberately pushed, grabbed or punched the official as the Messiah faithful would like to echo. There were 3 totals yellows all on Lycoming and fouls were an even 10-10. It really wasn't that physical of a game, yet anytime Lycoming plays Messiah that's the route the faithful Falcon fans take as an excuse. As for the behavior, I highly doubt any coach would encourage the kind of behavior that you are insinuating at any level of athletics and I don't think Tueno exhibits any of that. Almost every college soccer play jaws at the ref throughout the game and usually multiple times. The amount of cheap shots that Tueno has taken in games because of being Lycoming's best player far outweighs the hard fouls he has given out. He is a targeted player by not only other teams and coaches, but by cowards like yourself who can bash a college kid behind a computer screen. I think the serious stuff we should focus on is the clearly targeted accusations against one Lycoming in general and two a college athlete who is still a kid. Calling a 20 year old classless among the many other names over the last 4 years is disheartening. I won't go into anything regarding race but I wouldn't be surprised if you went back through the boards to see that Lycoming and their diversity is continually slammed over the years compared to Messiah and the lack of diversity they bring to the table. That's a sad stance to take in this day and age.
Quote from: rudy on November 11, 2018, 11:01:01 AM
Some inside stuff I heard. Some teammates do not like his antics at all. For a big kid he goes down very easily and whines like a baby. Told some players in that game he was going to make them bleed. They laugh it off. Not sure I would have the temperament to put up with him a whole game without at least some choice words for him. Surprisingly he did not get any yellow cards in his last game. Coach is to blame imo...cant encourage this by doing nothing. It's embarrassment to the program and other teammates.
I do not know if this is true or not but I doubt it.......who wouldn't want an All-American CB that scores double digit goals on their team regardless of whatever personality/temperament you claim he has.
Quote from: blooter442 on November 11, 2018, 10:24:41 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 11, 2018, 09:59:34 AM
This is serious stuff I've said this morning, MAF, and I'm not going to shrink from it. Do you agree with any of this?
(https://media.giphy.com/media/12aW6JtfvUdcdO/giphy.gif)
+K Bloots ;D
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 11, 2018, 10:32:07 AM
I gave you a +k for that, Falconer. You may not believe me but I do respect that you speak your mind and do not hide your allegiances and perceptions. In exchange, I appreciate that you at least overtly try to tolerate me calling you out with your remarkable ability to work in a Messiah reference, usually in very glowing terms about someone or some aspect of Messiah soccer, even when one wouldn't have seen the reference coming based on the team being discussed or topic at hand.
I was thinking yesterday, and almost PM'ed 1970s about this, about why I personally care so much and why I am even following D3 soccer and "my team" so....what's the word....diligently? I would guess that most of us who are former parents of now very much adults who played follow the action (and controversies and all the back and forth with minute details about bids, SoS, regions of the country and who gets dissed and who doesn't, who can't resist teaching the rest of us even when we don't as for it, programs and players and posters who annoy us, etc, etc, etc, etc) far more closely than our own kids who played. Is it a hobby? A sick obsession? I don't know. I know I enjoy it, get heartbroken over it, can't wait for another season even after swearing I'm done, etc, and those close to me just ignore me for a few weeks while the whole thing happens.
I did comment at the time on the Tueno incident you speak of above. I was watching, and at the time I didn't know who the player was or his significance, but I did think he was way out of line and should have been carded (and with a red card not being out of the question). I don't know enough to comment much further, except to wonder if (like a Draymond Green) he's a player you love to have when he's on your team and love to hate when he's not.
I was surprised about Lycoming having such an abrupt exit....to PS-Behrend. I had thought Lycoming might challenge Calvin a little and now the Knights have an even smoother road.
I don't know enough to comment much further, except to wonder if (like a Draymond Green) he's a player you love to have when he's on your team and love to hate when he's not.I think what is in bold above is a fair view point of the situation rather than basically calling the kid a thug or mob mentality as Falconer stated.
7/9 regional teams bounced in the first weekend. Messiah and Eastern remain the only hopes! Behrend the big surprise knocking off Lycoming and John Carroll in back to back days. I don't see them getting past Calvin this weekend. Heck of a year for the Warriors after losing 9 starters from last season. Was nice to see Etown make it out of the first round! Great turnaround for the Bluejays after the disasterous start they had to the season. Disappointing end for F&M as well with another first weekend exit in as many years. The Centennial was an absolute mess in this year's tournament with all 3 getting bounced in the first weekend. Keystone gave Case all they could handle and PSU-Abignton also performed well early on but fell apart late vs John Carroll. Weather will play a factor this weekend but I expect Messiah to prevail to the Final 4. As for Eastern I think this is the end of the road for them after a stellar season. First Sweet 16 in program history in only Coach Payne's 3rd year (I think 3rd season?).
Thank you MAF. I had a whole response typed up after Falconer's first post but did not want to be the first to comment and wanted to wait to see your response and think you were spot on. As for Falconer, calling a college athlete classless based on the 90 min you see of them, live maybe once a year, or on a 16 inch computer screen says way more about you than Tueno.
Actually I think it's commendable that Lycoming has such a "diverse" team, MAF. I neither said nor implied anything about this in my post. In fact, around the same time I issued that blast vs Mr Tueno, I also issued another post praising another SR in this region—Gilbert Waso of Etown, one of my favorite players. Don't know whether you've seen Mr Waso play; perhaps you have. If so, then you would see why I mention that post in this context. Suffice it to say that I was criticizing observed behavior, and nothing else. Any inferences about "diversity" are unwarranted. I'd feel no more positively about Waso if he were white, and no less negatively about Tueno if he were white.
I have not seen Mr Tueno play in person very often, MAF—to set the record straight. However many times Lycoming has played in Grantham in the past four years would be the number (including conference playoffs). I have also seen at least 10 games via streaming in that span, including Lycoming at Hood this year (in which Mr Tueno didn't play owing to a red card he received the previous game), Lycoming vs LVC this year, and vs Alvernia this year. Last year I also watched Lycoming vs two teams other than Messiah (one was their elimination game vs Drew, in which Mr Tueno earned a straight red at the end for starting a fight). I saw enough from him to justify my assessment of his on-the-field behavior. If your assessment of it is different, so be it: we will just have to live with our divergent opinions.
Nor have I singled him out in this way. I was one of several here who deplored the behavior leading to a flurry of cards in a late-season game in the NJAC last year. MSU was one of the teams involved, especially the oldest of the Terci brothers. IMO, juniors and seniors should be mature enough not to do the kinds of things I've alluded to on this subject, and calling out deplorable behavior is always in order. That will conclude my comments on this topic.
Let me preface this by saying that I was not watching or paying attention when some of the events in this year's Commonwealth final that Falconer mentions occurred. And though I was watching when the Lycoming players crowded around the referee following the PK call, I did not have an angle or the vision to know if the referee was pushed or not. He clearly and very abruptly stumbled backwards out of the crowd of players, but whether he was pushed or was quickly backing up on his own accord and stumbled over his own feet or those of a player, I cannot say. So I have no basis on which to have an opinion on some of the specific actions by Tueno in this specific game that were mentioned and criticized. So, I'm going to steer clear of weighing in with an opinion on Tueno. But there was a lot in your post MAF that sets off alarms for me. It seems we don't see eye-to-eye on a lot of things and have divergent perspectives, but then again maybe I'm not fully understanding you and what you are trying to say.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 16, 2018, 12:46:55 PMAs I recall the entire group of players on the field surrounded the official after the PK call and rightfully so as it was a poor decision to give in a big moment such as that championship game.
(1) Are you condoning multiple players surrounding the ref when they disagree with a call? I personally think this is among the things that soccer needs to root out at all levels from international soccer and high-level club soccer in Europe down to our Division III collegiate soccer. IMO, soccer gives way too much leeway to its players to disrespect the authority of referees compared to other sports.
(2) And are you suggesting that what merits a PK in a regular season game with relatively nothing on the line might not merit a PK in an important championship game? Was it a poor decision because it was a poor decision, or was it a poor decision because of the game situation?
Quote. . . as the Messiah faithful would like to echo. . . . that's the route the faithful Falcon fans take as an excuse. . . .
So besides a couple Messiah fans posting on this message board, which other Messiah fans have you heard from that make you feel able to speak to the position/viewpoint of the "Messiah faithful" as a whole?
QuoteAs for the behavior, I highly doubt any coach would encourage the kind of behavior that you are insinuating at any level of athletics
Are you splitting hairs between "encourage" in the direct, literal sense and encourage in the sense of consciously not discouraging (i.e. tolerating, passively giving your consent by your silence/inaction)? I hope so. For me, encouraging does not have to be proactive; it's usually a passive allowance, the turning a blind eye, and the lack of discouragement of and consequences for such behavior when it occurs repeatedly. And if you are suggesting that that type of encouragement does not occur at any level of any sport, well, then I don't know what to say. All sorts of unacceptable behavior goes on over and over again at all levels that it's impossible to believe that all coaches are opposed to it. It's not their responsibility alone, but coaches are in great position to most effectively rid soccer of simulation/diving/faking injury and crowding/mouthing off/disrespecting referees if they stopped tolerating, and in doing so encouraging, it in their own players and rather took a principled stand and said you will not play for me if you repeatedly do these things. Honor, dignity, respect should be valued above winning by all including coaches; sadly that is not always the case.
QuoteAlmost every college soccer play jaws at the ref throughout the game and usually multiple times.
Every college player? If I'm understanding what you mean by "jawing" (i.e. more than merely carrying on a relatively brief, respectful conversation), then I don't see that. I see plenty of players who get on with the game without having to have a go at the ref every time they don't like the call he made. But, yes, many players do make a habit of "jawing" at the ref . . . and they shouldn't. But if everybody's doing it, I guess it's OK . . . is that your position?
QuoteCalling a 20 year old classless among the many other names over the last 4 years is disheartening.
I'm not sure what these "many other names" you refer to are, but we get it, you take great offense at Falconer's opinion and characterization of Tueno. What's not clear is whether you take offense and are disheartened primarily because of the age of the player he has a negative opinion about, or because he labelled the player instead of merely characterizing his behavior, or just simply because you strongly disagree with his opinion (regardless of how he expressed it and the age of whom it was directed). I'm not completely sure why you bring up his age: 20 is plenty old to be responsible and accountable for your actions. And in this informal setting, I don't see the real difference between saying a player is dirty/classless/soft/whatever and saying that a player has a habit of making dirty plays/classless behavior/etc., but I can see how it would be better to error on the side of the later approach. I'm just not sure if you're suggesting no one should say critical things about 20-year olds or if you are saying we should stick to calling out the behavior without labeling the player responsible for the behavior or what.
QuoteI won't go into anything regarding race but . . .
But . . . you basically just did. And without presenting any basis for it, your insinuation was completely inappropriate in my opinion. Falconer himself has already addressed this, I see. One thing that came to my mind was how some fans (many of them Messiah fans) on different message boards over the years have been critical of what they perceived to be overly physically play (or some version of that) and bad sportsmanship by NJAC teams and (leaving aside for a second the fairness/unfairness of those criticisms) that had nothing to do with race. This variance of opinions/expectations/ideals on how the game is played and how players should conduct themselves and what is over the line has nothing to do with racism. We all need to very careful and hesitant to play the race card lest we diminish the real problems of racism/xenophobia and race/ethnic/cultural relations and the attention and importance they deserve.
QuoteI won't go into anything regarding race but I wouldn't be surprised if you went back through the boards to see that Lycoming and their diversity is continually slammed over the years compared to Messiah and the lack of diversity they bring to the table. That's a sad stance to take in this day and age.
I have no recollection of Lycoming diversity being slammed once much less continually over the years (likewise I have no recollection of Messiah's lack of diversity being a topic of discussion). Does anybody else recall anything remotely close to this? That would be worse than sad, but I'm nearly certain it never happened. I'm open to being shown I am wrong. If that did happen, it shouldn't have and I would not defend it.
https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/web/Awards/Recipients/2018_United_Soccer_Coaches_NCAA_Division_III_Men_s_All-Mid-Atlantic_Region_Teams.aspx
MAC and Centennial Conferences dominate this list
Happy to report that Nick West had a recent tryout with USL Charlotte Independence according to his hometown paper. http://easthamptonstar.com/Sports/20181211/Nick-West-Named-Nation-Division-III-Player-Year (http://easthamptonstar.com/Sports/20181211/Nick-West-Named-Nation-Division-III-Player-Year). All the best to him as he pursues a pro career. :)
Anyone got any thoughts on this region for 2019?
I'll kick this off by going out on a limb and saying Messiah will be strong this year.
Quote from: EB2319 on July 20, 2019, 09:46:23 AM
I'll kick this off by going out on a limb and saying Messiah will be strong this year.
LOL! I second this statement ;D
Looks like Eastern, Gettysburg, Hood, Lycoming, Manhattanville, Messiah, Misericordia and Ursinus all bringing in double digit recruiting classes this fall. Most of those teams need some squad depth so not necessarily a bad thing for those recruits coming in. Tough to tell how the region will shape up but here is a refresher from last fall:
NCAA Final Regional Rankings
1.Messiah
2. Franklin & Marshall
3. Haverford
4. Johns Hopkins
5. Eastern
6. Lycoming
7. Dickinson
8. Elizabethtown
9. Lebanon Valley
10. Catholic
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on July 26, 2019, 01:40:57 PM
Looks like Eastern, Gettysburg, Hood, Lycoming, Manhattanville, Messiah, Misericordia and Ursinus all bringing in double digit recruiting classes this fall. Most of those teams need some squad depth so not necessarily a bad thing for those recruits coming in. Tough to tell how the region will shape up but here is a refresher from last fall:
NCAA Final Regional Rankings
1.Messiah
2. Franklin & Marshall
3. Haverford
4. Johns Hopkins
5. Eastern
6. Lycoming
7. Dickinson
8. Elizabethtown
9. Lebanon Valley
10. Catholic
Here is Lycoming's schedule. Brutal to say the least but this seems to be the norm for them over the past few years. Arguably more difficult than Messiah's this year?
https://lycomingathletics.com/schedule.aspx?path=msoc
Tough 5 game stretch with the likes of @Getty, Dickinson, Eastern, @Swat and Carnegie Mellon.
Looks they will be facing 3 teams that finished in the top 20 from last season (4-Messiah, 12-Eastern, 19-CMU) and 6 teams that finished ranked in the final NCAA regional polls.
They lose 2 all-region players in the back as well as all-region and 2x all-American CB. Defense has to be the top priority to fill for the Warriors if they want to once again compete with Messiah and the rest of the region.
https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3/regional-rankings
Quote from: daddyEzK on August 13, 2019, 02:12:21 PM
https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3/regional-rankings
New??? Might want to check the date on that!
Quote from: Flying Weasel on August 13, 2019, 02:35:32 PM
Quote from: daddyEzK on August 13, 2019, 02:12:21 PM
https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3/regional-rankings
New??? Might want to check the date on that!
OOPS! Sorry about that.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on December 20, 2018, 09:45:59 PM
Happy to report that Nick West had a recent tryout with USL Charlotte Independence according to his hometown paper. http://easthamptonstar.com/Sports/20181211/Nick-West-Named-Nation-Division-III-Player-Year (http://easthamptonstar.com/Sports/20181211/Nick-West-Named-Nation-Division-III-Player-Year). All the best to him as he pursues a pro career. :)
https://www.easthamptonstar.com/2019815/nick-west-signs-pro-soccer-team
Playing for an outfit called the Stumptown Athletic in the new National Independent Soccer Assoc. based in Charlotte. I guess he impressed the manager/coach while trying out for the Independence.
First game is Sept 7 in Philly.
What I found most interesting is that West is making more in this new league than USL was willing to pay.
Quote from: EB2319 on August 15, 2019, 04:36:00 PM
What I found most interesting is that West is making more in this new league than USL was willing to pay.
Yes, that was the most attention-getting thing in the article. Let's see how this league does and if it is really prepared to pay their players more.
Not to diminish Nick West's talent and capability to play "at the next level", but getting this opportunity wasn't hurt by more than a bit of a Messiah connection in all this. Stumptown Athletic's coach Mark Steffens was the coach of the Charlotte Eagles for 17 years (9 championship finals, 2 titles), a club that peaked with a few years in the A-League, but have mostly been a highly competitive USISL, USL 2nd Division, USL Pro, PDL team. The Eagles are an arm of the Christian organization, Missionary Athletes International (MAI) and many Messiah players have gone on to play for the Charlotte Eagles and/or serve in MAI over the years. Messiah coach McCarty and assistant Faro had playing careers under Steffens with the Eagles, just to cite two examples. Steffens spent 1 1/2 years coaching the Pittsburgh Riverhounds in 2015 and 2016, getting replaced mid-season by former Messiah coach Dave Brandt.
I don't think people realize just how hard it is to "play at the next level", even with the right contacts. Remember Lucas Terci for Montclair State - All-American and 2016 Offensive POY? He finished his career with 63 goals and 40 assists and couldn't make the grade at RedBull II (who call Montclair State home). Was offered a trial with Cosmos that went nowhere and eventually ended up at FC Motown in NPSL for a short stint. Not on roster now so I have no idea what's happened since to a former D3 stand-out talent.
Quote from: EB2319 on August 16, 2019, 10:36:43 AM
I don't think people realize just how hard it is to "play at the next level", even with the right contacts. Remember Lucas Terci for Montclair State - All-American and 2016 Offensive POY? He finished his career with 63 goals and 40 assists and couldn't make the grade at RedBull II (who call Montclair State home). Was offered a trial with Cosmos that went nowhere and eventually ended up at FC Motown in NPSL for a short stint. Not on roster now so I have no idea what's happened since to a former D3 stand-out talent.
And it's only getting harder with each academy that MLS and USL teams start. Now I think the academies are great, and really the only way U.S. Soccer is going anywhere long term, but... if you didn't come up in their system, just being a college standout isn't going to get you far. You can even see that in the MLS Superdraft these days, which has lost so much importance. For MLS and USL, homegrown talent is where it is at. You develop it, you grow it, you keep it for cheap players or sell them on for real money. College is an increasing dead end for soccer with its incompatible rules, strict time restrictions on practice, and focus on athletes instead of players (a function of the first two problems).
You want to play at the next level? Play in an academy. If you are good enough, they will pay for you to go to college while you play soccer, instead of playing soccer while going to college. It's already the major route, eventually it will be extremely rare to see a college player making any kind of impact above whatever summer league is around or the PDL level.
This all strikes me as a logical evolution of the professional side of the sport in the U.S. Still, we won't become as competitive internationally as we should be until we figure out how to make football (soccer) a sport that attracts young athletes at the street level. Soccer is still dominated by suburban white kids in the U.S. That is changing slowly, but not nearly as quickly as it could...
Messiah at Rutgers-Camden preseason match at 3:00 today...
And . . . Rutgers-Newark AT Messiah, Saturday at 7 p.m. (disappointed I already have another commitment and will miss this)
https://gomacsports.com/news/2019/8/21/mens-soccer-messiah-selected-as-favorite-in-mac-commonwealth-coaches-preseason-poll.aspx
https://gomacsports.com/news/2019/8/21/mens-soccer-stevens-sits-atop-mac-freedom-coaches-preseason-poll.aspx
Messiah favored in the Commonwealth with newcomers Stevens favored in the Freedom. Links for both polls provided above.
https://www.instagram.com/p/B1eguUSAHYZ/?igshid=6xujkwvgqxmb
RUC goal vs Messiah...
3-1 win for the Falcons with a late insurance goal.
2019 Centennial Conference pre-season poll released. http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/Preseason-Poll-8-27
(http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/Preseason-Poll-8-27)
1. Johns Hopkins
2. Haverford
3. Franklin & Marshall
4. Dickinson
5. Gettysburg
6. Swarthmore
7. Muhlenberg
8. Washington College
9. McDaniel
Going to post my way too early power rankings as the season approaches for the region. Not much to go from here except last season, history and gut feel.
1. Messiah (shocker)
2. Haverford
3. F&M
4. Lycoming
5. Stevens
6. Catholic
7. Hopkins
8. Dickinson
9. Leb Val
10. Etown/Drew
Outside looking in: Eastern/Gettysburg/Swat/Scranton
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 27, 2019, 01:20:59 PM
Going to post my way too early power rankings as the season approaches for the region. Not much to go from here except last season, history and gut feel.
1. Messiah (shocker)
2. Haverford
3. F&M
4. Lycoming
5. Stevens
6. Catholic
7. Hopkins
8. Dickinson
9. Leb Val
10. Etown/Drew
Outside looking in: Eastern/Gettysburg/Swat/Scranton
Shooter's Picks1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Stevens
4. Haverford
5. F&M
6. Lycoming
7. Dickinson
8. Eastern
9. Catholic
10. Drew
HM: LVC, Etown, Gettysburg
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 27, 2019, 01:20:59 PM
7. Hopkins
I haven't looked at JHU's roster/schedule, etc, but curious what you know that would push them to 7th? That would be a disappointing season for the them.
I think Stevens is a team to watch closely.
Quote from: EB2319 on August 27, 2019, 04:51:55 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 27, 2019, 01:20:59 PM
7. Hopkins
I haven't looked at JHU's roster/schedule, etc, but curious what you know that would push them to 7th? That would be a disappointing season for the them.
I think Stevens is a team to watch closely.
The gut feel part of my assessment :D That conference is always competitive and a couple games in the wrong direction can mean a big drop in the overall region for them if others perform well. 7th in the region has them as finishing 3rd essentially in the Centennial which I don't think is out of the question. Might be a little steep but time will tell. Also agree on Stevens as they should be dangerous once again.
Yeah, I don't really see Hopkins sliding down that far. They return 9 of 11 starters. Their biggest loss is probably Rosenberger who was their center back and QB'd a lot of that side to side stuff they like to do building out of the back.
Early(ish) match-up with Haverford is going to paint a picture. Agree CC is always a dog fight, but I think Hop brings back a number of their danger players (Younker, Martinez) and their style isn't overly reliant on one or two guys dominating or breaking down the other team. I have issues with Appleby's style, but it does guard against wild fluctuations in terms of results.
Interesting opening weekend in the Mid-Atlantic, with some early season surprises - anybody have thoughts? I know it's way too early to be indicative of anything, but still there are some things of note. Messiah drops their first two, but as others have noted: tough teams, lots of freshman playing, NW will be hard to replace at first, and Ithaca will not be denied and is making damn sure they going to the dance this year. The Falcons remaining schedule is not as tough, so not sure these first two losses mean anything - lot of games to win in front of them.
Also interesting is JHU splitting their first 2 games - an OT loss to MW yesterday. But it seemed that Younker who is on the 2019 roster didn't play - do I have that right? Saving him for conference play if he's still healing his injury?
F&M beat LVC in OT. Would have thought a bit more scoring during run of play? First goal was headed from a free kick and second from a PK. LVC also scored their goal on a free kick. Anybody see this? Four yellows and a red between the two teams?
Dickinson had two solid wins - and some major scoring.
Haverford's win against Cabrini isn't likely indicative of anything - but kudos to the coach that 25 or the 26 players on the roster got minutes - almost all double digits. Nice to see that spirit of sharing with the entire team when the score allows it.
Anybody see any of the opening games and have thoughts to share? And please note, I'm a newbie... so be kind!
Messiah and Lycoming both start the campaigns 0-2 after road losses. Don't think anybody saw this coming but both teams look a little under the weather with the injury bug. I expect both to bounce back over the next few weeks but not the start either program was looking for. Caught bits and pieces of Messiah's first game. Hobart is strong and I believe Messiah will be okay once they find their groove and get healthy. As for Lycoming, from what I saw in their second game, they look lost defensively as they are trying to replace 3 all region players in the back. I anticipate them also finding their groove here soon but it doesn't get any easier for the Warriors as the season progresses. Dickinson looks dangerous as they continue to rack up the goals. Hopkins a little shaky to start as well but always tough to judge anything from the opening weekend of matches as so much can change as the season goes on.
Winners of opening weekend have to be Dickinson, Haverford, F&M, Moravian and Eastern
Losers of opening weekend are Messiah, Lycoming, LVC and Drew
Lycoming seems to have some issues on defense but this coach has a habit of fixing such problems. It will be interesting to see if they play the same four in the back in their next match.
I think TCNJ might have been overlooked a bit. Although they were predicted to finish 9th in the NJAC, I believe they only lost 2 starters. They picked up what should be two quality wins against Lycoming and Gettysburg.
TCNJ is underrated IMO, but they started off strong last year also and quickly fell off the cliff.
What a start to the season already! Messiah and Lycoming the big shocks so far in the region but the Falcons got back to their winning ways with a 1-0 shutout yesterday. Lycoming gets a much needed week off and plays this weekend against Susquehanna. LVC still winless after a crazy game that saw the Dutchman down 3-0 with less than 15 minutes remaining before sparking a comeback for the ages. They somehow managed a tie from nothing and have to be thrilled with it nonetheless. Dickinson looks the team to beat so far as JHU, Gettysburg and F&M are all off to subpar starts as well. Eastern has also continued it's winning ways with a couple of road shutouts. Moravian flying under the radar after 3 shutout wins to start the year. Keep an eye on them and Scranton to shuffle some things up in the Landmark.
Here are my rankings headed into the weekend slate of games...
1. Dickinson
2. Fords
3. JHU
4. Stevens
5. Eastern
6. F&M
7. Messiah
8. Moravian
9. Scranton
10. Gettysburg
HM: LVC, Catholic, Swat, Lyco, Muhles, Drew
If Stevens can fix their defending (4 goals against in 2 games), and their offense heats up, could be a big weekend ahead with games vs Vassar and Springfield. Hats off to center back Jacob Curtis on the Ducks, who got OFFENSIVE POW for MAC Freedom for a 2 goal weekend. Will be trying to make it to NJ for at least one of their games this weekend.
Speaking of Ducks - what happened to Kochman? He was a freshman last year and finished 3rd on the team in points. I don't see his name on the roster this year.
Believe he left for non soccer related reasons. Had moments on the field, definitely a loss for the ducks.
Looks like Younker is back... Might speak to the positive results for the Hop this weekend.
5-2 over W&L is a head scratcher.
Edit: Circling back after looking at highlights and stats... Freshman to look out for his Axel Whamond out of Fairfield Prep in CT... Leads the team with 8 points off of 3 G, 1 A over the weekend. Younker not featured heavily in the box score, but had a nice assist on one of the 5 W&L goals.
Boxscore indicates Lycoming scored their 3rd and 4th goals 3 seconds apart. Anyone see this?
It was a mistake in the box score. Those goals were scored about 2 minutes apart
First USC poll is out. JHU moves up from preseason #22 to #5, F&M from #17 to #12, the Ducks improved from # 24 to #19, and the Fords again received votes. Messiah and Eastern dropped off.
Some good games around the region tonight!
Moravian @ Montclair
F&M @ Etown
York @ JHU
Dickinson @ Messiah
Randolph-Macon @ Catholic
Swat @ Eastern
LVC @ Susquehanna
Gettysburg @ Stevenson
Muhles @ Drew
The Dickinson @ Messiah game is definitely one to check out. Messiah is on a streak of 9-0 against the Devils since 2008 . Maybe the 10th time is the charm to break the streak? Great tune-up though before Centennial Conference play starts.
Stevens 5-0...can any other team from the region claim undefeated status? Look for next Wednesday as ducks take on F&M in Lancaster. The fixture has been back and forth last 3 years, with the diplomats seeing victory last time out.
Yeah, Swarthmore
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 11, 2019, 03:37:54 PM
Some good games around the region tonight!
Moravian @ Montclair - 1-0 Montclair ST
F&M @ Etown - 4-1 F&M
York @ JHU - 2-1 JHU
Dickinson @ Messiah - 3-1 Messiah
Randolph-Macon @ Catholic - 4-0 Catholic
Swat @ Eastern - 2-1 Swat (2OT)
LVC @ Susquehanna - 2-0 LVC
Gettysburg @ Stevenson - 3-2 Bullets
Muhles @ Drew - 1-0 Mules
To answer the question posited a few posts above, Swat is 5-0. Nice early results for Stevens, particularly 1st game win against RPI... As you point out, that game in Lancaster should be a barn burner.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 12, 2019, 10:18:15 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 11, 2019, 03:37:54 PM
Some good games around the region tonight!
Moravian @ Montclair - 1-0 Montclair ST
F&M @ Etown - 4-1 F&M
York @ JHU - 2-1 JHU
Dickinson @ Messiah - 3-1 Messiah
Randolph-Macon @ Catholic - 4-0 Catholic
Swat @ Eastern - 2-1 Swat (2OT)
LVC @ Susquehanna - 2-0 LVC
Gettysburg @ Stevenson - 3-2 Bullets
Muhles @ Drew - 1-0 Mules
To answer the question posited a few posts above, Swat is 5-0. Nice early results for Stevens, particularly 1st game win against RPI... As you point out, that game in Lancaster should be a barn burner.
Swat, Stevens, McDaniel, Muhles, Scranton all undefeated still. Looks like Moravian lost a tight one with Montclair and a fairly close box score. Catholic and Hopkins all trending up as well.
Another week has come and gone! Here are my rankings headed into the weekend slate of games...
1. JHU
2. Stevens
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Fords
6. Swat
7. Scranton
8. Moravian
9. Muhles
10. Catholic
HM: LVC, Getty, Lyco, Dickinson, Drew, Etown
Watched about half of the JHU - Bridgewater game. Younker is fully back and had assists on both of JHU's goals. That guy is a terror down the wings... Not Nick West level, but in terms of driving the offense, he is very similar in terms of impact. (Again, NW is a level above, I'm just saying Younker is reminiscent... Doesn't finish at the same clip, but he is incredibly difficult to contain.)
Week ahead, going off of MAF's rankings:
Fords @ JHU (9/21)
Dips @ Stevens (9/18); Stevens @ Stevenson (9/21)
Mules @ Dips (9/21)
Messiah @ York (9/18); Salisbury @ Messiah (9/21)
Rowan @ Fords (9/18); Fords @ Hop (9/21)
St. Mary's @ Swat (9/18); Dickinson @ Swat (9/21)
Mules @ Desales (9/18); Mules @ Dips (9/21)
Mary Wash @ Catholic (9/18); Lynchburg @ Catholic (9/21)
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. Hopkins
2. Stevens
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Catholic
6. Muhles
7. Swat
8. Moravian
9. Gettysburg
10. Haverford
HM: Scranton, Keystone, McDaniel, Etown, LVC
Moravian @ Bryn Athyn (9/18); Moravian @ Immaculata (9/21)
Leb Vally @ Gettysburg (9/18); Bullets @ Wash College (9/21)
Scranton @ Alvernia (9/21)
King's @ Keystone (9/17); Keystone @ Wilkes (9/21)
McDaniel @ Goucher (9/17); Ursinus @ McDaniel (9/21)
LVC @ Bullets (9/18); E. Mennonite @ LVC (9/21)
Etown @ Alvernia (9/18); Arcadia @ Etown (9/21)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 16, 2019, 09:34:37 AM
Watched about half of the JHU - Bridgewater game. Younker is fully back and had assists on both of JHU's goals. That guy is a terror down the wings... Not Nick West level, but in terms of driving the offense, he is very similar in terms of impact. (Again, NW is a level above, I'm just saying Younker is reminiscent... Doesn't finish at the same clip, but he is incredibly difficult to contain.)
If he can get half of the Goals he scored in 2017 that would be very welcome for Hopkins. Where is he playing in Hopkins system
Quote from: Mr.Right on September 16, 2019, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 16, 2019, 09:34:37 AM
Watched about half of the JHU - Bridgewater game. Younker is fully back and had assists on both of JHU's goals. That guy is a terror down the wings... Not Nick West level, but in terms of driving the offense, he is very similar in terms of impact. (Again, NW is a level above, I'm just saying Younker is reminiscent... Doesn't finish at the same clip, but he is incredibly difficult to contain.)
If he can get half of the Goals he scored in 2017 that would be very welcome for Hopkins. Where is he playing in Hopkins system
Out high and wide, as per previous years. I personally think he should be switching with their central forward more, but the Coach seems really bent on keeping his formation as is.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 16, 2019, 04:29:52 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on September 16, 2019, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 16, 2019, 09:34:37 AM
Watched about half of the JHU - Bridgewater game. Younker is fully back and had assists on both of JHU's goals. That guy is a terror down the wings... Not Nick West level, but in terms of driving the offense, he is very similar in terms of impact. (Again, NW is a level above, I'm just saying Younker is reminiscent... Doesn't finish at the same clip, but he is incredibly difficult to contain.)
If he can get half of the Goals he scored in 2017 that would be very welcome for Hopkins. Where is he playing in Hopkins system
Out high and wide, as per previous years. I personally think he should be switching with their central forward more, but the Coach seems really bent on keeping his formation as is.
Hopkins being rigid in their system? Hmm... that seems... entirely correct. Though I shouldn't really say anything. They mopped the floor with my Generals not long ago!
Quote from: jknezek on September 16, 2019, 04:54:16 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 16, 2019, 04:29:52 PM
Quote from: Mr.Right on September 16, 2019, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 16, 2019, 09:34:37 AM
Watched about half of the JHU - Bridgewater game. Younker is fully back and had assists on both of JHU's goals. That guy is a terror down the wings... Not Nick West level, but in terms of driving the offense, he is very similar in terms of impact. (Again, NW is a level above, I'm just saying Younker is reminiscent... Doesn't finish at the same clip, but he is incredibly difficult to contain.)
If he can get half of the Goals he scored in 2017 that would be very welcome for Hopkins. Where is he playing in Hopkins system
Out high and wide, as per previous years. I personally think he should be switching with their central forward more, but the Coach seems really bent on keeping his formation as is.
Hopkins being rigid in their system? Hmm... that seems... entirely correct. Though I shouldn't really say anything. They mopped the floor with my Generals not long ago!
I've been complaining about it for many years. I'm going to try and keep that to a dull roar this season, but watching them pass the ball around the back while down 2 goals late against Messiah in the NCAAs was about the height of that nonsense.
About as big of a game as it gets for Stevens tonight @Franklin Marshall....6-0-0 with striker Cristiano Hocken(number 9) with 4 goals in past 2 games and looking dangerous as a team. Seem to have cleaned up the defense from the first weekend, with just one goal conceded in their past 4, compared to 4 conceded in first 2. Toughest opponents have been Vassar and Rutgers Newark, so tonight will be a whole new level, work is cut out for the backline. Will definitely be streaming this one, and hoping to see a high level, sweet 16/elite 8 game level of play from these 2 teams....anyone else have any high level games from around the country worth tuning in to?
The Ducks-Dips tilt is the one I circled, but almost every team (other than Hop) in the top 10-15 in the region (honorable mentions included) has a game tonight.
I'm pretty curious to see what Messiah does in York, who is almost always a tough out at home.
Haverford and Rowan coming up in a few minutes.
https://portal.stretchinternet.com/haverford/
I'm admittedly not watching all that closely, but what I've seen is... choppy play, as charitable as I can say about both teams.
1-0 Fords on an extremely early goal off of a set piece. Very well struck from the top of the box.
Rowan equalize off of a turnover, with :24 left in the half.
Wow. REMARKABLE.
Rowan score AGAIN with :24 to tie the game.
WOW.
I've got a lot of tabs open, but sure looks like Messiah just scored with less than 20 seconds to tie it up at 2.
Ducks lose to Diplomats in a heartbreak in the 104th....free kick top of the box slotted into the corner. F&M dominated game for long stretches but Ducks had chances to take the lead as well. Overall a high level game good luck to Dips going forward.
Messiah completes the comeback down 2-1 with 15 seconds left to tie and win it in OT 3-2. Big road win for the Falcons that needed a momentum boost like this. The Falcons are now 4-2-1 on the year and are boasting a 3 game winning streak. The Hobart and Ithaca losses aren't looking too bad right now but the concern for the Messiah faithful has to be the amount of goals given up. This is uncharacteristic of Messiah teams in the past and currently they have 1 shutout on the year and have been shut out themselves twice. Last year's team gave up just 15 goals en route to the Elite 8 of NCAA's. This years team has already given up 6 goals which is cause for concern. The next 3 games will make or break their chances of an at-large bid as they host Salisbury and John Carroll and travel to rival Etown.
Lycoming picks up a nice and much needed win over a struggling Dickinson side 2-0. The Warriors have been on a roller coaster ride thus far but they looked solid from the 25 minutes I was able to catch yesterday during the first half. It's hard to believe they have 3 losses but I haven't seen them play much yet. The Warriors are now 3-3-0 on the year and have a big clash upcoming with Eastern this weekend, who is also struggling out of the gate this year. Dickinson drops to 2-4-0 and the schedule doesn't get much easier moving forward.
Eastern picks up a nice win over rival Cabrini 2-1 in last night's action. The Eagles are now 3-3-1 on the year and picked up their first win in the last 4 games after starting the year 2-0-0. As mentioned, they have an upcoming clash at Lycoming that is critical for both teams as they look to make a push into the regional rankings and get back to their winning ways. Certainly one to tune into this weekend! I will be watching :D
F&M picks up a great win in 2OT over undefeated Stevens 1-0. The Diplomats improve to 5-1-0 on the year and look like one of the top contenders so far. 5 of the next 6 games for F&M will be more telling but I think they will handle this stretch with ease. Stevens drops to 6-1-0 on the season and also looks like they are the favorites to win the Freedom. Not much competition the rest of the way for the Ducks so I expect them to end the year with less than 3 losses and coast to NCAA's.
Gettysburg pounded Lebanon Valley 2-0. The Bullets have now won 3 in a row all against Commonwealth teams and look poised to make a run in the Centennial as they improve to 4-2-0 on the year. Meanwhile, the Dutchman drop to 2-3-1 but have a favorable upcoming schedule as they head towards the conference slate.
Some other notable results last night were the following:
Catholic draws Mary Washington 0-0
Etown breezes past Alvernia 3-0
Moravian pounds Bryn Athyn 8-1
Drew loses to TCNJ 2-1
Muhles stay hot w/a 4-3 OT win over DeSales
Swat and St. Mary's tie 1-1
Rowan and Fords draw 2-2
Here are my rankings heading into the weekend...
MAF Top 10 Rankings
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Stevens
4. Messiah
5. Fords
6. Swat
7. Catholic
8. Muhles
9. Moravian
10. Gettysburg
HM: Scranton, Lyco, Etown, Eastern, McDaniel, Widener, Kings
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 19, 2019, 09:19:32 AM
Messiah completes the comeback down 2-1 with 15 seconds left to tie and win it in OT 3-2. Big road win for the Falcons that needed a momentum boost like this. The Falcons are now 4-2-1 on the year and are boasting a 3 game winning streak. The Hobart and Ithaca losses aren't looking too bad right now but the concern for the Messiah faithful has to be the amount of goals given up. This is uncharacteristic of Messiah teams in the past and currently they have 1 shutout on the year and have been shut out themselves twice. Last year's team gave up just 15 goals en route to the Elite 8 of NCAA's. This years team has already given up 6 goals which is cause for concern. The next 3 games will make or break their chances of an at-large bid as they host Salisbury and John Carroll and travel to rival Etown.
Lycoming picks up a nice and much needed win over a struggling Dickinson side 2-0. The Warriors have been on a roller coaster ride thus far but they looked solid from the 25 minutes I was able to catch yesterday during the first half. It's hard to believe they have 3 losses but I haven't seen them play much yet. The Warriors are now 3-3-0 on the year and have a big clash upcoming with Eastern this weekend, who is also struggling out of the gate this year. Dickinson drops to 2-4-0 and the schedule doesn't get much easier moving forward.
Eastern picks up a nice win over rival Cabrini 2-1 in last night's action. The Eagles are now 3-3-1 on the year and picked up their first win in the last 4 games after starting the year 2-0-0. As mentioned, they have an upcoming clash at Lycoming that is critical for both teams as they look to make a push into the regional rankings and get back to their winning ways. Certainly one to tune into this weekend! I will be watching :D
F&M picks up a great win in 2OT over undefeated Stevens 1-0. The Diplomats improve to 5-1-0 on the year and look like one of the top contenders so far. 5 of the next 6 games for F&M will be more telling but I think they will handle this stretch with ease. Stevens drops to 6-1-0 on the season and also looks like they are the favorites to win the Freedom. Not much competition the rest of the way for the Ducks so I expect them to end the year with less than 3 losses and coast to NCAA's.
Gettysburg pounded Lebanon Valley 2-0. The Bullets have now won 3 in a row all against Commonwealth teams and look poised to make a run in the Centennial as they improve to 4-2-0 on the year. Meanwhile, the Dutchman drop to 2-3-1 but have a favorable upcoming schedule as they head towards the conference slate.
Some other notable results last night were the following:
Catholic draws Mary Washington 0-0
Etown breezes past Alvernia 3-0
Moravian pounds Bryn Athyn 8-1
Drew loses to TCNJ 2-1
Muhles stay hot w/a 4-3 OT win over DeSales
Swat and St. Mary's tie 1-1
Rowan and Fords draw 2-2
Here are my rankings heading into the weekend...
MAF Top 10 Rankings
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Stevens
4. Messiah
5. Fords
6. Swat
7. Catholic
8. Muhles
9. Moravian
10. Gettysburg
HM: Scranton, Lyco, Etown, Eastern, McDaniel, Widener, Kings
Shooter's Power Rankings1. Hopkins
2. F&M
3. Stevens
4. Messiah
5. Catholic
6. Muhles
7. Swat
8. Moravian
9. Gettysburg
10. Haverford
HM: Scranton, McDaniel, Etown
Messiah was fortunate to get the win at York. York played well and probably deserved the win. Late game heroics by junior Trevor Goodling saved the game. Messiah may be getting Luke G back on the field soon so that would be a welcome site. I saw that York scored 2 own goals against Hopkins and lost 2-1 so they are a legit team. Messiah has shuffled players around quite a bit early this season but I think starting to figure it out. Next Saturday home game with John Carroll will be big test. Hopefully Luke is back by then. Freshman Ben Lefever has been a key contributor on offense.
Quote from: rudy on September 21, 2019, 01:31:45 PM
Messiah was fortunate to get the win at York. York played well and probably deserved the win. Late game heroics by junior Trevor Goodling saved the game. Messiah may be getting Luke G back on the field soon so that would be a welcome site. I saw that York scored 2 own goals against Hopkins and lost 2-1 so they are a legit team. Messiah has shuffled players around quite a bit early this season but I think starting to figure it out. Next Saturday home game with John Carroll will be big test. Hopefully Luke is back by then. Freshman Ben Lefever has been a key contributor on offense.
Luke finally returned, getting into the game off the bench in the first half, played most of the second half and both OTs in one of the most fun 0-0 games I've seen in a long time. A very physical and talented Salisbury team was utterly outplayed in the first half, when the Falcons had something like 16-1 shot advantage, but Messiah couldn't convert. In the second half things were pretty even, still with no scoring, though Luke missed a chippie that would have been the GW.
Each side failed to convert a PK in OT—first Salisbury (hit the bar), then Messiah (saved, with a brilliant second save of a point-blank shot off the rebound). Salusbury's keeper was the player of the game, IMO. Luke hit the post on a very hard shot from outside the box on the dead run, surrounded by Seagulls, and he also missed a bicycle kick where the keeper was probably watching his life pass before him. Once he gets the rust shaken off after several weeks recovering from some type of knee injury, LG is going to be just dynamite, and the Falcons are going to start scoring again. I only hope it happens next week vs Etown and John Carroll. If not, the Falcons will have to win the AQ in their conference tournament.
Might have seen injuries to two key defenders—definitely Joe King, who sustained some type of ankle injury and badly limped off, and perhaps to his counterpart Shay Quintin. Unsure about Shay, who went down near the sideline and soon disappeared without returning for the OTs. Real concern on my part, given the quality of the teams the Falcons are now facing. Will the injuries never stop? Will this very talented team ever get to play full strength?
Shout out to Cam Scott, an asst coach for Salisbury. The last time he stepped on Shoemaker Field he was the starting right back for Kenyon in the instant classic Sweet 16 game with Messiah in 2013. He had the very small task of trying to contain Jack Thompson. I'm sure being there this evening brought back a ton of memories for him....and as a plus his team got a result.
Quote from: Falconer on September 21, 2019, 09:51:15 PM
Quote from: rudy on September 21, 2019, 01:31:45 PM
Messiah was fortunate to get the win at York. York played well and probably deserved the win. Late game heroics by junior Trevor Goodling saved the game. Messiah may be getting Luke G back on the field soon so that would be a welcome site. I saw that York scored 2 own goals against Hopkins and lost 2-1 so they are a legit team. Messiah has shuffled players around quite a bit early this season but I think starting to figure it out. Next Saturday home game with John Carroll will be big test. Hopefully Luke is back by then. Freshman Ben Lefever has been a key contributor on offense.
Luke finally returned, getting into the game off the bench in the first half, played most of the second half and both OTs in one of the most fun 0-0 games I've seen in a long time. A very physical and talented Salisbury team was utterly outplayed in the first half, when the Falcons had something like 16-1 shot advantage, but Messiah couldn't convert. In the second half things were pretty even, still with no scoring, though Luke missed a chippie that would have been the GW.
Each side failed to convert a PK in OT—first Salisbury (hit the bar), then Messiah (saved, with a brilliant second save of a point-blank shot off the rebound). Salusbury's keeper was the player of the game, IMO. Luke hit the post on a very hard shot from outside the box on the dead run, surrounded by Seagulls, and he also missed a bicycle kick where the keeper was probably watching his life pass before him. Once he gets the rust shaken off after several weeks recovering from some type of knee injury, LG is going to be just dynamite, and the Falcons are going to start scoring again. I only hope it happens next week vs Etown and John Carroll. If not, the Falcons will have to win the AQ in their conference tournament.
Might have seen injuries to two key defenders—definitely Joe King, who sustained some type of ankle injury and badly limped off, and perhaps to his counterpart Shay Quintin. Unsure about Shay, who went down near the sideline and soon disappeared without returning for the OTs. Real concern on my part, given the quality of the teams the Falcons are now facing. Will the injuries never stop? Will this very talented team ever get to play full strength?
Great assessment Falconer. I watched the full 110 and agree that it was a thriller for being 0-0. I think the officiating was poor and neither was a PK in the first overtime. Credit to Salisbury for playing physical which kept them in the game and threw off the rhythm slightly for Messiah, which we know has been a downfall for the Falcons in the past when they have dropped to the likes of Lycoming, Tufts and York over the past 15 years. With that said, Messiah was certainly the better side and deserved to win the game but very well could have lost it. Once healthy they will be a force as always.
One side note from the game that I want to comment on was the announcing from the play by play analysts. I have watched and listened to Messiah games and understand they are true Messiah homers, but last night they were borderline over the top with their commentary and demeaning toward some of the Salisbury players with their comments. Yes they get into the game and yes I have heard them bash others before but last night they were extra feisty and it took away from the game. I actually muted them in the second half and then turned it back on in the OT periods and it only got worse. I am all for rooting for your team and leaning a little more than neutral for a home game commentary but they need to be careful. The one that really got me, outside of the comments about the ref which was deserved but still uncalled for, was calling a Salisbury player "dumb." He later apologized but not a good look for Messiah. ::)
Notable results from last night around the region...
Swat and Muhles both drop their first games of the year as they both finally faced decent competition. As expected they are not as good as their record indicates. Good wins for Dickinson and F&M alike. Great win for Haverford as Hopkins loses at home. Gettysburg keeps rolling with an easy win over Washington and McDaniel stays hot but curious what happens when they play better competition.
Stevens struggles on the road and draws Stevenson. Lycoming with another big win as they take down Eastern. Catholic with a solid win over Lynchburg and quietly keep climbing the ranks. Scranton squeaks by a struggling Alvernia and Leb Val trending in the wrong direction after giving up 5 goals to Eastern Mennonite. Etown wins again and is back on track while Moravian also keeps cruising. Keystone draws Wilkes and doesn't look like the NCAA side they were last season. Drew with a much needed off weekend as they remain under .500 for the year.
UPDATED: Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M
2. Hopkins
3. Stevens
4. Messiah
5. Haverford
6. Catholic
7. Gettysburg
8. Moravian
9. Muhles
10. Swat
HM: Scranton, McDaniel, Etown, Lyco
I can't decide what to make of Hopkins. My guess is that they are one of just a few teams that would have a legit chance to knock off Tufts, but then they drop a home game to Haverford where they outshot the Fords 22-2 and corners 7-1. Wondering if I have overrated JHU and underrated JCU.
RE: Messiah announcers....I've mostly learned to live with them because generally they are very knowledgeable and the overall production is well done and one of the best in D3. My sense is that they go over the line whenever a bit of panic sets in. I think at this point they know what they are doing but their love affair with Messiah soccer runs deep and they just can't help themselves.
Regional Ranking #3 is out: https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/rankings/college-rankings/ncaa-diii-men-mid-atlantic/ (https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/rankings/college-rankings/ncaa-diii-men-mid-atlantic/)
Solid win for Messiah over traditional rival Etown tonight, 3-0. Luke Groothoff assisted on the first goal and scored the last on a lovely shot of his own, with Lucas Kokolios scoring in between on an all-too-rare, nearly impossible left-footed shot from the left endline that somehow sneaked inside the right post. The play on the field was quite a bit closer than the score. Etown almost always brings their "A" game against the Falcons, especially on their own Herr Field, and tonight was no exception. The Blue Jays had several excellent scoring chances, once or twice blowing them on their own but other times resulting in beautiful saves by Falcon keeper Flanders--the best game I can recall seeing him play in his career, though honestly he played very little until this, his final, season. The back line looked shaky more than I had expected, but offensively the Falcons were in gear and firing shots on goal. It's about time. Contrary to my concerns after Saturday's game, Quintin and King both played significant minutes--glad they aren't going to miss any games. Hard to say whether this team is ready to play John Carroll this weekend, but at least they looked good enough tonight to hope for a big win on Saturday.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on September 22, 2019, 11:14:31 AM
Quote from: Falconer on September 21, 2019, 09:51:15 PM
Great assessment Falconer. I watched the full 110 and agree that it was a thriller for being 0-0. I think the officiating was poor and neither was a PK in the first overtime.
You're spot on about the officiating, Shooter. I know I usually don't let that pass, but I stuck a sock in it this time since I don't want to sound like a broken record. Salusbury was very physical, true, but the fouls were being called so I didn't have a complaint there, except that more cards should have been given for intentionally fouling to stop dangerous attacks. What bothered me most, however, was that the official would call a foul, but not give the Falcons the advantage when clearly they had it. He nearly always made them bring it back to the point of the foul, regardless of whether the Falcons were looking dangerous after the foul. I actually think the game would have been won (by Messiah) in regulation, probably in the first half, if he'd not done that. Finally he stopped doing that, but Salusbury kept making those fouls b/c they weren't really paying a price for them.
Is that one of the problems you also noticed?
Quote from: PaulNewman on September 22, 2019, 11:36:16 AM
I can't decide what to make of Hopkins. My guess is that they are one of just a few teams that would have a legit chance to knock off Tufts, but then they drop a home game to Haverford where they outshot the Fords 22-2 and corners 7-1. Wondering if I have overrated JHU and underrated JCU.
I think you answered your own question with the shot differential. I watched lot of the second half and it was one way traffic and a few Fords stopping goals in the goal box or off the line. Just one of those games where Hopkins was unlucky not to finish... Happens a lot against the Fords.
Picked up a very nice road win on Wednesday at St. Mary's. Granted, St. Mary's has never beaten Hop, but this was an undefeated squad, on the road (7pm start, and that's a decent trek), so that's a solid win.
Younker with a goal, btw. Big game at Gettysburg this weekend.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on September 22, 2019, 11:25:07 AM
UPDATED: Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M
2. Hopkins
3. Stevens
4. Messiah
5. Haverford
6. Catholic
7. Gettysburg
8. Moravian
9. Muhles
10. Swat
HM: Scranton, McDaniel, Etown, Lyco
Games this weekendF&M @ Haverford
Hop @ Bullets
Stevens @ NYU (Stevens on a slide right now, fwiw)
JCU @ Messiah
Catholic @ Scranton
Juniata @ Moravian
Swat @ Muhles
McDaniel (Western MD, dammit) @ Dickinson (WMC is 9-0, folks... they haven't really played anyone. Bellwether match.)
Susq. v. Etown
Carnegie Mellon v. Lycoming
Any feedback on Haverford vs Camden? Was not able to watch or attend?
Camden had a terrible loss vs Miseri, and a decent showing vs Cortland St... sitting at 8-2 with 5 straight road fixtures will do some damage to their record.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on September 27, 2019, 09:39:22 AM
Any feedback on Haverford vs Camden? Was not able to watch or attend?
Camden had a terrible loss vs Miseri, and a decent showing vs Cortland St... sitting at 8-2 with 5 straight road fixtures will do some damage to their record.
No idea but that win could come in handy down the line especially if Haverford can break another Top 10 team today along with the Hopkins Win.
Huge win for Messiah, 3-0 over John Carroll at home. JCU looked good, except for one major defensive miscue leading to the first goal. The Falcons just looked better—much better than the opening weekend when they dropped a pair to Hobart and Ithaca. This almost isn't recognizably the same team, and partly it isn't. Simply adding a healthy Luke Groothoff makes (IMO) at least a 1 goal difference/game, and other guys are also healing up and starting to get quality PT.
No one I know expected a game like this today. JCU played hard, smart, and respectfully (of the game and their opponent). In other words, the Falcons got to play against a very similar team. They are a very good team, perhaps as good as their W/L record, but if they are really #3 in the nation then the Falcons have come all the way back, b/c JCU lost to a better team today. Time will tell if I'm misreading what I saw.
Very nice play from Messiah's flanks. Very evenly matched for much of the game but Messiah seemed to gain control as the 2nd half rolled on. They have really stepped it up in these past three games. Conference games up next ... See you at the Shoe.
Heads up to curious D3 fans: you might still be able to view the stream of this game. I just reviewed the scoring plays here https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=247&type=Live
I hope they leave it up for a few hours. If you go there, to see what I mean about Groothoff's return and more confidence (which comes with the former) changing everything for the Falcons, watch these two segments:
(1) 1:53:30 to 1:55:45. See how Groothoff, Kokolios, and Goodling (who had the hat trick vs York before Luke's return) manufacture the second goal--and how the defense gloms onto Groothoff, leaving Kokolios wide open to go unmolested to goal.
(2) 2:23:00 watch the sequence of two corners, with Groothoff finishing in spectacular fashion.
This is high level soccer. Such moments have been rare until this past week, including today.
After another round of weekend games here are the latest power rankings...
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--Nice win over the Fords and 7th win in a row for the Diplomats to improve to 8-1-0.
2. Hopkins--Come from behind win over the Bullets and improve to 7-2-0.
3. Messiah--Back to normal for the Falcons with a huge win over top 5 JC. Record improves to 6-2-2.
4. Catholic--The Cardinals keep rising as they pick up a nice road win over conference foe Scranton to improve to 8-1-1.
5. Moravian--The Greyhounds have been flyingnunder the radar and improve to 7-1-1 on the year against stiff competition.
6. Stevens--Losing 3 of last 4 and no wins during this stretch has been tough as the Ducks drop to 6-3-1.
7. Gettysburg--First loss in almost a month moves the Bullets to 5-3-0 on the year.
T8. Swat--The Garnet picked up a nice home win over Lycoming earlier in the week and split with Muhles last night in a battle to go 6-1-2.
T8. Muhles--Muhles also 6-1-2 and in a deadlock with Swat after a tie in conference play last night.
10. Lyco--The Warriors sneak in at 5-4-0 after an impressive bounce back win over Carnegie Mellon.
HM: Etown, Fords, Dickinson, McDaniel, Stevenson
Quote from: Falconer on September 28, 2019, 03:36:03 PM
Heads up to curious D3 fans: you might still be able to view the stream of this game. I just reviewed the scoring plays here https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=247&type=Live
I hope they leave it up for a few hours. If you go there, to see what I mean about Groothoff's return and more confidence (which comes with the former) changing everything for the Falcons, watch these two segments:
(1) 1:53:30 to 1:55:45. See how Groothoff, Kokolios, and Goodling (who had the hat trick vs York before Luke's return) manufacture the second goal--and how the defense gloms onto Groothoff, leaving Kokolios wide open to go unmolested to goal.
(2) 2:23:00 watch the sequence of two corners, with Groothoff finishing in spectacular fashion.
This is high level soccer. Such moments have been rare until this past week, including today.
Watched a majority of the game yesterday and the Falcons looked dangerous. Slowly starting to get back to the Messiah we all know as they get healthy and more confident. Lycoming also picked up a nice win over CMU who just tied John Carroll last week. Should be fun to watch both here in a few weeks face off as they continue to build their resumes.
MAF Top 10 Rankings
1. F&M
2. JHU
3. Messiah
4. Swat
5. Catholic
6. Stevens
7. Muhles
8. Moravian
9. Gettysburg
10. Fords
HM: Lyco, Etown, Dickinson, McDaniel, Widener, Kings
Dickinson @ F&M (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Hop @ Wash C (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Alvernia @ Messiah (10/5)
Swat @ Ursinus (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Eastern @ Cath (10/1); Drew @ Cath (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Lyco @ Moravian (10/1); Mora @ Susquehana (10/5)
Bullets @ McDaniel (10/5; Fords @ G'burg (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Fords @ G'burg
Note the 10/1 (tuesday) games...
Fords and Muhles with HUGE weeks ahead.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 30, 2019, 04:35:06 PM
Dickinson @ F&M (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Hop @ Wash C (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Alvernia @ Messiah (10/5)
Swat @ Ursinus (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Eastern @ Cath (10/1); Drew @ Cath (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Lyco @ Moravian (10/1); Mora @ Susquehana (10/5)
Bullets @ McDaniel (10/5; Fords @ G'burg (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Fords @ G'burg
Note the 10/1 (tuesday) games...
Fords and Muhles with HUGE weeks ahead.
I'll have my eye on the Dickinson @ F&M result on Wednesday. The only remaining undefeated teams so far in CC play, so the winner can take early command of the conference. Dickinson on a 3 game win streak. They have averaged 3.8 goals in their 5 wins this year, while only scoring 1 goal in 3 losses (to good teams -- Messiah, Catholic, Lyco). Meanwhile, F&M have won 7 in a row (5 in a row by 1 goal). Kopacz and Gilbert are fun to watch and each gives their team a dangerous option up top. Should be plenty of offense in this one.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 30, 2019, 04:35:06 PM
Dickinson @ F&M (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Hop @ Wash C (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Alvernia @ Messiah (10/5)
Swat @ Ursinus (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Eastern @ Cath (10/1); Drew @ Cath (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Lyco @ Moravian (10/1); Mora @ Susquehana (10/5)
Bullets @ McDaniel (10/5; Fords @ G'burg (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Fords @ G'burg
Note the 10/1 (tuesday) games...
Fords and Muhles with HUGE weeks ahead.
Nice wins for Catholic and Lycoming last night. Some big games ahead today and this weekend!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 30, 2019, 04:35:06 PM
Dickinson @ F&M (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Hop @ Wash C (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Alvernia @ Messiah (10/5)
Swat @ Ursinus (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Eastern @ Cath (10/1); Drew @ Cath (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Lyco @ Moravian (10/1); Mora @ Susquehana (10/5)
Bullets @ McDaniel (10/5; Fords @ G'burg (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Fords @ G'burg
Note the 10/1 (tuesday) games...
Fords and Muhles with HUGE weeks ahead.
Meaningless stat of the day:
With a 3-0 win over WAC today, Hopkins has now won 23 consecutive Wednesday games, dating back to a 1-0 CC tournament loss @ Haverford in 2014.
F&M 2:1 Dickinson
Hop 3:0 Washington
Swat 3:1 Bears
Fords 3:2 Muhles
Bullets: 1:0 WMD
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 02, 2019, 05:57:36 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 30, 2019, 04:35:06 PM
Dickinson @ F&M (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Hop @ Wash C (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Alvernia @ Messiah (10/5)
Swat @ Ursinus (10/2); F&M @ Swat (10/5)
Eastern @ Cath (10/1); Drew @ Cath (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Muhles @ Hop (10/5)
Lyco @ Moravian (10/1); Mora @ Susquehana (10/5)
Bullets @ McDaniel (10/5; Fords @ G'burg (10/5)
Fords @ Muhles (10/2); Fords @ G'burg
Note the 10/1 (tuesday) games...
Fords and Muhles with HUGE weeks ahead.
Meaningless stat of the day:
With a 3-0 win over WAC today, Hopkins has now won 23 consecutive Wednesday games, dating back to a 1-0 CC tournament loss @ Haverford in 2014.
How and why do you know this. ;D
Big weekend ahead for the region...in bold are the biggest of the big to tune into
F&M @ Swat
Muhles @ JHU
Alvernia @ Messiah
Drew @ Catholic
Moravian @ Susquehanna
Scranton @ Goucher
Etown @ Juniata
Keystone @ Cairn
Widener @ Lyco
Eastern @ Kings
Wash @ McDaniel
Arcadia @ LVC
Ursinus @ Dickinson
Stevens @ Misericordia
Fords @ Gettysburg
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--Make it 9 wins in a row for the Diplomats to improve to 10-1-0.
2. Hopkins--JHU stays hot and improves to 9-2-0.
3. Messiah--The Falcons won a surprisingly tough conference tilt and move to 7-2-2.
4. Catholic--The Cardinals are unbeaten in the last 10 games and move to 10-1-1.
5. Gettysburg--The Bullets move to 6-3-1 on the year as they draw the Fords.
6. Lyco--The Warriors have won 3 straight and improve to 7-4-0 on the year.
7. Moravian--The Greyhounds fell in OT to Lyco but bounced back to start conference play to move to 8-2-1.
8. Swat--The Garnet are slowly coming back to reality as they drop to 7-2-2 as they have picked up 4 blemishes in the last 6 games.
9. Muhles--Muhles only have 1 win in the last 5 games and drop to 6-3-2 and remain winless in conference play.
10. Stevens--Winless in the last 5 games as the Ducks drop to 6-3-2.
HM: Etown, Dickinson, Stevenson
Eastern @ F&M (10/9); F&M @ Ursinus (10/12)
Swat @ Hop (10/12)
Arcadia @ Messiah (10/8); Messiah @ Widener (10/12)
Catholic @ Galludet (10/8); Susq. @ Catholic (10/12)
Bullets @ Susq. (10/9); Bullets @ Muhles (10/12)
Lycoming @ Arcadia (10/12)
Cairn @ Swat (10/8); Swat & Hop (10/12)
Muhles @ Moravian (10/9); Muhles @ Scranton (10/12)
Wilkes @ Stevens (10/12)
Etown @ Drew (10/12)
Dickinson @ Mis. (10/9); WashC @ Dick. (10/12)
LebValley @ Stevenson (10/8); Steve @ Alvernia (10/11)
I just bolded those games because they weren't on the "traditional" Wed/Sat schedule. I don't anticipate the crosstown match btwn Catholic and Galludet to be especially competitive, for example.
MAF Top 10 Rankings
1. F&M
2. JHU
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Swat
6. Gettysburg
7. Muhles
8. Lyco
9. Stevens
10. Moravian
HM: Etown, Fords, Dickinson, Scranton
Seems to me there is a nice dropoff from the top 5 to the next 5.
Stevenson scores with 90 seconds left in the second OT to notch their sixth straight win.
Messiah and Catholic with easy wins.
UNITED SOCCER COACHES NCAA DIII MEN — MID-ATLANTIC REGIONAL RANKING AS OF 10/8
https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/rankings/college-rankings/ncaa-diii-men-mid-atlantic/ (https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/rankings/college-rankings/ncaa-diii-men-mid-atlantic/)
Fords shut out Scranton last night 1-0.
Dickinson scores with about 3 minutes left to put the game into OT. 2-2..
Not to put it on the goalie, but Mis.'s keeper biffed a fairly easy long throw-in... Dropped it right at the feet of a Dickinson player who slotted it home.
F&M 4:1 Eastern
Susq. 1:0 G'burg
Swat 5:0 Cairn
Muhles 1:0 Moravian
Mis. 2:3 Dick. (1OT)
Dickinson wins in the first OT session off of a BEAUTIFUL header from 8 yards out. Ball crossed in from the right flank and the Dickinson player met it in stride and HAMMERED it into the back of the net.
Plucky road win for the Red (Devils? Raiders? whatever.)
St. Mary's, who are having one of the best seasons they've had in awhile (I assume) lost to top 5 Chris. Newport tonight 3:1.
Actually, last year St. Mary's was 12-4-4 and went to the CAC final. They're definitely one to keep in eye on in the future after putting other another nice season this year.
Yeah, it's why I said assume. I've been flying around checking top 25 programs and was too lazy to unsettle my bias about SMC. Thanks for putting me in check.
It's a beautiful campus, but in the middle of nowhere... They have a nationally ranked sailing program, to put them in context. My favorite BIL is an alum.
But back in my day, their soccer team was butt. :D
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 09, 2019, 09:16:54 PM
F&M 4:1 Eastern
Susq. 1:0 G'burg
Swat 5:0 Cairn
Muhles 1:0 Moravian
Mis. 2:3 Dick. (1OT)
That might be the dagger for Moravian in terms of an at-large bid but they still have put together a nice enough resume that should see them fighting to be regionally ranked. Nice, gritty road win for Dickinson. Misericordia has been down recently but is trending up this season and it always seems to be a difficult place to play for the visitors despite the end result. This year LVC tied there after being down 3-0, Stevens drew there, and now Dickinson's come from behind win. Back in 2016 Messiah drew and Lyco and Camden both fell on the road to the Cougars.
Gettysburg with an absolute howler of a result to Susquehanna. This one will really damage their potential ranking and the Bullets are trending in the wrong direction as they fall to 6-4-1 for the year and 1-2-1 in their last 4 with the lone win against McDaniel. Huge game upcoming as they travel to Muhlenberg which may eliminate one of them all together and keep the other alive both in conference and regionally. I think the Muhles are already on the outside looking in but a result vs Gettysburg could keep them alive. Gettysburg next 5 include @Muhles, Dickinson, Randolph-Macon, @Swat, F&M. 2 losses in this stretch all but eliminates the Bullets from any at-large consideration and possibly regional ranking consideration.
Swat with an easy and needed win over Cairn. The Garnet still have 3 difficult games left with @JHU, Getty, @Fords. F&M also with an easy win over Eastern who has been horrendous this year. AQ or bust for the Eagles who were Sweet 16 bound just a year ago. F&M looks comfortably in already as they improve to 11-1-0 on the year and have won 10 in a row.
I'd also like to add that I am shocked by the most recent USC regional rankings. I have come to understand the NCAA regional rankings will be more accurate and make more sense but even from the eyeball test I don't get how Haverford is ranked 5th when they are barely .500 and have more blemishes than wins? I didn't even have them in my top 10 this week yet the coaches have them at #5? I have watched them multiple times this year and they are about as good as their record indicates. They tied Wilkes, who is not good to put it nicely, and have 1 good win over JHU. From just a guess, if the rankings came out today and had the RvR, they would be at best 1-3-2...This RvR and subpar winning % can't be overlooked by having a strong SOS (I am guessing SOS will be good as always). Same for the Muhles as they don't look to have a ranked win yet which accounts for all 5 of their blemishes and won't have nearly the SOS that the Fords have but better win%. It doesn't make any sense from following along over the years as this is the most bizarre rankings I have seen from the USC for this region.
Trending up: Messiah, Lyco. Etown, Dickinson
Trending down: Getty, Muhles, Fords, Stevens
Weekend Games to Watch
F&M @ Ursinus
Swat @ JHU
Messiah @ Widener
Susquehanna @ Catholic
Etown @ Drew
Moravian @ Scranton
Getty @ Muhles
Hood @ LVC
Lyco @ Arcadia
Wilkes @ Stevens
Tufts @ Amherst ;D
I think you are giving Moravian too much credit. They are a young team and next year will be their year but as of now they play some matches well and others, well not so great. They were completely outplayed by Lycoming and Susquehanna had the better of them also. If not for a last minute, questionable PK call Moravian would be on a three game losing streak.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 08:56:24 AM
I'd also like to add that I am shocked by the most recent USC regional rankings. I have come to understand the NCAA regional rankings will be more accurate and make more sense but even from the eyeball test I don't get how Haverford is ranked 5th when they are barely .500 and have more blemishes than wins? I didn't even have them in my top 10 this week yet the coaches have them at #5? I have watched them multiple times this year and they are about as good as their record indicates. They tied Wilkes, who is not good to put it nicely, and have 1 good win over JHU. From just a guess, if the rankings came out today and had the RvR, they would be at best 1-3-2...This RvR and subpar winning % can't be overlooked by having a strong SOS (I am guessing SOS will be good as always). Same for the Muhles as they don't look to have a ranked win yet which accounts for all 5 of their blemishes and won't have nearly the SOS that the Fords have but better win%. It doesn't make any sense from following along over the years as this is the most bizarre rankings I have seen from the USC for this region.
I'll admit I am biased, but I, in fact, typically overvalue Haverford due to their long history of success... But I have to agree with you on their current ranking. That quality win against Hopkins... I watched a good chunk of that second half and it was one way traffic towards the Fords goal. Shots were 22(!) to 2 (!) and corners were 7 to 1 in favor of Hopkins. Extremely fortunate to pull that one off.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 08:56:24 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 09, 2019, 09:16:54 PM
F&M 4:1 Eastern
Susq. 1:0 G'burg
Swat 5:0 Cairn
Muhles 1:0 Moravian
Mis. 2:3 Dick. (1OT)
I'd also like to add that I am shocked by the most recent USC regional rankings. I have come to understand the NCAA regional rankings will be more accurate and make more sense but even from the eyeball test I don't get how Haverford is ranked 5th when they are barely .500 and have more blemishes than wins? I didn't even have them in my top 10 this week yet the coaches have them at #5? I have watched them multiple times this year and they are about as good as their record indicates. They tied Wilkes, who is not good to put it nicely, and have 1 good win over JHU. From just a guess, if the rankings came out today and had the RvR, they would be at best 1-3-2...This RvR and subpar winning % can't be overlooked by having a strong SOS (I am guessing SOS will be good as always). Same for the Muhles as they don't look to have a ranked win yet which accounts for all 5 of their blemishes and won't have nearly the SOS that the Fords have but better win%. It doesn't make any sense from following along over the years as this is the most bizarre rankings I have seen from the USC for this region.
Trending up: Messiah, Lyco. Etown, Dickinson
Trending down: Getty, Muhles, Fords, Stevens
I had exactly the opposite thought: I was wondering why both you and Shooter have the Fords ranked so low. I'll admit up front that I haven't yet seen them play this year, so I can't apply the eyeball test. With that noted, let's compare the Fords to Muhles, a team that Haverford just defeated. Yes, the Muhles are 7-3-2 to the Fords' 5-3-3. But let's compare their records against similar teams.
Against top-50 teams (per Massey), Fords are 2-2-2, Muhles are 0-3-2.
Against #51-#148, Fords are 2-0-1, Muhles are 1-0.
Against sub-148 teams, Fords are 1-1, Muhles are 6-0.
So it seems to me that the difference in record is primarily due to differences in schedule strength. BTW, in case you're wondering why I put the break point at 148, it's because Wilkes is currently #149, so I deliberately constructed this comparison to make Haverford's record look as bad as possible by lumping Wilkes in with a lot of teams that are much worse than Wilkes. Even so, I find Haverford's record more impressive than Muhles.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 09:10:54 AM
Weekend Games to Watch
F&M @ Ursinus
Swat @ JHU
Messiah @ Widener
Susquehanna @ Catholic
Etown @ Drew
Moravian @ Scranton
Getty @ Muhles
Hood @ LVC
Lyco @ Arcadia
Wilkes @ Stevens
Tufts @ Amherst ;D
CC Tournament tickets could be all but wrapped up after this weekend, with the top 5 teams (F&M, Hop, Dick, Fords, Getty) playing the bottom 5. If all goes to plan, #5 (Fords) will be 2 games up on #6 (Swat) with only 4 games left. Don't really see any upset potential in any of these games, but anything can happen.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 09:10:54 AM
Weekend Games to Watch
F&M @ Ursinus
Swat @ JHU
Messiah @ Widener
Susquehanna @ Catholic
Etown @ Drew
Moravian @ Scranton
Getty @ Muhles
Hood @ LVC
Lyco @ Arcadia
Wilkes @ Stevens
Tufts @ Amherst ;D
(Slightly Less) Meaningless Stat of the Day:
Ursinus, who took Dickinson to OT last weekend, hasn't won a CC game since a 2014 win over McDaniel. Can the Bears build on last weekends performance and shock the Dips at home this weekend?
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 10, 2019, 03:08:35 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 09:10:54 AM
Weekend Games to Watch
F&M @ Ursinus
Swat @ JHU
Messiah @ Widener
Susquehanna @ Catholic
Etown @ Drew
Moravian @ Scranton
Getty @ Muhles
Hood @ LVC
Lyco @ Arcadia
Wilkes @ Stevens
Tufts @ Amherst ;D
CC Tournament tickets could be all but wrapped up after this weekend, with the top 5 teams (F&M, Hop, Dick, Fords, Getty) playing the bottom 5. If all goes to plan, #5 (Fords) will be 2 games up on #6 (Swat) with only 4 games left. Don't really see any upset potential in any of these games, but anything can happen.
Swat almost always plays Hop close and they are coming off of a smooth win yesterday.
Quote from: Buck O. on October 10, 2019, 02:43:18 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 08:56:24 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 09, 2019, 09:16:54 PM
F&M 4:1 Eastern
Susq. 1:0 G'burg
Swat 5:0 Cairn
Muhles 1:0 Moravian
Mis. 2:3 Dick. (1OT)
I'd also like to add that I am shocked by the most recent USC regional rankings. I have come to understand the NCAA regional rankings will be more accurate and make more sense but even from the eyeball test I don't get how Haverford is ranked 5th when they are barely .500 and have more blemishes than wins? I didn't even have them in my top 10 this week yet the coaches have them at #5? I have watched them multiple times this year and they are about as good as their record indicates. They tied Wilkes, who is not good to put it nicely, and have 1 good win over JHU. From just a guess, if the rankings came out today and had the RvR, they would be at best 1-3-2...This RvR and subpar winning % can't be overlooked by having a strong SOS (I am guessing SOS will be good as always). Same for the Muhles as they don't look to have a ranked win yet which accounts for all 5 of their blemishes and won't have nearly the SOS that the Fords have but better win%. It doesn't make any sense from following along over the years as this is the most bizarre rankings I have seen from the USC for this region.
Trending up: Messiah, Lyco. Etown, Dickinson
Trending down: Getty, Muhles, Fords, Stevens
I had exactly the opposite thought: I was wondering why both you and Shooter have the Fords ranked so low. I'll admit up front that I haven't yet seen them play this year, so I can't apply the eyeball test. With that noted, let's compare the Fords to Muhles, a team that Haverford just defeated. Yes, the Muhles are 7-3-2 to the Fords' 5-3-3. But let's compare their records against similar teams.
Against top-50 teams (per Massey), Fords are 2-2-2, Muhles are 0-3-2.
Against #51-#148, Fords are 2-0-1, Muhles are 1-0.
Against sub-148 teams, Fords are 1-1, Muhles are 6-0.
So it seems to me that the difference in record is primarily due to differences in schedule strength. BTW, in case you're wondering why I put the break point at 148, it's because Wilkes is currently #149, so I deliberately constructed this comparison to make Haverford's record look as bad as possible by lumping Wilkes in with a lot of teams that are much worse than Wilkes. Even so, I find Haverford's record more impressive than Muhles.
I wasn't comparing Muhles and Fords I was saying I think both are ranked to high. I think teams like Lycoming and Dickinson and even Etown who have less or similar blemishes should be in the mixer yet they aren't even discussed. I stand by Haverford being at #5 is WAYYYY too high for their resume but that's just my take. I totally agree with you that they have a better resume than Muhles no doubt about it and never argued that.
I understand the push back on Moravian from Franklyspeaking, but have watched them 3 or 4 times this year and think they are overall solid and difficult to break down which makes them competitive every time they step on the field. Do I think they are competing for an at-large at this point--NO but do I think they should be in the discussion of regionally ranked per the USC polls--YES. They beat Wilkes who the Fords tied, tied a Ramapo team who has only lost once all year and battled Montclair, Lyco and Muhles all to 1-0 games. If any one of those losses go the other way I think the conversation is different around them. Once again I think they should be discussed to be ranked I do not think they should be discussed for an at-large as the SOS ultimately wont be high enough compared to others and the RvR won't be the best. For the sake of this argument they should be in over Stevens if we are going by the below data and USC poll.
Against top-50 teams (per Massey), Fords are 2-2-2, Muhles are 0-3-2, Lyco are 1-3-0, Dickinson are 2-3-0, Etown are 0-3-0, Moravian are 0-2-0, Stevens are 0-1-0
Against #51-#148, Fords are 2-0-1, Muhles are 1-0, Lyco are 4-1-0, Dickinson are 2-2-0, Etown are 2-0-1, Moravian are 0-1-1, Stevens are 0-2-1
Against sub-148 teams, Fords are 1-1, Muhles are 6-0, Lycoming are 2-0-0, Dickinson are 3-0-0, Etown are 5-0-0, Moravian are 8-0-0, Stevens are 6-0-1
So I guess the question is what outweighs what (leaving Muhles and Moravian out as we all agree they are bottom of this grouping w/Stevens)?
Fords are 4-2-3 vs top 148 vs Lyco who is 5-4-0 vs Dickinson who is 4-5-0 vs Etown who is 2-3-1.
Lyco-Dickinson-Fords have all played 9 games against top 148 so all are even with that.
Lyco has the most wins and least blemishes, Fords have the least losses (Etown technically has the least blemishes but played the least teams in that range).
Fords are the only team to lose to a team outside the top 148 as none of the other teams have lost a game to a sub148 team (This includes all the teams above btw).
Overall Etown and Lyco have higher win percentages and less blemishes than Haverford and Dickinson.
So my question is still why is Haverford slotted 5/10 in the rankings, Stevens still ranked but Moravian shouldn't be, Etown only being 9th and Lyco or Dickinson not even discussed or ranked?
Should the Fords be ranked--sure you clearly made the case for that but I disagree that they should be top 5 right now and that was my original statement.
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 10, 2019, 03:14:44 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 09:10:54 AM
Weekend Games to Watch
F&M @ Ursinus
Swat @ JHU
Messiah @ Widener
Susquehanna @ Catholic
Etown @ Drew
Moravian @ Scranton
Getty @ Muhles
Hood @ LVC
Lyco @ Arcadia
Wilkes @ Stevens
Tufts @ Amherst ;D
(Slightly Less) Meaningless Stat of the Day:
Ursinus, who took Dickinson to OT last weekend, hasn't won a CC game since a 2014 win over McDaniel. Can the Bears build on last weekends performance and shock the Dips at home this weekend?
Love these meaningless stats ;D
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 10, 2019, 04:15:47 PM
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 10, 2019, 03:08:35 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 09:10:54 AM
Weekend Games to Watch
F&M @ Ursinus
Swat @ JHU
Messiah @ Widener
Susquehanna @ Catholic
Etown @ Drew
Moravian @ Scranton
Getty @ Muhles
Hood @ LVC
Lyco @ Arcadia
Wilkes @ Stevens
Tufts @ Amherst ;D
CC Tournament tickets could be all but wrapped up after this weekend, with the top 5 teams (F&M, Hop, Dick, Fords, Getty) playing the bottom 5. If all goes to plan, #5 (Fords) will be 2 games up on #6 (Swat) with only 4 games left. Don't really see any upset potential in any of these games, but anything can happen.
Swat almost always plays Hop close and they are coming off of a smooth win yesterday.
ALMOST always ;) https://swarthmoreathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/stats/2015/johns-hopkins/boxscore/6315
Quote from: Buck O. on October 10, 2019, 02:43:18 PM
I had exactly the opposite thought: I was wondering why both you and Shooter have the Fords ranked so low. I'll admit up front that I haven't yet seen them play this year, so I can't apply the eyeball test.
Maybe the Fords vs.McDaniel tomorrow at 4 pm should be added to the list of "games to watch" this weekend. Then we can see if their USC regional ranking is undeserved ... or understandable given their SOS is one the toughest in the country. MAF is right - the Wilkes 2OT tie was truly not good, but they lost their 2 of their 3 senior captains to serious injuries - one of them in that very game. The team has rallied since then and stepped up; the win against JHU, and two come from behind games against the Mules (a win 3-2), and Getty (tied 2-2). Time will tell if their remaining CC results propel them to the recent success they've had as CC champions 3 of the last 4 years. I wouldn't count them out yet.
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 10, 2019, 05:54:21 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 10, 2019, 04:15:47 PM
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 10, 2019, 03:08:35 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 09:10:54 AM
Weekend Games to Watch
F&M @ Ursinus
Swat @ JHU
Messiah @ Widener
Susquehanna @ Catholic
Etown @ Drew
Moravian @ Scranton
Getty @ Muhles
Hood @ LVC
Lyco @ Arcadia
Wilkes @ Stevens
Tufts @ Amherst ;D
CC Tournament tickets could be all but wrapped up after this weekend, with the top 5 teams (F&M, Hop, Dick, Fords, Getty) playing the bottom 5. If all goes to plan, #5 (Fords) will be 2 games up on #6 (Swat) with only 4 games left. Don't really see any upset potential in any of these games, but anything can happen.
Swat almost always plays Hop close and they are coming off of a smooth win yesterday.
ALMOST always ;) https://swarthmoreathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/stats/2015/johns-hopkins/boxscore/6315
Yeah, again, I'm sometimes guilty of being in a time warp back to the late 80s/90s, BUT... The teams have pretty much split (4-5-1) over the last 8 or 9 years and the overall series record is 32-28-9 (with Hop ahead), so... Pretty even in the grand scheme.
But, yeah, that was a butt whooping.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 10, 2019, 07:22:35 PM
Quote from: Buck O. on October 10, 2019, 02:43:18 PM
I had exactly the opposite thought: I was wondering why both you and Shooter have the Fords ranked so low. I'll admit up front that I haven't yet seen them play this year, so I can't apply the eyeball test.
Maybe the Fords vs.McDaniel tomorrow at 4 pm should be added to the list of "games to watch" this weekend. Then we can see if their USC regional ranking is undeserved ... or understandable given their SOS is one the toughest in the country. MAF is right - the Wilkes 2OT tie was truly not good, but they lost their 2 of their 3 senior captains to serious injuries - one of them in that very game. The team has rallied since then and stepped up; the win against JHU, and two come from behind games against the Mules (a win 3-2), and Getty (tied 2-2). Time will tell if their remaining CC results propel them to the recent success they've had as CC champions 3 of the last 4 years. I wouldn't count them out yet.
I am not discrediting how good they are or could be. I am just stating I believe 5 is too high for the current resume that is all. I am sure they will be in the mixer toward the end of the year as they tend to always be. But right now I think 5 is too high and I don't think they would be that high in the NCAA regional rankings but who knows. Also injuries happen for every team it's a part of the game. Messiah has been crippled by injuries over the past couple years and that wasn't used as an excuse for them so I am not a fan of that angle. Also the angle of if they beat one of the bottom 2 teams in conference means the rankings is deserved is also one I am in disagreement with. Once again I am not counting them out and I think they are definitely down this year from what I have watched compared to years past but right not they are not the 5th best team in the region from my viewpoint. I like the dialogue and appreciate the conversation on this so please don't take my statements any other way I appreciate the differing opinions ;D
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 10, 2019, 07:22:35 PM
Maybe the Fords vs.McDaniel tomorrow at 4 pm should be added to the list of "games to watch" this weekend.
Game postponed until 10/23 @ 3:30. McDaniel's bus did not show up!!
MAF...I understand and appreciate your POV on the Fords USC regional ranking being high for their record so far. Probably their SOS and win against JHU has boosted them and Massey has them at 26 nationally...SOS being a major factor there too. Wish we both could have watched today's game and debated the outcome! CC tournament will be the final arbiter...and only halfway through the regular season. I AM a rabid Fords homer... but love the reading the board as I love the sport and appreciate everyone's opinions too.
Quote from: Buck O. on October 10, 2019, 02:43:18 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2019, 08:56:24 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 09, 2019, 09:16:54 PM
F&M 4:1 Eastern
Susq. 1:0 G'burg
Swat 5:0 Cairn
Muhles 1:0 Moravian
Mis. 2:3 Dick. (1OT)
I'd also like to add that I am shocked by the most recent USC regional rankings. I have come to understand the NCAA regional rankings will be more accurate and make more sense but even from the eyeball test I don't get how Haverford is ranked 5th when they are barely .500 and have more blemishes than wins? I didn't even have them in my top 10 this week yet the coaches have them at #5? I have watched them multiple times this year and they are about as good as their record indicates. They tied Wilkes, who is not good to put it nicely, and have 1 good win over JHU. From just a guess, if the rankings came out today and had the RvR, they would be at best 1-3-2...This RvR and subpar winning % can't be overlooked by having a strong SOS (I am guessing SOS will be good as always). Same for the Muhles as they don't look to have a ranked win yet which accounts for all 5 of their blemishes and won't have nearly the SOS that the Fords have but better win%. It doesn't make any sense from following along over the years as this is the most bizarre rankings I have seen from the USC for this region.
Trending up: Messiah, Lyco. Etown, Dickinson
Trending down: Getty, Muhles, Fords, Stevens
I had exactly the opposite thought: I was wondering why both you and Shooter have the Fords ranked so low. I'll admit up front that I haven't yet seen them play this year, so I can't apply the eyeball test. With that noted, let's compare the Fords to Muhles, a team that Haverford just defeated. Yes, the Muhles are 7-3-2 to the Fords' 5-3-3. But let's compare their records against similar teams.
Against top-50 teams (per Massey), Fords are 2-2-2, Muhles are 0-3-2.
Against #51-#148, Fords are 2-0-1, Muhles are 1-0.
Against sub-148 teams, Fords are 1-1, Muhles are 6-0.
So it seems to me that the difference in record is primarily due to differences in schedule strength. BTW, in case you're wondering why I put the break point at 148, it's because Wilkes is currently #149, so I deliberately constructed this comparison to make Haverford's record look as bad as possible by lumping Wilkes in with a lot of teams that are much worse than Wilkes. Even so, I find Haverford's record more impressive than Muhles.
I am low on them because I don't think they are very good. Did anybody see their game against Scranton earlier in the week? They are fortunate to be 5-3-3 right now. They literally have 1 good win vs JHU where they were outplayed and outshot by a sizable margin. None of the 4 other games they won are good wins and the difficult contests they have had they are 0-3-2 in outside of the JHU game (Centre, Rowan, Camden, F&M, Gettysburg) which doesn't even include the Wilkes tie. They have been outshot in all of these games by JHU 22-2 WON?, Centre 16-12 LOST, Rowan 25-16 TIED, Camden 13-12 LOST, F&M 15-9 LOST, Gettysburg 22-14 TIED. Doesn't benefit the case very much to have data show they haven't been the better side let alone even equal in many of these games. I don't think they should even be ranked right now.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 11, 2019, 02:36:25 PM
I am low on them because I don't think they are very good. Did anybody see their game against Scranton earlier in the week? They are fortunate to be 5-3-3 right now. They literally have 1 good win vs JHU where they were outplayed and outshot by a sizable margin. None of the 4 other games they won are good wins and the difficult contests they have had they are 0-3-2 in outside of the JHU game (Centre, Rowan, Camden, F&M, Gettysburg) which doesn't even include the Wilkes tie. They have been outshot in all of these games by JHU 22-2 WON?, Centre 16-12 LOST, Rowan 25-16 TIED, Camden 13-12 LOST, F&M 15-9 LOST, Gettysburg 22-14 TIED. Doesn't benefit the case very much to have data show they haven't been the better side let alone even equal in many of these games. I don't think they should even be ranked right now.
It's the quality of the shots...not the quantity that matters. Honestly, we really don't have truly good stats that are indicative of a team's performance, such as possession time in the offensive third for example - or pass accuracy, so it's tough to debate. SOG might be a better data point, which for the games you cited are:
JHU 11-2 (WON 1-0)
Centre 5-5 (LOST 2-0)
Rowan 11-6 (TIED 2-2 in 2OT)
Camden 6-8 (LOST 3-2 in OT)
F&M 9-5 (2-1 LOST)
Gettysburg 9-5 (TIED 2-2 in 2OT)
I would posit the Fords play a style where they take fewer shots, but those they do take have a higher potential to score. They were unlucky in 4 OT games, (including the Wilkes 2OT scoreless game (32 shots, SOG 10 to Wilkes 4 ugh), but only one of their losses were they outshot on goal (F&M), the other where they had the same SOG stat (Centre).
The remainder of conference play will show if the USC ranking is legit and should be confirmed by the NCAA regional ranking in a few weeks.
Catholic 3:2 Susq. (Catholic needed an 81st minute goal to take this one.)
Muhles 1:2 G'burg (A ton of yellow cards for the Muhles. I don't know if this got ugly early for some reason, but I watched most of the second half and it was VERY chippy.)
Alvernia 1:0 Stevenson (This happened on Friday... Pretty bad L for Stevenson)
F&M 2:1 Drew (Dips keep the momentum going 5-0 in the CC)
Dickinson about to kick off against WC; Hopkins and Swat square off at 6:30. Messiah at Widener @ 7:30.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2019, 03:50:48 PM
Catholic 3:2 Susq. (Catholic needed an 81st minute goal to take this one.)
Muhles 1:2 G'burg (A ton of yellow cards for the Muhles. I don't know if this got ugly early for some reason, but I watched most of the second half and it was VERY chippy.)
Alvernia 1:0 Stevenson (This happened on Friday... Pretty bad L for Stevenson)
F&M 2:1 Drew (Dips keep the momentum going 5-0 in the CC)
Dickinson about to kick off against WC; Hopkins and Swat square off at 6:30. Messiah at Widener @ 7:30.
Not surprised by the Alvernia win. They also beat Hood past week. They were the best darn 1-9 team I've seen when they played Messiah. High pressure all game, intercepted a ton of passes. Maybe they had injuries early on or just needed time to gel. That was a much tougher game than John Carrol game. Most losses were also by 1 goal..they were not getting badly beaten.
Also Elizabethtown 2:0 Drew; 2-0 now in Landmark conference play, 8-3-1 overall. They don't play Catholic until the last regular season game.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2019, 03:50:48 PM
F&M 2:1 Drew (Dips keep the momentum going 5-0 in the CC)
F&M was against Ursinus. Tied 1-1 until 80th minute. Chippy at the end... YC for both teams.
Quote from: rudy on October 12, 2019, 04:36:53 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2019, 03:50:48 PM
Catholic 3:2 Susq. (Catholic needed an 81st minute goal to take this one.)
Muhles 1:2 G'burg (A ton of yellow cards for the Muhles. I don't know if this got ugly early for some reason, but I watched most of the second half and it was VERY chippy.)
Alvernia 1:0 Stevenson (This happened on Friday... Pretty bad L for Stevenson)
F&M 2:1 Drew (Dips keep the momentum going 5-0 in the CC)
Dickinson about to kick off against WC; Hopkins and Swat square off at 6:30. Messiah at Widener @ 7:30.
Not surprised by the Alvernia win. They also beat Hood past week. They were the best darn 1-9 team I've seen when they played Messiah. High pressure all game, intercepted a ton of passes. Maybe they had injuries early on or just needed time to gel. That was a much tougher game than John Carrol game. Most losses were also by 1 goal..they were not getting badly beaten.
I fully agree with Rudy. I cannot understand how they have that record: they are well coached, well organized, and they play hard. If they keep playing this well, they will make the conference tournament.
Quote from: Falconer on October 12, 2019, 05:02:57 PM
Quote from: rudy on October 12, 2019, 04:36:53 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2019, 03:50:48 PM
Catholic 3:2 Susq. (Catholic needed an 81st minute goal to take this one.)
Muhles 1:2 G'burg (A ton of yellow cards for the Muhles. I don't know if this got ugly early for some reason, but I watched most of the second half and it was VERY chippy.)
Alvernia 1:0 Stevenson (This happened on Friday... Pretty bad L for Stevenson)
F&M 2:1 Drew (Dips keep the momentum going 5-0 in the CC)
Dickinson about to kick off against WC; Hopkins and Swat square off at 6:30. Messiah at Widener @ 7:30.
Not surprised by the Alvernia win. They also beat Hood past week. They were the best darn 1-9 team I've seen when they played Messiah. High pressure all game, intercepted a ton of passes. Maybe they had injuries early on or just needed time to gel. That was a much tougher game than John Carrol game. Most losses were also by 1 goal..they were not getting badly beaten.
I fully agree with Rudy. I cannot understand how they have that record: they are well coached, well organized, and they play hard. If they keep playing this well, they will make the conference tournament.
I was curious so looked at the starters for Alvernia in earlier 3-0 loss to ETown. The goalie was replaced with a freshman. Also 4 other new starters. I also think they will make the conference tournament. And they were actually 1-10-2 when they played Messiah. Compared to the Arcadia game that was very one sided...Alvernia played more like Lycoming.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on October 12, 2019, 04:41:39 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2019, 03:50:48 PM
F&M 2:1 Drew (Dips keep the momentum going 5-0 in the CC)
F&M was against Ursinus. Tied 1-1 until 80th minute. Chippy at the end... YC for both teams.
Yeah, thanks, not sure how I botched the etown-drew thing.
Good insight on Alvernia. Wasn't trying to slight them, but, I mean... That's not a good look for a Stevenson team that has not really beaten a quality side... Quick glance, LebValley is their best win. They got got by St. Mary's and Gettysburg... Tied Stevens, which is still a side I'm not sold on at this point.
Lycoming loses to Arcadia. That's a surprise. Lyco is 6-0 at home and 1-4 on the road. Messiah playing at Lyco this week so it should be tight game on their field.
Wow... anyone watch the JHU Swat game? 2-2 2OT, but JHU scores on 2 PKs, the second one tied it up in the last 30 seconds. Lots of cards too - including a straight RC in OT to JHU's Creedon who had scored the PK to tie it up.
I watched the first half, which saw a field tilted towards Swats goal but Swat scoring against the run of play. Bailed on the second half because it was Saturday night. :D
From the stats in the second half, Swat came out shooting - 7 shots vs. 1 in the first half, and totaled 6-4 SOG for the game. Interesting that JHU, who is nationally ranked #7 couldn't put it away and their goals scored were 2 PKs, but credit to them they held the tie playing down a man the last seven minutes.
Also interesting that nationally ranked #4 F&M almost had to settle for a tie with #188 (Massey) Ursinus - the winning goal came in the last 10 minutes. The CC game to watch next Saturday is F&M vs. JHU. Mathematically, the CC tournament slots are still not settled, and the lower ranked teams are trying to break down the door.
Yeah, to reiterate, the Swat = Hop game is as close to a long-standing rivalry as there is for Hop. Haverford is up there, too. With just a few exceptions, chuck the rankings out the window.
Quote from: rudy on October 12, 2019, 10:09:12 PM
Lycoming loses to Arcadia. That's a surprise. Lyco is 6-0 at home and 1-4 on the road. Messiah playing at Lyco this week so it should be tight game on their field.
Really poor loss for the Warriors and the Mustangs as noted above. Big game midweek for Lyco as they host Messiah. I will be tuning into this one! The Commonwealth is wide open outside of Messiah's grasp on first place. The Freedom is up for grabs as well as 2nd place and 7th place are separated by just 1 game or 3 points. The Centennial is all but locked with the top 5 teams it will be a matter of seeding. The Landmark should be fun as well outside of Catholic and Etown snagging the first 2 spots. Lots of soccer left!
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--12-1-0
2. Hopkins--9-2-1
3. Messiah--9-2-2
4. Catholic--12-1-1
5. Gettysburg--7-4-1
6. Dickinson--8-5-0
7. Etown--8-3-1
8. Swat--8-2-3
9. Stevens--7-3-2
10. Fords--5-3-3
HM: Lyco, Moravian, PSU-Harrisburg, Keystone
Still not understanding the Moravian love. Beat a poor Juniata team 3-2, lost to Lycoming, beat Susquehanna on a pk call, lost to Muhlenberg, lost to Scranton. Could have lost their last 5. Earlier in the year lost to Montclair and tied Ramapo, which if you look at their schedule might be the best result they have........a tie to Ramapo. In your defense, I dont know who I would put in there, maybe Scranton.
(Meaningless) Stat of the Day
Dickinson's Kevin Gilbert picked up his 8th goal of the year in Saturday's 2-1 win over WAC, putting him 1 behind Haverford's Nick Jannelli for the conference lead. Dickinson is 6-0-0 when Gilbert has scored this year, and is 20-1-3 when he has scored in his career (34 goals). It certainly seems like Dickinson's fate is tied to the success of its First Team All-CC striker. With games still to play against Getty, Fords, and Hopkins, Dickinson certainly has a chance to bolster it's resume before the tournament, and should be one to watch in the regional rankings in the coming weeks.
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 14, 2019, 02:11:31 PM
(Meaningless) Stat of the Day
Keep those stats coming, Young Buck! May your reap your karmic reward for digging up chestnuts like this one and the JHU stat from the other day.
Quote from: franklyspeaking on October 14, 2019, 12:36:18 PM
Still not understanding the Moravian love. Beat a poor Juniata team 3-2, lost to Lycoming, beat Susquehanna on a pk call, lost to Muhlenberg, lost to Scranton. Could have lost their last 5. Earlier in the year lost to Montclair and tied Ramapo, which if you look at their schedule might be the best result they have........a tie to Ramapo. In your defense, I dont know who I would put in there, maybe Scranton.
Scranton or Kings...
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 14, 2019, 11:54:02 AM
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--12-1-0
2. Hopkins--9-2-1
3. Messiah--9-2-2
4. Catholic--12-1-1
5. Gettysburg--7-4-1
6. Dickinson--8-5-0
7. Etown--8-3-1
8. Swat--8-2-3
9. Stevens--7-3-2
10. Fords--5-3-3
HM: Lyco, Moravian, PSU-Harrisburg, Keystone
F&M @ Hop (10/19)
Messiah @ Lyco (10/16); LVC @ Messiah (10/19)
Catholic @ WashC (TONIGHT @ 7); Cath @ Juniata (10/19)
G-berg @ Dickinson (10/19)
E-town @ Lancaster Bible (10/16); Scranton @ Etown (10/19)
Swat @ Western Maryland (10/19)
FDU-F @ Stevens (10/19)
Fords @ Drew (TONIGHT @ 7); Fords @ WashC (10/19)
Late first half and Washington College up 2-0 on Catholic.
WashC 2:0 Catholic
Fords 1:0 Drew
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 14, 2019, 09:01:25 AM
Quote from: rudy on October 12, 2019, 10:09:12 PM
Lycoming loses to Arcadia. That's a surprise. Lyco is 6-0 at home and 1-4 on the road. Messiah playing at Lyco this week so it should be tight game on their field.
Really poor loss for the Warriors and the Mustangs as noted above. Big game midweek for Lyco as they host Messiah. I will be tuning into this one! The Commonwealth is wide open outside of Messiah's grasp on first place. The Freedom is up for grabs as well as 2nd place and 7th place are separated by just 1 game or 3 points. The Centennial is all but locked with the top 5 teams it will be a matter of seeding. The Landmark should be fun as well outside of Catholic and Etown snagging the first 2 spots. Lots of soccer left!
Lyco stream is either at field level or slightly above that so it's not the best for viewing. Should be a battle regardless of Lyvo last loss on the road. They are a different team at home.
So much for Scranton getting that top 10 vote. Tied Ursinus, not a good result.
Quote from: rudy on October 16, 2019, 07:12:40 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 14, 2019, 09:01:25 AM
Quote from: rudy on October 12, 2019, 10:09:12 PM
Lycoming loses to Arcadia. That's a surprise. Lyco is 6-0 at home and 1-4 on the road. Messiah playing at Lyco this week so it should be tight game on their field.
Really poor loss for the Warriors and the Mustangs as noted above. Big game midweek for Lyco as they host Messiah. I will be tuning into this one! The Commonwealth is wide open outside of Messiah's grasp on first place. The Freedom is up for grabs as well as 2nd place and 7th place are separated by just 1 game or 3 points. The Centennial is all but locked with the top 5 teams it will be a matter of seeding. The Landmark should be fun as well outside of Catholic and Etown snagging the first 2 spots. Lots of soccer left!
Lyco stream is either at field level or slightly above that so it's not the best for viewing. Should be a battle regardless of Lyvo last loss on the road. They are a different team at home.
Lyco is indeed always tough at home; they use their field to their advantage (quite properly), and with very heavy rain expected all afternoon in PA, we'll have to see whether the game is even played at all (I haven't heard anything about a cancellation), and if so whether the torrent adversely affects either team. It's really too bad that this game is likely to be played under a (very big and dark) cloud, given the importance that the Lyco-Messiah rivalry has come to have in this decade. But, you can't control the weather...
Ugly game so far, no possession by either side to speak of......each side clearing the ball, no real soccer going on here.
Quote from: franklyspeaking on October 16, 2019, 04:52:44 PM
Ugly game so far, no possession by either side to speak of......each side clearing the ball, no real soccer going on here.
Agreed. Messiah wins ugly--and narrowly--at Lyco, 1-0, on a first half goal by Brit Haseltine, who scores on a rebound after Fitz put one on frame.
Lyco nearly tied it twice in the second half on scrums, but somehow the ball didn't cross the line and the Falcons escape with the big win.
MAF Top 10 Rankings
1. F&M
2. JHU
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Dickinson
7. Fords
8. Etown
9. Swat
10. Stevens
HM: Muhles, Scranton, Stevenson
A little late with these as I was traveling for work! ::)
Quote from: Falconer on October 16, 2019, 05:57:23 PM
Quote from: franklyspeaking on October 16, 2019, 04:52:44 PM
Ugly game so far, no possession by either side to speak of......each side clearing the ball, no real soccer going on here.
Agreed. Messiah wins ugly--and narrowly--at Lyco, 1-0, on a first half goal by Brit Haseltine, who scores on a rebound after Fitz put one on frame.
Lyco nearly tied it twice in the second half on scrums, but somehow the ball didn't cross the line and the Falcons escape with the big win.
I watched a majority of this game and thought it was fairly even. Messiah had the ball a majority of the game as they typically do vs any opponent but I thought the scoring opportunities were relatively even throughout the game as were shots on goal and corners according to the box score. A tough goal for Lycoming to concede as the weather certainly played a factor on that play. I thought the officiating was good for the magnitude of this game but the end was frantic. I couldn't tell from the video feed if the ball crossed the line but from the reaction of the players I wouldn't be surprised if it was a goal. Almost impossible to tell from the video feed I was watching, as mentioned, but a part of me thinks it may have been in on multiple occasions. Regardless, it was a fun game to watch despite the choppy play at times and weather. Lycoming gave Messiah all they could handle and props to the Falcons for going on the road in a tough environment and coming out with a win. This might have been the result that clinched an NCAA berth for the Falcons.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 17, 2019, 09:03:00 AMLycoming gave Messiah all they could handle and props to the Falcons for going on the road in a tough environment and coming out with a win. This might have been the result that clinched an NCAA berth for the Falcons.
Agreed. At least, the Falcons' fate is now in their own hands. If they run the table in the conference, they are probably in regardless of the AQ--which they would have to be favored to win anyway.
This team isn't yet as good as those in each of the past 3 seasons, but but they are very young and getting more mature with each game. The early season period, when several starters were out for a stretch and the Falcons lost or tied 3 games, undoubtedly helped the newest players get acclimated into their sophisticated system, so now when the second team comes in they are not as far behind the first team as they were (IMO) a couple of years ago. The group of FR and SO players are seriously talented and only getting better. The SR group badly misses Jonathan Groothoff (who apparently intends to come back for a postgrad season next fall), but SO Lucas Kokolios (who missed parts of last season) has been dynamite in his place on the wing. They are now much more dangerous on the attack than in that opening stretch, partly owing to healing up and partly owing to experience gained by the newbies.
I watched a bunch of that game and thought Messiah bossed the majority of it and Lycoming attempted to slow down the Falcons and chop up the play with a lot of (clean) fouls. I will say Messiah struggled to create quality chances, given the amount of time they possessed the ball.
F&M @ Hop (10/19)
LVC @ Messiah (10/19)
Cath @ Juniata (10/19)
G-berg @ Dickinson (10/19)
Scranton @ Etown (10/19)
Swat @ Western Maryland (10/19)
FDU-F @ Stevens (10/19)
Fords @ WashC (10/19)
Obviously, Dips v. Jays is the match of the weekend, but a ton of very interesting/important games up and down the region.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 17, 2019, 10:17:45 AM
I watched a bunch of that game and thought Messiah bossed the majority of it and Lycoming attempted to slow down the Falcons and chop up the play with a lot of (clean) fouls. I will say Messiah struggled to create quality chances, given the amount of time they possessed the ball.
Agreed. Messiah was the better team but not by much. Could have gone either way but Messiah had the edge in my view. Hope we see a rematch later this fall!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 17, 2019, 10:32:42 AM
F&M @ Hop (10/19)
LVC @ Messiah (10/19)
Cath @ Juniata (10/19)
G-berg @ Dickinson (10/19)
Scranton @ Etown (10/19)
Swat @ Western Maryland (10/19)
FDU-F @ Stevens (10/19)
Fords @ WashC (10/19)
Obviously, Dips v. Jays is the match of the weekend, but a ton of very interesting/important games up and down the region.
Another interesting match-up of teams sitting just outside the top 10: Lycoming visits Stevenson on Saturday.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 17, 2019, 10:32:42 AM
F&M @ Hop (10/19)
LVC @ Messiah (10/19)
Cath @ Juniata (10/19)
G-berg @ Dickinson (10/19)
Scranton @ Etown (10/19)
Swat @ Western Maryland (10/19)
FDU-F @ Stevens (10/19)
Fords @ WashC (10/19)
Obviously, Dips v. Jays is the match of the weekend, but a ton of very interesting/important games up and down the region.
Scheduling note - F&M and Getty matches are at home.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 17, 2019, 10:32:42 AM
F&M @ Hop (10/19)
LVC @ Messiah (10/19)
Cath @ Juniata (10/19)
G-berg @ Dickinson (10/19)
Scranton @ Etown (10/19)
Swat @ Western Maryland (10/19)
FDU-F @ Stevens (10/19)
Fords @ WashC (10/19)
Obviously, Dips v. Jays is the match of the weekend, but a ton of very interesting/important games up and down the region.
Hop @ F&M 1-0
LVC @ Messiah. 0-1
Cath @ Juniata 2-0
Dickinson @ Getty. 2-4
Scranton @ Etown 2-1
Swat @ Western Maryland 1-0
FDU-F @ Stevens 0-3
Fords @ WashC 1-0
Anyone watch the F&M vs Hopkins game? Stats favor F&M slightly but score obviously goes to Hopkins. 15 shots to 10 and 6 sog to 4. Curious what possession looked like and overall view of which team played better.
Messiah has been undefeated since opening weekend when missing several important players. Not winning by a lot with many 1-0 games but a win is a win. Usually well ahead on shots and sog but not finishing many attempts. The good news is the defense is playing strong with very good goalkeeping. I'm pretty sure the current starting 4 while healthy enough to all play together may have let in one goal at most for the year. And that was a free kick not in the run of play. Last 8 games are a clean sheet with exception of a last second goal in a 5-1 win with the entire bench playing. They are still subbing generously, including the defense, so that second defensive unit is holding up as well. As Tufts has shown in recent years a good defense can win you a championship even if not scoring tons of goals.
Lycoming beats Stevenson 1:0
Moravian beats Drew 2:1
Muhles beat Ursinus 1:0
Going back and looking at past results... Gettysburg losing to Susquehanna might be a real dagger. Will be interesting to see what this week's rankings look like.
Here's the latest on Nick West's budding professional career with Stumptown Athletic:
https://twitter.com/mystumptown/status/1184948490306232320
Quote from: rudy on October 20, 2019, 01:54:20 PM
Anyone watch the F&M vs Hopkins game? Stats favor F&M slightly but score obviously goes to Hopkins. 15 shots to 10 and 6 sog to 4. Curious what possession looked like and overall view of which team played better.
Messiah has been undefeated since opening weekend when missing several important players. Not winning by a lot with many 1-0 games but a win is a win. Usually well ahead on shots and sog but not finishing many attempts. The good news is the defense is playing strong with very good goalkeeping. I'm pretty sure the current starting 4 while healthy enough to all play together may have let in one goal at most for the year. And that was a free kick not in the run of play. Last 8 games are a clean sheet with exception of a last second goal in a 5-1 win with the entire bench playing. They are still subbing generously, including the defense, so that second defensive unit is holding up as well. As Tufts has shown in recent years a good defense can win you a championship even if not scoring tons of goals.
Didn't see the game but from the write-up a few nuggets:
* - Hop scored with 35 seconds left in the first half.
* - This is the highest rated team Hop has beaten. Other highest was beating Chris. Newport back 2010. Both games on the road.
* - F&M's first home conference loss since 2015 - 17 straight. That's damn impressive.
https://www.godiplomats.com/sports/m-soccer/2019-20/releases/20191019mu5fc0
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--12-2-0
2. Hopkins--10-2-1
3. Messiah--11-2-2
4. Catholic--13-2-1
5. Gettysburg--8-4-1
6. Swat--9-2-3
7. Fords--7-3-3
8. Stevens--9-3-2
9. Etown--9-4-1
T10. Lyco/Dickinson--8-6-0
HM: Scranton, Kings, Eastern, Moravian, PSU-Harrisburg, Keystone
NCAA Regional Predicitons
1. F&M
2. Hopkins
3. Messiah
4. Gettyburg
5. Fords
6. Catholic
7. Swat
8. Etown
9. Stevens
10. Lyco/Dickinson/Scranton/Muhles???
No idea on how this will shake out. Always tough to gauge for the first rankings as no RvR is involved so the prioity shifts to mainly SOS and overall win%. Second rankings and onward are easier to predict as the RvR jumps ahead of the win% weight that the first rankings focus on. I had trouble distinguishing 4th, 5th and 6th. Catholic got blanked by Gettysburg early on and will have a low SOS but great win% and some quality wins when the RvR comes into play. I just feel the SOS is going to haunt them compared to Gettysburg and Haverford. Gettysburg and Haverford tied so can't split them with that and both have similar resumes and blemishes. I give Gettysburg the slight edge this time but think when RvR comes into play Haverford will jump them. SOS should be similiar for both. Same goes for the rest of the rankings. Etown and Stevens both with better win% than Dickinson and Lycoming but SOS will be poor for both Etown and Stevens compared to Dickinson and Lyco. I think both those teams will jump come the second rankings but are near the bottom or not even in for the first rankings. I like to look to run of form as well of who is playing well now compared to earlier in the year. Muhles are just 2-4-1 in their last 7 games. Not good enough for me to jump Dickinson, Lycoming or Scranton despite having a better win% and will most likely have 0 ranked wins come week 2 as well which won't help the cause. Should be interesting to see how things shake up here on Wednesday.
F&M @ WashC (Sat, 10/26)
Neumann @ Hop (Tues, 10/22); Hop @ Ursinus (10/26)
Messiah @ Hood (10/22); Messiah @ Albright (Fri, 10/25)
Goucher @ Cath (10/23); Moravian @ Cath (10/26)
Ran-Macon @ G'burg (10/22); G'burg @ Swat (10/26)
McDaniel @ Fords (10/23); Fords @ Dickinson (10/26)
DeSales @ Stevens (10/22); Stevens @ Del. Valley U (10/26)
Moravian @ Etown (10/23); Etown @ Goucher (10/26)
Albright @ Lycoming (10/22); Lycoming @ Alvernia (10/26)
Muhles @ McDaniel* (10/26)
* - I'll stop my heckling of the school formerly known as W.MD now.
- Lots of Tuesday games this week.
- Albright with a shot at playing the spoiler with games against Messiah and Lycoming this week.
- In the Centennial, Bullets vs. Swat is a major game for both teams. F&M and Hop have danger away games on Saturday. Dickinson v. Fords another telling match.
Quote from: rudy on October 20, 2019, 01:54:20 PM
Anyone watch the F&M vs Hopkins game? Stats favor F&M slightly but score obviously goes to Hopkins. 15 shots to 10 and 6 sog to 4. Curious what possession looked like and overall view of which team played better.
Messiah has been undefeated since opening weekend when missing several important players. Not winning by a lot with many 1-0 games but a win is a win. Usually well ahead on shots and sog but not finishing many attempts. The good news is the defense is playing strong with very good goalkeeping. I'm pretty sure the current starting 4 while healthy enough to all play together may have let in one goal at most for the year. And that was a free kick not in the run of play. Last 8 games are a clean sheet with exception of a last second goal in a 5-1 win with the entire bench playing. They are still subbing generously, including the defense, so that second defensive unit is holding up as well. As Tufts has shown in recent years a good defense can win you a championship even if not scoring tons of goals.
I watched the last ~60 mins on Saturday. Hopkins (predictably) had most of the ball throughout the game. F&M was alternating between pressing high and sitting in their own half, probably to try to throw off Hop's CBs as they were building out of the back. F&M probably had 5-6 chances gifted to them by winning the ball back off a Hopkins mistake in the final 1/3. That, combined with a home field statistician, inflated the shot count in their favor. Hopkins goal was a thing of beauty, involving 4 or 5 of their subs working 1-touch combos from the midfield and finished with a clever chip over the goalie.
Even when F&M would win the ball back in their attacking 1/3, I didn't think anyone looked that likely to score. Kopacz had a couple chances playing up top in the first half, but then played CB for the second half, and I thought they missed him up top. Wagner has definitely played against Hopkins enough over the past few years to have developed a strategy to defeat their style of play, and that seemed evident on Saturday. His team definitely had plenty of chances, but just couldn't put them away.
Hopkins lineup was changed from earlier games this season. No Creedon (red card last game) or Younker (injury again?). Martinez also came off the bench and scored, maybe also dealing with an injury. In the end, I think it was Hopkins advantage in the midfield (Moore, Maclean, Wei, Martin, Moylan) that won them the game.
Overall, I was impressed with both teams. I think F&M's work ethic and size will allow them to compete with anyone come tournament time. Hopkins showed that they can run anyone off the field, but are also susceptible to giving up an easy goal off of a mistake. If they get good match ups in the tournament, against teams they haven't played in recent years, I think they could go far.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 21, 2019, 09:40:39 AM
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--12-2-0
2. Hopkins--10-2-1
3. Messiah--11-2-2
4. Catholic--13-2-1
5. Gettysburg--8-4-1
6. Swat--9-2-3
7. Fords--7-3-3
8. Stevens--9-3-2
9. Etown--9-4-1
T10. Lyco/Dickinson--8-6-0
HM: Scranton, Kings, Eastern, Moravian, PSU-Harrisburg, Keystone
NCAA Regional Predicitons
1. F&M
2. Hopkins
3. Messiah
4. Gettyburg
5. Fords
6. Catholic
7. Swat
8. Etown
9. Stevens
10. Lyco/Dickinson/Scranton/Muhles???
No idea on how this will shake out. Always tough to gauge for the first rankings as no RvR is involved so the prioity shifts to mainly SOS and overall win%. Second rankings and onward are easier to predict as the RvR jumps ahead of the win% weight that the first rankings focus on. I had trouble distinguishing 4th, 5th and 6th. Catholic got blanked by Gettysburg early on and will have a low SOS but great win% and some quality wins when the RvR comes into play. I just feel the SOS is going to haunt them compared to Gettysburg and Haverford. Gettysburg and Haverford tied so can't split them with that and both have similar resumes and blemishes. I give Gettysburg the slight edge this time but think when RvR comes into play Haverford will jump them. SOS should be similiar for both. Same goes for the rest of the rankings. Etown and Stevens both with better win% than Dickinson and Lycoming but SOS will be poor for both Etown and Stevens compared to Dickinson and Lyco. I think both those teams will jump come the second rankings but are near the bottom or not even in for the first rankings. I like to look to run of form as well of who is playing well now compared to earlier in the year. Muhles are just 2-4-1 in their last 7 games. Not good enough for me to jump Dickinson, Lycoming or Scranton despite having a better win% and will most likely have 0 ranked wins come week 2 as well which won't help the cause. Should be interesting to see how things shake up here on Wednesday.
MAF Top 10 Rankings 1. F&M
2. JHU
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Fords
7. Swat
8. Dickinson
9. Etown
10. Stevens
HM: Muhles, Scranton, Lyco
NCAA Predictions1. F&M
2. Messiah
3. Hopkins
4. Catholic
5. Fords
6. Gettysburg
7. Swat
8. Stevens
9. Etown
10. Muhles, Lyco, Dickinson or Scranton
Outside looking in: (14-17) Eastern, Kings, Stevenson, Moravian
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 21, 2019, 11:02:05 AM
Younker (injury again?).
That's... Not good. The fact they pulled out a win with him not in the game is pretty impressive.
Massey Ratings Mid-Atlantic Top 15
1. Hopkins (3)
2. F&M (5)
3. Messiah (10)
4. Catholic (16)
5. Haverford (19)
6. Gettysburg (21)
7. Swat (22)
8. Muhlenberg (33)
9. Etown (40)
10. Dickinson (46)
11. Lycoming (63)
12. Stevens (73)
13. Scranton (76)
14. Stevenson (83)
15. Washington College (95)
Last USC ranking before 1st NCAA regional ranking tomorrow. https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/rankings/college-rankings/ncaa-diii-men-mid-atlantic/ (https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/rankings/college-rankings/ncaa-diii-men-mid-atlantic/)
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Johns Hopkins 3 10-2-1
2 Franklin & Marshall 1 12-2-0
3 Messiah College 4 11-2-2
4 Catholic University 2 13-2-1
5 Haverford College 5 7-3-3
6 Swarthmore College 6 9-2-3
7 Gettysburg College 8 8-4-1
8 Stevens 9 8-3-2
9 Muhlenberg College 10 8-4-2
10 Scranton NR 8-4-2
Quote from: YoungBuck on October 14, 2019, 02:11:31 PM
(Meaningless) Stat of the Day
Dickinson's Kevin Gilbert picked up his 8th goal of the year in Saturday's 2-1 win over WAC, putting him 1 behind Haverford's Nick Jannelli for the conference lead. Dickinson is 6-0-0 when Gilbert has scored this year, and is 20-1-3 when he has scored in his career (34 goals). It certainly seems like Dickinson's fate is tied to the success of its First Team All-CC striker. With games still to play against Getty, Fords, and Hopkins, Dickinson certainly has a chance to bolster it's resume before the tournament, and should be one to watch in the regional rankings in the coming weeks.
Gilbert scored his 9th of the season in a 4-2 loss to Gettysburg over the weekend. Only the second time Dickinson has come up short when he's scored in his career. Is the Stat of the Day cursed?
I think things started to spiral downward when Gilbert was sent off at 35:29 along with a YC for the team. Not sure of the Stat of the Day cursed him..but the ensuing 4 more YC's for the Devils didn't help. Despite that, they scored in the second half. CC is still very fluid, and anything could happen in the remaining games and the tournament.
Neumann 1:2 Hop
Messiah 4:2 Hood
Rand-Mac 3:4 G'burg (2OT)
Desales 1:2 Stevens
Albright 0:2 Lycoming
Games Today
Goucher @ Catholic
McDaniel @ Fords
Moravian @ Etown
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 23, 2019, 09:42:01 AM
Neumann 1:2 Hop
Messiah 4:2 Hood
Rand-Mac 3:4 G'burg (2OT)
Desales 1:2 Stevens
Albright 0:2 Lycoming
Games Today
Goucher @ Catholic
McDaniel @ Fords
Moravian @ Etown
From the box score it looks like Messiah and Hood were tied for most of the game. Did anybody watch this? Was the game as close as the score indicates? It looks like they pulled away in the last 15 minutes but up until that point it was a tie game with the edge in the box score going to the Falcons.
Gettysburg and JHU both sneaking out important wins. I am sure there were some line up changes to keep both teams fresh for conference but anybody watch those games as well? Both seem too close for the opponents they faced. Lyco and Stevens both pick up wins as well.
Mid-Atlantic Regional Ranking 1
1. Johns Hopkins 10-2-1 10-2-1
2. Franklin & Marshall 12-2-0 12-2-0
3. Messiah 11-2-2 11-2-2
4 Swarthmore 9-2-3 9-2-3
5. Haverford 7-3-3 7-3-3
6. Gettysburg 8-4-1 8-4-1
7. Elizabethtown 9-4-1 9-4-1
8. Muhlenberg 8-4-2 8-4-2
9. Catholic 13-2-1 13-2-1
10. Lycoming 8-6-0 8-6-0
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 23, 2019, 04:01:52 PM
Mid-Atlantic Regional Ranking 1
1. Johns Hopkins 10-2-1 10-2-1
2. Franklin & Marshall 12-2-0 12-2-0
3. Messiah 11-2-2 11-2-2
4 Swarthmore 9-2-3 9-2-3
5. Haverford 7-3-3 7-3-3
6. Gettysburg 8-4-1 8-4-1
7. Elizabethtown 9-4-1 9-4-1
8. Muhlenberg 8-4-2 8-4-2
9. Catholic 13-2-1 13-2-1
10. Lycoming 8-6-0 8-6-0
History tells us with that many Centennial teams ranked if it stays like that they could get 3-4 Pool C's because they should have more games against ranked opponents and probably more ranked wins. Same with the East Region. The East has 5 LL teams and 3 SUNYAC teams and that is it. Only 2 conferences ranked throughout the whole region means those two conferences will see all the East Pool C's if it stays
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 23, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 10-2-1 | 0.658 | -- | 10-2-1 | -- |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-0 | 0.612 | -- | 12-2-0 | -- |
3. | Messiah | 11-2-2 | 0.598 | -- | 11-2-2 | -- |
4. | Swarthmore | 9-2-3 | 0.600 | -- | 9-2-3 | -- |
5. | Haverford | 7-3-3 | 0.629 | -- | 7-3-3 | -- |
6. | Gettysburg | 8-4-1 | 0.633 | -- | 8-4-1 | -- |
7. | Elizabethtown | 9-4-1 | 0.561 | -- | 9-4-1 | -- |
8. | Muhlenberg | 8-4-2 | 0.567 | -- | 8-4-2 | -- |
9. | Catholic | 13-2-1 | 0.521 | -- | 13-2-1 | -- |
10. | Lycoming | 8-6-0 | 0.620 | -- | 8-6-0 | -- |
Catholic and Swat's rankings are surprising
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 23, 2019, 01:49:16 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 23, 2019, 09:42:01 AM
Neumann 1:2 Hop
Messiah 4:2 Hood
Rand-Mac 3:4 G'burg (2OT)
Desales 1:2 Stevens
Albright 0:2 Lycoming
Games Today
Goucher @ Catholic
McDaniel @ Fords
Moravian @ Etown
From the box score it looks like Messiah and Hood were tied for most of the game. Did anybody watch this? Was the game as close as the score indicates? It looks like they pulled away in the last 15 minutes but up until that point it was a tie game with the edge in the box score going to the Falcons.
Gettysburg and JHU both sneaking out important wins. I am sure there were some line up changes to keep both teams fresh for conference but anybody watch those games as well? Both seem too close for the opponents they faced. Lyco and Stevens both pick up wins as well.
I just watched highlights of the Hop game and going by the recap and the video evidence, Hop was down 1-0 at half and needed a goal fairly deep in the second half to pull it off. Pretty good chance they were not all that fired up about a non-conference game against a middling opponent.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 23, 2019, 09:42:01 AM
Neumann 1:2 Hop
Messiah 4:2 Hood
Rand-Mac 3:4 G'burg (2OT)
Desales 1:2 Stevens
Albright 0:2 Lycoming
Games Today
Goucher @ Catholic
McDaniel @ Fords
Moravian @ Etown
(The team formerly known as Western Maryland College) McDaniel takes down the Fords 1-0 on a late PK for their first win at Haverford since 2009. Gives Swat some life in the CC standings.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 23, 2019, 01:49:16 PM
From the box score it looks like Messiah and Hood were tied for most of the game. Did anybody watch this? Was the game as close as the score indicates? It looks like they pulled away in the last 15 minutes but up until that point it was a tie game with the edge in the box score going to the Falcons.
I watched most of this one on a field-level stream that wasn’t very clear. I often say that a game was closer than the score, but this time I would say just the opposite: the score was far closer than the game. To their credit, Hood converted the only two chances they had—one a header off a corner, the second a brilliant breakaway off a turnover that led to a great save followed by a second shot into the net. That second goal was as pretty as anything Nick West had last year, except it came from the Falcons’ opponent. Both goals came in quick response to Falcon goals, so the game was tied for long stretches.
Nevertheless, with those two loud exceptions, the Falcons utterly dominated on the field of play. Four different men scored, starting with a lovely shot from outside the box by Luke Groothoff, who took maybe 10 shots in all, at least half on frame. If you’re a Falcon fan, your concern is that something like that second goal never happens again—and honestly it’s been a very long time since I’ve seen something similar. The steal took place around midfield, and very quickly the ball was played with perfection on the ground in between the CBs to a flying forward who went in alone on goal. If it had been at the other end of the field, you’d have credited the quality but not been surprised, since that’s the type of thing that Messiah does now and then. But, you just never see it on the defensive side. Hat’s off to Hood for pulling it off.
Watching a bunch of the Etown-Moravian tilt:
- The field is GARBAGE.
That's all I got right now.
GARBAGE. SHAMEFUL.
Etown is going to win 5 to 2 in a game that was actually a good deal closer for 60 mins. That said, when a team puts a team away... They should get full credit. (Part of my point is that I thought Moravian was a tough out..)
Catholic handled Goucher. 2 or 3 nothing, I'm too lazy to check, but that's a game with a MASSIVE talent differential. Edit to add: I watched chunks of this game, which is where the talent differential comes from.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 23, 2019, 08:44:49 PM
Watching a bunch of the Etown-Moravian tilt:
- The field is GARBAGE.
That's all I got right now.
GARBAGE. SHAMEFUL.
Etowns field has been awful all season and hasn't been great for a few years now. I'm not sure if it's overuse or grounds keeping incompetence or what but it's a shame because it used to be quite nice. At least it's not turf.
I played on their field eons ago, but it seems like it's in a new location now. Just watching the feed, you could see that the players were literally sinking into the turf... you couldn't see their shoes when they were standing still.
Players were fairly regularly replacing 1-2 ft divots, especially late in the game.
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 23, 2019, 04:15:00 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 23, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 10-2-1 | 0.658 | -- | 10-2-1 | -- |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-0 | 0.612 | -- | 12-2-0 | -- |
3. | Messiah | 11-2-2 | 0.598 | -- | 11-2-2 | -- |
4. | Swarthmore | 9-2-3 | 0.600 | -- | 9-2-3 | -- |
5. | Haverford | 7-3-3 | 0.629 | -- | 7-3-3 | -- |
6. | Gettysburg | 8-4-1 | 0.633 | -- | 8-4-1 | -- |
7. | Elizabethtown | 9-4-1 | 0.561 | -- | 9-4-1 | -- |
8. | Muhlenberg | 8-4-2 | 0.567 | -- | 8-4-2 | -- |
9. | Catholic | 13-2-1 | 0.521 | -- | 13-2-1 | -- |
10. | Lycoming | 8-6-0 | 0.620 | -- | 8-6-0 | -- |
*UPDATED RvR after the latest games*Here is what I found for next week's RvR category for these teams and a few others that are on the outside looking in:
JHU: 4-2-1
F&M: 4-1-0
Messiah: 3-2-1
Swat: 2-1-2
Fords: 2-2-2
Getty: 3-4-1
Etown: 1-3-0
Muhles: 0-4-2
Catholic: 1-1-1
Lyco: 0-5-0
--------------------------------
Dickinson: 4-5-0 SOS .624
Stevens: 0-2-0 SOS .534
Scranton: 1-3-0 SOS .542
Weekend Tilts
Messiah @ Albright
Widener @ Stevenson
JHU @ Ursinus
F&M @ Wash Coll
Moravian @ Catholic
Susquehanna @ Scranton
Etown @ Goucher
Arcadia @ Hood
Muhles @ McDaniel
Misericordia @ Kings
Lyco @ Alvernia
Stevens @ Del Val
Getty @ Swat
Fords @ Dickinson
*Bold are must watch games*
Mid-Atlantic RPI Regional Ranking 1 (Top 15 if NCAA used an RPI formula similar to the D1 rankings)
1. Johns Hopkins .696
2. F&M .673
3. Messiah . 649
4. Gettysburg . 638
5. Swarthmore . 638
6. Haverford . 635
7. Dickinson .611
8. Lycoming .608
9. Catholic .602
10. Etown .591
11. Muhlenberg .586
12. Scranton .567
13. Moravian .559
14. Washington College .558
15. Widener .555
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--13-2-0
2. Hopkins--12-2-1
3. Messiah--13-2-2
4. Catholic--15-2-1
5. Swat--10-2-3
6. Stevens--11-3-2
7. Gettysburg--9-5-1
8. Etown--10-4-2
9. Lyco--10-6-0
10. Dickinson--9-6-0
HM: Fords, Scranton, Kings
NCAA Regional Prediction: Week 2
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Swat
5. Gettysburg
6. Catholic
7. Etown
8. Dickinson
9. Lycoming
10. Scranton
Others: Fords, Muhles, Stevens
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 27, 2019, 08:00:00 PM
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--13-2-0
2. Hopkins--12-2-1
3. Messiah--13-2-2
4. Catholic--15-2-1
5. Swat--10-2-3
6. Stevens--11-3-2
7. Gettysburg--9-5-1
8. Etown--10-4-2
9. Lyco--10-6-0
10. Dickinson--9-6-0
HM: Fords, Scranton, Kings
NCAA Regional Prediction: Week 2
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Swat
5. Gettysburg
6. Catholic
7. Etown
8. Dickinson
9. Lycoming
10. Scranton
Others: Fords, Muhles, Stevens
MAF Top 10 Rankings 1. F&M
2. JHU
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Swat
7. Dickinson
8. Etown
9. Stevens
10. Fords
HM: Scranton, Lyco, Muhles
NCAA Predictions1. Hopkins
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Swat
5. Gettysburg
6. Etown
7. Dickinson
8. Catholic
9. Fords
10. Lyco
Outside looking in: (11-13) Scranton, Muhles, Stevens
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 25, 2019, 01:52:27 PM
Weekend Tilts
Messiah @ Albright
Widener @ Stevenson
JHU @ Ursinus
F&M @ Wash Coll
Moravian @ Catholic
Susquehanna @ Scranton
Etown @ Goucher
Arcadia @ Hood
Muhles @ McDaniel
Misericordia @ Kings
Lyco @ Alvernia
Stevens @ Del Val
Getty @ Swat
Fords @ Dickinson
*Bold are must watch games*
Messiah 2:0 Albright
Widener 1:1 Stevenson
JHU 2:0 Ursinus
F&M 4:1 WashC
Moravian 0:6 CUA
Susq: 0:1 Scranton
Etown 2:2 Goucher
Arcadia 3:1 Hood
Muhles 0:1 McDaniel
Miser. 0:2 Kings
Lyco 2:1 Alvernia
Stevens 3:0 Del Valley
G'burg 1:2 Swat
Fords 1:2 Dickinson
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 24, 2019, 01:51:58 PM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 23, 2019, 04:15:00 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 23, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 10-2-1 | 0.658 | -- | 10-2-1 | -- |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 12-2-0 | 0.612 | -- | 12-2-0 | -- |
3. | Messiah | 11-2-2 | 0.598 | -- | 11-2-2 | -- |
4. | Swarthmore | 9-2-3 | 0.600 | -- | 9-2-3 | -- |
5. | Haverford | 7-3-3 | 0.629 | -- | 7-3-3 | -- |
6. | Gettysburg | 8-4-1 | 0.633 | -- | 8-4-1 | -- |
7. | Elizabethtown | 9-4-1 | 0.561 | -- | 9-4-1 | -- |
8. | Muhlenberg | 8-4-2 | 0.567 | -- | 8-4-2 | -- |
9. | Catholic | 13-2-1 | 0.521 | -- | 13-2-1 | -- |
10. | Lycoming | 8-6-0 | 0.620 | -- | 8-6-0 | -- |
*UPDATED RvR after the latest games*
Here is what I found for next week's RvR category for these teams and a few others that are on the outside looking in:
JHU: 4-2-1
F&M: 4-1-0
Messiah: 3-2-1
Swat: 2-1-2
Fords: 2-2-2
Getty: 3-4-1
Etown: 1-3-0
Muhles: 0-4-2
Catholic: 1-1-1
Lyco: 0-5-0
--------------------------------
Dickinson: 4-5-0 SOS .624
Stevens: 0-2-0 SOS .534
Scranton: 1-3-0 SOS .542
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 27, 2019, 08:00:00 PM
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--13-2-0
2. Hopkins--12-2-1
3. Messiah--13-2-2
4. Catholic--15-2-1
5. Swat--10-2-3
6. Stevens--11-3-2
7. Gettysburg--9-5-1
8. Etown--10-4-2
9. Lyco--10-6-0
10. Dickinson--9-6-0
HM: Fords, Scranton, Kings
Wednesday's Games
F&M @ G'burg
McDaniel @ Hop
Stevenson @ Messiah
CUA - No Game
WashC @ Swat
Stevens - No Game
Etown - No Game
Lyco @ Leb Valley
Muhles @ Dickinson
-=-=-
Ursinus @ Fords
Kings @ Elmira (GAME IS TODAY)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 28, 2019, 09:40:25 AM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 25, 2019, 01:52:27 PM
Weekend Tilts
Messiah @ Albright
Widener @ Stevenson
JHU @ Ursinus
F&M @ Wash Coll
Moravian @ Catholic
Susquehanna @ Scranton
Etown @ Goucher
Arcadia @ Hood
Muhles @ McDaniel
Misericordia @ Kings
Lyco @ Alvernia
Stevens @ Del Val
Getty @ Swat
Fords @ Dickinson
*Bold are must watch games*
JHU 2:0 Ursinus
F&M 4:1 WashC
Muhles 0:1 McDaniel
G'burg 1:2 Swat
Fords 1:2 Dickinson
Swat with a massive win over Getty to keep their season and CC tournament hopes alive. With two games a piece this week, here is where the CC stands:
1. F&M - 18 pts - @Getty, vs. McD
2. Hopkins - 16 pts - vs. McD, vs. Dickinson
3. Dickinson - 15 pts - vs. Muhles, @ Hopkins
4. Getty - 13 pts - vs. F&M, vs. Ursinus
5. Swat - 11 pts - vs. WAC, @ Fords
6. Fords - 10 pts - vs. Ursinus, vs. Swat
7. McD - 9 pts - @Hopkins, @F&M
Top 5 make the tournament. F&M, Hopkins, and Dickinson have all secured spots, while Getty just needs a win over lowly Ursinus to make it in. All 4 are still in with a chance to host, as F&M @ Getty on Wednesday and Dickinson @ Hopkins on Saturday will go a long way towards deciding seeding. Could come down to Swat @ Fords on the final day for the 5th and final spot. Or maybe McDaniel will shock the D3 world and finish out their best season in recent memory with results against the top 2. F&M and Hopkins look to be the only Pool C locks at this point, with Getty, Dickinson, Swat, and Fords all still in need of big time results.
Also, FWIW, Muhles fell to #52 in Massey with their loss to McD this weekend, leaving only 6 CC teams remaining in the top 50. The SOTD curse claims another victim.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 30, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 12-2-1 | 0.619 | 4-2-1 | 12-2-1 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 13-2-0 | 0.604 | 4-1-0 | 13-2-0 | 2 |
3. | Messiah | 13-2-2 | 0.573 | 3-2-1 | 13-2-2 | 3 |
4. | Swarthmore | 10-2-3 | 0.602 | 2-1-2 | 10-2-3 | 4 |
5. | Gettysburg | 9-5-1 | 0.631 | 3-4-1 | 9-5-1 | 6 |
6. | Dickinson | 9-6-0 | 0.626 | 4-5-0 | 9-6-0 | -- |
7. | Haverford | 7-5-3 | 0.625 | 2-2-2 | 7-5-3 | 5 |
8. | Elizabethtown | 10-4-2 | 0.549 | 1-3-0 | 10-4-2 | 7 |
9. | Catholic | 15-2-1 | 0.518 | 1-1-1 | 15-2-1 | 9 |
10. | Lycoming | 10-6-0 | 0.586 | 0-5-0 | 10-6-0 | 10 |
This Shirk character spamming all the threads, sheesh.
Hopkins and WESTERN MARYLAND tied at zeds.
Same with Dips and Bullets
Muhles up 1:0 at half.
Green Terror 0:1 Blue Jays (2OT)
Dips 2:0 Bullets
Muhles 1:3 Devils
Shoremen 1:2 Garnets
Bears 2:3 Fords
Stevenson 0:7 Messiah
Lycoming 1:0 Leb Valley
Mid-Atlantic RPI Regional Ranking 2
Team RPI Previous Rank
1. JHU .673 1
2. F&M .670 2
3. Swat .643 5
4. Messiah .636 3
5. Gettysburg .632 4
6. Dickinson .620 7
7. Haverford .611 6
8. Catholic .604 9
9. Lycoming .596 8
10. Etown .584 10
11. Muhlenberg .578 11
12. Stevens .576 UR
13. Washington .562 14
14. Scranton .562 12
15. Moravian .559 13
Conference Playoffs are almost upon us and most of the conferences throughout the region are still sorting through seeding...
Landmark
The top 4 are set with Catholic, Scranton, Etown and Moravian clinching the top 4 spots and most likely in that order.
Commonwealth
Messiah has locked up the top seed while Lycoming and Arcadia look to have notched the 2nd and 3rd seeds one way or another. The remaining 2 spots for the 4/5 play in game and eventual trip to Grantham has 4 teams looking to cash in. Stevenson, LVC, Alvernia and Widener all have a chance to take the last 2 spots with the last game of the year. Stevenson, LVC and Alvernia are all tied with 10 points while Widener has an unlikely but outside chance currently sitting with 7 points.
Freedom
Eastern and Stevens are locked into the playoffs but seeding is still up for grabs while the remaining 2 spots will be sorted out this weekend. Misericordia, Kings and DeSales are all battling for the remaining 2 openings. Misericordia currently sits in 3rd with 11 points followed by Kings with 10 and DeSales with 9 and Misericordia faces off with DeSales in the regular season finale.
Centennial
What a ride to the finish this will be! F&M, JHU and Dickinson are all locks while Swat, Getty and the Fords are all battling for the last 2 spots. Swat goes into the final day with 14 points followed by Getty and Fords who both have accumulated 13 points.
Eastern @ Stevens should be a great match to determine #1 seed!
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 31, 2019, 02:30:33 PM
Mid-Atlantic RPI Regional Ranking 2
Team RPI Previous Rank
1. JHU .673 1
2. F&M .670 2
3. Swat .643 5
4. Messiah .636 3
5. Gettysburg .632 4
6. Dickinson .620 7
7. Haverford .611 6
8. Catholic .604 9
9. Lycoming .596 8
10. Etown .584 10
11. Muhlenberg .578 11
12. Stevens .576 UR
13. Washington .562 14
14. Scranton .562 12
15. Moravian .559 13
Massey Ratings 10/31JHU (3)
F&M (4)
Messiah (11)
Catholic (15)
Swat (16)
Dickinson (30)
Getty (31)
Fords (35)
Etown (48)
Lyco (50)
Scranton (56)
Muhles (63)
Weekend Games
Dickinson @ JHU
McDaniel @ F&M
Catholic @ Etown
Hood @ Lyco
Scranton @ Juniata
DeSales @ Misericordia
Kings @ FDU
Swat at Fords
Stevenson @ Arcadia
Eastern @ Stevens
Ursinus @ Getty
LVC @ Widener
Wash Coll @ Muhles
Albright @ Alvernia
*Bold are must see games*
Eastern vs Stevens.....winner takes 1 seed in the MAC Freedom and potential finals home field advantage; likely to see these two match up again in a weeks time. Stevens' first season in conference and first time playing Eastern in recent memory; heard from friends still involved with the program theres even been chirping over social media (all in good fun). About as big a regular season game as it gets for both. Gotta love the storylines in D3 Soccer!!!!
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 01, 2019, 08:39:58 AM
Weekend Games
Dickinson @ JHU
McDaniel @ F&M
Swat at Fords
Ursinus @ Getty
Wash Coll @ Muhles
*Bold are must see games*
WOW the CC schedule makers really did a number on the final weekend. Let's start with the irrelevant game:
WAC @ Muhles - Both teams put together impressive non-conference results, but failed to make it count against CC foes. The top 6 teams in the conference will thank them for their ~.500 records this year, which help them all boast above .600 SoS numbers this year. Winner finishes in 8th place in the conference.
Ursinus @ Getty - As much as I'll be rooting for the Bears to get their first CC win since 2014 and break another SOTD, I'm gonna go ahead and pencil in 3 points for Getty at home against Ursinus. That'll secure their spot in the 4/5 play-in game next week and give them a shot to continue to bolster their postseason resume. In the 4/5 game, they'll face the winner of...
Swat @ Fords - (Historic) Walton Field is sure to be bouncing for this storied Philly rivalry game. Swat gets a CC playoff spot with a win or draw. Fords need a win at home to have any hope of continuing their season. This could be the last opportunity to see Haverford's Nick Jannelli, whose 45 career goals are good for 14th in CC history. If Swat loses, they'll miss a valuable opportunity to bolster their SoS and RvR in the CC tournament, and will probably be on the outside looking in come selection day.
McD @ F&M - You can probably pencil in F&M getting 3 points at home against McD to take the regular season crown and hosting duties next weekend. 2 or 3 years ago, this would have been a no contest, however McD has played well in big games this year, and will be relishing their opportunity to play spoiler.
Dickinson @ Hopkins - Probably the best game from a quality perspective this weekend. These teams will almost certainly play again in the 2/3 match next weekend, so an early appetizer and an opportunity to feel out styles. Hopkins can still hold out hope to win the regular season crown, but will need a win and an F&M tie or loss to do so. Both teams will be looking for resume boosting results, without wanting to give too much away before next weekend's expected (and more important) rematch. Important note on this one - Dickinson's CF Kevin Gilbert has 4 YC and 1 RC on the season. Coach Redding faces an important decision here: sit Gilbert for the regular season finale to assure that you have him for the 2/3 game next weekend when the YC threshold goes up to 8, or risk playing him and hope that he can avoid a 5th YC that would put him out of next weekend's game.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 23, 2019, 09:03:20 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 23, 2019, 08:44:49 PM
Watching a bunch of the Etown-Moravian tilt:
- The field is GARBAGE.
That's all I got right now.
GARBAGE. SHAMEFUL.
Etowns field has been awful all season and hasn't been great for a few years now. I'm not sure if it's overuse or grounds keeping incompetence or what but it's a shame because it used to be quite nice. At least it's not turf.
E-Town game tomorrow moved to local high school due to crappy Herr Field Conditions.
CC tourney seeding set. F&M hosts, Fords beat Swat 3-1 to earn #4 seed, and will host Getty for play-in game.
http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/msoc_seeds (http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/msoc_seeds)
Quote from: YoungBuck on November 01, 2019, 01:17:16 PM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 01, 2019, 08:39:58 AM
Weekend Games
Dickinson @ JHU
McDaniel @ F&M
Swat at Fords
Ursinus @ Getty
Wash Coll @ Muhles
*Bold are must see games*
WOW the CC schedule makers really did a number on the final weekend. Let's start with the irrelevant game:
WAC @ Muhles - Both teams put together impressive non-conference results, but failed to make it count against CC foes. The top 6 teams in the conference will thank them for their ~.500 records this year, which help them all boast above .600 SoS numbers this year. Winner finishes in 8th place in the conference.
Ursinus @ Getty - As much as I'll be rooting for the Bears to get their first CC win since 2014 and break another SOTD, I'm gonna go ahead and pencil in 3 points for Getty at home against Ursinus. That'll secure their spot in the 4/5 play-in game next week and give them a shot to continue to bolster their postseason resume. In the 4/5 game, they'll face the winner of...
Swat @ Fords - (Historic) Walton Field is sure to be bouncing for this storied Philly rivalry game. Swat gets a CC playoff spot with a win or draw. Fords need a win at home to have any hope of continuing their season. This could be the last opportunity to see Haverford's Nick Jannelli, whose 45 career goals are good for 14th in CC history. If Swat loses, they'll miss a valuable opportunity to bolster their SoS and RvR in the CC tournament, and will probably be on the outside looking in come selection day.
McD @ F&M - You can probably pencil in F&M getting 3 points at home against McD to take the regular season crown and hosting duties next weekend. 2 or 3 years ago, this would have been a no contest, however McD has played well in big games this year, and will be relishing their opportunity to play spoiler.
Dickinson @ Hopkins - Probably the best game from a quality perspective this weekend. These teams will almost certainly play again in the 2/3 match next weekend, so an early appetizer and an opportunity to feel out styles. Hopkins can still hold out hope to win the regular season crown, but will need a win and an F&M tie or loss to do so. Both teams will be looking for resume boosting results, without wanting to give too much away before next weekend's expected (and more important) rematch. Important note on this one - Dickinson's CF Kevin Gilbert has 4 YC and 1 RC on the season. Coach Redding faces an important decision here: sit Gilbert for the regular season finale to assure that you have him for the 2/3 game next weekend when the YC threshold goes up to 8, or risk playing him and hope that he can avoid a 5th YC that would put him out of next weekend's game.
Both Hop and Dips rounding into form, taking fairly easy paths to victory yesterday. F&M dismantled the Green "Terror"* with a 7-0 scoreline and Hopkins didn't allow an early Red Devils goal derail them en route to a 4-1 win.
* - I once had three Western MD kids sit behind my goal and absolutely rip me for 90 minutes. I give them credit, it was absolutely hilarious and top notch heckling, but the penance for that school is that I'll probably never stop holding a mild grudge on here.
And not to be too much of a homer, but if folks have paid any attention to me this year, I've been fixated on Younker. He's definitely been dealing with a nagging injury, as he hasn't seen the field in a couple of weeks.
My hunch is that Appleby is holding him out until the NCAA's, rather than risking him picking up another nick. They've done quite well without him, but come tourney time, you want that guy in crunch time.
MAF Top 10 Rankings
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Swat
7. Dickinson
8. Stevens
9. Fords
10. Lyco
HM: Scranton, Etown
NCAA Predictions
1. Hopkins
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Swat
5. Gettysburg
6. Catholic
7. Fords
8. Lyco
9. Dickinson
10. Stevens/Scranton
Outside looking in: Etown, Scranton/Stevens
RvR for Upcoming Regional Poll
JHU: 4-2-1
F&M: 5-1-0
Messiah: 4-2-0
Swat: 2-2-1
Fords: 2-3-2
Getty: 3-4-1
Etown: 0-4-0
Catholic: 3-1-1
Lyco: 1-4-0
Dickinson: 3-6-0
Stevens: 0-1-0
Scranton: 1-3-0
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--15-2-0
2. Hopkins--14-2-1
3. Messiah--14-2-2
4. Catholic--16-2-1
5. Stevens--12-3-2
6. Swat--11-3-3
7. Gettysburg--10-6-1
8. Lyco--12-6-0
9. Dickinson--10-7-0
10. Fords--9-5-3
HM: Etown, Scranton, Kings
NCAA Regional Prediction: Week 3
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Swat
5. Gettysburg
6. Catholic
7. Fords
8. Dickinson
9. Lyco
10. Scranton
Others: Etown, Stevens
Younker played v. Dickinson on Sat. night, although he didn't start and didn't have much of an impact. He had a knee brace on so is clearly still troubled by some sort of injury.
It was an odd game. Gilbert, Dickinson's best forward, started despite carrying 4 yellow cards into the game and running the risk of being DQ'd for the conference playoffs. He scored quickly and then it looked like Dickinson took their foot off the gas midway through the first half. Gilbert left the game and didn't return.
Dickinson is huge (multiple players 6-3 or bigger) but couldn't match Hopkins' pace. Their back line was under siege for most of the game.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 04, 2019, 02:58:31 PM
Younker played v. Dickinson on Sat. night, although he didn't start and didn't have much of an impact. He had a knee brace on so is clearly still troubled by some sort of injury.
It was an odd game. Gilbert, Dickinson's best forward, started despite carrying 4 yellow cards into the game and running the risk of being DQ'd for the conference playoffs. He scored quickly and then it looked like Dickinson took their foot off the gas midway through the first half. Gilbert left the game and didn't return.
Dickinson is huge (multiple players 6-3 or bigger) but couldn't match Hopkins' pace. Their back line was under siege for most of the game.
Sounds to me like the Dickinson coaching staff had a bit of a change of heart mid way through the half. Either that or they had a word with the referees before the game and asked for them to give a warning before a card, and Gilbert got warned early. Not sure what else would explain risking the suspension for the win to start the game, getting the early goal, then deciding to take him out mid way through the half with the game still tied.
Not sure if it'll translate next weekend, but if the Red Devils were able to play 30 mins tied at full strength, then 90 minutes at full strength should be closer than 4-1.
FWIW, Hopkins beat Dickinson 3-0 in the 2017 regular season finale, only to lose to on PKs 2-2 (4-2) back in 2017. Allow that to lead in to my...
(Meaningful) Stat of the Day:
Hopkins has made every CC tournament since they began in 2001, but has not made a CC tournament final since 2009, when they beat Dickinson 2-1. Since then, 5 different teams (Dickinson, Swat, Fords, F&M, Muhles) have all won the title. Can this year's iteration break the streak and come away with an elusive semifinal victory?
Well, as I "reported" last year, I went the last iteration of Hopkins crapping out in the CC semifinal and I'm still baffled as to what I saw. Totally listless bench, lackluster play, no sense of urgency.
The team proceeded to come out and give Messiah a decent game in the second round of the Dance, which made the loss to F&M the weekend prior so perplexing.
I never liked having to play a team twice like this, but I sure hope the Jays bring the proper mindset to this next match.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2019, 06:52:07 PM
Well, as I "reported" last year, I went the last iteration of Hopkins crapping out in the CC semifinal and I'm still baffled as to what I saw. Totally listless bench, lackluster play, no sense of urgency.
Totally agree - I watched the game also and many of us who were there were just mystified. Not the match we all had expected to see. It was certainly very curious.
Centennial Conf. Tourney
Wed, Nov 6
G'burg v Fords (2 pm)
Sat. Nov 9
F&M v Bullets/Fords winner (noon)
Hop v. Dickinson (3 pm)
Championship 1pm
Commonwealth Tourney
4/5 game: Stevenson 3:0 Leb Valley
Wed, Nov 6
Stevenson @ Messiah (7pm)
Arcadia @ Lycoming (2pm)
Final - TBA, Hosted at highest seed remaining
Landmark
Tues, Nov 5
Moravian @ CathU (7pm)
Etown @ Scranton (7pm)
MAC Freedom
Kings @ Stevens (Wed, 7p)
Misericordia @ Eastern (Wed, 2:30p)
Kings @ Stevens is a 6:00PM Kickoff.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 04, 2019, 11:22:44 AM
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--15-2-0
2. Hopkins--14-2-1
3. Messiah--14-2-2
4. Catholic--16-2-1
5. Stevens--12-3-2
6. Swat--11-3-3
7. Gettysburg--10-6-1
8. Lyco--12-6-0
9. Dickinson--10-7-0
10. Fords--9-5-3
HM: Etown, Scranton, Kings
Shooter's Power Rankings
4. Messiah
7. Hopkins
10. F&M
-------------------------
20. Catholic
22. Swarthmore
MAF Top 10 Rankings
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Swat
7. Dickinson
8. Stevens
9. Fords
10. Lyco
HM: Scranton, Etown
MAF Top 25
3. Messiah
7. Hopkins
9. F&M
18. Catholic
@Shooter and @MAF -
Why the difference in order of Mid-Atlantic teams between regional and national power rankings? I get that for your predictions, national and regional order might be different, but isn't the purpose of a power ranking to rank the teams based on who you think is best. Shooter's Mid-Atlantic power rankings have F&M above both Hopkins and Messiah, but the national power rankings have the order flipped. And MAF does the same thing, with Messiah jumping both Hopkins and F&M for the national power rankings.
Quote from: YoungBuck on November 05, 2019, 02:08:07 PM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 04, 2019, 11:22:44 AM
Shooter's Power Rankings
1. F&M--15-2-0
2. Hopkins--14-2-1
3. Messiah--14-2-2
4. Catholic--16-2-1
5. Stevens--12-3-2
6. Swat--11-3-3
7. Gettysburg--10-6-1
8. Lyco--12-6-0
9. Dickinson--10-7-0
10. Fords--9-5-3
HM: Etown, Scranton, Kings
Shooter's Power Rankings
4. Messiah
7. Hopkins
10. F&M
-------------------------
20. Catholic
22. Swarthmore
MAF Top 10 Rankings
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Swat
7. Dickinson
8. Stevens
9. Fords
10. Lyco
HM: Scranton, Etown
MAF Top 25
3. Messiah
7. Hopkins
9. F&M
18. Catholic
@Shooter and @MAF -
Why the difference in order of Mid-Atlantic teams between regional and national power rankings? I get that for your predictions, national and regional order might be different, but isn't the purpose of a power ranking to rank the teams based on who you think is best. Shooter's Mid-Atlantic power rankings have F&M above both Hopkins and Messiah, but the national power rankings have the order flipped. And MAF does the same thing, with Messiah jumping both Hopkins and F&M for the national power rankings.
Good question! ;D I can't speak for Shooter but after reevaluating while going through my top 25 earlier I feel that Messiah is Messiah and should be ranked as such. If anything should change on my end it is the top 10 rankings for the region thread and that should reflect what I posted today. So Messiah should bump up to 1 and JHU and F&M just drop 1 slot each to reflect the national poll. Everything else remains the same. There really isn't a rhyme or reason to it for me it's just how I felt today versus when I posted my top 10 regional thread rankings.
There are a couple of fans on both sides of the Etown - Scranton tilt that are embarrassing themselves on the video stream. Absolutely the kinds of people that would get booted from a sideline if I were the coach and they were parents under my purview. Grow up, ffs.
Possibly unfair, but I'm gonna just put this out there... The Etown fans at this game are being assholes.
I'm not watching, but I remember last year having to mute the Scranton feed because the fans (parents) were unbearable.
Etown wins in OT. Totally against the run of play.
Etown had at least 2 goals called back for offsides, so I guess that's why their fans were being so ****ty.
Scranton was the MUCH BETTER TEAM. It wasn't even close, they just couldn't finish it off.
Quote from: EB2319 on November 05, 2019, 09:04:13 PM
I'm not watching, but I remember last year having to mute the Scranton feed because the fans (parents) were unbearable.
Yeah, I want to amend and be fair, it was really hard to tell who was being the aggressor, it was just a LOT of really obnoxious fan commentary.
Why are you being an E'town hater Hopkins92. They had a better game plan than kick and run Scranton. A PK called and reversed after a 3 minute review by a linesman who was further away than the ref. 2 goals called back. E'town keeper had nothing to do. Goal was a matter of time.
Lets wait till after the Catholic game in the final to slam them as not being in the game. And yes Catholic beat them last weekend but check the box score who played for E'town compared with last night. Different game Saturday, different result.
Fans were REALLY out of control and from what I could see on a livestream there didnt seem to be reason for it. Honestly I didnt see one team having the better play over the other, actually both missed many open passes and rarely did I see a play that was exciting to watch. Overall I would say that Etown is a better team then Scranton is but to be real, neither has a chance against Catholic if Catholic plays anywhere close to their potential. I dont expect it to be a close match.
Quote from: franklyspeaking on November 06, 2019, 07:23:04 AM
Fans were REALLY out of control and from what I could see on a livestream there didnt seem to be reason for it. Honestly I didnt see one team having the better play over the other, actually both missed many open passes and rarely did I see a play that was exciting to watch. Overall I would say that Etown is a better team then Scranton is but to be real, neither has a chance against Catholic if Catholic plays anywhere close to their potential. I dont expect it to be a close match.
I didn't watch any of this game (Etown vs Scranton) but if I had to guess they are both pretty equal based on results and prior history. Catholic put up 5 last night on Moravian but also gave up 3 and have struggled in conference playoffs/finals of late, but I think this is the year they get over the hump and return to the dance. It should make for an exciting final! I also think Catholic has to get the AQ to go to NCAA's.
Quote from: BJBeliever on November 06, 2019, 05:49:57 AM
Why are you being an E'town hater Hopkins92. They had a better game plan than kick and run Scranton. A PK called and reversed after a 3 minute review by a linesman who was further away than the ref. 2 goals called back. E'town keeper had nothing to do. Goal was a matter of time.
Lets wait till after the Catholic game in the final to slam them as not being in the game. And yes Catholic beat them last weekend but check the box score who played for E'town compared with last night. Different game Saturday, different result.
Also didn't see the match between them earlier in the year but from referencing the box score it looks like Catholic doubled up Etown in shots and held a slight edge in corner kicks and also won the match 2-0. The stat that sticks out the most to me is the second half shots where Catholic held and 8-3 advantage over Etown. That stat is telling as in reality it should be reversed. Etown was losing 1-0 early and if they are pushing hard in the second half to get an equalizer they should be gaining more chances/shots/etc but its the complete opposite, according to the box score. Etown didn't register a shot in the 2nd half for the first 20 minutes! :o And it looks like Catholic got a second goal with 15 to go which means even more shots should be fired in the last 15 for Etown but still not the case. As mentioned, I did not watch this game and am referencing the box score and looking for trends. I am not sure which Etown players were missing and that could help shift the box score but I think anyone who has followed this year would give a slight edge (55/45) to Catholic headed into the final.
Quote from: BJBeliever on November 06, 2019, 05:49:57 AM
Why are you being an E'town hater Hopkins92. They had a better game plan than kick and run Scranton. A PK called and reversed after a 3 minute review by a linesman who was further away than the ref. 2 goals called back. E'town keeper had nothing to do. Goal was a matter of time.
Lets wait till after the Catholic game in the final to slam them as not being in the game. And yes Catholic beat them last weekend but check the box score who played for E'town compared with last night. Different game Saturday, different result.
I have ZERO skin in the game when it comes to these two teams. Good goalie buddy went to Etown and I have lots of respect for the program.
Just my opinion that Scranton was actually building more out of the back than Etown, and the field seemed tilted toward Etown's goal most of the second half.
I'd put Catholic as 2 goal favorites over Etown on Saturday.
I'll also cop to the fact that I was heavily distracted trying to watch the game with so much grousing from the fans. Complaining about the ref pretty much the ENTIRE second half and getting into it with opposing fans. Again, grow up and get a grip.
What's the story with Skip Roderick? He's been at E-Town forever. Has their style kept up with the times?
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2019, 10:06:22 AM
I have ZERO skin in the game when it comes to these two teams. Good goalie buddy went to Etown and I have lots of respect for the program.
Just my opinion that Scranton was actually building more out of the back than Etown, and the field seemed tilted toward Etown's goal most of the second half.
I'd put Catholic as 2 goal favorites over Etown on Saturday.
I'll also cop to the fact that I was heavily distracted trying to watch the game with so much grousing from the fans. Complaining about the ref pretty much the ENTIRE second half and getting into it with opposing fans. Again, grow up and get a grip.
@Hopkins92 applauding a team for building out of the back?!?! Let's see how long into the next close Hopkins match this lasts.
Quote from: YoungBuck on November 06, 2019, 01:01:26 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2019, 10:06:22 AM
I have ZERO skin in the game when it comes to these two teams. Good goalie buddy went to Etown and I have lots of respect for the program.
Just my opinion that Scranton was actually building more out of the back than Etown, and the field seemed tilted toward Etown's goal most of the second half.
I'd put Catholic as 2 goal favorites over Etown on Saturday.
I'll also cop to the fact that I was heavily distracted trying to watch the game with so much grousing from the fans. Complaining about the ref pretty much the ENTIRE second half and getting into it with opposing fans. Again, grow up and get a grip.
@Hopkins92 applauding a team for building out of the back?!?! Let's see how long into the next close Hopkins match this lasts.
HA!
Look, I'm a fan of possession and controlling the rhythm of a game. That's the style I tried to implement as a coach, to varying degrees of success. But I'm also in favor of switching up tactics when a) they simply aren't generating shots and danger and/or b) when you're losing in a loser go home situation.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 06, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 14-2-1 | 0.613 | 4-2-1 | 14-2-1 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 15-2-0 | 0.602 | 5-1-0 | 15-2-0 | 2 |
3. | Messiah | 14-2-2 | 0.569 | 4-2-0 | 14-2-2 | 3 |
4. | Swarthmore | 11-3-3 | 0.593 | 2-3-1 | 11-3-3 | 4 |
5. | Haverford | 9-5-3 | 0.624 | 2-3-2 | 9-5-3 | 7 |
6. | Gettysburg | 10-6-1 | 0.622 | 3-4-1 | 10-6-1 | 5 |
7. | Catholic | 16-2-1 | 0.526 | 3-1-1 | 16-2-1 | 9 |
8. | Dickinson | 10-7-0 | 0.624 | 3-6-0 | 10-7-0 | 6 |
9. | Lycoming | 12-6-0 | 0.572 | 1-4-0 | 12-6-0 | 10 |
10. | Elizabethtown | 10-5-2 | 0.568 | 0-4-0 | 10-5-2 | 8 |
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 06, 2019, 02:11:55 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 06, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 14-2-1 | 0.613 | 4-2-1 | 14-2-1 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 15-2-0 | 0.602 | 5-1-0 | 15-2-0 | 2 |
3. | Messiah | 14-2-2 | 0.569 | 4-2-0 | 14-2-2 | 3 |
4. | Swarthmore | 11-3-3 | 0.593 | 2-3-1 | 11-3-3 | 4 |
5. | Haverford | 9-5-3 | 0.624 | 2-3-2 | 9-5-3 | 7 |
6. | Gettysburg | 10-6-1 | 0.622 | 3-4-1 | 10-6-1 | 5 |
7. | Catholic | 16-2-1 | 0.526 | 3-1-1 | 16-2-1 | 9 |
8. | Dickinson | 10-7-0 | 0.624 | 3-6-0 | 10-7-0 | 6 |
9. | Lycoming | 12-6-0 | 0.572 | 1-4-0 | 12-6-0 | 10 |
10. | Elizabethtown | 10-5-2 | 0.568 | 0-4-0 | 10-5-2 | 8 |
Incredibly, Swat looks poised for a Pool C without even making the CC tournament (finished 6th). They'll be hoping for Messiah and Hopkins/F&M to come away with AQs. Fords and Getty likely playing for their seasons (0-0 mid way through the first). I give the winner a good chance to bump Swat, with a ranked win and a SoS boost that will further go up against F&M, regardless of that result in that game.
Gettysburg 1:0 Fords
Misericordia 0:1 Eastern (1OT)
Kings 2:1 Stevens
That's an absolute dagger for the Ducks.
Lycoming wins 3:0 over Arcadia earlier today. Messiah up 3-0 on Stevenson already.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2019, 08:09:13 PM
Kings 2:1 Stevens
That's an absolute dagger for the Ducks.
Lycoming wins 3:0 over Arcadia earlier today. Messiah up 3-0 on Stevenson already.
Freedom#2 Eastern vs #4 Kings
Commonwealth#1 Messiah vs #2 Lyco
Landmark #1 Catholic vs #3 Etown
Centennial #5 Gettysburg at #1 Franklin and Marshall
#3 Dickinson vs. #2 Johns Hopkins
Winner A vs Winner B
CSAC#3 Keystone vs #4 Rosemont
NEAC#5 Lancaster Bible at #1 Penn State-Harrisburg
#6 Keuka vs. #2 Penn State-Abington
Winner A vs Winner B
As a Stevens supporter, sad to see the Ducks season come to an end vs Kings. Fair play to Kings, who didn't sit in and played attacking soccer vs the Ducks, in Hoboken no less. The last 15 minutes showed what Stevens was capable of, and with 3 goal line opportunities, Ducks will have a lot to think about over next 9 months. Cheers to the two seniors on the roster, who no doubt had a large impact on the program over the course of their 4 years, and best of luck to them going forwards! For the rest of the lads, returning the same starting 11 next season, expectations have to be high in the Ducks camp. I will be watching the Eastern vs Kings game and will be rooting for the winner throughout NCAA tournament. #COYD
Quote from: YoungBuck on November 06, 2019, 02:22:10 PM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 06, 2019, 02:11:55 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 06, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 14-2-1 | 0.613 | 4-2-1 | 14-2-1 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 15-2-0 | 0.602 | 5-1-0 | 15-2-0 | 2 |
3. | Messiah | 14-2-2 | 0.569 | 4-2-0 | 14-2-2 | 3 |
4. | Swarthmore | 11-3-3 | 0.593 | 2-3-1 | 11-3-3 | 4 |
5. | Haverford | 9-5-3 | 0.624 | 2-3-2 | 9-5-3 | 7 |
6. | Gettysburg | 10-6-1 | 0.622 | 3-4-1 | 10-6-1 | 5 |
7. | Catholic | 16-2-1 | 0.526 | 3-1-1 | 16-2-1 | 9 |
8. | Dickinson | 10-7-0 | 0.624 | 3-6-0 | 10-7-0 | 6 |
9. | Lycoming | 12-6-0 | 0.572 | 1-4-0 | 12-6-0 | 10 |
10. | Elizabethtown | 10-5-2 | 0.568 | 0-4-0 | 10-5-2 | 8 |
Incredibly, Swat looks poised for a Pool C without even making the CC tournament (finished 6th). They'll be hoping for Messiah and Hopkins/F&M to come away with AQs. Fords and Getty likely playing for their seasons (0-0 mid way through the first). I give the winner a good chance to bump Swat, with a ranked win and a SoS boost that will further go up against F&M, regardless of that result in that game.
Haverford is done after yesterday and I think they were done regardless unless they reached the final and tied then lost in PKs. 6 losses isn't necessarily too many, especially this year, but the 9 blemishes equaling their win total is and also results in a poor win %. SOS and RvR is half decent but their bubble has burst and depending on other results I think you will see them drop significantly by Monday's selection show and final regional rankings. Surprised to see Etown still ranked but I guess I am not sure who else could fill that slot. Maybe Eastern if they end up winning the Freedom? Depending on outcomes in the Centennial semis, I think you will see Lycoming and Catholic both jump up a few spots as well trying to position themselves for a long shot bid if all else fails. Both will have increase in SOS and a chance for another ranked opponent if they can get a result and PK situation as mentioned above for the Haverford situation. Lycoming now moves to 13 wins on the year which is the 4th most in the region behind only Catholic, F&M, JHU and Messiah. Catholic having 3 ranked wins is impressive (if that holds I haven't looked at anything recent if teams dropped out or jumped in) and despite the low SOS, the win% and RvR is hard to overlook at this point. Dickinson tying or losing I think makes both Lyco and Catholic jump and stay ahead of them seeing Dickinson lost to both teams with the head to head. Gettysburg is in an odd scenario as parts of their resume doesn't look as good as their ranking but time will tell. Hard to overlook now 4 ranked wins and that incredible SOS. Unlike the Fords, Gettysburg has it all going for them except the blemish category. If they lost to F&M and pick up a 7th loss how does that factor in for the rest of the teams still chasing and trying to move? Swat missing the playoffs might be the best thing that could have happened for them as they don't pick up more blemishes and keep a strong SOS and resume in tact although I personally feel if you miss your conference playoffs you shouldn't be rewarded with an at-large berth. It just doesn't make sense to me ??? Similar to last season I think regionally and nationally we will see a TON of movement from the 3rd rankings to the final rankings and have some surprises come the selection show.
Final Rankings Preview 11/7Safe and Dancing JHU
F&M
Messiah
BubbleGettysburg
Swat
Catholic
Lyco
Dickinson
Wrong Side of BubbleHaverford
Etown
The bubble and wrong side of bubble teams currently are hopeful for the favorites or locks to win unless they are competing against them for the AQ (ie: Gettysburg, Lyco, Dickinson) Swat really throws a wrench into this region for the committee to figure out.
The nearly annual (lately) Messiah-Lycoming conference championship game is scheduled for 7 pm Saturday. Currently the forecast is for close to freezing temperatures with some light winds. Overall not the greatest outlook, but it could be worse.
Both teams are in the midst of winning streaks, for Lyco going back to their 1-0 loss to the Falcons in Williamsport, a game about as close as the score; for the Falcons, it's 11 wins in a row since a scoreless tie at home vs Salusbury--a game that nearly ended twice, when each team in succession failed to convert a PK. The Falcons had won 3 in a row before the Salusbury game, going all the way back to their uncharacteristic opening two weeks when they were 1-2-1.
IMO, neither team is as dangerous offensively as they have been the past few seasons--although admittedly the Warriors generated much of their scoring in that period from set plays, not from the run of play. But, each team lost hugely important players to graduation last spring and (for the Falcons) also the previous season when they won it all. You don't just replace AAs Nick West, Sinclair Tueno, or Colby Thomas. The absence of similar players has left both teams less dangerous than they were one or two years ago.
Nevertheless, the Falcons (for their part) seem to have addressed their early season inability to put the ball into the net. It didn't hurt that injured veterans healed up; and, this year's sophomores (some of whom also missed chunks of their first season) are much more experienced, and physically stronger. Lucas Kokolios has been especially good on the attack, replacing Jonathan Groothoff (out for the season) on the wing; while SR Micah Fitz on the other wing is even better and bigger than he was last season, when he was a very effective assist man and occasional scorer. He now has a complete game to match his excellent speed. The Falcons have figured out how to score without West; they now have 10 players with at least 2 goals and 5 with more than 10 points. Conference rookie of the year Ben Lefever has been stellar--there's no evidence that he's just a FR. Cooper Robbins' good health all season (a huge contrast with 2018, when various injuries cost him the possibility of being an AA and contributed to the Falcons missing the Final Four) enabled him to be named Conference Defensive Player of the Year--an accolade I totally endorse, after watching him very closely in the past few games. He has dominated very player he's marked and set up the offense from the back. At this point, he might even be as good as his brother Carter Robbins from the great teams a few years ago.
Lycoming is still very tough defensively. Despite key losses, they have regrouped and are a very difficult opponent for anyone. However, I think they are done if they do not earn the AQ this weekend--they presently are just 1-4-0 R v R, and another loss to Messiah won't help one bit. Look for them to come out ferociously and try to get an early goal, probably off a set piece or a scrum. If they do, then hold on to your butts; if not, I see them losing by 2 or 3 goals. Either way, the Falcons will keep playing, though certainly not at home the opening weekend of the Big Dance.
Quote from: Falconer on November 07, 2019, 03:29:42 PMEither way, the Falcons will keep playing, though certainly not at home the opening weekend of the Big Dance.
Being an odd-numbered year, the women have hosting preference for the opening 1st/2nd Round weekend, and men have hosting preference for the Sectionals. With Messiah women ranked #1 in the nation by everyone and #1 in the NCAA Mid-Atlantic regional rankings, they certainly will be hosting opening weekend, so the men will be on the road regardless of what happens in the conference final.
https://www.abc27.com/news/local/lancaster/photos-show-fm-students-wore-disturbing-culturally-insensitive-costumes/
Probably not the best timing for the CC tournament hosts to be facing questions about players' Halloween costume decisions. This will be an interesting one to follow if these are actually F&M soccer players and the school decides to take any action.
"The student made chinky-slanted eyes," said junior Vi Bui, who called the photos deeply disturbing. "My question is: how many games are these players being benched for?"
I'm not good with irony... Is that irony?
At any rate, it's pretty horrible that these student athletes (apparently) are getting away with what amounts to being a stern lecture. It's also incredible that F&M doesn't have a diversity officer or a formal means of reporting this stuff, let alone a disciplinary structure. I don't really want to hear "this could happen anywhere" because that's simply not true. Places that focus on inclusion and acknowledging diversity don't leave space for this kind of crap.
Probably nothing done to the players until full investigation which will conveniently last beyond post season.
Quote from: BJBeliever on November 09, 2019, 06:01:54 AM
Probably nothing done to the players until full investigation which will conveniently last beyond post season.
2 basketball players and 3 soccer players part of the crew. Protestors forced a cancellation and postponement of last night's basketball game against York by a holding a sit-in protest on the court.
Wagner quoted in article and said players have received death threat and are good kids who made a mistake. "I will do anything I possibly can to stand with anyone," said soccer coach Dan Wagner.
https://www.wgal.com/article/hundreds-of-f-m-students-rally-in-response-to-what-they-call-racist-halloween-costumes/29739737# (https://www.wgal.com/article/hundreds-of-f-m-students-rally-in-response-to-what-they-call-racist-halloween-costumes/29739737#)
Going to be huge media coverage today, and likely more protests. F&M and CC officials should be prepared.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on November 09, 2019, 08:20:08 AM
Quote from: BJBeliever on November 09, 2019, 06:01:54 AM
Probably nothing done to the players until full investigation which will conveniently last beyond post season.
2 basketball players and 3 soccer players part of the crew. Protestors forced a cancellation and postponement of last night's basketball game against York by a holding a sit-in protest on the court.
It can't be both. It has to either be a cancellation or a postponement.
Both York (PA) and F&M show on their respective men's basketball pages that the game has been postponed, so it will be made up at some point later in the season.
Quote from: FelixCloudy on November 09, 2019, 08:20:08 AMWagner quoted in article and said players have received death threat and are good kids who made a mistake. "I will do anything I possibly can to stand with anyone," said soccer coach Dan Wagner.
https://www.wgal.com/article/hundreds-of-f-m-students-rally-in-response-to-what-they-call-racist-halloween-costumes/29739737# (https://www.wgal.com/article/hundreds-of-f-m-students-rally-in-response-to-what-they-call-racist-halloween-costumes/29739737#)
Going to be huge media coverage today, and likely more protests. F&M and CC officials should be prepared.
I'll be very surprised if student protesters don't stage an identical sit-down strike on the F&M soccer pitch today, given that there were more soccer players involved in that obnoxious Halloween stunt than there were basketball players.
Quote from: Gregory Sager on November 09, 2019, 11:21:17 AM
I'll be very surprised if student protesters don't stage an identical sit-down strike on the F&M soccer pitch today, given that there were more soccer players involved in that obnoxious Halloween stunt than there were basketball players.
Agree. And I am having trouble with the CC stream which seems not to be live yet? Not sure if the game has started?
Correction - F&M:Getty game is now live - five minutes in. Probably my technical difficulties.
Yeah, I'm surprised. I'd be pretty salty if I was an F&M basketball player; their game got shut down by a sitdown strike and the soccer game didn't. Perhaps the revelation of the death threats aimed at the soccer players to which the F&M soccer coach alluded yesterday persuaded the strike organizers to back off today.
And maybe access to the field was pretty tightly controlled in advance - it is fenced, unlike the basketball gym. Wagner and F&M administration certainly realized they could have an issue and might have made sure any protestors didn't have access to the turf.
As I type this F&M got their second goal... they are not letting this stop them.
G'burg 0:3 F&M
Dickinson 0:2 Hop
Younker played about half the game and was dangerous today. I know I'm a broken record, but that's a very good sign for the Jays.
Tomorrow's game kicks off at 1pm in Lancaster. If I didn't have to paint a bedroom with a bunch of trim, I'd make way up there. Couple of top 10 teams playing their best... Should be quite a tilt.
The Falcons survived a severe test at home on a windy Saturday afternoon in Grantham—the game had been announced for 7 pm but was moved up, apparently to avoid playing in freezing temperatures. Good idea! As expected, Lycoming came loaded for bear, and they got what they needed: an official who swallowed his whistle. The Warriors were able to play their preferred style of mugging first, asking questions later, slowing the more athletic Falcons enough to take most of the attraction out of their beautiful game. For their part, the Falcons matched their aggression on defense, though it would be unnatural for them to wrap both arms around opponents from behind, hang on to a player’s arm or jersey after he’s already blown by, stand defiantly in front of an opponent about to take a free kick, or bitch loudly about being called for a foul he knows he’s just committed. So, the Warriors appeared (as they usually do) somewhat deceptively to be the more aggressive team, whereas Messiah matched them tackle for tackle and bump for bump. Ironically, the only card given (a yellow to Warrior defender Arthur Nganu) was actually undeserved. He still unwisely pushed the envelope, daring the official to card him again on a subsequent set play, such that his teammates had to forcibly restrain him from crowding the Falcon kicker. That one SHOULD have been a second yellow, which would have fundamentally altered the game. The biggest non-call however was a hand ball in the Lycoming box that was seen but unwhistled, and from the smiles on the Lycoming bench was deeply appreciated, as the potential first goal was not attempted.
Nevertheless, 36 total fouls were called, roughly half the right number, with Lycoming earning the lion’s share (22-14). Neither offense was able consistently to string passes together, and at the half just 9 shots were taken combined. That number doubled after intermission, when all the goals were scored. The Falcons put two on frame (just 3 in the whole game), neither of them saveable, while the Warriors peppered the net far more regularly, but could not score until the final minute. Falcon SR keeper Nate Flaners, who had dutifully sat on the bench for 3 years, save the Falcons’ bacon multiple times, especially in the last 3 minutes when he made one of the greates saves I have ever seen on a close-in, perfectly directed header that everyone knew was going in. See the highlights on the Falcon home page for that one!
So, who outplayed whom? Just like the first game in Williamsport, this one was closer than the score—yet not as close, since it could have/should have been 3-0 with 3 minutes left; yet, it could have gone to OT, if not for the brilliant save in the closing minutes. Lycoming outshot Messiah, especially in SOG, but both teams were dangerous despite the inability to string passes together. If Lycoming somehow gets a bid (I say they won’t), they will not be a team anyone wants to play, and if they dn’t get good officiating they could very well knock off a top-10 team. They came close enough to doing that yesterday.
Quote from: Falconer on November 10, 2019, 04:44:00 AM
The Falcons survived a severe test at home on a windy Saturday afternoon in Grantham—the game had been announced for 7 pm but was moved up, apparently to avoid playing in freezing temperatures. Good idea! As expected, Lycoming came loaded for bear, and they got what they needed: an official who swallowed his whistle. The Warriors were able to play their preferred style of mugging first, asking questions later, slowing the more athletic Falcons enough to take most of the attraction out of their beautiful game. For their part, the Falcons matched their aggression on defense, though it would be unnatural for them to wrap both arms around opponents from behind, hang on to a player's arm or jersey after he's already blown by, stand defiantly in front of an opponent about to take a free kick, or bitch loudly about being called for a foul he knows he's just committed. So, the Warriors appeared (as they usually do) somewhat deceptively to be the more aggressive team, whereas Messiah matched them tackle for tackle and bump for bump. Ironically, the only card given (a yellow to Warrior defender Arthur Nganu) was actually undeserved. He still unwisely pushed the envelope, daring the official to card him again on a subsequent set play, such that his teammates had to forcibly restrain him from crowding the Falcon kicker. That one SHOULD have been a second yellow, which would have fundamentally altered the game. The biggest non-call however was a hand ball in the Lycoming box that was seen but unwhistled, and from the smiles on the Lycoming bench was deeply appreciated, as the potential first goal was not attempted.
Nevertheless, 36 total fouls were called, roughly half the right number, with Lycoming earning the lion's share (22-14). Neither offense was able consistently to string passes together, and at the half just 9 shots were taken combined. That number doubled after intermission, when all the goals were scored. The Falcons put two on frame (just 3 in the whole game), neither of them saveable, while the Warriors peppered the net far more regularly, but could not score until the final minute. Falcon SR keeper Nate Flaners, who had dutifully sat on the bench for 3 years, save the Falcons' bacon multiple times, especially in the last 3 minutes when he made one of the greates saves I have ever seen on a close-in, perfectly directed header that everyone knew was going in. See the highlights on the Falcon home page for that one!
So, who outplayed whom? Just like the first game in Williamsport, this one was closer than the score—yet not as close, since it could have/should have been 3-0 with 3 minutes left; yet, it could have gone to OT, if not for the brilliant save in the closing minutes. Lycoming outshot Messiah, especially in SOG, but both teams were dangerous despite the inability to string passes together. If Lycoming somehow gets a bid (I say they won't), they will not be a team anyone wants to play, and if they dn't get good officiating they could very well knock off a top-10 team. They came close enough to doing that yesterday.
Good summary Falconer. The funny thing is a large contingent of Lycoming fans complained entire game about how unfair the refs calls were against them, or about calls not being made against Messiah. I also think ref turned a blind eye on a take down in the box by Lycoming. One looked like a soft foul but another looked like a pk. Good high intensity NCAA playoff game level. Good preparation for the tournament. Lycoming #6 I'm told is very clean player and quality player and respectful opponent.
Brackets should be interesting. Messiah will likely have either Franklin and Marshall or Hopkins in their group so I wonder if the loser of their game could drop below Messiah in regional ranking making it possible for Messiah to host sweet 16 games.
We, the Mid-Atlantic faithful, ought to be making as much noise for the F&M vs. Hopkins CC Championship as the NESCAC crew would inevitably be making if Amherst hadn't stumbled yesterday. The stakes for this one might be Sectional hosting duties for the winner. The loser will probably drop to #3 in the regional rankings, and could have to get passed Messiah earlier than they would otherwise like.
Both teams looked very strong on both ends yesterday. I expect Hopkins to see the lion's share of the ball, but F&M at home will almost certainly generate more shots on the stat sheet. Hopkins starting CM Liam Creedon missed the earlier game due to red card suspension, and F Achim Younker was out injured. These two looked strong in yesterday's win, and might be enough to push Hopkins over the top for the second time this year. Regardless of the result, this game will be at least worth sharing your screen with the end of Liverpool's rout of City. Enjoy!
Things heating up in Lancaster. After a competitive 1-1 first half, Alex Lalovic, who was suspended for yesterday's semifinal win over Gettysburg for his involvement in the racist Halloween Costume scandal, puts F&M up 2-1 early into the second half (should he be on the field at all today?). The lead didn't last for long though, as Hopkins responds with a PK from Liam Creedon to tie it at 2-2. Last 25 in this one is gonna be spicy.
Quote from: YoungBuck on November 10, 2019, 02:31:49 PM
Alex Lalovic, who was suspended for yesterday's semifinal win over Gettysburg for his involvement in the racist Halloween Costume scandal, puts F&M up 2-1 early into the second half (should he be on the field at all today?).
The soccer gods have answered: JHU wins CC crown on F&M's turf 3-2. Congrats to the Blue Jays, bringing home the trophy after a ten year hiatus. The Jays last CC championship was Appleby's first season as their coach - it's been a long time coming.
What a great match. Creeden played a Hell of a game, huge save from Lefevere.
Really happy for Appleby and his boys! He had a vision to play the way he wants and the boys have finally delivered him a well deserving silverware!
What was really special this year and stood out the most from my time at Hopkins was the fact that everyone in the Hopkins team have played a significant role. They are no longer reliant on one or two player to change the game but anyone in the team are capable to deliver when they are called upon. The guys who came off the bench could match the quality of the starters and there wasn't a huge drop in terms of quality. This was evident today when sophomore striker Koyman came off the bench to equalized the game at the first half, and assisted the game winner off a header in the 2nd.
Really excited to see how far they can go this year in the NCAA tournament!
Absolutely well-deserved props to Appleby. Credit where it's due... They mixed up their style of play beautifully today... Got their third goal on a long ball up the middle that I think Koyman flicked on to a streaking Maclean who was in behind the Dips backline and finished like a pro. But they did that mixing of styles more than I've seen in the past and it was awesome to see it pay off.
Also, major props to the announcers who did a GREAT job calling that game in an even-handed and knowledgeable style. There were a few (correct) no calls of PKs deep in the game that Dips homers could've burned a bunch of time complaining about, bug these two kept it "professional" and pointed out they weren't fouls and moved on with the game.
Production was a little choppy, but I appreciate the effort to switch cameras from time to time. Only "complaint" is that balls in either near side corner were almost always off camera. And in the second half, that was a bit of an issue.
Overall though, kudos for the broadcast!
Quote from: Falconer on November 10, 2019, 04:44:00 AM
The Falcons survived a severe test at home on a windy Saturday afternoon in Grantham—the game had been announced for 7 pm but was moved up, apparently to avoid playing in freezing temperatures. Good idea! As expected, Lycoming came loaded for bear, and they got what they needed: an official who swallowed his whistle. The Warriors were able to play their preferred style of mugging first, asking questions later, slowing the more athletic Falcons enough to take most of the attraction out of their beautiful game. For their part, the Falcons matched their aggression on defense, though it would be unnatural for them to wrap both arms around opponents from behind, hang on to a player's arm or jersey after he's already blown by, stand defiantly in front of an opponent about to take a free kick, or bitch loudly about being called for a foul he knows he's just committed. So, the Warriors appeared (as they usually do) somewhat deceptively to be the more aggressive team, whereas Messiah matched them tackle for tackle and bump for bump. Ironically, the only card given (a yellow to Warrior defender Arthur Nganu) was actually undeserved. He still unwisely pushed the envelope, daring the official to card him again on a subsequent set play, such that his teammates had to forcibly restrain him from crowding the Falcon kicker. That one SHOULD have been a second yellow, which would have fundamentally altered the game. The biggest non-call however was a hand ball in the Lycoming box that was seen but unwhistled, and from the smiles on the Lycoming bench was deeply appreciated, as the potential first goal was not attempted.
Nevertheless, 36 total fouls were called, roughly half the right number, with Lycoming earning the lion's share (22-14). Neither offense was able consistently to string passes together, and at the half just 9 shots were taken combined. That number doubled after intermission, when all the goals were scored. The Falcons put two on frame (just 3 in the whole game), neither of them saveable, while the Warriors peppered the net far more regularly, but could not score until the final minute. Falcon SR keeper Nate Flaners, who had dutifully sat on the bench for 3 years, save the Falcons' bacon multiple times, especially in the last 3 minutes when he made one of the greates saves I have ever seen on a close-in, perfectly directed header that everyone knew was going in. See the highlights on the Falcon home page for that one!
So, who outplayed whom? Just like the first game in Williamsport, this one was closer than the score—yet not as close, since it could have/should have been 3-0 with 3 minutes left; yet, it could have gone to OT, if not for the brilliant save in the closing minutes. Lycoming outshot Messiah, especially in SOG, but both teams were dangerous despite the inability to string passes together. If Lycoming somehow gets a bid (I say they won't), they will not be a team anyone wants to play, and if they dn't get good officiating they could very well knock off a top-10 team. They came close enough to doing that yesterday.
I agree with most of this and will let the stuff I don't agree with slide. I thought that this match was even more entertaining than the first battle these two teams had. Although Lycoming came up short, I thought they looked strong and caused Messiah fits throughout the game. The play was extremely aggressive and although Lycoming tends to be the aggressor when they play Messiah, I think it may have been even more physical than they would have liked as well. Despite this, both teams looked like NCAA tournament teams that could make runs past the first weekend. Messiah pushing through and finding a way to grind this win out shows how far they have come from earlier in the year. They have a toughness that makes up for their lack of skill and talent that has helped them overmatch their opponents in past years. That is not meant to take away from this team's talent or skill as they are extremely talented, but they aren't as fluent as years past and that is okay as the outstanding record they have put together won't care about previous Falcon teams. Lycoming had a ton of scoring opportunities but Messiah's keeper was stellar and guided them to a win. I thought Lycoming created more dangerous chances and more of them too as the box score will indicate but Messiah buried the ones they had to survive. Messiah was a lock regardless of this game but Lycoming is squarely on the bubble. I would be surprised if they got in but at the same time I wouldn't be surprised at all. If anyone from the national committee was watching that game they would without hesitation say both of those teams were going to be NCAA tournament teams. And with the amount of parity throughout the regions this year and 2 extra bids I wouldn't be in the least bit surprised to see Lycoming steal a bid. The 1 ranked win might hurt them but there are plenty of other teams that may get in with 1 win and some are even putting St. Thomas in the mixer who has 0 ranked wins. Regardless, this game was fun to watch despite the choppy play and congratulations to Messiah on another title! I think the Falcons could have a nice run to the final 4 if they get a favorable draw.
We are just over five and a half hours away from knowing for sure, but who do you think hosts in the mid-Atlantic for the first two rounds this weekend? Seems like Hopkins will host and I could see catholic being sent up to Baltimore with two weaker teams and F&M hosting with messiah and two weaker teams.
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 07:54:03 AM
We are just over five and a half hours away from knowing for sure, but who do you think hosts in the mid-Atlantic for the first two rounds this weekend? Seems like Hopkins will host and I could see catholic being sent up to Baltimore with two weaker teams and F&M hosting with messiah and two weaker teams.
Messiah can't host since Messiah women host first weekend. But you will not see F&M playing Messiah the first weekend I doubt. They are both top 3 in the regional rankings so I don't think they would meet until sweet 16 if both are still alive. Perhaps a team like Eastern plays one of them first weekend. Messiah may end up in upstate NY which is common in recent years. Rochester, Hobart, Ithaca. Would be nice to get a crack at any of these teams given first weekend of the year losses to Hobart and Ithaca and last year elite 8 loss to Rochester. We will see soon enough.
Quote from: rudy on November 11, 2019, 08:37:47 AM
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 07:54:03 AM
We are just over five and a half hours away from knowing for sure, but who do you think hosts in the mid-Atlantic for the first two rounds this weekend? Seems like Hopkins will host and I could see catholic being sent up to Baltimore with two weaker teams and F&M hosting with messiah and two weaker teams.
Messiah can't host since Messiah women host first weekend. But you will not see F&M playing Messiah the first weekend I doubt. They are both top 3 in the regional rankings so I don't think they would meet until sweet 16 if both are still alive. Perhaps a team like Eastern plays one of them first weekend. Messiah may end up in upstate NY which is common in recent years. Rochester, Hobart, Ithaca. Would be nice to get a crack at any of these teams given first weekend of the year losses to Hobart and Ithaca and last year elite 8 loss to Rochester. We will see soon enough.
Yes they may get sent to NY but doubt they would play a team they already played this year in the opening round. I believe the committee does their best to avoid pairing teams who have already played until at least the second weekend. Definitely not in the first round game and rarely in the second round games but usually for the regions out west.
Final NCAA Predictions
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Gettysburg
5. Swat
6. Catholic
7. Lyco
8. Haverford
9. Dickinson
10. Etown or Eastern (probably Etown)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 11, 2019, 09:22:20 AM
Final NCAA Predictions
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Gettysburg
5. Swat
6. Catholic
7. Lyco
8. Haverford
9. Dickinson
10. Etown or Eastern (probably Etown)
Understandably giving centennial teams a lot of respect and wisely since the committee seems to really value strength of schedule, but in terms of the best teams in the mid-Atlantic my rankings are:
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Swat
6. Gettysburg
7. Lycoming
8. Haverford
9. Dickinson
10. Eastern
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 09:57:09 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 11, 2019, 09:22:20 AM
Final NCAA Predictions
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Gettysburg
5. Swat
6. Catholic
7. Lyco
8. Haverford
9. Dickinson
10. Etown or Eastern (probably Etown)
Understandably giving centennial teams a lot of respect and wisely since the committee seems to really value strength of schedule, but in terms of the best teams in the mid-Atlantic my rankings are:
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Catholic
5. Swat
6. Gettysburg
7. Lycoming
8. Haverford
9. Dickinson
10. Eastern
I actually agree with your rankings if I was selecting them. Eastern only in as they won the Freedom but I can see an argument for them or Etown at the 10 slot. I think you hit the nail on the head with your rankings though. +K
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 11, 2019, 09:19:06 AM
Quote from: rudy on November 11, 2019, 08:37:47 AM
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 07:54:03 AM
We are just over five and a half hours away from knowing for sure, but who do you think hosts in the mid-Atlantic for the first two rounds this weekend? Seems like Hopkins will host and I could see catholic being sent up to Baltimore with two weaker teams and F&M hosting with messiah and two weaker teams.
Messiah can't host since Messiah women host first weekend. But you will not see F&M playing Messiah the first weekend I doubt. They are both top 3 in the regional rankings so I don't think they would meet until sweet 16 if both are still alive. Perhaps a team like Eastern plays one of them first weekend. Messiah may end up in upstate NY which is common in recent years. Rochester, Hobart, Ithaca. Would be nice to get a crack at any of these teams given first weekend of the year losses to Hobart and Ithaca and last year elite 8 loss to Rochester. We will see soon enough.
Yes they may get sent to NY but doubt they would play a team they already played this year in the opening round. I believe the committee does their best to avoid pairing teams who have already played until at least the second weekend. Definitely not in the first round game and rarely in the second round games but usually for the regions out west.
I have never heard or read of any attempt to avoid re-matches of regular season games. They try to avoid pairing members of the same conference in the first round. In fact, and I'd have to look up if it was approved and for what time-frame, but their was a proposal for a pilot to not just try, but to guarantee that conference members do not play in round one. Obviously out west, absolutely not allowing conference members to meet in the first round could potentially increase travel costs, but I think that is what they want to see in the pilot.
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 11, 2019, 10:11:30 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 11, 2019, 09:19:06 AM
Quote from: rudy on November 11, 2019, 08:37:47 AM
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 07:54:03 AM
We are just over five and a half hours away from knowing for sure, but who do you think hosts in the mid-Atlantic for the first two rounds this weekend? Seems like Hopkins will host and I could see catholic being sent up to Baltimore with two weaker teams and F&M hosting with messiah and two weaker teams.
Messiah can't host since Messiah women host first weekend. But you will not see F&M playing Messiah the first weekend I doubt. They are both top 3 in the regional rankings so I don't think they would meet until sweet 16 if both are still alive. Perhaps a team like Eastern plays one of them first weekend. Messiah may end up in upstate NY which is common in recent years. Rochester, Hobart, Ithaca. Would be nice to get a crack at any of these teams given first weekend of the year losses to Hobart and Ithaca and last year elite 8 loss to Rochester. We will see soon enough.
Yes they may get sent to NY but doubt they would play a team they already played this year in the opening round. I believe the committee does their best to avoid pairing teams who have already played until at least the second weekend. Definitely not in the first round game and rarely in the second round games but usually for the regions out west.
I have never heard or read of any attempt to avoid re-matches of regular season games. They try to avoid pairing members of the same conference in the first round. In fact, and I'd have to look up if it was approved and for what time-frame, but their was a proposal for a pilot to not just try, but to guarantee that conference members do not play in round one. Obviously out west, absolutely not allowing conference members to meet in the first round could potentially increase travel costs, but I think that is what they want to see in the pilot.
Not sure if there is a rule or not and come to think of it I think we have seen teams play in the second round games who may have played one another in the regular season. But I feel that you almost never see teams play against each other in the first round if they have played one another in the regular season. There might not be a rule so it's possible they could but I would be interested to see what you find if you dig for this info ;D It might not be a rule so it could happen but I feel like we rarely see teams playing each other in round 1 who played during the regular season until at least round 2. The more west the region though the better the chance that could happen I guess just due to the number of teams and bids etc. I do like the conference rule though but also understand it may not always be possible the more west you go as discussed already.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 11, 2019, 09:22:20 AM
Final NCAA Predictions
1. JHU
2. F&M
3. Messiah
4. Gettysburg
5. Swat
6. Catholic
7. Lyco
8. Haverford
9. Dickinson
10. Etown or Eastern (probably Etown)
NCAA Regional Prediction: Week 4 (Final) 1. JHU
2. Messiah
3. F&M
4. Gettysburg
5. Catholic
6. Swat
7. Lyco
8. Haverford
9. Dickinson
10. Eastern
How many at large bids does the centennial conference get? Gettysburg, Haverford, Swat, and Dickinson all serious bubble teams.
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 11:14:17 AM
How many at large bids does the centennial conference get? Gettysburg, Haverford, Swat, and Dickinson all serious bubble teams.
F&M, Gettysburg and Swat safely in.
Fords on the bubble. Dickinson no chance. Think Lycoming can sneak in if they are ahead of the Fords. They will certainly jump Dickinson in the final rankings.
https://www.ncaa.com/brackets/soccer-men/d3/2019
Hopkins headed to Catholic, for a first round match up with John Jay. Catholic to face Conn. College in the other tilt.*
Messiah travels to NY to play Framingham St., to play the winner of SUNY-Oneanta and Babson.
The Dips host and play PS-Harrisburg, facing the winner of Hobart and Montclair St.
Close-by regional neighbors Chris. Newport host Eastern in the first round, and play the winner of Swat v. Roanoke.
W&L host NC Weslyan, setting up against the winner of G-burg vs. Oglethorpe.
I still think it's a little nuts the Garnets get in, having failed to finish in the top 5 in the CC. But I get that the numbers don't lie.
Would love to see W&L vs. Gettysburg, if only for the chance that the VA school's namesake can finally get a Gettysburg win after 150+ years.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2019, 02:06:22 PM
https://www.ncaa.com/brackets/soccer-men/d3/2019
Hopkins headed to Catholic, for a first round match up with John Jay. Catholic to face Conn. College in the other tilt.*
Messiah travels to NY to play Framingham St., to play the winner of SUNY-Oneanta and Babson.
The Dips host and play PS-Harrisburg, facing the winner of Hobart and Montclair St.
Close-by regional neighbors Chris. Newport host Eastern in the first round, and play the winner of Swat v. Roanoke.
W&L host NC Weslyan, setting up against the winner of G-burg vs. Oglethorpe.
Very interesting that the committee rewarded Catholic with hosting but gave them a really tough first round matchup while Hopkins gets arguably the worst team in the tournament in John Jay.
Also interesting how CNU gets to host over JHU and gets to play three other at large teams , that while good, are very beatable.
Tell me about the Garnets? Style of play? I see they've beat a few tourney teams. TIA
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 02:18:15 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2019, 02:06:22 PM
https://www.ncaa.com/brackets/soccer-men/d3/2019
Hopkins headed to Catholic, for a first round match up with John Jay. Catholic to face Conn. College in the other tilt.*
Messiah travels to NY to play Framingham St., to play the winner of SUNY-Oneanta and Babson.
The Dips host and play PS-Harrisburg, facing the winner of Hobart and Montclair St.
Close-by regional neighbors Chris. Newport host Eastern in the first round, and play the winner of Swat v. Roanoke.
W&L host NC Weslyan, setting up against the winner of G-burg vs. Oglethorpe.
Very interesting that the committee rewarded Catholic with hosting but gave them a really tough first round matchup while Hopkins gets arguably the worst team in the tournament in John Jay.
Also interesting how CNU gets to host over JHU and gets to play three other at large teams , that while good, are very beatable.
Sorry two other at large *** I forgot eastern won their conference.
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 02:18:15 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2019, 02:06:22 PM
https://www.ncaa.com/brackets/soccer-men/d3/2019
Hopkins headed to Catholic, for a first round match up with John Jay. Catholic to face Conn. College in the other tilt.*
Messiah travels to NY to play Framingham St., to play the winner of SUNY-Oneanta and Babson.
The Dips host and play PS-Harrisburg, facing the winner of Hobart and Montclair St.
Close-by regional neighbors Chris. Newport host Eastern in the first round, and play the winner of Swat v. Roanoke.
W&L host NC Weslyan, setting up against the winner of G-burg vs. Oglethorpe.
Very interesting that the committee rewarded Catholic with hosting but gave them a really tough first round matchup while Hopkins gets arguably the worst team in the tournament in John Jay.
Also interesting how CNU gets to host over JHU and gets to play three other at large teams , that while good, are very beatable.
Hop couldn't host because their women are hosting and have priority....if they both make sectionals, then the JHU men get priority.
Quote from: Caz Bombers on November 11, 2019, 02:20:55 PM
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 02:18:15 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2019, 02:06:22 PM
https://www.ncaa.com/brackets/soccer-men/d3/2019
Hopkins headed to Catholic, for a first round match up with John Jay. Catholic to face Conn. College in the other tilt.*
Messiah travels to NY to play Framingham St., to play the winner of SUNY-Oneanta and Babson.
The Dips host and play PS-Harrisburg, facing the winner of Hobart and Montclair St.
Close-by regional neighbors Chris. Newport host Eastern in the first round, and play the winner of Swat v. Roanoke.
W&L host NC Weslyan, setting up against the winner of G-burg vs. Oglethorpe.
Very interesting that the committee rewarded Catholic with hosting but gave them a really tough first round matchup while Hopkins gets arguably the worst team in the tournament in John Jay.
Also interesting how CNU gets to host over JHU and gets to play three other at large teams , that while good, are very beatable.
Hop couldn't host because their women are hosting and have priority....if they both make sectionals, then the JHU men get priority.
Okay, that makes much more sense. I do think catholic has done enough to earn the right to host and they also have a brand new facility that has to be one of the nicest in the nation. Should be an exciting weekend in DC!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2019, 02:07:33 PM
I still think it's a little nuts the Garnets get in, having failed to finish in the top 5 in the CC. But I get that the numbers don't lie.
::) Preach
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 02:32:40 PM
Quote from: Caz Bombers on November 11, 2019, 02:20:55 PM
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 02:18:15 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2019, 02:06:22 PM
https://www.ncaa.com/brackets/soccer-men/d3/2019
Hopkins headed to Catholic, for a first round match up with John Jay. Catholic to face Conn. College in the other tilt.*
Messiah travels to NY to play Framingham St., to play the winner of SUNY-Oneanta and Babson.
The Dips host and play PS-Harrisburg, facing the winner of Hobart and Montclair St.
Close-by regional neighbors Chris. Newport host Eastern in the first round, and play the winner of Swat v. Roanoke.
W&L host NC Weslyan, setting up against the winner of G-burg vs. Oglethorpe.
Very interesting that the committee rewarded Catholic with hosting but gave them a really tough first round matchup while Hopkins gets arguably the worst team in the tournament in John Jay.
Also interesting how CNU gets to host over JHU and gets to play three other at large teams , that while good, are very beatable.
Hop couldn't host because their women are hosting and have priority....if they both make sectionals, then the JHU men get priority.
Okay, that makes much more sense. I do think catholic has done enough to earn the right to host and they also have a brand new facility that has to be one of the nicest in the nation. Should be an exciting weekend in DC!
Hosting is great for them but tough draw with Conn College in the first round and potential of JHU in the next round. If they somehow survive opening weekend at home it might actually get easier in the Sweet 16 for them. ;D
For Catholic it will all come down to their defense. At one point in the season they were very stingy on giving up goals but that changed. You can score on Catholic and their outside backs can be beaten. You will need to score against them however, as they have shown they are very capable of scoring.
Quote from: franklyspeaking on November 11, 2019, 03:38:03 PM
For Catholic it will all come down to their defense. At one point in the season they were very stingy on giving up goals but that changed. You can score on Catholic and their outside backs can be beaten. You will need to score against them however, as they have shown they are very capable of scoring.
While I agree Catholics success in the tournament will be dependent on keeping the opposition off the scoreboard, I disagree that attacking their outside backs are the way to beat them. They've been very strong stopping teams in the run of play (14 shut outs including 5 of their last 6 games), but they are vulnerable on set pieces. That's is how a weak Moravian opponent kept the semi final somewhat interesting. If catholic limits set piece chances I think they can have a lot of success.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 11, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 16-2-1 | 0.627 | 6-2-1 | 16-2-1 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 16-3-0 | 0.611 | 6-2-0 | 16-3-0 | 2 |
3. | Messiah | 16-2-2 | 0.579 | 5-2-0 | 16-2-2 | 3 |
4. | Swarthmore | 11-3-3 | 0.589 | 2-3-1 | 11-3-3 | 4 |
5. | Gettysburg | 11-7-1 | 0.629 | 4-5-1 | 11-7-1 | 6 |
6. | Catholic | 18-2-1 | 0.542 | 4-1-1 | 18-2-1 | 7 |
7. | Dickinson | 10-8-0 | 0.631 | 4-7-0 | 10-8-0 | 8 |
8. | Haverford | 9-6-3 | 0.621 | 2-4-2 | 9-6-3 | 5 |
9. | Lycoming | 13-7-0 | 0.580 | 1-5-0 | 13-7-0 | 9 |
10. | Elizabethtown | 11-6-2 | 0.582 | 1-5-0 | 11-6-2 | 10 |
Quote from: Caz Bombers on November 11, 2019, 02:20:55 PM
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 11, 2019, 02:18:15 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2019, 02:06:22 PM
https://www.ncaa.com/brackets/soccer-men/d3/2019
Hopkins headed to Catholic, for a first round match up with John Jay. Catholic to face Conn. College in the other tilt.*
Messiah travels to NY to play Framingham St., to play the winner of SUNY-Oneanta and Babson.
The Dips host and play PS-Harrisburg, facing the winner of Hobart and Montclair St.
Close-by regional neighbors Chris. Newport host Eastern in the first round, and play the winner of Swat v. Roanoke.
W&L host NC Weslyan, setting up against the winner of G-burg vs. Oglethorpe.
Hop couldn't host because their women are hosting and have priority....if they both make sectionals, then the JHU men get priority.
Yeah, I should've mentioned that, as I knew there'd be questions.
On top of this success, Women's Field Hockey made the tourney and the Women's Volleyball team finished off an undefeated regular season, as well.
Yeah Jays!
I posted in the Big Dance thread, they clearly got rewarded with a classic bid steal'er in John Jay, but Catholic is a VERY tough out, particular on their home field.
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 11, 2019, 04:18:10 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 11, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 16-2-1 | 0.627 | 6-2-1 | 16-2-1 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 16-3-0 | 0.611 | 6-2-0 | 16-3-0 | 2 |
3. | Messiah | 16-2-2 | 0.579 | 5-2-0 | 16-2-2 | 3 |
4. | Swarthmore | 11-3-3 | 0.589 | 2-3-1 | 11-3-3 | 4 |
5. | Gettysburg | 11-7-1 | 0.629 | 4-5-1 | 11-7-1 | 6 |
6. | Catholic | 18-2-1 | 0.542 | 4-1-1 | 18-2-1 | 7 |
7. | Dickinson | 10-8-0 | 0.631 | 4-7-0 | 10-8-0 | 8 |
8. | Haverford | 9-6-3 | 0.621 | 2-4-2 | 9-6-3 | 5 |
9. | Lycoming | 13-7-0 | 0.580 | 1-5-0 | 13-7-0 | 9 |
10. | Elizabethtown | 11-6-2 | 0.582 | 1-5-0 | 11-6-2 | 10 |
Boy does the NCAA love the strength of schedule in the Centennial conference....
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 11, 2019, 04:18:10 PM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 11, 2019 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Johns Hopkins | 16-2-1 | 0.627 | 6-2-1 | 16-2-1 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 16-3-0 | 0.611 | 6-2-0 | 16-3-0 | 2 |
3. | Messiah | 16-2-2 | 0.579 | 5-2-0 | 16-2-2 | 3 |
4. | Swarthmore | 11-3-3 | 0.589 | 2-3-1 | 11-3-3 | 4 |
5. | Gettysburg | 11-7-1 | 0.629 | 4-5-1 | 11-7-1 | 6 |
6. | Catholic | 18-2-1 | 0.542 | 4-1-1 | 18-2-1 | 7 |
7. | Dickinson | 10-8-0 | 0.631 | 4-7-0 | 10-8-0 | 8 |
8. | Haverford | 9-6-3 | 0.621 | 2-4-2 | 9-6-3 | 5 |
9. | Lycoming | 13-7-0 | 0.580 | 1-5-0 | 13-7-0 | 9 |
10. | Elizabethtown | 11-6-2 | 0.582 | 1-5-0 | 11-6-2 | 10 |
I am not surprised with the top 6 or to even see Haverford ahead of Lycoming, as that was a toss up, but I am surprised to see Dickinson ahead of both Haverford and Lycoming. I did not see that coming with them being 1 game away from being a .500 record and Lycoming having the H2H result. The SOS and 4 ranked wins outweighed the win % and blemishes.
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 11, 2019, 10:50:37 PM
I have gotten some insight into some of the surprising selections for pod hosts.
As has been mentioned/explained by others, the reason Amherst, Messiah, Chicago and Johns Hopkins are not hosting the pods in which they are the top seed is because their women's teams are also the top seed in their pods, and following the alternating hosting priority schedule, the women have hosting priority. No big news there.
In past years, as long as geography didn't point the committee in a different direction, the second seed in the pod would typically be chosen to host in these situations. This brought on consistent feedback that when the top two seeds advanced to the second round as expected, it was unfair that the top seed that had earned the right to host, not only didn't get to host, but now had to play at the home of a potentially very strong second round opponent. In other words, the strongest challenger to the top seed advancing to the Sweet 16 was being given the advantage it hadn't earned to use against the team that actually deserved it.
In response to this feedback, the committee this year selected the third seeds in these pod to host, thus making the likely second round match a neutral game. That doesn't completely make up for the lost hosting advantage, but at least it doesn't hand that advantage to their more likely second round opponent. This is why Keene State, Oneonta State, Hope and Catholic are hosting pods.
My initial thoughts/observations are as follows:
• In general and on first thought, this seems like a sensible thing to do. It's nice to try not to penalize a team just because their women's team is also extremely good.
• The strongest challenger in a pod may not actually be who the NCAA's selection criteria says it is. The third seed by their criteria might actual be the top seeds' biggest threat, so this approach might now always be the better for the top seed. For example, opinion may vary on whether third seed Oneonta State or second seed Babson is the better team and the team with the better chance to stop Messiah from advancing.
• In strong pods with three relatively strong teams, this doesn't make much or any difference for the top seed. However, it now unfairly helps the third seed have a better chance against the second seed in round one. Since this is about fairness, is it fair that Ohio Wesleyan has to play at host Hope to open the tournament? Is it fair that Catholic's chances of advancing got such an unearned/undeserved boost?
Just to make sure folks on this thread saw this. VERY interesting nugget about the #3 seed hosting where the top seeds have conflicts.
While I'm psyched the games this weekend are at Catholic, for selfish proximity reasons, having to beat Catholic in DC is no small challenge. I get that there's no perfect solution, but you'd almost want to completely level things out and play at the 4 seed if they are trying to avoid tipping the scales or rewarding the neither the 2 or 3 seed.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 12, 2019, 11:00:16 AM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 11, 2019, 10:50:37 PM
I have gotten some insight into some of the surprising selections for pod hosts.
As has been mentioned/explained by others, the reason Amherst, Messiah, Chicago and Johns Hopkins are not hosting the pods in which they are the top seed is because their women's teams are also the top seed in their pods, and following the alternating hosting priority schedule, the women have hosting priority. No big news there.
In past years, as long as geography didn't point the committee in a different direction, the second seed in the pod would typically be chosen to host in these situations. This brought on consistent feedback that when the top two seeds advanced to the second round as expected, it was unfair that the top seed that had earned the right to host, not only didn't get to host, but now had to play at the home of a potentially very strong second round opponent. In other words, the strongest challenger to the top seed advancing to the Sweet 16 was being given the advantage it hadn't earned to use against the team that actually deserved it.
In response to this feedback, the committee this year selected the third seeds in these pod to host, thus making the likely second round match a neutral game. That doesn't completely make up for the lost hosting advantage, but at least it doesn't hand that advantage to their more likely second round opponent. This is why Keene State, Oneonta State, Hope and Catholic are hosting pods.
My initial thoughts/observations are as follows:
• In general and on first thought, this seems like a sensible thing to do. It's nice to try not to penalize a team just because their women's team is also extremely good.
• The strongest challenger in a pod may not actually be who the NCAA's selection criteria says it is. The third seed by their criteria might actual be the top seeds' biggest threat, so this approach might now always be the better for the top seed. For example, opinion may vary on whether third seed Oneonta State or second seed Babson is the better team and the team with the better chance to stop Messiah from advancing.
• In strong pods with three relatively strong teams, this doesn't make much or any difference for the top seed. However, it now unfairly helps the third seed have a better chance against the second seed in round one. Since this is about fairness, is it fair that Ohio Wesleyan has to play at host Hope to open the tournament? Is it fair that Catholic's chances of advancing got such an unearned/undeserved boost?
Just to make sure folks on this thread saw this. VERY interesting nugget about the #3 seed hosting where the top seeds have conflicts.
While I'm psyched the games this weekend are at Catholic, for selfish proximity reasons, having to beat Catholic in DC is no small challenge. I get that there's no perfect solution, but you'd almost want to completely level things out and play at the 4 seed if they are trying to avoid tipping the scales or rewarding the neither the 2 or 3 seed.
I completely agree, there are three quality teams in this pod and there is a massive drop off between the 3 seed and 4 seed, so that would be the most fair way of doing it. According to Christan though Catholic is very undeserving of hosting so they shouldn't impact what many are considering a guaranteed neutral field matchup between Conn College and JHU ;)
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 12, 2019, 04:01:59 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 12, 2019, 11:00:16 AM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 11, 2019, 10:50:37 PM
I have gotten some insight into some of the surprising selections for pod hosts.
As has been mentioned/explained by others, the reason Amherst, Messiah, Chicago and Johns Hopkins are not hosting the pods in which they are the top seed is because their women's teams are also the top seed in their pods, and following the alternating hosting priority schedule, the women have hosting priority. No big news there.
In past years, as long as geography didn't point the committee in a different direction, the second seed in the pod would typically be chosen to host in these situations. This brought on consistent feedback that when the top two seeds advanced to the second round as expected, it was unfair that the top seed that had earned the right to host, not only didn't get to host, but now had to play at the home of a potentially very strong second round opponent. In other words, the strongest challenger to the top seed advancing to the Sweet 16 was being given the advantage it hadn't earned to use against the team that actually deserved it.
In response to this feedback, the committee this year selected the third seeds in these pod to host, thus making the likely second round match a neutral game. That doesn't completely make up for the lost hosting advantage, but at least it doesn't hand that advantage to their more likely second round opponent. This is why Keene State, Oneonta State, Hope and Catholic are hosting pods.
My initial thoughts/observations are as follows:
• In general and on first thought, this seems like a sensible thing to do. It's nice to try not to penalize a team just because their women's team is also extremely good.
• The strongest challenger in a pod may not actually be who the NCAA's selection criteria says it is. The third seed by their criteria might actual be the top seeds' biggest threat, so this approach might now always be the better for the top seed. For example, opinion may vary on whether third seed Oneonta State or second seed Babson is the better team and the team with the better chance to stop Messiah from advancing.
• In strong pods with three relatively strong teams, this doesn't make much or any difference for the top seed. However, it now unfairly helps the third seed have a better chance against the second seed in round one. Since this is about fairness, is it fair that Ohio Wesleyan has to play at host Hope to open the tournament? Is it fair that Catholic's chances of advancing got such an unearned/undeserved boost?
Just to make sure folks on this thread saw this. VERY interesting nugget about the #3 seed hosting where the top seeds have conflicts.
While I'm psyched the games this weekend are at Catholic, for selfish proximity reasons, having to beat Catholic in DC is no small challenge. I get that there's no perfect solution, but you'd almost want to completely level things out and play at the 4 seed if they are trying to avoid tipping the scales or rewarding the neither the 2 or 3 seed.
I completely agree, there are three quality teams in this pod and there is a massive drop off between the 3 seed and 4 seed, so that would be the most fair way of doing it. According to Christan though Catholic is very undeserving of hosting so they shouldn't impact what many are considering a guaranteed neutral field matchup between Conn College and JHU ;)
I hope the wink at the end means you didn't really take my comment to be a swipe at Catholic. But just to be clear, it's actually because Catholic, though maybe not in the same class as Hopkins and Connecticut (at least on paper), is a very strong, competent third seed, that I wonder if it's fair for them to get to host a game that would typically be a neutral site game. And when I spoke of the unearned/undeserved boost of hosting, "such" was not intend to imply the degree to which they did not deserve it but rather the degree to which hosting might help them advance.
Now, every team is different and hosting can help some squads, hurt others, and have negligible effect on others. As has been mentioned on here numerous times, during the Dave Brandt era the Messiah coaching staff almost preferred road games because it allowed them a degree of control that they wouldn't have at home, and without the distractions of campus life it was easier to have the team focused and unified for the task at hand. Moreover, there are so many variables that come into play (e.g. game time and distance to travel, how much home fan support a team actually has, field conditions straying from the norm, etc.) that impact how much of an advantage it is to play at home. A deserving national champion is able to win regardless, but there's no denying that being at home can be an advantage at times and to varying degrees.
Thanks, as always, for the insight Christian.
Picking up on this... For those not aware Catholic is, at most, a 60 minute bus ride down 95 from Baltimore. To the extent that it's highly unlikely that the AD will spring for hotel rooms in DC, given the game will be over by 3pm and that would give them all of 48 hours of down time. So, the "control" issue probably doesn't come into play here. (Conn. College plays at 3:30p and that's a 4-5 hour drive, so... field trip to see the monuments on Saturday?!)
Other obvious point, but for those that maybe haven't tuned into a Cardinal or Blue Jay game, both surfaces are very similar (newish turf with pellets.) Catholic does bring out a decent crowd, so that should be a factor in their favor... Though when you're talking about the Jays, they just hoisted a trophy up in Lancaster in front of a good sized crowd, so... We shall see!
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 12, 2019, 04:50:38 PM
Quote from: LetteroftheLaw on November 12, 2019, 04:01:59 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 12, 2019, 11:00:16 AM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 11, 2019, 10:50:37 PM
I have gotten some insight into some of the surprising selections for pod hosts.
As has been mentioned/explained by others, the reason Amherst, Messiah, Chicago and Johns Hopkins are not hosting the pods in which they are the top seed is because their women's teams are also the top seed in their pods, and following the alternating hosting priority schedule, the women have hosting priority. No big news there.
In past years, as long as geography didn't point the committee in a different direction, the second seed in the pod would typically be chosen to host in these situations. This brought on consistent feedback that when the top two seeds advanced to the second round as expected, it was unfair that the top seed that had earned the right to host, not only didn't get to host, but now had to play at the home of a potentially very strong second round opponent. In other words, the strongest challenger to the top seed advancing to the Sweet 16 was being given the advantage it hadn't earned to use against the team that actually deserved it.
In response to this feedback, the committee this year selected the third seeds in these pod to host, thus making the likely second round match a neutral game. That doesn't completely make up for the lost hosting advantage, but at least it doesn't hand that advantage to their more likely second round opponent. This is why Keene State, Oneonta State, Hope and Catholic are hosting pods.
My initial thoughts/observations are as follows:
• In general and on first thought, this seems like a sensible thing to do. It's nice to try not to penalize a team just because their women's team is also extremely good.
• The strongest challenger in a pod may not actually be who the NCAA's selection criteria says it is. The third seed by their criteria might actual be the top seeds' biggest threat, so this approach might now always be the better for the top seed. For example, opinion may vary on whether third seed Oneonta State or second seed Babson is the better team and the team with the better chance to stop Messiah from advancing.
• In strong pods with three relatively strong teams, this doesn't make much or any difference for the top seed. However, it now unfairly helps the third seed have a better chance against the second seed in round one. Since this is about fairness, is it fair that Ohio Wesleyan has to play at host Hope to open the tournament? Is it fair that Catholic's chances of advancing got such an unearned/undeserved boost?
Just to make sure folks on this thread saw this. VERY interesting nugget about the #3 seed hosting where the top seeds have conflicts.
While I'm psyched the games this weekend are at Catholic, for selfish proximity reasons, having to beat Catholic in DC is no small challenge. I get that there's no perfect solution, but you'd almost want to completely level things out and play at the 4 seed if they are trying to avoid tipping the scales or rewarding the neither the 2 or 3 seed.
I completely agree, there are three quality teams in this pod and there is a massive drop off between the 3 seed and 4 seed, so that would be the most fair way of doing it. According to Christan though Catholic is very undeserving of hosting so they shouldn't impact what many are considering a guaranteed neutral field matchup between Conn College and JHU ;)
I hope the wink at the end means you didn't really take my comment to be a swipe at Catholic. But just to be clear, it's actually because Catholic, though maybe not in the same class as Hopkins and Connecticut (at least on paper), is a very strong, competent third seed, that I wonder if it's fair for them to get to host a game that would typically be a neutral site game. And when I spoke of the unearned/undeserved boost of hosting, "such" was not intend to imply the degree to which they did not deserve it but rather the degree to which hosting might help them advance.
Now, every team is different and hosting can help some squads, hurt others, and have negligible effect on others. As has been mentioned on here numerous times, during the Dave Brandt era the Messiah coaching staff almost preferred road games because it allowed them a degree of control that they wouldn't have at home, and without the distractions of campus life it was easier to have the team focused and unified for the task at hand. Moreover, there are so many variables that come into play (e.g. game time and distance to travel, how much home fan support a team actually has, field conditions straying from the norm, etc.) that impact how much of an advantage it is to play at home. A deserving national champion is able to win regardless, but there's no denying that being at home can be an advantage at times and to varying degrees.
I honestly didn't understand what your point was originally since you initially were complementary of catholic but your last sentence seemed a little harsh towards them. I would argue you could question whether it's fair that an 18 win team drew such a difficult first round matchup or whether it's fair for Connecticut to have to travel so far since the committee had them ranked high than catholic. However, I don't understand how you question the fairness of letting catholic host particularly given that Hopkins couldn't host the opening weekend.
It is what it is at this point and I do like the chances of the winner of this pod making the elite eight.
I'm very interested in the matchup between Catholics potent offense vs Connecticut's tough defense and very talented goalie.
Fans of the mid-Atlantic region I'm sure are hoping for a catholic hop matchup which is very intriguing given the two teams tied in a preseason scrimmage.
Fairness is a tricky and subjective thing. What is objective, however, is that, based on the NCAA's metrics and the NCAA's policy of rewarding top seeds with hosting if geography cooperates, Catholic did not earn hosting privileges because they were not the top seed in the pod. That is all that is meant by saying that Catholic didn't earn/deserve to be the pod host. Nothing more, nothing less. My observation was simply intended to illustrate that by the NCAA attempting to make the situation less unfair for the top seed in a potential 1-seed/2-seed second round match, they have introduced a question of fairness into the 2-seed/3-seed first round match. I didn't mean the slightest disparagement of Catholic and am surprised it would be taken that way. Of course, rarely is everything fair, and one team having to travel significantly further than the others is often going to be the case. And I'm sure there are other ways in which it's difficult-to-impossible to create a fair and/or level playing field for all four teams. The best teams tend to find a way to overcome any disadvantages thrown their way.
All-Centennial Conference Awards: http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/All-CC
First Team
F-Nick Jannelli, Haverford Sr. / Springfield, Pa. / Springfield
F-Oladayo Thomas, Gettysburg So. / Lagos, Nigeria / The Masters (N.Y.)
F-Kevin Gilbert, Dickinson Sr. / Boxford, Mass. / Phillips Exeter Academy
M-Chris Richards, Muhlenberg Fr. / Lancaster, Pa. / Lancaster Catholic
M-R.J. Moore, Johns Hopkins Jr. / Vienna, Va. / Gonzaga College HS
M-Alejandro Maclean, Johns Hopkins Jr. / Riverside, Conn. / Greenwich
D-Ezekiel Omosanya, Gettysburg / Sr. / Lagos, Nigeria / Northfield Mount Hermon
D-Connor Whitacre, Franklin & Marshall / Sr. / Lancaster, Pa. / Conestoga Valley
D-Connor Jacobs, Johns Hopkins / Sr./ Knoxville, Tenn. / Webb School of Knoxville
D-Raff Mazzone, Gettysburg/ Sr. Nottingham, Md. / Loyola Blakefield
GK-Xander Lefevre, Johns Hopkins Jr./ Glenwood, Md. / Glenelg
Second Team
F-A.J. Kopacz, Franklin & Marshall So. / Green Brook, N.J. / Oratory Prep.
F-James Strine, Washington College Jr. / Hockessin, Del. / Salesianum School
F-Achim Younker, Johns Hopkins Sr. / Union, N.J. / Seton Hall Prep
M-J.T. Mogan, Franklin & Marshall / Jr. / Medford, N.J. / Shawnee
M-Trevor Homstad, Swarthmore / Sr. / Culver City, Calif. / Loyola
M-Brendan McGovern, Dickinson / Sr. / Burlington, Vt. / Kimball Union Academy, N.H.
M-Liam Creedon, Johns Hopkins / Jr. / Doylestown, Pa. / Central Bucks East
M-Jonathan Molina, Gettysburg / Jr. / Adelphi, Md. / DeMatha Catholic
D-Julito Quintana, Johns Hopkins / Jr. / Riverside, Conn. / Fairfield Prep
D-Ben Lau, Swarthmore So. / Los Altos, Calif. / Mountain View
D-Harry Nevins, Swarthmore / So. / London, England / American School in London
GK-Christopher Amoruso, Frank. & Marsh. / Sr. / Greenlawn, N.Y. / Harborfields
Honorable Mention
F-Joe Barile, Swarthmore Jr. River Vale, N.J. / Bergen Catholic
F-Alex Lalovic, Franklin & Marshall Jr. Lititz, Pa. / Warwick
F-Jacob Wells, McDaniel Jr. Hanover, Pa. / South Western
F-Pablo Martinez, Johns Hopkins ! Jr. Darien, Conn. / Darien
F-Bless Tumushabe, Swarthmore Fr. Washington, D.C. / Woodrow Wilson
M-Shay Adamson, Franklin & Marshall Fr. Allen, Texas / Einstein School
M-Noah Schwab, Haverford So. Millburn, N.J. / Millburn
M-Isaac Bradbury, Dickinson Fr. Toronto, Canada / St. Andrew's College
M-Connor O'Donnell, Gettysburg So. Newtown, Pa. / Council Rock North
D-Tim Treinen, Johns Hopkins So. Glendale, Calif. / Flintridge Preparatory School
D-Felix Laniyan, Swarthmore % Sr. Baltimore, Md. / St. Paul's School
D-Pat Palin, McDaniel Sr. Ellicott City, Md. / Mt. Hebron
D-Mark Walter, Muhlenberg % So. Westfield, N.J. / Westfield
Player of the Year – Nick Jannelli, Haverford
Rookie of the Year– Chris Richards, Muhlenberg
Coach of the Year– Dan Wagner, Franklin & Marshall
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 14, 2019, 12:19:23 PM
All-Centennial Conference Awards: http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/All-CC
First Team
F-Nick Jannelli, Haverford Sr. / Springfield, Pa. / Springfield
F-Oladayo Thomas, Gettysburg So. / Lagos, Nigeria / The Masters (N.Y.)
F-Kevin Gilbert, Dickinson Sr. / Boxford, Mass. / Phillips Exeter Academy
M-Chris Richards, Muhlenberg Fr. / Lancaster, Pa. / Lancaster Catholic
M-R.J. Moore, Johns Hopkins Jr. / Vienna, Va. / Gonzaga College HS
M-Alejandro Maclean, Johns Hopkins Jr. / Riverside, Conn. / Greenwich
D-Ezekiel Omosanya, Gettysburg / Sr. / Lagos, Nigeria / Northfield Mount Hermon
D-Connor Whitacre, Franklin & Marshall / Sr. / Lancaster, Pa. / Conestoga Valley
D-Connor Jacobs, Johns Hopkins / Sr./ Knoxville, Tenn. / Webb School of Knoxville
D-Raff Mazzone, Gettysburg/ Sr. Nottingham, Md. / Loyola Blakefield
GK-Xander Lefevre, Johns Hopkins Jr./ Glenwood, Md. / Glenelg
Second Team
F-A.J. Kopacz, Franklin & Marshall So. / Green Brook, N.J. / Oratory Prep.
F-James Strine, Washington College Jr. / Hockessin, Del. / Salesianum School
F-Achim Younker, Johns Hopkins Sr. / Union, N.J. / Seton Hall Prep
M-J.T. Mogan, Franklin & Marshall / Jr. / Medford, N.J. / Shawnee
M-Trevor Homstad, Swarthmore / Sr. / Culver City, Calif. / Loyola
M-Brendan McGovern, Dickinson / Sr. / Burlington, Vt. / Kimball Union Academy, N.H.
M-Liam Creedon, Johns Hopkins / Jr. / Doylestown, Pa. / Central Bucks East
M-Jonathan Molina, Gettysburg / Jr. / Adelphi, Md. / DeMatha Catholic
D-Julito Quintana, Johns Hopkins / Jr. / Riverside, Conn. / Fairfield Prep
D-Ben Lau, Swarthmore So. / Los Altos, Calif. / Mountain View
D-Harry Nevins, Swarthmore / So. / London, England / American School in London
GK-Christopher Amoruso, Frank. & Marsh. / Sr. / Greenlawn, N.Y. / Harborfields
Honorable Mention
F-Joe Barile, Swarthmore Jr. River Vale, N.J. / Bergen Catholic
F-Alex Lalovic, Franklin & Marshall Jr. Lititz, Pa. / Warwick
F-Jacob Wells, McDaniel Jr. Hanover, Pa. / South Western
F-Pablo Martinez, Johns Hopkins ! Jr. Darien, Conn. / Darien
F-Bless Tumushabe, Swarthmore Fr. Washington, D.C. / Woodrow Wilson
M-Shay Adamson, Franklin & Marshall Fr. Allen, Texas / Einstein School
M-Noah Schwab, Haverford So. Millburn, N.J. / Millburn
M-Isaac Bradbury, Dickinson Fr. Toronto, Canada / St. Andrew's College
M-Connor O'Donnell, Gettysburg So. Newtown, Pa. / Council Rock North
D-Tim Treinen, Johns Hopkins So. Glendale, Calif. / Flintridge Preparatory School
D-Felix Laniyan, Swarthmore % Sr. Baltimore, Md. / St. Paul's School
D-Pat Palin, McDaniel Sr. Ellicott City, Md. / Mt. Hebron
D-Mark Walter, Muhlenberg % So. Westfield, N.J. / Westfield
Player of the Year – Nick Jannelli, Haverford
Rookie of the Year– Chris Richards, Muhlenberg
Coach of the Year– Dan Wagner, Franklin & Marshall
SOTD:
Gettysburg Defender Ezekiel Omosanya earns All-CC first team honors for the fourth consecutive year. This award puts him on a short list of conference legends as just the 7th player to earn All-CC first team all four years. He was second team all-region as a junior and third team all-region as a sophomore and freshman, an impressive feat given his team's relative lack of national attention.
Omosanya has led Gettysburg back to the tournament this year for the first time since 2001, which is tied for the longest gap since their last appearance in this years field. They have a winnable first round matchup against Oglethorpe and should fancy their chances to get a crack at hosts W&L in the second round.
I'll be rooting for Omosanya to carry the Bullets to the second round, and hoping that some increased national attention can get him that elusive spot on the all-region first team and some all-american consideration this year.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 14, 2019, 12:19:23 PM
All-Centennial Conference Awards: http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/All-CC
Honorable Mention
F-Joe Barile, Swarthmore Jr. River Vale, N.J. / Bergen Catholic
F-Alex Lalovic, Franklin & Marshall Jr. Lititz, Pa. / Warwick
F-Jacob Wells, McDaniel Jr. Hanover, Pa. / South Western
F-Pablo Martinez, Johns Hopkins ! Jr. Darien, Conn. / Darien
F-Bless Tumushabe, Swarthmore Fr. Washington, D.C. / Woodrow Wilson
M-Shay Adamson, Franklin & Marshall Fr. Allen, Texas / Einstein School
M-Noah Schwab, Haverford So. Millburn, N.J. / Millburn
M-Isaac Bradbury, Dickinson Fr. Toronto, Canada / St. Andrew's College
M-Connor O'Donnell, Gettysburg So. Newtown, Pa. / Council Rock North
D-Tim Treinen, Johns Hopkins So. Glendale, Calif. / Flintridge Preparatory School
D-Felix Laniyan, Swarthmore % Sr. Baltimore, Md. / St. Paul's School
D-Pat Palin, McDaniel Sr. Ellicott City, Md. / Mt. Hebron
D-Mark Walter, Muhlenberg % So. Westfield, N.J. / Westfield
Well, look at that! Shay Adamson was the son of @mom1234 who some of you may recall was absolutely hammered by some board members over her comments about her son's abilities as it related to D1vsD3 and NESCAC recruiting (or something like that).
Quote from: EB2319 on November 14, 2019, 02:35:48 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 14, 2019, 12:19:23 PM
All-Centennial Conference Awards: http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/All-CC
Honorable Mention
F-Joe Barile, Swarthmore Jr. River Vale, N.J. / Bergen Catholic
F-Alex Lalovic, Franklin & Marshall Jr. Lititz, Pa. / Warwick
F-Jacob Wells, McDaniel Jr. Hanover, Pa. / South Western
F-Pablo Martinez, Johns Hopkins ! Jr. Darien, Conn. / Darien
F-Bless Tumushabe, Swarthmore Fr. Washington, D.C. / Woodrow Wilson
M-Shay Adamson, Franklin & Marshall Fr. Allen, Texas / Einstein School
M-Noah Schwab, Haverford So. Millburn, N.J. / Millburn
M-Isaac Bradbury, Dickinson Fr. Toronto, Canada / St. Andrew's College
M-Connor O'Donnell, Gettysburg So. Newtown, Pa. / Council Rock North
D-Tim Treinen, Johns Hopkins So. Glendale, Calif. / Flintridge Preparatory School
D-Felix Laniyan, Swarthmore % Sr. Baltimore, Md. / St. Paul's School
D-Pat Palin, McDaniel Sr. Ellicott City, Md. / Mt. Hebron
D-Mark Walter, Muhlenberg % So. Westfield, N.J. / Westfield
Well, look at that! Shay Adamson was the son of @mom1234 who some of you may recall was absolutely hammered by some board members over her comments about her son's abilities as it related to D1vsD3 and NESCAC recruiting (or something like that).
Waddya know?! I think it was Falconer, or some scamming impersonator, who took her seriously and recommended F&M for her son. Or something like that.
Great to see it worked out this well.
Quote from: EB2319 on November 14, 2019, 02:35:48 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 14, 2019, 12:19:23 PM
All-Centennial Conference Awards: http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/All-CC
Honorable Mention
F-Joe Barile, Swarthmore Jr. River Vale, N.J. / Bergen Catholic
F-Alex Lalovic, Franklin & Marshall Jr. Lititz, Pa. / Warwick
F-Jacob Wells, McDaniel Jr. Hanover, Pa. / South Western
F-Pablo Martinez, Johns Hopkins ! Jr. Darien, Conn. / Darien
F-Bless Tumushabe, Swarthmore Fr. Washington, D.C. / Woodrow Wilson
M-Shay Adamson, Franklin & Marshall Fr. Allen, Texas / Einstein School
M-Noah Schwab, Haverford So. Millburn, N.J. / Millburn
M-Isaac Bradbury, Dickinson Fr. Toronto, Canada / St. Andrew's College
M-Connor O'Donnell, Gettysburg So. Newtown, Pa. / Council Rock North
D-Tim Treinen, Johns Hopkins So. Glendale, Calif. / Flintridge Preparatory School
D-Felix Laniyan, Swarthmore % Sr. Baltimore, Md. / St. Paul's School
D-Pat Palin, McDaniel Sr. Ellicott City, Md. / Mt. Hebron
D-Mark Walter, Muhlenberg % So. Westfield, N.J. / Westfield
Well, look at that! Shay Adamson was the son of @mom1234 who some of you may recall was absolutely hammered by some board members over her comments about her son's abilities as it related to D1vsD3 and NESCAC recruiting (or something like that).
I don't remember her getting hammered. As the father of a son who was the same age and who played the same position and who was looking at some of the same schools (one of which was F&M), I found it very useful.
My vague recollection is that it kicked of a somewhat repetitive (but interesting) discussion around relative differences between D1 and D3 and how competitive certain squads might be in h-2-h matches and a host of other (IMO) apples and oranges topics.
Centennial teams perfect in the first round.
Swat stuns #17 Roanoke by winning 4-2 on PKs after a 2-2 draw.
Hopkins crushes John Jay 5-0 in a game that easily could've been much worse.
Gettysburg demolishes Oglethorpe 5-0.
F&M squeeks by PSU-H'burg 1-0
Messiah destroyed Fram. St. 6-1
Catholic lost a tough one to Conn. Coll 2-1
Looking at matchups today, nobody has an easy road. All tough outs, including Messiah playing by all accounts a very solid SUNY Oneonta on their home field.
Meanwhile, Hopkins gets a neutral site game against Conn. College, F&M is hosting. But G'burg and Swat need to knock off the top seeds and hosts to advance.
Giddy-up!!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 17, 2019, 08:27:33 AM
F&M squeeks by PSU-H'burg 1-0
F&M played down a man in the second half - lost GK Amaruso on a RC - so not exactly squeaking as PSU-H'burg did not score even with that advantage. From what I understand (didn't see the game), F&M never really let their offense have a shot at all. F&M goal was off a free kick. Backup GK will play today against Montclair.
South Atlantic region had 3 Pool C's - 2 of them are done in the first round, courtesy of the CC. But tougher matches today for sure.
Shots were 13-10. F&M played the whole second half down a man and needed a last minute FK to advance (I watched part of the game and they controlled most of the second half but were starting to tire and PSU-Harrisburg were increasingly dangerous down the stretch). In my opinion, that classifies as squeaking by against an opponent they should have beat by at least 2-3 goals. They were not convincing at all
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 17, 2019, 10:22:01 AM
Shots were 13-10. F&M played the whole second half down a man and needed a last minute FK to advance (I watched part of the game and they controlled most of the second half but were starting to tire and PSU-Harrisburg were increasingly dangerous down the stretch). In my opinion, that classifies as squeaking by against an opponent they should have beat by at least 2-3 goals. They were not convincing at all
I was gonna make a similar comment but glad you jumped in. I mean how could the F&M GK see red if he had so little to do as initially described? Obviously the quality of the shots may have been wildly divergent, but PS-H outshot F&M in the first half. And it's kind of a big deal to not have the #1 GK as it's not like Montclair is brand new to this NCAA thing. And almost ANY 1-0 game is a "squeak by" even if shots are 30-3, especially in a one-and-done scenario. It is fascinating, though, as the tournament approaches and then heats up how there is a rise in pedantics, corrections, doubling-down, etc, etc. I'm learning to see everything as additive...but very early on in an attempted perspective-change ;)
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 17, 2019, 10:36:38 AM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 17, 2019, 10:22:01 AM
Shots were 13-10. F&M played the whole second half down a man and needed a last minute FK to advance (I watched part of the game and they controlled most of the second half but were starting to tire and PSU-Harrisburg were increasingly dangerous down the stretch). In my opinion, that classifies as squeaking by against an opponent they should have beat by at least 2-3 goals. They were not convincing at all
I was gonna make a similar comment but glad you jumped in. I mean how could the F&M GK see red if he had so little to do as initially described? Obviously the quality of the shots may have been wildly divergent, but PS-H outshot F&M in the first half. And it's kind of a big deal to not have the #1 GK as it's not like Montclair is brand new to this NCAA thing. And almost ANY 1-0 game is a "squeak by" even if shots are 30-3, especially in a one-and-done scenario. It is fascinating, though, as the tournament approaches and then heats up how there is a rise in pedantics, corrections, doubling-down, etc, etc. I'm learning to see everything as additive...but very early on in an attempted perspective-change ;)
You are both right - didn't mean to tout F&M undeservedly, and I was hoping somebody would have seen the RC to add in here? Seems completely dumb, and especially so given F&M's GK is second team all conference and this isn't his first NCAA. I was more commenting that it should have been possible for PS-H to score given how long F&M was down a man. Montclair State will be a tough game. Maybe I am biased, but F&M seems to have had some difficulty scoring during run of play, and their goals are more often from free kicks and PK shots than one would expect from a top ranked team?
Quote from: FelixCloudy on November 17, 2019, 11:13:02 AM
Maybe I am biased, but F&M seems to have had some difficulty scoring during run of play, and their goals are more often from free kicks and PK shots than one would expect from a top ranked team?
FK's and throw-ins opportunities seemed to have dominated in games I've seen this year. We've all heard varying estimates as to how many goals are scored off set pieces - but the reality is that number is increasing. JCU has won 4,5 games on set piece goals.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/news/fancy-stats/wp/2018/06/20/why-set-pieces-are-dominating-scoring-so-far-at-the-world-cup/%3foutputType=amp
I can't speak for other conferences but I watched a lot of OAC games this season. Apart from Ruple at BW, I don't recall seeing another predatory consistent goal scorer, which may explain why a lot of goals came from set pieces rather than open play.
Quote from: YoungBuck on November 14, 2019, 02:27:43 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 14, 2019, 12:19:23 PM
All-Centennial Conference Awards: http://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2019-20/releases/All-CC
First Team
F-Nick Jannelli, Haverford Sr. / Springfield, Pa. / Springfield
F-Oladayo Thomas, Gettysburg So. / Lagos, Nigeria / The Masters (N.Y.)
F-Kevin Gilbert, Dickinson Sr. / Boxford, Mass. / Phillips Exeter Academy
M-Chris Richards, Muhlenberg Fr. / Lancaster, Pa. / Lancaster Catholic
M-R.J. Moore, Johns Hopkins Jr. / Vienna, Va. / Gonzaga College HS
M-Alejandro Maclean, Johns Hopkins Jr. / Riverside, Conn. / Greenwich
D-Ezekiel Omosanya, Gettysburg / Sr. / Lagos, Nigeria / Northfield Mount Hermon
D-Connor Whitacre, Franklin & Marshall / Sr. / Lancaster, Pa. / Conestoga Valley
D-Connor Jacobs, Johns Hopkins / Sr./ Knoxville, Tenn. / Webb School of Knoxville
D-Raff Mazzone, Gettysburg/ Sr. Nottingham, Md. / Loyola Blakefield
GK-Xander Lefevre, Johns Hopkins Jr./ Glenwood, Md. / Glenelg
Second Team
F-A.J. Kopacz, Franklin & Marshall So. / Green Brook, N.J. / Oratory Prep.
F-James Strine, Washington College Jr. / Hockessin, Del. / Salesianum School
F-Achim Younker, Johns Hopkins Sr. / Union, N.J. / Seton Hall Prep
M-J.T. Mogan, Franklin & Marshall / Jr. / Medford, N.J. / Shawnee
M-Trevor Homstad, Swarthmore / Sr. / Culver City, Calif. / Loyola
M-Brendan McGovern, Dickinson / Sr. / Burlington, Vt. / Kimball Union Academy, N.H.
M-Liam Creedon, Johns Hopkins / Jr. / Doylestown, Pa. / Central Bucks East
M-Jonathan Molina, Gettysburg / Jr. / Adelphi, Md. / DeMatha Catholic
D-Julito Quintana, Johns Hopkins / Jr. / Riverside, Conn. / Fairfield Prep
D-Ben Lau, Swarthmore So. / Los Altos, Calif. / Mountain View
D-Harry Nevins, Swarthmore / So. / London, England / American School in London
GK-Christopher Amoruso, Frank. & Marsh. / Sr. / Greenlawn, N.Y. / Harborfields
Honorable Mention
F-Joe Barile, Swarthmore Jr. River Vale, N.J. / Bergen Catholic
F-Alex Lalovic, Franklin & Marshall Jr. Lititz, Pa. / Warwick
F-Jacob Wells, McDaniel Jr. Hanover, Pa. / South Western
F-Pablo Martinez, Johns Hopkins ! Jr. Darien, Conn. / Darien
F-Bless Tumushabe, Swarthmore Fr. Washington, D.C. / Woodrow Wilson
M-Shay Adamson, Franklin & Marshall Fr. Allen, Texas / Einstein School
M-Noah Schwab, Haverford So. Millburn, N.J. / Millburn
M-Isaac Bradbury, Dickinson Fr. Toronto, Canada / St. Andrew's College
M-Connor O'Donnell, Gettysburg So. Newtown, Pa. / Council Rock North
D-Tim Treinen, Johns Hopkins So. Glendale, Calif. / Flintridge Preparatory School
D-Felix Laniyan, Swarthmore % Sr. Baltimore, Md. / St. Paul's School
D-Pat Palin, McDaniel Sr. Ellicott City, Md. / Mt. Hebron
D-Mark Walter, Muhlenberg % So. Westfield, N.J. / Westfield
Player of the Year – Nick Jannelli, Haverford
Rookie of the Year– Chris Richards, Muhlenberg
Coach of the Year– Dan Wagner, Franklin & Marshall
SOTD:
Gettysburg Defender Ezekiel Omosanya earns All-CC first team honors for the fourth consecutive year. This award puts him on a short list of conference legends as just the 7th player to earn All-CC first team all four years. He was second team all-region as a junior and third team all-region as a sophomore and freshman, an impressive feat given his team's relative lack of national attention.
Omosanya has led Gettysburg back to the tournament this year for the first time since 2001, which is tied for the longest gap since their last appearance in this years field. They have a winnable first round matchup against Oglethorpe and should fancy their chances to get a crack at hosts W&L in the second round.
I'll be rooting for Omosanya to carry the Bullets to the second round, and hoping that some increased national attention can get him that elusive spot on the all-region first team and some all-american consideration this year.
Watched Gettysburg blowing a 2 goal lead earlier today and lost the game eventually. Thought it was an awful display from Mazone, who was a first team all conference defender. His mistake led to W&L's equalizer and was beaten on his side for W&L's game winner. He was eventually sent off for a misconduct by throwing the ball directly at an opponent's face. Not the kind of behavior you would expect from the team's captain.
Though I couldn't say the same for Omosanya. His performance today was excellent and I'd rate him as one of the best defender in D3. He's not just a solid tackler, but also reads the game well and really good with his feet as a CB. Really can't blame him for all 3 goals conceded but Gettysburg is lucky to have not conceded more if it wasn't for his performance.
Messiah and Swat all that remain in the Sweet 16. The region had a nice opening day showing but faced some tough teams in the second round and didn't perform as well.
Round 1: (5 wins & 4 losses)
Messiah wins
Keystone loses
F&M wins
PSU Harris loses
JHU wins
Eastern loses
Getty wins
Swat wins
Catholic loses
Round 2: (2 wins & 3 losses)
Messiah wins
F&M loses
JHU loses
Swat wins
Getty loses
Swat gets to host and Messiah gets to play on grass. Can see both advancing another game or two. Hoping one can make the final 4!
Gettysburg loses 1st team All-Region, and 2x All-Conference Oladayo Thomas to Santa Clara via transfer. That's a big hit to their offense as Thomas was sure to have a big junior campaign after scoring 23 goals in his first two years.
MID-ATLANTIC REGION
1. Johns Hopkins
2. Franklin and Marshall
3. Messiah
4. Swarthmore
5. Gettysburg
6. Catholic
7. Dickinson
8. Haverford
9. Lycoming
10. Elizabethtown
Here is how the final NCAA rankings shaped up last season. I think we will see these familiar faces in the mix again this upcoming season. Some others to throw in the mix are Scranton, Stevens, Eastern and Muhlenberg. All had solid years but were just on the outside looking in.
Some items to watch and note as we head into the fall are conference realignments and coaching changes. The most notable change in the region is the departure of Eastern's HC Jeremy Payne who headed to the west coast. He is replaced by former Elmira HC Kevin Brenner. Eastern has been rather successful in recent years under Wagner and Payne and only time will tell if Brenner can have the same success. But it will be difficult as Eastern swaps conferences as they jump from the MAC Freedom to the MAC Commonwealth. York will also tag along with Eastern making the Commonwealth even more competitive. In what looks like an attempt to balance the 2 divisions of the MAC, Arcadia and Lycoming are leaving the MAC Commonwealth and headed to the MAC Freedom. From a soccer perspective, I don't think Arcadia or Lycoming will miss facing off with Messiah in the postseason anymore, but Stevens and some others in the Freedom are no joke. Another change include Juniata finding a new HC in Brendan Grady who most recently assisted at Swarthmore.
So here is how the new MAC looks:
Commonwealth
Messiah
Eastern
York
LVC
Alvernia
Stevenson
Albright
Widener
Hood
Freedom
Stevens
Lyco
Arcadia
Kings
Misericordia
DeSales
Del Val
FDU Florham
Wilkes
My way too early predictions include many familiar names for the region but it's worth a shot!
MAF Preseason Poll
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. Haverford
4. F&M
5. Lyco
6. Dickinson
7. Gettysburg
8. Etown
9. Swarthmore
10. Catholic
HM: LVC, Scranton, Stevenson
I think you're grossly underestimating the addition of Stevens to the Mid-Atlantic. They're 29-7-4 in the last two seasons in the East, and are losing just two seniors who saw the field for a combined total of 55 minutes. With due respect to Lycoming, I expect Stevens won't see much trouble in route to the MACF championship and a Top 20 ranking. They certainly deserve a Top 10 pre-season ranking at the very least.
Nice reminder on the changes coming to the MAC this fall.
I'd imagine that the omission of Stevens was an unintentional oversight on MAF's part. Heck, it almost appeared like he might have been listing the Commonwealth and Freedom teams in the order he expects them to finish which would mean having Stevens ahead of Lyco. Now, since Lycoming is his team and have pushed Messiah over the past stretch of years, I can see MAF rating Lyco ahead of Stevens, but it's hard to imagine he also thinks all those other teams, especially the honorable mentions, are in front of the Ducks. I imagine that, like me, it's hard to get used to Stevens being a Mid-Atlantic team after decades of them being in other regions (Metro, then East).
Quote from: Flying Weasel on June 16, 2020, 12:45:42 PM
Nice reminder on the changes coming to the MAC this fall.
I'd imagine that the omission of Stevens was an unintentional oversight on MAF's part. Heck, it almost appeared like he might have been listing the Commonwealth and Freedom teams in the order he expects them to finish which would mean having Stevens ahead of Lyco. Now, since Lycoming is his team and have pushed Messiah over the past stretch of years, I can see MAF rating Lyco ahead of Stevens, but it's hard to imagine he also thinks all those other teams, especially the honorable mentions, are in front of the Ducks. I imagine that, like me, it's hard to get used to Stevens being a Mid-Atlantic team after decades of them being in other regions (Metro, then East).
Great catch! Yes I should have included Stevens in the HM section for the preseason poll. I'd favor them over Scranton, LVC and Stevenson in that section although I do not think they will crack the top 10. Stevens had a great record last year but played a weak schedule both non-conference and conference. This caused them to have little consideration for a top 10 regional ranking by the NCAA committee due to low SOS. They do return a boatload of talent from a strong team last season and will certainly be a favorite alongside Lycoming and Kings in the Freedom conference. But they got bounced in the semifinals at home as the 1 seed. They played a weak schedule and did well with that part but when they faced their first true tests of the season they crumbled. The 5 game stretch prior to conference and at the start of MAC play saw them go 0-3-2 and only one of those teams was regionally or nationally ranked. So it's hard for me to have them in the top 10 based on last year's performance against top/above average quality coupled with being knocked from the first round. Historically they have been very good and I think they will have another fantastic year this fall, but that doesn't warrant a top 10 finish at the moment. I think the Freedom ultimately will come down to either Stevens or Lycoming but Kings has always been pesky and shouldn't be overlooked as Stevens knows all too well now. .527 SOS and 1-1-0 RvR isn't going to cut it so I am intrigued to see if they have made any adjustments to the 2020 schedule to help bolster that SOS. The addition of Lycoming will certainly help but the non-conference schedule will determine how much of a boost they will get.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on June 16, 2020, 12:45:42 PM
I imagine that, like me, it's hard to get used to Stevens being a Mid-Atlantic team after decades of them being in other regions (Metro, then East).
Ha. I found it super-annoying that NJ teams were all over the place. Stevens was East, Montclair was South, and Drew was Mid-Atlantic. And the distance between those schools is about 30 miles in total.
Quote from: EB2319 on June 16, 2020, 03:16:32 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on June 16, 2020, 12:45:42 PM
I imagine that, like me, it's hard to get used to Stevens being a Mid-Atlantic team after decades of them being in other regions (Metro, then East).
Ha. I found it super-annoying that NJ teams were all over the place. Stevens was East, Montclair was South, and Drew was Mid-Atlantic. And the distance between those schools is about 30 miles in total.
Had to do with the conferences ... it was done another way once before and that was actually more convoluted. The CAC in women's basketball, for example, was in both the Mid-Atlantic and Atlantic regions. Guess how much fun it was when two CAC teams came to the "table" as at-large contenders to make NCAA tournaments? It happened ... not ideal.
So while schools in NJ were in different regions (because Stevens was in an East Region conference), it was far better than other options. That is also why the in-region game rules count conference games, games within 500-miles (used to be 200) and the NCAA Administrative regions.
BTW - not the only place this happens and moving forward with the ten-region set-up coming to basketball, soccer, and others, you may see this a bit especially in New England which will likely be split into at least two regions.
Do you have details on the 10 region set-up? And when is it coming?
Quote from: EB2319 on June 16, 2020, 07:53:14 PM
Do you have details on the 10 region set-up? And when is it coming?
Yep ... been reporting on it for months now. Follow @d3hoopsville - while we are a basketball show, we cover a lot of general DIII news.
The regions were approved in April and will go into effect for 21-22 academic year. There are still some tweaks taking place with the set-up for sports and such, but the next 15 months will be spent finalizing all of that (well, probably a year at the most they will want it announced and done well enough in time).
I don't have any thing else I can share, though. We had a few conversations about this on the show. In February, we talked to Brad Bankston, ODAC Commissioner, who was one of those who spearheaded the effort. In April, we talked with Dan Dutcher, VP for DIII, about this and a LOT Of topics.
Here is the Bankston show: https://www.d3hoops.com/hoopsville/archives/2019-20/feb23 (video or podcast)
Here is the State of DIII show: https://www.d3hoops.com/hoopsville/archives/2019-20/april (podcast only)
Thanks for the link Dave, and nice job. Do you know if the 10 region chart is published somewhere?
Quote from: EB2319 on June 18, 2020, 10:22:09 AM
Thanks for the link Dave, and nice job. Do you know if the 10 region chart is published somewhere?
It is not simply because there is no interest in starting people up in a tizzy on something that could change or get tweaked a bit in the coming 9-12 months.
I think we will get a sense of how it will look moving forward, but I think there is a sense of wanting to keep things close to the vest until they can really reveal things ... instead of having half a dozen or more versions (as they change) out there confusing people.
I do know there was one version put out that drew initial concerns and had this entire process put on pause as it went back to committees for more work. Another version was available in January when the conference commissioners looked at it and gave their final approval. That was the version used when things went through in April, but considering more tweaks were already expected and such ... the final version isn't available yet and thus nothing is public.
MAC Announces Update on Fall 2020
7/10/2020 9:00:00 AM
ANNVILLE, Pa. (Conference News) – The Middle Atlantic Conference (MAC) President's Council met on Thursday to discuss athletics for the fall of 2020 and has made the following statement:
The MAC intends to pursue fall athletics competition, with each campus formulating plans for resocialization that will comply with local, state and NCAA guidelines. Competition will be limited to MAC institutional members beginning no earlier than September 18, 2020 and with the goal of reaching NCAA minimums in all sports.
The MAC will continue to prioritize the health and well-being of student-athletes, coaches, campuses and communities and therefore will continue to evaluate both internal and external factors and revisit this decision if necessary.
"It is paramount that each campus prioritizes the health of its entire campus community," said Megan Morrison, MAC Executive Director. "I am hopeful that with carefully crafted resocialization plans, athletics, as an integral piece in the co-curricular experience for so many student-athletes and campuses, may be able to happen this fall."
seems they have changed thier mind and season is cancelled. Not sure what changed?
Quote from: gfal5 on July 23, 2020, 05:54:14 PM
seems they have changed thier mind and season is cancelled. Not sure what changed?
I hope you are wondering out of sarcasm. :)
of course
Quote from: gfal5 on July 23, 2020, 06:25:26 PM
of course
Phew. So hard to gauge on these things. :)
https://gomacsports.com/news/2020/7/24/general-mac-suspends-ncaa-competition-for-fall-2020.aspx. :(
https://navysports.com/news/2020/8/20/killian-promoted-to-associate-head-coach-wilson-joins-mens-soccer-staff.aspx?fbclid=IwAR39OxX3EyzJgwTCpS6pjmWx_XjJse4HTXiFEyAZ8gPpJ7nJ1Y-LAwy_qu0
Paul was a legendary player at Stevens during an extremely dominant era for the program. He went on to assistant coach at Stevens before joining Navy coach Tim O'Donohue (another former Stevens Coach) in Annapolis. Hats off to a player I used to love watching play/coach, as well as a great person and Stevens alumni. In these depressing times incredible to see such a great former player make such an impact at a huge program. Hoping to see him as a head coach one day (return back to Stevens? ;D).
As we continue down the dog days of winter and quarantine, this is pretty entertaining. Members of the Scranton Soccer team rewatch the 1980 classic against Babson:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LccKf9hVRrU
Quote from: NEPAFAN on January 29, 2021, 09:04:58 AM
As we continue down the dog days of winter and quarantine, this is pretty entertaining. Members of the Scranton Soccer team rewatch the 1980 classic against Babson:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LccKf9hVRrU
This. Is. Awesome.
ANNVILLE, Pa. (Conference News) – The Middle Atlantic Conference (MAC) has announced its plans for fall sport competition in the spring semester. The MAC has developed a pod model that has groups of teams that will compete in a five-week exhibition series from March 27 to April 28 in the sports of field hockey, men's and women's soccer, and women's volleyball.
The conference will not provide a model for cross country or football, however, each institution has autonomy to develop a schedule and compete as they see fit. Also, those who choose to opt-out of the MAC exhibition series for field hockey, men's and women's soccer, and women's volleyball have autonomy to schedule and compete as they see fit.
Schools competing in the MAC pod exhibition series have been paired with a different team each week and the two schools will mutually agree on a date and time during that week to compete.
Messiah Falcons defeated LVC yesterday afternoon, 2-0, in what was apparently an exhibition game in a greatly shortened spring schedule--the previous post is consistent with what I report. Three more are on the schedule, which appears intentionally to involve only schools within a 2-hour radius, presumably for reasons related to COVID. No fans were allowed to attend, though I understand that policy is under conversation in the conference this week. I have no further details to report.
Regardless, the joy of finally getting back on the field must be considerable.
ST. DAVIDS, Pa.– Eastern University Men's Soccer closed the 2021 spring season with a 1-0 home loss to the visiting Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks. Before the game, Eastern honored Sam Sutherland for his four years in the program. Sutherland scored the game-winner in a 1-0 win over Frankline & Marshall to send the Eagles to the Sweet 16 in 2018.
The two squads played an evenly matched first half. The visitors had the better of play through the opening ten minutes, and Riley Porter was called on to make a pair of early saves and protect his box. As the half progressed, however, the Eagles gathered momentum and established rhythm and field position through effective play in the midfield and on the flanks. Nik Kokolios had a volley from the top of the box that required a solid save, and the Stevens' defense turned away quality serves on several restarts.
Just after halftime Sutherland had one of the best chances of the second frame following a well-textured pass to the flanks from Gabe Velazquez. The senior winger took the ball on the left side and cut it back to his right foot. His hard-bending cross caught the inside of the back post and spun out.
The Ducks found the lone-goal of the match just before the hour mark. An inswung corner from the left side found its way inside the back post without touching another player.
The Eagles continued to probe for chances, but despite several assertive tactical changes, they were not able to get in behind the last row of Ducks.
With an incredibly young roster, the Eagles finish the spring at 2-2. Coach Brenner and the team are looking forward to welcoming several new faces into the squad for a challenging schedule and full slate of MAC Commonwealth games in the fall.
"Today was a really exciting game to be part of," Coach Breener said after the match. "I thought both teams played at an extremely high level. We focused a lot on doing the little things better all week leading up to the match, and we did them to perfection throughout the entirety of the game. I'm so proud of this group and all that they have had to overcome these past 13 months."
The Messiah Falcons won their final spring scrimmage, 1-0 in OT, vs Lycoming last evening. Here's the highlights--the GW is a great shot, not to be missed. https://youtu.be/j44VptIXhu4
The original schedule called for a game vs Hood instead, but owing to COVID Hood was unable to play. Lycoming requested to replace them.
What is everyone's prediction on how the 2021 season will turn out? My way to early prediction is below:
Freedom: Stevens beats Lycoming in final. Lycoming gets an at large bid to NCAA. (yes I'm biased ;D)
Commonwealth: Messiah beats Eastern in final. Eastern left looking out of the big dance, by the slightest margin (first 4 out NCAA)
Thoughts??
Stevens over Lycoming
Messiah over Lebanon Valley
For the Landmark Catholic has to be the favorite again, but with COVID and extra eligibility it is tough to figure out who is returning and who is not.
Scranton got a late season transfer from the D-1 FDU..
https://fduknights.com/news/2020/5/12/mens-soccer-welcomes-nicholas-addamo-to-class-of-2024.aspx
Quote from: NEPAFAN on August 11, 2021, 10:05:56 AM
For the Landmark Catholic has to be the favorite again, but with COVID and extra eligibility it is tough to figure out who is returning and who is not.
For sure, across the board in all conferences.
As for the Messiah Falcons, I think a lot of the best players are returning not just for 2021, but also 2022 based on the extra eligibility. They could really be loaded, perhaps resembling the teams a few years ago that were very deep. But, if so, that situation will surely apply to some other top teams. As a fan, I'm very excited to see the opening games in September. Most years, the Falcons play quite unevenly for maybe half the season, before jelling, as they figure out who plays where in their free-ranging system and want to see what the newcomers can do. I expect this season to be different, in that respect. They will be loaded with highly experienced, skilled players. Maybe that affects recruiting, maybe it doesn't. Either way, they should go far this fall.
Washington and Lee scrimmage VMI yesterday, and won, 2-0.
Scranton - Alvernia tomorrow at 1pm.
Quote from: Another Mom on August 24, 2021, 01:40:33 PM
Washington and Lee scrimmage VMI yesterday, and won, 2-0.
Do the Generals walk to VMI or are they forced to take a 30 second bus?
Haverford and Stevens tied 2-2 this morning @Haverford. Have no data more than that.
Cancelations coming in for tomorrow with the rain....we'll we have waited this long..
Any already cancelled?
Quote from: gfal5 on August 31, 2021, 09:05:38 PM
Any already cancelled?
Washington and Lee v Mary Washington already canceled, with no make up game planned.
Quote from: Another Mom on September 01, 2021, 05:21:40 AM
Quote from: gfal5 on August 31, 2021, 09:05:38 PM
Any already cancelled?
Washington and Lee v Mary Washington already canceled, with no make up game planned.
Pretty much any game in PA is off the books...
Quote from: NEPAFAN on September 01, 2021, 01:00:53 PM
Quote from: Another Mom on September 01, 2021, 05:21:40 AM
Quote from: gfal5 on August 31, 2021, 09:05:38 PM
Any already cancelled?
Washington and Lee v Mary Washington already canceled, with no make up game planned.
Pretty much any game in PA is off the books...
Majority should be played tomorrow pending weather forecast
Messiah defeated Eastern Connecticut State 3-0 tonight, in game not nearly as close at the score. The Falcons were in charge from start to finish, and with better luck could have doubled the number of goals. In two cases, the EC keeper skunked them; in a third case, a rocket hit the crossbar. EC threatened maybe twice, but on the whole they were totally under the control of the Falcon defenders. Messiah's experience shone through. All 3 graduate student starters had great nights, with two of them (J Groothoff and Goodling) picking up goals while Cole owned the backfield. The next game, at Muhlenberg, will probably be much closer and a better gauge of where they are right now.
MAF Top 10
1. Messiah (2-0-0) a pair of nice shutout victories propels the Falcons to the top of the region in the early going
2. F&M (2-0-0) a pair of nice shutout wins as well have the Diplomats keeping pace atop the region
3. Gettysburg (1-0-1) the Bullets come back to PA with a draw vs a talented CNU side. Tough tests await with Lyco & LVC before an ease in the schedule
4. Swarthmore (2-0-0) a nice win vs Babson keeps all eyes on the Garnet as they look to repeat a 2019 Sweet 16 run and more
5. Stevens (1-0-1) two strong results for the Ducks have them as early season favorites and in the top 5
6. Catholic (2-0-0) tougher tests await this weekend for the Cardinals which should be more telling of where they are at
7. Lycoming (1-0-1) a solid start against two worthy opponents have the Warriors sitting inside the top 10
8. Hopkins (1-0-1) a little bit of a surprise draw w/NC Wesleyan has the Blue Jays middle of the pack early on
9. Muhlenberg (1-0-0) a strong showing over historically tough Scranton has the Mules in the top 10 for now
10. Eastern (2-0-0) a solid start for the Eagles, but we won't know too much until late September of how talented this group really is
RV:
Etown (2-0-0) two wins out of the gate is what they were hoping for, but tougher tests await this weekend as F&M hosts the Blue Jays
Leb Val (2-0-0) a nice start but a tough 3 game stretch in a few weeks will be more telling
Moravian (1-0-0) a statement win for the Greyhounds as they took down Dickinson in their season opener. Ramapo awaits and should tell us more
Misericordia (2-0-0) a nice result over Ramapo has the Cougars lurking near the top 10
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 07, 2021, 10:27:08 AM
MAF Top 10
1. Messiah (2-0-0) a pair of nice shutout victories propels the Falcons to the top of the region in the early going
2. F&M (2-0-0) a pair of nice shutout wins as well have the Diplomats keeping pace atop the region
3. Gettysburg (1-0-1) the Bullets come back to PA with a draw vs a talented CNU side. Tough tests await with Lyco & LVC before an ease in the schedule
4. Swarthmore (2-0-0) a nice win vs Babson keeps all eyes on the Garnet as they look to repeat a 2019 Sweet 16 run and more
5. Stevens (1-0-1) two strong results for the Ducks have them as early season favorites and in the top 5
6. Catholic (2-0-0) tougher tests await this weekend for the Cardinals which should be more telling of where they are at
7. Lycoming (1-0-1) a solid start against two worthy opponents have the Warriors sitting inside the top 10
8. Hopkins (1-0-1) a little bit of a surprise draw w/NC Wesleyan has the Blue Jays middle of the pack early on
9. Muhlenberg (1-0-0) a strong showing over historically tough Scranton has the Mules in the top 10 for now
10. Eastern (2-0-0) a solid start for the Eagles, but we won't know too much until late September of how talented this group really is
RV:
Etown (2-0-0) two wins out of the gate is what they were hoping for, but tougher tests await this weekend as F&M hosts the Blue Jays
Leb Val (2-0-0) a nice start but a tough 3 game stretch in a few weeks will be more telling
Moravian (1-0-0) a statement win for the Greyhounds as they took down Dickinson in their season opener. Ramapo awaits and should tell us more
Misericordia (2-0-0) a nice result over Ramapo has the Cougars lurking near the top 10
Surprised no Cabrini listed there. Beat Haverford, and currently sit at 3-0. There is a few schools listed who don't have any strong wins, or only have one mildly decent win (over Scranton for instance).
Messiah and Muhlenburg came into this game without having yielded any goals. That ended quickly, as Kokolios (back from injury) scored in the first five minutes from the right wing. The Muhles got it back about 15 minutes later, and that was it. 1-1, 2 OT. The game almost ended a few seconds early, when the Falcons had a point-blank shot blocked by the keeper. Very physical. Lots of shirt pulling from Muhlenburg, some of it called but none of it really dirty. Their field is awful—it was a major factor when Tufts won here 1-0 on the way to their first title, and it was a major factor today. These are both very good teams, nevertheless. The last time they played, before COVID, same result. They could meet again in November, but if so I hope it's in Grantham.
Quote from: D3sportsfan13 on September 08, 2021, 02:18:42 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 07, 2021, 10:27:08 AM
MAF Top 10
1. Messiah (2-0-0) a pair of nice shutout victories propels the Falcons to the top of the region in the early going
2. F&M (2-0-0) a pair of nice shutout wins as well have the Diplomats keeping pace atop the region
3. Gettysburg (1-0-1) the Bullets come back to PA with a draw vs a talented CNU side. Tough tests await with Lyco & LVC before an ease in the schedule
4. Swarthmore (2-0-0) a nice win vs Babson keeps all eyes on the Garnet as they look to repeat a 2019 Sweet 16 run and more
5. Stevens (1-0-1) two strong results for the Ducks have them as early season favorites and in the top 5
6. Catholic (2-0-0) tougher tests await this weekend for the Cardinals which should be more telling of where they are at
7. Lycoming (1-0-1) a solid start against two worthy opponents have the Warriors sitting inside the top 10
8. Hopkins (1-0-1) a little bit of a surprise draw w/NC Wesleyan has the Blue Jays middle of the pack early on
9. Muhlenberg (1-0-0) a strong showing over historically tough Scranton has the Mules in the top 10 for now
10. Eastern (2-0-0) a solid start for the Eagles, but we won't know too much until late September of how talented this group really is
RV:
Etown (2-0-0) two wins out of the gate is what they were hoping for, but tougher tests await this weekend as F&M hosts the Blue Jays
Leb Val (2-0-0) a nice start but a tough 3 game stretch in a few weeks will be more telling
Moravian (1-0-0) a statement win for the Greyhounds as they took down Dickinson in their season opener. Ramapo awaits and should tell us more
Misericordia (2-0-0) a nice result over Ramapo has the Cougars lurking near the top 10
Surprised no Cabrini listed there. Beat Haverford, and currently sit at 3-0. There is a few schools listed who don't have any strong wins, or only have one mildly decent win (over Scranton for instance).
Yes that was a miss on my part! I would have had them as RV category. :D
MAF Top 10 (Week 2)
1. F&M (3-0-0) The Diplomats jump to the top after their third straight shutout
2. Messiah (3-0-1) The Falcons drop just a spot after a battle with Muhlenberg ended in a draw
3. Gettysburg (2-0-1) The Bullets picked up a nice win over Lycoming to stay undefeated
4. Hopkins (2-0-1) The Blue Jays picked up 2 solid wins and remain unbeaten on the year
5. Muhlenberg (2-0-1) The Muhles pick up an impressive result vs Messiah and remain unbeaten on the year
6. Swarthmore (3-1-0) The Garnet dropped their first game of the year but have some time off before a clash with Hopkins
7.Stevens (3-1-1) The Ducks split games and have a nice break before a showdown with NYU
8. Catholic (3-1-0) The Cardinals picked up their first blemish on the year but remain in the hunt
9. Lycoming (3-1-1) The Warriors dropped their first game of the year to Gettysburg but rebounded with a solid win over Ithaca
10. Eastern (4-0-0) The Eagles remain undefeated after 2 shutout wins
RV:
Leb Val (4-0-0) The Dutchmen tack on 2 more wins but the next 3 games will be more telling
Moravian (3-1-0) The Greyhounds continue to impress but for now are just outside the top 10
Misericordia (3-0-0) The Cougars keep on rolling with another decent win
Cabrini (4-1-0) The Cavaliers remain close behind after dropping their first contest of the year
Etown (2-1-0) The Blue Jays dropped a tough one to F&M and remain on the outside looking in
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 14, 2021, 02:08:51 PM
MAF Top 10 (Week 2)
1. F&M (3-0-0) The Diplomats jump to the top after their third straight shutout
2. Messiah (3-0-1) The Falcons drop just a spot after a battle with Muhlenberg ended in a draw
3. Gettysburg (2-0-1) The Bullets picked up a nice win over Lycoming to stay undefeated
4. Hopkins (2-0-1) The Blue Jays picked up 2 solid wins and remain unbeaten on the year
5. Muhlenberg (2-0-1) The Muhles pick up an impressive result vs Messiah and remain unbeaten on the year
6. Swarthmore (3-1-0) The Garnet dropped their first game of the year but have some time off before a clash with Hopkins
7.Stevens (3-1-1) The Ducks split games and have a nice break before a showdown with NYU
8. Catholic (3-1-0) The Cardinals picked up their first blemish on the year but remain in the hunt
9. Lycoming (3-1-1) The Warriors dropped their first game of the year to Gettysburg but rebounded with a solid win over Ithaca
10. Eastern (4-0-0) The Eagles remain undefeated after 2 shutout wins
RV:
Leb Val (4-0-0) The Dutchmen tack on 2 more wins but the next 3 games will be more telling
Moravian (3-1-0) The Greyhounds continue to impress but for now are just outside the top 10
Misericordia (3-0-0) The Cougars keep on rolling with another decent win
Cabrini (4-1-0) The Cavaliers remain close behind after dropping their first contest of the year
Etown (2-1-0) The Blue Jays dropped a tough one to F&M and remain on the outside looking in
Thanks for this @Mid-Atlantic Fan. Will be catching some of these teams to round out the teams I have watched.
Didn't get to watch as much of the Moravian match as I wanted, but they are looking like they will be tough all year as long as Sturza the transfer stays healthy. Kid can make good runs between CBs, take people on, and finishes well. Landmark conference could be an interesting battle.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 14, 2021, 02:08:51 PM
MAF Top 10 (Week 2)
1. F&M (3-0-0) The Diplomats jump to the top after their third straight shutout
2. Messiah (3-0-1) The Falcons drop just a spot after a battle with Muhlenberg ended in a draw
3. Gettysburg (2-0-1) The Bullets picked up a nice win over Lycoming to stay undefeated
4. Hopkins (2-0-1) The Blue Jays picked up 2 solid wins and remain unbeaten on the year
5. Muhlenberg (2-0-1) The Muhles pick up an impressive result vs Messiah and remain unbeaten on the year
6. Swarthmore (3-1-0) The Garnet dropped their first game of the year but have some time off before a clash with Hopkins
7.Stevens (3-1-1) The Ducks split games and have a nice break before a showdown with NYU
8. Catholic (3-1-0) The Cardinals picked up their first blemish on the year but remain in the hunt
9. Lycoming (3-1-1) The Warriors dropped their first game of the year to Gettysburg but rebounded with a solid win over Ithaca
10. Eastern (4-0-0) The Eagles remain undefeated after 2 shutout wins
RV:
Leb Val (4-0-0) The Dutchmen tack on 2 more wins but the next 3 games will be more telling
Moravian (3-1-0) The Greyhounds continue to impress but for now are just outside the top 10
Misericordia (3-0-0) The Cougars keep on rolling with another decent win
Cabrini (4-1-0) The Cavaliers remain close behind after dropping their first contest of the year
Etown (2-1-0) The Blue Jays dropped a tough one to F&M and remain on the outside looking in
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 14, 2021, 02:08:51 PM
MAF Top 10 (Week 2)
1. F&M (3-0-0) The Diplomats jump to the top after their third straight shutout
2. Messiah (3-0-1) The Falcons drop just a spot after a battle with Muhlenberg ended in a draw
3. Gettysburg (2-0-1) The Bullets picked up a nice win over Lycoming to stay undefeated
4. Hopkins (2-0-1) The Blue Jays picked up 2 solid wins and remain unbeaten on the year
5. Muhlenberg (2-0-1) The Muhles pick up an impressive result vs Messiah and remain unbeaten on the year
6. Swarthmore (3-1-0) The Garnet dropped their first game of the year but have some time off before a clash with Hopkins
7.Stevens (3-1-1) The Ducks split games and have a nice break before a showdown with NYU
8. Catholic (3-1-0) The Cardinals picked up their first blemish on the year but remain in the hunt
9. Lycoming (3-1-1) The Warriors dropped their first game of the year to Gettysburg but rebounded with a solid win over Ithaca
10. Eastern (4-0-0) The Eagles remain undefeated after 2 shutout wins
This weekend's action...
1. F&M - Travel to Washington College (4-2) for this first conference game.
2. Messiah - Travel to Maryland for an afternoon tilt against Salisbury (2-2).
3. Gettysburg - Open up Conference play at home against Ursinus (3-2).
4. Hopkins - Take on Conference foe Swarthmore (3-1) at home.
5. Muhlenberg - Open up Conference play on the road at McDaniel (1-2)
6. Swarthmore - see Hopkins above
7. Stevens - Host #14 NYU (4-0-1) in New Jersey
8. Catholic - Entertain Stevenson (3-2-1) in DC.
9. Lycoming - Big home game vs Lebanon Valley (5-0)
10. Eastern - Put their 5-0 record on the line at next door neighbor Cabrini (4-1-1)
MAF Top 10 (Week 3)
1. Messiah (4-0-1) The Falcons retake the top spot after 2 convincing wins
2. F&M (4-1-0) The Diplomats received their first blemish of the year and surrender the top spot to the Falcons
3. Hopkins (3-0-2) The Blue Jays picked up a nice win over Swarthmore and remain unbeaten
4. Gettysburg (3-1-1) The Bullets split but remain in a nice spot
5. Muhlenberg (4-0-1) The Muhles pick up 2 more wins to keep rolling
6. Eastern (6-0-0) The Eagles remain undefeated after 2 more narrow wins
7. Wash College (5-2-0) The Shoremen have come out of nowhere and find themselves in the top 10 for the first time this year
8. Swarthmore (3-2-0) The Garnet dropped another and have accumulated 2 straight losses and haven't scored a goal in either contest
9. Lycoming (4-2-1) The Warriors had an interesting week splitting their results but remain in the top 10
T10. Stevens (3-2-1) The Ducks dropped another to a tough NYU squad but narrowly remain inside the top 10
T10. Leb Val (5-1-0) The Dutchmen grabbed a big win over Gettysburg but faltered on the road to Lycoming for their first loss of the year
RV:
Misericordia (3-0-0) The Cougars remain unchanged after 3 postponements...I am guessing Covid related
Etown (4-1-0) The Blue Jays bounced back with 2 shutout wins and next up is the Marshmallow Bowl
Catholic (3-2-0) The Cardinals lost a winnable game at home and are on the outside looking in
Moravian (3-2-0) The Greyhounds have been in 4 OT games this year but the last one did not go their way
Scranton (2-1-1) The Royals enter the conversation after rallying off a few good results
Cabrini (4-2-1) The Cavaliers have cooled off after their hot start
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 21, 2021, 08:42:50 AM
MAF Top 10 (Week 3)
1. Messiah (4-0-1) The Falcons retake the top spot after 2 convincing wins
2. F&M (4-1-0) The Diplomats received their first blemish of the year and surrender the top spot to the Falcons
3. Hopkins (3-0-2) The Blue Jays picked up a nice win over Swarthmore and remain unbeaten
4. Gettysburg (3-1-1) The Bullets split but remain in a nice spot
5. Muhlenberg (4-0-1) The Muhles pick up 2 more wins to keep rolling
6. Eastern (6-0-0) The Eagles remain undefeated after 2 more narrow wins
7. Wash College (5-2-0) The Shoremen have come out of nowhere and find themselves in the top 10 for the first time this year
8. Swarthmore (3-2-0) The Garnet dropped another and have accumulated 2 straight losses and haven't scored a goal in either contest
9. Lycoming (4-2-1) The Warriors had an interesting week splitting their results but remain in the top 10
T10. Stevens (3-2-1) The Ducks dropped another to a tough NYU squad but narrowly remain inside the top 10
T10. Leb Val (5-1-0) The Dutchmen grabbed a big win over Gettysburg but faltered on the road to Lycoming for their first loss of the year
RV:
Misericordia (3-0-0) The Cougars remain unchanged after 3 postponements...I am guessing Covid related
Etown (4-1-0) The Blue Jays bounced back with 2 shutout wins and next up is the Marshmallow Bowl
Catholic (3-2-0) The Cardinals lost a winnable game at home and are on the outside looking in
Moravian (3-2-0) The Greyhounds have been in 4 OT games this year but the last one did not go their way
Scranton (2-1-1) The Royals enter the conversation after rallying off a few good results
Cabrini (4-2-1) The Cavaliers have cooled off after their hot start
Am going to try to watch games this week of the following -
Hopkins
Eastern
Swarthmore
Lycoming
Stevens
Leb Val
Misericordia
Etown
Moravian
Scranton
Cabrini
Watching a number of inconsequential and poor games after awhile gets old. ::)
United Soccer Coaches Rankings For Region V (aka Mid-Atlantic):
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Messiah College 2 4-0-1
2 Muhlenberg College 4 4-0-1
3 Johns Hopkins University 3 3-0-2
4 Eastern University 6 6-0-0
5 Washington College (Md.) 9 5-2-0
6 Franklin & Marshall College 1 4-1-0
7 Gettysburg College 5 3-1-1
8 Moravian College 7 3-2-1
9 Swarthmore College 8 3-2-0
10 Lebanon Valley College NR 5-1-0
Saturday Games of Note:
#1 Messiah @ NYU - 4pm - https://gonyuathletics.com/watch/?Live=554&type=Live
#5 Washington @ #2 Muhlenberg - 7pm - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/
#3 Hopkins @ Haverford - 3pm - https://www.centennialc
Lycoming @ #4 Eastern - 2pm - https://team1sports.com/goeasterne
McDaniel @ #6 F&M - 6pm - https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
#7 Gettysburg @ #9 Swat - 7pm - landmarknetwork.tv
#8 Moravian @ Catholic - 4pm - landmarknetwork.tv
Neuman @ #10 LVC - 1pm - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/301959
=-=-=-=-=-=-=
Stevenson @ Stevens - 3pm - BATTLE OF THE STEVES!!!!
Etown @ Goucher - 4pm - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Susquehanna @ Scranton - 4pm - https://https://landmarknetwork.tv/scranton/
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 24, 2021, 01:31:52 PM
Saturday Games of Note:
#1 Messiah @ NYU - 4pm - https://gonyuathletics.com/watch/?Live=554&type=Live
#5 Washington @ #2 Muhlenberg - 7pm - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/
#3 Hopkins @ Haverford - 3pm - https://www.centennialc
Lycoming @ #4 Eastern - 2pm - https://team1sports.com/goeasterne
McDaniel @ #6 F&M - 6pm - https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
#7 Gettysburg @ #9 Swat - 7pm - landmarknetwork.tv
#8 Moravian @ Catholic - 4pm - landmarknetwork.tv
Neuman @ #10 LVC - 1pm - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/301959
=-=-=-=-=-=-=
Stevenson @ Stevens - 3pm - BATTLE OF THE STEVES!!!!
Etown @ Goucher - 4pm - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Susquehanna @ Scranton - 4pm - https://https://landmarknetwork.tv/scranton/
LOL - "battle of the Steves".
But wow, some real interesting games in the region this weekend.
Washington vs. Muhlenberg - are these teams for real?
Gettysburg vs Swat - Dare I say this is a must win for Swat?
Moravian vs. Catholic - Catholic had to be preseason Landmark favorite but Moravian is the underdog story this year
Hopkins with a 1-0 win up in PA. Probably could've salted the game away, but missed one pretty glaring sitter.
That said, this was a typical Hop-Fords game, with latter putting a decent amount of pressure on Hopkins in the last 15 minutes.
Overall observations:
- Hopkins clearly doesn't have the same level of confidence in its backline guys to possess like they are used to... That's on a relative scale, as they still try to build out of the pack most of the time. But with the adjusted goal kick rules, you'd expect them to come out with short passes everytime and especially late, they were hoofing it up instead.
- Haverford has some individual talent and can look dangerous linking up going forward. But, man, even giving Hopkins' talent going forward... Fords are very leaky in the back. Got beat down their left side quite regularly. Can see why they are having some trouble holding down results.
Oh, and Hopkins goal was a BANGER. Nice switch of field to a guy around 10 yards out and he smacked it off the goalie.
While I noticed the regions have shifted I am going to continue to do the old way for the time being ;D
MAF Top 10 (Week 4)
1. Messiah (5-0-2) The Falcons knock off a very tough NYU squad after settling for a draw in the Marshmallow Bowl
2. Hopkins (5-0-2) The Blue Jays picked up a pair of nice wins to remain close behind
3. F&M (6-1-0) The Diplomats win a pair of games to rebound after their first loss a week ago
4. Swarthmore (5-2-0) The Garnet picked up 2 convincing wins and jump back to the top half of the rankings
5. Wash College (6-2-0) The Shoremen keep rolling picking up another win
6. Gettysburg (4-2-1) The Bullets dropped a nail biter to Swat and fall down the rankings
7. Muhlenberg (4-2-1) The Muhles come back to reality and drop 2 in a row
8. Eastern (6-1-1) The Eagles faced a couple tough opponents and failed to find a win
9. Stevens (5-2-1) The Ducks picked up a couple good results
T10. Lycoming (4-2-2) The Warriors picked up a draw on the road and remain in the top 10
T10. Leb Val (6-1-0) The Dutchmen rebounded with a win after their first loss and keep plugging ahead
RV:
Etown (5-1-1) The Blue Jays picked up a nice result against Messiah
Misericordia (4-1-0) The Cougars picked up a nice win and a bad loss to split results this week
Catholic (5-2-0) The Cardinals have bounced back after a previously rough week
Scranton (3-1-2) The Royals are hanging around despite a light schedule thus far
Interesting. Some suspect picks in my book. Anyway, latest Region V rankings for comparison:
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Johns Hopkins University 3 5-0-2
2 Messiah College 1 5-0-2
3 Washington College (Md.) 5 6-2-0
4 Franklin & Marshall College 6 5-1-0
5 Swarthmore College 9 5-2-0
6 Eastern University 4 6-1-1
7 Elizabethtown College NR 5-1-1
8 Lebanon Valley College 10 6-1-0
Wednesday games of note (ETA - And a few games today):
#1 JHU @ McDaniel - 4pm - https://www.centennialconference.tv/McDanielCollege/
Lycoming @ #2 Messiah - 7pm - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=494&type=Live
Haverford @ #3 WashC - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/washcollsports/
#4 F&M @ Muhles - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/
#5 Swat @ Ursinus - 7:30p
Catholic @ #6 Eastern - 3:30p - https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
#8 LVC @ #7 Etown - 7p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
=-=-=-=-=-=
Dickinson @ Gettysburg - 7p
Scranton@ Wilkes - TUESDAY, 7p
Immaculata @ Misery - TUESDAY, 7p
* Hopkins up 1-0 late in the 1st half at McDaniel.
* I had watched most of the half and lost my notes when I closed a window by accident.
* McDaniel is fouling a lot, picked up a YC, and probably deserved another for a late tackle that looked studs up. Not dirty, really, but thought it should've seen yellow.
* I'm not on the level of SimpleCoach in terms of plotting the game, but I'd say possession is probably 65-35 in favor of Hop. Deploying their typical style of passing it L-R and coming down the right flank. A few quick switches, which is nice to see.
* All that fouling led to a number of free kicks from 30-35 yards out. That resulted in the Hopkins goal, as a dangerous ball in started pinging around and eventually got punched in the net. Ugly, but effective.
* As the half closes out... For all this possession, Hop really hasn't been all that dangerous in the final 3rd. That said, I just don't know if McDaniel has what it takes to do anything dangerous on their part.
=-=-==
* McDaniel is putting more pressure on Hopkins this half. Long balls into the box are effective for them.
* Man, this camera is BUGGING. Really hard to follow the game at times.
* Wind is a factor, as McDaniel continues to bang the ball downwind into the Hopkins end.
* Not a very pretty game... Very scrappy as we come down to the wire here.
* And as I'm typing that up and saving, Hopkins scores another. That's a brace for Dunphy. Nice swing of the ball on a counter, player crossed it in for a header across the face of the goal and a tap in for Hopkins.
* 9 minutes to go and MCDANIEL GOAL. Nice play off a very long throw-in... Header to the back post, headed in from there. The dreaded Double Header!
* And that's a wrap. 2-1 to Hopkins.
I gotta say, I'm just not sure I'm buying a #8 ranking for Hopkins. I will try to catch some of the other ranked teams this week to put them in context, but I really think they're going to struggle against higher quality sides in the offensive 3rd.
Watching replay of Eastern-Catholic. What stands out to me, in terms of putting Hopkins in context, is that there aren't as many skilled/technical players on either squad on the field at the moment. Not a bad soccer game, but VERY little in terms of 1v.1 skill on display.
- Woof. REALLY bad marking from Catholic on a corner leads to an Eastern goal.
- And a golazo from the Cardinals to level the match. Transition play, lightning quick and a curler to the far post past the goalie. Bend it like... that guy.
- 1-1 is how it ends. Two very decent squads.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 29, 2021, 06:30:11 PM
Watching replay of Eastern-Catholic. What stands out to me, in terms of putting Hopkins in context, is that there aren't as many skilled/technical players on either squad on the field at the moment. Not a bad soccer game, but VERY little in terms of 1v.1 skill on display.
@Hopkins92. Having watched that game as well, it's not even close. Both technically and tactically Hopkins is in a different league than Eastern and Catholic. Will post my notes shortly.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on September 29, 2021, 06:55:01 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 29, 2021, 06:30:11 PM
Watching replay of Eastern-Catholic. What stands out to me, in terms of putting Hopkins in context, is that there aren't as many skilled/technical players on either squad on the field at the moment. Not a bad soccer game, but VERY little in terms of 1v.1 skill on display.
@Hopkins92. Having watched that game as well, it's not even close. Both technically and tactically Hopkins is in a different league than Eastern and Catholic. Will post my notes shortly.
Yeah, I'm gonna go watch Messiah to see the other end of the spectrum. This is fun!
- I really love Shoemaker field. Had the pleasure (sort of) of catching an NCAA game against Hopkins in... I don't know 2018?? Just a really nice campus and the field is immaculate.
- Oh, we've got a two man "booth" and replays? Ok production, you go Falcons.
- Lycoming not backing down, trying to work things out of the back a bit.
- Hopkins and Messiah have similar kits. I don't like either one. Sorry, not sorry.
- Um. The Falcons just scored a goal that would make any highlight reel of any league. An absolute rocket from 22 yards out to the upper 90. Jeez Louise.
- Wow. Messiah is feeling it. They are absolutely filthy coming forward. Just ruthless.
- The flow on the Messiah GK is OUTSTANDING.
- This is, interestingly to me, very similar to the Hopkins game. A very game Lycoming team is just mucking up play and making it very hard for Messiah to get into a rhythm. Not as much fouling as McDaniel, but Lycoming is really good at making things difficult. Kind of impressive, but doesn't make for a very watchable game.
- Classic Messiah goal. 7 or 8 passes, striker gets the ball in the box beats 3 or 4 defenders and slots into the corner. Groothoff with a brace and while I don't have national perspective (yet) this guy has to be one of the top 3 strikers on the d3 landscape. Two incredible goals.
- If Messiah and Hopkins played a 10 game series, Messiah would win 7-3 or 6-4. They would be good games, but Messiah is a step above.
I remember his freshmen year, which may have been 2019, the falcons posters here being very excited by Groothoff. I think he actually played center back as a freshmen before moving forward. That is something that Messiah does quite often that I haven't seen at any other top programs. I remember when we played them they had a random guy at right back who two years later was NPOY as an attacking mid.
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 29, 2021, 08:25:22 PM
I remember his freshmen year, which may have been 2019, the falcons posters here being very excited by Groothoff. I think he actually played center back as a freshmen before moving forward. That is something that Messiah does quite often that I haven't seen at any other top programs. I remember when we played them they had a random guy at right back who two years later was NPOY as an attacking mid.
That's a really interesting point. They do seem to start really skilled/impactful guys in the back and then float them forward.
Would love to hear from Gregory Sager and Paul Newman and others with a national perspective. Seems pretty unique.
Am I becoming a Messiah fanboi?
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 29, 2021, 08:43:45 PM
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 29, 2021, 08:25:22 PM
I remember his freshmen year, which may have been 2019, the falcons posters here being very excited by Groothoff. I think he actually played center back as a freshmen before moving forward. That is something that Messiah does quite often that I haven't seen at any other top programs. I remember when we played them they had a random guy at right back who two years later was NPOY as an attacking mid.
That's a really interesting point. They do seem to start really skilled/impactful guys in the back and then float them forward.
Would love to hear from Gregory Sager and Paul Newman and others with a national perspective. Seems pretty unique.
Am I becoming a Messiah fanboi?
Haha...the Messiah experience is real. I was at that field on one of the coldest nights of my life and admittedly it was an incredibly exciting couple of hours in my life (and one's son scoring at Shoemaker doesn't hurt) but I was sold. And that Messiah team was unbelievable...Wood, Payne, Thompson, Ramirez, the big CB in the back from North Carolina (blanking on his name), and a bunch of others.
We're all Messiah fanboys except for also wanting them to lose.
As for their CBs or outside backs becoming strikers or offensive center mids, I don't recall a bunch of them. Falconer or FlyingWeasel are the experts here. I recall more convo about backs who
could have been middies and fwds but weren't (e.g. Shay Quinton out of Milton Academy).
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 29, 2021, 07:16:41 PM
- I really love Shoemaker field. Had the pleasure (sort of) of catching an NCAA game against Hopkins in... I don't know 2018?? Just a really nice campus and the field is immaculate.
- Oh, we've got a two man "booth" and replays? Ok production, you go Falcons.
- Lycoming not backing down, trying to work things out of the back a bit.
- Hopkins and Messiah have similar kits. I don't like either one. Sorry, not sorry.
- Um. The Falcons just scored a goal that would make any highlight reel of any league. An absolute rocket from 22 yards out to the upper 90. Jeez Louise.
- Wow. Messiah is feeling it. They are absolutely filthy coming forward. Just ruthless.
- The flow on the Messiah GK is OUTSTANDING.
- This is, interestingly to me, very similar to the Hopkins game. A very game Lycoming team is just mucking up play and making it very hard for Messiah to get into a rhythm. Not as much fouling as McDaniel, but Lycoming is really good at making things difficult. Kind of impressive, but doesn't make for a very watchable game.
- Classic Messiah goal. 7 or 8 passes, striker gets the ball in the box beats 3 or 4 defenders and slots into the corner. Groothoff with a brace and while I don't have national perspective (yet) this guy has to be one of the top 3 strikers on the d3 landscape. Two incredible goals.
- If Messiah and Hopkins played a 10 game series, Messiah would win 7-3 or 6-4. They would be good games, but Messiah is a step above.
Just to finish this out and give props to Lyco, particularly -- their striker's work rate was OUTSTANDING. That's a big, physical kid that is going to be a handful for teams as the season progresses.
Just zipping around:
JHU beats Western MD 2-1
Messiah riding out a 2-0 win vs. Lyco
LVC 3-0 over Etown (at Etown, btw)
Dips beating Muhles 4-2 on the road
Catholic and Eastern tied 1-1
Quote from: PaulNewman on September 29, 2021, 08:56:41 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 29, 2021, 08:43:45 PM
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 29, 2021, 08:25:22 PM
I remember his freshmen year, which may have been 2019, the falcons posters here being very excited by Groothoff. I think he actually played center back as a freshmen before moving forward. That is something that Messiah does quite often that I haven't seen at any other top programs. I remember when we played them they had a random guy at right back who two years later was NPOY as an attacking mid.
That's a really interesting point. They do seem to start really skilled/impactful guys in the back and then float them forward.
Would love to hear from Gregory Sager and Paul Newman and others with a national perspective. Seems pretty unique.
Am I becoming a Messiah fanboi?
Haha...the Messiah experience is real. I was at that field on one of the coldest nights of my life and admittedly it was an incredibly exciting couple of hours in my life (and one's son scoring at Shoemaker doesn't hurt) but I was sold. And that Messiah team was unbelievable...Wood, Payne, Thompson, Ramirez, the big CB in the back from North Carolina (blanking on his name), and a bunch of others.
We're all Messiah fanboys except for also wanting them to lose.
As for their CBs or outside backs becoming strikers or offensive center mids, I don't recall a bunch of them. Falconer or FlyingWeasel are the experts here. I recall more convo about backs who could have been middies and fwds but weren't (e.g. Shay Quinton out of Milton Academy).
Ah, of course, would love to hear from the Messiah acolytes (see what I did there.)
Looks like Swat won and the Fords lost
Center back from NC was Robbins. He had a brother on the team too which is another big Messiah thing. The center back looked like Jesus and just about played like him too. I walked away from that game most impressed with him and Brian RamĂrez. Payne was 2X NPOY and might have been the fourth best player on that team which shows how good they were.
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 29, 2021, 09:28:38 PM
Center back from NC was Robbins. He had a brother on the team too which is another big Messiah thing. The center back looked like Jesus and just about played like him too. I walked away from that game most impressed with him and Brian RamĂrez. Payne was 2X NPOY and might have been the fourth best player on that team which shows how good they were.
Excellent...and hilarious. Yeah, the brothers thing is real too. I think Thompson had a brother before him.
Carter...One of the two Robbins. I thought of Robbins but there's also a town called Robbins (maybe close to they're from).
There's something about Messiah. Could say must be related to the mission but several others that share the same or very similar mission (and they're good too) don't have the same mystique. I don't think it's only a function of all the titles either.
Paul have you read the Messiah Method, the book by a Messiah professor about the program. One of the big takeaways I had was how involved alumni are in the scouting and recruiting process. They essentially have a nationwide scouting network that encourages kids to attend camps and reach out to the coaches at Messiah. It then also leads to certain programs becoming feeder programs. The Robbins and at least two other players on those teams were all from the same Christian high school in Greensboro, NC.
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 30, 2021, 07:56:39 AM
Paul have you read the Messiah Method, the book by a Messiah professor about the program. One of the big takeaways I had was how involved alumni are in the scouting and recruiting process. They essentially have a nationwide scouting network that encourages kids to attend camps and reach out to the coaches at Messiah. It then also leads to certain programs becoming feeder programs. The Robbins and at least two other players on those teams were all from the same Christian high school in Greensboro, NC.
Just ordered. They are clearly doing something special there. Even how they play is pretty unique in the D3 ranks. And again, it's kind of an obscure school with a strong religious component that at first glance, wouldn't think it would attract the right type of players. Find it fascinating especially since there are a number of schools ... and I have said as much ... that I expect so much more of. If for anything because they have many of the attributes that would make them attractive to a recruit. Again, this is the thing I am wrestling with and clearly something that Messiah has figured out.
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 30, 2021, 07:56:39 AM
Paul have you read the Messiah Method, the book by a Messiah professor about the program. One of the big takeaways I had was how involved alumni are in the scouting and recruiting process. They essentially have a nationwide scouting network that encourages kids to attend camps and reach out to the coaches at Messiah. It then also leads to certain programs becoming feeder programs. The Robbins and at least two other players on those teams were all from the same Christian high school in Greensboro, NC.
I should take another look. I seem to recall reading a downloadable version or a detailed summary years ago.
BTW, when is
The Tufts Way by D4 hitting Amazon and local independent bookstores? ;)
Might need to get through school before having time to write that one.
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 30, 2021, 10:04:56 AM
Might need to get through school before having time to write that one.
Pssshhh. Hasn't anybody told you that school is for nerds?
Yep big time nerd over here.
Quote from: PaulNewman on September 30, 2021, 09:32:19 AM
I should take another look. I seem to recall reading a downloadable version or a detailed summary years ago.
Adding my 2¢ endorsement, as well. They also went into detail about the women's program — the ethos seem consistent across both programs.
Let me respond to calls for Messiah people to chime in about certain things. I've addressed aspects of the rare, but not unique, ethos, in the past—and the book about the their soccer teams goes into this at length. I've also stressed the importance of families, not just individual players, making commitments to the institution and their teams. I probably said somewhere that Messiah might possibly have more sets of multiple siblings (including some mixed sets on both men's and women's teams) than any other institution I am aware of. OWU and Calvin have this, too, but I think to a lesser extent. To hammer the point down, leaving out a large number of other names, there were FOUR Thompson brothers through the years, all of them starters including an AA (Nick), and THREE Robbins brothers, all 3 of whom were AA (two defenders and one forward). A less known example: Nick West's older brother was the starting GK on a couple of national championship teams.
Quote from: Falconer on September 30, 2021, 04:25:49 PM
Let me respond to calls for Messiah people to chime in about certain things. I've addressed aspects of the rare, but not unique, ethos, in the past—and the book about the their soccer teams goes into this at length. I've also stressed the importance of families, not just individual players, making commitments to the institution and their teams. I probably said somewhere that Messiah might possibly have more sets of multiple siblings (including some mixed sets on both men's and women's teams) than any other institution I am aware of. OWU and Calvin have this, too, but I think to a lesser extent. To hammer the point down, leaving out a large number of other names, there were FOUR Thompson brothers through the years, all of them starters including an AA (Nick), and THREE Robbins brothers, all 3 of whom were AA (two defenders and one forward). A less known example: Nick West's older brother was the starting GK on a couple of national championship teams.
Nice call on Brandon West. Never made that connection. Brandon of course was in goal on the frigid evening of 11-23-13.
And yes, OWU, Calvin, and Wheaton have a history of brothers in their programs, and OWU as the least mission-driven of that group definitely shares some characteristics with the others at least vis-a-vis the soccer programs.
As for excellent attackers moving up from the back during their careers, that is indeed something that happens quite often at Messiah—or, vice versa. For example, two-time AA defender J D Binger started in the MF as a FR, and All-region defender Chris Claassen (who IMO merited AA status) began as a striker in his first season. Likewise, AA defender Aaron Faro (now the assistant coach) began as a MF and scored quite a few goals. Perhaps the most famous example of the opposite was the first truly great Messiah player, Hayden Woodward, the leader of the first two championship teams. An AA defender in 2000, he was injured part of 2001 and missed that honor, but in 2002 he was POY as a MF. The person mentioned above, who played in the back vs Tufts (and was AA there in 2015) and was later POY in MF, was Jacob "bend it like" Bender, a LF player who was truly dangerous on free kicks. His younger brother Josh played outside back on the 2017 team, and a younger brother Ben now plays for Maryland after considering following his brothers to Messiah. https://www.testudotimes.com/2021/9/7/22661354/no-7-maryland-mens-soccer-midfielder-ben-bender-named-big-ten-offensive-player-of-the-week-stats If Ben had become a Falcon, he would probably have been the top D3 player in the nation this year and the Falcons would probably be favored to win it all.
As has been pointed out, Luke Groothoff (a national HS AA from Maine) is now drawing attention as a forward, where McCarty recently put him after playing center mid in 2019 and being an AA CB as a FR. That first season was certainly a fluke, insofar as Luke had never played in the back before and didn't really want to play there in college; but, there was a desperate need that season for a dominant player back there and Luke certainly fits that description. When he played there, as his attacking skills became evident, he was green lighted to do pretty much anything with the ball, including carrying the ball all the way up into the box and shooting or passing once gaining possession on the back line. And, of course, his older brother is also on the team; his highly positive experiences at Messiah played a big role in persuading Luke to deflect interest from some pretty good D1 programs—the sibling effect once again. Their sister, I hear, is also now attending Messiah, though she's not on the soccer team.
There's so much more I could say on these two themes, but this is enough to start filling in the observations by others above.
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 29, 2021, 09:28:38 PM
Center back from NC was Robbins. He had a brother on the team too which is another big Messiah thing. The center back looked like Jesus and just about played like him too. I walked away from that game most impressed with him and Brian RamĂrez. Payne was 2X NPOY and might have been the fourth best player on that team which shows how good they were.
I entirely agree with this assessment: Payne was an excellent player, but not actually as good as those three teammates. IMO, Ramirez was the most highly skilled player on those teams—and as it turns out he had a brief professional career outside the US. A younger brother had played winger at Messiah, and either another brother or a cousin played for a national team, I think Honduras but don’t quote me on that. Winger Jack Thompson was not mentioned above, but he must be the implied fourth player. I rank him next after Ramirez on those teams.
Quote from: Falconer on September 30, 2021, 05:09:20 PM
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 29, 2021, 09:28:38 PM
Center back from NC was Robbins. He had a brother on the team too which is another big Messiah thing. The center back looked like Jesus and just about played like him too. I walked away from that game most impressed with him and Brian RamĂrez. Payne was 2X NPOY and might have been the fourth best player on that team which shows how good they were.
I entirely agree with this assessment: Payne was an excellent player, but not actually as good as those three teammates. IMO, Ramirez was the most highly skilled player on those teams—and as it turns out he had a brief professional career outside the US. A younger brother had played winger at Messiah, and either another brother or a cousin played for a national team, I think Honduras but don't quote me on that. Winger Jack Thompson was not mentioned above, but he must be the implied fourth player. I rank him next after Ramirez on those teams.
I had mentioned Thompson a few posts above that along with Wood, Payne, Ramirez and Robbins. Thompson had our right back on skates and dizzy. He was not containable and imo was the most dangerous if not the most talented overall. Kenyon AA Sam Justice saved a sure Thompson goal off the line before Ramirez finally got the winner at 88:16.
I actually saw Bender score on a PK against Virginia earlier this year. That tied the game and was followed by a goal very similar to Groothoff's goal the other night. One of the best goals I've seen live/in person.
I've only seen a handful of Messiah matches through the years, but the player that stands out for me (sample size: one game) was Kai Kasiguran. Messiah hosted a first-weekend NCAA match, and he just dominated.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on September 30, 2021, 08:03:37 AM
Quote from: d4_Pace on September 30, 2021, 07:56:39 AM
Paul have you read the Messiah Method, the book by a Messiah professor about the program. One of the big takeaways I had was how involved alumni are in the scouting and recruiting process. They essentially have a nationwide scouting network that encourages kids to attend camps and reach out to the coaches at Messiah. It then also leads to certain programs becoming feeder programs. The Robbins and at least two other players on those teams were all from the same Christian high school in Greensboro, NC.
Just ordered. They are clearly doing something special there. Even how they play is pretty unique in the D3 ranks. And again, it's kind of an obscure school with a strong religious component that at first glance, wouldn't think it would attract the right type of players. Find it fascinating especially since there are a number of schools ... and I have said as much ... that I expect so much more of. If for anything because they have many of the attributes that would make them attractive to a recruit. Again, this is the thing I am wrestling with and clearly something that Messiah has figured out.
I haven't read The Messiah Method, but another book that I would be curious if it was used by other coaches is Grit, by Angela Duckworth. At the end of the book she recounts her discussions with the UNC women's coach, Anson Dorrance, about building a culture of success. If you don't have time to read the entire book, you can just read chapters 11 and 12 and get the idea. I imagine there is a lot of overlap in ideas.
https://www.amazon.com/Grit-Passion-Perseverance-Angela-Duckworth/dp/1501111108
Speaking of Anson Dorrance, this is one of the best books I've read...
The Man Watching: Anson Dorrance and the University of North Carolina Women's Soccer Dynasty
https://www.amazon.com/Man-Watching-Dorrance-University-Carolina/dp/0312616090
Yep surviving 90 mins at right back against Jack Thompson as a freshmen was probably one of the top accomplishments of my college career. I remember everyone walked off that field raving about how good Brian Ramirez was. The field at Muhlenberg was an insult to cow patches and he didn't misplace a touch the entire game. We just couldn't even get near him.
Falconer mentioned Hayden Woodworth. I was humbled by him more than once over the stretch we played against one another. I was happy just to continue my playing career in college and wasn't anywhere near the caliber of player that would have been associated with a team chasing a national title. Looking back I was happy I had the chance to play against those sides that won national championships even though it wasn't very enjoyable at that time.
Gettysburg @ #1 Hop - 5p - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/291758
#2 Messiah @ York - 3:30p - https://ycpspartans.com/watch/?Live=18&type=Live
Ursinus @ #3 WashC - 1p - https://team1sports.com/washcollsports/
#4 F&M @ Dickinson - noon - https://www.centennialconference.tv/dickinsonathletics/
McDaniel @ #5 Swat - 7p - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1IoK-48mdLo
#6 Eastern @ Hood - 7p - https://hoodathletics.com/sports/2019/11/4/watch.aspx
CathU @ #7 Etown - 4p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Albright @ #8 LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=992&type=Live
Of those games, Gburg is another good conference test for Hop and Etown-CAU is a good barometer for the Other Blue Jays.
Quote from: Centennial1 on September 30, 2021, 05:54:51 PM
I've only seen a handful of Messiah matches through the years, but the player that stands out for me (sample size: one game) was Kai Kasiguran. Messiah hosted a first-weekend NCAA match, and he just dominated.
Yes, Kai is my personal choice for the single greatest Falcon player ever. He isn't the only legitimate candidate for that distinction, but IMO his skill set was dazzling—and he knew how to use it from his very first start as a FR. It took his teammates maybe half a season to realize how good he actually was, such that they began to trust his ability to get the ball to them almost anywhere, by making passes most other players literally didn't dream of making. Once they caught on, they were a juggernaut all four years. Nagging injuries resulted in a situation where he was probably half a step down in his SR season, but he was still a formidable player who could beat anyone single-handedly, as it were. Even though he wasn't a top scorer, no Falcon scorer was better at creating his own shot out of nothing, or setting up a teammate for a goal. Today, he's a very successful accountant in the Philly area (last I heard).
So many games ... so little time. Will be a busy Saturday!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 30, 2021, 09:52:05 PM
Of those games, Gburg is another good conference test for Hop and Etown-CAU is a good barometer for the Other Blue Jays.
Dickinson has absolutely nothing to lose at 0-6. I would not want to be F&M.
Wow. Too early for a full run down (obviously), but Ursinus knocks off Washington, 2-1 in 2OT. Messiah cruising against York, 2-0 deep into second half.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2021, 05:04:37 PM
Wow. Too early for a full run down (obviously), but Ursinus knocks off Washington, 2-1 in 2OT. Messiah cruising against York, 2-0 deep into second half.
I don't think Ursinus is at risk for winning the Centennial or anything but results for the Bears thus far surpass anything I can recall in more than a decade...maybe longer?
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 02, 2021, 05:19:09 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2021, 05:04:37 PM
Wow. Too early for a full run down (obviously), but Ursinus knocks off Washington, 2-1 in 2OT. Messiah cruising against York, 2-0 deep into second half.
I don't think Ursinus is at risk for winning the Centennial or anything but results for the Bears thus far surpass anything I can recall in more than a decade...maybe longer?
Yeah, I'm no historian but just knocking off a Top 25 team is likely a first. Flipped through their record starting in 2010 and they have season wins of 2, 3, 5, 8(!), 6, 2, 4, 2, 0 and 5. They are currently sitting on 6 wins.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 30, 2021, 09:50:38 PM
Gettysburg @ #1 Hop - 5p - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/291758
#2 Messiah @ York - 3:30p - https://ycpspartans.com/watch/?Live=18&type=Live
Ursinus @ #3 WashC - 1p - https://team1sports.com/washcollsports/
#4 F&M @ Dickinson - noon - https://www.centennialconference.tv/dickinsonathletics/
McDaniel @ #5 Swat - 7p - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1IoK-48mdLo
#6 Eastern @ Hood - 7p - https://hoodathletics.com/sports/2019/11/4/watch.aspx
CathU @ #7 Etown - 4p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Albright @ #8 LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=992&type=Live
JHU 2 - 0 Gettysburg
Messiah 4 - 0 York
Ursinus 2 - 1 WashC (2OT)
F&M 3 - 1 Dickinson
McDaniel 0 - 1 Swat
Eastern 1 - 0 Hood
Cath 0 - 1 Etown
Albright 1 - 7 LVC
Scranton hasn't scored a goal in three games. thanks for letting me share.
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 02, 2021, 09:05:28 PM
Scranton hasn't scored a goal in three games. thanks for letting me share.
This is great. Thanks.
I was at the Hopkins-Gettysburg game. Hopkins was missing their senior center back due to injury. Gettysburg tried to press hard as Hopkins followed its usual practice of playing out of the back. There were several dicey moments in the first half as the lack of an experienced center back showed. The GK also made some poor decisions on outlet passes.
Hopkins has a series of beautiful passes right up the middle 7 mins in that produced the first goal. Otherwise, game was reasonably tight for the rest of the first half. In the second half, Gettysburg wore down and couldn't keep up the press. Hopkins also played over the top more. Eventually, Hopkins' skill and speed won out and Gettysburg wasn't much of a threat besides corner kicks and long throw-ins.
I am a day early :)
MAF Top 10 (Week 5)
1. Messiah (7-0-2) The Falcons look like they are in post-season form as they blank Lyco and York back to back. An interesting tilt next with Leb Val
2. Hopkins (7-0-2) The Blue Jays remain unbeaten in conference play after dismantling Gettysburg over the weekend
3. F&M (8-1-0) The Diplomats are on a 4 game win streak and remain near the top
4. Swarthmore (7-2-0) The Garnet are also on a 4 game win streak and remain in the top 5
5. Leb Val (8-1-0) The Dutchmen have rattled off 3 in a row since losing at Lyco. Messiah awaits this weekend
6. Wash College (7-3-0) The Shoremen continue to remain in good shape
7. Eastern (7-1-2) The Eagles went 0-1-2 in their tough 3 game stretch but are back to winning ways before they start conference
8. Gettysburg (5-3-1) The Bullets have dropped 2 of their last 3 and are in danger of missing the conference tournament after a strong non-conference showing
9. Lycoming (5-3-2) The Warriors continue to hang around after dropping a tough matchup at Messiah
10. Etown (6-2-1) The Blue Jays got blanked by Leb Val but bounced back with a nice conference win over Catholic
RV:
Misericordia (6-1-0) The Cougars pick up 2 more wins and secured shutouts in both contests as they linger near the top 10
Stevens (5-4-1) The Ducks dropped 2 in a row, which forces them outside the top 10 for the first time all year
Catholic (5-3-1) The Cardinals fail to pick up a win over the past week
Dropped Out:
Scranton (3-2-3) The Royals have scored just 1 goal in the last 4 games and are trending down
Muhlenberg (4-4-1) The Muhles have lost 4 in a row....
Having swung through and watched snippets of a lot of these games, but just about the entire Hopkins match... As mentioned by Walkon, the Bullets were a pretty game squad on Saturday. Hopkins got the early goal, but after that, there wasn't much difference btwn the two. Second goal was pretty late in the game, a little fluky, and slightly against the run of play (IMO).
Hopkins plays Goucher tonight at Homewood. 7p - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/291761
Messiah plays Albright in Reading. 7p https://albrightathletics.com/sports/2017/8/16/webcasts.aspx
I don't have time to go through the rest, just wanted to flag those two. Goucher looks like a decent squad and the turf is going to be quite slick, but that should still be a comfortable W for Hop.
Albright just gave up 7 goals on the weekend, so... That is going to be a potential bloodbath and will give everyone a chance to revisit the "running up the score" and "Christian values" debate going on in other threads. :D
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 05, 2021, 10:24:44 AM
Messiah plays Albright in Reading.
Albright just gave up 7 goals on the weekend, so... That is going to be a potential bloodbath and will give everyone a chance to revisit the "running up the score" and "Christian values" debate going on in other threads. :D
Messiah last played Albright April 15, 2021 and beat them 9-1.
https://gomessiah.com/sports/mens-soccer/opponent-history/albright-college/21
Week 4 Rankings:
1 Johns Hopkins University
2 Messiah College
3 Franklin & Marshall College
4 Swarthmore College
5 Lebanon Valley College
6 Eastern University
7 Washington College (Md.)
8 Elizabethtown College
Tuesday - Wednesday Games
Goucher @ #1 Hopkins Tue 7p - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/291761
#2 Messiah @ Albright Tue 7p - https://albrightathletics.com/sports/2017/8/16/webcasts.aspx
Scranton @ #3 F&M Wed 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
PSU-A @ #4 Swat - Tue 7p - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qRqGmoB_lyM
#5 LVC @ Widener - Tue 7p - https://portal.stretchinternet.com/widener/
Alvernia @ #6 Eastern Tue 3:3p - https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
#7 WashC - No midweek game, next game is vs. Hopkins in Bmore
PSU-Berks @ #8Etown - Wed 7:30 - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 05, 2021, 03:47:54 PM
Tuesday - Wednesday Games
Goucher @ #1 Hopkins Tue 7p - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/291761
#2 Messiah @ Albright Tue 7p - https://albrightathletics.com/sports/2017/8/16/webcasts.aspx
Scranton @ #3 F&M Wed 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
PSU-A @ #4 Swat - Tue 7p - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qRqGmoB_lyM
#5 LVC @ Widener - Tue 7p - https://portal.stretchinternet.com/widener/
Alvernia @ #6 Eastern Tue 3:3p - https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
#7 WashC - No midweek game, next game is vs. Hopkins in Bmore
PSU-Berks @ #8 - Wed 7:30 - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Alvernia
may give Eastern a game, but I think the others are all pretty straightforward (with apologies to NEPAFAN).
Just popping over here to post UPSET ALERT: Alvernia up 1-0 middle of 2nd half.
ETA - That's a wrap, 2-0. That's a tough loss at home.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 05, 2021, 04:37:20 PM
Just popping over here to post UPSET ALERT: Alvernia up 1-0 middle of 2nd half.
Thanks for the scoop on the match! Alvernia gets a late PK to salt it away 2-0.
Quote from: Ejay on October 05, 2021, 04:18:12 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 05, 2021, 03:47:54 PM
Tuesday - Wednesday Games
Goucher @ #1 Hopkins Tue 7p - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/291761
#2 Messiah @ Albright Tue 7p - https://albrightathletics.com/sports/2017/8/16/webcasts.aspx
Scranton @ #3 F&M Wed 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
PSU-A @ #4 Swat - Tue 7p - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qRqGmoB_lyM
#5 LVC @ Widener - Tue 7p - https://portal.stretchinternet.com/widener/
Alvernia @ #6 Eastern Tue 3:3p - https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
#7 WashC - No midweek game, next game is vs. Hopkins in Bmore
PSU-Berks @ #8 - Wed 7:30 - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Alvernia may give Eastern a game, but I think the others are all pretty straightforward (with apologies to NEPAFAN).
;D
Hopkins wins 4-0 vs.the Gooch. Game was 0-0 at half although Hop had 9 shots on goal to 0 for Goucher. Hopkins sat their starting GK and center backs. Not much worthy of comment. Goucher GK played very well until he was pulled once it got out of hand.
Tuesday results:
Hopkins 4 - 0 Goucher
Messiah 3 -1 Albright
Swat 2 - 0 PSU-A
LVC 4 - 1 Widener
Alvernia 2-0 Eastern
Couple of notes from my "red zone" viewing of tonight.
* Hopkins started their back-up goalie, which I think is really smart of Appleby. Overall, Hopkins really dominated this game, but it was tied 0-0 at half time.
* Messiah dominated, but I think Albright did a great job "manning up" tonight. Also, and I don't mean to be a jerk, but the Albright keeper... Couldn't punt? It was hard to watch. That said, he made a bunch of really good saves, and that's only in the limited time I was tuned in.
* Swat game was a TUSSLE. It was 1-0 until 2 minutes left when they scored the clincher. Weirdly, the feed game them two goals on that second goal, which was very confusing (showing 3-0, but it was 2-0, obvi).
* Not much to say about the LVC - Widener game. Taking care of business is important, as we all know.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 05, 2021, 09:12:16 PM
Tuesday results:
Hopkins 4 - 0 Goucher
Messiah 3 -1 Albright
Swat 2 - 0 PSU-A
LVC 4 - 1 Widener
Alvernia 2-0 Eastern
Couple of notes from my "red zone" viewing of tonight.
* Hopkins started their back-up goalie, which I think is really smart of Appleby. Overall, Hopkins really dominated this game, but it was tied 0-0 at half time.
* Messiah dominated, but I think Albright did a great job "manning up" tonight. Also, and I don't mean to be a jerk, but the Albright keeper... Couldn't punt? It was hard to watch. That said, he made a bunch of really good saves, and that's only in the limited time I was tuned in.
* Swat game was a TUSSLE. It was 1-0 until 2 minutes left when they scored the clincher. Weirdly, the feed game them two goals on that second goal, which was very confusing (showing 3-0, but it was 2-0, obvi).
* Not much to say about the LVC - Widener game. Taking care of business is important, as we all know.
Good stuff. I caught part of the Swat game. It really wasn't much of a tussle: the final score was correct, 3-0 from a penalty midway through the second half. Shots were something like 24-1, 6-0 on corners. Once again the Centennial is wide open, save for Hop which is, from what I've seen, the best team in the conference. Without further out-of-conference blemishes, F&M, Swat, Washington and (perhaps) Gettysburg have a shot at NCAA berths, assuming Hopkins wins the conference. Chances for a national title from the Centennial looks remote to me: I haven't seen the speed or skill to compete with the best play-it-right teams (like Messiah, Chicago, NYU) or the bang-n-smash athletes from the NESCAC. Now the task is to stay healthy and fit through the end of October.
Thanks for the clarification on the Swat game... And I will, of course, defer to your assessment. I was 75 percent watching Hopkins and Messiah, to be honest.
F&M 1 - 0 Scranton
Etown 2 - 0 PSU-B
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 02, 2021, 09:05:28 PM
Scranton hasn't scored a goal in three games. thanks for letting me share.
Four games...;)
Saturday Games of Note
* 7 Washington @ 1 Hopkins - 3p - https://vcloud.blueframetech.com/broadcast/embed/291764
* 5 LVC @ 2 Messiah - 6p - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=495&type=Live
* Gettysburg @ 3 F&M - 3p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
* Muhles @ 4 Swat - 7p - No Video(?)
* Stevenson @ 6 Eastern - 3p - https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
* 8 Etown @ Juniata - 4p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
=-=-=-=
Obvious point, but there are some pretty strong matchups this weekend.
Big game for Gettysburg. Huge litmus test to see if they're for real this year.
Quote from: D3_Slack on October 07, 2021, 01:59:18 PM
Big game for Gettysburg. Huge litmus test to see if they're for real this year.
Agreed. Having watched both, not sure Gettysburg will be able to handle F&M. I don't think F&M is all that, but what they do, they do well. High energy, press, and force mistakes.
That's a wrap in Baltimore. 1-0 home team. Washington is a VERY solid squad, just couldn't really find a finishing moment.
Hopkins is playing with fire a bit. They're gonna get got if they don't find a way to score 2 goals against quality opponents (which, again, to be clear, WashC is a decent squad.)
And, oh wow. Gettysburg with a 2-0 win up in Lancaster. First time the Bullets have beaten the Dips since 2009, according to the feed.
Guess that litmus test done got passed.
Hop 1- 0 WashC
Messiah 4-1 LVC (i stopped watching late)
G'burg 2-0 F&M
Swat 2 - 0 Muhles
Stevenson 1-0 Eastern
Etown 3-0 Juniata
MAF Top 10 (Week 6)
1. Messiah (9-0-2)
2. Hopkins (9-0-2)
3. F&M (9-2-0)
4. Swarthmore (9-2-0)
5. Leb Val (9-2-0)
6. Gettysburg (7-3-1)
7. Etown (8-2-1)
8. Misericordia (8-1-0)
9. Stevens (7-4-1)
10. Eastern (7-3-2)
RV:
Wash College (7-4-0)
Lycoming (6-4-2)
Catholic (6-4-1)
Alvernia (9-2-0)
Wilkes (9-3-0)
Midweek Games of Note (bolded games are today, others are Wed)
1 Hopkins @ (3) Chris Newport - 4p - No video. Bummer.
7 Alvernia @ 2 Messiah - 7p - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=496&type=Live
3 Swat @ Lycoming - 5p - https://lycomingathletics.com/sports/2015/8/17/Boxcast_0f1571.aspx
Lancaster Bible @ 4 F&M - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
Eastern @ 5 LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=997&type=Live
WashC @ Catholic - 7p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/catholic/
6 Etown @ Muhles - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/
Salisbury @ 8 Gettysburg - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
Just to be clear, CNU is #3 in Region VI behind very good Emory and W&L squads
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 12:12:12 PM
Midweek Games of Note (bolded games are today, others are Wed)
Hopkins @ Chris Newport - 4p - No video. Bummer.
Alvernia @ Messiah - 7p - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=496&type=Live
Lancaster Bible @ F&M - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
Swat @ Lycoming - 5p - https://lycomingathletics.com/sports/2015/8/17/Boxcast_0f1571.aspx
Eastern @ LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=997&type=Live
WashC @ Catholic - 7p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/catholic/
Etown @ Muhles - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/
Salisbury @ Gettysburg - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
Looks like I have some games to watch today! Woot! Haven't watched Swarthnore or Lycoming at all so that will be interesting. And if I were a betting man, Catholic and Muhlenberg should be the victors.
I'm really bummed the CNU-Hop game isn't being streamed. Manassas is just far enough away (and the game time is annoying) that I can't really duck out of work for that one.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 02:15:01 PM
I'm really bummed the CNU-Hop game isn't being streamed. Manassas is just far enough away (and the game time is annoying) that I can't really duck out of work for that one.
Don't understand how in today's world that Christopher Newport would not be streaming this game. I should send them a fax or call their beeper to lodge a formal complaint via Morse code.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 12, 2021, 01:57:43 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 12:12:12 PM
Midweek Games of Note (bolded games are today, others are Wed)
Hopkins @ Chris Newport - 4p - No video. Bummer.
Alvernia @ Messiah - 7p - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=496&type=Live
Lancaster Bible @ F&M - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
Swat @ Lycoming - 5p - https://lycomingathletics.com/sports/2015/8/17/Boxcast_0f1571.aspx
Eastern @ LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=997&type=Live
WashC @ Catholic - 7p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/catholic/
Etown @ Muhles - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/
Salisbury @ Gettysburg - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
Looks like I have some games to watch today! Woot! Haven't watched Swarthnore or Lycoming at all so that will be interesting. And if I were a betting man, Catholic and Muhlenberg should be the victors.
I watched a majority of the Swarthmore vs Lycoming game last night and it was entertaining to say the least. I jumped in a little late to the first half, but it was a little slow and I felt that Swarthmore had the slight edge. It was a bit choppy and some questionable calls were made by the officials throughout. The second half was more enjoyable, as both teams dug in and started to play, after feeling each other out. The game opened up a bit and there were some decent chances for both teams. Lycoming looked the more dangerous team and created more opportunities in the second half and the first OT. Lycoming did score in OT but had the goal called back for what I assume was offsides. Both teams looked gassed by the start of the second OT and the game thus ended in a 0-0 draw. As mentioned, one of the more entertaining scoreless games I have seen in a while and both teams looked very very solid after a rough first half.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 02:15:01 PM
I'm really bummed the CNU-Hop game isn't being streamed. Manassas is just far enough away (and the game time is annoying) that I can't really duck out of work for that one.
Can you travel to the game and give us a live stream from your phone? ;D ;)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 13, 2021, 08:22:36 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 02:15:01 PM
I'm really bummed the CNU-Hop game isn't being streamed. Manassas is just far enough away (and the game time is annoying) that I can't really duck out of work for that one.
Can you travel to the game and give us a live stream from your phone? ;D ;)
I am seriously considering skipping out of work to watch it. Rush hour traffic down I-95 is the primary obstacle. I assume they are playing in Manassas as a way to split the difference in travel times for a midweek non-conference game. Since it's at a neutral site, there probably are no streaming facilities.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 13, 2021, 12:40:49 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 13, 2021, 08:22:36 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 02:15:01 PM
I'm really bummed the CNU-Hop game isn't being streamed. Manassas is just far enough away (and the game time is annoying) that I can't really duck out of work for that one.
Can you travel to the game and give us a live stream from your phone? ;D ;)
I am seriously considering skipping out of work to watch it. Rush hour traffic down I-95 is the primary obstacle. I assume they are playing in Manassas as a way to split the difference in travel times for a midweek non-conference game. Since it's at a neutral site, there probably are no streaming facilities.
Good info! I was flummoxed by the Manassas location...
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 13, 2021, 08:21:19 AM
I watched a majority of the Swarthmore vs Lycoming game last night and it was entertaining to say the least. I jumped in a little late to the first half, but it was a little slow and I felt that Swarthmore had the slight edge. It was a bit choppy and some questionable calls were made by the officials throughout. The second half was more enjoyable, as both teams dug in and started to play, after feeling each other out. The game opened up a bit and there were some decent chances for both teams. Lycoming looked the more dangerous team and created more opportunities in the second half and the first OT. Lycoming did score in OT but had the goal called back for what I assume was offsides. Both teams looked gassed by the start of the second OT and the game thus ended in a 0-0 draw. As mentioned, one of the more entertaining scoreless games I have seen in a while and both teams looked very very solid after a rough first half.
I watched the first 30 minutes in the first half and stopped watching. Wasn't doing it for me.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 12:12:12 PM
Midweek Games of Note (bolded games are today, others are Wed)
1 Hopkins @ (3) Chris Newport - 4p - No video. Bummer.
7 Alvernia @ 2 Messiah - 7p - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=496&type=Live
3 Swat @ Lycoming - 5p - https://lycomingathletics.com/sports/2015/8/17/Boxcast_0f1571.aspx
Lancaster Bible @ 4 F&M - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
Eastern @ 5 LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=997&type=Live
WashC @ Catholic - 7p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/catholic/
6 Etown @ Muhles - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/
Salisbury @ 8 Gettysburg - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
Just to be clear, CNU is #3 in Region VI behind very good Emory and W&L squads
Eastern up 2-0 on what only charitably be described as "miscues" in the back for LVC. (like... WOOF). First was a really dead backpass from the CB to the GK at center dot that was easily intercepted and then skillfully finished by the Eastern striker.
Second was another turnover from the backline in the center of the park that was carried unscathed for about 20 yards, then crossed through about 3 LVC players (somehow) to and Eastern player that took a good establishing shot and smashed it home from 16 yards out.
Hopkins loses 2-0 to CNU. No video but the box score indicates that JHU's senior center back didn't play. Without him, they struggle.
And Messiah go out and put the boots to Alvernia, 4-0 at home.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 13, 2021, 04:59:05 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 12:12:12 PM
Midweek Games of Note (bolded games are today, others are Wed)
1 Hopkins @ (3) Chris Newport - 4p - No video. Bummer.
7 Alvernia @ 2 Messiah - 7p - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=496&type=Live
3 Swat @ Lycoming - 5p - https://lycomingathletics.com/sports/2015/8/17/Boxcast_0f1571.aspx
Lancaster Bible @ 4 F&M - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
Eastern @ 5 LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=997&type=Live
WashC @ Catholic - 7p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/catholic/
6 Etown @ Muhles - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/
Salisbury @ 8 Gettysburg - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
Just to be clear, CNU is #3 in Region VI behind very good Emory and W&L squads
Eastern up 2-0 on what only charitably be described as "miscues" in the back for LVC. (like... WOOF). First was a really dead backpass from the CB to the GK at center dot that was easily intercepted and then skillfully finished by the Eastern striker.
Second was another turnover from the backline in the center of the park that was carried unscathed for about 20 yards, then crossed through about 3 LVC players (somehow) to and Eastern player that took a good establishing shot and smashed it home from 16 yards out.
Hopkins 0 - 2 CNU
Messiah 4 - 0 Alvernia
Swat 0 - 0 Lycoming
F&M 3 - 0 Lan Bible
Eastern 2 - 1 LVC
Muhles 1 - 0 Etown
Gburg 3 - 1 Salisbury
WashC 4 - 3 Catholic
Yowsers on that last game. Looks like a back-and-forth affair that got mostly put away with Wash up 4-2, then Cath scored late to make it 4-3.
Not that it matters too much but the final score of the Eastern/LVC game was 2-1
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 14, 2021, 03:21:31 PM
Not that it matters too much but the final score of the Eastern/LVC game was 2-1
Yeah, my b... I forgot that I stopped watching that at half.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 12, 2021, 02:33:09 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2021, 02:15:01 PM
I'm really bummed the CNU-Hop game isn't being streamed. Manassas is just far enough away (and the game time is annoying) that I can't really duck out of work for that one.
Don't understand how in today's world that Christopher Newport would not be streaming this game. I should send them a fax or call their beeper to lodge a formal complaint via Morse code.
Probably for the same reason JHU didn't stream the game
Is the neutral site stuff new? I recall there were some games played in Charlotte and Charlotte had nothing to do with any of teams.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 14, 2021, 04:01:27 PM
Is the neutral site stuff new? I recall there were some games played in Charlotte and Charlotte had nothing to do with any of teams.
Seems to be more prevalent as of late, CNU has had 3 neutral site games this year. They played Emory in Charlotte, JHU in NOVA, and Methodist in Roanoke. If I remember, I will ask the AD about it next time I see him.
Well, I'm blaming the loss on it, so... :D
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 14, 2021, 04:42:08 PM
Well, I'm blaming the loss on it, so... :D
Exquisite recovery, and well played. See, you would be a great pollster.
Games of Note
1 Hopkins @ Ursinus - 3p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/ursinuscollege/
2 Messiah @ Eastern - 3p -https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
3 Swat @ 4 F&M - 6p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
York @ 5 LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=1002&type=Live
Susquehana @ 6 Etown - 4:30p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Rosemont @ 7 Alvernia - 1p - https://auwolves.com/watch/?Archive=819&type=Live
WashC @ 8 Gettysburg - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 15, 2021, 12:41:25 PM
Games of Note
1 Hopkins @ Ursinus - 3p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/ursinuscollege/
2 Messiah @ Eastern - 3p - https://www.youtube.com/user/easternathletics/videos
3 Swat @ 4 F&M - 6p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
York @ 5 LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=1002&type=Live
Susquehana @ 6 Etown - 4:30p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Rosemont @ 7 Alvernia - 1p - https://auwolves.com/watch/?Archive=819&type=Live
WashC @ 8 Gettysburg - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
My useless predicitons:
Hopkins 3 - Ursinus 0
Messiah 4 - Eastern 0
Swat 2 - F&M 1
York 1 - LVC 3
Susq 0 - Etown 2
Rosemont 0 - Alvernia 2
Wash 1 - Gburg 1
Not sure what's going on up in Alvernia. Game is tied 3-3 late in the 2nd, it's pouring buckets... Suspended match, maybe? Anyways, while there have been 6 goals, the overall defensive and goalkeeping has been subpar.
The live stream for Messiah can be found here: https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
They also weirdly started the game @ 2:45. PBP guy referenced that the crowd was showing up "late" for a 3p start.. didn't provide the reason why. I'm gonna take a wild guess and say they are trying to stay ahead of the weather.
Big time upset alert, as Eastern just scored to go up 2-1 on Messiah... 10 minutes left.
Meanwhile, Hopkins is losing 1-0 to Ursinus... Most of the 2nd half to go.
=-==-=-=-
Messiah tie it up on a double-header with 4 minutes to go.
Hop still losing to a game Ursinus side. One way traffic, but the Jays don't really seem all that dangerous TBH.
=-=-=-=-=-=
Messiah 3 - 2 Eastern 2OT
Hopkins fixing to lose. Biggest win in Ursinus's history?
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 15, 2021, 12:41:25 PM
Games of Note
1 Hopkins @ Ursinus - 3p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/ursinuscollege/
2 Messiah @ Eastern - 3p -https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
3 Swat @ 4 F&M - 6p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
York @ 5 LVC - 4p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=1002&type=Live
Susquehana @ 6 Etown - 4:30p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Rosemont @ 7 Alvernia - 1p - https://auwolves.com/watch/?Archive=819&type=Live
WashC @ 8 Gettysburg - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
Hopkins 0 - 1 Ursinus
Messiah 3 - 2 Eastern
Swat 2 - 2 F&M 2OT
York 2 - 3 LVC
Susquehanna 3 - 2 Etown
Rosemont 3 - 4 Alvernia
WashC 1 - 1 Gettysburg 2OT
Going to try to watch some of these games today. Especially the Hopkins game to see if Ursinus has done anything special to shut them down. Same with the Messiah game.
I am starting to think that maybe some of these teams are learning a thing or two about their opponents from my game notes! Actually no, not really.
Couple of things:
* This Ursinus team has now beaten Swat and Hopkins. I'm not gonna go back and check, but I doubt that's ever happened before. Hopkins gave up a goal on a long-ball/freekick and while they had a ton of possession and made a lot of racket going forward, I don't really remember a moment where they looked like they were actually going to score.
* Watch that Messiah match if it's the only thing you get to watch today. About as entertaining a D3 match as you are going to see this year. As I mentioned in the goalkeeper thread, the freshman goalie for Eastern really stood on his head.
* F&M, Swat, Gburg and WashC all squandered pretty good opportunities to make up ground on Hopkins today. Shows how tightly packed things are in the top tier of the Centennial.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 17, 2021, 10:29:13 AM
Couple of things:
* This Ursinus team has now beaten Swat and Hopkins. I'm not gonna go back and check, but I doubt that's ever happened before. Hopkins gave up a goal on a long-ball/freekick and while they had a ton of possession and made a lot of racket going forward, I don't really remember a moment where they looked like they were actually going to score.
* Watch that Messiah match if it's the only thing you get to watch today. About as entertaining a D3 match as you are going to see this year. As I mentioned in the goalkeeper thread, the freshman goalie for Eastern really stood on his head.
* F&M, Swat, Gburg and WashC all squandered pretty good opportunities to make up ground on Hopkins today. Shows how tightly packed things are in the top tier of the Centennial.
I'll have to go back and watch the Messiah game. BTW, Swat beat Ursinus at Ursinus 2-1.
You're spot on about the Centennial. It seems this year the teams' abilities are more tightly-packed: traditionally weaker teams like Ursinus and Wash are better. They now are able to field 11 players that can trap the ball. The traditionally stronger teams are not as strong. It makes me worried for at-large bids come dance time. IIRC, Centennial typically will get 3 or even sometimes 4 bids. Dunno what's going to happen this year...
The Hopkins-Ursinus game was painful to watch. Ursinus scored fairly early and then played defense for the remainder of the game. Hopkins did very little to break the defense down or look even a little threatening. Hopkins' senior center back did not play again. Without him, their system has very little bite. Just guys making a lot of passes that don't go anywhere.
Continuing to keep the traditional Mid-Atlantic poll alive...or else I'd have to change my name :o
MAF Top 10 (Week 7)
1. Messiah (11-0-2)
2. F&M (10-2-1)
3. Swarthmore (9-2-2)
4. Leb Val (10-3-0)
5. Hopkins (9-2-2)
6. Gettysburg (8-3-2)
7. Eastern (8-4-2)
8. Misericordia (9-2-0)
9. Lycoming (7-4-3)
10. Etown (8-4-1)
RV:
Wash College (8-4-1)
Alvernia (10-3-0)
Wilkes (10-4-0)
Haverford (7-6-1)
Ursinus (7-5-1)
Dropped Out:
Stevens (7-6-1)
Catholic (6-5-2)
Games of Note (bolded are Tuesday)
Messiah @ Stevenson - 7p - http://gomustangsports.tv/
Hopkins @ Dickinson - 6p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/dickinsonathletics/
F&M @ Haverford - 4p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/haverfordathletics/
Swat @ WashC - 7p - (I guess no video)
LVC @ Alvernia - 7p - (grrrr)
Moravain @ Etown - 7p - https://landmarknetwork.tv/elizabethtown/
Bullets @ W. MD - 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/McDanielCollege/
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 19, 2021, 11:11:32 AM
Games of Note (bolded are Tuesday)
Messiah @ Stevenson - 7p - http://gomustangsports.tv/
Hopkins @ Dickinson - 6p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/dickinsonathletics/
F&M @ Haverford - 4p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/haverfordathletics/
Swat @ WashC - 7p - (I guess no video)
The top three teams in the Centennial all have mid-week away games. They're all dangerous, with F&M in for a battle, not so much because of a soporific bus ride or a great opponent, but with the field. Haverford keeps that pitch long for a very different feel and speed than Turf Teamz. F&M will have to adapt. To their credit, the Fords' early-season mid-game melt-downs seem to have waned for the moment. Hop's tilt in Carlisle would be easy to overlook based upon Dick's record, but even bad teams tend to get better as the season matures. This match will tell us whether Hopkins is a box of Nilla Wafers, or a bottle Sriracha. Swat travels to Washington to take on their newly, and truly legitimate program. Both teams' back four are stout, and both teams have just average midfields. If Swat's goal-scorer is back from injury, they could come home with three points.
Per earlier (and consistent) commentary from Hopkins Walkon, seems like a really difficult game if Hop doesn't have their Senior centerback. Ursinus is having one of its best seasons in over a decade (at least), but that game still shouldn't have ended in that result. But they haven't scored in 180 minutes of soccer... That starts to get in your head.
I guess LVC - Alvernia feed got sorted: https://auwolves.com/watch/?Live=864&type=Live
1-0 LVC at the half.
Messiah up two in Owings Mills at the half.
Aaaand F&M scores against the Fords 1:15 into the game.
Quote from: Centennial1 on October 20, 2021, 04:06:44 PM
Aaaand F&M scores against the Fords 1:15 into the game.
Think they must have greased the keepers gloves ...
Man, F&M games are hard to watch. Was thinking of heading up that way to check out the fall leaves with my wife on Saturday, but I don't know if I want to sit thru 90 minutes of this.
1-1 with 19 left, btw.
This announcing duo is pretty amusing. Not in a clever way, but they're just pretty negative. Which I find amusing. They have called the game boring more than once and even though F&M hasn't really done anything this half they are saying the Fords are lucky to still be level. Um. No, not really.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2021, 05:32:24 PM
Man, F&M games are hard to watch. Was thinking of heading up that way to check out the fall leaves with my wife on Saturday, but I don't know if I want to sit thru 90 minutes of this.
1-1 with 19 left, btw.
Planning on watching later tonight, but I am not a fan of F&M. Frankly am amazed at whatever success they have had.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 20, 2021, 05:40:01 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2021, 05:32:24 PM
Man, F&M games are hard to watch. Was thinking of heading up that way to check out the fall leaves with my wife on Saturday, but I don't know if I want to sit thru 90 minutes of this.
1-1 with 19 left, btw.
Planning on watching later tonight, but I am not a fan of F&M. Frankly am amazed at whatever success they have had.
Having watched them in person a number of times, it's all about #chaossoccer. I think you noted this in one of your reviews? They just presspresspress and look to grind things out. It's replicable and you don't need a ton of technical ability across the board to consistently get results in college soccer. I'm not disparaging the system, but it's really only doable in American high school and college with the (annoyingly) liberal subs rule.
The feed out of Carlisle is a bit of a mess. Second Hop game in a row with no sound, which... First world problems. But they also started the game with the score chyron with 3-0 to Dickinson. Also having a ton of issues with the feed shutting down or pausing.
And.. WTF. Game is at 1-1 only 15 minutes into the game. I guess Dickinson just got a PK to level things.
Sound is back on. Jesus. They had major tech issues. Now sorted. Woof.
FWIW, Sr. CB Treinen is in the starting lineup... and it shows. Hopkins much more dangerous tonight.
1-1 middle of second half... You can hear the Hopkins bench kind of barking at the ref, which just shows you how tense they are about this game. They are playing a good game, but... You also feel like they are too uptight and don't have a lot of danger in the final 3rd.
Gonna be honest. They are a very good team, but the lack of finishing danger makes them a top 30 team, not a top 20 team. If that makes sense.
Another meta point - Hopkins just doesn't really look dangerous on set pieces. And they get a LOT of set pieces.
Alright, I'll continue to chronicle and follow, but the book is done on Hopkins. They just don't have a guy up top that can be dangerous enough to finish or create their own space. I know that's a problem for lots of teams at this level, but Hopkins usually has at least a couple of guys that can create separation or find some space. I don't see it with these guys.
Hopkins finally opens them up 3-1. Geez louise they make it hard.
And a final of 4-1. Dickinson is VERY close to being a quality squad.
To get real: 1st goal conceded was a PK, second was an Own Goal. Third and Forth... whatever.
Region V - Top 10 Regional Rankings - October 20, 2021
Rank | School | D3 Record | D3 SOS | RPI | RvR | Overall Record | Prev Rank |
1 | Messiah | 11-0-2 | .6 | .681 | -- | 11-0-2 | -- |
2 | F&M | 10-2-1 | .599 | .651 | -- | 10-2-1 | -- |
3 | Swarthmore | 9-2-2 | .594 | .638 | -- | 9-2-2 | -- |
4 | Washington College | 8-4-1 | .629 | .635 | -- | 8-4-1 | -- |
5 | Gettysburg | 8-3-2 | .614 | .634 | -- | 8-3-2 | -- |
6 | Johns Hopkins | 9-2-2 | .585 | .631 | -- | 9-2-2 | -- |
7 | Eastern | 8-4-2 | .62 | .626 | -- | 8-4-2 | -- |
8 | Alvernia | 10-3-0 | .567 | .618 | -- | 10-3-0 | -- |
9 | Lebanon Valley | 10-3-0 | .536 | .594 | -- | 10-3-0 | -- |
10 | Etown | 8-4-1 | .571 | .592 | -- | 8-4-1 | -- |
Time for some new energy at Scranton, great facility a few years old, women's soccer and field hockey excelling. Men's team plodding along with an anemic offense. This program can be better.
Those regional rankings will shuffle again. I was only able to catch a chunk of the Fords/F&M match. Swat/Wash was hilariously unwatchable because the camera operator was clearly blackout drunk, or was trying to shoot incidental wildlife on unused parts of the pitch. What play I saw seemed much better than the Haverford/F&M match. That was pretty terrible soccer. The lumpy pitch lent itself to chaos football, but the individual instincts from both sides were not where ranked teams should be: basic things like receiving the ball and immediately turning into pressure and trying to clatter the ball through the defender, to poor decisions on and off the ball. F&M won on work rate and hustle.
In terms of level-setting (at least for me), other ranked teams are lightyears better: I'm thinking about play I've seen from Messiah, Chicago, Kenyon.
Midweek Results
Messiah 7-0 Stevenson
Hopkins 4-1 Dickinson
F&M 2-1 Haverford (1OT)
Swat 1-2 WashC
LVC 1-0 Alvernia
Moravian 1-1 Etown
Bullets 1-0 W. MD
Ursinus 2-1 Muhles
=-==-=-==
* Um. Not for nothing, but the Bears are now 8-5-1 after winning on the road last night at Muhlenberg. That's possibly the story of the region this year. If they are able to knock off F&M this weekend, you are talking about a massive Cinderella story up in Collegeville. Collegetown? Collegecity? I don't know, doesn't matter, that's a cool story.
* According to the box score, WashC scored 23 seconds(!) into their 2-1 win against Swat. That's a dagger.
* As I noted in the bullets while watching the Dickinson-Hopkins game, the feed was wonky to start and didn't pick up until 10 minutes were gone. What we missed were two PKs, one per team, to start the game. Curious how that played out, but Hopkins certainly took it to them for most of the remainder of the match. Good bounce back for them.
That Moravian/Etown result is interesting in that you now have a 4 way tie for 1st in the Landmark - Catholic, Drew, Etown, Susq all sit 3-1-1.
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 21, 2021, 09:15:12 AM
Time for some new energy at Scranton, great facility a few years old, women's soccer and field hockey excelling. Men's team plodding along with an anemic offense. This program can be better.
I haven't watched many of their matches closely. Are they missing anyone? It seems to me that they should be right there pushing for what is a very winnable Landmark title this year.
Quote from: Ejay on October 21, 2021, 10:17:08 AM
That Moravian/Etown result is interesting in that you now have a 4 way tie for 1st in the Landmark - Catholic, Drew, Etown, Susq all sit 3-1-1.
Surprised by that result as well seeing at how Morvian started strong but has really fallen off. Plus they had two reds against Juniata in the previous match which left them short one of their better players. I caught the last 10 minutes and over time as I was jumping between Landmark matches. I feel as though any of those four teams could win the title depending on the day.
Love the Landmark insight, folks. Only reason they aren't more prominent on here this season are the regional rankings.
Centennial
(with 2 conf games to go, top 5 make playoffs)
JHU - 18 pts
F&M - 13 pts
Bullets - 13
Swat - 13
WashC -13
Ursinus - 12
Fords - 12
--------
Muhles - 4
W.MD - 3
Devils - 1
Landmark
(Top 4 qualify, 2 conf games left)
Catholic - 10
Drew - 10
Etown - 10
Susq. - 10
Scranton - 6
Juniata - 5
Gooch - 3
Moravain - 1
MAC Commonwealth
(Top 5 qualify, Stevenson, and the teams with 6 points have a game in hand)
Messiah - 18
Stevenson - 12
Leb Valley - 12
Alvernia - 9
Eastern - 6
Widener - 6
York - 6
Hood - 3
Albright - 0
MAC Freedom
(Top 5, everyone has a game in hand over Arcadia)
Misericordia - 12
King's - 12
Arcadia - 12
Wilkes - 9
Lycoming - 9
DeSales - 7
Stevens - 6
FDU - Florham - 4
Del Valley - 0
NEAC
(I think top 6 go? Just looking at the 2019 set-up. Everyone has a game in hand on #1)
PS Harrisburg - 21
St. Mary's - 15
Lan Bible - 11
PS Berks - 9
PS Abington - 8
Penn College - 6
Morrisville St. - 4
Wells - 3
Galludet - 3
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 21, 2021, 01:43:08 PM
NEAC
(I think top 6 go? Just looking at the 2019 set-up. Everyone has a game in hand on #1)
PS Harrisburg - 21
St. Mary's - 15
Lan Bible - 11
PS Berks - 9
PS Abington - 8
Penn College - 6
Morrisville St. - 4
Wells - 3
Galludet - 3
The NEAC is now the United East Conference (UEC) (https://gounitedeast.com/index.aspx?path=msoc). And they will only have a 4-team conference championship tournament this year according to their Men's and Women's Soccer Operating Code (https://gounitedeast.com/documents/2021/9/28//2021_2022_United_East_Men_s_and_Women_s_Soccer_Operating_Code_1_.pdf?id=3801), page 4.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 21, 2021, 01:57:06 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 21, 2021, 01:43:08 PM
NEAC
(I think top 6 go? Just looking at the 2019 set-up. Everyone has a game in hand on #1)
PS Harrisburg - 21
St. Mary's - 15
Lan Bible - 11
PS Berks - 9
PS Abington - 8
Penn College - 6
Morrisville St. - 4
Wells - 3
Galludet - 3
The NEAC is now the United East Conference (UEC) (https://gounitedeast.com/index.aspx?path=msoc). And they will only have a 4-team conference championship tournament this year according to their Men's and Women's Soccer Operating Code (https://gounitedeast.com/documents/2021/9/28//2021_2022_United_East_Men_s_and_Women_s_Soccer_Operating_Code_1_.pdf?id=3801), page 4.
Thanks, FW. I was getting pulled into a work thing and just kind of gave up trying to figure all that out.
Remaining games...
Centennial
(with 2 conf games to go, top 5 make playoffs)
JHU - 18 pts (Muhl/F&M - 17 pts combined)
F&M - 13 pts (Ursinus/JHU - 30 pts combined)
Bullets - 13 (Fords/Muhles - 16 pts combined)
Swat - 13 (Devils/Fords - 13 pts combined)
WashC -13 (McD/Devils - 4 pts combined)
Ursinus - 12 (F&M/McD - 16 pts combined)
Fords - 12 (Getty/Swat - 26 pts combined)
Landmark
(Top 4 qualify, 2 conf games left)
Catholic - 10 (Susq/Jun - 15 pts combined)
Drew - 10 (Etown/Morav - 11 pts combined)
Etown - 10 (Drew/Scran - 16 pts combined)
Susq. - 10 - (Cath/Gouch - 13 pts combined)
Scranton - 6 (Morav/Etown - 11 pts combined)
Juniata - 5 (Gouch/Cath - 13 pts combined)
Gooch - 3
Moravain - 1
MAC Commonwealth
(Top 5 qualify, Stevenson, and the teams with 6 points have a game in hand)
Messiah - 18 (Wid/Hood - 9 pts combined)
Stevenson - 12 (Alv/York/LVC - 27 pts combined)
Leb Valley - 12 (Hood/Stevenson - 15 pts combined)
Alvernia - 9 (Stevenson/Alb/Hood - 16 pts combined)
Eastern - 6 (York/Wide/Alb - 12 pts combined)
Widener - 6 (Mess/East/York - 30 pts combined)
York - 6 (East/Stevenson/Wide - 24 pts combined)
Hood - 3
Albright - 0
MAC Freedom
(Top 5, everyone has a game in hand over Arcadia)
Misericordia - 12 (FDU/DeS/King - 23 pts combined)
King's - 12 - (Arc/Lyc/Mis - 33 pts combined)
Arcadia - 12 (King/DelV - 12 pts combined)
Wilkes - 9 (Stev/DelV/DeS - 13 pts combined)
Lycoming - 9 (DeS/King/Stev - 25 pts combined)
DeSales - 7 (Lyc/Mis/Wilk - 30 pts combined)
Stevens - 6 (Wilk/FDU/Lyc - 22 pts combined)
FDU - Florham - 4
Del Valley - 0
Quote from: backheel18 on October 21, 2021, 10:38:55 AM
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 21, 2021, 09:15:12 AM
Time for some new energy at Scranton, great facility a few years old, women's soccer and field hockey excelling. Men's team plodding along with an anemic offense. This program can be better.
I haven't watched many of their matches closely. Are they missing anyone? It seems to me that they should be right there pushing for what is a very winnable Landmark title this year.
One that I am aware of left the team. Coach's wife is the women's coach. I wonder if that complicates things
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 21, 2021, 03:04:49 PM
Quote from: backheel18 on October 21, 2021, 10:38:55 AM
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 21, 2021, 09:15:12 AM
Time for some new energy at Scranton, great facility a few years old, women's soccer and field hockey excelling. Men's team plodding along with an anemic offense. This program can be better.
I haven't watched many of their matches closely. Are they missing anyone? It seems to me that they should be right there pushing for what is a very winnable Landmark title this year.
One that I am aware of left the team. Coach's wife is the women's coach. I wonder if that complicates things
Not sure. Piv has always struck me as a good guy that runs a solid program. He has always been able to get a few game changer type players that have given him success to go a long with a solid team and fairly deep bench. Other coaches seem to really respect him.
The new facility is very nice, but I always wonder if sitting off campus hinders the atmosphere they could have. Plus, I miss the train rolling by at the old field, but I'm sure most coaches do not miss how narrow that pitch was.
Like I said, I think a number of teams could win the Landmark. Not sure I have seen anything out of any of them that shows they could win more than one game or so in the tournament when it comes time.
Centennial
(with 2 conf games to go, top 5 make playoffs)
JHU - 18 pts (Muhl/F&M - 17 pts combined)
F&M - 13 pts (Ursinus/JHU - 30 pts combined)
Bullets - 13 (Fords/Muhles - 16 pts combined)
Swat - 13 (Devils/Fords - 13 pts combined)
WashC -13 (McD/Devils - 4 pts combined)
Ursinus - 12 (F&M/McD - 16 pts combined)
Fords - 12 (Getty/Swat - 26 pts combined)
--------
Haverford loses to Gettysburg and Ursinus loses to F&M...that's the season. Still games to be played for seeding, but playoffs will include JHU, F&M, Bullets, Swarthmore, WashingtonC.
Landmark
(Top 4 qualify, 2 conf games left)
Catholic - 10 (Susq/Jun - 15 pts combined)
Drew - 10 (Etown/Morav - 11 pts combined)
Etown - 10 (Drew/Scran - 16 pts combined)
Susq. - 10 - (Cath/Gouch - 13 pts combined)
Scranton - 6 (Morav/Etown - 11 pts combined)
Juniata - 5 (Gouch/Cath - 13 pts combined)
Gooch - 3
Moravain - 1
--------
Scranton loses to Moravian in OT and that's the ballgame. Playoffs will include Catholic, Drew, Etown, Susquehanna. Final seeding to TBD.
MAC Commonwealth
(Top 5 qualify, Stevenson, and the teams with 6 points have a game in hand)
Messiah - 18 (Wid/Hood - 9 pts combined)
Stevenson - 12 (Alv/York/LVC - 27 pts combined)
Leb Valley - 12 (Hood/Stevenson - 15 pts combined)
Alvernia - 9 (Stevenson/Alb/Hood - 16 pts combined)
Eastern - 6 (York/Wide/Alb - 12 pts combined)
Widener - 6 (Mess/East/York - 30 pts combined)
York - 6 (East/Stevenson/Wide - 24 pts combined)
Hood - 3
Albright - 0
-------
Still much to be determined, but huge 1-0 win for Alvernia over Stevenson, and York 2-0 over Eastern. Updated Standings:
Messiah - 21 pts
LVC - 15 pts
Alvernia - 12 pts (Albright/Hood)
Stevenson - 12 pts (York/LVC)
York - 9 pts (Stevenson/Widener)
Eastern - 6 pts (Widener/Albright)
Widener - 6 pts (Eastern/York)
Hood - 3 pts
Albright - 0 pts
MAC Freedom
(Top 5, everyone has a game in hand over Arcadia)
Misericordia - 12 (FDU/DeS/King - 23 pts combined)
King's - 12 - (Arc/Lyc/Mis - 33 pts combined)
Arcadia - 12 (King/DelV - 12 pts combined)
Wilkes - 9 (Stev/DelV/DeS - 13 pts combined)
Lycoming - 9 (DeS/King/Stev - 25 pts combined)
DeSales - 7 (Lyc/Mis/Wilk - 30 pts combined)
Stevens - 6 (Wilk/FDU/Lyc - 22 pts combined)
FDU - Florham - 4
Del Valley - 0
-------
Also a lot to be determined in the final week.
Arcadia - 15 pts (DelVal)
Misericordia - 12 pts (DeSales/Kings)
King's - 12 pts (Lycoming/Misericordia)
DeSales - 10 pts (Misericordia/Wilkes)
Wilkes - 9 pts (DelVal/DeSales)
Stevens - 9 pts (FDU/Lycoming)
Lycoming - 9 pts (Kings/Stevens)
FDU - 7 pts
DelVal - 0 pts
Quote from: backheel18 on October 22, 2021, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 21, 2021, 03:04:49 PM
Quote from: backheel18 on October 21, 2021, 10:38:55 AM
Quote from: NEPAFAN on October 21, 2021, 09:15:12 AM
Time for some new energy at Scranton, great facility a few years old, women's soccer and field hockey excelling. Men's team plodding along with an anemic offense. This program can be better.
I haven't watched many of their matches closely. Are they missing anyone? It seems to me that they should be right there pushing for what is a very winnable Landmark title this year.
One that I am aware of left the team. Coach's wife is the women's coach. I wonder if that complicates things
Not sure. Piv has always struck me as a good guy that runs a solid program. He has always been able to get a few game changer type players that have given him success to go a long with a solid team and fairly deep bench. Other coaches seem to really respect him.
The new facility is very nice, but I always wonder if sitting off campus hinders the atmosphere they could have. Plus, I miss the train rolling by at the old field, but I'm sure most coaches do not miss how narrow that pitch was.
Like I said, I think a number of teams could win the Landmark. Not sure I have seen anything out of any of them that shows they could win more than one game or so in the tournament when it comes time.
Appreciate the insight. Take away 4 goals scored against Marywood and the team has 6 goals on the season. Just wondering out loud, how good the program could be....
MAF Top 10 (Week 8)
1. Messiah (13-0-2)
2. F&M (12-2-1)
3. Leb Val (12-3-0)
4. Hopkins (11-2-2)
5. Swarthmore (10-3-2)
6. Gettysburg (10-3-2)
7. Wash College (10-4-1)
8. Misericordia (10-3-0)
9. Alvernia (11-4-0)
10. Eastern (8-5-3)
RV:
Stevens (8-6-1)
Catholic (8-5-2)
Etown (8-5-2)
Dropped Out:
Lycoming (7-6-3)
Ursinus (8-6-1)
Wilkes (10-6-0)
Haverford (7-8-1)
Midweek Games of Note
Hood @ Messiah - Wed, 7p - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=498&type=Live
LVC @ F&M - Tue, 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
Hop - Idle
Swat - Idle
Catholic @ Bullets - Wed, 7p - https://www.centennialconference.tv/gettysburgbullets/
WashC - Idle
DeSales @ Misery - They are pointing to a YouTube channel. Need to check back on Game Day
Albright @ Alvernia - Wed, 7p - https://albrightathletics.com/sports/2017/8/16/webcasts.aspx
Widener @ Eastern - Wed, 3p - https://team1sports.com/goeasterneagles/
Stevens @ FDU-F - Wed, 7p - https://fdudevils.com/watch/?Live=513&type=Live
Etown - Idle
Obvious Point Alert!
That tilt up in Lancaster on Tuesday is a real doozy. Tough game to plant at this point in the season, right at the tail end of conference play.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 25, 2021, 03:17:06 PM
Obvious Point Alert!
That tilt up in Lancaster on Tuesday is a real doozy. Tough game to plant at this point in the season, right at the tail end of conference play.
Not sure I can endure another Neanderthal Ballgame ...
Falcons in total control at the half,4-0 vs Hood. Shots 19-1. Hood isn't having their best year, but even so they seem hapless in a flat 4-man defensive wall trying to create offsides calls. The Falcons are in high gear now, playing at a Final Four level as they have been most of the season—not something I can honestly say that often, but this year they are consistently dominant and always dangerous.
Good to see Kokolios finally back in the lineup. And, he has a goal tonight to boost his confidence. They need him up to speed for the tournament, esp since CM Luke Groothius suffered a season-ending injury early in the OT win over Eastern. I dare say, that injury may have been partly responsible for the result Eastern got. You don't just replace a Luke Groothius, one of the very best players in D3. But, this year's team is loaded with very experienced, talented players, and Luke Brautigam has stepped up magnificently to fill that role. He's a big-time player, like his brother (whose OT goal beat Brandeis in the Final Four in 2017). The loss of LG is still huge and could negatively impact the post-season, but Brautigam really has been a worthy replacement. Adam Cole is also back from injury, helping solidify the back line for what's next.
One game remains on the schedule: a rescheduled tilt with PSU-HBg on Friday. With heavy rain expected all day then, I won't be surprised if it can't be played. Given that the opponent is now ranked, it would be the perfect way to round out what has been an undefeated season so far. We'll see what happens.
Bullets v. Bishops was a fun game. Bullets with a nice 2-1 win, but Catholic was a very game squad.
Messiah demolished Hood.
Alvernia 3-0 win to keep their season going.
As noted here and other threads, game of the day in this region was Eastern with a nice 3-2 win against a scrappy Pride (widener) squad. 2-0 went to 2-2 and then one of the prettier free-kick goals you'll see from the Eagles to ice it.
Nice win from Eastern but their season is over after York's win over Stevenson tonight. The MACC tournament field is set going into the final gameday. Still some jostling left for seeding but Messiah, Alvernia, LVC, York, and Stevenson have clinched spots.
Region V - Top 10 Regional Rankings - October 27, 2021
Rank | School | D3 Record | D3 SOS | RPI | RvR | Overall Record | Prev Rank |
1 | Messiah | 13-0-2 | .58 | .668 | 5-0-0 | 13-0-2 | 1 |
2 | F&M | 12-2-1 | .581 | .644 | 1-2-1 | 12-2-1 | 2 |
3 | Washington College | 10-4-1 | .615 | .636 | 3-3-1 | 10-4-1 | 4 |
4 | Gettysburg | 10-3-2 | .588 | .624 | 2-2-2 | 10-3-2 | 5 |
5 | Alvernia | 12-4-0 | .578 | .621 | 1-2-0 | 12-4-0 | 8 |
6 | Johns Hopkins | 11-2-2 | .558 | .619 | 4-1-0 | 11-2-2 | 6 |
7 | Swarthmore | 10-3-2 | .577 | .616 | 3-2-2 | 10-3-2 | 3 |
8 | Lebanon Valley | 12-3-0 | .540 | .605 | 2-3-0 | 12-3-0 | 9 |
9 | Eastern | 8-5-2 | .606 | .605 | 1-3-1 | 8-5-2 | 7 |
10 | Stevenson | 7-7-2 | .594 | .571 | 1-6-1 | 7-7-2 | UR |
*NOTE* This is an unofficial ranking using the RPI formula that is used for D1 sports. It may give some insight into how the ranking committee factors in SoS and RvR when compared against the official NCAA rankings
Messiah allows a goal against the run of play to PSU-H... 1-0 with about 15 left in 1st half.
Lions with the upset. 1-0...
F&M takes down the Jays 2-0. Quite a week for the Dips, with a win over LVC and now today.
Hopkins is flirting with trouble for the tournament. We'll see what the regional rankings say on Wed, but they might need a result in the CC tourney?
At any rate, Haverford and Swat are in OT in a game with playoff seeding implications... Let's go check the stream!
Little Garnets with the 1OT winner.
I know this isn't a CC thread, but just to put a bow on today's action in the Centennial.
Hopkins with the #1 seed will face the winner of Gettysburg v. Washington (1st round).
F&M will play Swat in the other semi.
I *think* F&M has home field, but I'm REALLY not sure, so put zero faith in that. It's just the way the CC website has the standings listed.
Actually, JHU plays the winner of Gettysburg (#5) and Swarthmore (#4) in Baltimore on Friday. F&M (#3) plays Washington College (#2) in Chestertown. Semi-winners play in Baltimore on Sunday.
Landmark playoffs set for Tue.
#4 Susquehanna (3-2-2; 9-7-2) @ #1 Catholic (5-1-1; 9-6-2)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Catholic
#3 Elizabethtown (4-2-1; 9-5-2) @ #2 Drew (5-1-1; 8-7-1)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Drew
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 12:40:45 PM
Landmark playoffs set for Tue.
#4 Susquehanna (3-2-2; 9-7-2) @ #1 Catholic (5-1-1; 9-6-2)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Catholic
#3 Elizabethtown (4-2-1; 9-5-2) @ #2 Drew (5-1-1; 8-7-1)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Drew
This is a conference that is one where I ask, why aren't the teams better? So much going for these schools.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 12:50:24 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 12:40:45 PM
Landmark playoffs set for Tue.
#4 Susquehanna (3-2-2; 9-7-2) @ #1 Catholic (5-1-1; 9-6-2)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Catholic
#3 Elizabethtown (4-2-1; 9-5-2) @ #2 Drew (5-1-1; 8-7-1)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Drew
This is a conference that is one where I ask, why aren't the teams better? So much going for these schools.
SC, can you say a little more? What strikes you as attractive about them? They don't get talked about much here, other than occasional passing references to Catholic, and E'town in context of its rivalry with Messiah.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 31, 2021, 12:54:26 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 12:50:24 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 12:40:45 PM
Landmark playoffs set for Tue.
#4 Susquehanna (3-2-2; 9-7-2) @ #1 Catholic (5-1-1; 9-6-2)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Catholic
#3 Elizabethtown (4-2-1; 9-5-2) @ #2 Drew (5-1-1; 8-7-1)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Drew
This is a conference that is one where I ask, why aren't the teams better? So much going for these schools.
SC, can you say a little more? What strikes you as attractive about them? They don't get talked about much here, other than occasional passing references to Catholic, and E'town in context of its rivalry with Messiah.
Sure. I can't speak for Susquehanna. My only familiarity with it is I had a colleague from years ago ... who went there. I am thinking in the context here of the other three schools. Not talking about academics because ultimately that's something beyond the control of coaches, etc.
So lets start with Elizabethtown. They have a long history of success, including a national championship. Central PA with access to some premier level talent ... think PA Classics, FC Continental, Delco, Lehigh Valley, and I haven't even gone west yet. Competitively, they contend with Messiah, Gettysburg, maybe Muhlenberg, for talent. I would actually suggest Scranton is in the same situation.
Drew is in a similar position. Great location in New Jersey. Probably compete with more schools in the area for talent, but they have access to top clubs like PDA, STA, Cedar Stars, and a number of other clubs that I would categorize as second tier. And if a kid is good enough, he has to choose from RU-Newark, Rowan, RU-Camden, maybe Stockton. From a soccer perspective, TCNJ is no longer in the mix as I don't think the coach cares one way or another. So unless a kid is going out of state, those are his choices.
And then Catholic. Right in DC on a beautiful campus, 10 minutes from the White House. In the middle of some incredible soccer as well. All the Baltimore clubs, the NOVA Clubs ... no shortage talent. Frankly in my mind, I don't see why they are not in the Top 20 conversation year in and year out.
I don't know much about Juniata, Goucher, and Moravian, so not including them in this take.
Not familiar with the coaches of the schools, their recruiting strategies, and how they get along with youth coaches in the area. I am sure that is the biggest factor. I do know a couple of kids who went to each of those schools and met with different degrees of success. But everyone has those stories.
That's my thinking at least. Not sure if it is right or fleshed out completely, but it is what it is now. Would like for someone to convince me otherwise so I don't ask myself that question every time they come up in conversation.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 02:29:43 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 31, 2021, 12:54:26 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 12:50:24 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 12:40:45 PM
Landmark playoffs set for Tue.
#4 Susquehanna (3-2-2; 9-7-2) @ #1 Catholic (5-1-1; 9-6-2)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Catholic
#3 Elizabethtown (4-2-1; 9-5-2) @ #2 Drew (5-1-1; 8-7-1)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Drew
This is a conference that is one where I ask, why aren't the teams better? So much going for these schools.
SC, can you say a little more? What strikes you as attractive about them? They don't get talked about much here, other than occasional passing references to Catholic, and E'town in context of its rivalry with Messiah.
Sure. I can't speak for Susquehanna. My only familiarity with it is I had a colleague from years ago ... who went there. I am thinking in the context here of the other three schools. Not talking about academics because ultimately that's something beyond the control of coaches, etc.
So lets start with Elizabethtown. They have a long history of success, including a national championship. Central PA with access to some premier level talent ... think PA Classics, FC Continental, Delco, Lehigh Valley, and I haven't even gone west yet. Competitively, they contend with Messiah, Gettysburg, maybe Muhlenberg, for talent. I would actually suggest Scranton is in the same situation.
Drew is in a similar position. Great location in New Jersey. Probably compete with more schools in the area for talent, but they have access to top clubs like PDA, STA, Cedar Stars, and a number of other clubs that I would categorize as second tier. And if a kid is good enough, he has to choose from RU-Newark, Rowan, RU-Camden, maybe Stockton. From a soccer perspective, TCNJ is no longer in the mix as I don't think the coach cares one way or another. So unless a kid is going out of state, those are his choices.
And then Catholic. Right in DC on a beautiful campus, 10 minutes from the White House. In the middle of some incredible soccer as well. All the Baltimore clubs, the NOVA Clubs ... no shortage talent. Frankly in my mind, I don't see why they are not in the Top 20 conversation year in and year out.
I don't know much about Juniata, Goucher, and Moravian, so not including them in this take.
Not familiar with the coaches of the schools, their recruiting strategies, and how they get along with youth coaches in the area. I am sure that is the biggest factor. I do know a couple of kids who went to each of those schools and met with different degrees of success. But everyone has those stories.
That's my thinking at least. Not sure if it is right or fleshed out completely, but it is what it is now. Would like for someone to convince me otherwise so I don't ask myself that question every time they come up in conversation.
I'm intimately familiar with many of these schools and that's a decent take on the situation. The Landmark schools should be on par with the Centennial schools, the only difference is they don't have the name brand recognition. For example, many people know Gettysburg and Muhlenberg, but not many know Drew or Scranton - which are more or less peer institutions.
What's even more interesting is that half of the Landmark schools have no football teams, so you would think soccer would be THE sport. And at times it was, though not consistently. The 2003 Drew team was 20-2-3 and gave up 6 goals all season, including 17 straight clean sheets which was an NCAA record. They lost to Trinity in the NCAA final 2-1. Scranton was a powerhouse in the 80's, rarely losing more than 2-3 games and went deep in the Tournament several times.
The recruiting comment is interesting. As SC noted, the NJ, Eastern PA and DC area is a hotbed for recruiting. I just think there are too many options in the area, and the school themselves don't really have anything unique to distinguish themselves so the talent pool gets diluted among all the schools.
I'd love to see a unique thread that talks about programs which should be better, or were once really good but no longer are, and what happened. The prime example being TCNJ. No reason whatsoever that program shouldn't be fielding a Top 20 team every year, as they do in almost every other sport beside men's soccer. As a NJ guy, it's such a shame to see.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 31, 2021, 10:30:30 AM
Actually, JHU plays the winner of Gettysburg (#5) and Swarthmore (#4) in Baltimore on Friday. F&M (#3) plays Washington College (#2) in Chestertown. Semi-winners play in Baltimore on Sunday.
Thanks man. I was going by the standing on the CC website but it didn't really feel right.
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 03:00:13 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 02:29:43 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 31, 2021, 12:54:26 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 12:50:24 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 12:40:45 PM
Landmark playoffs set for Tue.
#4 Susquehanna (3-2-2; 9-7-2) @ #1 Catholic (5-1-1; 9-6-2)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Catholic
#3 Elizabethtown (4-2-1; 9-5-2) @ #2 Drew (5-1-1; 8-7-1)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Drew
This is a conference that is one where I ask, why aren't the teams better? So much going for these schools.
SC, can you say a little more? What strikes you as attractive about them? They don't get talked about much here, other than occasional passing references to Catholic, and E'town in context of its rivalry with Messiah.
Sure. I can't speak for Susquehanna. My only familiarity with it is I had a colleague from years ago ... who went there. I am thinking in the context here of the other three schools. Not talking about academics because ultimately that's something beyond the control of coaches, etc.
So lets start with Elizabethtown. They have a long history of success, including a national championship. Central PA with access to some premier level talent ... think PA Classics, FC Continental, Delco, Lehigh Valley, and I haven't even gone west yet. Competitively, they contend with Messiah, Gettysburg, maybe Muhlenberg, for talent. I would actually suggest Scranton is in the same situation.
Drew is in a similar position. Great location in New Jersey. Probably compete with more schools in the area for talent, but they have access to top clubs like PDA, STA, Cedar Stars, and a number of other clubs that I would categorize as second tier. And if a kid is good enough, he has to choose from RU-Newark, Rowan, RU-Camden, maybe Stockton. From a soccer perspective, TCNJ is no longer in the mix as I don't think the coach cares one way or another. So unless a kid is going out of state, those are his choices.
And then Catholic. Right in DC on a beautiful campus, 10 minutes from the White House. In the middle of some incredible soccer as well. All the Baltimore clubs, the NOVA Clubs ... no shortage talent. Frankly in my mind, I don't see why they are not in the Top 20 conversation year in and year out.
I don't know much about Juniata, Goucher, and Moravian, so not including them in this take.
Not familiar with the coaches of the schools, their recruiting strategies, and how they get along with youth coaches in the area. I am sure that is the biggest factor. I do know a couple of kids who went to each of those schools and met with different degrees of success. But everyone has those stories.
That's my thinking at least. Not sure if it is right or fleshed out completely, but it is what it is now. Would like for someone to convince me otherwise so I don't ask myself that question every time they come up in conversation.
I'm intimately familiar with many of these schools and that's a decent take on the situation. The Landmark schools should be on par with the Centennial schools, the only difference is they don't have the name brand recognition. For example, many people know Gettysburg and Muhlenberg, but not many know Drew or Scranton - which are more or less peer institutions.
What's even more interesting is that half of the Landmark schools have no football teams, so you would think soccer would be THE sport. And at times it was, though not consistently. The 2003 Drew team was 20-2-3 and gave up 6 goals all season, including 17 straight clean sheets which was an NCAA record. They lost to Trinity in the NCAA final 2-1. Scranton was a powerhouse in the 80's, rarely losing more than 2-3 games and went deep in the Tournament several times.
The recruiting comment is interesting. As SC noted, the NJ, Eastern PA and DC area is a hotbed for recruiting. I just think there are too many options in the area, and the school themselves don't really have anything unique to distinguish themselves so the talent pool gets diluted among all the schools.
I'd love to see a unique thread that talks about programs which should be better, or were once really good but no longer are, and what happened. The prime example being TCNJ. No reason whatsoever that program shouldn't be fielding a Top 20 team every year, as they do in almost every other sport beside men's soccer. As a NJ guy, it's such a shame to see.
I agree that many of these schools are in prime recruiting locations (other than Juniata), but also agree with the assessment that there are so many schools on the eastern seaboard that it dilutes recruiting.
Not sure why so many of those schools are down, maybe not being able to bring as many recruits on campus during Covid?. Scranton really struggled this year and Catholic did not look like the slick passing team that they normally are under Travis. I watched some of their match over the weekend and they allowed the game to be a track meet up and down the field. They may have out shot Juniata by a wide margin, but were also dangerously close to giving up a goal late to lose.
I have known a number of people that have gone to each of the schools, and have heard little other than how wonderful they are. However, the confrence should be putting out better soccer as a whole. Especially given the duration of time most of the coaches have had. Skip has been at Etown since the dawn of time and Lenny has been at Drew since the 90s. Other than Juniata and Moravian, the other 6 schools have not changed coaches in more than a decade.
At least Scranton's women make the conference look good.
Quote from: backheel18 on November 01, 2021, 11:31:09 AM
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 03:00:13 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 02:29:43 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 31, 2021, 12:54:26 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 12:50:24 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 12:40:45 PM
Landmark playoffs set for Tue.
#4 Susquehanna (3-2-2; 9-7-2) @ #1 Catholic (5-1-1; 9-6-2)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Catholic
#3 Elizabethtown (4-2-1; 9-5-2) @ #2 Drew (5-1-1; 8-7-1)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Drew
This is a conference that is one where I ask, why aren't the teams better? So much going for these schools.
SC, can you say a little more? What strikes you as attractive about them? They don't get talked about much here, other than occasional passing references to Catholic, and E'town in context of its rivalry with Messiah.
Sure. I can't speak for Susquehanna. My only familiarity with it is I had a colleague from years ago ... who went there. I am thinking in the context here of the other three schools. Not talking about academics because ultimately that's something beyond the control of coaches, etc.
So lets start with Elizabethtown. They have a long history of success, including a national championship. Central PA with access to some premier level talent ... think PA Classics, FC Continental, Delco, Lehigh Valley, and I haven't even gone west yet. Competitively, they contend with Messiah, Gettysburg, maybe Muhlenberg, for talent. I would actually suggest Scranton is in the same situation.
Drew is in a similar position. Great location in New Jersey. Probably compete with more schools in the area for talent, but they have access to top clubs like PDA, STA, Cedar Stars, and a number of other clubs that I would categorize as second tier. And if a kid is good enough, he has to choose from RU-Newark, Rowan, RU-Camden, maybe Stockton. From a soccer perspective, TCNJ is no longer in the mix as I don't think the coach cares one way or another. So unless a kid is going out of state, those are his choices.
And then Catholic. Right in DC on a beautiful campus, 10 minutes from the White House. In the middle of some incredible soccer as well. All the Baltimore clubs, the NOVA Clubs ... no shortage talent. Frankly in my mind, I don't see why they are not in the Top 20 conversation year in and year out.
I don't know much about Juniata, Goucher, and Moravian, so not including them in this take.
Not familiar with the coaches of the schools, their recruiting strategies, and how they get along with youth coaches in the area. I am sure that is the biggest factor. I do know a couple of kids who went to each of those schools and met with different degrees of success. But everyone has those stories.
That's my thinking at least. Not sure if it is right or fleshed out completely, but it is what it is now. Would like for someone to convince me otherwise so I don't ask myself that question every time they come up in conversation.
I'm intimately familiar with many of these schools and that's a decent take on the situation. The Landmark schools should be on par with the Centennial schools, the only difference is they don't have the name brand recognition. For example, many people know Gettysburg and Muhlenberg, but not many know Drew or Scranton - which are more or less peer institutions.
What's even more interesting is that half of the Landmark schools have no football teams, so you would think soccer would be THE sport. And at times it was, though not consistently. The 2003 Drew team was 20-2-3 and gave up 6 goals all season, including 17 straight clean sheets which was an NCAA record. They lost to Trinity in the NCAA final 2-1. Scranton was a powerhouse in the 80's, rarely losing more than 2-3 games and went deep in the Tournament several times.
The recruiting comment is interesting. As SC noted, the NJ, Eastern PA and DC area is a hotbed for recruiting. I just think there are too many options in the area, and the school themselves don't really have anything unique to distinguish themselves so the talent pool gets diluted among all the schools.
I'd love to see a unique thread that talks about programs which should be better, or were once really good but no longer are, and what happened. The prime example being TCNJ. No reason whatsoever that program shouldn't be fielding a Top 20 team every year, as they do in almost every other sport beside men's soccer. As a NJ guy, it's such a shame to see.
I agree that many of these schools are in prime recruiting locations (other than Juniata), but also agree with the assessment that there are so many schools on the eastern seaboard that it dilutes recruiting.
Not sure why so many of those schools are down, maybe not being able to bring as many recruits on campus during Covid?. Scranton really struggled this year and Catholic did not look like the slick passing team that they normally are under Travis. I watched some of their match over the weekend and they allowed the game to be a track meet up and down the field. They may have out shot Juniata by a wide margin, but were also dangerously close to giving up a goal late to lose.
I have known a number of people that have gone to each of the schools, and have heard little other than how wonderful they are. However, the confrence should be putting out better soccer as a whole. Especially given the duration of time most of the coaches have had. Skip has been at Etown since the dawn of time and Lenny has been at Drew since the 90s. Other than Juniata and Moravian, the other 6 schools have not changed coaches in more than a decade.
At least Scranton's women make the conference look good.
https://spark.adobe.com/page/AQDIdni3pu1tn/
Landmark Championship preview...
EJay's prediction:
Susquehanna upsets Catholic 2-1 with a late game winner
Drew takes Elizabethtown 2-1 in OT
Quote from: Ejay on November 02, 2021, 01:29:10 PM
EJay's prediction:
Susquehanna upsets Catholic 2-1 with a late game winner
Drew takes Elizabethtown 2-1 in OT
I'm wondering if the grass field at Etown throws Drew off enough for Etown to get a win.
I will go Etown over Drew 1-0 in OT and Catholic 2-0 over Susquehanna....although, I could see Susquehanna shocking Catholic at home. The only time Juniata made it into the Landmark tourney, they were 4 and went to Catholic and upset them 3-1. Defend well wide and get in behind their outside backs.
Quote from: backheel18 on November 02, 2021, 01:57:51 PM
Quote from: Ejay on November 02, 2021, 01:29:10 PM
EJay's prediction:
Susquehanna upsets Catholic 2-1 with a late game winner
Drew takes Elizabethtown 2-1 in OT
I'm wondering if the grass field at Etown throws Drew off enough for Etown to get a win.
I will go Etown over Drew 1-0 in OT and Catholic 2-0 over Susquehanna....although, I could see Susquehanna shocking Catholic at home. The only time Juniata made it into the Landmark tourney, they were 4 and went to Catholic and upset them 3-1. Defend well wide and get in behind their outside backs.
Drew is home on turf against Elizabethtown
Quote from: Ejay on November 02, 2021, 02:01:14 PM
Quote from: backheel18 on November 02, 2021, 01:57:51 PM
Quote from: Ejay on November 02, 2021, 01:29:10 PM
EJay's prediction:
Susquehanna upsets Catholic 2-1 with a late game winner
Drew takes Elizabethtown 2-1 in OT
I'm wondering if the grass field at Etown throws Drew off enough for Etown to get a win.
I will go Etown over Drew 1-0 in OT and Catholic 2-0 over Susquehanna....although, I could see Susquehanna shocking Catholic at home. The only time Juniata made it into the Landmark tourney, they were 4 and went to Catholic and upset them 3-1. Defend well wide and get in behind their outside backs.
Drew is home on turf against Elizabethtown
Not the first, nor last time I will be wrong.
Quote from: backheel18 on November 02, 2021, 06:11:03 PM
Quote from: Ejay on November 02, 2021, 02:01:14 PM
Quote from: backheel18 on November 02, 2021, 01:57:51 PM
Quote from: Ejay on November 02, 2021, 01:29:10 PM
EJay's prediction:
Susquehanna upsets Catholic 2-1 with a late game winner
Drew takes Elizabethtown 2-1 in OT
I'm wondering if the grass field at Etown throws Drew off enough for Etown to get a win.
I will go Etown over Drew 1-0 in OT and Catholic 2-0 over Susquehanna....although, I could see Susquehanna shocking Catholic at home. The only time Juniata made it into the Landmark tourney, they were 4 and went to Catholic and upset them 3-1. Defend well wide and get in behind their outside backs.
Drew is home on turf against Elizabethtown
Not the first, nor last time I will be wrong.
Love this....The world would be such a much better place if we were wrong more often and more importantly able to say so.
Well, I got the playoff seeding wrong for the CC and mistakenly thought Hopkins was on the road earlier this year.
Do I get credit!?
:D
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 02, 2021, 06:45:48 PM
Well, I got the playoff seeding wrong for the CC and mistakenly thought Hopkins was on the road earlier this year.
Do I get credit!?
:D
Absolutely....Henceforth, you will be known as Mr.Wrong.
Oh... Oh no.
At half-time in the Landmark, we have:
0-0 between the Other Jays vs. Drew
2-0 Catholic up on The Mighty Susquehana. (sorry, i say that every time I go over the Millerd E. Tiding Bridge.)
The lighting in Drew is... spooky?
Not gonna SimpleCoach it, but I'm into this game.
* These are two pretty evenly matched teams (meaningless comment?)
* Decent skill, so I'll stick with it... Though some of the giveaways would DRIVE.ME.NUTS as a coach. Just.. focus, man.
* I got recruited by Drew pretty heavily, which was weird (I'm a MD guy). Coach called multiple times and I almost went there because of this.
* This commentator is on point. Not ground-breaking, but he understands the game. Some of the folks calling these games simply don't understand the rules. (Looking at you Peidmont.)
* Huh. Getting a little D3-grindy. Just a lot of choppy play. Not a lot of purpose to this from either team. Gonna probably stop with the bullets and see where this goes.
BTW, the Bishops up 3-0.
=-=-=-=
Woof at this point. Drew is putting more of a stamp on this game, but they are not a very disciplined team. They need to value the ball more. Driving me a little nuts, frankly.
And I'm predisposed to think Etown is better than they are given when I played them. They are very average. I'm not trying to be a jerk (it comes naturally), but they really don't seem to have a plan.
Triple WOOF. A goal from Drew off a CK. Bodied the goalie and it floated backpost. As a goalie, I have to say, they are letting way too much go on in the box these days. If a guy stands in my 3 yard circle and then bumps me on CK, I'm totally screwed.
Gettysburg and Swarthmore headed to overtime. Swat scored with about 18 mins left on a nice cross to an uncovered forward who headed it cleanly into the goal. Gettysburg struck back quickly though when the Swat GK badly misplayed a long throw-in from Gettysburg. After a scramble in front of the goal, Gettysburg knocked it in.
Unless G'burg can get more long throw-ins, I can't see how they score.
I was close. It wasn't a long throw-in but a corner kick. G'burg scores a few minutes into overtime and will play JHU on Friday. Tough way to lose.
I went to the Catholic vs Susquehanna game last night in DC.
Couple observations:
- Early converted PK (7th minute) for Catholic really set the tone for them.
- Sloppy game possession-wise which isn't particularly unusual for a Landmark semi.
- Catholic seemed to win the majority of 50/50 balls and were really going after Susquehanna all night. The outside mids really had a lot of joy running free and getting balls into dangerous areas.
- Catholic's center backs concern me moving forward, something that I think Drew might be able to expose.
- Catholic has a lot of talented young players. Two freshman scored beautiful goals last night and multiple other underclassmen saw a lot of time.
- It was surprising to see Susquehanna get shutout, they had the most GF in the Landmark this season and were not really dangerous at all last night.
- I get the sense Catholic is playing their best at the right time of year.
Hoping to get to the final this Saturday, should be a good atmosphere and a competitive game. I think Drew will come in and try to make things messy but I like Catholic to win their league-leading 5th Landmark title.
Some fun games coming up today.
Alvernia @ LVC - 3p - https://godutchmen.com/watch/?Live=1010&type=Live
Stevenson @ Messiah - 6:40p - https://gomessiah.com/watch/?Live=531&type=Live
-=-=-=
Misericordia @ Kings - 5p - https://kingscollegeathletics.com/watch/?Live=370&type=Live
Stevens @ Arcadia - 7p - https://boxcast.tv/view/mac-freedom-semifinals-mens-soccer-vs-stevens-342528
Winnesrs
LVC v. Messiah
Misery v. Stevens
Region V - Top 10 Regional Rankings - November 03, 2021
Rank | School | D3 Record | D3 SOS | RPI | RvR | Overall Record | Prev Rank |
1 | F&M | 14-2-1 | .602 | .665 | 3-2-1 | 14-2-1 | 2 |
2 | Messiah | 14-1-2 | .578 | .654 | 4-0-0 | 14-1-2 | 1 |
3 | Washington College | 11-4-1 | .598 | .628 | 3-3-1 | 11-4-1 | 3 |
4 | Swarthmore | 11-3-2 | .572 | .617 | 2-2-1 | 11-3-2 | 7 |
5 | Johns Hopkins | 11-3-2 | .568 | .614 | 4-2-0 | 11-3-2 | 6 |
6 | Gettysburg | 11-4-2 | .576 | .609 | 1-3-2 | 11-4-2 | 4 |
7 | Alvernia | 14-4-0 | .551 | .608 | 0-3-0 | 14-4-0 | 5 |
8 | Lebanon Valley | 13-4-0 | .547 | .602 | 2-2-0 | 13-4-0 | 8 |
9 | Eastern | 10-5-2 | .574 | .592 | 2-3-0 | 10-5-2 | 9 |
10 | Elizabethtown | 9-5-2 | .555 | .573 | 1-2-1 | 9-5-2 | UR |
*NOTE* This is an unofficial ranking using the RPI formula that is used for D1 sports. It may give some insight into how the ranking committee factors in SoS and RvR when compared against the official NCAA rankings
Respectfully, I don't really understand the point of these. The "insight" that we can gather is what they ranked these teams today. (Messiah-F&M-Hopkins etc.)
I'm not giving you grief, but I don't understand the point of the exercise.
The point is the process is not transparent. There's been discussion on the board in the past about the over-reliance on SoS, so it's just another perspective. Feel free to ignore them. There is also no indication in the current regional rankings about the distance between the teams in the rankings. Just trying to break up the convo between the same 5 people who post on this board ;).
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 03, 2021, 10:27:24 PM
The point is the process is not transparent. There's been discussion on the board in the past about the over-reliance on SoS, so it's just another perspective. Feel free to ignore them. There is also no indication in the current regional rankings about the distance between the teams in the rankings. Just trying to break up the convo between the same 5 people who post on this board ;).
Interesting use of a smiley face when you are taking (potentially valid) shots.
I'm legitimately curious, what are you implying? I'm a novice of the politics of D3 soccer, so I'm very curious about the transparency issue.
As an example, Eastern was ranked in this week's rankings when they 1) didn't make their conference's tournament and 2) have an RPI that would not place them in a ranking based on the D1 model. I mainly calculate the RPI to see the distance between ranked teams. Obviously this exercise has no bearing on the Pool C outcomes but 75% of the postings on this board are similarly superfluous i.e reporting scores etc.
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 03, 2021, 10:36:34 PM
As an example, Eastern was ranked in this week's rankings when they 1) didn't make their conference's tournament and 2) have an RPI that would not place them in a ranking based on the D1 model. I mainly calculate the RPI to see the distance between ranked teams. Obviously this exercise has no bearing on the Pool C outcomes but 75% of the postings on this board are similarly superfluous i.e reporting scores etc.
I guess... Add your voice? The folks chiming in are just trying to add more buzz to D3 soccer, not piss off followers of certain programs.
ok, I will. Thanks for the permission. There was no mention of followers being pissed off so i'm not sure where that came from lol
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 03, 2021, 10:36:34 PM
As an example, Eastern was ranked in this week's rankings when they 1) didn't make their conference's tournament and 2) have an RPI that would not place them in a ranking based on the D1 model. I mainly calculate the RPI to see the distance between ranked teams. Obviously this exercise has no bearing on the Pool C outcomes but 75% of the postings on this board are similarly superfluous i.e reporting scores etc.
It's not clear what your point is. First, you posted the regional rankings by the coaches that has nothing to do with the real regional rankings. And the NCAA regional ranking do have very specific criteria which they follow pretty religiously. So yes, Eastern snuck into the real regional rankings in the last slot, but that was determined by decent SoS, decent record, and a couple of "ranked" wins. You may not like the criteria or think they provide a good measure, but they are what they are and are about as transparent as one could imagine.
They're not transparent. Provide me with the exact weight that is given to SoS for regional ranking purposes.
This is actually a pretty good conversation, just has a weird tone.
Somebody way smarter than I could probably come up with something similar to what hockey does with the Pairwise ranking. They do a very good job of predicting the 16 teams that make the college hockey tourney every year. https://www.uscho.com/faq/pairwise-rankings-explanation/
While there are a few bubble teams every year, there seems to be a lot less drama and controversy than, say, the D1 basketball madness. (There's a totally OT discussion on the lack of weight one should put on the kvetching of bubble teams in a 68 team field, but I'll leave that for another universe.)
LVC leads Messiah, 1-0, at halftime. A brilliant shot from well outside the box is the reason. An equally brilliant shot by Messiah's Trevor Goodling hit the left post and was in if struck 2 inches to the right. Messiah dominates the game and the stats. They appear to have a couple goals in them still, but soccer can be a cruel mistress. LVC is a very good team to be sure but they have been more than fortunate so far.
Nice job on the half-time breakdown, Flying Weasel!!
Matt McDonald with a candidate for GOTY to level. That was incredible. That guy is a joy to watch.
Great game in second half: tune in now if you can. Messiah got the tying goal and hit the post on great free kick.
LVC keeper stands on his head multiple times and OT is coming In Grantham. Dutchmen playing for their season and Falcons for hosting rights. They both want this. No one is just watching the ball go by.
Shout out to falcon RB Jarec Morlote. He owns that side of the field. Very smart for a senior, let alone the rookie he is.
And just like that, Morlote sends a ball into the box and right onto the head of the big CB, Jake Lent-Koop, who buries it. Falcons win, 2-1, about 4 minutes into OT. Should have been 5-1 or 5-2.
Catholic up 1-0 on Drew at the half. Catholic scored in the 6th minute off a corner. Game has been pretty even with a slight advantage to Catholic who has had more of the possession and the better of the chances. Drew really has only been dangerous on set plays, Catholics defense has been strong against drew in the run of play. I'm still concerned about the center backs for Catholic. A second goal by Catholic should really open up this game.
2-0 Catholic in the 54th minute. Second goal also off a corner after drew controlled the first 9 minutes of the half.
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 03:00:13 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 02:29:43 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 31, 2021, 12:54:26 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 31, 2021, 12:50:24 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 31, 2021, 12:40:45 PM
Landmark playoffs set for Tue.
#4 Susquehanna (3-2-2; 9-7-2) @ #1 Catholic (5-1-1; 9-6-2)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Catholic
#3 Elizabethtown (4-2-1; 9-5-2) @ #2 Drew (5-1-1; 8-7-1)
First meeting was 2-1 in OT to Drew
This is a conference that is one where I ask, why aren't the teams better? So much going for these schools.
SC, can you say a little more? What strikes you as attractive about them? They don't get talked about much here, other than occasional passing references to Catholic, and E'town in context of its rivalry with Messiah.
Sure. I can't speak for Susquehanna. My only familiarity with it is I had a colleague from years ago ... who went there. I am thinking in the context here of the other three schools. Not talking about academics because ultimately that's something beyond the control of coaches, etc.
So lets start with Elizabethtown. They have a long history of success, including a national championship. Central PA with access to some premier level talent ... think PA Classics, FC Continental, Delco, Lehigh Valley, and I haven't even gone west yet. Competitively, they contend with Messiah, Gettysburg, maybe Muhlenberg, for talent. I would actually suggest Scranton is in the same situation.
Drew is in a similar position. Great location in New Jersey. Probably compete with more schools in the area for talent, but they have access to top clubs like PDA, STA, Cedar Stars, and a number of other clubs that I would categorize as second tier. And if a kid is good enough, he has to choose from RU-Newark, Rowan, RU-Camden, maybe Stockton. From a soccer perspective, TCNJ is no longer in the mix as I don't think the coach cares one way or another. So unless a kid is going out of state, those are his choices.
And then Catholic. Right in DC on a beautiful campus, 10 minutes from the White House. In the middle of some incredible soccer as well. All the Baltimore clubs, the NOVA Clubs ... no shortage talent. Frankly in my mind, I don't see why they are not in the Top 20 conversation year in and year out.
I don't know much about Juniata, Goucher, and Moravian, so not including them in this take.
Not familiar with the coaches of the schools, their recruiting strategies, and how they get along with youth coaches in the area. I am sure that is the biggest factor. I do know a couple of kids who went to each of those schools and met with different degrees of success. But everyone has those stories.
That's my thinking at least. Not sure if it is right or fleshed out completely, but it is what it is now. Would like for someone to convince me otherwise so I don't ask myself that question every time they come up in conversation.
I'm intimately familiar with many of these schools and that's a decent take on the situation. The Landmark schools should be on par with the Centennial schools, the only difference is they don't have the name brand recognition. For example, many people know Gettysburg and Muhlenberg, but not many know Drew or Scranton - which are more or less peer institutions.
What's even more interesting is that half of the Landmark schools have no football teams, so you would think soccer would be THE sport. And at times it was, though not consistently. The 2003 Drew team was 20-2-3 and gave up 6 goals all season, including 17 straight clean sheets which was an NCAA record. They lost to Trinity in the NCAA final 2-1. Scranton was a powerhouse in the 80's, rarely losing more than 2-3 games and went deep in the Tournament several times.
The recruiting comment is interesting. As SC noted, the NJ, Eastern PA and DC area is a hotbed for recruiting. I just think there are too many options in the area, and the school themselves don't really have anything unique to distinguish themselves so the talent pool gets diluted among all the schools.
I'd love to see a unique thread that talks about programs which should be better, or were once really good but no longer are, and what happened. The prime example being TCNJ. No reason whatsoever that program shouldn't be fielding a Top 20 team every year, as they do in almost every other sport beside men's soccer. As a NJ guy, it's such a shame to see.
Messiah doesn't normally compete with any of these schools for soccer players, except perhaps for Etown in a few instances. Thirty years ago (shortly after Etown won it all), that competition would have been more noticeable, b/c then Etown was more strongly tied (but not too strongly) to its religious heritage in the Church of the Brethren. Those ties are much looser today, and rarely does a player deliberate on Etown vs Messiah for soccer.
As a school, Messiah mostly gets students from the East Coast plus Ohio. To my knowledge, they don't actively recruit outside that region: they aren't a national liberal arts college (as in NESCAC), nor a national research university (as in UAA), and they aren't very academically selective as those places are. However, for men's soccer, players seek out Messiah rather than the other way around. They come from all over the nation. In the past 5 years, players have come from CA, AZ, NM, IL, VA, NC, ME, MA, NY, NJ, OH, MD, MN, TN, and Mexico. That's just wholly unlike the student body in general. They generally compete for talent with low to mid-level D1 schools, as well as high level D3 schools; in a few cases, they compete with the best in the business, such as Akron or Maryland, but more typically with places like Brown, Boston College, Syracuse, UNH, or UNM. Sometimes they win that battle, sometimes they don't. Very few players transfer in, or out. Often a majority of the roster is all-state, and some players are regional or national AAs.
Travis Beauchamp and the cardinals win their 5th landmark by rolling through the postseason 6 GF 0 GA with a young squad. Will be interesting to see where they go next weekend for the opening weekend of the tournament, I doubt they get to host again like in 2019 given their record but they do have a really nice facility in DC.
All three goals in the LVC-Messiah game are now up on the Falcon site. All three are just magnificent—don't often see 3 out of 3 beauties. Check them out for a legal thrill. :D
Hey Falconer. It's been a while since I've been here but with the tournament selections starting I figured i would check out the tournament. It is a tough loss for Messiah to not have LG for the tourney. One of my favorites Matt McDonald had a nice goal there in the MAC finals. He's just a hard nosed competitor..liked his style the first time I watched him.
Would be nice to see them reach the final 4. Need some breaks here and there to win those tight 1 goal games. I'll try to watch some games here in the tournament
Good showing for the Centennial Conference once again getting 5 teams into the dance. Unfortunately I'm not sure if any of them will be able to get out of the first weekend. I think there are some very intriguing second round games as always. I would say F&M has the best chance to get out of their group but Middlebury will not be easy on Sunday.
Staying on the topic of intriguing second round games, we are looking at a potential Kenyon vs Messiah second round game. I think whoever wins that one is in a good position to make a run to the final four - another tough draw for my guys over at Catholic.
I think Hopkins might have the best chance to win 2. I wouldn't be surprised if they make it out of the weekend
Agree that Catholic may have the toughest draw of the weekend- Kenyon and Messiah... Two top ten teams - Yikes.
Don't underestimate a senior rich Washington College squad- winning Centennial Conference was not a fluke.
Agreed on Washington College. I'll be rooting for them and I hope they make a run
Props to Muhlenberg College, who again won the post-season ECAC tournament championship with wins over Alvernia, Rutgers-Camden and then Rutger-Newark in the championship.
Asking for a friend..
Potential SA inquiring about teams in Centennial that employ a "wingback" formation. Disclosure: I have no clue what this means as soccer is not my sport. Any other place or resource that could be researched to find this out?
Thanks in advance, appreciate any guidance on the subject. Posting this to the league threads that have shown mutual interest.
Probably a lot more efficient for this kid to narrow down the schools he/she wants to attend and then look into the style of play respective teams might employ, but, you know, that's just my random .02.
Just for your edification, the vast majority of teams play with a "wingback" at this point. A wingback just means an outside defender that is asked to join the attack with regularity. This isn't a great analogy, but it's a bit like having a tight end that you ask to catch the ball as much as you ask him to block.
I think people are confusing the terminology between an outside back and a wingback. While all outside backs are now asked to play an attacking role a wingback specifically refers to the outside player in a 3-5-2/3-4-3. So a wingback is the player in a back 3/back 5 system where as an outside back is the player in a formation with a back 4. In the back 3 a wingback is essentially a hybrid between an outside back/outside mid/winger hence the term wingback.
Just wanted to give a shout out to Messiah women's soccer player Esther Seeland, the two-time defending champion and D3 record-holder for the 800 meter run. On Saturday, Esther won the open 800 at the Larry Ellis Invitational Meet at Princeton (https://www.athletic.net/TrackAndField/meet/467286/results/f/1/800m), where she defeated 27 other women, mostly from D1 schools, including Villanova, Penn, Princeton, BC, Army, and Navy. Esther is also ranked number 2 in D3 at 1500 meters. After missing a season to COVID, she will graduate this spring and has accepted a scholarship to continue running as a graduate student at Virginia.
Anyone have any CC 2022 pre season predictions?
Here's the incoming Falcons:
https://gomessiah.com/news/2022/6/29/mens-soccer-welcomes-six-new-players-to-grantham.aspx
Seems to have some very talented players, perhaps more than the last 2-3 classes. I'm sure COVID had something to do with that.
Has anyone seen any of these guys play? As a track fan, I know that the local player, Samuel de la Riva, has serious speed--he ran 1:54 for his conference title, also won the district title at 800 meters (https://www.pennlive.com/galleries/PTDIMAW6FBGYNE7EOXJB6ZAIIE/), and ran a sub-50 second leg on the 4 x 400. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1KVMMKzXog.
I hadn't realized he was a Falcon soccer recruit. Those HS times are comparable to another soccer-track phenom from recent Falcon history--Nick West--but I would be nuts to push the comparison any further.
I don't see de la Riva on the 2022 roster? There is a new addition not mentioned in the release but not de la Riva....
Word on the street is that he got a D1 track scholarship....
Quote from: 4231CenterBack on August 16, 2022, 11:22:11 AM
Word on the street is that he got a D1 track scholarship....
You're right—he isn't on the roster, which has a different player from New England (Harrison Keator) who wasn't part of that post introducing the newcomers. I had missed that, simply assumed that list was still accurate.
Bummer. I was really looking forward to seeing him get some PT, though (honestly) his soccer profile doesn't match his track profile, so maybe he wouldn't play much especially his first year.
Quote from: Falconer on August 15, 2022, 04:17:48 PM
Here's the incoming Falcons:
https://gomessiah.com/news/2022/6/29/mens-soccer-welcomes-six-new-players-to-grantham.aspx
Seems to have some very talented players, perhaps more than the last 2-3 classes. I'm sure COVID had something to do with that.
Has anyone seen any of these guys play? As a track fan, I know that the local player, Samuel de la Riva, has serious speed--he ran 1:54 for his conference title, also won the district title at 800 meters (https://www.pennlive.com/galleries/PTDIMAW6FBGYNE7EOXJB6ZAIIE/), and ran a sub-50 second leg on the 4 x 400. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1KVMMKzXog.
I hadn't realized he was a Falcon soccer recruit. Those HS times are comparable to another soccer-track phenom from recent Falcon history--Nick West--but I would be nuts to push the comparison any further.
I am excited to see Eastern and Messiah play to see if that Eastern keeper can repeat those saves and to see if Messiah can make an incredible comeback.
Scranton scrimmaged Alvernia, not sure of result and has Union on Saturday
Misercordia defeated Eastern 4-0
That does not bode well for Eastern.
Alvernia should be tough again.
Drew ties Montclair 3-3
Washington College smokes Stockton 4-0
I think Christian Tyson at Drew could have a very good year!
Quote from: camosfan on August 28, 2022, 08:40:33 AM
I think Christian Tyson at Drew could have a very good year!
Agreed. And combined with Kevin Kiernan who had a fantastic freshman campaign with 8 goals, I expect Drew will be one of the Landmark favorites.
And speaking of Landmark, is there any other conference in the country that can boast of two coaches with 300+ wins? Armuth has 376 and Roderick has 557.
Elizabethtown will struggle this year, they were beaten by Rutgers-Camden 3-0 Tuesday! Did not watch but report does not paint a bright picture.
PSU-Harrisburg beat Messiah in a scrimmage this preseason. I'd hesitate to draw too many conclusions from preseason results
Yeah I notice some social media reports scores others don't.
Anyone interested in participating in the D3soccer Fan poll this season?
If you are interested in participating, I will run the poll again if we get enough pollsters. My only caveat is that if you agree to participate you try your best to do it every week so that things are consistent. Also, you try to be on time because it's no fun for anyone if I have to track you down every week and pester you to get your votes in.
Unless someone has a better idea, I'll run it the same as last year with the same deadlines, so the poll will include games that start before Sunday at midnight EST and will be due to me before Tuesday EST at midnight and I will try to post on Wednesday.
I will not do a preseason poll. I hate them. They set up a ton of positional bias and, especially with 400+ teams in D3, there simply is no way to do a good one. The first poll will be based on games played prior to 9/11 and will be due to me on 9/13. That gives us roughly 2 weeks of games to start making judgements.
If you are interested, and I realize we about 2 weeks out, please send me a PM. I hope we get our pollsters back from last year, as they did an excellent job, but if you want to join in, I'm always open to more!
https://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2022-23/releases/Preseason-Poll-8-30
Interesting. I feel like Dickinson is a bit under-rated, and I feel like Washington is going to be an extremely difficult out. That coach really impressed me in the Simple Coach interview.
Dickinson had a very tough year last season, ranking seems justified?
I see that Adrian Zimmerman, who set a scoring record for the tournament last fall (including goals vs. Messiah and U Conn), is not listed on the W & L roster this year. He was a SO last year. Can anyone fill in the blanks?
MAF Preseason Poll-Top 10 (combined regions 4/5)
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Montclair
5. NYU
6. Swarthmore
7. Stevens
8. Rowan
9. Gettysburg
10. PSU-Harrisburg
Teams to Watch:
Rutgers-Newark
Alvernia
Leb Val
Misericordia
Lycoming
Washington College
Scranton
Catholic
Drew
No mention of Kean?
No Eatstern.. they were young last year
Eastern will struggle this year. I would be surprised if they made their conference playoffs.
Kean could certainly be a team to watch out of the NJAC. They had a nice 2021 campaign. Do you know if they return a lot of players?
Eastern lost their 6-5 CB. Transferred to D1 Merrimack.
Strike that. He transferred back :)
3-0 Messiah before halftime against W&L with goals from McDonald, Lefever, and as freshman Patrick Lee.
Quote from: 4231CenterBack on September 01, 2022, 10:59:58 AM
Eastern lost their 6-5 CB. Transferred to D1 Merrimack.
Their roster show him being on the team. Did he return?
I did not see last year's keeper on the Eastern roster though.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 31, 2022, 02:19:17 PM
MAF Preseason Poll-Top 10 (combined regions 4/5)
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Montclair
5. NYU
6. Swarthmore
7. Stevens
8. Rowan
9. Gettysburg
10. PSU-Harrisburg
Teams to Watch:
Rutgers-Newark
Alvernia
Leb Val
Misericordia
Lycoming
Washington College
Scranton
Catholic
Drew
Opening weekend has come and gone and there were some surprising results as expected in the early going.
Messiah thumps W&L but then draws a good Lynchburg side. 1-0-1 and a quality start for the Falcons.
JHU with a nice win over Rowan and a decent road result with a draw at Lycoming. 1-0-1 for the Blue Jays.
F&M with a shaky start to the season and very well could be winless after two. Sneaked by LVC and got thumped at Stevens...could this be a down year for the Diplomats? 1-1-0 out of the gate.
Montclair not as sharp as expected either. 1-0-2 start but they would be hopeful for more.
NYU off to a 1-0-1 start and two shut-outs. Nice start for the Bobcats.
Swarthmore off to a 2-0-0 start as expected. The Garnet face a couple tough opponents over the next two weeks.
Stevens starts 1-0-1 with an impressive thrashing of F&M.
Rowan starts 1-1-1 and lucky to sneak away with a draw vs Trinity. The next few games will tell us more.
Gettysburg off to a hot start as the Bullets are 2-0-0 and have had the dream start.
PSU-Harrisburg starts with two draws against decent opponents, but not enough to keep them in the next top 10.
Others:
Lycoming with a nice start (1-0-1 and a draw vs Hopkins) as well as Catholic (1-0-1 and a draw vs Montclair)
Misericordia and Kean also with nice starts (2-0-0)
Drew with a 3-0-0 start
Scranton, Alvernia, Newark, Leb Val and Wash College all underwhelming after the opening weekend.
Quote from: BigSoccerFan on September 01, 2022, 09:23:42 AM
No Eatstern.. they were young last year
Eastern 0-2-0 and held scoreless in both matches. Not the start they would want.
Keep asking about Kean, no mention, I see them 1 or 2 in NJAC.
Quote from: camosfan on September 05, 2022, 11:01:04 AM
Keep asking about Kean, no mention, I see them 1 or 2 in NJAC.
So why not offer a detailed review of Kean yourself? Explain why you see them finishing #1 or #2 in NJAC.
Messiah beat Kean 7-0 in a scrimmage a couple of weeks ago.
Quote from: camosfan on September 05, 2022, 11:01:04 AM
Keep asking about Kean, no mention, I see them 1 or 2 in NJAC.
I did mention them above about others that had a nice start to the season. I don't know a ton about them, so any knowledge you have is welcomed. It's not a slight on them by any means. I will give them a watch soon!
They are defending NJAC champions, think they made it to the round of 32 last year!
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on September 05, 2022, 04:54:17 PM
Messiah beat Kean 7-0 in a scrimmage a couple of weeks ago.
Cannot count scrimages.
Good coaches are using those to try different pieces in different spots/ analyze the freshman crop and getting the engine of the team ready for the season with fitness.
Game can be tied and then get away from the 2nd string of weaker team once subs are made.
Too many variables to really judge well.
MAF Week 1 Top 10 (combined regions 4/5)
1. Messiah (1-0-1)
2. JHU (1-0-1)
3. Montclair (1-0-2)
4. Stevens (1-0-1)
5. NYU (1-0-1)
6. Swarthmore (2-1-0)
7. Gettysburg (2-0-0)
8. Rowan (1-1-1)
9. F&M (1-1-0)
10. Drew (3-0-0)
Teams to Watch:
Misericordia (2-0-0)
Lycoming (1-0-1)
Catholic (1-0-1)
Kean (2-0-0)
Alvernia (1-0-1)
Scranton (1-1-0)
PSU-Harrisburg (0-0-2)
I think the argument of not taking scrimmages seriously is a pretty flimsy idea. Scrimmages give coaches the best understanding of how their team actually looks and I am not sure I would want to be that much in the gray with about 4-5 days before the actual season. Secondly, if you are a coach that can sit back and watch your team lose 5, 6, 7 to nil! Then I would have some pretty serious doubts about that coach's competitive muscle.
Quote from: D3SoccerTalker on September 06, 2022, 05:21:04 PM
I think the argument of not taking scrimmages seriously is a pretty flimsy idea. Scrimmages give coaches the best understanding of how their team actually looks and I am not sure I would want to be that much in the gray with about 4-5 days before the actual season. Secondly, if you are a coach that can sit back and watch your team lose 5, 6, 7 to nil! Then I would have some pretty serious doubts about that coach's competitive muscle.
You take the scrimmage seriously, do not take the score seriously.
This is a big difference.
Different coaches analyze things differently.
There are coaches who plan their entire season making sure that the team and each player is ready for the conference part of the schedule and will risk or accept losing 5,6,ot 7 because they know that losing like that could help them come Late October and November.
Not only do the coaches take scrimmages in a different light, the players absolutely aren't taking things all that seriously when the score/game "doesn't count." It's almost impossible from a mental stand point.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 07, 2022, 02:40:46 PM
Not only do the coaches take scrimmages in a different light, the players absolutely aren't taking things all that seriously when the score/game "doesn't count." It's almost impossible from a mental stand point.
I think I'm down the middle on this one. I have no doubt different coaches use exhibitions/scrimmages differently probably for a variety of reasons. That said, the preseason is very short and players only have so many opportunities to prove that they belong and deserve playing time. I would think that initial game action 7-8 months after the prior season ended would be pretty stimulating. I doubt a 7-0 drubbing left the coach or the players very pleased.
Allen Iverson is popping up in my head....practice? practice? you talking 'bout practice?
Kean ties F&M...F&M pushing for the equalizer throughout the second half. They have a great turf field.
Scranton (homer alert) has scored 3 goals in the past two games, they did that once last year. They have 7 Goals on the season, and had 10 all of last year.
Kings has lost 3 in a row after beating Scranton in the opener for both teams.
Messiah looked great in both games this weekend, much better than they often have looked at a similar point in previous seasons. I put that down to the unprecedented level of experience of the starting 11, obviously in part a consequence of the COVID year. Last year's team was also very high on experience, but not quite as deep IMO, insofar as this year's FR class is loaded with talent and the two most important FR from last year, in terms of playing time (Leitzel and Englehart) have both developed into starter-level players even if they aren't starting this year. It's evident that the Falcons have more scoring options than any team since the national champions in 2017. They are also at the moment (knock on wood) healthy. The announcers keep saying that Luke Groothoff (who missed the last third of 2021 including the tournament) is still not fully back—85% is a number I recall hearing—but, he's getting there and even at 85% he is still as good as anyone in the conference. No less important, Luke Brautigam is fully back from injuries that made him a subpar replacement for LG in the tournament. Nothing subpar about him now. His skills can be on full display anywhere down the middle of the field. Indeed, the 4 players up the middle (including Trevor Swartz and the GK) are all fifth-year SRs, while the two starting CBs (a SR & returning AA plus a JR who was POY as a MF in a major PA HS conference) are simply splendid and very fast. I suspect that this particular team might have more overall team speed than any Falcon team for a decade, though one might reasonably differ with that view.
None of this means that the Falcons are a lock for the Final Four, let alone to win it all. Injuries have plagued all recent Falcon teams, while some of them have also had less talent than this one. If they stay healthy, however, it's going to be up to them to see how far they can go. I wouldn't want to be playing them in November. They have a bear of a schedule in the next couple weeks. If they come through that unscathed, take it as an indicator that this analysis is on point. They always have a target on their backs, and early season challenges are never bad unless players sustain major injuries. Keep your fingers crossed, Falcon fans.
A day earlier than normal but not many games this afternoon so no impact expected ;D
MAF Week 2 Top 10 (combined regions 4/5)
1. Messiah (3-0-1)
2. JHU (3-0-2)
3. Stevens (4-0-1)
4. Montclair (2-0-3)
5. Gettysburg (2-0-1)
6. Catholic (2-0-2)
7. Swarthmore (3-1-0)
8. Drew (5-0-0)
9. F&M (2-1-1)
10. NYU (2-1-1)
Teams to Watch:
Rowan (3-2-1)
Misericordia (3-0-1)
Lycoming (2-1-2)
Scranton (3-1-0)
Haverford (2-2-1)
Kean (2-1-1)
Stockton (4-1-1)
York (3-0-1)
Dickinson (4-1-0)
Darn. I'm on a loaner laptop so I don't have my vast array of Mid-Atlantic direct links to "schedules." I know it's probably a silly exercise, but I kind of like to go around the region and list match-ups from the top 10 or so in the region.
Hopkins plays Swat on Saturday, I know that much. Solid early season CC clash.
Sticking with Region V... Some games of interest/note:
* - Probably the best (on paper) game of the weekend is NYU @ Messiah (2pm). Interestingly, NYU is 0-2 at home, and 3-0-1 on the road.
* - Keeping the MAC v. UAA train running, Rochester visits a game York squad.
* - Yes, this a bit parochial, but Hopkins hosts winless Haverford @ 7p on Saturday. Kind of feeling like, even this early, this is a must-win for the Fords.
* - A true road test (kinda) for F&M as they visit McDaniel. McDaniel is 6-1, but of their wins 2 have above .500 records and they got thumped 3-1 by CC foe Muhlenberg a few games back. That said, you can only play the teams laid out before you, and 6-1 is lofty air for (checks web, yep, still goofy) The Green Terror.
* - Two top Centennial contenders square off with Swat visiting Gettysburg.
* - Undefeated Drew visits surprising Goucher (4-1-2)
* - Scranton visits Catholic, with both teams enjoying promising first thirds of their respective seasons.
ETA - Sorry, moving too fast. Fords aren't winless overall, they are 0-1 in CC play, they are 2-4-2 overall... Not to their standard, but certainly not winless. I still stand by this being a pretty important match for them.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 23, 2022, 04:03:50 PM
Sticking with Region V... Some games of interest/note:
* - Probably the best (on paper) game of the weekend is NYU @ Messiah (2pm). Interestingly, NYU is 0-2 at home, and 3-0-1 on the road.
* - Keeping the MAC v. UAA train running, Rochester visits a game York squad.
* - Yes, this a bit parochial, but Hopkins hosts winless Haverford @ 7p on Saturday. Kind of feeling like, even this early, this is a must-win for the Fords.
* - A true road test (kinda) for F&M as they visit McDaniel. McDaniel is 6-1, but of their wins 2 have above .500 records and they got thumped 3-1 by CC foe Muhlenberg a few games back. That said, you can only play the teams laid out before you, and 6-1 is lofty air for (checks web, yep, still goofy) The Green Terror.
* - Two top Centennial contenders square off with Swat visiting Gettysburg.
* - Undefeated Drew visits surprising Goucher (4-1-2)
* - Scranton visits Catholic, with both teams enjoying promising first thirds of their respective seasons.
EJay's Predictions
Messiah 3 - NYU 1
Rochester 1 - York 0
Hopkins 1 - Haverford 1
F&M 1 - McDaniel 0
Swat 2 - Getty 2
Drew 3 - Goucher 0
Scranton 0 - Catholic 1
Quote from: Ejay on September 23, 2022, 05:34:02 PM
EJay's Predictions
Messiah 3 - NYU 1
Rochester 1 - York 0
Hopkins 1 - Haverford 1
F&M 1 - McDaniel 0
Swat 2 - Getty 2
Drew 3 - Goucher 0
Scranton 0 - Catholic 1
Actuals:
Messiah 2 - NYU 1
Rochester 1 - York 0
Hopkins 1 - Haverford 0
F&M 0 - McDaniel 0
Swat 1 - Getty 1
Drew 1 - Goucher 1
Scranton 0 - Catholic 1
Caught a decent chunk of 2nd half of the Messiah game...
1) Field sure plays slow. Hadn't remembered that from games in the past. Not sure it's much of an advantage for a team with that level of skill.
2) MacDonald seems like he's been at that school for a decade. His assist yesterday was All-American level stuff. Dude is a beast.
3) NYU acquitted themselves quite well. Organized and pressed the play forward (not sitting back.) Their goalie's feet are going to cost them some games. At this level, it shouldn't be such a risky play to send it back there. I counted at least 6 balls that were misplayed and I only watched from about 5 minutes before the goal to the end. (Sorry, that's my position, so I'm a little harsh, but... I'm sure other Falcon fans who saw the game will back me up.)
I attended the Hopkins-Haverford game yesterday. Hopkins had the edge in skill and speed; they dominated possession but were only able to convert it into a single goal. They were lucky to escape with the win. Haverford had two golden chances - one in each half. In the first half, the Fords banged one off the post and the Haverford forward put the rebound twenty feet over the goal from six yards away. In the second half, Hopkins gave up a free kick from 25 yards out on a stupid foul. Haverford's header off the kick beat the goalie but one of the Hopkins defenders saved it off the line.
Hopkins has still only allowed a single goal this season.
Another Sat. night match had this one relegated to the laptop. Nice, scrappy Hop-Fords match from what I could glean.
Walk-On... Were the Jays able to open them up at all? Seemed like a typical game with lots of possessin between the 18s, but not a lot of threats. Accurate?
Hopkins had a few chances but their inclination is always to make another pass. Even the goal they scored came on what I thought was one pass too many. It was beautiful but they walked it into the goal when a decent shot from the passer would have done the same thing. There were a couple of occasions after the goal where that one pass too many came back to bite them.
Hopkins is also terrible on corner kicks. They had 10 to Haverford's 1 but few were even close to threatening. With the skill on that team, it seems like they should do better with corners. They have very little height though.
Midweek Games of Note (Region V)
- Most of the games on Tuesday and Wednesday are conference tilts. The exception to the rule is my Spicy Sleeper Special, with Drew travelling to DeSales for a classic trap game. After starting off the season 0-2-1, DeSales are now 5-2-1 and looking to play spoiler against an 8-0-1 Rangers squad. Further complicating this match, and putting in true "trap game" territory is the fact that Landmark Conf. foe Catholic looms on the weekend horizon.
- In the Centennial, we're going to find more out about this year's Ursinus, when McDaniel continues to be tested when they visit Homewood on Wednesday. I already mentioned their spotty opponents, but after tying the Dips... We shall see.
- It's the Battle of Amish country supremacy when Dickinson visits Gettysburg, and the Dips welcome the Muhles in slightly lower octane Amish Squabble.
- In the MAC, the Falcons take on 4-1-4(!) Lycoming. That's just a weird record with some head scratching results for Lyco.
- And only because Carnegie Mellon is getting a lot of heat on this board, the match-up with 6-3 Juniata in Steel Town is somewhat intriguing. Just glancing at Juniata, they've been thumped by Muhlenberg, Swat and Moravian. CMU is 7-0-1 with their most notable W coming against John Carroll. A solid performance would help them (at least as far as folks in the National Perspective thread are concerned.
Not meant to be a comprehensive cover for the Region, just some games that jumped out to me.
Drew drawing with Goucher on Saturday was noteworthy.
Goucher travels to the Electric City on Saturday.
So, Drew handles business against DeSales yesterday. And, yeah Nepa, I was looking at Goucher... They may actually be... good this year? They are 4-1-3 with no real notable results... Until you see that draw on the weekend.
That said, Catholic just got taken down by Eastern, so... Gonna be a big game for both squads (but a bit more for the Cards) on Saturday in Jersey.
MAC and Centennial clashes are this afternoon/evening.
I raised an issue about McDaniel, at least in my mind: Is this the best start in program history? Well, I don't have time/inclination to go that far back (back to when they were Western MD... no thanks!). So a quick look at the last 10 years:
2012 was... not great.
In 2013, the squad raced out to a 6-1-3 record before hitting a buzzsaw that landed them at 7-7-3 sputtering end.
2014 saw a kind of similar thing, with a 6-3 mark eventually landing at 8-8-1. (Basically, once CC shots are fired, McDaniel struggles.)
2015-16 - yikes
2017 - A 7-2-1 start leading to one of their best years with a 10-3-1 record and nice ECAC tourney first round win.
2018 - 6-7-3 final record... Similarly "decent" start that gets kind of smushed from the midpoint of the season on.
2019 - Ah... Probably better than 2017, ripping off 9(!!) wins to start an 11-6-1 season with an ECAC bid.
2020 - Covid, whatever.
2021 - Post-vid hangover? I dunno, but 4-11-1 is less than ideal.
=-=-=-=-=-=-=
So, really, a couple of things:
1) My historical bias is showing when I look at W.MD/McDaniel. They pretty much have a decent run for a couple of years, then kind of fall off a cliff and climb back up. There isn't an Ursinus* run where they just aren't good for a number of years in a row.
2) That said, whatever was happening last year seems to have been scrubbed clean with a good start this year. But a very clear pattern emerges when you look at the last 10 years. Even in "good" years, once conference play starts they really hit a wall.
* - Just as a reminder, going back to 2012, Ursinus' best season was a .500 mark put up in 2015 or 2016. Other than that, it was a string of very forgettable seasons (to say the least, including a winless season) until last year with 10-6-1. As mentioned, 2022 isn't going very well.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 28, 2022, 10:12:15 AM
I raised an issue about McDaniel, at least in my mind: Is this the best start in program history? Well, I don't have time/inclination to go that far back (back to when they were Western MD... no thanks!).
Well, since I knew W.Maryland/McDaniel had a really good run under Coach Plevyak in the early 2000's, my curiosity made me look it up. Their best season was 2005 when they went 14-4-3 and won the Centennial regular season (and #1 seed) with a 6-1-2 mark, but then lost in the conference semifinal 1-0 in 2OT to the #5 seed Gettysburg. They had to settle for the ECAC's and have still never made it to the NCAA's. But back to your question about best start to a season, that year they lost their third and fourth games (the latter a 7-1 pasting by Messiah) in starting 6-2-1. So not quite as good as this year. Probably their next best season was 2001 (their last as Western Maryland) when they started 5-0-0 before dropping a pair to open Centennial play followed by two conference wins for a 7-2-0 overall record four weeks into the season. Earned the #2 seed with a 6-3-0 conference mark and reached the conference final where #4 seed Gettysburg ended their hopes of reaching the NCAAs given how few at-large berths there were at that time. At 14-5-0 they had to settle for the ECAC's. They made the Centennial playoffs as the #3, #2, and #1 seed from 2003 thru 2005. And they were having an OK season in 2006 before faltering down the stretch in what would be Plevyak's final season as their coach. They stood at 8-4-0 with three 1-0 losses to Messiah away (in 2OT), Johns Hopkins, and Muhlenberg away (goal with 5 seconds left), but then lost 4 of 5, that last loss being a 5-0 drubbing courtesy of Gettysburg. They finished .500 (9-9-0) and it would be another 10 years before they would finish a season with a winning record. And they still haven't made it back to the Centennial playoffs.
Nice, FW... And that's kind of what I meant by my historical bias. When we played them, they were kind of a non-factor on the sked. And I assume it took until the coach you reference for them to pull out of that cycle.
I wasn't really paying much attention to D3 soccer in the aughts, so I completely missed this portion of their history. Thanks for the catch-up!
And the trend Hopkins92 highlighted continues. Hopkins 1, McDaniel 0. McDaniel started 6-0-0 and is now 0-2-1 in CC play.
Meanwhile, in Charm City, Hopkins has scored 10 goals in 9 games but only surrendered one. Every game is close.
I had called Lyco's resume into question heading into tonight, and...
Messiah travels to Williamsport and puts the lumber on with a 5-0 win. Answers a few questions for both squads. Wowsers.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on September 28, 2022, 07:51:00 PM
And the trend Hopkins92 highlighted continues. Hopkins 1, McDaniel 0. McDaniel started 6-0-0 and is now 0-2-1 in CC play.
Meanwhile, in Charm City, Hopkins has scored 10 goals in 9 games but only surrendered one. Every game is close.
I was able to watch a good chunk of the first half and spot-checked the second. Very dominant performance for Hop, but the last 5-10 minutes were a total scramble where the Night Terrors could've easily bundled one in the net at least 3 times I saw, especially off of lofted set pieces.
As you say, they've only given up one goal. Treinan and the transfer goalie from Penn State, Morgret. will be in the running for a lot of accolades if they continue getting results. Treinan is just playing at a higher level, both in tracking back and snuffing things out on D, but also QB'ing the offense. The Whamond brothers are also causing the opposing D a lot of issues. Nice combo passing.
But, yeah, 14 shots but only 5 on frame. (McD had 3 shots, one on frame.)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 26, 2022, 03:24:22 PM
Midweek Games of Note (Region V)
- Most of the games on Tuesday and Wednesday are conference tilts. The exception to the rule is my Spicy Sleeper Special, with Drew travelling to DeSales for a classic trap game. After starting off the season 0-2-1, DeSales are now 5-2-1 and looking to play spoiler against an 8-0-1 Rangers squad. Further complicating this match, and putting in true "trap game" territory is the fact that Landmark Conf. foe Catholic looms on the weekend horizon.
- In the Centennial, we're going to find more out about this year's Ursinus, when McDaniel continues to be tested when they visit Homewood on Wednesday. I already mentioned their spotty opponents, but after tying the Dips... We shall see.
- It's the Battle of Amish country supremacy when Dickinson visits Gettysburg, and the Dips welcome the Muhles in slightly lower octane Amish Squabble.
- In the MAC, the Falcons take on 4-1-4(!) Lycoming. That's just a weird record with some head scratching results for Lyco.
- And only because Carnegie Mellon is getting a lot of heat on this board, the match-up with 6-3 Juniata in Steel Town is somewhat intriguing. Just glancing at Juniata, they've been thumped by Muhlenberg, Swat and Moravian. CMU is 7-0-1 with their most notable W coming against John Carroll. A solid performance would help them (at least as far as folks in the National Perspective thread are concerned.
Not meant to be a comprehensive cover for the Region, just some games that jumped out to me.
Already covered the thumping put on Lyco by the Falcons and the continuing good fortune (and quality play, to be fair) for Hop. Still find McD an interesting squad, but wasn't all that impressed with their approach to Hopkins. I'd lay way off those guys and play a high backline. Take away all the space in midfield and frustrate. Too many teams play into their system by doing some fake pressing up top and dropping waaaay too far in the back, giving them ample room to connect short passes and spring the medium ball into channels. Too easy. Sorry, I digress.
In Amish country, I don't want to say Gettysburg's entire offense revolves around long throw-ins, but... My spot-checking of the game saw at least 6 of these in the first half, which eventually led to the first goal. Dickinson has a pair of strikers that caused a lot of problems, but ultimately the surround squad just isn't there. 2nd half started with a cloudburst, and about 15 minutes in the Red Devil keeper totally bundled a long set piece ball and a Bullet pounced and it's 2-0. Game ended 3-1, but I saw what I needed.
Over in Lancaster, F&M with a typical, solid 2-1 win over the Muhles. Game was 2-0 after goals in each half, with M scoring pretty late to make it a little nervy. I didn't let the video run too long while spot-checking, but I don't know of the Dips are going to break down better competition with this approach. Switching the point of attack with long diagonal balls is kind of low percentage against teams with better organization.
In Steel Town, the Tartans thumped visiting Juniata 5-2. Video feed is wonky, so I can't really give read out on how this went down, but... 5-2 doesn't leave a lot to the imagination.
On to the weekend!
I'm sure Hop will put together a great analysis, but I was poking around Region IV & V schedules, so thought I'd share this weekend's games (EJay's GOTW in bold):
Centennial Matchups:
Washington v Ursinus
Swarthmore v McDaniel
Haverford v Muhlenberg
Dickinson v Franklin and Marshall
Johns Hopkins v Gettysburg
Landmark Conference
Goucher v Sranton
Juniata v Elizabethtown
Susquehanna v Moravian
Catholic v Drew
MAC-Commonwealth
Widener v York (Pa.)
Eastern v Stevenson
Alvernia v Hood
Lebanon Valley v Albright
Messiah v. Christopher Newport
MAC-Freedom
Valley Forge v FDU-Florham
King's v Stevens
Delaware Valley v Lycoming
DeSales v Wilkes
Arcadia v Misericordia
NJAC
RU-C v New Jersey City
TCNJ v William Paterson
Ramapo v Montclair
Stockton v Kean
Rowan v RU-N
Nice eJay!!
I'm trying to expand my bandwidth up to R4, but struggle at times. This is a great landscape. Look forward to anyone else's thoughts on key matchups!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 28, 2022, 09:40:16 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 26, 2022, 03:24:22 PM
Midweek Games of Note (Region V)
Over in Lancaster, F&M with a typical, solid 2-1 win over the Muhles. Game was 2-0 after goals in each half, with M scoring pretty late to make it a little nervy. I didn't let the video run too long while spot-checking, but I don't know of the Dips are going to break down better competition with this approach. Switching the point of attack with long diagonal balls is kind of low percentage against teams with better organization.
Being a parent of a F&M player, I've had the chance to see all their games in person. You are correct as to the diagonal balls and being a typical F&M game (only one game where F&M scored three goals and only one win with a 2 goal difference- outside of Stevens no team has scored more than 1 goal). However, F&M had many other opportunities which it was not able to convert (Muhl keeper had 8 saves). F&M dominated the possession the first 75 min. and for reasons I won't share the defense went a little sideways and Muhls scored. Once they gave up the goal, they reestablished its defense and rode out the rest of the game.
F&M had a rough start, but I wouldn't discount them too much yet (1-1-1 in first three since 5-0-1) Often they have 4 or 5 freshmen on the field that are only getting better (6 FR saw time yesterday). They generally only have 2 or 3 seniors on the field and couple of juniors. So a young team getting better. Like many Centennial teams, they'll grind it out by playing strong defense and taking advantage of other teams while possessing the ball.
Thanks for the recap, Sierra! As I said, I was "spot-checking" which really amounts to time hopping to get a sense of the game and then honing in on a goal, then spot-checking again. I like to find a good 5 minutes or so in the middle of each half to get a good sense of what's going on. But, full disclosure, it's not like I'm getting a full handle on all the nuances.
I will say, as you may gather from my handle, I have a pretty obvious bias... With that said, I have backed off of my overly critical approach to viewing F&M for two main reasons:
1) Results. Kind of speaks for itself. Similar to Tufts and some versions of Amherst. It might be brute-ball or chaos-ball, but it is very effective and leads to trophies and bids to the post-season. There aren't style points, and that's something I've had to... not resign myself to, but just acknowledge that at this stage, it's not the coaches job to play the beautiful game.
2) This coach has a system, and while sometimes things get muddy on the field, there is a purpose and the entire squad is aware of the expectations and they are committed to it. See point #1. (Though, frankly, that wasn't what I saw last night.. not nearly as frenetic as I've seen in the past.)
ETA - Just want to be clear, in terms of discounting them... They are exactly who I would expect them to be, which is pushing for a CC title and/or looking to get out of the first weekend of the NCAAs. If you've seen me talking about my alma mater, I can be pretty critical... That's not because I think they're not a good squad, more that I have high expectations... Same thing goes with a squad like the Dips.
Totally understand as to spot checking. I do it myself, especially as to limited time.
F&M over the last two games has possessed about 70%. McDaniel parked the bus (only had one shot on goal). Muhl did not do that. Never got the point about the "chaos" or "brute" tag for F&M. Maybe over the years that was the case as my son has only been there for two years.
From what I have seen in person and later on video, is that F&M tend to work from the back and mostly down the sidelines. Teams then try to high press and the backs/gk break the press by putting it up the field. They have a lot of good, good first touch players. They will at times work through the middle, but not often. They also consistently play east/west. They play tight defense all over the field and not just in the back 1/3rd which may be where the chaos comes from. They also will swarm and eliminate most of player with the ball's options which may be the reason for the choas/brute reputation.
FYI, I played in a D3 program, coached a bit and reffed. I also totally understand as to your bias which makes sense. JHU has been a very successful program which is great for the Cent. Conf. Our son has had some club teammates play for them and they generally enjoyed their experience. The final regular season game may be a great game!
Also when is Homewood getting a new turf field? Kind of looking like the Superdome in the 70's right now.
Please keep posting! It's great to have folks that can help us drill down on specific teams, especially a team with the years and years of success like F&M.
Brute does not apply to the Dips. Chaos, at times, does (IMO). And part of that is the "energy" that comes from the bench, especially when they get up for big opponents. Not a slight of the Muhles, but that was not the vibe last night. They have another gear on the high press (when they need it) and they go from a team of one and two touch, to a team that will launch balls deep and not focus on the possession game as much. It's purposeful and very well-orchestrated.
What I have learned over the years is that they have high quality players, and when they decide to flip a switch, it can very quickly overwhelm even the most disciplined and quality teams. You can high press all you want, you have to convert the chances that it creates, and the Dips are more than capable of doing so.
Quote from: Ejay on September 29, 2022, 08:06:40 AM
I'm sure Hop will put together a great analysis, but I was poking around Region IV & V schedules, so thought I'd share this weekend's games (EJay's GOTW in bold):
Centennial Matchups:
Washington v Ursinus
Swarthmore v McDaniel
Haverford v Muhlenberg
Dickinson v Franklin and Marshall
Johns Hopkins v Gettysburg
Landmark Conference
Goucher v Sranton
Juniata v Elizabethtown
Susquehanna v Moravian
Catholic v Drew
MAC-Commonwealth
Widener v York (Pa.)
Eastern v Stevenson
Alvernia v Hood
Lebanon Valley v Albright
Messiah v. Christopher Newport
MAC-Freedom
Valley Forge v FDU-Florham
King's v Stevens
Delaware Valley v Lycoming
DeSales v Wilkes
Arcadia v Misericordia
NJAC
RU-C v New Jersey City
TCNJ v William Paterson
Ramapo v Montclair
Stockton v Kean
Rowan v RU-N
PREDICTIONS:
Johns Hopkins v GettysburgOn paper this is a battle of offense vs defense. Hopkins has only conceded 1 goal this season, while Gettysburg has netted 18. Both teams are undefeated and a conference win would massive. Even though Hopkins has struggled to score this year, I think their high percentage of possession eventually leads to a late 2H goal. Meanwhile, the Bullets channel Picket's Charge and throw everything at the visitors but end up on the losing end after coming so close by hitting the woodwork 2-3x.
Hopkins 1 - Gettysburg 0Catholic v DrewA week ago I would have predicted a Catholic win. The Cardinals have some very good results this year and are the returning Landmark Champs. Drew's schedule has been relatively soft and the Goucher draw was concerning. But Catholic's recent form has been off, and their recent loss to an underwhelming Eastern squad is even more concerning. I think Drew's dynamic duo of Tyson (7g, 4a) and Kiernan (8g, 4a) will be too much for Catholic, and the Rangers grab a win at home.
Drew 2 - Catholic 0Messiah v. Christopher NewportProps to Messiah for continuing to test themselves against stiff non-conference competition. They're trying to find a game but have pretty much annihilated everyone. Even the late 2-1 win over NYU was a bit misleading if you look at the stats (19 shots vs 9, and 8 on goal vs 2). At 7-1, CNU is no pushover and they did pick up back-to-back wins over top 25 teams. But this trip to PA marks only their second road game of the year, and I expect the 1,000 fans will not allow CNU to get comfortable. I also think Messiah will want to make a statement after Chicago's dismantling of North Park.
Messiah 2 - CNU 0 Arcadia v MisericordiaArcadia is the 3rd best team in the MAC-F and will need to play their best if they want to grab 3 points. But they've yet to pick up a quality win among their 6 season victories. Misericordia returns 4 all-conference (two all-region) selections from last year's 12-5-1 team. And while they're not overwhelming anyone this year, they have more talent and should win easily.
Misericordia 2 - Arcadia 0 Rutgers-Camden v New Jersey CityGame of the week in the NJAC for the simple reason of seeing whether NJCU is for real. RU-C is a .500 team with some bad loses. NJCU is 6-1 and have only conceded 2 goals, plus they just put up a 6-spot on Rowan for their first conference win since 2013! Are they a contender or pretender?? I think they win, but I don't know that it will ultimately mean much.
NJCU 3 - RU-C 1
^^^^^ Ejay, this is great. Well done!
Quote from: PaulNewman on September 30, 2022, 10:11:21 AM
^^^^^ Ejay, this is great. Well done!
Yep, have some karma!
Ejay, your line about Messiah wanting to have a response statement to Chicago rang true as I read it.
Then I wondered if it is true. These are the sorts of things that fascinate me.
Messiah and Chicago imo are the two teams (at this moment) who believe they should and will win against anyone, including each other. It's sort of like the advantage SOL talks about for teams that have been to Final 4s or won the whole thing knowing what that feels like with attendant expectations. Doesn't mean they don't deeply respect their opponents and know they could lose if they don't play well, but any sliver of intimidation goes in the other direction. A lot of very good teams play a Messiah with a capital "M" or an Amherst with a capital "A," and it's like even though they believe they can win and get really jacked up for the game they're sometimes starting the game almost feeling like they're already down 1-0. That's a lot to overcome even for very, very good teams.
I thought one of the great things about last year's Final 4 was that all four felt equally confident. Any of the four could have won and none had any real psychological advantage over the others. And the games followed suit in terms of how they played out. Two semifinals that were decided in OT and then a final that went to PKs.
Quote from: Ejay on September 29, 2022, 10:20:12 PM
Messiah v. Christopher Newport
Props to Messiah for continuing to test themselves against stiff non-conference competition. They're trying to find a game but have pretty much annihilated everyone. Even the late 2-1 win over NYU was a bit misleading if you look at the stats (19 shots vs 9, and 8 on goal vs 2). At 7-1, CNU is no pushover and they did pick up back-to-back wins over top 25 teams. But this trip to PA marks only their second road game of the year, and I expect the 1,000 fans will not allow CNU to get comfortable. I also think Messiah will want to make a statement after Chicago's dismantling of North Park.
Messiah 2 - CNU 0
This is Messiah's Homecoming (much earlier than typical for Messiah), so the crowd would be much, much larger than 1,000 except that the remnants of Hurricane Ian look to be putting a damper on the Homecoming festivities and the turnout could be much less than typical even if the game is able to be played.
I agree that it's hard to get a feel for how good CNU is. I also am not ready to say that Messiah, like Chicago, has separated themselves form the pack. Hopefully the game gets played and the conditions aren't too bad and we get a quality match. I doubt the Chicago win over North Park factors in at all, but I may be wrong.
What I do know is that historically Messiah has had Christopher Newport's number, winning all 7 encounter (5 reg. season, 2 NCAA), most famously the 2008 NCAA Elite 8 match in Newport News, VA when the Captains out-played the Falcons throughout despite going down a player in the first half (2nd yellow) and then losing another (straight red) less than halfway through the second half shortly after taking the lead with a short-handed goal by freshman sensation and handful Winston Mattheisen. But All-American senior centerback JD Binger's epic game-tying desperation goal with exactly 60 ticks left on the clock forced overtime where sophomore Geoff Pezon's 19th goal of the season and second OT game-winner of the tournament (9 total game-winners that season) cruelly dumped a very dangerous Christopher Newport side out of the tournament after 103 minutes of action. While there was no love lost between Messiah and Christopher Newport, the Captains earned begrudging respect for the immense effort put forth that day. The Captain's goalscorer Mattheisen was a big, strong forward who wasn't playing like a freshman by that point of the season (if he ever was--he led the team with 16 goals). Though not that year, he went on to be a 3-time All-American. Pezon also missed out on All-American honors that fall, but would get recognized the next two years as he completed one of the best offensive careers in Messiah men's soccer history and still the only member of the program's 40-40 club (40+ goals, 40+ assists).
Sorry, I got a bit D-III soccer and Messiah soccer geeky there! But if I can't do that here, where can I do it?!?!
FW, that's excellent....and indirectly gives some color to why the Captains already feel they're down 1-0.
I tend to agree that Messiah isn't really thinking about Chicago (yet), but I also would bet that the Falcons have noticed. Partly because they are unlikely to meet before the Final 4 unless something really wonky happens with tourney bracketing. But on the other hand there are very few teams who start out the season with expectations about the Final 4...and two of them (this year and Messiah maybe every year) are certainly Messiah and Chicago.
Addendum...and this is why I mentioned Calvin. There may be no coach in D3 better at motivation and the psychological aspects of the journey than Ryan Souders.
Some additional thoughts around the region, which going forward I'll be talking about Region IV and V when I say region... with somewhat of a caveat below. I'm also going to take the crumbs that Ejay left and walk through the games he didn't highlight. (Re-reading this, hopefully it's obvious I'm kidding-- thanks again to Ejay for his excellent coverage and spot-on analysis.)
Edit to Add (ETA): Tropical Storm Ian is going to wreak havoc on a lot of these games. Not sure if we'll see postponements, but the style of play is going to be zany. The Hop-Gbg game is a great example. Favors the Bullets, IMO, as that's on a grass field. Dips game won't be as bad (in theory) bc that's relatively new turf.
* - Just a Captain Obvious note: Both the Messiah v. CNU and the Hopkins v. Gettysburg match-ups pit teams in the Top 25, depending on which poll you favor. FWIW, I think the Bullets take the win with a goal off of long throw in. Messiah is on fire and I don't figure the Captains to slow them down much.
* - In the Centennial, the match-up between F&M and Dickinson is intriguing. I noted earlier in this thread that thought that Dickinson's preseason ranking was too low (9 of 10). They are 6-4, but 2-0 in conf. play good enough for 3rd place. We will see how they measure up against the Dips in Lancaster.
* - Landmark sub-headline feature match is a surprising Goucher (5-1-3) traveling to E-City to take on traditional stalwart Scranton (6-2-1). The (checks web) Gophers haven't had a winning season since 2014, so this start is quite compelling. The Royals' losses came at King's college on the first game of the season and against Catholic, with a tie against Misericordia.
* - MAC Freedom and Commonwealth kick-off conference play this weekend, which I hadn't really realized until scanning the region. In the Commonwealth side of the ledger, let's dial up some drama with Widener (4-4) traveling to play York (5-2-2). Widener started the year with 3 straight losses, but has since ripped 4 from 5, with that loss coming at the hands of the Mighty Ducks up in Hoboken (1-0 scoreline). York has aspirations of larger things (or at least some predicted as much,) and will look to halt a two game skid at the hands of Rochester and Marymount (no slouches to be sure.)
* - MAC Freedom's sub-header feature sees the Ducks (7-0-1) hosting wonky King's College (4-4-2). Probably a fairly easy test for Stevens, but the Monarchs began the season knocking off Scranton at home. They then proceeded to lose 3 in a row including a 5-2 drubbing at home to Immaculata. So... yeah, kind of stretch as a featured game, but important for Stevens to start conf. play off with a solid result.
* - Which brings me to my caveat from above. I have scale of knowledge about these conferences which aligns pretty well with the order listed. I have very little exposure and historical knowledge of the NJAC. I'm going to make an effort to rectify that starting this year, but should be duly noted.
With that said, just on paper in in the standings, I'd put a marker on the Stockton (7-3-1) vs. Kean (4-4-2) tilt. First off, interesting to see if a Kean squad that had a good year last year can right the ship. But Stockton is a team with a decent record that has now started off league play with 2 straight losses. For them, this sure feels like a must-win situation for both the conference aspirations and any hope of Reg. IV rankings going forward.
Great analysis. FYI in the Cent. Conf. only Muhl, McDaniel, and Haverford have grass. Muhl and Haverford are absolutely ridiculously bad fields, pretty much meadows. Almost criminal (FYI, both have turf fields - Fords behind their grass field and Muhl has a football field which could have soccer lines) However, McDaniel has a professional turf field that is pretty amazing. Probably the best grass field in Maryland at least.
FYI, Dickenson lost to Gettysburg 3-1 on Wed. so they are 4th in the conference.
Unless there is thunder and lightning, the F&M-Dickenson and JHU-Gettysburg games should be played as they are on turf fields. Right now it looks a little chilly, but not crazy rain for the central PA area. However that can all change. Should be a fun weekend.
I don't know why I keep doing that with Gettysburg... Senior moment, as G'burg used to have an ok grass field... last game of my "career" on that field... And, yeah, I got caught relying on the Centennial web site for standings. Thanks for the fix!!
Holy Moly. These Landmark "featured games" sure aren't very competitive. Unless something miraculous/catastrophic happens (perspective), we have two blowouts in the offing.
Middle of the second half, Scranton is up 3-0 on Goucher, Catholic is up 4(!!)-0 on Drew.
Yikes.
Hopkins with another "dominating" performance to take a 1-0 road win. I don't know what possession percentage was, but it must've been close to 70 percent in the second half. Goal came on a bit of bother from free kick, whipped through the six and someone got a touch to ping it in the back of the net. The looked fairly dangerous throughout, but they need guys to just take a half chance/shot more often. I know it's a broken record... but it's just that glaring.
Still only one goal conceded, which is pretty remarkable.
=-=--==
I didn't watch much, but Dips took a t 2-1 win at home. I know it was 2-0 fairly early in the match, so seemed like a pretty comfortable result.
=-=-=-=-=-=
After the Captains took an early and well-deserved lead (in terms of the finish... which was brilliant), the Falcons absolutely ripped them apart in front of a Homecoming crowd on the way to a 4-1 win. Finishes that I saw (first 3) were absolutely stunning. Messiah, as I said in Friday, are on fire right now.
Hopkins also played a man-up for 70+ minutes. Gettysburg came out very aggressive - pressing high and hard - which gave Hopkins some trouble. One of the G'burg players got a little carried away and came in with a ridiculously reckless tackle, for which he received a straight red card. As Hopkins92 noted, JHU controlled possession. However, Gettysburg had a number of very dangerous chances. The JHU goalkeeper, Alex Morgret, made a few outstanding saves.
The Centennial is setting up for a momentous final regular season game between JHU and F&M at Homewood.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 02, 2022, 11:03:52 AM
Hopkins also played a man-up for 70+ minutes. Gettysburg came out very aggressive - pressing high and hard - which gave Hopkins some trouble. One of the G'burg players got a little carried away and came in with a ridiculously reckless tackle, for which he received a straight red card. As Hopkins92 noted, JHU controlled possession. However, Gettysburg had a number of very dangerous chances. The JHU goalkeeper, Alex Morgret, made a few outstanding saves.
The Centennial is setting up for a momentous final regular season game between JHU and F&M at Homewood.
:D
Once again, to keep my marriage in tact, had the game on the laptop while watching Netflix and missed the red card. Explains that second half, for sure.
Centennial
Hopkins 1:0 Gettysburg
Dickinson 1:2 F&M
Washington 2:0 Ursinus
Fords 0:0 Muhles
Swat 0:1 McDaniel
Landmark
Catholic 4:1 Drew
Susquehanna 0:2 Moravian
Juniata 0:1 E'town
Goucher 0:3 Scranton
MAC-F
King's 0:2 Stevens
Arcadia 0:2 Misericordia
Del. Valley 0:5 Lycoming
DeSales 3:4 Wilkes
Valley Forge 0:2 FDU-F
MAC-C
CNU 1:4 Messiah
Alvernia 2:0 Hood
Widener 3:1 York
Eastern 1:2 Stevenson
Leb. Valley 3:0 Albright
NJAC
Montclair St. 5-2 Ramapo
Rutgers-Camden 1:0 NJCU
Rowan - Rutgers-Newark (ppd to today)
TCNJ - 1:2 Will. Paterson
Kean 1:1 Stockton
Out of all that, of particular note:
* - McDaniel with a Centennial result. Just keeping tabs on the Night Terrors.
* - Misericordia with a significant result
* - York got worked at home by Widener. I might dig deeper on that Widener squad to see what might have changed from the 0-3 start. Now won 5 of 6 and that was a dominant performance in York. Their striker looked really dangerous. Wonder if he was out of form early?? More on that later...
* - We talked about that Kean game... 1-1 tie leaves you wondering about Stockton going forward... or is this more Kean coming into form?
ETA - Widener striker is Sean Fatiga (junior) who now has 5 on the season after his brace against York. From what I can gather, most of these goals have come in the last couple of weeks... He was clinical on both finishes. He's a bit of a tank and tough to dispossess. Gonna keep an eye on him.
Second point, Messiah's MacDonald now has 11G, 1A on the year after scoring yesterday. I was rambling about him looking like an All-American after his assist against NYU... Not like I'm uncovering a hidden gem :D, but I hadn't looked up his stats. That's gotta be close to leading the nation, no?
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 02, 2022, 11:03:52 AM
The Centennial is setting up for a momentous final regular season game between JHU and F&M at Homewood.
Just went back and looked at respective skeds... I'm not going to jinx my boys... nuff said.
Dips still have Gettysburg, Swat and Haverford. First game speaks for itself, historical stuff pulls in the stress with the other two.
But, yeah... your statement stands
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2022, 04:11:01 PM
Second point, Messiah's MacDonald now has 11G, 1A on the year after scoring yesterday. I was rambling about him looking like an All-American after his assist against NYU... Not like I'm uncovering a hidden gem :D, but I hadn't looked up his stats. That's gotta be close to leading the nation, no?
Coming into the weekend, Matt McDonald's 10 goals was tied for 7th in the nation. The NCAA stats should update later tonight or early tomorrow.
https://www.ncaa.com/stats/soccer-men/d3/current/individual/573
http://stats.ncaa.org/rankings/change_sport_year_div
When looking at goals per game (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/soccer-men/d3/current/individual/5), I see Alem Duratovic (Kenyon) had 9 in 8 games, now 9 in 9 after the weekend. Not bad even if he scored a hattrick against Spalding.
A more familiar name I see among the leaders is Rutgers-Newark's Frank Catania with 10 goals (and 3 assists) in 10 games a he tries to improve upon last years' 20 goals and 5 assists. His team could use goal number 11 tonight to defeat Rowan as the teams are tied 1-1 entering the second half of their NJAC tilt.
Sorry, I guess I took that off the Mid-Atlantic topic.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 02, 2022, 09:08:21 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2022, 04:11:01 PM
Second point, Messiah's MacDonald now has 11G, 1A on the year after scoring yesterday. I was rambling about him looking like an All-American after his assist against NYU... Not like I'm uncovering a hidden gem :D, but I hadn't looked up his stats. That's gotta be close to leading the nation, no?
Coming into the weekend, Matt McDonald's 10 goals was tied for 7th in the nation. The NCAA stats should update later tonight or early tomorrow.
https://www.ncaa.com/stats/soccer-men/d3/current/individual/573
http://stats.ncaa.org/rankings/change_sport_year_div
When looking at goals per game (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/soccer-men/d3/current/individual/5), I see Alem Duratovic (Kenyon) had 9 in 8 games, now 9 in 9 after the weekend. Not bad even if he scored a hattrick against Spalding.
A more familiar name I see among the leaders is Rutgers-Newark's Frank Catania with 10 goals (and 3 assists) in 10 games a he tries to improve upon last years' 20 goals and 5 assists.
Duratovic, a soph, also doesn't start, although the 2nd line forwards essentially split time with the two starters.
True about the 2-1 win by F&M against Dickinson. F&M dominated possession and the goals were nice. Dickenson keeper played well and it could have easily been more. Sloppy goal given up in the last 10.
One thing that may not be discussed much on this board is substitutions. For instance and excluding keeper, F&M only had two players playing 80 plus minutes and substitutes played substantial time. This is consistent throughout the year. Fortunately, almost no drop off when subs come in for F&M.
Got to look for rest as well as looking for players to step up if there are injuries. There are way, way too many games played in such a short period of time. Coaches have to have deep dependable benches. If not, losing one or two starters devastate teams.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 02, 2022, 11:03:52 AM
The Centennial is setting up for a momentous final regular season game between JHU and F&M at Homewood.
Very true. Still a lot of soccer to be played. I'm sure JHU will also be looking avenge last year's loss at Tylus.
MAF Power Rankings (Region 4 and Region 5)
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. Misericordia
4. Lycoming
5. NYU
6. St. Mary's (Md)
7. NJ City
8. Stockton
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Gettysburg
5. Alvernia
6. Catholic
7. Drew
8. Scranton
9. McDaniel
10. Swarthmore
Thanks for that MAF... past the top 3 in each region, all of those teams have significant question marks. I still can't get over Lyco getting so thoroughly smashed by Messiah. No shame in it, but 5-0 is just hard for me to get past.
I almost went to Drew back in the day, so I have (very tenuous) soft spot for them. But, hoo boy, that was not a great home performance on Saturday. Again, nothing too crazy about losing to Catholic, but that was very one-sided. And while we're talking about the Cardinals, they've taken down both Scranton and Drew... Nothing really stopping them from running the table at this point. Not meant to jinx, but they looked really good and the remaining conf. sked has now opened wide.
I would also rate NYU... They gave Messiah all they could handle. They will have some nice UAA tests to boost their SoS, which is already pretty good.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 03, 2022, 01:43:30 PM
MAF Power Rankings (Region 4 and Region 5)
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. Misericordia
4. Lycoming
5. NYU
6. St. Mary's (Md)
7. NJ City
8. Stockton[/b]
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Gettysburg
5. Alvernia
6. Catholic
7. Drew
8. Scranton
9. McDaniel
10. Swarthmore
Montclair is a stronger team than Stevens.
Quote from: camosfan on October 03, 2022, 05:18:45 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 03, 2022, 01:43:30 PM
MAF Power Rankings (Region 4 and Region 5)
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. Misericordia
4. Lycoming
5. NYU
6. St. Mary's (Md)
7. NJ City
8. Stockton[/b]
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Gettysburg
5. Alvernia
6. Catholic
7. Drew
8. Scranton
9. McDaniel
10. Swarthmore
Montclair is a stronger team than Stevens.
@camosfan, you might want to ask some of your Tufts brethren about that.
tough game last year notwithstanding. They have a good starting 11 but lack the depth you need for the knockout phase of the competition.
Yep, the Stevens depth definitely really killed them against Tufts when they got to PK shootout after 110 minutes and lost 11-10.
I feel Stevens has the most depth next to Messiah and Hopkins around this region. They may even have more than Hopkins top to bottom. They don't play a hard schedule but it's not a cake walk either. Outside of an opening day tie they have not skipped a beat, giving up just 3 goals in 8 games--including a 3-0 dismantling of F&M. Wins over F&M, Vassar and NYU all bode well for the Ducks. They will have 2 or 3 tests in conference play as they travel to Lycoming and Arcadia and host Misericordia. I wouldn't be surprised if they ran the table and went into the post-season without a loss.
I would rate them ahead of Montclair at the moment, but doesn't mean Montclair wouldn't give them a game if they faced off :)
Doing a scan of our region for the mid-week games... Everyone (pretty much) is in full "out of conference" mode.
- I've noted that Goucher (5-2-3) was having a relatively good year, and they face off against Hopkins tomorrow at Homewood "Needs to Replace Its Turf" Field. While they just got waxed by Scrantonn(0-3), they have a tie against Drew (1-1) and could be problematic for the Jays. Mainly because they are traditionally an "easy" game and could easily set-up as a trap game.
- Swat (6-3-1) faces off against Misericordia (6-1-3) tomorrow in a game that could be really important for post-season aspirations. Both teams have some compelling results, but nothing really jumps off the page as a signature win. Either one should relish the opportunity to build their resume tomorrow.
- Wash. vs. TCNJ, Muhles v. Moravian and Haverford v. Rutgers-Camden are testers for all involved. I keep waiting for the Fords to turn things around, but maybe it's just not their year.
- Over in the MAC... nothing really grabs me. The Eastern v. Widener match is personally interesting, because I feel like Widener is kind of on to something and they have me intrigued. We're always tracking the leaders, so Stevens squaring off with FDU-Fordham (5-2-2) is probably worth tracking.
- Kean v. NYU is a solid test on Tuesday, and Rutgers-Newark v. Drew gives the Rangers a chance to bounce back from Saturday's debacle.
- Kean v. NYU is a solid test on Tuesday, and Rutgers-Camden v. Drew gives the Rangers a chance to bounce back from Saturday's debacle.
RCU plays Haverford tomorrow.
Yeah, which I note above... Still getting used to the NJAC. :D
(thanks for catching).
Region 4
https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/rankings/college-rankings/ncaa-diii-men-iv/
Region 5
https://unitedsoccercoaches.org/rankings/college-rankings/ncaa-diii-men-v/
Region 5 about what you expect but Region 4 a little odd with Rutgers-Newark seemingly jumping out of nowhere and I am not sure why. RUN leaps to 4th after not being ranked in the previous poll with a 5-3-3 record--ahead of 6-1-3 Misericordia, 5-2-4 Lyco, and 7-3-2 Stockton (who RUN beat 3-1). Outside of the Stockton win really no results for RUN and losses to Babson, Stevens, and NYU and draws with Salisbury, St. Mary's, and Rowan. 0 or maybe 1 quality win on the resume and am surprised that NYU was dropped and at how high RUN have jumped for no apparent reason. We know the USC rankings aren't always the most accurate but this has to be an oversight right? At least NYU has a nice result over CMU and tested Messiah until the very end. A head scratcher ???
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2022, 04:11:01 PM
Second point, Messiah's MacDonald now has 11G, 1A on the year after scoring yesterday. I was rambling about him looking like an All-American after his assist against NYU... Not like I'm uncovering a hidden gem :D, but I hadn't looked up his stats. That's gotta be close to leading the nation, no?
Going into the game last fall when Messiah played at NYU (on 25 September), they were still trying to figure out how and from whom to get goals. I watched that one from a hotel room in Zagreb and missed some of it when the stream went in and out, but I remember commenting here somewhere that I thought the Falcons might have finally found their striker in Matt MacDonald. He really stood out in that game, even though he scored just 1 goal on a cross from Zach Venus as part of the second team--he hadn't been starting and he didn't start that game either, but after his emergence vs NYU as a really dangerous scorer he started the rest of the way and finished the season with 8 goals and 4 assists to lead the team with 20 points. By the end of the season, he had clearly cemented himself into the striker role, though he also makes wonderful passes to open teammates, such as the one Hopkins92 commented on and the one that won the game in OT vs Kenyon in last year's tournament. He's very energetic, sometimes too much so (earning Yellows for too much aggression), with a motor that never stops and with moves to die for. IMO, he's as good right now as David McClellan, a two-time first-team AA in 2004 and 2005, or Jeremy Payne, a three-time first-team AA from 2012-2014. In other words, with the sole exception of that truly exceptional season from Nick West, Matt MacDonald is probably as good as any striker the Falcons have had. He hasn't done it for multiple full seasons as those guys did (and COVID surely has something to do with this), but I think he's just as dangerous. He's probably faster than either McClellan or Payne, he can score in multiple ways as they could, he has a great nose for the ball, and he makes his teammates better. I expect other longtime Falcon fans might differ with me here, but at least I've watched enough games for enough years to be entitled to have an opinion about this.
Pre-COVID, MacDonald typically played in the back or various MF roles, but not up front. Some have noted the unusual tendency for Messiah to convert certain defenders into attackers from one season to the next, and he's just the latest example. If he doesn't get injured and continues to play his best for a contender for the national title, he has to be a first-team AA this year.
This weekend's action:
NJAC
RUN @ TCNJ
William Paterson @ Stockton
Kean @ RUC
NJCU @ Ramapo
Rowan @ Montclair
GOTW: Going to stick with NJCU again for GOTW. After picking up their 1st conference win since 2013, the Gothic Knights found themselves back in the losing column against RUC. Can they pick up their 2nd conference win in 9 years against a sub-par Ramapo team?
CENTENNIAL
Haverford @ Ursinus
Dickinson @ McDaniel
Hopkins @ Washington
F&M @ Gettysburg
Swarthmore @ Muhlenberg
GOTW: F&M @ Gettysburg. F&M brings their 3-0-1 conference record to Gettysburg (2-1-1) who are still smarting from going down a man in the first half against Hopkins and losing 0-1.
LANDMARK
Elizabethtown @ Scranton
Juniata @ Catholic
Susquehanna @ Goucher
Moravian @ Drew
GOTW: Moravian @ Drew. Amazingly, Moravian is 2-0 in conference play, but just lost 2-0 to Muhlenberg. On the flip side, Drew is 0-1-1 and coming off a 2-0 win over Rutgers-Newark. Dare I say this is a must win for Drew?
MAC-C
Hood @ Eastern
Albright @ Stevenson
Widener @ Lebanon Valley
Messiah @ Alvernia
GOTW: Messiah @ Alvernia. If only for the simply reason that Alvernia (7-1-4) is likely the only conference opponent that has even the slightest chance of beating Messiah. But even that chance is slim to none, and slim just left town.
MAC-F
Stevens @ Wilkes
Lycoming @ Arcadia
Misericordia @ DeSales
FDU-Florham @ Delaware Valley
GOTW: Not many intriguing match-ups this week, so we go with Stevens @ Wilkes. For some inexplicable reason, #4 Stevens just tied FDU 0-0. That's gotta hurt and it'll be interesting to see how they respond against a Wilkes team who will surely look to kick a team while they're down.
Around the Region Results...
MAC Commonwealth
LVC drew Alvernia 2-2
York blanked Albright 3-0
Messiah handled Stevenson 4-0
Widener edges Eastern 1-0
MAC Freedom
FDU stuns Stevens with a 0-0 draw
Lyco handles Wilkes 2-1
Del Val upsets Kings 2-1
Arcadia & DeSales postponed
Landmark, NJAC, and Centennial were all in non-conference action with many of them facing each other...
Hopkins beat Goucher 1-0
MW beat Catholic 3-1
Drew dropped Newark 2-0
Gettysburg coasts by Susquehanna 3-1
Etown beat Immaculata 2-1
Muhles beat Moravian 2-0
Swat and Misericordia drew (Tues) 0-0
McDaniel 6-0 over Christendom
TCNJ over Wash College 1-0
F&M over Rosemont 4-1
Ursinus over Bryn Athyn 2-1
Camden and Fords drew 0-0
The results that stand out from last night were Stevens drawing at home with a pesky FDU side, Catholic getting thumped by Mary Washington, and Drew edging Newark. Some big games this weekend as Ejay noted. It will be fun to see how it unfolds!
Yeah, as I noted in my post above, FDU-F is 5-2-2... kind of quietly putting together a nice year. They were 9-8-1 last year, a mark they bookended with a similar record in 2015, but in between they've been a pretty raggedy side. Putting them in the McDaniel pile of a team putting things together in a way you're not used to seeing.
A watch that I'm on which I'm on an island is Widener, particularly their striker Sean Fatiga. He scored the lone goal against Eastern to pull his number to 6Gs on the year. I'll keep banging this drum: After starting the season 0-3, the Pride are now on a 6-1 runner with the lone loss to Stevens. Not sure it's sustainable, but that's impressive.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 06, 2022, 12:13:17 PM
Yeah, as I noted in my post above, FDU-F is 5-2-2... kind of quietly putting together a nice year. They were 9-8-1 last year, a mark they bookended with a similar record in 2015, but in between they've been a pretty raggedy side. Putting them in the McDaniel pile of a team putting things together in a way you're not used to seeing.
A watch that I'm on which I'm on an island is Widener, particularly their striker Sean Fatiga. He scored the lone goal against Eastern to pull his number to 6Gs on the year. I'll keep banging this drum: After starting the season 0-3, the Pride are now on a 6-1 runner with the lone loss to Stevens. Not sure it's sustainable, but that's impressive.
Watched FDU-F last night against Stevens from the bleachers. And if anything, they were very disciplined defensively. Made it difficult for Stevens to get clear looks at goal. They did have some players that I thought were pretty good ball players, which I was surprised about. Not sure why I was surprised, but I wasnt expecting FDU-F to give the fight that they were clearly ready for.
SC.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 06, 2022, 12:52:09 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 06, 2022, 12:13:17 PM
Yeah, as I noted in my post above, FDU-F is 5-2-2... kind of quietly putting together a nice year. They were 9-8-1 last year, a mark they bookended with a similar record in 2015, but in between they've been a pretty raggedy side. Putting them in the McDaniel pile of a team putting things together in a way you're not used to seeing.
A watch that I'm on which I'm on an island is Widener, particularly their striker Sean Fatiga. He scored the lone goal against Eastern to pull his number to 6Gs on the year. I'll keep banging this drum: After starting the season 0-3, the Pride are now on a 6-1 runner with the lone loss to Stevens. Not sure it's sustainable, but that's impressive.
Watched FDU-F last night against Stevens from the bleachers. And if anything, they were very disciplined defensively. Made it difficult for Stevens to get clear looks at goal. They did have some players that I thought were pretty good ball players, which I was surprised about. Not sure why I was surprised, but I wasnt expecting FDU-F to give the fight that they were clearly ready for.
SC.
The brothers from Bridgewater or Sommerville are good players,was surprised the younger went to FDU.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 06, 2022, 12:13:17 PM
Yeah, as I noted in my post above, FDU-F is 5-2-2... kind of quietly putting together a nice year. They were 9-8-1 last year, a mark they bookended with a similar record in 2015, but in between they've been a pretty raggedy side. Putting them in the McDaniel pile of a team putting things together in a way you're not used to seeing.
It isn't surprising that Coach O'Connor has the Devils playing well. He had a pretty successful stint coaching Centenary, making the Tournament a few times. And with FDU, his biggest "win" was probably last year (his 2nd) when they beat crosstown foe Drew for the first time in 35 years. I expect they'll be .500 or better moving forward, with a occasional very good year every now and again.
Hopkins ties Washington College 1-1 after Washington College is awarded and converts a PK with 1:50 remaining. I admit that I am biased but the foul called for the PK was ridiculous. A ball was floated into the box, the Hopkins GK punched it out and collided with a Washington College player, and the ref called a foul on the Hopkins GK and gave him a yellow card.
Hopkins paid the price for not scoring more goals when they had chances. Former teammates and I have been expecting this - every game is close and all any team needs is one call late in the game to get a goal.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 08, 2022, 06:50:57 PM
Hopkins ties Washington College 1-1 after Washington College is awarded and converts a PK with 1:50 remaining. I admit that I am biased but the foul called for the PK was ridiculous. A ball was floated into the box, the Hopkins GK punched it out and collided with a Washington College player, and the ref called a foul on the Hopkins GK and gave him a yellow card.
Hopkins paid the price for not scoring more goals when they had chances. Former teammates and I have been expecting this - every game is close and all any team needs is one call late in the game to get a goal.
I'd love to see a replay a few times but watching live I was stunned the ref called a foul there. If anything I thought it was going the other way. Imo the GK has got to be free to make that play, and I agree with everything else you said as I noted in other thread.
Quote from: Ejay on October 06, 2022, 08:20:46 AM
This weekend's action:
NJAC
RUN @ TCNJ
William Paterson @ Stockton
Kean @ RUC
NJCU @ Ramapo
Rowan @ Montclair
GOTW: Going to stick with NJCU again for GOTW. After picking up their 1st conference win since 2013, the Gothic Knights found themselves back in the losing column against RUC. Can they pick up their 2nd conference win in 9 years against a sub-par Ramapo team?
CENTENNIAL
Haverford @ Ursinus
Dickinson @ McDaniel
Hopkins @ Washington
F&M @ Gettysburg
Swarthmore @ Muhlenberg
GOTW: F&M @ Gettysburg. F&M brings their 3-0-1 conference record to Gettysburg (2-1-1) who are still smarting from going down a man in the first half against Hopkins and losing 0-1.
LANDMARK
Elizabethtown @ Scranton
Juniata @ Catholic
Susquehanna @ Goucher
Moravian @ Drew
GOTW: Moravian @ Drew. Amazingly, Moravian is 2-0 in conference play, but just lost 2-0 to Muhlenberg. On the flip side, Drew is 0-1-1 and coming off a 2-0 win over Rutgers-Newark. Dare I say this is a must win for Drew?
MAC-C
Hood @ Eastern
Albright @ Stevenson
Widener @ Lebanon Valley
Messiah @ Alvernia
GOTW: Messiah @ Alvernia. If only for the simply reason that Alvernia (7-1-4) is likely the only conference opponent that has even the slightest chance of beating Messiah. But even that chance is slim to none, and slim just left town.
MAC-F
Stevens @ Wilkes
Lycoming @ Arcadia
Misericordia @ DeSales
FDU-Florham @ Delaware Valley
GOTW: Not many intriguing match-ups this week, so we go with Stevens @ Wilkes. For some inexplicable reason, #4 Stevens just tied FDU 0-0. That's gotta hurt and it'll be interesting to see how they respond against a Wilkes team who will surely look to kick a team while they're down.
GOTW RESULTS
- NJCU is outshot 20-8 but draws with a 1-6-2 Ramapo team, 2-2. I think it's safe to say NJCU's dream season has ended and they're back to where and what we expected.
- F&M and Gettysburg both score in the second half and draw 1-1 in a game that was statistically even.
- Moravian remains undefeated in Landmark play with a 0-0 draw @. Drew. Drew is now 10-0 in non-conference games, but 0-1-2 in conference.
- Shocker...Messiah smokes Alvernia 4-0. Not much else to say.
- Stevens scores in the 83rd minute to squeak by 4-7-1 Wilkes. The Ducks need to get it together soon or they can expect an early post-season exit.
Quote from: Ejay on October 08, 2022, 10:04:02 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 06, 2022, 08:20:46 AM
- F&M and Gettysburg both score in the second half and draw 1-1 in a game that was statistically even.
I was at the Gettysburg-F&M game and while statistically 1-1, F&M dominated, especially in the second half. Like many of their games, they got very close to the second goal. The first half was a wash for both teams. F&M's coaches made some great adjustments at the half. If you were to watch the game, watch the second half.
I am pretty sure Gettysburg did not good coming out of that game. The goal they got was off a long throw with the ball ping ponging around. The F&M had a very nice goal, but couldn't finish on other opportunities.
Like JHU, they can't rely on only scoring one goal a game. If JHU and F&M both win out in the Cent. Conf., the last game of the season could be epic. Winner takes all and gets the semis and final at home. If tied, JHU would take the conference.
While the game as statistically even I felt Gettysburg dominated the 1st half, particularly the mid-field, while the 2nd half favored F&M. However, I felt Gettysburg was more threatening throughout the match and had more quality opportunities.
With this tie how do you think it will effect the diplomats and bullets top 25 rankings?
MAF Power Rankings (Region 4 and Region 5)
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. Misericordia
4. Lycoming
5. St. Mary's (Md)
6. Stockton
T7. Lancaster Bible/PSU-Harrisburg/NYU/RUN (flip a coin ???)
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Gettysburg
T5. Catholic
T5. Alvernia
7. Drew
8. McDaniel
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 09, 2022, 11:51:23 PM
With this tie how do you think it will effect the diplomats and bullets top 25 rankings?
IMO it should have minimal impact either way. Doesn't hurt them but won't help them.
Condolences to York (PA) on the death of Andrew Ruehlicke.
https://www.wgal.com/article/student-death-at-york-college-campus/41565026#
Thank you for sharing this. Coach Scheffey is a friend of mine and York College is to travel to Messiah tomorrow. Please keep these young men in your prayers as they each deal with the passing of their teammate.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 06, 2022, 12:13:17 PM
A watch that I'm on which I'm on an island is Widener, particularly their striker Sean Fatiga. He scored the lone goal against Eastern to pull his number to 6Gs on the year. I'll keep banging this drum: After starting the season 0-3, the Pride are now on a 6-1 runner with the lone loss to Stevens. Not sure it's sustainable, but that's impressive.
Widener ties Leb Valley to stay atop the MAC-C (7pts) ahead of Messiah (6pts) but the Falcons have a game in hand. No goal for Fatiga.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 11, 2022, 10:26:32 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 06, 2022, 12:13:17 PM
A watch that I'm on which I'm on an island is Widener, particularly their striker Sean Fatiga. He scored the lone goal against Eastern to pull his number to 6Gs on the year. I'll keep banging this drum: After starting the season 0-3, the Pride are now on a 6-1 runner with the lone loss to Stevens. Not sure it's sustainable, but that's impressive.
Widener ties Leb Valley to stay atop the MAC-C (7pts) ahead of Messiah (6pts) but the Falcons have a game in hand. No goal for Fatiga.
I can not speak on Fatiga but I think McDonald's 12 goals and 1 assist is not too bad
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 11, 2022, 10:34:21 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 11, 2022, 10:26:32 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 06, 2022, 12:13:17 PM
A watch that I'm on which I'm on an island is Widener, particularly their striker Sean Fatiga. He scored the lone goal against Eastern to pull his number to 6Gs on the year. I'll keep banging this drum: After starting the season 0-3, the Pride are now on a 6-1 runner with the lone loss to Stevens. Not sure it's sustainable, but that's impressive.
Widener ties Leb Valley to stay atop the MAC-C (7pts) ahead of Messiah (6pts) but the Falcons have a game in hand. No goal for Fatiga.
I can not speak on Fatiga but I think McDonald's 12 goals and 1 assist is not too bad
Yep, I was singing his praises earlier. Love watching that dude play.
For Widener, the offense pretty much runs through Fatiga so it's a lot easier for teams to double him to try to take him out of the game. Messiah has such a strong team that you can't game plan around just shutting down Macdonald and focusing on him will leave you exposed. He's a clinical finisher and has one of the highest work rates I've seen in a D3 striker but playing on Messiah helps the numbers a bit
Messiah dominated a good York side tonight, generating half a dozen great shots resulting in four goals, while York almost scored on a rocket off the crossbar. The first goal came off a spectacular drive by backup OB Caleb Aldridge, who beat 3 defenders in succession and took it all the way into the box, passing at close range to an open Josh Bratager. The videos of each goal on the Falcon website are already up: be sure to watch this one and the brilliant goal by Matt MacDonald with his left foot. The announcers think it was really an own goal, but it looked to me (live) and still looks (video) that Matt somehow beat the keeper and two defenders to the ball.
The Falcons continue to play with great pace and precision, unlike any other team (Falcon or otherwise) I've seen for many years. Maybe Chicago is better—their record is no less impressive on paper—but, I think this is the best Falcon team in many years, and it's hard to imagine anyone slowing them down.
McDonald definitely got his right foot on that goal. But I gotta say, that York keeper was pretty suspect on all those goals. Would love to hear what SC and Hopkins92 have to say.
Quote from: Ejay on October 11, 2022, 10:15:02 PM
McDonald definitely got his right foot on that goal. But I gotta say, that York keeper was pretty suspect on all those goals. Would love to hear what SC and Hopkins92 have to say.
Wouldn't expect the keeper to stop goal #1 point blank shot from 10 yards out, #2 (Keeper came off his line so so late and had he been on his toes could have easily beaten everyone to the ball), and #3(Someone I forget, shot it from where the end line meets the 18 from the right side. Not sure if the keeper didn't expect it but also a very easy shot to stop for most keepers) were extremely suspect. Wouldn't expect to see that type of luck against better keepers in the offseason. #4 was a solid header from Leitzel.
Quote from: Ejay on October 11, 2022, 10:15:02 PM
McDonald definitely got his right foot on that goal. But I gotta say, that York keeper was pretty suspect on all those goals. Would love to hear what SC and Hopkins92 have to say.
If I'm his coach and we're looking back...
1st goal... Did you have your feet set? Were you able to square up to the ball at all... Kinda looks like you were still almost sideways right as the shot was taken... With that said, that's a pinball situation and I'm not gonna mark you down too much on that one. You just have to keep moving your feet...
2nd goal... You gotta know your opponent. The bald guy has a jet pack strapped to his back... If you're gonna come off your line, you absolutely have to be there first. You were not, because jet pack. Would've been better off closing 6-7 yards and then making yourself big. (He would've rounded you, but that's a lower percentage play for him, with two guys on his back.)
3rd goal... Dude. Dude? Duuuuuude. Near post goals mean sit-ups, you know this. That was Charmin soft.
4th goal...Again with the footwork. You just weren't set... You should have been able to tip that... We will have tip drills until you are very annoyed at the next contact practice.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2022, 09:54:01 AM
Quote from: Ejay on October 11, 2022, 10:15:02 PM
McDonald definitely got his right foot on that goal. But I gotta say, that York keeper was pretty suspect on all those goals. Would love to hear what SC and Hopkins92 have to say.
If I'm his coach and we're looking back...
1st goal... Did you have your feet set? Were you able to square up to the ball at all... Kinda looks like you were still almost sideways right as the shot was taken... With that said, that's a pinball situation and I'm not gonna mark you down too much on that one. You just have to keep moving your feet...
2nd goal... You gotta know your opponent. The bald guy has a jet pack strapped to his back... If you're gonna come off your line, you absolutely have to be there first. You were not, because jet pack. Would've been better off closing 6-7 yards and then making yourself big. (He would've rounded you, but that's a lower percentage play for him, with two guys on his back.)
3rd goal... Dude. Dude? Duuuuuude. Near post goals mean sit-ups, you know this. That was Charmin soft.
4th goal...Again with the footwork. You just weren't set... You should have been able to tip that... We will have tip drills until you are very annoyed at the next contact practice.
I have not yet had a chance to look at the goals.... but if this is what Hopkins92 is saying, I am certain this is an accurate assessment of the goalkeeper in question.
SC.
I believe that we should be able to show a little grace to the York keeper and team considering the circumstances they are currently facing for the rest of the season and their life. They will never be able to play the game we all love without thinking about or missing their teammate. Just some thoughts.
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 12, 2022, 12:44:33 PM
I believe that we should be able to show a little grace to the York keeper and team considering the circumstances they are currently facing for the rest of the season and their life. They will never be able to play the game we all love without thinking about or missing their teammate. Just some thoughts.
Yeah, I only watched those goal highlights, but it was definitely on my mind.
Hopefully my light-hearted "notes" were not taken as being overly critical... Most keepers are pretty self-critical, so I doubt the keeper would take too much issue with the critique.
But, yeah, heavy hearts for those guys for sure. I know it's always a dilemma for a team to even keep going when you lose a teammate. Hopefully soccer gives those guys an outlet and a distraction.
York was inspiring last night - and it was great to see them take the field. They are a tough team and showed well in many regards. As for Messiah, they continue to show a form and energy that is nothing short of poetic. While we continue to see amazing play out of the starting 11, the value add from the supporting cast is something to watch. The team doesn't lose a beat when they sub, and actually get better in some regards. Some players that continue to make a difference - and definitely are adding value: Caleb Aldridge is a strong and active OB - greatly evidenced by his assist last night....he literally ran through 3 guys to make that play happen. He is a starter in quality, and I think he could be an interesting play at the wing - just a dynamic player. Luke Foster picks up his first career start. That kid just has a motor to him - fun to watch, and has a great touch on the ball, and a good vision for the field and the play ahead. Josh Bratager - got his second goal on the season - and I love watching him off the ball - always moving, and always seems to get to where the play is going.....his two goals this season are evidence of that. Patrick Lee - he's a freshman+ , he has a calmness to his play, and shows with a lot of maturity and poise on and off the ball. Dylan Englehart - got banged up and missed a few games - but that kid has speed, grit, and is a problem for opponent's back line. All in all, Messiah continues to impress, and they just seem to get better each week........
I guess add this to the pile on two fronts:
* - Hopkins needed an 86th minute goal to beat 2 win Salisbury. The game was 1-1 for a very very long time.
* - They had to really press the game in the last 10 to get the result. Just another interesting tidbit in the OT or not discussion.
Washington and Lee with their 3rd straight tie this evening against Virginia Wesleyan.....not reflective of a team that should be ranked in the top 10. W&L just doesn't look very impressive, with a style that is hard to figure out. Not a very technical team, and they don't move the ball well....a little too loose of a style. At this point in the season, they are simply over rated......Kudos to VW's GK for a few good saves....made for the only excitement in this yawner of a match.
Lynchburg 3 -1 winner over Randolph should move them ahead of W& L in the national rankings because the are the only team that Messiah has faced that tied them and Messiah 2 days earlier handle W & L 4-1 at W & L home field. Just a added note
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 12, 2022, 10:33:42 PM
Lynchburg 3 -1 winner over Randolph should move them ahead of W& L in the national rankings because the are the only team that Messiah has faced that tied them and Messiah 2 days earlier handle W & L 4-1 at W & L home field. Just a added note
Coach, your logic here is...let's say...creative.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 13, 2022, 08:13:44 AM
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 12, 2022, 10:33:42 PM
Lynchburg 3 -1 winner over Randolph should move them ahead of W& L in the national rankings because the are the only team that Messiah has faced that tied them and Messiah 2 days earlier handle W & L 4-1 at W & L home field. Just a added note
Coach, your logic here is...let's say...creative.
Perhaps, but Lynchburg actually leads ODAC with a record of 5-0-1 and W&L is 4-0-2. If Lynchburg gets by Roanoke and wins out which it may, that is a valid argument with respect rankings.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 13, 2022, 08:54:50 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 13, 2022, 08:13:44 AM
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 12, 2022, 10:33:42 PM
Lynchburg 3 -1 winner over Randolph should move them ahead of W& L in the national rankings because the are the only team that Messiah has faced that tied them and Messiah 2 days earlier handle W & L 4-1 at W & L home field. Just a added note
Coach, your logic here is...let's say...creative.
Perhaps, but Lynchburg actually leads ODAC with a record of 5-0-1 and W&L is 4-0-2. If Lynchburg gets by Roanoke and wins out which it may, that is a valid argument with respect rankings.
Not denying your argument, but from my standpoint, am not sure this a reflection of how good Lynchburg is with respect to national rankings, as it reflects on Washington and Lee.
SC.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2022, 07:25:33 PM
I guess add this to the pile on two fronts:
* - Hopkins needed an 86th minute goal to beat 2 win Salisbury. The game was 1-1 for a very very long time.
* - They had to really press the game in the last 10 to get the result. Just another interesting tidbit in the OT or not discussion.
And just to be totally fair... Good teams find a way to win. Hop is 10-0-3... We're way past "lucky" or "fluky" at this point.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 13, 2022, 08:54:50 AM
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 13, 2022, 08:13:44 AM
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 12, 2022, 10:33:42 PM
Lynchburg 3 -1 winner over Randolph should move them ahead of W& L in the national rankings because the are the only team that Messiah has faced that tied them and Messiah 2 days earlier handle W & L 4-1 at W & L home field. Just a added note
Coach, your logic here is...let's say...creative.
Perhaps, but Lynchburg actually leads ODAC with a record of 5-0-1 and W&L is 4-0-2. If Lynchburg gets by Roanoke and wins out which it may, that is a valid argument with respect rankings.
If someone thinks Lynchburg should be ranked ahead of W&L that's fine but not based on the logic that beating Randolph six weeks later somehow links up to and invokes opening weekend results. All of the results will be factored into regional rankings in a few weeks but as for poll rankings this would be a kind of double jeopardy. The opening weekend results were already factored in six weeks ago with W&L getting knocked at that time and Lynchburg credited.
Three other points. Conference standings do not always parallel rankings, either poll or regional rankings. Secondly, reverse the order of the two opening games and what do you think would have happened....if Messiah had played Lynchburg first before they no doubt had a bit of a letdown after winning a super-anticipated match with W&L? And finally, the result is what truly matters, but apparently W&L dominated most of the action just a week ago when they played Lynchburg head to head.
We won't have to wait too long as there is a very good chance Lynchburg and W&L will play at least once more...and maybe twice.
I know it's kind of an outlier, but just look at Drew:
10-1-3 Overall
0-1-2, good for 6th place in the Landmark
Weekend activity in the region.
NJAC
Stockton @ New Jersey City
RUN @ RUC
Ramapo @ Rowan
William Paterson @ Kean
TCNJ @ Montclair State
GOTW - Gotta be The Rutgers' who are sitting in 2nd and 3rd in the NJAC, though both are hovering right about .500 on the season. Edge to Newark who are the slightly better team.
CENTENNIAL
McDaniel @ Haverford
F&M @ Swarthmore
Muhlenberg @ Dickinson
Gettysburg @ Washington
Ursinus @ Johns Hopkins
GOTW - McDaniel @ Haverford. Winner keeps their playoff hopes alive while the loser will likely be watching the playoffs. McDaniel is having a very good season, but will it continue against a 3-win Haverford team?
LANDMARK
Drew @ Elizabethtown
Goucher @ Juniata
Scranton @ Moravian
Catholic @ Susquehanna
GOTW - Drew @ Elizabethtown (also in the week #2 pool). Drew is 10-1-3, but shockingly 0-1-2 in the Landmark. A loss would be devastating to the Rangers, but will ETown's grass field (only grass in the conference) favor the Blue Jays?
MAC-FREEDOM
Delaware Valley @ Wilkes
Stevens @ Lycoming
King's @ Arcadia
FDU-Florham @ Misericordia
*Albright @ DeSales
GOTW - Stevens @ Lycoming (also in the week #2 pool). #4 Stevens haven't been playing like the #4 team in the country and are ripe for an upset. Is Lycoming the team to hand it to them?
MAC-COMMONWEALTH
Alvernia @ York (Pa.)
Hood @ Lebanon Valley
Stevenson @ Widener
Eastern @ Messiah
*Albright @ DeSales
GOTW - Alvernia @ York. York are home for the first time since the tragic passing of teammate Drew Ruehlicke. Expect Spartan nation to be out in full force to honor Drew and support the team. Side note: The York women just ended Messiah's historic 150-game conference unbeaten streak dating back to October 2000!
GOTW - Gotta be The Rutgers' who are sitting in 2nd and 3rd in the NJAC, though both are hovering right about .500 on the season. Edge to Newark who are the slightly better team.
Got a son on RUC, they are so dependent on starting line up and how you sub!
As always, thanks for the rundown, Ejay...
My secondary GOTW in the MAC-C is the Stevenson v. Widener match. #2 and 3 in the conference, respectively, who'll both want to keep their longshot bid hopes alive by securing conference playoff positions.
Beyond that, the Bullets and the Shoremen are both still in the hunt in the Centennial and results this time of year are starting to get crucial. Wash is coming off an 0-1-2 run, while G'burg tied F&M and lost to MW... Both will want to grab some momentum heading down the stretch.
(On a parochial note, Hop will look to avenge last year's loss to the Bears when they face off under the lights at Homewood.)
ETA - I had Hop and Dips mixed up. :D
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 14, 2022, 08:25:11 AM
As always, thanks for the rundown, Ejay...
My secondary GOTW in the MAC-C is the Stevenson v. Widener match. #2 and 3 in the conference, respectively, who'll both want to keep their longshot bid hopes alive by securing conference playoff positions.
Beyond that, the Bullets and the Shoremen are both still in the hunt in the Centennial and results this time of year are starting to get crucial. Wash is coming off an 0-1-2 run, while G'burg tied Hop and lost to MW... Both will want to grab some momentum heading down the stretch.
(On a parochial note, Hop will look to avenge last year's loss to the Bears when they face off under the lights at Homewood.)
W&L win 5-0 over Averett and look to be back to their old form. Whether that's because they were playing a weaker team remains to be seen . . .
Quote from: Ejay on October 13, 2022, 08:58:43 PM
LANDMARK
Drew @ Elizabethtown
Goucher @ Juniata
Scranton @ Moravian
Catholic @ Susquehanna
GOTW - Drew @ Elizabethtown (also in the week #2 pool). Drew is 10-1-3, but shockingly 0-1-2 in the Landmark. A loss would be devastating to the Rangers, but will ETown's grass field (only grass in the conference) favor the Blue Jays?
Elizabethtown takes down Drew 2-0. The grass really caused problems for the Rangers who just couldn't seem to string together any quality passes. First BlueJay goal scored when Drew defender slipped about 30 yards out and the Etoen forward pounced and drove into the box before cutting back to the middle for a nice left footed finish. At 0-2-2, Drew is going to need a lot of help if they want to make the playoffs. Elizabethtown has now won 6 in a row.
Was just coming here to talk about the Etown result... They are on absolute fire right now.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 14, 2022, 08:25:11 AM
As always, thanks for the rundown, Ejay...
My secondary GOTW in the MAC-C is the Stevenson v. Widener match. #2 and 3 in the conference, respectively, who'll both want to keep their longshot bid hopes alive by securing conference playoff positions.
Beyond that, the Bullets and the Shoremen are both still in the hunt in the Centennial and results this time of year are starting to get crucial. Wash is coming off an 0-1-2 run, while G'burg tied F&M and lost to MW... Both will want to grab some momentum heading down the stretch.
(On a parochial note, Hop will look to avenge last year's loss to the Bears when they face off under the lights at Homewood.)
ETA - I had Hop and Dips mixed up. :D
Wide with the 2-0 win, Fatiga with #7.
Shoremen win to muddy the Centennial brackish waters.
Hopkins with a (no offense boys) very unconvincing 2 to nothing win against URS.
Quote from: Another Mom on October 15, 2022, 03:11:10 PM
W&L win 5-0 over Averett and look to be back to their old form. Whether that's because they were playing a weaker team remains to be seen . . .
While you can't take too much away from any win, much less a 5-0 win, I don't know if a win over Averett is necessarily a resounding marker for success. Thats a pretty low hurdle. Washington and Lee definitely has some talent - I just don't see much form even at their best. A lot of run and gun and unstructured movement from that side.
Quote from: Ejay on October 15, 2022, 05:04:13 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 13, 2022, 08:58:43 PM
LANDMARK
Drew @ Elizabethtown
Goucher @ Juniata
Scranton @ Moravian
Catholic @ Susquehanna
GOTW - Drew @ Elizabethtown (also in the week #2 pool). Drew is 10-1-3, but shockingly 0-1-2 in the Landmark. A loss would be devastating to the Rangers, but will ETown's grass field (only grass in the conference) favor the Blue Jays?
Elizabethtown takes down Drew 2-0. The grass really caused problems for the Rangers who just couldn't seem to string together any quality passes. First BlueJay goal scored when Drew defender slipped about 30 yards out and the Etoen forward pounced and drove into the box before cutting back to the middle for a nice left footed finish. At 0-2-2, Drew is going to need a lot of help if they want to make the playoffs. Elizabethtown has now won 6 in a row.
When Messiah played at Etown, that grass seemed to be shin high......cant say Im surprised about grass problems.....Etown athletic department needs to find the height adjustment on their mowers.......
Messiah with another win, and and the 6th straight game with 4 or more goals. Teams seems to continue to want to double team Matt McDonald, and while I understand that strategy - it only exposes them to the other 3-4 guys that are serious threats to score.....last night it was Ben Lefever's turn. Lefever is so solid, and last night he was on the next level. Speed, strength on the ball - and can hold up defenders better than any one I've seen all season. A well deserved brace - and I think he is only warming up. Overall another great team win last night - the Falcons are cooking with gas.
Jake Lent Koop is unflappable - and the defensive anchor for Messiah. While it is easy and understandable to focus attention on goal scoring - Messiahs back line is bananas.....all 4 are All American material (Johnson, Vollmer, Lent Koop, Morlote) , those boys lock it down and get it done. They are aggressive, technically strong, and drop absolute dimes all over the field.
In the battle of the birds of prey - Falcons seemed much greater than Eagles.........Falcon Country, Let's Fly
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on October 16, 2022, 08:22:24 AM
Quote from: Another Mom on October 15, 2022, 03:11:10 PM
W&L win 5-0 over Averett and look to be back to their old form. Whether that's because they were playing a weaker team remains to be seen . . .
While you can't take too much away from any win, much less a 5-0 win, I don't know if a win over Averett is necessarily a resounding marker for success. Thats a pretty low hurdle. Washington and Lee definitely has some talent - I just don't see much form even at their best. A lot of run and gun and unstructured movement from that side.
Have you watched the team much? Their style can be chaotic at times, for sure, but I would disagree that it's run and gun. Sometimes the looseness of the play bothers me, but I think that looseness allows for more creativity, when it goes well. In my opinion, the issue with the team is their psychology. Do they want it badly enough? Sometimes they do, and sometimes they don't:-) This unevenness happened last year around this time too.
PS I see you post a lot about Messiah. If the only game you watched was the 1st of the season, I will wholeheartedly say W&L looked terrible and Messiah looked phenomenal. W&L has improved considerably since then!
Every couple of years a new Messiah troll pops up and then disappears. It's best to not even engage ;)
This abuse wouldn't be happening if W&L was in the correct thread...the Generals are not a Mid-Atlantic, Region V team.
What thread should they go in? Seemed presumptuous to post in the "National Perspectives" one, and, funnily enough there isn't an ODAC thread.
Quote from: Another Mom on October 16, 2022, 09:22:13 AM
What thread should they go in? Seemed presumptuous to post in the "National Perspectives" one, and, funnily enough there isn't an ODAC thread.
I was kidding....but I think a returning Final 4 team that was ranked #1 all last season and top 15 all this season qualifies for "National Perspectives" or you could start a South Atlantic/Region VI thread...or ODAC.
How many key players is W&L missing from last year's squad?
I'd say 3, their GK, Center back and striker. However, first year GK has stepped up and is very good. New center backs are also excellent, Tyler Smith has dropped back from the midfield, where he was also really good.
They have a pretty deep bench too, moreso than many teams.
Quote from: Another Mom on October 16, 2022, 09:43:51 AM
I'd say 3, their GK, Center back and striker. However, first year GK has stepped up and is very good. New center backs are also excellent, Tyler Smith has dropped back from the midfield, where he was also really good.
They have a pretty deep bench too, moreso than many teams.
That's what I thought...very similar to Conn Coll with most of team returning although comparatively Conn has had an even more diffcult time. And yeah, I forgot about Zimmerman but iirc he really got hot the second half of the season long after W&L had been #1 for weeks.
Anecdotal take here -- watched CNU play both Messiah and W&L. W&L is good, Messiah is on another level -- unlike any other team I've seen play this year.
Quote from: Chargers96 on October 16, 2022, 09:52:24 AM
Anecdotal take here -- watched CNU play both Messiah and W&L. W&L is good, Messiah is on another level -- unlike any other team I've seen play this year.
What other teams have you watched other than messiah CNU and W&L. I wonder what you think about the rest of the mid Atlantic and the rest of the quality teams in the country. This is not just a two team bracket.
Quote from: Another Mom on October 16, 2022, 08:41:16 AM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on October 16, 2022, 08:22:24 AM
Quote from: Another Mom on October 15, 2022, 03:11:10 PM
W&L win 5-0 over Averett and look to be back to their old form. Whether that's because they were playing a weaker team remains to be seen . . .
While you can't take too much away from any win, much less a 5-0 win, I don't know if a win over Averett is necessarily a resounding marker for success. Thats a pretty low hurdle. Washington and Lee definitely has some talent - I just don't see much form even at their best. A lot of run and gun and unstructured movement from that side.
Have you watched the team much? Their style can be chaotic at times, for sure, but I would disagree that it's run and gun. Sometimes the looseness of the play bothers me, but I think that looseness allows for more creativity, when it goes well. In my opinion, the issue with the team is their psychology. Do they want it badly enough? Sometimes they do, and sometimes they don't:-) This unevenness happened last year around this time too.
Watched them a fair amount this season.....they have some really good talent. Absolutely expect them to be in the mix come tournament time....
Widener with a big 2-0 win over Stevenson. They are now 7-4-2 and 3-0-1 in the the MAC-C. Fatiga scored to open things up and now has 7 goals on the season. They have Alvernia and Messiah to end the season.
I'll go back and look, but this is shaping up to be one of the best seasons in Pride history.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 16, 2022, 11:15:20 AM
Widener with a big 2-0 win over Stevenson. They are now 7-4-2 and 3-0-1 in the the MAC-C. Fatiga scored to open things up and now has 7 goals on the season. They have Alvernia and Messiah to end the season.
I'll go back and look, but this is shaping up to be one of the best seasons in Pride history.
Widener looks to be the real deal......a good collection of players.
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on October 16, 2022, 11:20:56 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 16, 2022, 11:15:20 AM
Widener with a big 2-0 win over Stevenson. They are now 7-4-2 and 3-0-1 in the the MAC-C. Fatiga scored to open things up and now has 7 goals on the season. They have Alvernia and Messiah to end the season.
I'll go back and look, but this is shaping up to be one of the best seasons in Pride history.
Widener looks to be the real deal......a good collection of players.
Come on now, "real deal" seems to be a bit hyperbolic. Their 7 wins:
Cairn - 5-4-4
Susquehanna - 1-9-3
Neumann - 5-6-1
Keystone - 4-8-1
York 6-5-2
Eastern 5-8-1
Stevenson 4-6-5
I suspect Messiah wins by 5.
Are you going to call Rosemont the Real Deal because they're 6-2-3 and feature a 20 goal scorer in So. Kaiden Fields and 14 goal scorer in Fr. Clayton Crosse?
Quote from: Ejay on October 16, 2022, 05:33:14 PM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on October 16, 2022, 11:20:56 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 16, 2022, 11:15:20 AM
Widener with a big 2-0 win over Stevenson. They are now 7-4-2 and 3-0-1 in the the MAC-C. Fatiga scored to open things up and now has 7 goals on the season. They have Alvernia and Messiah to end the season.
I'll go back and look, but this is shaping up to be one of the best seasons in Pride history.
Widener looks to be the real deal......a good collection of players.
Come on now, "real deal" seems to be a bit hyperbolic. Their 7 wins:
Cairn - 5-4-4
Susquehanna - 1-9-3
Neumann - 5-6-1
Keystone - 4-8-1
York 6-5-2
Eastern 5-8-1
Stevenson 4-6-5
I suspect Messiah wins by 5.
Are you going to call Rosemont the Real Deal because they're 6-2-3 and feature a 20 goal scorer in So. Kaiden Fields and 14 goal scorer in Fr. Clayton Crosse?
Hyperbolic, maybe - but when you have a paucity of discrete data points - you can't look past the reality of what the record is. But, I agree - Messiah should have little problem adding to their loss column.
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on October 16, 2022, 05:55:08 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 16, 2022, 05:33:14 PM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on October 16, 2022, 11:20:56 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 16, 2022, 11:15:20 AM
Widener with a big 2-0 win over Stevenson. They are now 7-4-2 and 3-0-1 in the the MAC-C. Fatiga scored to open things up and now has 7 goals on the season. They have Alvernia and Messiah to end the season.
I'll go back and look, but this is shaping up to be one of the best seasons in Pride history.
Widener looks to be the real deal......a good collection of players.
Come on now, "real deal" seems to be a bit hyperbolic. Their 7 wins:
Cairn - 5-4-4
Susquehanna - 1-9-3
Neumann - 5-6-1
Keystone - 4-8-1
York 6-5-2
Eastern 5-8-1
Stevenson 4-6-5
I suspect Messiah wins by 5.
Are you going to call Rosemont the Real Deal because they're 6-2-3 and feature a 20 goal scorer in So. Kaiden Fields and 14 goal scorer in Fr. Clayton Crosse?
Hyperbolic, maybe - but when you have a paucity of discrete data points - you can't look past the reality of what the record is.
Yes. Yes you can.
Yeah, I hope folks understand I'm not hyping Widener as a tournament team... I just like it when traditional also-rans and/or doormats pop up and make a mark. Last year it was Ursinus (for a time), this year McDaniel is having one of their better years in the Centennial in many years and Widener (former MAC team) is putting up a stellar year compared to most in the past.
But, yeah, a little too one-dimensional on attack and as Ejay states, they haven't really pulled a result that makes you stand up and really feel like something out of this world is afoot. They've got 2 very not good teams (no offense) in Albright and Hood, then they finish against always tough Alvernia and then the Falcons. By way of transitive property/comparison Messiah beat Alvernia 4-0 earlier this season. Alvernia is 9-2-4.
MAF Power Rankings (Region 4 and Region 5)
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. Misericordia
4. Lycoming
5. St. Mary's (Md)
6. Stockton
T7. Lancaster Bible/PSU-Harrisburg
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Gettysburg
5. Catholic
6. Alvernia
7. McDaniel
8. Drew
Some notes from the last few games I have watched in the region:
-Messiah is the real deal--as if we didn't already know this ;D the Falcons are simply on another level and I would be shocked if they don't make the final 4 pending the outcome of the bracket. The only gripe is how are they not scoring more than 4 or 5 goals a game? Talk about insanity that only scoring 4 times might be disappointing to someone. A huge favorite heading into the postseason and an absolute joy to watch.
-Hopkins is a contender despite how close some of their games are--give me the teams that find a way to edge out a win or a way to not lose. 14 games in with 0 losses is no accident and the Blue Jays are already dancing their way into NCAAs...although a loss might not hurt before the knockout stage.
-Drew is fake--its conference AQ or bust for the Rangers, if they even qualify for the conference playoffs--their weak non-conference schedule is coming to light as they continue to struggle
-F&M are quite a few levels below Messiah and Hopkins--the Diplomats seem more inconsistent than ever before and this will haunt them in conference and NCAAs
-Gettysburg will miss NCAAs--they are more than qualified to make NCAAs but the Bullets have dropped points in 4 of their last 5 conference games and are 1-1-3 in their last 5. I see them being one of the first few on the outside looking in come NCAAs.
-Stevens is legit but can be beaten--I watched a majority of their game vs Lyco over the weekend and I must say I was not overly impressed with Stevens. Lycoming was in control for much of the contest and was unlucky not to come away with a result. With that said, credit to Stevens as they continue to find ways to get shutouts (9 on the year and 6th straight). That stat alone is something that can take them far into NCAAs. Similar to Hopkins, a loss might not be the worse thing for the Ducks before the knockout rounds.
-Misericordia has me torn. A nice resume and only 1 loss on the year but an upcoming clash with Stevens will tell me more. TBD on the Cougars chances.
-Lycoming has potential but its AQ or bust for the Warriors. Back to back losses will haunt them if they don't find a way to win the conference. I'm anticipating a highly contested rematch with Stevens in the next few weeks. Stay tuned!
-St. Mary's, LBC, PSU-H is anybody's guess who comes out of this conference on top. All 3 are playing wonderful soccer and I have seen bits and pieces of each throughout the season. I would not want to face the AQ in the first round of NCAAs as all are capable of pulling off the upset come November.
MAF - Region 4 and 5 get pretty thin after your top 3 or so.
- Stevens is definitely beatable. I feel they're hanging on by a thread and wouldn't be surprised to see them to get bounced early in either conference or NCAA.
- You know what you're getting from Montclair. They have the talent and potential to make a Sweet 16 or E8 run, but I'd be hard pressed to pick them beyond that.
- Misericordia/St. Mary's I haven't seen yet, but I have seen Lycoming and Stockton and was just not impressed.
- Messiah is definitely cream of the crop in Region 5.
- Hopkins is very good, but like Stevens they're hanging on by a thread. I think they're better than Stevens and would expect them to advance further.
- F&M doesn't thrill me this year and I can see them getting bounced early too.
- Surprised not to see Etown ranked over Drew after their 2-0 win. They've won 6 in a row and will fight with Catholic for #1 Landmark seed.
I watched a good chunk of the Lyco - Stevens game, too. I came away with a similar opinion of them as I do of Hopkins. Organized, playing as a unit... Goals just seem a little difficult to come by and that concerns me as we get to conf. playoffs and the Dance. Agree with everything else you wrote, particularly around the Rangers.
With that said, as I mentioned over the weekend, look out for E-town... They are on a tear and I expect them to pop up in the regional rankings. Moravian (3rd pl), Goucher and then Catholic to end the regular season. Should be a fun ride for the (other) Blue Jays. :D
And the Misery v. Mighty Ducks game should be appointment viewing for M.A. aficionados. Both teams are riding 3 game winning streaks. Mis. don't want to sleep on the mid-week clash with Wilkes (W2 streak) who has a weird record but has pipped some conference foes the last few weeks.
Quote from: Ejay on October 17, 2022, 03:57:16 PM
MAF - Region 4 and 5 get pretty thin after your top 3 or so.
- Stevens is definitely beatable. I feel they're hanging on by a thread and wouldn't be surprised to see them to get bounced early in either conference or NCAA.
- You know what you're getting from Montclair. They have the talent and potential to make a Sweet 16 or E8 run, but I'd be hard pressed to pick them beyond that.
- Misericordia/St. Mary's I haven't seen yet, but I have seen Lycoming and Stockton and was just not impressed.
- Messiah is definitely cream of the crop in Region 5.
- Hopkins is very good, but like Stevens they're hanging on by a thread. I think they're better than Stevens and would expect them to advance further.
- F&M doesn't thrill me this year and I can see them getting bounced early too.
- Surprised not to see Etown ranked over Drew after their 2-0 win. They've won 6 in a row and will fight with Catholic for #1 Landmark seed.
Interesting your thoughts on Stevens and Montclair, I mention two weeks ago that Montclair is a deeper team and was basically laugh at!
Quote from: camosfan on October 17, 2022, 04:05:12 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 17, 2022, 03:57:16 PM
MAF - Region 4 and 5 get pretty thin after your top 3 or so.
- Stevens is definitely beatable. I feel they're hanging on by a thread and wouldn't be surprised to see them to get bounced early in either conference or NCAA.
- You know what you're getting from Montclair. They have the talent and potential to make a Sweet 16 or E8 run, but I'd be hard pressed to pick them beyond that.
- Misericordia/St. Mary's I haven't seen yet, but I have seen Lycoming and Stockton and was just not impressed.
- Messiah is definitely cream of the crop in Region 5.
- Hopkins is very good, but like Stevens they're hanging on by a thread. I think they're better than Stevens and would expect them to advance further.
- F&M doesn't thrill me this year and I can see them getting bounced early too.
- Surprised not to see Etown ranked over Drew after their 2-0 win. They've won 6 in a row and will fight with Catholic for #1 Landmark seed.
Interesting your thoughts on Stevens and Montclair, I mention two weeks ago that Montclair is a deeper team and was basically laugh at!
If you were laughed at it was because you threw out a definitive statement in one line as a hard and fast truth with nothing else....no data, no argument, nothing but just your authority that you knew something nobody else did. Iirc you made some statements about Kean as well.
PN in feisty, ombudsman mood tonight. :D
For the record, I'm just not up on the NJAC and I'll stick with that lack of overall lack of knowledge to stay out of the fray. I do think it's pretty clear Montclair is a perennial power and nothing from their results points to a deviation.
I will say, their one loss is to Alvernia, which we've talked about today. Pesky. But still, in terms of elite teams, not a great loss. Nitpicky, for sure, but that's the point of the season we are now occupying.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 17, 2022, 07:28:10 PM
PN in feisty, ombudsman mood tonight. :D
For the record, I'm on record as just not being up on the NJAC and I'll stick with that lack of overall lack of knowledge to stay out of the fray. I do think it's pretty clear Montclair is a perennial power and nothing from their results points to a deviation.
I will say, their one loss is to Alvernia, which we've talked about today. Pesky. But still, in terms of elite teams, not a great loss. Nitpicky, for sure, but that's the point of the season we are now occupying.
LOL. Had a rough day. My apologies. But these comparisons and complaints because someone is ranked #9 and another team is #10 drive me crazy (as do the sentences that aren't sentences that seem to be missing six words out of the eleven total and whatever point the poster is trying to make is indecipherable). Like I had Bowdoin at #8 I think but I'm not going to cry foul if Amherst is #9 and Bowdoin #10. Another and I think better method to see if pollsters got it way wrong is to look at the points comparisons. Hopkins (168), Stevens (167), Calvin (163) all within 5 points and whatever order one wants to puts those makes sense to me. Then very close behind NPU (152) and Midd (145), then a bigger drop to Amherst (126) and the next cluster of Bowdoin (115), Montclair (115) and W&L (113), and a bigger drop again to GAC (92), and so on.
I have voted Montclair around #10 for several weeks. The program's success speaks for itself. Someone can love Montclair AND Stevens.
Looking ahead to the first Regional Rankings, which will now be 7 teams for every region with the exception of Region 2 at 6 teams. I've recorded every active status D3 vs D3 match and calculated RPI ratings for each team per the D1 rating formula. Credit to Chris Thomas (Amherst alum)https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/Home (https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/Home) who was kind enough to provide me with assistance. These are the rankings by RPI
Region IV
Team/RPI
1. Stevens .6587
2. Montclair .6253
3. NYU .6115
4. Misericordia .5882
5. Lycoming .5869
6. Rowan .5738
7. Stockton .5569
Possible inclusions
8. RU-Newark .5559
9. Lancaster Bible .5537
Region V
Team/RPI
1. Messiah .6961
2. Hopkins .6493
3. F&M .6459
4. Drew .6359
5. Catholic .6007
6. Etown .5834
7. Gettysburg .5825
Possible inclusions
8. Alvernia .582
9. Swarthmore .5703
The first release will only be listed in alphabetical order and not ranked. History tells us that the D3 committee puts more weight on SOS compared to the D1 system so it will be interesting to see which teams make it in and how the committe handles the extra draws this year.
I know I went to Hopkins, but I'm really REALLY bad when it comes to Maths, so... For anyone else that doesn't know (and paclassic, by all means, correct or add or edit) the RPI is an index that:
Takes a percentage of a team's winning percentage, a team's opponents winning percentage, and a team's opponent's opponents winning percentage to calculate a number that helps sort out the overall strength of a team's results.
I don't know how they're currently doing stuff, but I know that in certain sports, they weight wins relative to home vs. away games, I don't think there are other variables? It's a pretty good way to sort stuff, but not as sophisticated/complicated as Massey. Would actually be interesting to see what the deviation is... Not that I can pull that off. :D
That pretty much sums it up! I'm only doing the unadjusted RPI. There is an adjustment that the NCAA uses based on bonuses/penalties depending on opponents rank and depending on home/away/neutral. This adjusted RPI actually has a minimal effect on the final rankings compared to the unadjusted RPI with almost two-thirds of teams experiencing changes of 1 or fewer rank positions and more than 90 percent having changes of 3 or fewer so I decided it wasn't worth the hassle. Here's a good breakdown if anyone is interested https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/rpi-formula (https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/rpi-formula) and here is a good comparison of the RPI systems compared to Massey https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/modified-rpi (https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/modified-rpi) (they are very close)
Anyway, the hardest part is grabbing and parsing the results and keeping it up to date (I have 2695 matches recorded through Sunday)
The post a few days ago about perennial doormats popping up and having good seasons got me thinking... what programs have been trending in the wrong direction the last few years?
First one that comes to mind is Haverford. A look at records since the run to the Elite 8 in 2015:
2015: 18-4 (9-0 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA Elite 8
2016: 14-3-4 (8-1 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA Round of 32
2017: 10-5-3 (5-3-1 CC), lost in CC first round
2018: 14-4-1 (8-1 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA First Round
2019: 9-6-3 (5-3-1 CC), lost in CC first round
2020: No season due to COVID
2021: 7-9-1 (4-5 CC), missed Centennial playoffs
2022 so far: 3-6-5 (1-3-2 CC), will likely missed Centennial playoffs
This was a program that, for a few years, looked like it could join Messiah and F&M as powerhouses in the region. Would have liked to see them advance deep into the NCAA tournament more than once, but three Centennial championships in a four-year span is certainly admirable. I remember their previous coach Shane Rineer left after the 2017 season (believe he took an assistant position at Colgate, not sure where he is now). Former Gettysburg assistant Zach Ward took over for Rineer and enjoyed a successful debut campaign with a conference championship and an NCAA tournament berth, but looks like he has really struggled to bring in talent since then. Can't imagine it would be the hardest sell for athletes looking to play in college - beautiful campus, solid academics, and right in Philadelphia's backyard. Anyone have any insight into Haverford/watched any games this year?
Quote from: CF91 on October 18, 2022, 12:08:35 PM
The post a few days ago about perennial doormats popping up and having good seasons got me thinking... what programs have been trending in the wrong direction the last few years?
First one that comes to mind is Haverford. A look at records since the run to the Elite 8 in 2015:
2015: 18-4 (9-0 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA Elite 8
2016: 14-3-4 (8-1 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA Round of 32
2017: 10-5-3 (5-3-1 CC), lost in CC first round
2018: 14-4-1 (8-1 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA First Round
2019: 9-6-3 (5-3-1 CC), lost in CC first round
2020: No season due to COVID
2021: 7-9-1 (4-5 CC), missed Centennial playoffs
2022 so far: 3-6-5 (1-3-2 CC), will likely missed Centennial playoffs
This was a program that, for a few years, looked like it could join Messiah and F&M as powerhouses in the region. Would have liked to see them advance deep into the NCAA tournament more than once, but three Centennial championships in a four-year span is certainly admirable. I remember their previous coach Shane Rineer left after the 2017 season (believe he took an assistant position at Colgate, not sure where he is now). Former Gettysburg assistant Zach Ward took over for Rineer and enjoyed a successful debut campaign with a conference championship and an NCAA tournament berth, but looks like he has really struggled to bring in talent since then. Can't imagine it would be the hardest sell for athletes looking to play in college - beautiful campus, solid academics, and right in Philadelphia's backyard. Anyone have any insight into Haverford/watched any games this year?
Rineer spent a year or so at Colgate, tried to recruit my son to Colgate,left in the process for Drexel where my other son was playing.He left when the Drexel head coach was fired and maybe is now a director at Penn Fusion or some other club in Philly area.
Quote from: CF91 on October 18, 2022, 12:08:35 PM
The post a few days ago about perennial doormats popping up and having good seasons got me thinking... what programs have been trending in the wrong direction the last few years?
First one that comes to mind is Haverford. A look at records since the run to the Elite 8 in 2015:
2015: 18-4 (9-0 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA Elite 8
2016: 14-3-4 (8-1 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA Round of 32
2017: 10-5-3 (5-3-1 CC), lost in CC first round
2018: 14-4-1 (8-1 CC), Centennial Champs & NCAA First Round
2019: 9-6-3 (5-3-1 CC), lost in CC first round
2020: No season due to COVID
2021: 7-9-1 (4-5 CC), missed Centennial playoffs
2022 so far: 3-6-5 (1-3-2 CC), will likely missed Centennial playoffs
This was a program that, for a few years, looked like it could join Messiah and F&M as powerhouses in the region. Would have liked to see them advance deep into the NCAA tournament more than once, but three Centennial championships in a four-year span is certainly admirable. I remember their previous coach Shane Rineer left after the 2017 season (believe he took an assistant position at Colgate, not sure where he is now). Former Gettysburg assistant Zach Ward took over for Rineer and enjoyed a successful debut campaign with a conference championship and an NCAA tournament berth, but looks like he has really struggled to bring in talent since then. Can't imagine it would be the hardest sell for athletes looking to play in college - beautiful campus, solid academics, and right in Philadelphia's backyard. Anyone have any insight into Haverford/watched any games this year?
Might because of the Coach leaving. Our son did a visit and liked the previous coach well enough, but absolutely was astonished with the incredibly horrendous grass field. Not saying that everybody needs to play on artificial turf but it's really bad. He played on it last year and it was the same. Muhlenburg has a field just as bad. However, McDaniel is amazing. So it is possible. Keep that in mind if you ever watch a Haverford home game. Can't really judge a team playing there.
USC Region V rankings, as of 10/18
1 Messiah University 1 13-0-1
2 Johns Hopkins 2 11-0-3
3 Franklin & Marshall 3 9-1-3
4 Catholic University 5 8-2-4
5 Gettysburg College 4 7-3-3
6 Alvernia University 8 9-2-4
7 McDaniel College 7 8-2-2
8 Elizabethtown College NR 8-4-2
Region IV as of 10/18
1 Stevens Institute Of Tech. 1 12-0-2
2 Montclair State University 2 11-1-3
3 Misericordia University 4 9-1-4
4 St. Mary's College 3 9-2-4
5 Lancaster Bible College 8 9-3-3
6 Rutgers University-Newark 5 5-5-4
7 Lycoming College 6 7-3-4
8 New Jersey City University NR 8-2-1
Centennial game alert: Fords @ Dips tonight at 7
Not a barn-burner, but important in a mid-week slate full of games.
The rest of the conference squares off tomorrow. At this point, hard to really pluck a "game of note," but I'll be watching to see if the Bullets can solve the upstart McDaniel squad who pop up in the USC regional rankings. Hop faces a Red Devil team who just got thumped 5-1 by the Muhles. Speaking of, they play the Bears who remain winless in the CC.
Swat plays Wash in a game that still has major import for the Shoremen's aspirations for a CC playoff berth.
Drama drama drama!
Don't look past Randolph at W&L.....Wildcats have the ability to hold up W&L and have some success against the generals style of play
To be clear, I just walked through my home turf (centennial) and didn't do a regional scan for the mid-week games. I'm sure there are a ton of great contests as we round the corner towards home in conference play across the board. (doubt anyone is ooc at this point in the year, other than Coast-2-Coast squads.)
Hopkins,
The UAA is not in conference this weekend, so four teams have out of conference matchups on Saturday.
Alvernia at Rochester
Roanoke at Emory
Wilkes at New York univ.
St Joseph's, Maine at Brandeis
MAF 1st Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Misericordia
5. Lycoming
6. Stockton
7. Lancaster Bible
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Drew
7. Elizabethtown or Alvernia (leaning Etown)
I agree with this for the most part. I still think that Rowan might slip in there despite their record. They have a strong SOS. Lancaster Bible's is not so great. Rutgers-Newark has a chance at the 7 spot as well. For Region IV I think the top 5 is more or less set in stone. And then the last two spots will be 2 of Rowan, Lancaster Bible, Stockton, and Rutgers-Newark.
Region V I would lean Etown rather than Alvernia because of SOS. Gettysburg is much closer to the bubble than they are to the top 5 in my opinion but they might get the Centennial bonus that we seem to see from these rankings. Swarthmore is hanging around as well and might be able to crack subsequent rankings if they go on a win streak. Drew still getting no respect despite a solid record and a solid SOS lol
Darn, had a post gobbled up by a connection error:
I agree with you on Drew, but I wonder if there is still a lingering stink on them from the 4-0 loss at home to Catholic. That was ugly, and they are currently sitting in 6th(!!) in the Landmark... but still... Got me thinking about something I've never actually done.
Thought experiment time... Let's rank the conferences!
Region IV:
NJAC
MAC-F
UEC
CUNYAC
(UAA - only NYU)
Region V:
Centennial
MAC-C
Landmark
CSAC
AEC
Full disclosure: I know very little about the CUNYAC, as well as the Colonial States and Atlantic East teams. Just glancing at the AEC, Gwynedd-Mercy is 1-14-1 and has given up 64 goals... Wow. And that gets you down a weird rabbit hole. Their lone win came against PSU-Mont Alto... 6-1!! That PSU variation has now won 4 games against 9 losses and 2 draws; one of those losses was 14-0 against PSU-Brandywine, another was a 9-1 loss against Berkely-NJ...
There's a whole world out there, right under our noses. Those are some insane score lines you just don't see very much in either region. At least not in the top 2 or 3 conferences in each region. You just can't afford those types of jalopies in your SoS.
Quote from: 4samuy on October 18, 2022, 09:15:03 PM
Hopkins,
The UAA is not in conference this weekend, so four teams have out of conference matchups on Saturday.
Alvernia at Rochester
Roanoke at Emory
Wilkes at New York univ.
St Joseph's, Maine at Brandeis
Sorry, wasn't ignoring this, but... I find it a little difficult to bake in the entire UAA into the Mid-Atlantic discussion when only one team is actually regionally ranked at the end of the day.
With that said, I continue to follow the Violets who remain one of the few teams to give Messiah a real run for their money. With that said, at 6-4-2, they will need a pretty incredible finish to make a case for an NCAA bid.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 19, 2022, 12:08:04 PM
Darn, had a post gobbled up by a connection error:
I agree with you on Drew, but I wonder if there is still a lingering stink on them from the 4-0 loss at home to Catholic. That was ugly, and they are currently sitting in 6th(!!) in the Landmark... but still... Got me thinking about something I've never actually done.
Thought experiment time... Let's rank the conferences!
Region IV:
NJAC
MAC-F
UEC
CUNYAC
(UAA - only NYU)
Region V:
Centennial
MAC-C
Landmark
CSAC
AEC
Full disclosure: I know very little about the CUNYAC, as well as the Colonial States and Atlantic East teams. Just glancing at the AEC, Gwynedd-Mercy is 1-14-1 and has given up 64 goals... Wow. And that gets you down a weird rabbit hole. Their lone win came against PSU-Mont Alto... 6-1!! That PSU variation has now won 4 games against 9 losses and 2 draws; one of those losses was 14-0 against PSU-Brandywine, another was a 9-1 loss against Berkely-NJ...
There's a whole world out there, right under our noses. Those are some insane score lines you just don't see very much in either region. At least not in the top 2 or 3 conferences in each region. You just can't afford those types of jalopies in your SoS.
Just a couple of additional thoughts:
1) While there are no formal rules, my working
assumption is that the folks doing the rankings have somewhat of a set number of bids that go to each conference beyond the AQ.
2) I didn't take the time to cross-reference this with Massey. Might be an interesting additional bit of "data." Though, again, we all know Massey and the final regional rankings don't always line-up. See point #1, and... other stuff.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 19, 2022, 12:08:04 PM
Darn, had a post gobbled up by a connection error:
I agree with you on Drew, but I wonder if there is still a lingering stink on them from the 4-0 loss at home to Catholic. That was ugly, and they are currently sitting in 6th(!!) in the Landmark... but still... Got me thinking about something I've never actually done.
Thought experiment time... Let's rank the conferences!
Region IV:
NJAC
MAC-F
UEC
CUNYAC
(UAA - only NYU)
Region V:
Centennial
MAC-C
Landmark
CSAC
AEC
Full disclosure: I know very little about the CUNYAC, as well as the Colonial States and Atlantic East teams. Just glancing at the AEC, Gwynedd-Mercy is 1-14-1 and has given up 64 goals... Wow. And that gets you down a weird rabbit hole. Their lone win came against PSU-Mont Alto... 6-1!! That PSU variation has now won 4 games against 9 losses and 2 draws; one of those losses was 14-0 against PSU-Brandywine, another was a 9-1 loss against Berkely-NJ...
There's a whole world out there, right under our noses. Those are some insane score lines you just don't see very much in either region. At least not in the top 2 or 3 conferences in each region. You just can't afford those types of jalopies in your SoS.
They are the NYC schools, I think mostly commuter schools,large immigrant population, they are surrounded by some very strong youth clubs but just do not attract top players. Last year you guys beat the conference champ 5-0 in NCAA first round.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2022, 11:05:17 AM
I agree with this for the most part. I still think that Rowan might slip in there despite their record. They have a strong SOS. Lancaster Bible's is not so great. Rutgers-Newark has a chance at the 7 spot as well. For Region IV I think the top 5 is more or less set in stone. And then the last two spots will be 2 of Rowan, Lancaster Bible, Stockton, and Rutgers-Newark.
Region V I would lean Etown rather than Alvernia because of SOS. Gettysburg is much closer to the bubble than they are to the top 5 in my opinion but they might get the Centennial bonus that we seem to see from these rankings. Swarthmore is hanging around as well and might be able to crack subsequent rankings if they go on a win streak. Drew still getting no respect despite a solid record and a solid SOS lol
Tough to tell. First rankings aren't in any order so we won't truly know who is where. I wouldn't be surprised to see Rowan or Newark in over Lancaster Bible or Stockton based on SOS. Looking at a combined win %, SOS and results vs solid teams I felt LBC would sneak in over Rowan or Newark. If either of those teams sneak in I would assume they are in the 7th and final spot. It's a similar scenario with Stockton as Newark has the H2H result and most likely a higher SOS but worst record, win%, blemishes , etc. I would not be surprised at all to see Stockton left out of the top 7.
Gettysburg and Drew could be in any order. Overall resume probably favors Drew as I believe they will have the better SOS and better win % but the recent run of form (which technically isn't a factor) has me slotting them just behind the Bullets. I am leaning Etown over Alvernia strictly based on predicted SOS being much higher. I don't think you will see Swarthmore jump Etown or Alvernia.
I actually have information on the average RPI for each conference
Region IV
NJAC .5393
MAC-F .5275
UEC .4434
CUNYAC .3904
Region V
Centennial .5603
MAC-C .5344
Landmark .5486
CSAC .4220
AEC .4381
By average RPI, Region V is the second best region in the country. Region IV is the worst.
I thought the Landmark and MAC-C were close!
Thanks PA... And while I'm in full procrastination mode:
Massey ranking/SOS for the schools we're discussing
MAC-C
Alvernia 57/133
Lycoming 101/77
Widener 103/104
Landmark
Catholic 36/51
Drew 40/120(!)
Etown 70/102
Centennial
Gettysburg 37/22(!)
Muhles 73/57
Swat 93/38
McDaniel 111/145
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 19, 2022, 12:21:36 PM
Just a couple of additional thoughts:
1) While there are no formal rules, my working assumption is that the folks doing the rankings have somewhat of a set number of bids that go to each conference beyond the AQ.
2) I didn't take the time to cross-reference this with Massey. Might be an interesting additional bit of "data." Though, again, we all know Massey and the final regional rankings don't always line-up. See point #1, and... other stuff.
I'm not sure exactly what you are referring to when you say there are no formal rules, but the NCAA committees that do the rankings and at-large selections have very clear and explicit rules to follow. There are specific primary and secondary selection criteria for the committees to use (see below). And over the past decade of following the regional rankings and at-large berth selections, we at D3soccer.com believe that, for better or worse, the committees do adhere to the criteria very closely. The only suspicion of "fudging" on the criteria relates to the selection of west region (now Region X) teams to round-out a 1st/2nd Round pod without having to fly an east coast team out west (ohh, and Rochester getting in every year!!!).
While the Division III Soccer Pre-Championship Manual (https://www.d3soccer.com/ncaa-publications/2022/2022-NCAA-Division-III-Soccer_Pre-Championships-Manual.pdf) clearly states that there is no maximum or minimum number of berths per region, there is no direct statement to this affect regarding conferences. However, there is nothing in the criteria that takes into account the number of teams from the same conference already ranked or selected. And we have seen no evidence to suggest there is an unwritten/unspoken cap on the number of teams selected from a conference. The NESCAC and UAA have gotten as many as five teams (1 AQ + 4 at-large). In 2018, the MIAC got three at-large berths in addition to their AQ which might be the strongest evidence that there is no set number of berths per conference.
Likewise, there is no evidence to suggest that conference standings or conference tournament finish factors in, which they shouldn't as they are not among the criteria the committees are tasked to apply. In fact, there was a instance of a team receiving at at-large berth who missed their conference tournament: In 2015, RPI finished 7th in the Liberty League at 3-3-2, but was 12-5-3 overall and nabbed an at-large berth (they may actually have been helped by missing the tournament as it prevented them from picking up a sixth loss).
What I am saying is that, while we can debate what the criteria should be or how the committee applies the criteria, the evidence on the whole very much supports that idea the the committees do adhere to the criteria given in the Manual (https://www.d3soccer.com/ncaa-publications/2022/2022-NCAA-Division-III-Soccer_Pre-Championships-Manual.pdf) and do not target a certain number of berths per conference.
excerpt from the Division III Soccer Pre-Championship Manual (https://www.d3soccer.com/ncaa-publications/2022/2022-NCAA-Division-III-Soccer_Pre-Championships-Manual.pdf)
QuoteSection 2.4 Selection Criteria
PRIMARY CRITERIA
The primary criteria emphasize regional competition (all contests leading up to NCAA championships); all criteria listed
will be evaluated (not listed in priority order).
- Won-lost percentage against Division III opponents;
- Division III head-to-head competition;
- Results versus common Division III opponents;
- Results versus ranked Division III teams as established by the final ranking and the ranking preceding the
final ranking. Conference postseason contests are included; and
- Division III strength of schedule;
- Opponents' Average Winning Percentage (OWP);
- Opponents' Opponents' Average Winning Percentage (OOWP).
See Appendix D for an explanation of the OWP and OOWP calculation.
Note: Contests versus provisional and reclassifying members in their third and fourth years shall count in the primary
criteria. Provisional and reclassifying members shall remain ineligible for rankings and selections.
SECONDARY CRITERIA
If the evaluation of the primary criteria does not result in a decision, the secondary criteria will be reviewed. All the
criteria listed will be evaluated (not listed in priority order). The secondary criteria introduce results against all other
opponents, including those contests versus opponents from other classifications (i.e., provisionals, NAIA, NCAA
Divisions I and II).
- Non-Division III won-lost percentage;
- Results versus common non-Division III opponents;
- Division III non-conference strength of schedule.
Should a committee find that evaluation of a team's won-lost percentage during the last 25% of the season is applicable
(i.e., end of season performance), it may adopt such criteria with approval from the championships committee.
Additionally, input is provided by regional advisory committees for consideration by the soccer committee. In order to
be considered for selection for Pools B or C, an institution must play at least 70% of its competition against Division III
in-region opponents. Coaches' polls and/or any other outside polls or rankings are not used as a criterion by the soccer
committee for selection purposes.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 19, 2022, 08:35:37 AM
MAF 1st Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Misericordia
5. Lycoming
6. Stockton
7. Lancaster Bible
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Drew
7. Elizabethtown or Alvernia (leaning Etown)
I think it's a solid guess but I would switch a few things up...
Region 41. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Misericordia
5. Lycoming
6. Rowan
7. Newark
Notes: Lyco would be ahead of Misericordia if not for the H2H loss. Rowan and Newark will both sneak in due to high SOS despite blemishes and sub-par win %. Rowan could even jump Lyco due to H2H. Region 51. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Drew
6. Elizabethtown
7. Gettysburg
Notes: Drew would be ahead of Catholic if not for the H2H loss. F&M would be higher than Hopkins if Hopkins had a loss as they will have much stronger SOS.
Quote from: Christan Shirk on October 19, 2022, 01:34:06 PM
Lots of great info redacted...
Thanks Christian, and duly noted, of course.
Shooter... Just looking at the Massey data and their SoS rankings, I don't really think you can make a case that F&M has a stronger SoS than Hop. Unless I'm missing something.
Same thing with Drew vs. Catholic.
And I'm not trying to be snarky, but saying "if you take away X result" is kind of disqualifying in terms of analyzing or ranking these teams. Again, unless I'm misunderstanding your thinking. H2H is a pretty big indicator of how teams stack up and losing 4-0 AT HOME sure says something, at least to my eyes.
Keeping along those lines, you may be onto something with Rowan. Even though they are 6-5-2 they are 69th in Massey with a #21 ranking SoS.
Stockton = 61/105
RU-N = 121/61
Should we dismiss Rowan losing 0-6 to New Jersey City?
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 19, 2022, 01:51:21 PM
Shooter... Just looking at the Massey data and their SoS rankings, I don't really think you can make a case that F&M has a stronger SoS than Hop. Unless I'm missing something.
Same thing with Drew vs. Catholic.
And I'm not trying to be snarky, but saying "if you take away X result" is kind of disqualifying in terms of analyzing or ranking these teams. Again, unless I'm misunderstanding your thinking. H2H is a pretty big indicator of how teams stack up and losing 4-0 AT HOME sure says something, at least to my eyes.
Not taken as snarky :) Those notes of mine were more so observations of the "what if" factors. My guess at SOS may be off ??? but from eyeball test I thought F&M would be higher than Hopkins. Normally they are similar.
Quote from: camosfan on October 19, 2022, 02:07:58 PM
Should we dismiss Rowan losing 0-6 to New Jersey City?
I mean, I have problem with a team losing 5 games, let alone one of them by 6 goals.
They also beat Lycoming 2-0. These rankings are based on the win % and SOS primarily so individual results are irrelevant. Once RvR is added, then those results will come into play and move teams up or down
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 19, 2022, 02:10:02 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 19, 2022, 01:51:21 PM
Shooter... Just looking at the Massey data and their SoS rankings, I don't really think you can make a case that F&M has a stronger SoS than Hop. Unless I'm missing something.
Same thing with Drew vs. Catholic.
And I'm not trying to be snarky, but saying "if you take away X result" is kind of disqualifying in terms of analyzing or ranking these teams. Again, unless I'm misunderstanding your thinking. H2H is a pretty big indicator of how teams stack up and losing 4-0 AT HOME sure says something, at least to my eyes.
Not taken as snarky :) Those notes of mine were more so observations of the "what if" factors. My guess at SOS may be off ??? but from eyeball test I thought F&M would be higher than Hopkins. Normally they are similar.
Gotcha gotcha gotcha.
And just on the eyeball test (and having spent tooling around on Massey today):
Hopkins played (and got a result against) Rowan, Lycoming(T), Mary Washington and SUNY Cortland before entering CC play. They also beat Stevenson, Goucher and Salisbury, none of which really do a heck of a lot for the SoS.
F&M had Leb Valley, Stevens(L), Kean, E-town PSU-Harrisburg, William-Patterson, Rosemont and Lancaster Bible.
Very busy day about to start
EPL: Lpool v West Ham 2:30
NESCAC at 3 pm, big one at 3:30
NJAC at 3:00pm
Then a ton of games at 4 & 7 pm
Good luck watching on multiple devices!
Doing the "eye-test" on strength of schedule when interested in the NCAA rankings and selections is a very tough to do. The calculations regularly are at odds with our subjective sense of who's a tough opponent and who is not. For example, a 10-2-2 team who tops a weak conference and plays a week non-conference schedule can still help your SoS much more than a 8-3-3 team from a good conference who played a competitive non-conference slate. For example, last year (not this year), playing Rosemont would not have hurt your SoS while coming with minimal risk of a loss. Rosemont's contribution to your SoS would have been .629.
It seems like the men's Regional Rankings have been posted (https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3/regional-rankings) but they have no W-L-T records included.
NOTE: these are in alphabetical order, not ranked order.
Region IV
Lancaster Bible
Lycoming
Misericordia
Montclair St.
NYU
Rowan
Stevens
Region V
Catholic
Drew
Elizabethtown
Franklin & Marshall
Gettysburg
John Hopkins
Messiah
Well, I got Region V right. Region IV, Lancaster Bible slipped in there instead of Stockton.
First half notes for messiah game.... Another goal for Matt McDonald what a shocker (I believe that's 15 games straight now tying Nick Wests record from 2018). But just as impressively, messiahs second team scores two rockets from outside the box. So many scoring options it's just more impressive every week
Interesting that Lancaster Bible and F&M are in different regions although they are in the same city.
Quote from: thesoccerguy17 on October 19, 2022, 07:47:00 PM
First half notes for messiah game.... Another goal for Matt McDonald what a shocker (I believe that's 15 games straight now tying Nick Wests record from 2018). But just as impressively, messiahs second team scores two rockets from outside the box. So many scoring options it's just more impressive every week
Yes, he has 15 goals in 15 games, but he had at least one brace and one goalless game.
Quote from: Falconer on October 19, 2022, 08:19:23 PM
Quote from: thesoccerguy17 on October 19, 2022, 07:47:00 PM
First half notes for messiah game.... Another goal for Matt McDonald what a shocker (I believe that's 15 games straight now tying Nick Wests record from 2018). But just as impressively, messiahs second team scores two rockets from outside the box. So many scoring options it's just more impressive every week
Yes, he has 15 goals in 15 games, but he had at least one brace and one goalless game.
And--he just scored again to open the second half at Hood. Another brace, so far.
Quote from: Falconer on October 19, 2022, 08:19:23 PM
Quote from: thesoccerguy17 on October 19, 2022, 07:47:00 PM
First half notes for messiah game.... Another goal for Matt McDonald what a shocker (I believe that's 15 games straight now tying Nick Wests record from 2018). But just as impressively, messiahs second team scores two rockets from outside the box. So many scoring options it's just more impressive every week
Yes, he has 15 goals in 15 games, but he had at least one brace and one goalless game.
Bummer I was trying to keep pretty close track I must've somehow missed a game that he didn't score. Still been a brilliant player this season :)
Quote from: thesoccerguy17 on October 19, 2022, 08:22:30 PM
Quote from: Falconer on October 19, 2022, 08:19:23 PM
Quote from: thesoccerguy17 on October 19, 2022, 07:47:00 PM
First half notes for messiah game.... Another goal for Matt McDonald what a shocker (I believe that's 15 games straight now tying Nick Wests record from 2018). But just as impressively, messiahs second team scores two rockets from outside the box. So many scoring options it's just more impressive every week
Yes, he has 15 goals in 15 games, but he had at least one brace and one goalless game.
Bummer I was trying to keep pretty close track I must've somehow missed a game that he didn't score. Still been a brilliant player this season :)
He has 3 braces (W&L, Moravian, and Hood) and two scoreless games (Etown and Stevenson), for a total of 16 goals in 15 games.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 19, 2022, 08:03:57 PM
Interesting that Lancaster Bible and F&M are in different regions although they are in the same city.
As you probably know (but maybe not), the NCAA has kept conferences together in the same region except for a few exceptions where the geographical diversity is too much for it to make sense (e.g. UAA and Coast-2-Coast, currently). With last year's move to a 10-region alignment, the old Mid-Atlantic region got split between the new Regions IV and V and we have a bit of geographical overlap as also exists between Regions I and II that used to be together as the New England region. But we had some of that under the 8-region set-up also.
However, it is interesting to think about cross-town schools being in different regions. The closest schools that are in different regions are Connecticut College (NESCAC, Reg. I) and the Coast Guard Academy (NEWMAC, Reg. II) whose campuses touch in New London, CT with Mitchell College (NECC, Reg. II) also in New London a few miles away. Next would probably be Alfred University (Empire 8, Reg. III) and Alfred State College (AMCC, Reg. VII) whose campuses are separated by mere blocks (< 1/2 mi.) in Alfred, NY. That's a carry-over from the previous alignment when they were in the East and Great Lakes regions. Drew (Landmark, Reg. V) and FDU-Florham (MAC Freedom, Reg. IV) are under a mile apart, both with Madison, NJ mailing addresses. F&M (Centennial, Reg. V) and Lancaster Bible (UEC, Reg. IV) are almost 3 miles aparts in Lancaster, PA as are Catholic (Landmark, Reg. V) and Gallaudet (UEC, Reg. IV) in Washington, D.C. The later two were both in the South Atlantic region before conference moves brought each of them to the Mid-Atlantic a few years apart over a decade ago. Albright, Alvernia, and PSU-Berks are each 5-miles apart with Reading, PA mailing addresses (PSU-Berks is outside city limits). Boston has two schools in Region I and three schools in Region II. Manhattan has six and Brooklyn four schools from four different conferences (CUNYAC, Skyline, UAA, Coast-2-Coast) which are divided between Regions III and IV.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 19, 2022, 03:12:11 PM
It seems like the men's Regional Rankings have been posted (https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3/regional-rankings) but they have no W-L-T records included.
NOTE: these are in alphabetical order, not ranked order.
Region IV
Lancaster Bible
Lycoming
Misericordia
Montclair St.
NYU
Rowan
Stevens
Region V
Catholic
Drew
Elizabethtown
Franklin & Marshall
Gettysburg
John Hopkins
Messiah
MAF 1st Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 41. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Misericordia
5. Lycoming
6. Stockton7. Lancaster Bible
Region 51. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Drew
7. Elizabethtown or Alvernia (leaning Etown)
Only missed 1 ;)
10/19 Results
Region IV
Lancaster Bible (DNP)
Lycoming (W)
Misericordia (L)
Montclair St. (W)
NYU (DNP)
Rowan (W)
Stevens (W)
Region V
Catholic (W)
Drew (W)
Elizabethtown (T)
Franklin & Marshall (DNP)
Gettysburg (W)
John Hopkins (T)
Messiah (W)
Once again, watched the Hop game on a secondary screen while hanging with The Wife. She's also a Hop alum and is fully on board to have the game running while we watch one of our stories. (Bad Sisters on Apple+ is an excellent show, if anyone is looking for recommendations.)
I want to give the Jays some credit, instead of reflexively slagging on them for a tie. They were extremely bent on going forward in this match and I felt a draw was (kind of) an unlucky result. The Red Devils did enough to trouble their opponents in the second half and scored a scrappy (garbage) goal with the ball popping around the box. The Hop goal was a thing of beauty off a set piece... They were threatening through most of the match and they hit the crossbar with about 11 seconds to go.
Kudos to both teams for a hard fought, relatively clean battle.
ETA - Hop has now given up 4 goals on the season. I'm trying to remember if any of them have come in a natural, run of play type fashion. I don't want to make a definitive statement, but I know at least 2, probably 3 that I can recall were off scrambles in the box. It's VERY difficult to score on them in the conventional, non-set piece, garbage type fashion.
Not that it matters, at the end of the day. :D But as from a goalie's frame of mind, it says something about the methodical dedication to defense for the Jays.
Some interesting results in the CC yesterday:
Night Terrors 1:4 Projectiles
Diablos Rojos 1:1 Angry Birds
Beach Boys 0:0 Garnets
Donkeys 3:3 Cubs
The Ursinus game must've been a wild affair. 3-1 to the Muhles at half time...Apparently both teams missed PKs in the second half. The Muhles are the highest scoring team in the CC. We'll get into it in the coming days, but they host Hop on Saturday in what I anticipate to be a pretty entertaining match.
In the Landmark, nothing too crazy as Drew and Catholic took care of business and Etown and Moravian played to a draw. Kind of a missed opp for the Other Jays, but Moravian is still playing for their (conference) lives so it's not a crazy result.
In MAC-C and -F action, only results that jump out is Wilkes beating Misericordia and Alvernia tying Eastern. Messiah laying the lumber to Hood 9-0. Yikes.
(Widener Watch!!! They handled a not so great Albright team 2-0... Fatiga with another goal to bring his season tally to 8. :D... I'm all in for the Pride at this point. )
Not for nothing, but Wilkes is a bit of a sleeper team in the MAC-F... Just noting that they are kind of laying in the weeds over there... They've lost some close games to good teams (1-0 to Stevens, por ejemplo) and I wouldn't be surprised to see them do something silly in the Freedom playoffs.
And to wrap up the "major" conferences in the M.A. region, in the NJAC, Ramapo pips RU-N, Rowan steamrolls TCNJ (5-0), RU-C ties Stockton, M-St. boinks W-Patt and Kean trumps NJCU.
M St. is bossing that conference... But the race for playoff spots is extremely topsy-turvy, as 7 teams(!!!) are bunched around 11-8pts with 2 more game remaining in league play. I don't know if it's top 5 or 6, but regardless, there's a lot still to play for all but 2 teams (WP and TCNJ).
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 11:28:53 AM
And to wrap up the "major" conferences in the M.A. region, in the NJAC, Ramapo pips RU-N, Rowan steamrolls TCNJ (5-0), RU-C ties Stockton, M-St. boinks W-Patt and Kean trumps NJCU.
M St. is bossing that conference... But the race for playoff spots is extremely topsy-turvy, as 7 teams(!!!) are bunched around 11-8pts with 2 more game remaining in league play. I don't know if it's top 5 or 6, but regardless, there's a lot still to play for all but 2 teams (WP and TCNJ).
6 go to playoff, 1 and 2 get a bye, 4-6 play and the winners play 1 and 2.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 10:00:33 AM
Once again, watched the Hop game on a secondary screen while hanging with The Wife. She's also a Hop alum and is fully on board to have the game running while we watch one of our stories. (Bad Sisters on Apple+ is an excellent show, if anyone is looking for recommendations.)
I want to give the Jays some credit, instead of reflexively slagging on them for a tie. They were extremely bent on going forward in this match and I felt a draw was (kind of) an unlucky result. The Red Devils did enough to trouble their opponents in the second half and scored a scrappy (garbage) goal with the ball popping around the box. The Hop goal was a thing of beauty off a set piece... They were threatening through most of the match and they hit the crossbar with about 11 seconds to go.
Kudos to both teams for a hard fought, relatively clean battle.
I watched most of it and I agree. Very hard fought game. JHU's goal was nice and Dickinson's was a popcorn situation in front of the goal is always tough. Not much the keeper could have done. JHU almost got the win with the great shot in the final minute which went off the crossbar way beyond the keeper's reach. Crucial games this weekend leading up to what could be a great game next Saturday! It's what makes it all fun.
Good luck at Muhlenberg on that meadow. They are supposed to be getting turf next year.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 11:09:18 AM
Some interesting results in the CC yesterday:
Night Terrors 1:4 Projectiles
Diablos Rojos 1:1 Angry Birds
Beach Boys 0:0 Garnets
Donkeys 3:3 Cubs
The Ursinus game must've been a wild affair. 3-1 to the Muhles at half time...Apparently both teams missed PKs in the second half. The Muhles are the highest scoring team in the CC. We'll get into it in the coming days, but they host Hop on Saturday in what I anticipate to be a pretty entertaining match.
Was a crazy night especially the Ursinus Muhlenberg game as well as JHU and Dickinson. Yes, the PK's were missed by both teams, but keepers actually saved both as the PKs were on frame. Always a great time saving a PK.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 20, 2022, 12:32:53 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 10:00:33 AM
Once again, watched the Hop game on a secondary screen while hanging with The Wife. She's also a Hop alum and is fully on board to have the game running while we watch one of our stories. (Bad Sisters on Apple+ is an excellent show, if anyone is looking for recommendations.)
I want to give the Jays some credit, instead of reflexively slagging on them for a tie. They were extremely bent on going forward in this match and I felt a draw was (kind of) an unlucky result. The Red Devils did enough to trouble their opponents in the second half and scored a scrappy (garbage) goal with the ball popping around the box. The Hop goal was a thing of beauty off a set piece... They were threatening through most of the match and they hit the crossbar with about 11 seconds to go.
Kudos to both teams for a hard fought, relatively clean battle.
I watched most of it and I agree. Very hard fought game. JHU's goal was nice and Dickinson's was a popcorn situation in front of the goal is always tough. Not much the keeper could have done. JHU almost got the win with the great shot in the final minute which went off the crossbar way beyond the keeper's reach. Crucial games this weekend leading up to what could be a great game next Saturday! It's what makes it all fun.
Good luck at Muhlenberg on that meadow. They are supposed to be getting turf next year.
It would be a shame if they went to turf instead of trying to rehab their natural grass. There's a reason you don't see any of the top European leagues playing on turf.
While I don't really disagree... The US played their last 2 friendlies on grass fields in Europe last month, and both pitches were absolute garbage. Full of holes, sod coming up at every sharp stop or turn.
And when you look at the NESCAC... Amherst's field isn't full of potholes, but it looks like they're running on quicksand. Bowdoin's field, again, nice and flat, but it's so thick it looks like the rough at a PGA event.
Really nice grass fields are AMAZING and I remember some of my favorite games playing on them (Vividly remember visiting W&L and being absolutely floored by how nice their field was.) But it's kind of hit or miss and a bad grass field can be an absolute nightmare (Widener, back in the day, was the worst pitch I'd ever played on, including club in my youth days played on bad playground fields.)
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 20, 2022, 12:43:07 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 20, 2022, 12:32:53 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 10:00:33 AM
Once again, watched the Hop game on a secondary screen while hanging with The Wife. She's also a Hop alum and is fully on board to have the game running while we watch one of our stories. (Bad Sisters on Apple+ is an excellent show, if anyone is looking for recommendations.)
I want to give the Jays some credit, instead of reflexively slagging on them for a tie. They were extremely bent on going forward in this match and I felt a draw was (kind of) an unlucky result. The Red Devils did enough to trouble their opponents in the second half and scored a scrappy (garbage) goal with the ball popping around the box. The Hop goal was a thing of beauty off a set piece... They were threatening through most of the match and they hit the crossbar with about 11 seconds to go.
Kudos to both teams for a hard fought, relatively clean battle.
I watched most of it and I agree. Very hard fought game. JHU's goal was nice and Dickinson's was a popcorn situation in front of the goal is always tough. Not much the keeper could have done. JHU almost got the win with the great shot in the final minute which went off the crossbar way beyond the keeper's reach. Crucial games this weekend leading up to what could be a great game next Saturday! It's what makes it all fun.
Good luck at Muhlenberg on that meadow. They are supposed to be getting turf next year.
It would be a shame if they went to turf instead of trying to rehab their natural grass. There's a reason you don't see any of the top European leagues playing on turf.
Absolutely, money/skill plays a part I am guessing. McDaniel has the best turf in a non MLS setting I have ever seen. So it is possibility in Mid-Atl area.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 20, 2022, 12:32:53 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 10:00:33 AM
Once again, watched the Hop game on a secondary screen while hanging with The Wife. She's also a Hop alum and is fully on board to have the game running while we watch one of our stories. (Bad Sisters on Apple+ is an excellent show, if anyone is looking for recommendations.)
I want to give the Jays some credit, instead of reflexively slagging on them for a tie. They were extremely bent on going forward in this match and I felt a draw was (kind of) an unlucky result. The Red Devils did enough to trouble their opponents in the second half and scored a scrappy (garbage) goal with the ball popping around the box. The Hop goal was a thing of beauty off a set piece... They were threatening through most of the match and they hit the crossbar with about 11 seconds to go.
Kudos to both teams for a hard fought, relatively clean battle.
I watched most of it and I agree. Very hard fought game. JHU's goal was nice and Dickinson's was a popcorn situation in front of the goal is always tough. Not much the keeper could have done. JHU almost got the win with the great shot in the final minute which went off the crossbar way beyond the keeper's reach. Crucial games this weekend leading up to what could be a great game next Saturday! It's what makes it all fun.
Good luck at Muhlenberg on that meadow. They are supposed to be getting turf next year.
If you have any doubt as to the shape of Muhl's grass check out a few minutes of this game - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/?B=407668
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 12:49:07 PM
While I don't really disagree... The US played their last 2 friendlies on grass fields in Europe last month, and both pitches were absolute garbage. Full of holes, sod coming up at every sharp stop or turn.
And when you look at the NESCAC... Amherst's field isn't full of potholes, but it looks like they're running on quicksand. Bowdoin's field, again, nice and flat, but it's so thick it looks like the rough at a PGA event.
Really nice grass fields are AMAZING and I remember some of my favorite games playing on them (Vividly remember visiting W&L and being absolutely floored by how nice their field was.) But it's kind of hit or miss and a bad grass field can be an absolute nightmare (Widener, back in the day, was the worst pitch I'd ever played on, including club in my youth days played on bad playground fields.)
I can imagine. W&L is actually playing on a new grass stadium field which did not exist when you may have played. I played on the on the field that you may have in the 80's. It took them several years to get that new stadium grass right. It has only been the last two that it really survived the season. Muhls (and Haverford) is just a meadow that grass happens to grow on it. I don't know what they are doing to it. I think they end up playing on it because someone donated money (named field) when they could easily play on their turf football field. Haverford might be same as it has a turf practice field right behind its meadow.
Last point, I think some, if not many, prospective players actually take the state of the field into account. In our case, our son liked Haverford and Shane as well as the players alright, but hated the state of the field. That was a major turnoff for him and might be for other recruits. To play half your career on a rec league field after playing on great fields while playing club would probably be a huge turn off.
I've actually been to Haverford for a game fairly recently (pre-COVID, but just) for a playoff game (I think)... My wife is cool with going up to PA this time of year because of the leaves and the general bucolic surroundings. I've also been up to Grantham (Messiah) for a similar reason a few years prior.
My general impression was that I'd rather play on turf. I just REALLY hated playing on slow surfaces, and when you let some of these mid-atlantic (and northeastern and midwestern and... etc) fields to grow too dense, it's like playing on a sandy beach.
Oh, and, yes, the field I played on has little (probably zero) association with W&L's current field.
I actually recall watching the ODAC playoff game(s) last year at W&L and the field was in pretty bad shape. Struck me, because of my personal experience many moons prior.
With regard to the field debate, SLU is not exactly an alluring place to play climate wise, but have been able to get players from California throughout the last 2 decades in no small part due to the field. Playing surfaces absolutely make a difference.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 01:40:00 PM
Oh, and, yes, the field I played on has little (probably zero) association with W&L's current field.
I actually recall watching the ODAC playoff game(s) last year at W&L and the field was in pretty bad shape. Struck me, because of my personal experience many moons prior.
Many moons ago we were not any part of W&L's current winning tradition. We were lucky to be .500 much less make to ODACs. Haha.
The field you played on was very close to where the new field is and may overlap a bit. I think the road behind the new field intersects the old W&L field as I recall. The back fields as it was called back in the day did not have the field hockey field (a real investment which most schools do not have) or the 3rd year housing. Nobody ever saw us play. It probably had one small viewing stand as well from what I remember over 30 years ago. Mike Singleton has tried to make much better, but it is true art to keep it up. Also the women's team plays on it as well so there is also that impact. They just added lights which is great for late fall games. They practice on a turf field right next to the new stadium field.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2022, 02:17:09 PM
They also beat Lycoming 2-0. These rankings are based on the win % and SOS primarily so individual results are irrelevant. Once RvR is added, then those results will come into play and move teams up or down
Rowan beat Lycoming 1-0 not 2-0.
6-0 loss to anyone besides Messiah or Chicago is tough to sell as a positive ???
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 20, 2022, 09:08:38 AM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 19, 2022, 03:12:11 PM
It seems like the men's Regional Rankings have been posted (https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-men/d3/regional-rankings) but they have no W-L-T records included.
NOTE: these are in alphabetical order, not ranked order.
Region IV
Lancaster Bible
Lycoming
Misericordia
Montclair St.
NYU
Rowan
Stevens
Region V
Catholic
Drew
Elizabethtown
Franklin & Marshall
Gettysburg
John Hopkins
Messiah
MAF 1st Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Misericordia
5. Lycoming
6. Stockton
7. Lancaster Bible
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Gettysburg
6. Drew
7. Elizabethtown or Alvernia (leaning Etown)
Only missed 1 ;)
Same! Had Rowan in mine but missed Lancaster Bible (had Newark in over them).
If I get some time, I want to cross-walk the regional ranking SoS with what Massey has... curious what is going on with differentials.
As i stated when paclassic put up the RPI #'s, I'm terrible with math, but still want to see how close the two are.
Although I won't crack the Rochester (paywall), Alvernia has the chance to make a regional statement against a regionally ranked Rochester squad on Saturday.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 20, 2022, 02:09:28 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2022, 02:17:09 PM
They also beat Lycoming 2-0. These rankings are based on the win % and SOS primarily so individual results are irrelevant. Once RvR is added, then those results will come into play and move teams up or down
Rowan beat Lycoming 1-0 not 2-0.
6-0 loss to anyone besides Messiah or Chicago is tough to sell as a positive ???
You're the one that was trying to make the point that 1 game should have some sort of meaning in the regional rankings. It doesn't. Take it to the fan poll thread buddy
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 02:54:37 PM
If I get some time, I want to cross-walk the regional ranking SoS with what Massey has... curious what is going on with differentials.
As i stated when paclassic put up the RPI #'s, I'm terrible with math, but still want to see how close the two are.
Massey's SOS is based off of his rankings and not the pure W/L records afaik
Games around the region this weekend...
NJAC
Stockton @ Ramapo @ 12:00 PM
Rutgers-Camden @ Montclair State @ 1:00 PM
New Jersey City @ TCNJ @ 6:00 PM
William Paterson @ Rowan @ 7:00 PM
Kean @ Rutgers-Newark @ 7:30 PM
GOTW: Stockton at Ramapo (also in weekly pool). The Roadrunners have only 3 wins this season, but all of those are in-conference so they're sitting in 4th place. With only 6 teams making the playoffs, a 10 win Stockton team in 8th place desperately needs the win.
LANDMARK
Catholic @ Moravian @ 1:00 PM
Scranton @ Susquehanna @ 1:00 PM
Goucher @ Elizabethtown @ 1:00 PM
Drew @ Juniata @ 1:00 PM
GOTW: Drew at Juniata (also in weekly pool). Only 4 teams make the Landmark playoffs and Drew is sitting in 5th. A win vs. Juniata likely moves them into 4th with one game left to play, thus keeping their playoff hopes alive.
MAC-C
York (Pa.) @ Eastern @ 3:00 PM
Lebanon Valley @ Stevenson @ 4:00 PM
Albright @ Messiah @ 5:00 PM
Widener @ Hood @ 7:00 PM
GOTW: Lebanon Valley @ Stevenson. (also in weekly pool). The MAC invites 5 teams to the playoffs and Stevenson and LVC currently sit 5th and 4th respectively. But Eastern is nipping at their tails, so a loss for either this weekend would be devastating.
MAC-F
Delaware Valley @ Arcadia @ 1:00 PM
DeSales @ Lycoming @ 3:30 PM
Misericordia @ Stevens @ 7:00 PM
FDU-Florham @ King's @ 7:00 PM
GOTW: Misericordia @ Stevens. The #1 seed and home field advantage is on the line. Stevens is coming off a 5-1 pounding of DeSales while Misericordia suffered their first conference loss of the season in a 1-0 upset against Wilkes.
CENTENNIAL
Ursinus @ Franklin and Marshall @ 7:00 PM
Oct. 22Washington College @ McDaniel @ 1:00 PM
Gettysburg @ Haverford @ 3:30 PM
Swarthmore @ Dickinson @ 4:00 PM
Johns Hopkins @ Muhlenberg @ 7:00 PM
GOTW: Washington @ McDaniel (also in weekly pool). Washington is a .500 team but sits in 4th place in the conference. McDaniel is 8-3-3 but is currently on the outside looking in. The Green Terror deserve better this season and are fighting for their playoff lives
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 20, 2022, 03:26:58 PM
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 20, 2022, 02:09:28 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 19, 2022, 02:17:09 PM
They also beat Lycoming 2-0. These rankings are based on the win % and SOS primarily so individual results are irrelevant. Once RvR is added, then those results will come into play and move teams up or down
Rowan beat Lycoming 1-0 not 2-0.
6-0 loss to anyone besides Messiah or Chicago is tough to sell as a positive ???
You're the one that was trying to make the point that 1 game should have some sort of meaning in the regional rankings. It doesn't. Take it to the fan poll thread buddy
Simmer down pal. Not sure what you're referencing as I believe it was camofan that mentioned the Rowan 6-0 loss, not I.
Every game has meaning--some more than others. That's why the committee have criteria to follow. Certain results carry more weight than others do they not? Are H2H results not factored? I believe they are. So to your point--yeah one game could have a ton of meaning in the regional rankings, in theory.
Go to bed you're cranky.
Quote from: Ejay on October 20, 2022, 11:31:32 PM
Games around the region this weekend...
NJAC
CENTENNIAL
Ursinus @ Franklin and Marshall @ 7:00 PM
Oct. 22Washington College @ McDaniel @ 1:00 PM
Gettysburg @ Haverford @ 3:30 PM
Swarthmore @ Dickinson @ 4:00 PM
Johns Hopkins @ Muhlenberg @ 7:00 PM
GOTW: Washington @ McDaniel (also in weekly pool). Washington is a .500 team but sits in 4th place in the conference. McDaniel is 8-3-3 but is currently on the outside looking in. The Green Terror deserve better this season and are fighting for their playoff lives
Definitely the WC v. Mc should be a good game to watch.
Also the JHU v. Muhls could be a very interesting one. Highest scoring (16 goals in conf.) against the best defense (only 2 goals allowed in conf.) along with playing on bad, bad grass which is incredibly hard to possess/pass/trap. Anything could go. Guessing that the Muhls could be having the senior night as well. Especially since Hopkins has beaten most of Cent. Cent and tied WC (JHU has its last game against F&M). Also seeding in the Conf. Championship is definitely on the line. Any result would greatly enhance the Muhls chances of hosting at least a game.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 21, 2022, 10:05:33 AM
Quote from: Ejay on October 20, 2022, 11:31:32 PM
Games around the region this weekend...
NJAC
CENTENNIAL
Ursinus @ Franklin and Marshall @ 7:00 PM
Oct. 22Washington College @ McDaniel @ 1:00 PM
Gettysburg @ Haverford @ 3:30 PM
Swarthmore @ Dickinson @ 4:00 PM
Johns Hopkins @ Muhlenberg @ 7:00 PM
GOTW: Washington @ McDaniel (also in weekly pool). Washington is a .500 team but sits in 4th place in the conference. McDaniel is 8-3-3 but is currently on the outside looking in. The Green Terror deserve better this season and are fighting for their playoff lives
Definitely the WC v. Mc should be a good game to watch.
Also the JHU v. Muhls could be a very interesting one. Highest scoring (16 goals in conf.) against the best defense (only 2 goals allowed in conf.) along with playing on bad, bad grass which is incredibly hard to possess/pass/trap. Anything could go. Guessing that the Muhls could be having the senior night as well. Especially since Hopkins has beaten most of Cent. Cent and tied WC (JHU has its last game against F&M). Also seeding in the Conf. Championship is definitely on the line. Any result would greatly enhance the Muhls chances of hosting at least a game.
With that field condition they should not be allowed to host a playoff let alone home games in the regular season. Instead of SC Field of Dreams, their field should appear on the FIELD OF SCREAMS LOL. I can't imagine it helps Muhlenberg with recruiting, hey come look at our game field HAHAHA
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 20, 2022, 12:51:23 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 20, 2022, 12:32:53 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 20, 2022, 10:00:33 AM
Once again, watched the Hop game on a secondary screen while hanging with The Wife. She's also a Hop alum and is fully on board to have the game running while we watch one of our stories. (Bad Sisters on Apple+ is an excellent show, if anyone is looking for recommendations.)
I want to give the Jays some credit, instead of reflexively slagging on them for a tie. They were extremely bent on going forward in this match and I felt a draw was (kind of) an unlucky result. The Red Devils did enough to trouble their opponents in the second half and scored a scrappy (garbage) goal with the ball popping around the box. The Hop goal was a thing of beauty off a set piece... They were threatening through most of the match and they hit the crossbar with about 11 seconds to go.
Kudos to both teams for a hard fought, relatively clean battle.
I watched most of it and I agree. Very hard fought game. JHU's goal was nice and Dickinson's was a popcorn situation in front of the goal is always tough. Not much the keeper could have done. JHU almost got the win with the great shot in the final minute which went off the crossbar way beyond the keeper's reach. Crucial games this weekend leading up to what could be a great game next Saturday! It's what makes it all fun.
Good luck at Muhlenberg on that meadow. They are supposed to be getting turf next year.
If you have any doubt as to the shape of Muhl's grass check out a few minutes of this game - https://www.centennialconference.tv/muhlenbergcollege/?B=407668
Finally got around to checking out the field. Yeesh.
Will be interesting to see how Hop deals with that nonsense tomorrow.
[/quote]
With that field condition they should not be allowed to host a playoff let alone home games in the regular season. Instead of SC Field of Dreams, their field should appear on the FIELD OF SCREAMS LOL. I can't imagine it helps Muhlenberg with recruiting, hey come look at our game field HAHAHA
[/quote]
Totally agree, Rumor is that they are getting a turf field next year. Apt series name for this time of year. They could play on the turf football field also, but I don't think it is lined for soccer which is strange. Also in the same conf., Haverford's field is as bad or almost as bad.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 21, 2022, 11:40:16 AM
With that field condition they should not be allowed to host a playoff let alone home games in the regular season. Instead of SC Field of Dreams, their field should appear on the FIELD OF SCREAMS LOL. I can't imagine it helps Muhlenberg with recruiting, hey come look at our game field HAHAHA
[/quote]
Totally agree, Rumor is that they are getting a turf field next year. Apt series name for this time of year. They could play on the turf football field also, but I don't think it is lined for soccer which is strange. Also in the same conf., Haverford's field is as bad or almost as bad.
[/quote]
That rumor was last year as well. Is it just a rumor or not. Our high school field was unplayable and they found this thing called paint that allowed them to paint temporary lines on the football turf field. Maybe we should tell Muhlenberg about paint!
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 21, 2022, 11:45:36 AM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 21, 2022, 11:40:16 AM
With that field condition they should not be allowed to host a playoff let alone home games in the regular season. Instead of SC Field of Dreams, their field should appear on the FIELD OF SCREAMS LOL. I can't imagine it helps Muhlenberg with recruiting, hey come look at our game field HAHAHA
Totally agree, Rumor is that they are getting a turf field next year. Apt series name for this time of year. They could play on the turf football field also, but I don't think it is lined for soccer which is strange. Also in the same conf., Haverford's field is as bad or almost as bad.
[/quote]
That rumor was last year as well. Is it just a rumor or not. Our high school field was unplayable and they found this thing called paint that allowed them to paint temporary lines on the football turf field. Maybe we should tell Muhlenberg about paint!
[/quote]
That's where the famous Messiah-Tufts game took place. And, I recall it raining either just beforehand and/or during the game. IMO it was a factor in the outcome. Messiah couldn't host the second weekend that year, I think, b/c the women were hosting—a good problem for any institution to have, except in circumstances like those. Absolutely a terrible place to play the Falcon's style of beautiful soccer. Amherst wouldn't even notice something like this.
;D
Wow.
I have to admit, I've been kind of "whatever" about some of the comments about Haverford's field. I'd been up there in 2017 and 2018 (I think, thereabouts) to watch some games and, frankly, the field seemed just fine.
Tuned in just now to check on the G-burg game and... Again... Wow. That's worse than the Muhles.
Wonder what happened for them to just say "eff it" with the field. That's a pretty shocking decline.
(As I said earlier, and maybe elsewhere, Haverford and Swats grass fields back in the day were quite nice. Maybe a little small in dimensions, but, nothing like that playground nonsense.
Quote from: Ejay on October 20, 2022, 11:31:32 PM
Games around the region this weekend...
NJAC
Stockton @ Ramapo @ 12:00 PM
Rutgers-Camden @ Montclair State @ 1:00 PM
New Jersey City @ TCNJ @ 6:00 PM
William Paterson @ Rowan @ 7:00 PM
Kean @ Rutgers-Newark @ 7:30 PM
GOTW: Stockton at Ramapo (also in weekly pool). The Roadrunners have only 3 wins this season, but all of those are in-conference so they're sitting in 4th place. With only 6 teams making the playoffs, a 10 win Stockton team in 8th place desperately needs the win.
LANDMARK
Catholic @ Moravian @ 1:00 PM
Scranton @ Susquehanna @ 1:00 PM
Goucher @ Elizabethtown @ 1:00 PM
Drew @ Juniata @ 1:00 PM
GOTW: Drew at Juniata (also in weekly pool). Only 4 teams make the Landmark playoffs and Drew is sitting in 5th. A win vs. Juniata likely moves them into 4th with one game left to play, thus keeping their playoff hopes alive.
MAC-C
York (Pa.) @ Eastern @ 3:00 PM
Lebanon Valley @ Stevenson @ 4:00 PM
Albright @ Messiah @ 5:00 PM
Widener @ Hood @ 7:00 PM
GOTW: Lebanon Valley @ Stevenson. (also in weekly pool). The MAC invites 5 teams to the playoffs and Stevenson and LVC currently sit 5th and 4th respectively. But Eastern is nipping at their tails, so a loss for either this weekend would be devastating.
MAC-F
Delaware Valley @ Arcadia @ 1:00 PM
DeSales @ Lycoming @ 3:30 PM
Misericordia @ Stevens @ 7:00 PM
FDU-Florham @ King's @ 7:00 PM
GOTW: Misericordia @ Stevens. The #1 seed and home field advantage is on the line. Stevens is coming off a 5-1 pounding of DeSales while Misericordia suffered their first conference loss of the season in a 1-0 upset against Wilkes.
CENTENNIAL
Ursinus @ Franklin and Marshall @ 7:00 PM
Oct. 22Washington College @ McDaniel @ 1:00 PM
Gettysburg @ Haverford @ 3:30 PM
Swarthmore @ Dickinson @ 4:00 PM
Johns Hopkins @ Muhlenberg @ 7:00 PM
GOTW: Washington @ McDaniel (also in weekly pool). Washington is a .500 team but sits in 4th place in the conference. McDaniel is 8-3-3 but is currently on the outside looking in. The Green Terror deserve better this season and are fighting for their playoff lives
GOTW: Stockton at Ramapo (also in weekly pool). The Roadrunners have only 3 wins this season, but all of those are in-conference so they're sitting in 4th place. With only 6 teams making the playoffs, a 10 win Stockton team in 8th place desperately needs the win. Ramapo 4-2 over Stockton. The Roadrunners now stand at 4-6-3 overall and 4-2-2 in the NJAC where they are tied for 2nd place!. The Ospreys move to 10-5-3 overall and 2-2-3 in the conference, and remain in 8th place.GOTW: Drew at Juniata (also in weekly pool). Only 4 teams make the Landmark playoffs and Drew is sitting in 5th. A win vs. Juniata likely moves them into 4th with one game left to play, thus keeping their playoff hopes alive.Juniata scores in the final 3 minutes to draw with Drew. The Rangers will likely finish the season 12-2-4 and miss out on the Landmark playoffs. GOTW: Lebanon Valley @ Stevenson. (also in weekly pool). The MAC invites 5 teams to the playoffs and Stevenson and LVC currently sit 5th and 4th respectively. But Eastern is nipping at their tails, so a loss for either this weekend would be devastating.Stevenson outshoots LVC 20-8 and comes away with a 2-1 win. LVC is now tied with Eastern for the final playoff spot. LVC has Messiah and York remaining while Eastern only has last place Albright. Eastern owns the H2H over LVC, so it looks like the Duthmen are done.GOTW: Misericordia @ Stevens. The #1 seed and home field advantage is on the line. Stevens is coming off a 5-1 pounding of DeSales while Misericordia suffered their first conference loss of the season in a 1-0 upset against Wilkes. Stevens punishes Misericordia 3-0 to secure the #1 seed in the MAC-F playoffs. Not necessarily an unexpected result, but a big win nonetheless. GOTW: Washington @ McDaniel (also in weekly pool). Washington is a .500 team but sits in 4th place in the conference. McDaniel is 8-3-3 but is currently on the outside looking in. The Green Terror deserve better this season and are fighting for their playoff lives Washington scores with 43 seconds remaining in the game to win 1-0 and punch their playoff ticket. McDaniel is now 8-4-3 on the season and will miss the playoffs for the 16th straight season.
What a weird season for Drew. Their record and SOS might be good enough to keep them ranked for the rest of the season but they are going to miss out on their conference playoffs and are likely out of the at large race. Just completely stalled out.
LVC went from taking Messiah to OT in the conference championship last season to missing out on the playoffs for the first time in 15 years, in their last season in the MAC Commonwealth no less.
Stockton was hanging around on the bubble for the first regional rankings. That loss will dash their chances of making a late push.
What conference is LVC going to enter? If LVC is leaving the MAC will the conference still have enough teams to get an automatic to the NCAA's?
LVC is moving over to the MAC Freedom. Wilkes and Lycoming bolted for the Landmark so LVC is moving conferences to balance the MAC out. Both will have more than enough for the AQ.
Hopkins with a 2-2 draw at Muhlenberg. Credit to the Muhles who took their relatively few chances and cashed them in.
I do have to say, I like the urgency I see from Hop coming down the stretch. They were down 2-1 at the half, (in my eyes) against the run of play. They pressed hard and got a scramble-goal for their efforts.
And after about the 60th minute, the field was absolute trash. Turned into a bit of a rugby match, TBH.
F&M game for all the marbles. Dips on 20pts, Hop on 18 and Wash on 15.
Playoffs are a done deal, in addition to the above, G'burg, Muhles and Dickinson are in.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 23, 2022, 10:20:32 AM
Hopkins with a 2-2 draw at Muhlenberg. Credit to the Muhles who took their relatively few chances and cashed them in.
I do have to say, I like the urgency I see from Hop coming down the stretch. They were down 2-1 at the half, (in my eyes) against the run of play. They pressed hard and got a scramble-goal for their efforts.
And after about the 60th minute, the field was absolute trash. Turned into a bit of a rugby match, TBH.
F&M game for all the marbles. Dips on 20pts, Hop on 18 and Wash on 15.
Playoffs are a done deal, in addition to the above, G'burg, Muhles and Dickinson are in.
True - Field is crap all year. The women had played shortly before the men that day.
Amazing scenario for the end of the season for all 6 Cent. Conf. playoff teams. All 6 play each other and on the last game of the season.
F&M v. JHU Winner takes all. 1 v. 2
WC v. Dickinson 3 v. 6 as it currently stands
Gettys v. Muhl (fortunately for Gettys at Gettys) 4 v 5
All are fighting for a home conf. play off game. This year the semis are hosted by the 1st and 2nd seed. Years past the winner of conf. hosted the semis and the finals. Also, depending on results it could come down to 2nd or even 3rd tie breakers.
Another factor, WC and Gettys are playing non conf. mid week games.
May not be a soccer quote, but maybe apt by Americans who happen to play soccer - "Just Win, Baby." If you younger, look it up, It's a great story even though I am a Giants fan.
Wife is on board for a day trip up Charm City next weekend. Should be a fun day!
=-=-=-=-=
We talked about McDaniel, who will close out one of their best seasons in many years (worst case, 8-5-1...) We focused on the fact that even in an "up" year, they struggled in conference. This year, so far, 1-4-3 in the Centennial. Interesting to see if they can keep pulling in better talent, perhaps they can tweak their OOC schedule to be more challenging to raise their overall level.
They play Ursinus, who continues to put up a fight, but remains winless (against 7 losses and 1 draw) in conference play.
=-=-=-=-=-=
One other note: And Hop-Walk On mentioned this many weeks ago, I just hadn't watched enough when he said this to discuss:
Hopkins is really vulnerable on set pieces, especially in the air. I know that of the 6 goals they've conceded on the year, at least 3 are from set pieces. They need to be really disciplined heading into November not to give up silly/needless fouls from 35 yards in.
Quote from: Ejay on October 22, 2022, 11:02:52 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 20, 2022, 11:31:32 PM
GOTW: Washington @ McDaniel (also in weekly pool). Washington is a .500 team but sits in 4th place in the conference. McDaniel is 8-3-3 but is currently on the outside looking in. The Green Terror deserve better this season and are fighting for their playoff lives
Washington scores with 43 seconds remaining in the game to win 1-0 and punch their playoff ticket. McDaniel is now 8-4-3 on the season and will miss the playoffs for the 16th straight season.
So, while I agree McD had a great season, but you have to look at its non-conference opponents. They really did not play any competitive programs. Then in conference they only scored 3 goals and gave up 9 over 8 games. The least goals scored in the conf.
MAF 2nd Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 4
1. Stevens (13-0-2 and RvR should be 5-0-0)
2. Montclair (12-1-4 and RvR should be 2-0-1)
3. NYU (7-4-2 and RvR should be 1-4-1)
4. Rowan (8-5-4 and RvR should be 1-3-1)
5. Lycoming (9-4-4 and RvR should be 0-4-2)
6. Misericordia (9-3-4 and RvR should be 1-1-0)
7. Lancaster Bible (11-3-3 and RvR should be 0-0-2)
Region 5
1. Messiah (15-0-1 and RvR should be 6-0-0)
2. Hopkins (11-0-5 and RvR should be 4-0-1)
3. F&M (11-1-4 and RvR should be 1-1-2)
4. Catholic (10-2-4 and RvR should be 2-1-2)
5. Elizabethtown (8-4-4 and RvR should be 1-2-0)
6. Drew (11-2-4 and RvR should be 1-2-0)
7. Alvernia (10-2-5 and RvR should be 2-2-1)
HM: Gettysburg (9-3-3 and RvR should be 0-2-2)
Gather round, Mid-Atlantic friend-o's....
It's Widener Watch Time!!!
Widener took care of business against it's second straight MAC Freedom minnow, besting Hood in Historic Old Town Frederick on Saturday night by a convincing 4-0 margin. Your favorite All Conference suitor, Sean Fatiga pulled a brace, bringing his season tally to 10 goals and he added an assist for his troubles.
The Pride round the corner on the end of this historic season (for them, probably, I only went back 10 years) with a sturdy test against Alvernia, who are coming off of a huge win against Rochester on the weekend. They finish the regular season against Messiah, who... Messiah.
As is probably annoying of me to remind everyone at this point, Widener started the season with three losses and have now teared through the schedule and sit at 9-4-2 and the lone loss in that run is to the Mighty Ducks from Hoboken.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 24, 2022, 10:53:41 AM
Gather round, Mid-Atlantic friend-o's....
It's Widener Watch Time!!!
Widener took care of business against it's second straight MAC Freedom minnow, besting Hood in Historic Old Town Frederick on Saturday night by a convincing 4-0 margin. Your favorite All Conference suitor, Sean Fatiga pulled a brace, bringing his season tally to 10 goals and he added an assist for his troubles.
The Pride round the corner on the end of this historic season (for them, probably, I only went back 10 years) with a sturdy test against Alvernia, who are coming off of a huge win against Rochester on the weekend. They finish the regular season against Messiah, who... Messiah.
As is probably annoying of me to remind everyone at this point, Widener started the season with three losses and have now teared through the schedule and sit at 9-4-2 and the lone loss in that run is to the Mighty Ducks from Hoboken.
So you are calling the upset of the year on Saturday...interesting! I agree it will definitely be a game to watch but I am not ready to claim victory for either team.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 24, 2022, 10:53:41 AM
Widener took care of business against it's second straight MAC Freedom minnow, besting Hood in Historic Old Town Frederick on Saturday night by a convincing 4-0 margin.
Correction: Widener, Messiah and co. are in the MAC
Commonwealth.
I think Alvernia is a better team than Widner, much quicker and does more with possession, think they will beat Widner.
HA!! Coach Jeff...
I'm in no way calling for that upset. Winning on Tuesday against Alvernia would really cement this as one of their better years in quite some time, but beating Messiah? In a game that actually has some significance? (I actually think beating Alvernia would almost be considered an upset, but just barely.)
As you said, that would be up there with upset of the year. The only little nugget that really plays in their favor is the fact that both of these games are at home. Though, really, none of these schools are all that far from each other, so it's not a HUGE deal. And I'm not familiar with modern day Widener and whether that homefield yields much of an advantage.
=-==-=-=-=-=
While deep diving on Widener, it's always interesting to me when you look back through a decade or so of results and you see an obvious sea change. Well, the Pride are a perfect example... In 2019/20, they hired Ross Liberati away from being a Bucknell assistant to lead the Pride program. In the years leading up to that change, Widener stumbled through some back to back 3 win seasons, which was a sharp decline from around 2014-15 when they had some measured success.
This coach really seems to be on to something, having created a leadership program for students across all varsity sports. He's put together an overall record of 28-22-3 (I don't count COVID year) and really seems to be trending in the right direction.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on October 24, 2022, 01:01:10 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 24, 2022, 10:53:41 AM
Widener took care of business against it's second straight MAC Freedom minnow, besting Hood in Historic Old Town Frederick on Saturday night by a convincing 4-0 margin.
Correction: Widener, Messiah and co. are in the MAC Commonwealth.
Yeah, I'm constantly flipping those two. Just figured out a pneumonic device to solve it once and for all.
Every once in a while Widener has managed to make Messiah sweat out a 1-0 result despite dominating the game (in 2012 it took a Jeremy Payne OT goal to get the "W"), but in the end, Widener rarely has been able to generate much offense as they've been outscored by the Falcons 117-6 and have lost all 29 times they have met. Given how Messiah is humming this season, it's hard to imagine even an improved Widener stopping them, but soccer is a funny sport and the Pride did keep the Stevens game close. Maybe Fatiga can give Widener their first goal against the Falcons in over 10 years.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 24, 2022, 01:20:51 PM
HA!! Coach Jeff...
I'm in no way calling for that upset. Winning on Tuesday against Alvernia would really cement this as one of their better years in quite some time, but beating Messiah? In a game that actually has some significance? (I actually think beating Alvernia would almost be considered an upset, but just barely.)
As you said, that would be up there with upset of the year. The only little nugget that really plays in their favor is the fact that both of these games are at home. Though, really, none of these schools are all that far from each other, so it's not a HUGE deal. And I'm not familiar with modern day Widener and whether that homefield yields much of an advantage.
=-==-=-=-=-=
While deep diving on Widener, it's always interesting to me when you look back through a decade or so of results and you see an obvious sea change. Well, the Pride are a perfect example... In 2019/20, they hired Ross Liberati away from being a Bucknell assistant to lead the Pride program. In the years leading up to that change, Widener stumbled through some back to back 3 win seasons, which was a sharp decline from around 2014-15 when they had some measured success.
This coach really seems to be on to something, having created a leadership program for students across all varsity sports. He's put together an overall record of 28-22-3 (I don't count COVID year) and really seems to be trending in the right direction.
that is the type of growth you like to see in a program.
Quote from: camosfan on October 24, 2022, 01:29:45 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 24, 2022, 01:20:51 PM
HA!! Coach Jeff...
I'm in no way calling for that upset. Winning on Tuesday against Alvernia would really cement this as one of their better years in quite some time, but beating Messiah? In a game that actually has some significance? (I actually think beating Alvernia would almost be considered an upset, but just barely.)
As you said, that would be up there with upset of the year. The only little nugget that really plays in their favor is the fact that both of these games are at home. Though, really, none of these schools are all that far from each other, so it's not a HUGE deal. And I'm not familiar with modern day Widener and whether that homefield yields much of an advantage.
=-==-=-=-=-=
While deep diving on Widener, it's always interesting to me when you look back through a decade or so of results and you see an obvious sea change. Well, the Pride are a perfect example... In 2019/20, they hired Ross Liberati away from being a Bucknell assistant to lead the Pride program. In the years leading up to that change, Widener stumbled through some back to back 3 win seasons, which was a sharp decline from around 2014-15 when they had some measured success.
This coach really seems to be on to something, having created a leadership program for students across all varsity sports. He's put together an overall record of 28-22-3 (I don't count COVID year) and really seems to be trending in the right direction.
that is the type of growth you like to see in a program.
I agree that Coach Ross has definitely turned the program around. Just hope he stays long enough to see them to the next level. NCAA tournament participant.
Some regional games to watch this evening:
Messiah @ LVC
Kings @ Misericordia
Lyco @ Gettysburg
Wilkes @ FDU
Alvernia @ Widener
Stevens @ Arcadia
Lots of out of conference games going on tonight.
Alvernia @ Widener is a major tilt, both for the MAC-C playoffs, but also possible NCAA Pool C bids. There is some jockeying to be done in the Commonwealth, but the top 5 teams make the playoffs and neither of these two team are in danger of dropping out, though Alvernia could get got if they collapse (2 losses) and two of the teams below them go on a tear (York, Leb Valley, Eastern). I don't feel like looking if that's even possible given the remaining schedule. Bottom line: This game has major post-season ramifications, probably a must-win for Widener on this front.
The other game that pops off (to me) is the Gettysburg vs. Lycoming game. Both are bubble teams and REALLY need a RvR win under their belt to have any chance at a Pool C. You don't want to have to win the conference tourney to secure your bid if you are either team.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 25, 2022, 11:41:10 AM
Some regional games to watch this evening:
Messiah @ LVC
Kings @ Misericordia
Lyco @ Gettysburg
Wilkes @ FDU
Alvernia @ Widener
Stevens @ Arcadia
While I was scanning, noticed that the Messiah game is at 3:30... In case folks were looking for a procrastination vehicle. :D
https://gomacsports.tv/flyingdutchmen/
LVC needs to get at least a point from the Messiah game somehow or their season is over. If they lose to Messiah and then beat York, they will be tied with Eastern on points (assuming Eastern gets the win against Albright) and Eastern holds the tiebreaker. If LVC loses today, they need to hope Eastern draws or loses against Albright (highly unlikely)
LVC has 1 win all time against Messiah. 2008 at LVC. So, it's not impossible I guess
Under-rated aspect of Messiah?
Set-pieces. They sure are clinical with the ball in the air.
1-0 over LVC early 2nd half.
And, wow, very much against the run of play, LVC ties it up with a nice ball played down the wing that got flipped across the box, re-crossed and found a dude wide open on the back post GK with an incredible point blank save, but the rebound is stuffed in... 1-1 with about 20 minutes left.
Also, props to the LVC student/fans... That's a really good turnout for a somewhat random Tuesday afternoon match!
And the Falcons do what they do... 5 minutes to go and they slam home a header from around 8 yards out. Ball game.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 25, 2022, 04:49:29 PM
Under-rated aspect of Messiah?
Set-pieces. They sure are clinical with the ball in the air.
1-0 over LVC early 2nd half.
And, wow, very much against the run of play, LVC ties it up with a nice ball played down the wing that got flipped across the box, re-crossed and found a dude wide open on the back post GK with an incredible point blank save, but the rebound is stuffed in... 1-1 with about 20 minutes left.
Also, props to the LVC student/fans... That's a really good turnout for a somewhat random Tuesday afternoon match!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 25, 2022, 05:34:15 PM
And the Falcons do what they do... 5 minutes to go and they slam home a header from around 8 yards out. Ball game.
exciting game to watch - and is a great example of what can and will happen in one and done games......LVC had to get a point to have a hope for the conference tourney - hence my comparison. And yes - they brought a crowd - and a lot of energy and urgency. Messiah is trouble on set pieces - and made that their strategy as evidenced by a lot of Leitzel time in the second half.....paid off.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 25, 2022, 04:49:29 PM
Under-rated aspect of Messiah?
Set-pieces. They sure are clinical with the ball in the air.
1-0 over LVC early 2nd half.
And, wow, very much against the run of play, LVC ties it up with a nice ball played down the wing that got flipped across the box, re-crossed and found a dude wide open on the back post GK with an incredible point blank save, but the rebound is stuffed in... 1-1 with about 20 minutes left.
Also, props to the LVC student/fans... That's a really good turnout for a somewhat random Tuesday afternoon match!
LVC is top 5 in attendance for D3 so they usually have a decent turnout/atmosphere for their home games! Something to keep an eye on is McDonald had reduced minutes in the 2nd half and didn't finish the game. I think it was for tactical reasons but there's a chance he picked up a knock at some point. He's important for them heading into postseason play so hopefully it's nothing major
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 25, 2022, 04:49:29 PM
Under-rated aspect of Messiah?
Set-pieces. They sure are clinical with the ball in the air.
1-0 over LVC early 2nd half.
And, wow, very much against the run of play, LVC ties it up with a nice ball played down the wing that got flipped across the box, re-crossed and found a dude wide open on the back post GK with an incredible point blank save, but the rebound is stuffed in... 1-1 with about 20 minutes left.
Also, props to the LVC student/fans... That's a really good turnout for a somewhat random Tuesday afternoon match!
I attended this one--a rare away game for me, but LVC isn't that far away. Never been to that stadium before--very attractive setting, where fans sit on terraced hardscaping rather than bleacher seats (like Messiah) or stadium seats. Kudos to LVC. The field is grass much in need of TLC, but worlds better than Muhlenberg. A damp, overcast day. They don't do night games at LVC because the field has no lights.
Thanks to Hopkins92 for a succinct summary of the game. I agree that the Falcons are "clinical" in the air. That's a major change from just a few years ago, when in one particular season they scored ZERO goals on set pieces. The players most responsible for the improvement are the big CB Lent-Koop, who scored the first goal today and who played upfield for much of the second half; Groothoff, who might have the best vertical leap on the team; and backup striker Leitzel, who scored the other goal--all of 6'5", he knows where to place himself and how to move. Amherst would just love to have him! ;D
Yes, it was a good turnout, but I recognized at least 1/3 as Falcon fans, many of them parents but also a few students, some faculty, and alumni. The fact that both goals were headers off long entry passes (one a corner kick by Johnson, who has now returned from injury) betrays the fact that LVC parked the bus until the Falcons got that first goal. All 11 men in front of the ball, with no effort to possess let alone score. They reverted again to that once they tied it up--credit to them for the quick strategic change and concerted effort to score. Pavlevich had no chance on the rebound shot, though he made an impressive save on the original shot by their very big striker.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 25, 2022, 06:27:14 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 25, 2022, 04:49:29 PM
Under-rated aspect of Messiah?
Set-pieces. They sure are clinical with the ball in the air.
1-0 over LVC early 2nd half.
And, wow, very much against the run of play, LVC ties it up with a nice ball played down the wing that got flipped across the box, re-crossed and found a dude wide open on the back post GK with an incredible point blank save, but the rebound is stuffed in... 1-1 with about 20 minutes left.
Also, props to the LVC student/fans... That's a really good turnout for a somewhat random Tuesday afternoon match!
LVC is top 5 in attendance for D3 so they usually have a decent turnout/atmosphere for their home games! Something to keep an eye on is McDonald had reduced minutes in the 2nd half and didn't finish the game. I think it was for tactical reasons but there's a chance he picked up a knock at some point. He's important for them heading into postseason play so hopefully it's nothing major
I hope it's nothing major, too.
I didn't notice the play where he got hit, but he did not re-appear in the game after leaving (with a few other starters) fairly early in the second half. I kept waiting for him to return--the game was tied, the other starters had all come back in, but no Matt McDonald. Afterwards he was walking around with an ice pack on his knee, but otherwise walking normally, and soon he took off the ice. From talking with a few parents (including his father) and players, I think he'll be OK, though if he misses Saturday's game I won't be surprised. The Falcons dodged a bullet.
Widener Update... Up 1-0 in the second. I didn't see the goal.
I think Pride Nation (:-)) would be happy if Double M sat out Saturday's game in Chester. :D
2-0 off of a scramble from a CK. I don't have the sound on so I don't know who scored it. Pretty nice finish... Lofted a bouncing ball over the keeper into the far side netting over the GK.
Game ends 3-1. Third Widener goal was pretty wild. Very sketch Alvernia foul led to hand bags at six paces (got kind of ugly for a minute). The set piece for Wide led to a goal and then the goal scorer (Fatiga?) did an incredible cartwheel-->flip cellie... It was a very satisfying moment for Pride Nation (tm).
Alvernia scored (didn't see it), but the game was pretty much over at 3-0.
Pretty impressive win, frankly. Not that I doubted them (I did), but they really handled business today. I'm actually pretty intrigued by how they'll do this weekend at home with the visiting Falcons.
ETA2: Fatiga had 2 tonight... 12 on the season. Dude is special at this level. Widener is a gnarly team, y'all.
Regional Ranking 2 RPI Predictions
Region IV
1. Stevens
2. NYU
3. Montclair St.
4. Rowan
5. Lycoming
6. Misericordia
7. Rutgers-Newark
Possible Inclusions at the 7 spot
Lanc Bible
Ramapo
TCNJ
Region V
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Drew
6. Gettysburg
7. Alvernia
Possible inclusion at 7
Etown
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 25, 2022, 11:52:10 PM
Regional Ranking 2 RPI Predictions
Region IV
1. Stevens
2. NYU
3. Montclair St.
4. Rowan
5. Lycoming
6. Misericordia
7. Rutgers-Newark
Possible Inclusions at the 7 spot
Lanc Bible
Ramapo
TCNJ
Region V
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Drew
6. Gettysburg
7. Alvernia
Possible inclusion at 7
Etown
I'll fight you about Alvernia and Widener!!
(I mean, I won't.. and I get it, but.. still...)
Given the results from this week so far, Alvernia's spot in the rankings will be short-lived (if they're even in it this week). And Widener is on the rise! I think they might have a legitimate shot at slipping in there for Week 3 depending on how some of the other teams do this weekend.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 26, 2022, 12:03:07 AM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 25, 2022, 11:52:10 PM
Regional Ranking 2 RPI Predictions
Region IV
1. Stevens
2. NYU
3. Montclair St.
4. Rowan
5. Lycoming
6. Misericordia
7. Rutgers-Newark
Possible Inclusions at the 7 spot
Lanc Bible
Ramapo
TCNJ
Region V
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Drew
6. Gettysburg
7. Alvernia
Possible inclusion at 7
Etown
I'll fight you about Alvernia and Widener!!
(I mean, I won't.. and I get it, but.. still...)
Drew needs to come out. They lost to Elizabethtown 2-0 and won't make the Landmark playoffs. Their season is done after Saturday (well, they'll likely get the ECAC #1 seed). Running through a soft schedule means nothing if you can't win your conference games.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 25, 2022, 11:52:10 PM
Regional Ranking 2 RPI Predictions
Region IV
1. Stevens
2. NYU
3. Montclair St.
4. Rowan
5. Lycoming
6. Misericordia
7. Rutgers-Newark
Possible Inclusions at the 7 spot
Lanc Bible
Ramapo
TCNJ
Region V
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Drew
6. Gettysburg
7. Alvernia
Possible inclusion at 7
Etown
I don't see how Newark gets in but they might due to their high SOS. 0-5-1 RvR and barely over .500 with a .529 win %. Not sure it's enough to jump in but it could happen.
Ramapo and TCNJ have 0% chance of making the rankings as both are below .500 win %.
That 7th spot is certainly a toss up in Region 5. Between Drew, Gettysburg, Alvernia and Etown one of them will be out but it's anyone's best guess who it will be! ???
I'm only providing what the numbers tell me haha. So I'm sure things will be shifted once RvR comes into play. I will say that Drew's win % and SOS are still objectively very good despite their recent struggles.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 25, 2022, 11:41:10 AM
Some regional games to watch this evening:
Messiah @ LVC
Kings @ Misericordia
Lyco @ Gettysburg
Wilkes @ FDU
Alvernia @ Widener
Stevens @ Arcadia
I caught bits and pieces of some of these but watched the Gettysburg vs Lycoming game the most. I've seen both teams play 4 or 5 times this year and I must say that both were playing at an extremely high level. I'd give the edge to Lycoming, as they created some quality chances and had the majority of the opportunities. Lycoming's outside backs were both very good on the ball and good in the attack. Gettysburg's goalie stood on his head and made some nice saves to keep them in it. Both teams look like NCAA teams to me and I am curious to see how they perform in conference playoffs. Both teams have strong resumes but are lacking a ranked win from what I can see. They should have the opportunity to pick up 1 during the playoffs which will help their case.
The other game I watched closely was Stevens vs Arcadia. Stevens is peaking at the right time and while they are still undefeated, they are playing some good soccer at the moment. They have only given up 1 goal in their last 9 games, outscoring opponents 21-1 in that stretch. They looked very difficult to break down and once they got the first goal it looked like everyone knew the match was over.
I noticed Messiah and LVC was a close affair. Did anybody watch that game? Was it as close as the score indicates?
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 26, 2022, 10:58:41 AM
I'm only providing what the numbers tell me haha. So I'm sure things will be shifted once RvR comes into play. I will say that Drew's win % and SOS are still objectively very good despite their recent struggles.
Yes, although Drew has struggled in conference play they might stay in the rankings due to the overall resume. We will see later this afternoon!
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 26, 2022, 11:02:53 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 25, 2022, 11:41:10 AM
Some regional games to watch this evening:
Messiah @ LVC
Kings @ Misericordia
Lyco @ Gettysburg
Wilkes @ FDU
Alvernia @ Widener
Stevens @ Arcadia
I caught bits and pieces of some of these but watched the Gettysburg vs Lycoming game the most. I've seen both teams play 4 or 5 times this year and I must say that both were playing at an extremely high level. I'd give the edge to Lycoming, as they created some quality chances and had the majority of the opportunities. Lycoming's outside backs were both very good on the ball and good in the attack. Gettysburg's goalie stood on his head and made some nice saves to keep them in it. Both teams look like NCAA teams to me and I am curious to see how they perform in conference playoffs. Both teams have strong resumes but are lacking a ranked win from what I can see. They should have the opportunity to pick up 1 during the playoffs which will help their case.
The other game I watched closely was Stevens vs Arcadia. Stevens is peaking at the right time and while they are still undefeated, they are playing some good soccer at the moment. They have only given up 1 goal in their last 9 games, outscoring opponents 21-1 in that stretch. They looked very difficult to break down and once they got the first goal it looked like everyone knew the match was over.
I noticed Messiah and LVC was a close affair. Did anybody watch that game? Was it as close as the score indicates?
Look up thread. I posted about it a bit and we had a first hand accounting of the game from Falconer.
I wouldn't really call it close, even though LVC scored with about 20 minutes left to even the match. It was very one-sided, with LVC parking the bus and Messiah doing their normal thing (tight passes and dribbling in little space, breaking down LVC and getting a decent amount of chances, resulting in a lot of shots and corners. (22 v. 3 on shots, 13 v. 1 on corners.)
I will say, this game was good for Messiah, because give credit to LVC... They had a plan and they stuck to it and weren't exactly an easy out. 2-1 is the closest game Messiah has seen in about a month (2-1 W over NYU in late September.)
I watched the entire Messiah v. LVU game. To say LVU "packed it in" doesn't do it justice. Not only did they have 11 behind the ball, but they were all basically sitting in the 18. Therefore, it was extremely hard for MU to break them down. They had some good looks and the GK had at least 1 good save in the 1H. MU got their first goal off a header from Lent-Koop in the 2H. LVU then opened up a bit and were able to get a goal. Then, they were content to sit back again as they were aiming to get 1 point from the game to have a shot at post season. MU though, got another header from Leitzel with 5 min left for the GW.
Stat line proved the above as MU out shot LVU 22-3. Give LVU credit as they had a plan to secure 1 point. MU coming off back to back blow outs against a desperate team surely played into the result.
MU able to score in so many ways will should make them a tough out in the NCAA's.
Quote from: Fitz@615 on October 26, 2022, 11:41:51 AM
I watched the entire Messiah v. LVU game. To say LVU "packed it in" doesn't do it justice. Not only did they have 11 behind the ball, but they were all basically sitting in the 18. Therefore, it was extremely hard for MU to break them down. They had some good looks and the GK had at least 1 good save in the 1H. MU got their first goal off a header from Lent-Koop in the 2H. LVU then opened up a bit and were able to get a goal. Then, they were content to sit back again as they were aiming to get 1 point from the game to have a shot at post season. MU though, got another header from Leitzel with 5 min left for the GW.
Stat line proved the above as MU out shot LVU 22-3. Give LVU credit as they had a plan to secure 1 point. MU coming off back to back blow outs against a desperate team surely played into the result.
MU able to score in so many ways will should make them a tough out in the NCAA's.
I think the win shows Messiahs ability to adapt and advance. Lent Koop effectively played as a striker - something he hasn't done all season, and you could see key adjustments to the plan and point of attack to push through those goals.....doesn't mean it wasn't cause for nail-biting. I honestly felt like a draw was at hand after LVC tied it up. Some may give them grief for parking the bus, but they did what they had to do in a situation where they had to get a point. Teams that have the ability to adapt will be advantaged in tournament play -
Rankings Week 2 are out
Region IV
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Misericordia
5. Lycoming
6. Rowan
7. Lancaster Bible
Region V
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Drew
6. Alvernia
7. Gettysburg
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 24, 2022, 09:24:43 AM
MAF 2nd Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 4
1. Stevens (13-0-2 and RvR should be 5-0-0)
2. Montclair (12-1-4 and RvR should be 2-0-1)
3. NYU (7-4-2 and RvR should be 1-4-1)
4. Rowan (8-5-4 and RvR should be 1-3-1)
5. Lycoming (9-4-4 and RvR should be 0-4-2)
6. Misericordia (9-3-4 and RvR should be 1-1-0)
7. Lancaster Bible (11-3-3 and RvR should be 0-0-2)
Region 5
1. Messiah (15-0-1 and RvR should be 6-0-0)
2. Hopkins (11-0-5 and RvR should be 4-0-1)
3. F&M (11-1-4 and RvR should be 1-1-2)
4. Catholic (10-2-4 and RvR should be 2-1-2)
5. Elizabethtown (8-4-4 and RvR should be 1-2-0)
6. Drew (11-2-4 and RvR should be 1-2-0)
7. Alvernia (10-2-5 and RvR should be 2-2-1)
HM: Gettysburg (9-3-3 and RvR should be 0-2-2)
Only missed one (Etown) and missed on the order for both regions.
Region 4 switched Rowan and Misericordia--in hindsight makes sense I missed on this.
Region 5 missed on Etown with Gettysburg in and everyone else shifting up one spot due to that.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 26, 2022, 11:22:24 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 26, 2022, 11:02:53 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 25, 2022, 11:41:10 AM
Some regional games to watch this evening:
Messiah @ LVC
Kings @ Misericordia
Lyco @ Gettysburg
Wilkes @ FDU
Alvernia @ Widener
Stevens @ Arcadia
I caught bits and pieces of some of these but watched the Gettysburg vs Lycoming game the most. I've seen both teams play 4 or 5 times this year and I must say that both were playing at an extremely high level. I'd give the edge to Lycoming, as they created some quality chances and had the majority of the opportunities. Lycoming's outside backs were both very good on the ball and good in the attack. Gettysburg's goalie stood on his head and made some nice saves to keep them in it. Both teams look like NCAA teams to me and I am curious to see how they perform in conference playoffs. Both teams have strong resumes but are lacking a ranked win from what I can see. They should have the opportunity to pick up 1 during the playoffs which will help their case.
The other game I watched closely was Stevens vs Arcadia. Stevens is peaking at the right time and while they are still undefeated, they are playing some good soccer at the moment. They have only given up 1 goal in their last 9 games, outscoring opponents 21-1 in that stretch. They looked very difficult to break down and once they got the first goal it looked like everyone knew the match was over.
I noticed Messiah and LVC was a close affair. Did anybody watch that game? Was it as close as the score indicates?
Look up thread. I posted about it a bit and we had a first hand accounting of the game from Falconer.
I wouldn't really call it close, even though LVC scored with about 20 minutes left to even the match. It was very one-sided, with LVC parking the bus and Messiah doing their normal thing (tight passes and dribbling in little space, breaking down LVC and getting a decent amount of chances, resulting in a lot of shots and corners. (22 v. 3 on shots, 13 v. 1 on corners.)
I will say, this game was good for Messiah, because give credit to LVC... They had a plan and they stuck to it and weren't exactly an easy out. 2-1 is the closest game Messiah has seen in about a month (2-1 W over NYU in late September.)
TY :)
What a beautiful day in Baltimore today!
Unfortunately for Hopkins, just not able to put one in the net today... Two goals in the first half were called back for offsides... I'm not complaining, I didn't have the benefit of replay... Dips scored about 5 minutes after second goal was called back and you could see the deflation. The Dips goal came of a scramble following a long throw-in. The atmosphere and energy made the game HIGHLY ENTERTAINING.
Hopkins outshot the Dips 16-6 and had 5 corners to F&M's 1... The Dips committed 15 fouls to Hopkins' 7... This was just a typical Hopkins-F&M game, both playing their style. Hopkins was swinging the ball around and pinging passes up through the middle at times. First time I've seen this iteration and I came away VERY impressed with Hopkins' overall speed. And in the second half, they were spraying deep balls across the field more than I think I've seen them do in 5 years. It was very impressive and almost lead to a couple of breakaway goals.
Another moment of controversy came with about 15 minutes left when Hopkins player was screaming through the box and got thumped by a Dips defender. Again, I didn't have replay, but, man... Sure looked like a PK to me.
On F&M, I'll say this: They are committed to their system. They lump the ball forward and proceed to apply a lot of pressure on the backs. I think Hopkins acquitted itself pretty well, with maybe 3 or 4 times that the pressure resulted in anything. I mean... The Dips worked the ball out of the back at one point in the second half and I'm pretty sure it was the only time they did that all game? If it was more than that it was while I was parking the car.
(I'm going to clip my critique of the F&M bench and their antics. I'm sure they're having fun.)
So, I know folks will ding Hop for not scoring, but I want to make something really clear:
This team is playing the best offense they've displayed all year. Their D is still pretty lights out, but I think this team is VERY dangerous heading into the post-season. Anyone that's paid even a tiny bit of attention knows I don't just homer it up for Hopkins. I've been pretty critical of their approach over the years and earlier this year is no exception.
In addition to the non-PK call, they had at least 3 goal mouth scrambles that the odds say probably should've produced a goal, and a couple of pretty nice set pieces that were dangerous. This team is cooking with gas and I anticipate a re-match in the CC final up in Lancaster down the road.
On the negative side, all the stuff I mentioned aside, they really should've scored at least 2, possibly 3 goals from the run of play, but... They just don't shoot the ball very well. Too much stuff that is just kind of dinked in the goals direction. And even the set piece towards the end of the game... Nice shot with pace, right at the goalie... Literally didn't have to move other than his hands.
Congrats to the Dips on a solid win. You come to Homewood and gave them their only loss on the year. Nuff said (from me... Looking forward to other opinions.)
Meanwhile, Widener Watch!!!
Sean Fatiga put the Pride up 1 to nothing in Chester, PA, but the Falcons leveled with about 15 minutes in the half. I didn't catch the scorer, but everyone's favorite shiny-domed forward had an assist.
Sitting on half-time.
Alas, MacDonald absolutely smashes home a rebound. 2-1 Falcons, and it has been a pretty lopsided half... Pride need some magic to score 2 and win the regular season "title"... Seems unlikely.
Now 3-1. I didn't see it... I'm not watching anymore.
Third goal was really scrappy, ball was bouncing around inside the six for a few seconds before it trickled over the line. Widener goalie got to it but it was too late and already in.
BTW, that loss combined with Washington's result means: Hopkins hosts Dickinson in the first round and the winner plays at Washington. On the other side of the bracket, Muhles face the Bullets to see who hosts the first round, obviously for the honor of traveling to Lancaster for the semis. Highest seed remaining hosts the final.
Quote from: d3ma on October 29, 2022, 05:36:58 PM
Third goal was really scrappy, ball was bouncing around inside the six for a few seconds before it trickled over the line. Widener goalie got to it but it was too late and already in.
Lietzel goal turns out to be pretty big, as Widener pulled one back late on a free-kick... Game ends 3-2.
Just going off memory, pretty sure that's only the second time Messiah has given up two goals all year. Right? That 2-2 draw against Lynchburg? *checks* Yup.
Pride Nation!!
It's unclear to me who they will play as the second seed. I'm sure I could figure it out, but I'm not vested enough. Folks better at sifting through the tea leaves could say with more authority, but I'd think they'd need another match-up with Messiah in the final to feel good about a Pool C at this point.
You are correct. MU gave up a game tying 2nd goal against Lynchburg with less than 2 minutes remaining.
Quote from: Fitz@615 on October 29, 2022, 06:23:51 PM
You are correct. MU gave up a game tying 2nd goal against Lynchburg with less than 2 minutes remaining.
Another cool moment for Falcon Fan Nation was when the announcer mentioned after the MacDonald goal that "whenever you play Messiah, you know they are bringing a big group of fans" (I'm paraphrasing). I didn't have the sound up too loud, but the place erupted when that goal was absolutely obliterated into the back of the net.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 29, 2022, 04:48:47 PM
What a beautiful day in Baltimore today!
Unfortunately for Hopkins, just not able to put one in the net today... Two goals in the first half were called back for offsides... I'm not complaining, I didn't have the benefit of replay... Dips scored about 5 minutes after second goal was called back and you could see the deflation. The Dips goal came of a scramble following a long throw-in. The atmosphere and energy made the game HIGHLY ENTERTAINING.
Hopkins outshot the Dips 16-6 and had 5 corners to F&M's 1... The Dips committed 15 fouls to Hopkins' 7... This was just a typical Hopkins-F&M game, both playing their style. Hopkins was swinging the ball around and pinging passes up through the middle at times. First time I've seen this iteration and I came away VERY impressed with Hopkins' overall speed. And in the second half, they were spraying deep balls across the field more than I think I've seen them do in 5 years. It was very impressive and almost lead to a couple of breakaway goals.
Another moment of controversy came with about 15 minutes left when Hopkins player was screaming through the box and got thumped by a Dips defender. Again, I didn't have replay, but, man... Sure looked like a PK to me.
On F&M, I'll say this: They are committed to their system. They lump the ball forward and proceed to apply a lot of pressure on the backs. I think Hopkins acquitted itself pretty well, with maybe 3 or 4 times that the pressure resulted in anything. I mean... The Dips worked the ball out of the back at one point in the second half and I'm pretty sure it was the only time they did that all game? If it was more than that it was while I was parking the car.
(I'm going to clip my critique of the F&M bench and their antics. I'm sure they're having fun.)
So, I know folks will ding Hop for not scoring, but I want to make something really clear:
This team is playing the best offense they've displayed all year. Their D is still pretty lights out, but I think this team is VERY dangerous heading into the post-season. Anyone that's paid even a tiny bit of attention knows I don't just homer it up for Hopkins. I've been pretty critical of their approach over the years and earlier this year is no exception.
In addition to the non-PK call, they had at least 3 goal mouth scrambles that the odds say probably should've produced a goal, and a couple of pretty nice set pieces that were dangerous. This team is cooking with gas and I anticipate a re-match in the CC final up in Lancaster down the road.
On the negative side, all the stuff I mentioned aside, they really should've scored at least 2, possibly 3 goals from the run of play, but... They just don't shoot the ball very well. Too much stuff that is just kind of dinked in the goals direction. And even the set piece towards the end of the game... Nice shot with pace, right at the goalie... Literally didn't have to move other than his hands.
Congrats to the Dips on a solid win. You come to Homewood and gave them their only loss on the year. Nuff said (from me... Looking forward to other opinions.)
Agreed on the F and M bench and their style of play. My son's team beat them in the NCAAs last year and his comment was "poor man's Amherst" in terms of both their antics and their style.
CSO, you may get to see them again in a couple or three weeks...
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 29, 2022, 04:48:47 PM
What a beautiful day in Baltimore today!
Unfortunately for Hopkins, just not able to put one in the net today... Two goals in the first half were called back for offsides... I'm not complaining, I didn't have the benefit of replay... Dips scored about 5 minutes after second goal was called back and you could see the deflation. The Dips goal came of a scramble following a long throw-in. The atmosphere and energy made the game HIGHLY ENTERTAINING.
Hopkins outshot the Dips 16-6 and had 5 corners to F&M's 1... The Dips committed 15 fouls to Hopkins' 7... This was just a typical Hopkins-F&M game, both playing their style. Hopkins was swinging the ball around and pinging passes up through the middle at times. First time I've seen this iteration and I came away VERY impressed with Hopkins' overall speed. And in the second half, they were spraying deep balls across the field more than I think I've seen them do in 5 years. It was very impressive and almost lead to a couple of breakaway goals.
Another moment of controversy came with about 15 minutes left when Hopkins player was screaming through the box and got thumped by a Dips defender. Again, I didn't have replay, but, man... Sure looked like a PK to me.
On F&M, I'll say this: They are committed to their system. They lump the ball forward and proceed to apply a lot of pressure on the backs. I think Hopkins acquitted itself pretty well, with maybe 3 or 4 times that the pressure resulted in anything. I mean... The Dips worked the ball out of the back at one point in the second half and I'm pretty sure it was the only time they did that all game? If it was more than that it was while I was parking the car.
(I'm going to clip my critique of the F&M bench and their antics. I'm sure they're having fun.)
So, I know folks will ding Hop for not scoring, but I want to make something really clear:
This team is playing the best offense they've displayed all year. Their D is still pretty lights out, but I think this team is VERY dangerous heading into the post-season. Anyone that's paid even a tiny bit of attention knows I don't just homer it up for Hopkins. I've been pretty critical of their approach over the years and earlier this year is no exception.
In addition to the non-PK call, they had at least 3 goal mouth scrambles that the odds say probably should've produced a goal, and a couple of pretty nice set pieces that were dangerous. This team is cooking with gas and I anticipate a re-match in the CC final up in Lancaster down the road.
On the negative side, all the stuff I mentioned aside, they really should've scored at least 2, possibly 3 goals from the run of play, but... They just don't shoot the ball very well. Too much stuff that is just kind of dinked in the goals direction. And even the set piece towards the end of the game... Nice shot with pace, right at the goalie... Literally didn't have to move other than his hands.
Congrats to the Dips on a solid win. You come to Homewood and gave them their only loss on the year. Nuff said (from me... Looking forward to other opinions.)
Thanks Hopkins92. Truly a beautiful day for a game!! As many have pobably have said on this board, soccer is a cruel sport . Also you probably know, F&M only needed a tie to clinch the regular season and the 1st seed. JHU and F&M both had great seasons. F&M has a pretty good defense as well. Only allowing one game of more than 1 goals ( second game against Stevens). 11 goals all season and only 3 in conference. Last 4 games were shutouts. 8 total this season. So F&M has pretty good defense as well. Yes, JHU got unlucky at some points during the game and F&M finished it's best chance. Good luck to both in the playoffs and I hope they see each other again but in Lancaster! Always fun time of year.
Sorry we didn't link up! The message notification on this site is a little wanting.
I should just say, I don't feel like editing my post, but when I was saying first time seeing this iteration, I mean to say "in person"
Hopkins is FAST.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 29, 2022, 08:29:15 PM
Sorry we didn't link up! The message notification on this site is a little wanting.
I should just say, I don't feel like editing my post, but when I was saying first time seeing this iteration, I mean to say "in person"
Hopkins is FAST.
No worries. Great fun. I would say next time, but our son is a senior. I was wondering if it ever went through, haha.
Just wanted to give a shout out to Widener, who have improved greatly since last season, when the Falcons held them to a single shot in a 6-0 blowout. They are far better than their overall record of 10-5-2, including today's loss to Messiah. The key fact is that they lost their first 3 games of the season by a combined score of 9-4. Since then, they've lost only to Stevens (1-0) and Messiah (3-2). Sean Fatiga is one of the best strikers in the country. He made the Falcons pay when he got behind them early and almost did likewise again later on, when a very good pass to the other forward should have at least been put on frame and is probably a goal if so, given that Pavlevich had come off his line. Fatiga looks bigger than the roster says he is, namely, 5'11" /175 lbs. Much more like 6'1"/ 200 to my eyes. He's very strong and doesn't hesitate to knock defenders down or even run over them. But, highly skilled, so not exactly just a space holder. He wasn't on my radar last year, even though he was named conference offensive player of the year, because the only thing he did in the Messiah game was to collect a YC.
In past years, it was typically Etown and then Lycoming who played excellent second fiddles to the Falcons in the conference. Now that they have both left for greener pastures, this Widener team is doing a decent imitation. Of course, I'm not rooting for them to win the automatic bid, but if they don't I do hope they get an at-large bid. They're big, very physical, and smart, though not particularly fast overall. In my opinion no team has actually played Messiah harder this year, and they could surprise someone if they get to dance.
The Falcons won deservedly, outshooting the Pride 22 (11) to 7 (2). Those 2 SOG were however both high quality goals, and I wouldn't dismiss a claim that their keeper might be the best in the conference. Certainly he played very well and was often tested.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 27, 2022, 05:00:33 PM
MAF 2nd Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 4
1. Stevens (13-0-2 and RvR should be 5-0-0)
2. Montclair (12-1-4 and RvR should be 2-0-1)
3. NYU (7-4-2 and RvR should be 1-4-1)
4. Rowan (8-5-4 and RvR should be 1-3-1)
5. Lycoming (9-4-4 and RvR should be 0-4-2)
6. Misericordia (9-3-4 and RvR should be 1-1-0)
7. Lancaster Bible (11-3-3 and RvR should be 0-0-2)
Region 5
1. Messiah (15-0-1 and RvR should be 6-0-0)
2. Hopkins (11-0-5 and RvR should be 4-0-1)
3. F&M (11-1-4 and RvR should be 1-1-2)
4. Catholic (10-2-4 and RvR should be 2-1-2)
5. Elizabethtown (8-4-4 and RvR should be 1-2-0)
6. Drew (11-2-4 and RvR should be 1-2-0)
7. Alvernia (10-2-5 and RvR should be 2-2-1)
HM: Gettysburg (9-3-3 and RvR should be 0-2-2)
So Drew finishes the season 12-2-4, misses the conference tournament, yet currently they sit 5th in the region. Assuming Hopkins/F&M win the Centennial, and Catholic wins the Landmark, what is the possibility they get an at-large? I gotta think tournament 1st round wins for Alvernia, Gettysburg and even Etown should push them above Drew?
Quote from: Falconer on October 29, 2022, 10:10:22 PM
Just wanted to give a shout out to Widener, who have improved greatly since last season, when the Falcons held them to a single shot in a 6-0 blowout. They are far better than their overall record of 10-5-2, including today's loss to Messiah. The key fact is that they lost their first 3 games of the season by a combined score of 9-4. Since then, they've lost only to Stevens (1-0) and Messiah (3-2). Sean Fatiga is one of the best strikers in the country. He made the Falcons pay when he got behind them early and almost did likewise again later on, when a very good pass to the other forward should have at least been put on frame and is probably a goal if so, given that Pavlevich had come off his line. Fatiga looks bigger than the roster says he is, namely, 5'11" /175 lbs. Much more like 6'1"/ 200 to my eyes. He's very strong and doesn't hesitate to knock defenders down or even run over them. But, highly skilled, so not exactly just a space holder. He wasn't on my radar last year, even though he was named conference offensive player of the year, because the only thing he did in the Messiah game was to collect a YC.
In past years, it was typically Etown and then Lycoming who played excellent second fiddles to the Falcons in the conference. Now that they have both left for greener pastures, this Widener team is doing a decent imitation. Of course, I'm not rooting for them to win the automatic bid, but if they don't I do hope they get an at-large bid. They're big, very physical, and smart, though not particularly fast overall. In my opinion no team has actually played Messiah harder this year, and they could surprise someone if they get to dance.
The Falcons won deservedly, outshooting the Pride 22 (11) to 7 (2). Those 2 SOG were however both high quality goals, and I wouldn't dismiss a claim that their keeper might be the best in the conference. Certainly he played very well and was often tested.
Watching today's game I only have one concern for Widener this late in the season, they appeared to be tired 20 minutes into the game. Hads on the hips bent over and even their big target Fatiga maybe played 40 total minutes. IMO They controlled the ball better without him on the field
Having caught only the first half of the Widener vs Messiah, I felt that Widener lived up to their billing for this season. Fatiga's size, speed and creativity make him very dangerous and this is one of the few games where the Messiah backs made significant errors against a forward. I think they underestimated him to some extent. Widener's plan to pressure and play physical worked to some degree to force passes sooner than Messiah has had to in recent games (other than Alvernia). It'll be interesting to see how the MAC-C playoffs go and wether Widener goes with the same approach if they make the championship game. Pool C? Guess we'll know in a little over a week :D
I don't see a Pool C in Widener's future unless Alvernia stays ranked and Widener beats Alvernia again. I'd actually give Alvernia a better chance (but can't lose again except to Messiah) on the back of two more impressive ranked wins over Montclair and UR (but UR also could drop out).
Widener should get a nice SoS pop from this week.
Thanks, PN, that's kind of what I was thinking... A little frustrating as Widener handled them quite easily just a couple of games ago.
Hopefully the Pride learn their lesson... You can't wait until your 4th game to start playing. Well, unless you're in the NESCAC I guess. :D
Quote from: jdfranklin23 on October 30, 2022, 01:12:27 PM
Having caught only the first half of the Widener vs Messiah, I felt that Widener lived up to their billing for this season. Fatiga's size, speed and creativity make him very dangerous and this is one of the few games where the Messiah backs made significant errors against a forward. I think they underestimated him to some extent. Widener's plan to pressure and play physical worked to some degree to force passes sooner than Messiah has had to in recent games (other than Alvernia). It'll be interesting to see how the MAC-C playoffs go and wether Widener goes with the same approach if they make the championship game. Pool C? Guess we'll know in a little over a week :D
I agree that Fatiga size and speed was evident in this game but after watching the entire game, his work rate is a big question mark in his game. He would lose the ball and just stop playing. I would also question his fitness level, at this time of the season he probably played only about 40 minutes total. He needs to step up his fitness to be a top target in the country.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 30, 2022, 01:54:31 PM
Thanks, PN, that's kind of what I was thinking... A little frustrating as Widener handled them quite easily just a couple of games ago.
Hopefully the Pride learn their lesson... You can't wait until your 4th game to start playing. Well, unless you're in the NESCAC I guess. :D
Maybe...those first three games look like their toughest 3 game stretch all season, probably by far...Swat when Swat still had high hopes, Cortland, and RUC (see Swat).
Quote from: Coach Jeff on October 29, 2022, 11:00:55 PM
Quote from: Falconer on October 29, 2022, 10:10:22 PM
Just wanted to give a shout out to Widener, who have improved greatly since last season, when the Falcons held them to a single shot in a 6-0 blowout. They are far better than their overall record of 10-5-2, including today's loss to Messiah. The key fact is that they lost their first 3 games of the season by a combined score of 9-4. Since then, they've lost only to Stevens (1-0) and Messiah (3-2). Sean Fatiga is one of the best strikers in the country. He made the Falcons pay when he got behind them early and almost did likewise again later on, when a very good pass to the other forward should have at least been put on frame and is probably a goal if so, given that Pavlevich had come off his line. Fatiga looks bigger than the roster says he is, namely, 5'11" /175 lbs. Much more like 6'1"/ 200 to my eyes. He's very strong and doesn't hesitate to knock defenders down or even run over them. But, highly skilled, so not exactly just a space holder. He wasn't on my radar last year, even though he was named conference offensive player of the year, because the only thing he did in the Messiah game was to collect a YC.
In past years, it was typically Etown and then Lycoming who played excellent second fiddles to the Falcons in the conference. Now that they have both left for greener pastures, this Widener team is doing a decent imitation. Of course, I'm not rooting for them to win the automatic bid, but if they don't I do hope they get an at-large bid. They're big, very physical, and smart, though not particularly fast overall. In my opinion no team has actually played Messiah harder this year, and they could surprise someone if they get to dance.
The Falcons won deservedly, outshooting the Pride 22 (11) to 7 (2). Those 2 SOG were however both high quality goals, and I wouldn't dismiss a claim that their keeper might be the best in the conference. Certainly he played very well and was often tested.
Watching today's game I only have one concern for Widener this late in the season, they appeared to be tired 20 minutes into the game. Hads on the hips bent over and even their big target Fatiga maybe played 40 total minutes. IMO They controlled the ball better without him on the field
Watching and reviewing this game - I have one concern for Messiah - 2 shots and 2 goals. Both well taken, but both could have been covered. Late in the season means must win games, single elimination, and further to an older post of mine - GK play has to ready for and up to moments.
MAF 3rd Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 4
1. Stevens (14-0-2 and RvR 5-0-0)
2. Montclair (13-1-4 and RvR 2-1-1)
3. NYU (8-4-3 and RvR 2-4-2)
4. Lycoming (10-4-5 and RvR 0-4-3)
5. Rowan (10-5-4 and RvR 1-3-1)
6. Misericordia (11-3-4 and RvR 1-1-0)
7. Lancaster Bible (12-3-3 and RvR 1-0-2)
Region 5
1. Messiah (17-0-1 and RvR 5-0-1)
2. Hopkins (11-1-5 and RvR 4-1-1)
3. F&M (12-1-4 and RvR 1-1-2)
4. Catholic (11-2-4 and RvR 1-1-2)
5. Alvernia (11-3-5 and RvR 2-2-0)
6. Gettysburg (9-3-5 and RvR 0-2-3)
7. Drew (12-2-4 and RvR 1-1-0)
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 30, 2022, 04:53:28 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 30, 2022, 01:54:31 PM
Thanks, PN, that's kind of what I was thinking... A little frustrating as Widener handled them quite easily just a couple of games ago.
Hopefully the Pride learn their lesson... You can't wait until your 4th game to start playing. Well, unless you're in the NESCAC I guess. :D
Maybe...those first three games look like their toughest 3 game stretch all season, probably by far...Swat when Swat still had high hopes, Cortland, and RUC (see Swat).
Cortland is the real deal, and they beat Widener 5-2. As for Swat and RUC, regardless of any high hopes they might have had, they now have 27 "blemishes" between them. I don't see evidence here that Widener was actually very good when the season began. They are playing quite a few FY and other younger players. IMO, the evidence suggests that they have very significantly improved since then: they just aren't the same team that lost 2-1 to both of those mediocre teams.
I hope folks understand where I was coming from on Widener: I'm not saying they are a top team in the region, I was just having fun following a team that "traditionally" hasn't really had much success in the last decade or so. And it so happened that once they "righted the ship," they also had a somewhat prolific striker that made it all the more entertaining to track their progress.
So, having read a few posts about "hype" I want to be clear... Fantastic year for the Pride, but I'm not pushing them for a Pool C. They can certainly shock the world (and their conference) but it doesn't seem all that likely. ECAC, maybe?
RPI 3rd Regional Ranking Predictions
Region IV
1. Stevens .6619
2. NYU .6315
3. Montclair St. .6161
4. Rowan .5897
5. Lycoming .5862
6. Misericordia .5652
7. PSU Harrisburg .5566
HM Lancaster Bible .5461
RPI has been wrong on Lancaster Bible all season so I assume they stay in the rankings but PSU Harrisburg is right there challenging for a spot. They play each other in the United East semifinal Friday. Both are AQ or bust. Top 3 (Stevens, NYU, Montclair) are a tier above everyone else in the region. 4-6 could shuffle around depending on how the committee views SOS and RvR
Region V
1. Messiah .67
2. F&M .6423
3. JHU .6295
4. Catholic .6226
5. Drew .6165
6. Gettysburg .5866
7. Etown .5734
HM Alvernia .5729
HM Widener .5667
F&M leapfrogs JHU with a higher RPI and the H2H win. JHU could retain the 2 spot due to RvR but I don't see how when H2H is one of the criteria. The Drew haters are going to be sick but Drew finishes the season with an RPI that puts them 5th in the region and 25th in the country. Taking nothing else into account, this should be enough for a Pool C. We'll see how the committee views all the other criteria. Gettysburg seems to be safe in the bottom part of the rankings looking at their RPI. The Alvernia loss to Widener midweek hurt them and they could get leapfrogged by Etown but the RvR favors Alvernia. Widener moves up to the 9th spot after a solid week but they will remain on the outside looking in and are AQ or bust.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 31, 2022, 11:01:05 AM
I hope folks understand where I was coming from on Widener: I'm not saying they are a top team in the region, I was just having fun following a team that "traditionally" hasn't really had much success in the last decade or so. And it so happened that once they "righted the ship," they also had a somewhat prolific striker that made it all the more entertaining to track their progress.
So, having read a few posts about "hype" I want to be clear... Fantastic year for the Pride, but I'm not pushing them for a Pool C. They can certainly shock the world (and their conference) but it doesn't seem all that likely. ECAC, maybe?
Widener has no shot at a Pool C and I don't even feel they will crack the regional rankings.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 31, 2022, 01:28:15 PM
RPI 3rd Regional Ranking Predictions
Region IV
1. Stevens .6619
2. NYU .6315
3. Montclair St. .6161
4. Rowan .5897
5. Lycoming .5862
6. Misericordia .5652
7. PSU Harrisburg .5566
HM Lancaster Bible .5461
RPI has been wrong on Lancaster Bible all season so I assume they stay in the rankings but PSU Harrisburg is right there challenging for a spot. They play each other in the United East semifinal Friday. Both are AQ or bust. Top 3 (Stevens, NYU, Montclair) are a tier above everyone else in the region. 4-6 could shuffle around depending on how the committee views SOS and RvR
Region V
1. Messiah .67
2. F&M .6423
3. JHU .6295
4. Catholic .6226
5. Drew .6165
6. Gettysburg .5866
7. Etown .5734
HM Alvernia .5729
HM Widener .5667
F&M leapfrogs JHU with a higher RPI and the H2H win. JHU could retain the 2 spot due to RvR but I don't see how when H2H is one of the criteria. The Drew haters are going to be sick but Drew finishes the season with an RPI that puts them 5th in the region and 25th in the country. Taking nothing else into account, this should be enough for a Pool C. We'll see how the committee views all the other criteria. Gettysburg seems to be safe in the bottom part of the rankings looking at their RPI. The Alvernia loss to Widener midweek hurt them and they could get leapfrogged by Etown but the RvR favors Alvernia. Widener moves up to the 9th spot after a solid week but they will remain on the outside looking in and are AQ or bust.
I enjoy looking at this style of calculation but I don't see Hopkins getting bumped by F&M despite the H2H win. Hopkins resume with the 4 ranked wins vs F&M 1 ranked win (albeit against JHU) will keep the Bluejays comfortably in 2nd. Wouldn't be surprised in the least bit if F&M was 2nd as you are predicting but I'm not buying it.
Alvernia will remain ahead of Etown as their 2 ranked wins and win% bests Etown mediocre resume. I am most interested to see what happens in 4th thru 7th in region 5. I would think Catholic will hold onto the 4th spot but it's a toss up with Drew being done, yet still boasting a nice resume. Will Gettysburg or Alvernia jump the Rangers?
Similarly in Region 4, I agree with MAF that Misericordia may slip a bit in the rankings as their SOS will be lower than last week and they lack ranked opponents. 4th thru 6th will be a toss-up there as well.
Shooter's Rankings
Region 4 Power
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Lyco
5. Misericordia
6. Rowan
7. LBC
Region 4 Prediction
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Lyco
5. Rowan
6. LBC
7. Misericordia
Region 5 Power
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Gettysburg
5. Catholic
6. Drew
7. Alvernia
Region 5 Prediction
1. Messiah
2. JHU
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Drew
6. Alvernia
7. Gettysburg
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 31, 2022, 02:17:36 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 31, 2022, 01:28:15 PM
RPI 3rd Regional Ranking Predictions
Region IV
1. Stevens .6619
2. NYU .6315
3. Montclair St. .6161
4. Rowan .5897
5. Lycoming .5862
6. Misericordia .5652
7. PSU Harrisburg .5566
HM Lancaster Bible .5461
RPI has been wrong on Lancaster Bible all season so I assume they stay in the rankings but PSU Harrisburg is right there challenging for a spot. They play each other in the United East semifinal Friday. Both are AQ or bust. Top 3 (Stevens, NYU, Montclair) are a tier above everyone else in the region. 4-6 could shuffle around depending on how the committee views SOS and RvR
Region V
1. Messiah .67
2. F&M .6423
3. JHU .6295
4. Catholic .6226
5. Drew .6165
6. Gettysburg .5866
7. Etown .5734
HM Alvernia .5729
HM Widener .5667
F&M leapfrogs JHU with a higher RPI and the H2H win. JHU could retain the 2 spot due to RvR but I don't see how when H2H is one of the criteria. The Drew haters are going to be sick but Drew finishes the season with an RPI that puts them 5th in the region and 25th in the country. Taking nothing else into account, this should be enough for a Pool C. We'll see how the committee views all the other criteria. Gettysburg seems to be safe in the bottom part of the rankings looking at their RPI. The Alvernia loss to Widener midweek hurt them and they could get leapfrogged by Etown but the RvR favors Alvernia. Widener moves up to the 9th spot after a solid week but they will remain on the outside looking in and are AQ or bust.
I enjoy looking at this style of calculation but I don't see Hopkins getting bumped by F&M despite the H2H win. Hopkins resume with the 4 ranked wins vs F&M 1 ranked win (albeit against JHU) will keep the Bluejays comfortably in 2nd. Wouldn't be surprised in the least bit if F&M was 2nd as you are predicting but I'm not buying it.
Alvernia will remain ahead of Etown as their 2 ranked wins and win% bests Etown mediocre resume. I am most interested to see what happens in 4th thru 7th in region 5. I would think Catholic will hold onto the 4th spot but it's a toss up with Drew being done, yet still boasting a nice resume. Will Gettysburg or Alvernia jump the Rangers?
Similarly in Region 4, I agree with MAF that Misericordia may slip a bit in the rankings as their SOS will be lower than last week and they lack ranked opponents. 4th thru 6th will be a toss-up there as well.
Yeah, this is a case where it would be nice if the manual actually did list the primary criteria in some sort of priority order. F&M has the winning %, H2H, and I think SOS advantage over JHU this week. JHU has the superior RvR. If nothing else, the rankings this week will provide some more insight on how highly the committee values RvR
Where does a team like Washington College fall for an at-large bid after the Centennial had 5 teams in the tournament last year and this year they finished second in the conference ahead of JHU who has been ranked all season?
Although they don't have the best record outside of the conference they had success in the tournament last year and have had a lot of ties this season which hurt their win total.
Quote from: TMUJ on October 31, 2022, 04:33:47 PM
Where does a team like Washington College fall for an at-large bid after the Centennial had 5 teams in the tournament last year and this year they finished second in the conference ahead of JHU who has been ranked all season?
Although they don't have the best record outside of the conference they had success in the tournament last year and have had a lot of ties this season which hurt their win total.
WC may have to win the conference and/or get to the final by beating JHU to qualify as it is not in the top 7 regionally. However, if many of the top 7 automatically qualify because they win their tournaments, WC may have a chance. IMO WC biggest issue is that they did not win the important non-conference games that would have made a big difference. So it may be tough, but they have a shot I believe especially if they end up beating JHU in the semis.
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on October 30, 2022, 08:37:06 PM
Watching and reviewing this game - I have one concern for Messiah - 2 shots and 2 goals. Both well taken, but both could have been covered. Late in the season means must win games, single elimination, and further to an older post of mine - GK play has to ready for and up to moments.
Two shots and two goals is pretty darn efficient. Over the course of the season, Messiah has 76 goals on 407 shots - they need only about 5.4 shots to score a goal. Hopkins has 20 goals on roughly 240 shots - they need 12 shots to score a goal.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 31, 2022, 08:13:34 PM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on October 30, 2022, 08:37:06 PM
Watching and reviewing this game - I have one concern for Messiah - 2 shots and 2 goals. Both well taken, but both could have been covered. Late in the season means must win games, single elimination, and further to an older post of mine - GK play has to ready for and up to moments.
Two shots and two goals is pretty darn efficient. Over the course of the season, Messiah has 76 goals on 407 shots - they need only about 5.4 shots to score a goal. Hopkins has 20 goals on roughly 240 shots - they need 12 shots to score a goal.
I was referring to shots and goals scored on Messiah. Widener had 2 SOG and two goals. Both could have been covered better by the Messiah GK.....
Sorry for the confusion. Still, Widener is closer to Messiah in terms of shot efficiency than to Hopkins. 227 shots and 33 goals or roughly 6.9 shots per goal. Would be interesting to see how other schools fare in this and other statistical categories. Looked up F&M for shiggles and the have 246 shots for 24 goals, so about 10 shots per goal.
Must confess: My (kind of) random obsession with Widener this year had me wondering how/if he would fit in on a team like Hopkins. My gut says they're just not a suitable match, but it would be fun if we had D3 EA Sports and you could drop a guy like that's skills into a team like Hopkins.
And I'll reiterate my match write-up of the F&M game (I suspect it was too long for some to read), Hopkins showed a willingness to spray diagonal/deep passes in that game I haven't seen in quite some time. Even Fatiga only slotted in for 15 minutes a half, he would be lethal because Hop has really precision passers coming out of the back. 40-50 yard crosses from the backline right on a dime... Fatiga would kill you with that service.
/fanstasyworld
Upset Watch!
Dickinson 1:0 over Hop deep into the first half. Nice through ball to their striker who made no mistake on the breakaway goal.
Well, scratch that. PK goes to Hop for a drag down in the box (legit) and Hop buries the PK.
1-1
Hop92, I thought about responding to the post you've cited the other day when you posted it, but I was hesitant because I'm sure you know your team far better than I. And then you gave Kenyon a nice compliment today, so I was even less inclined to comment! But alas...
What was confusing from my pov is that it had seemed like you earlier in the season had stoutly defended JHU's pattern of winning 1-0 or by a goal with some confidence that the strategy could hold through a deep NCAA run...or at least that was how I read it. Then, after a stretch of two draws and a loss you seemed almost ecstatic about the JHU offense and sort of laid down a marker about how dangerous they have become in attack. I followed you argument and got what you were saying but I still wasn't totally sure where the extent of your confidence was coming from.
With that as a backdrop I was interested to watch some of this JHU-Dickinson game. JHU is clearly superior, and yet, after two draws and a loss, they were down 1-0. Then, FINALLY, with 14 or so minutes left the goal seemed to fuel some energy and urgency for JHU and suddenly they really were attacking and not waiting for Dickinson to get set. The question I have about the usual way they approach possession is that it is so methodical it is sort of like a self-check...meaning the other team can get 9-10 guys behind the ball, stay organized and keep their shape, etc. The speed you referenced didn't really become evident until Dickinson scored. The good news for JHU from my pov is that they clearly have the ability and indeed had multiple very good chances after the Dickinson goal....so maybe they just need to figure out a way to play with a little more urgency and pace from the jump or at least earlier in the match.
It's been done before....probably best and/or most recently by Middlebury when the Panthers won the title in 2008 or whenever it was...but imo it's extremely difficult to make a very deep run (Final 4) or win the title with a strategy of winning games 1-0.
Dickinson pulls level at 2-2 with 8 minutes left. Their striker is having quite a nite with 2 in the bag.
=-=-=-=-==
PN - I respond after the game. :-)
A very entertaining game....some fantastic individual plays and saves.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 01, 2022, 07:17:08 PM
What was confusing from my pov is that it had seemed like you earlier in the season had stoutly defended JHU's pattern of winning 1-0 or by a goal with some confidence that the strategy could hold through a deep NCAA run...or at least that was how I read it. Then, after a stretch of two draws and a loss you seemed almost ecstatic about the JHU offense and sort of laid down a marker about how dangerous they have become in attack. I followed you argument and got what you were saying but I still wasn't totally sure where the extent of your confidence was coming from.
I will just say... I don't think I was confident about this approach, at all. Just noting that the team/coach seemed pretty content with it. I was just going back through my (really) old posts looking for something else and I've been kind of annoying complaining about Hopkins' approach for many years.
What you may read as "ecstatic" is simply my relief and pleasure that in contrast to years past (most famously a 2-0 defeat at Messiah where they NEVER broke from their methodical approach), this iteration is absolutely fine smacking (intelligent) long, diagonal balls when the going gets rough*. They just never seemed to do that before.
* - They played with urgency on Saturday because they were down a goal for most of the game. I absolutely agree with you on their need to not wait until they are in a hole to smash the pedal down. They need to go watch Messiah, Kenyon and Chicago... Those guys are always putting the other team on blast. ALWAYS. When Hopkins skips the methodical possession stuff it completely throws the other team off. But, it's this weird lingering overly cerebral approach that catches them out time and again. Tonight is no exception. They go up a goal, take their foot off the gas, and now they're staring at OT and having to go to some pod in Ohio where it snows and they lose. :D
I like this team. They're fast and smart. But they are HORRIBLE in the air, and they just don't finish enough of their chances. I don't think you want to play them in the Big Dance, but I also think they're the kind of team to lose in the first round... If that makes sense.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 01, 2022, 08:05:53 PM
A very entertaining game....some fantastic individual plays and saves.
When the Hopkins keeper came off his line to head the ball out of bounds, I almost shed a tear. That's how you play that position!
(Though it scared the living you know what out of my (future) wife and my parents when I pulled that stuff. :-)
Yep, all of that made perfect sense.
Loved your line about ending up somewhere in Ohio. And based on my track record JHU will beat Kenyon....1-0.
Have not watched JHU until this pm. Now I know why they have been winning all their games 1-0. They simply can't put it in the back of the net. In the last 10 min and again in OT, they had several good opportunities
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 01, 2022, 08:23:07 PM
Yep, all of that made perfect sense.
Loved your line about ending up somewhere in Ohio. And based on my track record JHU will beat Kenyon....1-0.
Well, to be clear, I was more just harkening back to losing to John Carroll last year in the snow.
Hopkins D1 transfer goalie seals this game in PKs. Book it.
ETA - I hate when they do this. Not the D1 goalie now... subbed out for this other dude.
ETA2 - I don't like giving college kids a lot of guff, but... Those first 2 PKs were "unfortunate" for the Red Devils. Goalie could've been a pylon to be frank.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 01, 2022, 08:36:31 PM
Hopkins D1 transfer goalie seals this game in PKs. Book it.
ETA - I hate when they do this. Not the D1 goalie now... subbed out for this other dude.
ETA2 - I don't like giving college kids a lot of guff, but... Those first 2 PKs were "unfortunate" for the Red Devils. Goalie could've been a pylon to be frank.
ETA3 - Hop GK made 0 saves. Dickinson lost it with those first two sky rockets.
I will say, though, full credit to 4 of the 5 Hop PK takers for absolute ice.
I don't like the decision to have the one guy that took a PK today to go first. Just don't like that from a mental standpoint. You start double and triple thinking your shot when you've already taken a PK in a game. It's VERY difficult and you need to be an absolute baller to make two in a game. That dude is a center back or holding midfielder. Just... No. Have someone else start things off.
Muhlenberg 1- Gettysburg 0. No at large bid for Gettysburg this year
Muhles win 1-0 playing the final (roughly) 18 minutes of the game down a man. TBH, Gettysburg didn't do much to pressure the Muhles and again, TBH, I'm not all that impressed with a team that seems to get a lot of push from regional rankings and folks on this site. They have very little juice in the midfield and seem overly reliant on long throw-ins as their offensive weapon of choice. That stuff can work, but it's mostly built off of chaos.
Ok, also, to be fair, I'm working off of a limited sample of actual game watching, so take what I say with a grain of salt.
But, up a man with a lot of time left, and they really didn't do anything that showed me they could build and attack and be threatening. It's one thing to get bogged down and logy in a mid-season match (I guess, this is still a conference foe), but in the context of playoffs and fighting for a ticket to the Dance?
Quote from: Fitz@615 on November 01, 2022, 08:23:20 PM
Have not watched JHU until this pm. Now I know why they have been winning all their games 1-0. They simply can't put it in the back of the net. In the last 10 min and again in OT, they had several good opportunities
My impression of Hopkins (and for many teams) the season is such a grind. They definitely played well 75% or so of the season. Like last year, they faded at the end.
Dickinson's first goal was break away with a nice finish. The second with 6 min. to go was a defensive miscue with a keeper error. Hopkins definitely looked like they played a game 3 days ago. Once they got their second goal, they definitely dropped off substantially for the rest of the game.
However, they did what they had to do when taking the PKs. Always harder, though the first JHU taker was the one who took the PK during the 1st half and went to the same side as well as did not strike well at all. First two Dickinson PK takers just skyed their chances. Pressure is never on the keeper, but the guys taking the pks.
Now they have to travel to Chestertown to play WC in another 3 days.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 01, 2022, 09:04:30 PM
I will say, though, full credit to 4 of the 5 Hop PK takers for absolute ice.
I don't like the decision to have the one guy that took a PK today to go first. Just don't like that from a mental standpoint. You start double and triple thinking your shot when you've already taken a PK in a game. It's VERY difficult and you need to be an absolute baller to make two in a game. That dude is a center back or holding midfielder. Just... No. Have someone else start things off.
Agree as to JHU's first PK taker. He went the exact same way and his shot was a lot worse than the first!
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 01, 2022, 09:22:30 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 01, 2022, 09:04:30 PM
I will say, though, full credit to 4 of the 5 Hop PK takers for absolute ice.
I don't like the decision to have the one guy that took a PK today to go first. Just don't like that from a mental standpoint. You start double and triple thinking your shot when you've already taken a PK in a game. It's VERY difficult and you need to be an absolute baller to make two in a game. That dude is a center back or holding midfielder. Just... No. Have someone else start things off.
Agree as to JHU's first PK taker. He went the exact same way and his shot was a lot worse than the first!
What you said above is key and why I absolutely LOVED PKs... Pressure's not on me, dude. :D
As for the overall season, they faded HARD last year and got knocked out roughly in this situation last year. Which is why they got sent to the Snow Bowl. I actually feel like this team will find the legs and meet the Dips in the final. I don't think the Muhles have what it takes and I think Hopkins will find away in Chestertown. Unless something has changed dramatically, that's not a super intimidating place to play and it's not like it's a crazy long commute from B'more.
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 01, 2022, 09:06:35 PM
Muhlenberg 1- Gettysburg 0. No at large bid for Gettysburg this year
Not an expert, but Gettysburg should be done. They definitely did not show a lot in the Muhlenberg game. They faded a lot at the end of the season. They just played Muhls at home to a 1-1 tie on Saturday. They have to do better. Unless they are NESCAC, they should not get in with a 9-4-5 record.
FYI, according to announcer, Muhls will be down their captain (2 yellow=red) and one sub (8 cumulative yellows) who scored their goal. F&M beat Muhls 2-1 earlier. F&M was up 2-0 before giving up a late goal to win 2-1. Still got to beat got to perform.
Two great games of the week - JHU v. WC and Muhls v. F&M (but this time of year all are great games of the week!)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 01, 2022, 09:31:34 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 01, 2022, 09:22:30 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 01, 2022, 09:04:30 PM
I will say, though, full credit to 4 of the 5 Hop PK takers for absolute ice.
I don't like the decision to have the one guy that took a PK today to go first. Just don't like that from a mental standpoint. You start double and triple thinking your shot when you've already taken a PK in a game. It's VERY difficult and you need to be an absolute baller to make two in a game. That dude is a center back or holding midfielder. Just... No. Have someone else start things off.
Agree as to JHU's first PK taker. He went the exact same way and his shot was a lot worse than the first!
What you said above is key and why I absolutely LOVED PKs... Pressure's not on me, dude. :D
As for the overall season, they faded HARD last year and got knocked out roughly in this situation last year. Which is why they got sent to the Snow Bowl. I actually feel like this team will find the legs and meet the Dips in the final. I don't think the Muhles have what it takes and I think Hopkins will find away in Chestertown. Unless something has changed dramatically, that's not a super intimidating place to play and it's not like it's a crazy long commute from B'more.
I hope so for JHU. I would love to see them at Lancaster on Sunday assuming of course F&M does what they need to! That would be great!! If JHU makes it to the finals, they should not get sent to the Great Lakes and/or NESCAC land.
Our son loves PKs as well. A lot of fun for him and not so much for the takers.
Just make sure JHU leave early on Friday!!! Bridge is mess most Fridays, hahaha.
New to the Board and to D-3 soccer. Can someone briefly explain the importance of the Regional Rankings? I realize they are important, but do they determine what schools will host the first weekend? Do they determine who hosts the 2nd weekend? Thanks!
They determine which schools will qualify from pool C as at large teams for the tournament. They may play some role in determining hosts, but it is more complex than that. Teams have to apply to host and there is a protocol in place that makes it hard for a school with men's and women's teams in the tournament for both of them to host. @GregorySager can probably given you a ton of details.
Quote from: Fitz@615 on November 02, 2022, 07:34:21 AM
New to the Board and to D-3 soccer. Can someone briefly explain the importance of the Regional Rankings? I realize they are important, but do they determine what schools will host the first weekend? Do they determine who hosts the 2nd weekend? Thanks!
Here is a very good explanation from the guys at d3soccer.com:
https://d3soccer.com/columns/christan-shirk/2022/the-rankings-that-matter
Quote from: Fitz@615 on November 02, 2022, 07:34:21 AM
New to the Board and to D-3 soccer. Can someone briefly explain the importance of the Regional Rankings? I realize they are important, but do they determine what schools will host the first weekend? Do they determine who hosts the 2nd weekend? Thanks!
Ncaa regional rankings are the only ones that matter. Others are just fluff. It's the committee who decides who gets the at large bids to the ncaa tourney if they don't receive the automatic bid.
Hosting has to go the ncaa d3 championship manual. It's also determined on a number of factors with travel/cost being a big part of it. It also has to do with preference of a school who gets to host if it's men/women. It switches every year the first year men may get preference for first weekend, and women the next weekend (sectionals or sweet 16/ elite 8).
Landmark kicks off tonight at 7.
Scranton @ Catholic
Goucher @ E-town
Quote from: Hopkins92 on August 30, 2022, 01:24:59 PM
https://www.centennial.org/sports/msoc/2022-23/releases/Preseason-Poll-8-30
Interesting. I feel like Dickinson is a bit under-rated, and I feel like Washington is going to be an extremely difficult out. That coach really impressed me in the Simple Coach interview.
Huh... I didn't make an actual firm prediction, but I did kind of pull out two teams that the coaches got a bit wrong in the preseason.
Hopkins 2nd in the latest regional rankings. So, in order or priority it seems to be:
RvR
SoS
H2H
Some interesting ranking decisions this week
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 02:56:11 PM
Hopkins 2nd in the latest regional rankings. So, in order or priority it seems to be:
RvR
SoS
H2H
Some interesting ranking decisions this week
It's a combo but SOS usually trumps RvR (most times). They both have similar SOS so the next category to look into is RvR and that can't be ignored for JHU despite the H2H result.
With that said they are to be looked at in equal fashion--just stating what I have observed in the past and present.
I guess haha. F&M also has the better win %. It's splitting hairs at this point and if I had to pick the better team based on watching them both i'd still choose Hopkins. It just seems like there is so much unnecessary subjectivity in these rankings. At least we aren't in Region 1 ;D
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 31, 2022, 10:35:31 AM
MAF 3rd Regional Ranking Predictions
Region 4
1. Stevens (14-0-2 and RvR 5-0-0)
2. Montclair (13-1-4 and RvR 2-1-1)
3. NYU (8-4-3 and RvR 2-4-2)
4. Lycoming (10-4-5 and RvR 0-4-3)
5. Rowan (10-5-4 and RvR 1-3-1)
6. Misericordia (11-3-4 and RvR 1-1-0)
7. Lancaster Bible (12-3-3 and RvR 1-0-2)
Region 5
1. Messiah (17-0-1 and RvR 5-0-1)
2. Hopkins (11-1-5 and RvR 4-1-1)
3. F&M (12-1-4 and RvR 1-1-2)
4. Catholic (11-2-4 and RvR 1-1-2)
5. Alvernia (11-3-5 and RvR 2-2-0)
6. Gettysburg (9-3-5 and RvR 0-2-3)
7. Drew (12-2-4 and RvR 1-1-0)
Region 4 I flip flopped Lyco and Rowan. I had the RvR wrong and it makes sense that Rowan is ahead with H2H and 3 ranked wins. I am unsure how I missed Rowan getting to 3 wins in the RvR category. I'm actually still uncertain, as I still get 1-3-1 when looking at the last rankings. Can someone help me out here-what am I missing?
I also flip flopped Misericordia and LBC. I think the RvR for LBC kept them just ahead of Misericordia as the rest of their resumes are similar.
Overall not too far off!
Region 5 I had the top 4 accurate but missed on the order of 5 through 7. Alvernia's SOS looks too low and not hasn't impressed the committee, even with 2 ranked wins. Drew SOS keeps them in 5th, but I don't think that will be enough to get them in with a Pool C bid.
Overall not too far off for this region either!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 02, 2022, 01:47:38 PM
Landmark kicks off tonight at 7.
Scranton @ Catholic
Goucher @ E-town
A must win for Catholic as they look to be flirting with the Pool C bubble.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 02, 2022, 04:07:37 PM
I flip flopped Lyco and Rowan. I had the RvR wrong and it makes sense that Rowan is ahead with H2H and 3 ranked wins. I am unsure how I missed Rowan getting to 3 wins in the RvR category. I'm actually still uncertain, as I still get 1-3-1 when looking at the last rankings. Can someone help me out here-what am I missing?
I think you have caught a mistake in the NCAA's data sheets (which begs the question about how many other errors there might be).
Rowan versus Week 2 ranked teams:
Wins (1): Lycoming
Losses (3): Johns Hopkins, Cortland State, Montclair State
Ties (1): Trinity (Texas)
Rowan may still have been ranked ahead on the basis of head-to-head as everything else would seem rather even, but given Lycoming was ahead last week it's hard to see what would have changed the order for this week.
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 02, 2022, 04:17:02 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 02, 2022, 04:07:37 PM
I flip flopped Lyco and Rowan. I had the RvR wrong and it makes sense that Rowan is ahead with H2H and 3 ranked wins. I am unsure how I missed Rowan getting to 3 wins in the RvR category. I'm actually still uncertain, as I still get 1-3-1 when looking at the last rankings. Can someone help me out here-what am I missing?
I think you have caught a mistake in the NCAA's data sheets (which begs the question about how many other errors there might be).
Rowan versus Week 2 ranked teams:
Wins (1): Lycoming
Losses (3): Johns Hopkins, Cortland State, Montclair State
Ties (1): Trinity (Texas)
Rowan may still have been ranked ahead on the basis of head-to-head as everything else would seem rather even, but given Lycoming was ahead last week it's hard to see what would have changed the order for this week.
Thanks for double checking this. I was a bit confused ???
If the committee was viewing the resume with 3-3-1 instead of 1-3-1 that would make a big difference for them.
As I mentioned earlier, I did not have Rowan jumping Lyco based on the previous week's rankings (Lyco ahead by a spot) and both team's next few games didn't sway my personal opinion to move Rowan over Lyco. But that was all based on the 1-3-1 RvR. I also mentioned earlier in the thread that I caught most of the Gettysburg vs Lyco game and was really impressed by both teams. This was another reason why I didn't feel the need to bump Lyco down compared to Rowan, even with the H2H advantage from earlier in the year. I have seen Rowan play a few times and they have not looked the best. I watched them vs Ramapo the other night and was still not impressed.
While I think we can all agree that Gettysburg is done and no chance for a Pool C this year, I'd still fancy them over Rowan from what I have seen this year.
Spicy game up in E-town... Goucher holding their own. I've mentioned before, but this is easily the best season for the Gophers since 2014 (and it's objectively better than that one).
They are 9-4-4... This is a program that is routinely sub-500. Kind of pulling for them to pull the upset here.
Man, there are no announcers but the atmosphere for this game is great. Animated coaches/benches, but nothing obnoxious going on. Just passion.
BTW, in a remarkable feat of synchronicity, the two games on tap in the Landmark kicked off 10 seconds apart.
The Blue Jay field is objectively nice, but the actual playing surface is... kind of gross? I've said it many time, it's REALLY hard to keep a grass field anywhere above the Mason-Dixon line into November. Almost impossible, really.
Wow... BEAUTIFUL save from the G goalie... parried a rocket that was headed to the upper far corner. Mark down that moment.
This ref loves calling advantage... Too much. It's worked negatively for both teams, but it's just annoying.
Goucher has 5 goalies. That seems... excessive.
I'm not sure if it's just the positioning of the mic, but... E-town seems really flat on the sideline. They are playing OK, but Goucher just seems to be more energized. Obviously an extremely subjective take.
Honestly, just listening to both coaches/benches is almost more interesting than having announcers. You get a very good sense of what they're up to tactically.
Ok, I want to reset a little... E'town has had the MUCH more dangerous chances in the first half. Lots of nice plays to open up Goucher and they've come close to scoring at least 4 times this half. Don't want the energy of Goucher to be overplayed. Blue Jays are more clinical going forward.
Half-time 0-0
This is a very entertaining game.
Upset alert! Brockport takes the 3-2 lead over Cortland with 17 secs left. Brockport wins. There's 1 Pool C down. Not a lot of margin for error so each conference upset hurts some of the Pool C hopefuls in Region IV and V
Cortland and Oneonta were pretty much guaranteed bids as it is. Unless Brockport beats Oneonta it doesn't change much.
Quote from: stlawus on November 02, 2022, 07:59:50 PM
Cortland and Oneonta were pretty much guaranteed bids as it is. Unless Brockport beats Oneonta it doesn't change much.
Better hope that doesn't happen. I know St. Lawrence is on the bubble too
Still tied in both Landmark games, 10 minutes into the 2nd halves.
I must say, Goucher traveled well for this game... About 20+ fans and they are LOUD. Adding a great piece to the atmosphere.
=-=-==-=
This is turning into a game where Goucher appears to want to just weather the storm and hope/pray for a counter or set piece. E-town just hammered a shot at the goalie that he knocked over the bar. Field is tilting in E'town's favor right now.
=-=-=-=-=
SCRANTON... Great individual skill on the flank leads to a cross that is then headed in by the striker. Seems like it's against the run of play (announcers) but it is what it is... 36 minutes left... Lots of time. Would be surprised that game stays on this score line.
=-=-=-=-=-=
Game in Etown is very choppy at this point. Not chippy, but just not a lot of tactics involved anymore.
Gopher keeper is having "a game." Just incredibly solid, and he's save at least 2, probably 3, that lesser goalies would've let in. Very impressed with this kid.
Scranton takes the 1-0 lead on Catholic! Another upset brewing
Catholic's in the danger zone if they drop this one.
I don't necessarily see this happening but if Catholic loses this game, Drew has a small chance of leap frogging them in the final rankings. Which is pretty crazy considering they didn't even make the Landmark playoffs
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:14:25 PM
Scranton takes the 1-0 lead on Catholic! Another upset brewing
Bro!
Are you not meticulously following my rambling posts?! :D
It was a nice goal, somewhat against the run of play. I thought Catholic would pull level, but Scranton has picked up their intensity.
Meanwhile, E-town-Goucher is a barnburner. Those guys are going. at. it.
Ahh sorry haha. Your post was the last one on page 113 for me and I missed it. Catholic missed 2 absolute sitters in the 2nd half so far from what i've seen. And agreed on the Etown game, just getting the field level sound adds a little extra to it. Lots of whining about calls from both sides though ;D
Etown-Gooch going to OT.
Telling you, tune in, this is very fun to watch. (Not the best quality, but these guys want this win, both sides. Spicy.)
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:49:49 PM
Ahh sorry haha. Your post was the last one on page 113 for me and I missed it. Catholic missed 2 absolute sitters in the 2nd half so far from what i've seen. And agreed on the Etown game, just getting the field level sound adds a little extra to it. Lots of whining about calls from both sides though ;D
Ref has been a little uneven, to be fair. Not that he's jobbing anyone, but he's let a lot of stuff go.
The Goucher goalie is playing like a man possessed - and he has been very busy. If Goucher can get enough pressure on the E-town goalie, they might steal a cheap one.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 02, 2022, 08:54:27 PM
The Goucher goalie is playing like a man possessed - and he has been very busy. If Goucher can get enough pressure on the E-town goalie, they might steal a cheap one.
Right?
In my rambling, I noted that around the 19th minute of the match, he made a highlight reel save. He made about 6 other saves and came off his line like a champ. I got some grief for giving the York goalie grief this year (not really, but just saying)...
This dude isn't the Eastern keeper from last year, but he's up there.
Scranton with the 1-0 win in DC. That's impressive.
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Back in the day (when Goucher was an all-girls college), I dated a girl from Goucher. +1 for Goucher.
Back in the day, we lost to E'town. -1 for E'town.
congrats to the royals, onto this etown-goucher match..
You guys are cracking me up.
But, yeah, it's weird for the oldheads that Goucher even has a team. As I mentioned in one of my rambles, this is pretty clearly the best season in quite some time for Goucher. A win tonight would put them on 10 wins. I don't want to go farther back, but I'd be shocked if that's not their best season in program history. Hell, 9, might already hit the mark.
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 02, 2022, 09:07:20 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
I dunno, man... It's a REALLY weird field. Like.. What are those really short cut stripes, and then the rest is like crab grass. It's a very weird field.
Side bar: The E-town Blue Jay looks like it's up to no good.. Just saying.
Dave McGugh (spelling) of hoopsville is a goucher alum and resident historian...maybe he'll check this thread.
Quote from: NEPAFAN on November 02, 2022, 09:14:19 PM
Dave McGugh (spelling) of hoopsville is a goucher alum and resident historian...maybe he'll check this thread.
Bring him in!!!
This is a great night for Gopher Nation(tm)!
BTW, all of a sudden, my feed on this game is getting very choppy.. The power of this board!!
On to PKs
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 02, 2022, 09:09:24 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 02, 2022, 09:07:20 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
I dunno, man... It's a REALLY weird field. Like.. What are those really short cut stripes, and then the rest is like crab grass. It's a very weird field.
I thought at first that the grounds crew was getting all artistic... then I realized that was not possible with how it looks....
SC.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 02, 2022, 09:23:19 PM
On to PKs
Hope they keep track with graphics on the feed...the crowd noise is beginning to get to be too much.
Disappointing fan turnout for E-town, isn't it? The Goucher fans are bringing it! Very odd with the grass cut the way it is.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 02, 2022, 09:07:20 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
Somebody needs to check with the Etown grounds crew! I think they set the blade on the zamboni too low and took a few passes on the field?!?! They should head down to Grantham and get some tips from the Messiah grounds crew cuz obviously they've managed to make Shoemaker field hold up north of the Mason-Dixon with all the soccer being played between McCarty's and Frey's teams :D
I'm pulling for Goucher on this one
E-town wins it in PKs. Goucher made 1 of 4. Etown made 3 of 4. Etown keeper made two pretty good saves on kicks 3 and 4.
Quote from: jdfranklin23 on November 02, 2022, 09:28:07 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 02, 2022, 09:07:20 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
Somebody needs to check with the Etown grounds crew! I think they set the blade on the zamboni too low and took a few passes on the field?!?! They should head down to Grantham and get some tips from the Messiah grounds crew cuz obviously they've managed to make Shoemaker field hold up north of the Mason-Dixon with all the soccer being played between McCarty's and Frey's teams :D
I'm pulling for Goucher on this one
Etown's grass was like that all year.
Good for Etown. Probably a just result, given the overall vibe of the game (sorry, I still feel like it's part of a recap).
Props to Goucher on a very good year. No idea what's going on with roster and graduations, but there's a decent level of talent on that
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 02, 2022, 09:16:06 PM
Quote from: NEPAFAN on November 02, 2022, 09:14:19 PM
Dave McGugh (spelling) of hoopsville is a goucher alum and resident historian...maybe he'll check this thread.
Bring him in!!!
This is a great night for Gopher Nation(tm)!
[/quote
FYI, the E'town is as bad as it looks. Grass was really long back in September when F&M played them.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 02, 2022, 09:27:09 PM
Disappointing fan turnout for E-town, isn't it? The Goucher fans are bringing it! Very odd with the grass cut the way it is.
Something weird was going on. It was, like, 20 Goucher fans? Maybe? But the acoustics picked them up a LOT. The Etown folks outnumbered them by a lot Gopher fans were into it and very vocal.
I watched pretty much the entire thing and I really enjoyed the atmosphere. Hoping a few Etown fans on this board attended and can give some more color.
Quote from: jdfranklin23 on November 02, 2022, 09:28:07 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 02, 2022, 09:07:20 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
Somebody needs to check with the Etown grounds crew! I think they set the blade on the zamboni too low and took a few passes on the field?!?! They should head down to Grantham and get some tips from the Messiah grounds crew cuz obviously they've managed to make Shoemaker field hold up north of the Mason-Dixon with all the soccer being played between McCarty's and Frey's teams :D
I'm pulling for Goucher on this one
Please pop in more often, Mr. Franklin. :D
Reposting congrats to the Royals for knocking off the Catholic Cardinals. Royal keeper had a great save on a one v one in the late first half.
I go back on forth on the Head Coach, but a good win on the road.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 02, 2022, 09:07:20 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
SC--I could not agree more. Catholic looked average. I watched them earlier in the year and have the same sentiment as you. I think they are on the wrong side of the bubble come Pool C selection time.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 02, 2022, 09:41:56 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 02, 2022, 09:27:09 PM
Disappointing fan turnout for E-town, isn't it? The Goucher fans are bringing it! Very odd with the grass cut the way it is.
Something weird was going on. It was, like, 20 Goucher fans? Maybe? But the acoustics picked them up a LOT. The Etown folks outnumbered them by a lot Gopher fans were into it and very vocal.
I watched pretty much the entire thing and I really enjoyed the atmosphere. Hoping a few Etown fans on this board attended and can give some more color.
Goucher had a fair amount of support - it's not often they make the playoffs so this was a big deal and they travelled well. Etown had a decent crowd too. They were largely on either end of the field while Goucher was directly at MF.
The field isn't as bad as it looks on tv. They've had some drainage issues the past few years. So while it's certainly not Messiah or LVC quality, it's not Muhlenberg either.
Etown keeper is quality. Stopped 3 PKs and commanded his box well during the game. They'll be as successful as he allows them to be since they're lacking in the offensive third.
Scranton rematch should be a good game. Could go either way, but figure the grass will help Etown just as it did against Drew.
Had Catholic won, I thought they'd get a Pool C regardless of Championship game outcome. This loss however is devastating. I think they're watching next weekend instead of playing.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 02, 2022, 07:14:25 PM
Spicy game up in E-town... Goucher holding their own. I've mentioned before, but this is easily the best season for the Gophers since 2014 (and it's objectively better than that one).
They are 9-4-4... This is a program that is routinely sub-500. Kind of pulling for them to pull the upset here.
Man, there are no announcers but the atmosphere for this game is great. Animated coaches/benches, but nothing obnoxious going on. Just passion.
BTW, in a remarkable feat of synchronicity, the two games on tap in the Landmark kicked off 10 seconds apart.
The Blue Jay field is objectively nice, but the actual playing surface is... kind of gross? I've said it many time, it's REALLY hard to keep a grass field anywhere above the Mason-Dixon line into November. Almost impossible, really.
Wow... BEAUTIFUL save from the G goalie... parried a rocket that was headed to the upper far corner. Mark down that moment.
This ref loves calling advantage... Too much. It's worked negatively for both teams, but it's just annoying.
Goucher has 5 goalies. That seems... excessive.
I'm not sure if it's just the positioning of the mic, but... E-town seems really flat on the sideline. They are playing OK, but Goucher just seems to be more energized. Obviously an extremely subjective take.
Honestly, just listening to both coaches/benches is almost more interesting than having announcers. You get a very good sense of what they're up to tactically.
Ok, I want to reset a little... E'town has had the MUCH more dangerous chances in the first half. Lots of nice plays to open up Goucher and they've come close to scoring at least 4 times this half. Don't want the energy of Goucher to be overplayed. Blue Jays are more clinical going forward.
Half-time 0-0
This is a very entertaining game.
Love the play by play summary +K ;D
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 02, 2022, 04:17:02 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 02, 2022, 04:07:37 PM
I flip flopped Lyco and Rowan. I had the RvR wrong and it makes sense that Rowan is ahead with H2H and 3 ranked wins. I am unsure how I missed Rowan getting to 3 wins in the RvR category. I'm actually still uncertain, as I still get 1-3-1 when looking at the last rankings. Can someone help me out here-what am I missing?
I think you have caught a mistake in the NCAA's data sheets (which begs the question about how many other errors there might be).
Rowan versus Week 2 ranked teams:
Wins (1): Lycoming
Losses (3): Johns Hopkins, Cortland State, Montclair State
Ties (1): Trinity (Texas)
Rowan may still have been ranked ahead on the basis of head-to-head as everything else would seem rather even, but given Lycoming was ahead last week it's hard to see what would have changed the order for this week.
Christan-what happens now? Will the NCAA acknowledge the error? Does it get fixed? What kind of impact does this have? That's a
HUGE error IMO :o ???
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 03, 2022, 12:42:37 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 02, 2022, 09:07:20 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
SC--I could not agree more. Catholic looked average. I watched them earlier in the year and have the same sentiment as you. I think they are on the wrong side of the bubble come Pool C selection time.
They have one player who I think is very talented. #7, Darius Siapoosh. They outside mid, #5 Liam Giblin, is ok. The rest of them are hammers. They can compete when they have to, but win because I don't think they face anyone.
SC.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 03, 2022, 12:54:16 PM
Quote from: Christan Shirk on November 02, 2022, 04:17:02 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 02, 2022, 04:07:37 PM
I flip flopped Lyco and Rowan. I had the RvR wrong and it makes sense that Rowan is ahead with H2H and 3 ranked wins. I am unsure how I missed Rowan getting to 3 wins in the RvR category. I'm actually still uncertain, as I still get 1-3-1 when looking at the last rankings. Can someone help me out here-what am I missing?
I think you have caught a mistake in the NCAA's data sheets (which begs the question about how many other errors there might be).
Rowan versus Week 2 ranked teams:
Wins (1): Lycoming
Losses (3): Johns Hopkins, Cortland State, Montclair State
Ties (1): Trinity (Texas)
Rowan may still have been ranked ahead on the basis of head-to-head as everything else would seem rather even, but given Lycoming was ahead last week it's hard to see what would have changed the order for this week.
Christan-what happens now? Will the NCAA acknowledge the error? Does it get fixed? What kind of impact does this have? That's a HUGE error IMO :o ???
I will be contacting the NCAA shortly. I have figured out the error as it is not only Rowan who has an incorrect RvR. Now I want to confirm if the same error is occurring for women. The RvR on this week's data sheets is being based on who was ranked last week (10/26) and this week (11/2). So teams who played opponents who newly entered the rankings this week, had those results included in the RvR shown on the data sheets.
Of course, it's impossible for the committees to have been looking at data based on decisions/rankings they hadn't completed yet. So I do not think the rankings were done looking at the data the NCAA released to the public with the incorrect RvR. In other words, I doubt that teams were incorrectly ranked because of incorrect data being reviewed/considered by the committees. I think the data sheets released to the public this week were incorrectly re-generated after the rankings were finalized.
As we understand from communication with NCAA committee members in years past, the RvR works as posted on our website:
Quote"Results versus ranked teams" criteria spelled out
For the . . .
first weekly rankings: N/A (no previous rankings)
second weekly rankings: results versus teams ranked in the first weekly rankings
third weekly ranking: results versus teams ranked in the second weekly rankings
final rankings: results versus teams ranked in the third weekly rankings
at-large selections: results versus teams ranked in either the third weekly rankings or the final rankings
Based on that understanding which the data has confirmed to be correct in past years, it is an error to base RvR on two week's rankings except when developing the data to be considered when comparing team across regions in the at-large selection process. And the week to base the RvR on for the four weekly rankings is the previous week.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 03, 2022, 01:47:39 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 03, 2022, 12:42:37 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 02, 2022, 09:07:20 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 02, 2022, 08:57:54 PM
Gotta root for Goucher for maximum Landmark chaos. It doesn't take much for me to root against Etown anyway lol
Whats the deal with the cut of the field? Intentional?
I spent my evening watching the Catholic-Scranton game. Catholic demonstrated why I think they are unimaginative, lacking in creativity, and soccer challenged. All it takes to beat them is an organized and disciplined team... like Scranton tonight.
SC.
SC--I could not agree more. Catholic looked average. I watched them earlier in the year and have the same sentiment as you. I think they are on the wrong side of the bubble come Pool C selection time.
They have one player who I think is very talented. #7, Darius Siapoosh. They outside mid, #5 Liam Giblin, is ok. The rest of them are hammers. They can compete when they have to, but win because I don't think they face anyone.
SC.
Which makes the away win at Drew so strange. I mean, anything can happen on any given day, but 4-1 is a pretty bad one off.
Just want to say Amer Lukovic is special, may be the best striker currently in D3, the guy is scoring goals from very acute angles and is good in the air.
Tough loss for Catholic- I agree but I'd take that game with the 18 shots all day long. Simple case of just lousy finishing - just one of those games. Very similar game to the other Landmark lopsided wins without the goals. I thought CUA was threatening for 3/4 of the game but that is why you play them. Doubt if any Scranton fan / coach / parent didn't think they got out of DC with a stolen win.
Let's not forget that Catholic beat Scranton 1-0 on a PK and Etown 1-0 on a PK. Both those games could have easily been 0-1 losses. I agree with SC that #7 Siapoosh is a very good player, but aside from him I didn't see anyone you feared, nor were they strong enough as a unit that you could say the whole was greater than the sum of their parts. They're a good team, but not appreciably better than Etown, Scranton or Drew (just one of those games, right?).
CUA vs Scranton reg season game much closer- fairly even. Etown game 17-5 in shots favoring CUA. It is in Catholic's interest to have all Landmark games count towards ranking and boost a good reg. season run. It is just going to take some time to get this sour grapes taste out of my mouth. Good luck to Scranton against Etown and that field-
Heading towards kick-off at Shoemaker: https://gomacsports.tv/messiahfalcons/
Quote from: Pilsner on November 03, 2022, 04:01:23 PM
Tough loss for Catholic- I agree but I'd take that game with the 18 shots all day long. Simple case of just lousy finishing - just one of those games. Very similar game to the other Landmark lopsided wins without the goals. I thought CUA was threatening for 3/4 of the game but that is why you play them. Doubt if any Scranton fan / coach / parent didn't think they got out of DC with a stolen win.
Here is the thing. Not so sure about the lousy finishing. Scranton Keeper made 3 saves on those 18 shots. And I counted two shots in the second half, one by #7, then the hammer on the left wing that most definitely would go into the lousy finishing column. So not sure that the 18 shots were legit. Can easily count 5 that were so far from being an actual goal, that calling them shots was generous.
SC.
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 03, 2022, 05:51:12 PM
Quote from: Pilsner on November 03, 2022, 04:01:23 PM
Tough loss for Catholic- I agree but I'd take that game with the 18 shots all day long. Simple case of just lousy finishing - just one of those games. Very similar game to the other Landmark lopsided wins without the goals. I thought CUA was threatening for 3/4 of the game but that is why you play them. Doubt if any Scranton fan / coach / parent didn't think they got out of DC with a stolen win.
Here is the thing. Not so sure about the lousy finishing. Scranton Keeper made 3 saves on those 18 shots. And I counted two shots in the second half, one by #7, then the hammer on the left wing that most definitely would go into the lousy finishing column. So not sure that the 18 shots were legit. Can easily count 5 that were so far from being an actual goal, that calling them shots was generous.
SC.
Yeah, the Hopkins game against F&M was statistically very uneven, but the reality wasn't all that lopsided. Now, they did call back to 2 goals for offsides in the first half, but the shot disparity was pretty misleading... Didn't REALLY trouble the Dips keeper much.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Man, I love this field. The fact that their scoreboard includes corners is *chef's kiss*.
2-0 - MacDonald rips a shot from the top of the 18 and then the rebound smashed home by Schwartz. This could be over by HT. York just can't contain the falcons going forward. I think we're up to 4 corners already.
Man... York defender slips right outside the 6 and guess who's sitting there to pounce. Matt MacDonald with his 20th goal on the year. Upper 90 far post.
At least I can devote full attention to the Widener-Alvernia game.
They might need to switch out their goalie... Can only fault him for the rebound on the first goal, but the other two weren't on him at all. But he just looks a little shell-shocked right now... Nevermind, really nice save on a MacDonald breakaway.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Seriously? Man, that was worth the $50!
SC.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 03, 2022, 06:28:17 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Seriously? Man, that was worth the $50!
SC.
Just cracks me up that you are still known as "Simple Coach."
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:16:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Man, I love this field. The fact that their scoreboard includes corners is *chef's kiss*.
2-0 - MacDonald rips a shot from the top of the 18 and then the rebound smashed home by Schwartz. This could be over by HT. York just can't contain the falcons going forward. I think we're up to 4 corners already.
Man... York defender slips right outside the 6 and guess who's sitting there to pounce. Matt MacDonald with his 20th goal on the year. Upper 90 far post.
At least I can devote full attention to the Widener-Alvernia game.
They might need to switch out their goalie... Can only fault him for the rebound on the first goal, but the other two weren't on him at all. But he just looks a little shell-shocked right now... Nevermind, really nice save on a MacDonald breakaway.
York score on a lightning counter attack.
3-1
Second teamers came on for the Falcons and things got choppy/disorganized which opened things up for the goal and now the Spartans have some life.
I wish I could text the broadcast... They are correct that Everyone's Favorite Striker, Sean Fatiga, went to Kingsway.
Jeez. Watching the start of Widener and I flip back to Messiah and it's 5-1. McM with his 21st (kind of a soft goal, TBH).
5th was a clinical volley taken from a nice little cross across the face of the goal. That, obviously, is a dagger.
No Lent-Koop tonight? Any Falcons fans have info on that? Would be a huge loss going into the tourney if he's not available
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:16:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Man, I love this field. The fact that their scoreboard includes corners is *chef's kiss*.
2-0 - MacDonald rips a shot from the top of the 18 and then the rebound smashed home by Schwartz. This could be over by HT. York just can't contain the falcons going forward. I think we're up to 4 corners already.
Man... York defender slips right outside the 6 and guess who's sitting there to pounce. Matt MacDonald with his 20th goal on the year. Upper 90 far post.
At least I can devote full attention to the Widener-Alvernia game.
They might need to switch out their goalie... Can only fault him for the rebound on the first goal, but the other two weren't on him at all. But he just looks a little shell-shocked right now... Nevermind, really nice save on a MacDonald breakaway.
This game was over long before today.
And Hop, if you think you're gonna outpost me, you got a rude awakening coming ;) ;)
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 03, 2022, 06:37:39 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:16:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Man, I love this field. The fact that their scoreboard includes corners is *chef's kiss*.
2-0 - MacDonald rips a shot from the top of the 18 and then the rebound smashed home by Schwartz. This could be over by HT. York just can't contain the falcons going forward. I think we're up to 4 corners already.
Man... York defender slips right outside the 6 and guess who's sitting there to pounce. Matt MacDonald with his 20th goal on the year. Upper 90 far post.
At least I can devote full attention to the Widener-Alvernia game.
They might need to switch out their goalie... Can only fault him for the rebound on the first goal, but the other two weren't on him at all. But he just looks a little shell-shocked right now... Nevermind, really nice save on a MacDonald breakaway.
This game was over long before today.
And Hop, if you think you're gonna outpost me, you got a rude awakening coming ;) ;)
You know, I keep talking about it, but I was looking back on last year and I was much more prolific last fall. But I was doing a lot of posting of schedules and results, which... Kind of unnecessary with the existing conference websites being pretty easy to navigate these days.
If there is a team that puts more dangerous, quality shots on goal than Messiah, I'd love to see it. It's INSANE how many of these shots are slammed at the opposing goal. It's incredible and really shines a stark light on some of the other teams I've watched this year... I leave it there.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:29:22 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 03, 2022, 06:28:17 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Seriously? Man, that was worth the $50!
SC.
Just cracks me up that you are still known as "Simple Coach."
My CMO says its called "A Strong Brand."
SC.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:43:13 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 03, 2022, 06:37:39 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:16:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Man, I love this field. The fact that their scoreboard includes corners is *chef's kiss*.
2-0 - MacDonald rips a shot from the top of the 18 and then the rebound smashed home by Schwartz. This could be over by HT. York just can't contain the falcons going forward. I think we're up to 4 corners already.
Man... York defender slips right outside the 6 and guess who's sitting there to pounce. Matt MacDonald with his 20th goal on the year. Upper 90 far post.
At least I can devote full attention to the Widener-Alvernia game.
They might need to switch out their goalie... Can only fault him for the rebound on the first goal, but the other two weren't on him at all. But he just looks a little shell-shocked right now... Nevermind, really nice save on a MacDonald breakaway.
This game was over long before today.
And Hop, if you think you're gonna outpost me, you got a rude awakening coming ;) ;)
You know, I keep talking about it, but I was looking back on last year and I was much more prolific last fall. But I was doing a lot of posting of schedules and results, which... Kind of unnecessary with the existing conference websites being pretty easy to navigate these days.
It
feels like you are far more prolific than last year. And in all seriousness I'm really glad. It's fun to have some others totally into it (even though at least for me I would have a hard time explaining why I am so addicted).
But it's gonna be hard to be more prolific as long as I remain steadfastly non-compliant with my Lithium.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 03, 2022, 06:48:50 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:43:13 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 03, 2022, 06:37:39 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:16:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Man, I love this field. The fact that their scoreboard includes corners is *chef's kiss*.
2-0 - MacDonald rips a shot from the top of the 18 and then the rebound smashed home by Schwartz. This could be over by HT. York just can't contain the falcons going forward. I think we're up to 4 corners already.
Man... York defender slips right outside the 6 and guess who's sitting there to pounce. Matt MacDonald with his 20th goal on the year. Upper 90 far post.
At least I can devote full attention to the Widener-Alvernia game.
They might need to switch out their goalie... Can only fault him for the rebound on the first goal, but the other two weren't on him at all. But he just looks a little shell-shocked right now... Nevermind, really nice save on a MacDonald breakaway.
This game was over long before today.
And Hop, if you think you're gonna outpost me, you got a rude awakening coming ;) ;)
You know, I keep talking about it, but I was looking back on last year and I was much more prolific last fall. But I was doing a lot of posting of schedules and results, which... Kind of unnecessary with the existing conference websites being pretty easy to navigate these days.
It feels like you are far more prolific than last year. And in all seriousness I'm really glad. It's fun to have some others totally into it (even though at least for me I would have a hard time explaining why I am so addicted).
But it's gonna be hard to be more prolific as long as I remain steadfastly non-compliant with my Lithium.
You know, I think it's because folks (smartly, IMO) opened up some threads that allow for a lot of us to chime on the national scene. I was pretty wrapped up with my region last year until very late.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 03, 2022, 06:47:20 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:29:22 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 03, 2022, 06:28:17 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Seriously? Man, that was worth the $50!
SC.
Just cracks me up that you are still known as "Simple Coach."
My CMO says its called "A Strong Brand."
SC.
And now you're getting a heavy push during the half-time show. Nice!
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 03, 2022, 05:51:12 PM. So not sure that the 18 shots were legit. Can easily count 5 that were so far from being an actual goal, that calling them shots was generous.
This. Same when they played Elizabethtown. Me thinks the home team statistician at Catholic is padding the stats.
Quote from: Ejay on November 03, 2022, 07:04:20 PM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 03, 2022, 05:51:12 PM. So not sure that the 18 shots were legit. Can easily count 5 that were so far from being an actual goal, that calling them shots was generous.
This. Same when they played Elizabethtown. Me thinks the home team statistician at Catholic is padding the stats.
I noticed that at a lot of venues!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:30:04 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:16:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 06:04:57 PM
Geez Louise... Messiah scores about 90 seconds into the match.
Could be a long night for York.
And now I'm very annoyed (not really)... The broadcast crew is giving SC credit for pushing Widener earlier in the year. I've banging that drum for months!!! :D
Man, I love this field. The fact that their scoreboard includes corners is *chef's kiss*.
2-0 - MacDonald rips a shot from the top of the 18 and then the rebound smashed home by Schwartz. This could be over by HT. York just can't contain the falcons going forward. I think we're up to 4 corners already.
Man... York defender slips right outside the 6 and guess who's sitting there to pounce. Matt MacDonald with his 20th goal on the year. Upper 90 far post.
At least I can devote full attention to the Widener-Alvernia game.
They might need to switch out their goalie... Can only fault him for the rebound on the first goal, but the other two weren't on him at all. But he just looks a little shell-shocked right now... Nevermind, really nice save on a MacDonald breakaway.
York score on a lightning counter attack.
3-1
Second teamers came on for the Falcons and things got choppy/disorganized which opened things up for the goal and now the Spartans have some life.
I wish I could text the broadcast... They are correct that Everyone's Favorite Striker, Sean Fatiga, went to Kingsway.
Jeez. Watching the start of Widener and I flip back to Messiah and it's 5-1. McM with his 21st (kind of a soft goal, TBH).
5th was a clinical volley taken from a nice little cross across the face of the goal. That, obviously, is a dagger.
Widener - Alvernia is a VERY even match tonight.
Stevens - FDU-F... same, which is a little surprising. I wonder how long FDU-F can hang, as they had to win the "play-in" game 2 nights ago.
Falcons are just relentless... 6-1 and can't watch the carnage anymore. That team is bonkers good.
I need to spend some time with Chicago... Right now, I haven't seen a team that can beat Messiah.
=-==-=
As I was typing, Mighty Ducks score... Leading scorer slots it in on a nice interchange. Bruno Andino? That is the most Jersey name ever and I love it!
=-=-==-=
Waitwaitwait... The Alvernia Sea Wolves??! That is fantastic. What is that, exactly? Like... A seal?
Sea Wolf... huh.
HA! Announcer just got a note slipped his way.. It's Golden Wolves, not Sea... That said, he just called them Sea Wolves again. This guy is cracking me up.
Golden Wolves lol. The Widener commentator has it wrong.
Judging voices can be tough but it's safe to say this guy isn't an active student ;D
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 03, 2022, 07:47:31 PM
Golden Wolves lol. The Widener commentator has it wrong.
He's really stuck on it... He's a trip. It's like your grandpa that doesn't really know the game but he loves his grandkid and just wants to be a part of things. He said a few minutes ago that a guy on Widener was trying to draw a charging call. He's very clear about what a direct vs. indirect kick is. It's charming (to me.)
And I'm not being snarky... Just to be clear.
FDU puts one off the cross bar from set piece sequence.
And a scramble in the box for the Mighty Ducks leads to a header.. 2-0 and I would be shocked if the Devils can do much to reverse this course. Not a blowout, but Stevens doesn't allow many goals. I think they've had a ridiculous shutout run to end this season... 8 games or something?
ETA - 7 of last 8 and 11 shutouts overall.
5 goals allowed on the season.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 07:30:59 PM
Widener - Alvernia is a VERY even match tonight.
Stevens - FDU-F... same, which is a little surprising. I wonder how long FDU-F can hang, as they had to win the "play-in" game 2 nights ago.
Falcons are just relentless... 6-1 and can't watch the carnage anymore. That team is bonkers good.
I need to spend some time with Chicago... Right now, I haven't seen a team that can beat Messiah.
=-==-=
As I was typing, Mighty Ducks score... Leading scorer slots it in on a nice interchange. Bruno Andino? That is the most Jersey name ever and I love it!
=-=-==-=
Waitwaitwait... The Alvernia Sea Wolves??! That is fantastic. What is that, exactly? Like... A seal?
Sea Wolf... huh.
HA! Announcer just got a note slipped his way.. It's Golden Wolves, not Sea... That said, he just called them Sea Wolves again. This guy is cracking me up.
stonybrook Seawolves...https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stony_Brook_Seawolves
Right, and with my professional sleuthing (google) I was able to learn that a Seawolf is a mythical creature and it's lucky to see one.
(I'm familiar with Stonybrook because of lax, but I didn't know what their mascot was.)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 07:49:38 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 03, 2022, 07:47:31 PM
Golden Wolves lol. The Widener commentator has it wrong.
He's really stuck on it... He's a trip. It's like your grandpa that doesn't really know the game but he loves his grandkid and just wants to be a part of things. He said a few minutes ago that a guy on Widener was trying to draw a charging call. He's very clear about what a direct vs. indirect kick is. It's charming (to me.)
And I'm not being snarky... Just to be clear.
If you put Fatiga on a team with a better midfield, he'd be an absolute monster. As it is, the service into him is just REALLY spotty. Frustrating to watch, frankly.
The soccer IQ of the fans from Widener near the broadcaster is... not great.
It's hard to go from the Messiah overall vibe to... this.
Oh, props to the Messiah duo. Love listening to those guys... Also one of the few broadcasts that does a nice little HT "show." But just in general, very enjoyable to listen to.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 07:51:57 PM
FDU puts one off the cross bar from set piece sequence.
And a scramble in the box for the Mighty Ducks leads to a header.. 2-0 and I would be shocked if the Devils can do much to reverse this course. Not a blowout, but Stevens doesn't allow many goals. I think they've had a ridiculous shutout run to end this season... 8 games or something?
ETA - 7 of last 8 and 11 shutouts overall.
5 goals allowed on the season.
Stevens now up 3... They do come forward with a purpose. Nice exchange leads to a fwd who gets a little lucky when an aimless pass hits of a defender and goes right back to him at the top of the box... finishes quite well.
The Widener - Alvernia game is a bit of a slog, but it's a bit like the Etown - Goucher game... Alvernia seems a little more dangerous at the moment.
Pride Nation, as evidenced by the fans near the broadcaster, is VERY tense. :D
Always cracked me up hearing parents/fans who think they are "cheering" for their team, but everything out of their mouths and their tone is EXTREMELY negative. :D
Yelling "C'MON!!" at your team with a negative tone isn't super helpful/supportive. Just sayin'.
=-==-=-=
I have to say, for the record, the camera work in this Widener game is seizure inducing. And they need to pan the camera down about 20 percent. I guess they don't realize that the chyron is taking up a huge amount of real estate on the screen.
Widener vs Alvernia is. knotted at 0's with 10 minutes left in regulation. Seems like a pretty even match, with Alvernia seeming to get more of the scoring chances don't have the stats in front of me). I wish they would move the score to a corner of the screen instead of gigantic along the bottom middle of the screen!
Pride Nation erupts!!!!
1-0 off of a cross and very nice header at the middle/back post.
Game seemed destined for OT.
3:30 left.
Ball game.
Goal scorer is a Freshman. The ride continues! Honestly, they are a scrappy bunch and they have belief. But, really, on the grass at Shoemaker, that sure looks like a tough task. The Pride played a good game at home on this turf against the Pride, but I just don't see it on that grass.
11-5-2... Championship game... Dream season.
I kind of luck-boxed into picking up on this team early, but what a ride. I'm about to be annoying...
After 0-3 start.. 11-2-2...
I know, I know.. Alvernia is their only Ranked result, and that might even go away now? (I don't fully get the RvR stuff)... But what a season for a team that has truly seen some dark days in the not very distant days ( 3-8-5 in 2017).
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 03, 2022, 06:36:39 PM
No Lent-Koop tonight? Any Falcons fans have info on that? Would be a huge loss going into the tourney if he's not available
Noticed it right away—how could I not? He's one of the BIG THREE needed to go all the way, if that's their destiny this year. No backup is anywhere close to his game.
The bad news is, he wasn't in uniform, just in sweats.
The good news is, hw worked out with the team before the game and didn't appear hobbled. Probably just a precaution to keep him out of a game they didn't have to win. Let's hope so...
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 08:51:03 PM
Pride Nation erupts!!!!
1-0 off of a cross and very nice header at the middle/back post.
Game seemed destined for OT.
3:30 left.
Announcer is great. Nice soft Philly accent.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 08:51:03 PM
Pride Nation erupts!!!!
1-0 off of a cross and very nice header at the middle/back post.
Game seemed destined for OT.
3:30 left.
Ball game.
Goal scorer is a Freshman. The ride continues! Honestly, they are a scrappy bunch and they have belief. But, really, on the grass at Shoemaker, that sure looks like a tough task. The Pride played a good game at home on this turf against the Falcons, but I just don't see it on that grass.
11-5-2... Championship game... Dream season.
I kind of luck-boxed into picking up on this team early, but what a ride. I'm about to be annoying...
After 0-3 start.. 11-2-2...
I know, I know.. Alvernia is their only Ranked result, well other than the L to Messiah, and that result against Alvernia might even go away now? (I don't fully get the RvR stuff)... But what a season for a team that has truly seen some dark days in the not very distant days ( 3-8-5 in 2017).
ETA - I keep forgetting about SUNY Cortland. So, 0-2-0 RvR... unless you count Alvernia, and they are 2-2 RvR which... Not terrible? Their win percentage is VERY compelling (.647 before this win, I don't math, so... better after tonight :D) but I know there SoS is butt, so...
I keep modifying when I meant to quote.
Quote from: Fitz@615 on November 03, 2022, 09:03:49 PM
Lent-Koop is fine. Out tonight as a precaution.
Inside dope... karma.
:D
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 09:48:03 PM
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
No argument from me on LG. I know MM gets a lot of the press because of his speed and scoring; but, Cole Cristian's goal tonight was ridiculous. Reminded me of some of Danny Thompson's goals
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 09:48:03 PM
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
I'm a very big hockey person, and I they get it right on this front. Very often, the first pass is what obliterates a defense, not the one that sets up the knock-in.
A lot of fancystats account for this in the professional ranks, but not D3 soccer stats.
(almost as OT as it comes, but... A guy like Aaronson at Leeds is a great example of a player that you can't just judge by straight first line stats.)
Welp. Another goat has wandered off the property.
Surely the criteria were put in place to deprive LG of the acclaim he truly deserves....him, and only him.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 03, 2022, 10:07:33 PM
Welp. Another goat has wandered off the property.
Surely the criteria were put in place to deprive LG of the acclaim he truly deserves....him, and only him.
The objectivity just oozes around the edges.
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 09:48:03 PM
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
As far as technical ability, decision-making, and athleticism, Groothoff is certainly the best player. He has an incredible engine to boot although it hasn't been needed yet this year. Additionally, putting one man on him in the middle of the field is essentially to leave him unmarked as he turns players so easily. However, there are other players who play their positions so well that for as good as Groothoff is, his effect on the team isn't head and shoulders above the rest.
Case in point was watching Marlotte glide by guys with the ball tonight after being out for weeks. I was like, "Oh yeah, they also have one of the best right-backs in the country but I'd forgotten how good he is because his absence didn't handicap the team."
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 10:12:57 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 03, 2022, 10:07:33 PM
Welp. Another goat has wandered off the property.
Surely the criteria were put in place to deprive LG of the acclaim he truly deserves....him, and only him.
The objectivity just oozes around the edges.
LOL...objectivity.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2022, 10:02:23 PM
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 09:48:03 PM
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
I'm a very big hockey person, and I they get it right on this front. Very often, the first pass is what obliterates a defense, not the one that sets up the knock-in.
A lot of fancystats account for this in the professional ranks, but not D3 soccer stats.
(almost as OT as it comes, but... A guy like Aaronson at Leeds is a great example of a player that you can't just judge by straight first line stats.)
In the Catholic/Drew game, the Cardinals scored 4 goals but registered 5 assists. Must be the same guy who records their SOG.
I know for certain that UWEC has recording lots of "hockey assists". UWEC players is leading the nation in assists. I had previously thought that soccer only allowed for a single assist. What is the rule?
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on November 03, 2022, 10:14:27 PM
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 09:48:03 PM
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
As far as technical ability, decision-making, and athleticism, Groothoff is certainly the best player. He has an incredible engine to boot although it hasn't been needed yet this year. Additionally, putting one man on him in the middle of the field is essentially to leave him unmarked as he turns players so easily. However, there are other players who play their positions so well that for as good as Groothoff is, his effect on the team isn't head and shoulders above the rest.
Case in point was watching Marlotte glide by guys with the ball tonight after being out for weeks. I was like, "Oh yeah, they also have one of the best right-backs in the country but I'd forgotten how good he is because his absence didn't handicap the team."
And you have to give some love to Ben Lefever....he is dangerous on the wing, and holds up the ball better than anyone I've seen. Also, he scored the first goal of the game tonight - and it was insane - literally going through 3 York defenders to finish.
For anybody who has the inclination and time to kill (like I did at 2-3am), the Messiah Soccer site has a ton of archived records on the "Additional Links" section of their page. https://gomessiah.com/documents/2019/7/11/MSOC_Record_Book_yby.pdf They have a W-L record for every opponent they've ever played, year-by-year results, etc. I know Widener is having a banner year and is gonna show up ready to roll on Saturday; but, the odds/stats are definitely not in their favor (0-30, counting this season's loss). Messiah boasts a ridiculous 847-189-62 lifetime record and has outscored their opponents 3166-934! Yikes
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on November 03, 2022, 11:56:17 PM
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on November 03, 2022, 10:14:27 PM
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 09:48:03 PM
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
As far as technical ability, decision-making, and athleticism, Groothoff is certainly the best player. He has an incredible engine to boot although it hasn't been needed yet this year. Additionally, putting one man on him in the middle of the field is essentially to leave him unmarked as he turns players so easily. However, there are other players who play their positions so well that for as good as Groothoff is, his effect on the team isn't head and shoulders above the rest.
Case in point was watching Marlotte glide by guys with the ball tonight after being out for weeks. I was like, "Oh yeah, they also have one of the best right-backs in the country but I'd forgotten how good he is because his absence didn't handicap the team."
And you have to give some love to Ben Lefever....he is dangerous on the wing, and holds up the ball better than anyone I've seen. Also, he scored the first goal of the game tonight - and it was insane - literally going through 3 York defenders to finish.
Yep, and as I mentioned in my rambling coverage, it came 90 seconds into the game. You gotta be wide awake when you're playing Messiah. They don't mess around.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 09:45:36 AM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on November 03, 2022, 11:56:17 PM
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on November 03, 2022, 10:14:27 PM
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 09:48:03 PM
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
As far as technical ability, decision-making, and athleticism, Groothoff is certainly the best player. He has an incredible engine to boot although it hasn't been needed yet this year. Additionally, putting one man on him in the middle of the field is essentially to leave him unmarked as he turns players so easily. However, there are other players who play their positions so well that for as good as Groothoff is, his effect on the team isn't head and shoulders above the rest.
Case in point was watching Marlotte glide by guys with the ball tonight after being out for weeks. I was like, "Oh yeah, they also have one of the best right-backs in the country but I'd forgotten how good he is because his absence didn't handicap the team."
And you have to give some love to Ben Lefever....he is dangerous on the wing, and holds up the ball better than anyone I've seen. Also, he scored the first goal of the game tonight - and it was insane - literally going through 3 York defenders to finish.
Yep, and as I mentioned in my rambling coverage, it came 90 seconds into the game. You gotta be wide awake when you're playing Messiah. They don't mess around.
As Coach Mike Babcock was fond of saying, "You have to start on time"
Quote from: jdfranklin23 on November 04, 2022, 09:54:13 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 09:45:36 AM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on November 03, 2022, 11:56:17 PM
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on November 03, 2022, 10:14:27 PM
Quote from: Falconer on November 03, 2022, 09:48:03 PM
This is a digression, but I had to vent.
I think most Falcon players would say that their best soccer player is Groothoff; I certainly think so and have said so before, that he's their version of Messi. It's not evident in his stats, but IMO the main problem is that the scorer almost never gives two assists on a goal, even if the first pass is the decisive one—no goal without it. Very often, that crucial pass is Groothoff's. To see this in tonight's game, watch the clip for the goal by Cole Cristian, the assist is given to Ben Lefever from the right corner—fully deserved, but possible only because of the great pass to Lefever from Groothoff right at the start of that clip. Why no assist for that?
G does that all the time, it seems, slots a perfect ball forward that leads to a another pass for a SOG, or to a shot wide of the goal that should have been on frame, or to a blocked shot that G ultimately set up. IMO he should have at least a dozen genuine assists in his line, without being generous in the scoring. That's what he does for the Falcons.
As far as technical ability, decision-making, and athleticism, Groothoff is certainly the best player. He has an incredible engine to boot although it hasn't been needed yet this year. Additionally, putting one man on him in the middle of the field is essentially to leave him unmarked as he turns players so easily. However, there are other players who play their positions so well that for as good as Groothoff is, his effect on the team isn't head and shoulders above the rest.
Case in point was watching Marlotte glide by guys with the ball tonight after being out for weeks. I was like, "Oh yeah, they also have one of the best right-backs in the country but I'd forgotten how good he is because his absence didn't handicap the team."
And you have to give some love to Ben Lefever....he is dangerous on the wing, and holds up the ball better than anyone I've seen. Also, he scored the first goal of the game tonight - and it was insane - literally going through 3 York defenders to finish.
Yep, and as I mentioned in my rambling coverage, it came 90 seconds into the game. You gotta be wide awake when you're playing Messiah. They don't mess around.
As Coach Mike Babcock was fond of saying, "You have to start on time"
I don't if he still says it, but I remember Bruce Arena telling the USMNT before a game in the 1990's, "First foul, first shot, first goal."
It's game time baby!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qT6n1ycW4PE
That Hopkins shot is EXACTLY what I'm talking about in terms of "shots" in the stats. You gotta do better than that.
--=-=
Wow. Muhles score VERY early off of corner kick.
=-=-==
Good version of the Jays showed up to play tonight.
This announcer. Treinen gets absolutely trucked and he thinks the call is offsides. C'mon dude.
Nice scrappy play from the Shoremen here.
With that said, I like this version of Hopkins. Good possession, but I've noticed a willingness to spray the ball around and over the top when that option is available. Don't want to be a broken record, so I'll leave it there.
=-=-=
The camera angle/slant at F&M is goofy. It's just off and makes me not really able to follow that game.
I'm not saying Hopkins is dominating, but they should've buried at least 2 goals at this point. Right on the doorstep, just not finishing.
=-=-=-=
Mont. St and Rowan also tied at zeds at HT.
The MS announcing crew is peak Jersey and I love it. Also, they just had an interview with the striker of the women's team and she was an absolute delight. Now I'm weirdly rooting for them? She was kind of like, "OK, I'm not gonna match your energy dude, but I'll answer your questions." I just found it charming. (She didn't say that, for the record, I'm just reading into the vibe.)
fantastic game underway between MSU and Rowan, 0-0 at the half!
Quote from: camosfan on November 04, 2022, 08:03:39 PM
fantastic game underway between MSU and Rowan, 0-0 at the half!
Yeah, please take notes or whatever. I can't focus on 3 games but the limited time I had spot checking, seems spirited.. Nice crowd up there.
Dips haven't trailed at the half all year.
Muhles are 4-0-4 since late September.... Like i said, very tough out.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:08:52 PM
Dips haven't trailed at the half all year.
Muhles are 4-0-4 since late September.... Like i said, very tough out.
you not watching Hop v Was? I have that on live stats!
Quote from: camosfan on November 04, 2022, 08:11:06 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:08:52 PM
Dips haven't trailed at the half all year.
Muhles are 4-0-4 since late September.... Like i said, very tough out.
you not watching Hop v Was? I have that on live stats!
Just flipping around during HT.
You get the feeling that Hop is grinding the Shoremen down... But the lack of any real danger in the final 3rd also leaves you thinking this game is destined for PKs.
Penny for a striker, man.
This ref is pretty bad. Just saying.
Jee-Zuhs. Hopkins shots are just ridiculous. HIT THE BALL.
So annoying.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:13:36 PM
Quote from: camosfan on November 04, 2022, 08:11:06 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:08:52 PM
Dips haven't trailed at the half all year.
Muhles are 4-0-4 since late September.... Like i said, very tough out.
you not watching Hop v Was? I have that on live stats!
Just flipping around during HT.
Dips just hit the crossbar while I momentarily flipped over there.
PK for Hop!
WTF is this ref doing?? I've never seen anything like this before a PK. WTF.'
Ian Wammond is a stud.
1-0 Hop.
'
If someone can please tell me what the F&M Keeper was doing on the second goal, I would appreciate the insight.
SC.
Hopkins up 1-0 on a PK. Very weird situation after the PK. Hopkins tried to switch PK takers and the ref wouldn't allow it. Took about 5 mins to resolve
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:43:29 PM
PK for Hop!
WTF is this ref doing?? I've never seen anything like this before a PK. WTF.'
Ian Wammond is a stud.
1-0 Hop.
'
Weird refs today
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 04, 2022, 08:46:01 PM
If someone can please tell me what the F&M Keeper was doing on the second goal, I would appreciate the insight.
SC.
Oh goodness. Just kind of got lost at sea there.
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 04, 2022, 08:48:22 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:43:29 PM
PK for Hop!
WTF is this ref doing?? I've never seen anything like this before a PK. WTF.'
Ian Wammond is a stud.
1-0 Hop.
'
Weird refs today
Yeah, there's no rule (I'm aware of) for switching a PK taker out. This guy has been wonky all night. And usually wonky favors the home team bc the guy is emotional. Good crowd at this game for Washington.
Rowan up 1-0.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:53:02 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 04, 2022, 08:48:22 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:43:29 PM
PK for Hop!
WTF is this ref doing?? I've never seen anything like this before a PK. WTF.'
Ian Wammond is a stud.
1-0 Hop.
'
Weird refs today
Yeah, there's no rule (I'm aware of) for switching a PK taker out. This guy has been wonky all night. And usually wonky favors the home team bc the guy is emotional. Good crowd at this game for Washington.
This ref is absolutely horrible.
Ref not calling much as the game nears to a close.
Good result. But, man... This team is on a razor's edge in terms of finishing.
Hop v. Muhles in the final in Charm City on Sunday.
Ugh. Was hoping the game would be at noon so I could attend. 1500 start time conflicts with DD HS conference title game.
Seems like the Mid-Atlantic likely lost some hosting duties tonight.
Rowan is going to win that game... up to 2-0 with (I don't know, because the dumb feed doesn't have a running clock) about 2:30 left.
That was hilarious. Sorry, to clarify, an MSU player fore-arm stiffed a guy from Rowan as they were setting up for the kickoff. Ref probably should've kicked that guy out of the game.
I'm saying hilarious, because I have zero skin in this rivalry.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 04, 2022, 08:46:01 PM
If someone can please tell me what the F&M Keeper was doing on the second goal, I would appreciate the insight.
SC.
Yeah, big time miscommunication there. Other than that, I thought Farrell played pretty well and he definitely kept it from being 3-0 on that shot from Pietila (bet he wishes he could have that one back).
What was your take on Mulford? I thought he played well for the most part; but, I felt his kicks were inconsistent. He had that one punch towards the end of the 2nd half that I felt he should have grabbed.
I like Akdag's impression of Erling Haaland complete with the top-knot. Too bad he didn't have a goal to go with it.
Nice win for the Mules. Gut-check for Wagner and his Dips. We'll see if they get a chance to avenge it.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 09:11:58 PM
Rowan is going to win that game... up to 2-0 with (I don't know, because the dumb feed doesn't have a running clock) about 2:3 left.
That was hilarious.
And now it's 3-0 and the fans are fighting.
GO JERSEY!!
So freaking fantastic.
Quote from: stlawus on November 04, 2022, 09:06:46 PM
Seems like the Mid-Atlantic likely lost some hosting duties tonight.
Yeah, I don't want to rub salt in any wounds, but... F&M's win in Baltimore was a VERY shaky win. It was a fluky goal and Hopkins really dominated the majority of that match. To see the Dips rocket up the charts off that win, while understandable, seemed a big overblown. Such is the nature of D3 soccer. Not saying Hop is demonstrably better, just that there's so much relative parity that one win in a 20-ish season takes on out-sized proportions.
I think if Hopkins beat Muhlenberg and Dickinson they might have had a shot to host, but they are a bit light on RvR wins which obviously could change after this weekend. Don't see the Dips hosting after dropping this game, but stranger things have happened. Combine that with the fact that a lot depends on whether or not schools submit bid proposals in the first place.
Hopkins women are #2 in the country and play for the Centennial conf. championship on Sunday v. Dickinson. If they win, they will definitely host.
Quote from: stlawus on November 04, 2022, 09:27:02 PM
I think if Hopkins beat Muhlenberg and Dickinson they might have had a shot to host, but they are a bit light on RvR wins which obviously could change after this weekend. Don't see the Dips hosting after dropping this game, but stranger things have happened. Combine that with the fact that a lot depends on whether or not schools submit bid proposals in the first place.
Not trying to be overly defensive, but Hop is 4-1-1 in RvR, which is (probably) why they are still ranked 2nd in the region this week. Today's win is huge because it helps with winning percentage.
I guess I read the RvR wrong. Thought they only had 2. Good shot then, but probably have to outright win against Muhlenberg.
Quote from: stlawus on November 04, 2022, 09:27:02 PM
I think if Hopkins beat Muhlenberg and Dickinson they might have had a shot to host, but they are a bit light on RvR wins which obviously could change after this weekend. Don't see the Dips hosting after dropping this game, but stranger things have happened. Combine that with the fact that a lot depends on whether or not schools submit bid proposals in the first place.
For this week's rankings Hopkins had 4 wins vs. ranked opponents. Only four teams had more and only two others had as many as them. So I wouldn't say Hopkins is "light on RvR wins". At this point, Hopkins is a lock for an at-large berth if they lose or tie in the Centennial final.
F&M is the team light on wins against ranked opponents, but their win pct. and SOS should earn them a Pool C berth.
You're correct, I had them mixed up.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2022, 08:08:52 PM
Dips haven't trailed at the half all year.
Muhles are 4-0-4 since late September.... Like i said, very tough out.
Actually, Muhles lost to Etown in October. In any event, good win and as a result I think Washington is officially out.
Watched my third (?) D3 game of the year — been a busy fall — last night in Hopkins-Washington College. In the first five or so minutes, it felt like Hopkins had just about all of the ball — even if it wasn't strictly true, I remember thinking two things: A. the adage "Hopkins are good in possession" was evident and B. this could be a long night for the Shoremen. Still, despite a hefty shot advantage, Washington hung in there — as Hopkins pointed out, it wasn't a clinic in finishing, and it took a kick from 12 yards to decide it. Was surprised to hear that Muhlenberg was up 1-0 and then 2-0 at F&M (but I don't know anything other than past results so maybe I shouldn't have been). Will try to watch the final.
Widener wasn't ready for postseason Messiah
I'm cheering on the Philadelphia Union in the MLS Final (cheering from home, not LA) and was 5 minutes late tuning into the Messiah broadcast and missed two goals!!!!! It's 4-0 and Messiah had a headed goal called back for contact with the GK.
The Falcons are dialed in. Ridiculously efficient
This. Falcon. Team.... (And I've seen all of them since the mid-1980s) ... is almost unbelievably good. I do not recall any of the previous teams actually being better overall. Not one of them. Maybe a couple were just as good, but there can't be more than one or two in that category. IMO, they have the best striker Messiah has had in all those years, with the sole exception of that incomparable season by Nick West. They have one of the 2 or 3 best playmakers ever in Groothoff, with the only comparables being Kasiguran and Woodward. Their four other forwards (the 2 starters and their backups) are unmatched by any other 4 I can recall.
Anything can happen going forward. Anything. We all know that. Life comes with no guarantees. But, back in the 2000s Messiah blew through Final Fours like a hot knife through butter. I recall holding NYU to zero shots (not SOG) in one of those games. This team is that good. It's the first time I've actually thought things like this since then. I hope I'm not just blowin' smoke. If I'm not, look out.
Totally Agree with this Messiah team. Fantastic! I was streaming the broadcast, and messiahs broadcast is top notch.
But as I was watching the broadcast and listening to play by play and color guys banter in the first half, I couldn't help but be struck as one said " widener is a good team, followed by "widener is a great team". Come on now, great teams are locks to the NCAA tournament, hosting possibilities and great chances to advance to the second weekend.
Could we not put widener in that category.
And not too long after writing that, both Matt McDonald and his backup Stefan Leitzel removed themselves from the game with injuries. As I said, lIfe comes with no guarantees. Hope they both play next weekend.
Will watch for updates from those with close connections to the team.
I'm in the middle of a multi-generational DnD game, so I'm not really gonna be able to do my real-time rambling. I will say... Really bugs me when goalies have on kits that are in the same color zone as the outfield players.
Muhles goalie wearing a read that's just not all that different than the field players kits.
Not a huge deal, just bugs me. Should be something that really stands out.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 03:17:01 PM
I'm in the middle of a multi-generational DnD game, so I'm not really gonna be able to do my real-time rambling. I will say... Really bugs me when goalies have on kits that are in the same color zone as the outfield players.
Muhles goalie wearing a read that's just not all that different than the field players kits.
Not a huge deal, just bugs me. Should be something that really stands out.
I hear you on the GK kits (although I hate the highlighter yellow ones), but I'm trying to process how DnD is still popular (and popular "multi-generational[ly]." I thought it died years ago and all of sudden it's back with a vengeance.
Quote from: Kuiper on November 06, 2022, 03:26:21 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 03:17:01 PM
I'm in the middle of a multi-generational DnD game, so I'm not really gonna be able to do my real-time rambling. I will say... Really bugs me when goalies have on kits that are in the same color zone as the outfield players.
Muhles goalie wearing a read that's just not all that different than the field players kits.
Not a huge deal, just bugs me. Should be something that really stands out.
I hear you on the GK kits (although I hate the highlighter yellow ones), but I'm trying to process how DnD is still popular (and popular "multi-generational[ly]." I thought it died years ago and all of sudden it's back with a vengeance.
On my front, COVID. This is a neighborhood game with a mix of dads and "kids" (all in their 20s.) It's been going on for close to 2 years now, even with some of the kids streaming in remotely from out of state.
The 2 of the 3 dads played in high school, one of them just learned as we went along.
It's a pretty great way of kind of "forcing" the kids to hang out with us. :D
Pretty typical Hopkins half of soccer. I'll be repetitive and say this version of Hopkins is much more prone to spraying the ball around the field. Refreshing... and with the added bonus of making them more unpredictable.
But, alas... Need someone to find a finishing touch... Pretty late in the year for that to be a problem.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 04:08:35 PM
Pretty typical Hopkins half of soccer. I'll be repetitive and say this version of Hopkins is much more prone to spraying the ball around the field. Refreshing... and with the added bonus of making them more unpredictable.
But, alas... Need someone to find a finishing touch... Pretty late in the year for that to be a problem.
Fairness to Hopkins. Muhlenberg is sitting back and just daring them to come forward. Not even trying to break out of their own half unless they get the ball and can get it forward to one of their wingers. Outside of that, not sure they are doing anything to actually win.
SC.
Yeah, it's been pretty one way for sure.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 05:05:18 PM
Yeah, it's been pretty one way for sure.
This reminds me of coaches I would ask if with the no OT in the regular season would they starting playing for ties under the right circumstances. They all said the same... they would play to win. After watching this season play out, they absolutely do play for ties. This one, Muhlenberg is absolutely playing for a tie. PKs are the great equalizer for them.
SC.
The Muhles take it in PKs :o
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 06, 2022, 04:44:29 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 04:08:35 PM
Pretty typical Hopkins half of soccer. I'll be repetitive and say this version of Hopkins is much more prone to spraying the ball around the field. Refreshing... and with the added bonus of making them more unpredictable.
But, alas... Need someone to find a finishing touch... Pretty late in the year for that to be a problem.
Fairness to Hopkins. Muhlenberg is sitting back and just daring them to come forward. Not even trying to break out of their own half unless they get the ball and can get it forward to one of their wingers. Outside of that, not sure they are doing anything to actually win.
SC.
Tough game for Hopkins. I am guessing that any true finishers mostly don't go D3 except for Messiah and one or two other teams. Mulhs worked hard to take the Conf. Sometimes it's better to lucky than good. Fortunately both teams now have an extra game or two!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 03:17:01 PM
I'm in the middle of a multi-generational DnD game, so I'm not really gonna be able to do my real-time rambling. I will say... Really bugs me when goalies have on kits that are in the same color zone as the outfield players.
Muhles goalie wearing a read that's just not all that different than the field players kits.
Not a huge deal, just bugs me. Should be something that really stands out.
Agreed, weird color too.
Looking at some teams that have a shot at getting a Pool C today
Region 4 Bubble Teams
Montclair (at-large)
NYU (at-large)
Lycoming (bubble)
Region 5 Bubble Teams
Hopkins (at-large)
F&M (at-large)
Catholic (bubble)
Drew (bubble)
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 06, 2022, 05:22:52 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 05:05:18 PM
Yeah, it's been pretty one way for sure.
This reminds me of coaches I would ask if with the no OT in the regular season would they starting playing for ties under the right circumstances. They all said the same... they would play to win. After watching this season play out, they absolutely do play for ties. This one, Muhlenberg is absolutely playing for a tie. PKs are the great equalizer for them.
SC.
Agreed as many, many teams have no idea where their goals are going to come from. In most cases in D3 as I see it, they do not have that one (or maybe two) person they can rely for considerable pressure on goal. FYI that includes Hopkins.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 07, 2022, 08:53:51 AM
Looking at some teams that have a shot at getting a Pool C today
Region 4 Bubble Teams
Montclair (at-large)
NYU (at-large)
Lycoming (bubble)
Region 5 Bubble Teams
Hopkins (at-large)
F&M (at-large)
Catholic (bubble)
Drew (bubble)
IMO you nailed it. Lycoming and Drew I feel will be on the wrong side of the bubble. Catholic is very much a bubble team-if they get a bid it might be the last spot.
Unfortunately, I think all 3 will be left out.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 07, 2022, 09:05:24 AM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 06, 2022, 05:22:52 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 05:05:18 PM
Yeah, it's been pretty one way for sure.
This reminds me of coaches I would ask if with the no OT in the regular season would they starting playing for ties under the right circumstances. They all said the same... they would play to win. After watching this season play out, they absolutely do play for ties. This one, Muhlenberg is absolutely playing for a tie. PKs are the great equalizer for them.
SC.
Agreed as many, many teams have no idea where their goals are going to come from. In most cases in D3 as I see it, they do not have that one (or maybe two) person they can rely for considerable pressure on goal. FYI that includes Hopkins.
In a lot of instances, this is what separates the good from the great from the elite level teams.
Would actually be interesting to try and look at some examples.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 07, 2022, 09:05:24 AM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 06, 2022, 05:22:52 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 05:05:18 PM
Yeah, it's been pretty one way for sure.
This reminds me of coaches I would ask if with the no OT in the regular season would they starting playing for ties under the right circumstances. They all said the same... they would play to win. After watching this season play out, they absolutely do play for ties. This one, Muhlenberg is absolutely playing for a tie. PKs are the great equalizer for them.
SC.
Agreed as many, many teams have no idea where their goals are going to come from. In most cases in D3 as I see it, they do not have that one (or maybe two) person they can rely for considerable pressure on goal. FYI that includes Hopkins.
Elite teams are also able to develop goal scorers over the player's 4 years at school. They don't simply rely on whom they recruit then hope he gets marginally better.
I'm also assuming that there is tremendous pressure on proven goal-scoring recruits to go D1.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 07, 2022, 08:53:51 AM
Looking at some teams that have a shot at getting a Pool C today
Region 4 Bubble Teams
Montclair (at-large)
NYU (at-large)
Lycoming (bubble)
Region 5 Bubble Teams
Hopkins (at-large)
F&M (at-large)
Catholic (bubble)
Drew (bubble)
To me, Catholic losing in semi-final of Landmark keeps them out. And even more so for Drew who didn't even make the Landmark playoffs. But I know that's not how it works, so my opinions are pretty useless.
Catholic actually would have been better off not making the landmark playoffs like Drew instead of getting a loss against Scranton. Of course, making the playoffs and winning the conference is the goal but in hindsight, that semifinal loss might have knocked them out of an at-large
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on November 07, 2022, 09:52:49 AM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 07, 2022, 09:05:24 AM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 06, 2022, 05:22:52 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 05:05:18 PM
Yeah, it's been pretty one way for sure.
This reminds me of coaches I would ask if with the no OT in the regular season would they starting playing for ties under the right circumstances. They all said the same... they would play to win. After watching this season play out, they absolutely do play for ties. This one, Muhlenberg is absolutely playing for a tie. PKs are the great equalizer for them.
SC.
Agreed as many, many teams have no idea where their goals are going to come from. In most cases in D3 as I see it, they do not have that one (or maybe two) person they can rely for considerable pressure on goal. FYI that includes Hopkins.
Elite teams are also able to develop goal scorers over the player's 4 years at school. They don't simply rely on whom they recruit then hope he gets marginally better.
I'm also assuming that there is tremendous pressure on proven goal-scoring recruits to go D1.
Absolutely, proven DA or club strikers are all shiny objects for D1. D3 coaches can't compete. Do these strikers produce at the next level is another story. Most do not at as they have to compete with foreign recruits or the game (or to many games) shut them down.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 07, 2022, 09:46:17 AM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 07, 2022, 09:05:24 AM
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 06, 2022, 05:22:52 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2022, 05:05:18 PM
Yeah, it's been pretty one way for sure.
This reminds me of coaches I would ask if with the no OT in the regular season would they starting playing for ties under the right circumstances. They all said the same... they would play to win. After watching this season play out, they absolutely do play for ties. This one, Muhlenberg is absolutely playing for a tie. PKs are the great equalizer for them.
SC.
Agreed as many, many teams have no idea where their goals are going to come from. In most cases in D3 as I see it, they do not have that one (or maybe two) person they can rely for considerable pressure on goal. FYI that includes Hopkins.
In a lot of instances, this is what separates the good from the great from the elite level teams.
Would actually be interesting to try and look at some examples.
I would say Hopkins?? With a good or even a competent striker, you all would be much more formable and not have to rely on 0 error defense.
Messiah is on the other side. Who really ever talks about the defense (which could be great), but if all you ever do is score, then who cares. Goal scoring is the best defense in many cases. Twice it gave up two goals and twice it only scored two goals (avg. 4.35 per game and let up .06 per game). Also had 466 shots (235 on goal) and only allowed 95 of which only 33 were on goal. Not relying on 1-0 wins. Plus many teams are already beat with this type of offense already going in. McDonald obviously is the big striker - 21 goals and 6 assists over 20 games. Surprisingly enough, he only had three games where he did not get a point and in those games they were ahead by at least 3 goals. Also he had plenty of braces, but no hat tricks which is not a knock as plenty of other Messiah players scored.
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 07, 2022, 11:15:03 AM
Catholic actually would have been better off not making the landmark playoffs like Drew instead of getting a loss against Scranton. Of course, making the playoffs and winning the conference is the goal but in hindsight, that semifinal loss might have knocked them out of an at-large
This isn't the first time this has been observed over the years. It's one of the ironies that the process/criteria used allows. Allowing a little more subjectivity/flexibity into the process could compensate for this. On the other hand, this is only an issue for bubble teams, and as a bubble team you haven't taken care of business and haven't earned the right to sleep easy heading into Selection Day.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 07, 2022, 11:36:50 AM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 07, 2022, 11:15:03 AM
Catholic actually would have been better off not making the landmark playoffs like Drew instead of getting a loss against Scranton. Of course, making the playoffs and winning the conference is the goal but in hindsight, that semifinal loss might have knocked them out of an at-large
This isn't the first time this has been observed over the years. It's one of the ironies that the process/criteria used allows. Allowing a little more subjectivity/flexibity into the process could compensate for this. On the other hand, this is only an issue for bubble teams, and as a bubble team you haven't taken care of business and haven't earned the right to sleep easy heading into Selection Day.
Yes and Yes ;D
Landmark get two in with Catholic and Scranton
Centennial get Muhles, Hop, Dips
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 07, 2022, 01:56:12 PM
Landmark get two in with Catholic and E'town
Centennial get Muhles, Hop, Dips
Montclair gets left out :o
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on November 07, 2022, 01:56:49 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 07, 2022, 01:56:12 PM
Landmark get two in with Catholic and E'town
Centennial get Muhles, Hop, Dips
Montclair gets left out :o
I screwed up my post, Scranton not E-town.
And I can't believe Montclair didn't get a bid. That's crazy.
I know this is WAY late, given all the hub-bub over the NCAA selections, but I want to go back and point something out... Because it's still bothering me.
Just to quickly reset, Hopkins and Muhlenberg played to a 0-0 tie and went to PKs. As they did against Dickinson, they swapped out their starting GK for a very large dude, who is obviously their "PK specialist." Now, at the collegiate level, I don't know if that means anything other than "the bigger dude" because I highly doubt they have enough film to study tendencies. And maybe this guy is studying all the rostered players who make the field and noting what kind of style they employ (power players usually go a certain direction, finesse players usually do the opposite... I'm giving away secrets!) Maybe.
I suspect it's mainly down to "the bigger guy."
And, I don't want to be overly negative, and apologies if someone close to him lurks, but... Bigger guy didn't move in the "correct" direction once in the kicks on Sunday. That's mostly down to being unlucky, but...
Alex Morgret is (as I predicted) a First Team All Conference goalie. And that's saying something, because this conference has some really good keepers. He is a grad transfer student from Penn State, prior to that he played significant minutes and was named rookie of the year for D1 St Francis. Club soccer pedigree is outstanding. In other words, probably one of the best goalies in D3 soccer, subjectively (not in stats, but they're still quite good.)
Why are we swapping this guy out... For any reason? Ever?
Don't do that. A bigger goalie doesn't mean a better goalie. For one thing, they are easier to beat low corner. And they, typically, take a beat (tiny) longer to get that big frame moving. These are not benefits in a PK situation. This isn't hockey, or box lacrosse, where a dude can just park his Wide Load sign in goal and hope for the best.
I really don't like this logic in soccer.
Ironically, I witnessed Williams do the opposite against Conn Coll in the NESCAC semis. They went to PKs, and replaced 6'5 GK Ben Diffley with another smaller keeper. Conn Coll went on to make all 5 goals - not blaming the other keeper as all shots were very well placed, but it just seemed odd to swap those GKs at that time.
A little off topic but I've been meaning to ask the GK experts (SC, Hop92, Kuiper, CSO, etc) here....
What is your opinion of the shenanigans and gamesmanship that GKs so often engage in during PKs and especially PK shootouts? Trying to be the person who hands the ball to the next shooter, coming way out to "show big" until the ref tells them to get on the line, hanging from the bar so it shakes, and all the other tricks? I also get annoyed with refs who don't pay attention and let a lot of this go. Anyway, I noticed that the JHU sub GK did the "show big" routine standing 3-5 yards in front of the PK takers for Muhlenberg.
I'll add that, while didn't turn out this way with Muhlenberg, that the "show big' maneuver feels very effective at least from an observer pov.
PN--As a coach, and a referee, and a goalie dad; I hate all of that nonsense. Under current rules, goalies are not allowed to touch the posts or crossbar before the kick. I will never allow the GK to hand the ball to the shooter. Too much can go wrong. Get on the line and make the save if you can. Knock off all the other stuff.
Quote from: College Soccer Observer on November 09, 2022, 12:17:23 PM
PN--As a coach, and a referee, and a goalie dad; I hate all of that nonsense. Under current rules, goalies are not allowed to touch the posts or crossbar before the kick. I will never allow the GK to hand the ball to the shooter. Too much can go wrong. Get on the line and make the save if you can. Knock off all the other stuff.
That's all basically how I feel....and it seems 80% or more of GKs didn't get the memo or got the memo and laughed at it or said "screw that, I got to do whatever I have to do to get my team to the next round."
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 09, 2022, 12:13:22 PM
A little off topic but I've been meaning to ask the GK experts (SC, Hop92, Kuiper, CSO, etc) here....
What is your opinion of the shenanigans and gamesmanship that GKs so often engage in during PKs and especially PK shootouts? Trying to be the person who hands the ball to the next shooter, coming way out to "show big" until the ref tells them to get on the line, hanging from the bar so it shakes, and all the other tricks? I also get annoyed with refs who don't pay attention and let a lot of this go. Anyway, I noticed that the JHU sub GK did the "show big" routine standing 3-5 yards in front of the PK takers for Muhlenberg.
I'll add that, while didn't turn out this way with Muhlenberg, that the "show big' maneuver feels very effective at least from an observer pov.
Meh. I don't have a big problem with standing out off my line, or doing the dancing along the goal line pre-kick, or taking that last swig of water to slow the process down (kickers often slow walk from their spot with their teammates, as a counter measure/tactic.)
I do have a problem with keepers taking the ball and holding it, waiting to hand it to the kick taker and give them the hairy eyeball. Refs should not allow that, IMO.
The other thing that is increasingly happening at the professional/international level, and obviously on PKs in the run of play, is a bunch of players on the defending team gathering around the ball and the kicker, being a nuisance and starting nonsense dust-ups to delay the kick and antagonize the kick taker.
It's gotten so bad, teams are putting up decoy kickers to be pestered and harassed. Once the referee clears out the knuckleheads the "real" kicker emerges and has all of that foolishness wiped away.
But, in general, I think a waft of gamesmanship is fine. It's when it gets silly (drinking water, then all of a sudden, your shoe laces are untied... excessiveness) then the ref needs to step in.
(Personally, I didn't engage in any of that. I loved PKs because of the mental fortitude you needed, and I had a few things I alluded to before that helped me have some success in those scenarios. I just didn't feel the need to get in the kickers head, other than bring my mind into sharp focus on the task at hand. I feel like some goalies get way too caught up in the "mind games" when they should be hyper focused on the "tells" of a given kicker and to react in the nanosecond when that tell appears.
ETA - One really good way to get in the other team's head in shootout? Not necessarily save everything, but if you are choosing the right direction consistently, they start to put too fine a point on their shots. If a dude skies one in the 3-5 rounds because I choose right in the first two rounds, I chalk that up to a save.
While watching the MLS Cup with friends on Saturday, I was having quite a day "guessing" which way the kickers were going to go. These aren't soccer guys (some were) and they want to bring me a around as a party trick now. :D )
Maybe I'm just noticing more, but it seems like infringement on the referee's space and often actually making physical contact have become almost routine...not just when a PK is called but also for other calls during the game.
I don't like the "show big" move and I'm 99% sure it's because I think it's effective and a reason why you might put a 6'5, 6'6 GK in just for PKs.
Iirc, Old Ned, St Joseph's (ME) had a 6'8 (or taller) GK who if iirc helped SJU win a PK shootout with Babson and then "lost" one with Tufts. He was very good btw, and not just a PK specialist.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 09, 2022, 12:33:52 PM
Maybe I'm just noticing more, but it seems like infringement on the referee's space and often actually making physical contact have become almost routine...not just when a PK is called but also for other calls during the game.
I don't like the "show big" move and I'm 99% sure it's because I think it's effective and a reason why you might put a 6'5, 6'6 GK in just for PKs.
Iirc, Old Ned, St Joseph's (ME) had a 6'8 (or taller) GK who if iirc helped SJU win a PK shootout with Babson and then "lost" one with Tufts. He was very good btw, and not just a PK specialist.
PN, yes St. Joseph's (ME) had Blake Mullen who was 6'8 and was a really terrific goalie, including for PKs. He's currently an assistant for the Scranton Women's team.
Best game I ever saw any D3 goalie play was Mullen and Saint Joseph's against Tufts in the 2017 tournament, which ironically enough Tufts won on PKs. Mullen was incredible during regular time and OT and continually frustrated Tufts with some of his saves. I just looked up the stats and Tufts had 24 shots on the day and couldn't put one past Mullen - until PKs. That St. Joe's team went the entire regular season without giving up a single goal, then Mitchell (really, Mitchell) scored on them in the 1st round of the tournament. So for that year the defense let up just 1 goal, which is incredible. I think Mullen still holds the scoreless streak for D3 goalies. That being said, defense was a team effort for St. Joe's as they also had All American Dalton Gaumer as their center back, and a really strong defensive mid.
The previous year in 2016, St. Joe's played at Babson in the first round of the tournament and that game also went to PKs and I saw Mullen make a couple of amazing saves as St. Joe's advanced in PKs.
I found this Youtube video of some of Mullen's saves from 2017. The quality on some of the clips isn't great, but this gives an idea of how good he was.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sp5L3r-bke0
Thanks for posting!
LOL... I'm sure it was wind aided, but the punt to the other team's 18... Awesome.
Watching the PK shootouts over the last week I was reminded of one from the past. One of the greatest goal keeper substitution was in 2008 Messiah v Stevens tech in the finals. The game was tied 1-1 at the end of the 2OT and Nick Blossey was put into the game for the PK shoot out and saved 3 PK attempts propelling Messiah to the national championship.
Yeah, as others have replied, when team swap GK's for shootouts, it's not always for "the bigger guy". Two NCAA Tournament shootouts that I am familiar with (brother took part in one, my alma mater was in the other):
(1) 1993 NCAA 1st Round, eventual semifinalist Clarkson played favored Plattsburgh to a 1-1 OT tie at snowy, sub-freezing Cortland St. Clarkson took out their senior starting GK who was "the bigger guy" (height and strength) in a favor of a shorter, skinnier freshman who was considered the better pure shot-stopper. Clarkson won after 16 or 17 rounds (might have been the longest in D-III history at the time) with the kid coming up big. Just for the record, my brother, also a freshman, side-netted both his shots for the Knights! Another twist in the proceeding was that they moved to an adjacent field for the shootout because of the poor condition of the game field.
(2) 2008 NCAA Championship Final, Messiah and Stevens played to a 1-1 tie. The Falcons switched out their junior 2-year starter who was a bigger/stronger GK for senior back-up Nick Blossey whose only starts (5) in his 4-year career came as a junior due to an injury to the starter he now was replacing for PK's with a national title on the line. He went on the save 3 shots in a 3-0 shootout vitory to hand Messiah it's 6th title. It was the final masterstroke of Coach Dave Brandt at Messiah as he left for Navy that offseason. The opposite GK for Stevens: sophomore Zach Carr who would go on to be a two-time 1st Team All-American as a junior and senior, finishing with career marks of 55 solo shutouts and a .385 GAA which currently rank 1st and 6th all-time in men's Division III.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 09, 2022, 12:25:49 PM
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 09, 2022, 12:13:22 PM
A little off topic but I've been meaning to ask the GK experts (SC, Hop92, Kuiper, CSO, etc) here....
What is your opinion of the shenanigans and gamesmanship that GKs so often engage in during PKs and especially PK shootouts? Trying to be the person who hands the ball to the next shooter, coming way out to "show big" until the ref tells them to get on the line, hanging from the bar so it shakes, and all the other tricks? I also get annoyed with refs who don't pay attention and let a lot of this go. Anyway, I noticed that the JHU sub GK did the "show big" routine standing 3-5 yards in front of the PK takers for Muhlenberg.
I'll add that, while didn't turn out this way with Muhlenberg, that the "show big' maneuver feels very effective at least from an observer pov.
Meh. I don't have a big problem with standing out off my line, or doing the dancing along the goal line pre-kick, or taking that last swig of water to slow the process down (kickers often slow walk from their spot with their teammates, as a counter measure/tactic.)
I do have a problem with keepers taking the ball and holding it, waiting to hand it to the kick taker and give them the hairy eyeball. Refs should not allow that, IMO.
The other thing that is increasingly happening at the professional/international level, and obviously on PKs in the run of play, is a bunch of players on the defending team gathering around the ball and the kicker, being a nuisance and starting nonsense dust-ups to delay the kick and antagonize the kick taker.
It's gotten so bad, teams are putting up decoy kickers to be pestered and harassed. Once the referee clears out the knuckleheads the "real" kicker emerges and has all of that foolishness wiped away.
But, in general, I think a waft of gamesmanship is fine. It's when it gets silly (drinking water, then all of a sudden, your shoe laces are untied... excessiveness) then the ref needs to step in.
(Personally, I didn't engage in any of that. I loved PKs because of the mental fortitude you needed, and I had a few things I alluded to before that helped me have some success in those scenarios. I just didn't feel the need to get in the kickers head, other than bring my mind into sharp focus on the task at hand. I feel like some goalies get way too caught up in the "mind games" when they should be hyper focused on the "tells" of a given kicker and to react in the nanosecond when that tell appears.
ETA - One really good way to get in the other team's head in shootout? Not necessarily save everything, but if you are choosing the right direction consistently, they start to put too fine a point on their shots. If a dude skies one in the 3-5 rounds because I choose right in the first two rounds, I chalk that up to a save.
While watching the MLS Cup with friends on Saturday, I was having quite a day "guessing" which way the kickers were going to go. These aren't soccer guys (some were) and they want to bring me a around as a party trick now. :D )
Don't have any issue with GK pushing the boundaries on PKs. If the center ref. has an issue, then he can issue yellow cards for unsportsmanlike/delay of game conduct which happens from time to time.
PK takers just have to mentally tough and make their kicks. With or without the GKs doing these things, all the pressure on the taker to put on frame which is 192 square feet. Should be very, very easy.
As to the keeper jumping up and down, running back and forth, just like the fans behind the basket trying to distract the free throw taker. FYI, keepers also have to stay on their lines which is very new (implemented in 2019 Laws of the Game).
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Just for the record, my brother, also a freshman, side-netted both his shots for the Knights!
What does that mean? How does one hit the side of the net from the penalty spot? Or are you using the term side-netted to mean that he scored?
Quote from: MNBob on November 09, 2022, 02:00:25 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Just for the record, my brother, also a freshman, side-netted both his shots for the Knights!
What does that mean? How does one hit the side of the net from the penalty spot? Or are you using the term side-netted to mean that he scored?
Yes, his scoring shots hit the side netting.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 02:07:07 PM
Quote from: MNBob on November 09, 2022, 02:00:25 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Just for the record, my brother, also a freshman, side-netted both his shots for the Knights!
What does that mean? How does one hit the side of the net from the penalty spot? Or are you using the term side-netted to mean that he scored?
Yes, his scoring shots hit the side netting.
Okay. :) I've just heard that term for shots that looked like they went in from a certain angle but instead they hit the (out)side of the net.
Another Goal Keeper that I thought of was Dustin Shambach in 2004. He and his team made it all the way to the finals without conceding a goal during the tournament and won the 2004 championship. For the longest time (if not still) Dustin was the only keeper that played for and won a national championship without giving up a goal. That included all goalies D1-D3...I be interested to know if he still holds that record. I had the privilege of coaching him in high school and work numerous camps with him over the years.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 09, 2022, 12:13:22 PM
A little off topic but I've been meaning to ask the GK experts (SC, Hop92, Kuiper, CSO, etc) here....
What is your opinion of the shenanigans and gamesmanship that GKs so often engage in during PKs and especially PK shootouts? Trying to be the person who hands the ball to the next shooter, coming way out to "show big" until the ref tells them to get on the line, hanging from the bar so it shakes, and all the other tricks? I also get annoyed with refs who don't pay attention and let a lot of this go. Anyway, I noticed that the JHU sub GK did the "show big" routine standing 3-5 yards in front of the PK takers for Muhlenberg.
I'll add that, while didn't turn out this way with Muhlenberg, that the "show big' maneuver feels very effective at least from an observer pov.
I kind of like the game within a game. Both the shooter and the keeper engage in it. I wouldn't advise hanging on the goal or anything like that, but I know keepers who touch both posts and the cross bar, which both serves as a visualization technique to show they can "cover" all parts of the goal and a method of making a sign of the cross on the goal as a religious gesture. Making yourself big and throwing them a death stare is intimidating, but it's also a focus technique to see if the shooter is looking a certain way. My view is that whatever the GK needs to do to get themselves mentally ready is fine (within reason and time limits), just so long as they settle down for the shooter's penultimate step so they have their feet in position to exert maximum force and they can focus on useful clues and be decisive rather than reactive in going after the ball.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Yeah, as others have replied, when team swap GK's for shootouts, it's not always for "the bigger guy". Two NCAA Tournament shootouts that I am familiar with (brother took part in one, my alma mater was in the other):
(2) 2008 NCAA Championship Final, Messiah and Stevens played to a 1-1 tie. The Falcons switched out their junior 2-year starter who was a bigger/stronger GK for senior back-up Nick Blossey whose only starts (5) in his 4-year career came as a junior due to an injury to the starter he now was replacing for PK's with a national title on the line. He went on the save 3 shots in a 3-0 shootout vitory to hand Messiah it's 6th title. It was the final masterstroke of Coach Dave Brandt at Messiah as he left for Navy that offseason. The opposite GK for Stevens: sophomore Zach Carr who would go on to be a two-time 1st Team All-American as a junior and senior, finishing with career marks of 55 solo shutouts and a .385 GAA which currently rank 1st and 6th all-time in men's Division III.
Yes, this story (raised first by Coach Jeff) is true as FW tells it. Blossey was named MVP of the Final Four for his terrific contribution. The back story has two further pieces. (1) In round two of the 2003 tournament, the defending champion Falcons were held to a scoreless tie at Salisbury. Their striker, Matt Bills (14 G in 18 G), had returned to the lineup after a serious muscle pull and he was far from 100%. The Falcons lost in an extended session of PKs. Brandt swore he'd never let that happen again. (2) With that loss specifically in mind, during the 2008 season Brandt had his GK coach (the great Dustin Shambach, already mentioned in this thread) work with Blossey on snuffing out PKs. They practiced this skill often, and Blossey got his moment in the sun. In other words, it wasn't a fluke that Blossey stopped 3 shots: he had been prepared exactly for that one job. (I know Nick Blossey and Dave Brandt, who were the sources of this information.)
Quote from: Falconer on November 09, 2022, 10:58:42 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Yeah, as others have replied, when team swap GK's for shootouts, it's not always for "the bigger guy". Two NCAA Tournament shootouts that I am familiar with (brother took part in one, my alma mater was in the other):
(2) 2008 NCAA Championship Final, Messiah and Stevens played to a 1-1 tie. The Falcons switched out their junior 2-year starter who was a bigger/stronger GK for senior back-up Nick Blossey whose only starts (5) in his 4-year career came as a junior due to an injury to the starter he now was replacing for PK's with a national title on the line. He went on the save 3 shots in a 3-0 shootout vitory to hand Messiah it's 6th title. It was the final masterstroke of Coach Dave Brandt at Messiah as he left for Navy that offseason. The opposite GK for Stevens: sophomore Zach Carr who would go on to be a two-time 1st Team All-American as a junior and senior, finishing with career marks of 55 solo shutouts and a .385 GAA which currently rank 1st and 6th all-time in men's Division III.
Yes, this story (raised first by Coach Jeff) is true as FW tells it. Blossey was named MVP of the Final Four for his terrific contribution. The back story has two further pieces. (1) In round two of the 2003 tournament, the defending champion Falcons were held to a scoreless tie at Salisbury. Their striker, Matt Bills (14 G in 18 G), had returned to the lineup after a serious muscle pull and he was far from 100%. The Falcons lost in an extended session of PKs. Brandt swore he'd never let that happen again. (2) With that loss specifically in mind, during the 2008 season Brandt had his GK coach (the great Dustin Shambach, already mentioned in this thread) work with Blossey on snuffing out PKs. They practiced this skill often, and Blossey got his moment in the sun. In other words, it wasn't a fluke that Blossey stopped 3 shots: he had been prepared exactly for that one job. (I know Nick Blossey and Dave Brandt, who were the sources of this information.)
Thanks Falconer...I did not know the entire story thanks for sharing
Quote from: Coach Jeff on November 10, 2022, 07:39:20 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 09, 2022, 10:58:42 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Yeah, as others have replied, when team swap GK's for shootouts, it's not always for "the bigger guy". Two NCAA Tournament shootouts that I am familiar with (brother took part in one, my alma mater was in the other):
(2) 2008 NCAA Championship Final, Messiah and Stevens played to a 1-1 tie. The Falcons switched out their junior 2-year starter who was a bigger/stronger GK for senior back-up Nick Blossey whose only starts (5) in his 4-year career came as a junior due to an injury to the starter he now was replacing for PK's with a national title on the line. He went on the save 3 shots in a 3-0 shootout vitory to hand Messiah it's 6th title. It was the final masterstroke of Coach Dave Brandt at Messiah as he left for Navy that offseason. The opposite GK for Stevens: sophomore Zach Carr who would go on to be a two-time 1st Team All-American as a junior and senior, finishing with career marks of 55 solo shutouts and a .385 GAA which currently rank 1st and 6th all-time in men's Division III.
Yes, this story (raised first by Coach Jeff) is true as FW tells it. Blossey was named MVP of the Final Four for his terrific contribution. The back story has two further pieces. (1) In round two of the 2003 tournament, the defending champion Falcons were held to a scoreless tie at Salisbury. Their striker, Matt Bills (14 G in 18 G), had returned to the lineup after a serious muscle pull and he was far from 100%. The Falcons lost in an extended session of PKs. Brandt swore he'd never let that happen again. (2) With that loss specifically in mind, during the 2008 season Brandt had his GK coach (the great Dustin Shambach, already mentioned in this thread) work with Blossey on snuffing out PKs. They practiced this skill often, and Blossey got his moment in the sun. In other words, it wasn't a fluke that Blossey stopped 3 shots: he had been prepared exactly for that one job. (I know Nick Blossey and Dave Brandt, who were the sources of this information.)
Thanks Falconer...I did not know the entire story thanks for sharing
These stories reinforce what I believe wholeheartedly- you must have plus GK play to take home the Natty. Even teams that have dominated all season may be humbled quickly with an untested keeper. The GKs value does and will come down to a moment - especially in single elimination play. Getting the job done during the course of conference play won't compare to the national tourney where their is more Parity between teams. And to be clear - plus GKs aren't marked by shot stopping - that is a given for a collegiate player. We will see it in decision making- commanding the 6 , holding versus punching or parrying - and bravery. Will be interesting to watch.
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on November 10, 2022, 08:44:30 PM
Quote from: Coach Jeff on November 10, 2022, 07:39:20 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 09, 2022, 10:58:42 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Yeah, as others have replied, when team swap GK's for shootouts, it's not always for "the bigger guy". Two NCAA Tournament shootouts that I am familiar with (brother took part in one, my alma mater was in the other):
(2) 2008 NCAA Championship Final, Messiah and Stevens played to a 1-1 tie. The Falcons switched out their junior 2-year starter who was a bigger/stronger GK for senior back-up Nick Blossey whose only starts (5) in his 4-year career came as a junior due to an injury to the starter he now was replacing for PK's with a national title on the line. He went on the save 3 shots in a 3-0 shootout vitory to hand Messiah it's 6th title. It was the final masterstroke of Coach Dave Brandt at Messiah as he left for Navy that offseason. The opposite GK for Stevens: sophomore Zach Carr who would go on to be a two-time 1st Team All-American as a junior and senior, finishing with career marks of 55 solo shutouts and a .385 GAA which currently rank 1st and 6th all-time in men's Division III.
Yes, this story (raised first by Coach Jeff) is true as FW tells it. Blossey was named MVP of the Final Four for his terrific contribution. The back story has two further pieces. (1) In round two of the 2003 tournament, the defending champion Falcons were held to a scoreless tie at Salisbury. Their striker, Matt Bills (14 G in 18 G), had returned to the lineup after a serious muscle pull and he was far from 100%. The Falcons lost in an extended session of PKs. Brandt swore he'd never let that happen again. (2) With that loss specifically in mind, during the 2008 season Brandt had his GK coach (the great Dustin Shambach, already mentioned in this thread) work with Blossey on snuffing out PKs. They practiced this skill often, and Blossey got his moment in the sun. In other words, it wasn't a fluke that Blossey stopped 3 shots: he had been prepared exactly for that one job. (I know Nick Blossey and Dave Brandt, who were the sources of this information.)
Thanks Falconer...I did not know the entire story thanks for sharing
These stories reinforce what I believe wholeheartedly- you must have plus GK play to take home the Natty. Even teams that have dominated all season may be humbled quickly with an untested keeper. The GKs value does and will come down to a moment - especially in single elimination play. Getting the job done during the course of conference play won't compare to the national tourney where their is more Parity between teams. And to be clear - plus GKs aren't marked by shot stopping - that is a given for a collegiate player. We will see it in decision making- commanding the 6 , holding versus punching or parrying - and bravery. Will be interesting to watch.
I'd agree. I'd also add distribution to your list. A GK who distributes well takes a lot of pressure off his defense and can generate attacks. TBH I haven't seen too many GK's who distribute well this year.
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on November 10, 2022, 09:11:02 PM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on November 10, 2022, 08:44:30 PM
Quote from: Coach Jeff on November 10, 2022, 07:39:20 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 09, 2022, 10:58:42 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Yeah, as others have replied, when team swap GK's for shootouts, it's not always for "the bigger guy". Two NCAA Tournament shootouts that I am familiar with (brother took part in one, my alma mater was in the other):
(2) 2008 NCAA Championship Final, Messiah and Stevens played to a 1-1 tie. The Falcons switched out their junior 2-year starter who was a bigger/stronger GK for senior back-up Nick Blossey whose only starts (5) in his 4-year career came as a junior due to an injury to the starter he now was replacing for PK's with a national title on the line. He went on the save 3 shots in a 3-0 shootout vitory to hand Messiah it's 6th title. It was the final masterstroke of Coach Dave Brandt at Messiah as he left for Navy that offseason. The opposite GK for Stevens: sophomore Zach Carr who would go on to be a two-time 1st Team All-American as a junior and senior, finishing with career marks of 55 solo shutouts and a .385 GAA which currently rank 1st and 6th all-time in men's Division III.
Yes, this story (raised first by Coach Jeff) is true as FW tells it. Blossey was named MVP of the Final Four for his terrific contribution. The back story has two further pieces. (1) In round two of the 2003 tournament, the defending champion Falcons were held to a scoreless tie at Salisbury. Their striker, Matt Bills (14 G in 18 G), had returned to the lineup after a serious muscle pull and he was far from 100%. The Falcons lost in an extended session of PKs. Brandt swore he'd never let that happen again. (2) With that loss specifically in mind, during the 2008 season Brandt had his GK coach (the great Dustin Shambach, already mentioned in this thread) work with Blossey on snuffing out PKs. They practiced this skill often, and Blossey got his moment in the sun. In other words, it wasn't a fluke that Blossey stopped 3 shots: he had been prepared exactly for that one job. (I know Nick Blossey and Dave Brandt, who were the sources of this information.)
Thanks Falconer...I did not know the entire story thanks for sharing
These stories reinforce what I believe wholeheartedly- you must have plus GK play to take home the Natty. Even teams that have dominated all season may be humbled quickly with an untested keeper. The GKs value does and will come down to a moment - especially in single elimination play. Getting the job done during the course of conference play won't compare to the national tourney where their is more Parity between teams. And to be clear - plus GKs aren't marked by shot stopping - that is a given for a collegiate player. We will see it in decision making- commanding the 6 , holding versus punching or parrying - and bravery. Will be interesting to watch.
I'd agree. I'd also add distribution to your list. A GK who distributes well takes a lot of pressure off his defense and can generate attacks. TBH I haven't seen too many GK's who distribute well this year.
Yes! Distribution is a game changer. A lot more to it than kicking it long. And I would also agree to not seeing many good signs of it this season.....
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on November 10, 2022, 09:11:02 PM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on November 10, 2022, 08:44:30 PM
Quote from: Coach Jeff on November 10, 2022, 07:39:20 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 09, 2022, 10:58:42 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Yeah, as others have replied, when team swap GK's for shootouts, it's not always for "the bigger guy". Two NCAA Tournament shootouts that I am familiar with (brother took part in one, my alma mater was in the other):
(2) 2008 NCAA Championship Final, Messiah and Stevens played to a 1-1 tie. The Falcons switched out their junior 2-year starter who was a bigger/stronger GK for senior back-up Nick Blossey whose only starts (5) in his 4-year career came as a junior due to an injury to the starter he now was replacing for PK's with a national title on the line. He went on the save 3 shots in a 3-0 shootout vitory to hand Messiah it's 6th title. It was the final masterstroke of Coach Dave Brandt at Messiah as he left for Navy that offseason. The opposite GK for Stevens: sophomore Zach Carr who would go on to be a two-time 1st Team All-American as a junior and senior, finishing with career marks of 55 solo shutouts and a .385 GAA which currently rank 1st and 6th all-time in men's Division III.
Yes, this story (raised first by Coach Jeff) is true as FW tells it. Blossey was named MVP of the Final Four for his terrific contribution. The back story has two further pieces. (1) In round two of the 2003 tournament, the defending champion Falcons were held to a scoreless tie at Salisbury. Their striker, Matt Bills (14 G in 18 G), had returned to the lineup after a serious muscle pull and he was far from 100%. The Falcons lost in an extended session of PKs. Brandt swore he'd never let that happen again. (2) With that loss specifically in mind, during the 2008 season Brandt had his GK coach (the great Dustin Shambach, already mentioned in this thread) work with Blossey on snuffing out PKs. They practiced this skill often, and Blossey got his moment in the sun. In other words, it wasn't a fluke that Blossey stopped 3 shots: he had been prepared exactly for that one job. (I know Nick Blossey and Dave Brandt, who were the sources of this information.)
Thanks Falconer...I did not know the entire story thanks for sharing
These stories reinforce what I believe wholeheartedly- you must have plus GK play to take home the Natty. Even teams that have dominated all season may be humbled quickly with an untested keeper. The GKs value does and will come down to a moment - especially in single elimination play. Getting the job done during the course of conference play won't compare to the national tourney where their is more Parity between teams. And to be clear - plus GKs aren't marked by shot stopping - that is a given for a collegiate player. We will see it in decision making- commanding the 6 , holding versus punching or parrying - and bravery. Will be interesting to watch.
I'd agree. I'd also add distribution to your list. A GK who distributes well takes a lot of pressure off his defense and can generate attacks. TBH I haven't seen too many GK's who distribute well this year.
One key point on distribution: a GK who can punt or kick a GK far isn't something that tells you whether they are good at distribution. They're just good at placing your team's giveaway of the ball farther away from your own goal. It may fit a coach's high press strategy, but it's not really a distribution plan like a throw, roll, or kick to a player so he can take it on the run. And this is where a GK who catches and holds a ball can really be a playmaker. Too many, though, wait (or are told by their coaches to wait) to reduce the risk of an error in their own half.
Quote from: Kuiper on November 10, 2022, 09:27:26 PM
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on November 10, 2022, 09:11:02 PM
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on November 10, 2022, 08:44:30 PM
Quote from: Coach Jeff on November 10, 2022, 07:39:20 AM
Quote from: Falconer on November 09, 2022, 10:58:42 PM
Quote from: Flying Weasel on November 09, 2022, 01:49:27 PM
Yeah, as others have replied, when team swap GK's for shootouts, it's not always for "the bigger guy". Two NCAA Tournament shootouts that I am familiar with (brother took part in one, my alma mater was in the other):
(2) 2008 NCAA Championship Final, Messiah and Stevens played to a 1-1 tie. The Falcons switched out their junior 2-year starter who was a bigger/stronger GK for senior back-up Nick Blossey whose only starts (5) in his 4-year career came as a junior due to an injury to the starter he now was replacing for PK's with a national title on the line. He went on the save 3 shots in a 3-0 shootout vitory to hand Messiah it's 6th title. It was the final masterstroke of Coach Dave Brandt at Messiah as he left for Navy that offseason. The opposite GK for Stevens: sophomore Zach Carr who would go on to be a two-time 1st Team All-American as a junior and senior, finishing with career marks of 55 solo shutouts and a .385 GAA which currently rank 1st and 6th all-time in men's Division III.
Yes, this story (raised first by Coach Jeff) is true as FW tells it. Blossey was named MVP of the Final Four for his terrific contribution. The back story has two further pieces. (1) In round two of the 2003 tournament, the defending champion Falcons were held to a scoreless tie at Salisbury. Their striker, Matt Bills (14 G in 18 G), had returned to the lineup after a serious muscle pull and he was far from 100%. The Falcons lost in an extended session of PKs. Brandt swore he'd never let that happen again. (2) With that loss specifically in mind, during the 2008 season Brandt had his GK coach (the great Dustin Shambach, already mentioned in this thread) work with Blossey on snuffing out PKs. They practiced this skill often, and Blossey got his moment in the sun. In other words, it wasn't a fluke that Blossey stopped 3 shots: he had been prepared exactly for that one job. (I know Nick Blossey and Dave Brandt, who were the sources of this information.)
Thanks Falconer...I did not know the entire story thanks for sharing
These stories reinforce what I believe wholeheartedly- you must have plus GK play to take home the Natty. Even teams that have dominated all season may be humbled quickly with an untested keeper. The GKs value does and will come down to a moment - especially in single elimination play. Getting the job done during the course of conference play won't compare to the national tourney where their is more Parity between teams. And to be clear - plus GKs aren't marked by shot stopping - that is a given for a collegiate player. We will see it in decision making- commanding the 6 , holding versus punching or parrying - and bravery. Will be interesting to watch.
I'd agree. I'd also add distribution to your list. A GK who distributes well takes a lot of pressure off his defense and can generate attacks. TBH I haven't seen too many GK's who distribute well this year.
One key point on distribution: a GK who can punt or kick a GK far isn't something that tells you whether they are good at distribution. They're just good at placing your team's giveaway of the ball farther away from your own goal. It may fit a coach's high press strategy, but it's not really a distribution plan like a throw, roll, or kick to a player so he can take it on the run. And this is where a GK who catches and holds a ball can really be a playmaker. Too many, though, wait (or are told by their coaches to wait) to reduce the risk of an error in their own half.
100%. I would argue that a long GK or punt should rarely if ever happen
Messiah and Stevens are the clear favorites to advance the furthest in the tournament as both earned top seeds in their respective regions.
Others that have a chance are Hopkins & F&M. PSU-Harrisburg might be able to turn some heads with their draw as well. They will be a tough out and can surprise some squads that overlook them. NYU with a brutal draw. They can also make a run but they are in a tough spot.
Don't see much of a chance for any kind of run from Catholic, Rowan, Rosemont, Scranton or Muhles. Sweet 16 at most for someone from this group but I would be shocked if any of them made it that far.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 12, 2022, 08:24:40 AM
Messiah and Stevens are the clear favorites to advance the furthest in the tournament as both earned top seeds in their respective regions.
Others that have a chance are Hopkins & F&M. PSU-Harrisburg might be able to turn some heads with their draw as well. They will be a tough out and can surprise some squads that overlook them. NYU with a brutal draw. They can also make a run but they are in a tough spot.
Don't see much of a chance for any kind of run from Catholic, Rowan, Rosemont, Scranton or Muhles. Sweet 16 at most for someone from this group but I would be shocked if any of them made it that far.
I expect that the Muhles season should end today - but considering W&L has had some big moments of weakness (Guilford loss), I guess anything could happen....The Mules are definitely showing that they can handle business in PK shootouts.....so I don't think anyone wants to play them to a tie.
Quote from: MessageBoardMessi on November 13, 2022, 09:22:38 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 12, 2022, 08:24:40 AM
Messiah and Stevens are the clear favorites to advance the furthest in the tournament as both earned top seeds in their respective regions.
Others that have a chance are Hopkins & F&M. PSU-Harrisburg might be able to turn some heads with their draw as well. They will be a tough out and can surprise some squads that overlook them. NYU with a brutal draw. They can also make a run but they are in a tough spot.
Don't see much of a chance for any kind of run from Catholic, Rowan, Rosemont, Scranton or Muhles. Sweet 16 at most for someone from this group but I would be shocked if any of them made it that far.
I expect that the Muhles season should end today - but considering W&L has had some big moments of weakness (Guilford loss), I guess anything could happen....The Mules are definitely showing that they can handle business in PK shootouts.....so I don't think anyone wants to play them to a tie.
FYI Muhls also know something about playing on bad turf. W&Ls field has definitely gone downhill. Muhls also need to get back on track scoring goals to have any chance of winning
Speaking of Muhles - interesting article today about Matt Turner, USA GK....
One memory that still resonates with Turner came in the state tournament his senior year. It was a chance to prove himself in front of the head coach at Muhlenberg, who came to watch the match at Paramus Catholic. They had met before on a campus visit, and Turner liked the idea of going to his cousin's school. Instead, his plan and his high school career both ended that day with a 2-0 loss to the Paladins.
"I never could get back in contact with him," Turner said. "He just ghosted me. He never said hey, thanks but no thanks. Nothing. I remember seeing him in the stands, and that was the last I ever heard from him."
https://www.northjersey.com/story/sports/high-school/soccer/2022/11/16/matt-turner-park-ridge-nj-usa-goalkeeper-world-cup-2023/69540220007/
Quote from: Ejay on November 16, 2022, 06:43:19 PM
Speaking of Muhles - interesting article today about Matt Turner, USA GK....
One memory that still resonates with Turner came in the state tournament his senior year. It was a chance to prove himself in front of the head coach at Muhlenberg, who came to watch the match at Paramus Catholic. They had met before on a campus visit, and Turner liked the idea of going to his cousin's school. Instead, his plan and his high school career both ended that day with a 2-0 loss to the Paladins.
"I never could get back in contact with him," Turner said. "He just ghosted me. He never said hey, thanks but no thanks. Nothing. I remember seeing him in the stands, and that was the last I ever heard from him."
https://www.northjersey.com/story/sports/high-school/soccer/2022/11/16/matt-turner-park-ridge-nj-usa-goalkeeper-world-cup-2023/69540220007/
I think the hip lingo I would use to describe this is ... OMG.
SC.
Lol I knew there had to be another reason I despise Muhlenberg!
Quote from: Ejay on November 16, 2022, 06:43:19 PM
Speaking of Muhles - interesting article today about Matt Turner, USA GK....
One memory that still resonates with Turner came in the state tournament his senior year. It was a chance to prove himself in front of the head coach at Muhlenberg, who came to watch the match at Paramus Catholic. They had met before on a campus visit, and Turner liked the idea of going to his cousin's school. Instead, his plan and his high school career both ended that day with a 2-0 loss to the Paladins.
"I never could get back in contact with him," Turner said. "He just ghosted me. He never said hey, thanks but no thanks. Nothing. I remember seeing him in the stands, and that he was the last I ever heard from him."
https://www.northjersey.com/story/sports/high-school/soccer/2022/11/16/matt-turner-park-ridge-nj-usa-goalkeeper-world-cup-2023/69540220007/
So does that mean that this dude, who came to Muhlenberg as a freshman the same year that Turner started his freshman year at Fairfield College in 2012, can tell everyone that was recruited over USMNT starting GK Matt Turner?
https://muhlenbergsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster/ellison-heil/1760
Mostly we do the right thing because it's the right thing to do - like not leaving an 18 year old kid hanging. Just send the three sentence email.
Other times you do the right thing because the national team's starting keeper will eventually expose your thoughtlessness.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on November 16, 2022, 07:00:17 PM
Quote from: Ejay on November 16, 2022, 06:43:19 PM
Speaking of Muhles - interesting article today about Matt Turner, USA GK....
One memory that still resonates with Turner came in the state tournament his senior year. It was a chance to prove himself in front of the head coach at Muhlenberg, who came to watch the match at Paramus Catholic. They had met before on a campus visit, and Turner liked the idea of going to his cousin's school. Instead, his plan and his high school career both ended that day with a 2-0 loss to the Paladins.
"I never could get back in contact with him," Turner said. "He just ghosted me. He never said hey, thanks but no thanks. Nothing. I remember seeing him in the stands, and that was the last I ever heard from him."
https://www.northjersey.com/story/sports/high-school/soccer/2022/11/16/matt-turner-park-ridge-nj-usa-goalkeeper-world-cup-2023/69540220007/
I think the hip lingo I would use to describe this is ... OMG.
SC.
I think this has to be archived in the Why We Like/Dislike a Program thread.
SC.
I doubt this will console Matt Turner, but Topping didn't return an email from my kid either ;) ;D
Quote from: Kuiper on November 16, 2022, 07:17:08 PM
Quote from: Ejay on November 16, 2022, 06:43:19 PM
Speaking of Muhles - interesting article today about Matt Turner, USA GK....
One memory that still resonates with Turner came in the state tournament his senior year. It was a chance to prove himself in front of the head coach at Muhlenberg, who came to watch the match at Paramus Catholic. They had met before on a campus visit, and Turner liked the idea of going to his cousin's school. Instead, his plan and his high school career both ended that day with a 2-0 loss to the Paladins.
"I never could get back in contact with him," Turner said. "He just ghosted me. He never said hey, thanks but no thanks. Nothing. I remember seeing him in the stands, and that he was the last I ever heard from him."
https://www.northjersey.com/story/sports/high-school/soccer/2022/11/16/matt-turner-park-ridge-nj-usa-goalkeeper-world-cup-2023/69540220007/
So does that mean that this dude, who came to Muhlenberg as a freshman the same year that Turner started his freshman year at Fairfield College in 2012, can tell everyone that was recruited over USMNT starting GK Matt Turner?
https://muhlenbergsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster/ellison-heil/1760
So Matt Turner got really, really, really, really lucky!!! If he went to Muhlenberg or any D3 program instead of a D1 program like Fairfield, he most likely never had reached his potential.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 16, 2022, 09:45:05 PM
Quote from: Kuiper on November 16, 2022, 07:17:08 PM
Quote from: Ejay on November 16, 2022, 06:43:19 PM
Speaking of Muhles - interesting article today about Matt Turner, USA GK....
One memory that still resonates with Turner came in the state tournament his senior year. It was a chance to prove himself in front of the head coach at Muhlenberg, who came to watch the match at Paramus Catholic. They had met before on a campus visit, and Turner liked the idea of going to his cousin's school. Instead, his plan and his high school career both ended that day with a 2-0 loss to the Paladins.
"I never could get back in contact with him," Turner said. "He just ghosted me. He never said hey, thanks but no thanks. Nothing. I remember seeing him in the stands, and that he was the last I ever heard from him."
https://www.northjersey.com/story/sports/high-school/soccer/2022/11/16/matt-turner-park-ridge-nj-usa-goalkeeper-world-cup-2023/69540220007/
So does that mean that this dude, who came to Muhlenberg as a freshman the same year that Turner started his freshman year at Fairfield College in 2012, can tell everyone that was recruited over USMNT starting GK Matt Turner?
https://muhlenbergsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster/ellison-heil/1760
So Matt Turner got really, really, really, really lucky!!! If he went to Muhlenberg or any D3 program instead of a D1 program like Fairfield, he most likely never had reached his potential.
And if he hadn't gone D1, they probably weren't showing his game on TV, and we wouldn't have the pleasure of one of the all-time worst goalie blunders on video. :D
What a damn great story, can't help but wish the best for the guy. Had the same type of experience with a Centennial school, they wanted my son told the coach he was not ready to commit, we were waiting for a response from Columbia University based on legacy app. After a while the coach stop taking our calls, Babson on the other hand was understanding of his choice and the coach kept in touch up to a year later.
A few Centennial Conference recruiting notes from the HS Class of 2023 (based on social media and soccer website postings).
Johns Hopkins has commitments from two MLS Next defenders who are three star rated on Top Drawer: Jonathan Locala (San Francisco Glens) and CJ Feldman (IMG Academy). Jacob Sardinha, a midfielder from New England Surf, has also committed
Haverford has commitments from ECNL forward, Thomas Vanni (Penn Fusion) who was previously in MLS Next with Charlotte Soccer Academy, and ECNL forward Aidan Lacy from KC Athletics
Dickinson has a commitment from Vincenzo Randazzo, a midfielder from Delaware Valley Regional HS and Lehigh Valley United
Washington College has a commitment from Bennett Spencer, a midfielder from Nashville United Soccer Academy
McDaniel has commitments from forward Ben Schenk (Bridgton Academy, ME), GK Gianluca Conte from Bethesda SC, Zakarya Arefian from Richard Motgomery HS, GK Tate Roth from Lancaster Elite, and Niles Dunham from St. Johns College HS
Quote from: Kuiper on April 12, 2023, 02:11:50 PM
A few Centennial Conference recruiting notes from the HS Class of 2023 (based on social media and soccer website postings).
Johns Hopkins has commitments from two MLS Next defenders who are three star rated on Top Drawer: Jonathan Locala (San Francisco Glens) and CJ Feldman (IMG Academy). Jacob Sardinha, a midfielder from New England Surf, has also committed
Haverford has commitments from ECNL forward, Thomas Vanni (Penn Fusion) who was previously in MLS Next with Charlotte Soccer Academy, and ECNL forward Aidan Lacy from KC Athletics
Dickinson has a commitment from Vincenzo Randazzo, a midfielder from Delaware Valley Regional HS and Lehigh Valley United
Washington College has a commitment from Bennett Spencer, a midfielder from Nashville United Soccer Academy
McDaniel has commitments from forward Ben Schenk (Bridgton Academy, ME), GK Gianluca Conte from Bethesda SC, Zakarya Arefian from Richard Motgomery HS, GK Tate Roth from Lancaster Elite, and Niles Dunham from St. Johns College HS
Would love to know how these HS player rankings are developed/determined........would seem pretty subjective....way too many players outside the true MLS academies for me......
Quote from: Newenglander on April 12, 2023, 02:56:29 PM
Quote from: Kuiper on April 12, 2023, 02:11:50 PM
A few Centennial Conference recruiting notes from the HS Class of 2023 (based on social media and soccer website postings).
Johns Hopkins has commitments from two MLS Next defenders who are three star rated on Top Drawer: Jonathan Locala (San Francisco Glens) and CJ Feldman (IMG Academy). Jacob Sardinha, a midfielder from New England Surf, has also committed
Haverford has commitments from ECNL forward, Thomas Vanni (Penn Fusion) who was previously in MLS Next with Charlotte Soccer Academy, and ECNL forward Aidan Lacy from KC Athletics
Dickinson has a commitment from Vincenzo Randazzo, a midfielder from Delaware Valley Regional HS and Lehigh Valley United
Washington College has a commitment from Bennett Spencer, a midfielder from Nashville United Soccer Academy
McDaniel has commitments from forward Ben Schenk (Bridgton Academy, ME), GK Gianluca Conte from Bethesda SC, Zakarya Arefian from Richard Motgomery HS, GK Tate Roth from Lancaster Elite, and Niles Dunham from St. Johns College HS
Would love to know how these HS player rankings are developed/determined........would seem pretty subjective....way too many players outside the true MLS academies for me......
Yeah - I noted they were three star rated by Top Drawer because that's where I saw the commitments and figured it was worth mentioning. Based on my personal experience with players who have received some stars, I know that Top Drawer gives stars automatically for any kind of a USYNT callup to a regional ID camp, and keeps it even if it happened years ago. They (and really all recruiting sites in all sports) also give stars if they know big name D1 programs have offered a kid or shown interest in them. I wouldn't take any of that too seriously.
I also listed a position where I could find one, but some schools listed a position for some players in their announcements and not for others. Maybe they have multiple positions or the coach doesn't know what he's going to do with them yet (or doesn't want to tell the high scoring forward he's moving him to defender in a social media post!)
I am the furthest thing from a recruiting expert, but having followed the process for a while I've noticed that there is usually one type of pedigree that almost always indicates success at the college level, and that's being a high school All American. Most, if not all of them usually go division I but the ones that go division III always have great careers.
What is considered a great career at the Division 3 level? - do they go on to be All-American at this level as well?
It would be interesting to look at the D3 and USC All-American teams from this past year and see who was a HS All-american, All-Region, All-State and vice versa-(How many HS all Americans received recognition at the D3 Level from either their conferences, or USC) - anybody have time to delve into this - lol
It's something interesting to explore, but the two HS AA SLU had were both first team AA. Sibanda was one who had 2 first team AA, and the other would have likely had 2 first team AA if not for a season ending injury his senior season. I've no doubt that the rest of the d3 HS AA were at least 1st or second all league.
Quote from: soccerpapa on April 13, 2023, 12:09:00 PM
What is considered a great career at the Division 3 level? - do they go on to be All-American at this level as well?
It would be interesting to look at the D3 and USC All-American teams from this past year and see who was a HS All-american, All-Region, All-State and vice versa-(How many HS all Americans received recognition at the D3 Level from either their conferences, or USC) - anybody have time to delve into this - lol
I think there are a lot of D3 players who have great careers and don't receive all-American recognition, especially when you look at the differences between the USC rankings and the D3soccer.com rankings or the SimpleCoach rankings (do I need a TM symbol there, SC? ;D). That's probably true even at the conference level too, where different conferences have different politics for this stuff.
On the flip side, the state awards have lost some of their luster. I know a lot of college coaches who discount HS awards, especially with the proliferation of state levels allowing a ton of players to be named "all state." All-American or State Player of the Year still probably mean something, but it's not clear below that. Plus, not all kids play HS soccer anymore because of DA/MLS Next rules or the de-funding of HS sports in some places. ODP also used to get coaches' attention, but that has declined in significance as well. As with anything else, the awards might get a coach to open a kids' email, but the advent of easy highlight videos has reduced their importance. In my day, a kid might get recruited on their soccer resume and a HS coaches' recommendation alone, but today even a coach with no scouting budget at all can watch all of a kids' club games (and maybe HS games) online themselves and kids travel so widely for showcases and tournaments that most coaches see players live as well as watch their videos.
I know of two HS All-Americans who were playing for Mid-Atlantic teams this year that didn't earn D3 All-Region accolades. In fact, one didn't even earn all-conference honors. I'm sure there are plenty others if you were to look.
Quote from: Kuiper on April 13, 2023, 01:07:13 PM
Quote from: soccerpapa on April 13, 2023, 12:09:00 PM
What is considered a great career at the Division 3 level? - do they go on to be All-American at this level as well?
It would be interesting to look at the D3 and USC All-American teams from this past year and see who was a HS All-american, All-Region, All-State and vice versa-(How many HS all Americans received recognition at the D3 Level from either their conferences, or USC) - anybody have time to delve into this - lol
I think there are a lot of D3 players who have great careers and don't receive all-American recognition, especially when you look at the differences between the USC rankings and the D3soccer.com rankings or the SimpleCoach rankings (do I need a TM symbol there, SC? ;D).
No TM. But would appreciate if you added BRBF.... Best Ranking By Far ... Actually, more like 9/10DPSCBRBF... 9 out of 10 Doctors Prefer the SimpleCoach Best Ranking By Far.... So, going forward please use "SimpleCoach Rankings 9/10DPSCBRBF". That'll do it.
Thank you for your consideration.
SC.
From Ursinus College to Interim HC of the US Men's National Team: BJ Callaghan
https://twitter.com/tombogert/status/1663576273782726658?s=20
Partial listing of Centennial Conference mens soccer 2023 schedules released:
Dickinson
https://dickinsonathletics.com/sports/msoc/schedule
Ursinus
https://ursinusathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/
Washington College
https://washcollsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
Muhlenberg
https://muhlenbergsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule
McDaniel
https://mcdanielathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
Gettysburg
https://gettysburgsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
Johns Hopkins
https://hopkinssports.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
Sad news out of the Atlantic East Conference. Cabrini is being sold to Villanova. This will be its last season of D3 sports.
https://twitter.com/d3hoops/status/1672213073418153985?s=20
QuoteCabrini University is expected to be sold to Villanova University and will cease operating as a separate entity after the 2023-24 academic year and sports season, D3sports.com and Hoopsville have learned.
This continues the trend of larger, Division I institutions, taking over Division III institutions in the same area and closing the smaller school. Cabrini and Villanova, two Catholic schools in the Philadelphia suburbs, sit less than 2 miles apart.
The information was confirmed by multiple sources. The sources could not speak on the record because they are not currently authorized to speak publicly about the subject. An official announcement is expected once Villanova's full Board of Trustees votes. The plan has already been approved by a board committee.
The sale comes as Cabrini has lost nearly half of its student population, especially in the graduate student population. The school had 1,235 full-time undergraduate students, 61 percent of them women, as of its most recent published filing with the U.S. Department, through the 2021-22 academic year.
UPDATE: It is now official. Here's the joint statement from Villanova and Cabrini
https://www1.villanova.edu/content/university/media/press-releases/2023/agreement.html
Of note, the agreement does not state that Cabrini students who will not graduate this next academic year will become Villanova students. Cabrini will assist students with transfer options, but this sounds like a straight land/facility acquisition, not a merger. All of those players will need to find homes for the year after next and I imagine some of them might be calling around now to see if there are spots open this summer for the coming fall.
I don't know what factors are used for the latest Massey Ratings since all teams are 0-0, and a very large grain of salt is required here; nonetheless, the current preseason national rankings per Massey Ratings for teams in the Centennial Conference are interesting:
#15 Johns Hopkins
#29 Gettysburg
#31 Franklin & Marshall
#33 Washington College
#42 Muhlenberg
#73 Swarthmore
#87 Dickinson
#89 Haverford
#142 McDaniel
#187 Ursinus
I think early season Massey is slightly wonky, of course.
But even knowing not to put a ton of stock in it... The Bullets higher than the Dips?
I dunno how that got worked up. I wasn't all that impressed with their approach to the game last season. (Relying on long-ball/quick counters and long throw-ins). Kind of taking F&M's version of chaos ball but not really all that effective.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on July 05, 2023, 12:19:13 PM
I think early season Massey is slightly wonky, of course.
But even knowing not to put a ton of stock in it... The Bullets higher than the Dips?
I dunno how that got worked up. I wasn't all that impressed with their approach to the game last season. (Relying on long-ball/quick counters and long throw-ins). Kind of taking F&M's version of chaos ball but not really all that effective.
It is what it is as to Massey. All will be shuffled and guessing that Massey is basing it on strength of schedule and success of the teams from last year. May be all a fallacy as some of the COVID kids have moved on, but some are still there.
As to F&M and chaos ball, they pretty much only played that way for an entire game against JHU last year. I would say that the long throw ins was not used regularly (though they do have a freshman, now sophomore, who can throw far). Definitely liked quick counters and who doesn't.
Quote from: TNAggie on June 18, 2023, 07:31:59 AM
Partial listing of Centennial Conference mens soccer 2023 schedules released:
Dickinson
https://dickinsonathletics.com/sports/msoc/schedule
Ursinus
https://ursinusathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/
Washington College
https://washcollsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
Muhlenberg
https://muhlenbergsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule
McDaniel
https://mcdanielathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
Gettysburg
https://gettysburgsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
Johns Hopkins
https://hopkinssports.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
Since this is posted over here, I figured it should be completed, so here are the remaining schools.
Swarthmore
https://swarthmoreathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule
Haverford
https://www.haverfordathletics.com/sports/msoc/2023-24/schedule
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on July 05, 2023, 02:21:41 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on July 05, 2023, 12:19:13 PM
I think early season Massey is slightly wonky, of course.
But even knowing not to put a ton of stock in it... The Bullets higher than the Dips?
I dunno how that got worked up. I wasn't all that impressed with their approach to the game last season. (Relying on long-ball/quick counters and long throw-ins). Kind of taking F&M's version of chaos ball but not really all that effective.
It is what it is as to Massey. All will be shuffled and guessing that Massey is basing it on strength of schedule and success of the teams from last year. May be all a fallacy as some of the COVID kids have moved on, but some are still there.
One thing that I learned about Massey in 2022-23, much to my chagrin, is that the results of a program's previous season are baked in far more deeply than I had once thought. The best proof of this is in how Massey rates programs that have a wild swing in performance in either direction from one year to the next. North Park's men's basketball program had been dismal in 2021-22, and even worse than dismal for the four seasons previous. Thanks to a new coach, a lot of new players, and a new style of play, the Vikings turned their fortunes around immensely in 2022-23, going from 10-14 overall and a 5-11 seventh-place finish in the CCIW to 24-6, a CCIW tournament championship, a Sweet Sixteen appearance, and a 13-3 second-place finish in the CCIW. Yet Massey lagged so far behind in terms of recognizing NPU's turnaround that for the bulk of January and February -- in other words, more than halfway through the season -- it was predicting that the Vikings would win only one or two more games and would finish with a losing record, which gradually became a predicted-mediocre record, which gradually became an OK-they're-good-so-far-but-they're-definitely-going-to-start-losing-now record. Massey was predicting that teams that the Vikings had beaten by 20 points or more in the first go-round of the CCIW double round-robin would beat NPU in the return game.
It was astonishing to see, and a little bit disheartening as well, because I'd always put great stock in Massey as a reliable ratings source. My project this year is to examine the opposite side of the coin -- in other words, find some team that has had a good recent history of success that is obviously down at the heels this school year, and see if Massey holds that team up above where it should be.
The d3boards.com basketball-boards posters feature a number of people who are skilled at data analysis and dissecting algorithms. (That's not a jab at the soccer-boards posters; there's simply a lot more basketball-boards regulars in general.) I had a lot of back-and-forth with them about this over the course of last winter; obviously my conversion from Massey enthusiast to Massey critic was motivated by partisan reasons, but the consensus of the data experts on the basketball boards in the wake of our extended conversation is that Massey is indeed subjective in how it handles the data and the parameters it uses in its algorithm (i.e., how long and how strongly the previous season's data remains manifest in the current season's results).
Unless someone can show proof otherwise, the logical conclusion to draw about the Massey Ratings (given Ken Massey's herculean attempt to cover the entire waterfront of American collegiate sports) is that he uses the same algorithm for each sport. Given that, I would suggest that D3 men's soccer Massey Ratings be taken with more than a pinch of salt.
I noticed the same thing last year. SLU basketball was a Massey underdog in 7 of their last 9 games of the season, and they won 8 in a row through the conference tournament. They were underdogs in all 3 games against RPI including having a 17% chance of winning the road matchup but won all 3 games. One or two misses is a normal statistical blip, but to happen repeatedly is another thing. With soccer I noticed thatthe score line can significantly change your rating. Massey is limited obviously, but not all score lines are the same as in soccer it's common for teams to rest players in gimme games. It's nice to have something like Massey but the limitations have become pretty clear the past few seasons.
Quote from: Gregory Sager on July 25, 2023, 11:04:04 AM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on July 05, 2023, 02:21:41 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on July 05, 2023, 12:19:13 PM
I think early season Massey is slightly wonky, of course.
But even knowing not to put a ton of stock in it... The Bullets higher than the Dips?
I dunno how that got worked up. I wasn't all that impressed with their approach to the game last season. (Relying on long-ball/quick counters and long throw-ins). Kind of taking F&M's version of chaos ball but not really all that effective.
It is what it is as to Massey. All will be shuffled and guessing that Massey is basing it on strength of schedule and success of the teams from last year. May be all a fallacy as some of the COVID kids have moved on, but some are still there.
One thing that I learned about Massey in 2022-23, much to my chagrin, is that the results of a program's previous season are baked in far more deeply than I had once thought. The best proof of this is in how Massey rates programs that have a wild swing in performance in either direction from one year to the next. North Park's men's basketball program had been dismal in 2021-22, and even worse than dismal for the four seasons previous. Thanks to a new coach, a lot of new players, and a new style of play, the Vikings turned their fortunes around immensely in 2022-23, going from 10-14 overall and a 5-11 seventh-place finish in the CCIW to 24-6, a CCIW tournament championship, a Sweet Sixteen appearance, and a 13-3 second-place finish in the CCIW. Yet Massey lagged so far behind in terms of recognizing NPU's turnaround that for the bulk of January and February -- in other words, more than halfway through the season -- it was predicting that the Vikings would win only one or two more games and would finish with a losing record, which gradually became a predicted-mediocre record, which gradually became an OK-they're-good-so-far-but-they're-definitely-going-to-start-losing-now record. Massey was predicting that teams that the Vikings had beaten by 20 points or more in the first go-round of the CCIW double round-robin would beat NPU in the return game.
It was astonishing to see, and a little bit disheartening as well, because I'd always put great stock in Massey as a reliable ratings source. My project this year is to examine the opposite side of the coin -- in other words, find some team that has had a good recent history of success that is obviously down at the heels this school year, and see if Massey holds that team up above where it should be.
This is a great point. It's obvious in a pre-season rankings that they are going to use data from the prior year because otherwise they having nothing to go on, but it's useful to think about it more concretely. There is one example from the Mid-Atlantic of your project for this year that I bolded from the above excerpt of your post - a team where prior strong seasons might be holding up a team above where it might be properly ranked, although it actually goes back more than one season, and probably multiple seasons, suggesting that the lag effect might be longer than you think
The example is Swarthmore in the Centennial. In 2021, it was 11-5-2 overall and 6-2-1 in conference and lost in the NCAA tournament first round to Stevens 1-0. In 2019, the last prior season (given 2020's cancellation), Swat was 11-4-5 overall and 4-3-2 on conference and lost in the third round of the NCAA tournament to Conn College 1-0 in OT after beating Roanoke in the first round and Christopher Newport in the second round (both on PKs).
In 2022, by contrast, Swat was 6-7-4 overall and 1-6-2 in conference, finishing second to last in the Centennial. Nevertheless, Massey has it ranked #73 in the country in the 2023 pre-season ranking, which is ahead of Dickinson, McDaniel, Haverford, and Ursinus. All but Ursinus not only finished ahead of Swarthmore in conference in 2022 but beat Swat in head-to-head competition in 2022, and all but Haverford and Ursinus finished ahead of Swat in overall winning percentage. So, the only way Swarthmore should be ranked ahead of all of those teams is if past success from 2021, and possibly from as long ago as 2019, is still driving the rankings.
Consider the Massey rankings, which are more relevant than the records and NCAA performance for predicting Massey rankings in future years
Team 2019 2021 2022 2023
Swarthmore 34 53 109 73
Dickinson 36 206 74 87
McDaniel 110 227 111 142
Haverford 40 123 142 89
Ursinus 160 128 223 194
It looks to me like Swarthmore is being propped up by 2019 and 2021 and Dickinson is being dragged down by 2021, even though Dickinson would be placed above Swarthmore if 2022 was the only year influencing things. Similarly, McDaniel would be above Haverford if 2022 was the only year under consideration, but 2021 is dragging it down. By contrast, the only way Haverford can be #89, so far ahead of McDaniel, is if 2019 is included and still propping it up. None of these are based strictly on a straight average of either two or three years, but you can't arrive at a number close to this year's pre-season ratings without considering the prior three years, not just two and definitely not one.
I haven't closely followed the Centennial before, but Swarthmore may have just had a temporary drop last year, it may have had some bad luck with injuries, fluky goals, or referee errors, or it may have a great incoming class while the teams it jumped in the rankings without playing a game may have graduated their star players, but Massey is just an algorithm, so it isn't taking that stuff into account. I'm not a statistician or a data guy per se (no surprise the basketball board would attract those types), but the only conclusion I can reach is that the algorithm is set to take
three prior seasons into account in setting rankings. That seems a bit odd and, as you say, subjective. Nevertheless, it's not irrational given the four-year cycle of players and the idea of thinking about rankings of programs on traditional strength and not just one year anomalies.
unfortunately this is not exclusive to D3 sports. IMO no rankings should be released until after non-conference games.
Teams that start high (based on previous years record) don't fall far with a loss. Teams that start low can have a great year and take forever to move up. Then one loss will drop them significantly.
In college sports rosters change significantly year to year - teams should be judged on the year in question - no on what previous years teams have done. Rank after non-conference would be better.
Quote from: Kuiper on July 25, 2023, 12:40:58 PMThis is a great point. It's obvious in a pre-season rankings that they are going to use data from the prior year because otherwise they having nothing to go on, but it's useful to think about it more concretely. There is one example from the Mid-Atlantic of your project for this year that I bolded from the above excerpt of your post - a team where prior strong seasons might be holding up a team above where it might be properly ranked, although it actually goes back more than one season, and probably multiple seasons, suggesting that the lag effect might be longer than you think
Oh, I definitely think that the Massey algorithm is set to include more than one past season. As I said in my previous post, North Park's men's basketball team had been even worse than dismal in the four seasons preceding 2021-22 than the 10-14, 5-11 record the Vikings posted that year. For each of those four preceding seasons (including the Covid-truncated 2020-21 season) you could count the number of overall games won by the Vikings on one hand.
Whether the lag effect is indeed three years, as Swarthmore's and McDaniel's results seem to indicate, or two, or four, or more than four, it seems pretty apparent that such a lag effect exists. But, as I said, I think that the detrimental nature of the lag effect upon Massey's accuracy is most easily exposed when you see a huge swing from really bad to really good, or from really good to really bad, in a program over the course of back-to-back seasons. There's less of a boiling-frog effect for the casual observer when you see a doormat turn into a powerhouse, or vice-versa, seemingly overnight.
I don't think that this invalidates Massey altogether. But I'd be really, really careful about putting too much stock in what Massey has to say about anything.
Quote from: Gregory Sager on July 25, 2023, 03:13:20 PM
Quote from: Kuiper on July 25, 2023, 12:40:58 PMThis is a great point. It's obvious in a pre-season rankings that they are going to use data from the prior year because otherwise they having nothing to go on, but it's useful to think about it more concretely. There is one example from the Mid-Atlantic of your project for this year that I bolded from the above excerpt of your post - a team where prior strong seasons might be holding up a team above where it might be properly ranked, although it actually goes back more than one season, and probably multiple seasons, suggesting that the lag effect might be longer than you think
Oh, I definitely think that the Massey algorithm is set to include more than one past season. As I said in my previous post, North Park's men's basketball team had been even worse than dismal in the four seasons preceding 2021-22 than the 10-14, 5-11 record the Vikings posted that year. For each of those four preceding seasons (including the Covid-truncated 2020-21 season) you could count the number of overall games won by the Vikings on one hand.
Whether the lag effect is indeed three years, as Swarthmore's and McDaniel's results seem to indicate, or two, or four, or more than four, it seems pretty apparent that such a lag effect exists. But, as I said, I think that the detrimental nature of the lag effect upon Massey's accuracy is most easily exposed when you see a huge swing from really bad to really good, or from really good to really bad, in a program over the course of back-to-back seasons. There's less of a boiling-frog effect for the casual observer when you see a doormat turn into a powerhouse, or vice-versa, seemingly overnight.
I don't think that this invalidates Massey altogether. But I'd be really, really careful about putting too much stock in what Massey has to say about anything.
And this is where I tend to disagree. Because most of the teams that have been good, actually are good. Year after year. Especially in D3 where dynasties tend to reign. Most teams that are bad, tend to stay bad. Certainly there is movement, and teams get better or worse, especially in the middle of the division, but by and large, more than 50% of the top 25 teams in the country in any given sport are there year after year after year, and 75% of them are probably in consideration.
Now the example with North Park is a good one. And I tend to think when teams have a coaching change, counting their previous results as a weighted factor should go down. Especially in D3 where player volatility is enormous.
But I also think it's important to remember that, using soccer as an example, the top 5-10 teams are pretty interchangeable as a tier. Any one can usually beat one of the others on any given day. 6-15 about the same. 11-30 are very similar. 25-60. 50-100+. 80-200+. 200 to the bottom. These brackets are important, but the order of the teams within those brackets is fairly irrelevant (and yes, the brackets get wider as you go up for a reason).
So when looking at Massey I don't care who he puts 11 and who he puts 15. But I really don't care who he puts 70 and who he puts 90. Or 105 vs 160. That is really irrelevant because there simply is no way to tell.
D3 sports form the same bell curve as just about any other population. You have the fat tails of really, really good and really, really bad. Then you have your standard deviations of good, bad, and the vast majority in the indistinguishable middle.
Where I'm usually pretty careful is the spoilers. It's why I was so irritated that Western Conn didn't make the tournament. Those teams that go on runs, that clean up a season, maybe they don't get the benefit of the doubt to be top 10 because they don't play the best schedule or some of their better wins look a bit fluky, but those are the teams to pay attention to.
However, Williams proves the other side of that coin. Personally, I would not have had them in the tournament last year. They were the mediocre falling star. But historically, they got the benefit of the doubt and look what they did when it mattered.
Good teams tend to be good, year in and out. Bad teams tend to be bad. If you were one, you have to prove you are the other before people, and data, are going to show it. And that's not just a couple wins.
Well, since we're swimming in Lake Mid-Atlantic, I'll just flag my dark horse favorite from last season: Widener. They had somewhat of a breakout season in 2022 (11-6-2), yet they are ranked 84. Like NPU basketball, their prior seasons were pretty bleak going back many years. I'll be interested to see what happens if they put up another solid run this fall. I don't know their entire roster, but I do see that Sean Fatiga, their star striker, is back, so... Baseline of having the dude that accounted for probably 75 percent of the offense is pretty high.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on August 07, 2023, 12:29:11 PM
Well, since we're swimming in Lake Mid-Atlantic, I'll just flag my dark horse favorite from last season: Widener. They had somewhat of a breakout season in 2022 (11-6-2), yet they are ranked 84. Like NPU basketball, their prior seasons were pretty bleak going back many years. I'll be interested to see what happens if they put up another solid run this fall. I don't know their entire roster, but I do see that Sean Fatiga, their star striker, is back, so... Baseline of having the dude that accounted for probably 75 percent of the offense is pretty high.
I would also like to put Rosemont in that category. If they play like last year, they could be really good. FYI, Rosemont was women's college for many years and is right outside of Philly. They won their league and made the NCAAs and lost to CNU 1-0 in the first round. When F&M played them, F&M won (4-1) which was F&M's most lopsided close win ever. It could have easily gone either way until the end. Rosemont was really fast and scrappy. They play Widener, F&M, Swarthmore, Haverford, Ursinus and Dickenson this year. On top of this, they are the Boise State of the mid-atlantic as they play on grey turf. It was very, very disorienting. https://rosemont-ravens.com/sports/2014/1/9/GEN_0109143449.aspx
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on August 08, 2023, 04:33:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on August 07, 2023, 12:29:11 PM
Well, since we're swimming in Lake Mid-Atlantic, I'll just flag my dark horse favorite from last season: Widener. They had somewhat of a breakout season in 2022 (11-6-2), yet they are ranked 84. Like NPU basketball, their prior seasons were pretty bleak going back many years. I'll be interested to see what happens if they put up another solid run this fall. I don't know their entire roster, but I do see that Sean Fatiga, their star striker, is back, so... Baseline of having the dude that accounted for probably 75 percent of the offense is pretty high.
I would also like to put Rosemont in that category. If they play like last year, they could be really good. FYI, Rosemont was women's college for many years and is right outside of Philly. They won their league and made the NCAAs and lost to CNU 1-0 in the first round. When F&M played them, F&M won (4-1) which was F&M's most lopsided close win ever. It could have easily gone either way until the end. Rosemont was really fast and scrappy. They play Widener, F&M, Swarthmore, Haverford, Ursinus and Dickenson this year. On top of this, they are the Boise State of the mid-atlantic as they play on grey turf. It was very, very disorienting. https://rosemont-ravens.com/sports/2014/1/9/GEN_0109143449.aspx
Speaking of Rosemont, the schedule on its website lists the CSAC playoffs, through the CSAC Finals, and then a "Cross-Over Finals" to come after that. Is that a transition to the combined United East or is something else going on?
Quote from: Kuiper on August 08, 2023, 05:16:15 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on August 08, 2023, 04:33:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on August 07, 2023, 12:29:11 PM
Well, since we're swimming in Lake Mid-Atlantic, I'll just flag my dark horse favorite from last season: Widener. They had somewhat of a breakout season in 2022 (11-6-2), yet they are ranked 84. Like NPU basketball, their prior seasons were pretty bleak going back many years. I'll be interested to see what happens if they put up another solid run this fall. I don't know their entire roster, but I do see that Sean Fatiga, their star striker, is back, so... Baseline of having the dude that accounted for probably 75 percent of the offense is pretty high.
I would also like to put Rosemont in that category. If they play like last year, they could be really good. FYI, Rosemont was women's college for many years and is right outside of Philly. They won their league and made the NCAAs and lost to CNU 1-0 in the first round. When F&M played them, F&M won (4-1) which was F&M's most lopsided close win ever. It could have easily gone either way until the end. Rosemont was really fast and scrappy. They play Widener, F&M, Swarthmore, Haverford, Ursinus and Dickenson this year. On top of this, they are the Boise State of the mid-atlantic as they play on grey turf. It was very, very disorienting. https://rosemont-ravens.com/sports/2014/1/9/GEN_0109143449.aspx
Speaking of Rosemont, the schedule on its website lists the CSAC playoffs, through the CSAC Finals, and then a "Cross-Over Finals" to come after that. Is that a transition to the combined United East or is something else going on?
Yea, the two conferences are officially one entity for the 2023-24 season, using the name United East Conference and only having a single AQ berth to the NCAA Tournament in each sport for the 17 schools. However, with schedules (conference and non-conference) largely already in place before the merger was finalized, the season will largely proceed as if the CSAC and UEC were still separate conferences, with each former conference being considered a division. Each division will have playoffs to crown a division champion, with the two division champions meeting in the final to win the NCAA automatic berth.
It had not yet been determined what the conference configuration and championship format will be in future after this transitional year.
This merger seems to be the opposite of what happened with the ever-growing USA South Athletic Conference that finally broke into two conferences a year ago.
The UEC was losing two schools after last academic year, dropping them to 7 institutions which was still enough for an AQ if all seven schools sponsored the sport. But with the growing instability across Division III with schools closing their doors and conferences having to react to closures and departures in order to maintain numbers for automatic berths, this merger provides these 17 schools with some conference stability/security in at least the near future. The cost is a reduced access ratio to the NCAA Tournament: 1 AQ berth for 16 men's and 17 women's soccer programs.
By the way, the formerly all-women Notre Dame of Maryland, begins it's first academic year with male students and is debuting men's soccer, men's basketball and men's cross-country this school year. This addition increased the number of men's soccer programs in the CSAC to nine before the merger.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on August 09, 2023, 01:01:25 PM
Quote from: Kuiper on August 08, 2023, 05:16:15 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on August 08, 2023, 04:33:35 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on August 07, 2023, 12:29:11 PM
Well, since we're swimming in Lake Mid-Atlantic, I'll just flag my dark horse favorite from last season: Widener. They had somewhat of a breakout season in 2022 (11-6-2), yet they are ranked 84. Like NPU basketball, their prior seasons were pretty bleak going back many years. I'll be interested to see what happens if they put up another solid run this fall. I don't know their entire roster, but I do see that Sean Fatiga, their star striker, is back, so... Baseline of having the dude that accounted for probably 75 percent of the offense is pretty high.
I would also like to put Rosemont in that category. If they play like last year, they could be really good. FYI, Rosemont was women's college for many years and is right outside of Philly. They won their league and made the NCAAs and lost to CNU 1-0 in the first round. When F&M played them, F&M won (4-1) which was F&M's most lopsided close win ever. It could have easily gone either way until the end. Rosemont was really fast and scrappy. They play Widener, F&M, Swarthmore, Haverford, Ursinus and Dickenson this year. On top of this, they are the Boise State of the mid-atlantic as they play on grey turf. It was very, very disorienting. https://rosemont-ravens.com/sports/2014/1/9/GEN_0109143449.aspx
Speaking of Rosemont, the schedule on its website lists the CSAC playoffs, through the CSAC Finals, and then a "Cross-Over Finals" to come after that. Is that a transition to the combined United East or is something else going on?
Yea, the two conferences are officially one entity for the 2023-24 season, using the name United East Conference and only having a single AQ berth to the NCAA Tournament in each sport for the 17 schools. However, with schedules (conference and non-conference) largely already in place before the merger was finalized, the season will largely proceed as if the CSAC and UEC were still separate conferences, with each former conference being considered a division. Each division will have playoffs to crown a division champion, with the two division champions meeting in the final to win the NCAA automatic berth.
It had not yet been determined what the conference configuration and championship format will be in future after this transitional year.
This merger seems to be the opposite of what happened with the ever-growing USA South Athletic Conference that finally broke into two conferences a year ago.
The UEC was losing two schools after last academic year, dropping them to 7 institutions which was still enough for an AQ if all seven schools sponsored the sport. But with the growing instability across Division III with schools closing their doors and conferences having to react to closures and departures in order to maintain numbers for automatic berths, this merger provides these 17 schools with some conference stability/security in at least the near future. The cost is a reduced access ratio to the NCAA Tournament: 1 AQ berth for 16 men's and 17 women's soccer programs.
By the way, the formerly all-women Notre Dame of Maryland, begins it's first academic year with male students and is debuting men's soccer, men's basketball and men's cross-country this school year. This addition increased the number of men's soccer programs in the CSAC to nine before the merger.
Thanks for the great information! Incidentally, it seems like a coup for Notre Dame of Maryland to be able to hire an experienced DI coach like Olzsewski as HC to start the program. It's also nice to see a new program to interrupt the steady trickle of schools closing, although I'm sure going co-ed was controversial and a reflection of broader demographic and enrollment trends that are concerning for a lot of small colleges.
Oh man. I'm going to refrain from repeating it, but there was a pretty salacious saying when Notre Dame was the College of Notre Dame of Maryland. (They are now Notre Dame of Maryland University.)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on August 09, 2023, 02:27:54 PM
Oh man. I'm going to refrain from repeating it, but there was a pretty salacious saying when Notre Dame was the College of Notre Dame of Maryland. (They are now Notre Dame of Maryland University.)
Please do refrain. My mother went there. And my father went to Hopkins. Back in the 60's but still...
MAF Regional Preseason Rankings
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Rowan
5. Misericordia
6. Rutgers-Newark
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Lycoming
6. Gettysburg
7. Drew
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 31, 2023, 11:45:32 AM
Regional Preseason Rankings
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Rowan
5. Misericordia
6. Rutgers-Newark
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Lycoming
6. Gettysburg
7. Drew
I don't see new Regional Rankings up on the NCAA website, preseason or otherwise. Am I missing something or are these your predictions?
Quote from: Kuiper on August 31, 2023, 12:38:06 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 31, 2023, 11:45:32 AM
Regional Preseason Rankings
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Rowan
5. Misericordia
6. Rutgers-Newark
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Lycoming
6. Gettysburg
7. Drew
I don't see new Regional Rankings up on the NCAA website, preseason or otherwise. Am I missing something or are these your predictions?
Just my best guess! Will edit the heading to reflect that ;D
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 31, 2023, 11:45:32 AM
MAF Regional Preseason Rankings
Region 4
1. Stevens
2. Montclair
3. NYU
4. Rowan
5. Misericordia
6. Rutgers-Newark
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Catholic
5. Lycoming
6. Gettysburg
7. Drew
Some big games this first weekend:
Stevens v F&M
Montclair v. NYU
Messiah v. Catholic
Don't sleep on the Mules MAF...a bit banged up coming out of preseason, but pretty much everyone back with a few strong recruits and a returning redshirt CB...very deep.
Quote from: BlueJay95 on September 01, 2023, 06:57:02 AM
Don't sleep on the Mules MAF...a bit banged up coming out of preseason, but pretty much everyone back with a few strong recruits and a returning redshirt CB...very deep.
Plus they will not be playing on a meadow this year! https://muhlenbergsports.com/news/2023/8/8/soccer-and-womens-lacrosse-to-play-on-resurfaced-varsity-field.aspx
Haverford comes back from 3-1 down in the second half to earn a tie 3-3. Had a bunch of chances to come out with a win. A few of the freshman will be helpful this year.
Johns Hopkins ties NC Wesleyan 1-1 after NC Wesleyan evened the score in the 84th minute
Dickinson beat Southern Virginia 2-0 in a game they pretty much dominated
Washington College and Moravian tie 0-0
Messiah beats The College of New Jersey 4-0 in a game that was apparently very tight for more than an hour. All the goals came from the 59th minute on.
Rosemont beats Swarthmore 1-0
Stevens and Manhattanville 0-0. Keeper saved a really bad Stevens PK in the 2nd half.
From what I saw, Stevens had problems finishing.
Scranton 1
Muhles 0
I'll keep watching ;)
Quote from: BlueJay95 on September 01, 2023, 06:57:02 AM
Don't sleep on the Mules MAF...a bit banged up coming out of preseason, but pretty much everyone back with a few strong recruits and a returning redshirt CB...very deep.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 31, 2023, 11:45:32 AM
MAF Regional Preseason Rankings
Region 4
1. Stevens Tied
2. Montclair Won
3. NYU Lost
4. Rowan Tied
5. Misericordia Won
6. Rutgers-Newark Lost
7. PSU-Harrisburg Lost
Region 5
1. Messiah Won
2. Hopkins Tied
3. F&M DNP
4. Catholic Won
5. Lycoming Won
6. Gettysburg DNP
7. Drew Lost
Yesterday; Rutgers Camden 4-0 over Arcadia, plays Gettysburg at 4 today!
MAF - guess you watched the game? Let's troll on a message board. And everyone else in your esteemed ranking won right?
Messiah 4 - 0 Catholic.
Catholic hung in there for the first half though Messiah came very close to scoring at least twice.
Catholic's press was mildly effective for the first 20 minutes but the heat of the day and Messiah's ball movement & possession wouldn't allow Catholic to continue to do it well.
Messiah repeatedly created chances down Catholic's left side without being able to create the final product. Constant danger there though.
Messiah's MacDonald scored with his head off a ball worked along the end line and crossed in the first minute of the second half.
Catholic then struggled to regain its composure while Messiah managed to scored three more goals and hit woodwork a couple times.
Catholic never really threatened to score in the second half. Two very different halves of soccer.
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on September 02, 2023, 06:40:58 PM
Messiah 4 - 0 Catholic.
Catholic hung in there for the first half though Messiah came very close to scoring at least twice.
Catholic's press was mildly effective for the first 20 minutes but the heat of the day and Messiah's ball movement & possession wouldn't allow Catholic to continue to do it well.
Messiah repeatedly created chances down Catholic's left side without being able to create the final product. Constant danger there though.
Messiah's MacDonald scored with his head off a ball worked along the end line and crossed in the first minute of the second half.
Catholic then struggled to regain its composure while Messiah managed to scored three more goals and hit woodwork a couple times.
Catholic never really threatened to score in the second half. Two very different halves of soccer.
@Maine Soccer Fan - Were you at the game or did you subscribe to the stream? Just curious.
SC.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on September 03, 2023, 07:18:49 AM
Quote from: Maine Soccer Fan on September 02, 2023, 06:40:58 PM
Messiah 4 - 0 Catholic.
Catholic hung in there for the first half though Messiah came very close to scoring at least twice.
Catholic's press was mildly effective for the first 20 minutes but the heat of the day and Messiah's ball movement & possession wouldn't allow Catholic to continue to do it well.
Messiah repeatedly created chances down Catholic's left side without being able to create the final product. Constant danger there though.
Messiah's MacDonald scored with his head off a ball worked along the end line and crossed in the first minute of the second half.
Catholic then struggled to regain its composure while Messiah managed to scored three more goals and hit woodwork a couple times.
Catholic never really threatened to score in the second half. Two very different halves of soccer.
@Maine Soccer Fan - Were you at the game or did you subscribe to the stream? Just curious.
SC.
I was at the game, beautiful day and facility.
Mary Washington v. JHU - Rocket free kick by MW in the upper 90 above the wall with about a min. left in 1st half. Crazy great free kick. 1-0 at the half.
Brutal day for JHU. Down 4-0 with about 22 min left in second half. Gave up a tough goal during the run of play and then a clear PK in the box. 4th was also during the run of play. 5th almost scored but went off the post. JHU clearly frustrated now. Would not want to be on that bus back to Baltimore.
Just did a little searching and I think they lost a game 3-2 to Haverford and I can't find a time in the recent past that they lost 3-0 much less 4-0. 2-0 yes in 2021, but not to this extreme.
Early in the season obviously and on a hot day after playing to a 1-1 tie on Friday. JHU definitely with its 6 grad students and experienced squad coming back this season can dig this out.
One thing that is clearly obvious is that this year is clearly not last year. JHU 0-1-1, Stevens 0-1-1, W&L 0-1-1, but still very recoverable. W&L lost to Messiah in the first game last year and made it to the quarterfinals. F&M lost to Stevens 3-0 in its second game and did not lose again till their conference playoffs. Time for some coaches to earn they're pay.
I was at the JHU-MWU game. It was a close first half. MWU was awarded a free kick about 22 yards out in front of the goal on a soft foul and the MWU player hit a fantastic kick. Right over what appeared to be a well-positioned wall.
In the second half, JHU just fell apart. Without Tim Treinen, their All-American center back who held things down for four years, they looked a bit lost in the middle. The grad transfers are very skilled but it didn't look like anyone really knew what their teammates were doing. Once it got to 4-0, Hopkins emptied the bench and played a bunch of freshmen. We will see how things go but Hopkins has a lot of work to do.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on September 04, 2023, 06:50:32 PM
I was at the JHU-MWU game. It was a close first half. MWU was awarded a free kick about 22 yards out in front of the goal on a soft foul and the MWU player hit a fantastic kick. Right over what appeared to be a well-positioned wall.
In the second half, JHU just fell apart. Without Tim Treinen, their All-American center back who held things down for four years, they looked a bit lost in the middle. The grad transfers are very skilled but it didn't look like anyone really knew what their teammates were doing. Once it got to 4-0, Hopkins emptied the bench and played a bunch of freshmen. We will see how things go but Hopkins has a lot of work to do.
Early days, long season. Big challenge for Appleby. He may be having some of the challenges many D1 coaches have. Several new experienced players coming into the team which is much different than having a core of upperclassmen bringing in freshman. Could be not a stable until they figure it out. Just rough with the guys who started as freshmen. FYI, last three years JHU's keepers were grad students (first one lost his senior season to Covid though). Can't imagine how tough that would be on a goalkeeper kid who was a freshman two or three years ago. My son had two years of this where the team changed substantially each year and did not help in cohesiveness even when individual players had a lot of talent.
Quote from: BlueJay95 on September 02, 2023, 02:20:46 PM
MAF - guess you watched the game? Let's troll on a message board. And everyone else in your esteemed ranking won right?
All in good fun. I see you're new to the boards...I will try and catch more Muhles games this season. Lots of parity in these regions as always!
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 02, 2023, 10:49:17 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on August 31, 2023, 11:45:32 AM
MAF Regional Preseason Rankings
Region 4
1. Stevens T/L
2. Montclair W/W
3. NYU L/T
4. Rowan T/W
5. Misericordia W/T
6. Rutgers-Newark L/T
7. PSU-Harrisburg L/T
Region 5
1. Messiah W/W
2. Hopkins T/L
3. F&M W
4. Catholic W/L
5. Lycoming W/T
6. Gettysburg L
7. Drew L/T
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 04, 2023, 08:30:51 PM
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on September 04, 2023, 06:50:32 PM
I was at the JHU-MWU game. It was a close first half. MWU was awarded a free kick about 22 yards out in front of the goal on a soft foul and the MWU player hit a fantastic kick. Right over what appeared to be a well-positioned wall.
In the second half, JHU just fell apart. Without Tim Treinen, their All-American center back who held things down for four years, they looked a bit lost in the middle. The grad transfers are very skilled but it didn't look like anyone really knew what their teammates were doing. Once it got to 4-0, Hopkins emptied the bench and played a bunch of freshmen. We will see how things go but Hopkins has a lot of work to do.
Early days, long season. Big challenge for Appleby. He may be having some of the challenges many D1 coaches have. Several new experienced players coming into the team which is much different than having a core of upperclassmen bringing in freshman. Could be not a stable until they figure it out. Just rough with the guys who started as freshmen. FYI, last three years JHU's keepers were grad students (first one lost his senior season to Covid though). Can't imagine how tough that would be on a goalkeeper kid who was a freshman two or three years ago. My son had two years of this where the team changed substantially each year and did not help in cohesiveness even when individual players had a lot of talent.
Hopkins better figure it out fast as the next 5 opponents aren't pushovers. Rowan, Lycoming and Muhles can all emerge victorious on the day. Hobart and St. Mary's aren't easy games either. Difficult schedule headed into conference play for the Blue Jays.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on September 04, 2023, 06:50:32 PM
I was at the JHU-MWU game. It was a close first half. MWU was awarded a free kick about 22 yards out in front of the goal on a soft foul and the MWU player hit a fantastic kick. Right over what appeared to be a well-positioned wall.
In the second half, JHU just fell apart. Without Tim Treinen, their All-American center back who held things down for four years, they looked a bit lost in the middle. The grad transfers are very skilled but it didn't look like anyone really knew what their teammates were doing. Once it got to 4-0, Hopkins emptied the bench and played a bunch of freshmen. We will see how things go but Hopkins has a lot of work to do.
I knew I could count on you to bring up Treinen. I'm not sure folks understood just how massive he was for that team.
I feel like this is a grind it out season, where Coach Appleby will have them going once CC games start in earnest. I was away this weekend, so I'll keep my commentary short for obvious reasons.
MAF Power Rankings (9/15)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Stevens
3. Leb Val
4. Rowan
5. Kean
6. Misericordia
7. St. Marys (Md)
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Scranton
4. JHU
5. Muhles
6. Dickinson
7. Widener
Looking to head up to Homewood to catch the Muhles - Jays game tomorrow. I'll be the older guy with white hair sitting on the opposite side from the benches (as always.)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 15, 2023, 05:19:30 PM
MAF Power Rankings (9/15)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Stevens
3. Leb Val
4. Rowan
5. Kean
6. Misericordia
7. St. Marys (Md)
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Scranton
4. JHU
5. Muhles
6. Dickinson
7. Widener
Sort of surprised to see Rowan that high. They didn't look all that strong against Haverford recently, although they managed to tie it up late. They were down 2-0 at half and almost gave up the winning goal in the dying seconds of the match.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 15, 2023, 05:46:59 PM
Looking to head up to Homewood to catch the Muhles - Jays game tomorrow. I'll be the older guy with white hair sitting on the opposite side from the benches (as always.)
Best of luck!! Think JHU has figured out a bunch of things and will be going hard. FYI Muhls have turf.
F&M will most likely have to play on Haverfords bad grass field though the Fords have played on their turf field earlier this season.
So should be a very interesting opening CC weekend.
Last Battle For Eagle Road. Cabrini v Eastern tomorrow. This was always a fun match to watch.
Hopkins and the Muhles battle to a 1-1 draw. Some thoughts/game notes:
* Despite the loss of Treinen, Hop is still pretty good in possession, but some bad turnovers lead to dangerous counters for the Muhles. They are still (seemingly) settling into a rhythm/pattern and some of the guys in the middle cough the ball up in an uncharacteristic fashion.
* Muhles patient a the counter. Setting up at the Hop 35 with steering press. Hop can break it but ... see TO issues above.
* Hop trying to jam too many passes into the 18 from crosses from 30 yds out. These are extremely low percentage plays. You are asking a guy to sprint 25-30 yards into the box and line up a header from 8-12 yards out. Must've happened at least 6 times in the first half. They are MUCH more dangerous when #5 goes to the end line and causes havoc.
* The switch is on for Hop. Wide open but Muhles are counting on Hop to stay down one flank. So far it is working. End of 1st Half.
* I like Hop #22 Goodman on the wing. Smart skilled and patient with his runs. I think he's a grad student. Wonder if he's a transfer, as I don't remember this dude and he's bald and I would've definitely likened him to a less dangerous Messiah bald guy (MacDonald?)
* Hop with a scrappy but good goal in the box. I guess we are calling these popcorn goals? Ball got served in and headed by both teams, eventually falling to a Hop striker who put it away from about 8 yards.
* No quit in M after goal. Guy slices thru 5 players. Before GK came off line. I should've grabbed that dude's number, as he was one of the few guys on M that had any real individual danger. Muhles have some guys with real speed, but onlh that guy seemed to have the skill to actually create something.
* Long throw right thru the Hopk keepers hands and bundled in. 1-1 28 mins to go. I'm not going to say that goal was undeserved or against the run of play, but it's a very frustrating goal. Keeper got knocked in the chest while he tried to catch it, but that was a clean play.
Overall:
Muhles a SOLID team and they play disciplined and persistent soccer. They move the ball at a slightly better than average clip, but I'm not sure you can rely on long throws for the bulk of your offense. The guy taking the throws, btw, was kind of inconsistent. If he can routinely put in balls like the one that got the goal, it's a weapon. But at least 3 or 4 that I saw were kind of a waste as they didn't really threaten the 6 yard box, which is key on those.
Hopkins is who they have always been... heavy in possession, intelligent runs, if at times a little too focused on possession (especially when they get a lead.) And, as with last year, they do not have a specific guy up top that is going to put the ball in the net. They are very good, no question. They are also fun to watch, for the most part.
Also, for the record, the Hop GK was solid. I can't really get into him for the goal, as it was one of those "rubbin' is racin'" type contact issues in the box. Like I said, clean, but frustrating for him. He had both hands on the ball before it was jostled loose.
Thanks for the update Hopkins92 ... at least six(!) teams in Centennial Conf starting with ties in week one!
Last thought, because it really struck me today. If Hop has, oh let's just say 20 opportunities to build out of the back, and of that, they decide to ratchet up their "danger through the middle" chances up from 3 or 4 to say 7 or 8? I think they'd open up these games a pretty significant amount. Everyone in the CC (and probably most of D3 soccer with a decent coaching staff) knows what they are going to do... Possess the ball in the back with their two CBs and the goalie, moving the ball side to side, trying to get uneven numbers, almost exclusively down the flanks.
I'm not being critical here. After all these years, I get the system Coach is running. But I think he needs to.. not empower, as I think that's there.. Encourage the guys in the middle to do a bit more to change the point of the attack and/or drive the play through the middle... You could see it freaked out the Muhles when Hop went slightly more direct centrally. They are used to watching the L-->R (or vice versa) movement and clamp down it at the 45-50 yard line. But when Hop busted/cut those plays in? M was on their heels.
Subtle, but something last years team did a good job of as the season went on and guys fully understood their roles and the system.
5 Centennial Conf. games. Only McDaniels was able to come up with a win (over Ursinus). All others either 0-0 or 1-1. Swarthmore v. Gettysburg just finished 1-1. Nobody convinced anyone this weekend in the conference. Just going to do it again next weekend.
Quote from: Kuiper on September 15, 2023, 06:03:36 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 15, 2023, 05:19:30 PM
MAF Power Rankings (9/15)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Stevens
3. Leb Val
4. Rowan
5. Kean
6. Misericordia
7. St. Marys (Md)
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Scranton
4. JHU
5. Muhles
6. Dickinson
7. Widener
Sort of surprised to see Rowan that high. They didn't look all that strong against Haverford recently, although they managed to tie it up late. They were down 2-0 at half and almost gave up the winning goal in the dying seconds of the match.
Slim pickings after the top 3 in that region. Any of those teams could be slotted in that 4th spot. I'd take Rowan over the others in a H2H so they got the nod of approval from me this time ;)
Massey Regional Rankings 9/18 (Who are the top 10 in each region according to Massey)
Region IV
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Stevens
4. Rowan
5. Stockton
6. Kean
7. Rutgers-Camden
RV TCNJ
RV St. Mary's (Md.)
RV Harrisburg
Region V
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Widener
4. Johns Hopkins
5. Muhlenberg
6. Catholic
7. Scranton
RV Dickinson
RV Washington College
RV Moravian
Interesting to note that Region V has 16 teams ranked higher than the top 9 from Region IV. Obviously take this all with a grain of salt because Massey Ratings early in the season tend to flucuate significantly and ranking teams is far less accurate than tier'ing teams based off the data.
Will Washington College or Haverford be this year's Williams? Both currently sit 1-0-5.
Quote from: Ejay on September 18, 2023, 05:07:17 PM
Will Washington College or Haverford be this year's Williams? Both currently site 1-0-5.
I don't think either team will make it to the NCAA finals, but if the Centennial Conference continues to go like it did on Saturday, there will be many more ties to come for both teams!
All these ties means the committee will once again place all the pool C emphasis on SOS instead of wins. Wish OT would be brought back.
Speaking of ties, as I look at Hop's schedule, they are playing Stevenson tomorrow... They are 1-1-4. So who the heck knows where that game is going.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 19, 2023, 09:44:49 AM
Speaking of ties, as I look at Hop's schedule, they are playing Stevenson tomorrow... They are 1-1-4. So who the heck knows where that game is going.
Please, and sorry to all those Stevenson fans (my son had friends who played there), if Hopkins can't win by 2 goals well . . . Then again soccer is a brutal, unforgiving sport.
Took Messiah 80 plus minutes to score against Dickinson and then it goes off and ties Salisbury. So maybe Hop should fear the Mustangs??!!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 19, 2023, 09:44:49 AM
Speaking of ties, as I look at Hop's schedule, they are playing Stevenson tomorrow... They are 1-1-4. So who the heck knows where that game is going.
Charm City Cup?
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 19, 2023, 12:10:50 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 19, 2023, 09:44:49 AM
Speaking of ties, as I look at Hop's schedule, they are playing Stevenson tomorrow... They are 1-1-4. So who the heck knows where that game is going.
Charm City Cup?
Close enough - Stevenson is in B'more County, Owings Mills (famous for the Raaavens training facility and HQ). Might have to deemphasis "Charm" though.
MAF Power Rankings (9/20)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Stevens
4. Stockton
5. Rowan
6. Kean
7. St. Marys (Md)
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Scranton
4. JHU
5. Widener
6. Dickinson
7. Muhles
Messiah with what was kind of an interesting result against E-town. Jays scored very early, Messiah knotted it before the half, McDonald 30 seconds into the second half. Falcons got another and were cruising (per recap) and then E-town scored on a rocket in the 85th minute. Mary Wash coming to Shoemaker on Saturday for an epic clash.
Meanwhile, the Widener Pride are 6-0(!!) and actually sit atop the MAC-C. Last year's breakout star Sean Fatiga put 4 points on the board with 2 Gs and an assist. Christian Doyle had been carrying the bulk of the offensive load and I'd been wondering if Fatiga had a knock or something... He sure broke free of that notion last night. Next up is an imminently winnable game against a floundering Misericordia team in Chester.
=-=-==-=
Centennial squads are mostly (all? I didn't go through everyone) playing OOC games. I suppose the F&M v. Kean game is the most intriguing tilt.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 20, 2023, 10:05:25 AM
MAF Power Rankings (9/20)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Stevens
4. Stockton
5. Rowan
6. Kean
7. St. Marys (Md)
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Scranton
4. JHU
5. Widener
6. Dickinson
7. Muhles
In 5... I have to say, Widener (I know I've been kind of jokingly annoying about them the last 2 seasons) probably deserves a higher spot.
Curious if paclassic has the RPI data to back up Massey, which has Widener as one of the higher seeded teams in the region behind Messiah and F&M. Scranton, IMO, is overrated at this point. And not just going by Massey, just overall take on their opponents and results.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 20, 2023, 11:22:57 AM
Messiah with what was kind of an interesting result against E-town. Jays scored very early, Messiah knotted it before the half, McDonald 30 seconds into the second half. Falcons got another and were cruising (per recap) and then E-town scored on a rocket in the 85th minute. Mary Wash coming to Shoemaker on Saturday for an epic clash.
=-=-==-=
Centennial squads are mostly (all? I didn't go through everyone) playing OOC games. I suppose the F&M v. Kean game is the most intriguing tilt.
Washington C broke out with a 1-0 win over Rowan which was a very good win by them.
As to the Etown game, many may have forgotten that Etown was a pretty formidable force nationally in the 80s and 90s (nat'l champs in 1989 and 14 straight NCAA appearances 83-96). Locally, they are never a pushover. All under their coach over the last 40 years. At least when they have played F&M, they play very, very hard and well. There is a local trophy they play for each year and both teams compete hard to win. F&M has beaten them pretty regularly recently, but only 1-0 the last three years.
The Kean-F&M should be a good test for both. Last year, F&M tied in the 88th or 89th minute despite many opportunities to score. Also the game is relatively late with a 7:30 start time.
Well, I certainly don't undervalue E-town... One of the coolest away games we ever played was on their old field, with a very large crowd. I'm pretty sure we lost, but it was a good scrap and a great atmosphere. (As my handle will easily connote, I played them during their salad days.) I also had the pleasure of co-coaching with a guy that came through that program and he was a "solid as a rock" kind of dude. Just cemented my positive opinion of the program/school.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 20, 2023, 12:39:15 PM
Well, I certainly don't undervalue E-town... One of the coolest away games we ever played was on their old field, with a very large crowd. I'm pretty sure we lost, but it was a good scrap and a great atmosphere. (As my handle will easily connote, I played them during their salad days.) I also had the pleasure of co-coaching with a guy that came through that program and he was a "solid as a rock" kind of dude. Just cemented my positive opinion of the program/school.
Absolutely, I did not think you were. I was just trying to give some context (not to you) about the team Messiah was facing and why they might be having some success in their game. Just like when SC is talking about Mount Union or PN about Kenyon. I have no clue about those teams.
F&M coach played at Messiah and played against Etown back in the day while the current coach was there. So, so many connections in the Mid Atlantic that extend over the decades.
I wish we could just "like" posts here and move on. :-)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 20, 2023, 10:05:25 AM
MAF Power Rankings (9/20)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Stevens
4. Stockton
5. Rowan
6. Kean
7. St. Marys (Md)
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Scranton
4. JHU
5. Widener
6. Dickinson
7. Muhles
I had totally forgotten that LVC was moving to the Freedom Conference to balance the MAC after the departure of Wilkes and Lycoming. So strange to see them ranked in Region IV with the Jersey schools and to not have them on Messiah's schedule. I wonder if LVC will make it back onto Messiah's schedule as a regular non-conference opponent in future years like other nearby schools Dickinson, Gettysburg and E-town.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 20, 2023, 11:27:22 AM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 20, 2023, 10:05:25 AM
MAF Power Rankings (9/20)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Stevens
4. Stockton
5. Rowan
6. Kean
7. St. Marys (Md)
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Scranton
4. JHU
5. Widener
6. Dickinson
7. Muhles
In 5... I have to say, Widener (I know I've been kind of jokingly annoying about them the last 2 seasons) probably deserves a higher spot.
Curious if paclassic has the RPI data to back up Massey, which has Widener as one of the higher seeded teams in the region behind Messiah and F&M. Scranton, IMO, is overrated at this point. And not just going by Massey, just overall take on their opponents and results.
So, I haven't entered the results of yesterday's games yet, which will give them a boost (maybe not a big boost because Moravian has an average record). But through 9/18, Widener was not even in the top ten for Region V according to RPI. Their opponents' winning percentage was one of the lowest in D3 so far. It was .3717 haha. With that being said, I think Widener is at least top 7, they just haven't been tested yet.
And that's why we tap into the expertise... Thanks pa!
Don't know how many may be watching the JHU - Stevenson better know as the Charm City Bowl.
JHU has been dominating, but Stevenson keeper has make at least three circus saves. Also interesting is the camera angle. About 6 or 7 feet above the ground on the 50. Kind of makes you feel like your on the field. Not in Stevenson's stadium which has really crappy turf, but on a fairly nice grass. Without a stadium, game also has that club game feel.
Good game on between F&M and Kean, catch it if you can!
Quote from: camosfan on September 20, 2023, 07:46:00 PM
Good game on between F&M and Kean, catch it if you can!
Definitely! F&M got lucky several times. Kean looks strong. Do you have sound??
No sound , picture quality is great but no sound!
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 20, 2023, 06:32:21 PM
Don't know how many may be watching the JHU - Stevenson better know as the Charm City Bowl.
JHU has been dominating, but Stevenson keeper has make at least three circus saves. Also interesting is the camera angle. About 6 or 7 feet above the ground on the 50. Kind of makes you feel like your on the field. Not in Stevenson's stadium which has really crappy turf, but on a fairly nice grass. Without a stadium, game also has that club game feel.
Good description of the field! I want to say... idyllic? In Owings Mills. :D (it's actually a nice suburb, but the Mall / Office Park you see off the highway belies all that.
Really nice goal for Hop to take the 1-0 win. Sorry to be a broken record, but Hop has a long-standing habit of failing to put teams away. Stevenson played to the end and almost grabbed back a draw in the last 5.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 20, 2023, 08:10:54 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 20, 2023, 06:32:21 PM
Don't know how many may be watching the JHU - Stevenson better know as the Charm City Bowl.
JHU has been dominating, but Stevenson keeper has make at least three circus saves. Also interesting is the camera angle. About 6 or 7 feet above the ground on the 50. Kind of makes you feel like your on the field. Not in Stevenson's stadium which has really crappy turf, but on a fairly nice grass. Without a stadium, game also has that club game feel.
Good description of the field! I want to say... idyllic? In Owings Mills. :D (it's actually a nice suburb, but the Mall / Office Park you see off the highway belies all that.
Really nice goal for Hop to take the 1-0 win. Sorry to be a broken record, but Hop has a long-standing habit of failing to put teams away. Stevenson played to the end and almost grabbed back a draw in the last 5.
Know it well. Been there many times for Maryland HS lacrosse games. Also son's club team used to practice at McDonogh as his coach was McDonogh's Should have been at least a 3-0 game.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 20, 2023, 07:51:11 PM
Quote from: camosfan on September 20, 2023, 07:46:00 PM
Good game on between F&M and Kean, catch it if you can!
Definitely! F&M got lucky several times. Kean looks strong. Do you have sound??
If you are watching the most of the Kean F&M game, F&M has been relentless pretty much the whole game. This year and over the last couple of years the last 20 minutes F&M seems to be the most effective. F&M caught a few breaks early. I think Kean's No. 9 has been blatantly offsides probably 4 or 5 times which has been a great for F&M. He is definitely wearing down.
I think the Kean's keeper has 12 or more saves now. 5 or 6 might have been soft but the rest have been tough ones. So we will see where it goes. FYI, F&M had the same issue last year when they couldn't score till the 89th min.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 20, 2023, 09:02:29 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 20, 2023, 07:51:11 PM
Quote from: camosfan on September 20, 2023, 07:46:00 PM
Good game on between F&M and Kean, catch it if you can!
Definitely! F&M got lucky several times. Kean looks strong. Do you have sound??
If you are watching the most of the Kean F&M game, F&M has been relentless pretty much the whole game. This year and over the last couple of years the last 20 minutes F&M seems to be the most effective. F&M caught a few breaks early. I think Kean's No. 9 has been blatantly offsides probably 4 or 5 times which has been a great for F&M. He is definitely wearing down.
I think the Kean's keeper has 12 or more saves now. 5 or 6 might have been soft but the rest have been tough ones. So we will see where it goes. FYI, F&M had the same issue last year when they couldn't score till the 89th min.
Kean wins. They got a good goal. No excuses. F&M just couldn't finish and Kean's keeper made some very good saves. On to the next game.
Good game I know three kids on each team, so was pretty much neutral.!
Mid-Atlantic turning out to be fascinating with a great deal of parity after Messiah (who also hasn't exactly rolled over opponents). I was surprised by the F&M/Kean result as I watched Kean play in preseason and was not impressed. It seems they must have dealt with a few injuries early in the season. I also watched LebVal in preseason and was impressed. Good result for Gettysburg as it looks like Catholic will have to win the Landmark to get in. The Centennial is going to be fascinating to watch and I'm also not sure Widener can hang in for an at-large berth. Perhaps a 2-0-7 record wins the CC? ::)
Quote from: BlueJay95 on September 21, 2023, 08:31:11 AM
Mid-Atlantic turning out to be fascinating with a great deal of parity after Messiah (who also hasn't exactly rolled over opponents). I was surprised by the F&M/Kean result as I watched Kean play in preseason and was not impressed. It seems they must have dealt with a few injuries early in the season. I also watched LebVal in preseason and was impressed. Good result for Gettysburg as it looks like Catholic will have to win the Landmark to get in. The Centennial is going to be fascinating to watch and I'm also not sure Widener can hang in for an at-large berth. Perhaps a 2-0-7 record wins the CC? ::)
I think the Mid Atlantic will make some noise this year - outside of the usual noise makers (Messiah). Several teams with talented players, and dangerous styles of play - which should include Lynchburg, Widener to name a couple. Thrilled to watch (if the buckets of rain don't stop it) Mary Washington at Messiah this Saturday - while I don't think a "Season defining match" for either side - it does grant perspective and comparison in a very tangible way.......and likely a matchup that could very well happen again come NCAA tourney time.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 20, 2023, 11:22:57 AM
Messiah with what was kind of an interesting result against E-town. Jays scored very early, Messiah knotted it before the half, McDonald 30 seconds into the second half. Falcons got another and were cruising (per recap) and then E-town scored on a rocket in the 85th minute. Mary Wash coming to Shoemaker on Saturday for an epic clash.
Meanwhile, the Widener Pride are 6-0(!!) and actually sit atop the MAC-C. Last year's breakout star Sean Fatiga put 4 points on the board with 2 Gs and an assist. Christian Doyle had been carrying the bulk of the offensive load and I'd been wondering if Fatiga had a knock or something... He sure broke free of that notion last night. Next up is an imminently winnable game against a floundering Misericordia team in Chester.
=-=-==-=
Centennial squads are mostly (all? I didn't go through everyone) playing OOC games. I suppose the F&M v. Kean game is the most intriguing tilt.
I've taken the time to go back and watch video from the Messiah games (love schools that broadcast and archive games) - and of three goals that they have given up this season - two are from set pieces (and both bad fouls at the top of the 18, one with a wall that failed, and one with a gem of a shot) - and one from a really bad give away from the center back - yielding a seed of a shot and goal. Nothing has been really given up during the normal run of play - which is telling. Saying that - they have also controlled the ball every game - and simply need to finish! They are also still without Lent-Koop - so when he can return - the already tough defense gets tougher. While I realize that Messiah is not lacking passionate supporters - I still see an exceptional side that seems to be simply be settling into the season. I have also been impressed with their GK play. A plus distributor of the ball - and if you watch the Dickinson match - the difference maker. Whiel we expect them to win - they have had a good early season schedule - and are performing well as they find their form.
Figured I'll try to post about the Atlantic East this season. Not a conference to get much regional talk & very much just a one bid conference every year. But there are some interesting story lines I can piece together. Results from last night.
Gwynedd Mercy 1 - 1 McDaniel | This may be one of Gwynedd's best results in a long time. Certainly since 2019, this is their first point against a top ~300 d3 side. Shot counts at least show it was a relatively even game as well. Good for the Griffins.
North Carolina Wesleyan 1 - 4 Marymount | Very important result for the Saints who have had a rather slow start to life as defending conference champions. 2022 Conference Player of the year Leo Torres bagged a brace and is now on 4 goals for the year. Slow start for both Leo & the Saints but are they poised now to go on a run?
Scranton 3 - 0 Marywood | Not too surprising of a result in the battle of Scranton. Marywood holds on for 50 minutes before Scranton can find the back of the net.
Neumann 2 - 1 Lancaster Bible | A much needed win for the Knights who played up a man for 70ish minutes. A goal in the final minute secured the come from behind result. Looks like one of those games where the Chargers were down a man and under fire. 8 saves for LBC throughout the match. Neumann gets back in the win column after dropping a result to Widener in the last minutes of their previous match.
Centenary NJ 1 - 7 Rutgers-Newark | Centenary are off to a very slow start having played 4 NJAC schools in the first half of the year. A tough year for them as there was a coaching change leading up to preseason. They need to find form soon as Gwynedd might be able to compete for that last spot in the AEC playoff picture this year.
Cairn 1 - 1 Cabrini | A result that will probably be seen as a negative for the Cavaliers, but they extend their unbeaten streak to three. Dates with Alvernia & Misericordia await as they lead into their final conference schedule in two weeks time. Hard to tell if depth will be an issue as the season wears on but Cabrini look strong enough to compete at the top end of the conference.
Tonight Immaculata host Albright. The Mighty Macs are desperate for a win, sitting at 0-3-3. Albright are a surprising 5-1 on the year, but their highest ranked win is Massey 389. Imac will definitely be hoping for some momentum in the next week as they start out conference play hosting the defending champs Marymount on 10/4
Quote from: BlueJay95 on September 21, 2023, 08:31:11 AM
Mid-Atlantic turning out to be fascinating with a great deal of parity after Messiah (who also hasn't exactly rolled over opponents). I was surprised by the F&M/Kean result as I watched Kean play in preseason and was not impressed. It seems they must have dealt with a few injuries early in the season. I also watched LebVal in preseason and was impressed. Good result for Gettysburg as it looks like Catholic will have to win the Landmark to get in. The Centennial is going to be fascinating to watch and I'm also not sure Widener can hang in for an at-large berth. Perhaps a 2-0-7 record wins the CC? ::)
Definitely a lot of parity. Centennial should be a dogfight as usual.
As to F&M and Kean. F&M could not finish and Kean had a nice goal. F&M had some great shots (11 on goal I believe) and keeper made some very good saves. Stuff happens.
Quote from: GenerallyInterested on September 21, 2023, 09:22:37 AM
I've taken the time to go back and watch video from the Messiah games (love schools that broadcast and archive games) - and of three goals that they have given up this season - two are from set pieces (and both bad fouls at the top of the 18, one with a wall that failed, and one with a gem of a shot) - and one from a really bad give away from the center back - yielding a seed of a shot and goal. Nothing has been really given up during the normal run of play - which is telling. Saying that - they have also controlled the ball every game - and simply need to finish! They are also still without Lent-Koop - so when he can return - the already tough defense gets tougher. While I realize that Messiah is not lacking passionate supporters - I still see an exceptional side that seems to be simply be settling into the season. I have also been impressed with their GK play. A plus distributor of the ball - and if you watch the Dickinson match - the difference maker. Whiel we expect them to win - they have had a good early season schedule - and are performing well as they find their form.
I agree with this analysis. The main differences between last fall and this fall, for the Falcons, are IMO these:
(1) They lost all 4 starters up the spine--GK, plus the three MFers whose job in their system is always to collect the ball, control the ball, and set up the scores. Of those four players, the biggest loss was Luke Groothoff, whom I believe was the best attacking MF in D3 last season. The men playing those positions this fall are arguably as talented as those last fall, except that Groothoff's only close comparables in Falcon history (IMO) were Hayden Woodworth and Kai Kasiguran. This year's team has no such player. That's why they don't look as dangerous, so far.
(2) The absence currently of Lent-Koop is telling on both ends, but especially on the offensive end, where he has been their best player in the air during his career. If he returns at full speed, people will notice.
(3) The FR players this year are, as a group, maybe even more talented than those from last fall. None of them presently start, or are likely to start, but McCarty doesn't hesitate to have all of them on the field at once in tie games. That bodes well for the future, but also for this year. The leading Falcon scorer so far is a FR. They will only get better, as they get significant PT. The Falcons run an offense similar to Bob Knight's motion offense in basketball: most players can't just come to Messiah and start playing it well. They need to figure out how it's done, how the expectations and the freedom work together. This group might get up to speed faster than most other FR classes, owing to the amount of PT they are getting when it counts.
Looking for games besides UMW v. Messiah. Saw that Stevens is playing U. of Paywall in Rochester at 7. Could be the first step on Stevens redemption tour, maybe??
Upset alert in the Cent. Conf. Ursinus got a really fluke goal in my opinion in 2nd half over Hopkins. Game just finished. Did not see most of the game, but statistically the game seemed pretty even unlike the game against Stevenson. Game is a game is a game. Tough game.
Did not seem to be raining and looks like Ursinus has resurfaced its field. Looks nice.
Fluky goal or no, this isn't the first time the Bears have pipped Hopkins in recent years.
0 goals is 0 goals.
As someone who is not a close observer, I was surprised to see Ursinus is 6-1 (1-1 in conference). After the 4-1 loss to McDaniel, I just assumed Ursinus was back at the bottom like last year. Maybe they still will be, but they have certainly gotten off to a better start.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 23, 2023, 06:21:03 PM
Fluky goal or no, this isn't the first time the Bears have pipped Hopkins in recent years.
0 goals is 0 goals.
Yup, Maybe it's Ursinus' home. JHU lost in 2021 by same score but later in the season. As to Ursinus being 6-1, their previous 5 wins have been to programs that are probably sub .500, but you still have to score which they definitely have been able.
https://ursinusathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule/2023
F&M got lucky. It had 25 shots 6 on goal. Many of the 19 should have been on goal, just couldn't figure out. Swarthmore had one shot one goal almost all they needed.
F&M with 4 min. left on a free kick nailed it from outside the 18 into the upper 90 on the far side of the goal. Think the keeper misread or was anxious because of the rushing players?? I'll share the highlights when it comes out.
3 games, score 2 goals give up 3. Over those three games 70 shots with 24 on goal. Not going to get it done.
Worth the watch. Great goal to tie.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/CxlTSAQxcXu/?utm_source=ig_web_button_share_sheet&igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 24, 2023, 04:47:04 PM
Worth the watch. Great goal to tie.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/CxlTSAQxcXu/?utm_source=ig_web_button_share_sheet&igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==
Keeper will want that one back. It was a screamer and assume the storm winds were swirling but still.
Yup keeper should have done much much better. It was pretty windy and the keeper clearly mismanaged his back line. Kick was clearly far out of the box. Keeper should have had his backs at 18 or even with the wall. Instead he was clearly distracted all the bodies to his left. Weather maybe but the shot seemed to be still rising.
CENTENNIAL gonna be tight all season ... no teams 2-0 and no teams 0-2 after 2nd weekend
Muhlenberg 1-0-1
Washington College 1-0-1
Ursinus 1-1
McDaniel 1-1
F&M 0-0-2
Haverford 0-0-2
Gettysburg 0-0-2
Swarthmore 0-0-2
Johns Hopkins 0-1-1
Dickinson 0-1-1
Quote from: TNAggie on September 24, 2023, 06:13:14 PM
CENTENNIAL gonna be tight all season ... no teams 2-0 and no teams 0-2 after 2nd weekend
Muhlenberg 1-0-1
Washington College 1-0-1
Ursinus 1-1
McDaniel 1-1
F&M 0-0-2
Haverford 0-0-2
Gettysburg 0-0-2
Swarthmore 0-0-2
Johns Hopkins 0-1-1
Dickinson 0-1-1
7 more games for each. True dogfight.
Midweek Games of Note (not comprehensive, just a quick scan):
- Widener is now 7-0 after soundly defeating Misericordia 4-1 on the weekend. Sean Fatiga with a hat trick. They host Stevens (3-1-3) tonight at home @ 7p. The Pride beat Swat early in the campaign, but this is likely the biggest "show me" game on the slate so far.
- Hopkins with an important CC road game against Western Maryland (mcdaniel) tomorrow @ 4pm.
- Messiah hosts Lycoming who have had a weird season, just glancing at their schedule. Should be a tap in, but we've talked about Messiah playing down to the opponent on occasion.
- F&M travel to Ursinus. We'll see if the Bears can keep things rolling. All of the CC squares off on Wednesday, so we'll see if anybody wants to pull ahead of the pack.
- Over in the Landmark, eyes are probably turning to this weekend when Scranton hosts Catholic. Looks like mostly OOC midweek and nothing is jumping out of the screen to me, but, again.. quick scan.
Messiah vs Lycoming is the one I will be watching. The Warriors have gotten the better of the Falcons a few times (4 or 5 if I recall correctly) before departing the MAC Commonwealth. Since then these teams have continued to face-off in non-conference play with the Falcons getting their revenge the last few years. It's always a game I enjoy watching as the two styles of play are vastly different.
After watching both teams this season I'd think that Messiah is the clear favorite, and by a hefty margin, but Lycoming has always been a thorn in their side. My prediction is 4-1 Falcons.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 26, 2023, 09:02:15 AM
Midweek Games of Note (not comprehensive, just a quick scan):
- Widener is now 7-0 after soundly defeating Misericordia 4-1 on the weekend. Sean Fatiga with a hat trick. They host Stevens (3-1-3) tonight at home @ 7p. The Pride beat Swat early in the campaign, but this is likely the biggest "show me" game on the slate so far.
- Hopkins with an important CC road game against Western Maryland (mcdaniel) tomorrow @ 4pm.
- Messiah hosts Lycoming who have had a weird season, just glancing at their schedule. Should be a tap in, but we've talked about Messiah playing down to the opponent on occasion.
- F&M travel to Ursinus. We'll see if the Bears can keep things rolling. All of the CC squares off on Wednesday, so we'll see if anybody wants to pull ahead of the pack.
- Over in the Landmark, eyes are probably turning to this weekend when Scranton hosts Catholic. Looks like mostly OOC midweek and nothing is jumping out of the screen to me, but, again.. quick scan.
MAF Power Rankings (9/26)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Stevens
4. Stockton
5. Rowan
6. Kean
7. Rutgers Camden
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Widener
5. Scranton
6. Muhles
7. Wash Coll
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 26, 2023, 02:35:17 PM
MAF Power Rankings (9/26)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Stevens
4. Stockton
5. Rowan
6. Kean
7. Rutgers Camden
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Widener
5. Scranton
6. Muhles
7. Wash Coll
It's interesting to compare these with the USC Regional Rankings (beyond that they go to 8 teams). I guess the coaches give more credit to Widener's undefeated record in Region V and view Muhlenberg as doing better than F&M and JHU, perhaps because their only blips were to other ranked teams (a loss to Scranton and a tie to JHU), while F&M tied Haverford and Swarthmore and JHU's loss to Ursinus hurts them. Not seeing a strength of schedule that warrants a ranking for FDU-Florham, but I guess they have won four in a row.
Region IV - Poll 3 - September 26, 2023
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Montclair State University 1 7-0-1
2 Lebanon Valley College 2 6-1-0
3 Kean University 6 5-0-3
4 Stockton University 5 4-0-3
5 Stevens Institute of Technology 4 3-1-3
6 Fairleigh Dickinson University-Florham 7 5-0-2
7 Rowan University 3 2-1-4
8 St. Mary's College of Maryland 8 4-2-1
Region V - Poll 3 - September 26, 2023
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Messiah University 1 7-0-1
2 Widener University 3 7-0-0
3 Muhlenberg College 6 5-1-1
4 Franklin & Marshall College 2 5-1-2
5 Johns Hopkins University 4 4-2-3
6 University of Scranton 5 5-1-1
7 Washington College (Md.) NR 3-0-5
8 Dickinson College 7 4-2-1
Sounds like quite a game up in Chester last night. Stevens stomps out to a 2-0 half-time lead on the brace from one of the best names in D3 soccer: Bruno Andino.
The Pride's pride player Sean Fatiga helped storm back with goals in the 48th and 63rd minutes. Game was capped with a goal with only 15 seconds on the clock by Widener's Christian Vetter.
Hunted around for video and came up empty. Stevens has had a bumpy start to the season, but this is still a quality win for Pride Nation.
The game winner was off a corner kick. Here is a link to the widener replays. The live stream wasn't working early on so you can't see the Stevens goals but the Widener goals are available if you scroll through the replay.
https://portal.stretchinternet.com/widener/portal.htm?eventId=738126&streamType=video
A nice win for the Pride and solidifies they are a true contender. We will know more when the NCAA regional rankings come out, but looks like the SOS may be a bit low for them.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 27, 2023, 09:20:35 AM
Sounds like quite a game up in Chester last night. Stevens stomps out to a 2-0 half-time lead on the brace from one of the best names in D3 soccer: Bruno Andino.
The Pride's pride player Sean Fatiga helped storm back with goals in the 48th and 63rd minutes. Game was capped with a goal with only 15 seconds on the clock by Widener's Christian Vetter.
Hunted around for video and came up empty. Stevens has had a bumpy start to the season, but this is still a quality win for Pride Nation.
Quote from: d3ma on September 27, 2023, 09:40:40 AM
The game winner was off a corner kick. Here is a link to the widener replays. The live stream wasn't working early on so you can't see the Stevens goals but the Widener goals are available if you scroll through the replay.
https://portal.stretchinternet.com/widener/portal.htm?eventId=738126&streamType=video
Nice, thanks!!
That is a very confident group, from my scan of the highlights and run of play in the second half. Their attack is pretty relentless and Fatiga, man... Some positioning issues for the Stevens goalie, particularly on the equalizer, but... The ball really leaps off his foot.
Watching Widener for awhile this season. Big game on October 7 at Messiah gametime 3:00. Definitely one to watch!
It's Messiah's Homecoming when Widener come to Grantham in two Saturday's. So there will be a bigger than normal crowd for Widener to deal with. On the other hand, Messiah has to deal with the distractions of Homecoming and some disturbances to their normal routine. Despite being a Messiah alum and fan, the soccer fan in me wants to see a competitive, compelling game, so I hope Widener proves to be a formidable opponent. I still want and fully expect a Falcon win, but I still think there's some question marks around this year's squad and not sure they are at the point where they can consistently play like a Top 10 team.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 27, 2023, 01:54:26 PM
It's Messiah's Homecoming when Widener come to Grantham in two Saturday's. So there will be a bigger than normal crowd for Widener to deal with. On the other hand, Messiah has to deal with the distractions of Homecoming and some disturbances to their normal routine. Despite being a Messiah alum and fan, the soccer fan in me wants to see a competitive, compelling game, so I hope Widener proves to be a formidable opponent. I still want and fully expect a Falcon win, but I still think there's some question marks around this year's squad and not sure they are at the point where they can consistently play like a Top 10 team.
From what i can tell they still need to improve in a few areas on the field to make them more consistent.
Hopkins92 and MAF didn't mention it as a mid-week game to watch, but I think the LVC vs. E-town game is one to keep and eye on. LVC is 6-1-0 on the season with their lone loss coming at F&M where they allowed a first-ever win over the Diplomats slip away in the final quarter hour after taking a 2-1 lead. Despite a mediocre 3-2-2 record, E-town showed a lot of fight in their 2-3 loss to Messiah before defeating Scranton 2-1 to open Landmark play on the right foot.
LVC and E-town faced the same three opponents to open the season, swapping visiting St. John Fisher and Rutgers-Newark opening weekend before travelling to F&M. LVC showed much better across those common opponents, picking up 4-0 and 5-0 wins before the agonizing loss to F&M. E-town on the other hand went 1-1-1 with a 1-0 win (St. John Fisher), 2-2 tie (Rutgers-Newark) and 0-1 loss at F&M.
LVC has been ranked for the past two weeks by the coaches (USC), moving up to #13 this week. I think this might be the first time the program has ever been ranked by the coaches. In 2016, LVC was ranked for one week (Week 8) by D3soccer.com when they were 12-2-0 before being tripped up by a 5-10-1 Alvernia in their very next match. A low SOS kept them from ever being considered for an at-large berth that year, but they did win their first of back-to-back ECAC Championships to finish 18-4-0. LVC's next best run was probably just two years ago when they were 12-3-0 entering their 10/26 tilt with F&M and regionally ranked by the NCAA (#8 of 8 in Region V). A first-ever win over F&M might have earned them an at-large berth, but they fell 0-3 and although all teams ranked ahead of them in the region received berths, they probably never had a shot at #7 in the region (14-5-0, .567 SOS, 3-4-0 RvR).
Every other year it seems like LVC plays Messiah very tough, but a low SOS and inconsistency down the stretch in October has always kept LVC from reaching the NCAA tournament. SOS might be a problem again for them this year despite adding Rutgers-Newark (who is having their worst season in years) and some other new additions to the schedule who are under-performing to date.
LVC's top player from two seasons ago, Lucas Strange, is back for a 5th year after missing last season. He's posted 4 goals and 7 assists already. And sophomore Nathan Prex, building upon his team leading 17 pts. (5g, 7a) last year, has scored 8 goals in the first 7 games, netting in all but one game so far. He tallied both goals against F&M. And Jr. Aaron Weitzel is back after scoring 6 and 7 goals as a frosh and soph, respectively. So they have some firepower up top. They have used the same starting line-up (6 upperclassmen + 5 soph) in all seven games. Nine of the starters were full-time or part-time starters last year. So who knows, maybe this is LVC's year to make some sort of a break through. But there's a long way to go and a local rivalry game, even if E-town isn't world-beaters, should be an interesting test for LVC and one they need to win to continue to be taken seriously.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 27, 2023, 03:32:45 PM
Hopkins92 and MAF didn't mention it as a mid-week game to watch, but I think the LVC vs. E-town game is one to keep and eye on. LVC is 6-1-0 on the season with their lone loss coming at F&M where they allowed a first-ever win over the Diplomats slip away in the final quarter hour after taking a 2-1 lead. Despite a mediocre 3-2-2 record, E-town showed a lot of fight in their 2-3 loss to Messiah before defeating Scranton 2-1 to open Landmark play on the right foot.
LVC and E-town faced the same three opponents to open the season, swapping visiting St. John Fisher and Rutgers-Newark opening weekend before travelling to F&M. LVC showed much better across those common opponents, picking up 4-0 and 5-0 wins before the agonizing loss to F&M. E-town on the other hand went 1-1-1 with a 1-0 win (St. John Fisher), 2-2 tie (Rutgers-Newark) and 0-1 loss at F&M.
LVC has been ranked for the past two weeks by the coaches (USC), moving up to #13 this week. I think this might be the first time the program has ever been ranked by the coaches. In 2016, LVC was ranked for one week (Week 8) by D3soccer.com when they were 12-2-0 before being tripped up by a 5-10-1 Alvernia in their very next match. A low SOS kept them from ever being considered for an at-large berth that year, but they did win their first of back-to-back ECAC Championships to finish 18-4-0. LVC's next best run was probably just two years ago when they were 12-3-0 entering their 10/26 tilt with F&M and regionally ranked by the NCAA (#8 of 8 in Region V). A first-ever win over F&M might have earned them an at-large berth, but they fell 0-3 and although all teams ranked ahead of them in the region received berths, they probably never had a shot at #7 in the region (14-5-0, .567 SOS, 3-4-0 RvR).
Every other year it seems like LVC plays Messiah very tough, but a low SOS and inconsistency down the stretch in October has always kept LVC from reaching the NCAA tournament. SOS might be a problem again for them this year despite adding Rutgers-Newark (who is having their worst season in years) and some other new additions to the schedule who are under-performing to date.
LVC's top player from two seasons ago, Lucas Strange, is back for a 5th year after missing last season. He's posted 4 goals and 7 assists already. And sophomore Nathan Prex, building upon his team leading 17 pts. (5g, 7a) last year, has scored 8 goals in the first 7 games, netting in all but one game so far. He tallied both goals against F&M. And Jr. Aaron Weitzel is back after scoring 6 and 7 goals as a frosh and soph, respectively. So they have some firepower up top. They have used the same starting line-up (6 upperclassmen + 5 soph) in all seven games. Nine of the starters were full-time or part-time starters last year. So who knows, maybe this is LVC's year to make some sort of a break through. But there's a long way to go and a local rivalry game, even if E-town isn't world-beaters, should be an interesting test for LVC and one they need to win to continue to be taken seriously.
Too bad it pay per view.
SC.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 27, 2023, 03:32:45 PM
Hopkins92 and MAF didn't mention it as a mid-week game to watch, but I think the LVC vs. E-town game is one to keep and eye on. LVC is 6-1-0 on the season with their lone loss coming at F&M where they allowed a first-ever win over the Diplomats slip away in the final quarter hour after taking a 2-1 lead. Despite a mediocre 3-2-2 record, E-town showed a lot of fight in their 2-3 loss to Messiah before defeating Scranton 2-1 to open Landmark play on the right foot.
LVC and E-town faced the same three opponents to open the season, swapping visiting St. John Fisher and Rutgers-Newark opening weekend before travelling to F&M. LVC showed much better across those common opponents, picking up 4-0 and 5-0 wins before the agonizing loss to F&M. E-town on the other hand went 1-1-1 with a 1-0 win (St. John Fisher), 2-2 tie (Rutgers-Newark) and 0-1 loss at F&M.
LVC has been ranked for the past two weeks by the coaches (USC), moving up to #13 this week. I think this might be the first time the program has ever been ranked by the coaches. In 2016, LVC was ranked for one week (Week 8) by D3soccer.com when they were 12-2-0 before being tripped up by a 5-10-1 Alvernia in their very next match. A low SOS kept them from ever being considered for an at-large berth that year, but they did win their first of back-to-back ECAC Championships to finish 18-4-0. LVC's next best run was probably just two years ago when they were 12-3-0 entering their 10/26 tilt with F&M and regionally ranked by the NCAA (#8 of 8 in Region V). A first-ever win over F&M might have earned them an at-large berth, but they fell 0-3 and although all teams ranked ahead of them in the region received berths, they probably never had a shot at #7 in the region (14-5-0, .567 SOS, 3-4-0 RvR).
Every other year it seems like LVC plays Messiah very tough, but a low SOS and inconsistency down the stretch in October has always kept LVC from reaching the NCAA tournament. SOS might be a problem again for them this year despite adding Rutgers-Newark (who is having their worst season in years) and some other new additions to the schedule who are under-performing to date.
LVC's top player from two seasons ago, Lucas Strange, is back for a 5th year after missing last season. He's posted 4 goals and 7 assists already. And sophomore Nathan Prex, building upon his team leading 17 pts. (5g, 7a) last year, has scored 8 goals in the first 7 games, netting in all but one game so far. He tallied both goals against F&M. And Jr. Aaron Weitzel is back after scoring 6 and 7 goals as a frosh and soph, respectively. So they have some firepower up top. They have used the same starting line-up (6 upperclassmen + 5 soph) in all seven games. Nine of the starters were full-time or part-time starters last year. So who knows, maybe this is LVC's year to make some sort of a break through. But there's a long way to go and a local rivalry game, even if E-town isn't world-beaters, should be an interesting test for LVC and one they need to win to continue to be taken seriously.
Only saw the LVC v. F&M game. LVC was a decent team. The two goals in the first half were good and very much close together. One in the 16th and then the 18th min. F&M scored first in the first 3 or 4 minutes.
After the 2-1 lead, LVC did not do too much the rest of the game. F&M tied in the 78th and then won in the 88th. In my opinion, LVC looked good and probably has improved going forward.
Also note, LVC plays on a long grass field so that can definitely be an advantage. Field is probably in better shape, but last year it was not great. They played F&M in Lancaster.
Hopkins simply can't finish at a high enough clip. They thoroughly dominated the first half possession and really should've scored on two point blank, open shots.
Rooting for them, but it's frustrating to watch. They are now about 15 minutes from tying a (no offense) pretty underwhelming McDaniel (WMD) squad.
Edit - And the reverse jinx works!! Hop scores a nice shot from 16 yards out.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 27, 2023, 05:36:58 PM
Hopkins simply can't finish at a high enough clip. They thoroughly dominated the first half possession and really should've scored on two point blank, open shots.
Rooting for them, but it's frustrating to watch. They are now about 15 minutes from tying a (no offense) pretty underwhelming McDaniel (WMD) squad.
Edit - And the reverse jinx works!! Hop scores a nice shot from 16 yards out.
Yeah, a little like the Stevenson game. McDaniel never really threatened. If they had tied, that would have been crazy.
F&M v. Ursinus just started. Big game for both teams.
Also no commentators and mike is open so you can judge for yourself as to F&M bench antics. Almost like you are sitting in the stands.
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 27, 2023, 07:38:10 PM
Switching from VWU-HSC game to Roanoke-W&L. Enjoying the VWU color commentary but the videographer is making me nauseous. Roanoke's record is underwhelming, but they have some talent up the middle. Thinking this could be a good game. Might get distracted by Messimania with the US Open Final.
Messi not dressed. Roanoke W&L 1-1 on quick goals from Ramsey and Pleasants, two Raleigh natives. Distraction averted and game on.
Can anyone help me understand how to edit posts on here? I can't seem to figure that out.
Great 2nd goal by W&L. Good contest. Traditionally, three big teams in the ODAC have been W&L, Lynchburg and Roanoke. Others have done well, but these three regularlly. Roanoke great coach, but having some troubles this year. Definitely an up year for Lynchburg.
When you post and come back to it. Check your post, there should be a button on the upper right of your post to edit. Forget what it says. Click that and then you can edit and repost. Says Modify
Fantastic save by Roanoke's keeper on PK. Very very nice. Still 2-1 W&L
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 27, 2023, 08:18:44 PMWhen you post and come back to it. Check your post, there should be a button on the upper right of your post to edit. Forget what it says. Click that and then you can edit and repost. Says Modify
Thank you. The only options I see at top right with are Quote or Remove. Story of my life :(. No big deal, I'll manage.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 27, 2023, 08:50:03 PM
Fantastic save by Roanoke's keeper on PK. Very very nice. Still 2-1 W&L
Brutal loss by W&L 3-2. After the great PK save by Roanoke, they made the best of what they had and scored 2 nice goals. Announcers said that this was W&L's first conference home loss in 6 years. VWU lost also after being up 2-1 to Hampden Syndey.
In other news, F&M won 3-1 over Ursinus. Important win for their Centennial Conf. quest. Goals - PK early; bad play by keeper-good finish by F&M; and then another bullet free kick from Koa Kaliebe like last game but near post this time. Lots and lots of opportunities they were not able to capitalize on though. Very nice free kick by Ursinus to make it 3-1. Not the best but got points in all three matches to go 1-0-2 going into away match against McDaniels on Saturday.
In even more suprising news - Cent. Conf. where all 10 teams played,
NO TIES!
It was not a great PK by W&L.
Very disappointed in how they played.
CENTENNIAL CONF UPDATE
Muhlenberg 2-0-1
Washington College 2-0-1
Franklin & Marshall 1-0-2
Gettysburg 1-0-2
Johns Hopkins 1-1-1
——-
Ursinus 1-2
McDaniel 1-2
Haverford 0-1-2
Swarthmore 0-1-2
Dickinson 0-2-1
Top 5 are the same top 5 (in a different order) as picked to be in top half in the preseason poll. Seems the top 5 will be the teams dueling for the top conf playoff seeds ... and Ursinus and Dickinson have shown they can make noise too this season.
Quote from: Another Mom on September 27, 2023, 09:51:07 PM
It was not a great PK by W&L.
Very disappointed in how they played.
Yup, Coach Singleton will do his best to turn them around. The two goals they got were very nice.
Fun Fact: Amer Lukovic has 15 goals in 9 games for Montclair, including 3 against Hunter in the first 7:09 of the game.
Fun Fact 2: He's scored in every game Montclair has played this season.
Fun Fact 3: For his career, he's scored 43 goals in 47 games
Fun Fact 4: He's scored in 30 games and not scored in 17.
Quote from: TNAggie on September 27, 2023, 10:06:07 PM
CENTENNIAL CONF UPDATE
Muhlenberg 2-0-1
Washington College 2-0-1
Franklin & Marshall 1-0-2
Gettysburg 1-0-2
Johns Hopkins 1-1-1
——-
Ursinus 1-2
McDaniel 1-2
Haverford 0-1-2
Swarthmore 0-1-2
Dickinson 0-2-1
Top 5 are the same top 5 (in a different order) as picked to be in top half in the preseason poll. Seems the top 5 will be the teams dueling for the top conf playoff seeds ... and Ursinus and Dickinson have shown they can make noise too this season.
FYI this will be the second year 6 teams make the playoffs. Good and bad to certain extent. Bad 6 out of 10 make playoffs. Good 1st and 2nd seed get byes. Also good. 2nd seed guaranteed a home game. Good also day break between semis and finals. Don't think that was the case in 2021. Maybe bad. Finishing 1st may not mean as much.
Quote from: Ejay on September 28, 2023, 04:33:38 PM
Fun Fact: Amer Lukovic has 15 goals in 9 games for Montclair, including 3 against Hunter in the first 7:09 of the game.
Fun Fact 2: He's scored in every game Montclair has played this season.
Fun Fact 3: For his career, he's scored 43 goals in 47 games
Fun Fact 4: He's scored in 30 games and not scored in 17.
Why is this kid not playing D1?
Quote from: paclassic89 on September 28, 2023, 04:45:56 PM
Quote from: Ejay on September 28, 2023, 04:33:38 PM
Fun Fact: Amer Lukovic has 15 goals in 9 games for Montclair, including 3 against Hunter in the first 7:09 of the game.
Fun Fact 2: He's scored in every game Montclair has played this season.
Fun Fact 3: For his career, he's scored 43 goals in 47 games
Fun Fact 4: He's scored in 30 games and not scored in 17.
Why is this kid not playing D1?
He was originally committed to Rutgers the summer after his senior year of high school. Not sure what happened to that as he enrolled at Montclair that fall.
Sometimes academic fit limits where a kid ends up.
In Salem VA about to head to the Roanoke HSC game. Looks like a fantastic night for football.
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 30, 2023, 05:48:37 PM
In Salem VA about to head to the Roanoke HSC game. Looks like a fantastic night for football.
Have a great time. Great weather for a game!
Maroons win 1-0 on a great goal by Michael Ramsey. 77 degrees and a beautiful sunset. Much more entertaining than watching college (American) football on the TV. Sat near a small group of young female students. Was impressed with their trash talking, very funny!
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 30, 2023, 09:13:01 PM
Maroons win 1-0 on a great goal by Michael Ramsey. 77 degrees and a beautiful sunset. Much more entertaining than watching college (American) football on the TV. Sat near a small group of young female students. Was impressed with their trash talking, very funny!
Sounds really nice. Hope their antics weren't too extreme! Hahaha.
Like previously posted, the Centennial Conf. seems to be sorting itself out unlike the first two meetings.
The last two (Wed. and Sat.) seems to be establishing the leaders - Muhlenberg and Wash. College both 3-0-1 then F&M 2-0-2 and JHU 2-1-1.
Next Gettysburg at 1-1-2, but the Muhls crushed them 5-1 tonight. The last playoff position is a tie between Haverford 0-1-3, Ursinus 1-3 and McDaniel 1-3.
Still lot to play for with 5 conf. games remaining.
F&M is finally connecting and scoring, Wednesday they beat Ursinus at Ursinus 3-1 with a pk and 2 really nice goals. Today they beat McDaniel at McDaniel by the same score. Difference was F&M really scored 4 goals in that the first goal was on their own goal in the first half (hometown scorer seemed to give F&M a break and awarded it to McDaniel). They then scored 3 in the second, one off another great free kick and the other two, while savable, were hit hard enough the keeper could not keep them out. Also the F&M keeper made a very nice pk save when the score was 1-1. Oscar Horowitz got a goal in each game so he is up to 10 and leading the Cent. Conf. Koa Koliebe, who has goals in the last three games, is second with 6.
One thing F&M may have in its favor is that, of the 5 Cent. Conf. games remaining, it gets to play Muhlenberg, Wash. College and JHU. All tough games, but to win the conference they will most likely not have to rely on other teams to win, lose or draw to make the playoffs. Muhls and JHU tied.
FYI Wash. College has the same scenario, but they have to play all three teams in a 8 day period (Sat. Muhls, Wed. JHU and F&M to end the season Sat.) F&M plays the Muhls next Saturday, JHU a week later and WC two weeks later. Interesting enough, F&M's schedule has Monday games before Muhls and JHU and a whole week off before WC. That may or may not be an advantage.
Washington & Lee 3 - 0 Averett. Agbeyegbe scored a hat trick, which should help with his confidence. Coach Singleton mixed up the starters a fair amount, though I'm not sure that's the reason for the decisive win.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 30, 2023, 10:44:47 PM
Like previously posted, the Centennial Conf. seems to be sorting itself out unlike the first two meetings.
The last two (Wed. and Sat.) seems to be establishing the leaders - Muhlenberg and Wash. College both 3-0-1 then F&M 2-0-2 and JHU 2-1-1.
Next Gettysburg at 1-1-2, but the Muhls crushed them 5-1 tonight. The last playoff position is a tie between Haverford 0-1-3, Ursinus 1-3 and McDaniel 1-3.
Still lot to play for with 5 conf. games remaining.
F&M is finally connecting and scoring, Wednesday they beat Ursinus at Ursinus 3-1 with a pk and 2 really nice goals. Today they beat McDaniel at McDaniel by the same score. Difference was F&M really scored 4 goals in that the first goal was on their own goal in the first half (hometown scorer seemed to give F&M a break and awarded it to McDaniel). They then scored 3 in the second, one off another great free kick and the other two, while savable, were hit hard enough the keeper could not keep them out. Also the F&M keeper made a very nice pk save when the score was 1-1. Oscar Horowitz got a goal in each game so he is up to 10 and leading the Cent. Conf. Koa Koliebe, who has goals in the last three games, is second with 6.
One thing F&M may have in its favor is that, of the 5 Cent. Conf. games remaining, it gets to play Muhlenberg, Wash. College and JHU. All tough games, but to win the conference they will most likely not have to rely on other teams to win, lose or draw to make the playoffs. Muhls and JHU tied.
FYI Wash. College has the same scenario, but they have to play all three teams in a 8 day period (Sat. Muhls, Wed. JHU and F&M to end the season Sat.) F&M plays the Muhls next Saturday, JHU a week later and WC two weeks later. Interesting enough, F&M's schedule has Monday games before Muhls and JHU and a whole week off before WC. That may or may not be an advantage.
Is it possible this conference gets 4 teams into the postseason like last year? Or is it too early to tell?
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 30, 2023, 10:05:37 PM
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 30, 2023, 09:13:01 PM
Maroons win 1-0 on a great goal by Michael Ramsey. 77 degrees and a beautiful sunset. Much more entertaining than watching college (American) football on the TV. Sat near a small group of young female students. Was impressed with their trash talking, very funny!
Sounds really nice. Hope their antics weren't too extreme! Hahaha.
No it was definitely tasteful. Made for good entertainment. Not a surprise but watching the game live is so much better than streaming. Seeing the entire field and hearing the players and coaches communicate adds a dimension you can't find with student commentary or videography.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 01, 2023, 04:16:41 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 30, 2023, 10:05:37 PM
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 30, 2023, 09:13:01 PM
Maroons win 1-0 on a great goal by Michael Ramsey. 77 degrees and a beautiful sunset. Much more entertaining than watching college (American) football on the TV. Sat near a small group of young female students. Was impressed with their trash talking, very funny!
Sounds really nice. Hope their antics weren't too extreme! Hahaha.
No it was definitely tasteful. Made for good entertainment. Not a surprise but watching the game live is so much better than streaming. Seeing the entire field and hearing the players and coaches communicate adds a dimension you can't find with student commentary or videography.
The problem with D3 coverage is not enough cameras, the commentary does not really matter if you can see whats taking place.
The Averett livestream had *three* camera, one on each side of the field, and one behind the goal. They confusingly switched the sideline camera, so every few minutes your team was going in the opposition direction. Difficult to follow the action. In all my years of watching soccer I've never seen that!
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 01, 2023, 04:12:45 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 30, 2023, 10:44:47 PM
Like previously posted, the Centennial Conf. seems to be sorting itself out unlike the first two meetings.
The last two (Wed. and Sat.) seems to be establishing the leaders - Muhlenberg and Wash. College both 3-0-1 then F&M 2-0-2 and JHU 2-1-1.
Next Gettysburg at 1-1-2, but the Muhls crushed them 5-1 tonight. The last playoff position is a tie between Haverford 0-1-3, Ursinus 1-3 and McDaniel 1-3.
Still lot to play for with 5 conf. games remaining.
F&M is finally connecting and scoring, Wednesday they beat Ursinus at Ursinus 3-1 with a pk and 2 really nice goals. Today they beat McDaniel at McDaniel by the same score. Difference was F&M really scored 4 goals in that the first goal was on their own goal in the first half (hometown scorer seemed to give F&M a break and awarded it to McDaniel). They then scored 3 in the second, one off another great free kick and the other two, while savable, were hit hard enough the keeper could not keep them out. Also the F&M keeper made a very nice pk save when the score was 1-1. Oscar Horowitz got a goal in each game so he is up to 10 and leading the Cent. Conf. Koa Koliebe, who has goals in the last three games, is second with 6.
One thing F&M may have in its favor is that, of the 5 Cent. Conf. games remaining, it gets to play Muhlenberg, Wash. College and JHU. All tough games, but to win the conference they will most likely not have to rely on other teams to win, lose or draw to make the playoffs. Muhls and JHU tied.
FYI Wash. College has the same scenario, but they have to play all three teams in a 8 day period (Sat. Muhls, Wed. JHU and F&M to end the season Sat.) F&M plays the Muhls next Saturday, JHU a week later and WC two weeks later. Interesting enough, F&M's schedule has Monday games before Muhls and JHU and a whole week off before WC. That may or may not be an advantage.
Is it possible this conference gets 4 teams into the postseason like last year? Or is it too early to tell?
So you never know. Definitely a possibility. They had 5 in 2021. 4 is a possibility and we'll have to see with the Region 5 rankings. Messiah and Widener most likely in. Question will be who makes the Cent Conf final. If an underdog makes it to the final and loses them there might only be 3 teams. It'll all come down to NCAAs regional ranking.
Still a lot of grinding.
I thought there were only 3 from the Centennial last year. Muhlenberg, F&M, and Hopkins. Am I missing a team? I think 4 would be a stretch this year with how things are shaping up.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 01, 2023, 05:57:32 PM
Messiah and Widener most likely in.
I have to remind myself that Widener is not in the Centennial Conference. They were in JHU's conference [MAC South] back in my day.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 30, 2023, 10:44:47 PM
Like previously posted, the Centennial Conf. seems to be sorting itself out unlike the first two meetings.
Hopkins beat Swarthmore 4-1 although the game was closer, at least early, than the score indicates. Swat pressed high and hard to start and Hopkins had two bad giveaways in the back that should have been Swat goals. After a 2-0 halftime score, Swat brought it back to 2-1 with a nice free kick but Hopkins turned up the heat and closed out the game well. Hopkins' goals were all very nice - first one was a lob over the top by one of the center backs (Elias) that beat the press and went straight to the Jays' leading scorer, Griffin Meyer, who took one touch and hit it home. Second goal came off a throw-in to Max Edelstine, who handled it nicely and pushed it to Meyer for goal #2. Second half goals were both very quick attacks up the middle with a series of nice passes (including back heel passes on both goals) and decent shots.
It was nice to see Hopkins' offense come alive.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 01, 2023, 06:07:53 PM
I thought there were only 3 from the Centennial last year. Muhlenberg, F&M, and Hopkins. Am I missing a team? I think 4 would be a stretch this year with how things are shaping up.
Sorry you are correct, I just checked the bracket. There were 3.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 01, 2023, 06:35:35 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 30, 2023, 10:44:47 PM
Like previously posted, the Centennial Conf. seems to be sorting itself out unlike the first two meetings.
Hopkins beat Swarthmore 4-1 although the game was closer, at least early, than the score indicates. Swat pressed high and hard to start and Hopkins had two bad giveaways in the back that should have been Swat goals. After a 2-0 halftime score, Swat brought it back to 2-1 with a nice free kick but Hopkins turned up the heat and closed out the game well. Hopkins' goals were all very nice - first one was a lob over the top by one of the center backs (Elias) that beat the press and went straight to the Jays' leading scorer, Griffin Meyer, who took one touch and hit it home. Second goal came off a throw-in to Max Edelstine, who handled it nicely and pushed it to Meyer for goal #2. Second half goals were both very quick attacks up the middle with a series of nice passes (including back heel passes on both goals) and decent shots.
It was nice to see Hopkins' offense come alive.
Edelstein is a CA kid who has been a nice pickup for Hopkins. He was a grad transfer from D1 Colgate, where he was a modest contributor, but only started 8 games in four years (7 during the 2021 season when Colgate went winless the entire season). He had 5 goals and 1 assist over his Colgate years (3 + a few games in the 2021 Covid spring). At Hopkins, he's become a bit of a playmaker and ball winner who has 4 assists to tie for second in the Centennial.
More generally, it feels like Hopkins has been one of the biggest users of the Covid-year transfers on the men's and women's sides, in part because it has a first class university and grad programs, but in part because its coaches have bought into it. It will be interesting to see if there any downsides in the next few years when Covid transfers will no longer be available and some upperclassmen have less playing experience than they might have had without the transfers.
Hopkins' grad transfers have been a mixed blessing this year. They are very good players but it's taken a while for everyone to figure out their roles and adjust. They seem to have done so now. Unclear what the effects will be next year. Good players, such as Ian Whamond and Tyler White, are not seeing as much playing time as one would have expected based on previous years' performances.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 01, 2023, 07:37:32 PM
Hopkins' grad transfers have been a mixed blessing this year. They are very good players but it's taken a while for everyone to figure out their roles and adjust. They seem to have done so now. Unclear what the effects will be next year. Good players, such as Ian Whamond and Tyler White, are not seeing as much playing time as one would have expected based on previous years' performances.
The JHU women's mowed D3 down with their grad transfers last year if I remember correctly.
So long term for JHU and only speculation, why would a recruit want to go to JHU if they see that this grad school situation? I know the phenomenon will slow down, but why would a talented freshman (especially keeper) want to be part of that? I also realize that JHU is a great college and playing time is never guaranteed.
Most grad students will play a year or two should be enough time for the other recruits
Widener Watch!!
The Pride took down York at home in Chester PA on the weekend. After a slightly slow start, Sean Fatiga rips through a hat-trick and is now sitting on 12 goals with 8 games remaining on the regular season schedule. They travel up to Jersey for a mid-week game against Stockton prior to this weekend's much-anticipated tilt with the Falcons. Stockton is a classic trap game, as they are a tough NJAC outfit. They are 4-2-4 but have had some not so great games the last few weeks.
For reference, Fatiga has 13 Gs and 2 As last season. So... Well ahead of that pace. Also of note, the Pride have only given up 6 goals in 7 games. While that's not off the charts stinginess, it's not like they are throwing open the doors at the expense of their defense.
Yep, trap game for sure. Especially with the game at Messiah (on Messiah's homecoming no less) looming on Saturday.
Recapping here as it seems I didn't post anything afterwards. Messiah emerges victorious with a 2-0 win. A good game for the fans to watch and I was impressed with Lycoming and their athleticism. They caused Messiah fits at times, but Messiah was the better team. 2-0 seems fair and one of them coming from a PK. Looking for Messiah to run the table at this point pending their result with Widener. I don't see them losing a game until NCAAs.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 26, 2023, 02:28:05 PM
Messiah vs Lycoming is the one I will be watching. The Warriors have gotten the better of the Falcons a few times (4 or 5 if I recall correctly) before departing the MAC Commonwealth. Since then these teams have continued to face-off in non-conference play with the Falcons getting their revenge the last few years. It's always a game I enjoy watching as the two styles of play are vastly different.
After watching both teams this season I'd think that Messiah is the clear favorite, and by a hefty margin, but Lycoming has always been a thorn in their side. My prediction is 4-1 Falcons.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 26, 2023, 09:02:15 AM
Midweek Games of Note (not comprehensive, just a quick scan):
- Widener is now 7-0 after soundly defeating Misericordia 4-1 on the weekend. Sean Fatiga with a hat trick. They host Stevens (3-1-3) tonight at home @ 7p. The Pride beat Swat early in the campaign, but this is likely the biggest "show me" game on the slate so far.
- Hopkins with an important CC road game against Western Maryland (mcdaniel) tomorrow @ 4pm.
- Messiah hosts Lycoming who have had a weird season, just glancing at their schedule. Should be a tap in, but we've talked about Messiah playing down to the opponent on occasion.
- F&M travel to Ursinus. We'll see if the Bears can keep things rolling. All of the CC squares off on Wednesday, so we'll see if anybody wants to pull ahead of the pack.
- Over in the Landmark, eyes are probably turning to this weekend when Scranton hosts Catholic. Looks like mostly OOC midweek and nothing is jumping out of the screen to me, but, again.. quick scan.
MAF Power Rankings (10/2)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Rowan
4. Stevens
5. Kean
6. Rutgers Camden
7. Stockton
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Widener
T5. Scranton
T5. Muhles
7. Wash Coll
I know nobody is watching the F&M v. Alvernia game which makes sense.
Alvernia is camping 9 plus players in their half. They actually had two good opportunities on counters, but were basically caught ball watching and gave up a nice goal to F&M. 1-0. F&M is now just dominating.
What is very nice is the student commentators. Both are trying very, very hard to make it professional and are doing well. Camera work is really rough, but that is pretty typical.
Thanks for the heads up... I tuned in right as the Dips put a banger of a second goal in the back of the net. I couldn't help but chuckle... That goal left no doubt. Monday night after a Saturday game is a little weird, but whatever.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2023, 07:54:57 PM
Thanks for the heads up... I tuned in right as the Dips put a banger of a second goal in the back of the net. I couldn't help but chuckle... That goal left no doubt. Monday night after a Saturday game is a little weird, but whatever.
Thanks, that was Koa Kaliebe who is really talented and very quick. If he was maybe 5 inches taller with his skill and speed, he would have been a D1 talent easily.
F&M has been doing this usually once or twice a season (Sat. and then Monday game) for several seasons. They play the Muhls this Saturday so have a lot more time to set up for a huge game. After the Muhlenburg game, they play Lancaster Bible on Monday, which was a decent team last year 0-0 tie. Probably not as good this year. After the Monday night game they play JHU on Saturday. Having a relatively deep bench helps as well.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 02, 2023, 08:06:52 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2023, 07:54:57 PM
Thanks for the heads up... I tuned in right as the Dips put a banger of a second goal in the back of the net. I couldn't help but chuckle... That goal left no doubt. Monday night after a Saturday game is a little weird, but whatever.
Thanks, that was Koa Kaliebe who is really talented and very quick. If he was maybe 5 inches taller with his skill and speed, he would have been a D1 talent easily.
F&M has been doing this usually once or twice a season (Sat. and then Monday game) for several seasons. They play the Muhls this Saturday so have a lot more time to set up for a huge game. After the Muhlenburg game, they play Lancaster Bible on Monday, which was a decent team last year 0-0 tie. Probably not as good this year. After the Monday night game they play JHU on Saturday. Having a relatively deep bench helps as well.
Dude just ball rolled the keeper for another goal. Pretty nice. Very one-sided. Pace of play is still like 500 mph. Not sure why they don't slow it down up 3-0.
Freddy, see Sierra's post about the bench. :D :D :D
I hear ya, but I feel like the Dips are gonna Dip.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 02, 2023, 08:06:52 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2023, 07:54:57 PM
Thanks for the heads up... I tuned in right as the Dips put a banger of a second goal in the back of the net. I couldn't help but chuckle... That goal left no doubt. Monday night after a Saturday game is a little weird, but whatever.
Thanks, that was Koa Kaliebe who is really talented and very quick. If he was maybe 5 inches taller with his skill and speed, he would have been a D1 talent easily.
F&M has been doing this usually once or twice a season (Sat. and then Monday game) for several seasons. They play the Muhls this Saturday so have a lot more time to set up for a huge game. After the Muhlenburg game, they play Lancaster Bible on Monday, which was a decent team last year 0-0 tie. Probably not as good this year. After the Monday night game they play JHU on Saturday. Having a relatively deep bench helps as well.
Hope you just saw Koa's super dirty goal at the at min 5 or so of the 2nd half. Just dispossessed the the back right out outside of keeper box and easily slotted it in.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 02, 2023, 08:11:38 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 02, 2023, 08:06:52 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2023, 07:54:57 PM
Thanks for the heads up... I tuned in right as the Dips put a banger of a second goal in the back of the net. I couldn't help but chuckle... That goal left no doubt. Monday night after a Saturday game is a little weird, but whatever.
Thanks, that was Koa Kaliebe who is really talented and very quick. If he was maybe 5 inches taller with his skill and speed, he would have been a D1 talent easily.
F&M has been doing this usually once or twice a season (Sat. and then Monday game) for several seasons. They play the Muhls this Saturday so have a lot more time to set up for a huge game. After the Muhlenburg game, they play Lancaster Bible on Monday, which was a decent team last year 0-0 tie. Probably not as good this year. After the Monday night game they play JHU on Saturday. Having a relatively deep bench helps as well.
Dude just ball rolled the keeper for another goal. Pretty nice. Very one-sided. Pace of play is still like 500 mph. Not sure why they don't slow it down up 3-0.
Pretty much know only one speed. If it was 5-0, it might be different. So many chances.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 02, 2023, 08:11:38 PM
Dude just ball rolled the keeper for another goal. Pretty nice. Very one-sided. Pace of play is still like 500 mph. Not sure why they don't slow it down up 3-0.
So, previous 2 years, 1-0 or 2-1 wins were pretty much the way they won games. In 2021 6 wins 1-0 (4 in a row), in 2022 they had 5 1-0 and 2 0-0 games. This year they have broken out of their low scoring trend and in their loss and 2 ties they had many many times to finish. They've scored 27 goals over 11 games along with 4 come from behind wins. Question will be how well will F&M's defense stand up. The 2 ties and loss the other teams had very, very few chances.
Also note Alvernia lost to Montclair State 2-1 and Univ. of Paywall 2-1, but I would say that they must have been much, much better on those nights.
Some matches to keep an eye on around the region this evening
Leb Val vs Lancaster Bible
PSU-Harrisburg vs Messiah
Gettysburg vs Misericordia
Haverford vs RUC
Scranton vs Lycoming
Drew vs Wilkes
Um. PSH shot scored inside the first 2 minutes.
I'd have to go back and look a couple of times... Gonna say the Falcon goalie biffed that one. Nice direct shot which took a hop, I guess, but... Not a great goal.
PSU Harrisburg does not look outmatched.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 03, 2023, 08:24:20 AM
Some matches to keep an eye on around the region this evening
Leb Val vs Lancaster Bible
PSU-Harrisburg vs Messiah
Gettysburg vs Misericordia
Haverford vs RUC
Scranton vs Lycoming
Drew vs Wilkes
Leb Valley tied Lancaster Bible 3-3 in a game that is best recounted in the National Perspectives thread.
Haverford beat Rutgers Camden 1-0. Haverford scored on a PK midway through the second half after its left wing turned the RUC defender rounding the endline into the box and was taken down. RUC had its own PK late in the second half saved by the Haverford GK to preserve the win.
Quote from: stlawus on October 03, 2023, 07:23:34 PM
PSU Harrisburg does not look outmatched.
They are a fun team... Nice counters. You can tell they have a plan and are patient when Messiah has the ball.
That early goal was crazy. Like, Falcons weren't sleepwalking, but they definitely weren't ready for that kid to slap that ball.. It was a weird half-kick and definitely flat-footed the keeper.
These announcers are entertaining. Trying to be "professional" but they lost it on the goal.. Which, is totally fine, btw. They don't need to be neutral, just don't be annoying about your home team slant.
But, yeah, one of them needs to probably study the game a bit more. Some of the stuff he is saying kind of doesn't really make sense.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 03, 2023, 07:10:21 PM
Um. PSH shot scored inside the first 2 minutes.
I'd have to go back and look a couple of times... Gonna say the Falcon goalie biffed that one. Nice direct shot which took a hop, I guess, but... Not a great goal.
FYI two years ago I think Messiahs only regular season lose was against PSU 1-0. Goal wasn't that early and PSH was very good team.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 03, 2023, 07:34:17 PM
Quote from: stlawus on October 03, 2023, 07:23:34 PM
PSU Harrisburg does not look outmatched.
They are a fun team... Nice counters. You can tell they have a plan and are patient when Messiah has the ball.
That early goal was crazy. Like, Falcons weren't sleepwalking, but they definitely weren't ready for that kid to slap that ball.. It was a weird half-kick and definitely flat-footed the keeper.
These announcers are entertaining. Trying to be "professional" but they lost it on the goal.. Which, is totally fine, btw. They don't need to be neutral, just don't be annoying about your home team slant.
But, yeah, one of them needs to probably study the game a bit more. Some of the stuff he is saying kind of doesn't really make sense.
A couple of years ago they had no announcers and no mic on the field. Much better now. FYI if you want to listen to crazy kid announcers listen to Haverford. They are funny and super annoying all at once.
Not sure if it's a new crew, but I listened to that crew a few years ago and they were very funny. Might just be their culture/tradition.. and, keep doing that! I love the students when they are trying.
I can't remember what NESCAC student crew it was, but they were similar to the Fords with being pretty funny.
Where can I find Massey rankings for announcers? :D
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 03, 2023, 07:46:24 PM
Where can I find Massey rankings for announcers? :D
I love all of it... Just the "you never know what you're going to get" nature of things. Such a quirky little corner of the universe.
(You absolutely know what you're going to get with a small percentage of schools/conferences. In addition to resident expert Sager, the Messiah home crew is notoriously and historically volunteer/professional.)
Just saw the PSU goal, nice one. Tough on the keeper when he's stretching and the ball bounces/skids.
Messiah equalizes on a controversial goal.
There's kind of no way the ball could die like that without a hand coming into play.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 03, 2023, 08:16:05 PM
Messiah equalizes on a controversial goal.
There's kind of no way the could die like that without a hand coming into play.
The world is right. Messiah 2-1
Lycoming defeats Scranton 1-0. Elizabethtown goes down a man in the 80th minute of a 1-1 game and scores with 30 seconds left to beat Juniata 2-1. Both now sit atop the Paywall conference at 3-0.
Mules homer back for some more after getting abused in first week of season by a supposed Mid-Atlantic expert. Haverford announcers (aka the Beavis and Butthead of the D3 booth) are hilarious and worth the listen in the old centennialconference.tv archive.
Quote from: BlueJay95 on October 03, 2023, 09:20:52 PM
Mules homer back for some more after getting abused in first week of season by a supposed Mid-Atlantic expert. Haverford announcers (aka the Beavis and Butthead of the D3 booth) are hilarious and worth the listen in the old centennialconference.tv archive.
Kind of a weird vibe here.
First time the Fords Bevis and B was during the Shane Reneer (?) era and it was the first round of the NCAAs. They were recruiting our son at the time. We thought it was pretty funny. Luckily he went another way as Shane left the following year.
Attended the Messiah/PSU-Harrisburg game last evening. The field is a very fast type of artificial surface that isn't suited to the Falcons' game of keeping the ball on the ground; and, whenever they went aerial in the first half (as a counter to an unusual defensive tactic), the ball seemed actually to speed up on landing. Probably an illusion, but balls definitely play faster on that field. It's the same field on which PSU defeated Messiah, 1-0, two years ago. There was no game last fall; I think it was rained out in Grantham.
It was a game of two halves, with PSU winning the first half and Messiah the second. The Lions scored almost right away, on their first counter, when D2 transfer Kobe Harris (https://athletics.hbg.psu.edu/sports/msoc/2023-24/bios/harris_kobe_9g10) got a wide-open shot around the top of the box and hit it just inside the right post. Maybe the GK was fooled, maybe a defender made a mistake, or maybe PSU just created the opening. I haven't seen a replay. Anyway, it was a nice goal. PSU put 5 men out front defensively, hustled their butts off, and pressured at every opportunity. The Falcons committed a lot of giveaways and also had many passes intercepted when defenders made well-timed runs into space. The Lions were very well organized and well disciplined. Kudos to them.
In order to counter that move, the Falcons did something they don't ordinarily do: they went over the top, repeatedly and deliberately, rather than sticking stubbornly to their usual pattern of building from the back. Now, I don't mean that they just abandoned the possession game; they didn't. But, they interrupted it much more than normal to play dump and run, Falcon style. In the first half it didn't work--not b/c PSU could match their speed (they couldn't), or b/c PSU knocked away or intercepted those long aerials (they didn't). Rather, the Falcons didn't properly adjust to the way the turf seemed to speed up passes. Far too many were sent far too long; they just went over the endline or out of bounds, without being touched by either side.
The Falcons fixed that in the second half, and totally dominated the Lions. The first goal, by perhaps the fastest Falcon, FR Sam Phillips (https://gomessiah.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster/sam-phillips/10315), resulted from a great long ball from (who else?) fifth-year outside back Grant Johnson (https://gomessiah.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster/grant-johnson/10298), his cup of tea. I didn't see any hint of a handball on the play, though Hopkins92 thinks maybe there had to be one. If anyone finds a replay, please chime in. Anyway, Phillips beat a defender and slammed it home less than 2 minutes into the second half. There were several more good chances for the Falcons, some of them from long passes, but none bore fruit until Macdonald did his usual thing: he outhustled and outmuscled a defender for a ball sent to the right of the box, then made a great pass into the middle, where it quickly got passed again to a wide-open Phillips. Macdonald wasn't credited for an assist, but his play created the opportunity and led directly to the score. He was double or triple teamed all evening, actually held to zero shots officially (I think he might have put a header on frame, but maybe it was seen as a pass by the scorer), but still found a way to create an easy goal for a teammate.
However, the best news for the Falcons last evening was the return of the player they call "LC," namely, AA defender Jake Lent-Koop. He had made two short appearances off the bench in the previous game, but honestly it was easy not to notice. Last evening, he dominated the field coming off the bench in each half, though he didn't do anything to write home about on any of the many set plays the Falcons had in the second half. Defensively, however, he has returned in what appears to be full force--and none too soon, given the big matchup with Widener on Saturday. I'm just very happy to see him in there, regardless of his fitness level, since the news didn't sound good when he went down with a knee injury right before the season began. I didn't like the Falcons' chances to go deep in the tournament without him. I only hope he can stay healthy the rest of the way.
In recent seasons the Falcons have been dogged by serious injuries to key players, more perhaps than their share. Other than LC, about a third of the Falcons' roster has missed all or some of the season to injury. The starting left forward (Cole Cristian) is out, his backup (Dylan Englehart) has yet to play a single minute, the backup target (Stefan Leitzal) missed several games, utility man Luke Foster was sub-par, FR CB Mark Adja missed the previous two games and had limited minutes yesterday, and a few others have spent some time in the trainer's room. The upside is, that Phillips has started four games and gotten a lot of minutes, which he's used profitably--the leading scorer so far with 7 goals.
during the Shane Reneer! where is he now, he tried recruiting my son when he was at Colgate, next year I saw him at Drexel where my older was playing ,then that head coach got fired?
I can't say definitively on the handball, but while I had access to the feed I watched that play a half-dozen times... I just don't see how a ball served that far and at that pace is going to hit off a forehead and die at his feet like it did. His arm comes up in a somewhat unnatural motion. But, like you say, it sure wasn't an "obvious" call by any stretch.
(And for the record, the PSH coach was pretty upset and was slapping his hand on his opposing forearm at the ref as the ball was being back up for kickoff.)
Overall, great analysis and agree that the first half was kind of tough to watch as Messiah struggled in possession. I think PSH was pressing one of their midfielders higher than Messiah may have anticipated.
Quote from: camosfan on October 04, 2023, 02:03:16 PM
during the Shane Reneer! where is he now, he tried recruiting my son when he was at Colgate, next year I saw him at Drexel where my older was playing ,then that head coach got fired?
Yeah, it looks like he might be looking to get back into soccer. Doesn't look like he is up to much right now other than being back in the Philly area. https://www.linkedin.com/in/shane-rineer/
However, he may be running his own business or working with this outfit. HQ in Paoli, PA which might be him. https://www.linkedin.com/company/athlete-match/about/ He may be involved with this, but his bio is not in there. However, he is in the picture here. https://athletematch.com/our-story/ Mark Wagner was Shane's coach back in the day at Eastern. Mark is also the older brother of Dan Wagner, F&M's coach and helps coaching F&M. Mark started the Future 500 ID camp as well.
I know Wagner "Future 500" was a good camp, never restart after Covid!
Widener down 2-0 already.
Watching the Hampden Sydney W&L game, well at least when the camera isn't backwards. Actually listening to one of the coaches talking to his team in the corner at half time, presumably due to one of those corner cameras. Interesting. My son is there in the stands texting me some game notes. Let's just say they are a little NSFW compared to the ones SC publishes. But hey, maybe he can look into a journalism major? ;D
I wonder if the Stockton camera person is aware we have a chyron with the score and time available. :-)
Pride fell into the trap. Just nothing really cooking for them tonight. Not sharp and the attack is pretty feeble (for them.) Couple of half chances for Fatiga, but they just don't look as energized as I've seen them earlier.
Understandable with a huge tilt this weekend, but it's going to mess with there RR.
W&L 2 -1. They showed some flashes of their former brilliance. Not sure if it's because they were playing a weaker team. Coach still mixing things up.
Classic trap game
Quote from: Another Mom on October 04, 2023, 09:04:17 PM
W&L 2 -1. They showed some flashes of their former brilliance. Not sure if it's because they were playing a weaker team. Coach still mixing things up.
The Squids beat VWU when they down 1 -0. So maybe turning the corner??
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 04, 2023, 09:05:28 PM
Classic trap game
I don't want to take TOO much from tonight, but...
It showed that Widener has limited # of players with skill. I know that's going to sound harsh from the resident hype-man, but what I've seen them do in many games is kind of overwhelm the oppo with quick counters and numbers in space (if that makes sense... 2v1 or 3v1 before the oppon can react).
Organized teams can absorb that and frustrate Widener. Not saying they are over-rated, just saying this Saturday is going to really be a Show Me game.
Sorry, not to be down the Widener rabbit hole. I don't feel like editing that, but... I mean players with game-changing level of skill. They are starting at a D3 program in a good conference. That's your baseline.
Watching tonight, just a criminal number of bad touch/turnovers. Not enough critical thinking to get the ball to the forwards (way too direct and in places that made it really difficult for the F to do anything with the ball.) Just a tough game to watch and I think Coach and every player would agree not the most cohesive approach.
Geez. Thinking... poor guys are just out there playing a random mid-week and getting hammered by their most random online super fan. :D Makes this weekend at Shoemaker all the more fascinating. If I wasn't going to Dewey for a fundraiser, I'd make an effort to be there. (Though... Sat weather is supposed to be sh*t so...)
My wife is out of town and I'm bored, so you guys are going to be subjected to some nonsense. With zero research, here is my "WTF Scale of CC Mascots"
From "This annoys me-->Doesn't really annoy me"
Haverford - ... Um... I guess, officially, your mascot is the Black Squirrels. Which, you know... Squirrels are literally just rats with puffier tales and tend to slant more nut than trash, but... Meh. When I knew you, it was... The Fords. And again... Jesus Christ guys. The lack of imagination speaks probably more to why the 80s and early 90s were an aberration of your schools giving a sh*t about sports. The Squirrels? The Fords. -1
Swarthmore -- Little Garnets... Or is it just Garnets? I dunno. C'mon man, this is pretty clearly one of the weakest CC mascots. Are you a birthstone? Are you, like... even a gem? WTF!!! Sorry. It's not that big of a deal. I get worked up.
McDaniel -- In a schtick most of you guys have no idea what I'm even blathering about, this used to be Western Maryland. (How I knew them back in the day.) Due to my daughter playing travel softball and traveling all over the MD/PA region for games, I've come to know Westminster and McDaniel from a proximity basis and really like the area. With that said... the Green Terror is a VERY VERY VERY stupid mascot. You and Tulane go sit in the corner.
Gettysburg - Bullets. I mean, I could really do a long riff on this as an amateur stand up, but... Short version. C'mon man. Gross. I feel similar to Carolina Hurricane, Chicago Fire, SJ Earthquake... You are defining your team by it's worst regional/historical moment. Why? What was going on when these folks made that decision. I know team names/mascots are tricky. You're trying to be fierce. But, like.... No.
Dickinson - Red Devils. In terms of ranking these guys, I'm actually VERY torn. In fact, typing that, I'm gonna move them once I'm done typing. Your boys are in Carlisle. They are dead-fing'-center in Amish country. I can not stress enough how many horse drawn stuff is happening in this part of the country. So, to come out with RED DEVILS in the midst of the barn-raising, butter churning, weird-meat-at-market corner of PA is absolutely bonkers. So.. Go.. Red Devils?? (I'm not against the Amish, mind you... Um, not that they should see this, right?)
Johns Hopkins - The Blue Jays. I mean... They are kind of asshole birds and a bit arrogant/territorial.
Story time !!!! My childhood cat once broke her leg/hip and had to be in a cast for a couple of weeks. A blue jay, who knew she couldn't move, would sit 4 feet from her and taunt her. I watched this for a solid week. My cat finally got the cast off and then proceeded to limp out to her spot on the back deck like she was still impaired. Blue jay landed and squawked. My cat (Mary, if you're looking for the box score) pounced and blue and grey feathers flew up... No more Blue Jay. So... Blue Jay is fine... But they play around too much!
Muhlenberg. Muhles. 'nuff said. And it's such a great descriptor... I have a lot of respect, so please understand the spirit. They come to play, they put in the work, they don't quit. (This is the only school where I didn't look up their actual mascot. I don't care. Muhles is perfect (again, please see the positive light I'm saying this.)
Ursinus -- The Bears. Say it like the SNL skit, but add a Philly lilt if your really want to slam it home.. I know this program has struggled a bit. They've also pipped JHU twice at home in as many chances. But the name... Couldn't be better, IMO.
Wash. College - The Shoremen. It might be their swag, it might be that I've been to Chestertown and feel the Eastern Shore of it all. I just absolutely love this local nod to a beautiful school and campus. (I played my last game on that field in 1992 and I think we tied, but I remember thinking that it was a really nice place to "hang it up.")
F&M - Diplomats. Sublime. Rivalry or whatever, you tip your cap to what works. I also love when a name lends itself to that one syllable shout out. (Which is partially why some teams got ranked lower. Whey our nickname/mascot sucks, it makes it harder.)
Sorry not sorry for the typos. I've had some wine and this sites formatting and editing... Ok, that's not the issue. I'm just lazy.
Hop, this is the type of content we're here for. I'm dying :D
Quote from: stlawus on October 04, 2023, 10:17:19 PM
Hop, this is the type of content we're here for. I'm dying :D
We gotta find a dude to do each conference.
I pulled so much of this out of my keister, I really hope other CC fans will chile in!
I caught a little bit of the Muhlenberg-Haverford game where the student commentators were criticizing the lack of creativity in the nicknames. Mules just became the school has it in the name. Fords because it has it in the name. Fortunately, not every school in the conference followed that naming convention or it could be a little awkward.
You were sticking with the nicknames for the write up but I'll provide some visual references for the mascots
F&M's mascots are Ben and John (https://www.the-college-reporter.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/ben-and-john.jpg).
Washington College has Gus the Goose (https://www.washcoll.edu/_images/3.0_campus_community/3.2_campus/gus.jpg)
Gettysburg College had Billy the Bullet (https://gettysburgian.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/13_original_file_I0.jpeg)
McDaniel Green Terror (https://mascothalloffame.com/wp-content/uploads/bb-plugin/cache/terror-e1679269760819-circle.jpg) older versions lol (https://live.staticflickr.com/6115/6228295659_e7f8b4d9fa_z.jpg) (https://www.mcdaniel.edu/sites/default/files/styles/big_teaser_4_3/public/2019-10/2017_10_24_1974%20Terror.jpg?h=41e9ddf5&itok=wM-haU2s)
Haverford Black Squirrel (https://mascothalloffame.com/wp-content/uploads/bb-plugin/cache/squirrel-ii-e1679269568116-circle.jpg)
Dickinson Red Devil (https://www.dickinson.edu/images/Widget_Ath_7.jpg)
Muhlenberg Marti Mule (https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/images/newscenter/magazine/MartiTheMule-2019-129.jpg)
Hopkins Blue Jay (https://snworksceo.imgix.net/jhn/f09d375e-5d77-4c59-b824-71edc9bf3534.sized-1000x1000.jpg?w=1000)
Ursinus Bear (https://www.ursinus.edu/live/image/gid/36/width/839/height/560/30014_FootballGameBearHighFive.rev.1569437000.JPG)
Swarthmore Phoenix (https://www.swarthmore.edu/bulletin/archive/wp/wp-content/uploads/july_2008/phoenix_jumping.jpg)
OMG I'm dying at some of these. Gettyburg looks more like a turd than it does a bullet. McDaniel's is terrorizing, at least the older ones. Swarthmore can call that a phoenix but it looks more like a chicken/scarecrow hybrid.
Gus the goose is my favorite of the bunch.
I'm getting error messages from trying to plus those
sorry paclassic, I guess I can't give you more karma.
THAT is fanTAStic.'
Trying to do jersey/W PA accent there.
So my wife and son are out of town and I too am a couple of glasses of wine deep so imagine when I stumble on this. This beats watching the second half of Meg 2 (first half put me to sleep) HANDS DOWN! Some of those mascot pics should be an inspiration to Steven King.
Not to kill the buzz, but I previously tried to upload (a pic of the Cortland dragon I think?) on a post with no success so figured the feature is preempted to save server space. Oh well I thought. Seeing this opens up a whole new world of creativity!
Edit: just zoomed in on "Billy the Turd" and noticed he is the "unofficial mascot." I'm dying.
Edit 2: Growing up in Columbia, I had a friend who's father was some faculty position at Western MD and would take us there on occasion. Fast forward to today and I'm like who is this McDaniel?
Quote from: stlawus on October 04, 2023, 10:17:19 PM
Hop, this is the type of content we're here for. I'm dying :D
Amazing post, 10 out of 10, Hop. I definitely like Blue Jays from the days when they dominated college lacrosse.
As to the Cent. Conf. mascots I can agree the Gettysburg's actually costume is the worst. However, I loved the craziness of the NBA Washington Bullets (formerly Balt. Bullets).
I actually think F&M's mascots costumes are pretty creepy sort of like the dead version of the old guys from Sesame Street https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statler_and_Waldorf.
However, "Go Dips!" is pretty cool to say out loud. One of dads is huge guy and I hear his voice every time I think of that. I also have no problem with "Dips are just going to Dip"
Hopkins92 and paclassic89: THANK YOU for the CC summaries!!
BlueJay95...Abused? I don't know if I would take it to that extreme but so be it. If you noticed in some of my other posts, I have the Muhles ranked in the region and they will most likely move up pending results this weekend. Yes, I poked in good fun after their loss to Scranton, freshly after you touted them the region's best. But abused? Interesting...here's my latest assessment for reference. I have them tied for 5th because I think they are probably better than Scranton BUT they lost to them so figured a T5 was fair at the time. Like I said, I can see them moving up when I review next week.
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Widener
T5. Scranton
T5. Muhles
7. Wash Coll
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 03, 2023, 09:27:24 PM
Quote from: BlueJay95 on October 03, 2023, 09:20:52 PM
Mules homer back for some more after getting abused in first week of season by a supposed Mid-Atlantic expert. Haverford announcers (aka the Beavis and Butthead of the D3 booth) are hilarious and worth the listen in the old centennialconference.tv archive.
Kind of a weird vibe here.
WARNING: Abusive language below!! :o
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 02, 2023, 10:42:43 AM
Scranton 1
Muhles 0
I'll keep watching ;)
Quote from: BlueJay95 on September 01, 2023, 06:57:02 AM
Don't sleep on the Mules MAF...a bit banged up coming out of preseason, but pretty much everyone back with a few strong recruits and a returning redshirt CB...very deep.
Hang in there BlueJay95. You'll be okay :)
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 05, 2023, 09:50:49 AM
Quote from: BlueJay95 on September 02, 2023, 02:20:46 PM
MAF - guess you watched the game? Let's troll on a message board. And everyone else in your esteemed ranking won right?
All in good fun. I see you're new to the boards...I will try and catch more Muhles games this season. Lots of parity in these regions as always!
Hopkins! You did not see the "To do" list? ;D
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 05, 2023, 09:17:25 AM
BlueJay95...Abused? I don't know if I would take it to that extreme but so be it. If you noticed in some of my other posts, I have the Muhles ranked in the region and they will most likely move up pending results this weekend. Yes, I poked in good fun after their loss to Scranton, freshly after you touted them the region's best. But abused? Interesting...here's my latest assessment for reference. I have them tied for 5th because I think they are probably better than Scranton BUT they lost to them so figured a T5 was fair at the time. Like I said, I can see them moving up when I review next week.
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Widener
T5. Scranton
T5. Muhles
7. Wash Coll
Surprised you even have Scranton listed. Last 4 games LTWL. They're currently out of the Paywall Conference playoff picture at 0-2-1.
Current RPI Top Ten
Region IV
1. Montclair State .6275
2. Stockton .6249
3. LVC .6150
4. Stevens .6114
5. Rowan .5884
6. Kean .5834
7. Rutgers-Camden .5652
8. FDU-Florham .5542
9. PSU-Abington .5383
10.PSU-Harrisburg .5347
Region V
1. Messiah .7192
2. F&M .6634
3. Muhlenberg .6326
4. Johns Hopkins .6164
5. Washington College .6147
6. Widener .6131
7. Drew .6053
8. Etown .6041
9. Dickinson .5995
10. Scranton .5726
Coach Singleton (W&L) had a snippet posted on the WLU Generals Facebook account today. Favorite Memory at W&L? "Earning a trip to our program's first final 4 while beating Messiah on our home field was a great day!"
Yep... it might have been a few years since Messiah won a Natty, but they are still getting everyone's best shot and carrying the big target on their backs. Been going on for 20+ years and you have to admire that success in a program.
Quote from: jknezek on October 06, 2023, 10:21:03 AM
Coach Singleton (W&L) had a snippet posted on the WLU Generals Facebook account today. Favorite Memory at W&L? "Earning a trip to our program's first final 4 while beating Messiah on our home field was a great day!"
Yep... it might have been a few years since Messiah won a Natty, but they are still getting everyone's best shot and carrying the big target on their backs. Been going on for 20+ years and you have to admire that success in a program.
Agree - Playing Messiah is most every program's biggest game of the season. Regardless of rankings, Messiah gets everyones "best" each time they play. Big target each time they play. Testament to the program for sure.
Absolutely. A program is gar consistently has great years. Beating or tying Messiah is an outstanding accomplishment.
I can't imagine that this wasn't mentioned on the board before and I somehow missed it....but just tripped on Christian Pulisic's father, Mark, previously being the long-term (12 years) coach at Lebanon Valley from '93 thru '04 when he handed the keys prior to the 2005 season to current head coach Charlie Grimes who was a star midfielder at Elizabethtown, helping the Blue Jays to 4 NCAA tourney appearances.
Never knew this! Pretty neat stuff.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 07, 2023, 09:15:54 AM
I can't imagine that this wasn't mentioned on the board before and I somehow missed it....but just tripped on Christian Pulisic's father, Mark, previously being the long-term (12 years) coach at Lebanon Valley from '93 thru '04 when he handed the keys prior to the 2005 season to current head coach Charlie Grimes who was a star midfielder at Elizabethtown, helping the Blue Jays to 4 NCAA tourney appearances.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 07, 2023, 09:15:54 AM
I can't imagine that this wasn't mentioned on the board before and I somehow missed it....but just tripped on Christian Pulisic's father, Mark, previously being the long-term (12 years) coach at Lebanon Valley from '93 thru '04 when he handed the keys prior to the 2005 season to current head coach Charlie Grimes who was a star midfielder at Elizabethtown, helping the Blue Jays to 4 NCAA tourney appearances.
Mark Pulisic, soccer-wise, was pretty well know in the south central area of PA before his son became famous. He also started the women's program at LVC and coached each at the same time. Son actually ran into Christian in Lancaster at a bar last year.
Hey everyone: If you want to watch a very, very good game and its only in the first 10 min or so. F&M v. Muhls. 2-1 F&M. Muhls scored first off a very nice free kick. In the next 5 min. Dips scored two off of two nice plays.
Rewind to see the goals.
Modify message
And W&L wins, 2-0. They are back to their old form, firing on all cylinders.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 07, 2023, 06:22:51 PM
Hey everyone: If you want to watch a very, very good game and its only in the first 10 min or so. F&M v. Muhls. 2-1 F&M. Muhls scored first off a very nice free kick. In the next 5 min. Dips scored two off of two nice plays.
Rewind to see the goals.
Final 4-2 F&M. Muhls had a rough own goal in the second half so F&M up 3-1. Muhls kept fighting and I would say played better in the second half and had a nice goal 3-2. F&M's keeper had a very nice save to keep it 3-2. Couple minutes later Oscar Horowitz got his second goal of the game (12 goals now, leading the Cent. Conf.)
F&M really pressured the Muhl's keeper and backs all game. Last goal sort was a result of that and F&M could have maybe gotten two more goals off of the pressure. Having watched the Muhls several times, I really thought they would be better. Maybe not letting them breath much throughout the game put them off their game. Dips did "swarm" and maybe that was the difference. Dips being Dips.
Up to 2nd place in the Conference. 3-0-2 behind WC which is 4-0-1. F&M has to play JHU and Wash C. still. WC has to play JHU, Muhls and F&M all in a row. JHU and Muhls are 1 point behind F&M. Next Saturday F&M plays JHU.
Messiah #1 takes down #13 Widener on homecoming weekend 2-0. Jake LC Lent-Koop returning from an injury got his for start of the season. Goals by Sam Philips and Matt McDonald in the first half. Messiah led in shots 11 to 4 and corners 11 to 0. Widener Sean Fatiga had two good chances but both were just wide of the goal. After watching the game today, I can see why he has been the MACC player of the week. Big, strong and will shoot from anywhere.
MAF Power Rankings (10/9)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Kean
4. Stevens
5. Stockton
6. Rowan
7. RUC
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Wash College
5. Muhles
6. Widener
7. Lycoming
Trap Game tonight?? F&M v. Lancaster Bible at 7. Last year, hard fought 0-0 tie. LBC just tied LVC after being a caught by LVC in the last couple of minutes.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 09, 2023, 05:25:07 PM
Trap Game tonight?? F&M v. Lancaster Bible at 7. Last year, hard fought 0-0 tie. LBC just tied LVC after being a caught by LVC in the last couple of minutes.
Half. F&M is dominating though only ahead 2-0. LBC hasn't had any luck. F&M could have 4 goals or more. Oscar Horowitz scored his 13th and 14th goal this season (school record is 17).
Some midweek games of interest around the region:
Drew at Moravian
Catholic at Etown
Leb Val at Alvernia
LBC at Messiah
Gettysburg at Mary Wash
Salisbury at Hopkins
Rowan at RUC
RUN at Montclair
Anyone know why Last night's F&M vs LBC game is not included in Massey ratings?
Quote from: D3 Dad on October 10, 2023, 12:31:38 PM
Anyone know why Last night's F&M vs LBC game is not included in Massey ratings?
Happened last year that the game was overlooked. I contacted Massey and asked him to include. May take a few days.
Results added below!
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 10, 2023, 11:46:30 AM
Some midweek games of interest around the region:
Drew at Moravian (3-0)
Catholic at Etown (2-1)
Leb Val at Alvernia (0-0)
LBC at Messiah
Gettysburg at Mary Wash (1-4)
Salisbury at Hopkins
Rowan at RUC
RUN at Montclair
Hop up 1-0 on a really nice cross to the far post against Salisbury. Fairly lopsided affair, but the Gulls had a really good chance off of a (bad) give-away by JHU in the middle of the park during the beginning of their build out.
Mentioned it before... That's their issue to fix right now. No other real chances of note, so...
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 11, 2023, 04:52:08 PM
Hop up 1-0 on a really nice cross to the far post against Salisbury. Fairly lopsided affair, but the Gulls had a really good chance off of a (bad) give-away by JHU in the middle of the park during the beginning of their build out.
Mentioned it before... That's their issue to fix right now. No other real chances of note, so...
Yeah, JHU definitely dominate, been watching out the corner of my eye. A lot of good chances.
2-0 final at Homewood. Hop get a PK call towards the 20 minute left to go mark. Silly foul, but the dude that drew the foul will do that to you...
On to the weekend tilt..
W&L 5 - 1 Guilford. Guilford's goal was an own goal.
Well, W&L has 2 more games before the whole season hits the line. What should be an easy upcoming pair of Randolph (Saturday) and Bridgewater (Wednesday), both on the road, are followed by CNU (10/21) and Lynchburg (10/25) at home. Then it's ODAC tournament time.
A couple weeks ago I said W&L would have to win the ODAC to make the NCAAs, I suspect now a clean run to the ODAC Finals should be enough for an at-large. Wins in the next 3 I think are required. W&L has no "signature" win this season, CNU is really the best opportunity. They also don't really have a bad loss. Both Ogelthorpe and Roanoke are having solid seasons. But they can't afford a bad loss, and they need that signature win. Lynchburg doesn't provide the pop CNU will, so of the two, a win against CNU is probably more important. A win and a tie against the pair probably would be ok.
We will see if the run of wins against weaker opponents has put W&L back on track in about a week's time.
My thoughts exactly! They are looking really good, and playing really well now, but it has been against weak teams. Lynchburg and CNU will really let us see where they are. There has been a lot of moving players around, and as one of the coaches said recently, it's a happy team now.
It may be helpful to project ranked wins vs signature. And both CNU and Lynchburg are almost locks to end up regionally ranked leading up to selection day. W&L's loss to Roanoke won't hurt much at all and Oglethorpe may or may not end up ranked but let's assume they do. VWU may have an outside shot which would give W&L a ranked win but I wouldn't count on that one. The draw with Emory should count and possibly Otterbein and/or Stockton will be ranked in terms of other ties.
W&L's winning pct and SoS should be in good enough range so Pool C likely would come down to ranked wins. CNU and Lynchburg are the opportunities and I suppose they could get another one if they face Lynchburg in the ODAC semis.
Of course W&L is probably at least a co-favorite to win ODAC tourney which would render all of the above irrelevant except for possibly hosting decisions.
Bottom line...I expect W&L to be in the NCAA field unless they go 0-2 or 0-3 or 0-2-1 in the two to three matches with CNU and Lynchburg.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 12, 2023, 09:54:49 AM
It may be helpful to project ranked wins vs signature. And both CNU and Lynchburg are almost locks to end up regionally ranked leading up to selection day. W&L's loss to Roanoke won't hurt much at all and Oglethorpe may or may not end up ranked but let's assume they do. VWU may have an outside shot which would give W&L a ranked win but I wouldn't count on that one. The draw with Emory should count and possibly Otterbein and/or Stockton will be ranked in terms of other ties.
W&L's winning pct and SoS should be in good enough range so Pool C likely would come down to ranked wins. CNU and Lynchburg are the opportunities and I suppose they could get another one if they face Lynchburg in the ODAC semis.
Of course W&L is probably at least a co-favorite to win ODAC tourney which would render all of the above irrelevant except for possibly hosting decisions.
Bottom line...I expect W&L to be in the NCAA field unless they go 0-2 or 0-3 or 0-2-1 in the two to three matches with CNU and Lynchburg.
This is definitely the more bottom line, quant analysis that I tend to favor. I was just being too lazy to go look up the ranked teams. I know W&L snuck back in this week toward the bottom but I haven't followed as closely this year and didn't feel like starting now. So I went with lazy shorthand of signature win knowing that it means nothing to the NCAA vs things like a regionally ranked win vs the last regionally ranked team...
And as you know @jknezek, the regional rankings that matter haven't even started yet...and the only ones that "count" are the 3rd and 4th weeks in November.
W&L is definitely in a good spot with their fate in their hands.
Because of W&L's recent hard work by playing top programs successfully, W&L has raised ODAC's stature in that it does not only have one team (tournament champ) go to the NCAAs. Without doing a deep, deep dive, I am guessing that ODAC had only one team go to the NCAAs for many years. Credit where credit is due.
Here's a fun page:
https://odaconline.com/documents/2023/8/17//odac_ncaa_records_msoc.pdf?id=2472
Highlights:
* - Of the 13 teams in the ODAC, 6 teams have made the NCAAs. Two of those have only made one appearance (EMU in 98 and Randolph College in '11).
* - Since 2016, the ODAC has sent 2 teams to the tourney 4 times (missing in 2018 and throwing out 2020), which means every year but one.
* - Prior to that, since 1976(!) they had only sent 2 teams 6 times. (So... 6 times in 40 years)
There, Sierra, hypotheses confirmed. :-)
Also of note, not having taken a deep dive on W&L recently. What an incredible run of success lately.
* Prior to 2015, W&L only made the tournament 1 time. Starting in 2015 they haven't missed the dance once. That's remarkable.
* Also interesting (to me) in looking at this, Virginia Wesleyan was a true power... from 1990 -2009 they made the dance 16 times. They got another bid in 2013. But run over 19 years is pretty astounding.
* And just to round things out, what stands out about Lynchburg is just the steadiness of the program over the history of the league. The only decade they didn't make an appearance was in the 90s, dating back to the mid-70s.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2023, 02:15:02 PM
Also of note, not having taken a deep dive on W&L recently. What an incredible run of success lately.
* Prior to 2015, W&L only made the tournament 1 time. Starting in 2015 they haven't missed the dance once. That's remarkable.
100% due to Coach Singleton, and also Coach Freeman, who has been assistant there for 9-10 years.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 12, 2023, 02:15:02 PM
Also of note, not having taken a deep dive on W&L recently. What an incredible run of success lately.
* Prior to 2015, W&L only made the tournament 1 time. Starting in 2015 they haven't missed the dance once. That's remarkable.
* Also interesting (to me) in looking at this, Virginia Wesleyan was a true power... from 1990 -2009 they made the dance 16 times. They got another bid in 2013. But run over 19 years is pretty astounding.
* And just to round things out, what stands out about Lynchburg is just the steadiness of the program over the history of the league. The only decade they didn't make an appearance was in the 90s, dating back to the mid-70s.
Coach Singleton definitely came in with a different mindset, and probably a different mandate from the school, than Coach Piranian who had been at W&L since the 70s. The 90s were a big turning point for W&L athletics. A lot of money was spent refurbishing and building new facilities, starting with the indoor tennis center, and that carried through for about a 25 year period until the new natatorium (swimming center) was built and the Duchossois athletic center (basketball, volleyball, wrestling, etc) was finished. The soccer fields were done about midway through the process if I remember right.
As those pre 90s coaches retired, the mindset changed. For a lot of W&L teams, in the 70s, 80s, and 90s, it was enough to be ok. Just be above average in the ODAC and have good students. That started to change in the mid to late 90s as sports became more of a selling and recruiting point as opposed to an extra offering for students, and the coaches that started coming in were much more competitive, either by nature or by department expectation. As the older coaches left, W&L teams starting being more than "just ODAC competitive", winning a lot more conference titles and going deeper into the playoffs.
It hasn't been a complete success. Some programs that struggled to be ODAC competitive took that first step, men's basketball is a good example. That was a program that struggled from the 80s to the mid 00s, I think my freshman year they won 2 games, but is now at least usually respectable in a very tough ODAC. But the sports teams that were already ODAC competitive are now much more nationally competitive.
Men's soccer was just one of the last programs for the old school coach to retire, so it stayed in that ODAC competitive tier where it had been much of Coach Piranian's career, until Coach Singleton came and took the next step.
Current RPI Top Ten
Region IV
1. Montclair State .6369
2. LVC .6222
3. Stockton .6125
4. Kean .6035
5. Stevens .5934
6. Rowan .5789
7. Rutgers-Camden .5634
8. FDU-Florham .5508
9. PSU-Harrisburg .5493
10.PSU-Abington .5429
Region V
1. Messiah .7111
2. F&M .6681
3. Widener .6219
4. Johns Hopkins .6176
5. Muhlenberg .6137
6. Dickinson .6022
7. Lycoming .5866
8. Catholic .5858
9. Drew .5735
10. Alvernia .5717
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 14, 2023, 06:49:55 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 14, 2023, 06:27:08 PM
If you all what to want to watch a very, very good game, check out the F&M Hop game. 1-0 Hop in the 7th min. Meyer No. 9 goal.
In the 24th min or so. Stupid foul by Hop. Free kick by F&M and for some reason Hop did not set up its line at the 18, but rather right in front of the goal. Kick into the box, easy header by Oscar Horowitz. 1-1 Koliebe's 5th assist (has 8 goals this season).
F&M has been raiding Hops back line all game. Putting max pressure. Hop just trying to pass it out off danger like it has for years. Slip up by Hop, Kaliebe one on one with keeper, passes to Horowitz and pass into the back of the net. 2-1 Horowitz's 16th goal and Koliebe's 6th assist.
Probably going to a few more goals on both sides.
Lots of soccer left. https://www.centennialconference.tv/godiplomats/
Sorry Hop. Tough day so far, still a lot of soccer yet. Koa Kaliebe picks the pocket again of the Hop back at the top of the 18 while they were trying to clear by passing it out. Oscar finishes again. Hat trick by Horowitz (second one this year) and hat trick assists for Kaliebe. Horowitz is now tied with F&M's season goal leader with 18 now.
So Koa now has 8 goals with 7 assists. I think there was a discussion before where that could be tough to have both. Yes, Oscar scored off two of those assists, but he did that easily. Koa had to do the really hard work getting the ball from the back and then to Oscar in place he could score easily. Also Kaliebe is probably one of the quickest player in Cent. Conf.
3-1 at half. May have been the toughest half for Hop in a long time.
May not mean much, but F&M has gone down a goal in 6 games this year. In 5 of those games (still another half against JHU), they have gone 4-1-1 (Wins Stevens, LVC, PSU Harrisburg, & McDaniel, 1-0 lose to Kean (11 SOG) and 1-1 against Haverford). In the last two years, they have not even come close to that.
W&L grinded it out with a late goal against Randolph!! Definitely keeping an at large bid alive should they not win ODACs!
Lynchburg (probably will never call it Univ of Lynchburg) had a rough night at home losing 1-0. VWU goal late in the game was what D3 soccer is all about. Check out this clip if you get a chance. Pretty incredible goal and celebration. https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxI59KfkcT6MI8HIiItOt7HYpsjG4mRNVj?si=TysVYtxiYO0OgNcg
W&L played terribly. No urgency. Some injured players didn't help. But hope you are right about the at large bid.
Quote from: Another Mom on October 14, 2023, 11:01:44 PM
W&L played terribly. No urgency. Some injured players didn't help. But hope you are right about the at large bid.
My best guess, W&L will have to win out to be ranked high enough regionally along with making to finals of the ODAC to get a bid. CNU and Lynchburg are probably going to ranked ahead of them regionally when the NCAA comes out with its regional rankings which I think will be this week or next. Lynchburg loss, though good for W&L's ODAC standing, may not mean as much when W&L beats Lynchburg. W&L may have not recovered enough from it first three games, but at least they can make their own luck.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 12, 2023, 09:53:55 PM
Current RPI Top Ten
Region IV
1. Montclair State .6369
2. LVC .6222
3. Stockton .6125
4. Kean .6035
5. Stevens .5934
6. Rowan .5789
7. Rutgers-Camden .5634
8. FDU-Florham .5508
9. PSU-Harrisburg .5493
10.PSU-Abington .5429
Region V
1. Messiah .7111
2. F&M .6681
3. Widener .6219
4. Johns Hopkins .6176
5. Muhlenberg .6137
6. Dickinson .6022
7. Lycoming .5866
8. Catholic .5858
9. Drew .5735
10. Alvernia .5717
@paclassics89 - where are these posted?
Mid-Atlantic Recap
F&M bests Hopkins 4-3 in a Centennial battle. Both teams are skilled but F&M look much improved from some of the matches I tuned into early on.
Muhles survive Ursinus 1-0 and continue to put the pressure on WC, F&M and JHU. Still not sold on the Muhles as their best result is a tie vs JHU.
WC dismantles Gettysburg and stays unbeaten. We will find out how good they really are over the course of the next 3 games vs F&M, Muhles & JHU.
Dickinson drops another and the CC playoffs are looking more and more unlikely for the Red Devils.
Lycoming and Catholic tie 1-1 in a battle atop the Landmark. The Warriors looked the better side for most of the game.
Scranton comes from behind to down Juniata. Juniata was stingy defensively but the Royals were too much to handle.
Drew continue to impress dropping 6 goals on Goucher. Enjoyable to watch for the attacking minded fans.
Etown keeps pace in the Landmark with an easy 3-0 victory over Wilkes.
Stevens, LVC and Misericordia all win to keep pace in the Freedom.
Messiah, Alvernia and Widener all continue their winning ways in the Commonwealth.
PSU-Abington is a team to watch in the United East as they have some nice results in non-conference and lead the pack.
St. Marys (Md), PSU-Harrisburg and Lancaster Bible all are close behind.
Quote from: BlueJay95 on October 15, 2023, 08:20:37 AM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 12, 2023, 09:53:55 PM
Current RPI Top Ten
Region IV
1. Montclair State .6369
2. LVC .6222
3. Stockton .6125
4. Kean .6035
5. Stevens .5934
6. Rowan .5789
7. Rutgers-Camden .5634
8. FDU-Florham .5508
9. PSU-Harrisburg .5493
10.PSU-Abington .5429
Region V
1. Messiah .7111
2. F&M .6681
3. Widener .6219
4. Johns Hopkins .6176
5. Muhlenberg .6137
6. Dickinson .6022
7. Lycoming .5866
8. Catholic .5858
9. Drew .5735
10. Alvernia .5717
@paclassics89 - where are these posted?
These are from his spreadsheet. He's our resident Massey.
Quote from: Another Mom on October 14, 2023, 11:01:44 PM
W&L played terribly. No urgency. Some injured players didn't help. But hope you are right about the at large bid.
On the list of things W&L could not afford... Better than a loss but I suspect they are real close to win out or stay home territory now...
Quote from: jknezek on October 15, 2023, 10:34:39 AM
Quote from: Another Mom on October 14, 2023, 11:01:44 PM
W&L played terribly. No urgency. Some injured players didn't help. But hope you are right about the at large bid.
On the list of things W&L could not afford... Better than a loss but I suspect they are real close to win out or stay home territory now...
Definitely, fortunately they have their fate in their own hands to a certain extent with CNU and Lynchburg still and both should be regionally ranked ahead of them.
Two upcoming milestones to keep an eye on in the Landmark Conference....
1. Lenny Armuth at Drew is sitting on 396 wins, just 4 short of 400.
2. Elizabethtown sitting on 898 program wins, just 2 short of 900.
Possibility exists they could face each other in the playoffs with both milestones on the line.
Watching a little NFL and Middlebury v. Conn while looking around W&L's soccer history. Who says we can't multitask.
Look at one of Rolf Piranian's last seasons 2014 and noticed a familiar name, Ross Liberati, asst coach. He was an asst. coach for Rolf and Mike Singleton. Now the coach for Widener for the last 5 years!
Nice pull!
I'm a big fan of looking at historically "meh" or underperforming teams and seeing that delta where "something" happened to turn around a program. I did a similar dive on Widener last year, but without this interesting "coaching tree" context.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 15, 2023, 05:06:22 PM
Nice pull!
I'm a big fan of looking at historically "meh" or underperforming teams and seeing that delta where "something" happened to turn around a program. I did a similar dive on Widener last year, but without this interesting "coaching tree" context.
Thanks. Back in mid 80's, Rolf and his wife had a son. Couple of times he had us over and I seem to remember him running around. He couldn't have more than 5. Now he's the coach at Wilkes. Even more personal, hahaha
https://gowilkesu.com/staff-directory/michael-piranian/245
Posting two different sets of rankings. The first are my normal "power" rankings and the second are my predictions for the first regional rankings that come out on Wednesday from the NCAA.
MAF Power Rankings (10/16)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Kean
4. Stevens
5. Stockton
6. Rowan
7. RUC
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Wash College
T5. Muhles
T5. Lycoming
7. Widener
MAF 1st RR Predictions
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Kean
3. LVC
4. Stockton
5. Stevens
6. Rowan
7. RUC
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Wash College
4. Hopkins
5. Lycoming
6. Muhles
7. Scranton
A couple things to note for the NCAA RR predictions:
-Region 4 is a toss up. Montclair should be the unanimous #1 with both record, SOS, etc. Once RvR is factored into the 2nd rankings I believe that will solidify them at #1 for the remainder of year-assuming they go at least 1-1-1 in their last 3 matches.
-Kean I think will get the edge over LVC for the pure fact of being unbeaten. I also think they will edge out LVC with SOS, so those two things combined will give them the nod for 2nd.
-Stockton looks better on paper than Stevens right now. I give the slight edge to them, which slots Stevens at 5 for the time being.
-Slots 6 and 7 are up for grabs. Take your pick but I think Rowan is safely in at 6th. That 7th slot is anybody's best guess. It could be any of RUC, PSU-Abington, FDU, or PSU-Harrisburg. Others that could find themselves in the 7th slot by the end of the year are NYU and RUN. Both are a smidge under .500 right now but will have strong SOS when all said and done (which the CMTE tends to favor).
-Region 5 is more standard but still some room for ambiguity amongst the CMTE. 1 and 2 are no brainers with Messiah and F&M securing those.
-Slots 3 thru 6 could go a few different ways. I think WC will edge out JHU in the first rankings for the same reason Kean edges out LVC in region 4-still unbeaten. The CMTE will let these 2 decide over the next week and a half when they face each other and potentially in conference playoffs.
-Slots 5 and 6 are also up for debate. Lycoming has gained some traction after their back to back losses at JHU and MW earlier in the year. My best guess is they will have a similar SOS than the Muhles. It's a slim margin and I am going off the data plus the eyeball test. I think Lycoming is better right now but I would not be surprised one bit if they were reversed. Both of these teams are comfortably in the top 6 in some capacity.
-And slot 7...another toss up and will more than likely be the case for the remainder of the year. There are a handful of teams that could sneak into this spot. Widener, Scranton, Dickinson, Drew, and Catholic all come to mind. Alvernia and Etown both have an uphill battle to jump these other teams where they currently stand. Widener has the record but have dropped both "challenges" they have faced. I fear that the Pride's SOS will be too low to hold onto a regional ranking spot. They may jump Scranton in the 1st rankings, but I don't see them holding on once RvR comes into play. I give the nod to Scranton with also 2 losses but a stronger SOS and more signature results (ie: W over Muhles and T w/Kean & Catholic).
Only time will tell if the CMTE agrees! :D
Thanks MAF for the great analysis!
MAF 1st RR Predictions
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Kean
3. LVC
4. Stockton
5. Stevens
6. Rowan
7. RUC
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Wash College
4. Hopkins
5. Lycoming
6. Muhles
7. Scranton
Definitely agree as to Region 4 as to Kean at 2 and LVC at 3. One way that it can be looked at and even though not regional games, but Kean beat F&M 1-0 and LVC lost to F&M. May not mean much as to the people ranking Region 4.
As to Region 5, this could clearly be what happens in the first week and maybe next week as well. With the Cent. Conf. getting down to critical games, Wash College plays JHU (currently 4th on points) this Wednesday, Muhls (3rd) on Sat. and then F&M (2nd) the following Saturday. So all can rise or fall by next week's regional rankings or even the following week's. Also Muhls other loss besides to F&M is to Scranton which was their first game of the season. Muhls also tied JHU.
As to Widener (losses to Stockton and Messiah), if they can win out and Wash Coll get swept or lose two out of three then Widener could be back in the run regionally.
Lots, lots of great games coming in both regions!
Here are my thoughts for the upcoming regional rankings:
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. LVC
3. Kean
4. Stevens
5. Stockton
6. Rowan
7. PSU-Abington
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Wash College
5. Muhles
6. Lycoming
7. Scranton or Widener (flip a coin)
Region IV - RPI Rankings - Pre-Regional Ranking 1
Rank | School | RPI | D3 SOS | Prev Rank |
1 | Montclair State | .6229 | .5621 | - |
2 | LVC | .6186 | .5427 | - |
3 | Stockton | .6161 | .5881 | - |
4 | Stevens | .6026 | .5812 | - |
5 | Kean | .5951 | .5197 | - |
6 | Rowan | .5741 | .5732 | - |
7 | Rutgers-Camden | .5518 | .5247 | - |
8 | PSU-Harrisburg | .5477 | .5525 | - |
9 | FDU-Florham | .5415 | .4859 | - |
Region V - RPI Rankings - Pre-Regional Ranking 1
Rank | School | RPI | D3 SOS | Prev Rank |
1 | Messiah | .6955 | .6059 | - |
2 | F&M | .6792 | .6199 | - |
3 | Muhlenberg | .6205 | .5634 | - |
4 | Widener | .6166 | .5401 | - |
5 | Johns Hopkins | .6162 | .5954 | - |
6 | Washington College | .6143 | .5453 | - |
7 | Catholic | .5885 | .5942 | - |
8 | Lycoming | .5817 | .5534 | - |
9 | Alvernia | .5793 | .5800 | - |
Couple of notes: These are just my RPI ratings. I'll leave the actual ranking predictions to others but this is usually pretty close, especially for the first rankings without RvR. There are some spots where the RPI numbers are close but there is a large discrepancy in SoS which is usually where the regional rankings may deviate. I also don't directly track SoS as a metric (it's built into my formulas) but these are quick approximations. They should be close but I tend to get slightly lower SoS numbers compared to NCAA for some reason. I've checked a couple of them with someone who has access to the data sheet 8-) and they're close enough. Also, I included 9 teams instead of 7 to show a couple of teams that may be on the bubble
Some games to watch this week...
-F&M @ Dickinson
-Hopkins @ WC
-Fords @ Hopkins
-Gettysburg @ F&M
-WC @ Muhles
-Alvernia @ Messiah
-LBC @ PSU Harrisburg
-PSU Abington @ PSU Harrisburg
-Stockton @ RUC
-Montclair @ RUC
-Drew @ Scranton
-Drew @ Lycoming
A slightly lazy question, but I don't feel like going back and doing the research...
Any sense of how high in the regional rankings you need to be to feel "safe" for getting an at-large bid?
Depends on several factors. What region are you in? Do the teams ranked in front of you need the Pool C bid because someone stole the automatic bid in the conference tournament. Look at the strength of schedule. In PA Classic's RPI data, take Middlebury as an example. They are 4th in Region I with a .6439, but that would put them first in Region 2, Region 4, and Region 8.
Like CSO said, there are a lot of factors. It's tough to say by regional ranking spot because there are substantial differences in strength between regions. I checked my data from last season and the lowest ranked at large team by RPI was 40th. There were a lot of conference tourney upsets last season so I think in a normal season a team would probably want to be at least top 50 RPI to feel like they have a realistic chance. Top 35 might be the safe zone. Barring a collapse where they drop points against both Haverford and Dickinson and then get bounced in the Centennial playoffs early, I think Hopkins is in a pretty good place to receive an at large if they don't win the Centennial.
As to Hop, I think winning tomorrow night against WC would be huge. The last two games should not be an issue.
Yeah, agreed, feel like the game against the best logo in the league is pretty huge.
The score in the W&L Bridgewater game was 9-0, W&L.
Very, very nice W&L!! As to CNU loss, that could be an issue as to when W&L beats CNU this weekend. In my opinion, it will be definitely mean something, but maybe not as much as it could possibly be if CNU hadn't lost. Also CNU could be more motivated now. May be small, but W&L seemed to not do as well at Newport News, but better at home which it will be. Only can control what they can control.
F&M just beat Dickinson 2-0 on their tough grass field (F&M clearly plays better on turf). One goal early then the second in last 6 min. or so. Wasn't a walk over or dominant performance by F&M. Dickinson definitely had their chances and F&M's defense played much better this game by keeping it clean most of the game.
Hop v. WC - Hop up 1-0 on a very nice goal in the first 15 min or so. WC had a great chance but no luck. I would give Hop the advantage as to play, but WC is playing tough. 15 min left in 1st half.
Muhls 0-0 against Swarthmore end of first half.
Watching the Jays - Goose game on second tv (happy wife!)... Absolutely feel like WC is going to score here. They have been pretty threatening in the first half.
Like the fact that Hop is taking the press out by lumping it up from time to time. WC's press is very effective.
Should be an interesting 2nd half.
2-0 Final.
Pretty big win for the Jays.
Hopkins with a well-played 2-0 win. Washington College dominated possession in the first half and had a couple of decent chances, including a shot off the crossbar, but Hopkins took advantage of their chances better. After a tense 8 or 9 minutes to begin the second half, Hopkins dominated the rest of the game. The Hopkins D looked much better than in the F&M game. They wisely chose to hoof it up to the forwards if things got desperate. WC also seems to run out of steam. Having now seen both F&M and WC play, I would pick F&M in a head-to-head match-up, which is coming up soon. F&M is a little more frenetic and I didn't see anyone on WC that could match Horowitz or Kaleiba from F&M.
Very, very nice game by Hop! Both goals were nice while definitely taking the steam out of WC. WC maybe had an off game, but don't think so. Hop played their game well from the beginning till the end. First loss by WC so now 9-1-5.
The announcer for WC was fine, but the static was killing me. Sound like he was talking into a tin can or maybe because the broadcast had to go under the Chesapeake to get to me. Not the first time it sounded like crap. Also not sure if there was anyone there. Usually more fun if you can hear the crowd a little.
Swarthmore's keeper had an amazing day with at least 3 very good saves. Muhlenberg couldn't get it done, 0-0.
With F&M's 2-0 win, F&M takes the Cent. Conf. lead for the first time by a point with 17, WC 16, Muhls 14 and Hop with 13. Only 4 pts separating the top four. All 4 have two more Cent. Conf. Games. As they say, anything can happen!! WC definitely looks like it has the toughest road with Muhls on Sat. and F&M the following Sat. Hop has Haverford at home and Dickinson away. I mentioned the away game because they'll have to play on grass field that is slowwww and may affect how they play. Muhls have WC and McDaniel and will be on a mission in my opinion. F&M has Gettysburg (can't figure out what happened with them. Having a very tough year) and then at the end WC. All sorts of scenarios that may come down to the final weekend much like two years ago where F&M had to beat Hop to get into the top 5 to qualify for the conf. tournament. Question is, like always, who is peaking or can continue to grind it out. Fun times.
May not seem much, but, with, 6 teams making the tournament now, top two seeds get byes and top seed gets home field in every game. Did not help F&M last year as it won the conference reg. season but lost to the Muhls 2-0 in the semis and Muhls went to on to win it all.
Widener tied Stevenson today. They needed to be perfect down the stretch to have a shot at an at large. I wouldn't be surprised if they drop out of the regional rankings and one of Lyco/Alvernia/Scranton replaces them in a week or two
Watching the WC Hop game live was great for many reasons. I would agree with a lot of the comments above, especially the ones about Hopkins adapting and playing long. I specifically heard the GK and backline talking through some of the problems they encountered during the first half. One way to avoid an Achilles heal is to bypass it altogether. Perhaps this was a lesson learned in the F&M game. If so hats off to the Hopkins staff.
Sounds like the livestream audio was not good. I took some videos of the game including the 2 goals. When I get a chance I will try to publish them.
Really good game.
I will say, after starting off a little slow, Hop has found a goal scorer in Griffin Meyer who now has 12 Gs and 2 As on the year. Meyer is a Grad Student transfer who played at Denver last year, scoring 4 Gs and 4 As in the Summit League.
It was pointed out to me offline (sorta) that this team has a decent amount of grad student transfers and it sure looks like they are starting to click.
I will also say, I noticed that guys were staying out longer than the "typical" rotation Coach A had been using. I don't have time to go back and do a deep dive, but they only used 5 subs last night, as opposed to the prior game against F&M where they used 8 subs.
Definitely as to Hop and Meyer. Hop has 27 goals over all so he has a good chunk. He had a hattrick against F&M which probably has not happened in many many years or at least not in the last 10 years or so. However and in the same game, I doubt Hop had ever given up 4 goals by the same guy much less 4 assists by another player. Hahaha. Still stunned about that one game. So Meyer is not getting goals against easy teams.
As to the Cent. Conf., one thing I've noticed is that I think offense is definitely up this year. I believe that many teams to include Hopkins are scoring more goals this year then in the past. Until this year, F&M had relied heavily on defense and eaking out 1-0 games many times (6 times of its 14 wins were 1-0 in 2021, 5 1-0 in 2021 which they won 13 games). F&M scored 29 goals over 20 games last year and in 2023 over 15 games they have scored 40 (only one game could be classified as padding 5-0 against Rosemont). Went from 1.45 goals per game to 2.67 this year. Over all, I would say the Cent. Conf. seems more exciting offensively and which is great, but with F&M's top scorer who is senior and Meyer a grad student this may not be trend.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 18, 2023, 10:48:25 PM
Widener tied Stevenson today. They needed to be perfect down the stretch to have a shot at an at large. I wouldn't be surprised if they drop out of the regional rankings and one of Lyco/Alvernia/Scranton replaces them in a week or two
I agree with your assessment. They have a subpar SOS that will most likely drop with their upcoming schedule. The tie certainly hurts them as Stevenson is struggling this season and looks to be under .500 even if they win out.
I think the big surprise was Catholic making the top 7. We don't know where they were ranked but would more than likely be that 7th spot. With RvR factoring in and results between now and then, I would agree that Widener could drop out and Lycoming or Scranton (or both) could jump in. Catholic has a high SOS but their record and RvR hurts them compared to others.
Lots of matches left and I think this region will continue to shift until the last day.
Region 4 was pretty standard and no surprises in my opinion.
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 19, 2023, 11:31:18 AM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 18, 2023, 10:48:25 PM
Widener tied Stevenson today. They needed to be perfect down the stretch to have a shot at an at large. I wouldn't be surprised if they drop out of the regional rankings and one of Lyco/Alvernia/Scranton replaces them in a week or two
I agree with your assessment. They have a subpar SOS that will most likely drop with their upcoming schedule. The tie certainly hurts them as Stevenson is struggling this season and looks to be under .500 even if they win out.
I think the big surprise was Catholic making the top 7. We don't know where they were ranked but would more than likely be that 7th spot. With RvR factoring in and results between now and then, I would agree that Widener could drop out and Lycoming or Scranton (or both) could jump in. Catholic has a high SOS but their record and RvR hurts them compared to others.
Lots of matches left and I think this region will continue to shift until the last day.
Region 4 was pretty standard and no surprises in my opinion.
To regional ranking experts which I have a little context, but have not the expertise.
Do conference tournament results or lack of results impact teams' regional rankings? Or the conf. tourn. not considered?
For instance, a 6th seed conf. tournament team goes on a tear and makes it to the finals but loses and also they were not in the top 7 regionally prior to the start of the tournament, could they maybe get an at-large bid? Sorry, a hypothetical I know, but have there been examples of this before? Non top 7 regional team crushing it in conf. tourn but not winning getting an at-large bid?
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 19, 2023, 12:37:13 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 19, 2023, 11:31:18 AM
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 18, 2023, 10:48:25 PM
Widener tied Stevenson today. They needed to be perfect down the stretch to have a shot at an at large. I wouldn't be surprised if they drop out of the regional rankings and one of Lyco/Alvernia/Scranton replaces them in a week or two
I agree with your assessment. They have a subpar SOS that will most likely drop with their upcoming schedule. The tie certainly hurts them as Stevenson is struggling this season and looks to be under .500 even if they win out.
I think the big surprise was Catholic making the top 7. We don't know where they were ranked but would more than likely be that 7th spot. With RvR factoring in and results between now and then, I would agree that Widener could drop out and Lycoming or Scranton (or both) could jump in. Catholic has a high SOS but their record and RvR hurts them compared to others.
Lots of matches left and I think this region will continue to shift until the last day.
Region 4 was pretty standard and no surprises in my opinion.
To regional ranking experts which I have a little context, but have not the expertise.
Do conference tournament results or lack of results impact teams' regional rankings? Or the conf. tourn. not considered?
For instance, a 6th seed conf. tournament team goes on a tear and makes it to the finals but loses and also they were not in the top 7 regionally prior to the start of the tournament, could they maybe get an at-large bid? Sorry, a hypothetical I know, but have there been examples of this before? Non top 7 regional team crushing it in conf. tourn but not winning getting an at-large bid?
The final rankings do take into account conference tournament results, but those rankings are not released until after the selections for the tournament are posted.
Yes, conference tournament results are considered. Per the selection criteria, they are not given more weight for being conference tournament games. From the NCAA's viewpoint, they are just additional regular season contests. And there is no penalty for missing your conference tournament (IIRC, RPI was selected one year despite not making the Liberty League playoffs). Beyond the chance of winning an automatic berth to the NCAA Tournament, making your conference tournament can also have the benefit of providing a chance to increase your SOS and pick up some wins against regional ranked teams. Of course, the opposite can happen as well. Depending on your conference and/or who you get paired with, it can lower your SOS. And unless you win the conference tournament and AQ (in which case selection criteria is irrelevant), you will probably be lowering your winning pct. and might pick up a loss (or tie) to a ranked team. So unless you go on and win your conference tournament, your at-large resume is probably worse for having participated in the conference tournament, but the same will be true for most other teams needing an at-large berth.
Whether the scenario you laid out could actually happen, it's theoretically possible even if the odds are rather low. With the more at-large berths this year, the possibility does increase. It would require the region to be considered strong and deep and for the previously ranked teams, at least the ones in the bottom half of the rankings, to be closely clustered with little separation from the previously unranked teams (including the team of interest) that just missed the previous ranking. And the team would need to defeat one or more regionally ranked teams in their conference tournament run.
Thanks!
FW of course is correct about RPI making the tournament one after not making the LL playoffs.
Same thing with OWU in 2016. Finished 5th in the conference (only top 4 make NCAC tourney) and still got a bid.
This is partly why you also can't count out teams that have an overall record that on first blush might seem disqualifying. With a high SoS and 3 or more regionally ranked wins teams can get bids with records like 9-5-2, 8-5-4, 7-4-5, 9-6-1, etc. Rochester, Tufts, and others have gotten bids with those kinds of records.
Thanks! So don't have to make the tournament to make NCAAs and possibly be the lowest seed get in conf tourney, make to to the finals, and possibly get an at large bid.
Goals from Hopkins at WC last night (video is raw and unedited):
Hopkins first goal (https://youtu.be/1mM5m3EAgGw)
Hopkins second goal (https://youtu.be/2QuRFkfrZno)
First goal was a great finish. Hand ball was missed in the build up for goal #2, but so it goes. There were quite a few no calls, but at least it seemed to be consistent. There was only one yellow shown and iirc it was for dissent. Attendance was sparse for visiting Hopkins--I did not see any students. If I can find some time I'll work on a video of the press including some adjustments it seems Hopkins tried to make.
To one of the points above I heard they have 5 D1 grad student xfers. Unless I'm missing something I count 4 on their current roster. I'm thinking once the 5th year of eligibility expires there may be somewhat of a regression to the mean. Time will tell.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 19, 2023, 09:17:01 PM
Goals from Hopkins at WC last night (video is raw and unedited):
Hopkins first goal (https://youtu.be/1mM5m3EAgGw)
Hopkins second goal (https://youtu.be/2QuRFkfrZno)
First goal was a great finish. Hand ball was missed in the build up for goal #2, but so it goes. There were quite a few no calls, but at least it seemed to be consistent. There was only one yellow shown and iirc it was for dissent. Attendance was sparse for visiting Hopkins--I did not see any students. If I can find some time I'll work on a video of the press including some adjustments it seems Hopkins tried to make.
To one of the points above I heard they have 5 D1 grad student xfers. Unless I'm missing something I count 4 on their current roster. I'm thinking once the 5th year of eligibility expires there may be somewhat of a regression to the mean. Time will tell.
Thanks Fred!
I counted 7 grad students on Hop's roster. I think 5 get a lot of playing time and one comes.off bench and gets quality time. Of the 7, I think 2 went to JHU undergrad. Some are D1s grad students but some played D3.
Hopkins grad students:
- Aidan Dunphy - MF - starter - played at Hopkins as an undergrad.
- Griffin Meyer - F - starter - played at U. Denver as an undergrad.
- Ben Goodman - W - starter - played at Winthrop as an undergrad.
- Eli Carr - MF/D - starter - played at Old Dominion as an undergrad.
- Max Edelstein - MF/F - has started 10/15 games - played at Colgate as an undergrad
- Ben Sollinger - D - reserve - played at Hopkins as an undergrad
- JP Furman - G - has started 7/15 games - played at Sewanee as an undergrad
So 4 current starters, one reserve who gets a lot of minutes, one reserve who gets a few minutes, and a goalie who has played roughly half the games but not the last few
It's a huge advantage in game. About 30% of the players on the field are 5th year. 23 and 24 year olds playing 18 and 19 year olds
I would say it can be helpful but one can't overlook chemistry. Beginning of season, Mary Washington (without any grad transfers...at least listed) handled JHU and what stood out was Mary Washington's chemistry...they looked like they never dropped a beat from last year's Final 4 team. And remember JHU had its own success making the Elite 8. Now that we are deep into the season, JHU chemistry does seem to be there once again.
Quote from: jfreddys on October 21, 2023, 08:30:27 AM
I would say it can be helpful but one can't overlook chemistry. Beginning of season, Mary Washington (without any grad transfers...at least listed) handled JHU and what stood out was Mary Washington's chemistry...they looked like they never dropped a beat from last year's Final 4 team. And remember JHU had its own success making the Elite 8. Now that we are deep into the season, JHU chemistry does seem to be there once again.
Yes, definitely an advantage, but we will see obviously in the next few weeks. Having opportunities for students to go to a great university while as graduate students may only be short term. Question will be if there will be a hangover experience/recruitment wise in the next couple of years once this ends.
FYI JHU womens won the nat'l championship last year with 9 grad students and are doing well this year with 6 grad students.
Did not see the W&L v CNU game and unfortunately the stream was not saved (or I can't find it). Obviously a disappointment. Looks like W&L had opportunities, and, based on the recap, CNU's first goal sounded like a tough goal to give up -
The Captains (10-2-2) took an initial 1-0 lead in the 16th minute following a throw-in near midfield. The throw came into Elton Quintanilla who turned, took one touch, and found Caleb Jones on a through ball on the left side. Jones took control after a hesitation touch, before racing into the box on the left side. With W&L (9-3-4) defender Will Luik draped all over him, Jones hit a left-footed shot which pinged off the right post and into the back of the net, just beyond the outstretched arm of goalkeeper Will Joseph.
Just got to come out strong with the home game on Wednesday against Lynchburg. Win and get home field advantage all through the ODACs. Maybe have to do it the hard way.
Was at the CNU vs. W&L game. CNU probably had the better of the play in the 1st half. Then gave up a sloppy PK only seconds into the 2nd half. CNU got the second goal via a really nice volley. Fairly even after that until W&L poured on the pressure with about 10 minutes left but CNU held on.
I was there as well. Agree with your assessment of the game. Both teams had chances, unfortunately W&L couldn't finish any.
Sorry to hear about W&L
F&M played a throw back to the previous two seasons. A lot of chances they were not able to finish. Despite Gettysburg coming out swinging in the second, F&M got a nice goal to win on Seniors Night 1-0. One more conf. game next Saturday against WC. Win or draw and F&M will win the conference.
Tough, tough tie by Hop against Swarthmore. From what I saw, Hop definitely out played Swat. Just got unlucky for one moment in the second half. Mathematically, I think Hop can still get 2nd place in the Cent. Conf, but tough road. Will need for the Muhls to beat WC tonight and then Muhls lose in its final game against McDaniel. Of course, Hop will have to beat Dickinson away. That is also assuming that the conf. tiebreaker goes in their favor (head to head Hop tied the Muhls). At the very least Hop has a guaranteed home playoff game now.
Shoremen go up 1-0 in the 54th. Camera angle in Allentown is horrible.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 21, 2023, 08:23:07 PM
Shoremen go up 1-0 in the 54th. Camera angle in Allentown is horrible.
Hahaha, yes nice goal. Just enjoy the Muhls new turf. Their grass field was really, really bad until they got this. It was definitely an advantage. No stadium so no high perspective and no real high press box so only low shot. They do have a pretty big football stadium, but, obviously, don't play soccer there.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 21, 2023, 09:35:00 AM
Quote from: jfreddys on October 21, 2023, 08:30:27 AM
I would say it can be helpful but one can't overlook chemistry. Beginning of season, Mary Washington (without any grad transfers...at least listed) handled JHU and what stood out was Mary Washington's chemistry...they looked like they never dropped a beat from last year's Final 4 team. And remember JHU had its own success making the Elite 8. Now that we are deep into the season, JHU chemistry does seem to be there once again.
Yes, definitely an advantage, but we will see obviously in the next few weeks. Having opportunities for students to go to a great university while as graduate students may only be short term. Question will be if there will be a hangover experience/recruitment wise in the next couple of years once this ends.
FYI JHU womens won the nat'l championship last year with 9 grad students and are doing well this year with 6 grad students.
When I read the bios of the 6 grad students on the JHU women's team, it seems a bit of a joke. Most of them have either legitimate D1 experience for middling to good (e.g. Wake Forest) teams, or many games of starting experience with leading D3 programs (e.g; Pomona, Hamilton, etc.). This doesn't strike me as particularly fair...but I'm probably old fashioned...
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 21, 2023, 08:08:49 PM
Sorry to hear about W&L
F&M played a throw back to the previous two seasons. A lot of chances they were not able to finish. Despite Gettysburg coming out swinging in the second, F&M got a nice goal to win on Seniors Night 1-0. One more conf. game next Saturday against WC. Win or draw and F&M will win the conference.
Tough, tough tie by Hop against Swarthmore. From what I saw, Hop definitely out played Swat. Just got unlucky for one moment in the second half. Mathematically, I think Hop can still get 2nd place in the Cent. Conf, but tough road. Will need for the Muhls to beat WC tonight and then Muhls lose in its final game against McDaniel. Of course, Hop will have to beat Dickinson away. That is also assuming that the conf. tiebreaker goes in their favor (head to head Hop tied the Muhls). At the very least Hop has a guaranteed home playoff game now.
You mean Hopkins tied Haverford, right? That was the opponent today, not Swarthmore.
Haverford has actually tied both F&M and Hopkins and has 8 ties overall.
Quote from: D3Parent1 on October 20, 2023, 10:42:04 PM
It's a huge advantage in game. About 30% of the players on the field are 5th year. 23 and 24 year olds playing 18 and 19 year olds
Or 23 year olds playing other 23 year olds while the 19 year olds watch from the sideline. Current recruits are aware of this or at least should be. I'd think a return to the norm for recruiting is the starting point. All speculative and macro level of course but maybe current sophomores and juniors could be considered a lost generation. Three years later still feel bad for students athletes affected by 2020.
Quote from: northman on October 21, 2023, 08:42:42 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 21, 2023, 09:35:00 AM
Quote from: jfreddys on October 21, 2023, 08:30:27 AM
I would say it can be helpful but one can't overlook chemistry. Beginning of season, Mary Washington (without any grad transfers...at least listed) handled JHU and what stood out was Mary Washington's chemistry...they looked like they never dropped a beat from last year's Final 4 team. And remember JHU had its own success making the Elite 8. Now that we are deep into the season, JHU chemistry does seem to be there once again.
Yes, definitely an advantage, but we will see obviously in the next few weeks. Having opportunities for students to go to a great university while as graduate students may only be short term. Question will be if there will be a hangover experience/recruitment wise in the next couple of years once this ends.
FYI JHU womens won the nat'l championship last year with 9 grad students and are doing well this year with 6 grad students.
When I read the bios of the 6 grad students on the JHU women's team, it seems a bit of a joke. Most of them have either legitimate D1 experience for middling to good (e.g. Wake Forest) teams, or many games of starting experience with leading D3 programs (e.g; Pomona, Hamilton, etc.). This doesn't strike me as particularly fair...but I'm probably old fashioned...
Fair or not I think the counter to this is they only got 3 years at those programs. Either way to your point there are still impacts today. And not sure about the women's side but certainly for the men there is a compounding effect of growth in international student athletes within D1. For these reasons I'd expect the overall standards for D3 soccer have risen with these tides and will continue to do so in the future. As mentioned in sporadic other posts, these are not your parent's Hopkins teams. (No offense to the respected Hopkins alum on these boards of course.) I'm hopeful this means someday there will be many more fans paying attention to D3 soccer. If so let's just hope the platform is an internationally recognized content provider as opposed to a conference-based paywall?
A lot of intriguing results over the last week which made this a struggle for both personal rankings and regional predictions. My power rankings and best guesses below!
MAF Power Rankings (10/23)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Kean
4. Stevens
5. Stockton
6. Rowan
7. PSU-Harrisburg
-Swapping out Camden for PSU-Harrisburg as they have been on a skid over the last 2.5 weeks. 0-4-2 in their last 6 isn't good enough for me
-Stockton and Rowan face off in the season finale. Right now I have Stockton with the edge but Massey has Rowan by the slightest of margins. Winner gets 5th in my next rankings ;D
-LVC at Stevens this weekend will be a fun one to watch and tell us more about both teams. I expect a rematch in a few weeks for the conference final
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Wash College
5. Lycoming
6. Scranton
7. Muhles
RV: Widener & Catholic
-Messiah & F&M with a stronghold on the top 2 spots
-JHU and WC battled it out and JHU came out on top. They get the nod at 3 ahead of WC but I wouldn't be surprised to see these 2 switched in the RR
-Lycoming continues to impress me. They get the nod over Scranton and Muhles this week
-Take your pick at #6 and #7 but I am going Scranton with the H2H win over Muhles
-Slotting the Muhles at 7th but easily could be out. 1-2-1 in their last 4 and trending in the wrong direction
-Widener and Catholic on the outside looking in but both could trump the Muhles or Royals over the next few weeks
MAF 2nd RR Predictions
Region 4
1. Montclair--They are the cream of the crop in this region. No one is close and they will be #1 for the next 3 rankings. Looking at a 3-1-0 RvR and solid SOS
2. Kean--Still unbeaten but the SOS is very low. Will they balance each other out? RvR is 2-0-1 or 2-0-2 w/Montclair left
3. LVC--They keep plugging away. A win vs Stevens would brighten their at-large chances. Somewhat low SOS and 1-1-0 RvR
4. Stevens--1-2-1 or 1-1-1 RvR with a strong SOS. They might inch higher than this as spots 2 through 5 are tight
5. Stockton--Close behind but still what I'd consider the next tier in this region. 1-2-3 RvR or 0-2-3 RvR. SOS is only thing saving them
6. Rowan--0-3-2 RvR with one chance left. At-large bid looks slim unless they beat Stockton. SOS is strong per usual for the Profs
7. PSU-Harrisburg--0-3-0 or 0-3-1 RvR but a strong SOS will keep them ahead of others and in the final slot
Region 5
1. Messiah--easy #1 w/either a 6-0-0 or 5-0-0 RvR and strong SOS
2. F&M--easy #2 w/5-1-0 RvR and strong SOS
3. Wash College--I have WC ahead in my power rankings but think they stay ahead of JHU here. Most likely a 2-1-1 RvR this week and solid SOS
4. Hopkins--H2H over WC but looking at 1-2-2 RvR maybe 2-2-2 RvR at best and a high SOS. The H2H might be enough for them to jump WC, especially if they get 2 ranked wins
5. Scranton--A lower SOS but potential for 2-0-2 or 2-1-2 RvR. Can't overlook the RvR and H2H results compared to others in the region including H2H over Muhles
6. Muhles--No ranked wins will haunt the Muhles. RvR of 0-2-1 or 0-3-1 will see them slip further down the region. A good SOS keeps them in this week but not by much. Look for them to drop out completely if they can't pick up a ranked win in the next week and a half.
7. Lycoming--One of the hottest teams in the region at 9-1-2 since their back to back losses against JHU and MW. Looking at 0-3-2 or 1-3-3 potential for RvR and a good SOS. Could still be on the outside looking in. Would not be surprised to see Widener or Catholic or both in over Scranton, Muhles or Lyco.
Others:
Widener--A sloppy tie with Stevenson and lower SOS will hurt the Pride's chances of cracking the rankings. 1-2-0 RvR won't be enough to offset the SOS and other's resumes. They could still be in at #7 with the ranked win helping their cause. I don't think they are the same caliber as the others predicted ahead of them.
Catholic--A high SOS but a hefty amount of losses for the Cardinals, including a projected 0-3-0 RvR. Potential for 0-3-1 or 0-3-2 if Lyco/Scranton get ranked ahead of them. I see them slipping out this week with the RvR factored in although they could stay ahead of Scranton/Lyco. 1 more chance for a ranked win vs MW this week.
Slots 5-7 are going to be battled out by the last 5 teams on the board. All depends what the CMTE values. We know SOS is a big factor, but can be offset by RvR, H2H, common opponents, and win% as we dive into the 2nd release of the regional rankings.
Good stuff MAF how many of these teams & who, do you see playing in the NCAA tournament?
Scranton has a monster game Saturday vs Moravian. Winner makes the paywall conference tournament while the loser is most likey out. Catholic already has the#2 seed locked up but still has an outside shot at the #1 with a win vs Juniata combined with a Lycoming loss to Elizabethtown.
Quote from: SKUD on October 23, 2023, 02:32:48 PM
Good stuff MAF how many of these teams & who, do you see playing in the NCAA tournament?
Thanks SKUD! Right now it's too hard to tell. A lot will depend on the next 2 weeks and how conference playoffs go. Which teams will earn the AQ and which teams will fight for seeding in the regional rankings. I will try and break it down with Locks, Good Shape, Bubble, and Most Likely Out.
Locks:Messiah, F&M and Montclair--regardless if they get the AQ or an at-large these 3 are practically locks to go dancing one way or another. Montclair might not feel this way just yet after what happened to them last season, but I think they are more comfortable this year with a better SOS, RvR and overall resume in a weak region. They should be first off the board in Region 4. Messiah and F&M will be the first 2 off the board in Region 5.
Good ShapeHopkins, Wash College, Stevens, LVC--all of these teams have a good shot at winning the AQ and if they don't, it more than likely means one of the teams ahead of them or next to them have gotten it. The loser of Stevens vs LVC will have a chance to come off the board early for an at-large but it will depend how their resume stacks up against the other regions. Region 5 seems stronger this year than region 4 so I would guess you'll see more teams come from this region for at-large bids than the other. Just depends on how the AQs break down.
BubbleKean, Stockton, Rowan, Lycoming, Catholic, Scranton, Muhles--all of these teams have a chance to be regionally ranked and also win their AQ. If they don't win the AQ will they be ranked high enough to come off the board? These are the definition of pure bubble teams.
Most Likely OutWidener, Alvernia, Dickinson, PSU-Harrisburg--these teams pretty much need the AQ to get into the dance. A couple may stay in the regional rankings but they won't have a chance at an at-large bid to the tournament.
Quote from: Ejay on October 23, 2023, 02:46:26 PM
Scranton has a monster game Saturday vs Moravian. Winner makes the paywall conference tournament while the loser is most likey out. Catholic already has the#2 seed locked up but still has an outside shot at the #1 with a win vs Juniata combined with a Lycoming loss to Elizabethtown.
Big weekend ahead in the Landmark. From what I can tell only a few teams are locked in.
Lycoming and Catholic are battling for the 1 seed but both have secured 1st round byes and home field advantage for the semifinals. A Catholic win and Lycoming loss/tie gives Catholic the 1 seed. A Catholic loss/tie gives Lycoming the 1 seed. A Lycoming win gives Lycoming the 1 seed.
Etown has secured the #3 seed and this won't change regardless of weekend results. Drew has clinched a playoff berth but could be seeded either #4 or #5. They will most likely be #4.
Scranton, Moravian and Goucher are all fighting for the last 2 spots. Scranton and Moravian face-off while Goucher travels to Wilkes.
All of the midweek games are non-conference so this won't be set until Saturday afternoon :o
Got 11 or 12 of the 14 for the 1st rankings (never flipped the coin ;) )
Here are my 2nd regional rankings:
Region 41. Montclair
2. LVC
3. Stevens
4. Kean
5. Stockton
6. Rowan
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 51. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Wash College
4. Hopkins
5. Widener
6. Scranton
7. Catholic
Lycoming or Muhles could also be ranked.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 16, 2023, 08:39:06 PM
Here are my thoughts for the upcoming regional rankings:
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. LVC
3. Kean
4. Stevens
5. Stockton
6. Rowan
7. PSU-Abington
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Wash College
5. Muhles
6. Lycoming
7. Scranton or Widener (flip a coin)
Region IV - RPI Rankings - Pre-Regional Ranking 2
Rank | School | RPI | D3 SOS | Prev Rank |
1 | Montclair State | .6294 | .5548 | 1 |
2 | Stockton | .614 | .5735 | 3 |
3 | LVC | .6091 | .5344 | 2 |
4 | Stevens | .5989 | .5604 | 4 |
5 | Kean | .5926 | .5193 | 5 |
6 | Rowan | .5707 | .5498 | 6 |
7 | Penn State-Harrisburg | .5617 | .5627 | 8 |
8 | Rutgers-Camden | .5505 | .5478 | 7 |
9 | FDU-Florham | .5318 | .4829 | 9 |
Region V - RPI Rankings - Pre-Regional Ranking 2
Rank | School | RPI | D3 SOS | Prev Rank |
1 | Messiah | .6807 | .5847 | 1 |
2 | F&M | .6733 | .6061 | 2 |
3 | Johns Hopkins | .6221 | .6003 | 5 |
4 | Washington College | .6113 | .5546 | 6 |
5 | Widener | .6082 | .5331 | 4 |
6 | Muhlenberg | .6003 | .5623 | 3 |
7 | Catholic | .5957 | .5859 | 7 |
8 | Lycoming | .594 | .5566 | 8 |
9 | Alvernia | .5912 | .5995 | 9 |
Estimated SoS numbers. MAF did a great job of going over the RvR which I don't track. From this ranking on, the purely RPI based predictions are slightly less accurate. Top 7 for Region IV seems pretty set to me. Montclair clear #1. 2-7 could still shift a lot as we go through the final games of the regular season and conference playoffs. Region V top 2 (Messiah and F&M) are set. JHU and Washington College are looking good. I think Muhlenberg might be in trouble if they don't make a deep playoff run. They play Cabrini and McDaniel to end the regular season which will hurt their SoS (if they manage to tie or lose one of those games then they are really in trouble). Widener potentially dropping out this week (despite still having a decent RPI) with Lycoming or Alvernia slotting in one of the last spots. Lots of talk about Scranton but RPI has them at 11 in region V. Low SoS right now but good RvR so who knows how the cmte will view them
Love this breakdown. Thanks for pulling it together! +K
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 23, 2023, 10:36:04 PM
Region IV - RPI Rankings - Pre-Regional Ranking 2
Rank | School | RPI | D3 SOS | Prev Rank |
1 | Montclair State | .6294 | .5548 | 1 |
2 | Stockton | .614 | .5735 | 3 |
3 | LVC | .6091 | .5344 | 2 |
4 | Stevens | .5989 | .5604 | 4 |
5 | Kean | .5926 | .5193 | 5 |
6 | Rowan | .5707 | .5498 | 6 |
7 | Penn State-Harrisburg | .5617 | .5627 | 8 |
8 | Rutgers-Camden | .5505 | .5478 | 7 |
9 | FDU-Florham | .5318 | .4829 | 9 |
Region V - RPI Rankings - Pre-Regional Ranking 2
Rank | School | RPI | D3 SOS | Prev Rank |
1 | Messiah | .6807 | .5847 | 1 |
2 | F&M | .6733 | .6061 | 2 |
3 | Johns Hopkins | .6221 | .6003 | 5 |
4 | Washington College | .6113 | .5546 | 6 |
5 | Widener | .6082 | .5331 | 4 |
6 | Muhlenberg | .6003 | .5623 | 3 |
7 | Catholic | .5957 | .5859 | 7 |
8 | Lycoming | .594 | .5566 | 8 |
9 | Alvernia | .5912 | .5995 | 9 |
Estimated SoS numbers. MAF did a great job of going over the RvR which I don't track. From this ranking on, the purely RPI based predictions are slightly less accurate. Top 7 for Region IV seems pretty set to me. Montclair clear #1. 2-7 could still shift a lot as we go through the final games of the regular season and conference playoffs. Region V top 2 (Messiah and F&M) are set. JHU and Washington College are looking good. I think Muhlenberg might be in trouble if they don't make a deep playoff run. They play Cabrini and McDaniel to end the regular season which will hurt their SoS (if they manage to tie or lose one of those games then they are really in trouble). Widener potentially dropping out this week (despite still having a decent RPI) with Lycoming or Alvernia slotting in one of the last spots. Lots of talk about Scranton but RPI has them at 11 in region V. Low SoS right now but good RvR so who knows how the cmte will view them
Muhlenberg beats 1-0 on Cabrini in a close game.
I think it's time to give credit to Cabrini and its coaching staff and players for the way they have fought in what is the last season of their existence (and maybe the second-to-last game of their existence tonight). The team is currently 6-7-3 overall, but 3-2-1 in the Atlantic East Conference and in second place. The coaches appear to have done a great job rallying the team to play for each other down the stretch. I don't know that they have the guns to beat Neumann (they lost to them 2 weeks ago 3-2), but what a thrill if they were able to win the conference tournament and qualify for the NCAA tournament one last time before everyone scatters in the wind to new colleges. I'm here for the underdogs. It would be a great story and a great way to go out with a bang.
REGION IV - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 25, 2023 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Montclair State | 14-2-1 | 0.554 | 3-1-0 | 14-2-1 | Y |
2. | Stockton | 10-2-5 | 0.574 | 1-2-3 | 10-2-5 | Y |
3. | Stevens | 8-2-4 | 0.561 | 1-2-1 | 8-2-4 | Y |
4. | Lebanon Valley | 11-1-3 | 0.539 | 1-1-0 | 11-1-3 | Y |
5. | Kean | 10-0-6 | 0.525 | 2-0-1 | 10-0-6 | Y |
6. | Rowan | 7-3-5 | 0.557 | 0-3-2 | 7-3-5 | Y |
7. | Penn State-Harrisburg | 6-4-7 | 0.573 | 0-3-0 | 6-4-7 | Y |
REGION V - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - October 25, 2023 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 15-0-1 | 0.584 | 5-0-0 | 15-0-1 | Y |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 13-1-2 | 0.607 | 5-1-0 | 13-1-2 | Y |
3. | Johns Hopkins | 9-3-4 | 0.603 | 1-2-2 | 9-3-4 | Y |
4. | Washington College | 10-1-5 | 0.556 | 2-1-1 | 10-1-5 | Y |
5. | Muhlenberg | 9-3-2 | 0.563 | 0-2-1 | 9-3-2 | Y |
6. | Widener | 12-2-1 | 0.533 | 1-2-0 | 12-2-1 | Y |
7. | Lycoming | 10-3-4 | 0.554 | 0-3-2 | 10-3-4 | -- |
W&L playing Lynchburg. Very nice goal for W&L 1-0 in the first 5 min. Could be a very important game for each besides who wins the ODAC.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 25, 2023, 07:06:10 PM
W&L playing Lynchburg. Very nice goal for W&L 1-0 in the first 5 min. Could be a very important game for each besides who wins the ODAC.
Good game, but commentators talk way, way, way too much.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 25, 2023, 07:06:10 PM
W&L playing Lynchburg. Very nice goal for W&L 1-0 in the first 5 min. Could be a very important game for each besides who wins the ODAC.
Beautiful assist from Another Mom's son. Go Gennies.
Also Montclair v. Kean. 1-0 MSU just scored. Important game for Kean based on their regional rankings. Could be first loss by Kean. But a lot, lot of game still. FYI it was not Amer Lukovic.
W&L game - W&L smacked cross and the post. Lynchburg the cross bar as well. Pretty wide open game so far with W&L probably ahead as to possession and more dangerous.
Quote from: FBALLISLIFE on October 25, 2023, 07:30:27 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 25, 2023, 07:06:10 PM
Beautiful assist from Another Mom's son. Go Gennies.
:-) thank you!
I came on to say I'm at the game and all I will say is I don't want to jinx anything.
And also, we miss you @fballislife!
He is looking sharp after moving up to the midfield. Another great assist. Maybe the position change will create some momentum in the postseason.
The old Washington and Lee is back, at least for now -- final score 4-0.
Definitely they did. Getting up 1-0 early really helps.
Atlantic East Playoffs are set after last night. Definitely will be a conference where just the AQ gets in, but wanted to let the group know of the seedings and such!
1. Neumann 4-0-2
2. Cabrini 3-2-1
---------------------------
3. Marywood 2-2-2
4. Immaculata 2-2-2
5. Marymount 2-2-2 (defending champs)
6. Gwynedd 2-3-1
*Marywood takes tie-breaker in head-to-head amongst the three teams with 4 points (1-0-1); Then Immaculata beat Marymount head-to-head.
The first round is played on saturday. The semi finals will reseed so Neumann will play the highest remaining seed (Neumann cannot play Marywood in the semis)
Was an interesting year in that the conference beat up on each other. I cannot remember a year where only two teams had more than two conference wins. I guess part of that is due to the lack of overtime nowadays.
Quote from: d3ma on October 26, 2023, 10:20:42 AM
Atlantic East Playoffs are set after last night. Definitely will be a conference where just the AQ gets in, but wanted to let the group know of the seedings and such!
1. Neumann 4-0-2
2. Cabrini 3-2-1
---------------------------
3. Marywood 2-2-2
4. Immaculata 2-2-2
5. Marymount 2-2-2 (defending champs)
6. Gwynedd 2-3-1
*Marywood takes tie-breaker in head-to-head amongst the three teams with 4 points (1-0-1); Then Immaculata beat Marymount head-to-head.
The first round is played on saturday. The semi finals will reseed so Neumann will play the highest remaining seed (Neumann cannot play Marywood in the semis)
Was an interesting year in that the conference beat up on each other. I cannot remember a year where only two teams had more than two conference wins. I guess part of that is due to the lack of overtime nowadays.
Cheering on for Cabrini....
SC
Team Cabrini. (thanks to kuiper for giving me another cool underdog story the other day)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 26, 2023, 11:03:50 AM
Team Cabrini. (thanks to kuiper for giving me another cool underdog story the other day)
I think all neutrals are probably Cabrini fans for these playoffs.
Quote from: Kuiper on October 26, 2023, 11:18:14 AM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 26, 2023, 11:03:50 AM
Team Cabrini. (thanks to kuiper for giving me another cool underdog story the other day)
I think all neutrals are probably Cabrini fans for these playoffs.
Not exactly the same of course, but Cabrini the "Univ of Mary Wash" of 2023?? You never know. UMW had to win its tournament to get to the NCAAs.
Elizabethtown up 5-0 at HT. Looks like program win #900 is in the bag.
Quote from: Ejay on October 26, 2023, 08:04:44 PM
Elizabethtown up 5-0 at HT. Looks like program win #900 is in the bag.
That's is awesome!
For all you Hop fans. Long time asst. coach Lincoln Phillips is going to be inducted into the USC Hall of Fame along. Very cool!
https://www.instagram.com/p/Cy3jszIxVPq/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 26, 2023, 08:09:00 PM
For all you Hop fans. Long time asst. coach Lawrence Phillips is going to be inducted into the USC Hall of Fame along. Very cool!
https://www.instagram.com/p/Cy3jszIxVPq/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link
Did a double take as I read that name. On IG his name is actually Lincoln Phillips, not the troubled (American) football running back now deceased.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 26, 2023, 09:36:28 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 26, 2023, 08:09:00 PM
For all you Hop fans. Long time asst. coach Lawrence Phillips is going to be inducted into the USC Hall of Fame along. Very cool!
https://www.instagram.com/p/Cy3jszIxVPq/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link
Did a double take as I read that name. On IG his name is actually Lincoln Phillips, not the troubled (American) football running back now deceased.
Thanks! Fixed.
Washington and Lee is up 6-0, with 10 minutes left in the game.
Quote from: Another Mom on October 28, 2023, 05:45:15 PM
Washington and Lee is up 6-0, with 10 minutes left in the game.
Great job W&L!
Hopkins v. Dickinson. Dickinson scores early, JHU scores at the beginning of 2nd half. Dickinson just scored so 2-1 to extend their season as Swarthmore beat Haverford 2-0. Both D goals were scrambles in the box. If it stands then Dickinson will be the 6th seed over Haverford and JHU the 4th seed.
F&M v. Wash College. Slow, slow with WC looking a little more dangerous. F&M not doing much.
Sorry Hopkins Walk On, at least you got a chance to spend quality time with your daughter. Another scramble in the box. 3-1 Dickinson with about 15 left.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 28, 2023, 07:33:07 PM
F&M v. Wash College. Slow, slow with WC looking a little more dangerous. F&M not doing much.
Dunshee deserves a LOT of credit. One way to nullify the potent F&M forward line threats is to keep the ball away from them. We'll see if WC can continue in the second half.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 28, 2023, 08:02:17 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 28, 2023, 07:33:07 PM
F&M v. Wash College. Slow, slow with WC looking a little more dangerous. F&M not doing much.
Dunshee deserves a LOT of credit. One way to nullify the potent F&M forward line threats is to keep the ball away from them. We'll see if WC can continue in the second half.
Definitely and great goal by WC. Last 2 games and the first half of the WC, F&M is looking like they did last year when they could not connect in last 1/3 of the field. Obviously, a lot to play still.
Dickinson big win over Hopkins to get the 6th seed over Haverford. 4-2.
Washington College went up on F&M 2-0 with a second nice goal. F&M put some pressure and unfortunately by WC they had an own goal though Oscar Horowitz was right there to put it in if the WC player did not play.
30 minutes left.
Lycoming draws with Elizabethtown 0-0, and as a result they drop from #1 to #2 in the upcoming Paywall Conference playoffs.
Moravian ends defending champion Scranton's season with a 2-0 victory that also earned the Greyhounds the #5 seed.
Goucher locks up the final playoff spot with a 3-0 victory over Wilkes.
Playoff's begin Tuesday:
#1 - Catholic - bye
#2 - Lycoming - bye
#3 - Etown hosts #6 Goucher
#4 - Drew hosts #5 Moravian
Been out of town a lot this fall, so apologies for the low volume. (Maybe that's better? :-))
Dickinson (6) travels to Muhlenberg (3) ... 7pm, Tuesday
Swarthmore (5) travels to Hopkins (4) ... 6pm, Tuesday
=-=-==
Higher seeded winner travels to F&M (2) ... 7pm, Friday
Lower seeded winner travels to Washington (1) ... 7pm, Friday
Championship is on Sunday at the highest remaining seed, time TBD.
MAC Playoffs Nov 1 and finals Nov 4
Freedom
(1) Lebanon Valley v DeSales (4)
(2) Stevens v Misericordia (3)
Commonwealth
(1) Messiah v Stevenson (4)
(2) Alvernia v Widener (3)
My power rankings and best guesses below!
MAF Power Rankings (10/31)
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Leb Val
3. Stevens
4. Stockton
5. Kean
6. Rowan
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Wash College
4. JHU
5. Lycoming
6. Catholic
7. Muhles
RV: Widener, Alvernia, Dickinson, Scranton
MAF 3rd RR Predictions
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. Stevens
3. Stockton
4. LVC
5. Kean
6. Rowan
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Wash College
4. Hopkins
5. Muhles
6. Catholic
7. Alvernia
Others: Lycoming, Widener, Dickinson
I'll add my RPI update later but I think you will probably be 14/14 on those predictions! Alvernia is the most interesting team for me right now. They are by far the fastest risers in RPI and have another game against Widener and then potentially Messiah (both high win% to boost Alvernia's SOS even further). Depending on how the Centennial tourney goes, Alvernia could end up as high as 4 or 5
HALF: Cabrini 1 - Marywood 0
Pretty quiet Atlantic East Conference semi-final game offensively, but Cabrini takes the lead in the 34th minute on a penalty kick in an effort to extend their season, and the life of the Cabrini soccer program, at least one more game (the women lost in Pks in the first round of the conference tournament on Saturday).
This also could be the last home game of the Cabrini soccer program's existence. Home has been good to them. This year, Cabrini has been 5-2-2 at home and 1-5-1 away (and 0-1 at a neutral site).
Hopkins wins 4-0 vs. Swat.
Hopkins didn't look great in the first half but still dominated possession. Racked up 3 goals in the second half, including one while playing a man down.
The man down situation was the result of Griffin Meyer, Hopkins' leading scorer by a wide margin, receiving a second yellow on a ridiculous call by the ref. He received his first yellow for an inadvertent arm/hand to the face of a Swat defender. The second yellow appeared to be because he tried to shoot when a Swat defender was in front of him and connected with the defender rather than the ball. He'll miss the semifinal playoff game.
Hopkins defense looked much better than previous games but was never put under any pressure so it's difficult to make any judgments on whether they have improved.
Quote from: Kuiper on October 31, 2023, 08:00:08 PM
HALF: Cabrini 1 - Marywood 0
Pretty quiet Atlantic East Conference semi-final game offensively, but Cabrini takes the lead in the 34th minute on a penalty kick in an effort to extend their season, and the life of the Cabrini soccer program, at least one more game (the women lost in Pks in the first round of the conference tournament on Saturday).
This also could be the last home game of the Cabrini soccer program's existence. Home has been good to them. This year, Cabrini has been 5-2-2 at home and 1-5-1 away (and 0-1 at a neutral site).
FINAL: Cabrini 2 - Marywood 1
Cabrini extended it's lead to 2-0 on a Marywood own goal in the 78th minute and then held on as
Marywood got a goal in the 88th to make it 2-1, but ran out of time for the rally.
The season, the program, and for some, their soccer careers, extended one more game.
UPDATE: Neumann beats Marymount VA in 2OT 2-1 and Cabrini plays @ Neumann on Saturday in the AEC finals
Region IV - RPI Rankings - Pre-Regional Ranking 3
Rank | School | RPI | D3 SOS | Prev Rank |
1 | Montclair State | .6374 | .5629 | 1 |
2 | Lebanon Valley | .6137 | .5437 | 3 |
3 | Stockton | .6025 | .5665 | 2 |
4 | Stevens | .5963 | .5555 | 4 |
5 | Kean | .5931 | .5316 | 5 |
6 | Rowan | .5816 | .5568 | 6 |
7 | Penn State-Harrisburg | .5564 | .5475 | 7 |
Region V - RPI Rankings - Pre-Regional Ranking 3
Rank | School | RPI | D3 SOS | Prev Rank |
1 | Messiah | .6709 | .5705 | 1 |
2 | F&M | .6678 | .6160 | 2 |
3 | Washington College | .6297 | .5750 | 4 |
4 | Johns Hopkins | .6146 | .6037 | 3 |
5 | Muhlenberg | .5997 | .5495 | 6 |
6 | Alvernia | .5950 | .5874 | 9 |
7 | Catholic | .5930 | .5871 | 7 |
8 | Widener | .5906 | .5325 | 5 |
9 | Lycoming | .5863 | .5537 | 8 |
Top 7 for Region IV is set. I don't think the results from this past week changed much for regional rankings so I wouldn't be surprised if the rankings for this week are the same as last week. Montclair, Stockton, Stevens, LVC, Kean, Rowan, PSU-Harrisburg.
Region V saw some more movement. Messiah and F&M locks. Washington College with some big results moving them up while Hopkins and Muhlenberg drop a bit. Alvernia on the rise after beating Widener. They face them again in the MACC semis and then they get Messiah if they win. I think they could end up leap frogging Muhlenberg but their ceiling is the 5 spot. Widener drops out completely. Beating Alvernia can get them back in the rankings but it's AQ or bust at this point. The 2 landmark teams in the rankings could potentially face each other in the Landmark finals if they each win their respective semis (Drew v Catholic, Goucher v Lycoming)
Looking at the national rankings, it seems like approximately .6 RPI could turn out to be the cutoff for Pool C bids. 42 teams currently have an RPI of .6 or above
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 31, 2023, 08:12:42 PM
Hopkins wins 4-0 vs. Swat.
Hopkins didn't look great in the first half but still dominated possession. Racked up 3 goals in the second half, including one while playing a man down.
The man down situation was the result of Griffin Meyer, Hopkins' leading scorer by a wide margin, receiving a second yellow on a ridiculous call by the ref. He received his first yellow for an inadvertent arm/hand to the face of a Swat defender. The second yellow appeared to be because he tried to shoot when a Swat defender was in front of him and connected with the defender rather than the ball. He'll miss the semifinal playoff game.
Hopkins defense looked much better than previous games but was never put under any pressure so it's difficult to make any judgments on whether they have improved.
That's a major blow, losing Meyer for the semis.
Here are my 3rd regional rankings:
Region 41. Montclair
2. Stockton
3. Stevens
4. LVC
5. Rowan
6. Kean
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 51. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Wash College
4. Hopkins
5. Muhles
6. Widener
7. Lycoming
Catholic or Alvernia could also be ranked
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 23, 2023, 03:54:24 PM
Got 11 or 12 of the 14 for the 1st rankings (never flipped the coin ;) )
Here are my 2nd regional rankings:
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. LVC
3. Stevens
4. Kean
5. Stockton
6. Rowan
7. PSU-Harrisburg
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. Wash College
4. Hopkins
5. Widener
6. Scranton
7. Catholic
Lycoming or Muhles could also be ranked.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 16, 2023, 08:39:06 PM
Here are my thoughts for the upcoming regional rankings:
Region 4
1. Montclair
2. LVC
3. Kean
4. Stevens
5. Stockton
6. Rowan
7. PSU-Abington
Region 5
1. Messiah
2. F&M
3. JHU
4. Wash College
5. Muhles
6. Lycoming
7. Scranton or Widener (flip a coin)
REGION IV - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 01, 2023 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Montclair State | 15-2-1 | 0.564 | 4-1-0 | 15-2-1 | 1 |
2. | Stevens | 9-2-5 | 0.555 | 1-2-2 | 9-2-5 | 3 |
3. | Stockton | 11-3-5 | 0.568 | 1-3-3 | 11-3-5 | 2 |
4. | Lebanon Valley | 12-1-4 | 0.545 | 1-1-1 | 12-1-4 | 4 |
5. | Rowan | 8-3-5 | 0.562 | 1-3-2 | 8-3-5 | 6 |
6. | Kean | 11-1-6 | 0.537 | 2-1-1 | 11-1-6 | 5 |
7. | Penn State-Harrisburg | 7-4-7 | 0.559 | 0-3-1 | 7-4-7 | 7 |
REGION V - NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS - November 01, 2023 Rank
| School | . Div. III . Record | . Div. III . SOS | . R-v-R .
| . Overall . Record | . Prev. . Rank |
1. | Messiah | 17-0-1 | 0.570 | 5-0-0 | 17-0-1 | 1 |
2. | Franklin and Marshall | 13-2-2 | 0.617 | 5-2-0 | 13-2-2 | 2 |
3. | Washington College | 11-1-5 | 0.576 | 3-1-1 | 11-1-5 | 4 |
4. | Johns Hopkins | 9-4-4 | 0.605 | 2-2-2 | 9-4-4 | 3 |
5. | Alvernia | 10-6-1 | 0.588 | 2-5-1 | 10-6-1 | -- |
6. | Muhlenberg | 11-3-2 | 0.550 | 0-2-1 | 11-3-2 | 5 |
7. | Widener | 12-3-2 | 0.532 | 1-2-0 | 12-3-2 | 6 |
Washington and Lee v Shenandoah game has been rescheduled to tomorrow due to the campus having a shelter in place order, that I believe is still in effect. Thankfully there was no violence but "out of an abundance of caution" they are going building to building. I hear VMI, next door, is also locked down.
Quote from: Another Mom on November 01, 2023, 07:08:31 PM
Washington and Lee v Shenandoah game has been reschedule to tomorrow due to the campus having a shelter in place order, that I believe is still in effect. Thankfully there was no violence but "out of an abundance of caution they are going building to building. I hear VMI, next door, is also locked down.
Yup, should be interesting as to what actually happened. Always good to be safe.
Washington and Lee move on to the ODAC finals, winning 4-2 over Shenandoah. Shenandoah had 6 yellow cards, to W&L's one.
Hopkins and Muhlenberg advance. Incredible.
I watched the Hop game on "wife cam" which as return viewers will know is with a main show on the big TV and the game shoved off to the side. With that said, this really looked like a dominating Jays performance. The Jays scored on an absolute golazo from D1 grad transfer Ben Goodman and then crazy 50+ yard golazo from Jonathan Cui 20 minutes later. The JHU keeper stoppped a PK with about 20 mins left that effectively took the air out of the game.
I only saw the goal from the Muhles to go up 2-1 off of a corner, but credit to them having watched them in person... They WORK. They communicate. Very difficult to break down. Sunday will be fun.
Not sure why, but Hopkins seems to play its best soccer vs. Washington College. Perhaps because the teams play a somewhat similar style? They both like to possess the ball. Washington College did not press in this game, like they did in the first half of the regular season game between the two. I have no explanation for the change in approach, except to say WC looked tired in the 2nd half of the first game. Maybe they were trying to play conservatively and save their energy.
Either way, it was a closer game than the final score would indicated. WC had very few real chances other than the PK miss and a scrum after a corner kick that ended with a shot off the post and a goal-line save by the Hopkins keeper. Then again, Hopkins chances were limited too. Two audacious and well-executed long-range shots but not much else. Finals v. Muhlenberg will be a good game.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 03, 2023, 09:37:04 PM
Hopkins and Muhlenberg advance. Incredible.
I watched the Hop game on "wife cam" which as return viewers will know is with a main show on the big TV and the game shoved off to the side. With that said, this really looked like a dominating Jays performance. The Jays scored on an absolute golazo from D1 grad transfer Ben McDonald and then crazy 50+ yard golazo from Jonathan Cui 20 minutes later. The JHU keeper stoppped a PK with about 20 mins left that effectively took the air out of the game.
I only saw the goal from the Muhles to go up 2-1 off of a corner, but credit to them having watched them in person... They WORK. They communicate. Very difficult to break down. Sunday will be fun.
I watched the WAC Hopkins game on my own "wife cam" which I suppose in my home lately has been flash it on the family room TV while we watch together and then I try to concentrate as off topic questions are thrown like grenades. It's not her fault. I happen to have a Y chromosome which means I am completely unable to multitask.
Back to the point and with due respect I will disagree on some aspects. Despite the score line I didn't see a dominating performance, particularly in the first half especially when it seemed the ToP was balanced. And more of a nit but the second goal was definitely well inside the offensive half so not 50+ but a heads up cheeky goal nonetheless. I agree both goals were fantastic and Hopkins deserved the win no doubt.
FWIW what intrigued me about the game tonight was WAC's strategy. In the previous match up a couple of weeks ago WAC pressed hard which seemed to cause confusion to a certain degree of success again despite the score line. I expected the same tonight so was surprised when the plan was the complete opposite--very little pressing at all. If I had to guess WAC wanted to be unpredictable. In any case hats off to Hopkins for adapting and winning both times.
Regardless of their finish this year I do think WAC has upside in the coming years based on the quality of their underclassmen. And unlike other programs it seems they are hardly impacted if at all by the expiration of 5th year of eligibility.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 03, 2023, 10:22:25 PM
Not sure why, but Hopkins seems to play its best soccer vs. Washington College. Perhaps because the teams play a somewhat similar style? They both like to possess the ball. Washington College did not press in this game, like they did in the first half of the regular season game between the two. I have no explanation for the change in approach, except to say WC looked tired in the 2nd half of the first game. Maybe they were trying to play conservatively and save their energy.
Either way, it was a closer game than the final score would indicated. WC had very few real chances other than the PK miss and a scrum after a corner kick that ended with a shot off the post and a goal-line save by the Hopkins keeper. Then again, Hopkins chances were limited too. Two audacious and well-executed long-range shots but not much else. Finals v. Muhlenberg will be a good game.
You beat me to it, story of my life. I agree with this, only thing I'd add is my guess was the strategy was to come out with a completely different look from the previous game. Same result though 2-0.
Yeah, I guess I said dominating because every time I glanced over Hop had the ball, trying to move it down the left flank (at least in the first half.) But, yeah, the stats have WC with a pretty big edge on shots and corners, so I'm certainly not going to argue the point. And I might've mis-spotted the 2nd goal, but if not 50, it was absolutely from 40. That was not a normal, run-of-the-mill goal.
I would add that that the WC keeper plays like a sweeper, which I love. But he was on his 18 when the ball got turned over and he just turned off his brain for a few seconds and didn't retreat once Cui got over the midfield stripe. Cui caught him out... savvy goal.
Quote from: Kuiper on October 31, 2023, 09:16:26 PM
Quote from: Kuiper on October 31, 2023, 08:00:08 PM
HALF: Cabrini 1 - Marywood 0
Pretty quiet Atlantic East Conference semi-final game offensively, but Cabrini takes the lead in the 34th minute on a penalty kick in an effort to extend their season, and the life of the Cabrini soccer program, at least one more game (the women lost in Pks in the first round of the conference tournament on Saturday).
This also could be the last home game of the Cabrini soccer program's existence. Home has been good to them. This year, Cabrini has been 5-2-2 at home and 1-5-1 away (and 0-1 at a neutral site).
FINAL: Cabrini 2 - Marywood 1
Cabrini extended it's lead to 2-0 on a Marywood own goal in the 78th minute and then held on as
Marywood got a goal in the 88th to make it 2-1, but ran out of time for the rally.
The season, the program, and for some, their soccer careers, extended one more game.
UPDATE: Neumann beats Marymount VA in 2OT 2-1 and Cabrini plays @ Neumann on Saturday in the AEC finals
Atlantic East Conference Championship Game in a few hours:
Cabrini @ Neumann at 1 PM eastern
Could be Cabrini's last soccer game ever or could be (one of?) the greatest victories in the last season of the program's existence. Even while Cabrini is preparing for this game, Villanova has been effectively dancing on its grave as it finalized the acquisition of its campus on Thursday (https://www.inquirer.com/education/villanova-university-cabrini-purchase-details-20231102.html?cid=Philly.com+Twitter&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=Philly.com+Twitter+Account). For some of the soccer players, they may be leaving after this semester to find another university according to the Inquirer story.
These two teams played about three weeks ago at Cabrini and Neumann won 3-2. The game was tied 0-0 at half. Neumann broke the logjam in 52nd minute to go up 1-0, but Cabrini scored two goals in quick succession and was up 2-1 by the 59th minute. They ran out of gas, however, and about ten minutes later Neumann scored two goals in less than in a minute -- both off set plays -- to take the game. Still, Cabrini will have hope for this game after taking down Marywood in the semis, a team that it lost to in the regular season 3-1. Cabrini can also take heart from the fact that Muhlenberg, a team it lost to only 1-0 in Allentown less than two weeks ago, has made the Centennial Conference championship game. Neumann, however, comes in on an 8 game unbeaten streak and will have the home field advantage.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2023, 10:05:32 AM
Yeah, I guess I said dominating because every time I glanced over Hop had the ball, trying to move it down the left flank (at least in the first half.) But, yeah, the stats have WC with a pretty big edge on shots and corners, so I'm certainly not going to argue the point. And I might've mis-spotted the 2nd goal, but if not 50, it was absolutely from 40. That was not a normal, run-of-the-mill goal.
I would add that that the WC keeper plays like a sweeper, which I love. But he was on his 18 when the ball got turned over and he just turned off his brain for a few seconds and didn't retreat once Cui got over the midfield stripe. Cui caught him out... savvy goal.
The Keeper was out anticipating a through ball. Cul was moving forward with a line of 3 attackers ahead of him vs 3 or 4 defenders. I expected him to play wide right or maybe a through ball elsewhere. When he shot I was like huh? Guessing the Keeper had the same reaction. Placement couldn't have been better. Upper 90s and may have hit the post or crossbar (I couldn't tell.) Think I read in some game notes it was 40 which sounds about right. Not quite Beckhamesque, but still a very cheeky goal.
Quote from: Kuiper on November 04, 2023, 11:06:46 AM
Quote from: Kuiper on October 31, 2023, 09:16:26 PM
Quote from: Kuiper on October 31, 2023, 08:00:08 PM
HALF: Cabrini 1 - Marywood 0
Pretty quiet Atlantic East Conference semi-final game offensively, but Cabrini takes the lead in the 34th minute on a penalty kick in an effort to extend their season, and the life of the Cabrini soccer program, at least one more game (the women lost in Pks in the first round of the conference tournament on Saturday).
This also could be the last home game of the Cabrini soccer program's existence. Home has been good to them. This year, Cabrini has been 5-2-2 at home and 1-5-1 away (and 0-1 at a neutral site).
FINAL: Cabrini 2 - Marywood 1
Cabrini extended it's lead to 2-0 on a Marywood own goal in the 78th minute and then held on as
Marywood got a goal in the 88th to make it 2-1, but ran out of time for the rally.
The season, the program, and for some, their soccer careers, extended one more game.
UPDATE: Neumann beats Marymount VA in 2OT 2-1 and Cabrini plays @ Neumann on Saturday in the AEC finals
Atlantic East Conference Championship Game in a few hours:
Cabrini @ Neumann at 1 PM eastern
Could be Cabrini's last soccer game ever or could be (one of?) the greatest victories in the last season of the program's existence. Even while Cabrini is preparing for this game, Villanova has been effectively dancing on its grave as it finalized the acquisition of its campus on Thursday (https://www.inquirer.com/education/villanova-university-cabrini-purchase-details-20231102.html?cid=Philly.com+Twitter&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=Philly.com+Twitter+Account). For some of the soccer players, they may be leaving after this semester to find another university according to the Inquirer story.
These two teams played about three weeks ago at Cabrini and Neumann won 3-2. The game was tied 0-0 at half. Neumann broke the logjam in 52nd minute to go up 1-0, but Cabrini scored two goals in quick succession and was up 2-1 by the 59th minute. They ran out of gas, however, and about ten minutes later Neumann scored two goals in less than in a minute -- both off set plays -- to take the game. Still, Cabrini will have hope for this game after taking down Marywood in the semis, a team that it lost to in the regular season 3-1. Cabrini can also take heart from the fact that Muhlenberg, a team it lost to only 1-0 in Allentown less than two weeks ago, has made the Centennial Conference championship game. Neumann, however, comes in on an 8 game unbeaten streak and will have the home field advantage.
Neumann 1 - Cabrini 0
Cabrini's soccer program ends after a hard-fought game lost on a 21st minute PK. Credit to the coaches and team for a season that probably exceeded expectations. Best of luck to all of them finding places for next season.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2023, 10:05:32 AM
Yeah, I guess I said dominating because every time I glanced over Hop had the ball, trying to move it down the left flank (at least in the first half.) But, yeah, the stats have WC with a pretty big edge on shots and corners, so I'm certainly not going to argue the point. And I might've mis-spotted the 2nd goal, but if not 50, it was absolutely from 40. That was not a normal, run-of-the-mill goal.
I would add that that the WC keeper plays like a sweeper, which I love. But he was on his 18 when the ball got turned over and he just turned off his brain for a few seconds and didn't retreat once Cui got over the midfield stripe. Cui caught him out... savvy goal.
Yes very nice field awareness. Great heads-up. Hopefully he'll be alright. Goals like that are so so tough. Nobody is going to remember the gritty ones. Nature of the position. Brutal game.
In the MAC finals today Stevens Ducks and Messiah Falcons have sealed 2 AQ's for the NCAA's
Stevens will be missing a player for the first round of the NCAAs after an ejection for two yellows.
Hopkins with a gritty road win (1-0) to take the CC title and the AQ... We'll see where this leaves the Muhles. As I said, very tight team, but the really struggle to create offense off of the run of play.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 05, 2023, 03:05:53 PM
Hopkins with a gritty road win (1-0) to take the CC title and the AQ... We'll see where this leaves the Muhles. As I said, very tight team, but the really struggle to create offense off of the run of play.
Seems hard to see how Muhlenberg gets a Pool C with 4 losses, only ranked win, and ranked 6th coming into this game. Maybe they get bumped up by making the finals and they pick up another ranked win from a team that appears in the final rankings.
I was just looking at some numbers and I think Muhlenberg now has two ranked wins and will get a SoS boost having played F&M and JHU back to back. There may be some hope there. A week ago tghe Mules had zero ranked wins...but beat F&M and picked up another with Hobart getting ranked.
I think Lynchburg potentially was flirting with being on the bubble so looks like they are leaving nothing to chance. Now W&L will have to sweat a little....but not too much.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 05, 2023, 03:56:59 PM
I think Lynchburg potentially was flirting with being on the bubble so looks like they are leaving nothing to chance. Now W&L will have to sweat a little....but not too much.
Sorry Another Mom. Looks like W&L couldn't play a complete game. The second goal hurt. Just got unlucky with the chances they had. All goals by Lynchburg were good ones.
Not an expert, but I think W&L did enough to a get a bid after a rough start to the year. Regular season win against Lynchburg may have helped quite a bit.
I didn't watch Lynchburg at W&L. but superficially looks very similar to Denison beating Kenyon. Get out to a 1-0 lead, then level, then win 3-1 on the favorite's home pitch. At least the stats were far more even for this one. Also a lot of similarities style and grittiness-wise between Lnychburg and Denison. Don't be surprised to see them play each other in the 1sr round.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 05, 2023, 04:10:25 PM
I didn't watch Lynchburg at W&L. but superficially looks very similar to Denison beating Kenyon. Get out to a 1-0 lead, then level, then win 3-1 on the favorite's home pitch. At least the stats were far more even for this one. Also a lot of similarities style and grittiness-wise between Lnychburg and Denison. Don't be surprised to see them play each other in the 1sr round.
Unfortunately, did not see the Denison match. At home, W&L thumped Lynchburg 4-0 last week to get the top seed. The three goals given up were good ones, while W&L had chances but just couldn't finish. Definitely as to playing each other. The case will be as to where. W&L has hosted in the past three seasons. So a lot of intrigue.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 05, 2023, 04:08:57 PM
Sorry Another Mom. Looks like W&L couldn't play a complete game. The second goal hurt. Just got unlucky with the chances they had. All goals by Lynchburg were good ones.
Agree. Lynchburg played well.
Quote from: Another Mom on November 05, 2023, 05:21:56 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 05, 2023, 04:08:57 PM
Sorry Another Mom. Looks like W&L couldn't play a complete game. The second goal hurt. Just got unlucky with the chances they had. All goals by Lynchburg were good ones.
Agree. Lynchburg played well.
Thought Lynchburg played the match perfectly. Frustrating W&L and taking advantage of the opportunities that they were given.
SC
Definitely, but your son played great., Another Mom
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 05, 2023, 08:27:03 PM
Definitely, but your son played great., Another Mom
Thank you!
Quote from: Another Mom on November 05, 2023, 09:07:34 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 05, 2023, 08:27:03 PM
Definitely, but your son played great., Another Mom
Thank you!
Most versatile player out there and a gritty effort.
I stopped by the game in the middle of a 10-hour drive. Fingers crossed for 2 pm today.
I'm going to call that a more favorable draw than W&L deserved in my opinion. Playing at home is... very kind, and that's not an unwinnable pod, even for a team that has struggled against top shelf opponents. No gimmes, especially for a team that has struggled against top shelf opponents, but no one in that pod seems like a runaway freight train.
On the less favorable side, a tough draw for F&M who are looking at a potential 2nd round matchup with Conn College
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 06, 2023, 03:29:37 PM
On the less favorable side, a tough draw for F&M who are looking at a potential 2nd round matchup with Conn College
Definitely as to Conn College. Same as two years ago when they had to play Middlebury.
W&L does appear to have a favorable weekend, but I would not sleep on W. Conn or Oneonta. Both are proven teams this year and played very well last year. W. Conn is not your usual team as well.
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 06, 2023, 03:29:37 PM
On the less favorable side, a tough draw for F&M who are looking at a potential 2nd round matchup with Conn College
Could say the same for the Jays, who have to get past Babson for the pleasure of playing Midd on their home ground. Not saying they "deserved" better, bu that's a tough pod.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 06, 2023, 03:35:39 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 06, 2023, 03:29:37 PM
On the less favorable side, a tough draw for F&M who are looking at a potential 2nd round matchup with Conn College
Definitely as to Conn College. Same as two years ago when they had to play Middlebury.
W&L does appear to have a favorable weekend, but I would not sleep on W. Conn or Oneonta. Both are proven teams this year and played very well last year. W. Conn is not your usual team as well.
Like I said, no gimmes.
Honestly, W&L's season doesn't lead me to expect much. Their best win was the regular season win against Lynchburg. Other than that, a few ties and losses to the best teams they played. There just wasn't a game that they won this season where you look and say they beat a for sure top 25 caliber team. That just doesn't bode well for winning much in the tournament, at home or not.
So I do think it was surprisingly kind to them, especially as host, but maybe not given Lexington wasn't exactly a fortress with 3 of 4 losses this season coming at home.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2023, 03:43:06 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 06, 2023, 03:29:37 PM
On the less favorable side, a tough draw for F&M who are looking at a potential 2nd round matchup with Conn College
Could say the same for the Jays, who have to get past Babson for the pleasure of playing Midd on their home ground. Not saying they "deserved" better, bu that's a tough pod.
Plus in mid to high 30's on Saturday in Middlebury. At least no snow yet like John Carroll.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 06, 2023, 04:27:34 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2023, 03:43:06 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 06, 2023, 03:29:37 PM
On the less favorable side, a tough draw for F&M who are looking at a potential 2nd round matchup with Conn College
Could say the same for the Jays, who have to get past Babson for the pleasure of playing Midd on their home ground. Not saying they "deserved" better, bu that's a tough pod.
Plus in mid to high 30's on Saturday in Middlebury. At least no snow yet like John Carroll.
If matched us up with JCU again I was gonna lose it!
Hahaha.
Quote from: jknezek on November 06, 2023, 03:45:35 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 06, 2023, 03:35:39 PM
Quote from: paclassic89 on November 06, 2023, 03:29:37 PM
On the less favorable side, a tough draw for F&M who are looking at a potential 2nd round matchup with Conn College
Definitely as to Conn College. Same as two years ago when they had to play Middlebury.
W&L does appear to have a favorable weekend, but I would not sleep on W. Conn or Oneonta. Both are proven teams this year and played very well last year. W. Conn is not your usual team as well.
Like I said, no gimmes.
Honestly, W&L's season doesn't lead me to expect much. Their best win was the regular season win against Lynchburg. Other than that, a few ties and losses to the best teams they played. There just wasn't a game that they won this season where you look and say they beat a for sure top 25 caliber team. That just doesn't bode well for winning much in the tournament, at home or not.
So I do think it was surprisingly kind to them, especially as host, but maybe not given Lexington wasn't exactly a fortress with 3 of 4 losses this season coming at home.
W&L is limping into the tourney beat up, with some very significant injuries. Singleton is going to have to work some magic to make it to the second weekend (maybe even past day 1), but it is a surprisingly favorable draw.
Here's my overall assessment of this year's Falcons in relation to earlier versions.
They are one of Messiah's best teams, but not quite as strong as the 2022 version. Messiah plays a 4-3-3, with emphasis on the middle 3, all of whom finished their eligibility last year, two of whom were AAs (Luke Groothoff and Luke Brautigam, who shared the CMF and AMF positions). At this moment (not at the start of the season), the Falcon starters at those 3 spots are SR Jarec Morlote, SO Patrick Lee, and SR Justin Bratager. Morlote is (IMO) best with the fall at his feet--a great passer and holder with good pace. Lee is the fastest and the best scorer (though his numbers don't reflect that, since he doesn't play upfront anymore), while Bratager fits well anywhere except on the wings. However, none of those players is as good as Groothoff, which is the main reason Macdonald has fewer goals this year--he used to get the ball more often while moving forward on the dead run, whereas now he gets it more commonly while moving more locally in a given area. When combined with some injuries to other attackers--one of whom, JR wing Dylan Englehart, missed the entire season, while speedster Cole Cristian (whose point-blank shot was saved by Williams' keeper last fall to keep the game scoreless) and backup target Stefan Leitzel both missed several games and had limited playing time in some others, and the loss of Lent-Koop's aerials for more than a month, kept the scoring numbers much lower this year. Everyone except Englehart is now healthy, however, so they are ready for the tournament even if being a step below the level of last year's offense.
Defensively, if anything the Falcons are even better than last year, as revealed by the fact that they are second nationally in GA/game. 5YR Lent-Koop is completely recovered (as far as the eye can tell), after initially it was feared his career might be over. There simply is no better 1-v-1 defender in all of D3, so this really matters. His dangerous presence on set plays at the other end is a big bonus. His backup, 5YR Chad Vrolijk, is good enough to start for anyone else in the conference, while the other starting CB, SR Ben Vollmer, is very highly skilled and could easily play somewhere up the field. The only bad news defensively, is that my favorite current Falcon, 5YR outside back Grant Johnson, had a career-ending injury a couple weeks ago. He's been replaced by SO Davis Pagett, who started the season at MF. (Pagett and Vollmer were HS teammates at State College.) Backup CB Mark Adja is going to be really good as he gets more experience, but injuries have limited his PT. The other outside back, SR Caleb Aldridge, is one of the fastest players on the team and very, very dangerous with the ball on the other end. If you fall asleep on him, watch out!
I like their chances to make the Final Four, but at this point in the season luck and matchups loom larger than they do in October. Last year, if they had won the PK shootout with Williams, I think it would have been Messiah vs Chicago. Anything can happen. Hold on to your butts!
CC All Conference Teams are out:
https://centennial.org/news/2023/11/2/all-cc-mens-soccer.aspx
Goodman for Hopkins looked to deserve better than honorable mention imo based on the few games I watched.
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 09, 2023, 10:20:11 AM
Goodman for Hopkins looked to deserve better than honorable mention imo based on the few games I watched.
Definitely was thinking the same. Plus he is really, really hard to miss. However, being a one year only player is definitely a strike against you. Exception being Francis Meyer who was a no brainer as he had the numbers. A lot of politics.
I've talked about him so my position is on the record, I think he's arguably a more important player than Meyer. When he is cooking, the offense is very very difficult to contain. Meyer is a no-brainer, but I agree on Goodman. I love watching that guy play.
Feel the same about Koa Kaliebe. He has 9 assists and I think 8 goals. Many of those assists went to Oscar. Without Koa there's no Oscar.
It is a great day to be a D3 soccer fan for the mid-Atlantic region. We get to see if the tension between the NEACAC and the Centennial Conference is deserved as one of the best from each league play each other. I think this Dips team is up to the task against the Camels. I think this Dips team is tough enough to get the job done.
Definitely, such great games today. F&M v. Conn, JHU v. Babson (and then hopefully Mid tomorrow). Wash C v. Otterbein is a good game as well.
The indignity! Currently in warmups for the Hopkins-Babson game and the NSN screen says, "Stay tuned for John Hopkins v Babson."
Johns, johns, johns!
Hah! Troglodytes. Live a little down the road from Johns Hopkins' birthplace in Maryland. See it all the time.
Ugh Oh Scooby. Perfect ball splitting the defense of Hop. Keeper either should have delayed or just plowed through going for the ball. Keeper just compounded the confusion.
Disappointed that the Hop players did not pick up keeper. Good goal by Babson.
Yes, that was not a good look after the Babson goal. You're all in it together, guys.
Hopkins put one off the crossbar with 1:40 left in the half. Totally dominating possession but keep getting stymied inside the box.
(https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTqXZAtzY_Tv0pBNUKUmKt9UlBXjtF-Xy_NsQ&usqp=CAU)
Hahaha
Ben Goodman trying to avoid the long bus drive back early! Going to be a crazy last few minutes. 2-1 Babson. Babson's keeper has been the difference by far.
2-2! Headed to OT. Hopkins got a late header from Francis Meyer. Babson's GK is excellent. Lucky to get two by him.
Crazy, I saw they were down 2-0 with under 10 left and wrote them off.
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 11, 2023, 03:47:26 PM
Crazy, I saw they were down 2-0 with under 10 left and wrote them off.
Yup, but Hop was totally dominate with many chances. However, in first OT, gave up a bad bad goal. Every back knows that, if you are the last back, you don't turn inwards, but always always outward. The rest was just a farce with Hop falling over each other trying to give up the goal.
Great game by WC! Good goal to win. Not a great keeper play, but Wash C will take!
Stevens v. WPI are going to PKs.
https://www.newmacsportsnetwork.com/wpi/
Nice goal for Hop and could be the battle of the better PK keeper!
Check that! Hop with the go ahead goal with 1 min 30 to go!!
https://www.nsnsports.net/colleges/middlebury/?bfplayvid=746503
Crazy, crazy, crazy game Hop v. Babson.
Wow! What a finish. I had given up several times, first when Hopkins was down 2-0 with under 10 minutes left, next when Babson scored in the 1st OT to go up 3-2, and then when it looked like it was going to go to PKs at 3-3 with 1:30 left (Hopkins lost last year in PKs). Eli Carr with a fantastic one-time finish off a pass from Will Sang to score the game winner.
That **** was epic. Unreal. Probably one of the wildest games in program history.
And Coach A and the Jays were highly displeased by a non-call that aided the OT goal.
Hope they use the emotion to pull out an upset tomorrow against the hosts.
Koa ties it up late.
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 11, 2023, 07:57:01 PM
Koa ties it up late.
Biggest goal of his career. One of the smallest out there with a very very nice header.
That feed to Oscar was really really nice. Oscar doesn't miss many of those.
Another OT GAME!!
Really entertaining match, pretty even as the score would suggest. F&M had more of the ball, but CC looked composed when they had the ball including their goal. Credit to both back lines as CC held Horowitz in check, while the left back #2 for F&M was locks. Shame it has to be decided in PKs.
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 11, 2023, 08:38:22 PM
Really entertaining match, pretty even as the score would suggest. F&M had more of the ball, but CC looked composed when they had the ball including their goal. Credit to both back lines as CC held Horowitz in check, while the left back #2 for F&M was locks. Shame it has to be decided in PKs.
Definitely so. Brutal way to decide. F&M definitely had the better chances, but obviously couldn't figure it out.
Koa Kaliebe and Oscar Horowitz plus their really good back Connor Anderko will be back for one more year.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2023, 04:33:07 PM
That **** was epic. Unreal. Probably one of the wildest games in program history.
And Coach A and the Jays were highly displeased by a non-call that aided the OT goal.
Hope they use the emotion to pull out an upset tomorrow against the hosts.
Hoping you weren't watching on your wife cam for her sake. You might have given her a heart attack!
I actually rewound that goal a couple of times as Hop #24 took a spill which live I assumed was from one of his teammates. When I watched a second and third time I noticed the eventual Babson goal scorer actually knocked him off his stride. Not sure it was enough to call the goal off but guessing that explains why they were hot.
Earlier tonight:
Me: You should have looked more closely at Hopkins. They play the ball with a sense of purpose similar to your game.
Son: Too bad my gene pool didn't provide me with a big enough brain.
Me: That's funny, your grandfather went there for undergrad.
Son: You mean I'm a legacy? Let's go!
Me: Yea, it doesn't work that way. [goes into the other room reciting the serenity prayer under my breath]
Not looking for sympathy, but I have had some challenges in my life. Raised by divorced parents when divorce was definitely not a thing, several failed IVFs, and tragically losing a cousin/best friend at age 36. Raising teenagers? No sweat.
The bruises I have on my forehead from banging it on the wall these days are not pretty.
As a neutral watching the Babson-JHU game in person, here are my thoughts. Hopkins tries to possess and they play a far more attractive game, but they were undone by some defensive breakdowns. Babson seemed to run out of gas, and Hopkins stormed back to tie the game with two in the final 7 minutes, and frankly looked likely to end it in regulation. Babson's striker is big and strong, and he was able to be effective in the box, scoring the first two goals for the Beavers on headers. Babson's keeper played well, and he was the reason they even got the game to OT. Credit to Hopkins for never giving up and continuing to play their game. Should be a fantastic matchup today against Midd.
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 11, 2023, 11:40:49 PM
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 11, 2023, 04:33:07 PM
That **** was epic. Unreal. Probably one of the wildest games in program history.
And Coach A and the Jays were highly displeased by a non-call that aided the OT goal.
Hope they use the emotion to pull out an upset tomorrow against the hosts.
Hoping you weren't watching on your wife cam for her sake. You might have given her a heart attack!
I actually rewound that goal a couple of times as Hop #24 took a spill which live I assumed was from one of his teammates. When I watched a second and third time I noticed the eventual Babson goal scorer actually knocked him off his stride. Not sure it was enough to call the goal off but guessing that explains why they were hot.
I grew up in A2, so I had MI on plus the Hop game on a side screen. After the MI ended, I watched most of the second all of OT on the jumbotron.
Hoping they aren't too emotionally wiped to give the hosts a good game this afternoon. Solo stove is standing ready for another round!
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 12, 2023, 12:33:24 AM
Earlier tonight:
Me: You should have looked more closely at Hopkins. They play the ball with a sense of purpose similar to your game.
...
Son: You mean I'm a legacy? Let's go!
---
Unfortunately for your son (and my two kids), Hopkins eliminated legacy preference. It's a good thing for society, but it didn't make me happy when my kids were applying.
Quote from: College Soccer Observer on November 12, 2023, 09:36:10 AM
As a neutral watching the Babson-JHU game in person, here are my thoughts. Hopkins tries to possess and they play a far more attractive game, but they were undone by some defensive breakdowns. Babson seemed to run out of gas, and Hopking stormed back to tie the game with two in the final 7 minutes, and frankly looked likely to end it in regulation. Babson's striker is big and strong, and he was able to be effective in the box, scoring the first two goals for the Beavers on headers. Babson's keeper played well, and he was the reason they even got the game to OT. Credit to Hopkins for never giving up and continuing to play their game. Should be a fantastic matchup today against Midd.
Spot-on assessment. Hopkins central defense has been an issue - their two starters at the beginning of the season have been hurt. One has returned but isn't playing full minutes. As a result, two very good midfielders are playing the center back positions. They are both excellent players but are not experienced in that position. Notably, when they were down at the end of the game and in OT, they pushed those midfielders up and played with less experienced players in the back. They scored two of the goals.
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 12, 2023, 12:33:24 AM
Earlier tonight:
Me: You should have looked more closely at Hopkins. They play the ball with a sense of purpose similar to your game.
Son: Too bad my gene pool didn't provide me with a big enough brain.
Me: That's funny, your grandfather went there for undergrad.
Son: You mean I'm a legacy? Let's go!
Me: Yea, it doesn't work that way. [goes into the other room reciting the serenity prayer under my breath]
Not looking for sympathy, but I have had some challenges in my life. Raised by divorced parents when divorce was definitely not a thing, several failed IVFs, and tragically losing a cousin/best friend at age 36. Raising teenagers? No sweat.
The bruises I have on my forehead from banging it on the wall these days are not pretty.
Same! Young Bucket is 17, a high school senior, and the highs and lows are something else!
Quote from: Bucket on November 12, 2023, 11:46:17 AM
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 12, 2023, 12:33:24 AM
Earlier tonight:
Me: You should have looked more closely at Hopkins. They play the ball with a sense of purpose similar to your game.
Son: Too bad my gene pool didn't provide me with a big enough brain.
Me: That's funny, your grandfather went there for undergrad.
Son: You mean I'm a legacy? Let's go!
Me: Yea, it doesn't work that way. [goes into the other room reciting the serenity prayer under my breath]
Not looking for sympathy, but I have had some challenges in my life. Raised by divorced parents when divorce was definitely not a thing, several failed IVFs, and tragically losing a cousin/best friend at age 36. Raising teenagers? No sweat.
The bruises I have on my forehead from banging it on the wall these days are not pretty.
Same! Young Bucket is 17, a high school senior, and the highs and lows are something else!
Ditto, been there, done that, got the t-shirt.
Though find girls tougher, all emotion most of the time.
Hop, tough, tough, tough half. Maybe a hang over from yesterday? Could be 3-0 with a clear penalty not called. Hey, they've done it before. Tons of soccer left.
Wash. College hanging tough 0-0 v. Kenyon.
Have those games up side by side. Kenyon's field looks huge, especially compared to Middlebury's. Both teams seem to be taking advantage of all of the space. Feels like it may come down to one mistake.
Valiant effort by the Blue Jays. They turned it on in the second half and almost pulled off another incredible comeback.
WAC Kenyon going to extra time.
The Shorepeople advance to the Sweet 16. Good for them.
=-=-=-=
Fair result in Vermont, but a few second half crossbars are surely going to have the Jays ruminating on what could have been.
Yup brutal. Bet he'll hear that clank in his sleep for quite awhile.
Going to say out loud and I'm going to say that Cent. Conf stood up pretty well against NESCAC this year. Couple of balls going different ways, could be one less NESCAC team.
Yes...a couple of balls going a different way and it would be 2 less NESCAC teams.....but the winners advance.
Yep 1 or 2 less clanks and you could have less Cent too!
A little Centennial Conference news for the Mid-Atlantic Region thread
Ursinus College announced (https://ursinusathletics.com/news/2024/3/6/clitnovici-steps-down-as-head-mens-soccer-coach.aspx) that Head Men's Soccer Coach Daniel Clitnovici has stepped down to take the Head Women's Soccer Coach job at Texas A&M Corpus Christi.
A return to coaching women's soccer for Clitnovici, who has spent most of his coaching career in the women's game on the pro and college levels, and to the DI level.
Ursinus was hard to figure out last year. They went 1-7-1 in conference and 8-7-2 overall. Their 1 win and 1 tie in conference were against two playoff qualifiers -- Johns Hopkins and Swarthmore -- and one of their worst losses was to McDaniel, which was tied with them at the conference cellar with a 1-7-1 conference record. Still, Clinovici had the team pointed in the right direction since they were 0-8-1 in conference the previous year and went 4-10-3 overall.
Quote from: Kuiper on March 06, 2024, 03:37:45 PMUrsinus was hard to figure out last year. They went 1-7-1 in conference and 8-7-2 overall. Their 1 win and 1 tie in conference were against two playoff qualifiers -- Johns Hopkins and Swarthmore -- and one of their worst losses was to McDaniel, which was tied with them at the conference cellar with a 1-7-1 conference record. Still, Clinovici had the team pointed in the right direction since they were 0-8-1 in conference the previous year and went 4-10-3 overall.
True, very true, but the previous year they went 5-4 in Cent. Conf. with wins against Wash (No. 24 at the time), JHU (no. 5 at the time), Muhls, Dickinson, McDaniel and OT loss to Haverford. They just narrowly missed the playoffs that year. Despite their record, I don't think any team took them for granted recently.
I was able to attend Messiah's spring match at Shippensburg. They won 5-0 and Shippensburg (D2) didn't put up much of a fight. Messiah had two 2024s who enrolled early so it was a nice preview of the fall. One was a winger and the other is a target (striker). They both scored.
Although Messiah lost quite a bit of quality to graduation – including 2 1rst team all-americans in MacDonald and Lent-Koop, they don't look like they are rebuilding. They are returning 8 starters 3 of 4 in defense, 3 of 3 in the midfield, 1 of 3 in attack, and the goalkeeper.
Franklin & Marshall has posted its 2024 roster, including freshman additions.
https://godiplomats.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster
A couple of observations (just because this is an early roster drop and not because I would do this for every school!)
- This is probably news to no one other than me, but I was interested to see that Oscar Horwitz is back. He was listed as a senior last year, but he has only played 3 years of college soccer. Presumably, he is a super senior using his Covid year in the last year that is possible. There were other players listed as seniors in the 2023 roster who only played 3 years and aren't back (Kagan, Senatore, Sobel, Pine)
- Does F&M always staff its roster very thinly at the GK position? I saw that last year they had only 1 GK on the roster and this year they added a freshman so they at least have a backup.
- On the other hand, what they lack in depth they make up in height at the GK position. Their 6'6" junior is now joined by a 6'5" freshman. I guess the old "shoot low and score high" adage applies against F&M
- Roughly the same roster size as last year (33 v. 32), with 10 incoming freshman
- Ethan Phillips from West Coast FC ECNL is someone who I've seen play out here in SoCal. He's a solid addition in the midfield or wing as a freshman. He has a good motor and fairly nifty dribbling/shooting skills
Johns Hopkins has posted its 2024 roster (https://hopkinssports.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster/2024)
A few observations:
- 27 players on the roster, compared to 31 last season
- Three regular starters return for a grad COVID year: Logan Falzarano (D), Francis Meyer (M), and Aidan Dunphy (MF). One regular starter not returning is GK Drew Valsamedis, who started 15 games at GK last year.
- Two grad transfers: Loucas Costeas (GK transfer from DI UMass Lowell who had 12 total appearances and 9 starts in 4 years) and (F transfer from DI Siena who played 49 games, with 11 starts, with 4 goals and 1 assist in four years).
- Only 4 freshman newcomers, which may be a product of the number of Covid super seniors and grad transfers. In years to come, I would not be surprised if Hopkins fills the gap in this class by looking in the transfer portal for D1 roster cap casualties who opt for high academic options.
Quote from: Kuiper on July 26, 2024, 12:27:42 PMFranklin & Marshall has posted its 2024 roster, including freshman additions.
https://godiplomats.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster
A couple of observations (just because this is an early roster drop and not because I would do this for every school!)
- This is probably news to no one other than me, but I was interested to see that Oscar Horwitz is back. He was listed as a senior last year, but he has only played 3 years of college soccer. Presumably, he is a super senior using his Covid year in the last year that is possible. There were other players listed as seniors in the 2023 roster who only played 3 years and aren't back (Kagan, Senatore, Sobel, Pine)
- Does F&M always staff its roster very thinly at the GK position? I saw that last year they had only 1 GK on the roster and this year they added a freshman so they at least have a backup.
- On the other hand, what they lack in depth they make up in height at the GK position. Their 6'6" junior is now joined by a 6'5" freshman. I guess the old "shoot low and score high" adage applies against F&M
- Roughly the same roster size as last year (33 v. 32), with 10 incoming freshman
- Ethan Phillips from West Coast FC ECNL is someone who I've seen play out here in SoCal. He's a solid addition in the midfield or wing as a freshman. He has a good motor and fairly nifty dribbling/shooting skills
Couple of things on F&M. When my son came in as a D1 transfer keeper in 2021, he was one of 4 (two seniors, him and a freshman). The following year they added one keeper so 3. Last year they had 2, Levi Klein and Nolan Booth who competed for the start and Nolan did better. This year they have 3 with a freshman. Unlike previous lifetimes, being tall as a keeper does not always indicate good field play which F&M emphasized as well as many other programs. My son was a 5th back along with very good saving abilities at 6'1." He was often able to cut off attacks before they really got going and also hit many really good outlet passes skipping the passing between the backs especially to the wings to move the ball into the other team's side. He also was a very good basketball player which made his play stronger especially during crosses. Lastly he was a solid 205-210 which was a throwback to our days where keepers made people pay for getting to close. http://www.hudl.com/v/2JhdGH Could have been worse - he could have raised his knee to protect himself.
Yes Oscar Horwitz is a kid who took his Spring 2024 semester off so that he could play 4 years of college soccer after setting the single season scoring record with 19 goals at F&M while leading the Centennial Conf (next closest was JHU grad student Griffin Meyer with 13). Falzarno at JHU did the same. Oscar came to F&M as a back, but scoring a nice goal his sophomore year against Hopkins which gave Wagner the idea to try him at striker. He had a nice junior year with 7 goals and was pretty much injured most of the second half of the year.
Person to truly watch is senior Koa Kaliebe. Very, very fast and dynamic at all times. Push the ball deep over the backs and Koa can run down most things as well break some ankles going towards goal while being very unselfish. With Oscar and Koa, teams have difficult times marking both. Koa has 9 assists and 9 goals (1st and 4th respectively in the Cent. Conf).
Connor Anderko also started with Oscar and mostly took his spring 2024 semester off so he could play 4 years of soccer. He has started 56 games (injured for a few his 2nd year) over his three years and been the mainstay on defense. Generally recognized for his play, but not a headliner like Oscar. My son had a great time and definitely relied on him.
Other players to watch are: Isaac Mintz at midfield or wingback; Nathan Schlesinger for free kicks and several rising sophomores who played a lot last year.
F&M pretty much comes back with the same team talent wise mostly and this will have to be their year. No going down to PKs in the second round two years in a row will be good for them this year.
Quote from: Kuiper on July 28, 2024, 07:04:47 PMJohns Hopkins has posted its 2024 roster (https://hopkinssports.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster/2024)
A few observations:
- 27 players on the roster, compared to 31 last season
- Three regular starters return for a grad COVID year: Logan Falzarano (D), Francis Meyer (M), and Aidan Dunphy (MF). One regular starter not returning is GK Drew Valsamedis, who started 15 games at GK last year.
- Two grad transfers: Loucas Costeas (GK transfer from DI UMass Lowell who had 12 total appearances and 9 starts in 4 years) and (F transfer from DI Siena who played 49 games, with 11 starts, with 4 goals and 1 assist in four years).
- Only 4 freshman newcomers, which may be a product of the number of Covid super seniors and grad transfers. In years to come, I would not be surprised if Hopkins fills the gap in this class by looking in the transfer portal for D1 roster cap casualties who opt for high academic options.
Interesting. I see they on track to have a grad keeper which is really too bad for anyone who is a keeper and wants to go JHU to play. I would not recommend a kid despite JHU having one of the best keeper coaches around to go to JHU. It would also be hard for any undergrad kid to go to JHU with the grad students always dipping in and out.
They are going to have to find some goals with Griffin Meyer gone. He had 13 and next had 3. Also replacing Ben Goodman who I thought played great will be tough. Seemed like any time he was on the field something happened.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on July 29, 2024, 10:49:33 AMPerson to truly watch is senior Koa Kaliebe. Very, very fast and dynamic at all times. Push the ball deep over the backs and Koa can run down most things as well break some ankles going towards goal while being very unselfish. With Oscar and Koa, teams have difficult times marking both. Koa has 9 assists and 9 goals (1st and 4th respectively in the Cent. Conf).
Koa has a broken thumb at the moment and is wearing a cast. He is playing though. Watched him in a game on son's USL2 team just a couple of weeks ago.
Lebanon Valley has posted its 2024 roster (https://godutchmen.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster).
Here are a few observations
- 32 on the roster this season, compared with 29 last year
- Tons of quality experience on this roster. Eight grad students returning for a Covid Year, including All-MAC Freedom 1st team members GK Dalton Fitterling and F/M Lucas Strange (back for his fifth year) as well as regular contributors Connor Given (M), Kevin Donahue (M), Aidan Negron (F/M), Charlie McCormick (M/F), Matthew Weinstock-Collins (F), and grad transfer Nolan Ross (F/M) from DI Southern Indiana (and before that D2 Charleston for two years). Plus, they return Defenders Logan Hicks, Tyler Snavely, and Harrison Davis, who started almost every game last year, as well as defender Ben Kolarek, who started 13 games. Plus, All-MAC Freedom Offensive Player of the Year, Junior Nathan Prex, who scored 20 goals and 5 assists last year, returns up top. Basically, they can field an entire starting lineup plus a few subs full of players who have been there and done that.
- Not surprisingly, given all that experience, they only have 4 first-year players on the roster.
- Given that Lebanon Valley finished 13-2-4 last year and has so much returning experience and quality, I would expect its first game of the season hosting last year's final four team Washington College to be one to watch.
Susquehanna has posted its 2024 Roster (https://suriverhawks.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster)
A few observations:
- 33 on the roster, compared to 30 last season
- 6 freshman on the roster
- Top scorer Max Paczewski (10g/3a) returns, as does 6'4" central defender Clay Yannazzone
- Looks like forward Henry McElroy transferred in after he was the second leading scorer (with 4 goals) in his freshman year at Gordon, where he played 15 games and started 10. Luke Edwin also transfers in from Montgomery County Community College
Messiah has posted its 2024 Roster (https://gomessiah.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster)
Here are a few observations:
- 26 on the roster, compared with 28 on last season's roster
- Some strong players return for a 5th Covid year: 2nd team All-American and first team All-Region D Ben Vollmer, first team All-Region M Jeric Morlote, and regular starting D Caleb Aldridge, and regular contributing M Josh Bratager
- Lots of goal scorers and playmakers have graduated, including Matt McDonald's 13 goals and Ben Lefever and his 6 assists, who also led the team in shots by a considerable margin with McDonald's 79 shots and Lefever's 46 shots. On the other hand, Sam Phillips and his 12 goals (on 40 shots), and Patrick Lee and his 6 assists (and 42 shots), return.
- 8 freshman join the team
Quote from: Kuiper on August 10, 2024, 12:10:40 PMMessiah has posted its 2024 Roster (https://gomessiah.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster)
Here are a few observations:
- 26 on the roster, compared with 28 on last season's roster
- Some strong players return for a 5th Covid year: 2nd team All-American and first team All-Region D Ben Vollmer, first team All-Region M Jeric Morlote, and regular starting D Caleb Aldridge, and regular contributing M Josh Bratager
- Lots of goal scorers and playmakers have graduated, including Matt McDonald's 13 goals and Ben Lefever and his 6 assists, who also led the team in shots by a considerable margin with McDonald's 79 shots and Lefever's 46 shots. On the other hand, Sam Phillips and his 12 goals (on 40 shots), and Patrick Lee and his 6 assists (and 42 shots), return.
- 8 freshman join the team
Fun Fact. Ben Lefever has joined the coaching staff of neighboring Elizabethtown College.
https://etownbluejays.com/staff-directory/ben-lefever/395
Mary Washington has posted its 2024 Roster (https://umweagles.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster)
Here are a few observations:
- 41 on the roster, compared with 33 last year. That's a pretty meaningful increase in roster size
- Although UMW loses Josh Kirkland, who scored 15 goals and dished out 8 assists last season, they get a ton of experienced talent back as graduate students playing their covid year (which is part of the reason for the increased roster size), including 3rd team All-American Gabe Francesconi and regular starters Aidan Shell, Diego Guzman, Nelsar Castillo, Julian Schmugge, Nathan Terrell, and contributors Juan Vargas and Will Rissing. Plus, 2nd team All-American Carter Berg, who scored 13 goals and had 10 assists last season, returns for his senior season.
- They may have found help replacing Kirkland in grad transfer forward Jared Dubose from DI Radford, who scored 8 goals in two seasons after transferring from Temple.
- They brought in 9 freshman
Stevens has posted its 2024 Roster (https://stevensducks.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster)
Here are a few observations:
- 35 players on the roster, compared with 28 last season
- They picked up two grad transfers: GK Guillermo Castaneda-Chang, who was second team All-Liberty League last year at Hobart and D Tyler Warren, who appeared in 6 games last season for DI Northwestern
- Although Bruno Adino is gone, All-MAC Freedom second team defender Dylan Maund returns for a Grad Student year
- They have 10 freshman, including F Matthew Murillo, a United Soccer Coaches All-State player in California from Cathedral High School in Los Angeles. If Stevens hadn't ended its football program in the 1920s, the football coach would take one look at this guy and try to get him to quit soccer and play linebacker instead (he's listed at 6'4" and 196 lbs)
Muhlenberg has posted its 2024 Roster (https://muhlenbergsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster)
A few observations:
- 33 on the roster, compared with 35 last season
- 9 freshman
- They lose most of their top scorers and offensive players to graduation (Taylan Akdag, Chris Richards, Luke Feeney, Zack Mikuta, Brandin Osborne). Akdag, who was 2nd team all Region V, and Richards, who was 1st team all Region V, alone accounted for the vast majority of their shots too (55 and 53 respectively).
- They return their All Region V 3rd Team GK Ben Mulford back and a couple of their starting defenders, including All Region V 3rd team freshman Sam Roberts, but they lose a few important contributors from a team defense that was first in the Centennial and 26th in the country in GAA, including Zack Mikuta and All-Centennial Conference honorable mention defender Caleb Herring
Messiah scrimmaged Goucher yesterday in Towson. Messiah scores 3 in the first 20ish minutes. Bratager (2) and Morlotte (1). After that they subbed the entire team to get the young kids some time. Final score 3-0.
MAC Freedom has come out with its preseason coaches poll (https://stevensducks.com/news/2024/8/20/mens-soccer-tabbed-first-in-preseason-poll.aspx)
Rank Team Points
1st Place Votes
1. Stevens 48 (6)
2. Lebanon Valley 44 (2)
3. Misericordia 36
4. DeSales 31
5. FDU-Florham 22
6. Arcadia 19
7. King's 16
8. Delaware Valley 8
Messiah bested Gettysburg 3-1 at home yesterday afternoon. Goals from Phillips, Pezzino, and Lee. Lee has slotted in at target replacing McDonald. Gettysburg scored first on a set piece and by all accounts made Messiah work for it.
Washington College has posted its 2024 Roster (https://washcollsports.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster/2024)
A few observations:
- 35 on the roster, compared with 33 last season
- 11 freshman
- Six players return for a Covid season, including, most notably, Team MVP and All Region V GK Anthony Pinto.
- Several notable departures, including first team All-American defender Chris Comber, who has transferred to D1 Binghamton for his Covid year (and started and played the full 90 in the team's opening shutout win), co-MVP leading scorer and 2nd team all Centennial midfielder Ben Strine, leading assist man and 2nd team all Centennial Conference midfielder/defender Harrison Malone, and regular starting midfielder Ben Horgan
Mary Washington beat Randolph Macon 4-2. UMW goals Amarose 2x, Castillo, Francesoni. RMC scored on a PK and scramble off a corner. UMW looked really strong the 1st 10 minutes but seemed to back after going up 2-0
Tight race predicted in the Centennial Conference
https://centennial.org/news/2024/8/17/hopkins-named-mens-soccer-preseason-favorite.aspx
2024 Centennial Conference Men's Soccer Preseason Poll
Rank | Institution (First-Place Votes) Points
1. Johns Hopkins (4) 76
2. Franklin & Marshall (3) 72
3. Washington College (3) 69
4. Muhlenberg 55
5. Dickinson 44
6. Swarthmore 43
7. Haverford 35
8. Gettysburg 30
9T. McDaniel 13
9T. Ursinus 13
Quote from: Kuiper on August 27, 2024, 10:10:22 AMTight race predicted in the Centennial Conference
https://centennial.org/news/2024/8/17/hopkins-named-mens-soccer-preseason-favorite.aspx
2024 Centennial Conference Men's Soccer Preseason Poll
Rank | Institution (First-Place Votes) Points
1. Johns Hopkins (4) 76
2. Franklin & Marshall (3) 72
3. Washington College (3) 69
4. Muhlenberg 55
5. Dickinson 44
6. Swarthmore 43
7. Haverford 35
8. Gettysburg 30
9T. McDaniel 13
9T. Ursinus 13
Definitely going to be tight. Also with 6 teams making the playoffs, its anyone's conf. to win. Last year, JHU finished 4th in the conf. 4-3-2 and I think the Muhls were in a similar situation the year before - 3-1-5.
Swarthmore posted its 2024 Roster (https://swarthmoreathletics.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster)
A few observations:
- 26 on the roster, compared with 33 last season
- 6 Freshman
- Notable departures include 3rd team All Region midfielder Stathis Kalathias, honorable mention All-Centennial defender Matthew Loreg, and regular contributors midfielders Antonio Callegari and Leo Hecht and forward Brandon Cramblit, who was tied for second in the team in goals scored
- They had 9 seniors on the roster last season, so the smaller freshman class accounts for part of the drop in roster size. There are also a few 2023 non-seniors missing from the roster in 2024: Defenders Noah Pearlman and Grant Nguyen and forwards Thaniel Illuzzi and Art Keys. None of them played more than a few games last season.
Quote from: Kuiper on July 26, 2024, 12:27:42 PMFranklin & Marshall has posted its 2024 roster, including freshman additions.
https://godiplomats.com/sports/mens-soccer/roster
A couple of observations (just because this is an early roster drop and not because I would do this for every school!)
- This is probably news to no one other than me, but I was interested to see that Oscar Horwitz is back. He was listed as a senior last year, but he has only played 3 years of college soccer. Presumably, he is a super senior using his Covid year in the last year that is possible. There were other players listed as seniors in the 2023 roster who only played 3 years and aren't back (Kagan, Senatore, Sobel, Pine)
- Does F&M always staff its roster very thinly at the GK position? I saw that last year they had only 1 GK on the roster and this year they added a freshman so they at least have a backup.
- On the other hand, what they lack in depth they make up in height at the GK position. Their 6'6" junior is now joined by a 6'5" freshman. I guess the old "shoot low and score high" adage applies against F&M
- Roughly the same roster size as last year (33 v. 32), with 10 incoming freshman
One last update. Just posted on instagram, Jack Borden, junior transfer (Lafayette and Utah Valley). Check out his free kick videos. Pretty nice. Could be a successor to All-American Shay Adamson. https://www.instagram.com/p/C_OmmBRvLxR/?hl=en
I don't think he was listed on the roster before. He's a big guy and should be a great addition to the midfield.
JHU v. W&L 1-0 JHU. Tough goal and you could say that W&L was playing much better then the second min. of the 2nd half happened. Still a lot of soccer to play.
2-0 Hopkins wins. Hopkins defense played well, especially inside the box.
Consider me unimpressed with W&L.
SC.
You can never overrate a coaching change, regardless of the talent on the roster.
It's going to be a bit uphill for the Generals, but don't forget they started 0-1-2 last season as well and, frankly, I was even unimpressed with them late in the season. The talent is there, might just need some time to gel as a team and a staff. Or maybe it was coaching magic.
Quote from: jknezek on August 30, 2024, 04:22:29 PMIt's going to be a bit uphill for the Generals, but don't forget they started 0-1-2 last season as well and, frankly, I was even unimpressed with them late in the season. The talent is there, might just need some time to gel as a team and a staff. Or maybe it was coaching magic.
Absolutely, they also lost 4-0 to Messiah two years ago and ended up doing well.
IMO W&L had a good 1st half but could not capitalize. With or without a coaching change, it may take awhile to figure things out. From what I can tell, W&L fought till the end. Luckily, they get to turn the proverbial page with Sewanee on Sunday.
Not saying we have to give W&L a break, but they also have not had any grad students or super seniors like JHU and other teams they will play this year.
Watching first half of Mike Singleton's Goucher v. McDaniel. May be one of the few games to be broadcasted free this season as it is at McDaniel. You all should check it out if you want to see what a beautiful amazing green flat field looks like.
Goucher is weathering the storm so far, but only because their keeper has been playing like crazy. Of course, once I type that McDaniel scores 1-0. Either way the Goucher keeper has been involved in everything and only 1-0 against a team that has been really good over the years. I don't think Goucher has had a shot yet.
McDaniel's new coach is Michael Scott, yup
Does any Messiah fan want to rent my flosports log in for tonight? ;D
I jut paid my $15! For that kind of money I'm expecting a great broadcast from Dunder-Mifflin Stadium ;D
Quote from: 4231CenterBack on August 30, 2024, 05:15:02 PMI jut paid my $15! For that kind of money I'm expecting a great broadcast from Dunder-Mifflin Stadium ;D
There it is, proof the FloSports model works haha.
Hopefully Scranton can keep it within 3 goals and the Camera operator doesn't fall asleep.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on August 30, 2024, 04:44:43 PMQuote from: jknezek on August 30, 2024, 04:22:29 PMIt's going to be a bit uphill for the Generals, but don't forget they started 0-1-2 last season as well and, frankly, I was even unimpressed with them late in the season. The talent is there, might just need some time to gel as a team and a staff. Or maybe it was coaching magic.
Absolutely, they also lost 4-0 to Messiah two years ago and ended up doing well.
IMO W&L had a good 1st half but could not capitalize. With or without a coaching change, it may take awhile to figure things out. From what I can tell, W&L fought till the end. Luckily, they get to turn the proverbial page with Sewanee on Sunday.
Not saying we have to give W&L a break, but they also have not had any grad students or super seniors like JHU and other teams they will play this year.
Not disagreeing. Think they have plenty of time. But this looked different to me compared to last year.
SC.
I don't know. We were pretty down on W&L even fairly late last season. I don't think it can be any different at this point. Hopkins was projected to win the Centennial. That's a good team from a good league. W&L wasn't even picked to win the ODAC this year. So it is a bit different.
That being said, I'm happy to be headed to Sewanee and then Covenant next week to see the Generals play.
Joy and fun on film with respect to D3 soccer. Kid who filmed/edited this has been doing this for F&M for 3 years or so. Worth the few seconds. Check out his Instagram page for other reels like this.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/C_VsN38xPGT/
UMW up 5-0 with 17 left in 1st vs Rutgers Newark
Ambrose with 4 goals
Fransesconi with one
Schmugge & Albritton with 2 assists each
Ok W&L is a different team from the last game.
Quote from: eaglesoccerdad on September 01, 2024, 01:37:29 PMUMW up 5-0 with 17 left in 1st vs Rutgers Newark
Ambrose with 4 goals
Fransesconi with one
Schmugge & Albritton with 2 assists each
5-2 final
UMW 3rd string allowed two late
Quote from: Another Mom on September 01, 2024, 01:53:07 PMOk W&L is a different team from the last game.
That said, they have some way to go.
Quote from: Another Mom on September 01, 2024, 01:53:07 PMOk W&L is a different team from the last game.
Long,long season. FYI Lynchburg does not look like behemoth so a lot of ways to get to the NCAAs
I was at the beach and missed this one. Surprised so many are surprised by a Hopkins win!!
Just kidding, respect the dialogue.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 01, 2024, 06:33:10 PMI was at the beach and missed this one. Surprised so many are surprised by a Hopkins win!!
Just kidding, respect the dialogue.
Down the Ocean Hon!!
Hopkins win today v. Sewanee (2-0) was never close. For long stretches, it was Hopkins' offense v. Sewanee's defense in half the field. Sewanee's three shots were generous gifts by the official scorekeeper. Hopkins GK didn't have to make a single save. Final score should have probably been a greater margin but Hopkins is not likely to blow many teams out.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on September 01, 2024, 07:57:06 PMHopkins win today v. Sewanee (2-0) was never close. For long stretches, it was Hopkins' offense v. Sewanee's defense in half the field. Sewanee's three shots were generous gifts by the official scorekeeper. Hopkins GK didn't have to make a single save. Final score should have probably been a greater margin but Hopkins is not likely to blow many teams out.
I think... dare I say... they, along with Mary Washington, had the best all around team performances of the weekend. The soccer was outstanding.
On the flip side, I will say Montclair is far and away the biggest disappointment.
SC.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on September 01, 2024, 08:21:43 PMQuote from: Hopkins Walk-On on September 01, 2024, 07:57:06 PMHopkins win today v. Sewanee (2-0) was never close. For long stretches, it was Hopkins' offense v. Sewanee's defense in half the field. Sewanee's three shots were generous gifts by the official scorekeeper. Hopkins GK didn't have to make a single save. Final score should have probably been a greater margin but Hopkins is not likely to blow many teams out.
I think... dare I say... they, along with Mary Washington, had the best all around team performances of the weekend. The soccer was outstanding.
On the flip side, I will say Montclair is far and away the biggest disappointment.
SC.
As to Montclair, yes and no. When you don't have the D3 player of year on the field, it could be tough year. W&L may fall into this as well. It's been a while since they lost a game when taking the lead 1-0 in the reg. season.
Apropos of nothing, I had to swap out my old work laptop and just now realized that my bookmarks didn't transfer over.
I had every team's schedule page bookmarked in the Centennial, Landmark, MAC, NJAC, C2C and ODAC (just cause). I don't know if I have the energy to rebuild that.
SC what game did you watch this weekend of Montclair? Curious if you broke down or broke into the paywall
While flipping through and re-establishing my bookmarks...
PRIDE NATION!! I kind of forgot my second team over the summer. GA Sean Fatiga, the all-time leading scorer at Widener, already has 2 goals in 2 games. They have posted a 1-0-1 record.
Roar.
I think I'll just keep dropping in random comments until I get my bearings. To that point...
Rowan certainly doesn't mess around with its OOC schedule early on... They travel to Lancaster and Baltimore (fri - sun) for quite a tester of a road trip. (I mean, I assume they are not actually going on the road for the whole weekend...)
Simplecoach and I talked on his latest show about how brutal Rowan's schedule is this year.
They spent the weekend in Maryland to play Salisbury and St. Mary's.
They'll spend the weekend in Virginia to play Mary Washington and CNU.
They'll travel 4+ hours midweek to play Cortland.
The Hopkins, F&M double dip likely isn't a weekend trip because both are less than 2 hours and there's a day off between.
They should take a page from the Oneonta "How to Schedule" book - 10 of first 12 games at home, with one of those away games only 1 mile down the road at Hartwick.
Yeah, I actually mapped the trip to Lancaster and was surprised how close it is. I always forget the proximity between schools in PA and NJ.
Rowan will be returning back to campus after the F&M game and yea it's only a couple of hours from Glassboro to Lancaster and Baltimore.
York PA visited Chestertown to take on the Shoremen. 1-1 result. Probably fair as the teams seemed pretty evenly matched. At least in the first half which I was able to watch live.
Lebanon Valley v Muhls at Muhls new turf. Looks like LVC struggled not playing on its high grass at home from what I saw. 2-0 Muhls.
Lenny Armuth at Drew is about 3 minutes away from career victory 400.
Just watched the replay of the 4-0 Messiah Cal Lutheran game. Cal Lutheran played well but Messiah's keeper had 2 great saves in the first half and then Messiah showed its class in the second half. Two skilled teams so entertaining to watch.
Adam is excellent. Being the keeper at Messiah can be difficult. Yes, you will win 95% of your starts but you often do a lot of watching and Messiah does not use their keeper as an 11th field player like you might expect. Often he must make one or 2 good/great saves in a vacuum.
He was a little busier than normal last night because Messiah is sorting out the back 4. An injury to Messiah's all-american center back against Scranton means some re-shuffling is needed and some youngsters will need to be blooded earlier than expected.
Carthage should be a sterner test. They have a couple of goal scorers who put up real legitimate numbers in the CCIW last year.
I've been really nervous to post for some reason, but feel as though its the right time and I'm really excited to hop into the discussion especially in this thread.
So many good teams to keep track of in the Mid-Atlantic Region with some really exciting fixtures coming up. Personally, I believe Mary Wash has the chance to really go for it this season. They have more depth than they have ever had, and a lot of key players that can change a game at a moments notice. They have a 7:00pm tilt against Bethany this evening followed up with a game against Marymount who they played in the NCAA tournament in 2022 during their final four run. Should be a good matchup as Marymount is right up the road and tons of DMV guys that have all played against one another.
No need to be nervous... Welcome!!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 06, 2024, 10:39:12 AMNo need to be nervous... Welcome!!
Thanks for the welcome! Just really happy to have the best time of year taking place! Sooooooo much D3 soccer.
Welcome to the boards! I am also a frequent lurker but will sometimes post in Mid-Atlantic thread. Glad to have you around.
Kenyon and Rowan both go up 1-0 early. Could be a lot night for the home teams.
If you're watching the game in B'more, looks a lot more like Hopkins takes a W than Kenyon. Both good teams, but I'd say Jays dominated possession and more danger chances.
Hopkins lives and dies by playing it out of the back and some sloppy play at the 25 yard line led to a turnover and well-finished goal.
Hop pressure led to a 30 yard cross into the box and a deft finish. Second half should be a chess match. Kenyon willing to wait and pounce, Hop doing a good job breaking the soft press and being dangerous in the attacking third.
I have long lamented the Jays inability to score. This iteration seems a little more dangerous with its movement and passing in the final third.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 06, 2024, 07:57:45 PMIf you're watching the game in B'more, looks a lot more like Hopkins takes a W than Kenyon. Both good teams, but I'd say Jays dominated possession and more danger chances.
Hopkins lives and dies by playing it out of the back and some sloppy play at the 25 yard line led to a turnover and well-finished goal.
Hop pressure led to a 30 yard cross into the box and a deft finish. Second half should be a chess match. Kenyon willing to wait and pounce, Hop doing a good job breaking the soft press and being dangerous in the attacking third.
I have long lamented the Jays inability to score. This iteration seems a little more dangerous with its movement and passing in the final third.
Should be a interesting 2nd half.
F&M down -2-0 because of their own ineptitude (lack of communication) in the back. But great for Rowan doing what they need to do.
Had many, many opportunities to tie or at least get back in the game. Having Oscar Horwitz out with an injury is no excuse, but has impacted its team. Still time.
2-1 with 23 min. left. F&M goal seemed liked an own goal, but credited to Jack Borden. Strong shot just redirected by Rowan.
WOW
WOWOWOWOWOW
Kenyon scores with 5 seconds left to take the game 2-1. Amazing win for them.
Hop is going to have to get their minds right with Rowan coming in on Sunday.
Wow.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 06, 2024, 08:40:40 PM2-1 with 23 min. left. F&M goal seemed liked an own goal, but credited to Jack Borden. Strong shot just redirected by Rowan.
F&M scores with 3:30 left to equalize. Great finish to the game. 2-2
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 06, 2024, 09:00:26 PMWOW
WOWOWOWOWOW
Kenyon scores with 5 seconds left to take the game 2-1. Amazing win for them.
Hop is going to have to get their minds right with Rowan coming in on Sunday.
Wow.
Truly wow and brutal.
Though Rowan got two goals reasonably early and I would have been fine with them with the result, as Rowan showed a whole lot early. F&M put themselves in a hole with bad communication in the back at least for the 2nd goal. So really shooting themselves in the foot.
F&M, despite maybe playing on 5 cylinders, just kept up the pressure over and over during the game. The first goal might have been lucky, but the 2nd goal was during the run of play with a just beautiful cross and to perfectly placed player. Got to make your own luck.
FYI, I think Rowan was playing defense to softly and not keeping its line much higher. Have to more disciplined. F&M should not have had a kid sitting under that ball during the run of play. Like I said, got to make your own luck.
If you want to see the second goal go to 2:10 (2 hrs 10 min) in the video here. https://www.centennialconference.tv/?B=1123460
Also, both teams were chippy especially in the 2nd half.
Going from 2 great games and now W&L v. Sewanee out of the corner my eye to Iggles v. Pack. Crazy NFL game.
Maybe I'll catch some of the Swat v. Occidental at 10:00 hahaha.
W&L go 1 up on a (potentially) questionable PK call. Have been the better team especially in the final 15 of the first half after dealing with the crowd and physicality from Sewanee.
Have seen Sewanee in all 3 games now with them playing 2 CC opponents and W&L so far and have been unimpressed by the style for a team working to have a good year in the SAA. One glaring note is only goal so far was a corner in Game 1,and are currently sitting on about 10-12 shots in 3 outings. They seem to have very dynamic pieces on the bench in Sophomore Stokes McConnell tonight and Freshman Grayson White vs Hopkins, but both are sitting on less than 30 minutes so far.
W&L still look like they're getting out with a key win to stop a bigger slide
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 06, 2024, 07:57:45 PMIf you're watching the game in B'more, looks a lot more like Hopkins takes a W than Kenyon. Both good teams, but I'd say Jays dominated possession and more danger chances.
Hopkins lives and dies by playing it out of the back and some sloppy play at the 25 yard line led to a turnover and well-finished goal.
Hop pressure led to a 30 yard cross into the box and a deft finish. Second half should be a chess match. Kenyon willing to wait and pounce, Hop doing a good job breaking the soft press and being dangerous in the attacking third.
I have long lamented the Jays inability to score. This iteration seems a little more dangerous with its movement and passing in the final third.
To be fair Hopkins has been for a while now one of the most dominant teams in possession in D3 soccer. So organized, understand each others movements so well, but I do believe there is a tendency to overplay and it hurts them sometimes more than it helps. Didn't get to watch their game tonight, but definitely will see if the game is still up.
Mary Washington with an asbolute performance against a Bethany team that is currently reeling after their first 3 defeats. I am interested to see how UMW will perform against some more difficult opponents in the upcoming weeks. Sundays game against Marymount should start them trending as their schedule starts to get more difficult. 17 shots to 0 in the first half against Bethany and I honestly do not think that Bethany was able to get into the attacking third once.
Swat must love the Cali weather! Won 2-1. Could not watch b/c pay wall. Might have to go on the dark w3b and find a password??
Note on the W&L game, kid that got the red card is basically a waterboy for the next game in Georgia. Just looked him up and he's from GA and had played 80 plus min. a game. Rough.
Kenyon was just robbed a tying goal for a pretty fantastical off side call. Pretty good game to start the day.
SC.
Rowan 3 - Johns Hopkins 0 in the 64th minute.
Wow! Worth checking in for the neutral fan. We'll see if Rowan has learned from giving up an early lead to F&M on Friday, but they certainly are showing their ability to score in bunches.
FINAL: Rowan 3 - Hopkins 1
JHU got a PK in the second half, but couldn't chip away any further at Rowan's lead.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on September 08, 2024, 12:55:19 PMKenyon was just robbed a tying goal for a pretty fantastical off side call. Pretty good game to start the day.
SC.
I'm sure you had the best angle from your couch, haha
Quote from: Kuiper on September 08, 2024, 02:32:41 PMFINAL: Rowan 3 - Hopkins 1
Hopkins played the way they always do - dominating possession without creating many truly dangerous chances. Rowan played a smart and very physical game. They clogged the middle of their defensive half and used their greater size and physicality to win the many crosses Hopkins sent in to the box. They also pressed aggressively when they had the chance. The first two goals were on Hopkins defensive errors under pressure.
Tough, tough game(s) Hop.
F&M no bueno on finishing. You could say Kenyon suffered the same. Kenyon is definitely good. Welcome to D3 soccer. If you can finish consistently, well, D3 is not for you.
FYI F&M is doing its best Williams 2022 impression so far. Still think F&M has another gear especially when Oscar Horwitz gets back. He did play a few minutes.
On Wednesday, they have the annual Boot Game against Elizabeth which will be freely broadcasted in Iceland and the San Marino. So set your VPN. Every one else is SOL.
Week off after. Very good timing. Not the worst start, but better than having a loss.
F&M is no Williams.
Quote from: SKUD on September 08, 2024, 08:34:14 PMF&M is no Williams.
Hahaha, yeah I don't think it'll get to 11 ties.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on September 08, 2024, 12:55:19 PMKenyon was just robbed a tying goal for a pretty fantastical off side call. Pretty good game to start the day.
SC.
If this is in reference to the counter after the corner with under 5 minutes left in the first half, I'm guessing the AR called the offside as the Kenyon player was not level with the second-last opponent. An F&M defender was on the goal line but since the keeper was so far out the second-last defender was the other F&M defender who appeared to be just outside the 6 yard box while the offside player was on or inside the 6 yard box. Still tough to tell but using the 6 yard box as a VAR line it looked like the call was correct.
I'm beyond the days of just throwing out stuff, thinking this place is a vacuum where no players, parents or coaches are looking.
So I say, respectfully, that Hopkins is a very dangerous team... When they have a player or 2 that can consistently get in positions to capitalize on all their possession.
This iteration... While it's early, is going to need to really tighten up in the back, because they are going to need to win a lot of 1-0 and 2-1 games. The goals allowed this weekend... At least 3 came from gaffes in the back. They simply can't afford to do that.
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 09, 2024, 11:31:47 AMQuote from: SimpleCoach on September 08, 2024, 12:55:19 PMKenyon was just robbed a tying goal for a pretty fantastical off side call. Pretty good game to start the day.
SC.
If this is in reference to the counter after the corner with under 5 minutes left in the first half, I'm guessing the AR called the offside as the Kenyon player was not level with the second-last opponent. An F&M defender was on the goal line but since the keeper was so far out the second-last defender was the other F&M defender who appeared to be just outside the 6 yard box while the offside player was on or inside the 6 yard box. Still tough to tell but using the 6 yard box as a VAR line it looked like the call was correct.
Agreed. I actually reviewed it probably more than I care to admit... like double digit... slow mo... taking picks.... and I confess.... my initial assessment was wrong. Its a good call. A goalkeeper does not have special status, so the same rules apply if a field player is the last man with only one player between them and the goal.
So with a healthy amount of humble pie, I was wrong and Kenyon was not robbed.
SC.
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Messiah University 1 3-0-0
2 Dickinson College NR 4-0-0
3 Swarthmore College NR 3-0-1
4 Franklin & Marshall 2 1-0-3
5 University of Scranton NR 2-1-0
6 Muhlenberg College 4 2-1-1
7 Johns Hopkins 5 2-2-0
8 Washington College 3 2-1-2
Messiah plays upstart Dickinson at the Shoe tomorrow. Last year's match was only 1-0 @Dickinson. Should be a good one....
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 09, 2024, 11:45:17 AMI'm beyond the days of just throwing out stuff, thinking this place is a vacuum where no players, parents or coaches are looking.
So I say, respectfully, that Hopkins is a very dangerous team... When they have a player or 2 that can consistently get in positions to capitalize on all their possession.
This iteration... While it's early, is going to need to really tighten up in the back, because they are going to need to win a lot of 1-0 and 2-1 games. The goals allowed this weekend... At least 3 came from gaffes in the back. They simply can't afford to do that.
This attacking ability of this version of Hopkins has similar shades of the 2022 roster during the NCAA tournament; lots of threat and contributions from the wingers and the attacking mids (who I believe are the same between the two years). That team took much longer to get to that amount of threat but really showed out in their Elite 8 run. That being said, that team gave up a TOTAL of 10 goals in 24 games behind a great goalkeeper and backline. Hope they get it sorted out because the Hopkins style (trademark pending) is not typically kind to teams needed lots of goals to win games
Welcome BJB!!
Yep, Treinen is probably the best they've had to run that style of offense in the last 5 years. (I posted a lot about that team and his role that season.)
Broke down and got the Elizabethtown v F&M as its for a trophy.
I know both teams have to deal, but Elizabethtown's field is really, really, really bad. Actually worse than Haverford's and the old Muhls fields. Two years ago it was bad, but not like this. Reminds of a middle school field.
The announcer said they will go to PKs if tied. Not sure about that. That would be new since the Boot game has tied in the past.
Announcer who seems to be a student is fine, but, for what I paid, is very low quality.
0-0 with Elizabethtown having a better opportunity.
0-0 with F&M having the better chances, but no real finishing. E town's keeper had a very nice save.
Got very very chippy and the end. Ref is letting get out of hand. Crappy field doesn't help. 45 min still to go
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 11, 2024, 07:28:28 PMBroke down and got the Elizabethtown v F&M as its for a trophy.
I know both teams have to deal, but Elizabethtown's field is really, really, really bad. Actually worse than Haverford's and the old Muhls fields. Two years ago it was bad, but not like this. Reminds of a middle school field.
The announcer said they will go to PKs if tied. Not sure about that. That would be new since the Boot game has tied in the past.
Announcer who seems to be a student is fine, but, for what I paid, is very low quality.
0-0 with Elizabethtown having a better opportunity.
Unless they are going to PKs unofficially to decide who gets to take home the Battle of the Boot trophy, there are no PKs in regular season games.
That is what I was thinking. Last time was in 2013 I believe.
Messiah Dickinson game is fun to watch.
Quote from: pinball on September 11, 2024, 08:33:22 PMMessiah Dickinson game is fun to watch.
Dickinson with what is presumably the winning goal in the 90th minute!
Quote from: Kuiper on September 11, 2024, 08:55:08 PMQuote from: pinball on September 11, 2024, 08:33:22 PMMessiah Dickinson game is fun to watch.
Dickinson with what is presumably the winning goal in the 90th minute!
Dickinson definitely has Messiah's number. They played really well at home against Messiah last year.
Great game to watch. Two really good teams. GK play was fantastic on both sides. Messiahs GK kept it closer than it could have been. Some amazing saves.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 11, 2024, 08:57:38 PMQuote from: Kuiper on September 11, 2024, 08:55:08 PMQuote from: pinball on September 11, 2024, 08:33:22 PMMessiah Dickinson game is fun to watch.
Dickinson with what is presumably the winning goal in the 90th minute!
Dickinson definitely has Messiah's number. They played really well at home against Messiah last year.
Last time Messiah lost in the reg. season was in to Penn State Harrisburg in October 2021. That is quite a streak.
Much more surprising than Messiah losing to Dickinson is the Falcons getting outshot 19-10!!! That's nearly unheard of, although so far this season Messiah's shot total was matched by Scranton (8-8) and Carthage (14-14) leaving only the Cal Lutheran game with a familiar shot advantage (23-11). So this is very unusual territory. In all of 2023 and 2022, only three times did an opponent even manage half as many shots as the Falcons, Lynchburg doing the best with 12 shots to the Falcons' 16 opening weekend two years ago in a 2-2 tie while Catholic held Messiah to a 20-11 advantage opening weekend last year and Ohio Northern ended the Falcons' undefeated season and title hopes in the NCAA's with a 11-22 shot deficit, but a 1-0 advantage in goals scored. Now in 2024 opponents have already matched or exceeded the Falcons' shot total in three of four games!
As far as being outshot, the last time that happened was in the Elite 8 loss to Washington & Lee in 2021 when the Generals edged them 15-14. That came one week after Kenyon outshot Messiah by a whopping 18-7 (more than double!) in the Sweet 16 only to allow the Falcons to escape with a 2-1 win. That season Messiah was outshot three times with NYU having a 14-11 advantage in a regular season match.
But over the past 20 seasons (2003-2023, no 2020 season), the Falcons have only been outshot 15 times over 471 games. In only three of those 15 cases was the opponent able to leverage that advantage into a win and in only three of those 15 cases was the opponent's shot advantage significant. Only once were both true: in the Falcon's 2010 season opener, Hobart outshot the defending champions and hosts by a 19-10 margin en route to a 2-1 overtime win. In the following season's opener, Ohio Wesleyan outshot Messiah 18-10, but still lost 1-2 in front of their own fans after conceding just 29 seconds into the game (FWIW, the Bishops bounced back to make a run to the national championship and, thanks to also dropping the NCAC final to 2-seed DePauw, Jay Martin was able to break the record for all-time wins by a college men's coach in that year's title game instead a game or two earlier).
Anyway, to be dramatic about it, Dickinson did what hasn't been accomplished in at least the past 20 years (and most certainly longer than that): outshoot the Falcons by a significant margin and win in regulation. The Red Devils will hope to fare better than Hobart did in 2010 when the Statesmen finished a disappointing 7-6-4 after a promising 4-1-0 start, missing the 4-team Liberty League playoffs while the Falcons merely responded by winning their next 23 games to claim their third national title in a row and eighth overall.
Alvernia Schedule (https://auwolves.com/sports/mens-soccer/schedule)
One observation I meant to share on here on the eve of the seaosn, but never found the time, is that Alvernia has one the toughest non-conference schedules around. They took what was a pretty tough slate in 2023 and added a couple more strong opponents. The headliners are Rochester, Cortland St., Franklin & Marshall, Montclair St. and Stevens, but Muhlenberg and LVC are also solid competition, especially for a program like Alvernia. The out-of-conference schedule is not without some easier games, but only one complete cupcake in local opponent PSU-Berks. In conference play, they get Messiah to add to the aforementioned heavyweights.
So far Alvernia did well to hang on for the 0-0 tie at Muhlenburg in the season opener after going down to 10 men already in the 10th minute due to a straight red card (not the way the freshman would have wanted his college career to start, but it sounds like he may have prevented a goal). And then 5+ hours from home this past Saturday they made Rochester work for their 1-0 win. The Wolves sit at 3-1-1 having won the games they were supposed.
Alvernia (coach by E-town grad Casey Moore) won the ECAC tournament last year, so maybe that combined with challenging schedules came help the program find greater success. I remember when Tim Oswald (another E-town grad) took over at Rutgers-Camden in the mid-2000's, he put together some of the toughest schedules in D-III and they took their lumps, but come the end of the season they'd go win the ECAC's (three time in his first five seasons). Then starting in season 6 he led the Raptors to three straight NJAC titles (and 4 of 5) and made runs to the NCAA Elite 8 and Final in years 6 and 8. I'm not expecting Alvernia to find that level of success in the coming years, but it would be interesting if they could improve so they could push Messiah harder in conference and get themselves into consideration for a NCAA berth.
Messiahs greatest strength is their passing ability, but it's also their biggest weakness - they don't go to the opponents goal enough. They look to make the extra pass for the easy goal when sometimes you need to shoot and just put the ball on frame.
Dickinson did a great job of marking midfield and making it difficult to receive/turn cleanly and their back line dropped into the space taking away any slotted pass.
Many thanks to FW for that fascinating information. I attended the game and congratulate Dickinson for (a) outshooting the Falcons by a lot, (b) consistently interrupting the Falcon's ball control game, and (c) finally earning a well deserved win over Messiah for the first time in history.
Dickinson plays Messiah most seasons, often gives them a tough game, but has never gotten a result. As of today, Messiah is 40-1-0 against the Red Devils.
Both Dickinson goals resulted from scrums in front of the goal, at least one of them could have been prevented if a defender had been standing in the right place. The Messiah goal was (in that sense) more hard earned, but on those two goals the ball was deep in the Falcons' end owing to hard work by Dickinson. They deserved the win.
IMO, either team could have won this one. As stated above, both keepers stood on their heads. A spectacular diving save to his low left side by Messiah's keeper kept it 1-0 Falcons, but the first Red Devil goal resulted directly from the resulting corner kick.
Messiah right now is struggling a bit in the back line, owing to the absence of two AA CBs--Jake Kent-Loop, now with the Pittsburgh Riverhounds, and Ben Vollmer, who has missed all but the opening minutes of the first game with some sort of leg injury. An important backup CB last fall, FR Mark Adja (who scored the lone goal vs Dickinson last year), is now playing regularly for Howard County (MD) Community College, where he already has 2 goals.
Dickinson has more speed and overall talent this year than I have ever seen them have. IMO, they will contend for the Centennial title, barring major injuries or a collapse of some sort. Yes, they gave the Falcons all they could handle last fall and followed up with a mediocre season, but the talent and speed aren't going to disappear. Indeed, I think they have every bit as much team speed as the top notch Kenyon team that seriously outshot Messiah in that 2021 tournament game. It's rare that an opponent can match Messiah in that aspect, but Dickinson did last night. Kudos to them.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 11, 2024, 07:53:36 PM0-0 with F&M having the better chances, but no real finishing. E town's keeper had a very nice save.
Got very very chippy and the end. Ref is letting get out of hand. Crappy field doesn't help. 45 min still to go
I know it's not the case, but it certainly appeared refs were doing everything they could to help F&M. 6 yellow cards for Etown on mostly very soft calls. 1 for F&M. Then with 10 seconds left, Etown winger gets clobbered in the box by defender who made no attempt at the ball. As a ref myself I don't know if I would have the guts to make that call either, but it was deserved. The icing on the cake was the first F&M PK that was saved after going straight down the middle, and ref said Etown keeper moved early, which on video replay he didn't. Again, I'm 99.99999% sure they didn't have the fix in, so I'll just chalk it up to "not a great day at the office".
For what it's worth, F&M didn't look great, and for the second time this year they couldn't score (after scoring in every game for 2 years). This has to be a concern. And with both Dickinson and Swat off to strong starts, the Centennial is going to be super interesting.
4 minutes in UMW 1- Mt Union 0
Castillo with the goal
Quote from: Ejay on September 12, 2024, 04:09:52 PMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 11, 2024, 07:53:36 PM0-0 with F&M having the better chances, but no real finishing. E town's keeper had a very nice save.
Got very very chippy and the end. Ref is letting get out of hand. Crappy field doesn't help. 45 min still to go
For what it's worth, F&M didn't look great, and for the second time this year they couldn't score (after scoring in every game for 2 years). This has to be a concern. And with both Dickinson and Swat off to strong starts, the Centennial is going to be super interesting.
Nope, definitely do not. Still struggling. Decent in 2/3rds of the field, but struggled in the last third. Some good chances, but could not convert. As to ref, hard to say, because Etown field. Couple of the yellows (green cards as the announcer strangely called them, haha) were earned.
Cent. Conf. is definitely wide, wide open.
UMW 2 Mt Union 0 13 minutes left in 1H
Berg with a nice layoff for Castillo's 2nd
Now 3-0 goal by Vargas
Mt Union hasn't had a lot going forward
10 minutes in Mt Union gets one back
3-1
Rhoades up 2-0 on Hampden Sydney after 25 minutes
Hopkins with a typical came up in Newark. 1-0 win with lots of possession. At one point deep in the second half the broadcasters stated RUN hadn't had a shot on goal. Woof.
But, still, with 30 seconds to go, Hop gives up a corner and just really brings the point home that they need to try and push for that second goal. That Kenyon game should have this squad on high alert.
And they WERE pressing and had a few close calls. And full disclosure, I sped watched this game.
Alvernia goes up 3-0 early in the first half and survives a furious comeback to beat #2 SUNY Cortland 3-2. Pretty big turnaround for the team that lost 4-1 at Cortland last season.
WOW! That is really impressive.
Salisbury holding on to a 2-0 lead in the 58' at Messiah.
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 14, 2024, 08:24:26 PMSalisbury holding on to a 2-0 lead in the 58' at Messiah.
FINAL: Salisbury 3 - Messiah 1
If last game was Messiah's first regular season loss in several years, when was the last time they lost two in a row at home in the regular season?
The other way to look at this is that Salisbury (and Dickinson last game) are pretty good this year. After all, Salisbury beat Rowan to open the season. They lack consistency (a tie to TCNJ for example), but their two losses have been to Dickinson and Washington College, two strong teams.
Quote from: Kuiper on September 14, 2024, 08:50:32 PMQuote from: Freddyfud on September 14, 2024, 08:24:26 PMSalisbury holding on to a 2-0 lead in the 58' at Messiah.
If last game was Messiah's first regular season loss in several years, when was the last time they lost two in a row at home in the regular season?
I'm a few minutes behind you but the announcers just said 1996 and then before that 1975.
Brutal. The 2nd and 3rd goals were pretty decent by Salisbury. All three to the keepers right.
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 14, 2024, 09:04:26 PMQuote from: Kuiper on September 14, 2024, 08:50:32 PMQuote from: Freddyfud on September 14, 2024, 08:24:26 PMSalisbury holding on to a 2-0 lead in the 58' at Messiah.
If last game was Messiah's first regular season loss in several years, when was the last time they lost two in a row at home in the regular season?
I'm a few minutes behind you but the announcers just said 1996 and then before that 1975.
This is only the second time in the Coach Brandt/Coach McCarty era (26+ seasons) that Messiah has lost two in a row (regardless of site), the other time being opening weekend in 2019 on the road to Hobart and Ithaca. As far as two home losses in a row, the announcers had that right with 1996 (Coach Layton Shoemaker's final season) and before that 1975 (the program's 9th season and well before joining the NCAA). In fact, two home losses total in a season last happened nineteen years ago in 2004, the year of their third national title.
Next up for the Falcons is the midweek "Marshmallow Bowl" against Elizabethtown who will host for the fifth time in their first six games this season. E-town got beat 3-0 by Washington College, but then held F&M to a 0-0 tie, so not sure what to expect of the Blue Jays. Regardless, if Messiah's attack remains relatively toothless in the offensive third despite still being able to dominate possession and the make-shift D-line continues to look disjointed and extremely vulnerable, it could be a long, nervy night for the Falcon Faithful with Elizabethtown all too happy to add to Messiah's misery.
Three Falcon losses in a row hasn't occurred since 1996 when visiting Wheaton (Ill.) spoiled Homecoming weekend with a 4-0 whitewash, followed by 0-1 home loss to Gettysburg and capped of by a 1-2 loss to who other than rival E-town in that year's edition of the marshmallow game at Messiah.
The previous time Messiah dropped three straight games, in 1989, E-town again inflicted the third loss upon the Falcons with an emphatic 3-0 road victory en route to a national championship. If one historical account is to be believed, 1989 would have been the second year in which marshmallows flew at this grudge match, and the first in which both sets of fans engaged "in battle". (Dating myself, I was a freshman that year as was current Messiah head coach McCarty.)
So in this rivalry that has been off the boil more than not in the past 20 years, there's extra plot lines and intrigue this year. Even a draw would be make this a rare skid for the Falcons who have only gone winless in three straight one time (2008) since that 3-game losing streak in 1996. Three total losses in a entire season has only happened four times in that same timeframe.
There is a tropical storm watch for the Carolinas. Currently inland in North Carolina we are getting a lot of rain. It could impact games over the next few days as the storm heads north.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Eight
It is known as Tropical Storm 8. Evidently it prefers to play box to box in the Mid Atlantic.
When Dickinson scored the last two goals vs Messiah last Wednesday and Salisbury scored the first two goals on Saturday, it was probably just the second time this century in which the Falcons yielded four goals in a row to opponents. The previous instance in my mind was in 2015, when Rowan scored 4 in Grantham before Messiah rookie Nick West got 2 of them back. That was a rare rebuilding season for the Falcons, who for the only time since 1996 failed to qualify for the tournament. They came back quickly, owing to 3 FR players who had been regional HS AAs: Nick West, David Alejos, and Samuel Ruiz Plaza. Two of those men were first-team AAs at Messiah. In their final season (2018), West had that brilliant season, scoring in the last 15 games of the season, but Ruiz Plaza--the engine of that offense--went down before the Elite Eight game vs Rochester, in which Rochester took advantage of his absence to stymie the Falcon attack on the way to a 2-1 victory.
This season so far reminds me of 2015. If that means a national title two years from now, I'll take it. But, I don't see 3 great FR who could make that happen this time. We'll see...
Love the Messiah historical notes. Before flushing this season down the toilet, let me say that the Dickinson game should have ended in a tie as the last goal was scored by an offsides player. He said as much to the MU players. Now, Dickinson outplayed MU, especially in the 2nd half. But as badly as they were outplayed, the result should have been a tie.
The Salisbury game was a different story. MU outplayed them the entire game, simply look at the stats. The score is certainly not indicative of the game. The lads up top were close on more than 1 shot and great GK kept them off the board. All this being stated, the team has lost an AA 5th yr CB, has several key injuries and have been starting 2 Fr. Finally, players have been playing positions they are not accustomed to playing.
Keep the faith. By season's end, it will be a different team and all of these close games and more to come, will only serve the team well as it enters the NCAAs. Being undefeated has certainly not helped them the past 2 yrs entering the tournament :)
Fits, I used to see soccer the way you do. But now I see it as; good teams outplay an opponent and come away without a result. Exceptional teams rarely leave points on the pitch.
FYI, may not be the best game but Swat's announcer is probably the best in D3 or at least top 5. https://www.centennialconference.tv/swarthmoreathletics/
Quote from: Falconer on September 17, 2024, 09:50:26 AMWhen Dickinson scored the last two goals vs Messiah last Wednesday and Salisbury scored the first two goals on Saturday, it was probably just the second time this century in which the Falcons yielded four goals in a row to opponents. The previous instance in my mind was in 2015, when Rowan scored 4 in Grantham before Messiah rookie Nick West got 2 of them back. That was a rare rebuilding season for the Falcons, who for the only time since 1996 failed to qualify for the tournament. They came back quickly, owing to 3 FR players who had been regional HS AAs: Nick West, David Alejos, and Samuel Ruiz Plaza. Two of those men were first-team AAs at Messiah. In their final season (2018), West had that brilliant season, scoring in the last 15 games of the season, but Ruiz Plaza--the engine of that offense--went down before the Elite Eight game vs Rochester, in which Rochester took advantage of his absence to stymie the Falcon attack on the way to a 2-1 victory.
This season so far reminds me of 2015. If that means a national title two years from now, I'll take it. But, I don't see 3 great FR who could make that happen this time. We'll see...
I was going to follow-up my previous post with one about 2015 and that loss to Rowan, but never got around to it. So it was interesting to see Falconer make the connection (although I wasn't thinking in terms of consecutive goal conceded).
I left the Salisbury game feeling a little like I did after watching the Rowan loss--a resignation that this will probably be a down year. With more time to think about it, it's somewhat premature to feel that way about the current season. First, the two games played out quite differently: Rowan overall really (and fairly comprehensively) beat us while Salisbury outscored us by being opportunistic (and hats off to them for that). Secondly, the Falcons are dealing with injuries, including losing a starting CB in the first game of the season, while I don't think injuries could be used as an explanation for the problematic start to the 2015 season.
So I think Fitz@615 is right that it's too early to write an eulogy on the 2024 season, but there are worrying signs. That 10 minute spell from about the 75th minute when Messiah scored to the 85th minute when Salisbury got their third goal (with the near equalizer in between) shows what the Falcons are capable of and that gives hope. But it will take a lot more than 10-minute cameos of attacking verve for Messiah to be considered a legitimate threat in November.
So, with nervousness and excitement, I am taking the kids over to Elizabethtown tonight to sling some marshmallows and cheer the Falcons on to victory.
Finally! Absolutely painful. Oscar Horwitz in the 34th min or so.
So, so many opportunities. Don't know what Cortland was about last week. This Alvernia is struggling.
Should have been 2, but keeper made a very nice save.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 18, 2024, 05:50:04 PMFinally! Absolutely painful. Oscar Horwitz in the 34th min or so.
So, so many opportunities. Don't know what Cortland was about last week. This Alvernia is struggling.
Should have been 2, but keeper made a very nice save.
Could/should have been much more that 2-0, but they'll take it. Alvernia keeper made some very good saves and F&M just inept at finishing. 2nd goal was nice header off a corner.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 18, 2024, 05:50:04 PMFinally! Absolutely painful. Oscar Horwitz in the 34th min or so.
So, so many opportunities. Don't know what Cortland was about last week. This Alvernia is struggling.
Should have been 2, but keeper made a very nice save.
You can score on Cortland, they usually just outscore you. In any case, that was already their 7th game and was played on the road, I believe fatigue had set in a bit. Still was a good result for Alvernia but that could just be your typical odd variance in college soccer. I wouldn't go as far to say F&M is better than Cortland or at least significantly better, just sometimes how the dice rolls when it comes to outlier results.
Quote from: stlawus on September 18, 2024, 06:45:13 PMYou can score on Cortland, they usually just outscore you. In any case, that was already their 7th game and was played on the road, I believe fatigue had set in a bit. Still was a good result for Alvernia but that could just be your typical odd variance in college soccer. I wouldn't go as far to say F&M is better than Cortland or at least significantly better, just sometimes how the dice rolls when it comes to outlier results.
Was definitely not comparing F&M to Cortland, but just seemed odd that Alvernia did not appear to be the same team against F&M as it was against Cortland.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 18, 2024, 10:18:08 PMQuote from: stlawus on September 18, 2024, 06:45:13 PMYou can score on Cortland, they usually just outscore you. In any case, that was already their 7th game and was played on the road, I believe fatigue had set in a bit. Still was a good result for Alvernia but that could just be your typical odd variance in college soccer. I wouldn't go as far to say F&M is better than Cortland or at least significantly better, just sometimes how the dice rolls when it comes to outlier results.
Was definitely not comparing F&M to Cortland, but just seemed odd that Alvernia did not appear to be the same team against F&M as it was against Cortland.
It's Alvernia
Quote from: Flying Weasel on September 11, 2024, 11:46:00 PMMuch more surprising than Messiah losing to Dickinson is the Falcons getting outshot 19-10!!! That's nearly unheard of, although so far this season Messiah's shot total was matched by Scranton (8-8) and Carthage (14-14)
And then Dickinson (19-10) L 3-1
And then Elizabethtown (14-11) W 4-0
Having watched this year's Marshmallow Game, I can understand why there's pause when it comes to Messiah. They're definitely not the same as past teams. Defense is not as tight as usual (see shot counts), and there is no identifiable offensive threat. With that said, they have a ton of talent and they're still a damn good team that I would love to watch, but not play against.
0-0 typical Cent Conf showdown. JHU v. Muhls
Can't comment who was best. Both had chances.
Was a little disappointed with the non card for JHU wrecking the keeper late in the game. He definitely was late and should have gotten a yellow at least.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 20, 2024, 09:28:35 PMWas a little disappointed with the non card for JHU wrecking the keeper late in the game. He definitely was late and should have gotten a yellow at least.
Agree. Should have been a yellow at least.
Pleasent suprise to see my Royals tie Cortland 2-2.
Messiah outshot and outscored as they lose their 3rd in a row at home; 0-1 to PSU-Harrisburg. They now travel to Rowan on Wednesday and with another loss will be 4-4.
Like usual, a lot of parity in Cent Conf except for Haverford and Ursinus.
Dickerson couldn't get it done against Washington College. Going to guess all Cent Conf coaches will be closely reviewing that tape.
MAF Power Rankings (9/23)
1. F&M
2. Dickinson
3. Hopkins
4. Lycoming
5. Swat
6. Messiah
7. Rowan
8. York
9. Montclair
10.PSU-Harrisburg
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 23, 2024, 10:39:59 AMMAF Power Rankings (9/23)
1. F&M
2. Dickinson
3. Hopkins
4. Lycoming
5. Swat
6. Messiah
7. Rowan
8. York
9. Montclair
10.PSU-Harrisburg
Thanks for putting this out here. Being a F&M fan, I appreciate it. However, right now, F&M may get there especially since it will play Dickinson and Swat (I think Swat on this Saturday).
So right now, imo, at least Swat and Dickinson should be above F&M with their successes. F&M was just not getting it done in the beginning of the season with its 4 ties (to include Kenyon and Rowan).
Things may be turning for F&M as its main goal scorer, Oscar Horwitz, is back with three goals over the last two games. So, if F&M is successful against Swat on Saturday . . . .
I was torn between the success and results vs that + strength of opponents. I went with F&M for now as they have a hard schedule with solid results. Dickinson could easily be 1 instead of 2 but I am not seeing the hype for Swat. Maybe 1 good result so far? Occidental? They are taking care of business but could also see them missing conference playoffs. Need more time before I move them up further.
Dickinson have played a harder schedule thus far, in my opinion, and have good results. I'd lean them over Swat and others. F&M has played the toughest schedule and is trending in the right direction. They are lacking a signature win but also haven't dropped a game yet.
If I had to pick between F&M and Dickinson in a H2H right now I'd take the Diplomats, and for that reason they edge out the Red Devils...for now :)
As for the rest of the rankings...it's truly a toss-up. Hopkins seem to always be there and have had a solid start to the year. Lycoming has been flying under the radar and has put together a nice start to the season. Messiah is in free fall by their standards but still not a team anyone wants to face. I'm confident they will sort it out before conference play. Rowan looks solid but time will tell how good they really are. York has turned some heads and are headed in the right direction from previous years. Montclair probably could be higher but it's jam packed from 4 thru 9. PSU-Harrisburg gets the nod at 10 but take your pick for that spot.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 23, 2024, 12:28:47 PMQuote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on September 23, 2024, 10:39:59 AMMAF Power Rankings (9/23)
1. F&M
2. Dickinson
3. Hopkins
4. Lycoming
5. Swat
6. Messiah
7. Rowan
8. York
9. Montclair
10.PSU-Harrisburg
Thanks for putting this out here. Being a F&M fan, I appreciate it. However, right now, F&M may get there especially since it will play Dickinson and Swat (I think Swat on this Saturday).
So right now, imo, at least Swat and Dickinson should be above F&M with their successes. F&M was just not getting it done in the beginning of the season with its 4 ties (to include Kenyon and Rowan).
Things may be turning for F&M as its main goal scorer, Oscar Horwitz, is back with three goals over the last two games. So, if F&M is successful against Swat on Saturday . . . .
I think F&M would be a bottom half NESCAC team.
Really going out on a limb with that opinion since Massey currently has F&M ranked below Tufts,Middlebury,Amherst,Bowdoin,Conn,Williams, and Wesleyan ;D
And? You agree or disagree?
Quote from: SKUD on September 23, 2024, 01:48:21 PMI think F&M would be a bottom half NESCAC team.
That is just fine, and, right now, can't disagree. Please note that this Mid Atl and not NESCAC. Not a single NESCAC team listed by MAF.
Quote from: paclassic89 on September 23, 2024, 03:20:40 PMReally going out on a limb with that opinion since Massey currently has F&M ranked below Tufts,Middlebury,Amherst,Bowdoin,Conn,Williams, and Wesleyan ;D
And??
This is not the NESCAC page. I believe the only thing I commented on the NESCAC page was the fact that the Middlebury goal was scored by F&M top scorer's younger brother in a 1-1 tie with Amherst. NESCAC for years have been the best D3 conf. F&M lost to Conn Coll in pk's last year and three years ago to Middlebury 2-0 in the 2nd round.
As to Massey, Rowan (tied F&M and has 3 loses), JHU (2 loses and one tie - with the two JHU loses against teams F&M tied), Swat, Dickinson, Messiah (3 loses) which Massey currently ranks ahead of F&M. All fine which is why I stated that I would put Dickinson and Swat ahead of F&M right now. Massey is always interesting.
Let's see how the F&M Swat game checks out and Dickenson v. Muhls who tied JHU 0-0 this weekend. After the weekend, the NESCAC will still be the superior conf.
Quote from: SKUD on September 23, 2024, 03:30:10 PMAnd? You agree or disagree?
I don't agree. I'd probably place Amherst, Tufts, and Middlebury above F&M from what I've seen. I'd rank Conn and F&M about even. Not impressed with Williams and think F&M could probably beat them. Haven't watched Bowdoin or Wesleyan yet this year but based on results, I'd take F&M over them right now. So that puts F&M 4/5 in NESCAC
Good to know. I enjoy comparing the regions and the teams. I see some get a little ruffled and that is a result of my opinion.
What the F!! Come on JHU announcer. Capt. Obvious. Go ahead goal by UMW. Announcer said something like - That will be something he would like to have back and it will haunt him in his dreams?? Then naming him as a grad transfer?? I'm paraphrasing. Could also been because the constant, though not hard, rain?? Just stupid.
How about saying how many sitters strikers miss game after game??
The second goals for both teams were the result of keeper misplays. I couldn't tell from the stream how hard it was raining and the announcer didn't mention it (at least not that I heard). It's been misting/spitting all day in DC so I could understand why the ball was wet and difficult to handle. Tightly contested game. In my highly partisan opinion, the 2-2 final score was a fair result.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on September 25, 2024, 09:50:04 PMThe second goals for both teams were the result of keeper misplays. I couldn't tell from the stream how hard it was raining and the announcer didn't mention it (at least not that I heard). It's been misting/spitting all day in DC so I could understand why the ball was wet and difficult to handle. Tightly contested game. In my highly partisan opinion, the 2-2 final score was a fair result.
JH 2nd goal was obvious handling
Ref didn't have a good game all around
That being said UMW played poorly and got punished for not putting more of the 25 shots in the back of the net
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on September 25, 2024, 09:50:04 PMThe second goals for both teams were the result of keeper misplays. I couldn't tell from the stream how hard it was raining and the announcer didn't mention it (at least not that I heard). It's been misting/spitting all day in DC so I could understand why the ball was wet and difficult to handle. Tightly contested game. In my highly partisan opinion, the 2-2 final score was a fair result.
Here is a link to a replay of the JHU goal that the keeper couldn't handle
https://www.instagram.com/p/DAXQL-VMB69/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link
Looks pretty wet to me, but the mistake I would be more upset about if I was the coach was the two (really three) UMW defenders on the ball and none on the winger who was wide open for the pass that led to an easy cross for the JHU goal.
It had stopped raining at that point but I'm sure the ball was wet. Agree that the defenders played that really poorly on the wing - lack of communication about who was pressing the ball and who was dropping on the winger.
2-2 a fair result? Please. Mary Washington was dominant and unlucky. See the box score. I don't rate Hopkins like others and watched them live against Muhlenberg, who had the better of chances in that match and the Mules are still figuring things out. For 20 minutesat end of 1H they peppered JHU in the best stretch I've seen for a Mules team in the past four year against JHU (and that includes two CC title matches). I just don't understand the love for F&M and Hop on this board. Way over the top. UMW was 2-3 goals better last night. They are REALLY good.
I should couch that statement that I don't rate Hopkins. I don't rate them as highly as others. They are all very good on the ball, but their back line is nowhere near as good as years past and susceptible to turnovers when pressed unlike years past when they would slice up opponents who pressed. They have very technical players but simply don't often get dangerous. It's a fascinating system of play however.
REALLY good teams don't draw 2-2 with Hopkins, they win by your imaginary score.
(For what it's worth, I agree -- and have said so -- that this year's backline is not like the usual Hopkins backline. They might gel and tighten up, but in this system, you really can't afford mistakes back there.)
that game was one dropped ball from being a Hopkins win.
Quote from: SKUD on September 26, 2024, 10:05:12 AMthat game was one dropped ball from being a Hopkins win.
A terrible pk call and blatant handball would suggest otherwise. Hopkins was outplayed on the night. Will both teams be tournament teams absolutely, but go and watch the game back if they post it on demand and Hopkins had large periods where they couldn't get out of their end even when trying to play super direct.
In general (and obviously speaking from a certain viewpoint) it seems like there have been numerous results already this season which based on 2023 and previous seasons, are surprising. However, the rhythm of the recruiting cycle does mean that there will be times where a disproportionate number of players in a team are suddenly required to make bigger contributions and are probably under more scrutiny than ever before. Plus, programs have been able to attract players they might have previously missed out on due to performance. But the one thing above all is that it's not even October yet and integration takes time and coaches everywhere are probably still being surprised by who has stepped up and who maybe are yet to.
I watched and my point is a really great team would have separated themselves from Hopkins and the refs.
Excellent points Enmore.
Quote from: SKUD on September 26, 2024, 10:20:05 AMI watched and my point is a really great team would have separated themselves from Hopkins and the refs.
Excellent points Enmore.
Fair enough.
Also, what may not be as impactful and not an excuse - UMW played 3 games (Rowan, Col. Coll back to back) in 6 days. Won 2 of them against ranked teams and was in position to win a third, but for the tying goal which was interesting.
Like any team on a rainy Wed evening (only thing missing was the cold), UMW had a let down to a certain extent. While JHU had chances, UMW was tough and IMO more dynamic and got unlucky but lucky as did JHU to tie.
On to Messiah.
Quote from: SKUD on September 26, 2024, 10:20:05 AMI watched and my point is a really great team would have separated themselves from Hopkins and the refs.
Excellent points Enmore.
[/quotQuote from: SKUD on September 26, 2024, 10:20:05 AMI watched and my point is a really great team would have separated themselves from Hopkins and the refs.
Excellent points Enmore.
OK, I'll bite.
Who in your estimation IS worthy? Or no outstanding teams this year?
F&M, Hopkins, UMW...all trash?
Is it a New England vs Mid-Atlantic (and maybe also Midwest) thing? Maybe just a little real analysis to augment your declarations would be helpful.
Yes, it seems to be a NESCAC vs Mid-Atlantic thing. The same poster commented that F&M would be a bottom half NESCAC team. Also without any analysis
You know the saying about opinions... they are like A$$holes and everyone has one.
Didn't realize I needed stats.
And PAclassic great chirp. Ouch! You get the yellow card 2nd-man in with no contribution. 2nd man in always gets the card.
I watch more mid Atlantic soccer than anything else. I don't see PA or PN calling out SC for his regional biases that are not statistically backed.
Quote from: PaulNewman on September 26, 2024, 12:21:48 PMQuote from: SKUD on September 26, 2024, 10:20:05 AMI watched and my point is a really great team would have separated themselves from Hopkins and the refs.
Excellent points Enmore.
[/quotQuote from: SKUD on September 26, 2024, 10:20:05 AMI watched and my point is a really great team would have separated themselves from Hopkins and the refs.
Excellent points Enmore.
OK, I'll bite.
Who in your estimation IS worthy? Or no outstanding teams this year?
F&M, Hopkins, UMW...all trash?
Is it a New England vs Mid-Atlantic (and maybe also Midwest) thing? Maybe just a little real analysis to augment your declarations would be helpful.
PN I will let you know when I see one. I will say the Midwest and west are my blind spots.
Who looks great to you?
That's fine. You don't need stats. It's not that serious. I'm one of the biggest F&M haters on here so congrats on putting me in the position of defending them lol (I hate Amherst more)
So.... crickets.
You obviously can and will do as you please. I just wanted to clarify if you are taking random shots with a bullying vibe...or actually interested in discussion.
The assault on F&M was particularly absurd, kicked off by you completely botching Sierra's reference to Williams. F&M doesn't need its academic reputation boosted as it is a wonderful school...BUT the reference to Williams wasn't about relative academic rank but rather the number of ties F&M was accumulating in comparison to the Williams Final 4 season highlighted by 10-11 draws. You may have noticed that there a few higher profile squads this year already sporting records of 3-0-4, 3-0-5, etc.
UMW...pretty clear imo rite now especially given recent gauntlet.
Also Tufts, Amherst, GAC, Colorado College, Conn College, UWEC, GAC, ONU, and maybe Cortland, Midd, Trinity, Chicago (2 of losses to D1s I think).
On fence regarding, JCU, Kenyon, JHU, Babson, St Olaf, F&M, Rowan, CNU, North Park and one or two from rest of Texas group and/or West Coast.
Quote from: SKUD on September 26, 2024, 01:15:21 PM...SC for his regional biases that are not statistically backed.
Statistics? I was a history major.
SC.
Quote from: PaulNewman on September 26, 2024, 01:33:29 PMSo.... crickets.
You obviously can and will do as you please. I just wanted to clarify if you are taking random shots with a bullying vibe...or actually interested in discussion.
The assault on F&M was particularly absurd, kicked off by you completely botching Sierra's reference to Williams. F&M doesn't need its academic reputation boosted as it is a wonderful school...BUT the reference to Williams wasn't about relative academic rank but rather the number of ties F&M was accumulating in comparison to the Williams Final 4 season highlighted by 10-11 draws. You may have noticed that there a few higher profile squads this year already sporting records of 3-0-4, 3-0-5, etc.
This takes the conversation in an entirely different direction (and maybe a less contentious one), and perhaps it should be on the National Perspectives thread or the NCAA Tournament Selection criteria thread, but I wonder if all of these ties in games between high quality teams is because of the NPI formula adopted for men's soccer.
I ask because the committee explanation for setting "Quality Win Base Multiplier" at .750 suggests it may be better to tie a strong team than win against an average or below average team. That was supposed to encourage scheduling strong opponents, but does it also encourage coaches to play for the tie rather than really go for it and play for the win in those close games?
https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/championships/sports/soccer/d3/men/2023-24D3MSO_NPI.pdf
QuoteThe committee increased and set the QWB multiplier to .750 in order to address ties within the soccer
formulas that are different than a majority of other sports. By increasing the multiplier to .750 it made
the value of quality ties equal to or more valuable than average/below average wins. This again
encourages teams to play quality schedules and earn wins and/or ties against good opponents in order
to earn a spot in the NCAA tournament.
This all really, really great. All stirring the pot and lobbing mortar rounds (missiles are more direct). Army guy and mortar rounds always made more sense since it is an indirect fire weapon.
Can definitely understand why and how people can hate F&M. However, I would not discount Coaches Wagner and Spangler effectiveness on the field as well as off. I mention Donnie Spangler, because he has a great impact on the team as Wagner. Spangler could have taken over many programs since he started in 2011 In my opinion as a parent whose seen kids (starters and some minute players) seen the results of their kids on campus and now later, I have to say that they have been incredibly effective and generally been great for men. This is also been going on for over 20 years at F&M.
While they may never have the success of Messiah, Amherst or Williams, they met and exceeded their mission of helping their squads to be better people.
Also they have had some success on field as well. 10 years in a row making the NCAA's. Yes they've been knocked out in the second round a lot (last two years in pks Cortland and Con Coll). All well treaded ground and a good reason to not particularly be fans of F&M. However, as a kid who wants to play, work and be part of a great group of men (to include alumni) and wants to play in the NCAAs (or just be relevant), F&M has a lot to offer. One of the reasons why my son transferred to F&M. Not because of the academics but that's a long, long story.
Heckling bench a knock on F&M, true for some which is why many do like F&M. Some might say that is how the team engages and gets everyone involved by never sitting while following the game the entire time. Coming from Maryland most lacrosse benches are exactly the same, so I am used to it. Some might notice that prior to each half the starters on the field gather around in circle before starting. Some may not see this, but the subs do the same on the sideline. Only observed this and don't know what is said in the subs meetings. That is something many would want ("I may be a sub, but I matter" if I was theorizing). Having been a sub in college, I can't remember anyone on the team concerned with me. So I would say that, from the outside, F&M has a different dynamic than maybe other teams. FYI, the bench used to playfully heckle my son as well by yelling his last name over and over.
As to this season, F&M is definitely struggling with its 5th tie and may for the first time since 2013 not win 10 or more games. Several of the ties, F&M was dominating, but like a few years ago, just couldn't finish. Will have to win 7 out the last 8 games to reach 10 wins. 2021, they won six 1-0 games (2 were in OT and 2OT) and another 0-1 loss in OT. In 2022, it was similar - 5 1-0 wins, 3 2-1 wins and 2 0-0 ties.
So Saturday's game against Swat at Swat will be a huge game for F&M. Last three meeting 1-0-2. Plus Swat has had the week off and are 7-0-1 and F&M had some injuries Wed night. Not excuses, but realities. I will say that F&M will fight to the end though.
Kuiper, based on a small sample size, I haven't had the impression that teams are going for draws, at least not consciously. To take this latest big match as an example...I thought UMW was desperate to score again even with under a minute left. Hopkins seemed more satisfied to earn the draw but imho that was due to two factors...1) in general the team that equalized late is more likely on balance to be OK with a tie; 2) and the bigger factor imo was that JHU looked absolutely exhausted. May not have come across as I intended but I thought JHU was quite brave with the effort to get a draw. Showed a lot of pride and I'm sure given early expectations that Hopkins players have been feeling quite a bit of pressure.
I would also note that UMW looks like a very big team...maybe not Amherst-size, but close. I don't trust smaller teams by comparison like JHU, Kenyon, etc to keep an Amherst or UMW or Tufts out of the back of the net for a full 90 given the offensive firepower and number of set pieces opponents of those teams must survive.
Quote from: PaulNewman on September 26, 2024, 02:27:53 PMKuiper, based on a small sample size, I haven't had the impression that teams are going for draws, at least not consciously. To take this latest big match as an example...I thought UMW was desperate to score again even with under a minute left. Hopkins seemed more satisfied to earn the draw but imho that was due to two factors...1) in general the team that equalized late is more likely on balance to be OK with a tie; 2) and the bigger factor imo was that JHU looked absolutely exhausted. May not have come across as I intended but I thought JHU was quite brave with the effort to get a draw. Showed a lot of pride and I'm sure given early expectations that Hopkins players have been feeling quite a bit of pressure.
I would also note that UMW looks like a very big team...maybe not Amherst-size, but close. I don't trust smaller teams by comparison like JHU, Kenyon, etc to keep an Amherst or UMW or Tufts out of the back of the net for a full 90 given the offensive firepower and number of set pieces opponents of those teams must survive.
Thanks. I'm not basing this necessarily on observations on the field (my sample size of watching these games is also small) and I don't even know if coaches have a sense of how the NPI rules will impact the rankings, but the rationale for the .750 setting implies that a tie against a good team might be closer to a win than a loss, which might tip the scale for a coach to guard against a loss more than go for the win. That wouldn't show up in player effort, but rather in who is substituted on/off at the end and the team's formation. Call it the "do you bring up the GK" question.
As to Williams, I was not comparing academics or NESCAC but the mere fact that it had 8 ties in the reg. season, one lose and 6 wins. So 6-1-8 by the end of the season and had an incredible run all the way till the end.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 26, 2024, 02:23:47 PMHeckling bench a knock on F&M, true for some which is why many do like F&M. Some might say that is how the team engages and gets everyone involved by never sitting while following the game the entire time. Coming from Maryland most lacrosse benches are exactly the same, so I am used to it. Some might notice that prior to each half the starters on the field gather around in circle before starting. Some may not see this, but the subs do the same on the sideline. Only observed this and don't know what is said in the subs meetings. That is something many would want ("I may be a sub, but I matter" if I was theorizing). Having been a sub in college, I can't remember anyone on the team concerned with me. So I would say that, from the outside, F&M has a different dynamic than maybe other teams. FYI, the bench used to playfully heckle my son as well by yelling his last name over and over.
Kudos for being somewhat objective, because... yeah... this... It's just not a thing that you see much because it tends to raise the temperature of an often already-heated encounter, right out of the gate. It's mostly harmless, but even as a fan, it's just annoying to sit through.
And, just so you know, I'm not against heckling in the proper context. I played a lot of baseball and once it went to Legion and Summer League, the heckling was pretty constant and quite often pretty brutal. And hilarious.
But in the context of college soccer, heckling is just... weird. And off-putting to many.
The other thing that comes into this is F&M's style of play. I don't want to speak for SC, but many moons ago (at this point) there was a breakdown of the Dips style, and the high-press, route one and ugly-up the game fouling tactics came under pretty harsh criticism. I will say, I've softened on this angle quite a bit, because I've seen some very nice soccer from the Dips over the years. I don't know if they have shifted due to talent level increasing, or back in 2017 or 18 was more of an anomaly or what is going on there.
But, between the heckling and the style is where the "hate" originated, at least from my perspective and observations.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on September 26, 2024, 01:51:46 PMQuote from: SKUD on September 26, 2024, 01:15:21 PM...SC for his regional biases that are not statistically backed.
Statistics? I was a history major.
SC.
Hey, me too!!
Massive fixture day in the Centennial. Specifically, Dips at Swat. Have to feel that the Dips have their backs against the wall and need a result from this game. Also a great clash of styles with Swats possession based football vs Dips run and gun attack. Swat yet to really be tested and looked very good against Gettysburg and controlled most of the game. F&M really struggling in most areas of the field right now and still haven't found a rhythm or style that's working. Watching them really feels like Kaliebe vs the world. Have to think they start mixing up the rotation a bit to find a spark, especially if Horowitz remains sidelined with injury. Should be a good watch, expect the dips to be playing for their lives.
F&M v. Swat has been very close last couple of years as well. Post Covid - F&M is 1-0-2 so pretty much anything can happen right now. Definitely will need a very dynamic Koa and a better Horwitz for the win.
Last man in the back, gk from Swat, came out and just took down Horowitz, probably did not even have a play on the ball. Only a yellow. Clear red.
FYI, Koa just had a nice breakaway but misplayed. The one size fits all announcer seems to be one of those Japanese to English translators with really really delayed calls.
0-0 F&M pretty much had its way first half. Koa hit the cross bar off a nice shot. FYI Horowitz is hurt from Wednesday and is not playing, plus their very good freshman back is out as well.
Swat was really flat most of the half and not connecting many passes.
Two upset alerts in the Cent. Conf. 1-0 McDaniel wins over WC.
Rough play by the Dickinson's keeper put Muhls up 1-0 going into the half.
Now second half - Muhls winning 2-0 with the second off of popcorn ball in front of the goal. Dickinson player just got a straight red. A little hard to tell but he did get the Muhl player pretty well. Now 4-0 Muhls.
Always trying to figure out if these guys are good enough to play it out of the back. Sometimes yes, but ehhhh. Swat just tried of a goal kick with three F&M negating any real near players, the keeper passed to the left center back in the 18 and rather than moving away from the goal tried to dribble to his right. He seemed to be looking up field as opposed to his left back who was an option and drove the ball into F&M's Adam Greene's foot and right in the goal. Good coaching. Tough goal for Swat. 1-0 F&M, but 35 min left.
Dips win 2-1 in a scrappy game. First F&M goal was Swat's own doing. Swat responded with a nice goal but have to question the Dips backline being split open by one direct through ball although the Swat player finished nicely. Dips ultimately scored game winning goal after being awarded penalty from a Swat handball. Overall both teams had chances created from crosses in front of the face of goal but could not put them away. Big win for the dips, frustrating one for Swat.
Interesting day, from my quick scan.
Messiah loses to Mary Wash 2-1.
Dickinson gets boat-raced at home by the Muhles 4-2.
Hop beats Ursinus 3-1. Not a surprise, but putting up 3 is a development.
But, beyond Messiah, one of the more surprising developments is the lackluster campaign being put together by the Shoremen. The 1-0 home loss to Western Maryland (aka McDaniel) drops Wash College to 3-2-4. This was a final four team last year, to state the obvious.
I had put this out there when Simple Coach was doing his preseason musings... Is WashC legit? Can they carry the F4 momentum forward?
Not looking good on this front.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on September 28, 2024, 05:04:26 PMTwo upset alerts in the Cent. Conf. 1-0 McDaniel wins over WC.
Rough play by the Dickinson's keeper put Muhls up 1-0 going into the half.
Now second half - Muhls winning 2-0 with the second off of popcorn ball in front of the goal. Dickinson player just got a straight red. A little hard to tell but he did get the Muhl player pretty well. Now 4-0 Muhls.
Always trying to figure out if these guys are good enough to play it out of the back. Sometimes yes, but ehhhh. Swat just tried of a goal kick with three F&M negating any real near players, the keeper passed to the left center back in the 18 and rather than moving away from the goal tried to dribble to his right. He seemed to be looking up field as opposed to his left back who was an option and drove the ball into F&M's Adam Greene's foot and right in the goal. Good coaching. Tough goal for Swat. 1-0 F&M, but 35 min left.
Wow, crazy game. So, so many opportunities for F&M. Swat got a goal back off of a good play. F&M would end up getting a PK off a hand ball. So 2-1 huge win for F&M. Could have been much more, but the Swat keeper played very well. 22 shots with 9 on goal by F&M v. 8 by Swat and 4 on goal. Swat definitely did not play well.
So two games into the Cent. Conf. McDaniel (win over WC and Ursinus) and F&M (win over Haverford and Swat) are the ones remaining undefeated. Nat'l ranked Dickinson and Swat both lost. However, 4 teams are 1-0-1 in the Conf. Really, really good to start off strong. A lot harder to get the results at the end of conf. play.
F&M is 4-0-5. Still a lot to do for them.
As to Dickinson, they went down 2-0 (one misplay by gk and the other off a popcorn goal) then got a straight red which I could not really see, but the ref was right there. They then gave up 2 goals easy. In the remaining time Muhls gave up two. Dickinson's field looked bad, very choppy and probably soaked.
Yeah, WC looks to be struggling, but who knows as it was on McD's grass. They are definitely going to have so much more. FYI, WC had a lot of super seniors last year and not so much this year.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on September 28, 2024, 06:25:16 PMBut, beyond Messiah, one of the more surprising developments is the lackluster campaign being put together by the Shoremen. The 1-0 home loss to Western Maryland (aka McDaniel) drops Wash College to 3-2-4. This was a final four team last year, to state the obvious.
I had put this out there when Simple Coach was doing his preseason musings... Is WashC legit? Can they carry the F4 momentum forward?
Not looking good on this front.
As to the questions about the Shorepeople this year I would look at two graduates from last year's team—-first team AA CB Chris Coomber and GK Antony Pinto. Both were lights out especially during the post season when WAC only allowed 2 goals combined vs Otterbein, Kenyon, Mary Washington and Conn College in their run to the F4.
Maybe this is a rebuilding year. In any case I would not count them out long term as long as Coaches Dunshee and Shera are there.
Quote from: Freddyfud on September 29, 2024, 12:00:36 AMQuote from: Hopkins92 on September 28, 2024, 06:25:16 PMBut, beyond Messiah, one of the more surprising developments is the lackluster campaign being put together by the Shoremen. The 1-0 home loss to Western Maryland (aka McDaniel) drops Wash College to 3-2-4. This was a final four team last year, to state the obvious.
I had put this out there when Simple Coach was doing his preseason musings... Is WashC legit? Can they carry the F4 momentum forward?
Not looking good on this front.
As to the questions about the Shorepeople this year I would look at two graduates from last year's team—-first team AA CB Chris Coomber and GK Antony Pinto. Both were lights out especially during the post season when WAC only allowed 2 goals combined vs Otterbein, Kenyon, Mary Washington and Conn College in their run to the F4.
Maybe this is a rebuilding year. In any case I would not count them out long term as long as Coaches Dunshee and Shera are there.
Actually, Pinto returned for his Covid year. He started the first game of the season and it looks like he came out in the 35th minute. Must have been an injury since he hasn't appeared in a game since.
Quote from: Kuiper on September 29, 2024, 12:16:55 AMQuote from: Freddyfud on September 29, 2024, 12:00:36 AMQuote from: Hopkins92 on September 28, 2024, 06:25:16 PMBut, beyond Messiah, one of the more surprising developments is the lackluster campaign being put together by the Shoremen. The 1-0 home loss to Western Maryland (aka McDaniel) drops Wash College to 3-2-4. This was a final four team last year, to state the obvious.
I had put this out there when Simple Coach was doing his preseason musings... Is WashC legit? Can they carry the F4 momentum forward?
Not looking good on this front.
As to the questions about the Shorepeople this year I would look at two graduates from last year's team—-first team AA CB Chris Coomber and GK Antony Pinto. Both were lights out especially during the post season when WAC only allowed 2 goals combined vs Otterbein, Kenyon, Mary Washington and Conn College in their run to the F4.
Maybe this is a rebuilding year. In any case I would not count them out long term as long as Coaches Dunshee and Shera are there.
Actually, Pinto returned for his Covid year. He started the first game of the season and it looks like he came out in the 35th minute. Must have been an injury since he hasn't appeared in a game since.
Yeah, I'm guessing that as well as to Pinto. Just looked at the replay and looks like he has a bad left knee (wrapped - maybe a brace as well as limping) WC has 6 5th years and 6 seniors, but not as affective this year. I think I counted 35 on the roster (I think 11 freshman, but they'll need a lot of them next year)
Problem may be their out of conf. schedule which imo is medium strength. So how they do in Cent. Conf. may push them to qual for the NCAAs. Only problem is that they lost to McDaniel, but also tied Dickinson. The tie may not mean much unless Dickinson turns around its week after losing to the Muhls.
Quote from: Kuiper on September 29, 2024, 12:16:55 AMQuote from: Freddyfud on September 29, 2024, 12:00:36 AMQuote from: Hopkins92 on September 28, 2024, 06:25:16 PMBut, beyond Messiah, one of the more surprising developments is the lackluster campaign being put together by the Shoremen. The 1-0 home loss to Western Maryland (aka McDaniel) drops Wash College to 3-2-4. This was a final four team last year, to state the obvious.
I had put this out there when Simple Coach was doing his preseason musings... Is WashC legit? Can they carry the F4 momentum forward?
Not looking good on this front.
As to the questions about the Shorepeople this year I would look at two graduates from last year's team—-first team AA CB Chris Coomber and GK Antony Pinto. Both were lights out especially during the post season when WAC only allowed 2 goals combined vs Otterbein, Kenyon, Mary Washington and Conn College in their run to the F4.
Maybe this is a rebuilding year. In any case I would not count them out long term as long as Coaches Dunshee and Shera are there.
Actually, Pinto returned for his Covid year. He started the first game of the season and it looks like he came out in the 35th minute. Must have been an injury since he hasn't appeared in a game since.
Oh thanks I missed that. I knew he was a senior last year and haven't seen him play this year but now I see he is on the roster. Hopefully his injury gets better soon.
Way too early predictions for the Centennial Conference Playoffs:
4th) Washington College
Thus far, WAC has had shoddy results and hasn't lived up to the F4 hype that was going to be difficult to replicate following the loss of key players. However, I think that this is my most contentious pick as I fully believe they can the turn the season around due to their offensive talent and identity. Over the past 3-4 seasons, WAC has proved to be a formidable opponent that has shown mental resilience, offensive explosiveness, and more than anything the grit to win games. Their upcoming games against Swart and Rowan should shed light on how they will fair up towards the latter end of the season.
5th) Swarthmore
Swart has always been a team that has confused me as they possess a team that are technically gifted but slightly small physically. Moreover, they are JHU lite of the conference as they do attempt at playing a very possession oriented style. Their results thus far have been impressive yet their loss against F&M was eyebrow raising. Although possessing the talent and style they have struggled time and time again to rise up to the occasion against the other elite teams of the conference. Despite outplaying the dips they self-destructed on their first goal conceded, and got unlucky on the second. These are games that need to be won in order to be considered a top contender in the Centennial. To me, they are 4th/5th place team, but based off their recent loss I put them 5th.
4th) Dickinson
After coming off a red hot start to the season and an impressive national ranking, Dickinson has shown that they may have the turned the corner in their program rebuild. I am still very skeptical of their ability to replicate their results against tougher opponents mainly due to their 4-2 dismantling at home against Muhlenburg. By all means, Muhlenburg are a tough team to beat and have the versatility to go up against any Centennial team, but to concede four goals at home is never a good sign. In my opinion, their national ranking was a bit inflated due to their victory over a historically poor Messiah thus putting pressure on a squad that has never really seen it before. As of now, I feel it's safe to say they are a solid 4th place pick.
3rd) F&M
After retaining much of their previous years talent, it has been a shakey start from the dips. I, along with most other Centennial fans, expected more out of this squad and it has been difficult to understand what has been going on. Their 5 ties were against tough opponents, but perhaps exposed what they are struggling most with this season. Their offensive output hasn't been anywhere near where it once was, but beyond that they seem to lack a distinct tactical identity. Their victory over Swart was incredibly lucky, and at no point in the game could you put your finger on a playstyle they imposed. Their upcoming schedule of LVC (A), Muhlenburg (A), JHU (A), and Dickinson (H) will show what this team is made of. Despite the undefeated start, I think they are a 3rd place team at best and may drop depending on their upcoming results.
2nd) Muhlenburg
Year after year Muhlenburg continues to shock the conference, and this time I won't be betting against them. Their poor performances out of conference always stump most Centennial conference enthusiasts, but the reality is that they have a formidable squad and a mentality that is difficult to go up against. Their results against elite Centennial foes has shown the potential within this squad and I believe that their schedule is lined up well over the next few weeks in order to gain momentum. In my opinion, as I mentioned before, they can go up against any team in the entire Centennial and perform well. They can play a JHU, F&M, WAC, or Swart and come out with a result due to their versatility and experience. I believe they are a solid 2nd/3rd place team.
1st) Johns Hopkins University
A team that is coming off of a Centennial Championship and an impressive NCAA run was poised to do well. Thus far, this season's results have been underwhelming, but based off of last year it is always important to be patient when judging JHU. They tend to figure things out in the latter half of the season, and an important test against Swart should prove indicative of whether my pick to put them first will come back to bite me. My prediction is that they will build off their performance against Ursinus and Mary Wash to pick up momentum. However, there is one main way I can see hurting them this season and its their stubborn commitment to their system. It's brilliant watching them play, but at times they shoot themselves in the foot while in possession. At times, I feel as if their system shackles their players down to a system that limits their ability to create individual brilliance. (kind of like what people say Pep's system does)
These are all VERY VERY VERY early predictions and there is much to change. I hope the teams I left off this list prove me wrong, and the teams I ranked lower than others do as well. This is an exciting time for the Centennial with two teams outside of the JHU,F&M,WAC,Muhlenburg group that are nationally ranked. Would be interested in hearing everyone's thoughts
First off, d3tactico... WHOA!!!!!!!!!!! Welcome to the board and please please please stick around. That is great stuff, really.
One picky thing, and maybe this is just my generation of MAC originated oldness... Gotta call them Swat. I don't know why, but that's just the way it is has to be.
And, yes, I've stated a gazillion times that Hop's style is limiting, but it produces very consistent results. I don't begrudge Coach Appleby for sticking with a system. Full stop. But, at some point, they need a striker that can stretch the top-half of the formation into a more dangerous approach.
As it stands, they are always going to push for a Conference title and have a mini-run in the NCAA tournament, but I don't see a national championship. Which... And I want to make sure I'm not being rude here... Johns Hopkins, with its national footprint and recruiting potential... They should be in the NESCAC, Chicago mix.
In other words, Hopkins should (still?) be in the UAA....and also Tufts.
As a fan of another very strong program that unfortunately has been limited to decent tourney runs, I get the pessisism that a title will always be just a bit out of reach. I share that. That said, St Olaf showed there is hope. And Wash Coll, W&L, North Park, UMW, Centre (yeah, flippin Centre!), etc.
I wouldn't say that Hopkins' style is the sole reason why they consistently produce results. I think the talent of their recruits, and more importantly their ability to bring in graduate students distinguishes themselves from the rest of the Centennial. Their style of play comes to back to bite them when they inevitably play a team who is on par with them in terms of footballing ability, but far more athletic. Their loss to Middlebury last year could have gone either way, and they put up a more traditional D3 fight in that game. I think if they developed a secondary playstyle similar to more high intensity D3 games they would more easily compete on the national stage and against Centennial teams that exploit Hopkins' stubbornness.
In regards to the national stage, I think last year more than ever showed the fragility of the NESCAC teams. WAC, St. Olaf, UMW all hit recruiting out of the park and played a convincing game without fear of the big names on a national stage. I believe it takes double the work and effort from smaller programs, but it does not mean it's not possible. Just a matter of striking the right balance of recruiting right and installing a system of play suitable to the players and the competition a team expects to face.
Shocking fragility really from NESCAC teams in the last decade, no champions, no finalists. Oh wait...
Even Massey says only three New England Small Athletic Colleges make the current top five out of the rankings.
Fragility in the sense that they are more beatable than most believe. Perhaps saying the NESCAC teams were fragile was hyperbole, and I will not deny the fact that the NESCAC is by far the best conference in D3 yet I don't believe they are invincible. Last two years has shown that. It goes without saying though that this year the best teams in the country, not only on paper, but based off the level they show are NESCAC squads. Additionally, I do believe there was a distinct shift from the pre to post covid era of D3 soccer, that is likely to normalize in the near future. NESCACS could win the next 25 national titles, or as we have seen thus far, some of the smaller programs step up and show that, while improbable, it is more than possible to win on the national stage. Still early days though...
It's okay D3tactico, just having some fun, it's the beauty of D3 really, there is no shortage of good teams across the 400 or so that make up the division. I'd suggest it's a bookmaker's market, as forecasting results at the top end of the standings is genuinely tough.
Quote from: d3tactico on October 01, 2024, 11:29:05 PMI wouldn't say that Hopkins' style is the sole reason why they consistently produce results. I think the talent of their recruits, and more importantly their ability to bring in graduate students distinguishes themselves from the rest of the Centennial. Their style of play comes to back to bite them when they inevitably play a team who is on par with them in terms of footballing ability, but far more athletic. Their loss to Middlebury last year could have gone either way, and they put up a more traditional D3 fight in that game. I think if they developed a secondary playstyle similar to more high intensity D3 games they would more easily compete on the national stage and against Centennial teams that exploit Hopkins' stubbornness.
Great post summarizing the Cent. Conf, d3tactico!!
Definitely Swat! Hahaha. As to the F&M v. Swat game, imo F&M played much better than Swat and maybe they got lucky, but they definitely made their luck. On the first goal, Swat was used to playing out of the back and F&M committed three to just out of the 18. The Swat back and GK fell asleep and F&M stepped to the ball. As to the winning goal, Swat was unfortunate with a hand ball in the box. Happens. However, F&M was pushing the whole game with 3 or 4 excellent opportunities where they just couldn't finish to include hitting the crossbar as well as the Swat keeper cutting down the striker outside the 18 on a breakaway. IMO a DOGSO with a red card, but maybe it was to soon in the game. 22 shots with 8 on goal.
Typical as to F&M this year. FYI, their good striker has been injured and maybe played 3 or 4 games this year and only 70% of the time, but still has 3 goals.
Lots of Cent. Conf. games to come. Big two games for many.
- Dickinson - should be able to get through Gettysburg and Haverford.
- McD - JHU and then F&M (2-0 in the conf. and has only allowed 2 goals the whole season)
- JHU - obviously McD and Swat which I think they should be able do well.
- F&M - Ursinus and McD - one might be hard, could be 4-0 in the conf. or just tying all the time :(
By late Saturday a lot of things could be rearranged based on some of these games. Exciting times and only two games into it. Fortunate or unfortunate, 6 of 10 qualify for playoffs. Used to be 5 three years ago. So really what is important is the points.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 01, 2024, 10:46:10 PMIn other words, Hopkins should (still?) be in the UAA....and also Tufts.
As a fan of another very strong program that unfortunately has been limited to decent tourney runs, I get the pessisism that a title will always be just a bit out of reach. I share that. That said, St Olaf showed there is hope. And Wash Coll, W&L, North Park, UMW, Centre (yeah, flippin Centre!), etc.
I don't think Hop was ever in the UAA for soccer. The school left UAA in 2000 and I know that when I was there and before that Hopkins competed in the old MAC in soccer and most other sports.
That said, they are a perfect fit for the UAA in many regards. I just don't think they want to spend the money on travel. Things have gotten MUCH better, but for a very long time, any sport other than Men's lacrosse was treated like an afterthought.
I've shared this before, but as one example: It wasn't until my junior year that the Head Coach for soccer was not also some form of lacrosse coach. It was seen as a way of getting the lax coaches more money or to justify their salary in the off-season.
Not ideal, to say the least.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2024, 10:00:58 AMI've shared this before, but as one example: It wasn't until my junior year that the Head Coach for soccer was not also some form of lacrosse coach. It was seen as a way of getting the lax coaches more money or to justify their salary in the off-season.
Yup, F&M's coach I think started as part time with very little resources on not a great field.
In the 80's in college, we had JV soccer which I played for one year and my coach was an old time baseball coach who was a real character. He had played minor league ball with a brief call up to the majors (cup of coffee as he regaled us with regularly). He knew nothing about soccer and we played on a field that was really was a meadow with rocks and crooked lines. The varsity coach was full time and also coached wrestling. However, we all have physed requirements to graduate so the coaches all "taught" badminton, squash, basketball, running, weightlifting and several other sports. Running was interesting as in the final was run the track for the whole period and I don't think we were timed. Also the coaches were eligible for tenure so many stayed their entire time at our college. That may still exist for the much older coaches. Recent years that is not an option I am guessing based on coaches moving on.
Back in those days when there wasn't this sports industrial complex. I don't think growing up my parents saw never more than 3 or 4 of my games and definitely none in college. Not uncommon.
Weak start by UMW. Going down 1-0 to St Marys in the 1st 15 minutes
St Marys player gets second yellow with 6 minutes left in 1st half. 3 total YCs so far to SMC
Hopkins scores a great goal on a ball put in the air into the 6 yard box and flicked over the McDaniel GK to give them the 1-0 lead in the 14th minute and end McDaniel's 4 game shutout streak.
The McDaniel GK looked like he was going to break the cardinal rule of goalkeeping to catch the ball at its highest point and was going low (almost to his knees) to make a basket catch and didn't anticipate a forward cutting the ball out in the air before he got there.
Quote from: eaglesoccerdad on October 02, 2024, 04:14:43 PMSt Marys player gets second yellow with 6 minutes left in 1st half. 3 total YCs so far to SMC
SMC with 15 fouls in the 1H. Not sure the ref had a good handle on this game. Gave a YC to UMW striker for contact with the keeper at the end of the half when it appeared that the contact was with his own player.
Quote from: eaglesoccerdad on October 02, 2024, 03:50:57 PMWeak start by UMW. Going down 1-0 to St Marys in the 1st 15 minutes
Don't think they looked good this half. Really rushed, and just trying to ram the ball through SMC's D.
SC.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 02, 2024, 04:47:23 PMQuote from: eaglesoccerdad on October 02, 2024, 03:50:57 PMWeak start by UMW. Going down 1-0 to St Marys in the 1st 15 minutes
Don't think they looked good this half. Really rushed, and just trying to ram the ball through SMC's D.
SC.
Schmugge with a banger to tie it up 1-1 13 mins into 2H
i agree SC. lots of really poor touches as well
Quote from: eaglesoccerdad on October 02, 2024, 04:54:22 PMQuote from: SimpleCoach on October 02, 2024, 04:47:23 PMQuote from: eaglesoccerdad on October 02, 2024, 03:50:57 PMWeak start by UMW. Going down 1-0 to St Marys in the 1st 15 minutes
Don't think they looked good this half. Really rushed, and just trying to ram the ball through SMC's D.
SC.
Schmugge with a banger to tie it up 1-1 13 mins into 2H
i agree SC. lots of really poor touches as well
Castillo with a goal. UMW up 2-1
Quote from: Kuiper on October 02, 2024, 04:22:51 PMHopkins scores a great goal on a ball put in the air into the 6 yard box and flicked over the McDaniel GK to give them the 1-0 lead in the 14th minute and end McDaniel's 4 game shutout streak.
The McDaniel GK looked like he was going to break the cardinal rule of goalkeeping to catch the ball at its highest point and was going low (almost to his knees) to make a basket catch and didn't anticipate a forward cutting the ball out in the air before he got there.
Not a heckuva lot the keeper could've done on that one. Text book glancing header many yards separating the forward from the goalie.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2024, 05:00:05 PMQuote from: Kuiper on October 02, 2024, 04:22:51 PMHopkins scores a great goal on a ball put in the air into the 6 yard box and flicked over the McDaniel GK to give them the 1-0 lead in the 14th minute and end McDaniel's 4 game shutout streak.
The McDaniel GK looked like he was going to break the cardinal rule of goalkeeping to catch the ball at its highest point and was going low (almost to his knees) to make a basket catch and didn't anticipate a forward cutting the ball out in the air before he got there.
Not a heckuva lot the keeper could've done on that one. Text book glancing header many yards separating the forward from the goalie.
Oh, I wasn't blaming him for the goal. It was hard to anticipate the ball being delivered from that part of the field with pace, which is why he was late coming off his line. I'm sure his GK coach will tell him it's better to stay near your line and hope he puts it in your bubble, but I was just pointing it out because it was odd seeing him end on his knees for a ball headed into the top of the goal. There was very little chance that going for the late, low catch, was going to be successful.
The Falcons' woes continue. Held to a draw away at Lycoming. Outshot 11 to 4. This drops them to 4-5-1 on the season
Cent. Conf. had some surprises some big, some not.
WC 3-2 over Swat. Swat got 2 in the first and it looked like maybe WC's season as to Cent. Conf might be fading fast. Two Pks and a nice goal pulled it out them out though. Swat might be fading with 2 loses in row after going 7-0-1 and now has JHU on Saturday.
Dickinson pulled it out 4-3 with Gettysburg playing hard. Dickinson has given up 7 goals in two games now. Not great.
JHU definitely generated enough offense to win, but you might say that, like F&M, still are struggling with finishing. Left them vulnerable as McD could have tied, but had a bad PK attempt. Otherwise, JHU beat up McD but only one goal to show.
F&M won 2-0 so they are not joining Babson and are 5-0-5. 25 shots of which 14 were on goal plus hitting the crossbar again. Ursinus' GK had a career day with 12 saves. However, quietly, F&M has only allowed 5 goals over 10 games with 6 shutouts. Maybe not thrilling, but defense keeps teams in there and F&M is pretty good example.
1/3 of the Cent. Conf. over with 7 teams having 3 or more points.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2024, 10:00:58 AMIt wasn't until my junior year that the Head Coach for soccer was not also some form of lacrosse coach. It was seen as a way of getting the lax coaches more money or to justify their salary in the off-season.
Not ideal, to say the least.
On the other hand, it means that I can brag that Bill Tierney, generally regarded as the greatest lacrosse coach of all time, was my soccer coach freshman year.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 02, 2024, 10:08:23 PMQuote from: Hopkins92 on October 02, 2024, 10:00:58 AMIt wasn't until my junior year that the Head Coach for soccer was not also some form of lacrosse coach. It was seen as a way of getting the lax coaches more money or to justify their salary in the off-season.
Not ideal, to say the least.
On the other hand, it means that I can brag that Bill Tierney, generally regarded as the greatest lacrosse coach of all time, was my soccer coach freshman year.
Played with a lot of lacrosse players. Back in the day you could actually deck players and the guys who played both were very good at this. Just soccer back in the day. Wasn't much discussion of the "Beautiful Game" then.
Big Weekend in the Centennial Geezers.
Dickinson V Haverford.
An important game for Dickinson to get back on track after their perfect start. In the past two games Dickinson's D has looked extremely shaking, conceding 6 in those games. Good news for them however, Haverford's goal scoring threat is almost non existent, averaging 1 goal a game with a almost half of those coming against Centenary. Haverford usually manages a few ties against stronger Centennial opponents throughout the season, and is much better defensively at home. I expect a Dickinson win but would not be shocked to see Haverford salvage a tie.
Wash Coll v. Ursinus
I expect Wash to keep the momentum going in this one and roll over Ursinus. Wash had a slow start to the season which was most likely due to the significant amount of player turnover following their final 4 run last year. Meanwhile, I feel like Ursinus's record is heavily inflated and they are not as good of team as they would appear. I could see them losing their final 6 Centennial games. Wash's Kamua has been in form lately with a goal and assist last game and should be a nightmare for Ursinus to deal with.
Muhls v Gettysburg
I am not convinced by this Gettysburg team at all at this point in the season. Some bad losses and ties and barely squeaking by in their wins. I don't see them as a serious threat in the Centennial this year. Meanwhile the Muhls look very good with an attack that can score in bunches. I feel they are the most under rated Centennial team by far and not talked about enough on this forum. The Muhls just seem to know how to win games and with 5 players with 2 goals the goals can come from anywhere.
Swat v JHU
After a great start the shine seems to be wearing off Swats season. Two consecutive losses has really put the pressure on Swat to prove they're as good as their ranking suggested two weeks ago. Despite the two losses they played well in both games and could easily be 2-0 rather then 0-2 if the ball had bounced differently. However, it doesn't get any easier for them as Hopkins seems to be a machine this season. The theme with Hopkins has always been beautiful play but couldn't put away chances. This year seems different as they have scored two goals in half their games, with lots of chances being left on the field as well. Probably the best game of the weekend with the biggest implications on the conference and national rankings. It should be interesting to see the two similar styles matchup and see who controls the game. I predict a Hopkins win.
McDaniel v F&M
Should be a tune up game for the Dips before a gauntlet of a schedule for the remainder of the season. I think we are yet to see the best of the Dips as injuries and inability to control games have really slowed them down. This game is certainly a must win from the Dips perspective as they look to continue their positive performances in the Centennial and find their identity. The injury report would suggest Horowitz is still out. Get that boy a doctor. Meanwhile McDaniel is what we expected them to be, a low block, counter attacking team. Their system really frustrated both Wash and JHU but I expect this game to be much different as both Wash and JHU are possession based teams that try to break down a low block by passing them to death. If the Dips play fast and utilize their strengths by creating chaos I expect them to put McDaniel away with ease.
Thanks justakidfromakron (I say OH you say ...) great preview!
The first two, unfortunately for Haverford and Ursinus, are pretty much locks. However, I will never sleep on Ursinus as they usually have one or two upsets a season in Cent. Conf. See JHU 2021 and 2023 among others. The 2023 win against JHU was their only conf. win. The Dickinson v. Haverford - Fords' crappy field may play a factor. Definitely the worst field in the CC now by far. Could be an equalizer.
Gettysburg has been an enigma over a few years. Strong somedays, but not so much others. Not saying that they will beat the Muhls, but could be competitive and GC is playing at home.
Swat - pretty much a season decider for them. Against WC, they lost a 2 goal lead to go down 3-2 after WC being awarded 2 pks. That had to be tough. They definitely played better there than against F&M. So two games in a row where PKs were the deciding factor. They will be either 2-2 in Cent. Conf or drop to 1-3. Huge game for them.
As to F&M, lots at stake. I have said that they have not been working on all cylinders most of the year and injuries have been a factor. However, they have proven that a deep bench (next man up mentality) is one of their strengths. 21 players have 100 mins or more. Last game they had at least 3 reg. starters that they could not play as well losing their main back in the first half. They still had 25 shots with 14 on goal.
Plus playing decent defense has been key in their struggles to finish. Notice I did not say score, because they have had so many opportunities 180 shots with 75 on goal while their opponents 101 shots and only 41 on goal. Opponents have made 57 saves over 10 games (so quick maths - been watching a lot of BritBox) 5.7 per game. That is a lot of saves. If F&M opponents were a team, they would have only 2 fewer saves than Ursinus this season.
One other thing that has been true imo all season (and is not mentioned much is any time) is that when Koa Kaliebe touches the ball something good happens. Having seen him for 4 years, he's one of those players that you quietly say "what is he going to do now" every time. Also imo, he is the or the very least one of 2 or 3 players in Cent. Conf. who is incredibly fast and dynamic on and off the ball. Not discussed often, but I am sure that every coach concentrates on him before each game.
As to Oscar Horwitz, he was often injured two years ago, and, generally, was only available 50-60% of the season. He scored a decent amount of goals that year as well. However, strong defense and bench got them through the 2022 season to win the reg. season CC and losing in pks in the 2nd round of the NCAAs against Cortland. 2022 - 11 goals allowed over 17 regular season games. This year 5 goals over 10 games so far.
While a down year relatively speaking wouldn't have been unexpected for Messiah, it's unfathomable that Messiah has a losing record entering conference play. Sure, they lost a 5th-year Sr. center back Ben Vollmer for the season in Game 1 and have largely been without Sr. striker Stefan Leitzel (limited minutes in three recent games). So it shows that they have been missing who were probably expected to be their best players on the front and back lines, but Messiah has a strong, deep squad that would have been expected to cope with those losses a bit better than they have.
Hopefully tonight's Homecoming Game against Eastern breaks the Falcons skid which has been about as bad as it has ever gotten for Messiah since the 1960's when the program was just getting started. This year marks the first sub-.500 record at end of September since 1976 when they were 1-2-0. The only other losing records entering October came in 1967, 1968 and 1969, the first three years of the men's soccer program when they went a combined 3-27-1. Likewise it's their first losing record after 10 games since 1976 and before that the three seasons in the 1960's.
Their current 4-game winless streak is just the third such occurrence since the 1960's; the other two: 1996 (0-3-1 in mid- to late-October) and 1973 (0-3-1 to start the season). If they don't beat Eastern in the Homecoming Game tonight it would be the longest winless streak since 1969.
The conference slate should help them pick up some wins, but few, if any, games can now be considered gimmes, and York, Alvernia and Widener in particular could add to the Falcons' woes.
Worst Septembers (min. 6 games played)
1. 2024 - 4-5-0 (.444), 12 pts. (1.3 pts/gm)
2. 2015 - 5-3-1 (.611), 16 pts. (1.8 pts/gm)
3. 2003 - 5-2-2 (.667), 17 pts. (1.9 pts/gm)
4. 1982 - 4-1-3 (.688), 15 pts. (1.9 pts/gm)
5. 1987 - 6-3-0 (.667), 18 pts. (2.0 pts/gm)
6. 2019 - 6-2-2 (.700), 20 pts. (2.0 pts/gm)
7. 1993 - 6-2-1 (.722), 19 pts. (2.1 pts/gm)
8. 2000 - 7-2-1 (.750), 22 pts. (2.2 pts/gm)
9. 1981 - 4-1-1 (.750), 13 pts. (2.2 pts/gm)
10. 2016 - 6-0-3 (.833), 21 pts. (2.3 pts/gm)
Worst first 10 games
1. 1969 - 0-10-0 (.000), 0 pts. (0 pts/gm)
2. 1968 - 0-9-1 (.050), 1 pts. (0.1 pts/gm)
3. 1967 - 1-8-0 (.125), 3 pts. (0.3 pts/gm)
4. 1976 - 4-6-0 (.400), 12 pts. (1.2 pts/gm)
5. 2024 - 4-5-1 (.450), 13 pts. (1.3 pts/gm)
6. 1970 - 5-5-0 (.500), 15 pts. (1.5 pts/gm)
7. 1973 - 4-3-3 (.500), 15 pts. (1.5 pts/gm)
8. 1971 - 6-4-0 (.600), 18 pts. (1.8 pts/gm)
9. 2015 - 6-3-1 (.650), 19 pts. (1.9 pts/gm)
10. 1993 - 6-3-1 (.650), 19 pts. (1.9 pts/gm)
11. 1972 - 6-3-1 (.650), 19 pts. (1.9 pts/gm)
Worst 7-Game Stretches
1. 1969 - 0-7-0 (.000) (part of 10-game losing streak)
2. 1968 - 0-6-1 (.071) (part of 10-game winless streak that incl. 6-game losing streak)
3. 1967 - 1-6-0 (.143) (one win sandwiched between two 4-game losing streaks)
4. 2024 - 1-5-1 (.214)
5. 1970 - 2-5-0 (.286)
6. 1996 - 2-4-1 (.357)
7. 1976 - 2-4-1 (.357)
8. 1989 - 3-4-0 (.429)
9. 1984 - 3-4-0 (.429)
10. 1980 - 3-4-0 (.429)
Longest Winless Streaks
1. 1969 - 0-10-0
2. 1968 - 0-9-1
3. 1967 - 0-4-0
4. 1967 - 0-4-0
5. 2024 - 0-3-1
6. 1996 - 0-3-1
7. 1973 - 0-1-3
8. 1996 - 0-3-0
9. 1989 - 0-3-0
10. 1987 - 0-3-0
11. 1979 - 0-3-0
12. 1971 - 0-3-0
13. 1970 - 0-3-0
14. 1976 - 0-2-1
Most loses in a season
1. 1969 - 1-10-0 (.091)
2. 1968 - 1-9-1 (.136)
3. 1967 - 1-8-0 (.111)
4. 1976 - 5-7-1 (.423)
5. 1971 - 7-7-0 (.500)
6. 1993 - 15-7-1 (.674)
7. 1980 - 18-7-0 (.720)
8. 1970 - 5-6-0 (.455)
9. 1979 - 10-6-1 (.618)
10. 1984 - 10-6-2 (.583)
11. 1983 - 15-6-1 (.705)
Wow as to Messiah. Very puzzling especially since losing two players generally does not doom a team especially a real quality program. Maybe not as successful, but not that steep.
Watching GC v. Muhls. GC had a 1-0 lead for a long time until bad GC error. No weather related today. So 1-1 with 30 min left. Maybe just me, but it seems to be a tough year for goalkeepers.
FW, to add just a little more perspective to your post...
In 1969 I was 9 about to turn 10, and now about to turn 65...and I presume you were quite a few years from even existing.
With Messiah up 3-0 on Eastern at halftime, I think those worrying about them rivaling the 1969 winless streak may be able to breathe a little easier
Hop up 2-0 early up in the Philly burbs.
This offensive outburst is a shock to the system!
(First goal was a lovely lofted ball to the top of the 18 where a beautiful touch allowed the striker to slot one home. The second was... Bungled long ball into the box. Hard to tell if the keeper misplayed or the Hop striker clip it past.)
First goal was very nice. 2 goal lead, what are they going to do???
That was actually pretty fun to watch.
2-1 Hop win after Swat (very much) earned a PK early in the second. I can see why the Garnets have been successful this year... That second half was hectic, in a good way.
Not an unjust result. Very big win for the Jays on the road.
Guess I answered my own question - JHU pretty much hung it up offensively the 2nd half, but a win is a win is a win. PK was deserved. Don't know what the keeper was thinking. Second game in a row Swat had chances, but couldn't put it together.
Cent. Conf. only one minor surprise. Gettysburg was able to grind out a tie with the Muhls.
F&M went down a goal (looked like an own goal) early to McDaniel, but tied quickly and scored 2 in the second half. Koa Kaliebe with two of those. Horwitz still not playing. Pretty dominate most of the game.
F&M leads CC 4-0 (6-0-5 overall) and JHU second with 10 pts and Muhls with 8 pts. Could end up being a two team race, but only half way.
To be fair, I don't think Hopkins shut things down, I think Swat came out and took the game to them.
Gemstones press in the second half was just night and day from the first half.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 05, 2024, 09:23:36 PMTo be fair, I don't think Hopkins shut things down, I think Swat came out and took the game to them.
Gemstones press in the second half was just night and day from the first half.
Would have to agree. Game of two halves. Looked like JHU caught Swat off guard with some great play in the first half and as SC often says (at least I think he says this) a 2-0 lead is dangerous...for the team that is ahead.
And Swat has been building this really great play and style the last couple of years. Their skill is/was clearly there and they were very dangerous that second half...in the same way they were caught off guard first half, JHU seemed caught off guard second half.
Just two very skilled teams...fun to watch.
Saturday evening was the first Falcon home game in two weeks. I saw the stream at UMW and most of the stream at Rowan, but none of it at Lycoming since I won't pay to watch Landmark games. Here's my assessment of where they are more than halfway through what is undeniably, and quite unexpectedly, a true rebuilding season. The Falcons don't have those very often, as everyone knows.
First, against a very ordinary Eastern side they were dominant, despite the parity in team statistics. Officiating was a factor in Eastern's favor. (I know I like to play that card, and to many it may sound like an excuse. But, I call them as I see them, and unfortunately that's often what I see.) Many very knowledgeable Falcon fans (not the student body, which was out in large numbers for Homecoming), including parents of players and others who've been watching the Falcons for two or three decades, were dumbfounded by several of the calls. Unlike my usual complaint, the problem wasn't neglecting obvious fouls by opponents, often intentional, that are designed to slow down the Falcons' signature possession-style game. Rather, the problem was inventing fouls that didn't happen, or else calling fouls the wrong way. The Falcons don't usually collect more fouls than their opponents, but yesterday they did by a larger margin (15 to 9), whereas (IM biased opinion) the fouls were even and should have been called that way. In other words, the Falcons really dominated possession more than they are credited for. In one especially glaring instance when an Eagle nearly pulled down a Falcon but the Falcon escaped an initiated a dangerous attack, the foul was called—however, the Falcons should have been given the advantage as the situation developed. Instead, the play was called back upfield for a free kick and Eastern may have dodged a bullet. More importantly, there was a huge non-call on a very obvious Eastern hand-ball in the box that turned back a shot on goal. Everyone saw it, apparently, except the officials. So, this one was probably 4-0.
On the other hand, Eastern hit the crossbar on a direct kick late in the game, and then GK Adam Carter stood on his head to save the rebound. So, maybe 4-1. Eastern had other excellent chances, but the Falcons turned them all away, including some scrums that nearly always in earlier games resulted in goals (like both Dickinson goals).
In short, despite poor officiating, the Falcons just had better luck last night. They converted their best chances and denied their opponent's best chances. OK, there's more to it than just luck, but everyone knows that luck can be a bigger factor in soccer than in most other team sports. Last evening, the Falcons really did outplay their opponent all night long, but this time they weren't skunked so the scoreboard reflects how well they did.
None of that changes the fact that this year's team is not as good as nearly all others since the Falcon ascendency in the late 1990s. They aren't. They will need to win the AQ to get a bid, and with a greatly improved York squad and a couple other good teams in the conference that will be a challenge this year. However, over the past several games there are subtle signs of improvement, suggesting that the AQ could still be in their grasp.
It's no secret that there have been four keys to their success this century. (1) Top play on the back line, in some seasons among the 4 or 5 best in D3, often with an AA CB in that mix. (2) Excellent team speed that only helps their possession game. (3) Precision passing all the way down the field, sometimes to the point of overkill in and around the box, such that a very good look is often ignored. (4) Great depth and overall conditioning. This last factor is the one that Brandt used to such advantage, forcing opponents to leave their starters on the field because their benches just couldn't match the Falcons when Brandt sent in the subs.
Saturday evening I often saw (3), except when bad calls turned the ball over. (2) Is not characteristic of this year's team, despite the fact that SO Sam Phillips (who was injured in practice the day before and DNP) might be the single fastest Falcon this century (in terms of HS sprint times). I've said before that Matt McDonald was the fastest striker in decades, but others now graduated also had a lot of speed. They are still faster than many teams, but not quite at the level of recent teams. That won't change, obviously, until maybe next season. I have yet to see evidence of (4). There are certainly fewer regional HS AAs on this squad than Falcon fans are accustomed to seeing, and maybe fewer All-state players as well. To be sure, there are still several excellent HS players who are playing at a good D3 level at this point in the season, but the bench isn't as stacked as it normally is. Perhaps this is a lingering effect of COVID, with many talented players the past two seasons playing past the pre-COVID norm of 4 years, such that some really good younger players never started and got that experience. Time will tell, especially next year.
What about (1)? This has to my eyes been the biggest issue so far this year, right out of the gate. Last year the Falcons had two AA CBs, one of them (Jake Kent-Loop) among the very best ever in Grantham, and a FR backup who is very athletic and a quick study. Kent-Loop graduated to the Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the FR transferred to a MD community college, and the only returning CB with a lot of PT, 5Y Ben Vollmer (2nd team AA in 2023), went down with a career-ending injury in the first 25 minutes of the season. That left an enormous experiential hole that the Falcons are still trying to plug. I saw definite improvement vs Eastern. One factor is that McCarty moved the Falcons' best handler, Jarec Marlotte, all the way back to CB. Unless he played there vs Lycoming (the game I didn't see), it was his first time in that position and he played it awfully well. In a related move, speedster JR Davis Pagett, one of the best players left this year, played outside back opposite equally fast 5Y Caleb Aldridge. IMO, Aldridge was the single best player on the field vs UMW, repeatedly stopping them cold and often stealing the ball from attackers. I think he merited consideration for all-conference each of the past two seasons, but on such stacked teams it's hard to get that honor when half a dozen teammates already have it. He and Marlotte are the most experienced Falcon defenders, and with both of them now on the back line with Pagett, the Falcons might have solved this problem as well as possible this season. I hope they continue to play as a unit throughout the conference season. If they can run the table with them, they might have enough experience together to make a decent showing in the tournament.
I should also give a shout-out to FR Grant Shreiner, who's now started all but once in the MF. Although he was All-state in PA last year, he went to a small Christian school, so I wasn't sure how good he would be. I hadn't realized that two brothers starred for Lancaster Bible College. Anyway, Grant is already an excellent D3 player, who surprises me with his all-around ability. He's not a scorer, but he shoots with authority when open outside the box—he had a rocket blocked vs Eastern—and is a top notch handler with quickness and great field vision. Even on a somewhat depleted team, it's uncommon for a FR to start all season. Those who do often end their careers as AAs. Is Grant in that category? It's too early to say, but it's not too early to say that he's a real find.
Falcon fans, hold on to your butts. The next four weeks will make or break their chances.
Quote from: Falconer on October 07, 2024, 09:03:01 AMIt's no secret that there have been four keys to their success this century. (1) Top play on the back line, in some seasons among the 4 or 5 best in D3, often with an AA CB in that mix. (2) Excellent team speed that only helps their possession game. (3) Precision passing all the way down the field, sometimes to the point of overkill in and around the box, such that a very good look is often ignored. (4) Great depth and overall conditioning.
@Falconer - Loved the analysis. I would just add one more point to this, although I think you imply it. Number 5 for me is that Messiah had a midfield that was able to control the tempo and point of attack throughout games.
Otherwise, think this is spot on.
SC.
MAF Power Rankings (10/7)
1. Dickinson
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Montclair
5. Lycoming
6. York
7. Rowan
8. PSU-Harrisburg
9. Muhles
10. Messiah
Outside looking in: Newark, Scranton, Swarthmore
Missed posting last week with some travel for work. Enjoy!
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 07, 2024, 03:17:39 PMMAF Power Rankings (10/7)
1. Dickinson
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Montclair
5. Lycoming
6. York
7. Rowan
8. PSU-Harrisburg
9. Muhles
10. Messiah
I get this. I might have the Muhls higher with win over Dickinson and tie with JHU.
As a F&M fan, many will take this with a grain of salt. I think that right now, F&M has out performed JHU. Yes, JHU got a last min goal to tie UMW, but they lost to Rowan and Kenyon who F&M tied. Yes, F&M hasn't finished in a bunch of games, but has not lost.
I also reserve my right if F&M stinks up the joint! Still a lot of great matchups for all these teams. F&M plays Dickinson this weekend.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 07, 2024, 05:03:24 PMI also reserve my right if F&M stinks up the joint! Still a lot of great matchups for all these teams. F&M plays Dickinson this weekend.
*Muhlenberg, not Dickinson. And it's a game in our weekly pool!
Some mid-season surprises for the region:
-Messiah at .500 with a 5-5-1 record (not your typical Messiah). Look for them to finish with 11 or 12 wins going into conference playoffs
-Catholic with a slow start at 3-5-2 and 0-0-2 in Landmark play but has played a difficult schedule. Look for them to rebound down the stretch in conference play.
-Arcadia at 10-1-1 but faces some challenges in conference play and has played a weak schedule. But wins are wins!
-York undefeated through 12 games at 8-0-4 after posting a 6-7-3 record in 2023. Look for them to battle with Messiah in conference play.
-Stevens flying under the radar sitting at 4-2-3 after a tough non-conference schedule. They will be well prepared for conference play and will be seeking an at-large if they don't get the AQ.
-Montclair has won 8 in a row allowing just 1 goal in that span. But are they as good as their record? They face Newark next.
-Dickinson at 10-1-1 already surpassing last year's record of 9-7-2. Excited to see how they close out conference play.
-Newark at 7-4-2 and a sleeper to win the NJAC. Can they run the table after their next battle with Montclair? Keep an eye on them down the stretch.
-PSU-Harrisburg at 9-3-1. Maybe not a surprise but some good results with wins over NYU, Messiah, and Lycoming. I still think they are AQ or bust but should remain in the NCAA regional rankings when released.
F&M took care of business this evening beating the Muhls 4-2. F&M scored 4 in first half and pretty much cruised the 2nd half. Three were very nice goals. Had several opportunities but did not finish. Some might say, uncharacteristic.
Muhls might have been off and probably their worst game this year. They have not given up more than 2 goals in game. F&M is now 7-0-6 and 5-0 in Cent. Conf.
JHU lost a tough one to Gettysburg. Biggest problem was that JHU only got two shots on goal, I think.
F&M is now 5 points clear of JHU and Dickinson with 4 conf. games to go. The JHU v. F&M game next Saturday in Bmore should be a great one as usual.
Do you think this is a strong conference this year?
4th strongest in D3 according to Massey. NESCAC and UAA are typically always the top 2, top to bottom.
Quote from: SKUD on October 12, 2024, 10:26:31 PMDo you think this is a strong conference this year?
This year maybe in the top 5, but its been tough. Definitely wide open to beating each other up (Gettysburg over JHU or Muhls over Dickinson). Usually sends 3+ to the NCAAs. A couple of times 5 teams.
MAF Power Rankings (10/14)
1. Dickinson
2. F&M
3. Montclair
4. Hopkins
5. York
6. Muhles
7. PSU-Harrisburg
8. Lycoming
9. Messiah
10. Stevens
Hot take for rest of conference play: Dips win out
Updated Centennial Conference Playoff Predictions:
6th) Swarthmore
Since my last prediction, Swat crumbled against two tough opponents in WAC and JHU. While I will make no comment on their style of play as I do believe they offer a good brand of soccer, it is hard to ignore the results. Inevitably, a couple of weeks ago I had said that Swat fails to rise up to the occasion against big name conference opponents and as we have seen they failed once again. Fortunately, I believe the lower half of the Centennial will not produce any more notable results with the only exception being Gburg offering a potential sneak in into the playoffs. Swat is a solid 6th place team and I don't see them moving up or down more than one position.
5th) WAC
WAC has been on a great run of form in the past four games, but their upcoming conference games will prove to be the true test of their strength. GBurg (H), JHU (A), Muhlenburg (H), and F&M (A) are all very tough matchups and that is the main reason behind giving them such a low rank. However, I do feel as if their form will help them and offer them the chance to upset a higher ranked team. The most crucial and important time of their season is right now.
4th) Dickinson
Unfortunately, still not able to buy the Dickinson hype. You can throw Massey, NPI, and any other metric at me, but I will stand to make the prediction that they take losses against F&M (A) and JHU (A). 6 points in their final four conference games is how I view their conference campaign ending thus putting them at a fourth position.
3rd) Muhlenburg
The past couple results have been fairly disappointing for Muhlenburg as they have not shown the same offensive prestige compared to years past. They lost two pivotal players in Chris Richards and Taylan Akdag that has almost certainly impacted their squad. However, unlike their Centennial competitors, they have a fairly simple road ahead. Ursinus (H), Swat (A), WAC (A), and Mcdaniel (H) is a far easier schedule compared to a WAC or Dickinson. I can see them getting 7-9 points out the next four games and see them as a surprising 3rd place pick.
2nd) JHU
Unfortunately, I have JHU dropping for two main reasons. Their tie against Salisbury, who notably has lost to both Dickinson and WAC, and defeat to Gburg has been a gut punch to their midseason form. Beyond that, I believe F&M who is ahead of them is salivating at the opportunity to put them in the rear view mirror following their next game. I see JHU placing second after their final four games, BUT if they beat F&M then I can see them mounting pressure on the dips to maintain their top spot.
1st) F&M
The dips have come to play and their Centennial record thus far has been impressive. Their lopsided schedule has allowed them to gain momentum and establish a good run of form heading into their most important part of their season. Their most recent result against Muhlenburg was most impressive as they scored four in the first half and established a style of play. The dips play a brand of fluid counter-attacking soccer that relies on the individual brilliance of Koa Kaliebe, hold up play of striker Nathan Schlessinger, and most importantly a resilient defense. A couple of weeks ago I named them as an "at best 3rd place team", but it is hard to ignore their results. Their next games against JHU (A), Dickinson (H), GBurg (A), and WAC (H) can act as the ribbon to place atop of their season or the catalyst for their dismantling. Bear in mind they are still notably missing their All-American striker in Oscar Horowitz.
Quote from: d3tactico on October 14, 2024, 05:09:39 PMUpdated Centennial Conference Playoff Predictions:
4th) Dickinson
Unfortunately, still not able to buy the Dickinson hype. You can throw Massey, NPI, and any other metric at me, but I will stand to make the prediction that they take losses against F&M (A) and JHU (A). 6 points in their final four conference games is how I view their conference campaign ending thus putting them at a fourth position.
You're not alone...
https://youtu.be/mcGmvMJioTI?t=2260
1st) F&M
The dips have come to play and their Centennial record thus far has been impressive. Their lopsided schedule has allowed them to gain momentum and establish a good run of form heading into their most important part of their season. Their most recent result against Muhlenburg was most impressive as they scored four in the first half and established a style of play. The dips play a brand of fluid counter-attacking soccer that relies on the individual brilliance of Koa Kaliebe, hold up play of striker Nathan Schlessinger, and most importantly a resilient defense. A couple of weeks ago I named them as an "at best 3rd place team", but it is hard to ignore their results. Their next games against JHU (A), Dickinson (H), GBurg (A), and WAC (H) can act as the ribbon to place atop of their season or the catalyst for their dismantling. Bear in mind they are still notably missing their All-American striker in Oscar Horowitz.
Can with agree everything. Pretty sure all coaches have some twist to limit Kaliebe's impact which has been very difficult. While he has 6 goals and 2 assists, he does so much more. One person that may not be on your radar is Adam Green. I think he might lead all teams in sitters. So many opportunities. He has been so dangerous (2 goals with 18 SOGs and 38 shots). He just wants to make things difficult seems like. If he gets even more going, then he'll add a whole lot.
One other thing is that F&M has a very tall team. They have 14 players over 6-2 with, including the keeper, 7 regular starters. Two centerbacks are 6-2 super senior who has played since day one and 6-6 freshman who missed a few due to injury but is back. Both are very good at their positions. That is D1 heights.
As to Dickinson and its soft schedule, I agree. They haven't shown us much at all. However and not just to be a contrarian, WC also had some very soft schedules most years. 2021 they won the Cent. Conf. and lost in the 3rd round in the NCAAs to Tufts, 2-1. Last year, they won the Cent. reg. season, lost in the semis to JHU and made it to the final 4 where they lost to St. Olaf. IMO, Dickinson will definitely have to show that they are real, but, with an ex. like WC, they can be very competitive in the end.
Will definitely depend on who gets hot late with three teams tied in 2nd with 10 points.
Quote from: d3tactico on October 14, 2024, 05:09:39 PMUpdated Centennial Conference Playoff Predictions:
1st) F&M
The dips have come to play and their Centennial record thus far has been impressive. Their lopsided schedule has allowed them to gain momentum and establish a good run of form heading into their most important part of their season. Their most recent result against Muhlenburg was most impressive as they scored four in the first half and established a style of play. The dips play a brand of fluid counter-attacking soccer that relies on the individual brilliance of Koa Kaliebe, hold up play of striker Nathan Schlessinger, and most importantly a resilient defense. A couple of weeks ago I named them as an "at best 3rd place team", but it is hard to ignore their results. Their next games against JHU (A), Dickinson (H), GBurg (A), and WAC (H) can act as the ribbon to place atop of their season or the catalyst for their dismantling. Bear in mind they are still notably missing their All-American striker in Oscar Horowitz.
D3tactico I'd love to know your predictions for the JHU v F&M game. Also Im a bit surprised to see Dickinson over WAC in your predictions. I see it the other way around and think WAC is a more complete team then Dickinson. Also do we have any update on Horwitz's health. The D3 world awaits his return #dondeestaOH5 ??
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 14, 2024, 02:10:55 PMMAF Power Rankings (10/14)
1. Dickinson
2. F&M
3. Montclair
4. Hopkins
5. York
6. Muhles
7. PSU-Harrisburg
8. Lycoming
9. Messiah
10. Stevens
The USC coaches rankings differs a bit, putting York ahead of Hopkins and including Washington College and Swarthmore. Montclair is #1 in Region IV and Stevens is ahead of PSU-Harrisburg in that ranking. Messiah is omitted entirely.
Region V - Poll 6 - October 15, 2024
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Dickinson College 1 11-1-1
2 Franklin & Marshall College 2 7-0-6
3 York College (Pa.) 4 9-0-4
4 Johns Hopkins University 3 7-3-3
5 Washington College (Md.) 8 7-2-4
6 Muhlenberg College 5 7-3-3
7 Swarthmore College 7 9-3-1
8 Lycoming College 6 7-3-3
Region IV - Poll 6 - October 15, 2024
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Montclair State University 1 10-2-1
2 Rowan University 2 5-4-5
3 Stevens Institute of Technology 3 5-2-3
4 Penn State University-Harrisburg 4 11-3-1
5 Lebanon Valley College 6 7-4-2
6 Rutgers University-Newark 5 7-5-2
7 Stockton University NR 5-4-4
8 Cairn University NR 7-2-4
Quote from: justakidfromakron on October 15, 2024, 01:48:05 AMD3tactico I'd love to know your predictions for the JHU v F&M game. Also Im a bit surprised to see Dickinson over WAC in your predictions. I see it the other way around and think WAC is a more complete team then Dickinson. Also do we have any update on Horwitz's health. The D3 world awaits his return #dondeestaOH5 ??
For me, JHU v. F&M anyone's guess, but always a chess match between the most successful coaches in the CC. Both teams will be ready to play.
As to WC and Dickinson, I can see why as Dickinson, while soft, has only lost the Muhls and WC lost to McD. They tied earlier in the season. I definitely think the Muhls are better than McD. IMO Dickinson definitely better on paper right than WC. A lot more to play.
As to Horwitz, week to week, but, even if he gets back, he may need some time to get going. While he had an amazing last year, Kaliebe showed his quality which comes out even more without Oscar this year. He is going to be incredibly hard to replace next year.
F&M v Hopkins will have the same flavor to the game as it has for the past 10 years. F&M will look to capitalize on errors from Hopkins, and will be sure to target their goalie who looks shakey in possession. Hopkins will look to keep possession and work to build up their chances. As for a prediction, I am hesitant to pick one over the other as I see this game playing out as a draw. This game will resemble the old Liverpool vs Man City games when they were both battling for the title. A gegenpressing team vs a overly possession based team.
2-0 Dips.
tactico nailed this teams Achilles heal. The last 3 or so GKs* for Hopkins ranged from "could probably play in the field" to "highly competent with their feet."
In this system, he can't afford mistakes and once the trust issues start with those three, things get wobbly. They typically like to use the GK to bail out situations where the 2 man build-up hits a snag.
I predict a similar game to Rowan, where a competent press pops loose a goal at some point in the first half. Hop will try to be patient but they will start to get more risky and concede another somewhere in the second.
* - I just did a quick scan back to 2017 or so and each one of those goalies was excellent with the ball at their feet.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 15, 2024, 04:28:05 PM2-0 Dips.
tactico nailed this teams Achilles heal. The last 3 or so GKs* for Hopkins ranged from "could probably play in the field" to "highly competent with their feet."
In this system, he can't afford mistakes and once the trust issues start with those three, things get wobbly. They typically like to use the GK to bail out situations where the 2 man build-up hits a snag.
I predict a similar game to Rowan, where a competent press pops loose a goal at some point in the first half. Hop will try to be patient but they will start to get more risky and concede another somewhere in the second.
* - I just did a quick scan back to 2017 or so and each one of those goalies was excellent with the ball at their feet.
Been watching Meyer and he is
very good at his job. It almost seems like others around him may not be on the same page yet. If you are referring to Rowan's second goal you can see Meyer was directing the ball to go somewhere else before the give away. Turns out he was probably right. Hopefully he is not getting frustrated.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 15, 2024, 04:28:05 PM2-0 Dips.
I predicted the same score in the weekly pool.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 15, 2024, 04:28:05 PMThe last 3 or so GKs* for Hopkins ranged from "could probably play in the field" to "highly competent with their feet."
* - I just did a quick scan back to 2017 or so and each one of those goalies was excellent with the ball at their feet.
It's worth pointing out that Hopkins has switched goalies this year. The grad transfer who began the year as the starter, Loucas Costeas, is no longer starting. Sophomore Simon Turner has started the last four games. Based on my observations, neither is as skilled with their feet as the last few JHU goalies. Turner looks like his positioning is better but he is undersized (5'11"). I predict F&M scores at least one goal on a corner kick.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 15, 2024, 05:57:40 PMBeen watching Meyer and he is very good at his job. It almost seems like others around him may not be on the same page yet. If you are referring to Rowan's second goal you can see Meyer was directing the ball to go somewhere else before the give away. Turns out he was probably right. Hopefully he is not getting frustrated.
My former teammates and I have complained amongst ourselves about the way Meyer is being used. He is probably the best player on the team and spends too much time playing even with the center backs. Even so, he leads the team in goals.
Quote from: d3tactico on October 15, 2024, 04:18:37 PMF&M v Hopkins will have the same flavor to the game as it has for the past 10 years. F&M will look to capitalize on errors from Hopkins, and will be sure to target their goalie who looks shakey in possession. Hopkins will look to keep possession and work to build up their chances. As for a prediction, I am hesitant to pick one over the other as I see this game playing out as a draw. This game will resemble the old Liverpool vs Man City games when they were both battling for the title. A gegenpressing team vs a overly possession based team.
So you are comparing Dan Wagner to Klopp? Seems a bit disrespectful to me, Klopp hasn't been to NCAA's 10 years in a row. As for Dips v JHU I think your analysis is correct, high pressing counter attack v Guardiola esq. possession. What surprises me year after year is JHU's inability to adapt or change within this matchup specifically. Dips always come out with high pressing forwards and a conservative back 4 or 5 at times and JHU has not been able to effectively break them down through possession or even play through them at times. (last years 4-2 Dips victory). Considering the Dips have won the past 3 matchups you have to wonder if Appleby has ever considered a more direct stye of play to bypass and mitigate the Dips greatest strength, their high press. Maybe it's pride or maybe its belief in their system but on paper there is no doubt JHU has the talent and personnel to win this matchup. Should be a great matchup this weekend, especially if Horwitz is healthy. I predict 3-1 Dips win.
Quote from: justakidfromakron on October 15, 2024, 10:07:09 PM(last years 4-2 Dips victory).
*4-3, although Dips were up 4-1 late in the second half.
Meyer is great.
I've been on this site for 7 years stating that Hop needs to adjust their tactics when hitting a brick wall.
/fin
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 15, 2024, 07:34:37 PMQuote from: Hopkins92 on October 15, 2024, 04:28:05 PM2-0 Dips.
I predicted the same score in the weekly pool.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 15, 2024, 04:28:05 PMThe last 3 or so GKs* for Hopkins ranged from "could probably play in the field" to "highly competent with their feet."
* - I just did a quick scan back to 2017 or so and each one of those goalies was excellent with the ball at their feet.
It's worth pointing out that Hopkins has switched goalies this year. The grad transfer who began the year as the starter, Loucas Costeas, is no longer starting. Sophomore Simon Turner has started the last four games. Based on my observations, neither is as skilled with their feet as the last few JHU goalies. Turner looks like his positioning is better but he is undersized (5'11"). I predict F&M scores at least one goal on a corner kick.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 15, 2024, 05:57:40 PMBeen watching Meyer and he is very good at his job. It almost seems like others around him may not be on the same page yet. If you are referring to Rowan's second goal you can see Meyer was directing the ball to go somewhere else before the give away. Turns out he was probably right. Hopefully he is not getting frustrated.
My former teammates and I have complained amongst ourselves about the way Meyer is being used. He is probably the best player on the team and spends too much time playing even with the center backs. Even so, he leads the team in goals.
Said it before somewhere, F&M probably has the tallest team in the conference. JHU not so much which is I guess is deliberate. Many teams are purposely looking for tall center backs. They also push all the tall guys up for corners, long throws and free kicks.
Last year was definitely a crazy match with the high press working really well and Horwitz finishing 4 times with Kaliebe with all 4 assists. They did almost get caught by the excellent play of Griffin Meyer who scored 3.
The year before at JHU they won 1-0 off a glancing header from Shay Adamson off a free kick. This was JHU's only loss all year. The defense played really well covering for each other. In 2021, they won 2-0 with late goals by Kaliebe and Horwitz who was still a back at that time.
I've said before, F&M has studied all the tapes and will have something to attack or adjust when playing JHU especially with a week off. JHU might try to get it up more direct to counter the press. I would as they have the players with the skill as opposed to always trying to build out of the back.
Further, depending how F&M does, they are not afraid to make changes in the second half like it did against the Muhls while up 4-1. Two years ago, down 1-0 against Gettysburg they made some major changes in the 2nd half and tied it and almost won that game with it changes in the 2nd half. If Horwitz is not available, I would definitely watch for Adam Green up top. I just think he's figuring it out. In the past if the keeper went right, he went right. So many chances to slot goals.
Been reading the comments about JHU and thinking. What is the consensus on a successful season for them? Making the NCAA tournament? Going far in the NCAA tournament?
We can see their schedule for the rest of the regular season as well as their current NPI. Is this considered a must win game vs F&M?
It seems the program is based on a system of play style. If so everything from recruiting to training would seemingly support this. Could it be the play style requires time to be mastered and perhaps this year is an anomaly with a mix of underclassmen and transfers?* In any case unless it is truly do or die wouldn't it be unreasonable to abandon all of that for one game or even more?
Or are the criticisms in favor changing the play style permanently? Even though they have qualified for the NCAA tournament and done pretty well in the past?
Sorry for all of the questions!
*I'll revert to the Meyer example again of directing teammates and finding spaces as a good deep playmaking 6 does. For him the game seems to be auto mode but maybe this isn't the case yet for some of the others?
I think its too harsh to rule this game against F&M as a must win, but there is a lot riding on this result. A combination of how other Centennial teams are performing, and the point in time of the season adds a really nasty layer of complexity for them in terms of how they might approach this match. F&M should be well aware of the fact that a win against Hop could hurt and help them as I absolutely see Hop making the playoffs, and if F&M beats them then I imagine there is a good chance they will be on the same side of the bracket come playoff time.
I have no problem with their style of play and I imagine coach Appleby doesn't either. I touched upon it in the past, but Hopkins has the luxury of recruiting pretty high caliber players due to their academic strength and program prestige. No matter the year they will have the talent to play good soccer, and its respectable that the coach is so adamant on playing a unique brand of soccer within the d3 space. However, their lack of adaptability is what hinders them the most. Their approach against a team like Swat should not be the same as an approach to face F&M/GBurg. Their stubbornness to not change their approach is naĂŻve at best and arrogant at worst. While I do believe they have one of the most talented rosters in the Centennial, I don't think they are that much better than the rest to justify keeping possession in their own 18/high risk areas.
In regards to Meyer, in my opinion, he is one of if not the best pure midfielder in the Centennial. Kaliebe and Ethan Jarden I see more as forwards with how advanced they get and where they operate best. Meyer, as a deep lying playmaker/regista is excellent in possession and is a fundamental component to Hopkins' success. Sure he lacks the traditional d3 size, but he walks into any starting 11 on any centennial team and probably the entire region.
A successful season for Hopkins is contending for the Centennial title and making the NCAA tournament. I don't expect them to win the conference title every season but they should be in the mix and do well enough to make the NCAAs.
The reason why the game vs. F&M might be a "must win" is because I'm not sure they make the NCAAs if they lose and don't win the conference tournament.
As to the Hopkins system, they do seem to be less flexible/willing to change than many other teams. The system requires two very skilled center backs, two speedy outside backs with strong crossing ability, and a goal keeper with good ball skills. All of them need significant experience in the system to master it. This season, I would say they have one very skilled center back (Mikkel Andersen, the transfer from St. Joe's) and two excellent and experienced outside backs (Will Andrus and Logan Falzarano).
Meyer has been compensating for the lack of a second elite center back and staying too far in the rear to affect the play as much as he could.
What really makes Hopkins good is when they have a truly dynamic forward. Griffin Meyer on last year's team was an excellent example. Before him, you have to go all the way back to Achim Younker from 2016-2019.
As d3tactico indicated, they will always be decent but I'm not sure they will ever get over the hump unless they have all the components I mentioned and are willing to be a little more flexible in their approach.
Great questions and great analysis d3tactico. I typed this before I read yours.
JHU - Top level academics with a very competitive soccer program which can set up a kid for beginning of his live. Other positive is that that can bring in D1 grad students. A lot of envy from all of the other schools in the conf. Down sides is that JHU has a big barrier as to the pool of players since they have to be super smart much like Amherst or Williams. Also, I really think many 18 yr old players know that they may never or only see some field time, since JHU takes in so many older players coming in every year which would definitely think that some potential recruits not consider JHU. Interestingly JHU does not seem to take many int'l players like several other programs.
Question more is "Will NPI make coaches change styles if they are close to not making the NCAAs?" I believe not this year, but maybe next for some teams.
How JHU does against F&M may not be dealbreaker as they play Dickinson at the end of the year. Problem is that Dickinson has to continue to win in order to make it a big win. They definitely have a chance to win it all to automatically qual.
I think JHU is having problems with consistent offensive pressure, for ex. Gettysburg. When your lead scorer has 4 goals and is in the midfield that's tough.
In my opinion, many programs are now not interested in building from the back as there are so many issues - like can your keeper play well with his feet or can you break a press. F&M actually could do this a few years ago, but chose to hit the players in the midfield after maybe one or two passes in the back. Check out this -
https://www.hudl.com/video/3/6747736/6335943b664b200d40e91944
F&M keeper consistently did this in HS, club and college which made the keeper a real option. Great way to break presses as long as you have solid players on the sidelines. Got a couple of other examples. During this period and unless F&M had a big lead, they would play out of the back and look to switch fields to the next level quickly.
Other examples. He could do it with his right and left foot and would flip the field quickly out of the back. Eventually, teams just decided not to press as much. They never did it through the middle which I think JHU does at times.
https://www.hudl.com/video/3/6747736/618898e7b01870040c0b4418
https://www.hudl.com/video/3/6747736/61b3641115f663081cc00dda
https://www.hudl.com/video/3/6747736/61889d2d3df5ff0664e1a384
This one shows how dynamic Koa Kaliebe is. F&M did not punt much unless he could see a clear adv like Koa who is very fast at the other end. That was Horwitz at the other end. So some teams would get sucked into F&M's side and the keeper would go very long to a one v. one situation.
http://www.hudl.com/v/2JAu1w
Vanzela spent this past spring/summer trying to find 2025 GKs with strong foot skills - even going so far as asking recruits to send him highlight videos comprised entirely of game footage of them handling under pressure. The staff certainly understands the challenge presented by the system.
Quote from: smoova on October 16, 2024, 09:16:20 PMVanzela spent this past spring/summer trying to find 2025 GKs with strong foot skills - even going so far as asking recruits to send him highlight videos comprised entirely of game footage of them handling under pressure. The staff certainly understands the challenge presented by the system.
Baltimore Blast legend! Great guy.
He actually coached my son at his club. Very, very good coach and probably the best coach in the immediate Balt. area. Son's club always played out the back mostly because their players were all D1 talent (only one went D3 which was Tufts) and could. In fact, son maybe punted 2 or 3 times in his last season with the club. He used his punting skills with his HS team as they did not have the same skills and had a very good downhill striker. GK at his club knew that he had to be good with his feet or would not play. Son definitely appreciated Will's coaching though not his main gk coach.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 16, 2024, 08:48:13 PMAlso, I really think many 18 yr old players know that they may never or only see some field time, since JHU takes in so many older players coming in every year which would definitely think that some potential recruits not consider JHU. Interestingly JHU does not seem to take many int'l players like several other programs.
I think people on this board and perhaps in the Centennial Conference writ large are making too big a deal out of this. The significant number of grad students on the Hopkins roster the past few years is a COVID-caused aberration. Hopkins has a number of excellent grad programs and several students chose to use their COVID-year eligibility to play while in grad school. JHU has not traditionally had large numbers of grad students on the roster. This is the last year for most players to use their COVID-year eligibility. I expect next year's roster to return to normal, with few, if any, grad students on it.
I don't have a lot to add, as a lot of what has been covered is firmly in the "broken record" column for me. To summarize:
* - Talented roster every year due to a national footprint. Grad transfers have augmented in recent years, but the COVID years are drying up and should revert to the norm.
* - Season is considered a success if contending for the CC title and getting past the first round of the NCAA. (Which is not how the players and coaches look at it, I'm sure.)
* - Their success and overall quality turns on two issues - A reliable scorer and quality in the back, which includes the GK's foot skills.
* - They are stubborn in terms of their style, which limits their ceiling. Opposing teams all know what they are going to do and many alter their style to take advantage of this.
* - Overall, they are not likely to make a deep run in the NCAA tournament because their style requires extreme cool in pressure situations, which is only heightened by the time we get into November. It's a lot less stressful to just pin your ears back and press.
Quote from: d3tactico on October 16, 2024, 07:56:24 PMHowever, their lack of adaptability is what hinders them the most. Their approach against a team like Swat should not be the same as an approach to face F&M/GBurg. Their stubbornness to not change their approach is naĂŻve at best and arrogant at worst.
Can you name another D3 program with an identity at least partly based on a distinct playstyle but can adapt it game by game?
Quote from: d3tactico on October 16, 2024, 07:56:24 PMSure he lacks the traditional d3 size
If this is really a D3 soccer thing especially in the context of a 6 then it would be one of the reasons some D3 soccer is unwatchable. Not disagreeing as I think I am seeing some examples of this. But for the sake of my sanity during free Saturday or Sunday afternoons with access to a streaming device I hope this is just a view of the minority. Or I guess I will just have to follow the JHU schedule to watch Meyer.
Freddy - I'm, obviously, not speaking for tactico, but...
It's not rocket science to see that trying to painstakingly work the ball out of the back, primarily by breaking the press through the middle, which we all know is high stakes, takes a lot of skill and poise.
These are smart kids. When that tactic(o) is being shutdown, popping the ball over the top of the press, or just lumping it up past the midfield altogether isn't all that difficult to fathom and execute. Hop is very good recovering the ball, so this isn't even stressing a weakness.
It's almost impossible for a high press team with little background or skillset in the back to play possession. The reverse is not true at all.
Messiah leads unbeaten York, 3-0, at the half. The game is not as close as the score. This is the unquestionably the best the Falcons have played in 11 months. Total domination on both ends. York has one great shot, a rocket from outside the box right at the keeper. Otherwise they've struggled to generate chances. Messiah could very well have six goals. I don't exaggerate.
I hope York is actually as good as their excellent record. If so, then the Falcons have righted the ship. Even if not, they're playing beautiful soccer again.
At JHU v F&M, great 1st half. Both with goals. JHU all counter today which is working sort of. I think their goal was off an offside, but will have to see on the big screen. Adam Green got the F&M goal off a really nice shot while being heavily marked. Almost another, JHU GK made a nice save.
Gonna have to tip the cap to Coach Appleby... That switch of tactics is exactly what we've been talking about.
2-1 win in a pretty massive game in Baltimore.
This isn't the first time Hop has adjusted like this... BUT... I feel like that was the most direct style of play I've seen from them in a very long time.
And, thing is... They were very dangerous with this style!! They were getting in on goal with a decent amount of frequency and had a number of chances.
The number of corner kicks for F&M was INSANE. 11-2 differential and at least 6 or so were in the last 15 minutes or so (don't check my math, but it was a LOT.)
The York team Messiah beat last evening started 6 or 7 players who are SR or 5Y, more in the latter category. I hadn't realized that prior to the introductions. In other words, if they are going to go far any time soon, it has to be this year. I expect that level of experience is more than anything else responsible for their record thus far.
So, as negative as I have been on Hopkins and what I described as their rigid coaching style, I have to give Coach Appleby and the team props. As Hopkins92 suggested above, they complete changed their play style for long periods of the game v. F&M, to significant effect. They focused on very quick counterattacks over the top instead of the long, slow build-up from the back and scored two nice goals as a result. Notably, the tensest parts of the game were in the second half when they fell back into their old ways a few times and gave F&M some very good opportunities.
Props also to Simon Turner, the sophomore GK, who has started the last 5 or so games. He made several excellent saves. I don't think Hopkins would have won without his work in goal. Emblematic of Hopkins's willingness to change things up was Coach Appleby showing up clean shaven. I have never seen him without a beard.
Great point about the GK and I feel like a jerk not mentioning it. In particular, he parried a very close in shot (I think off of a CK) that bounced off the inside of the post very late in the game. Hopkins defender scrambled back to clear the rebound attempt over the end line.
He made 3 or 4 other saves off of really nice shots from the Dips from the top of the box or thereabouts.
Final point, and we talked about this when it happened... You hope the team (and coaches) learn from getting got late in a couple of games (looking at you Kenyon) to tighten up the mentality at the end of games. I wasn't a huge fan of conceding so many corner kicks, but in general Hop was pretty composed to finish the game... sorta. F&M isn't going to allow for a "go quietly into the good night" type ending.
Props to the Dips. I may not enjoy some of the flavor... But I've kind of grown to appreciate it.
USC Coaches Polls
Region V - Poll 7 - October 22, 2024
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Dickinson College 1 12-1-2
2 Johns Hopkins University 4 8-3-3
3 Franklin & Marshall College 2 7-1-6
4 York College (Pa.) 3 9-1-4
5 Washington College (Md.) 5 8-2-4
6 Swarthmore College 7 9-3-2
7 Muhlenberg College 6 8-3-4
8 Messiah University NR 8-5-1
Region IV - Poll 7 - October 22, 2024
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Rowan University 2 7-4-5
2 Montclair State University 1 11-3-1
3 Lebanon Valley College 5 8-4-2
4 Stevens Institute of Technology 3 6-3-3
5 Penn State University-Harrisburg 4 12-4-1
6 Rutgers University-Camden NR 7-5-4
7 Ramapo College NR 8-2-4
8 Cairn University 8 9-2-4
USC polls always a bit interesting. Once again, can't buy the Dickinson hype and won't until they beat one of Hopkins or F&M.
Interesting to see Rowan as #1 in their region with a pretty shaky record, but their recent win over Montclair definitely helped them.
The F&M v Hopkins game definitely proved to be a defining moment for Hop as they did end up changing their approach for this game. This game in particular they notably made use of how many players they have who are phenomenal ball carriers. The way some of the Hop players attacked the open space F&M left them was impressive to watch. Despite that, I thought F&M played fairly well and I am sure will look to seek revenge in the weeks to come.
The final few games of the Centennial are going to end up deciding the outlook of the playoffs and is going to be incredibly exciting to see how it plays out as a neutral.
UMW starts out with a goal over NC Wesleyan 17 minutes in. Castillo with a nice upper 90s shot from outside the 18.
a minute later Berg with a nice far post finish to make it 2-0
update: really nice 40 yd ball from Schmugge to Berg to put him through to make it 3-0 with 14 left in first
4-0 final. Much easier victory than the game in Fredericksburg. Maybe the 10 days off gave boys a boost.
MAF Power Rankings (10/23)
1. Dickinson
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Montclair St
5. Messiah
6. Muhles
7. York
8. Washington MD
9. Rowan
10. PSU-Harrisburg
Wow! F&M's GK made an awful play coming out of his box and trying to control it only to have it stolen it from him and the Dickinson shot from way outside was going in but the F&M defender ran to the goal line and just headed it over the cross bar.
Dickinson 2 - F&M 2 with 4 minutes remaining.
Most of the time GKs cover for awful plays up the field ... once in a while, field players return the favor ...
Hop earns a PK with 12 minutes lift. I'm not a big fan of literally no run up, but dude finished.
JHU 1:0 Shorepeople
From what I saw in the 2nd half, Hop had a decent amount of the run of play, but WAC certainly had their chances and made things interesting.
I believe that puts the standings as Hop and Dips tied at the top of the CC.
ETA - I believe due to the FM - Dickinson tie the standings are what they are.
And because we get to cover whatever we want...
Widener ties York and Sean Fatiga scores his 9th goal of the season. Both teams now have a 2-1-1 record in the MAC-C.
Interesting finish in the Landmark. Wilkes defeats Lycoming 2-1 on a goal off a corner kick at "89:59". What makes it interesting is the clock hit 00:00 before they took the kick but the ref let them play and the ball pin balled around the box a bit before someone poked it home.
Centennial with 2 games to go:
JHU - 16 pts (Fords, Dickinson)
F&M - 16 pts (Bullets, Shorepeople)
WAC - 13 pts (Muhles, catholic, Dips)
Dck - 12 pts (Bears, Jays)
Mhl - 12 pts (WAC, McD)
McD - 10 pts (Swat, Muhles)
-----------------------------------
Swt - 7 pts (McD, Fords)
Gbg - 5 pts (Dips, lycoming, Bears)
Urs - 4 pts (Devils, moravian, Bullets)
Hvd - 2 pts (JHU, Garnets)
I don't need to "analyze" what's to play for, as it's not super complicated. As an aside, and I know it's been discussed, but it seems weird to me to throw in those kind of random non-conference games so late in the season. If I'm Washington, for example, I don't really want to mess around with a traditionally difficult Catholic team when I need every CC point I can muster.
Quote from: Ejay on October 23, 2024, 09:41:06 PMInteresting finish in the Landmark. Wilkes defeats Lycoming 2-1 on a goal off a corner kick at "89:59". What makes it interesting is the clock hit 00:00 before they took the kick but the ref let them play and the ball pin balled around the box a bit before someone poked it home.
Thanks for the heads up, I'll go check the Flosports stream.
Scranton beat Drew on a goal 88 minutes into their match last night.
MAC Commonwealth
Messiah 12pts (Stevenson, Widener, Albright)
York 7 pts (Albright, Stevenson, Hood)
Widener 7 pts (Hood, Messiah, Eastern)
Alvernia 6 pts (Eastern, Hood, Stevenson)
----------------------------------------
Stevenson 5 pts (Messiah, York, Alvernia)
Eastern 4 pts (Alvernia, Albright, Widener)
Hood 3 pts (Widener, Alvernia, York)
Albright 1 pt (York, Eastern, Messiah)
With 3 games left, a lot still to play for in this conference. Stevenson with a murderer's row. Any of those teams in the 6, 5, 4 point slots are going to be in trouble if they tie this weekend. The rumors of Messiah's demise are decidedly premature. After tying Lycoming, they have racked up 5 straight wins, most of them in pretty dominating fashion. And while the 2-1 win in Frederick is a bit of head scratcher, Messiah outshot Hood 21-11 and had the Falcons had 6 corners to the ... (checks notes) Blazers(?) had 3.
Hood at home is a surprisingly/oddly tough place to play. Messiah had to dig out a 1-0 win there back in 2017 (National Championship year).
Besides the point--MAC Commonwealth has become a lot more competitive/fun to watch in recent years as it is no longer simply a Messiah/Lyco or Messiah/York dual.
More teams to compete=more fun
Hopkins has been fortunate to face its top challengers in the Centennial this year at home:
F&M, Washington College, and Dickinson have all been or will be home games for the Jays.
For a variety of reasons, I'm going to be up near Haverford this weekend. Wife is also a proud alum and soccer fan, so we'll be attending the game.
The nice thing about this conference is that a bunch of schools are located in really nice leaf peeping zones. We may not be the NEWMAC or NESCAC on the "pretty drive" scale, but the Centennial has some very nice foliage.
PA has some of the best! Enjoy
I've made the drive out Rt 80 a few times recently. Definitely enjoy those late season games.
Sounds like some drama occurred in the F&M-Gettysburg game. https://x.com/davemchugh/status/1850388997157073087 McHugh is most assuredly a neutral and unbiased commentator, so something was definitely said.
Quote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 12:14:34 AMSounds like some drama occurred in the F&M-Gettysburg game. https://x.com/davemchugh/status/1850388997157073087 McHugh is most assuredly a neutral and unbiased commentator, so something was definitely said.
They really are the Amherst of the Mid-Atlantic. in so many ways.
Quote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 12:14:34 AMSounds like some drama occurred in the F&M-Gettysburg game. https://x.com/davemchugh/status/1850388997157073087 McHugh is most assuredly a neutral and unbiased commentator, so something was definitely said.
Speaking of things being said by F&M, if you check the box score of the F&M v Swat game on 9/28, F&M has a player receive a red card at 90 minutes. Watching the stream I couldn't see any fights or scuffles after the full time whistle blew. Pure speculation but something might have been said. The player missed 2 games. This went unnoticed at the time
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 27, 2024, 10:09:02 AMQuote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 12:14:34 AMSounds like some drama occurred in the F&M-Gettysburg game. https://x.com/davemchugh/status/1850388997157073087 McHugh is most assuredly a neutral and unbiased commentator, so something was definitely said.
Speaking of things being said by F&M, if you check the box score of the F&M v Swat game on 9/28, F&M has a player receive a red card at 90 minutes. Watching the stream I couldn't see any fights or scuffles after the full time whistle blew. Pure speculation but something might have been said. The player missed 2 games. This went unnoticed at the time
Yup pure speculation.
What was the red card for then? Normal red is 1 game suspension
Quote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 12:14:34 AMSounds like some drama occurred in the F&M-Gettysburg game. https://x.com/davemchugh/status/1850388997157073087 McHugh is most assuredly a neutral and unbiased commentator, so something was definitely said.
Was thinking of making a long response. Really only wanted to say that McHugh's tweet was really, really odd. IMO, seems thin skinned. Parents aren't objective and why would he think they would be.
Not everyone will like his announcing style. I've heard him announce two F&M games plus several others including JHU's. I generally find him alright, but a little grating (getting excited when nothing really happens and too much commentating at times which make me mute the sound). Not to extent of Leb Valley, or, in the past, Haverford though.
I do like the Tufts' student announcer.
And who could forget this classy incident involving F&M soccer players https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2019/11/13/fm-athletes-wore-racist-halloween-costumes (https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2019/11/13/fm-athletes-wore-racist-halloween-costumes)
Way to go back 5 years for that one PH!
PH? Having issues typing SKUD?
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 27, 2024, 12:01:46 PMAnd who could forget this classy incident involving F&M soccer players https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2019/11/13/fm-athletes-wore-racist-halloween-costumes (https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2019/11/13/fm-athletes-wore-racist-halloween-costumes)
Yes, definitely important to point out when talking about Gettysburg's announcer. I guess the Gburg announcer is standing up to racism!!
Nope you know what it stands for. pot
Well I'd be mad too if I had to watch Gettysburg play twice a week. Team can't win a game.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 27, 2024, 11:35:06 AMWhat was the red card for then? Normal red is 1 game suspension
Agreed. If we can post ad nauseum (relative to the overall board activity) about the antics of a couple of Texas schools (or Amherst for that matter), seems fair to know why a F&M player got a two game suspension (if that is what occurred and in the immediate aftermath of the match).
But wait...
Gonna be a rough 7-10 days...
I don't pretend to know the backstory here, and I can't opine on how well F&M has earned its detractors. Perhaps very well deserved. I do, though, have a couple of observations...
When it comes to Amherst and a level of...well...let's keep it clean for the kids...unattractive behavior, F&M can't hold Amherst's jockstrap. Calling F&M the "Amherst of the Centennial" is about on par with saying Luxembourg is the "Russia of Europe." After all, just for starters, F&M is led by a Messiah star/alum lol.
And secondly, who isn't impressed by a pointed and very public tweet from a former four-time AA GK and legendary Goucher HOFer that includes a 12-year-oldish snapback of "you're probably not familiar with my work because your school has never made a F4...ever"? Who can resist applauding a guy who within a matter of seconds can morph from a self-involved local D3 play by play broadcaster into Jack Ryan laying in the weeds ready and coiled to confront opposing fans who had the audacity to read a text from a supposed family member out loud? A F&M parent read a text! Speaking of staying classy, the tweet ends by provocatively attempting to publicly target this particular family who damningly (as the narrative goes) had "a tie-in" with an especially onerous plot sequence during the match.
I make no observations on McHugh's motives, just that he's generally pretty down the middle and neutral. I think something obviously happened for him to make a comment like this.
If the parent incident is true I can see how it could have been annoying, but a parent being obnoxious is hardly newsworthy. And this incident pales in comparison to many things I (and likely many of you) have seen from parents, some which deservedly made the 6 o'clock news.
In this day and age it is too easy to be critical. It's a shame he wasn't able to just ignore it.
Quote from: justakidfromakron on October 27, 2024, 01:13:36 PMWell I'd be mad too if I had to watch Gettysburg play twice a week. Team can't win a game.
Which is really hard to see why. Gburg's coach is very good (coached Balt. Loyola for 14 years) and decent recruiter with a lot of ties to the Bmore area. Son had several discussions with him and he definitely liked Mettrick. Field is very nice and so is the campus. They went to the NCAAs in 2021 after beating Hop 4-1 and then losing to WC in the Cent. Conf. final. Last two years, outside of the 1-0 over Hop, they have really struggled. Generally from what I have seen, they seem very competitive, but not getting results.
Quote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 03:27:11 PMI make no observations on McHugh's motives, just that he's generally pretty down the middle and neutral. I think something obviously happened for him to make a comment like this.
I think we know what happened, or allegedly happened. Someone who heard the broadcast texted a family member or fellow F&M supporter to say something akin to "you're not gonna believe what the Gburg broadcaster said." And regardless of what the person texted or how that got "read out loud" it's hardly surprising that an opponent supporter reacted to broadcast commentary. And that's not where I would begrudge him anyway. Many (if not all) play by play folks at this level are "homers" and some simply contain that better than others. So what if he did talk smack about F&M or make some biased observations during a broadcast. I can chalk that up to "it's all part of the rivalry." For me whether he did or didn't show bias isn't particularly relevant. It's the reactivity...and way, way overshooting the mark in response. Btw, I'd have no issue if he in vivo had interjected..."hey guys, I'm over here...glad you enjoyed my call of the game...maybe I'll see you down the road at the F4." Leave it on the field as they say.
Quote from: PaulNewman on October 27, 2024, 04:17:06 PMQuote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 03:27:11 PMI make no observations on McHugh's motives, just that he's generally pretty down the middle and neutral. I think something obviously happened for him to make a comment like this.
For me whether he did or didn't show bias isn't particularly relevant. It's the reactivity...and way, way overshooting the mark in response. Btw, I'd have no issue if he in vivo had interjected..."hey guys, I'm over here...glad you enjoyed my call of the game...maybe I'll see you down the road at the F4." Leave it on the field as they say.
Agree.
I don't necessarily disagree here, but McHugh isn't really a partisan Gettysburg broadcaster, he's mainly a Centennial Conference roving announcer due to him living near most of the schools.
So, just got back from absolutely glorious weekend up in P.A. Some ruminations:
* - Hopkins was doing some stuff on Saturday that was very cool and confounding the Fords for a good chunk of the first half. The were having their wide players dart in when the ball was played to the more central middie, that guy with the ball was then almost running and RPO (sorry, Ill circle back) with the flank player cutting in. He'd either leave for that guy, or he'd turn, or he'd knock it back to holding middie or defender. It was REALLY fun to watch.
* - The reason Haverford is in last place is not because they are a bad team -- they are not -- it is because the lack depth. The guys up top, in particular, were running their butts off. But even by the end of the first half, I could see the their danger guys in the midfield and up top were getting tired. They just need more horses.
* - I was really impressed with Hop's ability to roll with the punches and just out-quality and (see the subs issue) out-work the Fords. Hop was never down in this game, but at this point, against this oppponent, you need 3 pts. The Fords were not going to get rolled.
- Hop scores early... Fords stick around and pick up a PK, First half 1-1
- Hop scores early in the second (same 39/40 min mark for both goals) and Fords score a damn Olympico to tie it again. This was barely 2 minutes after the hop goal (51st versus 53rd) (The wind was nutty, and this thing hung in the air like a Zeppelin.)
- So, now with the game back to 2-2, Hop goes right back to "pedal down" soccer and forces an own goal less than 30 seconds later. It was pretty remarkable.
- Ian Wammond makes it 4-2 and pretty much done in the 72 or so minute.
* - Haverford is probably the most beautiful campus I've ever seen. I'm stunned every time I visit, and it's been a dozen times or so at this point.
* - Just a technical note. Hopkins was doing some higher level stuff on Saturday. 1) Their ability to hold the ball with a defender on their back, and then in that position, generating offense was truly remarkable. I don't think folks know how hard that is to pull off. 2) The work rate on this team, for the most part, is stunning. And that comes down to, at this point in the season, trusting and relying on your subs. 3) The last couple or three weeks.. They just seem more dangerous and decisive going forward.
The drawback of the slow build out of the back is that at some point when you get to the attacking third, you have to beat someone at pace. The style they are employing right now, which is kind of a direct/possession hybrid--I think I see joy on this team. They are really getting after it.
I just did a quick glance and did math in my head (I'm not good at math) but Messiah is on six game runner and have outscored their opponents something like 20-1.
Sleep on the Falcons at your peril. They are now 10-5-1 with Widener (pride nation!) and Albright left.
Quote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 05:26:27 PMI don't necessarily disagree here, but McHugh isn't really a partisan Gettysburg broadcaster, he's mainly a Centennial Conference roving announcer due to him living near most of the schools.
I feel like I'm losing my mind, especially with some of the folks chiming in would seemingly know better.
Isn't Dave "Mac" McHugh part of the duo that calls the Final Four? I know he alludes to that, but... Right?
How are folks calling him Gettysburg's announcer? He's just doing his usual Centennial Conference journeyman stuff. I think that's probably why he seems so offended by the "homer" accusations from the Dips fans.
That said, and Dave, no offense... That tweet is a bit odd. At once very specific and vague in nature.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 27, 2024, 07:37:04 PMSo, just got back from absolutely glorious weekend up in P.A. Some ruminations:
* - Hopkins was doing some stuff on Saturday that was very cool and confounding the Fords for a good chunk of the first half. The were having their wide players dart in when the ball was played to the more central middie, that guy with the ball was then almost running and RPO (sorry, Ill circle back) with the flank player cutting in. He'd either leave for that guy, or he'd turn, or he'd knock it back to holding middie or defender. It was REALLY fun to watch.
* - The reason Haverford is in last place is not because they are a bad team -- they are not -- it is because the lack depth. The guys up top, in particular, were running their butts off. But even by the end of the first half, I could see the their danger guys in the midfield and up top were getting tired. They just need more horses.
* - I was really impressed with Hop's ability to roll with the punches and just out-quality and (see the subs issue) out-work the Fords. Hop was never down in this game, but at this point, against this oppponent, you need 3 pts. The Fords were not going to get rolled.
- Hop scores early... Fords stick around and pick up a PK, First half 1-1
- Hop scores early in the second (same 39/40 min mark for both goals) and Fords score a damn Olympico to tie it again. This was barely 2 minutes after the hop goal (51st versus 53rd) (The wind was nutty, and this thing hung in the air like a Zeppelin.)
- So, now with the game back to 2-2, Hop goes right back to "pedal down" soccer and forces an own goal less than 30 seconds later. It was pretty remarkable.
- Ian Wammond makes it 4-2 and pretty much done in the 72 or so minute.
* - Haverford is probably the most beautiful campus I've ever seen. I'm stunned every time I visit, and it's been a dozen times or so at this point.
* - Just a technical note. Hopkins was doing some higher level stuff on Saturday. 1) Their ability to hold the ball with a defender on their back, and then in that position, generating offense was truly remarkable. I don't think folks know how hard that is to pull off. 2) The work rate on this team, for the most part, is stunning. And that comes down to, at this point in the season, trusting and relying on your subs. 3) The last couple or three weeks.. They just seem more dangerous and decisive going forward.
The drawback of the slow build out of the back is that at some point when you get to the attacking third, you have to beat someone at pace. The style they are employing right now, which is kind of a direct/possession hybrid--I think I see joy on this team. They are really getting after it.
Hopkins has such technical players all over the field and a coach that truly enjoys possession. Its awesome that they have changed their dynamic more frequently this season and it seems like its paying off.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 27, 2024, 08:50:27 PMQuote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 05:26:27 PMI don't necessarily disagree here, but McHugh isn't really a partisan Gettysburg broadcaster, he's mainly a Centennial Conference roving announcer due to him living near most of the schools.
I feel like I'm losing my mind, especially with some of the folks chiming in would seemingly know better.
Isn't Dave "Mac" McHugh part of the duo that calls the Final Four? I know he alludes to that, but... Right?
How are folks calling him Gettysburg's announcer? He's just doing his usual Centennial Conference journeyman stuff. I think that's probably why he seems so offended by the "homer" accusations from the Dips fans.
That said, and Dave, no offense... That tweet is a bit odd. At once very specific and vague in nature.
Yes, it was the tweet.
This incident no doubt has been blown way out of proportion (and we'd probably not know a thing about it if not for the tweet), and I've contributed to blowing it out of proportion. That said, Hop92 is a smart, straight shooter participant whose posts carry weight, and so a few clarifications (from my pov).
Details are still lacking and other details have been murky. We still know almost nothing about what DM said that triggered texting and the "outloud read." Did the F&M culprits at the heart of the tweet overreact? Did DM really say anything that most of us would consider objectionable or biased? Did the F&M supporters walk over and play out the reading of the text specifically to instigate and specifically for DM (or Gettysburg fans) to hear? Doesn't sound like it if you go by the tweet which suggests DM wanted to surprise them by letting them know he was the guy and was listening to what will become known as the infamous "reading of the text." Did folks here (like me) not know that DM has called broadcasts of the F4 for years and has some longstanding role with the league that makes him a frequent substitute broadcaster for Gettysburg, McDaniel, etc? I am very aware of his history with the F4 and let me say that overall imo he and his partner do a very nice job. I don't know his exact deal with the Centennial and how many schools he serves as a substitute broadcaster for. I don't know if he ever has been the announcer on behalf of F&M. And whether folks on this board knew or didn't know, what does that have to do with whether the F&M supporters at the heart of the story knew or should have known? All of the above imo is just a distraction, including whether he is ever a "homer" or always the furthest thing from that.
For ease of argument, let's presume the F&M supporters were dead wrong...and that DM called the match right down the middle. They had no reason to know anything about DM or his broader role with the conference. They took offense to some of the commentary and made some noise. They presumed after going on the Gettysburg website to access video of the game that DM is the Gettysburg guy. There is no indication in the tweet that DM tried to clarify his role. In fact, he wrote the tweet as though he fairly (at least for that evening) could be viewed as "the voice of the Bullets," as he even refers in the tweet to how demonstrably fair he was
to the opponent. His complaint in the tweet has nothing to do with whether he is or is not a Gettysburg guy. And if opponent fans wrongfully treated him like a "homer" announcer, how could he be surprised by that? He instead doubled down and tried to tie in the bad behavior the supporters showed with unclarified events during the match where his allusion indicated F&M had engaged in bad behavior on the field. For a neutral guy he certainly had no qualms about
acting like the Gettysburg guy, including the bit about going after F&M for never making a F4. That kind of lashing out doesn't impress as particularly neutral. Further, his comment about "you're probably not familiar with my work at the F4 since you've never been there" was not presented as evidence of a lack of bias, but rather smacks of "you have no idea who I am and of course you don't know because your program isn't good enough to know."
Wow, a full blown XGate now. With the game I wanted to watch desiring my credit card and this controversy brewing I elected to watch the replay of this full game yesterday.
There were maybe 2 calls or no calls that he said should have gone in favor of the Bullets, nothing egregious though. 15 minutes into the second half a foul was called on F&M and he said "F&M doesn't like it. It's funny they want to play aggressive but when they get called for it they don't like they are getting called for it. I would just say listen if you play aggressive you know you are going to get called for it at some point. Don't complain about it. Take what you get and just deal with your lumps when they get called. I think you might get more calls your way or more non whistles." It could have been directed at the young man walking away with his arms out in protest, the F&M bench, the parents, or the entire program. It could have been a dig or just an objective suggestion for the future. Only he knows, but perception is still a thing.
Beyond the fouls and absent his background I would have assumed the announcer was associated with the program for reasons other than foul call commentary. At one point he reminded the audience of fund raisers for the stadium lights as well as other facilities at GBurg. He was a bit animated at some of the Gburg threats--not over the top but enough to make one think. Again nothing egregious though.
I could see how some or even many assumed he was a homer. The conflict seems to be in his mind he feels he was anything but. In any case the tweet did not resolve anything.
Thanks for that Freddy, nice reporting.
I mean, as for his comment about F&M... What we've been saying for years. It's not just the fouling, which is usually above the average #, it's that the bench (and to some extent the fans) act like the ref is being unfair on so many of the calls. Which is pretty silly given the program's history.
They aren't dirty, I want be clear.
MAF Power Rankings (10/28)
1. Dickinson
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Montclair St
6. Rowan
7. Muhles
8. York
9. Washington MD
10. PSU-Harrisburg
RV: Stevens, Catholic, LVC
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 28, 2024, 01:49:08 PMMAF Power Rankings (10/28)
1. Dickinson
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Montclair St
6. Rowan
7. Muhles
8. York
9. Washington MD
10. PSU-Harrisburg
RV: Stevens, Catholic, LVC
Was surprised to see PSU Harrisburg in last week but let it go. Why them at 10 and not others?
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 28, 2024, 01:20:58 PM"F&M doesn't like it. It's funny they want to play aggressive but when they get called for it they don't like they are getting called for it. I would just say listen if you play aggressive you know you are going to get called for it at some point. Don't complain about it. Take what you get and just deal with your lumps when they get called. I think you might get more calls your way or more non whistles." It could have been directed at the young man walking away with his arms out in protest, the F&M bench, the parents, or the entire program. It could have been a dig or just an objective suggestion for the future. Only he knows, but perception is still a thing.
Heard that as well. I rewatched on 1.5 speed which is fun and makes things go so much faster. Haha. So, a kid, who the referee deemed committed a foul, is not supposed to react? That could be any kid in any sport in any country. I used to ref for many years and many times players, coaches and fans did not agree which is fine. Never took into account reactions as to whether I was or was not going to call a foul at some juncture. Maybe just me, but I am guessing most refs are the same. F&M does foul, but are pretty clean in most cases - 5th place in the league as to yellows and is one of 7 teams with a red card. F&M will always be aggressive with solid defense.
One other thing, DM seemed to fixate on 3 players who have 4 yellow cards for F&M. Obviously, a 5th would make it an automatic game suspension. He also did mention the 3 by name. Some may take this as a parent very negatively. Kid has 4 cards, but announcer does not know the circumstances, if he did then maybe. Could be 4 great reasons for the yellows or could have being unlucky or a combination of both. I know he mentioned this at least twice, and, maybe other times. Good point, but not as big as he makes it out which imo got annoying.
FYI, F&M is in the middle of the Cent. Conf. with 1.75 yellows per game and Ursinus/Muhls 2.07 and 2.6 respectively leading. F&M does have the most fouls per game with 14.81 p/g and Ursinus at 13.93. Hop is in 7th with 10.94. Not a crazy difference per game.
As DM and Gettysburg, he definitely calls all the home mens/womens soccer as well as Gburg mens/womens basketball games. He may call other sports. I know he has done at least the last 4 years at Gburg for mens soccer. As to this Sunday night, he was finishing up game two (Gburg women played before the mens). So he was there for 5-6 hours when he overheard the comment.
I'm sure the calling the vaulted Final 4 D3 Championship games, but Gburg definitely pays some of his bills and has for awhile. Further, outside of friends and families very, very few people actually watch D3 Final 4 games. He may do other Cent. Conf. teams but I haven't heard him recently doing any.
I am also not saying that he is a homer at all. He brings up a lot of good info on both teams in his games like his discussion of who will make the CC playoffs was great. F&M's announcer does this as well - getting excited when nothing was going to happen which can be off-putting. IMO sometimes less can be more in soccer which most CC announcer seemed to not do.
Yeah, agreed, when announcers get animated over a shot from distance that is clearly going wide or 20 yards over the bar I get annoyed.
But, honestly, I get annoyed at announcers all the way up the chain for doing this. The dude at Fox is really bad. You can tell the people that are not true soccer background folks at that level. It's a professional delivery and they have done enough homework to know the rules and the players. They just don't have a feel for the game.
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 27, 2024, 10:09:02 AMQuote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 12:14:34 AMSounds like some drama occurred in the F&M-Gettysburg game. https://x.com/davemchugh/status/1850388997157073087 McHugh is most assuredly a neutral and unbiased commentator, so something was definitely said.
Speaking of things being said by F&M, if you check the box score of the F&M v Swat game on 9/28, F&M has a player receive a red card at 90 minutes. Watching the stream I couldn't see any fights or scuffles after the full time whistle blew. Pure speculation but something might have been said. The player missed 2 games. This went unnoticed at the time
That ejection on 9/28 was for spitting, which is by rule a Violent Behavior II offense that carries a two game suspension.
Quote from: College Soccer Observer on October 28, 2024, 05:22:29 PMQuote from: paclassic89 on October 27, 2024, 10:09:02 AMQuote from: stlawus on October 27, 2024, 12:14:34 AMSounds like some drama occurred in the F&M-Gettysburg game. https://x.com/davemchugh/status/1850388997157073087 McHugh is most assuredly a neutral and unbiased commentator, so something was definitely said.
Speaking of things being said by F&M, if you check the box score of the F&M v Swat game on 9/28, F&M has a player receive a red card at 90 minutes. Watching the stream I couldn't see any fights or scuffles after the full time whistle blew. Pure speculation but something might have been said. The player missed 2 games. This went unnoticed at the time
That ejection on 9/28 was for spitting, which is by rule a Violent Behavior II offense that carries a two game suspension.
Thanks. I'd be fine with a mandatory 5 games or a coach saying "you're done," especially if the action was intended and/or succeeded in landing. Absolutely imo should be a zero tolerance policy. Spitting legally is considered assault and can be charged. Folks routinely get charged for spitting (A&B) at a family member or domestic partner or at a police officer, ambulance personnel, or nurses and/or security staff in emergency rooms. It's not a stretch to argue that some of the genital grabbing incidents should have resulted in significant suspensions or even a charge of "lewd and lascivious."
Region V - Poll 8 - October 29, 2024
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Dickinson College 1 13-1-3
2 Johns Hopkins University 2 10-3-3
3 Franklin & Marshall College 3 8-1-7
4 York College (Pa.) 4 11-1-5
5 Washington College (Md.) 5 8-3-5
6 Muhlenberg College 7 9-3-5
7 Messiah University 8 10-5-1
8 Juniata College NR 9-2-5
Region IV - Poll 8 - October 29, 2024
Rank School Prev W-L-T
1 Rowan University 1 9-4-5
2 Stevens Institute of Technology 4 8-3-3
3 Montclair State University 2 12-4-1
4 Lebanon Valley College 3 9-5-2
5 Penn State University-Harrisburg 5 13-4-2
6 Stockton University NR 7-5-5
7 St. Mary's College of Maryland NR 9-6-2
8 Arcadia University NR 12-4-2
Whoa. Juniata emerges!
Gotta go look at that schedule.
*pause*
Huh, yeah, I can see it. They have clinched the regular season Landmark title and have a few impressive draws out of conference.
I have to be honest, I hadn't been paying attention to the Landmark games (paywall, but also limited time this fall)... But even in years past, Juniata has pretty much never been on my radar. I'm pretty sure this has to be their best season in a very long time.
*goes and looks*
Yep, you have to go back to 2013 when they posted a 13-6-3, losing in the finals of the conf. tournament to Susquehanna. This team was 8-9-1 last year and 1-5-1 in the Landmark. I wonder if there's a new head coach?
*hold muzak clicks on*
Interesting. Started in 2019 after having served as an assistant (I think?) at Swarthmore. Let's see if he can sustain the success.
Is there a consesus best player in the Centennial this year?
From a purely stats pov, probably either Saul Iwowo or Ethan Jarden from Dickinson
Quote from: paclassic89 on October 30, 2024, 12:10:14 PMFrom a purely stats pov, probably either Saul Iwowo or Ethan Jarden from Dickinson
As I said after watching Dickinson defeat Messiah, 2-1, for the first time ever in more than 40 contests: this is the best Dickinson team I've ever seen. Nothing since then gives me pause.
And, since I've been watching such games since the 1980s, usually in Grantham but sometimes in Carlisle, I've probably seen more Dickinson teams than anyone else here. Obviously, that doesn't "prove" my opinion, but I probably have as much right to it as anyone else, including longtime Dickinson fans unless their visual experience goes back equally far.
Quote from: d3tactico on October 30, 2024, 11:57:13 AMIs there a consesus best player in the Centennial this year?
Yes, very good both of them. I would throw in Francis Meyer, JHU, and Koa Kaliebe, F&M, in there as well, especially since I would guess most coaches look to gameplan on how to deal with them.
Also I think 2021 or 2022 was the last year they had one POY and now have two offensive and defensive players of the year now. Last year it was Horwitz and Chris Comber at WC https://centennial.org/news/2023/11/2/all-cc-mens-soccer.asp They also used to have coach of the year and now its Coaching Staff of the Year.
As to Def. POY, I think Tate Roth, gk McDaniel, is the front runner based conf and non conf. stats. Though McD is in 5th place now, it could jump to 3rd place depending on how it goes this weekend. As to a possible back, that will be tough as there are several who played well this year.
Quote from: Falconer on October 30, 2024, 12:37:43 PMQuote from: paclassic89 on October 30, 2024, 12:10:14 PMFrom a purely stats pov, probably either Saul Iwowo or Ethan Jarden from Dickinson
As I said after watching Dickinson defeat Messiah, 2-1, for the first time ever in more than 40 contests: this is the best Dickinson team I've ever seen. Nothing since then gives me pause.
And, since I've been watching such games since the 1980s, usually in Grantham but sometimes in Carlisle, I've probably seen more Dickinson teams than anyone else here. Obviously, that doesn't "prove" my opinion, but I probably have as much right to it as anyone else, including longtime Dickinson fans unless their visual experience goes back equally far.
Dickinson is very good and may end even better if it beats Hop at Hop this weekend. Currently in 3rd place in the Cent. Conf, but 4 pts below 2nd place. However, will probably need to at least tie to keep third place as 4-6 places are less than 1 or 2 points below.
As to performance in CC as far as opposed to non-conf. games, you could so-so - 4-1-3 Beat bottom 3 CC teams while winning against McDaniel and lost to the Muhls, tied F&M (of course), WC and Swat. Non-conference wins and other than Messiah, are not against great teams, but a win is a win is a win. Overall, the best Dickinson team in a long time.
Final CC weekend is crazy as to the games to be played - 1st place JHU plays 3rd place Dickinson, 2nd place F&M plays 4th place WC, 5th place McDaniel plays 6th place Muhls. JHU and F&M have clinched 1st or 2nd place. JHU has its fate in its own hands - beat Dickinson they are the reg. season champions which might be the first time in a while. Muhls could jump 3 spots to host a playoff game if it wins and Dickinson and WC lose. Almost like the game planners knew. These games could be pre-playoffs before the playoffs. FYI all have clinched a playoff berth. All kicks of this Friday night.
Not to pile on, but Haverford has 2 points in CC play. Long and gradual descent from 2017-18. Like 2021, Swat and the Fords are playing a pure, final rival last game and did not make the CC tournament. Who would have thought that Swat would be in this place with its very hot start at 7-0-1? 2-5-1 in Cent Conf. though all loses were by one goal. Brutal sport.
Taking a look at the stats again for DPOY, Tshazi Kamau from Washington College might be a good shout as well. Washington leads the Centennial with only 5 goals allowed so far in conference play and Tshazi has 1 goal and 4 assists as an outside back
May have missed this, but who at Cent. Conf. picks the P's of the Year? Coaches? Cent. Conf. staff or a combination of both? I know the pre-season poll is based on coach votes.
I have also seen where a player's overall perf. as opposed to only conf. gets the nod and visa versa. Overall v. conf. play, which means more?
DPOY is tough to pick. Its also a long time since a McD player has been picked for anything.
Len Yamabe from Swarthmore was one of the better players I saw this year. He gave Hopkins fits.
Will say, UMW is holding it's own against Virginia. 0-0 in the first half.
SC.
And of course, I type that and UMW concede a terrible own goal.
SC.
What's interesting to me is the play of St. Joseph's transfer Mikkel Andersen in the back for Hopkins. I was VERY impressed with both his ability to shutdown dangerous chances but his ability to advance the ball with his feet and deft passing when I saw him in person on Saturday.
As with past years, some of these grad student transfers from D1 programs take some time to figure out their role. But when they do, they are lights out. (Ben Goodman was this guy last year.)
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 30, 2024, 03:31:09 PMAnd of course, I type that and UMW concede a terrible own goal.
SC.
yes - missed a golden chance to equalize and then let in #2
3-0 now for UVA, with the last two goals coming from very poor marking.
The right-wing Wiese for UVA has been a menace for UMW to deal with.
Upside the own goal won't the decider most likely. Unfortunately, it looks like a u18 v. u16 scrimmage.
Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 30, 2024, 03:29:38 PMWill say, UMW is holding it's own against Virginia. 0-0 in the first half.
SC.
Thanks SC for the commentator jinx
Don't look now. UMW pulls another back to get to down 3-2 with 18 minutes left.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 30, 2024, 04:00:17 PMUpside the own goal won't the decider most likely. Unfortunately, it looks like a u18 v. u16 scrimmage.
Whoops!!
Looks like a crazy finish in Newport last night. Salisbury scoring with 30 seconds left on a FK and CNU scoring with 10 seconds left to grab a point.
PSU Harrisburg plays in a weaker conference but has some nice results and overall strong record. Currently 13-4-2 with solid wins over NYU, Messiah, and Lycoming. They've won 9 of their last 10 so no reason to drop them out at this time. Others in the RV section could certainly be in that 10th slot.
Quote from: Freddyfud on October 28, 2024, 02:03:17 PMQuote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 28, 2024, 01:49:08 PMMAF Power Rankings (10/28)
1. Dickinson
2. Hopkins
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Montclair St
6. Rowan
7. Muhles
8. York
9. Washington MD
10. PSU-Harrisburg
RV: Stevens, Catholic, LVC
Was surprised to see PSU Harrisburg in last week but let it go. Why them at 10 and not others?
For those who are interested Hop (1st place) is playing Dickinson (3rd) at 5 today. Should really be a good game. Two teams in the top 20.
https://www.centennialconference.tv/hopkinssports/
Rough half for the Dickinson GK. The rest of the team can't get anything going.
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 01, 2024, 06:06:33 PMRough half for the Dickinson GK. The rest of the team can't get anything going.
Definitely, no highlights there. Plus the pk was just bad.
The second Hop goal, yeah, that's the dreaded Turf Monster rearing it's ugly head. He'll be seeing that one in his sleep tonight, regardless of the end result.
Turner stopping the PK early with the game at 1-0 was huge. Not a very well hit PK when the goalie can just react to the shot and still make the save. Put it in the corner and you score 99 percent of the time.
Beyond the gaffe goal, Hopkins' first was a nice cross and finish. The third... naive defending on the short corner gave Francis Meyer all day to slot that home. Again, as Freddy alluded to, that was a short-side goal... Cardinal sin for a goalie.
In the back, my guy Andersen is not letting their danger guy get anything going. Very impressed with that guy, as stated earlier this week.
Let's see if Hop can keep up the pressure. Sitting back and protecting for 45 is a recipe for disaster.
I definitely believe that Hop is the much better team here. They should be ahead plus they hit the crossbar.
If it stands, Dickinson could be traveling easily on Tuesday
Yea the second goal, stuff happens. But the third one near post was rough. And a miss on a corner clearance almost lead to a 4th. Not sure but maybe they made a change at the half?
Yup.
Not great keeper play all around. Despite the 2nd D goal going through his legs, I think Appleton was subbing no matter what and will go with the sophomore the rest of the way. The grad student just spent a ton of cash to play several games.
Congratulations Hop, great reg season!
Announcer was good, a lot of great info. Only point I would say that this was not an upset. Despite Dickinson outranking Hop
Announcer was fine, but not many people talk about B'more being Charm City. He, along with the vast majority of folks calling soccer, need to learn the "less is more" adage. I found him perfectly fine, but soccer doesn't need to be called like we're listening to it on the radio.
/peeve
I think Dickinson has probably relied on athleticism and size and Hopkins did a very good job of... Hopkins'ing them. They are very good holding the ball up and orchestrating a possession style that clearly frustrated the Red Devils tonight. A lot of frustration fouls.
Hop wins the regular season for the first time in a minute. In terms of THE ALGORITHMS, this is a pretty big win in terms of seeding for November Madness.
I get chills during JHU home games. Not from the broadcast announcer but the Homewood Field PA announcer. His voice is identical to Chuck Thompson, longtime and HOF broadcaster for the Orioles and part of my childhood growing up. It's like I'm back at Memorial Stadium or listening to a game on WBAL.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 01, 2024, 07:42:54 PMAnnouncer was fine, but not many people talk about B'more being Charm City. He, along with the vast majority of folks calling soccer, need to learn the "less is more" adage. I found him perfectly fine, but soccer doesn't need to be called like we're listening to it on the radio.
/peeve
I think Dickinson has probably relied on athleticism and size and Hopkins did a very good job of... Hopkins'ing them. They are very good holding the ball up and orchestrating a possession style that clearly frustrated the Red Devils tonight. A lot of frustration fouls.
Hop wins the regular season for the first time in a minute. In terms of THE ALGORITHMS, this is a pretty big win in terms of seeding for November Madness.
Definitely, he knows his stuff and less would be so much more.
Anyone know, once we AQs are determined, how are going to seed and AQs plus mix in locations? I've shied away from that.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 01, 2024, 08:29:49 PMQuote from: Hopkins92 on November 01, 2024, 07:42:54 PMAnnouncer was fine, but not many people talk about B'more being Charm City. He, along with the vast majority of folks calling soccer, need to learn the "less is more" adage. I found him perfectly fine, but soccer doesn't need to be called like we're listening to it on the radio.
/peeve
I think Dickinson has probably relied on athleticism and size and Hopkins did a very good job of... Hopkins'ing them. They are very good holding the ball up and orchestrating a possession style that clearly frustrated the Red Devils tonight. A lot of frustration fouls.
Hop wins the regular season for the first time in a minute. In terms of THE ALGORITHMS, this is a pretty big win in terms of seeding for November Madness.
Definitely, he knows his stuff and less would be so much more.
Anyone know, once we AQs are determined, how are going to seed and AQs plus mix in locations? I've shied away from that.
Seeds are based upon NPI order as I understand it, but they have the ability to do hosting not strictly based on highest seeds (more so than in the past). Plus, they are in a two year pilot that allows them to place some teams more than 500 miles away.
Attended the Hopkins-Dickinson game tonight and came away distinctly unimpressed by Dickinson. They looked awful in the first half - few passes, not much ball handling - just a lot of long ball. The goalie repeatedly punted it to half field, only to have Hopkins win it and send it back. For a team that is that big, they didn't win many high balls cleanly. Their goalie made one bad mistake on the second goal but didn't have much of a chance on the other two in the half.
Dickinson looked better in the second half, in part because they made a greater effort to possess the ball and bring it forward under control instead of just booting it. The second goalie did well with his throws to start a number of possessions. Still, they didn't have much offense beyond corner kicks and long throws. I didn't see anything to think they will contend for the Centennial tournament title or go far in the NCAAs.
Hopkins, on the other hand, looked terrific in the first half. Very rapid attacks, many through the middle, excellent heading given the size differential, and strong tackling. Things became disjointed in the second half as Coach Appleby subbed more and had to manage around several yellow cards but the game was never very close.
I expect Washington College and Muhlenberg to join Hopkins and F&M in the Centennial semifinals.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 01, 2024, 11:16:29 PMAttended the Hopkins-Dickinson game tonight and came away distinctly unimpressed by Dickinson. They looked awful in the first half - few passes, not much ball handling - just a lot of long ball. The goalie repeatedly punted it to half field, only to have Hopkins win it and send it back. For a team that is that big, they didn't win many high balls cleanly. Their goalie made one bad mistake on the second goal but didn't have much of a chance on the other two in the half.
Dickinson looked better in the second half, in part because they made a greater effort to possess the ball and bring it forward under control instead of just booting it. The second goalie did well with his throws to start a number of possessions. Still, they didn't have much offense beyond corner kicks and long throws. I didn't see anything to think they will contend for the Centennial tournament title or go far in the NCAAs.
Hopkins, on the other hand, looked terrific in the first half. Very rapid attacks, many through the middle, excellent heading given the size differential, and strong tackling. Things became disjointed in the second half as Coach Appleby subbed more and had to manage around several yellow cards but the game was never very close.
I expect Washington College and Muhlenberg to join Hopkins and F&M in the Centennial semifinals.
Really well played by Hop. Yeah, they really beat Dickinson.
As to Dickinson not making the semis, obviously, they are watching the other games to see if they will get a home game. However, I definitely think the Muhls are very vulnerable. Yes, they did beat Dickinson and tied JHU, but that is a long time ago and really have not been playing well. Last 5 Cent. Conf. games, they are -1-1-3 with a win against Swat (1-0) loss against F&M, ties against Ursinus (1-1), WC (0-0), Gburg (1-1). Struggling to get goals. Depending on who plays whom will make a difference. If the Muhls play Dickinson or WC, I would not pick them.
What is interesting is McDaniel which has made the CC tournament for the first time since 2005 (mind you that until 2022 the CC only took 5 teams) and they could host quarters if they beat the Muhls and WC loses as they would be in 3rd. If that happens, I think McD would play the Muhls at home on a very nice grass field. WC would host Dickinson.
Watching WAC F&M game. The F&M left back is impressive and uses his center mids very well.
Oh and good to see Pinto back in the cage for WAC.
That's why you just don't ever sleep on the Dips.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 02, 2024, 08:03:49 PMThat's why you just don't ever sleep on the Dips.
Yeah, F&M pretty much outplayed them all game. Koa looked his usual dangerousness especially with his goal. Would have been incredibly frustrating to have tied. F&M would have been 8-1-8. Nice looking, but ... As someone said, F&M ain't no Williams (sometimes people they are like Amherst) hahaha.
The last four years WC has definitely out played F&M in the
past going 3-1 over the past 3 years. Beat F&M twice in 2021.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 02, 2024, 08:03:49 PMThat's why you just don't ever sleep on the Dips.
They just keep churning. Almost felt sorry for the WC player who fouled which lead to the free kick. I believe F&M team might be the tallest team in the Cent Conf. Great for intermural basketball in the winter.
Definitely great to see Pinto back. Horwitz was back but only a role player really. Got to be tough on both after having amazing seasons last year.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 02, 2024, 09:12:25 PMHorwitz was back but only a role player really.
I wouldn't call 72 minutes a role player.
Quote from: Ejay on November 02, 2024, 09:53:46 PMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 02, 2024, 09:12:25 PMHorwitz was back but only a role player really.
I wouldn't call 72 minutes a role player.
Yup, compared to what he did last year and even 2021. He may obviously do more. Great kid and talented when 100%. However 72 min is his high mark this season. Has played 9 of the 17 games. Since Sept. 21st he has one assist, no goals and 3 shots on goal. He is not 100%. Tough for a striker, especially since he did so well in 2023. If he was well, maybe a few the ties would be wins.
MAF Power Rankings (11/4)
1. Hopkins
2. Dickinson
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Rowan
6. Muhles
7. York
8. Montclair St
9. PSU-Harrisburg
10. Catholic
RV: Washington MD, Stevens, Lycoming
Conference playoffs are underway for some and ramping up this week for others. Below is a summary of what awaits:
Centennial Conference
FIRST ROUND: Tuesday, Nov. 5
#6 McDaniel at #3 Muhlenberg, 7 p.m.
#5 Washington College at #4 Dickinson, 7 p.m.
SEMIFINALS: Friday, Nov. 8
Higher seeded first round winner at #2 Franklin & Marshall, 7 p.m.
Lower seeded first round winner at #1 Johns Hopkins, 7 p.m.
CHAMPIONSHIP: Sunday, Nov. 10 | at highest remaining seed
Semifinal winners, time TBA
Landmark Conference
First Round #1 (November 5): #6 Elizabethtown (4-4-1) at #3 Moravian (5-1-3)
First Round #2 (November 5): #5 Lycoming (4-3-2) at #4 Scranton (5-2-2)
Semifinal #1 (November 7): Winner of First Round #1 at #2 Catholic (5-0-4)
Semifinal #2 (November 7): Winner of First Round #2 at #1 Juniata (7-0-2)
Championship (November 9): Winners of each semifinal at the highest remaining seed
MAC Commonwealth
Semifinal 1 (Nov. 5 at 6 p.m.): No. 4 Alvernia at No. 1 Messiah
Semifinal 2 (Nov. 5 at 7 p.m.): No. 3 Widener at No. 2 York
Final (Nov. 9)
MAC Freedom
Semifinal 1 (Nov. 5 at 7 p.m.): No. 4 Lebanon Valley at No. 1 Stevens
Semifinal 2 (Nov. 5 at 1:30 p.m.): No. 3 Misericordia at No. 2 DeSales
Final (Nov. 9)
NJAC
Quarterfinals: #4 RUC vs #5 RUN (RUC advances 1-0)
Quarterfinals: #3 Stockton vs #6 Kean (Stockton advances 2-1 OT)
Semifinals: #4 RUC vs #1 Rowan Nov 5th
Semifinals: #3 Stockton vs #2 Montclair St Nov 5th
Finals: TBD Nov 8th
United East
Wednesday, Oct. 30
First Round #12 Wilson College def. #5 Saint Elizabeth University 3-2 (OT)
First Round #6 Penn College def. #11 Keystone College 1-0
First Round #10 Lancaster Bible College def. #7 Rosemont College 3-2 (2 OT)
First Round #8 Penn State Brandywine def. #9 Notre Dame of Maryland University 2-1 (OT)
Saturday, Nov. 2
Quarter-Final #1 St. Mary's College of Maryland def. #8 Penn State Brandywine 3-1
Quarter-Final #2 Penn State Abington def. #10 Lancaster Bible College 2-0
Quarter-Final #3 Cairn University def. #6 Penn College 2-0
Quarter-Final #4 Penn State Harrisburg def. #12 Wilson College 5-1
Tuesday, Nov. 5
Semifinal #1 St. Mary's College of Maryland vs. #4 Penn State Harrisburg 6:00 PM
Semifinal #2 Penn State Abington v. #3 Cairn University 2:00 PM
Saturday, Nov. 9
Championship Hosted by the Highest Remaining Seed
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2024, 01:00:52 PMMAF Power Rankings (11/4)
1. Hopkins
2. Dickinson
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Rowan
6. Muhles
7. York
8. Montclair St
9. PSU-Harrisburg
10. Catholic
RV: Washington MD, Stevens, Lycoming
Juniata can't even get an RV? :-)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2024, 02:30:59 PMQuote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2024, 01:00:52 PMMAF Power Rankings (11/4)
1. Hopkins
2. Dickinson
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Rowan
6. Muhles
7. York
8. Montclair St
9. PSU-Harrisburg
10. Catholic
RV: Washington MD, Stevens, Lycoming
Juniata can't even get an RV? :-)
Good catch. Probably their best season ever. Won't be competing at school with the women's vball team though. They are just amazing year after year.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 04, 2024, 02:46:19 PMQuote from: Hopkins92 on November 04, 2024, 02:30:59 PMQuote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on November 04, 2024, 01:00:52 PMMAF Power Rankings (11/4)
1. Hopkins
2. Dickinson
3. F&M
4. Messiah
5. Rowan
6. Muhles
7. York
8. Montclair St
9. PSU-Harrisburg
10. Catholic
RV: Washington MD, Stevens, Lycoming
Juniata can't even get an RV? :-)
Good catch. Probably their best season ever. Won't be competing at school with the women's vball team though. They are just amazing year after year.
Let's see how they do in conference playoffs. I don't believe they are better than Catholic or Lycoming. They have played a light non-conference schedule but have certainly taken care of business in the Landmark. Their best results have been ties with York, Lycoming, and Catholic. No signature wins that jump out.
I was mostly joking, as I had a post in some thread (I thought it was this one) remarking on my surprise to see Juniata at the top of the Landmark.
The gist of my post was "huh, this is probably one of their best seasons ever" and went back to 2017 and they've basically only cracked .500 once or twice in that timeframe.
Always fun rooting for Widners of the world.
McDaniel played their last game. Very sad. Sorry for the keeper. Rough.
Dickinson with 22 min left (sprinklers popped up at 9), is beating Washington College 5-0. Yup. Scoreless 1st half, Dickinson then scores 3 boomers in about 2 min. Crazy!! F&M may have lucked as to semis. Much different team from Saturday
Scranton beats Lycoming in Penalties...thanks Flo Sports..
Final Score - Dickinson 6, Washington College 1
Dickinson's first three goals were very nice.
First one (@ 34:42 remaining) was a blast from 30 yds or so into the upper right corner by freshman Westin Fryberger after a bad give-away by Washington College.
Second one (@ 34:10 remaining) was a decent shot from Ethan Jarden.
Third one (@ 33:53 remaining) was another from Jarden.
Saul Iwowo then notched a hat trick off of two goalie misplays and a scrum in front of the net after a long throw.
Pretty dramatic turnaround after a 0-0 halftime score.
Red Devils v. Blue Jays on Friday night.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 05, 2024, 11:23:09 PMFinal Score - Dickinson 6, Washington College 1
Red Devils v. Blue Jays on Friday night.
Could be amazing game.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 06, 2024, 12:01:46 AMQuote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 05, 2024, 11:23:09 PMRed Devils v. Blue Jays on Friday night.
Could be amazing game.
Make that game
s. The Dickinson women face off against the Hopkins women at 4 followed by the men's game at 7.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 06, 2024, 08:55:23 AMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 06, 2024, 12:01:46 AMQuote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 05, 2024, 11:23:09 PMRed Devils v. Blue Jays on Friday night.
Could be amazing game.
Make that games. The Dickinson women face off against the Hopkins women at 4 followed by the men's game at 7.
F&M women travel to McDaniel with its OT win against the Fords. Still a lot of great soccer for some.
Messiah has now outscored its opponents 32-4 over the last 10 games. They are 9-0-1 during this stretch, with the tie coming against Lycoming at the very beginning of October.
Valid but of those last 10 only York has won more than 1/2 their games.
Yeah, and kind of to your point, I have a very loose theory that Messiah's relatively weak conference does them no favors when it comes to the NCAAs.
But given how they started, the last 10 games should remind upcoming opponents not to take them lightly.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2024, 12:33:51 PMYeah, and kind of to your point, I have a very loose theory that Messiah's relatively weak conference does them no favors when it comes to the NCAAs.
But given how they started, the last 10 games should remind upcoming opponents not to take them lightly.
I watched a few on their games early in the season with a couple of good wins and then some during the rough stretch. Frankly I was surprised watching their loss at Rowan--was expecting a much tougher match despite the close result. It seemed something had changed dramatically, and I read on these boards about backline injuries. In any event I also noticed their more recent success but only by looking at the W/L record and not watching the games. Maybe their conference strength has something to do with it, but I can't help but wonder if they made any adjustments? Or if some players returned as fit?
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 06, 2024, 03:59:53 PMQuote from: Hopkins92 on November 06, 2024, 12:33:51 PMYeah, and kind of to your point, I have a very loose theory that Messiah's relatively weak conference does them no favors when it comes to the NCAAs.
But given how they started, the last 10 games should remind upcoming opponents not to take them lightly.
I watched a few on their games early in the season with a couple of good wins and then some during the rough stretch. Frankly I was surprised watching their loss at Rowan--was expecting a much tougher match despite the close result. It seemed something had changed dramatically, and I read on these boards about backline injuries. In any event I also noticed their more recent success but only by looking at the W/L record and not watching the games. Maybe their conference strength has something to do with it, but I can't help but wonder if they made any adjustments? Or if some players returned as fit?
Probably a younger group than years past--more freshmen players added into the starting mix following the graduation of a big and highly talented class last year.
Moved 5th year--Jarec Morlote to CB recently which seems to have greatly helped with possession and keeping the ball in the opponents half
Massey has messiah in top 25 which is about right. They are playing higher than that at this point in the season. If they hold firm vs York this weekend, then any team looking forward to drawing them in the tournament is in for a most unpleasant surprise.
Based on nothing from 2024
While I get that Messiah is probably getting their legs underneath them after a rocky start, they haven't really had a chance to play anyone with quality
Quote from: eaglesoccerdad on November 07, 2024, 08:51:37 AMWhile I get that Messiah is probably getting their legs underneath them after a rocky start, they haven't really had a chance to play anyone with quality
I don't disagree, but I don't want to draw them in the first round of the NCAAs either the way they've been playing. If you think they are not in the top 25, then they are likely in the bottom half of the bracket somewhere. Is this really the team you want across from you in that first round?
Teams around Messiah in NPI:
Oglethorpe
Vassar
Redlands
Messiah
Plattsburgh
Va Wes
Stephens
Of that list, I think Messiah is topping the teams I don't want to see in round 1. You'd probably have to go as high as Muhlenberg or Covenant, about 10 spots above Messiah, before you'd find a team I'd want to see less. And then you'd find a bunch more even higher than that I'd rather see than Messiah.
There are things NPI doesn't account for, in this case team growth, and I think Messiah is much more dangerous now than they were at the mid-season swoon. But they get York in the conference finals, 13 spots above them this morning in NPI, and I have a feeling Messiah will be just fine earning an AQ the way they are playing. I just don't see York getting revenge on the 4-0 loss earlier this year, despite this game being at home.
I agree that they will be a tough team to face.
Also think the York NPI ranking is a case study - play a weak schedule, win most of the games and will probably only lose 2 games. Best results are ties to Wash College and Carnegie Mellon. With that resume it looks like they will be in line to get an at large bid.
Quote from: eaglesoccerdad on November 07, 2024, 10:58:20 AMI agree that they will be a tough team to face.
Also think the York NPI ranking is a case study - play a weak schedule, win most of the games and will probably only lose 2 games. Best results are ties to Wash College and Carnegie Mellon. With that resume it looks like they will be in line to get an at large bid.
Agreed. Nothing perfect. May be crazy, but maybe the NPI could consider goal differential at some point? Could be too complicated. Maybe limit to 4 goal or 3 goal differential especially when teams blow out bad teams.
Yes, rough start by Messiah, but lights out the rest of season. They can only play who they play. Would not want to meet a team crushing it like Messiah.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 07, 2024, 01:17:51 PMQuote from: eaglesoccerdad on November 07, 2024, 10:58:20 AMI agree that they will be a tough team to face.
Also think the York NPI ranking is a case study - play a weak schedule, win most of the games and will probably only lose 2 games. Best results are ties to Wash College and Carnegie Mellon. With that resume it looks like they will be in line to get an at large bid.
Agreed. Nothing perfect. May be crazy, but maybe the NPI could consider goal differential at some point? Could be too complicated. Maybe limit to 4 goal or 3 goal differential especially when teams blow out bad teams.
Yes, rough start by Messiah, but lights out the rest of season. They can only play who they play. Would not want to meet a team crushing it like Messiah.
I don't think that's the answer. You don't really want to encourage blowouts or scheduling weaker opponents to get "blowout bonuses". You could add bonuses to wins later in the season. This unfortunately de-emphasizes a lot of non-conference games and I'm not sure that's the way to go. Really the answer is to play a whole season. NPI is tracking the best teams over the season, not the best teams at the end of the season. The AQ should mostly take care of that latter.
Long time lurker, first time poster...
Can anyone confirm if the selection show for the tourney will be on Monday?
Hoping to tune in to a few conference championships tomorrow across the mid-atlantic region.
Catholic v Juniata (Landmark)
Messiah v York (MAC Comm.)
And tonight's entertainment:
Cenetennial Semifinal
F&M v Muhlenberg at 7pm
Hopkins v Dickinson 7pm
I can't say with absolute certainty, but it was Monday last year and in 2022.
I'm fairly certain the men's bracket is released at 1:30 Monday, with the women's bracket following at 2.
Hopkins folks loveeeee to say how great their school and team is but the reality is that with they always underperform on a national scale. With the quality of their school and their reach as recruiters they should be at the level of schools like Tufts or U Chicago. No doubt they are a very strong program but they have never been able to establish themselves as a dominant powerhouse.
justakidfromakron what are you waffling about? Its time to realize that Hopkins has elevated itself over the past 5/6 seasons to a national powerhouse. Its only a matter of time until they reach a final four. With that being said, I am predicting Red over Blue in the Centennial Conference Matchup.
Centennial Playoff Predictions
If Dickinson is able to replicate the brilliance that they displayed against WAC I can see them running over Hopkins tonight. Then again, it is easy to get carried away with their hype and forget the poise and experience Hop brings to the table in these games. This will be an incredibly exciting game that will have lots to show. My prediction is that Dickinson barely edges past Hop based off of their run of form and momentum.
F&M v Muhlenburg will play out much like this fixture has in the past. These two teams have met now for three consecutive post-seasons!! I see this game going to F&M based off of their home form and the drop off that the Mules have seen in their offensive output.
Red over blue seems to the theme right now
Except F&M is Blue
Quote from: justakidfromakron on November 08, 2024, 12:15:44 PMHopkins folks loveeeee to say how great their school and team is but the reality is that with they always underperform on a national scale. With the quality of their school and their reach as recruiters they should be at the level of schools like Tufts or U Chicago. No doubt they are a very strong program but they have never been able to establish themselves as a dominant powerhouse.
Yes, we all walk around like conceited jerks, proclaiming our school and soccer program's greatness.
Oh, wait... Just a few weeks back.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on October 01, 2024, 10:01:27 PMFirst off, d3tactico... WHOA!!!!!!!!!!! Welcome to the board and please please please stick around. That is great stuff, really.
One picky thing, and maybe this is just my generation of MAC originated oldness... Gotta call them Swat. I don't know why, but that's just the way it is has to be.
And, yes, I've stated a gazillion times that Hop's style is limiting, but it produces very consistent results. I don't begrudge Coach Appleby for sticking with a system. Full stop. But, at some point, they need a striker that can stretch the top-half of the formation into a more dangerous approach.
As it stands, they are always going to push for a Conference title and have a mini-run in the NCAA tournament, but I don't see a national championship. Which... And I want to make sure I'm not being rude here... Johns Hopkins, with its national footprint and recruiting potential... They should be in the NESCAC, Chicago mix.
And I would add that Hopkins Walk-On and others that follow the program on here are in no way considered cocky blowhards.
The results are all there in black and white.
Quote from: d3tactico on November 08, 2024, 12:25:00 PMCentennial Playoff Predictions
If Dickinson is able to replicate the brilliance that they displayed against WAC I can see them running over Hopkins tonight. Then again, it is easy to get carried away with their hype and forget the poise and experience Hop brings to the table in these games. This will be an incredibly exciting game that will have lots to show. My prediction is that Dickinson barely edges past Hop based off of their run of form and momentum.
F&M v Muhlenburg will play out much like this fixture has in the past. These two teams have met now for three consecutive post-seasons!! I see this game going to F&M based off of their home form and the drop off that the Mules have seen in their offensive output.
Yeah, Dickinson did crush against WC. Maybe they can do it again. However, I definitely thought JHU outplayed Dickinson last time at Hop. Could see it going to pks.
As to the Muhls v. F&M, the Muhls have beaten F&M the last two times in the semis while F&M beat them in the reg. season. All bets may be off. During this reg. season this year, Muhls were very, very flat and F&M comfortably beat them. F&M will definitely have to bring it to make the finals.
Fortunately, F&M has every game this season. F&M still has a lot of questions as how well it will do in this game like whether Horwitz will be effective and how strong will its defense be. However, if this team goes down, it is not the end of it. It has consistently fought back to ties or wins.
Hopkins92 we can smell the pretentious tone in your posts. Hopkins should be and has the facilities and ability to be a D1 program, yet still struggle against the likes of McDaniel.
Over/under on how many more posts before akrondude has Guest under his name?
There's like 3 frat brothers in a room somewhere getting high and giggling about their stunning, beautiful owns of others on a D3 soccer board.
I guess they want the posting productivity and participation to literally go down to zero. Other than a handful of posters making significant contributions there is almost nothing happening. Attacking folks who are strong and good-faith participants seems a little counterintuitive, but you do you.
Oh, "we" can, can "we"?
I'll respect your pronouns and move on with my day.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 08, 2024, 03:13:16 PMOver/under on how many more posts before akrondude has Guest under his name?
There's like 3 frat brothers in a room somewhere getting high and giggling about their stunning, beautiful owns of others on a D3 soccer board.
I guess they want the posting productivity and participation to literally go down to zero. Other than a handful of posters making significant contributions there is almost nothing happening. Attacking folks who are strong and good-faith participants seems a little counterintuitive, but you do you.
Very funny you popped in here, I almost referenced you in my response. You call it every year... folks that either don't participate or even lurk come out of the woodwork and take (often very weak) shots.
Doesn't bother me in the slightest--even if the folks contributing are a small number, this place is worth the occasional/random potshot.
(The funny thing is that we're pretty much agreeing with each other.)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 08, 2024, 03:17:12 PMQuote from: PaulNewman on November 08, 2024, 03:13:16 PMOver/under on how many more posts before akrondude has Guest under his name?
There's like 3 frat brothers in a room somewhere getting high and giggling about their stunning, beautiful owns of others on a D3 soccer board.
I guess they want the posting productivity and participation to literally go down to zero. Other than a handful of posters making significant contributions there is almost nothing happening. Attacking folks who are strong and good-faith participants seems a little counterintuitive, but you do you.
Very funny you popped in here, I almost referenced you in my response. You call it every year... folks that either don't participate or even lurk come out of the woodwork and take (often very weak) shots.
Doesn't bother me in the slightest--even if the folks contributing are a small number, this place is worth the occasional/random potshot.
(The funny thing is that we're pretty much agreeing with each other.)
I know. Can you believe it? We almost never agree but usually we're pretty pleasant about it or at least pleasant enough to ignore.
The other 12 year olds post on another thread prompted me to check my output since I kind of promised to be on a sabbatical. Despite moderate failure, I have made progress. Last year at this time I had about 550 posts for the season. This season I'm at about 73, 74.
I disagree that we disagree all that much!
(see what I did there?)
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 08, 2024, 04:00:08 PMI disagree that we disagree all that much!
(see what I did there?)
Said the pretentious and malignantly narcissistic Hopkins brainiac!
Woahhh, a bit of criticism got the lads up in arms. Just because you watch soccer doesn't mean you know soccer. Nothing personal just an opinion.
Quote from: justakidfromakron on November 08, 2024, 04:27:38 PMWoahhh, a bit of criticism got the lads up in arms. Just because you watch soccer doesn't mean you know soccer. Nothing personal just an opinion.
I was an assistant coach for town-level U10 soccer.
If you don't mind sharing, what are your credentials?
Wow, you've earned my respect. I just won the ballon dor.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 08, 2024, 02:26:49 PMQuote from: d3tactico on November 08, 2024, 12:25:00 PMCentennial Playoff Predictions
If Dickinson is able to replicate the brilliance that they displayed against WAC I can see them running over Hopkins tonight. Then again, it is easy to get carried away with their hype and forget the poise and experience Hop brings to the table in these games. This will be an incredibly exciting game that will have lots to show. My prediction is that Dickinson barely edges past Hop based off of their run of form and momentum.
F&M v Muhlenburg will play out much like this fixture has in the past. These two teams have met now for three consecutive post-seasons!! I see this game going to F&M based off of their home form and the drop off that the Mules have seen in their offensive output.
Yeah, Dickinson did crush against WC. Maybe they can do it again. However, I definitely thought JHU outplayed Dickinson last time at Hop. Could see it going to pks.
Yeah, Red Devil v. Shorepeople result really shocked me. And it goes all the way back to preseason when I put out the question: Was WAC's run to the F4 a fluke, or could they sustain that success.
I'd say there's not a clear answer, but losing 6-1 to ANYONE is a crazy result.
With that said, I don't really buy Dickinson coming to Baltimore and boat racing the Jays. While Hop had a few bounces go their way, I think the consensus on here of those that watched was that 4-2 was about the right final score. Tonight won't be a cake walk... I see a 2-2, go to PKs as easily as I see a 2-1 win for either side.
I think the Devils will be highly motivated for some payback, but I also think the Jays are firing on all cylinders and I'm not aware of any injuries that should hinder their game.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 08, 2024, 04:33:02 PMI was an assistant coach for town-level U10 soccer.
Evidently the sabbatical has done wonders for your humor. Believe this is 2 in a row from you that made me laugh.
Quote from: Freddyfud on November 08, 2024, 05:22:49 PMQuote from: PaulNewman on November 08, 2024, 04:33:02 PMI was an assistant coach for town-level U10 soccer.
Evidently the sabbatical has done wonders for your humor. Believe this is 2 in a row from you that made me laugh.
Tough week. Realizing the sabbatical will be woefully insufficient. I am now in the market for the Rip Van Winkle Experience Elite Package....and willing to pay well above the retail price tag. Despise coupons.
Btw, I've had an incredible sense of humor for decades...just not so much when I'm miserable, and I frequently seem to be miserable.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 08, 2024, 04:58:53 PMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 08, 2024, 02:26:49 PMQuote from: d3tactico on November 08, 2024, 12:25:00 PMCentennial Playoff Predictions
If Dickinson is able to replicate the brilliance that they displayed against WAC I can see them running over Hopkins tonight. Then again, it is easy to get carried away with their hype and forget the poise and experience Hop brings to the table in these games. This will be an incredibly exciting game that will have lots to show. My prediction is that Dickinson barely edges past Hop based off of their run of form and momentum.
F&M v Muhlenburg will play out much like this fixture has in the past. These two teams have met now for three consecutive post-seasons!! I see this game going to F&M based off of their home form and the drop off that the Mules have seen in their offensive output.
Yeah, Dickinson did crush against WC. Maybe they can do it again. However, I definitely thought JHU outplayed Dickinson last time at Hop. Could see it going to pks.
Yeah, Red Devil v. Shorepeople result really shocked me. And it goes all the way back to preseason when I put out the question: Was WAC's run to the F4 a fluke, or could they sustain that success.
I'd say there's not a clear answer, but losing 6-1 to ANYONE is a crazy result.
With that said, I don't really buy Dickinson coming to Baltimore and boat racing the Jays. While Hop had a few bounces go their way, I think the consensus on here of those that watched was that 4-2 was about the right final score. Tonight won't be a cake walk... I see a 2-2, go to PKs as easily as I see a 2-1 win for either side.
I think the Devils will be highly motivated for some payback, but I also think the Jays are firing on all cylinders and I'm not aware of any injuries that should hinder their game.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 08, 2024, 04:58:53 PMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 08, 2024, 02:26:49 PMQuote from: d3tactico on November 08, 2024, 12:25:00 PMCentennial Playoff Predictions
If Dickinson is able to replicate the brilliance that they displayed against WAC I can see them running over Hopkins tonight. Then again, it is easy to get carried away with their hype and forget the poise and experience Hop brings to the table in these games. This will be an incredibly exciting game that will have lots to show. My prediction is that Dickinson barely edges past Hop based off of their run of form and momentum.
F&M v Muhlenburg will play out much like this fixture has in the past. These two teams have met now for three consecutive post-seasons!! I see this game going to F&M based off of their home form and the drop off that the Mules have seen in their offensive output.
Yeah, Dickinson did crush against WC. Maybe they can do it again. However, I definitely thought JHU outplayed Dickinson last time at Hop. Could see it going to pks.
Yeah, Red Devil v. Shorepeople result really shocked me. And it goes all the way back to preseason when I put out the question: Was WAC's run to the F4 a fluke, or could they sustain that success.
I'd say there's not a clear answer, but losing 6-1 to ANYONE is a crazy result.
With that said, I don't really buy Dickinson coming to Baltimore and boat racing the Jays. While Hop had a few bounces go their way, I think the consensus on here of those that watched was that 4-2 was about the right final score. Tonight won't be a cake walk... I see a 2-2, go to PKs as easily as I see a 2-1 win for either side.
I think the Devils will be highly motivated for some payback, but I also think the Jays are firing on all cylinders and I'm not aware of any injuries that should hinder their game.
Yeah, the team with best colors mirroring the best state flag making the Final Four was stunning, but teams definitely can get hot, plus facing the right opponents plus great coaching . . . Look at St Olaf!! Who would have think that??
Definitely see tie or one goal game and low scoring. Remember Dickinson did not score till 10 or 15 min into the 2nd half and scored 2 in the next 3 or 4 mins. Game was over right then so 6-1 while a lot, it could have less or more. Just they were done after the 3rd goal. Just sad to see Anthony Pinto's possible last college game being this one.
Oh yeah, also being able to take a PK seems to be an underappreciated skill!!! >:( >:(
Dickinson has had by far the better of the play in the first half. They have been way more aggressive and better in possession than they were a week ago. Still 0-0 though.
Mules 2, Dips 0 at half. Haven't seen any of that game though.
Good first half by the Muhls. Goals are goals.
F&M has to figure out a way to finish. Way too many opportunities that they haven't been able to capitalize.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 08, 2024, 08:01:55 PMMules 2, Dips 0 at half. Haven't seen any of that game though.
First one was a bit of a fluke, but second not good defense.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 08, 2024, 08:04:17 PMGood first half by the Muhls. Goals are goals.
F&M has to figure out a way to finish. Way too many opportunities that they haven't been able to capitalize.
This looked like a pretty good finish. Muhlenberg 2 - F&M 1
https://x.com/CentennialConf/status/1855066884493672556
Hopkins3, Dickinson 0
What a turnaround! After Dickinson had 16 shots to Hopkins 4 in the first half and dominated possession, Hopkins scored 4 minutes in to the second half and never looked back. I don't have the numbers in front of me, but I think Hopkins outshot Dickinson in the second half and clearly had the better of play.
I don't have a very good explanation for the turnaround. Dickinson slowed notably in the second half - they might have been tired after the Frantic pressing of the first half. Dickinson's back line was also exposed a bit. They are big but not fast. Once Hopkins was able to break the press, Dickinson's defense struggled a bit.
Simon Turner, the Hopkins GK, had a fantastic game and kept them in it in the first half under heavy pressure.
I can see why Dickinson did well this year. They can create a lot of chaos
3-0 Hopkins.
Clinical game, and that's as mcuh as I want to say right now.
Messiah 1-1 York, 28 min left in second half of the MAC Commonwealth Championship.
Messiah opened the scoring through Sophomore winger Sam Phillips. York equalized two minutes later on a PK. Messiah dominating possession but York have been rock solid defensively. Anything lateral by Messiah is OK, but any penetrating pass is pressed aggressively by York.
Will be interesting to see how this one plays out. Wouldn't be surprised if we saw OT or even a PK shootout.
2-1 Messiah with 5 minutes to play. Goal scored by Patrick Lee. York caught out in a bad spot in their defensive third middle of the field and they pay the price.
Very good game!
0-0 at halftime between Hopkins and Muhlenberg. Hopkins has dominated possession but has had only a few decent scoring chances. Muhlenberg is playing sound defense and keeping at least 4 men back. They seem to be hoping to capitalize on an error by the Hopkins backline.
Second half should be more interesting.
Hopkins and Muhlenberg heading to overtime 1-1
Quote from: pinball on November 10, 2024, 05:06:29 PMHopkins and Muhlenberg heading to overtime 1-1
You have a perfect name for the Muhls' goal
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 10, 2024, 05:08:12 PMQuote from: pinball on November 10, 2024, 05:06:29 PMHopkins and Muhlenberg heading to overtime 1-1
You have a perfect name for the Muhls' goal
indeed. when created the account I didn't have that in mind.
Hopkins with the win in PKs.
I used to spend a lot of idle practice time (we didn't have a goalie coach) taking PKs with my fellow goalies. The no run up was my favorite way to take a PK, because it gives the goalie almost zero feel for where the kick is going because to do that, you need to see the hip positioning and what the guy does with his plant foot. I won't go on and on, but there are ways you can read things during the run up.
Hopkins just won on PKs with all 5 kickers doing that. It was pretty f'ing cool to watch that, and I wouldn't want to be messing with the Jays during the tournament if it gets to PKs. That was amazing.
(Also, we talk about this on the board and make note... Hop used a specialist for it's GK. Kind of paid off, as he stoned the first one... But the Muhles made the next three in a row... Still not sure I buy the specialty PK thing.)
Those 5 PKs were unstoppable. Impressive.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 10, 2024, 05:49:56 PMHopkins with the win in PKs.
I used to spend a lot of idle practice time (we didn't have a goalie coach) taking PKs with my fellow goalies. The no run up was my favorite way to take a PK, because it gives the goalie almost zero feel for where the kick is going because to do that, you need to see the hip positioning and what the guy does with his plant foot. I won't go on and on, but there are ways you can read things during the run up.
Hopkins just won on PKs with all 5 kickers doing that. It was pretty f'ing cool to watch that, and I wouldn't want to be messing with the Jays during the tournament if it gets to PKs. That was amazing.
(Also, we talk about this on the board and make note... Hop used a specialist for it's GK. Kind of paid off, as he stoned the first one... But the Muhles made the next three in a row... Still not sure I buy the specialty PK thing.)
Congratulations to Hopkins Nation. Hop92, you mentioned the short or no-runup for PKs a week or two ago. I assumed that meant one guy uses that style. Extremely effective, at least today, and just a tad annoying for whatever reason. Must be an Appleby thing, or one guy convinced all the others to do it? Have they done that in previous years?
Hopkins wins the Centennial in PKs over Muhlenberg after tying 1-1 in regulation/OT
I don't think I've ever seen a PK strategy where every single PK taker plants one foot, waits a few beats for the GK to get antsy, and then swings the other foot. Zero run-up. Many of the shots were top corner, but not over the bar, because it's hard to lean back when your foot is planted and there's no run-up. It clearly worked for Hopkins. Better than the specialist GK brought in for PKs. He did fine saving one, but that's kind of the low bar for a decent PK goalkeeper. Didn't matter as all Hopkins needed him to save was one.
Quote from: PaulNewman on November 10, 2024, 05:55:12 PMQuote from: Hopkins92 on November 10, 2024, 05:49:56 PMHopkins with the win in PKs.
I used to spend a lot of idle practice time (we didn't have a goalie coach) taking PKs with my fellow goalies. The no run up was my favorite way to take a PK, because it gives the goalie almost zero feel for where the kick is going because to do that, you need to see the hip positioning and what the guy does with his plant foot. I won't go on and on, but there are ways you can read things during the run up.
Hopkins just won on PKs with all 5 kickers doing that. It was pretty f'ing cool to watch that, and I wouldn't want to be messing with the Jays during the tournament if it gets to PKs. That was amazing.
(Also, we talk about this on the board and make note... Hop used a specialist for it's GK. Kind of paid off, as he stoned the first one... But the Muhles made the next three in a row... Still not sure I buy the specialty PK thing.)
Congratulations to Hopkins Nation. Hop92, you mentioned the short or no-runup for PKs a week or two ago. I assumed that meant one guy uses that style. Extremely effective, at least today, and just a tad annoying for whatever reason. Must be an Appleby thing, or one guy convinced all the others to do it? Have they done that in previous years?
So my two cents, is that it is awesome at the D3 level. Think of how many pks, go wide right or over the bar. Much, much harder to do that with less power.
Many may remember that JHU in 2022 lost to the Muhls in pks in the finals where they hit at least one (possibly 2) over the bar. Then against Stevens way, way left of the goal.
No run up, kick will most likely be on frame though not as much power and will make the keeper make a save.
As to pk specialist, I see that as crap at this level. This isn't 2014 and these teams aren't the Netherlands. The coaches aren't Van Gaal with Tim Krul on their bench. I believe Hop did that twice in 2022 and at least once did not have one save. Another team did it in the 2nd round of the NCAAs and the sub keeper did not get even close to saving a pk. Happened again the next year, after being the starter for the season, did it again in the 2nd round.
So, to answer PN's direct question:
Hops' main PK kicker is one of their best players, Francis Meyer. That's his style. My (absolute) guess is that the guys on the team see his style being so successful in mock competitions and in the actual game that they have been convinced to emulate the style.
(The backup PK kicker, Cui, also employed this style for his one PK take this year.)
The Hopkins PK style was developed by Coach Appleby after the 2022 PK debacles and players are instructed in how to do it and practice it. Meyer has been the designated PK taker in games but he did not come up with it. He's just the best at it.
I am not sure how deep the pool of kickers is that can employ that style and hope I don't have to find out.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 10, 2024, 06:45:45 PMThe Hopkins PK style was developed by Coach Appleby after the 2022 PK debacles and players are instructed in how to do it and practice it. Meyer has been the designated PK taker in games but he did not come up with it. He's just the best at it.
I am not sure how deep the pool of kickers is that can employ that style and hope I don't have to find out.
Now that is funny.
I mean, I'd like to claim that I came up with it, but I didn't leave a special notebook in my locker or anything.
:D
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 10, 2024, 05:49:56 PMHopkins with the win in PKs.
I used to spend a lot of idle practice time (we didn't have a goalie coach) taking PKs with my fellow goalies. The no run up was my favorite way to take a PK, because it gives the goalie almost zero feel for where the kick is going because to do that, you need to see the hip positioning and what the guy does with his plant foot. I won't go on and on, but there are ways you can read things during the run up.
Hopkins just won on PKs with all 5 kickers doing that. It was pretty f'ing cool to watch that, and I wouldn't want to be messing with the Jays during the tournament if it gets to PKs. That was amazing.
(Also, we talk about this on the board and make note... Hop used a specialist for it's GK. Kind of paid off, as he stoned the first one... But the Muhles made the next three in a row... Still not sure I buy the specialty PK thing.)
SimplePlayer#3 started using the no run up. Goalkeepers have no idea how to react to it.
Congrats to Hopkins!
SC.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 10, 2024, 06:45:45 PMThe Hopkins PK style was developed by Coach Appleby after the 2022 PK debacles and players are instructed in how to do it and practice it. Meyer has been the designated PK taker in games but he did not come up with it. He's just the best at it.
I am not sure how deep the pool of kickers is that can employ that style and hope I don't have to find out.
I meant to tip my cap to this... Great insight!
Wow. I hadn't really dug into this until just now... York, man, those guys must be in pure agony. They finished one NPI slot in FRONT of Messiah, and at 35 they were 3 slots out (or maybe 4, I don't feel like looking it up) from getting an at-large.
Digging deeper:
14-2-5 - Those two losses are at Grantham.
Ties (NPI in parens):
Carnegie Mellon (61)
@Washington (51)
Lancaster Bible (279)
@Juniata (78)
Widener (132)
I'm not sure if flipping just Widener and Lancaster Bible would do it. And there's no shame (this year) in tying Juniata, and WAC just came off a final four and while the UAA is down Carnegie is always a gamer.
But, still, the what-ifs for those guys are brutal.
I watched both games for York/Messiah - definitely could feel and tell the despair at the conclusion of Sunday's game for York. I was completely unimpressed the first time they played as I was expecting more of a match but it was like York just sat back and took a beating.
Sunday's match was more competitive but it was still not really close. York's goal came from a handball in the box that was an unlucky bounce straight up hitting the Messiah defenders arm. (Well slotted PK though - with a run-up). They really didn't create many chances at all, and didn't have the ball much.
They were better than Lancaster Bible, and Widener and that's where they missed out.
Meyer from Hopkins is Centennial Conference DPOY. Iwowo from Dickinson is OPOY. Dewamena from Dickinson is ROY. Red Devils coaching staff is coaching staff of the year.
Selection for players of the year and all-conference teams are all reasonable and I don't disagree with any of them but I think Appleby and staff deserved the coaching award. In my mind, they were the prime movers behind the changes that enabled the Jays to win the conference regular season and tournament titles after a somewhat rocky start.
Also happy to see the guy I highlighted a few times, Mikkel Andersen, getting a first team CC nod. Dude is all over the field and is slightly overshadowed by Meyer.
As noted before, another D1 transfer into Hop that took a few games for everyone to figure out where he fit.
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 13, 2024, 06:25:19 PMMeyer from Hopkins is Centennial Conference DPOY. Iwowo from Dickinson is OPOY. Dewamena from Dickinson is ROY. Red Devils coaching staff is coaching staff of the year.
Selection for players of the year and all-conference teams are all reasonable and I don't disagree with any of them but I think Appleby and staff deserved the coaching award. In my mind, they were the prime movers behind the changes that enabled the Jays to win the conference regular season and tournament titles after a somewhat rocky start.
Agree all the up to coaching staff. While Hop had a good season, Dickinson has been a doormat for many years and has never won the award since 2008. Hop not so much and you just highlighted two players who played D1! A lot easier path for Hop than team who has had no success for several years. Who did you expect to get to the NCAAs?
I agree about Dickinson deserving the award this year. Hop has sort of made it's own bed the last few years with the grad student round.
(Hop Walk-On... I almost feel like the way they changed tactics against the Dips and Haverford and a few other games has us both thinking it was one of their better years. But the bigger picture is that the Red Devils coming into a top 10 perch is pretty astounding.)
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 13, 2024, 09:17:30 PMQuote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 13, 2024, 06:25:19 PMMeyer from Hopkins is Centennial Conference DPOY. Iwowo from Dickinson is OPOY. Dewamena from Dickinson is ROY. Red Devils coaching staff is coaching staff of the year.
Selection for players of the year and all-conference teams are all reasonable and I don't disagree with any of them but I think Appleby and staff deserved the coaching award. In my mind, they were the prime movers behind the changes that enabled the Jays to win the conference regular season and tournament titles after a somewhat rocky start.
Agree all the up to coaching staff. While Hop had a good season, Dickinson has been a doormat for many years and has never won the award since 2008. Hop not so much and you just highlighted two players who played D1! A lot easier path for Hop than team who has had no success for several years. Who did you expect to get to the NCAAs?
Meyer did not play d1
Quote from: jball on November 13, 2024, 10:23:57 PMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 13, 2024, 09:17:30 PMQuote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 13, 2024, 06:25:19 PMMeyer from Hopkins is Centennial Conference DPOY. Iwowo from Dickinson is OPOY. Dewamena from Dickinson is ROY. Red Devils coaching staff is coaching staff of the year.
Selection for players of the year and all-conference teams are all reasonable and I don't disagree with any of them but I think Appleby and staff deserved the coaching award. In my mind, they were the prime movers behind the changes that enabled the Jays to win the conference regular season and tournament titles after a somewhat rocky start.
Agree all the up to coaching staff. While Hop had a good season, Dickinson has been a doormat for many years and has never won the award since 2008. Hop not so much and you just highlighted two players who played D1! A lot easier path for Hop than team who has had no success for several years. Who did you expect to get to the NCAAs?
Meyer did not play d1
My bad, he is one of 6 grad students on the team of which 3 were D1.
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 13, 2024, 11:13:00 PMQuote from: jball on November 13, 2024, 10:23:57 PMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 13, 2024, 09:17:30 PMQuote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 13, 2024, 06:25:19 PMMeyer from Hopkins is Centennial Conference DPOY. Iwowo from Dickinson is OPOY. Dewamena from Dickinson is ROY. Red Devils coaching staff is coaching staff of the year.
Selection for players of the year and all-conference teams are all reasonable and I don't disagree with any of them but I think Appleby and staff deserved the coaching award. In my mind, they were the prime movers behind the changes that enabled the Jays to win the conference regular season and tournament titles after a somewhat rocky start.
Agree all the up to coaching staff. While Hop had a good season, Dickinson has been a doormat for many years and has never won the award since 2008. Hop not so much and you just highlighted two players who played D1! A lot easier path for Hop than team who has had no success for several years. Who did you expect to get to the NCAAs?
Meyer did not play d1
My bad, he is one of 6 grad students on the team of which 3 were D1.
Notably, Andersen was also the only grad transfer starting by the end of the season. He has played every minute of every game for the last six games. Three of the "grad" students (Meyer, Falzarano, and Dunphy) played their entire careers at Hopkins and are using their COVID year.
I understand why the Dickinson staff was recognized and they have elevated the program well above its previous level but when I look at how Dickinson and Hopkins finished the season and their results in head-to-head play, I think Appleby and staff outcoached the Devils.
Looking forward to next year, Dickinson is going to be a handful. Their best [first and second team all-conference] players (Iwowo, Jarden, Dwamena, and Omoniwa) will all be back. Hopkins will lose all of their best players [Meyer, Andersen, Sangpachatanaruk, Falzarano]. F&M's best are also all seniors [Kaliebe, Anderko, Green].
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 14, 2024, 08:07:17 AMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 13, 2024, 11:13:00 PMQuote from: jball on November 13, 2024, 10:23:57 PMQuote from: SierraFD3soccer on November 13, 2024, 09:17:30 PMQuote from: Hopkins Walk-On on November 13, 2024, 06:25:19 PMMeyer from Hopkins is Centennial Conference DPOY. Iwowo from Dickinson is OPOY. Dewamena from Dickinson is ROY. Red Devils coaching staff is coaching staff of the year.
Selection for players of the year and all-conference teams are all reasonable and I don't disagree with any of them but I think Appleby and staff deserved the coaching award. In my mind, they were the prime movers behind the changes that enabled the Jays to win the conference regular season and tournament titles after a somewhat rocky start.
Agree all the up to coaching staff. While Hop had a good season, Dickinson has been a doormat for many years and has never won the award since 2008. Hop not so much and you just highlighted two players who played D1! A lot easier path for Hop than team who has had no success for several years. Who did you expect to get to the NCAAs?
Meyer did not play d1
My bad, he is one of 6 grad students on the team of which 3 were D1.
Notably, Andersen was also the only grad transfer starting by the end of the season. He has played every minute of every game for the last six games. Three of the "grad" students (Meyer, Falzarano, and Dunphy) played their entire careers at Hopkins and are using their COVID year.
I understand why the Dickinson staff was recognized and they have elevated the program well above its previous level but when I look at how Dickinson and Hopkins finished the season and their results in head-to-head play, I think Appleby and staff outcoached the Devils.
Looking forward to next year, Dickinson is going to be a handful. Their best [first and second team all-conference] players (Iwowo, Jarden, Dwamena, and Omoniwa) will all be back. Hopkins will lose all of their best players [Meyer, Andersen, Sangpachatanaruk, Falzarano]. F&M's best are also all seniors [Kaliebe, Anderko, Green].
Well then...all eyes on the Red Devils come the 2025 Fall season. Ever since the electric Dickinson v Messiah matchup in September, I've had an awe & respect for what Jorge Chapoy has done since he came in. There were some serious growing pains in his first season or two -- but this is the first season that he's had a full team of his own recruits and it has paid dividends.
2023 season Dickinson took it to Hopkins 4-2. Everyone's eyes should have been open after that. But have to agree with an earlier post as, at least this season, Hopkins pulled out 2 strong wins against Dickinson...although that first half of the semi last Friday, Hopkins was just holding on. But based on those 2 games and being 1st seed and winning the conference championship, seemed like the Hopkins staff deserved the coaching award. But winning in PKs with Appleby's no step approach, well, that might be a bigger trophy.
And the point about blending in 1 year grad transfers, not always an easy thing. Can be disruptive and not sure all coaches can pull that off. Appleby has picked some good ones these past 3 years but it takes some massaging to make it work and keep the team playing as a whole.
Also, a big congratulations to the 4 teams from the Centennial making the tourney. Might have been only 3 as Hopkins nearly scored in last 30 seconds of OT but when the game went to PKs, it secured their place in the NPI rankings.
That's a good point... Or it brings up a good point... What are you actually judging as coaching staff of the year. If you are talking about growth of the program, it's hands down Dickinson. If you are talking about the body of work over the course of the season, it's probably Hopkins who had a rocky start and is now playing lights out.
Either way, not a snub situation in my opinion.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 14, 2024, 10:04:29 AMThat's a good point... Or it brings up a good point... What are you actually judging as coaching staff of the year. If you are talking about growth of the program, it's hands down Dickinson. If you are talking about the body of work over the course of the season, it's probably Hopkins who had a rocky start and is now playing lights out.
Either way, not a snub situation in my opinion.
Agreed.
Quote from: pinball on November 12, 2024, 04:11:51 PMI watched both games for York/Messiah - definitely could feel and tell the despair at the conclusion of Sunday's game for York. I was completely unimpressed the first time they played as I was expecting more of a match but it was like York just sat back and took a beating.
Sunday's match was more competitive but it was still not really close. York's goal came from a handball in the box that was an unlucky bounce straight up hitting the Messiah defenders arm. (Well slotted PK though - with a run-up). They really didn't create many chances at all, and didn't have the ball much.
They were better than Lancaster Bible, and Widener and that's where they missed out.
That York PK was their only Shot (not just their only SOG) the entire game.
Messiah dominated York for 180 minutes this fall. No question that this year's Falcons are better than this year's Spartans, no question at all. Maybe if they played early in the season, York would have gotten a result.
York's fate (in which I take no pleasure) reminds me of a few times when Etown lost twice to Messiah, once in the regular season and once in the conference tournament, and then failed to get a bid. In those days, it wasn't uncommon for the tournament to pencil in Etown vs Messiah in (say) round three. I think at least once, Etown lost 3 times to Messiah in one season. Of course they are no longer in the same conference.
Epic battles Falconer. In 1993 we (Etown) played Messiah three times in two weeks. If my memory serves me right (and it may not): won 1-0 in regular season, won conference final one week later 2-1 (DeSales coach George Crampton chips the keeper with 14 secs left in match), then Steve Mott broke our hearts in the mud in 3OT the following weekend (yes, that's right triple OT) to beat us 2-1 in the NCAA second round.
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 14, 2024, 10:04:29 AMThat's a good point... Or it brings up a good point... What are you actually judging as coaching staff of the year. If you are talking about growth of the program, it's hands down Dickinson. If you are talking about the body of work over the course of the season, it's probably Hopkins who had a rocky start and is now playing lights out.
Either way, not a snub situation in my opinion.
I'm sure it was tough decision, but definitely growth of the program and you could argue that Dickinson did well during the course of the season though not as well as Hop. Most us, including me and especially at the half, predicted that Dickinson would not be where it is now. Yet they are 17th NPI ranked and in the NCAAs. Remember Swat (7-0-1) was in a similar place as Dickinson in the first half of the season and then just tanked the rest (3-5-1).
Yes, Hop struggled a bit at the beginning of the season, but are we actually surprised that it turned it around? Who over performed and who performed as expected?
Quote from: Hopkins Walk-On on October 30, 2024, 03:28:22 PMLen Yamabe from Swarthmore was one of the better players I saw this year. He gave Hopkins fits.
Wanted to add that Yamabe made first-team CC as well. The Centennial looks to be very competitive in coming years. As I noted earlier, Dickinson is loaded with a ton of young talent but, in addition to Yamabe, Swarthmore also had three juniors selected as honorable mention for the conference team. Muhlenberg had three non-seniors selected.
Recent conference powerhouses Hopkins and F&M, which both had a bunch of seniors/grad students this year, will face some serious challengers.
Hop is going to need some of the solid freshmen and sophomore players to step it up next year, of sure.
One FR that stands out on this current squad is Arnav Patel. He has really stepped up his game and is a very solid contributor off the bench. You'll hear his name quite a bit on Saturday if you tune in.
The schools with good grad-programs will be in good shape forever with a solid pipeline of D1 players that never saw the field and have an extra year. Ride that horse till it drops!
Quote from: Hopkins92 on November 14, 2024, 04:29:13 PMHop is going to need some of the solid freshmen and sophomore players to step it up next year, of sure.
One FR that stands out on this current squad is Arnav Patel. He has really stepped up his game and is a very solid contributor off the bench. You'll hear his name quite a bit on Saturday if you tune in.
F&M loses several seniors - 3 big starters and 2 guys with a good amount of playing time. Koa Kaliebe and Conor Anderko will tough to replace. Fortunately, F&M plays a lot of subs who get a lot of minutes so it'll take some to step up obviously.
Wagner does well recruiting, so they will be fine, I expect Jack the #6 transfer to really come good next year.
First Cabrini and now Rosemont. Sounds like another D3 athletic program bites the dust
Villanova and Rosemont enter into Merger Agreement (https://www1.villanova.edu/university/media/press-releases/2025/merger-agreement.html)
QuoteRosemont College and Villanova University have entered into a merger agreement that will preserve the legacy and heritage of Rosemont College and merge the neighboring institutions. During this multi-year transition, Rosemont College will continue operating as a separate entity, providing students the opportunity to graduate with Rosemont College degrees.
"The leaders of both boards have worked to create a true partnership that recognizes the changing higher education landscape while ensuring a smooth transition for Rosemont students, faculty, staff and alumni," said Maria Feeley, chair of the Rosemont College Board of Trustees. "Rosemont is proud to announce this next chapter, which will build on our decadeslong relationship with Villanova and preserve Rosemont's mission."
"Villanova and Rosemont enjoy a longstanding connection, and many families in the Greater Philadelphia region celebrate alumni from both institutions," said Villanova University President the Rev. Peter M. Donohue, OSA, PhD. "This merger agreement represents a unique and powerful opportunity for our two institutions given our shared commitment to advancing Catholic higher education, our close physical proximity and deep alumni connections."
"We are committed to securing the best possible options for our students, faculty and staff and believe this merger with Villanova offers the best opportunity to ensure that the Rosemont College history and legacy endures," said Rosemont College President Jim Cawley.
During the transition, the first phase of which will start in 2027, Rosemont College's educational and many extracurricular activities will continue as planned—supported by Rosemont faculty and staff. Rosemont students who have not completed their degree by 2028 will have multiple options, which include the ability to transfer to Villanova's College of Professional Studies where they will have the opportunity to complete a degree.
Following the transition, Rosemont will become "Villanova University, Rosemont Campus," and the campus will honor the legacy of Rosemont's founders, the Society of the Holy Child Jesus. Additionally, the Chapel will be preserved as a place of gathering and inspiration, and an endowed scholarship will be established supporting the mission of the Society of the Holy Child Jesus.
The terms of the merger are subject to approval from The Middle States Commission on Higher Education as well as state and federal regulators. Additional information will be shared as it becomes available.
Villanova University President the Rev. Peter M. Donohue, OSA, PhD added, "This agreement represents an opportunity to build upon our strengths, invest in critical areas and enhance the Villanova experience for our entire community—now and well into the future."
According to this story from D3 Sports (https://d3sports.com/notables/2025/03/rosemont-merging-with-villanova) (which includes information from a paywalled Philadelphia Inquirer story on the merger), Rosemont's varsity teams will continue for 2025-2026 and then become club sports for the final year of Rosemont's existence in 2026-2027. So, this fall will be the final season for Rosemont men's soccer. It's Cabrini part deux.
QuoteRosemont College and Villanova University have entered into a merger agreement that will preserve the legacy and heritage of Rosemont and merge the neighboring institutions. During this multi-year transition, Rosemont College will continue operating as a separate entity, providing students the opportunity to graduate with Rosemont degrees.
Rosemont will be the second Division III school in the Philadelphia area which Villanova will have taken over, following the school's purchase of Cabrini, news of which D3sports.com broke in June 2023. In addition, it is the second Philadelphia-area school and member of the United East Conference to be losing Division III athletics, following the news last week of Bryn Athyn shutting down athletics.
According to the Villanova release, Rosemont would seemingly be able to continue separate athletics through the 2027-28 academic year, however, a report in the Philadelphia Inquirer clarifies that to say that Rosemont's athletics would transition to club status after the 2025-26 season.
You can bypass the paywall by going thru MSN: https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/financially-strapped-rosemont-college-will-merge-with-villanova-university/ar-AA1C0ZQz?ocid=BingNewsSerp
Yeah, absolutely no big surprise as to Rosemont. Has been struggling as primarily a women's college for years. Sad
I think they've been to the NCAAs t least once in the last few years.
FYI, they have a bizarre turf. It is grayish with black lines.
Wowww. HOP is jumping to Ivy.
https://www.jhunewsletter.com/article/2025/04/hopkins-to-join-ivy-league-in-2026
Hahahaha
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on Yesterday at 03:19:36 PMWowww. HOP is jumping to Ivy.
https://www.jhunewsletter.com/article/2025/04/hopkins-to-join-ivy-league-in-2026
I like how they used a picture of a stained glass window of the Seal of the University of California for a story about Hopkins going to the Ivy League. Nice touch for us west coast folks.
Probably should be in the NESCAC section, but Amherst did something similar:
https://www.amherst.edu/news/news_releases/2025/april/breaking-news-from-amherst-college#:~:text=After%20careful%20consideration%20(and%20endless,the%20institution's%20name%20beginning%20today.
I got pulled up pretty quickly about the silent H when I first visited.