Calvin and Wisconsin Lutheran sit right next to each other in the Massey rankings, at #17 and #18. WLC has the better record, at 25-3 compared to Calvin's 21-6, but Calvin has had a more challenging schedule, against teams that are 4.5 points stronger on average. WLC's average margin of victory is 15.4 vs Calvin's 12.0.
Calvin is 4-2 against Massey top-25 teams (with 6 losses over all), and WLC has not played any teams in Massey's top 25.
Massey gives Calvin a 56% chance of winning, with a most likely score of 73-71. Over the last 5 games, Calvin has played with Massey power 18.5, to 11.3 for WLC. That would suggest a 7 point win for Calvin.
WLC has starters who are about as experienced as they come: one senior and four graduate students. There are three players who score in double figures on average,
#33, 6'8" forward Ryan Broeckel, who averages 17.8 points and 8.7 rebounds,
#2, 6'0" guard Jacob Stoltz, who averages 16.9 points per game, and
#20, 6'3" guard Grayson Goetz, who averages 15.8 points per game.
If you think that's a lot of high-scoring players, you are right. WLC averages 84.5 points per game, while Calvin gives up 62.7. WLC plays only a little faster, with an adjusted tempo of 73.8, compared to Calvin's 71.5. It will be interesting to see which end of the 62.7...84.5 spectrum they end up closer to.
Calvin is 4-2 against Massey top-25 teams (with 6 losses over all), and WLC has not played any teams in Massey's top 25.
Massey gives Calvin a 56% chance of winning, with a most likely score of 73-71. Over the last 5 games, Calvin has played with Massey power 18.5, to 11.3 for WLC. That would suggest a 7 point win for Calvin.
WLC has starters who are about as experienced as they come: one senior and four graduate students. There are three players who score in double figures on average,
#33, 6'8" forward Ryan Broeckel, who averages 17.8 points and 8.7 rebounds,
#2, 6'0" guard Jacob Stoltz, who averages 16.9 points per game, and
#20, 6'3" guard Grayson Goetz, who averages 15.8 points per game.
If you think that's a lot of high-scoring players, you are right. WLC averages 84.5 points per game, while Calvin gives up 62.7. WLC plays only a little faster, with an adjusted tempo of 73.8, compared to Calvin's 71.5. It will be interesting to see which end of the 62.7...84.5 spectrum they end up closer to.