Quote from: UPS4Life on March 04, 2009, 05:15:38 PM
I pick UPS again if the match up is with WW because I gotta believe the officiating will be on more of an even keel from both sides' perspectives and the obvious advantages of being home, etc.
UPS4Life, What do you mean that the officiating with be on more of an even keel? Do you mean that UPS will have about 10-15 more fouls called on them because of their "hands on defense" and then it will be even? Or do you mean that you think the fouls should be even or actually more fouls called on Whitworth? The fact that you even bring up the refs and a possibility that UPS LOST the game is crazy!!! The advantage for UPS is that they are playing at home and are very good at the style of basketball that they play.
However, I bet that nothing is changing the in game plan for UPS. What could they change? On defense, they pick up full court, put their hands all over the person who is dribbling the basketball and jump the passing lanes. They give up 2 on 1 and 3 on 2 fast breaks and open three pointers. They are good at it, but nothing changes. On offense, they spread the court, drive and dish. They are very good at shooting three pointers and finishing around the basket. They thrive on turnovers by the other team and momentum. They make the game, a game of runs.
Whitworth will actually game plan and adjust. They will try and expose weakness and take advantage of their own strengths. Lunt's game planning is done during the recruiting process and through being a good motivator. As far as in game adjustments and game planning, there is none! They play the same style against every opponent. Sure he has tweaked things a little since Bridgeland, but what you see with UPS is what you get. That is not to take anything away from them because they are very good at what they do.
Do not think it is a fluke that UPS happens to shoot poorly in games against Whitworth since they are traditionally at the top or near the top of the nation in defensive field goal percentage. However, if UPS is shooting contested shots well, they will be very tough to beat. Unlike UPS, Whitworth does not get out of position often on defense. They make proper rotations and contest shots. When the shot goes up, they find a man to block out. Jurich and Montgomery (worst snub in NWC history to not even get one vote and receive honorable mention) are susceptible to foul trouble against a team like UPS who gets into the lane as they are the defenders of the basket. They way Kraul and Foster crash the boards also draws fouls on opponents big men.
Hayford will have an excellent game plan and if the Pirates shoot well, they have a very good chance to win. Of course, Whitworth has a touch matchup with Claremont to get through first and I can guarantee they are not overlooking them. Whitworth had been on the road around 15 days in a row when the lost at Claremont and did not play well at all against them. I predict Whitworth by an easy 12-15 with them pulling away at the end.
Montgomery 31-14 in the first round of the conference tourney against Linfield's good big men and 18-18 against Kraul and Foster in the game that got them into the tourney. Not to mention some very good performances over the course of the year. My prediction for the player of the year for next year.