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Messages - bluesagehen4747

#1
West Region / Re: BB: 2010 West Regional
May 11, 2010, 07:35:28 AM
As a Sagehen fan, speaking strictly on matchups, I personally would much rather see Redlands in a regional than Cal Lu. Redlands has been going through an awful stretch and seems quite vulnerable, while Cal Lu is surging with their horses on the mound finally coming around.

Can't say I know much about Pac Lu or Tex Lu, but they both seem to be playing solid ball right despite some slight falters at the end of the season. Regardless, the West regional appears to be as balanced as its ever been. While Chapman may be a clear 1 seed, they certainly don't stand out as much as they have in previous years, and I think 2-6 (whatever they end up being) are really fairly interchangeable.
#2
West Region / Re: BB: 2010 West Regional
May 11, 2010, 07:31:25 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on May 11, 2010, 01:26:20 AM
Quote from: SCIAC FAN! on May 11, 2010, 12:57:47 AM
Quote from: CrashDavisD3 on May 11, 2010, 12:23:02 AM
Team thru May 9th   InRegion   Win %   OWP   OOWP   SOS
239 Mississippi Coll   32-6   0.842   0.487   0.517   0.497   :)
15 Chapman   25-5   0.833   0.577   0.510   0.555  :)
311 Trinity (Texas)   28-6   0.824   0.448   0.519   0.472  :)
118 Linfield   28-7   0.800   0.522   0.502   0.515   :)
183 Pomona-Pitzer   27-7   0.794   0.501   0.515   0.506   :)
81 Texas-Tyler   31-9   0.775   0.537   0.497   0.524   :)


217 Pacific Lutheran   23-10   0.697   0.493   0.496   0.494  ???
215 Cal Lutheran   25-11   0.694   0.495   0.511   0.500  ???
224 Texas Lutheran   29-13   0.690   0.492   0.498   0.494  ???
155 Redlands 24-11 .686 .510 .514 .511  ???
Where would Redlands fall in all of this, if at all?


Any hope for any of the below line teams above in getting one of the Pool C bids ?

Wow those four are really really close... the biggest question is where they'll stand against the other Pool C's from across the nation once all the conference tournament games are played and we see who's been dropped to Pool C contention. With the numbers here, there doesn't seem to be any clear cut favorite.. Cal Lu and Redlands have better SOS, Pac Lu has a slightly better winning percentage, and Tex Lu is right there in the mix too.
It seems to me that Pac Lu might be the most logical choice, if only one gets selected. They can bus to Linfield, and that would cut down MC's travel a bit depending on which regional they'd be shipped to.
#3
If it didn't happen in the game that clinched the SCIAC championship for my hens, it would pain me too much to be the one to post it but Max Rose of CMS (bitter rivals of Pomona-Pitzer) hit for the cycle this past Sunday, April 25 in their win over Redlands.
He was 4 for 4 on the day before being pulled after accomplishing the feat:
http://www.cmsathletics.org/sports/spring/bsb/2009-10/stats/ur-cms2.htm
#4
In the biggest SCIAC game of the year, Pomona-Pitzer beat Redlands handily 14-5. PP jumped out to a 10-1 lead after 3 innings, and burned through all three of Redland's starting pitchers.
What does this mean for SCIAC?
PP is now ahead 2 1/2 games on Redlands. Pomona has two left (Cal Lu Friday, Oxy Saturday), and Redlands has three (CMS tomorrow, Cal Tech and Whittier next weekend). A Redlands loss tomorrow gives Pomona the title, and a win by the hens against either CLU or Oxy does the same. Redlands has now lost 3 in a row, and CMS is playing well. Redlands will have a tough one tomorrow to stay alive.

Another big question, assuming the Hens can win a game (which is definitely not 100%, anything can happen in baseball and especially SCIAC), what does Redlands have to do to get an at-large bid? They've been stumbling, but I assume winning out in SCIAC and then winning a series against Chapman will be enough. Any thoughts?
#5
Quote from: Browneagle64 on April 06, 2010, 10:30:52 PM
Great. Congrats to the Hens. Lets see how they do against the Puppies of UOR. Looks like they passed test one against the Who. As for the rest of the schedule.... yeah, I'll let you guys look over the schedule and see who they have played thus far. However, a win is a win. SO congrats.

Heres to the Pups and Hens series living to its expectations.
I certainly agree with your hopes for a good series. And I think it will be- regardless of whoever comes out with it in the end (with the way these two teams are playing, I can't make a legitimate prediction right now- although I do believe it will be tough to beat Colvin).

As for the schedule, the Hens have played almost the same schedule as Redlands, except with the additional games of Chapman.

Comparing losses, the Hens have two to an NAIA school, two to Chapman, and one to CMS. Redlands has one to Menlo (who the Hens beat), one to CMS (same record as the Hens against them), and one to La Verne (who the Hens swept). So if you're implying that Redlands has a more impressive resume so far, I would disagree.

I do agree somewhat, however, that both teams have played relatively soft schedules. But given the dynamics of division 3 athletics, namely limited resources for travel, I don't see what else either team could have done to prevent that.

In the end, it all comes down to what happens this weekend, and the following three weekends. Kudos to both teams for putting themselves in such great positions right now and beating the teams they needed to beat to get there.
#6
Quote from: Browneagle64 on March 02, 2010, 04:02:01 PM
No way they are going to battle for the SCIAC Crashie. Come on Newbie. Lets be honest here, they took one game away from the Panthers, but, got worked. (not (by numbers, but by being outplayed is what i mean here)

Both Redlands, Cal Who and dare I even mention La Verne and the staggs stand in the way. There is just no way that with the loss of so many players the hens re-capture the SCIAC. Come on Newbie

As a newbie myself, perhaps it is brash to comment on these words, but such overconfidence can hardly be ignored*. The hens pulled out the sweep of Cal Lutheran today (who had been riding high off of an intense sweep of La Verne that consisted of 3 one run games), winning by scores of 11-3, 6-5, and 8-4. That puts them at 17-1 in SCIAC having swept "Cal Who," La Verne, and with a series win over the "staggs." Of course, next weekend is the biggest weekend of them all as they go up against a very tough Redlands team. But regardless of the outcome, the hens certainly have proven they can battle for the SCIAC as it has turned into a 2 team race.

Again, I am quite aware that there is a lot of baseball to be played- and the hens proved two years ago that you can never be sure. But they certainly are looking strong. Rosetti (their 3 starter) is back on track, and Colvin and Brunswick continue to look good. Their offense, though young, has been putting up a lot of runs too.

Should be a great finish to the SCIAC season, especially with the PP-Redlands series, and then the new round-robin end of league play. Im excited!

*I do realize there was a later admission of wrongness, but its a reminder that making predictions about the future is always difficult and thus treating those predictions as fact is dangerous. While I am very impressed by the hens, as an outside observer I could never claim to know how the rest of the season will go, nor make fun of someone for disagreeing with me.