Menu

Show posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Show posts Menu

Messages - DMJSports

#1
hello stoutguy,

The analysis says nothing about Olson or Young not being strong players.  It just highlights the folowing facts based on this season's game data:

1) Stout outscored opponents by 0.2475 points per minute with Olson on the floor and by 0.1725 points per minute with Olson not in the lineup. (corresponds to a 3 point difference in 40 minutes)

2) Whitewater outscored opponents by 0.245 points per minute with Young on the floor and by 0.2425 points per minute when Young was out of the lineup. (negligible difference)
#2
Rafi, you are correct, a player who is always in the game would not allow a contrast to the team without the player.  The analysis is very different for each player you mentioned:

1) with Raridon on the floor, NCC outscores opposition at a rate of 0.2875 points per minute.  Without Raridon, NCC outscores opponents at a rate of 0.2325 points per game.

2) with Overstreet on the floor, IWU outscores opposition at a rate of 0.2775 points per minute.  In the 213 minutes IWU played without Overstreet, IWU outscored opposition at a rate of 0.3 points per minute. (CAVEAT, only 25 of the 26 games were analyzed because one of the games had missing data)

3) with Peters on the floor, WC outscores opposition at a rate of 0.3325 points per minute. In the 166 minutes without Peters, WC was OUTSCORED at a rate of 0.0725 points per minute.

These numbers give you an understanding of why these players score so differently on the analysis.

Kiko, you are absolutely right on all your points.  Data is not conclusive, but it highlights trends that are worth investigating.
#3
Region 6 men's basketball / Re: MBB: USA South Conference
February 28, 2013, 02:22:42 AM
Hello narch,

Sorry, not sure I understand the production vs prevention statement.  If the analysis says a player is +8ppg, it means that based on the trends from game data this season, the team performs 8 points better in a 40 minute game relative to the competition when the player is in the lineup (for the entire 40 minutes) than if the team where to play without the player (for the entire 40 minutes) - this could mean the team wins by 20 with the player and 12 without or lose by 2 with the player and lose by 10 without - the key point is the differential between playing with and without the player).  If a player is even (0ppg), it means the team performs about the same whether the player is in or out of the lineup (this could mean the team wins by 20, ties or loses by 20, but it will be the same regardless of whether the player plays or not as the team performs about the same with the player in or out of the lineup).  If the player is -8ppg (negative), it means that based on this season's data, the team performs 8 points better in a 40 minute game relative to the competition without the player in the lineup than when the player is on the floor for the 40 minutes.

"do you view it as a flaw that a player who averages, say 9 minutes per game but has the same ratio's as cherry would have the same ppg impact, or do you view that as the point?"
- double edge sword: 1) I don't see it as a flaw because the analysis is suppose to highlight the fact that this player, who only plays for 9 minutes per game, is making a significant impact on the team when he is on the court.  The scenario is that this player must not be doing certain things to catch the coaches eye as a strong contributor, but looking at the actual data, is somehow contributing in a way that is helping the team... maybe not scoring a lot, but the team is playing better with him in the lineup.  On the flip side, you may have a player that scores a lot, but the team performance actually improves when they are not on the floor.  An example of this could be because the player takes bad shots, doesn't pass the ball and teammates end up standing around because the dynamic revolves around a good scorer rather than a team effort.  The focus on the analysis is team performance rather than individual stats.  It highlights individuals who help the team perform better... that's the goal of the analysis.  2) the drawback of analyzing a player who only plays for 8-10 minutes a game is the lack of sample size.   Hence, the analysis shouldn't cause a coach to make that player a 35 minute guy, but to possibly start increasing his playing time slowly and continue to watch the analysis.  If his numbers keep up as he is getting more and more minutes, you got yourself a guy who clearly is improving the performance of your team.  If the numbers start creeping down once the player gets a few more minutes, than you can probably deduce it was special circumstances of your rotation or playing in situations like garbage time which caused his analysis to look so strong.

"is there a website where we can view these statistics throughout the season"
- I don't have a website which makes the numbers available, but am happy to deliver team reports via email for a relatively nominal fee.  It takes me a little less than an hour to put together a team report.  During the season, I would send out team reports at night after each game for coaches who requested it.  Reports were usually for their own teams, but sometimes they requested reports on upcoming opposition.

Regards,
Leo Cohen
DMJ Sports
#4
Here is an interesting look at how individuals impact a team's performance.  The following analysis is not based on individual stats, but compares team performance with individual players in and out of the lineup.  This is an objective analysis using actual data from every game played by Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference teams this season.  Based on this comprehensive analysis, the following players are making the most positive impact on their respective team:

Augsburg: DAN KORNBAUM on the floor correlates to improving Augsburg scoring rate by 11.1ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 6.8ppg - a net gain of 17.9ppg compared to when KORNBAUM is off the floor.  PARKER HINES (17.8ppg), NOAH VEACH (8.3ppg) and TYLER SCHMIDT (6.3ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Bethel: KYLE ZIMMERMAN on the court correlates to improving Bethel scoring rate by 2.2ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 13.3ppg - a net gain of 15.4ppg compared to when ZIMMERMAN is off the court.  TAYLOR HALL (8.8ppg), JD ROBINSON (7.0ppg) and QUINN GORSKI (6.2ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Carleton: TOM SAWATZKE game presence correlates to increasing Carleton scoring rate by 13.5ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 0.1ppg - a net gain of 13.6ppg compared to when SAWATZKE is off the court.  JOHN ECKERT (9.4ppg) and SCOTT THEISEN (8.4ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Concordia-Moorhead: ANDREW MARTINSON game presence correlates to improving Concordia-Moorhead scoring rate by 8.5ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 5.5ppg - a net gain of 14.0ppg compared to when MARTINSON is on the bench.  JORDAN BOLGER (11.1ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Gustavus Adolphus: BEN BIEWEN game presence correlates to increasing Gustavus Adolphus scoring rate by 14.3ppg and increasing opponents scoring rate by 1.8ppg - a net gain of 12.5ppg compared to when BIEWEN is on the bench.  MARTIN FEDDERSEN (8.5ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Hamline: NOAH AGUIRRE in the lineup correlates to improving Hamline scoring rate by 10.6ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 3.7ppg - a net gain of 14.3ppg compared to when AGUIRRE is out of the lineup.  VICTOR EASTER (11.0ppg), AUSTIN JOHNSON (10.6ppg) and DIOR FORD (7.4ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Macalester: SAM MARSHALL on the floor correlates to improving Macalester scoring rate by 7.4ppg but also increasing opponents scoring rate by 5.0ppg - a net gain of 2.4ppg compared to when MARSHALL is out of the lineup.

St. John's: NICK MEYER on the court correlates to increasing St. John's scoring rate by 0.9ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 0.3ppg - a net gain of 1.1ppg compared to when MEYER is off the court.

St. Mary's (Minn.): EVAN PEDERSON floor presence correlates to increasing St. Mary's (Minn.) scoring rate by 5.6ppg but also increasing opponents scoring rate by 0.6ppg - a net gain of 5.0ppg compared to when PEDERSON is out of the lineup.

St. Olaf: CONNOR GUNDERSON on the floor correlates to increasing St. Olaf scoring rate by 6.0ppg and increasing opponents scoring rate by 0.8ppg - a net gain of 5.3ppg compared to when GUNDERSON is out of the lineup.

St. Thomas: WILL DEBERG on the court correlates to increasing St. Thomas scoring rate by 10.5ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 8.2ppg - a net gain of 18.8ppg compared to when DEBERG is on the bench.  JOHN NANCE (17.4ppg), TOMMY HANNON (13.5ppg) and ERIK TENGWALL (9.7ppg) also make a strong positive impact.


On the lighter side, focusing on secondary goals (team stats other than the primary objective - outscoring opponents).  Following are players making the most positive impact in these areas:

Team scoring: BEN BIEWEN game presence correlates to Gustavus Adolphus increasing its scoring rate by 14.3 ppg compared to when BIEWEN is off the floor.  TOM SAWATZKE-Carleton (13.5) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent scoring: TOM GORES court presence correlates to St. Mary's (Minn.) reducing opposition scoring rate by 13.7 ppg compared to when GORES is off the floor.  KYLE ZIMMERMAN-Bethel (13.3), CHRIS ORGAS-St. John's (12.6) also make a strong positive impact.

Team field goal percentage: DAN KORNBAUM floor presence correlates to Augsburg improving its field goal percentage rate by 11.5 percentage points compared to when KORNBAUM is on the bench.

Opponent field goal percentage: WILL DEBERG game presence correlates to St. Thomas reducing opposition field goal percentage rate by 9.9 percentage points compared to when DEBERG is out of the lineup.

Team made field goals: DAN KORNBAUM in the game correlates to Augsburg increasing its made field goals rate by 6.8 per game compared to when KORNBAUM is on the bench.  TOM SAWATZKE-Carleton (6.5) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent made field goals: JORDAN BOLGER floor presence correlates to Concordia-Moorhead decreasing opposition made field goals rate by 6.0 per game compared to when BOLGER is out of the lineup.  KYLE ZIMMERMAN-Bethel (5.4), CHRIS ORGAS-St. John's (5.4) also make a strong positive impact.

Team offensive rebounds: BEN BIEWEN in the lineup correlates to Gustavus Adolphus improving its offensive rebounds rate by 3.4 per game compared to when BIEWEN is on the bench.

Opponent offensive rebounds: SCOTT THEISEN floor presence correlates to Carleton reducing opposition offensive rebounds rate by 4.2 per game compared to when THEISEN is out of the lineup.

Team turnovers: VICTOR EASTER in the game correlates to Hamline decreasing its turnovers rate by 4.6 per game compared to when EASTER is off the floor.

Opponent turnovers: AUSTIN JOHNSON in the game correlates to Hamline improving opposition turnovers rate by 3.5 per game compared to when JOHNSON is on the bench.  SCOTT THEISEN-Carleton (3.3) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team steals: TOM SAWATZKE game presence correlates to Carleton improving its steals rate by 4.3 per game compared to when SAWATZKE is off the floor.

Team assists: DAN KORNBAUM game presence correlates to Augsburg improving its assists rate by 6.4 per game compared to when KORNBAUM is off the floor.

Team defensive rebounds: WILL DEBERG floor presence correlates to St. Thomas improving its defensive rebounds rate by 4.6 per game compared to when DEBERG is out of the lineup.  ZACH RIEDEMAN-St. Thomas (4.3) also makes a strong positive impact.
#5
Region 6 men's basketball / Re: MBB: USA South Conference
February 27, 2013, 07:57:45 PM
narch,

Depends on what you are trying to measure.  If you are determining what the team with the player does in a 40 minute span and what the team does without the player in a 40 minute span and then take the difference to measure delta between the two, you multiply both by 40 minutes.  You are looking at the difference between rates... whether you want to measure rates on a per minute, per 20 min, or per 40 minute span is up to you.  I prefer 40 minute spans so the magnitudes correspond to the length of a game.   

Regards,
Leo Cohen
DMJ Software
#6
Hello havej,

Derek Raridon on the court correlates to NCC improving its scoring by 6.3ppg, but the opposition also increases scoring at a rate of 4.1ppg - a net of 2.2ppg compared to when Raridon is on the bench.

Dylan Overstreet's presence correlates to IWU improving its scoring by 2.9ppg but they also give up 3.7ppg more than when Overstreet is off the floor.

#7
Region 6 men's basketball / Re: MBB: USA South Conference
February 27, 2013, 02:47:37 PM
Hello narch,

If you are going to put this much effort into this the least I can do is the same.  :)

The analysis is seeking the difference a player makes on the team (impact).  So, it evaluates the team's performance with the player and then does the same thing without the player.  The numbers it provides is the magnitude of the difference based on a 40 minute game (hence, it is a rate difference but instead of using the measure per minute, it is using per 40 minutes).  So, looking at this particular example, with Cherry in the lineup the point differential is .44ppm (17.6pp40).  With Cherry out of the lineup it is -0.29ppm (-11.6pp40).   The difference in these rates is 0.73ppm (29.2pp40).  The difference of the point differential rates with Biberaj in and out of the lineup is 0.4175ppm (16.7pp40). 

Your analysis is measuring the impact of these players on a game based on their average playing time... absolutely nothing wrong with that, but my analysis focuses on highlighting the difference in team performance with a player on and off the floor (not biased by current playing time).  A small tweak could certainly change the algorithm to the "narch system."   ;)
#8
Here is an interesting look at how individuals impact a team's performance.  The following analysis is not based on individual stats, but compares team performance with individual players in and out of the lineup.  This is an objective analysis using actual data from every game played by Southern Collegiate Athletic Conference teams this season.  Based on this comprehensive analysis, the following players are making the most positive impact on their respective team:

Austin: ALEN MICHAEL in the lineup correlates to improving Austin scoring rate by 0.2ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 11.2ppg - a net gain of 11.5ppg compared to when MICHAEL is out of the lineup.  JORDAN HANCOCK (9.1ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Centenary (La.): not enough data available

Colorado College: IAN REWOLDT on the court correlates to improving Colorado College scoring rate by 8.6ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 7.9ppg - a net gain of 16.5ppg compared to when REWOLDT is on the bench.  CHRIS LESNANSKY (15.3ppg), JAKE TRAMUTOLO (10.8ppg) and RYAN MILNE (8.3ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Southwestern: MICHAEL CANTU court presence correlates to increasing Southwestern scoring rate by 8.0ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 0.2ppg - a net gain of 8.2ppg compared to when CANTU is off the floor.  SEAN MYERS (7.4ppg) and CHASE KOCHER (6.4ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Trinity: not enough data available

University of Dallas: DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to reducing University of Dallas scoring rate by 17.5ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 30.2ppg - a net gain of 12.8ppg compared to when ASSINESI is off the floor.


On the lighter side, focusing on secondary goals (team stats other than the primary objective - outscoring opponents).  Following are players making the most positive impact in these areas:

Team scoring: having SEAN MYERS on the floor correlates to Southwestern increasing its scoring rate by 11.8 ppg compared to when MYERS is on the bench.

Opponent scoring: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas decreasing opposition scoring rate by 30.2 ppg compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Team field goal percentage: having SEAN MYERS on the floor correlates to Southwestern increasing its field goal percentage rate by 5.9 percentage points compared to when MYERS is on the bench.  MICHAEL CANTU-Southwestern (5.5) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent field goal percentage: having ALEN MICHAEL on the floor correlates to Austin decreasing opposition field goal percentage rate by 5.9 percentage points compared to when MICHAEL is on the bench.

Team made field goals: having SEAN MYERS on the floor correlates to Southwestern increasing its made field goals rate by 3.7 per game compared to when MYERS is on the bench.

Opponent made field goals: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas decreasing opposition made field goals rate by 8.2 per game compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Team offensive rebounds: having ALEN MICHAEL on the floor correlates to Austin increasing its offensive rebounds rate by 4.7 per game compared to when MICHAEL is on the bench.

Opponent offensive rebounds: having CHRIS LESNANSKY on the floor correlates to Colorado College decreasing opposition offensive rebounds rate by 4.8 per game compared to when LESNANSKY is on the bench.

Team turnovers: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas decreasing its turnovers rate by 8.2 per game compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Opponent turnovers: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas increasing opposition turnovers rate by 2.8 per game compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Team steals: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas increasing its steals rate by 2.7 per game compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Team assists: having MICHAEL CANTU on the floor correlates to Southwestern increasing its assists rate by 2.1 per game compared to when CANTU is on the bench.

Team defensive rebounds: having IAN REWOLDT on the floor correlates to Colorado College increasing its defensive rebounds rate by 5.6 per game compared to when REWOLDT is on the bench.
#9
My apologies Gray Fox, thanks for pointing it out.   :-[
#10
Here is an interesting look at how individuals impact a team's performance.  The following analysis is not based on individual stats, but compares team performance with individual players in and out of the lineup.  This is an objective analysis using actual data from every game played by College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin teams this season.  Based on this comprehensive analysis, the following players are making the most positive impact on their respective team:

Augustana: BRANDON KUNZ in the game correlates to increasing Augustana scoring rate by 3.1ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 7.3ppg - a net gain of 10.5ppg compared to when KUNZ is on the bench.  TAYVIAN JOHNSON (8.6ppg), BRANDON THOMPSON (7.8ppg) and BEN RYAN (6.6ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Carthage: REESE HERTH court presence correlates to increasing Carthage scoring rate by 13.4ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 3.4ppg - a net gain of 16.8ppg compared to when HERTH is on the bench.  MARLON SENIOR (8.5ppg), TYLER PIERCE (5.9ppg) and DONTE LOGAN (5.1ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Elmhurst: BRYANT ACKERMAN in the game correlates to increasing Elmhurst scoring rate by 12.3ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 5.5ppg - a net gain of 17.8ppg compared to when ACKERMAN is off the floor.  KYLE WUEST (12.3ppg), KENNY PAYONK (11.0ppg) and NICK SANFORD (6.4ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Illinois Wesleyan: PAT SODEMANN on the floor correlates to increasing Illinois Wesleyan scoring rate by 11.7ppg and increasing opponents scoring rate by 1.0ppg - a net gain of 10.7ppg compared to when SODEMANN is off the court.  ANDREW ZIEMNIK (6.8ppg), MICHAEL MAYBERGER (6.5ppg) and KEVIN REED (6.4ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Millikin: ELIJAH KINMON in the lineup correlates to increasing Millikin scoring rate by 9.1ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 2.9ppg - a net gain of 12.0ppg compared to when KINMON is off the floor.  RODNEY CLARK (7.7ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

North Central (Ill.): AARON TIKNIS game presence correlates to increasing North Central (Ill.) scoring rate by 8.4ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 0.9ppg - a net gain of 9.3ppg compared to when TIKNIS is off the floor.

North Park: MARK HOLMES court presence correlates to increasing North Park scoring rate by 10.9ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 0.7ppg - a net gain of 11.6ppg compared to when HOLMES is out of the lineup.  ZACH CASSITA (8.2ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Wheaton (Ill.): TYLER PETERS on the court correlates to improving Wheaton (Ill.) scoring rate by 9.7ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 6.4ppg - a net gain of 16.2ppg compared to when PETERS is off the court.  NATHAN HAYNES (9.1ppg) and PETER SMITH (5.2ppg) also make a strong positive impact.


On the lighter side, focusing on secondary goals (team stats other than the primary objective - outscoring opponents).  Following are players making the most positive impact in these areas:

Team scoring: REESE HERTH floor presence correlates to Carthage improving its scoring rate by 13.4 ppg compared to when HERTH is off the floor.  BRYANT ACKERMAN-Elmhurst (12.3) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent scoring: KENNY PAYONK in the lineup correlates to Elmhurst reducing opposition scoring rate by 10.2 ppg compared to when PAYONK is off the floor.

Team field goal percentage: MARK HOLMES on the court correlates to North Park improving its field goal percentage rate by 7.7 percentage points compared to when HOLMES is out of the lineup.  ELIJAH KINMON-Millikin (7.0) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent field goal percentage: MARLON SENIOR on the floor correlates to Carthage decreasing opposition field goal percentage rate by 6.4 percentage points compared to when SENIOR is on the bench.  RODNEY CLARK-Millikin (6.3), KENNY PAYONK-Elmhurst (6.3) also make a strong positive impact.

Team made field goals: TYLER PETERS game presence correlates to Wheaton (Ill.) improving its made field goals rate by 5.1 per game compared to when PETERS is off the floor.  NICK SANFORD-Elmhurst (4.8), ELIJAH KINMON-Millikin (4.7) also make a strong positive impact.

Opponent made field goals: RODNEY CLARK in the game correlates to Millikin decreasing opposition made field goals rate by 5.7 per game compared to when CLARK is out of the lineup.

Team offensive rebounds: ANDREW ZIEMNIK in the game correlates to Illinois Wesleyan improving its offensive rebounds rate by 3.3 per game compared to when ZIEMNIK is out of the lineup.

Opponent offensive rebounds: DANIELIUS JURGUTIS game presence correlates to Augustana reducing opposition offensive rebounds rate by 4.0 per game compared to when JURGUTIS is out of the lineup.

Team turnovers: PETER SMITH on the floor correlates to Wheaton (Ill.) decreasing its turnovers rate by 3.5 per game compared to when SMITH is on the bench.

Opponent turnovers: DONTE LOGAN floor presence correlates to Carthage improving opposition turnovers rate by 4.4 per game compared to when LOGAN is on the bench.

Team steals: BRANDON THOMPSON floor presence correlates to Augustana improving its steals rate by 2.5 per game compared to when THOMPSON is off the court.

Team assists: NICK SANFORD floor presence correlates to Elmhurst improving its assists rate by 4.1 per game compared to when SANFORD is off the court.  KEVIN REED-Illinois Wesleyan (3.7) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team defensive rebounds: TOMMY PILACKAS in the game correlates to Millikin increasing its defensive rebounds rate by 5.2 per game compared to when PILACKAS is on the bench.
#11
Here is an interesting look at how individuals impact a team's performance.  The following analysis is not based on individual stats, but compares team performance with individual players in and out of the lineup.  This is an objective analysis using actual data from every game played by Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association teams this season.  Based on this comprehensive analysis, the following players are making the most positive impact on their respective team:

Adrian: ERIC LEWIS on the floor correlates to improving Adrian scoring rate by 14.3ppg and increasing opponents scoring rate by 1.9ppg - a net gain of 12.4ppg compared to when LEWIS is out of the lineup.  ADAM MEIER (7.2ppg) and SEAN GALLANT (6.6ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Albion: MIKE SMITH court presence correlates to improving Albion scoring rate by 1.1ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 6.5ppg - a net gain of 7.6ppg compared to when SMITH is off the court.  ZACH HURTH (5.8ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Alma: GREG SILVERTHORN in the lineup correlates to improving Alma scoring rate by 11.4ppg but also increasing opponents scoring rate by 5.7ppg - a net gain of 5.7ppg compared to when SILVERTHORN is on the bench.

Calvin: JORDAN BRINK in the lineup correlates to increasing Calvin scoring rate by 3.3ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 4.4ppg - a net gain of 7.7ppg compared to when BRINK is off the floor.  TYLER KRUIS (6.2ppg), MICKEY DEVRIES (5.1ppg) and TOM SNIKKERS (4.1ppg) also make a positive impact.

Hope: NATE SNUGGERUD on the court correlates to increasing Hope scoring rate by 13.4ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 0.3ppg - a net gain of 13.8ppg compared to when SNUGGERUD is off the court.  ALEX EIDSON (9.1ppg) and BEN GARDNER (4.2ppg) also make a positive impact.

Kalamazoo: MARK GHAFARI in the game correlates to improving Kalamazoo scoring rate by 17.2ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 11.0ppg - a net gain of 28.2ppg compared to when GHAFARI is on the bench.  MIKE ORAVETZ (9.7ppg) and ADAM PETERS (5.1ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Olivet: GARNER SMALL on the floor correlates to improving Olivet scoring rate by 8.5ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 3.4ppg - a net gain of 11.9ppg compared to when SMALL is out of the lineup.  DAUNTRELL HILL (9.4ppg), MATT EL (6.7ppg), JEFF CAIN (5.1ppg) and BLAKE KRUM (2.7ppg) also make a positive impact.

Trine: JARED HOLMQUIST on the floor correlates to increasing Trine scoring rate by 3.5ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 8.5ppg - a net gain of 12.0ppg compared to when HOLMQUIST is out of the lineup.  IAN JACKSON (11.2ppg), NICK TATU (7.4ppg) and SCOTT ROGERS (7.0ppg) also make a strong positive impact.


On the lighter side, focusing on secondary goals (team stats other than the primary objective - outscoring opponents).  Following are players making the most positive impact in these areas:

Team scoring: having MARK GHAFARI on the floor correlates to Kalamazoo increasing its scoring rate by 17.2 ppg compared to when GHAFARI is on the bench.

Opponent scoring: having MARK GHAFARI on the floor correlates to Kalamazoo decreasing opposition scoring rate by 11.0 ppg compared to when GHAFARI is on the bench.

Team field goal percentage: having MARK GHAFARI on the floor correlates to Kalamazoo increasing its field goal percentage rate by 9.9 percentage points compared to when GHAFARI is on the bench.  TYLER KRUIS-Calvin (9.0) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent field goal percentage: having MICKEY DEVRIES on the floor correlates to Calvin decreasing opposition field goal percentage rate by 5.8 percentage points compared to when DEVRIES is on the bench.  MATT EL-Olivet (5.6) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team made field goals: having ERIC LEWIS on the floor correlates to Adrian increasing its made field goals rate by 7.1 per game compared to when LEWIS is on the bench.

Opponent made field goals: having MATT EL on the floor correlates to Olivet decreasing opposition made field goals rate by 4.5 per game compared to when EL is on the bench.  MICKEY DEVRIES-Calvin (4.3) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team offensive rebounds: having MATT EL on the floor correlates to Olivet increasing its offensive rebounds rate by 3.4 per game compared to when EL is on the bench.  GARNER SMALL-Olivet (3.2) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent offensive rebounds: having MARK GHAFARI on the floor correlates to Kalamazoo decreasing opposition offensive rebounds rate by 5.2 per game compared to when GHAFARI is on the bench.

Team turnovers: having DAUNTRELL HILL on the floor correlates to Olivet decreasing its turnovers rate by 4.1 per game compared to when HILL is on the bench.

Opponent turnovers: having ERIC LEWIS on the floor correlates to Adrian increasing opposition turnovers rate by 4.3 per game compared to when LEWIS is on the bench.

Team steals: having SCOTT ROGERS on the floor correlates to Trine increasing its steals rate by 2.4 per game compared to when ROGERS is on the bench.

Team assists: having TYLER KRUIS on the floor correlates to Calvin increasing its assists rate by 4.5 per game compared to when KRUIS is on the bench.  MARK GHAFARI-Kalamazoo (4.2) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team defensive rebounds: having SCOTT ROGERS on the floor correlates to Trine increasing its defensive rebounds rate by 5.9 per game compared to when ROGERS is on the bench.  DAUNTRELL HILL-Olivet (5.5) also makes a strong positive impact.
#12
No activity on this board.... oh well, for any Presidents' Athletic Conference coach or fan who is interested:

Here is an interesting look at how individuals impact a team's performance.  The following analysis is not based on individual stats, but compares team performance with individual players in and out of the lineup.  This is an objective analysis using actual data from every game played by Presidents' Athletic Conference teams this season.  Based on this comprehensive analysis, the following players are making the most positive impact on their respective team:

Bethany: LESLIE ADDY in the lineup correlates to decreasing Bethany scoring rate by 0.3ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 8.0ppg - a net gain of 7.7ppg compared to when ADDY is on the bench.  REECE MABERY (7.6ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Grove City: MITCH MARMELSTEIN in the lineup correlates to increasing Grove City scoring rate by 8.3ppg and increasing opponents scoring rate by 0.2ppg - a net gain of 8.1ppg compared to when MARMELSTEIN is out of the lineup.

St. Vincent: SEAN KETT on the court correlates to increasing St. Vincent scoring rate by 6.9ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 5.9ppg - a net gain of 12.8ppg compared to when KETT is off the floor.  ISAAC TURNER (10.3ppg) and DILLON STITH (7.6ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Thomas More: D'CARLO HAYES in the lineup correlates to increasing Thomas More scoring rate by 9.6ppg and increasing opponents scoring rate by 1.6ppg - a net gain of 8.0ppg compared to when HAYES is on the bench.  BRANDON HOUSLEY (7.4ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Washington and Jefferson: NATE BELLHY game presence correlates to improving Washington and Jefferson scoring rate by 13.8ppg and improving opponents scoring rate by 3.9ppg - a net gain of 9.9ppg compared to when BELLHY is off the floor.  ZACH BELLHY (9.9ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.


On the lighter side, focusing on secondary goals (team stats other than the primary objective - outscoring opponents).  Following are players making the most positive impact in these areas:

Team scoring: having NATE BELLHY on the floor correlates to Washington and Jefferson increasing its scoring rate by 13.8 ppg compared to when BELLHY is on the bench.

Opponent scoring: having LESLIE ADDY on the floor correlates to Bethany decreasing opposition scoring rate by 8.0 ppg compared to when ADDY is on the bench.

Team field goal percentage: having NATE BELLHY on the floor correlates to Washington and Jefferson increasing its field goal percentage rate by 7.1 percentage points compared to when BELLHY is on the bench.

Opponent field goal percentage: having ELIOT PIPES on the floor correlates to Thomas More decreasing opposition field goal percentage rate by 7.6 percentage points compared to when PIPES is on the bench.

Team made field goals: having NATE BELLHY on the floor correlates to Washington and Jefferson increasing its made field goals rate by 5.1 per game compared to when BELLHY is on the bench.

Opponent made field goals: having ELIOT PIPES on the floor correlates to Thomas More decreasing opposition made field goals rate by 4.5 per game compared to when PIPES is on the bench.

Team offensive rebounds: having CHRIS RICHARD on the floor correlates to Thomas More increasing its offensive rebounds rate by 3.1 per game compared to when RICHARD is on the bench.  LESLIE ADDY-Bethany (2.8) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent offensive rebounds: having MIKE RESNIK on the floor correlates to Washington and Jefferson decreasing opposition offensive rebounds rate by 4.2 per game compared to when RESNIK is on the bench.

Team turnovers: having ZACH BELLHY on the floor correlates to Washington and Jefferson decreasing its turnovers rate by 4.1 per game compared to when BELLHY is on the bench.

Opponent turnovers: having CHRIS RICHARD on the floor correlates to Thomas More increasing opposition turnovers rate by 2.8 per game compared to when RICHARD is on the bench.

Team steals: having CHRIS RICHARD on the floor correlates to Thomas More increasing its steals rate by 3.6 per game compared to when RICHARD is on the bench.

Team assists: having ZACH BELLHY on the floor correlates to Washington and Jefferson increasing its assists rate by 3.7 per game compared to when BELLHY is on the bench.

Team defensive rebounds: having MIKE RESNIK on the floor correlates to Washington and Jefferson increasing its defensive rebounds rate by 4.2 per game compared to when RESNIK is on the bench.
#13
Here is an interesting look at how individuals impact a team's performance.  The following analysis is not based on individual stats, but compares team performance with individual players in and out of the lineup.  This is an objective analysis using actual data from every game played by Southern Athletic Association teams this season.  Based on this comprehensive analysis, the following players are making the most positive impact on their respective team:

Berry: LAKE GRAHAM on the court correlates to increasing Berry scoring rate by 7.8ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 6.3ppg - a net gain of 14.1ppg compared to when GRAHAM is off the floor.  JONATHAN ABRAMS (8.6ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Birmingham-Southern: LARRY THOMAS court presence correlates to improving Birmingham-Southern scoring rate by 19.8ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 2.3ppg - a net gain of 22.1ppg compared to when THOMAS is on the bench.  KEVIN KEGARISE (21.6ppg), BLAISE WHITE (14.0ppg) and ZAC RICHARDS (10.4ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Centre: DONOVAN WHITESIDE game presence correlates to increasing Centre scoring rate by 13.3ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 11.8ppg - a net gain of 25.1ppg compared to when WHITESIDE is on the bench.  TYLER WESLEY (9.4ppg) and JOSH KARSNER (7.2ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Hendrix: DAYTON SHERIDAN on the court correlates to increasing Hendrix scoring rate by 1.5ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 3.9ppg - a net gain of 5.4ppg compared to when SHERIDAN is off the floor.

Millsaps: TULLY GILLIGAN floor presence correlates to increasing Millsaps scoring rate by 9.5ppg and increasing opponents scoring rate by 5.3ppg - a net gain of 4.2ppg compared to when GILLIGAN is off the court.

Oglethorpe: BRANDEN JOVAAG floor presence correlates to increasing Oglethorpe scoring rate by 12.6ppg and increasing opponents scoring rate by 4.1ppg - a net gain of 8.5ppg compared to when JOVAAG is off the court.  CHRISTIAN MOLINET (6.7ppg) and TYLER COURSON (6.4ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Rhodes: THEO HARTWELL floor presence correlates to reducing Rhodes scoring rate by 0.8ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 7.9ppg - a net gain of 7.0ppg compared to when HARTWELL is off the court.  GEOFF LIVSEY (5.1ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Sewanee: VALENTINO BRYANT on the court correlates to increasing Sewanee scoring rate by 0.7ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 11.3ppg - a net gain of 11.9ppg compared to when BRYANT is on the bench.  LEWIS AFFRONTI (8.7ppg), KESHONN CARTER (7.6ppg) and TYLER BROWN (7.3ppg) also make a strong positive impact.


On the lighter side, focusing on secondary goals (team stats other than the primary objective - outscoring opponents).  Following are players making the most positive impact in these areas:

Team scoring: having KEVIN KEGARISE on the floor correlates to Birmingham-Southern increasing its scoring rate by 20.4 ppg compared to when KEGARISE is on the bench.  LARRY THOMAS-Birmingham-Southern (19.8) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent scoring: having DONOVAN WHITESIDE on the floor correlates to Centre decreasing opposition scoring rate by 11.8 ppg compared to when WHITESIDE is on the bench.  VALENTINO BRYANT-Sewanee (11.3) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team field goal percentage: having BRANDEN JOVAAG on the floor correlates to Oglethorpe increasing its field goal percentage rate by 8.4 percentage points compared to when JOVAAG is on the bench.  DONOVAN WHITESIDE-Centre (7.7) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent field goal percentage: having DONOVAN WHITESIDE on the floor correlates to Centre decreasing opposition field goal percentage rate by 7.4 percentage points compared to when WHITESIDE is on the bench.

Team made field goals: having LARRY THOMAS on the floor correlates to Birmingham-Southern increasing its made field goals rate by 7.8 per game compared to when THOMAS is on the bench.

Opponent made field goals: having DONOVAN WHITESIDE on the floor correlates to Centre decreasing opposition made field goals rate by 5.0 per game compared to when WHITESIDE is on the bench.

Team offensive rebounds: having TYLER COURSON on the floor correlates to Oglethorpe increasing its offensive rebounds rate by 3.1 per game compared to when COURSON is on the bench.  JORDAN TEEMS-Berry (2.9) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent offensive rebounds: having TYLER BROWN on the floor correlates to Sewanee decreasing opposition offensive rebounds rate by 4.9 per game compared to when BROWN is on the bench.

Team turnovers: having GRIFFIN SCHAMP on the floor correlates to Birmingham-Southern decreasing its turnovers rate by 3.0 per game compared to when SCHAMP is on the bench.  JONATHAN ABRAMS-Berry (2.7) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent turnovers: having KESHONN CARTER on the floor correlates to Sewanee increasing opposition turnovers rate by 3.3 per game compared to when CARTER is on the bench.  TULLY GILLIGAN-Millsaps (3.0) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team steals: having DONOVAN WHITESIDE on the floor correlates to Centre increasing its steals rate by 3.2 per game compared to when WHITESIDE is on the bench.

Team assists: having KEVIN KEGARISE on the floor correlates to Birmingham-Southern increasing its assists rate by 4.9 per game compared to when KEGARISE is on the bench.  DONOVAN WHITESIDE-Centre (4.5), LARRY THOMAS-Birmingham-Southern (4.5) also make a strong positive impact.

Team defensive rebounds: having LAKE GRAHAM on the floor correlates to Berry increasing its defensive rebounds rate by 6.7 per game compared to when GRAHAM is on the bench.
#14
Here is an interesting look at how individuals impact a team's performance.  The following analysis is not based on individual stats, but compares team performance with individual players in and out of the lineup.  This is an objective analysis using actual data from every game played by Southern Collegiate Athletic Conference teams this season.  Based on this comprehensive analysis, the following players are making the most positive impact on their respective team:

Austin: ALEN MICHAEL in the lineup correlates to improving Austin scoring rate by 0.2ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 11.2ppg - a net gain of 11.5ppg compared to when MICHAEL is out of the lineup.  JORDAN HANCOCK (9.1ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

Centenary (La.): not enough data available

Colorado College: IAN REWOLDT on the court correlates to improving Colorado College scoring rate by 8.6ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 7.9ppg - a net gain of 16.5ppg compared to when REWOLDT is on the bench.  CHRIS LESNANSKY (15.3ppg), JAKE TRAMUTOLO (10.8ppg) and RYAN MILNE (8.3ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Southwestern: MICHAEL CANTU court presence correlates to increasing Southwestern scoring rate by 8.0ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 0.2ppg - a net gain of 8.2ppg compared to when CANTU is off the floor.  SEAN MYERS (7.4ppg) and CHASE KOCHER (6.4ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Trinity: not enough data available

University of Dallas: DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to reducing University of Dallas scoring rate by 17.5ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 30.2ppg - a net gain of 12.8ppg compared to when ASSINESI is off the floor.


On the lighter side, focusing on secondary goals (team stats other than the primary objective - outscoring opponents).  Following are players making the most positive impact in these areas:

Team scoring: having SEAN MYERS on the floor correlates to Southwestern increasing its scoring rate by 11.8 ppg compared to when MYERS is on the bench.

Opponent scoring: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas decreasing opposition scoring rate by 30.2 ppg compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Team field goal percentage: having SEAN MYERS on the floor correlates to Southwestern increasing its field goal percentage rate by 5.9 percentage points compared to when MYERS is on the bench.  MICHAEL CANTU-Southwestern (5.5) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent field goal percentage: having ALEN MICHAEL on the floor correlates to Austin decreasing opposition field goal percentage rate by 5.9 percentage points compared to when MICHAEL is on the bench.

Team made field goals: having SEAN MYERS on the floor correlates to Southwestern increasing its made field goals rate by 3.7 per game compared to when MYERS is on the bench.

Opponent made field goals: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas decreasing opposition made field goals rate by 8.2 per game compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Team offensive rebounds: having ALEN MICHAEL on the floor correlates to Austin increasing its offensive rebounds rate by 4.7 per game compared to when MICHAEL is on the bench.

Opponent offensive rebounds: having CHRIS LESNANSKY on the floor correlates to Colorado College decreasing opposition offensive rebounds rate by 4.8 per game compared to when LESNANSKY is on the bench.

Team turnovers: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas decreasing its turnovers rate by 8.2 per game compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Opponent turnovers: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas increasing opposition turnovers rate by 2.8 per game compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Team steals: having DREW ASSINESI on the floor correlates to University of Dallas increasing its steals rate by 2.7 per game compared to when ASSINESI is on the bench.

Team assists: having MICHAEL CANTU on the floor correlates to Southwestern increasing its assists rate by 2.1 per game compared to when CANTU is on the bench.

Team defensive rebounds: having IAN REWOLDT on the floor correlates to Colorado College increasing its defensive rebounds rate by 5.6 per game compared to when REWOLDT is on the bench.
#15
Region 3 men's basketball / Re: MBB: Skyline Conference
February 27, 2013, 04:19:56 AM
Here is an interesting look at how individuals impact a team's performance.  The following analysis is not based on individual stats, but compares team performance with individual players in and out of the lineup.  This is an objective analysis using actual data from every game played by Skyline Conference teams this season.  Based on this comprehensive analysis, the following players are making the most positive impact on their respective team:

Farmingdale State: AJ MATTHEWS on the floor correlates to improving Farmingdale State scoring rate by 6.7ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 6.7ppg - a net gain of 13.4ppg compared to when MATTHEWS is out of the lineup.

Mount St. Mary: JOE STABACH court presence correlates to improving Mount St. Mary scoring rate by 15.1ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 1.4ppg - a net gain of 16.5ppg compared to when STABACH is off the court.   DONTE HOWELL (11.2ppg) and RYAN STRAUB (7.7ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Mount St. Vincent: SHAQUILLE CUNNINGHAM in the lineup correlates to improving Mount St. Vincent scoring rate by 6.6ppg and improving opponents scoring rate by 5.8ppg - a net gain of 0.8ppg compared to when CUNNINGHAM is on the bench. 

NYU-Poly: STEFAN STOYANOVICH in the lineup correlates to increasing NYU-Poly scoring rate by 10.4ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 7.6ppg - a net gain of 18.0ppg compared to when STOYANOVICH is off the floor.   JAMEL GIST (10.1ppg), THOMAS FABIAN (5.9ppg) and MARK ZIENTEK (5.7ppg) also make a strong positive impact.

Sage: MELVIN FORD on the court correlates to decreasing Sage scoring rate by 1.2ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate by 4.7ppg - a net gain of 3.6ppg compared to when FORD is off the court. 

St. Joseph's (L.I.): EVAN MOHAMMED in the game correlates to improving St. Joseph's (L.I.) scoring rate by 4.4ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 7.5ppg - a net gain of 12.0ppg compared to when MOHAMMED is on the bench.   KEITH ANDERSON (11.0ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.

SUNY-Maritime: RON BETHEA on the floor correlates to improving SUNY-Maritime scoring rate by 11.2ppg and reducing opponents scoring rate by 3.0ppg - a net gain of 14.2ppg compared to when BETHEA is out of the lineup.

SUNY-Old Westbury: TY MOORE on the floor correlates to increasing SUNY-Old Westbury scoring rate by 2.3ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate  by 2.6ppg - a net gain of 4.9ppg compared to when MOORE is out of the lineup. 

SUNY-Purchase: JUSTIN PERSON floor presence correlates to increasing SUNY-Purchase scoring rate by 6.5ppg and decreasing opponents scoring rate  by 6.3ppg - a net gain of 12.7ppg compared to when PERSON is out of the lineup.   JOEL NERI (9.5ppg) also makes a strong positive impact.


On the lighter side, focusing on secondary goals (team stats other than the primary objective - outscoring opponents).  Following are players making the most positive impact in these areas:

Team scoring: having DONTE HOWELL on the floor correlates to Mount St. Mary increasing its scoring rate by 16.5 ppg compared to when HOWELL is on the bench.  JOE STABACH-Mount St. Mary (15.1) also makes a strong positive impact.

Opponent scoring: having CODY LOHSEN on the floor correlates to St. Joseph's (L.I) decreasing opposition scoring rate by 7.8 ppg compared to when LOHSEN is on the bench.

Team field goal percentage: having RYAN STAUB on the floor correlates to Mount St. Mary increasing its field goal percentage rate by 6.5 percentage points compared to when STAUB is on the bench.  T-VAUGHN GIBSON-SUNY-Maritime (6.4) and JOEL NERI-SUNY-Purchase (6.0) also make a strong positive impact.

Opponent field goal percentage: having STEFAN STOYANOVICH on the floor correlates to NYU-Poly decreasing opposition field goal percentage rate by 9.9 percentage points compared to when STOYANOVICH is on the bench.

Team made field goals: having JOE STABACH on the floor correlates to Mount St. Mary increasing its made field goals rate by 5.7 per game compared to when STABACH is on the bench.

Opponent made field goals: having JUSTIN PERSON on the floor correlates to SUNY-Purchase decreasing opposition made field goals rate by 3.9 per game compared to when PERSON is on the bench.

Team offensive rebounds: having TERENCE HENDERSON on the floor correlates to Farmingdale State increasing its offensive rebounds rate by 4.6 per game compared to when HENDERSON is on the bench.

Opponent offensive rebounds: having T-VAUGHN GIBSON on the floor correlates to SUNY-Maritime decreasing opposition offensive rebounds rate by 7.4 per game compared to when GIBSON is on the bench.  RON BETHEA-SUNY-Maritime (6.6) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team turnovers: having RON BETHEA on the floor correlates to SUNY-Maritime decreasing its turnovers rate by 8.6 per game compared to when BETHEA is on the bench.

Opponent turnovers: having OMARI TREBUSE on the floor correlates to SUNY-Old Westbury increasing opposition turnovers rate by 2.4 per game compared to when TREBUSE is on the bench.

Team steals: having PHIL CALIXTE on the floor correlates to St. Joseph's (L.I.) increasing its steals rate by 6.5 per game compared to when CALIXTE is on the bench.

Team assists: having JOEL NERI on the floor correlates to SUNY-Purchase increasing its assists rate by 5.0 per game compared to when NERI is on the bench.  SHAQUILLE CUNNINGHAM-Mount St. Vincent (5.0) also makes a strong positive impact.

Team defensive rebounds: having STEFAN STOYANOVICH on the floor correlates to NYU-Poly increasing its defensive rebounds rate by 5.9 per game compared to when STOYANOVICH is on the bench.  JOSHUA BAILEY-SUNY-Old Westbury (5.3) also makes a strong positive impact.