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Messages - DipsWin13

#1
Quote from: gordonmann on February 12, 2018, 09:09:03 PM
I know we've had two ranked Centennial teams before, but I don't know if we've ever had three.

Until tonight that is.

http://d3hoops.com/top25/men/2017-18/week11

Thanks to the D3 Hoops Top 25 Poll Archive (http://www.d3hoops.com/top25/men/archive) it appears the CC has had 3 teams in the Top 25 for four weeks in the 2014-15 season, in weeks 7, 8, 9 and 12.

Very cool to have the Centennial well represented with three teams once again!
#2
Quote from: D.B. Cooper on February 12, 2018, 02:28:11 PM
Though the same result in tiebreaking, Dips going 2-0 would give them hosting duties because they would be 2-0 against SWAT it would never get to Ursinus. Admittedly there is less than a 40% chance of F&M pulling that herculean feat off. When they will find themselves in their annual Sisyphean task of missing out on an at large bid. The only way CC could  have 3 teams in is if Dips were to win the automatic bid.

Spot on D.B. The tiebreaker with Swarthmore and F&M would I think only occur if F&M beat Dickinson and then lost to Swarthmore, combined with Swarthmore losing to Haverford. Also, it would mean that Hopkins would have to drop one of two to either Haverford of WAC...

Sisyphean is now my new favorite way of describing F&M's attempts at making the NCAA tournament short of winning the CC. That said, three CC teams in the top 25 doesn't hurt, though I suppose it comes down more to regional rankings than anything else.
#3
My understanding is that tiebreakers are first head to head, and then goes record against highest ranked conference opponent for which there isn't a season split. So for example, let's say Swarthmore, F&M, and Johns Hopkins all end up tying (i.e. having gone 1-1 against each other over the course of the season, and all finishing with the same conference record), in that case, the tie breaker would be determined by who went 2-0 agains the 4th place team. If there is still a tie, it would then go down to record against the 5th place team, and so on until the tie is broken.

If memory serves, a few years ago (sometime in the last five years) there was a tie-breaker for a 2-3 seed (which ultimately doesn't matter in the tournament) that went all the way down to record vs. the 7th best team in the league.

The last two games are going to be extremely interesting in determining who will host the conference tournament. Here are the schedules for the three teams remaining that are vying for the top seed:

Johns Hopkins:
@ Washington College
@ Haverford

Franklin & Marshall:
v. Dickinson
@ Swarthmore

Swarthmore:
v. Haverford
v. F&M

With no disrespect intended to the teams not currently in the top five, it would appear that barring surprise, Hopkins will go 2-0 in those two remaining contests. Franklin & Marshall clearly has the most difficult schedule, and will need to bounce back to avenge their loss earlier this season to Dickinson. Though there are a number of scenarios that can play out here, if Hopkins wins out, and then F&M goes 2-0, F&M likely has the tie-breaker because they went 2-0 over Ursinus, while Johns Hopkins went 1-1. If Swarthmore goes 2-0, they would also have the tie-breaker over Johns Hopkins by virtue of their record over Ursinus as well. Much of this assumes that Ursinus finishes as the 4 seed, and Dickinson the 5, though that is also not a given at this point either. I think the playoff picture should clear up after the mid-week games, but there could be more than a few moving pieces going into Saturday that will determine positioning for the final five teams in the CC tournament.
#4
Hi all-- apologize again for slacking with the poll.  I have us updated through the last week of the season and I promise I'll make sure I have the MAC/ CC bowl games on there once it's announced who they are!  Standings to come shortly.  Thanks to everyone who has stuck this season out!
#5
Thank you guys for being so patient and manually entering your picks here.  I'm not sure what happened with the form, but it should be in good working order now.  Here's the full updated standings with picks, and points:

Username   Total Points
gohop   100
njf1003   97
DipsWin13   93
Jcfb2003   60
69Mule   53
Old Ends   37
jayhawkdaddy   34
Reserved Seat   12
   
Username   Correct Pick %
njf1003   83.33%
69Mule   80.00%
DipsWin13   76.67%
Old Ends   75.00%
gohop   71.43%
Jcfb2003   60.00%
Reserved Seat   60.00%
jayhawkdaddy   50.00%

I'm going to try to get the rest of the picks for the remainder of the season set up as a safety measure, but thank you all again for participating!
#6
Sorry for dropping the ball on posting results from last week.  I'll have a full update after week 4.  Week-by-week results are viewable in the color tabs at the bottom of the page here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WmngDqpgvdhS9ZZY8wc38IW9LMS43NDL9l4UEDvBonY/edit?usp=sharing
#7
Reserved Seat- I actually goofed up and didn't check the "allow one response per line" box on the confidence points grid this week (i.e. it was possible to select two games at the same confidence level, which based on the rules we have set you shouldn't be able to do.)  I have it corrected for future weeks so it won't happen again. 

Everyone did really well this week with their picks (I'll review them and have scores and totals up early next week) but I think to rectify the mistake, I'll give the maximum amount of allowable points for correct answers without repeats.  As far as I know the only game that anyone got incorrect was the Dickinson/ Susquehanna score (I was one of the ones who got it incorrect...) so it may not be a real issue... and again this is all just for fun anyways.

I'm glad you all are enjoying the system, I think it's been a lot of fun so far!
#8
69mule- The conversions were definitely key, but in my mind the key moment that swung the momentum to the Diplomats was the turnover in the 4th quarter at right around the 2 minute mark of the highlight video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O3ioFqp5HTE&feature=youtu.be

You can hear Phil Soto-Ortiz say that a Mules first down would end the game and then the Diplomat defense took the ball.  Honestly though, what a sensational football game (regardless of outcome or rooting interest) to start of the CC season!
#9
Quite the week in the CC, the weather being relatively uncooperative, and some unexpected results to be sure.

Kudos to njf1003 for being the only one to pick the Diplomats to knock off the Mules (although also the only one to pick the Green Terror to beat the Hounds...)  Great to see old ends and 69mule get in on the action as well this week.  69mule took first place with 11 points, but GoHop still maintains the overall points lead with the week 1 scores included.

User name    Week 2 Points   Correct Picks
DipsWin13           7                     2
old ends            10                     3
gohop                 8                     3
jcfb2003             8                     2
69mule              11                    3
njf1003               9                     3

You can view the picks from last week (with confidence scores) here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WmngDqpgvdhS9ZZY8wc38IW9LMS43NDL9l4UEDvBonY/edit?usp=sharing

Also, I added a tab for total number of correct picks because I know that has been a fan favorite in the past.

You can make your picks for week 3 here: http://tinyurl.com/CCFBPickEm2015 (be sure to select "Week 3 (9/19)" on the first page.)

#10
Great first week definitely punctuated by that wacky Ursinus game... Haven't ever seen one quite like that.  F&M and McDaniel games came right down to the wire too!

Now for the picks:
gohop   53
njf1003   46
DipsWin13   44
Jcfb2003   38
jayhawkdaddy   34

You can view the picks from last week (with confidence scores) here on the "Week 1" tab at the bottom of the page: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WmngDqpgvdhS9ZZY8wc38IW9LMS43NDL9l4UEDvBonY/edit?usp=sharing

All the games this week are 1 PM, and you can make them here: http://tinyurl.com/CCFBPickEm2015 (be sure to select "Week 2 (9/12)" on the first page.)

Many congratulations to old ends on your great granddaughter!
#11
Truly a bonkers way to start the season with the UC/ Millersville matchup, but having attended the F&M v. LVC game, it ended up being quite the barnburner too right down to the wire.

This is why I'm so excited for CC football to be back, it's such a wonderful time of the year!

(Also, if you haven't made your picks yet, it's not too late!!!) http://tinyurl.com/CCFBPickEm2015
#12
Great to see you back old ends!  Really looking forward to this upcoming CC season.  So I'll volunteer to step up and do the pick'em this season (many thanks to the hard work of NJF1003 their hard work the past few seasons!)  If it's amendable to everyone, I'd like to try something a little bit different this season that might generate a little bit of interest, I think should be a fun addition to our tradition, and will be a truer test of CC football knowledge: a confidence interval pick'em pool (for a full explanation, see: https://help.yahoo.com/kb/pro-football-pickem/SLN6640.html?impressions=true)

Previously, we've picked winners and losers of each matchup with a non-Centennial tie-breaker.  After each week (and the end of the season) we add up who got the most games correct, and then award a winner.  For a confidence pool, we still pick winners of games, but then there's a small added step of weighting the confidence of those picks to award points. 

Each week, you'll assign a point value from 1 (least confident) to 10 (most confident) to the result of each game based on how strongly you feel about the accuracy of your selections. If your selection is correct, you'll receive points equal to the confidence-point value you associated with that game.  If you pick the winner incorrectly, you'll receive 0 points.

For instance, if you're extremely confident that Johns Hopkins is going to win (shocker) you'd assign it as the match up that you're most confident in, and if they do win, you would get that value added to your weekly (and overall) score.

You'll be able to make your picks weekly on a form that will be housed here: http://tinyurl.com/CCFBPickEm2015

So three steps:
1) Enter your user name and select the week you're making picks for.

2) Pick the winner of each game.

3) Select your confidence score for each game.


Full album with high resolution photos can be found here: http://imgur.com/a/GEfEL

Three added bonuses of this system (in my mind) are:
1) It eliminates the non-CC tie-breaker (that I'm fairly certain everyone just guessed on anyways)
2) If someone misses a week, it won't cripple them for the overall season standings.
3) It should help make tallying up the scores easier.

Once I see how it goes, I'll see if I can either upload the scoresheet directly, or tally them up and post.  I already have the games entered for week one.  I hope you all might be willing to try this out, and if it ends up being too difficult, we can reevaluate.  Hope I haven't made this sound more difficult than it actually is!  If you have any questions or thoughts, feel free to post and I'll try to clear it up.

So once again, go to the following link to make your picks, and best of luck to everyone!: http://tinyurl.com/CCFBPickEm2015
#13
http://www.d3football.com/top25/2015/preseason

Hopkins (#13) and Muhlenberg (#25) both representing the Centennial in the Preseason D3 Football poll.
#14
QuoteSusquehanna University has named Tom "Perk" Perkovich, Muhlenberg College's offensive coordinator, as its head football coach, the university announced at a news conference Tuesday afternoon.

http://centennial.org/sports/fball/2014-15/releases/1-13-Perkovich
#15
Dickinson has a very good squad this year, but it really only felt like a matter of time before they came back down to earth a little bit.  I find it hard to believe that they're a substantively better squad than they were a year ago, perhaps solely by virtue of no longer having Adam Honig on their roster, and that #4 ranking maybe felt a little bit inflated, especially with the one loss to a middle of the pack (but up-and-coming) Gettysburg team.

I was also surprised the way in which Hopkins won that game... You'd expect Jimmy Hammer would have to go off in order to beat a team like Dickinson, but it was a relatively quiet night for one of the best shooters in the Centennial.  If JHU can consistently get secondary scoring like they did last night (12 from G. Williams off the bench) they could be a very tough team to beat.

Honest question here (maybe just for the sake of discussion): Final seeding aside, is there any way anyone here could see one of the teams not currently in the top 5 (Muhlenberg, Swarthmore, Ursinus, Haverford, or Washington) breaking through and getting into the playoffs?  The Mules are probably the toughest of that group (and the only one that doesn't currently have a sub-.500 record) but even they would have to come from at least two games back to get to the #5 seed in the conference.  I know we're not even halfway through the conference schedule, but right now it does feel like some combination of F&M, JHU, Dickinson, Gettysburg, and McDaniel will be competing in the conference tournament.  I'd love to hear what everyone thinks!