Big fan of D3 sports. My first post, and I lead with this. (haha)  Below is how I rank the remaining NCAA teams. This is purely based on offensive efficiency. (This stat tends to hold some weight in determining a NC.) I don't think a team less than 100 will have their shot this year. (See 2nd table.)

I did do a bracket this year and tried to fill it out purely on offensive efficiency. (Exception was Regis-Amherst. Regis was more efficient, but we know that would not be result.) I think the later rounds we can use this stat.   

Team	OFF Eff
Washington	113.0
Ohio Northern	111.5
St. Thomas	111.1
Hope	108.2
Scranton	106.7
Amherst	105.6
Whitman	104.7
UW-Osh	103.2
SUNY Gen	101.9
Trinity	101.4
CNU	98.6
Tufts	97.6
Babson	97.0
Mass-Dartmouth	94.0
Suny New Pl	93.1
Marymount	91.8

Here are the previous NC's. (The stats I could find.) It appears that the top 6 teams for this year, have the best overall shot of winning the title.

Thomas More	144.0
FDU-Flor	110.2
Depauw	115.5
Illinois Wes	105.9
Amherst	111.6
Washington	104.6
Howard Payne	107.5
Depauw	110.5