Quote from: FANOFD3 on October 14, 2021, 11:25:38 AMQuote from: erwinsto on October 14, 2021, 10:04:42 AMResponding to your question with my breakout of both R1/R2, that is posted weekly in R1 section. The only surprise result(s) for me is Muhlenberg's loss to Ursinus and although the record may not show, Dickinson three losses are to teams that are a combined 14-2, losing by an average margin of 16. They have some key matchups late and if John's Hopkins survives it's matchups against Muhlenberg and Susquehanna over the next two/three weeks, it can't overlook this Dickinson team. Now, to answer your last question, it depends on multiple factors because currently Susquehanna has a current SOS ranked 74 and will get better as they play both JH and Muhleberg later in the season. Additionally, Susquehanna will want Lycoming to finish the season with 7/8 wins. As for John's Hopkins, Stevenson is currently 0-5 and could easily finish 5-5, but could only finish with 2/3 wins and currently have a SOS rank of 196. Muhlenberg current SOS rank is 142, which will improve as the season progresses, but will need TCNJ, which is 3-2 and tied atop the NJAC to finish with 7/8 wins, which is not unrealistic as the NJAC has been flipped upside down this year sans Salisbury. I think Susquehanna has the best case with how the MAC has been performing and Lycoming probably being ranked in R1. Another case would be for the committee to be very subjective when selecting at-large teams, which they have the ability to.
Has it gone as you expected, surprised by the results? Thoughts on how it will play out including playoff spots? Any way that the conference gets two spots this year?Quote from: FANOFD3 on October 10, 2021, 10:27:03 PM
My updated Regional Rankings
R1:
1. Delaware Valley (5-0) (1-0) - Key Win - Lycoming (3-2)
2. Merchant Marine (5-0) (1-0) - Key Win - FDU-Florham (4-1)
3. Wilkes (5-0) (0-0)
4. FDU-Florham (4-1) (0-1) - Key Win - Widener (5-1)
5. Widener (5-1) (0-1) - Key Loss - FDU-Florham (4-1)
6. Catholic (3-2) (1-1) - Key Win - Endicott (5-1)
7. Endicott (5-1) (0-1) Key Win - St. Lawrence
8. Lycoming (4-2) (0-2) Key Losses - Delaware Valley (5-0), Susquehanna (5-0
9. Salve Regina (5-1) (0-0) Key Win - UNE (3-2)
10. Bridgewater State (4-2) (0-0) - Key Loss - Ithaca (5-0)
R2.
1. Ithaca (5-0) (2-0) Key Win(s) - Hobart (4-1), Brockport (3-2), Bridgewater State (4-2)
2. Union (5-0) (1-0) - Key Win(s) - Utica (4-1), St. Lawrence (3-2)
3. Susquehanna (5-0) (1-0) Key Win(s) - Lycoming (4-2), Ursinus (3-2)
4. Cortland (5-0) (0-0) - Key Win(s) - Brockport (3-2), TCNJ (3-2)
5. Johns Hopkins (5-0) (0-0) - Key Win(s) - Ursinus (3-2)
6. RPI (6-0) (0-0)
7. Salisbury (3-1) (0-1) Key Loss - UW-W (5-0)
8. Hobart (4-1) (0-1) Key Loss - Ithaca (5-0)
9. Utica (4-1) (0-1) Key Loss - Union (5-0)
10. Muhlenberg (4-1) (0-0) - Key Win(s) - TCNJ (3-2)
Key Wins - Teams above .500
Here is my updated bracket - officepoolstop.com/Brackets/35411
Great analysis. Thanks for sharing, really appreciate the insight. Looking forward to watching how this plays out. I thought Stevenson would have a better record but it seems they have had a tough schedule early on. To your point, maybe their wins come on the back half of the schedule. Your last comment was interesting; The ability to be subjective with at large selections. Anything to elaborate on there, or just referencing a general view of the subjective nature of the process?