Actually, a revised projection now has CSB left off...and GAC in the field. Interesting...but not surprising given the NCAA's natural proclivity to deny CSB at-large berths Remember - they got left out at 22-3 so this would not be a shocker. I can understand the NCAA leaving both out but if the NCAA puts GAC in and CSB out...wow wow wow. Please note...I am not arguing that CSB should be selected OVER GAC...they both have arguments and there is no way the committee can honestly choose one over the other...but they will...and it will be GAC. Bank on it. The stats are not in favor of either - it's basically a wash. There is one intangible...
Winning percentage - slight edge to GAC:
CSB 21-6 (.78) - all games against D3 schools...
GAC 20-5 (.80) - one loss was to D2...
Strength of Schedule - slight edge to CSB:
CSB - .508 - rank #189
GAC - .502 - rank #211
Opponents Winning Percentage - slight edge to CSB:
CSB - .507
GAC - .499
Opponents Opponents Winning Percentage - slight edge to CSB:
CSB - .511
GAC - .508
GAC was 2-1 against UST and CSB was 1-2. GAC lost to Hamline who was sub-.500 this year. GAC lost in th semis of the conference tourney and CSB lost in the title game. But, that extra win vs. UST could give them a slight edge. Then again, CSB has 21 Division 3 wins so it is too close to call...
SO - these two look fairly even and I just do not know how the NCAA could possibly justify picking one over the other. They will and GAC will get the nod. ..trust me...it will happen. CSB fans will have every right to complain. And, to be perfecrtly fair, if CSB is chosen over GAC then GAC fans would have an argument based on what I have seen. If GAC is denied and CSB gets a bid I will be the first to say they should have BOTH either been given bids or denied bids. The committiee will, most definitely, keep CSB out...count on it.
The only factor I can see decidely in the GAC's favor would be having their coach on the region committee and the region committee rankings are a secondary criteria. Understandably, GAC's coach would rank GAC ahead of CSB. Can't blame her as I would do the same. It's just unfortunate that it could possibly come down to that selection criteria because then it is not the objective process the NCAA prides itself on...
Before I get ripped too much...I hope BOTH CSB and GAC squeek into the tourney. But, I am not optimistic for my Blazers. Wish we could have taken care of those darn Tommies and their scholarship athletes...oops...student-athletes!!
Winning percentage - slight edge to GAC:
CSB 21-6 (.78) - all games against D3 schools...
GAC 20-5 (.80) - one loss was to D2...
Strength of Schedule - slight edge to CSB:
CSB - .508 - rank #189
GAC - .502 - rank #211
Opponents Winning Percentage - slight edge to CSB:
CSB - .507
GAC - .499
Opponents Opponents Winning Percentage - slight edge to CSB:
CSB - .511
GAC - .508
GAC was 2-1 against UST and CSB was 1-2. GAC lost to Hamline who was sub-.500 this year. GAC lost in th semis of the conference tourney and CSB lost in the title game. But, that extra win vs. UST could give them a slight edge. Then again, CSB has 21 Division 3 wins so it is too close to call...
SO - these two look fairly even and I just do not know how the NCAA could possibly justify picking one over the other. They will and GAC will get the nod. ..trust me...it will happen. CSB fans will have every right to complain. And, to be perfecrtly fair, if CSB is chosen over GAC then GAC fans would have an argument based on what I have seen. If GAC is denied and CSB gets a bid I will be the first to say they should have BOTH either been given bids or denied bids. The committiee will, most definitely, keep CSB out...count on it.
The only factor I can see decidely in the GAC's favor would be having their coach on the region committee and the region committee rankings are a secondary criteria. Understandably, GAC's coach would rank GAC ahead of CSB. Can't blame her as I would do the same. It's just unfortunate that it could possibly come down to that selection criteria because then it is not the objective process the NCAA prides itself on...
Before I get ripped too much...I hope BOTH CSB and GAC squeek into the tourney. But, I am not optimistic for my Blazers. Wish we could have taken care of those darn Tommies and their scholarship athletes...oops...student-athletes!!