FB: College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin

Started by admin, August 16, 2005, 05:04:00 AM

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CarollFan

Quote from: OLCoach99 on November 11, 2024, 01:44:18 PMI would bet money that Norm keeps on office in the building...

The announcement did say:
"He will transition into a new role as Senior Advisor for Titan Traditions and Alumni Legacy at the end of the season."

Whether that means office in the building, not sure.


D3Rookie

I don't have an informed position if his 25% odds are too high or too low. 

However, this part caught my attention .... "I'll add that I'm aware that a prognostication account here has JCU and Wheaton gaining entry into Pool C. This is a friendly reminder that the person behind that account is projecting winners and losers of games using his proprietary system. As such, the cut line is much different than our current projection."

I just don't get it.  Everyone is using a "propriety" approach and is implicitly or explicitly projecting winners/losers for the final game.

CarollFan

Quote from: D3Rookie on November 11, 2024, 03:41:27 PMI don't have an informed position if his 25% odds are too high or too low. 

However, this part caught my attention .... "I'll add that I'm aware that a prognostication account here has JCU and Wheaton gaining entry into Pool C. This is a friendly reminder that the person behind that account is projecting winners and losers of games using his proprietary system. As such, the cut line is much different than our current projection."

I just don't get it.  Everyone is using a "propriety" approach and is implicitly or explicitly projecting winners/losers for the final game.

That's been going on all season. I know Pat has tried. Sometimes you can broker peace in 24 hours, sometimes you can't. ;D

hazzben

Reading Frank's post honestly made me chuckle. He does a bunch of math and then basically concludes 'my guess is that Wheaton's chances of getting in are 25(ish)% due to a lot of variables I haven't fully accounted for.'

He may not like Logan's metric, but there's no question that quantifiable data is driving the projections. Real games have to be played, it's still just a projection. But Frank isn't doing anything close to that. His 25% is basically pulled out of a hat.

D3fanboy

Quote from: hazzben on November 11, 2024, 04:40:18 PMReading Frank's post honestly made me chuckle. He does a bunch of math and then basically concludes 'my guess is that Wheaton's chances of getting in are 25(ish)% due to a lot of variables I haven't fully accounted for.'

He may not like Logan's metric, but there's no question that quantifiable data is driving the projections. Real games have to be played, it's still just a projection. But Frank isn't doing anything close to that. His 25% is basically pulled out of a hat.

Frank being an overly sensitive know-it-all?  nooo  I don't believe it!!!

GusD

The more I read about all this playoff possibility stuff, the more convinced I become that nobody really knows WTF is going on and what non-AQs will end up getting in.

Cardinal773

CCIW Players of the Week Against (week 7 of 9):

Team        Total Off. Def. S.T.
Millikin         6        1      2      3
Carthage     4        2      2      0
Carroll          3        1      2      0
N. Park         3        0      1      2
Augustana  2        1      0      1
Elmhurst     2        2      0      0
IWU               2        1      1      0
Wash. U.      2        0      0      2
Wheaton    1        1      0      0
N. Central  0        0      0      0

Cardinal773

Quote from: GusD on November 11, 2024, 05:57:28 PMThe more I read about all this playoff possibility stuff, the more convinced I become that nobody really knows WTF is going on and what non-AQs will end up getting in.

And that's why they play the games! Everyone's got a hot take on everything right now.  Hopefully coach Scott's got his boys focused on what they need to do and let the cards fall where they may.

On the other sideline I think Rooker and his boys have a little something to motivate them!  6 wins would be quite a feather in the cap considering.

GusD

Re the Norm "situation," and looking more at the near future as opposed to the question of who his replacement will be which will likely come later, the first two questions I'm interested in are:
1. After his team gets beat down by NCC, will he shake hands?
2. If he loses by a huge margin, will we hear the familiar refrain "Well, we played just about as good as they did. A couple of different bounces and the game could have been ours." 


Cardinal773

I gotta chime in on Norm's exit.  Here's how Saturday's contest should end:

Coach #1: "You have a very... forceful handshake, Mr. Spencer."

Coach #2: " Thank you, Norm, that was nice, too."

Pat Coleman

Quote from: GusD on November 11, 2024, 05:57:28 PMThe more I read about all this playoff possibility stuff, the more convinced I become that nobody really knows WTF is going on and what non-AQs will end up getting in.

I guess it depends on what you read and where.
Publisher. Questions? Check our FAQ for D3f, D3h.
Quote from: old 40 on September 25, 2007, 08:23:57 PMLet's discuss (sports) in a positive way, sometimes kidding each other with no disrespect.

Pat Coleman

Quote from: Cardinal773 on November 11, 2024, 06:20:31 PMI gotta chime in on Norm's exit.  Here's how Saturday's contest should end:

Coach #1: "You have a very... forceful handshake, Mr. Spencer."

Coach #2: " Thank you, Norm, that was nice, too."

I love it.

I was so happy that my partner suggested we watch the Birdcage one night a couple of summers ago. That forceful handshake line had to go in the pod! The second line is from Meet The Parents.
Publisher. Questions? Check our FAQ for D3f, D3h.
Quote from: old 40 on September 25, 2007, 08:23:57 PMLet's discuss (sports) in a positive way, sometimes kidding each other with no disrespect.

CarollFan


lmitzel

Quote from: CarollFan on November 12, 2024, 09:37:26 AMUpdated mock playoff bracket by Logan.

Mock Playoff Bracket

I don't love it... but I don't hate it.

Would love to get a draw that sends Mount here though for once.
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