Bumblin' B's

[joe smith]

Don't know who else is in competition for the fourth Pool B Bid. 


I believe Bethany of course will be a lock for the fourth bid.  Though the conference is a bit down this year from past years, they've played a pretty good nonconference schedule.  CMU, Lake Erie, Muskingum, Pitt-Greensburg, Keystone, and Wheeling Jesuit(d2) are all top teams in each respective conferences.  Bethany went 4-2 against those teams including a win against d2 Jesuit who is ranked 5th in their region for division 2.  Their QOWI may no show it but this team has played and beaten some great competition this year.  I think their conference hurts them more then some imagine.  But like I said before they've beaten those teams by an average of 20 a game. 

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

We've got plenty of time to figure it all out.

[Ralph Turner]

SJCME is 8.000 and 8-4, at 173rd. Rust is ahead of them among Bs at 8.154, 9-5, 161st.

So they're both probably really long shots. although Joe's number should improve quite a bit if they can win out.

Hoops Fan, I calculate that SJCME has 96 QOWI points.  If they run the table, that adds [12 (Husson) +13 (Bowdoin) + 8 (Newbury) =] 33 QOWI points.

96 + 33 = 129 QOWI points divided by 15 games, and QOWI only rises to 8.600 and they have an 11-4 In-Region Record.

Let's say that they win the Indy post-season tourney by defeating Lincoln and one other team.  (I am not sure if those wins will even be considered in-region.)  Let's call them a 15-pt and a 13-pt QOWI win. 

129 +15 +13 = 157 QOWI points divided by 17 games raises the QOWI to 9.24.

A loss is worth (8 divided by # of games= )  ~ 0.500 QOWI points.

I don't see SJCME as beating Lincoln, but I also don't think that they win five straight either.  They are a real Cinderella if they do!

[Ralph Turner]

at Huntingdon 72, Fisk 58.

Huntingdon hosts Maryville tomorrow for possible GSAC tri-championships, (Huntingdon, Maryville and Fisk, all at 6-2).

Coach Tony Duckworth's Huntingdon Hawks play very tenacious defense.  This should be a great one.

[Ralph Turner]

LaGrange 110, Fisk 108 (1OT)

Big win for LaGrange, and this really hurts Fisk!

[smedindy]

Once again, I contend that NO ONE wants one of these slots, except Lincoln.

[Ralph Turner]

Huntingdon (in-region 9-6 .600) 73, Maryville TN (in-region 14-6 .700) 67.

http://www.d3hoops.com/school_info.php?school=Huntingdon&team=m

Huntingdon has won 9 straight, and can clinch a co-championship on Wednesday by defeating Piedmont.

Huntingdon is scheduled to host the 2006 GSAC tourney.  The extra 2 wins may help determine a Pool B bid for the winner.

Pool B is wide open again.

My rough calculation is that Maryville's QOWI dropped to 9.500 (not counting any changes in the QOWI of earlier opponents.)

Fisk's road loss to LaGrange was worth 1 QOWI point.  The road loss to Huntingdon was worth 5 points.  I calculate a QOWI around 9.923, pending any QOWI changes in the records of previous opponents.  (Fisk 9-4 in-region, 0.692)

The GSAC tourney now will give a team the chance to pick up some good wins with respect to QOWI!

Please remember, one other criterion is winning percentage, and Bethany has the highest in-region percentage at 16-4 (.800) with 2 games remaining.

Villa Julie is up to 14-4 (.778) with 1 more  in-region game left.

Pool B looks wide open again, with only Lincoln (12-4, .750)appearing to be a lock.

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

Madness.  Madness.

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

OK, here is what we're looking at right now:

St Joe's (ME) 8-4, NE Region 7.83.  They had a game with Husson over the weekend; I can't find the score.  This is a catch-22.  If they bear Husson, they lose two points for knocking them down a level.  Their max, if everything goes their way is 11-4 with an 8.6 QOWI.  If they lost to Husson over the weekend they are out, with a max possible of 8.07 and 10-5.

Keuka 10-4, E Region 7.79.  They have two remaining including a home game with Baptist Bible.  If they win both, their max is 8.31, 12-4 in region.

Baptist Bible 13-3, MA region 8.81.  They have big wins over King's and Wilkes, which look good as well as a very close loss to Lincoln.  There is one game remaining, against Keuka, their max is potentially 14-3, 9.29.

Villa Julie 14-4, MA Region 8.67.  They have a nice win over Hopkins and a close game with Catholic.  They have one game remaining.  As far as I can figure, their absolute max is 15-4, 8.79.

Lincoln is 12-4, MA Region 10.56.  They are done their schedule, but have two teams poised to drop a level and 3-4 teams that could potentially leap a level.  Best case scenario: 12-4 11.06.

Maryville 14-6, S Region 9.6.  They are done with their regular schedule, but this is the best number they can hope for.  They have a few teams ready to drop down.  They could potentially go as low as 14-6 9.2 without much trouble.

Fisk 9-4, S Region 9.85.  They have one more with Rust that could bump the number, but they've also got some precarious opponents as well.  I'd say max is about 10-4 10.07.

Rust 8-5, S Region 7.92.  They have the game with Fisk upcoming, which could help the number.  I'd say max is 9-5 8.36.

Huntingdon 9-6, S Region 8.07.  They have one game left at Piedmont, but they have a ton of opponents ready to drop.  Their max is 10-6, 8.38, but they are more likely to be around 7.88 even with a win in their last game.

Bethany 16-4, GL Region 9.25.  They have two games left and a bunch of opponents ready to drop a level.  I think the max is 18-4 9.27, but more likely 9.09.

Aurora 11-6, MW Region 8.65.  They have two games left, but not too much help.  I'd say max is 13-6 8.95.  However, I think 8.63 is more likely.

Clarke 11-7, MW Region 8.39.  They have two games leeft, one with Aurora.  I'd say max is 13-7 8.75.

Chapman 8-4, W Region 8.25.  They are done their schedule, but they do stand to lose a few.  I think that is there max.

So right now, by the numbers as they stand today I have to go:

Lincoln
Bethany
Fisk
Maryville
Baptist Bible
Villa Julie
Aurora
Clarke
Chapman
Huntingdon
Rust
St Joe's
Keuka

This doesn't take into account the post-season tournaments that they will be participating in.  It may come down to the winner of Fisk-Maryville in the GSAC tourney and Baptist Bible-Villa Julie in the NEAC.  I would put Lincoln in as a lock, no matter what and Bethany as a lock if they win out.

If that doesn't earn me a few karma points, I don't deserve any.

[Pat Coleman]

One of the regional committee members has told me that Baptist Bible and Philadelphia Bible filed to play in the NCCAA Tournament and are ineligible for NCAA selection.

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

So the Aurora and Clarke winner might have a shot at getting in.  All that does is open things up for the rest of the teams.  It also has to make Maryville feel better.

[njlincolnlion]

The Lincoln, Penn State Abington game scheduled for tonight has been postphoned  .  PSU Abington policy is that no school activities are permitted if the school is closed on that day.  PSU Abington was closed due to the weekend snowstorm.  No make up date was announced.

[Pat Coleman]

Updated men's QOWI through Sunday, the ones that will be used in this week's regional rankings:

1-10
Amherst     12.091     21-1
Lawrence    11.444    18-0
Trinity (Texas)    11.188    14-2
Worcester Polytech    11.143    18-3
Mississippi College    10.950    19-1
Carnegie Mellon    10.938    13-3
York (Pa.)    10.905    19-2
Cortland State    10.900    19-1
Occidental    10.833    11-1
St. John Fisher    10.789    18-1
               
11-20
Wooster    10.737    18-1
Augustana    10.700    18-2
Tufts    10.682    18-4
Wittenberg    10.667    16-2
Lincoln    10.563    12-4
Virginia Wesleyan    10.522    20-3
Illinois Wesleyan    10.471    13-4
Transylvania    10.364    18-4
Baldwin-Wallace    10.333    19-2
New York University     10.333     17-4

21-30
Hope    10.267    13-2
Carroll    10.263    17-2
Gordon    10.250    18-2
William Paterson    10.238    15-6
UW-La Crosse    10.227    17-5
Calvin    10.200    9-1
Baruch    10.190    19-2
New Jersey    10.158    14-5
Randolph-Macon    10.143    16-5
Trinity (Conn.)    10.111    14-4

31-40
Rochester    10.056    13-5
Bates    10.050    15-5
Widener    10.048    18-3
St. Thomas    10.045    17-5
Carleton    10.000    15-4
Howard Payne    9.950    15-5
SUNY-Farmingdale    9.947    15-4
Washington U.    9.875    11-5
Ursinus    9.857    17-4
Wartburg    9.842    16-3

41-50
Albion    9.833    10-2
Puget Sound    9.800    13-2
Lakeland    9.800    16-4
Fisk    9.769    9-4
Westfield State    9.762    14-7
UW-Stout    9.737    15-4
Johns Hopkins    9.684    15-4
Alvernia    9.667    18-3
Keene State    9.650    14-6
Christopher Newport    9.636    9-2

51-60
UW-Whitewater    9.611    13-5
Maryville (Tenn.)    9.600    14-6
Whitworth    9.600    15-5
Williams    9.591    15-7
Rhode Island College    9.545    15-7
Plymouth State    9.522    15-8
MIT    9.500    13-7
Southwestern    9.500    13-5
Catholic    9.474    14-5
McMurry    9.450    15-5

61-70
Salem State    9.429    15-6
New Jersey City    9.429    14-7
UW-Oshkosh    9.421    12-7
Elmhurst    9.421    13-6
Albright    9.421    12-7
Wheaton (Mass.)    9.400    13-7
Hanover    9.389    12-6
Hamilton    9.389    15-3
Richard Stockton    9.381    13-8
Willamette    9.353    15-2

71-80
North Central    9.353    12-5
UW-Stevens Point    9.350    13-7
Nebraska Wesleyan    9.333    5-1
Lake Erie    9.278    15-3
Franklin    9.250    15-5
Messiah    9.250    14-6
Bethany    9.250    16-4
Rutgers-Newark    9.227    15-7
Emmanuel    9.190    16-5
Elms    9.167    14-4

81-90
Mary Hardin-Baylor    9.143    15-6
Mount St. Mary    9.100    15-5
Brockport State    9.056    11-7
Utica    9.048    16-5
Ramapo    9.000    12-7
Milwaukee Engineering    9.000    14-6
Endicott    9.000    12-7
Coast Guard    9.000    14-6
Centre    9.000    12-6
Bowdoin    9.000    12-7

91-100
Averett    9.000    12-5
Scranton    8.952    15-6
Manhattanville    8.952    13-8
Oswego State    8.952    16-5
Loras    8.950    13-7
Elizabethtown    8.950    12-8
Chicago    8.941    10-7
Hardin-Simmons    8.905    14-7
Norwich    8.900    15-5
Mass-Boston    8.900    12-8

[wilkes72]

Baptist Bible 13-3, MA region 8.81.  They have big wins over King's and Wilkes, which look good as well as a very close loss to Lincoln.  There is one game remaining, against Keuka, their max is potentially 14-3, 9.29.

Correction on BB, they won over King's but lost to Wilkes.  Probably a moot point since Pat says that they are ineligible.

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

Yeah, I messed that one up, but indeed, they seem to be off the list anyway.