Pool C

[Baldini]

Baldini:
By the time the Regional Committee meets for this week, Catholic will have added two more losses (1 to E-town & 1 to Scranton).
Should E-town knock off Catholic for a third time in the Landmark first round, they will have made their case for a spot & it will be the Cardinals working the beads.

All good points and more than likely there will be some shuffling of the deck this week. My original post was based off of the current regional rankings and meant to be used as a starting point of discussion. One thing is for sure, the Catholic - Etown game on Wednesday is huge for both sides. Much is yet to be determined.   

[ronk]

 Wondering how UC-Santa Cruz is eligible; the requirement is minimum 70% of schedule against D3 and with 2 games max in the C2C tourney this weekend, they'll be at 65%(13 of 20). 

[Caz Bombers]

Wondering how UC-Santa Cruz is eligible; the requirement is minimum 70% of schedule against D3 and with 2 games max in the C2C tourney this weekend, they'll be at 65%(13 of 20).

I believe a blanket waiver for the 70 percent requirement was issued for this school year in all sports.

[ronk]

 That sounds right but they ought to put the waiver's activation in the pre-championship handbook.

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

Some schools like Santa Cruz and Nebraska Wesleyan in the pre ARC days, would put in for a waiver every year as a matter of course.  It's usually granted for these schools where geography and conference affiliation makes playing a full slate of d3 games more difficult.

[VT-Alum-NOVA]

although a very good team, unless UCSC wins C2C tournament, I do not think they will get Pool C bid.

[Dave 'd-mac' McHugh]

Did you miss Monday night's Hoopsville? No worries, you can catch up On Demand or via the podcast!

The final week of the D-III regular season is here. And most conferences are in full voice to determine who will automatically play in NCAA Tournaments.



On Monday's Hoopsville, we get you set for the final week - the final sprint - to the regular season finish line. While most conferences will be crowning champions at the end of the week, some teams have already punched their tickets to March post-season play and others are already on the bubble. We prepare you for the craziest week of every season.

Plus, we chat with teams in Regions 1 and 2, 4, 6, and 8 to see how they are preparing themselves for their conference finishes.

Guests include:

• Heather Macy, Greensboro women's coach
• Glen Miller, No. 12 St. Joseph's (Conn.) men's coach
• Pat Coleman, Editor-in-Chief, D3hoops.com
• Joe Crispin, Rowan men's coach
• Amanda Leonhard-Perry, St. Norbert women's coach

Hoopsville is presented by D3hoops.com and airs from the NABC Studio. All guests appear on the BlueFrame Technology Hoopsville Hotline.

Watch the show here: www.d3hoops.com/hoopsville/archives/2021-22/feb21

Podcast here: https://soundcloud.com/hoopsville/1923-conference-races?utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=social_sharing

[Riley Zayas]

although a very good team, unless UCSC wins C2C tournament, I do not think they will get Pool C bid.

I would agree. I have really liked what I've seen from UCSC but they just don't have enough quality wins in my opinion. Had they beaten CNU a couple weeks ago, I don't doubt they would be in large contention for a Pool C bid. But a 4-point loss is still a loss and the Tufts loss back in December looks really bad on their resume, even though they had a limited bench.

[scottiedawg]

To me it comes down to how the committee views the only 8 D3 wins.

Other than that:
* WP is good
* SOS is elite
* 2 wins v RRO is right in the mix

Here's a smattering of potential Pool C teams with 2 wins v RRO:

UW-Oshkosh
UC Santa Cruz
Elizabethtown
Wartburg
St. Joseph's ME
Berea
Hardin-Simmons
York PA
Hartwick
Widener
Pacific
Bowdoin
Calvin
Vassar
MIT

[scottiedawg]

Though UCSC being behind Trinity and Redlands in the region indicates the committee is absolutely docking them for the smaller resume.

Both Redlands and Trinity have similar resumes:
* Very good WP
* Very bad SOS (near the "Scott inferred" redline of 0.480)
* Only 1 win v RRO

[MrMaus]

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Reg	Team	Conf	D3 Win %	RR Win %	SoS	# RR Opp	Pool	RR 2/13	Top 16 2/17	D3 Hoops 2/20	NCAA 2/22	RPI
R06	Christopher Newport	C2C	100%	100%	0.577	9	A	1	1	613	250	0.725
R07	Trine	MIAA	92%	71%	0.544	7	A	1	9	574	209	0.675
R08	Transylvania	HCAC	100%	100%	0.540	4	A	1	2	560	237	0.701
R09	Simpson	ARC	96%	86%	0.555	7	A	1	3	530	203	0.696
R10	Whitman	NWC	95%	50%	0.533	2	A	2		499	215	0.680
R04	New York University	UAA	95%	90%	0.564	10	A	1	10	464	193	0.701
R01	Amherst	NESCAC	91%	88%	0.600	8	A	1	4	429	178	0.708
R07	DePauw	NCAC	92%	71%	0.540	7	A	2	11	388	146	0.672
R09	UW-Whitewater	WIAC	88%	63%	0.598	8	A	2	7	387	147	0.696
R07	John Carroll	OAC	87%	67%	0.557	9	A	4		367	146	0.666
R05	Scranton	LAND	92%	78%	0.585	9	A	1	8	271	97	0.702
R10	Trinity (Texas)	SCAC	92%	33%	0.483	3	A	4		207	98	0.636
R10	Mary Hardin-Baylor	ASC	88%	75%	0.537	8	A	1	13	197	5	0.656
R02	Smith	NEWMAC	91%	82%	0.605	11	A	1	6	194	59	0.713
R05	Messiah	MACC	87%	67%	0.570	6	A	3	16	146	104	0.675
R08	Wisconsin Lutheran	NACC	95%	100%	0.487	3	A	2		140	130	0.650
R03	St. John Fisher	E8	92%	50%	0.536	4	A	2		130	57	0.670
R03	Ithaca	LL	88%	67%	0.537	9	A	1	15	57	34	0.657
R05	Gettysburg	CC	88%	50%	0.554	6	A	2	14	39	8	0.668
R04	DeSales	MACF	86%	67%	0.519	6	A	2		19	12	0.637
R08	Webster	SLIAC	100%	#DIV/0!	0.449	0	A			15		0.642
R08	Millikin	CCIW	80%	67%	0.556	12	A	3		11		0.641
R06	Rhodes	SAA	90%	50%	0.482	4	A	2		7	48	0.630
R02	Roger Williams	CCC	92%	50%	0.502	2	A	3		4	36	0.647
R07	Washington and Jefferson	PAC	81%	0%	0.475	1	A			4		0.592
R09	Augsburg	MIAC	79%	25%	0.506	4	A	9		2		0.606
R01	Emmanuel	GNAC	96%	75%	0.483	4	A	3				0.649
R03	Cortland	SUNYAC	83%	50%	0.548	4	A	3				0.648
R06	Washington and Lee	ODAC	79%	33%	0.514	3	A	3				0.611
R04	Kean	NJAC	74%	29%	0.533	7	A	4				0.605
R10	Redlands	SCIAC	86%	50%	0.498	2	A	5			1	0.624
R01	Husson	NAC	77%	50%	0.546	6	A	7				0.626
R02	Rhode Island College	LEC	80%	0%	0.517	4	A	7				0.616
R05	Marymount	AEC	70%	29%	0.568	7	A	9				0.613
R06	Greensboro	USAC	95%	50%	0.446	2	A				4	0.623
R03	Mount St. Mary	SKY	87%	0%	0.512	1	A					0.637
R09	Northwestern (Minn.)	UMAC	82%	25%	0.512	4	A					0.619
R07	Penn State-Behrend	AMCC	83%	0%	0.474	1	A					0.600
R04	Brooklyn	CUNYAC	86%	0%	0.458	3	A					0.600
R01	Framingham State	MASCAC	87%	50%	0.453	2	A					0.599
R05	Clarks Summit	CSAC	82%	0%	0.471	1	A					0.593
R09	Ripon	MWC	64%	0%	0.521	3	A					0.563
R02	New England College	NECC	71%	0%	0.430	3	A					0.527
R04	Gallaudet	UEC	65%	0%	0.439	1	A					0.513

[MrMaus]

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Reg	Team	Conf	D3 Win %	RR Win %	SoS	# RR Opp	Pool	RR 2/13	Top 16 2/17	D3 Hoops 2/20	NCAA 2/22	RPI
R07	Hope	MIAA	95%	80%	0.523	5	C	3	12	592	233	0.674
R01	Tufts	NESCAC	87%	75%	0.632	12	C	2	5	391	126	0.715
R07	Baldwin Wallace	OAC	82%	60%	0.563	10	C	5		267	80	0.652
R09	Wartburg	ARC	83%	40%	0.537	5	C	4		184	13	0.638
R10	East Texas Baptist	ASC	83%	67%	0.542	9	C	3		137	7	0.642
R02	Springfield	NEWMAC	88%	57%	0.539	7	C	2		92	71	0.657
R10	Hardin-Simmons	ASC	82%	33%	0.522	6	C	7		52	18	0.626
R07	Marietta	OAC	84%	50%	0.536	8	C	6		36		0.642
R01	Trinity (Conn.)	NESCAC	76%	57%	0.585	7	C	4		31		0.647
R10	UC Santa Cruz	C2C	73%	50%	0.635	4	C	6		28	12	0.667
R09	UW-Oshkosh	WIAC	78%	40%	0.595	5	C	7		28		0.660
R09	UW-Eau Claire	WIAC	72%	60%	0.621	10	C	3		12		0.656
R09	Gustavus Adolphus	MIAC	83%	33%	0.496	3	C	8		10		0.612
R05	Catholic	LAND	83%	43%	0.548	7	C	5		6	32	0.645
R05	Elizabethtown	LAND	83%	33%	0.557	6	C	7		3		0.654
R10	Puget Sound	NWC	81%	0%	0.532	3	C	9		2	34	0.629
R04	Stevens	MACF	74%	63%	0.530	8	C	3				0.603
R05	Johns Hopkins	CC	88%	75%	0.539	4	C	4			3	0.657
R02	Babson	NEWMAC	74%	44%	0.591	9	C	4				0.643
R06	Mary Washington	C2C	67%	40%	0.615	10	C	4				0.633
R08	Carroll	CCIW	75%	56%	0.542	9	C	4				0.615
R03	Vassar	LL	71%	25%	0.545	8	C	4				0.602
R06	Berea	USAC	82%	50%	0.505	4	C	5			4	0.615
R02	WPI	NEWMAC	82%	43%	0.523	7	C	5				0.626
R03	Hartwick	E8	75%	50%	0.558	4	C	5				0.625
R01	Bates	NESCAC	68%	60%	0.594	10	C	5				0.625
R09	Loras	ARC	71%	33%	0.557	9	C	5				0.610
R08	Washington U.	UAA	54%	38%	0.608	13	C	5				0.585
R04	Kings	MACF	70%	17%	0.516	6	C	5				0.579
R05	York (Pa.)	MACC	79%	40%	0.548	5	C	6				0.633
R01	St. Josephs (Maine)	GNAC	83%	40%	0.500	5	C	6				0.617
R06	Piedmont	USAC	80%	20%	0.512	5	C	6				0.613
R09	Bethany Lutheran	UMAC	72%	50%	0.538	6	C	6				0.602
R08	Illinois Wesleyan	CCIW	68%	55%	0.557	11	C	6				0.600
R02	MIT	NEWMAC	60%	25%	0.583	8	C	6				0.589
R04	Rowan	NJAC	67%	43%	0.530	7	C	6				0.578
R07	Oberlin	NCAC	87%	0%	0.492	2	C	7				0.624
R03	SUNY New Paltz	SUNYAC	75%	25%	0.555	4	C	7				0.623
R06	Emory	UAA	65%	50%	0.566	10	C	7				0.596
R08	Chicago	UAA	61%	31%	0.585	13	C	7				0.593
R04	Montclair State	NJAC	61%	17%	0.526	6	C	7				0.555
R05	Salisbury	C2C	77%	44%	0.572	9	C	8				0.642
R03	St. Lawrence	LL	83%	25%	0.491	4	C	8				0.611
R01	Maine Maritime	NAC	82%	20%	0.500	5	C	8				0.611
R06	Southern Virginia	USAC	83%	0%	0.492	3	C	8				0.611
R07	Otterbein	OAC	75%	33%	0.516	9	C	8				0.598
R10	Texas-Dallas	ASC	65%	14%	0.543	7	C	8				0.581
R08	Wheaton (Ill.)	CCIW	60%	27%	0.554	11	C	8				0.570
R01	Bowdoin	NESCAC	64%	22%	0.597	9	C	9				0.612
R07	Calvin	MIAA	72%	25%	0.528	8	C	9				0.595
R08	North Park	CCIW	63%	36%	0.520	11	C	9				0.557
R07	Ohio Northern	OAC	70%	13%	0.524	8	C	10				0.584

[MrMaus]

Sorry for breaking it into multiple posts, but there is a limit (who knew).

The first table is an estimate of the conference champions, using the highest ranked team per conference based on the Regional Ranking from Feb 13, or the highest winning percentage if no team in the conference was ranked.

In the second table are all the remaining ranked team, this includes from any ranking; Regional, D3 Hoops, or NCAA.

The table headers should be self explanatory for anyone who actually finds these pages, but let me know if they are not.

[Baldini]

Thanks, very nice work. 

[scottiedawg]

Prior to tonight I had Marietta ~12th among Pool C bids. This loss tonight will drop them for sure. With a few tourney upsets, Marietta could find themselves on the bubble. I think they're still in but tonight did not help.