MBB: Heartland Collegiate Athletic Conference

[Darryl Nester]

Don't be too hard on hcacdad--I can sympathize after Bluffton's loss to Hanover today.

With three wins in a row, preceded by close losses at Defiance and Transy, Hanover is really coming on strong late in the season.

By the way, I discovered that AU is not quite guaranteed a spot in the tournament ... that "100.0%" in the report I posted on Thursday was rounded up from 99.96%.  (It dropped slightly, to 99.92%, with Hanover's win today.)  From now on, I will add an extra decimal place to the printout.

[GRIZ_BACKER]

Hanover is on fire.  I just told my wife the FC is in trouble if they go down there assuming any kind of game but a tough one.  HC is playing as well as any team in the conference right now.

[Darryl Nester]

Hanover  92, Bluffton 78
Anderson 59, Defiance 64
Transylvania 60, Rose-Hulman 47
Mt. St. Joseph 67, Manchester 75

Team	Overall	Home	Away	Remaining Games
Franklin	10-2	6-0	4-2	vs. TU, @ MSJ, @ HC, vs. DC
Transylvania	10-2	6-0	4-2	@ FC, vs. BU, vs. MSJ, @ AU
Defiance	9-3	5-1	4-2	@ MSJ, vs. RHIT, vs. BU, @ FC
Anderson	7-6	4-2	3-4	@ BU, vs. MC, vs. TU
Bluffton	6-6	3-3	3-3	vs. AU, @ TU, @ DC, vs. MSJ
Hanover	4-9	3-3	1-6	@ RHIT, vs. MC, vs. FC
Manchester	4-9	2-5	2-4	@ HC, @ AU, vs. RHIT
Rose-Hulman	4-9	1-6	3-3	vs. HC, @ DC, @ MC
Mount St. Joseph	2-10	2-4	0-6	vs. DC, vs. FC, @ TU, @ BU

Transy now ends up with the regular season championship in a slight majority of the remaining scenarios.  Wednesday's TU/FC matchup will obviously have a substantial impact on that number.  AU and BU have lost their slim shots at the #1 seed.

Team	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	In tournament
TU	56.92%	32.73%	9.96%	0.39%	0.00%	0.00%	100.0%
FC	33.71%	37.51%	28.78%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	100.0%
DC	9.38%	29.37%	56.04%	5.07%	0.14%	0.00%	100.0%
AU	0.00%	0.00%	2.44%	59.03%	37.03%	1.49%	100.0%	(for real this time.)
BU	0.00%	0.39%	2.77%	35.32%	55.24%	5.50%	99.2%
HC	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.19%	5.63%	25.03%	30.9%
MC	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.78%	35.03%	35.8%
RHIT	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.78%	31.96%	32.7%
MSJ	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.39%	0.98%	1.4%

[sac]

Transylvania(10-2) at Franklin(10-2) Wed night

[GRIZ_BACKER]

Big game for sure.  However with Hanover playing like a conference leader and Defiance still on the schedule, the tournament begins Wed eve for Franklin.

[kyballr]

predictions on wed. tufan?  oh spokesperson for vampire basketball you.........

[tu-fan]

Tomorrow nights contest should be a good one. I hope Franklin has live video so I can watch the game rather than watching live stats,however it will be very difficult to watch on my dial up internet connection....

Darryl,

If I am looking at this correctly, if TU wins tomorrow- they would have a 1 game lead over Franklin and the tie break. That would mean unless they lose 2 of their last 3-the HCAC tourney would be at TU? Also, what effect do you see the Wittenburg (canceled due to weather) having on the Pioneers chances of at large bids or even hosting the NCAA tourney...assuming they should win out

[kyballr]

tu fan,

grizzly site does not mention live video.    at large bid? Vampires should move up in regional rankings with St. Norbert losses  but Franklin is 6-0 at home and ya better not overlook them ... TU still has Beavers coming to Beck Center and they lost to them in the Blufton Beaver Dome earlier..  Witt game is tough loss because this looks like the year to get them, even on the road   .they broke TU hearts in 2006 keeping Lane and the boys from Final Four....   Other big games in the HCAC with conference tourney ramifications.  Lots of teams still in running for 5th and 6th

[kyballr]

griz_backer,
any audio for Transy @ Franklin tonight?

[Darryl Nester]

Darryl,

If I am looking at this correctly, if TU wins tomorrow- they would have a 1 game lead over Franklin and the tie break. That would mean unless they lose 2 of their last 3-the HCAC tourney would be at TU? Also, what effect do you see the Wittenburg (canceled due to weather) having on the Pioneers chances of at large bids or even hosting the NCAA tourney...assuming they should win out

That is correct -- three wins out of the last four (including beating FC) would put the tourney at TU.  More generally, a win for TU tonight would give them the #1 seed in about 84% of scenarios.  If FC wins, they host in about 57% of possible scenarios.

But as kyballr noted, we'd better wait and see how tonight's game goes first.  That will make things a lot clearer.

[BUBeaverFan]

griz_backer,
any audio for Transy @ Franklin tonight?

http://franklincollege.edu/athletics/Webcast/index.cfm?aud=ath

This link suggests that you will be able to listen to the Transy @ Franklin game tonight. 

[Darryl Nester]

Transylvania 76, Franklin 88      
Anderson 88, Bluffton 93 OT
Hanover 71, Rose-Hulman    66
Defiance 68, Mount St. Joseph 64

MSJ falls out of contention for the conference tournament, while Bluffton locks in a spot.

Team	Overall	Home	Away	Remaining Games
Franklin	11-2	7-0	4-2	@ MSJ, @ HC, vs. DC
Defiance	10-3	5-1	5-2	vs. RHIT, vs. BU, @ FC
Transylvania	10-3	6-0	4-3	vs. BU, vs. MSJ, @ AU
Bluffton	7-6	4-3	3-3	@ TU, @ DC, vs. MSJ
Anderson	7-7	4-2	3-5	vs. MC, vs. TU
Hanover	5-9	3-3	2-6	vs. MC, vs. FC
Manchester	4-9	2-5	2-4	@ HC, @ AU, vs. RHIT
Rose-Hulman	4-10	1-7	3-3	@ DC, @ MC
Mount St. Joseph	2-11	2-5	0-6	vs. FC, @ TU, @ BU

Team	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	In tournament
FC	52.15%	27.15%	20.70%	---	---	---	IN!
TU	27.15%	44.73%	25.78%	2.34%	---	---	IN!
DC	20.70%	27.34%	50.98%	0.98%	---	---	IN!
BU	---	0.78%	2.54%	66.31%	27.93%	2.44%	IN!
AU	---	---	---	29.69%	64.84%	5.47%	IN!
HC	---	---	---	0.68%	7.23%	46.97%	54.883%
MC	---	---	---	---	---	31.25%	31.250%
RHIT	---	---	---	---	---	13.87%	13.867%
MSJ	---	---	---	---	---	---	---

[GRIZ_BACKER]

FC and Transy played at a tournament and NCAA caliber pace and effort tonight.  Great plays by both teams.  Transy coach a bit of a whiner about calls but plenty of tough calls made against both teams.  Very physical battle.  Best game of the year for FC as the Griz attacked the basket and the bench was productive.

Griz need to step it up again as they travel to MSJ and Hanover before they defend the home court against the yellowjackets.

[kyballr]

TU Fan,
Power out throughout Central KY again ...first ice then crazy winds...probably glad I did not have to endure audio...you get to listen?
i'm not going to tell you I told you so but......they were 6-0 at home.
looking at box score,  Verax must have struggled with 6 points, foul out and technical? He had over 20 points in earlier game.  bye bye conference tourney in Ky.  we could have used the economic stimulus...

Griz, how did the tech on Verax and Gasser happen?

[tu-fan]

Unfortunately, I did get to listen to parts of the game. I was outside chasing siding off of my house most of the night. Ugly game in Franklin (for the pioneers) apparently. I spoke with a good friend that went to the game this morning. He said the Pioneers couldn't guard the weave. While he said the officiating was not good - he said TU just wasn't good enough to win the game last night. As for the Verax tech, notsure what happened-hard to understand on radio. I do know he fouled out with 15 + minutes in the 2nd half. When he went to the bench....the rest was history.