2012 Division III NCAA Tournament

Started by Ralph Turner, August 29, 2005, 06:56:11 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

T990

ESPN coverage of the D3 tournament:

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=darcy/090305

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/index

There's a rumor that ESPN will do a TV piece on MIT basketball tonight on Sportscenter (?).  [I don't know the details.]


Hugenerd

Quote from: T990 on March 05, 2009, 03:06:38 PM
ESPN coverage of the D3 tournament:

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=darcy/090305

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/index

There's a rumor that ESPN will do a TV piece on MIT basketball tonight on Sportscenter (?).  [I don't know the details.]



I hear the same rumor.

pabegg

How abotu we quantify the Bracket of Death.

I took the 60 tournament participants along with my power rankings (based on D3 results only), and ran the round-by-round chances of each team.

This list is ranked by best chance of a NCAA title to worst chance (Husson shows 0, which is rounding of 1 in 1.5 million!).

For example, St. Thomas has a 94+% chance of getting out of their opener, a 63% chance of surviving the weekend, a 25% chance of getting to Salem, and a 15% chance of winning it all.

Bottom line, the Bracket of Death has at 50.5% chance of winning the Walnut and Bronze, better than the other three quadrants combined.



St. Thomas                    0.9479 0.6311 0.3976 0.2534 0.2016 0.1548
Puget Sound                   1.0000 0.7458 0.3568 0.2015 0.1487 0.1051
Wheaton (Ill.)                0.9414 0.6173 0.3705 0.1815 0.1333 0.0938
Richard Stockton              0.9327 0.6779 0.4559 0.2826 0.1753 0.0774
Ithaca                        1.0000 0.6822 0.4208 0.2976 0.1712 0.0737
Middlebury                    1.0000 0.6989 0.4501 0.2480 0.1442 0.0581
Washington U.                 0.7911 0.4638 0.2357 0.1052 0.0734 0.0488
UW-Stevens Point              0.8092 0.3332 0.1731 0.0908 0.0639 0.0429
Mass-Dartmouth                0.7047 0.4653 0.2419 0.1630 0.0877 0.0346
Elms                          0.8467 0.5815 0.2800 0.1478 0.0781 0.0276
John Carroll                  0.7999 0.5057 0.2965 0.1653 0.0527 0.0272
Capital                       0.8031 0.5336 0.2945 0.1646 0.0519 0.0267
UW-Platteville                0.7920 0.3383 0.1690 0.0659 0.0424 0.0259
Texas-Dallas                  1.0000 0.5740 0.3185 0.1681 0.0485 0.0234
UW-Whitewater                 0.5552 0.2785 0.1246 0.0482 0.0309 0.0188
Franklin and Marshall         0.7481 0.4527 0.2643 0.1107 0.0471 0.0138
Trinity (Texas)               0.7356 0.3587 0.1948 0.1005 0.0279 0.0132
Rhode Island College          0.6480 0.3654 0.1685 0.0770 0.0375 0.0119
Centre                        0.6685 0.3531 0.1809 0.0914 0.0250 0.0116
Carnegie Mellon               0.8242 0.3979 0.2015 0.0962 0.0241 0.0106
Worcester Polytech            0.8754 0.3855 0.1541 0.0858 0.0359 0.0103
Transylvania                  0.5436 0.2978 0.1501 0.0746 0.0199 0.0091
Elmhurst                      0.4448 0.1998 0.0789 0.0265 0.0156 0.0087
SUNY-Farmingdale              0.5998 0.3169 0.1387 0.0602 0.0279 0.0083
Salem State                   0.6133 0.3634 0.1959 0.0765 0.0304 0.0082
St. Joseph's (L.I.)           0.5595 0.1909 0.0877 0.0488 0.0204 0.0058
Widener                       0.6987 0.3563 0.1802 0.0647 0.0236 0.0057
Whitworth                     0.6665 0.1982 0.0564 0.0203 0.0110 0.0056
Amherst                       0.6304 0.2196 0.1078 0.0466 0.0202 0.0055
Bridgewater State             0.6574 0.2283 0.1124 0.0451 0.0194 0.0052
Guilford                      0.4564 0.2305 0.1065 0.0484 0.0112 0.0047
Brandeis                      0.5882 0.2912 0.1500 0.0529 0.0190 0.0045
Wooster                       0.5679 0.2426 0.1005 0.0423 0.0086 0.0033
DeSales                       0.4405 0.1269 0.0511 0.0254 0.0092 0.0022
St. Lawrence                  0.5463 0.2139 0.0691 0.0250 0.0091 0.0020
University of New England     0.4002 0.1719 0.0591 0.0202 0.0074 0.0016
Baruch                        0.2953 0.1364 0.0433 0.0203 0.0068 0.0015
Rochester Tech                0.3867 0.1863 0.0796 0.0229 0.0067 0.0013
MIT                           0.3520 0.1459 0.0468 0.0149 0.0051 0.0010
Scranton                      0.4118 0.1691 0.0723 0.0200 0.0056 0.0010
Gettysburg                    0.4321 0.1577 0.0552 0.0197 0.0031 0.0010
Brooklyn                      0.4537 0.1591 0.0452 0.0145 0.0047 0.0009
Averett                       0.3315 0.1186 0.0413 0.0140 0.0021 0.0006
Gwynedd-Mercy                 0.3696 0.0896 0.0328 0.0102 0.0032 0.0006
Lawrence                      0.2089 0.0579 0.0129 0.0023 0.0009 0.0003
St. Joseph's (Maine)          0.3426 0.0728 0.0245 0.0064 0.0018 0.0003
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps        0.3335 0.0560 0.0091 0.0020 0.0007 0.0003
Cornell                       0.1908 0.0286 0.0062 0.0013 0.0005 0.0002
Maryville (Tenn.)             0.2644 0.0673 0.0208 0.0058 0.0007 0.0002
Wesley                        0.2519 0.0870 0.0285 0.0056 0.0011 0.0001
Virginia Wesleyan             0.3013 0.0940 0.0292 0.0056 0.0011 0.0001
Hope                          0.2080 0.0361 0.0077 0.0011 0.0004 0.0001
Medaille                      0.2001 0.0649 0.0175 0.0043 0.0004 0.0001
Thomas More                   0.1969 0.0660 0.0158 0.0039 0.0004 0.0001
SUNYIT                        0.1533 0.0455 0.0071 0.0012 0.0002 0.0000
Brockport State               0.1758 0.0315 0.0057 0.0010 0.0001 0.0000
Aurora                        0.0521 0.0071 0.0008 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000
Rensselaer                    0.0673 0.0129 0.0021 0.0003 0.0000 0.0000
Fontbonne                     0.0586 0.0082 0.0008 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000
Husson                        0.1246 0.0128 0.0011 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000

Gregory Sager

The tourney history of this year's 60 participants:

Newbies:
Husson
MIT
Medaille
New England
St. Joseph's (NY)
SUNYIT
Thomas More
Wesley

Been There, Done That:
schoolapps1st appE8sF4s'chips  W-L  (%)
Brandeis    6  1975  3  0  0  8-5  (.615)
Brockport State    9  1975  3  1  013-8  (.619)
Franklin & Marshall  20  1975  7  4  032-23  (.582)
RPI    5  1975  0  0  0  3-5  (.375)
Rhode Island C.    6  1975  2  0  0  6-7  (.462)
St. Lawrence  11  1975  1  0  0  8-12  (.400)
Scranton  22  1975  5  4  233-21  (.611)
Transylvania    7  1975  1  0  0  7-6  (.538)
Widener  17  1975  2  2  020-18  (.526)
Cornell    3  1976  0  0  0  0-3  (.000)
Mass-Dartmouth  14  1976  2  1  014-14  (.500)
Rochester Tech    7  1976  0  0  0  2-7  (.222)
Carnegie Mellon    3  1977  0  0  0  0-3  (.000)
Ithaca    7  1977  0  0  0  2-9  (.182)
Virginia Wesleyan    9  1978  2  2  113-9  (.591)
Wooster  18  1978  3  2  017-18  (.486)
Centre  12  1979  3  2  012-16  (.429)
Salem State  22  1980  1  1  021-23  (.477)
Brooklyn    2  1982  1  1  0  4-1  (.800)
Capital    8  1982  1  0  0  6-7  (.462)
Hope  20  1982  4  2  025-20  (.556)
WPI    6  1982  1  0  0  4-6  (.400)
Bridgewater State    4  1983  0  0  0  1-3  (.250)
John Carroll  11  1983  3  1  018-12  (.600)
UW-Whitewater  15  1983  3  3  222-13  (.629)
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps    9  1984  0  0  0  3-9  (.250)
Richard Stockton  12  1987  3  1  016-13  (.552)
Washington (MO)  14  1987  4  2  120-12  (.625)
Averett    4  1990  0  0  0  1-4  (.200)
St. Thomas  10  1990  1  1  0  9-10  (.474)
Maryville (TN)  16  1991  1  0  013-15  (.464)
UW-Platteville  10  1991  6  5  430-5  (.857)
Elmhurst    3  1992  0  0  0  2-2  (.500)
Amherst  12  1994  6  4  123-11  (.676)
Wheaton (IL)    6  1995  1  0  0  5-5  (.500)
DeSales    2  1996  0  0  0  0-1  (.000)
Fontbonne    4  1996  0  0  0  0-3  (.000)
Gettysburg    5  1996  0  0  0  2-4  (.333)
Lawrence    6  1997  1  0  0  5-5  (.500)
UW-Stevens Point    8  1997  4  2  218-5  (.783)
Aurora    7  1998  0  0  0  1-6  (.143)
Trinity (TX)    7  1998  1  0  0  4-6  (.400)
Baruch    3  2000  0  0  0  0-2  (.000)
St. Joseph's (ME)    2  2003  0  0  0  0-1  (.000)
Whitworth    4  2003  0  0  0  2-3  (.400)
Gwynedd-Mercy    3  2004  0  0  0  1-2  (.333)
Puget Sound    4  2004  1  0  0  4-3  (.579)
Elms    5  2005  0  0  0  1-4  (.200)
Texas-Dallas    2  2005  0  0  0  0-1  (.000)
Farmingdale State    3  2006  0  0  0  1-2  (.333)
Guilford    3  2007  0  0  0  2-2  (.500)
Middlebury    2  2008  0  0  0  0-1  (.000)


"To see what is in front of one's nose is a constant struggle." -- George Orwell

Hugenerd

Quote from: hugenerd on March 05, 2009, 03:56:18 PM
Quote from: T990 on March 05, 2009, 03:06:38 PM
ESPN coverage of the D3 tournament:

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=darcy/090305

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/index

There's a rumor that ESPN will do a TV piece on MIT basketball tonight on Sportscenter (?).  [I don't know the details.]


I hear the same rumor.

I now hear it is likely the 6:00 (early) sportscenter that will have it.

Hugenerd

Quote from: hugenerd on March 05, 2009, 04:14:40 PM
Quote from: hugenerd on March 05, 2009, 03:56:18 PM
Quote from: T990 on March 05, 2009, 03:06:38 PM
ESPN coverage of the D3 tournament:

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=darcy/090305

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/index

There's a rumor that ESPN will do a TV piece on MIT basketball tonight on Sportscenter (?).  [I don't know the details.]


I hear the same rumor.

I now hear it is likely the 6:00 (early) sportscenter that will have it.

I now hear MIT may have been bumped to ESPNU.

Just Bill

Pat sent out a Tweet that said 5:30 ET on ESPN U which is 15 minutes from now.
"That seems silly and pointless..." - Hoops Fan

The first and still most accurate description of the D3 Championship BeltTM thread.

Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)


Since it's that time of year, there is only one piece of information I keep an eye on regularly.  I have a spreadsheet with all the teams who have won at least one game in the tournament since its inception.

Wittenberg is still tops with 18 years with a win.  F&M has a chance to move to solo #2 (they are currently tied with IWU at 14).

In terms of active streaks, Maryville lost their first game last year, ending what was the record of nine consecutive tournaments with a win.  Amherst, however, tied said record with their first win last year.  They enter this year's tournament with a chance to make it a full decade of NCAA tournament wins.

Amherst  - 9
Va Wesleyan - 4
Hope - 3
Widener - 3

It should be noted that VA Wesleyan plays Widener, so one of them will continue their streak.

There are also five teams with a two year streak (WashU, Centre, Stevens Point, Brandeis, and Rhode Island College).
Lead Columnist for D3hoops.com
@ryanalanscott just about anywhere

sac

#1178
Quote from: Gregory Sager on March 05, 2009, 04:12:47 PM
[
Been There, Done That:
schoolapps1st appE8sF4s'chips  W-L  (%)
Hope  20  1982  4  2  025-20  (.556)


Hope has been to 3 Final Fours.....1996, 1998, 2008
Hope's record was once 3-11 in the tournament.

but +k anyway, well done.

Hugenerd

#1179
MIT UPSETS RIC ON THEIR HOME COURT

Bartolotta had an awful game in regulation, but took over in OT.  Going 2-2 from 3 (2-2 from the field overall) and 4-4 from the line, scoring 10.  He finished the game 27 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals.

Billy Johnson played HUGE (before fouling out with 1 minute to go in OT).  He 7-11 from the floor (3-4 from 3), scoring 19 points, adding 11 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 blocks.

Bobby Bailey paced RIC with 16 points.

Greek Tragedy

In the Bracket of Death:  Regarding the poll

#4 Stevens Point at #1 St. Thomas
#5 Platteville at #3 Wheaton
#8 Whitewater vs. #2 Washington U. at Elmhurst
Pointers
Breed of a Champion
2004, 2005, 2010 and 2015 National Champions

Fantasy Leagues Commissioner

TGHIJGSTO!!!

LogShow

Quote from: Old School.... (Tom Doebler) on March 07, 2009, 12:14:47 PM
In the Bracket of Death:  Regarding the poll

#4 Stevens Point at #1 St. Thomas
#5 Platteville at #3 Wheaton
#8 Whitewater vs. #2 Washington U. at Elmhurst


Puget Sound makes their bracket of death debut tonight against Whitworth...it's only their 4 time they played, this year. lol.  Good Luck UPS!

Greek Tragedy

Puget Sound's record v Whitworth

Jan. 16  8:00 PM  at Whitworth * •  W, 89-77 

Feb. 13  8:00 PM  Whitworth * •  W, 81-71 

Feb. 28  7:00 PM  Whitworth •  L, 90-80 OT 

Should be a battle.
Pointers
Breed of a Champion
2004, 2005, 2010 and 2015 National Champions

Fantasy Leagues Commissioner

TGHIJGSTO!!!

LogShow

Quote from: Old School.... (Tom Doebler) on March 07, 2009, 01:48:43 PM
Puget Sound's record v Whitworth

Jan. 16  8:00 PM  at Whitworth * •  W, 89-77 

Feb. 13  8:00 PM  Whitworth * •  W, 81-71 

Feb. 28  7:00 PM  Whitworth •  L, 90-80 OT 

Should be a battle.

It sure will be.  Hoping to get another shot at Point...for old times sake, lol.  Point has a tough battle first too

LogShow

Sager,

I was looking at your posting of tourney records...UW-Platteville's tournament record is just flat out amazing.