Pool B

Pirat · November 05, 2007, 11:23:15 AM

They are. Regional should be 7-1. Hopefully 8-1 by next Saturday.

Bob.Gregg · November 05, 2007, 11:38:25 AM

corrected per d-train's note. thanks.

Team (record/regional record)
Remaining Schedule (Regional Games in Bold)

1. Case Western Reserve (9-0 / 7-0)
Nov. 10 Ohio Wesleyan

2. Wesley (8-1 / 6-1)
including loss to Montclair State (27-26)

Nov. 10 At Morrisville State

3. Whitworth (7-2 / 7-1)
including loss to Redlands, 24-12
Loss to Azusa Pacific (non-NCAA), 38-34

Nov. 10 At Puget South

4. Salisbury (8-1 / 4-1)
including loss at Wesley, 20-13

Nov. 10 Frostburg State

Pool B Bubble (not realistic chance to get invite, B OR C):
Linfield (5-3 / 4-2)
Loss to Willamette, 33-32,
Loss to Western Ore., 32-20 (non-DIII)
Loss to Whitworth, 10-6

Nov. 10 Lewis & Clark

Pacific Lutheran (6-2 / 6-2)
Loss to Whitworth, 28-21,
Loss to Linfield, 24-0

Nov. 10 Willamette

If Case, Wesley, Whitworth and Salisbury win out, I believe

Case, Wesley & Whitworth get "B"s, and Salisburgy gets a "C", the first expanded-bracket C bid going to a B team.

In-region games are bolded.

Pat Coleman · November 07, 2007, 04:52:27 PM

New regional rankings:

http://www.d3football.com/dailydose/2007/11/07/third-regional-rankings/

d-train · November 07, 2007, 06:03:33 PM

Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 07, 2007, 04:52:27 PM
New regional rankings:

http://www.d3football.com/dailydose/2007/11/07/third-regional-rankings/

It's going to be a tight call on the 3rd Pool B bid...and if that '4th' team gets a Pool C bid.

Bob.Gregg · November 07, 2007, 06:57:07 PM

d-train,

I really struggled this week with the #3 & #4.

Case and Wesley are locks for B's.
Whitworth at 8-1 in-region (with a win over Puget Sound) is a lock for a berth (B or C).

Salisbury's likely to get a B, with a win over Frostburg State, though they better hope they get a B because a C is kinda dicey with 5-1 regional mark...

So, I left them Case, Wesley, Whitworth, Salisbury (and I wouldn't want to be Salisbury if Case, Wesley and Whitworth all win...

d-train · November 07, 2007, 07:07:37 PM

Quote from: Bob.Gregg on November 07, 2007, 06:57:07 PM

Whitworth at 8-1 in-region (with a win over Puget Sound) is a lock for a berth (B or C).

Yeah, maybe. I would think that Whitworth's 8-1 record would look better than Salisbury's 5-1. But if they do drop to a Pool C - and SJU, Cal Lutheran, and Central lose - the Pirates might be the 5th rated Pool C in the West. That's cutting it close. But that's kind of 'worst case'. I don't expect both SJU and Central to lose (maybe one of them).

K-Mack · November 07, 2007, 10:51:31 PM

I still find it pretty hard to believe that Salisbury wouldn't get in with all wins and only a loss to Wesley. Despite not playing a schedule with many established programs in the middle there, the wins over Albright and CNU, and the score vs. Wesley, while not great, should tell us something.

Technically speaking, their regional ranking position in the South, with regard to other Bs and Cs, looks promising as well.

I believe Pat's projection will be out tonight.

Bob.Gregg · November 08, 2007, 07:06:03 AM

I believe Salisbury will get a bid with a win Saturday, or with a 2003 style collapse around the at-large party.

I just wouldn't want to be them overnight into Sunday. It won't be the most comfortable night's sleep. That's all.

K-Mack · November 08, 2007, 11:37:03 PM

Man, remember '03? That was a mess.

Only the automatics sleep easy, I'd guess. Everyone else is on edge until they actually see/hear their name called.

Bob.Gregg · November 10, 2007, 09:51:39 AM

I've put all the conference races, key games, head-to-head tiebreakers, AQ berths, Pool B & C eligibles all in one place:

http://www.wjpa.com/All-in-One-Races.htm

Hope someone else finds this useful today...

ADL70 · November 10, 2007, 10:45:10 AM

CWRU will play OWU without starting QB (bruised knee-would be able to play in playoffs) and #1 WR (out for season). There are quality backups. #2 QB was starter in '05 till injured and started some games last season. Has completed 70% of passes this year.

Bob.Gregg · November 10, 2007, 09:42:42 PM

I think Case Western Reserve, Wesley and Salisbury cemented their "B" bids, though Whitworth has a solid case as well.

Case is 10-0 and a lock to get in.
Wesley is 9-1 with the #2 OWP (.716!!!)
Salisbury is 9-1, losing only to Wesley and #13 OWP (.595). The holdup with Salisbury is that they are only 5-1 in-region.

Whitworth is 8-1 in-region but with the #122 strength of schedule, but I think they still get in, likely as the first Pool B team to get a Pool C bid, though it's far from a lock.

gordonmann · November 11, 2007, 02:16:52 AM

Our final playoff projections are posted here.

Have a good night, everyone.

Teamski · November 11, 2007, 10:01:52 AM

Thanks for the hard work!! It is definately appreciated!!

-Ski

Ralph Turner · November 20, 2007, 01:22:15 AM

Quote from: Bob.Gregg on November 10, 2007, 09:42:42 PM
I think Case Western Reserve, Wesley and Salisbury cemented their "B" bids, though Whitworth has a solid case as well.

Case is 10-0 and a lock to get in.
Wesley is 9-1 with the #2 OWP (.716!!!)
Salisbury is 9-1, losing only to Wesley and #13 OWP (.595). The holdup with Salisbury is that they are only 5-1 in-region.

Whitworth is 8-1 in-region but with the #122 strength of schedule, but I think they still get in, likely as the first Pool B team to get a Pool C bid, though it's far from a lock.

Final assessment--Bob almost had it!