The Undefeated and the Winless

[hopefan]

A large number of games yesterday... here's where our lists stand:

Undefeated  (8)    No Changes!!

Bowdoin
Cabrini
Daniel Webster
Dubuque
Husson
Messiah
SUNY-Purchase
UW-Stevens Point


Undefeated vs D3 only  (2)

Albertus Magnus
Wooster


Winless moves from 11 to 8
    Anderson beats Transylvania 67-60
     Dominican beats Wisconsin Lutheran  74-71
     Huntingdon beats Greensboro  89-88

Remaining Winless

Blackburn   (hopefan)
Cairn     (FCGriz 1, Greg Sager 2)
D'Youville
Fitchburg State
Frostburg State
Martin Luther
Newbury
Wheelock   (smedindy)

Winless vs D3 Only moves from 13 to 11

    Worcester State beats Wheaton (Mass)  69-58
    William Peace beats Immaculata  85-77

Remaining on winless vs D3 only list :

Gallaudet
Greensboro
Maine Maritime
Maranatha Baptist
North Carolina Wesleyan
Olivet
Polytechnic
Potsdam State
Simpson
SUNY-Cobleskill
Texas Lutheran    note TexLu is 5-6 overall
Whittier     note whittier is 4-5 overall
   



     
       

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Of the winless mens teams, here's the schools that are having little success with the women as well

Newbury 1-7
Wheelock 1-8
Blackburn 1-9
Cairn 0-10

[hopefan]

no changes to our lists on 1/5, 1/6   

[mailsy]

On 1/8 Undefeated Cabrini 9-0 hosts winless Cairn 0-10. Seeing that trend continue. 

[hopefan]

On 1/8 Undefeated Cabrini 9-0 hosts winless Cairn 0-10. Seeing that trend continue. 

point spread anyone?

[sac]

On 1/8 Undefeated Cabrini 9-0 hosts winless Cairn 0-10. Seeing that trend continue. 

point spread anyone?

punched it into massey's score predictor.

114.2-66.1 avg in a 7 game series, average margin of 48,

take the points......maybe.

[mailsy]

The closest Cairn has gotten in the series(10 games) is 16 points at home early in the year Cavs went to title game. Avg. score is Cabrini 85.5 to Cairn's 59.7. A 25.8 point spread. Cavs haven't put up 100 pts on them yet. They scored 99 in the last meeting.

[hopefan]

Daniel Webster falls off undefeated list, losing to Mitchell  82-73

Now 7 teams remaining undefeated, 8 teams winless

2 teams fall off winless vs D3 only, cutting list from 11 to 9

North Carolina Wesleyan beats William Peace 68-56
Potsdam State beats Manhattanville  68-65
Greensboro should have been off last list with win over Oneonta St

[sac]

Cabrini 91 Cairn 51

[hopefan]

In another battle of 'listed' opponents

Martin Luther beats Maranatha Baptist  81-65
Martin Luther falls off the winless list, leaving 7 on the list
Maranatha stays on the winless vs D3 only list


2 others fall off the winless vs D3 only list, cutting the number to 7

Whittier beats Occidental  95-63
Olivet beats Adrian  88-83

Here are lists through 1/9/14

Undefeated  (7)

Bowdoin
Cabrini
Dubuque
Husson
Messiah
SUNY-Purchase
UW-Stevens Point


Undefeated vs D3 only  (2)

Albertus Magnus
Wooster


Winless (7)

Blackburn   (hopefan)
Cairn     (FCGriz 1, Greg Sager 2)
D'Youville
Fitchburg State
Frostburg State
Newbury
Wheelock   (smedindy)    note Wheelock and Newbury play twice, the first on 1/18

Winless vs D3 Only (7)

Gallaudet    note Gallaudet and SUNY-Cobleskill play twice, the first on 1/26
Maine Maritime
Maranatha Baptist
Polytechnic
Simpson
SUNY-Cobleskill
Texas Lutheran   

[hopefan]

D'Youville gets their first win, beating Pitt-Greensburg  86-79   Winless numbers cut to 6

Gallaudet beats Keuka  58-57 to come off winless vs D3 list only list.... that list now at 6

and Blackburn keeps hopefan alive in the winless contest, missing a last second shot to lose to Principia by one

[Greek Tragedy]

Nice work, hopefan1! Nice to keep up on the lists.

[smedindy]

SCOUTING THE LISTS:

Undefeated  (7) - Lowest Massey Win Probability

Bowdoin - 2/1 vs. Amherst (41%)
Cabrini - 1/29 @ Gwynedd - Mercy (78%)
Dubuque - 1/25 @ Loras (46%)
Husson - 1/21 vs. Bates (49%)
Messiah - 1/15 @ Stevenson (46%)
SUNY-Purchase - 1/27 @ Albertus Magnus (64%)
UW-Stevens Point - 2/5 @ UW-Whitewater (46%)

Undefeated vs D3 only  (2) - Lowest Massey Win Probability

Albertus Magnus - 1/27 vs. Purchase (36%)
Wooster - 1/18 @ Wittenberg (62%)


Winless (6) - Highest Massey Win Probability

Blackburn   (hopefan) - 2/15 @ Iowa Wesleyan (30%)
Cairn     (FCGriz 1, Greg Sager 2) - 1/13 vs. Centenary (17%), 1/25 vs. Immaculata (17%)
Fitchburg State - 2/4 @ Framingham St. (25%)
Frostburg State - 2/19 vs. York (43%)
Newbury - 2/12 vs. Wheelock (58%)
Wheelock   (smedindy)  - 1/18 vs. Newbury (54%)

Winless vs D3 Only (6) - Highest Massey Win Probability

Maine Maritime - 2/14 vs. Johnson St. (29%)
Maranatha Baptist - 1/18 @ Dominican (5%)
Polytechnic - 2/22 vs. Mt. St. Vincent (18%)
Simpson - 1/25 vs. Wartburg (37%)
SUNY-Cobleskill - 2/12 vs. Cazenovia (78%)
Texas Lutheran   - 1/17 vs. U. Dallas (61%)

[hopefan]

Good stuff Smed... here's another funny one about Maranatha...

While I havent updated my D3 vs everyone else standings in a while (maybe tonight), the contest of D3 vs NAIA-D2 remains close... D3 is 4 games back... there are 11 games vs NAIA-D2 remaining, so D3 needs to go 8-3 in those 11 to finish ahead... several of those games are against Fisher, who appears to be pretty weak this year, so there is still a chance D3 can do it

Unfortunately, the last game on the schedule for the season between D3 and NAIA-D2, on Feb 22, is between Maranatha and Clarke... imagine if after something like 140 games, we're dead even.. and Maranatha has the eyes of the D3 world on them for the matchup with Clarke...
WHAT PRESSURE!!!    ... given Clarke is 11-6 with wins over Buena Vista UW-Oshkosh, I'd assume Maranatha's chances of winning are even less than the 5% with Dominican..

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

Good stuff Smed... here's another funny one about Maranatha...

While I havent updated my D3 vs everyone else standings in a while (maybe tonight), the contest of D3 vs NAIA-D2 remains close... D3 is 4 games back... there are 11 games vs NAIA-D2 remaining, so D3 needs to go 8-3 in those 11 to finish ahead... several of those games are against Fisher, who appears to be pretty weak this year, so there is still a chance D3 can do it

Unfortunately, the last game on the schedule for the season between D3 and NAIA-D2, on Feb 22, is between Maranatha and Clarke... imagine if after something like 140 games, we're dead even.. and Maranatha has the eyes of the D3 world on them for the matchup with Clarke...
WHAT PRESSURE!!!    ... given Clarke is 11-6 with wins over Buena Vista UW-Oshkosh, I'd assume Maranatha's chances of winning are even less than the 5% with Dominican..

I think if it's that close to .500 with NAIA-2, then we've already lost.