The Undefeated and the Winless

[hopefan]

Amazing... or not...??
At this same point in time last year, 11 undefeated, 12 winless...............   this year 11 and 11

only repeat undefeated is Marietta

only repeat winless is Finlandia... Finlandia went the whole season 2018-19 winless

[hopefan]

12/27/19... one team on our list in action today.... Undefeated UW-Platteville takes on Letourneau in MHB Tourney

[hopefan]

No change to our list last night.... UW Platteville beats Letourneau 74-66

Here is what is happening today...12/28
Undefeated UW Platteville takes on Mary Hardin Baylor (8-2) at MHB Tourney
Undefeated Marietta vs Salisbury at Great Lakes Tourney

Winless Laverne hosts Tufts
Winless Bryn Athyn plays at DeSales
Winless Bethany plays at Christopher Newport...  this one could be ugly

[hopefan]

AND DOWN THEY GO!!!

12/28/19

Marietta (Home) loses to Salisbury
UW-Platteville loses at Mary Hardin-Baylor

Undefeated goes from 11 to 9...
All others stay the same.....

[hopefan]

12/29/19    a number of our perfect records on the line!!!

First.... a chance for a perfect storm!
UNDEFEATED Wittenberg TH (8 - 0)     vs WINLESS Elmira TA (0 - 7)   WOULDN'T IT BE AMAZING!!!!      

UNDEFEATED Emory TH (9 - 0)     vs UW-Oshkosh TA (5 - 4)      There is a chance         
UNDEFEATED Randolph-Macon TH (9 - 0)     vs Lebanon Valley TA (3 - 6)               
UNDEFEATED St. Thomas (Tx.) H  (0 - 0) (8 - 0)       vs JWU-Denver A  (1 - 1) (2 - 7)   
UNDEFEATED UW-La Crosse H (9 - 0)     vs CCIW Augustana A (7 - 3)   Another possibility

WINLESS Bryn Athyn TN (0 - 12)     vs Juniata TN (2 - 7)      a win is possible
Emory and Henry TN (3 - 7)     vs WINLESS  Bethany TN (0 - 10)      here too
Stockton TN (7 - 2)     vs WINLESS  Maryville (Tenn.) TN (0 - 8)

UNDEFEATED VS D3 ONLY Pomona-Pitzer H (3-0, 6 - 2)     vs Lake Forest A (4 - 3)

[hopefan]

    We lose at least 1 perfect team... Bethany hits a 3 pointer at the Buzzer to beat Emory and Henry 75-72

Question...vs Emory and Henry,  Bethany has ball out under basket with .4 seconds... pass in, catch and shoot... are you supposed to be able to catch and shoot in .4 seconds?  The basket didn't have a lighting system....But replaying, the ball was clearly in the shooter's hands when the clock over the hoop read 0.0... the basket should never have counted....

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

  We lose at least 1 perfect team... Bethany hits a 3 pointer at the Buzzer to beat Emory and Henry 75-72

Question...vs Emory and Henry,  Bethany has ball out under basket with .4 seconds... pass in, catch and shoot... are you supposed to be able to catch and shoot in .4 seconds?  The basket didn't have a lighting system....But replaying, the ball was clearly in the shooter's hands when the clock over the hoop read 0.0... the basket should never have counted....

I believe .3 is catch and shoot, anything less has to be a tip.

[hopefan]

Besides Bethany's controversial Buzzer Beater win, no other changes to our lists on Sunday, Dec 29

Here are our updated perfects through 12/29/19

                   Undefeated (9)                                Winless (10)

CEN	UW-La Crosse	WIAC	10-0	ATL	Bryn Athyn	CSAC	0-13
GL	Wittenberg	NCAC	9-0	ATL	CCNY	CUNYAC	0-10
MA	Swarthmore	CC	9-0	CEN	Finlandia	ACAA	0-11
NE	Babson	NEWMAC	9-0	EAST	Bard	LL	0-8
NE	Colby	NESCAC	9-0	EAST	Elmira	E8	0-8
NE	Middlebury	NESCAC	10-0	EAST	Penn State-Berks	NEAC	0-8
SOUTH	Emory	UAA	10-0	GL	Waynesburg	PrAC	0-11
SOUTH	Randolph-Macon	ODAC	10-0	NE	Lesley	NECC	0-10
SOUTH	St. Thomas (Tx.)	SCAC	9-0	SOUTH	Maryville (Tenn.)	USAC	0-9
			-	WEST	La Verne	SCIAC	0-9

Undefeated vs D only  (2) MA  Widener  MACC     10-0      10-1  WEST  Pomona-Pitzer  SCIAC     4-0      7-2                 Winless vs D3 only  (3) CEN  Principia  SLIAC     0-7      1-7  MA  Goucher  LAND     0-9      1-9  NE  Maine-Presque Isle  NAC     0-6      3-6

[hopefan]

Our lists become further depleted in action on 12/30

Previously undefeated Emory loses at the buzzer to Guilford, 70-69
Previously undefeated Babson loses to East Conn, 77-76

Previously winless Elmira beats Spalding  60-55
Previously winless Martville (Tenn) beats Stevenson  67-50..................This one looks like it must have been a shocker

Previously winless vs D3 only Goucher beat Cairn 96-90

So with this carnage, our perfects dwindle:

Undefeated (7)      Winless (8)      Undefeated vs D3 only (2)      Winless vs D3 only  (2)

[hopefan]

No changes on 12/31/19

[hopefan]

No changes on 1/2 or 1/3, but MANY of our perfect teams play today.....1/4/20.....  Watch for some to drop off

[hopefan]

As expected, the number of perfect teams drop with all the activity on !/4/2020

UW-La Crosse no longer undefeated, losing to UW-Oshkosh

Widener loses its first vs D3, losing to Christopher Newport

Bryn Athyn out of the winless group, beating Valley Forge

Waynesburg gets win No 1, Beating Geneva

And so, our lists look like this :

UNDEFEATED (6)                                       WINLESS (6) GL  Wittenberg  NCAC  11-0      ATL  CCNY  CUNYAC  0-11  MA  Swarthmore  CC  10-0      CEN  Finlandia  ACAA  0-13  NE  Middlebury  NESCAC  12-0      EAST  Bard  LL  0-8  NE  Colby  NESCAC  10-0      EAST  Penn State-Berks  NEAC  0-8  SOUTH  Randolph-Macon  ODAC  12-0      NE  Lesley  NECC  0-11  SOUTH  St. Thomas (Tx.)  SCAC  12-0      WEST  La Verne  SCIAC  0-10            UNDEFEATED vs D3 only  (1) WEST  Pomona-Pitzer  SCIAC     6-0      9-2           -      -                     WINLESS vs D3 ONLY   (2) CEN  Principia  SLIAC     0-9      1-9  NE  Maine-Presque Isle  NAC     0-6      4-6           -      -

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

What is the best record a provisional team has ever had? St Thomas (TX) has a shot to run the table... using Massey's predictions it's a 28.3% chance to finish the regular season unbeaten.

[y_jack_lok]

What is the best record a provisional team has ever had? St Thomas (TX) has a shot to run the table... using Massey's predictions it's a 28.3% chance to finish the regular season unbeaten.

Conversely, doesn't that mean Massey indicates a 71.7% chance they won't finish unbeaten?

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

What is the best record a provisional team has ever had? St Thomas (TX) has a shot to run the table... using Massey's predictions it's a 28.3% chance to finish the regular season unbeaten.

Conversely, doesn't that mean Massey indicates a 71.7% chance they won't finish unbeaten?

Yes, but that's a pretty high percentage with 13 games left to play. Better than 1 in 4 chance they win another 13 in a row. If every game was a coinflip they'd only have a 0.012% chance.
Randolph-Macon has 21.7% of finishing the regular season unbeaten based on Massey's predictions.
Swarthmore 9.1%
Wittenberg 8.1%
Colby 1.3%
Middlebury 0.6%