The Undefeated and the Winless

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

There's going to be plenty of chances for teams to get a 1 in the win column the next few days.
1/6 CCNY 72% chance vs Medgar Evers
1/7 Bard 96% chance @ Pratt
1/8 Finlandia 78% chance @ Gogebic CC
1/8 PSU-Berks 43% chance @ Valley Forge

[hopefan]

There's going to be plenty of chances for teams to get a 1 in the win column the next few days.
1/6 CCNY 72% chance vs Medgar Evers
1/7 Bard 96% chance @ Pratt
1/8 Finlandia 78% chance @ Gogebic CC
1/8 PSU-Berks 43% chance @ Valley Forge

Pratt would not count as a D3 game, at least on my writings, as they don't play a full D3 schedule this year. A win over them would "advance" Bard to the winless vs D3 only group.
Gogebic CC being a 2 year school, would not count as an actual game for Finlandia and would not count as anything. This was confirmed last year in the survivor contest when I brought it up... I had Finlandia last year. Didn't matter, they lost to Gogebic anyway. I am pretty sure that D3 views games vs CCs and Canadian schools that way too.

[y_jack_lok]

What is the best record a provisional team has ever had? St Thomas (TX) has a shot to run the table... using Massey's predictions it's a 28.3% chance to finish the regular season unbeaten.

Conversely, doesn't that mean Massey indicates a 71.7% chance they won't finish unbeaten?

Yes, but that's a pretty high percentage with 13 games left to play. Better than 1 in 4 chance they win another 13 in a row. If every game was a coinflip they'd only have a 0.012% chance.
Randolph-Macon has 21.7% of finishing the regular season unbeaten based on Massey's predictions.
Swarthmore 9.1%
Wittenberg 8.1%
Colby 1.3%
Middlebury 0.6%

Good point. I wasn't thinking of it from the standpoint of how tough it is to go undefeated.

As to Randolph-Macon, that's my alma mater. I've watched almost all their games online. Given what they lost to graduation last season I've been surprised at how well they are doing.

[smedindy]

Is Lesley going to have 'the perfect storm' - the likes not seen in a while? Both men and women are 0-fer and the women seem to be down to six players. Ugh...

[thebear]

CCNY men's and women's are also both 0-11, yet another perfect storm.

[ronk]

CCNY was once the finest in college basketball, being the only team to win the NCAA and NIT in the same year. I saw many of their stars play in the Eastern League after college.

[hopefan]

I'd imagine if Lesley and CCNY both finished with double perfect records, and a year end doubleheader was set up, it would have tremendous appeal to some of us D3hoops nitwits.... including me!!!   I'm going to try to at least view a part of one of each of the teams' games on the internet to get some insight...

and... no changes to or lists yesterday... No. 1 Swarthmore gets another tight win....

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

I'd imagine if Lesley and CCNY both finished with double perfect records, and a year end doubleheader was set up, it would have tremendous appeal to some of us D3hoops nitwits.... including me!!!   I'm going to try to at least view a part of one of each of the teams' games on the internet to get some insight...

and... no changes to or lists yesterday... No. 1 Swarthmore gets another tight win....

WAAAAAAAAAAAY back in the day we used to devise a fantasy final four with the four worst teams facing off - losers advancing - to determine the worst team in the country.  If I recall, Bard was heavily involved.



BIG chance for CCNY today, though, hosting Medgar Evers.

[TheOsprey]

I'd imagine if Lesley and CCNY both finished with double perfect records, and a year end doubleheader was set up, it would have tremendous appeal to some of us D3hoops nitwits.... including me!!!   I'm going to try to at least view a part of one of each of the teams' games on the internet to get some insight...

and... no changes to or lists yesterday... No. 1 Swarthmore gets another tight win....

WAAAAAAAAAAAY back in the day we used to devise a fantasy final four with the four worst teams facing off - losers advancing - to determine the worst team in the country.  If I recall, Bard was heavily involved.



BIG chance for CCNY today, though, hosting Medgar Evers.

Agree Ryan.  Having CCNY in the survivor's pool, I am a bit concerned that today's game could be their high water mark of this season.  

I'll certainly check it out this evening.   It should be a competitive event.

[ronk]

I'd imagine if Lesley and CCNY both finished with double perfect records, and a year end doubleheader was set up, it would have tremendous appeal to some of us D3hoops nitwits.... including me!!!   I'm going to try to at least view a part of one of each of the teams' games on the internet to get some insight...

and... no changes to or lists yesterday... No. 1 Swarthmore gets another tight win....

WAAAAAAAAAAAY back in the day we used to devise a fantasy final four with the four worst teams facing off - losers advancing - to determine the worst team in the country.  If I recall, Bard was heavily involved.



BIG chance for CCNY today, though, hosting Medgar Evers.

There was a Bard player who worked out on school breaks at my fitness center; didn't have the heart to mention to him that his team was my choice to go winless in our contest.

[hopefan]

No changes on 1/6/2020     CCNY loses in OT to Medgar Evers.....I looked, no video of game, only live stats....

[thebear]

No changes on 1/6/2020     CCNY loses in OT to Medgar Evers.....I looked, no video of game, only live stats....

The CCNY women did win their first, 60-50 against 1-8 Medgar Evers.

[hopefan]

Readers... have faith in our winless!!1

Bard with a 96% to win at Pratt!!??!!            NO WORRIES

Pratt 71   Bard 61

NO CHANGES TO OUR LISTS

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

RMC loses and, I couldn't see the score on the grainy video, but Finlandia did manage to lose to that Community College.

[OC_SID]

RMC loses and, I couldn't see the score on the grainy video, but Finlandia did manage to lose to that Community College.

Looking at the archive of the video, it appears the final was 76-68.