FB: College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin

[CardinalAlum]

Just for giggles, here's what Ken Massey's HAL 9000 supercomputer currently has to say about CCIW football, vis-a-vis where our teams rank among the 245 football teams in D3:

  11. North Central
  19. Wheaton
  41. Illinois Wesleyan
  84. Augustana
134. Elmhurst
150. Carthage
161. Millikin
177. North Park

Massey projections for Saturday's games:

North Central 45, North Park 6 (100% probability of a NCC win)
Wheaton 35, Elmhurst 7 (99% probability of a WC win)
Illinois Wesleyan 24, Carthage 7 (90% probability of an IWU win)
Augustana 34, Millikin 24 (78% probability of an AC win)

Massey currently has Wheaton beating Illinois Wesleyan in Week 8, 27-21 (67% probability), North Central beating Illinois Wesleyan in Week 9, 31-17 (85% probability), and North Central beating Wheaton for the CCIW title and the Little Brass Bell in Week 10, 31-27 (64% probability).

I love this system!   . 

[USee]

Thank you Greg- Yes, my original thoughts were focused on this weekend's EC/WC matchup.  IMO, Elmhurst is looking for some foundation offensively after last year's losses and to be more concerned with consistency vs. Thunder not the W or L end result.   Plus, McCully has not been friendly to Elmhurst similar to Bloomington.

My bad.  Reading is a skill I haven't quite mastered! You da man, GS!

Coming from a North Central alum, that's not surprising at all. 

[AndOne]

Article on the CCIW's leading tackler, North Central middle LB Nick Slezak who has changed positions 3 times in his career at NCC.

http://www.northcentralcardinals.com/news/2013/10/16/FB_1016130644.aspx

(I hope this doesn't upset USee again as when I recently posted an article about NCC QB Spencer Stanek) 

[CardinalAlum]

Thank you Greg- Yes, my original thoughts were focused on this weekend's EC/WC matchup.  IMO, Elmhurst is looking for some foundation offensively after last year's losses and to be more concerned with consistency vs. Thunder not the W or L end result.   Plus, McCully has not been friendly to Elmhurst similar to Bloomington.

My bad.  Reading is a skill I haven't quite mastered! You da man, GS!

Coming from a North Central alum, that's not surprising at all. 

Thankfully Mugsy not around!  He would've jumped all over that too! 

[USee]

Article on the CCIW's leading tackler, North Central middle LB Nick Slezak who has changed positions 3 times in his career at NCC.

http://www.northcentralcardinals.com/news/2013/10/16/FB_1016130644.aspx

(I hope this doesn't upset USee again as when I recently posted an article about NCC QB Spencer Stanek) 

Looks like good coaching to me! 

[79jaybird]

It's ok CardinalAlum- No biggie.  I still haven't mastered 3 1/2 & 1 yr old's either.  May never will. 

I think Elmhurst relied on those graduated so heavily that now the "return to reality" has kicked in and somebody has to step up.  This is what I feared would happen similar to Carthage and the Dante Washington group.  I am not surprised this year has been a struggle for Elmhurst.  They can either continue to fall back to the middle of the pack like Carthage did  or somebody has to lead the team on both O and D.  Who's that going be EC?

[iwu4ever]

Massey currently has Wheaton beating Illinois Wesleyan in Week 8, 27-21 (67% probability), North Central beating Illinois Wesleyan in Week 9, 31-17 (85% probability), and North Central beating Wheaton for the CCIW title and the Little Brass Bell in Week 10, 31-27 (64% probability).
[/quote]

I love this system!   .
[/quote]

We need to make sure we revisit this post after the 2nd week in November. Very Interesting...can't say that it sounds too far off. A couple plays each game would turn the predicted outcomes. Seems reasonable.

[NCF]

Massey currently has Wheaton beating Illinois Wesleyan in Week 8, 27-21 (67% probability), North Central beating Illinois Wesleyan in Week 9, 31-17 (85% probability), and North Central beating Wheaton for the CCIW title and the Little Brass Bell in Week 10, 31-27 (64% probability).

I love this system!   .
[/quote]

We need to make sure we revisit this post after the 2nd week in November. Very Interesting...can't say that it sounds too far off. A couple plays each game would turn the predicted outcomes. Seems reasonable.
[/quote]
Massey is not always correct but it does make  for interesting reading. I need to check and see if Bethel is favored this week-end as well.

[CardinalAlum]

Article on the CCIW's leading tackler, North Central middle LB Nick Slezak who has changed positions 3 times in his career at NCC.

http://www.northcentralcardinals.com/news/2013/10/16/FB_1016130644.aspx

(I hope this doesn't upset USee again as when I recently posted an article about NCC QB Spencer Stanek) 

One for each defensive coordinator that has been employed!   

[79jaybird]

Pretty good read on Clyde Hughes' Around the Nation clip about John Thorne and the Cardinals manual.  I know the CCIW has a few exceptional coaches (i.e. Thorne, Swider,etc) that can share in this idea of being a man more concerned about faith, family, and academics.

[kiko]

Massey is not always correct but it does make  for interesting reading. I need to check and see if Bethel is favored this week-end as well.

I agree with this perspective.  Case in point - North Park beat Carthage in a game where the Park was clearly the better team.  Yet Massey rates Carthage 27 spots higher.

Massey has a great model but I am a bit skeptical of the output from a sample of 5-6 football games per team and very limited conference play/common opponents.  It's the same degree of rigor that we'd expect from their mid-December or very early January basketball rankings.

[oldnuthin]

Presented without comment.

http://herald-review.com/sports/millikin/defense-running-out-of-options/article_b3014c74-3881-11e3-bb99-001a4bcf887a.html

[Titan Q]

Couple articles on IWU heading into the game with Carthage this evening...

http://www.pantagraph.com/sports/college/football/titans-trying-not-to-look-ahead-past-carthage/article_d5ac5e30-385e-11e3-97c3-0019bb2963f4.html

http://www.pantagraph.com/sports/college/football/iwu-notes-schneider-nursing-along-on-titans-defensive-line/article_524beee2-36c0-11e3-8d2e-001a4bcf887a.html


IWU gets LB Connor Klein back today (concussion).

[NCF]

Couple articles on IWU heading into the game with Carthage this evening...

http://www.pantagraph.com/sports/college/football/titans-trying-not-to-look-ahead-past-carthage/article_d5ac5e30-385e-11e3-97c3-0019bb2963f4.html

http://www.pantagraph.com/sports/college/football/iwu-notes-schneider-nursing-along-on-titans-defensive-line/article_524beee2-36c0-11e3-8d2e-001a4bcf887a.html


IWU gets LB Connor Klein back today (concussion).

This is a big game for IWU. They need to take control early and make a statement. Another great game by the offense to compliment that tough D will set the stage for the next two weeks.

[iwu70]

GO TITANS!!! -- take care of Carthage. 

IWU70