Top 25 talk

Started by Lurker, March 23, 2005, 09:02:04 AM

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Titan Q

#13350
Here is the ballot I submitted for this week's poll - https://twitter.com/IWUhoopscom/status/1465139981110890497?s=20.

I went:

1) RMC
2) Yeshiva
3) IWU
4) UW-Platteville
5) UW-Oshkosh

Even after the loss at CNU, I felt like RMC has the best overall #1 resume.  RMC has really nice wins over Emory (neutral) and at Marietta.  The Marietta win was especially impressive to me -- vs a great team in a packed, hostile environment.  And I never penalize a team for losing on the road vs another great team...OT loss at my #10 CNU is a no biggie for me.

Yeshiva is hard to handle as a voter because of the SOS - Massey has their schedule #401 right now.  So I just watch their games and go by the eye test as best as I can.  They are really outstanding...I wish they played more good teams.

IWU has a tremendous win vs Oshkosh -- if that was on the road, I'd probably have IWU #1.  I think IWU's wins over Hope and Calvin will turn out to be real good ones.  The Titans have some big-time games coming up.



PoppersMacsLive

Yeshiva has not played a team ranked at the time of the game during the streak. Looks like IWU will be the first (assuming the streak is still intact on the morning of 12/30).

Quote from: Titan Q on November 30, 2021, 05:27:51 PM
Quote from: WUPHF on November 30, 2021, 03:29:51 PM
Quote from: Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan) on November 30, 2021, 02:09:04 PM
They've showed, in the few big games they've been able to manage, that they can tighten it up when they need to, but I want to see the consistency you get from a team like RMC, where everything is locked down regardless of opponent, ever game, before I pull the #1 trigger.

The big games being Rochester and St. Joseph or are you also going back to Williams and the second round of the tournament from March 2020?

I like Yeshiva a lot and I agree with nearly everyone else in the world that they have the POY.  But, the closest I can get is relatively big games.

During the 44-game streak, has Yeshiva played a ranked team (at the moment of the game)?

WPI and PSU-Harrisburg were not ranked in Week 12 of 2019-20.

Will Illinois Wesleyan be the first ranked team the Macs have faced during the streak?

deiscanton

FYI-- here are the OWPs of the current top 5 ranked DIII teams in the D3Hoops.com Top 25 poll according to the NCAA stats through games of Monday, November 29, 2021

Source:  http://stats.ncaa.org/rankings/change_sport_year_div Click on Men's Basketball for sport, 2021-22 for season, and III for Div.  Then go to Misc Reports and select Toughest Schedule.

Reminder:  OWP is 2/3 of SOS, and these are very early numbers.  I would look at Cumulative OWP (OWP of past and future opposition) for a sense of whether the schedule gets tougher throughout the season.

1.)  Yeshiva-- current OWP is .395 (ranked #309 among DIII men's basketball teams)/ Cumulative OWP is .405

2.)  Illinois Wesleyan-- current OWP is .567 (ranked in a tie for #106 among DIII men's basketball teams)/  Cumulative OWP is .671

3.)  Randolph-Macon-- current OWP is .730 (ranked #13 among DIII men's basketball teams)/ Cumulative OWP is .553

4.)  UW-Platteville-- current OWP is .438 (ranked #261 among DIII men's basketball teams)/Cumulative OWP is .644

5.)  Wheaton (IL)-- current OWP is .548 (ranked #129 among DIII men's basketball teams)/Cumulative OWP is .641

It will be interesting to recheck these numbers as the season goes along, as there is a lot more basketball still to be played.

BTW, Marietta of the OAC is tied with Purchase of Skyline for highest current OWP at .826, but Marietta's cumulative OWP is .754, while Purchase's cumulative OWP is .455 

Just some tidbits....

SpringSt7

If Yeshiva lost to Williams in 2020, which would have been their second loss of the season, they would've been a bubble team from a Pool C standpoint. That's how bad their SOS is. The great thing is that none of that matters once you're in the tournament, it's just too bad we didn't get a real postseason sample size.

You can also say this treatment of Yeshiva is unfair but it would be silly to act like the past performances of historically relevant programs and conferences isn't an understandable data point for discussing resumes. They've earned them.

Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)

Quote from: SpringSt7 on December 01, 2021, 08:55:32 AM
If Yeshiva lost to Williams in 2020, which would have been their second loss of the season, they would've been a bubble team from a Pool C standpoint. That's how bad their SOS is. The great thing is that none of that matters once you're in the tournament, it's just too bad we didn't get a real postseason sample size.

You can also say this treatment of Yeshiva is unfair but it would be silly to act like the past performances of historically relevant programs and conferences isn't an understandable data point for discussing resumes. They've earned them.

And it works the other way, too. At one point I told Bob, "just watch them," he did and became a covert. I don't know if they can win six tournament games in a row, but they can compete with any team in the country regardless of the conference they're in.
Lead Columnist for D3hoops.com
@ryanalanscott just about anywhere

Baldini

Quote from: Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan) on December 01, 2021, 10:58:45 AM
Quote from: SpringSt7 on December 01, 2021, 08:55:32 AM
If Yeshiva lost to Williams in 2020, which would have been their second loss of the season, they would've been a bubble team from a Pool C standpoint. That's how bad their SOS is. The great thing is that none of that matters once you're in the tournament, it's just too bad we didn't get a real postseason sample size.

You can also say this treatment of Yeshiva is unfair but it would be silly to act like the past performances of historically relevant programs and conferences isn't an understandable data point for discussing resumes. They've earned them.

And it works the other way, too. At one point I told Bob, "just watch them," he did and became a covert. I don't know if they can win six tournament games in a row, but they can compete with any team in the country regardless of the conference they're in.

The kind of wisdom that comes from reaching milestone birthdays in your life.  :)

WUPHF

Quote from: Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan) on December 01, 2021, 10:58:45 AM
And it works the other way, too. At one point I told Bob, "just watch them," he did and became a covert. I don't know if they can win six tournament games in a row, but they can compete with any team in the country regardless of the conference they're in.

Possibly in more ways than one even if it is honorary, lol.

PoppersMacsLive

I break down the D3hoops Week 1 Top 25 Poll and provide my analysis and opinions here:
https://www.macslive.com/post/d3hoops-top-25-week-1-breakdown-analysis-and-opinions

CNU85

Quote from: PoppersMacsLive on December 01, 2021, 10:07:32 PM
I break down the D3hoops Week 1 Top 25 Poll and provide my analysis and opinions here:
https://www.macslive.com/post/d3hoops-top-25-week-1-breakdown-analysis-and-opinions


Very nice analysis and thoughts. Thanks!

y_jack_lok

Quote from: PoppersMacsLive on December 01, 2021, 10:07:32 PM
I break down the D3hoops Week 1 Top 25 Poll and provide my analysis and opinions here:
https://www.macslive.com/post/d3hoops-top-25-week-1-breakdown-analysis-and-opinions


That's good stuff. Really enjoyed reading it. Is there a way you can include W/L records next to each team you include in your analysis?

Darryl Nester


How They Fared (So Far)

Results since Monday's poll, and what's coming before the next poll.

Top 25

Rank   Pts   TeamW-L   Results
#1603Yeshiva9-0won at Farmingdale State, 80-66; 12/04 vs. SUNY-Old Westbury
#2586Illinois Wesleyan6-0def. Chicago, 83-50; 12/04 vs. Carroll
#3583Randolph-Macon7-1def. Virginia Wesleyan, 65-53; 12/04 at #9 Roanoke
#4562UW-Platteville8-0won at #8 UW-La Crosse, 73-67; 12/04 vs. UW-River Falls
#5471Wheaton (Ill.)7-0won at Carthage, 65-64; 12/04 at #7 Elmhurst
#6435St. Joseph (Conn.)5-012/04 at Dean
#7420Elmhurst6-1LOST at T#42 Calvin, 57-75; 12/04 vs. #5 Wheaton (Ill.)
#8402UW-La Crosse7-1LOST to #4 UW-Platteville, 67-73; 12/04 vs. #10 UW-Oshkosh
#9385Roanoke6-0def. Bridgewater (Va.), 83-58; 12/04 vs. #3 Randolph-Macon
#10376UW-Oshkosh7-1def. T#40 UW-Eau Claire, 69-60; 12/04 at #8 UW-La Crosse
#11354Mary Hardin-Baylor3-012/03 vs. University of the Ozarks
#12351Mount Union5-012/04 vs. Heidelberg
#13320Marietta3-212/04 vs. Ohio Northern
#14281Trine5-1IDLE
#15271Johns Hopkins6-1def. Washington College, 92-61; 12/04 at Muhlenberg
#16253Whitworth5-112/04 at Willamette
#17221Christopher Newport5-212/04 vs. Averett
#18220Swarthmore5-1won at Haverford, 81-50; 12/04 vs. Dickinson
#19159Wesleyan7-0def. Worcester State, 81-73; 12/04 vs. #29 Williams
#20146Washington U.5-112/03 vs. Hendrix; 12/04 vs. Hope/St. Thomas (Tex.)
#21128Amherst6-0def. Thomas, 79-54; 12/04 at St. Elizabeth
#22105Emory4-2def. LaGrange, 95-65
#2378RPI4-012/03 vs. Hobart; 12/04 vs. Rochester Tech
#2471Maryville (Tenn.)5-1def. Asbury, 85-63; 12/04 vs. Huntingdon
#2559DeSales7-0won at Wilkes, 65-61; 12/04 vs. Arcadia


Others receiving votes
Rank   Pts   TeamW-L   Results
#2650Berry6-0def. Huntingdon, 76-53; 12/04 at Oglethorpe
#2736WPI6-1won at #33 Brandeis, 79-60; 12/04 at Worcester State
#2829Lynchburg4-1won at Washington and Lee, 82-69; 12/04 vs. Bridgewater (Va.)
#2923Williams5-012/02 vs. Worcester State; 12/04 at #19 Wesleyan
T#3021Mass-Dartmouth7-1IDLE
T#3021Cal Lutheran7-0def. Occidental, 76-60; 12/04 vs. Chapman; 12/05 at UC Santa Barb.
#3219Trinity (Texas)6-112/04 at Schreiner
#3318Brandeis3-2LOST to #27 WPI, 60-79; 12/03 vs. Babson; 12/04 vs. TBA
#3413Case Western Reserve7-112/04 at Adrian
#3512Wooster3-1won at Oberlin, 62-51; 12/04 vs. DePauw
#369Colby4-2LOST to Southern Maine, 71-74; 12/03 at Bates; 12/05 at Bowdoin
#377Rochester6-2IDLE
T#385Dubuque4-3won at Buena Vista, 66-51; 12/04 vs. Central
T#385Linfield2-212/03 at Puget Sound; 12/04 vs. Lewis and Clark
T#404UW-Eau Claire5-3LOST at #10 UW-Oshkosh, 60-69; 12/04 at UW-Stevens Point
T#404Hanover4-0def. Anderson, 67-52; 12/04 vs. Bluffton
T#423Calvin5-2def. #7 Elmhurst, 75-57
T#423LeTourneau4-012/02 vs. Sul Ross State; 12/04 vs. Howard Payne
T#441Baldwin Wallace4-2LOST to Heidelberg, 59-92; 12/04 at Wilmington
T#441Catholic6-1LOST to Marymount, 69-74; 12/04 vs. Scranton
T#441Nichols6-0won at Salve Regina, 67-66; 12/04 vs. University of New England

PoppersMacsLive

Thanks!

Great idea, I will include that moving forward.

Quote from: y_jack_lok on December 02, 2021, 10:32:31 AM
Quote from: PoppersMacsLive on December 01, 2021, 10:07:32 PM
I break down the D3hoops Week 1 Top 25 Poll and provide my analysis and opinions here:
https://www.macslive.com/post/d3hoops-top-25-week-1-breakdown-analysis-and-opinions


That's good stuff. Really enjoyed reading it. Is there a way you can include W/L records next to each team you include in your analysis?

PauldingLightUP

There are three top ten matchups on Saturday.

Randolph Macon at Roanoke, Wheaton at Elmhurst, and Oshkosh at La Crosse.

Anyone have any stats on how rare this is? And has it happened this early in the season before? And has it happened before where all three are conference games?

Titan Q

Quote from: PauldingLightUP on December 02, 2021, 08:54:05 PM
There are three top ten matchups on Saturday.

Randolph Macon at Roanoke, Wheaton at Elmhurst, and Oshkosh at La Crosse.

Anyone have any stats on how rare this is? And has it happened this early in the season before? And has it happened before where all three are conference games?

Awesome matchups.

Titan Q

Watched WashU dismantle a good Hendrix team.  They are back.

I think the Bears are legit Top 10 good now.