Top 25 talk

Started by Lurker, March 23, 2005, 09:02:04 AM

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WUPHF

This John Carroll at Capital game has been worth watching. 

Capital leads 65-59.

7:18 left in the game if you happen to be reading this.

rlgyank

Quote from: fantastic50 on February 12, 2018, 09:22:42 PM
If D3H was a stock market (new fantasy game?) set by the polls, I would be buying Nebraska Wesleyan, the OAC, MIAC, and CCIW.  On the flip side, I would sell Emory, York, E. Connecticut, Lycoming, and Salem State.

It is absolutely amazing to me that Nebraska Wesleyan did not get any votes in the poll. I am new to the D3 scene as of last year, but it looks like to me that the top 25 is just like a good ole boys club. In the week 10 poll, 42 teams received votes. Those 42 teams went on to lose 26 games during the week. Of those 42 teams, 39 of them received votes in week 11. Only 4 new teams received votes. Nebraska Wesleyan was 21-3 when the poll was taken. Of their 3 losses, 2 were in OT on the road to the 2nd & 4th place teams in the conference. They are leading, by the 2 computer models that I know of, the 3rd or 4th best conference. They are 5th & 6th in the 2 computer models. I realize that their SOS is not the greatest, but it isn't like they are barely beating those teams, they are 2nd in the country in scoring margin. I know they tried to schedule some good teams this year, but it has not worked out that way. The 8 D3 non conference teams that they have on their schedule this year had a winning pct. last year of .573, this year that pct. has dropped to .385. Comparison scores on not perfect by any means, but I will throw out the following anyway. Washington University beat Central 87-83 at home. Augustana beat Central at Central 82-73. Nebraska Wesleyan won at Central 99-86 and won at home against Central 104-80. York (PA) won at Marymount 88-76 and at home against Marymount 81-58. Johns Hopkins beat Marymount at home 82-60. Nebraska Wesleyan won at Marymount 87-46. Wisconsin - Stephens Point lost to Wartburg on a neutral court 66-75. Nebraska Wesleyan won at home against Wartburg 99-60 and won at Wartburg 90-81.

It doesn't really matter what the D3 poll says, what matters is what the NCAA selection committee thinks. And thankfully they think more of Nebraska Wesleyan than the 25 members of the poll. Maybe 1 day some of the IIAC teams will become a member of the club.


WUPHF

Capital gets the upset over John Carroll if there is such a thing in 2017-2018. The final score: 85-80.

Ralph Turner

Quote from: rlgyank on February 17, 2018, 02:31:48 PM
Quote from: fantastic50 on February 12, 2018, 09:22:42 PM
If D3H was a stock market (new fantasy game?) set by the polls, I would be buying Nebraska Wesleyan, the OAC, MIAC, and CCIW.  On the flip side, I would sell Emory, York, E. Connecticut, Lycoming, and Salem State.

It is absolutely amazing to me that Nebraska Wesleyan did not get any votes in the poll. I am new to the D3 scene as of last year, but it looks like to me that the top 25 is just like a good ole boys club. In the week 10 poll, 42 teams received votes. Those 42 teams went on to lose 26 games during the week. Of those 42 teams, 39 of them received votes in week 11. Only 4 new teams received votes. Nebraska Wesleyan was 21-3 when the poll was taken. Of their 3 losses, 2 were in OT on the road to the 2nd & 4th place teams in the conference. They are leading, by the 2 computer models that I know of, the 3rd or 4th best conference. They are 5th & 6th in the 2 computer models. I realize that their SOS is not the greatest, but it isn't like they are barely beating those teams, they are 2nd in the country in scoring margin. I know they tried to schedule some good teams this year, but it has not worked out that way. The 8 D3 non conference teams that they have on their schedule this year had a winning pct. last year of .573, this year that pct. has dropped to .385. Comparison scores on not perfect by any means, but I will throw out the following anyway. Washington University beat Central 87-83 at home. Augustana beat Central at Central 82-73. Nebraska Wesleyan won at Central 99-86 and won at home against Central 104-80. York (PA) won at Marymount 88-76 and at home against Marymount 81-58. Johns Hopkins beat Marymount at home 82-60. Nebraska Wesleyan won at Marymount 87-46. Wisconsin - Stephens Point lost to Wartburg on a neutral court 66-75. Nebraska Wesleyan won at home against Wartburg 99-60 and won at Wartburg 90-81.

It doesn't really matter what the D3 poll says, what matters is what the NCAA selection committee thinks. And thankfully they think more of Nebraska Wesleyan than the 25 members of the poll. Maybe 1 day some of the IIAC teams will become a member of the club.
Welcome to the Boards. Neb Wes was off the radar for so long.  The voters probably don't have a real handle on them yet. This is by far the best NebWes team in years.

We followed Neb Wes all those years that it was in D-3 Pool B while playing in the Great Plains AC.  There was little during those years for us to consider.

The other dynamic is that each voter only casts for his/her best 25.  With the 64-team format, a voter can legitimately omit 7 first round playoff winners for the 2018 tourney without compromising his/her ballot.

I for one am glad to get NebWes into a conference and out of Pool B. Best wishes in the post-season.

(I am glad to have a former D-3 National Champion contending in the post-season again.)

Gregory Sager

Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 17, 2018, 05:07:53 PM
(I am glad to have a former D-3 National Champion contending in the post-season again.)

Nebraska Wesleyan has never won the national championship. The Prairie Wolves (ne Plainsmen) have finished second on one occasion (1997) and third on three others (1985, 1986, and 1988).
"To see what is in front of one's nose is a constant struggle." -- George Orwell

Dave 'd-mac' McHugh

I struggle with the fact that Nebraska Wesleyan built much of its resume against a pretty below-average opponents list... and then as much as we can point to good wins in the conference, we can also point to head-scratching results (i.e. Simpson in OT; Buena Vista 91-75).

I have thought that Nebraska Wesleyan had the potential of having a pretty good team, but hard to really gauge how good they really are. I have looked at them as an option a LOT of times. I have been leaning more on NWC in the last few weeks, though. They were one of the last teams I didn't vote for last week.

As for the "good old boys" comment... there isn't really any proof there. We have had a host of first-time Top 25 squads this year and there have been a lot of teams who have climbed to heights they have never seen in the Top 25 in their history. The men's Top 25 has been one of the most wide-open and constantly moving polls of most sports in Division III. That said, voters don't just toss their votes around on anyone. It may seem that from time to time and this occasion one individual may not realize that... but it does tend to be true.

There is an entire Top 25 archive you can look through. You will see just how many teams in the history of the Top 25 have earned their way on the poll (207 to be sure) - including Nebraska Wesleyan in its history: http://www.d3hoops.com/top25/men/archive

Stick around following DIII more and you can see how this develops. We welcome you to the boards and to the division - to some degree - but also stick around so we can get a better idea of Nebraska Wesleyan and you can appreciate how it all comes together a bit more.
Host of Hoopsville. USBWA Executive Board member. Broadcast Director for D3sports.com. Broadcaster for NCAA.com & several colleges. PA Announcer for Gophers & Brigade. Follow me on Twitter: @davemchugh or @d3hoopsville.

Pat Coleman

Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 17, 2018, 05:07:53 PM
Welcome to the Boards. Neb Wes was off the radar for so long.  The voters probably don't have a real handle on them yet. This is by far the best NebWes team in years.

While this is a nice storyline, Ralph, the voters pay more attention than this. Dave has already spoken at length about this but I'll boil it down. Here's what a voter sees when looking at Nebraska Wesleyan's resume:

Nov. 17   7:30 PM   at North Central (Minn.) (7-18) •   W, 122-84
Nov. 18   5:00 PM   at Northwestern (Minn.) (13-12) •   W, 78-67
Nov. 24   7:00 PM   Iowa Wesleyan (5-20) •   W, 117-54
Nov. 25   5:00 PM   Bethany Lutheran (17-8) •   W, 95-78
Four games to open the season against the UMAC, the worst conference in the region.

... removed the GPAC team. Glad it's just one non-Division III opponent.

Dec. 10   12:00 PM   at Austin (4-21) •   W, 92-67
Dec. 17   2:00 PM   at Gallaudet (9-16) •   W, 99-77
Dec. 18   7:00 PM   at Marymount (8-17) •   W, 87-46
Dec. 30   4:00 PM   at Grinnell (13-11) •   W, 121-103

Is Grinnell the best non-conference team NWU faced?

With a non-conference slate like this, and an average (to below-average) conference, it's hard to get onto too many ballots.
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Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)


Not to mention inconsistent play.  There were games where NebWes looked lights out, but there were other games where they looked really out of sync.  You factor in that defense has also been spotty and it's tough to vote for them.  Surviving the IIAC on top is helpful.  We'll have to see how things are this week.  They're certainly in the mix for votes, but they haven't done anything to earn the benefit of the doubt just yet.
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Darryl Nester

How They Fared (Complete)

Top 25

Rank   Pts   TeamW-L   Results
#1625Whitman25-0def. Willamette, 93-67; def. Linfield, 100-69
#2600Washington U.22-2def. Case Western Reserve, 101-60; def. Carnegie Mellon, 86-71
#3546St. John's23-2won at Gustavus Adolphus, 78-73; won at St. Thomas, 57-50
#4534Whitworth22-3def. Linfield, 86-75; def. Willamette, 76-60
#5526Wittenberg23-2LOST at Ohio Wesleyan, 80-85; def. #16 Wooster, 78-77 OT
#6525UW-Platteville22-3def. T#32 UW-Whitewater, 70-66; def. T#42 UW-River Falls, 81-69
#7408Emory20-4def. New York University, 96-85; def. Brandeis, 82-69
#8391York (Pa.)21-4def. St. Mary's (Md.), 81-78; LOST at Christopher Newport, 71-81
#9376Williams20-5def. Trinity (Conn.), 73-71
#10362Augustana19-5def. North Park, 77-60
#11328Eastern Connecticut22-3won at Western Connecticut, 106-82; def. Southern Maine, 89-42
#12321Swarthmore21-4def. Haverford, 81-69; def. #24 Franklin and Marshall, 58-56
#13285Middlebury19-6LOST at #17 Wesleyan, 65-73
#14266UW-Oshkosh19-6LOST at #19 UW-Stevens Point, 70-77; won at UW-Stout, 91-70
#15265Hamilton22-3def. SUNY-Cobleskill, 84-51; def. Tufts, 91-82
#16211Wooster20-5def. Kenyon, 81-79; LOST at #5 Wittenberg, 77-78 OT
#17206Wesleyan20-5def. #13 Middlebury, 73-65
#18155John Carroll20-5def. Heidelberg, 91-78; LOST at Capital, 80-85
#19144UW-Stevens Point17-8def. #14 UW-Oshkosh, 77-70; LOST at UW-Eau Claire, 54-55
#20126Lycoming19-6LOST to Lebanon Valley, 79-82; LOST at T#39 Albright, 80-87 OT
#21120Hobart21-4def. Vassar, 79-74; LOST to Union, 77-80
#22114Johns Hopkins21-4won at Washington College, 81-63; won at Haverford, 70-52
#23105Illinois Wesleyan19-5won at Millikin, 65-56; won at Carthage, 92-63
#2494Franklin and Marshall20-5def. Dickinson, 64-57; LOST at #12 Swarthmore, 56-58
#2587Salem State22-3def. Massachusetts College, 91-81


Others receiving votes
Rank   Pts   TeamW-L   Results
#2663Nichols22-3def. Eastern Nazarene, 93-83; def. Wentworth, 81-72
#2762MIT20-5won at Clark, 85-42; def. WPI, 71-59
T#2861Cabrini22-3won at Immaculata, 87-75; def. Clarks Summit, 97-70
T#2861Plattsburgh State20-4def. SUNY Oneonta, 95-74; def. SUNY New Paltz, 102-69
#3052Marietta20-5won at Muskingum, 107-100 OT; won at Ohio Northern, 88-68
#3122St. Olaf19-6LOST at Carleton, 58-69; won at Concordia-Moorhead, 90-60
T#3220Amherst17-8def. Bowdoin, 71-70
T#3220UW-Whitewater16-9LOST at #6 UW-Platteville, 66-70; LOST to UW-La Crosse, 55-60
#3419New Jersey City19-7LOST at Stockton, 66-87; LOST to William Paterson, 78-81
#357Sul Ross State19-6LOST to Mary Hardin-Baylor, 78-79; def. Concordia (Texas), 84-73
#364Emory and Henry19-6LOST to Washington and Lee, 87-92; won at Eastern Mennonite, 74-56
T#373Juniata21-4won at Goucher, 82-71; def. Drew, 73-64
T#373Lehman21-4def. Hunter, 66-52
T#392Albright19-5def. #20 Lycoming, 87-80 OT
T#392Keene State17-8LOST at Plymouth State, 75-84 OT; won at Mass-Dartmouth, 73-71
T#392Maryville (Tenn.)19-6won at Piedmont, 75-72; LOST to Huntingdon, 93-94 OT; def. LaGrange, 84-58
T#421Randolph-Macon18-7won at Hampden-Sydney, 67-56; LOST at Washington and Lee, 76-84
T#421UW-River Falls16-8def. UW-Eau Claire, 77-61; LOST at #6 UW-Platteville, 69-81

Dave 'd-mac' McHugh

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Dave 'd-mac' McHugh

Host of Hoopsville. USBWA Executive Board member. Broadcast Director for D3sports.com. Broadcaster for NCAA.com & several colleges. PA Announcer for Gophers & Brigade. Follow me on Twitter: @davemchugh or @d3hoopsville.

Ralph Turner

Quote from: Gregory Sager on February 17, 2018, 07:00:39 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 17, 2018, 05:07:53 PM
(I am glad to have a former D-3 National Champion contending in the post-season again.)

Nebraska Wesleyan has never won the national championship. The Prairie Wolves (ne Plainsmen) have finished second on one occasion (1997) and third on three others (1985, 1986, and 1988).
My bad! Of course the Sagerman would recall the 1985 game!  +1 to Sager!

Mr. Ypsi

Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 19, 2018, 11:06:20 PM
Quote from: Gregory Sager on February 17, 2018, 07:00:39 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 17, 2018, 05:07:53 PM
(I am glad to have a former D-3 National Champion contending in the post-season again.)

Nebraska Wesleyan has never won the national championship. The Prairie Wolves (ne Plainsmen) have finished second on one occasion (1997) and third on three others (1985, 1986, and 1988).
My bad! Of course the Sagerman would recall the 1985 game!  +1 to Sager!

And I certainly remember the 1997 game (being IWU's only title)! ;D

Pat Coleman

Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 19, 2018, 11:08:49 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 19, 2018, 11:06:20 PM
Quote from: Gregory Sager on February 17, 2018, 07:00:39 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 17, 2018, 05:07:53 PM
(I am glad to have a former D-3 National Champion contending in the post-season again.)

Nebraska Wesleyan has never won the national championship. The Prairie Wolves (ne Plainsmen) have finished second on one occasion (1997) and third on three others (1985, 1986, and 1988).
My bad! Of course the Sagerman would recall the 1985 game!  +1 to Sager!

And I certainly remember the 1997 game (being IWU's only title)! ;D

From reading it in the alumni magazine months later. We all know. :)
Publisher. Questions? Check our FAQ for D3f, D3h.
Quote from: old 40 on September 25, 2007, 08:23:57 PMLet's discuss (sports) in a positive way, sometimes kidding each other with no disrespect.

Mr. Ypsi

Quote from: Pat Coleman on February 20, 2018, 01:18:46 AM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 19, 2018, 11:08:49 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 19, 2018, 11:06:20 PM
Quote from: Gregory Sager on February 17, 2018, 07:00:39 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on February 17, 2018, 05:07:53 PM
(I am glad to have a former D-3 National Champion contending in the post-season again.)

Nebraska Wesleyan has never won the national championship. The Prairie Wolves (ne Plainsmen) have finished second on one occasion (1997) and third on three others (1985, 1986, and 1988).
My bad! Of course the Sagerman would recall the 1985 game!  +1 to Sager!

And I certainly remember the 1997 game (being IWU's only title)! ;D

From reading it in the alumni magazine months later. We all know. :)

Well, if you had started this site earlier ... :P