Top 25 talk

Started by Lurker, March 23, 2005, 09:02:04 AM

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Titan Q

My interview with UW-Oshkosh head coach Matt Lewis.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ki1G9YuQKI

0:00​ Augusta/Amen Corner
4:24​ Landing at Division III Cornell
9:25​ Getting into coaching; D3 Rhodes, D1 Tulane
18:10​ Getting the UW-Oshkosh assistant job
22:57​ Pat Juckem influences
25:00​ 2017-18 NCAA game at Augustana; Ben Boots & Nolan Ebel
29:48​ Pat leaves; interim gig
32:35​ 2018-19 Elite 8 vs Guilford
33:46​ Wheaton & Aston Francis
38:48​ Swarthmore game; Flynn, Fravert, Boots
43:05​ Strong resume; removing the interim tag
44:45​ 2019-20 NCAA game vs North Central
49:11​ 2020-21; looking different
51:03​ D2 vs D3
56:30​ Loaded D3 landscape in 2021-22; COVID waiver
1:02:58​ Illinois Wesleyan tourney next year; non-conf scheduling
1:04:52​ D3hoops fashions; Cole Haan
1:08:34​ Final thoughts

nescac1

#13126
There will certainly be as always a few NESCAC teams in the top 25 as the season evolves, but there isn't great information on who is coming back yet, at least not for the top contenders, and it's a transition year in many ways for NESCAC, with three new coaches including at two of the top-tier programs (Tufts and Amherst). 

Tufts supposedly has all its key seniors returning.  If so, Tufts (even with a coaching vacancy - the retired coach was probably better at recruiting than game management, in any event) should definitely be very highly-ranked to start the season, as it graduated only one senior from the 2019-2020 title-contender squad and returns (if rumors are correct) NESCAC POY Luke Rogers, who will be a 5th year senior and made dramatic strides every year on the court.  He is one of the most gifted big men I've seen in D3 in terms of his footwork and post moves.  That's the only NESCAC team I can imagine being a top 5-10 type of team to start the season, and maybe even the only NESCAC team in the top 25 ... at least to start the year.  But whoever the new coach is, if that senior class returns, there is enough talent on hand to contend for a national title. 

Amherst has a fantastic backcourt returning in a presumably healthy Grant Robinson (he was a shell of himself in 2020) and Garrett Day, both of whom will be fifth-year seniors and first-team all-league caliber players when healthy.  And there is plenty of talent, albeit largely unproven, around them.  But it loses its three frontcourt starters and will, of course, have a new coach.  I could see Amherst as a top 25 team eventually, a lot of perimeter talent there, but probably not to start the season.

Middlebury may have a few seniors back for a fifth year, but that is probably not enough to compensate for a very shallow pool (especially be Midd's standards) of underclass talent.  Unless all five key seniors return (and Midd fans have been quiet, but my sense is that at least a few are not), I don't see Middlebury as a top-25 team.  [Updated: confirmed that Midd's seniors are not returning, which knocks it entirely out of NESCAC contention]

Colby has a lot of good young talent but probably loses too much (5/8 rotation players) to repeat last season's success, they will be solid but I'd be surprised to see them in the top 25. 

Williams is a big question mark but has a ton of young talent on the roster and I think should be ready to return to top 25 contention (though is likely a year away from being a top 10 type of team) after a down season.  The Ephs employed a young rotation including a great frosh class, which suffered some hard knocks with a ton of early floor time in 2019-20, but which started to come together very late in the season.  I think two years of development for the seven underclassmen who were rotation players by season's end, plus a tremendous 2024 recruiting class coming in (including three post grads, who will essentially be college juniors next years physically so should be far more ready than typical first-years) should make Williams very competitive for a top-three spot in NESCAC next year, and a powerhouse in the next few years thereafter. 

It's hard to imagine anyone else in NESCAC sniffing the top 25 next year.  Wesleyan could be a dark horse as it graduated no one of consequence and its top seniors are taking a fifth year, but losing Austin Hutcherson to transfer was such a blow to that program, and Wesleyan has a long way to rise from 2020's rough performance.  Hamilton no longer has Kena Gilmour, and no one else in the league returns a huge amount of talent. 

In sum, my VERY speculative guess at this point to start the year: Tufts is at worst a top-10 team, maybe top-5, nationally; no on else is in the top 25.  By the end of the year, at least one, maybe two, from the Amherst/Williams/Colby/Wesleyan group, most likely Amherst or Williams, cracks the top 25, but none of them warrant that type of recognition to start the season.

Looking at New England more broadly, St. Joseph's is clearly a top-10 worthy team (they hung with Yeshiva despite missing their best guy due to, I presume, injury, and return either everyone or all but one guy).  I think WPI is a lock for the top 20, seem to be the class of NEWMAC headed into next year with all the guys that Springfield and Babson have lost, and WPI keeps bringing in highly-regarded recruits.  I can't think of anyone beyond those two and Tufts who are remotely within Top 25 contention to start the year, but I'm sure someone out there has two years of big time recruits coming in who is currently entirely off the radar ...  perhaps Endicott could be interesting, if McDevitt (and maybe a few other seniors) is returning for a fifth year, but otherwise, not enough up front. 

Titan Q


WUPHF

Quote from: WUPHF on March 19, 2021, 12:29:45 AM
I heard Rowley, Schner, Stuck, and Williams back with a relatively recent confirmation.

Told ya...

Titan Q

Quote from: WUPHF on April 30, 2021, 09:07:50 AM
Quote from: WUPHF on March 19, 2021, 12:29:45 AM
I heard Rowley, Schner, Stuck, and Williams back with a relatively recent confirmation.

Told ya...

My usually reliable source gets a failing grade on that one.

nescac1

So based on what we know or can reasonably speculate on, who are the top contenders for pre-season top 10 accolades?  It's of course still incredibly hard to figure out with limited information, but based on what I've seen on and off these boards ...

Randolph Macon (is Anthony returning, that's a big question I guess?), Yeshiva, Swarthmore, Emory, Wisconsin-Oshkosh, IWU, Tufts, Marietta, Wheaton (IL), and Trine seem like the best bets.  I'm sure I'm missing a few. 

WUPHF

Quote from: Titan Q on April 30, 2021, 09:24:14 AM
Quote from: WUPHF on April 30, 2021, 09:07:50 AM
Quote from: WUPHF on March 19, 2021, 12:29:45 AM
I heard Rowley, Schner, Stuck, and Williams back with a relatively recent confirmation.

Told ya...

My usually reliable source gets a failing grade on that one.

I should have included an emoticon because I have almost no sources, but I have an Emory source from outside the athletic department.

Gregory Sager

In Chicagoese we would say, "WUPHF's godda guy at Emory."
"To see what is in front of one's nose is a constant struggle." -- George Orwell

WUPHF

Or two or tri. #southside

Titan Q

Quote from: WUPHF on April 30, 2021, 02:22:47 PM
Or two or tri. #southside

This south side guy says your story checks out.

WUPHF

Ha, ha!  One of the best parts of my day was stopping by the White Hen Pantry at Western and 103rd and getting a coffee for $1.03.  Good coffee too.

Titan Q

Quote from: WUPHF on April 30, 2021, 03:44:48 PM
Ha, ha!  One of the best parts of my day was stopping by the White Hen Pantry at Western and 103rd and getting a coffee for $1.03.  Good coffee too.

Just a couple blocks from Cork & Kerry!

RogK

I been to duh innersection of Western an a hunnert-an-terd street !

WUPHF

Let it be known, if I die today, it will be from the laughing, not the pork chops or kielbasa.

Gregory Sager

Quote from: WUPHF on April 30, 2021, 03:44:48 PM
Ha, ha!  One of the best parts of my day was stopping by the White Hen Pantry at Western and 103rd and getting a coffee for $1.03.  Good coffee too.

It's a 7-11 now, just like almost all of the rest of the former "Honky Chicken" convenience stores. (I knew a nerdy guy at North Park who called them that, and somehow it caught on around campus, to the point that that nickname leaps into my head whenever anyone mentions the old White Hen Pantry stores.)

Actually, I've never been to Western & 103rd, although I have a friend from North Park who lives down there in the Beverly neighborhood. Aside from Hyde Park, my experience in dealing with the South Side has been scant. Chicago really is two distinct cities that share a common downtown. Whenever I walk around Hyde Park before a Maroons game, I look at the house numbers getting bigger rather than smaller as I go further south, and it gives me vertigo.
"To see what is in front of one's nose is a constant struggle." -- George Orwell