Top 25 talk

Started by Lurker, March 23, 2005, 09:02:04 AM

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WUPHF

Quote from: thebear on December 15, 2021, 09:31:43 PM
Should be worth watching

This is surely going to be among the Top 10 most streamed games of the season.

nescac1

When was the last time an undefeated number one team was an underdog at home?  Because I think it's fair to say that in Massey or just in general perception, Yeshiva is the underdog (albeit slight) in this one ...

WUPHF

When was the last time the No. 1 team had a Massey strength of schedule anywhere close to No. 401?  The scheduling challenges aside, this must be completely unprecedented.

For comparison, if you look at the final season rankings from 2019, you have to go to the 13th ranked team to find a SOS outside of 100 and to the 29th ranked team to find an SOS outside of 200 and that Nichols team (SOS 231) knocked off Amherst and Middlebury in the early season.

nescac1

Yeah, good point.  I imagine the strength of schedule will shoot up into the 200s after NJCU, IWU and Williams ... but then gradually fall back again (although not all the way to 401) during the rest of league play ... which obviously Yeshiva cannot control, so no one is blaming them for that. 

Likewise, I'm very curious to see what happens to Williams' SOS (currently a very unimpressive 316) after a much tougher upcoming stretch: 120, 13, 97, 5, 172, 96, 5, 95, plus a possible game vs. 124 W&L.  I imagine the Ephs' schedule will crack the top 100 following those games. 

Part of the problem is that some typically strong New England teams (Eastern Conn and Springfield) are having down years, hurting the SOS of teams that schedule them expecting a tough game (in this case, Yeshiva and Williams/Amherst). 

Amherst (not much better than Yeshiva at 381) will certainly benefit from league play, especially the four Wesleyan/Williams games, but man its SOS can only go so high with Lesley and Pratt (2 of the bottom 7 in D3) still left to play.  Does any other team have THREE sub-400 teams on its non-league schedule (Amherst also beat up on winless St. Elizabeth)? 

BaboNation

The Yeshiva run is somewhat reminiscent of Indiana State with Larry Bird, with Ryan T in the Bird role.  Not a perfect comparison by any means ... Bird had far less roster support, but the schedule wasn't demanding until tournament time.

Flying Dutch Fan

Massey does show both a current SOS as well as a future SOS (using future opponents current record).  Looking at that Yeshiva goes from current 401 to future 384.  Amherst goes from current 381 to future 232.
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WUPHF

Quote from: Flying Dutch Fan on December 16, 2021, 11:20:49 AM
Massey does show both a current SOS as well as a future SOS (using future opponents current record).  Looking at that Yeshiva goes from current 401 to future 384.  Amherst goes from current 381 to future 232.

+1 I have been looking at Massey for quite a long time and never noticed that. 

HAL 9000 does it all.

nescac1

Wow, thanks FDF, great tip!

Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)

Quote from: WUPHF on December 16, 2021, 11:52:06 AM
Quote from: Flying Dutch Fan on December 16, 2021, 11:20:49 AM
Massey does show both a current SOS as well as a future SOS (using future opponents current record).  Looking at that Yeshiva goes from current 401 to future 384.  Amherst goes from current 381 to future 232.

+1 I have been looking at Massey for quite a long time and never noticed that. 

HAL 9000 does it all.


You just have to remember that future SOS changes, too, as those teams play more teams.  It's an estimate, at best, but it gives you an idea of how the schedule plays out going forward.
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WUPHF


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Quote from: WUPHF on December 16, 2021, 11:52:06 AM
Quote from: Flying Dutch Fan on December 16, 2021, 11:20:49 AM
Massey does show both a current SOS as well as a future SOS (using future opponents current record).  Looking at that Yeshiva goes from current 401 to future 384.  Amherst goes from current 381 to future 232.

+1 I have been looking at Massey for quite a long time and never noticed that. 

HAL 9000 does it all.



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"To see what is in front of one's nose is a constant struggle." -- George Orwell

PauldingLightUP

FYI for Darryl and others. Dave said last night on Hoopsville that the next top 25 will be January 3rd. No, December 20th and 27th.

Darryl Nester

Quote from: PauldingLightUP on December 17, 2021, 01:50:53 PM
FYI for Darryl and others. Dave said last night on Hoopsville that the next top 25 will be January 3rd. No, December 20th and 27th.

Thanks. In my next update, I'll include the complete list of games until then.

Darryl Nester

#13439
How They Fared (So Far)

Results from the past week, plus upcoming games through January 2 (when the next poll will take place).

Note there are quite a few incomplete results for today, but I don't plan to update this post.
Top 25

Rank   Pts   TeamW-L   Results
#1605Yeshiva14-0won at New Jersey City, 93-86; 12/30 vs. #4 Illinois Wesleyan; 01/02 vs. #17 Williams
#2603Randolph-Macon8-112/29 vs. Rosemont; 12/30 vs. TBD
#3584UW-Platteville11-012/29 vs. Beloit; 12/30 vs. TBD
#4517Illinois Wesleyan8-1won at North Central (Ill.), 73-48; 12/19 at #15 Washington U.; 12/29 at Mount St. Vincent; 12/30 at #1 Yeshiva
#5510UW-Oshkosh9-112/21 vs. St. Norbert; 12/29 vs. #29 Calvin; 12/30 vs. Ripon
#6500Wheaton (Ill.)10-1won at Olivet, 91-82; 12/29 vs. #36 Berry; 12/30 vs. Edgewood; 12/31 vs. TBD
#7466St. Joseph (Conn.)8-012/28 vs. Transylvania; 12/29 vs. #8 Marietta
#8396Marietta6-2def. Otterbein, 87-62; NO CONTEST at John Carroll; 12/28 vs. Chicago; 12/29 vs. #7 St. Joseph (Conn.)
#9373UW-La Crosse9-212/15 at St. Mary's (Minn.); won at Crown, 67-43; 12/30 vs. Bethel
#10371Roanoke7-1def. (n) #37 Wartburg, 70-66; 12/20 vs. Dubuque; 12/29 vs. Messiah; 12/30 vs. TBA
#11355Johns Hopkins7-112/29 vs. Manhattanville; 12/30 vs. TBD
#12341Christopher Newport9-2won at Hampden-Sydney, 79-74; def. Virginia Wesleyan, 80-72; 12/20 vs. Washington and Lee; 12/21 at Catholic;
12/29 vs. Merchant Marine; 12/30 vs. TBA; 01/02 vs. Widener
#13314Whitworth9-1def. Schreiner, 88-70; 12/30 vs. UW-River Falls
#14268Elmhurst9-2def. Carroll, 85-78; 12/21 at Manchester; 12/29 vs. Lake Forest
#15260Washington U.8-112/19 vs. #4 Illinois Wesleyan; 12/31 vs. Westminster (Mo.)
#16221Mount Union8-1won at Wilmington, 89-71; 12/29 vs. Geneva; 12/30 vs. Lycoming
#17204Williams9-012/29 vs. York (Pa.); 12/30 vs. TBA; 01/02 at #1 Yeshiva
#18189Swarthmore7-112/30 at Immaculata; 01/02 vs. Stevens
#19173Mary Hardin-Baylor7-1def. Texas-Dallas, 79-69; def. T#40 LeTourneau, 91-86 OT; 12/29 vs. Pacific Lutheran;
12/30 vs. St. Mary's (Minn.)
#20145Amherst8-012/28 at SUNY-Old Westbury; 12/31 vs. Babson
#21144RPI8-012/29 vs. Oswego State; 12/30 vs. TBA
#2279Heidelberg9-1won at Muskingum, 96-76; 12/21 at Oberlin
#2375Maryville (Tenn.)9-1def. (n) Ferrum, 84-47; won at Hampden-Sydney, 85-84; 12/28 vs. Pacific Lutheran; 12/29 vs. UC Santa Cruz
#2471DeSales10-012/20 at Muhlenberg; 12/29 vs. Neumann; 12/30 vs. TBA
#2568Hardin-Simmons10-1def. University of the Ozarks, 77-49


Others receiving votes
Rank   Pts   TeamW-L   Results
#2643Wesleyan9-112/29 vs. Wilkes; 12/30 vs. TBA
#2739Lynchburg7-2won at William Peace, 92-60; 12/29 vs. Muskingum; 12/30 vs. Wooster or La Roche
#2837WPI8-112/29 vs. Endicott; 12/30 at Salem State
#2932Calvin5-212/21 vs. Texas Lutheran; 12/22 at #32 Trinity (Texas); 12/29 at #5 UW-Oshkosh; 12/30 vs. UW-Stout
#3029Trine5-4LOST at Anderson, 57-65; 12/20 vs. UW-Stevens Point; 12/30 vs. Concordia-Chicago
#3123Case Western Reserve9-1def. Kalamazoo, 94-74
#3212Trinity (Texas)8-2won at Austin, 89-80; LOST at Centenary (La.), 78-87; 12/21 vs. Alma; 12/22 vs. #29 Calvin
#3311Wooster7-1won at UC Santa Cruz, 80-71; 12/19 vs. Lewis and Clark; 12/29 vs. La Roche; 12/30 vs. TBA
T#3410Oswego7-112/29 vs. #21 RPI; 12/30 vs. TBA
T#3410Rochester7-201/02 at DePauw
#368Berry7-1def. (n) Marywood, 79-46; 12/20 vs. Albright; 12/29 vs. #6 Wheaton (Ill.); 12/30 vs. Carthage
#377Wartburg9-2LOST to (n) #10 Roanoke, 66-70; 12/20 vs. Baldwin Wallace
#386Emory4-312/29 vs. UW-Whitewater; 12/30 vs. Birmingham-Southern; 01/02 at Oglethorpe
#395Cal Lutheran8-2def. Loras, 90-82; 12/28 vs. Northwestern (Minn.); 12/29 vs. Benedictine; 01/01 vs. Pomona-Pitzer
T#404Brandeis7-212/30 vs. Union
T#404Chapman8-112/19 vs. SUNY Oneonta; 12/28 vs. Bethesda University; 01/01 at Redlands
T#404LeTourneau8-1LOST at #19 Mary Hardin-Baylor, 86-91 OT; 12/19 at Concordia (Texas); 01/01 at Austin
#433Nazareth6-112/29 vs. Edgewood; 12/30 vs. Carroll
T#442Augsburg7-2LOST at UW-River Falls, 67-86; 12/19 vs. Stevenson; 12/19 vs. Rhodes; 12/20 vs. DePauw
T#442Stockton10-1won at Rosemont, 69-66
T#442Mary Washington9-312/14 at Averett; LOST at Hampden-Sydney, 71-84; 12/19 vs. Ferrum; 12/29 vs. Goucher; 12/30 vs. TBA