South Region playoffs

[Bill McCabe]

Ralph,  At this point in the season, who would you give the #1 seed?

[religion_major]

rm - i know ferrum is undefeated, but even IF they win out, i don't see salisbury being seeded below fc - if the gulls win out they will have beaten wesley (currently 7-1), widener (currently 5-2), and frostburg (currently 4-3) in addition to methodist (currently 5-2) and cnu (currently 4-3) - ferrum doesn't have the same number of quality wins - i think ferrum is a 6 seed, at best, if they win out - i agree that if mc or cnu win the usasac aq, they'll be an 8 seed - the way the ncaa does things, though, your match-ups could be spot on, despite the seedings being off

Narch,
Would you then just flip the home team for a Ferrum/UMHB game or send the #8 seed to Texas?  Either way, one team is going to have to fly.  The main question is whether a Texas team flies North or a low seed flies to Texas.

[historymajor]

R_M.... IF TU wins out (and I'm a TU guy) .... do you really think that TU will be #1 seed in the South?  It seems to me that we need to see the regional rankings b/4 we pronounce TU #1....  or do you know something I don't?

[religion_major]

That may also depend on the fate of W&J.  If W&J wins the fourth pool B slot it becomes a toss up between Thiel and Trinity.  Not that it is listed in the criteria but I don't see the NCAA giving the #1 seed to a team that has not made the playoffs since expansion when a perenial playoff team that the committee members may just feel more comforitable with.  I really think that of the undefeated teams in the South region only Thiel and Trinity would have the SOS and/or win over a playoff team to get a #1 seed.

[Hug]

Salisbury may have a win against a playoff team (CNU/Meth)

Trinity will not

[narch]

rm - i'd put the monarchs in as the 8 seed and i don't care where they play

[religion_major]

Narch,
I would say that Methodist or CNU would be an 8 seed if either of them were to make it to the dance.

[Llamaguy]

Here is a refresher on what the criteria is:

Primary Criteria (not in priority order)

Win-loss percentage against regional opponents
Quality-of-wins index- only contests versus regional competition
In-region head-to-head competition
In-region results vs. common regional opponents
In-region results vs. regionally ranked teams(ranked at the time of the ranking/selection process)
Conference postseason contest(s) is included

Secondary Criteria

Out-of region head-to-head competition
Overall Division III won-loss percentage
Results vs. common non-DIII opponents
Results vs. Division III teams ranked in other regions
Overall win-loss percentage
Results vs. common out-of-region opponents
Overall Division III strength of schedule


Now in my eyes, Trinity = #1

[narch]

rm - i agree on cnu (and probably mc, too), and i admit you bc fans have MUCH more experience than i do, but IF mc wins out, fc loses to cnu, mc wins the coin flip to get the aq and ssu wins out (did you follow all of those ifs ), the monarchs 2 losses will be to 9-1 teams - additionally, the monarch opponents to date have a 24-23 record (vs. bc's opp record of 15-28)...nah, it's all a dream - IF the monarchs get in they're an 8 seed...nevermind 

[Ralph Turner]

History Major, I think that TU is a comfortable  #2 seed now, and quite accurately, the Top seed in the "Texas" sub-bracket.  I think that Thiel has the inside track on the #1.  They will have a win against another playoff team, W&J.

[Ron Boerger]

History Major, I think that TU is a comfortable  #2 seed now, and quite accurately, the Top seed in the "Texas" sub-bracket.  I think that Thiel has the inside track on the #1.  They will have a win against another playoff team, W&J.

And should Huntingdon get in (they need a little help, but not that much), so would Trinity. 

[pakownr97]

I'm not sure W & J is in...yet.

If not, Thiel does NOT have a win against a playoff team, either.

[Ron Boerger]

AFCA poll is out.

6. Trinity
7. UMHB
[9. MUC]
12. HSU
15. BC
17. W&J
20. Thiel
25. Ferrum
(26) Salisbury
(33) Wesley

[badbadman]

Ron,

JHU is AFCA #16

[Ron Boerger]

Thanks, I always forget they are "South"