BB: ASC: American Southwest Conference

[Ralph Turner]

UTD 7, at McM 4.

Brad Buchanan gets the win; Colton Smith gets the loss. 

[TexasBB]

Ok it is time for sticking my kneck out and make predictions for the final weekend.

In the West I am predicting a 3 way tie for the best record at 15-6.
McM sweeps Sul Ross
HSU takes 2 out of 3 from TLU (like HSU with home cooking)
MHB takes 2 out of 3 from HPU

HSU wins top seed with tie breakers over McM and TLU
McM is second seed with tiebreaker over TLU
TLU third seed
MHB 4th Seed

In the East
UTT takes 2 out of 3 from MC

UTT wins top seed
MC is second seed
UTD is third
Ozarks (bye week) is 4th

I will waite and see how I pan out with my pics before predicting the playoffs.

[royhobbs]

TLU is probably the best team in the west, agree with you McM sweeps, UTT is fortunate they are in such a weak division.

[TexasBB]

TLU on paper is perhaps a stronger team than HSU but that home field works to HSU's advantage. McM took 2 out of 3 from TLU at home. HSU took 2 out of 3 from McM at home. HSU has a good record at home and none of the teams have proven to be very good on the road. Thus going with the home field advantage.

The same thing leads me to pick UTT over MC.  MC is playing very well over the last few weeks after starting slow. So they are peaking at the right time but UTT is very tough at home and also has been on a winning streak. They have overall better pitching and defense than MC plus the home field advantage.

Of course they still have to play the games we shall see.

[UP AND IN]

TexasBB no worry about the CTX series this weekend? With predicting UMHB taking 2 of 3 from HPU your leaving the door wide open for CTX to sweep and take that last playoff spot.

TLU
MCM-- these three battle for the top... no prediction here
HSU

CTX/UMHB- can ctx sweep schreiner and HPU play spoiler to the Cru's year?

[hsusid]

HSU has a better record on the road 11-6 than at home 12-8 and against ASC teams HSU is 11-4 on the road. I would call that pretty good on the road.

I am super pumped about the weekend series. It will be two pretty good teams going at it with the winner of the series being the No. 1 seed out of the West.

[baseballfan24]

Ok it is time for sticking my kneck out and make predictions for the final weekend.

In the West I am predicting a 3 way tie for the best record at 15-6.
McM sweeps Sul Ross
HSU takes 2 out of 3 from TLU (like HSU with home cooking)
MHB takes 2 out of 3 from HPU

HSU wins top seed with tie breakers over McM and TLU
McM is second seed with tiebreaker over TLU
TLU third seed
MHB 4th Seed

In the East
UTT takes 2 out of 3 from MC

UTT wins top seed
MC is second seed
UTD is third
Ozarks (bye week) is 4th

I will waite and see how I pan out with my pics before predicting the playoffs.

maybe Tyler is so good at home because of their home cooking

[Ralph Turner]

HSU has a better record on the road 11-6 than at home 12-8 and against ASC teams HSU is 11-4 on the road. I would call that pretty good on the road.

I am super pumped about the weekend series. It will be two pretty good teams going at it with the winner of the series being the No. 1 seed out of the West.

Go get 'em Cowboys!  Two out of three!   

[TexasBB]

TexasBB no worry about the CTX series this weekend? With predicting UMHB taking 2 of 3 from HPU your leaving the door wide open for CTX to sweep and take that last playoff spot.

TLU
MCM-- these three battle for the top... no prediction here
HSU

CTX/UMHB- can ctx sweep schreiner and HPU play spoiler to the Cru's year?

[TexasBB]

Up and In,

You are absolutely correct, and CTX is still in the running. I appologoze to all CTX fans for my oversight. 

Great weekend of baseball for the final week of the regular season I just hope the weather cooperates.

[royhobbs]

Texas BB- How's CTX's pitching compare to UTT's? Hard for me to tell about UTT, only seen them against weaker teams.

[dp643]

Looks like once again this year the CTX people go into hibernation until they finally win a series.

[TexasBB]

Texas BB- How's CTX's pitching compare to UTT's? Hard for me to tell about UTT, only seen them against weaker teams.

The State rankings from the ASC website going into this weekend for pitching are as follows (top 5):

All Games                          Conference Only
UTT       3.67                      UTT       3.80     
UMHB    4.66                      TLU       3.87
CTX       5.01                      UMHB    3.91
TLU       5.17                       CTX      4.05
MCM     5.66                       UTD      4.26


Much has been said without support that UTT played a weak shcedule. According to Boyds World UTT has the 21st toughest schedule out of over 250 DIII teams here is how the top 5 ranked schools of the ASC are listed.

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/isr/d3_isr.html


UTT    Rank 4      SOS 21
HSU   Rank 24    SOS 24
UMHB Rank 30    SOS 19
TLU    Rank 37    SOS 40
McM   Rank 49    SOS 12

UTT won 6 out of 8 from the other top 4 ranked ASC teams (swept 3 form UMHB swept 2 from HSU and lost 2 out of 3 to McM) The also lost to Concordia at the begining of the season but their record against the West is a respectible 6-3.

[Dawgsdad]

At the surface, most expect CTX to sweep Schreiner. However, I'd be careful to count your chickens too early. Ayala isn't a bad pitcher and kept TLU, which most would agree is the best team in the west off balance for 5 innings only allowing 1 run to score. Orosey did struggle early but settled down to keep TLU in it. The final score wouldn't show it, but it was a much closer game than was expected.

There are some good hitter within Schreiner's lineup and they have good speed on the bases and execute the hit and run and sac bunt extermely well. It will not surprise me to see Schreiner take one from CTX and if CTX comes in complacent, they could lose a couple in this series.  I'm not predicting this to happen but it's not a slammed closed case - hence why the game is played 

[BigPoppa]

Those SOS rankings just validate the ASC is seen as a tougher copnfertence this year than it has been in the past.