Pool C

[KnightSlappy]

Updated through Thursday 2/21.  Notes about the data...

* In-region record is through Thursday 2/21
* SOS is through Sun 2/17 (from data sheets)
* Results vs regionally ranked is through Thursday 2/21


Pool C projection
1. Williams (Northeast, NESCAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.556/4-3
2. UW-Stevens Point (West, WIAC) - 21-5 (.808)/.586/7-2
3. Washington U. (Midwest, UAA) - 18-5 (.783)/.567/6-4
4. Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-5 (.773)/.568/4-3
5. Middlebury (Northeast, NESCAC) - 19-2 (.905)/.536/2-2
6. North Central (Midwest, CCIW) - 20-3 (.870)/.528/4-2
7. MIT (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 19-4 (.826)/.552/4-3 
8. Hampden-Sydney (South, ODAC) - 18-3 (.857)/.507/4-2
9. Emory (South, UAA) - 18-6 (.750)/.557/4-4
10. Transylvania (Midwest, HCAC) - 19-5 (.792)/.542/3-1
11. Ohio Wesleyan (Great Lakes, NCAC) - 20-4 (.833)/.537/2-2
12. Albright (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 20-6 (.769)/.544/3-1
13. Wesley (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 17-3 (.850)/.508/5-2 
14. Plattsburgh State (East, SUNYAC) - 18-6 (.750)/.545/4-4
15. Springfield (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/3-5
16. Rutgers-Newark (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.534/3-3
17. Brandeis (Northeast, UAA) - 17-7 (.708)/.570/4-6 
18. Thomas More (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.499/1-2   
19. Concordia-Tx (South, ASC) - 18-4 (.818)/.514/2-2
----------
20. Scranton (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 19-7 (.731)/.530/3-1
21. UW-Stout (West, WIAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.536/1-5
22. Salisbury (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) – 16-6 (.727)/.521/3-5
23. Richard Stockton (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.537/1-5
24. Eastern Connecticut (Northeast, LEC) - 19-4 (.826)/.499/1-2
25. Tufts (Northeast, NESCAC) – 16-5 (.762)/.524/0-5
26. SUNY-Purchase (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-5 (.808)/.498/1-2
27. Capital (Great Lakes, OAC) - 19-5 (.792)/.487/1-2
28. Augustana (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-7 (.708)/.548/1-7
29. Concordia-Moorhead (West, MIAC) - 18-6 (.750)/.507/2-2
30. Augsburg (West, MIAC) - 20-6 (.769)/.505/1-3
31. Whitman (West, NWC) - 15-6 (.714)/.540/2-2 *game in progress*
32. Ithaca (East, E8) - 16-8 (.667)/.537/2-4
33. Texas-Dallas (South, ASC) - 19-6 (.760)/.511/0-3
34. Oswego State (East, SUNYAC) – 19-7 (.731)/.501/2-5
35. Randolph (South, ODAC) - 14-5 (.737)/.502/2-3

Top "Bubble Bursters" (presumed Pool As that would be competitive in Pool C)
1. Amherst (Northeast, NESCAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.574/7-1
2. St. Thomas (West, MIAC) - 24-1 (.960)/.540/6-1
3. Rochester (East, UAA) - 20-3 (.870)/.572/7-2 
4. UW-Whitewater (West, WIAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.581/5-3
5. WPI (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.561/4-2
6. Virginia Wesleyan (South, ODAC) - 16-5 (.762)/.549/7-3
7. Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-4 (.818)/.539/5-3
8. Alvernia (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 22-4 (.846)/.549/4-2
9. Rhode Island (Northeast, LEC) - 23-3 (.885)/.530/3-3
10. Wooster (Great Lakes, NCAC) -21-4 (.840)/.554/3-1
11. Whitworth (West, NWC) - 21-3 (.875)/.526/2-2  *game in progress*
12. Mary Hardin-Baylor (South, ASC) - 21-4 (.840)/.533/3-2
13. St. Mary's (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 18-3 (.857)/.531/4-3
14. Cortland St. (East, SUNYAC) - 21-3 (.875)/.514/4-3
15. Ramapo (Atlantic, NJAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.517/3-1
16. Stevens (East, E8) - 19-4 (.826)/.533/3-2
17. Catholic (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 20-3 (.870)/.520/2-2
18. Rose-Hulman (Midwest, HCAC) - 21-3 (.875)/.505/1-1
19. St. Vincent (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.495/1-1
20. Calvin (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 19-1 (.950)/.441/0-0
21. SUNY-Old Westbury (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-3 (.875)/.491/2-1
22. St. Norbert (Midwest, MWC) - 18-5 (.783)/.534/1-2
23. Christopher Newport (South, USAC) - 18-5 (.783)/.535/0-2
24. Buena Vista (West, IIAC) - 18-6 (.750)/.561/1-2
25. Hobart (East, LL) - 19-6 (.760)/.538/0-4
26. Franklin & Marshall (Mid-Atlantic, CC) – 16-5 (.762)/.518/2-2


Let me know if you find Pool A vs Pool C issues, errors in data, or if something looks out of whack.

Are you only including ranked teams? Seems to me that Hope should be in your top 35 Pool C mix. I think they'll be ahead of Capital in the GL even if they lose to Calvin in the MIAA finals.

[Titan Q]

Are you only including ranked teams? Seems to me that Hope should be in your top 35 Pool C mix. I think they'll be ahead of Capital in the GL even if they lose to Calvin in the MIAA finals.

Yes, I've only been including regionally ranked teams (teams appearing in at least 1 of the 3 rankings).  But I went back and added Hope...and actually have them #20.

Interesting.

[KnightSlappy]

SUNY-Old Westbury lost today so they move to the Pool C side of things.

[KnightSlappy]

Are you only including ranked teams? Seems to me that Hope should be in your top 35 Pool C mix. I think they'll be ahead of Capital in the GL even if they lose to Calvin in the MIAA finals.

Yes, I've only been including regionally ranked teams (teams appearing in at least 1 of the 3 rankings).  But I went back and added Hope...and actually have them #20.

Interesting.

Where would you be slotting Calvin right now if they were a C? And how would that change if they end up getting a 1-2 vRRO from Hope getting ranked?

[Titan Q]

SUNY-Old Westbury lost today so they move to the Pool C side of things.

Just added...I have them right on the bubble.

[KnightSlappy]

My kind of funky equation is saying this:

UW-Stevens Point
Williams
Washington U.
Middlebury
North Central (Ill.)
MIT
Wesley
Wheaton (Ill.)
Brandeis
Hampden-Sydney
Ohio Wesleyan
Emory
Plattsburgh State
Transylvania
UW-Platteville
Springfield
Albright
SUNY-Old Westbury
Thomas More
-----
Randolph-Macon
Rutgers-Newark
Concordia (Texas)
Richard Stockton
UW-Stout

Though I doubt UW-Platteville and Randolph-Macon would be considered so highly by the committee.

Also should be noted that we're mixing teams that are done with teams that are yet to lose.

[Titan Q]

Where would you be slotting Calvin right now if they were a C? And how would that change if they end up getting a 1-2 vRRO from Hope getting ranked?

Here is the tough thing.  Every time I do my list, I want to have Calvin higher on the "bubble burster" list...maybe at about 5 spots higher.  But because of the regional rankings, I can't move Calvin higher than St. Vincent...and I like where I have St. Vincent.

If Calvin got that 1-2 vs RR I think they'd move into the #4-spot in the Great Lakes, and I'd have them safely in Pool C.  Maybe in the 13-14 range.

[Titan Q]

Updated through Thursday 2/21.  Notes about the data...

* In-region record is through Thursday 2/21
* SOS is through Sun 2/17 (from data sheets)
* Results vs regionally ranked is through Thursday 2/21


Pool C projection
1. Williams (Northeast, NESCAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.556/4-3
2. UW-Stevens Point (West, WIAC) - 21-5 (.808)/.586/7-2
3. Washington U. (Midwest, UAA) - 18-5 (.783)/.567/6-4
4. Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-5 (.773)/.568/4-3
5. Middlebury (Northeast, NESCAC) - 19-2 (.905)/.536/2-2
6. North Central (Midwest, CCIW) - 20-3 (.870)/.528/4-2
7. MIT (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 19-4 (.826)/.552/4-3 
8. Hampden-Sydney (South, ODAC) - 18-3 (.857)/.507/4-2
9. Emory (South, UAA) - 18-6 (.750)/.557/4-4
10. Transylvania (Midwest, HCAC) - 19-5 (.792)/.542/3-1
11. Ohio Wesleyan (Great Lakes, NCAC) - 20-4 (.833)/.537/2-2
12. Albright (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 20-6 (.769)/.544/3-1
13. Wesley (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 17-3 (.850)/.508/5-2 
14. Plattsburgh State (East, SUNYAC) - 18-6 (.750)/.545/4-4
15. Springfield (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/3-5
16. Rutgers-Newark (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.534/3-3
17. Brandeis (Northeast, UAA) - 17-7 (.708)/.570/4-6 
18. Thomas More (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.499/1-2   
19. Concordia-Tx (South, ASC) - 18-4 (.818)/.514/2-2
----------
20. SUNY-Old Westbury (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-3 (.875)/.491/2-1
21. Hope (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 15-5 (.750)/.533/1-3  not currently ranked in the GL
22. Scranton (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 19-7 (.731)/.530/3-1
23. UW-Stout (West, WIAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.536/1-5
24. Salisbury (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) – 16-6 (.727)/.521/3-5
25. Richard Stockton (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.537/1-5
26. Eastern Connecticut (Northeast, LEC) - 19-4 (.826)/.499/1-2
27. Tufts (Northeast, NESCAC) – 16-5 (.762)/.524/0-5
28. SUNY-Purchase (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-5 (.808)/.498/1-2
29. Capital (Great Lakes, OAC) - 19-5 (.792)/.487/1-2
30. Whitman (West, NWC) - 16-6 (.727)/.540/2-2
31. Augustana (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-7 (.708)/.548/1-7
32. Concordia-Moorhead (West, MIAC) - 18-6 (.750)/.507/2-2
33. Augsburg (West, MIAC) - 20-6 (.769)/.505/1-3
34. Ithaca (East, E8) - 16-8 (.667)/.537/2-4
35. Texas-Dallas (South, ASC) - 19-6 (.760)/.511/0-3
36. Oswego State (East, SUNYAC) – 19-7 (.731)/.501/2-5
37. Randolph (South, ODAC) - 14-5 (.737)/.502/2-3

Top "Bubble Bursters" (presumed Pool As that would be competitive in Pool C)
Would definitely fit in the top 19 above...
1. Amherst (Northeast, NESCAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.574/7-1
2. St. Thomas (West, MIAC) - 24-1 (.960)/.540/6-1
3. Rochester (East, UAA) - 20-3 (.870)/.572/7-2 
4. UW-Whitewater (West, WIAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.581/5-3
5. WPI (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.561/4-2
6. Virginia Wesleyan (South, ODAC) - 16-5 (.762)/.549/7-3
7. Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-4 (.818)/.539/5-3
8. Alvernia (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 22-4 (.846)/.549/4-2
9. Rhode Island (Northeast, LEC) - 23-3 (.885)/.530/3-3
10. Wooster (Great Lakes, NCAC) -21-4 (.840)/.554/3-1
11. Whitworth (West, NWC) - 22-3 (.880)/.526/2-2 
12. Mary Hardin-Baylor (South, ASC) - 21-4 (.840)/.533/3-2
13. St. Mary's (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 18-3 (.857)/.531/4-3
14. Cortland St. (East, SUNYAC) - 21-3 (.875)/.514/4-3
15. Ramapo (Atlantic, NJAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.517/3-1
16. Stevens (East, E8) - 19-4 (.826)/.533/3-2
17. Catholic (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 20-3 (.870)/.520/2-2

Would fit right at the end of the bubble (near spot 19)...
18. Rose-Hulman (Midwest, HCAC) - 21-3 (.875)/.505/1-1
19. St. Vincent (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.495/1-1
20. Calvin (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 19-1 (.950)/.441/0-0

Would be outside the top 19...
21. St. Norbert (Midwest, MWC) - 18-5 (.783)/.534/1-2
22. Christopher Newport (South, USAC) - 18-5 (.783)/.535/0-2
23. Buena Vista (West, IIAC) - 18-6 (.750)/.561/1-2
24. Hobart (East, LL) - 19-6 (.760)/.538/0-4
25. Franklin & Marshall (Mid-Atlantic, CC) – 16-5 (.762)/.518/2-2


Let me know if you find Pool A vs Pool C issues, errors in data, or if something looks out of whack.

[Greek Tragedy]

RESULTS THROUGH THURSDAY

I HAVE ADJUSTED THE REGIONAL RECORD AND THE vRRO FOR ONLY TEAMS THAT HAVE THEIR SEASONS COMPLETE.  IF THEY ARE STILL PLAYING, I HAVE NOT ADJUSTED THEIR RECORDS.

ATL
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	2	1	Ramapo	NJAC	19-3	0.517	3-1	BEAT William Paterson 83-58; vs. Rutgers-Newark in  Final 2/22
2	1	2	Old.Westbury	SKY	21-3	0.491	2-1	LOST to Farmingdale State 81-69 in semis SEASON COMPLETE
5	3	3	Rutgers.Newark	NJAC	18-6	0.534	2-3	BEAT Richard Stockton 49-46; vs. Ramapo in Final 2/22
4	4	4	RicardStockton	NJAC	19-7	0.537	1-5	LOST at Rutgers-Newark 49-46 in semis SEASON COMPLETE
3	5	5	SUNYPurchase	SKY	20-5	0.498	1-2	BEATMount St. Mary 57-48; vs. Farmingdale State in Final 2/23
EAST
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	1	1	Rochester	UAA	20-3	0.572	7-2	at Emory 2/23
2	2	2	SUNY.Cortland	SUNYAC	21-3	0.514	3-2	vs. Oswego St. in semis 2/22
3	3	3	Stevens	E8	19-4	0.533	3-2	vs. Utica in semis 2/22
NR	5	4	Plattsburgh.State	SUNYAC	18-6	0.545	2-4	vs. Geneseo State in semis 2/22
5	4	5	Hobart	LL	18-6	0.538	0-4	BEATSkidmore 77-72; vs. RPI in Final 2/23
NR	NR	6	Oswego.State	SUNYAC	18-7	0.501	2-5	BEAT Brockport St. 78-66; vs. Cortland St. in semis 2/22
			DROPPING OUT
NR	6	NR	Ithaca	E8	15-8	0.537	2-3	vs. Fisher in E8 semis 2/22
4	NR	NR	NYU	UAA	14-10	0.58	6-5	vs. Brandeis 2/23
6	NR	NR	SUNY.Geneseo	SUNYAC	16-8	0.523	2-3	BEAT New Paltz St. 98-80; vs. Plattsburgh St. in semis 2/22
GT LK
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	1	1	Wooster	NCAC	20-4	0.554	3-1	BEAT Oberlin 74-47; vs. Wittenberg in semis 2/22
2	2	2	Ohio.Wesleyan	NCAC	19-4	0.537	2-2	BEAT Denison 77-56; vs. Kenyon in semis 2/22
5	5	3	St.Vincent	PrAC	18-3	0.495	1-1	BEAT Waynesburg 72-62; BEAT  Washington and Jefferson 85-75; vs. Thomas More in Final 2/23
3	3	4	Thomas.More	PrAC	20-3	0.499	1-2	BEAT Geneva 82-60; BEAT Thiel 86-80; vs. St. Vincent in Final 2/23
NR	4	5	Capital	OAC	19-5	0.487	1-2	LOST Mount Union 63-59 in semis SEASON COMPLETE
4	6	6	Calvin	MIAA	18-1	0.441	0-0	BEAT  Adrian 71-44; vs. Hope in Final 2/23
			DROPPING OUT
6	NR	NR	Marietta	OAC	18-7	0.500	1-3	BEAT   Wilmington 111-106 3 OT; vs. Mount Union in Final 2/23
MID-ATL
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
4	1	1	Alvernia	MACC	21-4	0.549	4-2	BEAT Arcadia 69-66; vs. Lycoming in Final 2/23
1	2	2	Catholic	LAND	19-3	0.528	2-2	BEAT Merchant Marine 65-57; vs. Juniata in Final 2/23
2	4	3	Albright	MACC	20-6	0.546	3-1	LOST to Lycoming 80-78 SEASON COMPLETE
3	3	4	St.Mary's(Md.)	CAC	17-3	0.531	3-2	BEAT  Mary Washington 89-81; vs. Wesley in Final 2/23
5	5	5	Wesley	CAC	16-3	0.508	3-1	BEAT   Salisbury 73-66; vs. St. Mary's in Final 2/23
6	6	6	Scranton	LAND	19-7	0.530	3-1	LOST to Juniata 84-74 2OT  SEASON COMPLETE
NR	8	7	DeSales	MACF	19-5	0.493	1-1	BEAT Fairleigh Dickinson 59-57; vs. Delaware Valley in Final 2/23
NR	NR	8	Salisbury	CAC	15-6	0.521	3-5	BEAT York (Pa) 80-60; LOST at Wesley 73-66 in semis   SEASON COMPLETE
9	NR	9	Frank&Marsh	CC	16-5	0.518	2-2	vs. Muhlenberg in semis 2/22
			DROPPING OUT
8	7	NR	Cabrini	CSAC	18-4	0.473	0-2	BEAT Neumann 90-77; at Keystone in Final 2/22
NR	9	NR	Dickinson	CC	16-7	0.513	2-1	vs. Johns Hopkins in semis 2/22
7	NR	NR	Arcadia	MACC	15-9	0.558	1-5	BEAT Stevenson 85-83; LOST at Alvernia 69-66 SEASON COMPLETE

[Greek Tragedy]

RESULTS THROUGH THURSDAY

I HAVE ADJUSTED THE REGIONAL RECORD AND THE vRRO FOR ONLY TEAMS THAT HAVE THEIR SEASONS COMPLETE.  IF THEY ARE STILL PLAYING, I HAVE NOT ADJUSTED THEIR RECORDS.

MW
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	1	1	Illinois.Wesleyan	CCIW	18-3	0.539	5-2	LOST at North Central 87-83 OT; vs. Augustana in semis 2/22
4	2	2	WashingtonU.	UAA	18-5	0.567	6-4	vs. Chicago 2/23
3	3	3	Wheaton.(IL)	CCIW	16-5	0.568	4-3	BEAT at Elmhurst 70-55; vs. North Central in semis 2/22
5	4	4	North Central.(IL)	CCIW	19-3	0.528	3-2	BEAT Illinois Wesleyan 87-83 OT; vs Wheaton in semis 2/22
2	5	5	Transylvania	HCAC	18-5	0.542	3-1	BEAT Mount St. Joseph 75-57; vs. Hanover in semis 2/22
6	6	6	Rose.Hulman	HCAC	21-3	0.505	1-1	vs. Defiance in semis 2/22
8	8	7	St.Norbert	MWC	18-5	0.534	1-2	vs. Ripon in semis 2/22
7	7	8	Augustana	CCIW	16-7	0.548	1-7	BEAT Millikin 64-51; at Illinois Wesleyan in semis 2/22
NE
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
2	2	1	Amherst	NESCAC	23-2	0.574	6-1	vs. Tufts in semis 2/23
1	1	2	WPI	NEWMAC	23-2	0.561	4-2	vs. TBA in semis 2/23
3	3	3	Williams	NESCAC	20-3	0.556	3-3	vs. Middlebury in semis 2/23
5	5	4	RIC	LEC	22-3	0.53	3-3	BEAT Mass.-Dartmouth 62-58; vs. Southern Maine in semis 2/22
4	4	5	Middlebury	NESCAC	19-2	0.536	1-2	vs. Williams in semis 2/23
7	6	6	MIT	NEWMAC	19-4	0.552	3-3	vs. Springfield in semis 2/23
10	8	7	Springfield	NEWMAC	18-7	0.561	3-5	at MIT in semis 2/23
6	7	8	Brandeis	UAA	17-7	0.57	3-6	at NYU 2/23
8	9	9	Curry	CCC	18-7	0.547	0-4	BEAT Western New England 76-54;  BEAT Eastern Nazerene 82-76; vs. Gordon in Final 2/23
9	10	10	Westfield State	MASCAC	19-5	0.500	1-0	LOST to Fitchburg State 68-61 in semis  SEASON COMPLETE
11	11	11	East.Conn.State	LEC	18-4	0.499	1-1	BEAT West. Conn 65-54; vs. Keene State in semis 2/22
NR	NR	12	Tufts	NESCAC	16-5	0.524	0-5	vs. Amherst in semis 2/23
			DROPPING OUT
12	12	NR	Albertus.Magnus	GNAC	21-3	0.441	0-0	BEAT Rivier 84-65; BEAT Johnson and Wales 104-77; vs. Anna Maria in Final 2/23
SOUTH
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
6	4	1	Virginia.Wesleyan	ODAC	16-5	0.549	7-2	vs. Eastern Mennonite in quarters 2/22
1	1	2	Hampden.Sydney	ODAC	18-3	0.507	4-2	vs. Roanoke in quarters 2/22
2	2	3	MHB	ASC	21-4	0.533	3-2	vs. LeTourneau in quarters 2/22
3	6	4	Chris.Newport	USAC	17-5	0.535	0-2	BEAT Averett 74-58; vs. North Carolina Wesleyan in semis 2/22
5	3	5	Emory	UAA	17-6	0.557	4-4	BEAT Covenant 75-50; vs. Rochester 2/23
4	5	6	Concordia(TX)	ASC	18-4	0.514	2-2	vs. Mississippi College in quarters 2/22
NR	8	7	Texas.Dallas	ASC	19-6	0.511	0-3	vs. Schreiner in quarters 2/22
NR	7	8	Randolph	ODAC	14-5	0.502	2-3	vs. Lynchburg in quarters 2/22
			DROPPING OUT
7	NR	NR	Lynchburg	ODAC	14-7	0.492	1-5	BEAT Shenandoah 90-65; vs. Randolph in quarters 2/22
8	NR	NR	Guilford	ODAC	14-8	0.520	2-5	BEAT Emory & Henry 70-60; vs. Randolph-Macon in quarters 2/22
WEST
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	1	1	St.Thomas	MIAC	24-1	0.540	6-1	vs. Carleton in semis 2/22
3	2	2	Stevens.Point	WIAC	21-5	0.586	7-2	LOST to Platteville 60-56 in semis  SEASON COMPLETE
4	3	3	Whitewater	WIAC	20-4	0.581	4-3	BEAT Stout 64-59; vs. Platteville in Final 2/23
2	4	4	Whitworth	NWC	21-3	0.526	2-2	BEAT Lewis & Clark 74-69; vs. Whitman in Final 2/23
6	5	5	Buena.Vista	IIAC	18-6	0.561	1-2	vs. Dubuque in semis 2/22
5	6	6	Stout	WIAC	18-7	0.536	1-5	BEAT Superior 78-64; LOST at Whitewater 64-59 in semis SEASON COMPLETE
9	7	7	Con.Moorhead	MIAC	18-6	0.507	2-2	vs. Augsburg in semis 2/22
7	9	8	Augsburg	MIAC	19-6	0.505	1-3	BEAT St. John's 74-67; vs. Concordia Moorhead in semis 2/22
NR	8	9	Whitman	NWC	15-6	0.540	2-2	BEAT George Fox 90-78; vs. Whitworth in Final 2/23
			DROPPING OUT
8	NR	NR	Luther	IIAC	17-5	0.512	1-2	vs. Wartburg in semis 2/22

[KnightSlappy]

Where would you be slotting Calvin right now if they were a C? And how would that change if they end up getting a 1-2 vRRO from Hope getting ranked?

Here is the tough thing.  Every time I do my list, I want to have Calvin higher on the "bubble burster" list...maybe at about 5 spots higher.  But because of the regional rankings, I can't move Calvin higher than St. Vincent...and I like where I have St. Vincent.

If Calvin got that 1-2 vs RR I think they'd move into the #4-spot in the Great Lakes, and I'd have them safely in Pool C.  Maybe in the 13-14 range.

If Hope beats Calvin tomorrow night, they (i.e. Hope) will certainly be ranked in the Great Lakes (they have a good chance of being ranked even if they lose). So, when it comes to possible Pool C consideration for Calvin, I think we'll want to include a 1-2 vRRO. Of course, Calvin will win tomorrow night so this is all academic. 

[wally_wabash]

Where would you be slotting Calvin right now if they were a C? And how would that change if they end up getting a 1-2 vRRO from Hope getting ranked?

Here is the tough thing.  Every time I do my list, I want to have Calvin higher on the "bubble burster" list...maybe at about 5 spots higher.  But because of the regional rankings, I can't move Calvin higher than St. Vincent...and I like where I have St. Vincent.

If Calvin got that 1-2 vs RR I think they'd move into the #4-spot in the Great Lakes, and I'd have them safely in Pool C.  Maybe in the 13-14 range.

If Hope beats Calvin tomorrow night, they (i.e. Hope) will certainly be ranked in the Great Lakes (they have a good chance of being ranked even if they lose). So, when it comes to possible Pool C consideration for Calvin, I think we'll want to include a 1-2 vRRO. Of course, Calvin will win tomorrow night so this is all academic. 

Calvin can get RRO results and wind up looking better for selection and seeding but probably only if they lose tomorrow.  How asinine is that?  I really just can't get over how badly the GL RAC has bungled the treatment of Calvin. 

[algernon]

This is how I see the Pool C bids lining up.  I'm heavily leaning on previous postings from Titan Q and Greek Tragedy.   Let me know what your thoughts are ....

--- NCAA bid seems certain: ----
1.   2nd NESCAC team:  Williams/Amherst/Middlebury
2.   3rd NESCAC team:  Williams/Amherst/Middlebury
3.   2nd NEWMAC team:  MIT/WPI
4.   2nd UAA team:  Rochester/Washington/Emory
5.   3rd UAA team:  Rochester/Washington/Emory
6.   2nd WIAC team:  Stevens Point
7.   2nd CCIW team:  Illinois Wesleyan/Wheaton/North Central
8.   3rd CCIW team:  Illinois Wesleyan/Wheaton/North Central
9.   2nd ODAC team:  Virginia Wesleyan/ Hampden-Sydney
--- Bid seems certain, if no AQ ---------------------------------------------------
10.   Whitewater, if no AQ
11.   St. Thomas, if no AQ
12.   Alvernia, if no AQ
13.   Rhode Island College, if no AQ
14.   Whitworth, if no AQ
15.   Mary Hardin-Baylor, if no AQ
16.   Cortland State, if no AQ
17.   Ramapo, if no AQ
18.   Stevens, if no AQ
19.   Catholic, if no AQ
--- These teams have a solid chance ---------------------------------------------------
20.   2nd HCAC team:  Transylvania/ Rose-Hulman?
21.   2nd NCAC team:  Wooster/Ohio Wesleyan?
22.   2nd CAC team:  Wesley/St. Mary's?
23.   2nd PrAC team: St. Vincent/ Thomas More?
24.   Albright?
25.   Plattsburgh State?
26.   Springfield?
27.   Rutgers-Newark?
28.   Brandeis?
29.   Concordia (TX)?

[smedindy]

I think Wooster's a lock even if they lose the AQ.

[wally_wabash]

I think you can pretty much lock up a spot for Wooster.  The Scots lost right before the first rankings came out and were still ranked first in the GL. Then they lost again and still wouldn't be budged from that top spot.  It seems Wooster has lapped the field in the GL region according to the committee.  Even if #2 OWU were to beat Wooster in the NCAC tournament, Wooster would still hold a 2-1 season h2h advantage.  All of that is to say that I don't think Wooster can be moved from the top ranking in the GL (and certainly not the highest available at-large team), and would be available immediately for at-large selection and there's just no way that they'd be passed up 19 times. 

OWU isn't quite as sure a thing if they don't win the NCAC tournament, but probably still in decent shape.  Again, given OWU's placement in the GL rankings, they'll be on the board early, if not immediately.  And then it's hard to find 19 teams that would be selected in front of OWU.