Pool C

[Pat Coleman]

Dodged another Pool C bubble burster earlier.  Carleton had their game with St. T down to 1 with 4:30 left but the Tommies pulled away like true future national champions do and won by 13.

Even closer -- it was tied and St. Thomas scored the final 13.

[bopol]

CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

[Mr. Ypsi]

CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

But to be on the safe side, they should root for Emory to beat Rochester.  Then WashU is AQ, and they would only follow NCC and IWU to the table (which oughta happen with about 10-12 spots still open).

[SevenTen]

CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

But to be on the safe side, they should root for Emory to beat Rochester.  Then WashU is AQ, and they would only follow NCC and IWU to the table (which oughta happen with about 10-12 spots still open).

Looking at the two semi-final losers from the CCIW:

Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6/.568/4-4
Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5/.539/5-4

Obviously the strength of schedule numbers are old but Wheaton should get a slightly better bump than IWU playing NCC vs. Augie. 

We've seen some regional rankings really pay great weight to SOS and the W-L in the region looks pretty similar now for these two teams.  You really hope that the 2-0 head to head holds the correct weight that it should.  Either way I think both are in but it's interesting how compressed the resumes got this past week.

[Titan Q]

Updated through Friday 2/22.  Notes about the data...

* In-region record is through Friday 2/22
* SOS is through Sun 2/17 (from data sheets)
* Results vs regionally ranked is through Friday 2/22


Pool C projection
1. Williams (Northeast, NESCAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.556/4-3
2. UW-Stevens Point (West, WIAC) - 21-5 (.808)/.586/7-2
3. Washington U. (Midwest, UAA) - 18-5 (.783)/.567/6-4
4. Middlebury (Northeast, NESCAC) - 19-2 (.905)/.536/2-2
5. MIT (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 19-4 (.826)/.552/4-3 
6. Hampden-Sydney (South, ODAC) - 19-3 (.864)/.507/4-2
7. Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5 (.783)/.539/5-4
8. Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6 (.739)/.568/4-4
9. Wesley (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 17-3 (.850)/.508/5-2 
10. Emory (South, UAA) - 18-6 (.750)/.557/4-4
11. Ohio Wesleyan (Great Lakes, NCAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.537/2-2
12. Albright (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 20-6 (.769)/.544/3-1
13. Plattsburgh State (East, SUNYAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.545/4-4
14. Transylvania (Midwest, HCAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.542/3-1
15. Springfield (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/3-5
16. Brandeis (Northeast, UAA) - 17-7 (.708)/.570/4-6 
17. Thomas More (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.499/1-2   
18. Concordia-Tx (South, ASC) - 19-4 (.826)/.514/2-2
19. SUNY-Old Westbury (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-3 (.875)/.491/2-1
----------
20. Rutgers-Newark (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.534/3-4
21. Hope (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 15-5 (.750)/.533/1-3  not currently ranked in the GL
22. Scranton (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 19-7 (.731)/.530/3-1
23. UW-Stout (West, WIAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.536/1-5
24. Augustana (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-7 (.720/.548/2-7
25. Salisbury (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) – 16-6 (.727)/.521/3-5
26. Richard Stockton (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.537/1-5
27. Eastern Connecticut (Northeast, LEC) - 19-5 (.792)/.499/1-2
28. Tufts (Northeast, NESCAC) – 16-5 (.762)/.524/0-5
29. SUNY-Purchase (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-5 (.808)/.498/1-2
30. Capital (Great Lakes, OAC) - 19-5 (.792)/.487/1-2
31. Whitman (West, NWC) - 16-6 (.727)/.540/2-2
32. Buena Vista (West, IIAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/1-2
33. Concordia-Moorhead (West, MIAC) - 18-7 (.750)/.507/2-3
34. Augsburg (West, MIAC) - 21-6 (.720)/.505/2-3
35. Ithaca (East, E8) - 17-8 (.680)/.537/2-4
36. Texas-Dallas (South, ASC) - 20-6 (.769)/.511/0-3
37. Randolph (South, ODAC) - 15-5 (.750)/.502/3-3
38. Oswego State (East, SUNYAC) – 19-8 (.704)/.501/2-6


Top "Bubble Bursters" (presumed Pool As that would be competitive in Pool C)
Would definitely fit in the top 19 above...
1. Amherst (Northeast, NESCAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.574/7-1
2. St. Thomas (West, MIAC) - 25-1 (.962)/.540/6-1
3. Rochester (East, UAA) - 20-3 (.870)/.572/7-2 
4. UW-Whitewater (West, WIAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.581/5-3
5. WPI (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.561/4-2
6. Virginia Wesleyan (South, ODAC) - 17-5 (.773)/.549/7-3
7. North Central (Midwest, CCIW) - 21-3 (.875)/.528/5-2
8. Alvernia (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 22-4 (.846)/.549/4-2
9. Rhode Island (Northeast, LEC) - 24-3 (.889)/.530/3-3
10. Wooster (Great Lakes, NCAC) -22-4 (.846)/.554/3-1
11. St. Mary's (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 18-3 (.857)/.531/4-3
12. Mary Hardin-Baylor (South, ASC) - 22-4 (.846)/.533/3-2
13. Cortland St. (East, SUNYAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.514/5-3
14. Ramapo (Atlantic, NJAC) - 21-3 (.875)/.517/4-1
15. Whitworth (West, NWC) - 22-3 (.880)/.526/2-2 
16. Stevens (East, E8) - 20-4 (.833)/.533/3-2
17. Catholic (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 20-3 (.870)/.520/2-2
18. Rose-Hulman (Midwest, HCAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.505/1-1
19. St. Vincent (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.495/1-1
20. Calvin (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 19-1 (.950)/.441/0-0
21. St. Norbert (Midwest, MWC) - 19-5 (.792)/.534/1-2
22. Christopher Newport (South, USAC) - 18-5 (.792)/.535/0-2
23. Franklin & Marshall (Mid-Atlantic, CC) – 17-5 (.773)/.518/2-2
24. Hobart (East, LL) - 19-6 (.760)/.538/0-4

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

Since we're talking MW rankings, with Transy already losing tonight and RHIT not going to have an easy championship game tomorrow (beat Hanover twice this year by a combined 3 points) could one or both have their bubble burst in pool C? At best they're just behind 2 CCIW teams, but could be more if WashU and/or NCC don't get automatic bids.

[SevenTen]

Since we're talking MW rankings, with Transy already losing tonight and RHIT not going to have an easy championship game tomorrow (beat Hanover twice this year by a combined 3 points) could one or both have their bubble burst in pool C? At best they're just behind 2 CCIW teams, but could be more if WashU and/or NCC don't get automatic bids.

I would win if I was RHIT.. (is it just that easy? =)  )  An Augie win and or WashU not getting the Pool A bid makes the Midwest region very interesting with a lot of Pool C teams coming from there.  I'm not sure if there's any bias from the selection committee in terms of "we just picked 2 or 3 from the MW, lets look somewhere else for a bit" or not but not the most comfortable situation for Transy or RHIT who could be the 5 or 6 pool C teams available in the MW.

[kiltedbryan]

Since we're talking MW rankings, with Transy already losing tonight and RHIT not going to have an easy championship game tomorrow (beat Hanover twice this year by a combined 3 points) could one or both have their bubble burst in pool C? At best they're just behind 2 CCIW teams, but could be more if WashU and/or NCC don't get automatic bids.

I would win if I was RHIT.. (is it just that easy? =)  )  An Augie win and or WashU not getting the Pool A bid makes the Midwest region very interesting with a lot of Pool C teams coming from there.  I'm not sure if there's any bias from the selection committee in terms of "we just picked 2 or 3 from the MW, lets look somewhere else for a bit" or not but not the most comfortable situation for Transy or RHIT who could be the 5 or 6 pool C teams available in the MW.

My understanding is that this sort of bias just simply doesn't exist. "Don't take too many teams from a region" isn't a criterion. The committee simply selects the team "at the table" that it deems to have the best current resume. If that's 7 MW teams in a row, then so be it.

However, of course, each region only gets to have one team "at the table" at a time, so you want to be ranked as high as possible in your region so that you are under consideration for as many rounds as possible. If you're solidly on the bubble line, you want to be ahead of the other "bubble line" teams in your region so that you get considered ahead of them.

[Mr. Ypsi]

CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

But to be on the safe side, they should root for Emory to beat Rochester.  Then WashU is AQ, and they would only follow NCC and IWU to the table (which oughta happen with about 10-12 spots still open).

Looking at the two semi-final losers from the CCIW:

Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6/.568/4-4
Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5/.539/5-4

Obviously the strength of schedule numbers are old but Wheaton should get a slightly better bump than IWU playing NCC vs. Augie. 

We've seen some regional rankings really pay great weight to SOS and the W-L in the region looks pretty similar now for these two teams.  You really hope that the 2-0 head to head holds the correct weight that it should.  Either way I think both are in but it's interesting how compressed the resumes got this past week.

But you're ignoring that on Tuesday IWU played NCC while Wheaton played 6-19 Elmhurst.

Playing Augie certainly trumps playing Elmhurst as far as SOS!

[SevenTen]

CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

But to be on the safe side, they should root for Emory to beat Rochester.  Then WashU is AQ, and they would only follow NCC and IWU to the table (which oughta happen with about 10-12 spots still open).

Looking at the two semi-final losers from the CCIW:

Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6/.568/4-4
Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5/.539/5-4

Obviously the strength of schedule numbers are old but Wheaton should get a slightly better bump than IWU playing NCC vs. Augie. 

We've seen some regional rankings really pay great weight to SOS and the W-L in the region looks pretty similar now for these two teams.  You really hope that the 2-0 head to head holds the correct weight that it should.  Either way I think both are in but it's interesting how compressed the resumes got this past week.

But you're ignoring that on Tuesday IWU played NCC while Wheaton played 6-19 Elmhurst.

Playing Augie certainly trumps playing Elmhurst as far as SOS!

Good point.  I don't think it'll make up the difference between Wheaton's SOS and IWUs but the gap shouldn't extend any.  Still think they'll be about as close as resumes get and should both go in the top 10.

[sac]

Transylvania's very much on the bubble, they were Q's #13, 5th in the last regional poll, will certainly drop lower and you can always count on 5 or 6 upsets to eat up Pool C spots that end up going to teams who were the projected Pool A representatives.

Hanover is going to be 18-7 in-region if they lose to RHIT, their SOS is certainly inferior but they are now 3-0 against Transy, I would think they get a good look at being ranked in the super secret final rankings, possibly even ahead of Transy.  If that happens Transy isn't getting in.

[Greek Tragedy]

I DID NOT UPDATE THE RECORDS OR vRRO OF TEAMS THAT HAVE THEIR SEASONS COMPLETE

ATL
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	2	1	Ramapo	NJAC	19-3	0.517	3-1	BEAT William Paterson 83-58;   BEAT Rutgers-Newark 67-65 in  Final    POOL A
2	1	2	Old.Westbury	SKY	21-3	0.491	2-1	LOST to Farmingdale State 81-69 in semis SEASON COMPLETE
5	3	3	Rutgers.Newark	NJAC	18-6	0.534	2-3	BEAT Richard Stockton 49-46; LOST Ramapo in 67-65 Final SEASON COMPLETE
4	4	4	RicardStockton	NJAC	19-7	0.537	1-5	LOST at Rutgers-Newark 49-46 in semis SEASON COMPLETE
3	5	5	SUNYPurchase	SKY	20-5	0.498	1-2	BEATMount St. Mary 57-48; vs. Farmingdale State in Final 2/23
EAST
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	1	1	Rochester	UAA	20-3	0.572	7-2	at Emory 2/23
2	2	2	SUNY.Cortland	SUNYAC	21-3	0.514	3-2	BEAT Oswego St. in 65-54;  vs Plattsburgh State in Final 2/23
3	3	3	Stevens	E8	19-4	0.533	3-2	BEAT Utica  102-66; vs. Ithaca in Final 2/23
NR	5	4	Plattsburgh.State	SUNYAC	18-6	0.545	2-4	BEAT Geneseo State 77-67; vs. Cortland State in Final 2/23
5	4	5	Hobart	LL	18-6	0.538	0-4	BEATSkidmore 77-72; vs. RPI in Final 2/23
NR	NR	6	Oswego.State	SUNYAC	18-7	0.501	2-5	BEAT Brockport St. 78-66;  LOST to Cortland St. 65-54   SEASON COMPLETE
			DROPPING OUT
NR	6	NR	Ithaca	E8	15-8	0.537	2-3	BEAT St. John Fisher 70-63; vs. Stevens in Final 2/23
4	NR	NR	NYU	UAA	14-10	0.58	6-5	vs. Brandeis 2/23
6	NR	NR	SUNY.Geneseo	SUNYAC	16-8	0.523	2-3	BEAT New Paltz St. 98-80; LOST to Plattsburgh St. 77-67  SEASON COMPLETE
GT LK
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	1	1	Wooster	NCAC	20-4	0.554	3-1	BEAT Oberlin 74-47;  BEAT Wittenberg 78-66; vs. Ohio Wesleyan in Final 2/23
2	2	2	Ohio.Wesleyan	NCAC	19-4	0.537	2-2	BEAT Denison 77-56;  BEAT Kenyon 77-64; vs. Wooster in Final 2/23
5	5	3	St.Vincent	PrAC	18-3	0.495	1-1	BEAT Waynesburg 72-62; BEAT  Washington and Jefferson 85-75; vs. Thomas More in Final 2/23
3	3	4	Thomas.More	PrAC	20-3	0.499	1-2	BEAT Geneva 82-60; BEAT Thiel 86-80; vs. St. Vincent in Final 2/23
NR	4	5	Capital	OAC	19-5	0.487	1-2	LOST Mount Union 63-59 in semis SEASON COMPLETE
4	6	6	Calvin	MIAA	18-1	0.441	0-0	BEAT  Adrian 71-44; vs. Hope in Final 2/23
			DROPPING OUT
6	NR	NR	Marietta	OAC	18-7	0.500	1-3	BEAT   Wilmington 111-106 3 OT; vs. Mount Union in Final 2/23
MID-ATL
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
4	1	1	Alvernia	MACC	21-4	0.549	4-2	BEAT Arcadia 69-66; vs. Lycoming in Final 2/23
1	2	2	Catholic	LAND	19-3	0.528	2-2	BEAT Merchant Marine 65-57; vs. Juniata in Final 2/23
2	4	3	Albright	MACC	20-6	0.546	3-1	LOST to Lycoming 80-78 SEASON COMPLETE
3	3	4	St.Mary's(Md.)	CAC	17-3	0.531	3-2	BEAT  Mary Washington 89-81; vs. Wesley in Final 2/23
5	5	5	Wesley	CAC	16-3	0.508	3-1	BEAT   Salisbury 73-66; vs. St. Mary's in Final 2/23
6	6	6	Scranton	LAND	19-7	0.530	3-1	LOST to Juniata 84-74 2OT  SEASON COMPLETE
NR	8	7	DeSales	MACF	19-5	0.493	1-1	BEAT Fairleigh Dickinson 59-57; vs. Delaware Valley in Final 2/23
NR	NR	8	Salisbury	CAC	16-6	0.521	3-5	BEAT York (Pa) 80-60; LOST at Wesley 73-66 in semis   SEASON COMPLETE
9	NR	9	Frank&Marsh	CC	16-5	0.518	2-2	BEAT Muhlenberg 48-46; vs. Dickinson in Final 2/23
			DROPPING OUT
8	7	NR	Cabrini	CSAC	18-4	0.473	0-2	BEAT Neumann 90-77; BEAT Keystone 90-74 in Final  POOL A
NR	9	NR	Dickinson	CC	16-7	0.513	2-1	BEAT Johns Hopkins 73-64; vs. Franklin & Marshall in Final 2/23
7	NR	NR	Arcadia	MACC	16-9	0.558	1-5	BEAT Stevenson 85-83; LOST at Alvernia 69-66 SEASON COMPLETE

[Greek Tragedy]

I DID NOT UPDATE THE RECORDS AND vRRO FOR TEAMS THAT HAVE THEIR SEASONS COMPLETE

MW
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	1	1	Illinois.Wesleyan	CCIW	18-3	0.539	5-2	LOST at North Central 87-83 OT;  LOST to Augustana 53-47  SEASON COMPLETE
4	2	2	WashingtonU.	UAA	18-5	0.567	6-4	vs. Chicago 2/23
3	3	3	Wheaton	CCIW	16-5	0.568	4-3	BEAT at Elmhurst 70-55;  LOST to North Central 59-50  SEASON COMPLETE
5	4	4	North Central.(IL)	CCIW	19-3	0.528	3-2	BEAT Illinois Wesleyan 87-83 OT; BEAT Wheaton 59-50; vs. Augustana in Final  2/23
2	5	5	Transylvania	HCAC	18-5	0.542	3-1	BEAT Mount St. Joseph 75-57; LOST to Hanover 87-82  SEASON COMPLETE
6	6	6	Rose.Hulman	HCAC	21-3	0.505	1-1	BEAT Defiance 81-59; vs Hanover in Final 2/23
8	8	7	St.Norbert	MWC	18-5	0.534	1-2	BEAT Ripon 75-65; vs. Carroll in Final 2/23
7	7	8	Augustana	CCIW	16-7	0.548	1-7	BEAT Millikin 64-51;  WON at Illinois Wesleyan 53-47; vs. North Central in Final 2/23
NE
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
2	2	1	Amherst	NESCAC	23-2	0.574	6-1	vs. Tufts in semis 2/23
1	1	2	WPI	NEWMAC	23-2	0.561	4-2	vs. TBA in semis 2/23
3	3	3	Williams	NESCAC	20-3	0.556	3-3	vs. Middlebury in semis 2/23
5	5	4	RIC	LEC	22-3	0.53	3-3	BEAT Mass.-Dartmouth 62-58; BEAT Southern Maine 61-47; vs Keene State in Final 2/23
4	4	5	Middlebury	NESCAC	19-2	0.536	1-2	vs. Williams in semis 2/23
7	6	6	MIT	NEWMAC	19-4	0.552	3-3	vs. Springfield in semis 2/23
10	8	7	Springfield	NEWMAC	18-7	0.561	3-5	at MIT in semis 2/23
6	7	8	Brandeis	UAA	17-7	0.57	3-6	at NYU 2/23
8	9	9	Curry	CCC	18-7	0.547	0-4	BEAT Western New England 76-54;  BEAT Eastern Nazerene 82-76; vs. Gordon in Final 2/23
9	10	10	Westfield State	MASCAC	19-5	0.500	1-0	LOST to Fitchburg State 68-61 in semis  SEASON COMPLETE
11	11	11	East.Conn.State	LEC	18-4	0.499	1-1	BEAT West. Conn 65-54; LOST to Keene State 79-73 SEASON COMPLETE
NR	NR	12	Tufts	NESCAC	16-5	0.524	0-5	vs. Amherst in semis 2/23
			DROPPING OUT
12	12	NR	Albertus.Magnus	GNAC	21-3	0.441	0-0	BEAT Rivier 84-65; BEAT Johnson and Wales 104-77; vs. Anna Maria in Final 2/23
SOUTH
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
6	4	1	Virginia.Wesleyan	ODAC	16-5	0.549	7-2	BEAT Eastern Mennonite 83-65; vs. Randolph in semis 2/23
1	1	2	Hampden.Sydney	ODAC	18-3	0.507	4-2	BEAT Roanoke 72-49; vs. Randolph-Macon in semis 2/23
2	2	3	MHB	ASC	21-4	0.533	3-2	BEAT LeTourneau 61-54; vs. Hardin-Simmons in semis 2/23
3	6	4	Chris.Newport	USAC	17-5	0.535	0-2	BEAT Averett 74-58; BEAT North Carolina Wesleyan 72-59; vs. Greensboro in Final 2/23
5	3	5	Emory	UAA	17-6	0.557	4-4	BEAT Covenant 75-50; vs. Rochester 2/23
4	5	6	Concordia(TX)	ASC	18-4	0.514	2-2	BEAT Mississippi College 78-76; vs. Texas-Dallas in semis 2/23
NR	8	7	Texas.Dallas	ASC	19-6	0.511	0-3	BEAT Schreiner 74-60; vs. Concordia (TX) in semis 2/23
NR	7	8	Randolph	ODAC	14-5	0.502	2-3	BEAT Lynchburg 76-57; vs. Virginia Wesleyan in semis 2/23
			DROPPING OUT
7	NR	NR	Lynchburg	ODAC	14-7	0.492	1-5	BEAT Shenandoah 90-65; LOST to Randolph 76-57 SEASON COMPLETE
8	NR	NR	Guilford	ODAC	14-8	0.520	2-5	BEAT Emory & Henry 70-60; LOST to Randolph-Macon 57-56  SEASON COMPLETE
WEST
RNK1	RNK2	RNK3	TEAM	CONF.	REG/WIN%	SOS	vRRO	SCHEDULE
1	1	1	St.Thomas	MIAC	24-1	0.540	6-1	BEAT Carleton 70-57; vs. Augsburg in Final 2/23
3	2	2	Stevens.Point	WIAC	21-5	0.586	7-2	LOST to Platteville 60-56 in semis  SEASON COMPLETE
4	3	3	Whitewater	WIAC	20-4	0.581	4-3	BEAT Stout 64-59; vs. Platteville in Final 2/23
2	4	4	Whitworth	NWC	21-3	0.526	2-2	BEAT Lewis & Clark 74-69; vs. Whitman in Final 2/23
6	5	5	Buena.Vista	IIAC	18-6	0.561	1-2	LOST to Dubuque 64-61; SEASON COMPLETE
5	6	6	Stout	WIAC	19-7	0.536	1-5	BEAT Superior 78-64; LOST at Whitewater 64-59 in semis SEASON COMPLETE
9	7	7	Con.Moorhead	MIAC	18-6	0.507	2-2	LOST to Augsburg 74-67  SEASON COMPLETE
7	9	8	Augsburg	MIAC	19-6	0.505	1-3	BEAT St. John's 74-67;  BEAT Concordia Moorhead 74-67; vs. St. Thomas in Final 2/23
NR	8	9	Whitman	NWC	15-6	0.540	2-2	BEAT George Fox 90-78; vs. Whitworth in Final 2/23
			DROPPING OUT
8	NR	NR	Luther	IIAC	17-5	0.512	1-2	LOST to Wartburg 62-57  SEASON COMPLETE

[Greek Tragedy]

TQ,

Not sure when the result came in last night, but Buena Vista lost to Dubuque and should be moved into your Pool C projections.

[Titan Q]

Updated through Friday 2/22.  Notes about the data...

* In-region record is through Friday 2/22
* SOS is through Sun 2/17 (from data sheets)
* Results vs regionally ranked is through Friday 2/22


Pool C projection
1. Williams (Northeast, NESCAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.556/4-3
2. UW-Stevens Point (West, WIAC) - 21-5 (.808)/.586/7-2  done
3. Washington U. (Midwest, UAA) - 18-5 (.783)/.567/6-4
4. Middlebury (Northeast, NESCAC) - 19-2 (.905)/.536/2-2
5. MIT (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 19-4 (.826)/.552/4-3 
6. Hampden-Sydney (South, ODAC) - 19-3 (.864)/.507/4-2
7. Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5 (.783)/.539/5-4   done
8. Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6 (.739)/.568/4-4
9. Wesley (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 17-3 (.850)/.508/5-2 
10. Plattsburgh State (East, SUNYAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.545/5-4
11. Emory (South, UAA) - 18-6 (.750)/.557/4-4
12. Ohio Wesleyan (Great Lakes, NCAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.537/2-2
13. Albright (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 20-6 (.769)/.544/3-1
14. Transylvania (Midwest, HCAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.542/3-1   done
15. Springfield (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/3-5
16. Brandeis (Northeast, UAA) - 17-7 (.708)/.570/4-6 
17. Thomas More (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.499/1-2   
18. Concordia-Tx (South, ASC) - 19-4 (.826)/.514/2-2
19. SUNY-Old Westbury (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-3 (.875)/.491/2-1  done
----------
20. Rutgers-Newark (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.534/3-4
21. Hope (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 15-5 (.750)/.533/1-3  not currently ranked in the GL
22. Scranton (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 19-7 (.731)/.530/3-1
23. UW-Stout (West, WIAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.536/1-5
24. Augustana (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-7 (.720/.548/2-7
25. Salisbury (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) – 16-6 (.727)/.521/3-5
26. Richard Stockton (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.537/1-5
27. Eastern Connecticut (Northeast, LEC) - 19-5 (.792)/.499/1-2
28. Tufts (Northeast, NESCAC) – 16-5 (.762)/.524/0-5
29. SUNY-Purchase (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-5 (.808)/.498/1-2
30. Capital (Great Lakes, OAC) - 19-5 (.792)/.487/1-2
31. Whitman (West, NWC) - 16-6 (.727)/.540/2-2
32. Buena Vista (West, IIAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/1-2
33. Concordia-Moorhead (West, MIAC) - 18-7 (.750)/.507/2-3
34. Augsburg (West, MIAC) - 21-6 (.720)/.505/2-3
35. Ithaca (East, E8) - 17-8 (.680)/.537/2-4
36. Texas-Dallas (South, ASC) - 20-6 (.769)/.511/0-3
37. Randolph (South, ODAC) - 15-5 (.750)/.502/3-3
38. Oswego State (East, SUNYAC) – 19-8 (.704)/.501/2-6


Top "Bubble Bursters" (presumed Pool As that would be competitive in Pool C)
Would definitely fit in the top 19 above...
1. Amherst (Northeast, NESCAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.574/7-1     vs Tufts, 1:00pm
2. St. Thomas (West, MIAC) - 25-1 (.962)/.540/6-1     vs Augsburg, 3:00pm
3. Rochester (East, UAA) - 20-3 (.870)/.572/7-2     @ Emory*, 4:00pm
4. UW-Whitewater (West, WIAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.581/5-3      vs UW-Platteville, 8:00pm
5. WPI (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.561/4-2     vs Babson, 1:00pm
6. Virginia Wesleyan (South, ODAC) - 17-5 (.773)/.549/7-3      vs Randolph, 6:00pm
7. North Central (Midwest, CCIW) - 21-3 (.875)/.528/5-2      vs Augustana (at IWU), 7:30pm
8. Alvernia (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 22-4 (.846)/.549/4-2      vs Lycoming, 2:30pm
9. Rhode Island (Northeast, LEC) - 24-3 (.889)/.530/3-3      vs Keene State, 5:00pm
10. Wooster (Great Lakes, NCAC) -22-4 (.846)/.554/3-1      vs Ohio Wesleyan*, 7:00pm
11. St. Mary's (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 18-3 (.857)/.531/4-3     vs Wesley*, 4:00pm
12. Mary Hardin-Baylor (South, ASC) - 22-4 (.846)/.533/3-2      vs Hardin-Simmons, 3:00pm
13. Cortland St. (East, SUNYAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.514/5-3      vs Plattsburgh State*, 4:00pm
14. Whitworth (West, NWC) - 22-3 (.880)/.526/2-2      vs Whitman, 10:00pm
15. Stevens (East, E8) - 20-4 (.833)/.533/3-2     vs Ithaca, 3:00pm
16. Catholic (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 20-3 (.870)/.520/2-2      vs Juniata, 6:00pm

Things get dicey here...
18. Rose-Hulman (Midwest, HCAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.505/1-1      vs Hanover, 7:00pm
19. St. Vincent (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.495/1-1      vs Thomas More, 7:30pm
20. Calvin (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 19-1 (.950)/.441/0-0      vs Hope, 7:30pm
21. St. Norbert (Midwest, MWC) - 19-5 (.792)/.534/1-2      vs Carroll, 4:00pm
22. Christopher Newport (South, USAC) - 18-5 (.792)/.535/0-2      vs Greensboro, 5:30pm
23. Franklin & Marshall (Mid-Atlantic, CC) – 17-5 (.773)/.518/2-2      vs Dickinson, 7:00pm
24. Hobart (East, LL) - 19-6 (.760)/.538/0-4      vs RPI, 3:00pm


* opponent that is currently projected in Pool C top 19

Give the numbers for your team, or other teams for that matter, a close look.  I'm trying my best to update in-region winning % and results vs RR, but could be an error here or there.  Thanks.