Pool C

Started by Pat Coleman, January 20, 2006, 02:35:54 PM

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Pat Coleman

Quote from: sac on February 22, 2013, 10:38:22 PM
Dodged another Pool C bubble burster earlier.  Carleton had their game with St. T down to 1 with 4:30 left but the Tommies pulled away like true future national champions do and won by 13. ;)

Even closer -- it was tied and St. Thomas scored the final 13.
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bopol

Quote from: Hugenerd on February 22, 2013, 10:34:30 PM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 22, 2013, 10:16:18 PM
CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

Mr. Ypsi

Quote from: bopol on February 22, 2013, 11:46:28 PM
Quote from: Hugenerd on February 22, 2013, 10:34:30 PM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 22, 2013, 10:16:18 PM
CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

But to be on the safe side, they should root for Emory to beat Rochester.  Then WashU is AQ, and they would only follow NCC and IWU to the table (which oughta happen with about 10-12 spots still open).

SevenTen

Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 22, 2013, 11:51:23 PM
Quote from: bopol on February 22, 2013, 11:46:28 PM
Quote from: Hugenerd on February 22, 2013, 10:34:30 PM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 22, 2013, 10:16:18 PM
CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

But to be on the safe side, they should root for Emory to beat Rochester.  Then WashU is AQ, and they would only follow NCC and IWU to the table (which oughta happen with about 10-12 spots still open).

Looking at the two semi-final losers from the CCIW:

Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6/.568/4-4
Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5/.539/5-4

Obviously the strength of schedule numbers are old but Wheaton should get a slightly better bump than IWU playing NCC vs. Augie. 

We've seen some regional rankings really pay great weight to SOS and the W-L in the region looks pretty similar now for these two teams.  You really hope that the 2-0 head to head holds the correct weight that it should.  Either way I think both are in but it's interesting how compressed the resumes got this past week.

Titan Q

#4459
Updated through Friday 2/22.  Notes about the data...

* In-region record is through Friday 2/22
* SOS is through Sun 2/17 (from data sheets)
* Results vs regionally ranked is through Friday 2/22


Pool C projection
1. Williams (Northeast, NESCAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.556/4-3
2. UW-Stevens Point (West, WIAC) - 21-5 (.808)/.586/7-2
3. Washington U. (Midwest, UAA) - 18-5 (.783)/.567/6-4
4. Middlebury (Northeast, NESCAC) - 19-2 (.905)/.536/2-2
5. MIT (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 19-4 (.826)/.552/4-3 
6. Hampden-Sydney (South, ODAC) - 19-3 (.864)/.507/4-2
7. Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5 (.783)/.539/5-4
8. Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6 (.739)/.568/4-4
9. Wesley (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 17-3 (.850)/.508/5-2 
10. Emory (South, UAA) - 18-6 (.750)/.557/4-4
11. Ohio Wesleyan (Great Lakes, NCAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.537/2-2
12. Albright (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 20-6 (.769)/.544/3-1
13. Plattsburgh State (East, SUNYAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.545/4-4
14. Transylvania (Midwest, HCAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.542/3-1
15. Springfield (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/3-5
16. Brandeis (Northeast, UAA) - 17-7 (.708)/.570/4-6 
17. Thomas More (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.499/1-2   
18. Concordia-Tx (South, ASC) - 19-4 (.826)/.514/2-2
19. SUNY-Old Westbury (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-3 (.875)/.491/2-1
----------
20. Rutgers-Newark (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.534/3-4
21. Hope (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 15-5 (.750)/.533/1-3  not currently ranked in the GL
22. Scranton (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 19-7 (.731)/.530/3-1
23. UW-Stout (West, WIAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.536/1-5
24. Augustana (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-7 (.720/.548/2-7
25. Salisbury (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) – 16-6 (.727)/.521/3-5
26. Richard Stockton (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.537/1-5
27. Eastern Connecticut (Northeast, LEC) - 19-5 (.792)/.499/1-2
28. Tufts (Northeast, NESCAC) – 16-5 (.762)/.524/0-5
29. SUNY-Purchase (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-5 (.808)/.498/1-2
30. Capital (Great Lakes, OAC) - 19-5 (.792)/.487/1-2
31. Whitman (West, NWC) - 16-6 (.727)/.540/2-2
32. Buena Vista (West, IIAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/1-2
33. Concordia-Moorhead (West, MIAC) - 18-7 (.750)/.507/2-3
34. Augsburg (West, MIAC) - 21-6 (.720)/.505/2-3
35. Ithaca (East, E8) - 17-8 (.680)/.537/2-4
36. Texas-Dallas (South, ASC) - 20-6 (.769)/.511/0-3
37. Randolph (South, ODAC) - 15-5 (.750)/.502/3-3
38. Oswego State (East, SUNYAC) – 19-8 (.704)/.501/2-6


Top "Bubble Bursters" (presumed Pool As that would be competitive in Pool C)
Would definitely fit in the top 19 above...
1. Amherst (Northeast, NESCAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.574/7-1
2. St. Thomas (West, MIAC) - 25-1 (.962)/.540/6-1
3. Rochester (East, UAA) - 20-3 (.870)/.572/7-2 
4. UW-Whitewater (West, WIAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.581/5-3
5. WPI (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.561/4-2
6. Virginia Wesleyan (South, ODAC) - 17-5 (.773)/.549/7-3
7. North Central (Midwest, CCIW) - 21-3 (.875)/.528/5-2
8. Alvernia (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 22-4 (.846)/.549/4-2
9. Rhode Island (Northeast, LEC) - 24-3 (.889)/.530/3-3
10. Wooster (Great Lakes, NCAC) -22-4 (.846)/.554/3-1
11. St. Mary's (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 18-3 (.857)/.531/4-3
12. Mary Hardin-Baylor (South, ASC) - 22-4 (.846)/.533/3-2
13. Cortland St. (East, SUNYAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.514/5-3
14. Ramapo (Atlantic, NJAC) - 21-3 (.875)/.517/4-1
15. Whitworth (West, NWC) - 22-3 (.880)/.526/2-2 
16. Stevens (East, E8) - 20-4 (.833)/.533/3-2
17. Catholic (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 20-3 (.870)/.520/2-2
18. Rose-Hulman (Midwest, HCAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.505/1-1
19. St. Vincent (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.495/1-1
20. Calvin (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 19-1 (.950)/.441/0-0
21. St. Norbert (Midwest, MWC) - 19-5 (.792)/.534/1-2
22. Christopher Newport (South, USAC) - 18-5 (.792)/.535/0-2
23. Franklin & Marshall (Mid-Atlantic, CC) – 17-5 (.773)/.518/2-2
24. Hobart (East, LL) - 19-6 (.760)/.538/0-4

FCGrizzliesGrad

Since we're talking MW rankings, with Transy already losing tonight and RHIT not going to have an easy championship game tomorrow (beat Hanover twice this year by a combined 3 points) could one or both have their bubble burst in pool C? At best they're just behind 2 CCIW teams, but could be more if WashU and/or NCC don't get automatic bids.
.

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SevenTen

Quote from: FCGrizzliesGrad on February 23, 2013, 12:14:21 AM
Since we're talking MW rankings, with Transy already losing tonight and RHIT not going to have an easy championship game tomorrow (beat Hanover twice this year by a combined 3 points) could one or both have their bubble burst in pool C? At best they're just behind 2 CCIW teams, but could be more if WashU and/or NCC don't get automatic bids.

I would win if I was RHIT.. (is it just that easy? =)  )  An Augie win and or WashU not getting the Pool A bid makes the Midwest region very interesting with a lot of Pool C teams coming from there.  I'm not sure if there's any bias from the selection committee in terms of "we just picked 2 or 3 from the MW, lets look somewhere else for a bit" or not but not the most comfortable situation for Transy or RHIT who could be the 5 or 6 pool C teams available in the MW.

kiltedbryan

Quote from: SevenTen on February 23, 2013, 12:24:25 AM
Quote from: FCGrizzliesGrad on February 23, 2013, 12:14:21 AM
Since we're talking MW rankings, with Transy already losing tonight and RHIT not going to have an easy championship game tomorrow (beat Hanover twice this year by a combined 3 points) could one or both have their bubble burst in pool C? At best they're just behind 2 CCIW teams, but could be more if WashU and/or NCC don't get automatic bids.

I would win if I was RHIT.. (is it just that easy? =)  )  An Augie win and or WashU not getting the Pool A bid makes the Midwest region very interesting with a lot of Pool C teams coming from there.  I'm not sure if there's any bias from the selection committee in terms of "we just picked 2 or 3 from the MW, lets look somewhere else for a bit" or not but not the most comfortable situation for Transy or RHIT who could be the 5 or 6 pool C teams available in the MW.

My understanding is that this sort of bias just simply doesn't exist. "Don't take too many teams from a region" isn't a criterion. The committee simply selects the team "at the table" that it deems to have the best current resume. If that's 7 MW teams in a row, then so be it.

However, of course, each region only gets to have one team "at the table" at a time, so you want to be ranked as high as possible in your region so that you are under consideration for as many rounds as possible. If you're solidly on the bubble line, you want to be ahead of the other "bubble line" teams in your region so that you get considered ahead of them.

Mr. Ypsi

Quote from: SevenTen on February 23, 2013, 12:06:29 AM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 22, 2013, 11:51:23 PM
Quote from: bopol on February 22, 2013, 11:46:28 PM
Quote from: Hugenerd on February 22, 2013, 10:34:30 PM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 22, 2013, 10:16:18 PM
CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

But to be on the safe side, they should root for Emory to beat Rochester.  Then WashU is AQ, and they would only follow NCC and IWU to the table (which oughta happen with about 10-12 spots still open).

Looking at the two semi-final losers from the CCIW:

Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6/.568/4-4
Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5/.539/5-4

Obviously the strength of schedule numbers are old but Wheaton should get a slightly better bump than IWU playing NCC vs. Augie. 

We've seen some regional rankings really pay great weight to SOS and the W-L in the region looks pretty similar now for these two teams.  You really hope that the 2-0 head to head holds the correct weight that it should.  Either way I think both are in but it's interesting how compressed the resumes got this past week.

But you're ignoring that on Tuesday IWU played NCC while Wheaton played 6-19 Elmhurst.

Playing Augie certainly trumps playing Elmhurst as far as SOS! ;)

SevenTen

Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 23, 2013, 12:48:01 AM
Quote from: SevenTen on February 23, 2013, 12:06:29 AM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 22, 2013, 11:51:23 PM
Quote from: bopol on February 22, 2013, 11:46:28 PM
Quote from: Hugenerd on February 22, 2013, 10:34:30 PM
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on February 22, 2013, 10:16:18 PM
CCIW final is Augie vs. NCC.  No problem for bubble teams if NCC prevails, but if Augie can pull two upsets in a row, that's a problem.

How safe would Wheaton be with 6 losses and as the 4th team from the conference vying for a tournament selection?  If Rochester wins this weekend and Augie beats NCC, then Wheaton would be at best the 4th team up for consideration out of the Midwest.  They have a high SOS, so if they got to the table with sufficient spots left, they should be fine, but could an Augie win make them vulnerable also (especially if we see some more upsets this weekend)?

4-4 vs. Regionally Ranked Teams.  I think they are still in good shape.

But to be on the safe side, they should root for Emory to beat Rochester.  Then WashU is AQ, and they would only follow NCC and IWU to the table (which oughta happen with about 10-12 spots still open).

Looking at the two semi-final losers from the CCIW:

Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6/.568/4-4
Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5/.539/5-4

Obviously the strength of schedule numbers are old but Wheaton should get a slightly better bump than IWU playing NCC vs. Augie. 

We've seen some regional rankings really pay great weight to SOS and the W-L in the region looks pretty similar now for these two teams.  You really hope that the 2-0 head to head holds the correct weight that it should.  Either way I think both are in but it's interesting how compressed the resumes got this past week.

But you're ignoring that on Tuesday IWU played NCC while Wheaton played 6-19 Elmhurst.

Playing Augie certainly trumps playing Elmhurst as far as SOS! ;)

Good point.  I don't think it'll make up the difference between Wheaton's SOS and IWUs but the gap shouldn't extend any.  Still think they'll be about as close as resumes get and should both go in the top 10.

sac

Transylvania's very much on the bubble, they were Q's #13, 5th in the last regional poll, will certainly drop lower and you can always count on 5 or 6 upsets to eat up Pool C spots that end up going to teams who were the projected Pool A representatives.

Hanover is going to be 18-7 in-region if they lose to RHIT, their SOS is certainly inferior but they are now 3-0 against Transy, I would think they get a good look at being ranked in the super secret final rankings, possibly even ahead of Transy.  If that happens Transy isn't getting in.

Greek Tragedy

#4466
Quote from: Greek Tragedy on February 23, 2013, 05:20:04 AM
I DID NOT UPDATE THE RECORDS OR vRRO OF TEAMS THAT HAVE THEIR SEASONS COMPLETE



   ATL                                                   
   RNK1      RNK2      RNK3      TEAM      CONF.      REG/WIN%      SOS      vRRO      SCHEDULE   
   1      2      1      Ramapo      NJAC      19-3       0.517       3-1      BEAT William Paterson 83-58;   BEAT Rutgers-Newark 67-65 in  Final    POOL A    
   2      1      2      Old.Westbury      SKY      21-3      0.491       2-1      LOST to Farmingdale State 81-69 in semis SEASON COMPLETE   
   5      3      3      Rutgers.Newark      NJAC      18-6       0.534       2-3      BEAT Richard Stockton 49-46; LOST Ramapo in 67-65 Final SEASON COMPLETE   
   4      4      4      RicardStockton      NJAC      19-7      0.537       1-5      LOST at Rutgers-Newark 49-46 in semis SEASON COMPLETE   
   3      5      5      SUNYPurchase      SKY      20-5       0.498       1-2      BEATMount St. Mary 57-48; vs. Farmingdale State in Final 2/23   
                                                      
   EAST                                                   
   RNK1      RNK2      RNK3      TEAM      CONF.      REG/WIN%      SOS      vRRO      SCHEDULE   
   1      1      1      Rochester      UAA      20-3       0.572       7-2      at Emory 2/23   
   2      2      2      SUNY.Cortland      SUNYAC      21-3       0.514       3-2      BEAT Oswego St. in 65-54;  vs Plattsburgh State in Final 2/23   
   3      3      3      Stevens      E8      19-4       0.533       3-2      BEAT Utica  102-66; vs. Ithaca in Final 2/23   
   NR      5      4      Plattsburgh.State      SUNYAC      18-6       0.545       2-4        BEAT Geneseo State 77-67; vs. Cortland State in Final 2/23   
   5      4      5      Hobart      LL      18-6       0.538       0-4      BEATSkidmore 77-72; vs. RPI in Final 2/23   
   NR      NR      6      Oswego.State      SUNYAC      18-7       0.501       2-5      BEAT Brockport St. 78-66;  LOST to Cortland St. 65-54   SEASON COMPLETE   
                                                      
                     DROPPING OUT                                 
   NR      6      NR      Ithaca      E8      15-8       0.537       2-3      BEAT St. John Fisher 70-63; vs. Stevens in Final 2/23   
   4      NR      NR      NYU      UAA      14-10       0.58       6-5      vs. Brandeis 2/23   
   6      NR      NR      SUNY.Geneseo      SUNYAC      16-8       0.523       2-3      BEAT New Paltz St. 98-80; LOST to Plattsburgh St. 77-67  SEASON COMPLETE     
                                                      
   GT LK                                                   
   RNK1      RNK2      RNK3      TEAM      CONF.      REG/WIN%      SOS      vRRO      SCHEDULE   
   1      1      1      Wooster      NCAC      20-4       0.554       3-1      BEAT Oberlin 74-47;  BEAT Wittenberg 78-66; vs. Ohio Wesleyan in Final 2/23   
   2      2      2      Ohio.Wesleyan      NCAC      19-4       0.537       2-2      BEAT Denison 77-56;  BEAT Kenyon 77-64; vs. Wooster in Final 2/23   
   5      5      3      St.Vincent      PrAC      18-3       0.495       1-1      BEAT Waynesburg 72-62; BEAT  Washington and Jefferson 85-75; vs. Thomas More in Final 2/23   
   3      3      4      Thomas.More      PrAC      20-3       0.499       1-2      BEAT Geneva 82-60; BEAT Thiel 86-80; vs. St. Vincent in Final 2/23   
   NR      4      5      Capital      OAC      19-5      0.487       1-2      LOST Mount Union 63-59 in semis SEASON COMPLETE   
   4      6      6      Calvin      MIAA      18-1       0.441       0-0       BEAT  Adrian 71-44; vs. Hope in Final 2/23   
                                                      
                     DROPPING OUT                                 
   6      NR      NR      Marietta      OAC      18-7       0.500       1-3       BEAT   Wilmington 111-106 3 OT; vs. Mount Union in Final 2/23   
                                                      
   MID-ATL                                                   
   RNK1      RNK2      RNK3      TEAM      CONF.      REG/WIN%      SOS      vRRO      SCHEDULE   
   4      1      1      Alvernia      MACC      21-4       0.549       4-2      BEAT Arcadia 69-66; vs. Lycoming in Final 2/23   
   1      2      2      Catholic      LAND      19-3       0.528       2-2      BEAT Merchant Marine 65-57; vs. Juniata in Final 2/23   
   2      4      3      Albright      MACC      20-6      0.546       3-1      LOST to Lycoming 80-78 SEASON COMPLETE   
   3      3      4      St.Mary's(Md.)      CAC      17-3       0.531       3-2      BEAT  Mary Washington 89-81; vs. Wesley in Final 2/23   
   5      5      5      Wesley      CAC      16-3       0.508       3-1      BEAT   Salisbury 73-66; vs. St. Mary's in Final 2/23   
   6      6      6      Scranton      LAND      19-7      0.530       3-1       LOST to Juniata 84-74 2OT  SEASON COMPLETE   
   NR      8      7      DeSales      MACF      19-5       0.493       1-1      BEAT Fairleigh Dickinson 59-57; vs. Delaware Valley in Final 2/23   
   NR      NR      8      Salisbury       CAC      16-6      0.521       3-5      BEAT York (Pa) 80-60; LOST at Wesley 73-66 in semis   SEASON COMPLETE     
   9      NR      9      Frank&Marsh      CC      16-5       0.518       2-2      BEAT Muhlenberg 48-46; vs. Dickinson in Final 2/23   
                                                      
                     DROPPING OUT                                 
   8      7      NR      Cabrini      CSAC      18-4       0.473       0-2      BEAT Neumann 90-77; BEAT Keystone 90-74 in Final  POOL A   
   NR      9      NR      Dickinson      CC      16-7      0.513       2-1      BEAT Johns Hopkins 73-64; vs. Franklin & Marshall in Final 2/23   
   7      NR      NR      Arcadia      MACC      16-9      0.558       1-5      BEAT Stevenson 85-83; LOST at Alvernia 69-66 SEASON COMPLETE   
                                                      
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Greek Tragedy

#4467
Quote from: Greek Tragedy on February 23, 2013, 05:21:19 AM
I DID NOT UPDATE THE RECORDS AND vRRO FOR TEAMS THAT HAVE THEIR SEASONS COMPLETE




                                                      
   MW                                                   
   RNK1      RNK2      RNK3      TEAM      CONF.      REG/WIN%      SOS      vRRO      SCHEDULE   
   1      1      1      Illinois.Wesleyan        CCIW      18-3      0.539       5-2      LOST at North Central 87-83 OT;  LOST to Augustana 53-47  SEASON COMPLETE   
   4      2      2      WashingtonU.      UAA      18-5      0.567       6-4      vs. Chicago 2/23   
   3      3      3      Wheaton      CCIW      16-5      0.568       4-3      BEAT at Elmhurst 70-55;  LOST to North Central 59-50  SEASON COMPLETE   
   5      4      4      North Central.(IL)      CCIW      19-3      0.528       3-2      BEAT Illinois Wesleyan 87-83 OT; BEAT Wheaton 59-50; vs. Augustana in Final  2/23   
   2      5      5      Transylvania      HCAC      18-5      0.542       3-1      BEAT Mount St. Joseph 75-57; LOST to Hanover 87-82  SEASON COMPLETE   
   6      6      6      Rose.Hulman      HCAC      21-3      0.505       1-1       BEAT Defiance 81-59; vs Hanover in Final 2/23   
   8      8      7      St.Norbert      MWC      18-5      0.534       1-2       BEAT Ripon 75-65; vs. Carroll in Final 2/23   
   7      7      8      Augustana       CCIW      16-7      0.548       1-7      BEAT Millikin 64-51;  WON at Illinois Wesleyan 53-47; vs. North Central in Final 2/23   
                                                      
   NE                                                   
   RNK1      RNK2      RNK3      TEAM      CONF.      REG/WIN%      SOS      vRRO      SCHEDULE   
   2      2      1      Amherst      NESCAC      23-2      0.574       6-1      vs. Tufts in semis 2/23   
   1      1      2      WPI      NEWMAC      23-2      0.561       4-2      vs. TBA in semis 2/23   
   3      3      3      Williams      NESCAC      20-3      0.556       3-3      vs. Middlebury in semis 2/23   
   5      5      4      RIC       LEC      22-3      0.53       3-3      BEAT Mass.-Dartmouth 62-58; BEAT Southern Maine 61-47; vs Keene State in Final 2/23   
   4      4      5      Middlebury      NESCAC      19-2      0.536       1-2      vs. Williams in semis 2/23   
   7      6      6      MIT      NEWMAC      19-4      0.552       3-3      vs. Springfield in semis 2/23   
   10      8      7      Springfield      NEWMAC      18-7      0.561       3-5      at MIT in semis 2/23   
   6      7      8      Brandeis      UAA      17-7      0.57       3-6      at NYU 2/23   
   8      9      9      Curry      CCC      18-7      0.547       0-4      BEAT Western New England 76-54;  BEAT Eastern Nazerene 82-76; vs. Gordon in Final 2/23   
   9      10      10      Westfield State      MASCAC      19-5      0.500       1-0      LOST to Fitchburg State 68-61 in semis  SEASON COMPLETE   
   11      11      11      East.Conn.State      LEC      18-4      0.499       1-1      BEAT West. Conn 65-54; LOST to Keene State 79-73 SEASON COMPLETE   
   NR      NR      12      Tufts      NESCAC      16-5      0.524       0-5      vs. Amherst in semis 2/23   
                                                      
                     DROPPING OUT                                 
   12      12      NR      Albertus.Magnus      GNAC      21-3      0.441       0-0      BEAT Rivier 84-65; BEAT Johnson and Wales 104-77; vs. Anna Maria in Final 2/23   
                                                      
   SOUTH                                                   
   RNK1      RNK2      RNK3      TEAM      CONF.      REG/WIN%      SOS      vRRO      SCHEDULE   
   6      4      1      Virginia.Wesleyan      ODAC      16-5      0.549       7-2      BEAT Eastern Mennonite 83-65; vs. Randolph in semis 2/23   
   1      1      2      Hampden.Sydney      ODAC      18-3      0.507       4-2      BEAT Roanoke 72-49; vs. Randolph-Macon in semis 2/23   
   2      2      3      MHB      ASC      21-4      0.533       3-2      BEAT LeTourneau 61-54; vs. Hardin-Simmons in semis 2/23   
   3      6      4      Chris.Newport      USAC      17-5      0.535       0-2       BEAT Averett 74-58; BEAT North Carolina Wesleyan 72-59; vs. Greensboro in Final 2/23   
   5      3      5      Emory      UAA      17-6      0.557       4-4      BEAT Covenant 75-50; vs. Rochester 2/23   
   4      5      6      Concordia(TX)      ASC      18-4      0.514       2-2      BEAT Mississippi College 78-76; vs. Texas-Dallas in semis 2/23   
   NR      8      7      Texas.Dallas      ASC      19-6      0.511       0-3      BEAT Schreiner 74-60; vs. Concordia (TX) in semis 2/23   
   NR      7      8      Randolph      ODAC      14-5      0.502       2-3      BEAT Lynchburg 76-57; vs. Virginia Wesleyan in semis 2/23   
                                                      
                     DROPPING OUT                                 
   7      NR      NR       Lynchburg      ODAC      14-7      0.492       1-5      BEAT Shenandoah 90-65; LOST to Randolph 76-57 SEASON COMPLETE   
   8      NR      NR      Guilford      ODAC      14-8      0.520       2-5      BEAT Emory & Henry 70-60; LOST to Randolph-Macon 57-56  SEASON COMPLETE   
                                                      
   WEST                                                   
   RNK1      RNK2      RNK3      TEAM      CONF.      REG/WIN%      SOS      vRRO      SCHEDULE   
   1      1      1      St.Thomas      MIAC      24-1      0.540       6-1      BEAT Carleton 70-57; vs. Augsburg in Final 2/23   
   3      2      2      Stevens.Point      WIAC      21-5      0.586       7-2      LOST to Platteville 60-56 in semis  SEASON COMPLETE   
   4      3      3      Whitewater      WIAC      20-4      0.581       4-3      BEAT Stout 64-59; vs. Platteville in Final 2/23   
   2      4      4      Whitworth      NWC      21-3      0.526       2-2      BEAT Lewis & Clark 74-69; vs. Whitman in Final 2/23   
   6      5      5      Buena.Vista       IIAC      18-6      0.561       1-2      LOST to Dubuque 64-61; SEASON COMPLETE   
   5      6      6      Stout      WIAC      19-7      0.536       1-5      BEAT Superior 78-64; LOST at Whitewater 64-59 in semis SEASON COMPLETE   
   9      7      7      Con.Moorhead      MIAC      18-6      0.507       2-2      LOST to Augsburg 74-67  SEASON COMPLETE   
   7      9      8      Augsburg      MIAC      19-6      0.505       1-3      BEAT St. John's 74-67;  BEAT Concordia Moorhead 74-67; vs. St. Thomas in Final 2/23   
   NR      8      9      Whitman      NWC      15-6      0.540       2-2       BEAT George Fox 90-78; vs. Whitworth in Final 2/23   
                                                      
                     DROPPING OUT                                 
   8      NR      NR      Luther      IIAC      17-5      0.512       1-2      LOST to Wartburg 62-57  SEASON COMPLETE   
                                                      
Pointers
Breed of a Champion
2004, 2005, 2010 and 2015 National Champions

Fantasy Leagues Commissioner

TGHIJGSTO!!!

Greek Tragedy

TQ,

Not sure when the result came in last night, but Buena Vista lost to Dubuque and should be moved into your Pool C projections.
Pointers
Breed of a Champion
2004, 2005, 2010 and 2015 National Champions

Fantasy Leagues Commissioner

TGHIJGSTO!!!

Titan Q

#4469
Updated through Friday 2/22.  Notes about the data...

* In-region record is through Friday 2/22
* SOS is through Sun 2/17 (from data sheets)
* Results vs regionally ranked is through Friday 2/22


Pool C projection
1. Williams (Northeast, NESCAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.556/4-3
2. UW-Stevens Point (West, WIAC) - 21-5 (.808)/.586/7-2  done
3. Washington U. (Midwest, UAA) - 18-5 (.783)/.567/6-4
4. Middlebury (Northeast, NESCAC) - 19-2 (.905)/.536/2-2
5. MIT (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 19-4 (.826)/.552/4-3 
6. Hampden-Sydney (South, ODAC) - 19-3 (.864)/.507/4-2
7. Illinois Wesleyan (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-5 (.783)/.539/5-4   done
8. Wheaton (Midwest, CCIW) - 17-6 (.739)/.568/4-4
9. Wesley (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 17-3 (.850)/.508/5-2 
10. Plattsburgh State (East, SUNYAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.545/5-4
11. Emory (South, UAA) - 18-6 (.750)/.557/4-4
12. Ohio Wesleyan (Great Lakes, NCAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.537/2-2
13. Albright (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 20-6 (.769)/.544/3-1
14. Transylvania (Midwest, HCAC) - 19-6 (.760)/.542/3-1   done
15. Springfield (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/3-5
16. Brandeis (Northeast, UAA) - 17-7 (.708)/.570/4-6 
17. Thomas More (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.499/1-2   
18. Concordia-Tx (South, ASC) - 19-4 (.826)/.514/2-2
19. SUNY-Old Westbury (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-3 (.875)/.491/2-1  done
----------
20. Rutgers-Newark (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.534/3-4
21. Hope (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 15-5 (.750)/.533/1-3  not currently ranked in the GL
22. Scranton (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 19-7 (.731)/.530/3-1
23. UW-Stout (West, WIAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.536/1-5
24. Augustana (Midwest, CCIW) - 18-7 (.720/.548/2-7
25. Salisbury (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) – 16-6 (.727)/.521/3-5
26. Richard Stockton (Atlantic, NJAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.537/1-5
27. Eastern Connecticut (Northeast, LEC) - 19-5 (.792)/.499/1-2
28. Tufts (Northeast, NESCAC) – 16-5 (.762)/.524/0-5
29. SUNY-Purchase (Atlantic, Sky) - 21-5 (.808)/.498/1-2
30. Capital (Great Lakes, OAC) - 19-5 (.792)/.487/1-2
31. Whitman (West, NWC) - 16-6 (.727)/.540/2-2
32. Buena Vista (West, IIAC) - 18-7 (.720)/.561/1-2
33. Concordia-Moorhead (West, MIAC) - 18-7 (.750)/.507/2-3
34. Augsburg (West, MIAC) - 21-6 (.720)/.505/2-3
35. Ithaca (East, E8) - 17-8 (.680)/.537/2-4
36. Texas-Dallas (South, ASC) - 20-6 (.769)/.511/0-3
37. Randolph (South, ODAC) - 15-5 (.750)/.502/3-3
38. Oswego State (East, SUNYAC) – 19-8 (.704)/.501/2-6


Top "Bubble Bursters" (presumed Pool As that would be competitive in Pool C)
Would definitely fit in the top 19 above...
1. Amherst (Northeast, NESCAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.574/7-1     vs Tufts, 1:00pm
2. St. Thomas (West, MIAC) - 25-1 (.962)/.540/6-1     vs Augsburg, 3:00pm
3. Rochester (East, UAA) - 20-3 (.870)/.572/7-2     @ Emory*, 4:00pm
4. UW-Whitewater (West, WIAC) - 21-4 (.840)/.581/5-3      vs UW-Platteville, 8:00pm
5. WPI (Northeast, NEWMAC) - 23-2 (.920)/.561/4-2     vs Babson, 1:00pm
6. Virginia Wesleyan (South, ODAC) - 17-5 (.773)/.549/7-3      vs Randolph, 6:00pm
7. North Central (Midwest, CCIW) - 21-3 (.875)/.528/5-2      vs Augustana (at IWU), 7:30pm
8. Alvernia (Mid-Atlantic, MACC) - 22-4 (.846)/.549/4-2      vs Lycoming, 2:30pm
9. Rhode Island (Northeast, LEC) - 24-3 (.889)/.530/3-3      vs Keene State, 5:00pm
10. Wooster (Great Lakes, NCAC) -22-4 (.846)/.554/3-1      vs Ohio Wesleyan*, 7:00pm
11. St. Mary's (Mid-Atlantic, CAC) - 18-3 (.857)/.531/4-3     vs Wesley*, 4:00pm
12. Mary Hardin-Baylor (South, ASC) - 22-4 (.846)/.533/3-2      vs Hardin-Simmons, 3:00pm
13. Cortland St. (East, SUNYAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.514/5-3      vs Plattsburgh State*, 4:00pm
14. Whitworth (West, NWC) - 22-3 (.880)/.526/2-2      vs Whitman, 10:00pm
15. Stevens (East, E8) - 20-4 (.833)/.533/3-2     vs Ithaca, 3:00pm
16. Catholic (Mid-Atlantic, LAND) - 20-3 (.870)/.520/2-2      vs Juniata, 6:00pm

Things get dicey here...
18. Rose-Hulman (Midwest, HCAC) - 22-3 (.880)/.505/1-1      vs Hanover, 7:00pm
19. St. Vincent (Great Lakes, PrAC) - 20-3 (.870)/.495/1-1      vs Thomas More, 7:30pm
20. Calvin (Great Lakes, MIAA) - 19-1 (.950)/.441/0-0      vs Hope, 7:30pm
21. St. Norbert (Midwest, MWC) - 19-5 (.792)/.534/1-2      vs Carroll, 4:00pm
22. Christopher Newport (South, USAC) - 18-5 (.792)/.535/0-2      vs Greensboro, 5:30pm
23. Franklin & Marshall (Mid-Atlantic, CC) – 17-5 (.773)/.518/2-2      vs Dickinson, 7:00pm
24. Hobart (East, LL) - 19-6 (.760)/.538/0-4      vs RPI, 3:00pm


* opponent that is currently projected in Pool C top 19

Give the numbers for your team, or other teams for that matter, a close look.  I'm trying my best to update in-region winning % and results vs RR, but could be an error here or there.  Thanks.