Pool C

[Ralph Turner]

Pool A is set, so it's time to begin projecting in earnest. My kind-of-accurate-but-not-really algorithm gives the following:

Rochester                     E1
UW-Stevens Point         W1
Williams                         NE1
Virginia Wesleyan           S1
Middlebury                     NE2
Illinois Wesleyan             MW1
MIT                               NE3     
Mary Hardin-Baylor         S2
Wooster                        GL1
Emory                           S3
Wesley                           MA1
Plattsburgh State            E3
Wheaton (Ill.)                 MW2
Springfield                       NE4
Stevens                          E3
Brandeis                         NE5
Hampden-Sydney           S4
UW-Platteville                  MW3
Albright                           MA2
----
SUNY-Old Westbury          A1
Transylvania                     MW4
Thomas More                   GL2  (Thanks to Knightslappy))
Augustana                        MW6
Rutgers-Newark               A2

Though there's not much of a difference from UW-Platteville down to Rutgers-Newark

[7express]

Here are my projections (note NOT in order they'll be selected):

Middlebury
Williams
Stevens Point
Rochester
Virginia Wesleyan
Wooster
Illinois Wesleyan
Plattsburgh
Hampden-Sydney
Mary Hardin Baylor
Wheaton (IL)
Wesley
MIT
Stevens
Old Westbury
Transy
Emory
Thomas More
Albright

Last 3 in:
Thomas More, Albright, Old Westbury
First 4 out:
Springfield, Rutgers-Newark, Brandeis, Augustana

[KnightSlappy]

Ralph, Thomas More is in the GL.

[bopol]

I seem to be in the minority on Buena Vista...

[KnightSlappy]

I seem to be in the minority on Buena Vista...

I just don't see them getting in over someone like Plattsburgh (WP/SOS/RvRRO):

Plattsburgh State: .731/.559/5-5
Buena Vista: .720/.564/1-2

[Titan Q]

Had a last minute change of heart and put Brandeis in, at the expense of Albright...

http://www.d3boards.com/index.php?topic=4232.msg1499138#msg1499138

[Titan Q]

I seem to be in the minority on Buena Vista...

Buena Vista lost to Carthage, and Augustana beat Carthage twice...so I see Augustana having a better chance than BV.  (But I don't see either getting in.)

[magicman]

Titan Q,
Do you really see Plattsburgh State getting to the table before Stevens does in the East?

[Titan Q]

Titan Q,
Do you really see Plattsburgh State getting to the table before Stevens does in the East?

I do.  In the week 3 ranking it went Stevens (#3), Plattsburgh (#4)...but I think Plattsburgh now has a better resume and will be higher in the final ranking...

Plattsburgh State (East, SUNYAC) - 19-7 (.731)/.559/5-5
Stevens (East, E8) - 20-5 (.800)/.533/3-3 

All a matter of how the numbers are interpreted...who knows!

[magicman]

Thanks TQ I hope you're right.

[KnightSlappy]

Had a last minute change of heart and put Brandeis in, at the expense of Albright...

http://www.d3boards.com/index.php?topic=4232.msg1499138#msg1499138

so we now differ by just one selection - I have Platteville and you have Old Westbury - and I have no confidence that Platteville will really get in.

[Titan Q]

Had a last minute change of heart and put Brandeis in, at the expense of Albright...

http://www.d3boards.com/index.php?topic=4232.msg1499138#msg1499138

so we now differ by just one selection - I have Platteville and you have Old Westbury - and I have no confidence that Platteville will really get in.

I didn't notice that - impressive!

I wish we could see the final ranking - I'm intrigued to know who the West puts up as the top C candidate behind Stevens Point.  I'd think seriously about Platteville if they were on the board...I didn't ever have them on the board.

Another thing about Platteville is that they lost head-to-head to Augustana.  And those two would be on the table together. 

[Pat Coleman]

Had a last minute change of heart and put Brandeis in, at the expense of Albright...

http://www.d3boards.com/index.php?topic=4232.msg1499138#msg1499138

so we now differ by just one selection - I have Platteville and you have Old Westbury - and I have no confidence that Platteville will really get in.

I agree -- but when look at it from an "old school" standpoint, I see UWSP going off the board first or second but then do we really go the rest of the night without another West at-large? Problem is that there isn't a great next candidate.

[Titan Q]

Had a last minute change of heart and put Brandeis in, at the expense of Albright...

http://www.d3boards.com/index.php?topic=4232.msg1499138#msg1499138

so we now differ by just one selection - I have Platteville and you have Old Westbury - and I have no confidence that Platteville will really get in.

I agree -- but when look at it from an "old school" standpoint, I see UWSP going off the board first or second but then do we really go the rest of the night without another West at-large? Problem is that there isn't a great next candidate.

Oh I agree.  Seems weird to me that we wouldn't have a second West Pool C - the regional committee needs to think very hard about their order.

[KnightSlappy]

Had a last minute change of heart and put Brandeis in, at the expense of Albright...

http://www.d3boards.com/index.php?topic=4232.msg1499138#msg1499138

so we now differ by just one selection - I have Platteville and you have Old Westbury - and I have no confidence that Platteville will really get in.

I didn't notice that - impressive!

I wish we could see the final ranking - I'm intrigued to know who the West puts up as the top C candidate behind Stevens Point.  I'd think seriously about Platteville if they were on the board...I didn't ever have them on the board.

Another thing about Platteville is that they lost head-to-head to Augustana.  And those two would be on the table together.

Ah, missed another. You have Transylvania and I have Albright still.