Pool C

[WUPHF]

Chicago goes down.

[bopol]

I'm wondering if anyone is getting out the Central after North Central and Elmhurst now.

Chicago, Aurora and Carroll did nothing to help themselves this week.

EDIT: well, Carroll didn't hurt themselves.  That said, no wins against RRO...

[bopol]

Wooster's in trouble...

UPDATE: OT...

[David Collinge]

Denison going to their first-ever NCAA tournament! They got there by beating Wittenberg, Ohio Wesleyan, and Wooster in the NCAC tournament -- not a bad week's work.

[Greek Tragedy]

Wooster's in trouble...

UPDATE: OT...

Wooster down7 with less than a minute to go..POP!

[pg04]

The afternoon has not been kind to the Bubble.

[devossed]

Denison going to their first-ever NCAA tournament! They got there by beating Wittenberg, Ohio Wesleyan, and Wooster in the NCAC tournament -- not a bad week's work.

Technically "third" trip ever, but nonetheless impressive.

[Titan Q]

Leveraging Matthew Snyder's data and the great work by fantastic50 and Greek Tragedy here, my Pool C's as of Saturday morning...

1. Susquehanna  0.875/0.543/4-2, MA#2  LAND final vs Catholic (Catholic interchangeable here)
2. Amherst  0.840/0.558/4-1, NE#1  NESCAC semis vs Tufts (Tufts also projected in)
3. John Carroll  0.889/0.526/3-2, GL#3  OAC final at Marietta (Marietta interchangeable here)
4. Plattsburgh State  .808/.551/4-3, E #1  lost to Oswego State in SUYAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
5. Salisbury  0.808/0.549/4-2, MA#3  CAC final at Christoper Newport (CNU interchangeable here)
6. Ohio Wesleyan  .852/.525/3-2, GL #2  lost to Denison in NCAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
7. North Central  0.720/0.600/3-7, CE #4  lost to Elmhurst in CCIW semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
8. Tufts  0.800/0.555/3-4, NE#3  NESCAC semis at Amherst (Amherst also projected in)
9. Oswego State  0.731/0.538/5-2, EA#5  SUNYAC final at Cortland
10. Scranton  0.720/0.556/2-4, MA#5  lost to Susquehanna in LAND semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
11. Elmhurst  0.808/0.526/3-4, CE#5  CCIW final at Augustana (Augie interchangeable here)
12. WPI  0.800/0.513/5-2, NE#5  vs MIT in NEWMAC semis
13. Emory  .696/.584/4-4, SO #3  at Rochester in final UAA regular season game (Rochester interchangeable here)
14. Hope  .913/.504/1-1, GL #4  lost in MIAA semis to Trine (confirmed Pool C candidate)
15. Virginia Wesleyan  0.680/0.562/4-5, SO#4 ODAC semis vs Randolph
16. Chicago  0.696/0.560/2-6, CE#6  vs Washington U in final UAA regular season game (confirmed Pool C candidate)
17. Whitman  0.840/0.509/1-2, WE#3  lost to Pacific Lutheran in NWC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
18. LaGrange  0.739/0.546/3-2, SO#6  USAC final at Covenant
19. St. Johns  0.692/0.535/4-4, WE#4  lost at St. Olaf in MIAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
----------
20. New York University  0.792/0.513/3-3, EA#3  at Brandeis in final UAA regular season game (confirmed Pool C candidate)
21. New Jersey City  0.692/.525/4-2, AT #1 lost to TCNJ in NJAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
22. NC Wesleyan .762/529/1-2, SO #5  lost to LaGrange in USAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)


Bubble Relief
* Oswego State winning the SUNYAC over Cortland (Oswego currently included above)

Bubble Bursters (roughly in order of significance)
1. St. Olaf winning the MIAC (St. Thomas is a Pool C lock)
2. MSOE winning the NACC (Benedictine is a Pool C lock)
3. Pacific Lutheran winning the NWC (Whitworth is a Pool C lock)
4. Carroll winning the MWC (St. Norbert is a Pool C lock)
5. Trine winning the MIAA (Alma is a Pool C lock)
6. Denison winning the NCAC (Wooster a Pool C lock)
7. Middlebury winning the NESCAC (Amherst, Tufts, Trinity seem to be Pool C locks)
8. TCNJ winning the NJAC (Stockton a Pool lock)
9. MIT or Emerson winning the NEWMAC (Babson and WPI Pool C locks)
10. Emory & Henry or Randolph winning the ODAC (Lynchburg a Pool C lock)
11. Centenary, Colorado College, or Austin winning the SCAC (Texas Lutheran is very competitive in Pool C)


Let me know if I am missing anything.

I don't think this afternoon has been as bad on the bubble as it seems.  From what I posted this morning...

* Wooster joins Pool C with a loss to Denison (bubble pop)

* Chicago leaves Pool C consideration with a loss to Wash U (bubble relief)

* Rochester joins Pool C/Emory leaves Pool C  (bubble neutral)

* Middlebury doesn't pop anything unless it wins the NESCAC tomorrow over Amherst (no impact yet)

* MIT doesn't pop anything unless it wins the NEWMAC over Babson (no impact yet)


If you are one those teams I have above in spots, say, 12-19, you are still basically where you were this morning.

[Ralph Turner]

Hardened Sinners (HSU    ) won the ASC.  It is ~630 miles from Abilene to Colorado Springs, but driving distance to Seguin, TX (Texas Lutheran).

[Titan Q]

While TitanQ is our resident Pool C expert, I made my own list before carefully reading his, to see how they compare...

I am just following your lead, 50!

[Ralph Turner]

Updates in progress...

Leveraging Matthew Snyder's data and the great work by fantastic50 and Greek Tragedy here, my Pool C's as of Saturday morning...

1. Susquehanna  0.875/0.543/4-2, MA#2  LAND final vs Catholic (Catholic interchangeable here)
2. Amherst  0.840/0.558/4-1, NE#1  NESCAC semis vs Tufts (Tufts also projected in)
3. John Carroll  0.889/0.526/3-2, GL#3  OAC final at Marietta (Marietta interchangeable here)
4. Plattsburgh State  .808/.551/4-3, E #1  lost to Oswego State in SUYAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
5. Salisbury  0.808/0.549/4-2, MA#3  CAC final at Christoper Newport (CNU interchangeable here)
6. Ohio Wesleyan  .852/.525/3-2, GL #2  lost to Denison in NCAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
7. North Central  0.720/0.600/3-7, CE #4  lost to Elmhurst in CCIW semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
8. Tufts  0.800/0.555/3-4, NE#3  NESCAC semis at Amherst (Amherst also projected in)
9. Oswego State  0.731/0.538/5-2, EA#5  Lost in SUNYAC final to Cortland
10. Scranton  0.720/0.556/2-4, MA#5  lost to Susquehanna in LAND semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
11. Elmhurst  0.808/0.526/3-4, CE#5  CCIW final at Augustana (Augie interchangeable here)
12. WPI  0.800/0.513/5-2, NE#5  vs MIT in NEWMAC semis
13. Emory  .696/.584/4-4, SO #3  won Rochester in final UAA regular season game (Rochester interchangeable here)
14. Hope  .913/.504/1-1, GL #4  lost in MIAA semis to Trine (confirmed Pool C candidate)
15. Virginia Wesleyan  0.680/0.562/4-5, SO#4 ODAC semis vs Randolph
16. Chicago  0.696/0.560/2-6, CE#6  lost to Washington U in final UAA regular season game (confirmed Pool C candidate)
17. Whitman  0.840/0.509/1-2, WE#3  lost to Pacific Lutheran in NWC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
18. LaGrange  0.739/0.546/3-2, SO#6  USAC final at Covenant and lost
19. St. Johns  0.692/0.535/4-4, WE#4  lost at St. Olaf in MIAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
----------
20. New York University  0.792/0.513/3-3, EA#3  at Brandeis in final UAA regular season game (confirmed Pool C candidate)
21. New Jersey City  0.692/.525/4-2, AT #1 lost to TCNJ in NJAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)
22. NC Wesleyan .762/529/1-2, SO #5  lost to LaGrange in USAC semis (confirmed Pool C candidate)


Bubble Relief
* Oswego State winning the SUNYAC over Cortland (Oswego currently included above)

Bubble Bursters (roughly in order of significance)
1. St. Olaf winning the MIAC (St. Thomas is a Pool C lock)
2. MSOE winning the NACC (Benedictine is a Pool C lock)
3. Pacific Lutheran winning the NWC (Whitworth is a Pool C lock)
4. Carroll winning the MWC (St. Norbert is a Pool C lock)
5. Trine winning the MIAA (Alma is a Pool C lock)
6. Denison winning the NCAC (Wooster a Pool C lock)
7. Middlebury winning the NESCAC (Amherst, Tufts, Trinity seem to be Pool C locks)
8. TCNJ winning the NJAC (Stockton a Pool lock)
9. MIT or Emerson winning the NEWMAC (Babson and WPI Pool C locks)
10. Emory & Henry or Randolph winning the ODAC (Lynchburg a Pool C lock)
11. Centenary, Colorado College, or Austin winning the SCAC (Texas Lutheran is very competitive in Pool C)


Let me know if I am missing anything.

I don't think this afternoon has been as bad on the bubble as it seems.  From what I posted this morning...

* Wooster joins Pool C with a loss to Denison (bubble pop)

* Chicago leaves Pool C consideration with a loss to Wash U (bubble relief)

* Rochester joins Pool C/Emory leaves Pool C  (bubble neutral)

* Middlebury doesn't pop anything unless it wins the NESCAC tomorrow over Amherst (no impact yet)

* MIT doesn't pop anything unless it wins the NEWMAC over Babson (no impact yet)


If you are one those teams I have above in spots, say, 12-19, you are still basically where you were this morning.

[David Collinge]

Denison going to their first-ever NCAA tournament! They got there by beating Wittenberg, Ohio Wesleyan, and Wooster in the NCAC tournament -- not a bad week's work.

Technically "third" trip ever, but nonetheless impressive.

Well, I may have been misinformed, but if so, I was misinformed repeatedly on the radio broadcast. Whatever, it is at least their first-ever NCAC tournament Championship, which is still quite an accomplishment.

[Gregory Sager]

This will be Denison's second appearance in the D3 men's basketball tournament. In 1997 the Big Red lost to Hope in the first round, 69-66. That's the only other time Denison's gone dancing, D3 style.

http://fs.ncaa.org/Docs/stats/m_basketball_champs_records/2015/d3/D3.pdf

[pg04]

Franklin and Marshall were up by 25! at one point (22 at halftime), and now only up by 2 with 4 minutes left. Not only is this possible Bubble trouble but adversely affects my Futures Team 

Edit: Looks like F&M will hold on for the victory.

Susquehanna losing to Catholic but that game doesn't seem to effect the field of Pool C since they are interchangeable.

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

I just noticed - not a single member of the East Region Rankings won their conference AQ.  Ouch.