Pool C

Greek Tragedy · February 20, 2025, 04:56:07 PM

https://d3datacast.com/npi/

The last Pool C bid has an overall rank of 44 (Stevens Point).

Any Pool A team above that may be considered a bid thief if they don't win the Pool A, thus stealing a Pool C bid from someone.

I included teams Pool C25 and above.

Current (A) bids (overall rank) and Pool C rank

AEC - 1 - Neumann (A-141)
AMCC - 1 - Pitt-Bradford (A-45)
ARC - 1 - Dubuque (A-49) or Nebraska Wes (22)
ASC - 1 - Hardin-Simmons (A-100)
C2C - 1 - CNU (A-11)
CC - 2 - Gettysburg (A-25), Franklin & Marshall (17)
CNE - 1 - Endicott (A-70)
CCIW - 2 - Carthage (A-15), IWU (6)
CCS - 1 - Belhaven (A-38)
CUNYAC - 1 - Baruch (A-182)
E8 - 1 - Brockport (A-156)
GNAC - 1 - St. Joseph's (Maine) (A-36)
HCAC - 1 - Anderson (A-39)
LAND - 2 - Drew (A-13), Catholic (16)
LEC - 1 - Keene St (A-24)
LL - 1 - RPI (A-56)
MACC - 1 -York PA (A-50)
MACF - 1 - Stevens (A-80)
MASCAC - 1 - Westfield St (A-116)
MIAA - 2 - Calvin (A-40), Trine (13)
MIAC - 2 - Gustavus Adolphus (A-34), St. John's (15)
MWC - 1 - Monmouth (A-91)
NAC - 1 - Husson (A-103)
NACC - 1 - WLC (A-17)
NCAC - 1 - Denison (A-26) or Wooster (23)
NESCAC - 4 - Wesleyan (A-1), Trinity (2), Tufts (5), Hamilton (8)
NEWMAC - 1 - WPI (A-12)
NJAC - 4 - Montclair St (A-20) Stockton (10), Ramapo (9), TCNJ (14)
NWC - 1 - Whitworth (A-35)
OAC - 1 - John Carroll (A-33)
ODAC - 4 - RMC (A-5), Hampden-Sydney (4) , Roanoke (11), Virginia Wesleyan (20), Guilford (25)
PAC - 1 - Chatham (A-43)
SAA - 1 - Berry (A-114)
SCAC - 2 - St. Thomas (A-37), Trinity (19)
SCIAC - 2 - Redlands (A-19), Cal Lutheran (12)
SKY - 1 - Farmingdale St (A-85)
SLIAC - 1 - Spalding (A-153)
SUNYAC - 1 - SUNY New Paltz (A-108)
UAA - 4 - NYU (A-2), Emory (1), Wash U (7), Chicago (18)
UEC - 1 - Bryn Athyn (A-168)
UMAC - 1 - North Central (MN) (A-190)
USAC - 1 - Pfeiffer (A-127)
WIAC - 3 - Platteville (A-3), La Crosse (3), Stevens Point (21),

deiscanton · February 21, 2025, 08:09:59 AM

The official NCAA DIII Men's Basketball NPI summary report for games played through Thursday, Feb. 20, 2025 is out. It is available at:

http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43012

Unfortunately, today's NPI summary report is still miscoding the first round of the United East Conference men's basketball tournament played on Wednesday as non-conference games and assigning the 1.2/0.8 home away multiplier to those games, when these tournament games should be coded with the 1.1/0.9 home/away multiplier. This should be corrected as soon as possible, as the D3Datacast computer is using the 1.1/0.9 home/away multiplier for conference tournament games.

This miscoding has skewed the NPI of Franklin and Marshall-- the NPI report has Franklin and Marshall with an NPI of 61.309 (#32 NPI rank), and UChicago with an NPI of 61.310 (#31 NPI rank)

By contrast, this morning D3Datacast unofficial NPI run has both Franklin and Marshall and UChicago at an exact tie in NPI at 61.310. Franklin and Marshall has the NPI rank of #31 according to D3Datacast, and UChicago has the NPI rank of #32.

With more conference tournament games scheduled to be played this weekend, there is a risk that the miscoding could have a bigger effect this weekend in skewing the men's NPI numbers should the official NCAA DIII men's basketball summary reports still insist on assigning the 1.2/0.8 home/away multiplier to conference tournament games. This needs to be cleared up as soon as possible.

deiscanton · February 22, 2025, 08:54:16 AM

NCAA DIII Men's Basketball Committee published a corrected DIII Men's Basketball NPI summary report yesterday that has the United East tournament games from Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2025 correctly coded as conference games with the 1.1/1.0/0.9 home/neutral/away multiplier

That corrected report through games of Thursday, Feb. 20 can be found at:

http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43015

In addition, the NCAA DIII Men's Basketball Committee has published the DIII Men's Basketball NPI summary report through games of Friday, Feb. 21. That can be found at:

http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43020

Upon checking the North Atlantic tournament games from yesterday, I found these games to be properly coded with the 2 host teams of the quarterfinal/semifinal sites winning as home conference wins, and 2 games as neutral court games.

deiscanton · February 23, 2025, 08:44:12 AM

The NCAA DIII Men's Basketball Committee has published the DIII NPI summary report for men's basketball through games of Saturday, Feb. 22, 2025.

This can be found at:

http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43052

deiscanton · February 24, 2025, 05:08:58 AM

The D3Datacast computer has done an unofficial updated run of the NPI numbers through games of Sunday, February 23, 2025. It was conducted at 10:14 PM ET.

For purposes of these projections-- NYU already has the AQ out of the UAA, and the D3Datacast computer is giving the AQ to the highest NPI ranked team of each of the other 42 conferences.

As AQ's get awarded through conference tournament results, these projections will change.

If selections are being done now--

D3Datacast's Projected Last 7 In based on NPI and NPI ranking through games of Sunday, Feb. 23

1.) #31-- Gettysburg-- 61.340
2.) #32-- Gustavus Adolphus-- 61.246
3.) #37-- Trine-- 60.775
4.) #38-- Virginia Wesleyan-- 60.678
5.) #39-- U.Chicago-- 60.619
6.) #41-- Nebraska Wesleyan-- 60.211
7.) #43-- Trinity (TX)-- 60.025

D3Datacast's Projected First 7 Out based on NPI ranking and NPI numbers through games of Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025

1.) #46-- UW-Stevens Point-- 59.676
2.) #48-- Belhaven-- 59.473
3.) #49-- Guilford-- 59.470
4.) #52-- Wooster-- 58.895
5.) #53-- Johns Hopkins-- 58.745
6.) #54-- UW-Eau Claire-- 58.615
7.) #55-- Augustana-- 58.475

deiscanton · February 24, 2025, 08:23:14 AM

The official NCAA DIII Men's Basketball NPI summary report through games of Sunday, February 23, 2025 has been released. It is available at:

http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43071

Note: The UAA conference office in Rochester, NY has yet to send in the official paperwork declaring the NYU men the automatic qualifier out of the UAA, as the office will reopen today after having been closed for the weekend while the UAA commissioner was in New York on Friday for the official banner ceremonies honoring both the men's and women's basketball teams on their winning the conference and getting the AQ bids. Last week, the AQ bid symbol next to NYU on the women's side was not posted in the report until last Tuesday. I expect that the AQ bid symbol next to NYU on the men's side will get posted either in tomorrow's report or over the next few days.

WUPHF · February 24, 2025, 01:39:21 PM

Quote from: deiscanton on February 24, 2025, 08:23:14 AMThe official NCAA DIII Men's Basketball NPI summary report through games of Sunday, February 23, 2025 has been released. It is available at:

http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43071

Note: The UAA conference office in Rochester, NY has yet to send in the official paperwork declaring the NYU men the automatic qualifier out of the UAA, as the office will reopen today after having been closed for the weekend while the UAA commissioner was in New York on Friday for the official banner ceremonies honoring both the men's and women's basketball teams on their winning the conference and getting the AQ bids. Last week, the AQ bid symbol next to NYU on the women's side was not posted in the report until last Tuesday. I expect that the AQ bid symbol next to NYU on the men's side will get posted either in tomorrow's report or over the next few days.

The only thing interesting about the AQ is that it is the first to be awarded.

It is going to be a rare season in which a team begins UAA play as a Pool C lost cause and then finds a way to win the league.

deiscanton · February 25, 2025, 04:30:06 AM

The D3Datacast computer has done an unofficial updated run of the NPI numbers through games of Monday, February 24, 2025. It was conducted at 10:17 PM ET.

These projections are as if selections were occurring as of this post and not occuring next Sunday evening.

D3Datacast's Projected Last 7 In based on NPI and NPI ranking through games of Monday, Feb. 24, 2025

1.) #31-- Gettysburg-- 61.346
2.) #32-- Gustavus Adolphus-- 61.262
3.) #37-- Trine-- 60.770
4.) #38-- Virginia Wesleyan-- 60.661
5.) #39-- U.Chicago-- 60.616
6.) #42-- Nebraska Wesleyan-- 60.205
7.) #43-- Trinity (TX)-- 60.022

D3Datacast's Projected First 7 Out based on NPI ranking and NPI numbers through games of Monday, Feb. 24, 2025

1.) #46-- UW-Stevens Point-- 59.836
2.) #48-- Belhaven-- 59.478
3.) #49-- Guilford-- 59.470
4.) #52-- UW-Eau Claire-- 58.927
5.) #53-- Wooster-- 58.893
6.) #54-- Johns Hopkins-- 58.748
7.) #55-- Augustana-- 58.452

deiscanton · February 25, 2025, 08:32:26 AM

The official NCAA DIII Men's Basketball NPI Summary Report for games played through Monday, February 24, 2025 has been released. It is available at:

http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43077

Greek Tragedy · February 25, 2025, 11:24:32 AM

Right now 4 leagues taking 12 of the 21 Pool C bids.

Ralph Turner · February 25, 2025, 11:36:19 AM

Quote from: Greek Tragedy on February 25, 2025, 11:24:32 AMRight now 4 leagues taking 12 of the 21 Pool C bids.

Do I find the 4 to be UAA, NESCAC, ODAC, NJAC?

Greek Tragedy · February 25, 2025, 11:46:17 AM

No. SLIAC, UMAC, UEC and SKY

Emory, Wash U and Chicago
Stockton, Ramapo and TCNJ
Hampden Sydney, Roanoke and Virginia Wesleyan
Trinity CT, Tufts and Hamilton

Greek Tragedy · February 25, 2025, 02:11:15 PM

Keep track to see who's been eliminated and becomes Pool C eligible.

https://www.d3hoops.com/seasons/men/2024-25/conference-tournaments/index

deiscanton · February 26, 2025, 10:23:00 AM

The D3Datacast computer has done an unofficial updated run of the NPI numbers through games of Tuesday, February 25, 2025. It was conducted on Wednesday, Feb. 26, at 8:36 AM ET, and has taken into account that the Asbury vs Covenant CCS men's basketball game is not yet final due to the completion of that game being suspended until today due to a power outage. Massey accidentally treated the suspended game as a final score in this morning's first data run-- the 8:36 AM update is a corrected update from that earlier morning run.

These projections are as if selections were occurring as of this post and not occuring next Sunday evening.

D3Datacast's Projected Last 7 In based on NPI and NPI ranking through games of Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2025

1.) #30-- Gettysburg-- 61.293
2.) #32-- Gustavus Adolphus-- 61.216
3.) #37-- Trine-- 60.747
4.) #38-- Virginia Wesleyan-- 60.654
5.) #39-- U.Chicago-- 60.597
6.) #42-- Nebraska Wesleyan-- 60.143
7.) #43-- Trinity (TX)-- 60.017

D3Datacast's Projected First 7 Out based on NPI ranking and NPI numbers through games of Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2025

1.) #45-- UW-Stevens Point-- 59.760
2.) #48-- Belhaven-- 59.480
3.) #49-- Guilford-- 59.466
4.) #52-- Wooster-- 59.033
5.) #53-- UW-Eau Claire-- 58.903
6.) #54-- Johns Hopkins-- 58.682
7.) #55-- Augustana-- 58.564

deiscanton · February 26, 2025, 01:07:54 PM

The D3Datacast computer has now done an unofficial updated run of the NPI numbers through all of the games of Tuesday, February 25, 2025. It was conducted on Wednesday, Feb. 26, at 12:47 PM ET, when the suspended game of Asbury vs Covenant became final with Asbury winning over Covenant 97-83 in the CCS Men's Basketball Quarterfinals. Asbury advances to play #1 seed Maryville (TN) in a CCS semifinal on Friday night. With that game becoming final, all games scheduled to be played last night are now final.

These projections are as if selections were occurring as of this post and not occuring next Sunday evening.

D3Datacast's Projected Last 7 In based on NPI and NPI ranking through games of Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2025

1.) #30-- Gettysburg-- 61.296
2.) #32-- Gustavus Adolphus-- 61.217
3.) #37-- Trine-- 60.750
4.) #38-- Virginia Wesleyan-- 60.656
5.) #39-- U.Chicago-- 60.597
6.) #42-- Nebraska Wesleyan-- 60.145
7.) #43-- Trinity (TX)-- 60.020

D3Datacast's Projected First 7 Out based on NPI ranking and NPI numbers through games of Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2025

1.) #45-- UW-Stevens Point-- 59.762
2.) #48-- Belhaven-- 59.534
3.) #49-- Guilford-- 59.467
4.) #52-- Wooster-- 59.036
5.) #53-- UW-Eau Claire-- 58.905
6.) #54-- Johns Hopkins-- 58.683
7.) #55-- Augustana-- 58.566