BB: CCIW: College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin

Started by RedmenFB44, January 05, 2006, 12:14:15 PM

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BigPoppa

Quote from: TitanPride on April 27, 2012, 09:31:57 PM
Live stats reporting a blowout in Chicago: 15-1 North Park over Elmhurst.  Top of the 7th.
My guess is that NPU being left out of the regional rankings is being taken out on Elmhurst this weekend.
Baseball is not a game that builds character, it is a game that reveals it.

Mr. Ypsi

Not official, but by my count:

IWU 10-6
NPU 10-6
NCC 9-7
Elmhurst 9-7
Wheaton 8-8
Augie 8-8
Carthage 6-9
Millikin 3-12

To have any chance, Carthage had better sweep Millikin - heck, everyone but Elmhurst has! :D

Tomorrow: IWU and Augie, 2 in B'town; NPU and Elmhurst, 2 in Elmhurst; Wheaton and NCC, 2 in Naperville.  IF my standings and schedule are correct, the Titans are fighting for the wheel of the bus! ;)

BigPoppa

As a Carthage fan I have to say " go NPU" and "go Wheaton." knocking Elmhurst and NCC down puts them closer to Carthage and Carthage will have three with Wheaton next week to make a last run at the CCIW tourney.
Baseball is not a game that builds character, it is a game that reveals it.

voiceofseason

Quote from: BigPoppa on April 27, 2012, 10:12:02 PM
As a Carthage fan I have to say " go NPU" and "go Wheaton." knocking Elmhurst and NCC down puts them closer to Carthage and Carthage will have three with Wheaton next week to make a last run at the CCIW tourney.

A Carthage sweep puts them in the mix, that's for sure.  If NP and IWU split tomorrow, that would make them 2 games out for the last weekend - easily in striking distance.  Still a lot of baseball to play....
'If I walked on water, my accusers would say it's because I can't swim."
   -- Berti Vogts

Gregory Sager

NPU skunked Elmhurst in seven, 15-4, with Kuligowski picking up the easy win. Home field and freezing weather seem to be the magic combination for the Park this season. The Vikings rocked Hanlon today; here's hoping that they can do the same to Luft and Parr tomorrow out in DuPage County.

And here's something I don't post very often: Go both sets of Vikings! Go NPU, and go Augie!
"To see what is in front of one's nose is a constant struggle." -- George Orwell

mr_b

The North Park-Elmhurst DH has been postponed until Sunday due to field conditions in Elmhurst.

augie_superfan

I wrote a little computer program last night that simulates all the possible outcomes of the remaining series and then figures out the standings and tiebreakers.  This way we can see what the chances are that a team can make the tourney and also host the tourney.  These are probably slightly off because some of the tiebreakers get pretty complicated and I didn't have time to fully implement everything but it should be pretty close.  It'll have some inconsistencies with the 5 and 6 way ties..yes, there were 7 instances of 6 way ties possible.

These are calculated after Friday's 3 games and also I simplified the simulation by assuming Millikin will only win 0 or 1 games in each of their remaining series (against Cathage & Augustana).  I'll re run this after this weekend when there will only be 4^4 = 256 possible outcomes.


Team Name              In Tourney            Host
Augustana                   64.9%               7.2%
Carthage                     20.3%               0.2%
Elmhurst                     63.4%               19.8%
Illinois Wesleyan          78.9%               30.7%
Millikin                         0.0%                 0.0%
North Central               61.6%               15.6%
North Park                   80.0%               25.8%
Wheaton                     31.0%                0.7%

BigPoppa

Baseball is not a game that builds character, it is a game that reveals it.

D3Vike11

Quote from: augie_superfan on April 28, 2012, 01:31:39 PM
Team Name              In Tourney            Host
Augustana                   64.9%               7.2%
Carthage                     20.3%               0.2%
Elmhurst                     63.4%               19.8%
Illinois Wesleyan          78.9%               30.7%
Millikin                         0.0%                 0.0%
North Central               61.6%               15.6%
North Park                   80.0%               25.8%
Wheaton                     31.0%                0.7%

Predicted finishing order according to your calculations:

Illinois Wesleyan (Host)
North Park
Augustana
Elmhurst
North Central
Wheaton
Carthage
Millikin
"90% of the game is half mental." - Yogi Berra

BigPoppa

Carthage at Millikin is underway with the Big Blue up 1-0 in the 2nd inning. Are others games on as planned? NPU/Elmhurst is off...
Baseball is not a game that builds character, it is a game that reveals it.

voiceofseason

Quote from: BigPoppa on April 28, 2012, 02:37:37 PM
Carthage at Millikin is underway with the Big Blue up 1-0 in the 2nd inning. Are others games on as planned? NPU/Elmhurst is off...

IWU and Augie are underway.
'If I walked on water, my accusers would say it's because I can't swim."
   -- Berti Vogts

TitanPride

Augie up 3-0 in the 4th.  Cloudy and chilly in Bloomington, but glad to be able to get the games in today.  Graduation tomorrow.

tjcummingsfan

Looks like NP and Elmhurst have to push things back until tomorrow

BigPoppa

Millikin still up 1-0. 5th inning. Carthage has only mustered two hits
Baseball is not a game that builds character, it is a game that reveals it.

mr_b

Wheaton tops North Central, 6-4.  Augie is up 7-0 in the 4th, bases loaded.