BB: CCIW: College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin

[augie_superfan]

Some real bad baseball being played in Decatur today.  Carthage losing 11-7 going to the top of the 9th.  Each team has 5 errors in this 2nd game alone.

[BigPoppa]

Some real bad baseball being played in Decatur today.  Carthage losing 11-7 going to the top of the 9th.  Each team has 5 errors in this 2nd game alone.

This season cannot end fast enough for Carthage. I am curious to see how they respond this off-season.

[Mr. Ypsi]

Carthage falls, 11-7; they are effectively eliminated.  This is just TOO weird - is a conference tourney legal if Carthage is not in it?

Standings as of now:

NPU   10-6
Elmh    9-7
Augie  10-8
IWU    10-8
Wheat 10-8
NCC     9-9
Carth   6-11
Milli      5-12

Tie-breaker headaches on the horizon!

[augie_superfan]

Carthage falls, 11-7; they are effectively eliminated.  This is just TOO weird - is a conference tourney legal if Carthage is not in it?

Standings as of now:

NPU   10-6
Elmh    9-7
Augie  10-8
IWU    10-8
Wheat 10-8
NCC     9-9
Carth   6-11
Milli      5-12

Tie-breaker headaches on the horizon!

I just re-ran my simulation.  Out of the 1536 possible combinations of outcomes, Carthage gets 4th place in 16 of them!  Basically if they win out, and Elmhurst loses out, then it'd be Wheaton and Carthage tied for 4th with Carthage winning the tiebreaker.

[augie_superfan]

Here are the updated numbers:

Team Name                Tourney           Host
Augustana                    72.8%           16.3%
Carthage                       1.0%             0.0%
Elmhurst                      69.5%            23.6%
Illinois Wesleyan           65.0%            16.4%
Millikin                          0.0%              0.0%
North Central                42.1%            2.3%
North Park                    82.6%            36.9%
Wheaton                       67.0%            4.6%

[Mr. Ypsi]

Here are the updated numbers:

Team Name                Tourney           Host
Augustana                    72.8%           16.3%
Carthage                       1.0%             0.0%
Elmhurst                      69.5%            23.6%
Illinois Wesleyan           65.0%            16.4%
Millikin                          0.0%              0.0%
North Central                42.1%            2.3%
North Park                    82.6%            36.9%
Wheaton                       67.0%            4.6%

OUCH!  IWU's 65% probability of making the tourney sounds really good until you notice that they are the FIFTH most likely for a four-team tourney!

Fortunately, I am confident they will win AT LEAST 2 of 3 from Elmhurst.  (Of course, having already won the game in RI, I was also confident they would win AT LEAST 2 of 3 from Augie. )

[D3Vike11]

North Park now controls it's own destiny. Big day for North Park fans (IWU loses both AND Carthage loses both).
Smell the blood.

[Mr. Ypsi]

North Park now controls it's own destiny. Big day for North Park fans (IWU loses both AND Carthage loses both).
Smell the blood.

Careful now - I may have to root for NCC next weekend, just for revenge!

(Actually, as long as IWU wins enough next weekend to make the tourney, I'm unconcerned who else makes it.   Gotta beat everyone to make it to Appleton (actually Grand Chute) anyway!)

[Viking Blue]

Np 6, ec 0, bot 7 in elmhurst

[Viking Blue]

Final: np 9, ec 0. Cg shutout for nick soldano.

[BigPoppa]

Not that it matters in the CCIW race but Carthage beat Millikin 13-4 today.

[Mr. Ypsi]

Not that it matters in the CCIW race but Carthage beat Millikin 13-4 today.

Actually, it was not completely irrelevant.  With a loss, Carthage would have been mathematically eliminated; with the win they are still on life support!

[Viking Blue]

Game 2 in elmhurst : ec 2, np 0 top 4.  Luft looks sharp thus far for the Jays

[D3Vike11]

2-2 Top 6th 4-3 Blue Jays 4-4 (North Park ties it up) 7-4 Blue Jays top 9th in Elmhurst. North Park can take a commanding lead in the conference with a win.

[Viking Blue]

Final, game 2: ec 7,np5