MBB: American Southwest Conference

[gccfan]

Should be a great game tonight.  I'm sure the Jackets are chomping at the bit after losing twice to the Cru last year.  UMHB obviously wants to get things moving in the right direction as well after a few stumbles in the early going.

I also agree with most of you about MC, I think they are still the team to beat in the East until they finally relinquish the title.  It should be a great fight though with them, LETU, UTT and UTD battling it out.  Whoever can get that home court advantage for the playoffs will have definitely earned it.

[CUAfan]

Frankly, I don't expect MC to only win 9 games either, that's just how it looks so far. The comment about strength of schedule inspired me to steal an idea from footballoutsiders.com. They measure college football SOS by the likelihood an "elite" team would go undefeated against that team's slate. I appropriated what I think is their method and figured the odds that a .500 team would win a game against each team's average opponent thus far. Harder schedules return lower percentages. Turns out the East is apparently much harder than the West so far. Results below.

Team, SOS
1. Concordia-Texas, 25.2%
2. Howard Payne, 37.3%
3. Mary Hardin-Baylor, 38.1%
4. Texas Lutheran, 42.6%
5. Sul Ross State, 43.9%
6. McMurry, 46.2%
6. Hardin-Simmons, 46.2%
6. Schreiner, 46.2%
9. Texas-Tyler, 51.5%
9. Louisiana College, 51.5%
11. Mississippi College, 52.0%
12. East Texas Baptist, 61.5%
13. Texas-Dallas, 65.2%
13. Ozarks, 65.2%
15. LeTourneau, 74.0%

It doesn't incorporate home/road, and I don't expect it to say much as the season goes on, but it's not a bad snapshot of just how hard everyone's had it in the early going.

[CUAfan]

As long as I'm at it, here's the best offenses and defenses so far by points per 100 possessions. This includes the non-conference games since I don't feel like going from box score to box score adding everything up. Offense is first, then defense. Offensive average is 97.6; defensive is 101.6.

Team, Offensive Rating
1. Texas-Dallas, 116.0
2. Mississippi College, 113.2
3. LeTourneau, 103.6
4. McMurry, 103.1
5. Ozarks, 102.6
6. Texas-Tyler, 101.4
7. Mary Hardin-Baylor, 99.2
8. Concordia-Texas, 96.7
9. East Texas Baptist, 94.1
10. Texas Lutheran, 93.1
11. Hardin-Simmons, 92.6
12. Louisiana College, 91.3
13. Howard Payne, 90.4
14. Sul Ross State, 87.9
15. Schreiner, 78.8

Team, Defensive Rating
1. Texas-Dallas, 90.8
2. Ozarks, 95.1
3. East Texas Baptist, 96.0
4. LeTourneau, 97.0
5. Schreiner, 97.4
6. Hardin-Simmons, 100.5
7. McMurry, 100.8
8. Sul Ross State, 102.1
9. Mary Hardin-Baylor, 102.5
10. Texas-Tyler, 102.6
11. Louisiana College, 104.5
12. Texas Lutheran, 105.7
13. Mississippi College, 106.4
14. Concordia-Texas, 111.9
15. Howard Payne, 115.9

[Bearkat00]

Ill try my best to update in IN GAME UPDATES

[tennis_cereal_killer]

Anybody noticing the Yellowjackets? They're the real deal!!! Hopefully they'll start getting some love in the next voting period. Hello NCAA's...Bob Davis has some real PTP'ers.

[Ralph Turner]

Anybody noticing the Yellowjackets? They're the real deal!!! Hopefully they'll start getting some love in the next voting period. Hello NCAA's...Bob Davis has some real PTP'ers.

If you remain undefeated until you beat UW-Whitewater at the UMHB tournament after Christmas, then you will start getting some love in the first poll in 2009. 

[etbualum]

etbu lost 93 to 90 to ctx.

[pedh34]

I will make some picks also...

12/4
HSU over UTT  I know UTT is pumped for this home game. I think they will be in for a shock...
LC over SU
UTD over SRSU
UO over HPU

12/6
MC over SU
UMHB over ETBU
UO over SRSU
UTD over HPU
MCM over UTT
LETU over CUA
LC over TLU

12/8
LeT over UMHB
CUA over ETBU
MC over TLU

Key notes for the week: UTT will go 0-2 at home, UTD will remain unbeaten, MC after starting 0-2 in conference will go 2-0 this week.

This week I went 11-3 picks. Although both of UTT games were at home they really impressed me with two big victories.  UTD and LET has had the same exact conference schedule so far and both teams are 4-0. Both these teams should be getting closer to the top 25. Dale Vanwright averaged 27 points and 10 rebounds this week. Jairus Rockmore continues to step up and play really well. While Josh Davis keeps doing all of the intangibles.

[pedh34]

From above sorry Dale, Jarius, and Josh are all from Letourneau.

[pistol pete 22]

12/4
UO over HPU
UTT over HSU
LC over SU
UTD over SRSU

12/6
MC over SU
UMHB over ETBU
SRSU over UO
UTD over HPU
McM over UTT
LeT over CUA
LC over TLU

12/8
LeT over UMHB
CUA over ETBU
MC over TLU

Im also 11-3. Im impressed by UTT's win at home over McMurry and even more shocked that LC lost at home to TLU, I had LC ranked 6th in the east but I was atleast counting on them to beat TLU.  Thinks are looking interesting so far.

[Bearkat00]

Anybody noticing the Yellowjackets? They're the real deal!!! Hopefully they'll start getting some love in the next voting period. Hello NCAA's...Bob Davis has some real PTP'ers.

While I'd love LETU to get some national recognition, I don't think they've done enough to do so.  While they've made HUGE strides to where they are, they've got to continue this throughout the year.  Plus, their schedule really favors them this year (like I mentioned in an earlier post).

1) They've beaten an average D2 team - SAU (4-3).  Not taking anything away from the victory and they played a great Ouchiata team on the road.  Probably a game not many people thought we could win.   
2) In conference, the combined records are 6-20 of teams the 'Jackets have played this season.  True, going on the road to SRSU and HPU is never easy, being able to play UMHB and CUA at home played in our advantage.

Let's not take anything away from LETU - I am one of the biggest LETU fans on here.  They are playing great basketball this season and are doing what good teams are supposed to do - beat teams they are suppose to beat.  My thing is, let's not go crowning ANYBODY just yet (including UT-Dallas).  Our true test lie in three weeks @ UMHB Tournament and playing host to good McMurry and HSU teams - teams that I feel we can beat. 

With that said - Great job to Coach Davis.  His boys are playing awesome defense and deserve being mentioned as one of the stronger teams in our conference for this year. 

[#1ascfanman]

After the second weekend of conference play I am at 7-3. Not too bad.  Picks for this weekend:


Let over SU
CUA over Tyler
SRSU over HPU
TLU over ETBU

ETBU over SU
McM over HSU
Let over TLU
TLU over SU
LC over SRSU
MC over HPU
LC over HPU
SRSU over MC

[Bearkat00]

Congratulations to LETU's Dale Vanwright picking up POW honors.  Was a good week for the 'Jackets, going 2-0 against two very solid teams.  I've been really impressed with the Jacket D they've put on the last couple of weeks.  Best of luck to all our student-athletes in their final exams!

[#1ascfanman]

I was going through looking at stats for some of the teams.  I noticed ETBU missing some players, a kid named Josh Jefferson who was from Shreveport.  I saw him play in high school and was impressed but he is not on the roster, and neither is the Waters kid they were so high on.  Does anyone know what happened to those players?

[ASCfan237]

My Picks for the week

Let over SU...LeT too much talent
Tyler over CUA...Tyler playing good
SRSU over HPU...HPU down and out
ETBU over TLU...ETBU too athletic

ETBU over SU...see above ETBU game
McM over HSU...McM is too big
Let over TLU...LeT too much talent
SU over TLU...who cares
SRSU over LC...LC is terrible
MC over HPU...MC is back
HPU over LC...HPU gets first win
MC over SRSU...better team