WBB: Michigan Intercollegiate Athletics Association

[Captain_Joe08]

And down goes Wheaton in OT. Tremendous game, but WLC is going to be exhausted. Their star player played 43 minutes.

Though I won't count them out. This is nearly the same team that pushed Hope twice last year.

Definitely not counting them out - just pointing out that the stress and extended minutes of a tough overtime game could pose an issue. Looking forward to a great game tomorrow night.

This is the first time I think Schulz has been used pretty much the whole game. I think she has been used 25-32 minutes a game this year.

[Flying Dutch Fan]

And down goes Wheaton in OT. Tremendous game, but WLC is going to be exhausted. Their star player played 43 minutes.

Though I won't count them out. This is nearly the same team that pushed Hope twice last year.

Definitely not counting them out - just pointing out that the stress and extended minutes of a tough overtime game could pose an issue. Looking forward to a great game tomorrow night.

This is the first time I think Schulz has been used pretty much the whole game. I think she has been used 25-32 minutes a game this year.

Actually she is averaging 34.1 min per game for the season - which probably means the extra minutes last night should be less of an impact on her than if she was averaging 25.

[Flying Dutch Fan]

Quick team stat comparison between Hope and WLC

Offense	% 2pt	% 3pt	% FT
Hope	43	32.7	64
WLC	51	44.5	67.6
Defense	% 2pt	% 3pt
Hope	35.6	28.1
WLC	33.3	31.3
Rebounding	Team	Opp	Margin
Hope	43.8	42	1.8
WLC	42	34.4	7.6
Scoring	Team	Opp	Margin
Hope	70.8	55.6	15.2
WLC	74.8	55.4	19.4
3 point shooting	Attempts	Made	Made/game
Hope	560	183	6.5
WLC	409	182	4
Blocks	Total	per game
Hope	126	4.5
WLC	194	6.9
Steals	Total	per game
Hope	355	12.7
WLC	199	7.1
Turnovers	Total	per game
Hope	454	16.2
WLC	465	16.6
Assists	Total	per game
Hope	448	16
WLC	478	17.1
Assist/Turnover
Hope	0.99
WLC	1.03

Teams met twice last year.  11/23/13 at WLC, Hope won 78-72 in OT.  Then they met in the first round of the NCAA tourney last year at Carthage and Hope won 60-54.  Looking at all that, you have to think this will be another hard fought, close game.  They certainly are familiar with each other.  Interesting that for the 2nd year in a row these teams meet in an NCAA tournament game, neutral site, at a CCIW school. 

[Captain_Joe08]

And down goes Wheaton in OT. Tremendous game, but WLC is going to be exhausted. Their star player played 43 minutes.

Though I won't count them out. This is nearly the same team that pushed Hope twice last year.

Definitely not counting them out - just pointing out that the stress and extended minutes of a tough overtime game could pose an issue. Looking forward to a great game tomorrow night.

This is the first time I think Schulz has been used pretty much the whole game. I think she has been used 25-32 minutes a game this year.

Actually she is averaging 34.1 min per game for the season - which probably means the extra minutes last night should be less of an impact on her than if she was averaging 25.

I figured about that....That is the product of the NACC with the exception of a few teams on any given night.

[Dark Knight]

Calvin led 40-24 at halftime over BW, but BW scored the first 17 points of the second half. 

Strange game last knight. Calvin started out on a 12-0 run, BW had a 12-2 run, and Calvin had another 12-0 run in the first half. At the end of the first half it felt like Calvin might run away with the game.

BW started out the second half with a 17-0 run in which Calvin could not buy a basket. In that stretch Calvin missed 11 shots including 6 layups. Very physical defense was being allowed.

In the last 10 minutes, Calvin outscored BW 33-15. 14 of those points for Calvin were free throws and many of the rest were layups. I guess the refs started calling more and BW started taking more risks.

[Captain_Joe08]

Last night's win for WLC ended a string of close losses against top competition for the Warriors. Like you said, we lost to you guys twice last year in close games. We nearly beat DePauw and George Fox to start the season this year. Feels nice to break through.

[Dark Knight]

If all the remaining favorites win these are the teams Calvin would have to beat for a national championship (assuming all games are at Calvin):

[Baldwin Wallace (80-66)]
Oshkosh (80%)
DePauw (82%)
George Fox (46%)
Montclair St (80%)
St Thomas (53%)

That gives Calvin an 80% chance of reaching the sweet 16, 30% chance of the final four, 13% chance of national championship.

Hope would face

[Bethel 75-63]
WI Lutheran (79%)
St Thomas (26%)
Thomas More (32%)
Tufts (37%)
Geo Fox (21%)

Previously Hope had to face five of the top 7 teams. Wheaton lost last night giving Hope a boost.
That gives Hope a 79% chance of getting to the sweet 16, 7% chance of getting to the final 4, and 0.5% chance of a national championship.

The chance for Hope-Calvin IV is up to 0.6%. 

[northb]

Previously Hope had to face five of the top 7 teams. Wheaton lost last night giving Hope a boost.

Is that a boost?  Now they have to play a team that beat one of the top 7 teams.

[Roundball999]

Previously Hope had to face five of the top 7 teams. Wheaton lost last night giving Hope a boost.

Is that a boost?  Now they have to play a team that beat one of the top 7 teams.

Don't know if its a boost or not, but I do like not having to play a strong Wheaton team on its home court.  But WLC is playing really well right now and Kristen Schulz presents a huge challenge.  Massey has Hope by 9 with a 79% win probability.  Massey pretty much nailed the Bethel prediction, but WLC appears to be a stronger team to me so I think Massey is overly optimistic on this one.

[WWWRHH]

Does anyone know why Paris Madison is not in the rotation this evening?  She has played well recently and based on the box score was a strong contributor against Bethel.

[wiz]

Impressive showing by Calvin and Hope this week.  MIAA looks strong.

[Flying Dutch Fan]

Huge win by Hope over what looked to be a very tired WLC team. I think the sub patterns tonight (Madison and Klauka playin little) was a matchup decision by the coach.

[Captain_Joe08]

You hit on the tired part. WLC could not get out of a 22-5 hole early on. Great season for the Warriors.

On a humorous note.....

The day after the state of Wisconsin ended the CCIW's season, the MIAA ended the state of Wisconsin's hopes for a d3 title.

[oldknight]

Had to make a choice tonight--stay home and watch the men's team on the computer or go and watch the women live at VNA. Chose to watch live action and found I made the right decision. Calvin's women improve to 29-0 with a convincing 91-71 win over UW-Oshkosh and move on for a date with DePauw, place TBD. The Lady Knights are relentless. They simply don't let an opponent take a breath with a frenetic style that wears out their opponent as much mentally as physically. John Ross's ladies use the full 94 feet every second of the game and you had better strap on your seatbelts. Oshkosh is a pretty good team who didn't turn the ball over all that much given the constant ball pressure they faced (16 turnovers) but what Calvin's style does to you is force a tempo that you probably don't want, shots taken that aren't the ones you want, and the shortening of the shot clock because it takes so long to get into your half court offense. Meanwhile, Calvin's offense enjoys running up the court to take a shot early in the clock if they get it. The one quality they have in spades is excellent passing skills whether from their perimeter players or with interior passing. Other game notes:

--simply a superlative performance by Kayla Englehard with 28 points on 11-15 from the floor and her usual composed floor game, dishing 9 assists. When she plays like that, Calvin is a very difficult team to beat.

--Breanna Verkaik was her usual steady self going 7-11 from the floor, 18 points, 4 assists and 5 rebounds. She's so good you think a game like that is ordinary. It isn't.

--Anna Timmer is one of the best off-the-bench players I've seen at the D3 level, and she does it without being superior at anything. She's just fundamentally sound at every part of the game and is a mentally tough kid. Undersized for the college game she dominated inside with 16 points and 9 rebounds, and grabbed 3 steals. Just a pleasure to watch her play.

--nice to see the prez down on the floor at the end of the game, offering sincere congratulations.

[Roundball999]

Very strong game by the Hope Flying Dutch tonight.  Stifling defense resulted in several five second violations and hurried shots as the shot clock wound down.  WLC star Kristen Schulz was prevented from doing much damage when she couldn't get touches near the basket, only scoring two points on three shots in the first half.  Meanwhile it seemed the Dutch had a very good offensive game plan that resulted in numerous open looks outside and many layups off of screens and cuts to the hole.