FB: Liberty League

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Frank Rossi

Quote from: pumkinattack on October 27, 2013, 10:32:29 PM
I guess it all is going to depend on how they want to weight primary vs secondary or tertiary criteria.  If a Fitchburg or somebody from New England gets one because they overweight SOS blindly then you can make the case for an MMA who's only loss is to a top 15 Hobart .  If the pool Cs end up going to stronger candidates where other criteria push them ahead I'm ok with MMA not getting one.  Even the fact that were talking about if MMAs OOC opponents from the New England leagues and the CC win out sort of proves that just simply laying it all of a numerical OOC is problematic, but as I said, I don't really know if they're playoff caliber, but there resume would be to win against everyone except a very good and highly regarded nationally team.  Sort of fits the mold of what pool C is supposed to be about I guess.  One where you could make the case that without a semi elite(Im using my words about Hobart carefully) they would win their league.

I don't think any East team would have a better W/L record if MMA goes 7-1 -- so it will come down strictly to SOS perceptions in the East and nationally.  Here's the current standings in the East:


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

  Team
 

  Over. W/L
 

  Over. Win%
 

   
 

  Conf. W/L
 

  Conf. Win%
 

  Gallaudet
 

  7-0
 

  1.000
 

  4-0
 

  1.000
 

  Hobart
 

  6-0
 

  1.000
 

  4-0
 

  1.000
 

  Framingham
  State
 

  6-1
 

  0.857
 

  5-0
 

  1.000
 

  Lebanon Valley
 

  6-1
 

  0.857
 

  5-1
 

  0.833
 

  Ithaca
 

  6-1
 

  0.857
 

  4-1
 

  0.800
 

  Merchant
  Marine
 

  4-1
 

  0.800
 

  1-1
 

  0.500
 

  Endicott
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  4-0
 

  1.000
 

  Salve Regina
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  4-0
 

  1.000
 

  Salisbury
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  4-0
 

  1.000
 

  Lycoming
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  5-1
 

  0.833
 

  Widener
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  5-1
 

  0.833
 

  Alfred
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  Rowan
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  Rochester
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  St. Lawrence
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  Western
  Connecticut
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  4-2
 

  0.667
 

  Delaware
  Valley
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  4-2
 

  0.667
 

  St. John
  Fisher
 

  5-2
 

  0.714
 

  2-2
 

  0.500
 

  MIT
 

  4-2
 

  0.667
 

  2-2
 

  0.500
 

  Bridgewater
  State
 

  5-3
 

  0.625
 

  4-2
 

  0.667
 

  Cortland State
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  4-1
 

  0.800
 

  Husson
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  Mount Ida
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  Norwich
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  Brockport
  State
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  TCNJ
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  King's
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  4-2
 

  0.667
 

  Westfield
  State
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  3-2
 

  0.600
 

  Albright
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  3-3
 

  0.500
 

  Massachusetts
  Maritime
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  2-3
 

  0.400
 

  Hartwick
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  1-3
 

  0.250
 

  Springfield
 

  4-3
 

  0.571
 

  1-3
 

  0.250
 

  Buffalo State
 

  4-4
 

  0.500
 

  2-3
 

  0.400
 

  SUNY-Maritime
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  3-1
 

  0.750
 

  Morrisville
  State
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  2-2
 

  0.500
 

  Mass-Dartmouth
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  3-3
 

  0.500
 

  Fitchburg
  State
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  2-3
 

  0.400
 

  Stevenson
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  2-4
 

  0.333
 

  Wilkes
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  2-4
 

  0.333
 

  Utica
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  1-3
 

  0.250
 

  Worcester State
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  1-4
 

  0.200
 

  RPI
 

  3-4
 

  0.429
 

  0-4
 

  0.000
 

  Coast Guard
 

  3-5
 

  0.375
 

  3-2
 

  0.600
 

  William
  Paterson
 

  3-5
 

  0.375
 

  1-4
 

  0.200
 

  Curry
 

  2-4
 

  0.333
 

  2-2
 

  0.500
 

  Union
 

  2-5
 

  0.286
 

  2-2
 

  0.500
 

  Western
  New England
 

  2-5
 

  0.286
 

  1-3
 

  0.250
 

  Montclair
  State
 

  2-5
 

  0.286
 

  1-3
 

  0.250
 

  WPI
 

  2-5
 

  0.286
 

  1-3
 

  0.250
 

  Alfred State
 

  1-4
 

  0.200
 

  0-0
 

  0.000
 

  Maine Maritime
 

  1-5
 

  0.167
 

  1-3
 

  0.250
 

  Anna Maria
 

  1-6
 

  0.143
 

  0-4
 

  0.000
 

  Becker
 

  1-6
 

  0.143
 

  0-4
 

  0.000
 

  Castleton
  State
 

  1-6
 

  0.143
 

  0-4
 

  0.000
 

  Nichols
 

  1-6
 

  0.143
 

  0-5
 

  0.000
 

  Frostburg
  State
 

  1-6
 

  0.143
 

  0-4
 

  0.000
 

  Kean
 

  1-6
 

  0.143
 

  0-4
 

  0.000
 

  Plymouth State
 

  1-6
 

  0.143
 

  0-5
 

  0.000
 

  FDU-Florham
 

  1-6
 

  0.143
 

  0-6
 

  0.000
 

  Misericordia
 

  0-7
 

  0.000
 

  0-6
 

  0.000
 

pumkinattack

That's been my point for a few years .  The secret final RRO gives the committee all the latitude they need to do more or less what they want (and then point to the listed criteria and claim no responsibility for the picks as if their hands were completely tied by and absolute and completely explicit framework).

Forgot about LVC, but they still have some tough games left.

ECoastFootball

Quote from: pumkinattack on October 26, 2013, 05:07:47 PMThat being said, any loss by Hobart and they may be shipped to a Linfield, MUC or UMHB in the first round.  While they will hopefully face one of them at some point, I'd prefer it be after a couple of rounds of playoff opponents personally.

I'm assuming this is tongue-in-cheek? Hobart is undefeated and ranked 7th in the country, they could lose 2 games and not get shipped out of region as an 8 seed. The bottom seed will be the ECFC champ and the 6 and 7 seed will be the NEFC champ and Framingham if they get a pool C. If Hobart wins out what would stop them from a 2 seed?

WhittFoot

Been hearing a lot about Hobart's Left Tackle Ali Marpet, the best tackle in LL? Country? Has anybody seen him play this year and is he as dominate as people have been saying? I do remember him last year against us and he was as good as advertised. Also listed as a junior captain for the statesman.

D3viewer

Quote from: WhittFoot on October 28, 2013, 11:55:48 AM
Been hearing a lot about Hobart's Left Tackle Ali Marpet, the best tackle in LL? Country? Has anybody seen him play this year and is he as dominate as people have been saying? I do remember him last year against us and he was as good as advertised. Also listed as a junior captain for the statesman.

Brockport's Bruce Doyle is a Sr 6-5 305. I guess NFL scouts have been coming in regularly to check him out. He is their RT..which is bit strange..if he is possible NFL caliber..your best is usually your LT. Other than that..I haven't watched enough to compare. Just pointing out  another Upstate D3 guy who seems pretty good.

Frank Rossi

Quote from: WhittFoot on October 28, 2013, 11:55:48 AM
Been hearing a lot about Hobart's Left Tackle Ali Marpet, the best tackle in LL? Country? Has anybody seen him play this year and is he as dominate as people have been saying? I do remember him last year against us and he was as good as advertised. Also listed as a junior captain for the statesman.

I think you might have, ummmm, misspelled your handle... Since the team that faced Hobart last season was Wittenberg.  You might want to ask iamhuge about talent assessment on these message boards...

Frank Rossi

#47211
Quote from: ECoastFootball on October 28, 2013, 10:01:31 AM
Quote from: pumkinattack on October 26, 2013, 05:07:47 PMThat being said, any loss by Hobart and they may be shipped to a Linfield, MUC or UMHB in the first round.  While they will hopefully face one of them at some point, I'd prefer it be after a couple of rounds of playoff opponents personally.

I'm assuming this is tongue-in-cheek? Hobart is undefeated and ranked 7th in the country, they could lose 2 games and not get shipped out of region as an 8 seed. The bottom seed will be the ECFC champ and the 6 and 7 seed will be the NEFC champ and Framingham if they get a pool C. If Hobart wins out what would stop them from a 2 seed?

A loss by Hobart would likely allow the team to remain as a 3 or 4 seed based on the paucity of 0- and 1-loss teams left in the East (although, remember, teams from other regions could be shifted into the bracket -- and seemingly would have to be to fill the eight slots this year).  A two-loss Hobart would not host in all likelihood.  Our D3football.com Top 25 Poll is not used by the Committee, and Hobart's SOS (which will be probably in the low 50s when the season ends unless the OOC teams they played begin to win) and nine-game schedule would work against the team.  Also, two losses by Hobart now would likely not even allow the team to make the playoffs under current circumstances in the LL and in Pool C nationally.

Bombers798891

Quote from: Frank Rossi on October 28, 2013, 05:04:50 PM
Quote from: ECoastFootball on October 28, 2013, 10:01:31 AM
Quote from: pumkinattack on October 26, 2013, 05:07:47 PMThat being said, any loss by Hobart and they may be shipped to a Linfield, MUC or UMHB in the first round.  While they will hopefully face one of them at some point, I'd prefer it be after a couple of rounds of playoff opponents personally.

I'm assuming this is tongue-in-cheek? Hobart is undefeated and ranked 7th in the country, they could lose 2 games and not get shipped out of region as an 8 seed. The bottom seed will be the ECFC champ and the 6 and 7 seed will be the NEFC champ and Framingham if they get a pool C. If Hobart wins out what would stop them from a 2 seed?

A loss by Hobart would likely allow the team to remain as a 3 or 4 seed based on the paucity of 0- and 1-loss teams left in the East (although, remember, teams from other regions could be shifted into the bracket -- and seemingly would have to be to fill the eight slots this year).  A two-loss Hobart would not host in all likelihood.  Our D3football.com Top 25 Poll is not used by the Committee, and Hobart's SOS (which will be probably in the low 50s when the season ends unless the OOC teams they played begin to win) and nine-game schedule would work against the team.  Also, two losses by Hobart now would likely not even allow the team to make the playoffs under current circumstances in the LL and in Pool C nationally.

There's no way a one-loss Hobart would be an 8 seed, Frank's right. Everyone in the NJAC has two losses, and the likely E8 champ has two as well. Even if Ithaca were to sneak in at say, 9-1 as the E8 champ, given their terrible OOC slate, I doubt would get ahead of Hobart (Moravian's probably going to go 1-9, Union could easily go 3-7, and Cortland would have at least four losses)

WhittFoot

Quote from: Frank Rossi on October 28, 2013, 05:01:15 PM
Quote from: WhittFoot on October 28, 2013, 11:55:48 AM
Been hearing a lot about Hobart's Left Tackle Ali Marpet, the best tackle in LL? Country? Has anybody seen him play this year and is he as dominate as people have been saying? I do remember him last year against us and he was as good as advertised. Also listed as a junior captain for the statesman.

I think you might have, ummmm, misspelled your handle... Since the team that faced Hobart last season was Wittenberg.  You might want to ask iamhuge about talent assessment on these message boards...

Frank, I actually am from Whitehouse, OH where my son plays for Anthony Wayne high school, and my nephew actually graduated from Wittenberg last year and played DB. So I may have added an extra T to my name. But thanks for the knowledge.

pumkinattack

Market is part of an excellent overall line who works tremendously hard and is all business.  I don't know enough to compare nationally, but I think its fair to put him in some discussions.  For him to be a captain on this team as a jr (voted on by the team but blessed by the staff) does speak volumes.

On playoff seeding, see 2011.  No meaningful strength in or OOC and 9 game schedule and they were sent to Wesley in the first round.  Perhaps the team was less of a known quantity to the committe than compared with now, but that team was pretty close to this one and just blew a 3td lead in bizarre fashion to RPI.  Maybe they still get a decent seed, but insure wouldn't leave it up to the committee and want to test that theory.

Frank Rossi

Quote from: pumkinattack on October 29, 2013, 11:11:44 AM
On playoff seeding, see 2011.  No meaningful strength in or OOC and 9 game schedule and they were sent to Wesley in the first round.  Perhaps the team was less of a known quantity to the committe than compared with now, but that team was pretty close to this one and just blew a 3td lead in bizarre fashion to RPI.  Maybe they still get a decent seed, but insure wouldn't leave it up to the committee and want to test that theory.

In 2011, these existed:

Kean 9-1
WNE 10-1
Salisbury 9-1
DelVal 10-0
Hobart 7-1

With three weeks to go in 2013, these exist:

Gallaudet 7-0
Hobart 6-0
Framingham State 6-1
Lebanon Valley 6-1
Ithaca 6-1
Merchant Marine 4-1

Odds are low that the other five teams will all get by unscathed, and Hobart's playoff results in 2012 can be used to determine close issues in seeding.  In addition, they beat MMA and the last ECFC team that went undefeated was abused by Alfred and almost didn't even get in through Pool B.  One loss would not considerably devastate seeding this season for Hobart.

pumkinattack

I am more comfortable this year, but still, on paper an 8-1 Hobart isn't nearly as strong as I know they are.

That Hobart team would've beaten all of those teams in 2011.  Even with literally no kicking game (we were missing xp style FGs and went for it on 4th and goal many times including 3, I think, vs Wesley).

Jonny Utah

Quote from: pumkinattack on October 29, 2013, 12:53:27 PM
I am more comfortable this year, but still, on paper an 8-1 Hobart isn't nearly as strong as I know they are.

That Hobart team would've beaten all of those teams in 2011.  Even with literally no kicking game (we were missing xp style FGs and went for it on 4th and goal many times including 3, I think, vs Wesley).

I think what pumkinattack is trying to say is that he doesn't trust the NCAA with seedings, and I can't blame him.

Frank Rossi

Quote from: Jonny "Utes" Utah on October 29, 2013, 01:58:40 PM
Quote from: pumkinattack on October 29, 2013, 12:53:27 PM
I am more comfortable this year, but still, on paper an 8-1 Hobart isn't nearly as strong as I know they are.

That Hobart team would've beaten all of those teams in 2011.  Even with literally no kicking game (we were missing xp style FGs and went for it on 4th and goal many times including 3, I think, vs Wesley).

I think what pumkinattack is trying to say is that he doesn't trust the NCAA with seedings, and I can't blame him.

Let's not forget -- 7-1 did not help Hobart, especially when compared against 9-1 teams.  I can't very much blame the NCAA for what it did in 2011.  The only caveat obviously was the win vs. SJF, but there is no conclusive determination that can be made as to whether Hobart did any better or worse than SJF in the "seedings" per se because of the odd bracketing that year.  Again, though, my point is that an eight-game schedule did not help Hobart that year, and one wonders if the Committee didn't see some irony in scheduling Hobart at Wesley because of the whole schedule-ducking accusations in 2011.

AUPepBand

Quote from: Frank Rossi on October 29, 2013, 11:47:44 AM
Quote from: pumkinattack on October 29, 2013, 11:11:44 AM
On playoff seeding, see 2011.  No meaningful strength in or OOC and 9 game schedule and they were sent to Wesley in the first round.  Perhaps the team was less of a known quantity to the committe than compared with now, but that team was pretty close to this one and just blew a 3td lead in bizarre fashion to RPI.  Maybe they still get a decent seed, but insure wouldn't leave it up to the committee and want to test that theory.

In 2011, these existed:

Kean 9-1
WNE 10-1
Salisbury 9-1
DelVal 10-0
Hobart 7-1

With three weeks to go in 2013, these exist:

Gallaudet 7-0
Hobart 6-0
Framingham State 6-1
Lebanon Valley 6-1
Ithaca 6-1
Merchant Marine 4-1

Odds are low that the other five teams will all get by unscathed, and Hobart's playoff results in 2012 can be used to determine close issues in seeding.  In addition, they beat MMA and the last ECFC team that went undefeated was abused by Alfred and almost didn't even get in through Pool B.  One loss would not considerably devastate seeding this season for Hobart.

Funny thing that year (2010), the ECFC champ was actually "seeded" #3 and was to HOST #6 Alfred (8-2 with losses to RPI and UR) but either hadn't filed paperwork or by some other technicality could not host the NCAAs, so the game was moved to Mayberry. It was 50-0 by halftime and some young fan of the undefeated ECFC champs didn't care much for AU's pep band, which played the Saxons' fight song twice after each TD. The lad was heard to say of the band, "They're not very good. They only know one song and I've never heard it before."

On Saxon Warriors!
On Saxon Warriors! On to Victory!
...Fight, fight for Alfred, A-L-F, R-E-D!