FB: Heartland Collegiate Athletic Conference

Started by Adam Sayer, December 24, 2006, 10:01:33 PM

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FCGrizzliesGrad

Quote from: SaintsFAN on November 15, 2015, 11:56:28 PM
Was hoping for Franklin at Thomas More to see just how many people we can get on the TMC campus.  Oh well, another year perhaps.  Or maybe our ADs should talk Home and Home contracts?
Franklin is always willing to schedule tough teams. I really liked the Illinois Wesleyan choice these past 2 years and I hope they schedule more games like Albion, Wittenberg, Baldwin Wallace, Thomas More, etc rather than UWW, Mount Union and FCS Butler.
Last time Franklin and Thomas More met in the regular season (there was the playoff game in 2011) was back in 2003 when I was just a freshman. It's probably about time.
.

Football picker extraordinaire
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Mr. Ypsi

Quote from: FCGrizzliesGrad on November 16, 2015, 12:39:50 AM
Quote from: SaintsFAN on November 15, 2015, 11:56:28 PM
Was hoping for Franklin at Thomas More to see just how many people we can get on the TMC campus.  Oh well, another year perhaps.  Or maybe our ADs should talk Home and Home contracts?
Franklin is always willing to schedule tough teams. I really liked the Illinois Wesleyan choice these past 2 years and I hope they schedule more games like Albion, Wittenberg, Baldwin Wallace, Thomas More, etc rather than UWW, Mount Union and FCS Butler.
Last time Franklin and Thomas More met in the regular season (there was the playoff game in 2011) was back in 2003 when I was just a freshman. It's probably about time.

Hey, you got the same bottom line results from IWU as from UMU, UWW, and Butler! ;D  (Though admittedly, probably much closer losses! ;))

(Wow, did IWU lay an egg on Saturday - first loss to NPU since 1985!  Even worse than the Lions' losing streak in Wisconsin - ended today, started in 1991. ::))

DadofBashWarrior..

Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on November 16, 2015, 12:11:55 AM
Quote from: SaintsFAN on November 16, 2015, 12:06:16 AM
Quote from: FCGrizzliesGrad on November 15, 2015, 06:31:14 PM
I thought Franklin might have a shot at a home game or maybe being on the road in a 4-5 type matchup. More surprised at Ohio Northern making it.
Polar Bears @ Grizzlies... I can bearly contain my excitement :D

I texted Pat during their Bracketology Show last night that I thought Northern would get in.  They were a missed XPT away from being 9-1 with a loss at Mount Union and a 3 point win at John Carroll.

Well, you were right, but I still think UWP and Guilford were more deserving than Whitworth and ONU.

No question Platteville should be in...

SaintsFAN

#6828
Quote from: Mr. Ypsi on November 16, 2015, 12:11:55 AM
Quote from: SaintsFAN on November 16, 2015, 12:06:16 AM
Quote from: FCGrizzliesGrad on November 15, 2015, 06:31:14 PM
I thought Franklin might have a shot at a home game or maybe being on the road in a 4-5 type matchup. More surprised at Ohio Northern making it.
Polar Bears @ Grizzlies... I can bearly contain my excitement :D

I texted Pat during their Bracketology Show last night that I thought Northern would get in.  They were a missed XPT away from being 9-1 with a loss at Mount Union and a 3 point win at John Carroll.

Well, you were right, but I still think UWP and Guilford were more deserving than Whitworth and ONU.

Agree on UWP over Whitworth but not Guilford.  They've taken heat (and rightly so) here for continuing to schedule the down programs in their area.  This year their OOC schedule was awful.  They played teams who finished 2-7 (Averitt), 4-6 (Methodist), and 3-7 (Greensboro).  You don't have to schedule a top 25 program but come on.  The best win they had was Hampden-Sydney, who finished 6-4. 

I also think it would've been tough to leave a North Region Pool C candidate out after being at the table from the beginning of the conversation, especially from that conference.  I'd feel the same way about a 2 loss team from the CCIW, to be honest.
Just my thoughts.  It also why I never had Guilford under any serious consideration on my Top 25 Ballot.  (BTW I was one of the holdouts who kept IWU on my ballot until this week).
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PAC Champs:  2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016
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Undefeated: 1991, 1995, 2001, 2009, 2010, 2015
Instances where MSJ quit the Bridge Bowl:  2

SaintsFAN

Quote from: FCGrizzliesGrad on November 16, 2015, 12:39:50 AM
Quote from: SaintsFAN on November 15, 2015, 11:56:28 PM
Was hoping for Franklin at Thomas More to see just how many people we can get on the TMC campus.  Oh well, another year perhaps.  Or maybe our ADs should talk Home and Home contracts?
Franklin is always willing to schedule tough teams. I really liked the Illinois Wesleyan choice these past 2 years and I hope they schedule more games like Albion, Wittenberg, Baldwin Wallace, Thomas More, etc rather than UWW, Mount Union and FCS Butler.
Last time Franklin and Thomas More met in the regular season (there was the playoff game in 2011) was back in 2003 when I was just a freshman. It's probably about time.

Yes.  It could be a great series.  Although TMC leads the series, Franklin won the most recent and most important one in 2011.

I really respect The Grizzlies not being afraid to play anyone.  One would think teams looking to dethrone Franklin would want to do the same.  Instead, it's Finlandia.  As such, these teams sit at home come tournament time.
AMC Champs: 1991-1992-1993-1994-1995
HCAC Champs: 2000, 2001
PAC Champs:  2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016
Bridge Bowl Champs:  1990-1991-1992-1993-1994-1995-2002-2003-2006-2008-2009-2010-2011-2012-2013 (SERIES OVER)
Undefeated: 1991, 1995, 2001, 2009, 2010, 2015
Instances where MSJ quit the Bridge Bowl:  2

GrizFan



[/quote]

Hey, you got the same bottom line results from IWU as from UMU, UWW, and Butler! ;D  (Though admittedly, probably much closer losses! ;))

(Wow, did IWU lay an egg on Saturday - first loss to NPU since 1985!  Even worse than the Lions' losing streak in Wisconsin - ended today, started in 1991. ::))
[/quote]

IWU played their last two games without their best player, Artie Checcin.  He was awesome in the two games against the GRIZ.

GRIZ_BACKER

Quote from: SaintsFAN on November 16, 2015, 01:41:25 AM
Quote from: FCGrizzliesGrad on November 16, 2015, 12:39:50 AM
Quote from: SaintsFAN on November 15, 2015, 11:56:28 PM
Was hoping for Franklin at Thomas More to see just how many people we can get on the TMC campus.  Oh well, another year perhaps.  Or maybe our ADs should talk Home and Home contracts?
Franklin is always willing to schedule tough teams. I really liked the Illinois Wesleyan choice these past 2 years and I hope they schedule more games like Albion, Wittenberg, Baldwin Wallace, Thomas More, etc rather than UWW, Mount Union and FCS Butler.
Last time Franklin and Thomas More met in the regular season (there was the playoff game in 2011) was back in 2003 when I was just a freshman. It's probably about time.

Yes.  It could be a great series.  Although TMC leads the series, Franklin won the most recent and most important one in 2011.

I really respect The Grizzlies not being afraid to play anyone.  One would think teams looking to dethrone Franklin would want to do the same.  Instead, it's Finlandia.  As such, these teams sit at home come tournament time.

I like the idea of playing Thomas More every season.  Rock solid programs on both sides of the ball, both teams still have ability to regulalry run the table in their respective confererences, so a win really helps in seeding,  IMO Franklin should drop Butler and pick up a tough D3 as a replacement.  (Not UWW or MNU though, LOL).  I think Depauw may be coming onto the schedule (at least I heard that). They are up and coming in the NCAC.  Wittenberg would be a good one as well.  I dont Wabash will ever be in the picture though.
HCAC Champions 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018

FCGrizzliesGrad

16-0 at halftime with snow starting to fall. ONU put together a nice drive at the end of the half but stopped on 3rd and 1 then missed a FG.
Franklin with no turnovers and 4 of 5 on 4th down.
.

Football picker extraordinaire
5 titles: CCIW, NJAC, ODAC:S
3x: ASC, IIAC, MIAA:S, MIAC, NACC:S, NCAC, OAC:P, Nat'l
2x: HCAC, ODAC:P, WIAC
1x: Bracket, OAC:S

Basketball
2013 WIAC Pickem Co-champ
2015 Nat'l Pickem
2017: LEC and MIAA Pickem
2019: MIAA and WIAC Pickem

Soccer
2023: Mens Pickem

desertcat1

Happy Thanksgiving to everyone.  Safe travels. :-*
" If you are going to be a bear, be a Grizzly"

C.W. Smith

formerd3db

I join the others in wishing all of you HCAC'ers an enjoyable and blessed Thanksgiving Day and weekend whatever you are doing.
"When the Great Scorer comes To mark against your name, He'll write not 'won' or 'lost', But how you played the game." - Grantland Rice

Craft_Beermeister


FCGrizzliesGrad

The coaches have picked Franklin to re-re-re-re-re-repeat.

1) Franklin (6)                  78
2) Rose-Hulman (1)          68
3) Mount St. Joseph (1)    66
4) Bluffton (1)                   56
5) Manchester                  40
6) Defiance                      31
7) Hanover                      30
8) Anderson                     25
9) Earlham                       11


At least Anderson didn't get a first place vote this year ::)
.

Football picker extraordinaire
5 titles: CCIW, NJAC, ODAC:S
3x: ASC, IIAC, MIAA:S, MIAC, NACC:S, NCAC, OAC:P, Nat'l
2x: HCAC, ODAC:P, WIAC
1x: Bracket, OAC:S

Basketball
2013 WIAC Pickem Co-champ
2015 Nat'l Pickem
2017: LEC and MIAA Pickem
2019: MIAA and WIAC Pickem

Soccer
2023: Mens Pickem

HansenRatings

Here's how my model sees it (without adjusting for returning starters yet):


School   W-L   Conf   Pool A Probability
Franklin   7.4-1.6   7.3-0.7   63.6%   
Rose-Hulman   7.2-2.8   5.9-2.1   19.2%   
Bluffton   6.6-3.4   5.2-2.8   9.0%   
Mount St. Joseph   5.5-4.5   5.1-2.9   5.5%   
Manchester   5.0-5.0   4.3-3.7   2.2%   
Defiance   3.5-6.5   3.4-4.6   0.2%   
Hanover   3.0-7.0   2.8-5.2   0.3%   
Anderson   1.4-8.6   1.4-6.6   <0.1%   
Earlham   1.4-8.6   0.7-7.4   0.0%   

Source: https://loghan.shinyapps.io/Season_Projections/

Out of 10,000 simulations, Anderson won the conference's Pool A bid exactly once, so maybe they should have garnered a first-place vote?
Follow me on Twitter. I post fun graphs sometimes. @LogHanRatings

Adam Sayer

I'll tell you this much. That fancy computer simulator you're using can't figure out Franklin plays 10 games, not 9.

Good luck to all this year.
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cave2bens

Quote from: Adam Sayer on August 22, 2016, 10:17:26 PM
I'll tell you this much. That fancy computer simulator you're using can't figure out Franklin plays 10 games, not 9.

Good luck to all this year.

Just wonder if per chance the model doesn't include the Griz-Butler game due to divisional disparity?
"Forever more as in days of yore Their deeds be noble and grand"