BB: Just Some Guy's West Region Rankings

Started by Just_Some_Guy, February 20, 2007, 11:09:24 PM

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Chapman vs Linfield

Chapman splits 4 games with Linfield
2 (40%)
Linfield sweeps
1 (20%)
Chapman sweeps
0 (0%)
Linfield takes 3 of 4
0 (0%)
Chapman takes 3 of 4
2 (40%)

Total Members Voted: 5

Browneagle64

Oh No. You guys definately don't want to see the stats on the beaves baseball team. I used to work on the stats crew during winter/ spring sports at Oxy and kinda of didn't like keeping stats on the Oxy/ beaves baseball games due to an large influx of errors, E.R.A, Hits, SB, so forth and so on. It's better if we just keep those in a desk somewher and allow these kids to try to play their hearts out.
"Statistics are used much like a drunk uses a lamppost: for support, not illumination."--Vin Scully

"I don't really care," he said with an impish smile. "It's all about the Dodgers. I don't think anyone really watches hockey anymore.".....Tiger Woods

The U For Life

Just Some Guy,

Have played Chapman, George Fox, UT Tyler, and MH Baylor this year.  George Fox was the best team we have played.  Chapman being the second, followed by UT Tyler and MH Baylor.  I can promise you MH Baylor will not win the ASC championship. 

CUAfan

Here is my new West Region Top 10 for your perusal.

1. Texas-Tyler, ASC - .835
2. Linfield, NWC - .832
3. Pomona-Pitzer, SCIAC - .810
4. Chapman, IND - .799
5. Ozarks, ASC - .766
6. Trinity (TX), SCAC - .747
7. Mary Hardin-Baylor, ASC - .722
8. Redlands, SCIAC - .695
9. McMurry, ASC - .677
10. Dallas, IND - .677
Let's go 'Nados!

CUAfan

And here are the results of a lot of Excel work. Here I have the top 10 hitters in the West Region by VORP and BsR/PA. Hope everyone finds it interesting. Maybe I'll have region-wide pitching numbers by next week.

VORP
M. Olsen, Puget Sound - 26.73, 98 PA
D. Hedman, Pomona-Pitzer - 24.25, 109
D. Ward, Hendrix - 23.22, 136
Cappalletti, Whittier - 22.21, 106
S. Goss, Occidental - 22.20, 87
D. David, McMurry - 21.82, 141
T. Williams, Concordia-Texas - 21.69, 151
T. Fogerty, Dallas - 20.55, 97
K. Fox, Texas-Tyler - 20.43, 138
S. Marcus, La Verne - 19.86, 116

BsR/PA
M. Olsen, Puget Sound - .378, 98 PA
D. Hedman, Pomona-Pitzer - .358, 109
Cappalletti, Whittier - .348, 106
S. Goss, Occidental - .342, 87
D. Ward, Hendrix - .328, 136
Carmona, Whittier - .325, 67
D. David, McMurry - .325, 141
T. Williams, Concordia-Texas - .319, 151
T. Fogerty, Dallas - .313, 97
E. Jones, Trinity (TX) - .310, 134
Let's go 'Nados!

baseballfan24

JSG,

I am still looking foward to your analysis on the west rankings. 

Just_Some_Guy

Quote from: baseballfan24 on April 02, 2008, 08:42:24 PM
JSG,

I am still looking foward to your analysis on the west rankings. 

Time is no man's friend.

doctor K

[
[/quote]
Quote from: Jim Dixon on March 15, 2008, 01:56:52 AM
Quote from: HAMBONE on March 14, 2008, 07:52:44 PM
haha  dang 4 degrees sure would make your arm feel good and loose...i dont know how you guys do it...i commend you for it. if i lived north, id probably just wish i was born a girl or wish i was good at hockey.

The truth is I live to far north.  My school on the other-hand, my school get s to celebrate a national championship every year - okay two years ago we did not get one but lost by the slimest of margins - and our hockey tam is just not good enough - alas.

Jim D. you say it is four degrees there, well it is 75 and clear here but I did have to wear a thicker shirt this morning because of the wind chill factor I think it brought it down to 68 with the wind chill. and speaking of weather last year's western regionals were played At Chapman's Hart park and were played there because of weather in Texas, I am sure you remember the circumstances. This year the western regional are scheduled to be played in Abilene Texas and there are rumbling's around that this tournament is by invitation only. So there is a possibility that certain teams would not be invited, can a team be not invited and have a winning record? Can a team be invited with a less than a winning record than a team that has the better overall record? How is all this determined as far as selection into the tournament? This has perplexed us and the look of bewilderment that came upon our faces when this scenario was laid out in front of us at a game a couple of weeks ago. I thought that why not go straight to the source of information and get the correct answer from someone who would know rather than try to guess at something like this which would be a rumor that could get out of control real fast. so any info that i could get re: this would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks Jim


Ralph Turner

Tournament FAQ.

http://www.d3baseball.com/faq/category/NCAA+Tournament

You can get to the tournament by winning the Automatic Qualifier (AQ) bid from your conference (Pool A), win one of the bids set aside for independents or conferences that do not have the AQ (Pool B) or get one of the remaining leftover bids (Pool C).

Austin College made the tournament last year, because they got hot at the SCAC tournament and won the AQ from the SCAC.

:)

doctor K

Thanks Ralph; I thought of going to FAQ's but I figured one of you two would know! The best way to get from point A to point B is go in a sraight line, and if you need to get an answer quick is to go to the source. Thanks

Ralph Turner

Quote from: doctor K on April 04, 2008, 01:37:56 PM
Thanks Ralph; I thought of going to FAQ's but I figured one of you two would know! The best way to get from point A to point B is go in a straight line, and if you need to get an answer quick is to go to the source. Thanks
Yeah, it is a two-edged sword.

I can help another fan with a small amount of information, or I can give the fan the tools to use the all of the resources that Pat has given us on these websites. :-\

Just_Some_Guy

As posted on the national topics forum:

Man, I'm brutal lately. I'm going to start doing everything in word from now on and pasting it when I'm finished. I just accidentally clicked off of this page and erased a list of about 20 names in the West region worth of a mention (including all of the statistical evidence as rationale).

Anyway, I won't get back to all of it tonight, but here's some names and I'll try and come through with some stats later and edit the post - we'll call it a work in progress:

(Note: This first group of hitters/pitchers/utility should cover all of the teams and all of the players that are truly all-american candidates. The next group of 'other notables' features some players that could end the year on the first list, and are currently putting up very solid numbers. They'll tend to be from contending teams and teams I'm more familiar with -- you'll see an abundance of ASC players -- granted part of that is that it's like two full conferences it's so big.)

Hitters:
Drew Hedman (Pomona Pitzer) - my pick for nat'l POTY if it was today
Mike Vass (Chapman)
Michael Olsen (Puget Sound)
Anthony Cappelletti (Whitter)
Evan Jones (Trinity)
Matt Hendryx (Pacific)
Scott Marcus (La Verne)
LaMonte Toney (CalStEB)
Tom Fogerty (UDallas)
Cory Briggs (Ozarks)
Kendall Fox (UT Tyler)
Derek David (McMurry)
Adam Froeschl (UMHB)
Joesph Villegas (UMHB)
Clay Baker (UT Tyler)
Tom Williams (Concordia)

Pitchers:/
Wayde Kitchens (Chapman) - IF he logs enough innings to warrant it at the end of the year. He definitely deserves a mention though.
Evan Bronson (Trinity)
Brian Clark (Linfield)
David Colvin (Pomona Pitzer)
Blake Booher (UT Tyler)
Brett Holland (UT Tyler)
Kyle Barton (Hardin Simmons)
Cody Curry (McMurry)
Mark Cox (UT Dallas)
Curt Dixon (Ozarks)

Utility:
Kurt Yacko (Chapman)
Bruce Cameron (Ozarks)

----------------------------------------

Other Notables:
Hitters:
Ryan Fobert (George Fox)
Zach Gantenbein (Pacific)
Brian Schumaker (Redlands)
Matt Goldstein (Redlands)
Javier Arrieta (Sul Ross)
Stephen Yurchick (McMurry)
Taylor Zambreski (Howard Payne)
Paige Hodges (Mississippi College)
Wayne Pimpton (Hardin Simmons)
David Roux (La College)
Marcus Volz (UMHB)
Andrew White (UMHB)
Brent Vorhees (McMurry)
Robby Finnell (Ozarks)
John Glenn (Ozarks)
Jared Smith (UT Dallas)
Chris Biguenet (UT Dallas)
Kyle Harvey (Texas Lutheran)
Nick Cmerek (Concordia)

Pitchers:
Reese McCulley (Linfield)
Garrett Dorn (Linfield)
Nolan Nicholson (Redlands)
Grant Wheatley (La Verne)
Brian Oates (Trinity)
Josh Alcorn (Hardin Simmons)
RB Garza (UMHB)
Jonathan Russell (Mississippi College)
Todd Koch (Ozarks)
Beau Zeigler (UT Tyler)
Robert Conley (Texas Lutheran)

Again, hopefully I can get some accompanying stats soon, but it's been a busy season at work lately, and I still would like to get a solid update to JSG's West Region rankings.

JSG

Ralph Turner

#206
Playoff conjecture -- April 6, 2008.  (West Region team links.)

We still have four more weeks of action, but let me give my take on the West Region.

ASC -- A real toss-up.  Eight strong teams enter the ASC tourney with no one team clinching a specific slot to date.  University of Ozarks may be beyond the 500 miles busing radius to Abilene by mappoint.msn.com and so could be sent to a regional somewhere other than Abilene.  I think that the only team with a chance at a Pool C bid coming to Abilene will be University of Texas-Tyler.  That means that someone else would be earning the Pool A bid.  Key match-ups:  Texas-Tyler hosts ASC-East LaCollege this week and goes to Mississippi College the next weekend for 3-game series to determine the seedings for the crossover round of the ASC Tourney.  UMHB and McMurry are leaders in the ASC-West.  UMHB has the season series 2-1 and a 1-game lead on McMurry in the ASC-West standings.

Independents -- Chapman 22-2 overall/16-2 West Region needs to defeat Cal State East Bay today to sweep that 3-game series.  Only West Region losses are to McMurry and to Redlands. Has 3-game series versus P-P on April 19th and and 3-game series versus University of Dallas on May 2-3.  Probably is a Pool B lock.

I have not run the Pool B numbers yet, but CSU-East Bay is 17-8 overall and 11-5 West Region.  They took 2 of 3 from NWC leading Linfield last weekend and 2 of 3 from George Fox two weeks ago.  CSU-EB has today's game with Chapman and a return match on April 26th plus a valuable (in-region) 3-game series vs. WashStL in May.

University of Dallas is 18-10 overall /9-9 West Region and has series with Emory (non-in-region) and Chapman which they need to sweep to climb back into Pool B contention.

Northwest Conference -- Linfield and George Fox are leading this conference.  The conference handles the  geographic isolation with eight four-game series in conference play.  Four games on a weekend build a good bullpen, and Linfield and GFU has added key in-region games to their 40 game schedule.  Linfield lost 2 of 3 to CSU-East Bay.  GFU took 2 of 3 from McMurry but lost 2-3 to CSU-EB in non-conference play. (GFU even has a win over D-I Portland.)  There is no post-season tourney so the winner of the Linfield/George Fox four-game series wins the Pool A bid.

SCAC -- Trinity leads the SCAC-West and has put together a resume versus other in-region opponents.  TU is 24-8 overall/15-7 in-region/ 10-2 in SCAC-West.  They play Millsaps next weekend in a 4-game series.  Millsaps probably goes to the east or north if they win the SCAC Tourney.

SCIAC -- Pomona-Pitzer is 10-2, LaVerne is 9-3 and Redlands is 8-4.  The championship may be determined in the final weekend (May 2-3) when PP and ULV play a three game series.  Redlands took 2 of 3 from ULV and lost 2 of 3  vs. PP.  ULV winning 2 of 3 may throw this conference into the "deep" tie breakers.  (There is no conference tournament.)

Jack Parkman

Ralph-  Hope you don't mind but I will add a little to the talk about the conference leaders once I get  few minutes to sit down and look at things a little closer.  Stand by.

Jack Parkman

Wow!  I had a nice long message written about the SCIAC and when I hit "post" it told me I was no longer logged in and it erased the entire thing.  I am not going to write it again but I will summarize it.

The SCIAC is a very average conference these days.  No team has been able to win on the national level since the Cal Lutheran teams of the 90's and the La Verne team of 1995.  No matter who wins this conference they will have to most likely go through Chapman and we all know how thats been going the past 8 years.

Pomona is having a pretty good year but they never have to play on the road, which is a pretty nice thing.  They have beat up on some pretty bad teams and also got some big time help from Occidentals bullpen when Oxy allowed 6 runs in the top of the 9th and Pomona went on to win 9-5.  Pomona also won a couple of 1 run games with Redlands which sounds like it was a great series.  The SCIAC is theirs for the taking but they still have 3 with La Verne.  The series with Chapman should give a better idea of where they stack up on a national level.

La Verne in my opinion will win the SCIAC.  After an up-and-down start to the season they seem to be playing much better.  I really don't have much else to say than that except the game they still need to finish with Cal Lutheran could be the biggest game remaining.

Redlands has been so-so lately.  Playing most of your schedule at home is nice, especially when 4 of your 14 road games are at Cal Tech and La Sierra.  Although their stats are pretty gawdy, I don't see them being a factor in the end.

Chapman has pretty much destroyed the SCIAC the past 8 years.  If I am correct, the last time a SCIAC team went to Appleton was 1999.  I don't see it changing any time soon.

Jack Parkman

One more thing to add about some players in the SCIAC having pretty good years.

Anthony Cappelletti from Whittier is hitting .456 with 7 bombs and a .844 slg %

Alex WeberShapiro from Claremont M-S is having apretty solid year hitting .427 with 10 doubles and 4 HR's

Paul Hartman from Cal Lutheran is hitting .360 with 9 doubles and 10 HR's for a pretty nice .730 slg %

I am sure there are a ton of guys out there having great years and these are just a few.