BB: South Region General Talk -- '07, '08, '09 and '10

[A.G.]

 
Why not just start a new thread...so folks won't have to read through 3 pages of 2007 stuff  

[Ralph Turner]

You can just skip over 2007 and jump to the most recent post. 

[Ralph Turner]

LaGrange's Michael Sims is pictured on the South Region Preview on D3baseball.com.

[SamuelAdams]

Just saw Emory won their Rawlings tournament against York and Greensboro... and doing it on the mound with some new freshman pitchers.

Makes it scary when it was believed they were only going to hit this year after graduating those arms.

[Major_Fan]

Millsaps dropped its third-straight and fourth in five games tonight, losing an 11-3 decision to Division I Jacksonville State.  The Majors can't seem to find their rhythm on offense in the early season and have used a different lineup almost every game thus far.  Millsaps is now 6-5 after starting 5-1 with wins over #28 Rhodes, LaGrange and #5 Emory.  They continue an 8-game road swing tomorrow against Jax State at 3 p.m.

[A.G.]

OK...now April 10 and conference standings are starting to shake out.  How do the esteemed members of this panel see the regional tourney shaking out?  I don't know all the ins and outs of the bids other than the auto-bids...but I know some teams are playing very well even if they do not get the A pool bids.

[narch]

my opinion

locks:
salisbury (although they haven't played an incredibly difficult schedule, they've won all but one game)
piedmont (tough schedule, good results)
emory (solid schedule, solid results)
odac champ
usasac champ

they've got a shot
lynchburg has an outside chance as a pool c if they stump their toe in the odac tournament...but it's an outside shot as do cnu, mu and ncwc in the usasac, but all are a long-shot if they don't win the aq

of course teams from other conferences that aren't in this section of the board may be moved in (or teams from these conferences could get moved out)

[Ralph Turner]

Pool B 2007:

Pool B • Independent Qualifiers (6)
School                                             Conference                              Record     Appearance
Chapman University (Calif.)          Independent                                   35-5           10th
College of St. Scholastica (Minn.)   Upper Midwest Athletic Conference     36-6              4th
Emory University (Ga.)                     University Athletic Association        35-7         9th
Ithaca College (N.Y.)                       Empire Eight Conference                24-13         31st
Salisbury University (Md.)             Capital Athletic Conference                32-8        13th
Washington University (Mo.)         University Athletic Association            30-9             6th

I think that one Pool B bid will go to Pool A for the Presidents AC.  (The Handbook has not been released.)

Right now... I see Chapman, Salisbury as solid Pool Bs.

Piedmont just went ahead of Emory in my opinion due to head-to-head.

Other Pool B's that a Pool C bid include:

St. John Fisher College (N.Y.)      Independent                                        26-11       1st

York College (Pa.)                           Independent                                   29-12          10th

Does Emory get a Pool B bid or fall to Pool C?

[A.G.]

LC certainly helped itself out with a 5-2 record in a 6 day stretch of games, with wins over VWC, NCWC, and MU.  Going into its final 3 games (2 ODAC vs BC, and a regional game with GC), the Hornets now have an in-region record of 20-6.

[h-sc bball]

A.G....Hopefully Mr. Turner and the boys who sit up late at night trying figure this thing out are taken notice. The Hornets open up with two 1 run loses to D2 Limestone and then follow that up with a loss to NCW to start your season at 0-3. Your boys have gone 26-6 since that start. With two wins over 24-7 Alvernia, 2-1 against 23-12-1 Methodist, 1-1 against 24-11-1 NCW they should take notice. Your conference split against 21-12-1 VWC and 19-12 Randy-Mac shouldn't hurt. After all the Yellow Jackets took two from Rowan and just recently beat CNU and VWC handed Salisbury their only loss.

Go ODAC

[A.G.]

Great research, H-SC...
...but LC actually SWEPT R-MC.  Hopefully the Hornets can play great ball over the next 12 days and take it out of the committee's hands.  If not, if they can get to 30-31 wins, that should make a good statement.

I just know that I am a huge CNU fan this week!

[narch]

ag - personally, i think that ncwc and mu present better cases for pool c consideration than does cnu based on strength of regional schedule...maybe you should root for one of them to win the usasac in case lc  stumps their toe in the odac tournament...i'd recommend rooting for the monarchs since lc was 2-1 against them this year (and no other reason, of course )

[Ralph Turner]

A.G....Hopefully Mr. Turner and the boys who sit up late at night trying figure this thing out are taken notice. ...

I am still waiting on the handbook.   

Let's see what the regional rankings look like when they are released.

I hope that that will be next Wednesday, the 23th.

[narch]

to back up my point, i ran some numbers...i'll work on ncwc wednesday night for you

cnu - regional record 15-7 (.682) vs. teams with an overall .511 winning percentage - their 15 wins have come against teams who were .469 and their 7 losses have come against teams who were .603

mu - regional record 18-10-1 (.638) vs. teams with an overall .570 winning percentage - their 18 wins have come against teams who were .545 and their 10 losses have come against teams who were .615 - the one tie was against a team that is 22-9-1 (.703)

i'm not sure how the new formula works, but i would think that the difference in winning percentage could certainly be attributed to a difference in strength of schedule - i suspect (although i haven't run the numbers) that the monarchs would have a higher sosi than cnu (although, my understanding is that sosi is no longer and index used by the committee...am i correct?)

[NCWC]

to back up my point, i ran some numbers...i'll work on ncwc wednesday night for you

cnu - regional record 15-7 (.682) vs. teams with an overall .511 winning percentage - their 15 wins have come against teams who were .469 and their 7 losses have come against teams who were .603

mu - regional record 18-10-1 (.638) vs. teams with an overall .570 winning percentage - their 18 wins have come against teams who were .545 and their 10 losses have come against teams who were .615 - the one tie was against a team that is 22-9-1 (.703)

i'm not sure how the new formula works, but i would think that the difference in winning percentage could certainly be attributed to a difference in strength of schedule - i suspect (although i haven't run the numbers) that the monarchs would have a higher sosi than cnu (although, my understanding is that sosi is no longer and index used by the committee...am i correct?)

Narch, you have been a night owl lately haven't you.  CNU has a good conference record but I think Methodist or Lynchburg are more deserving of an at large.