East Region Fan Poll

Started by pg04, July 05, 2007, 09:44:54 PM

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lewdogg11

In the interest of science, I just crunched RPI's home vs. Away #'s since 2001(Including Playoffs)(not Including 2009 games)

Home Record - 31-8 (.794872)
Away Record - 32-10(.761905)

We have a Delta of 3.297%

AUKaz00

Looking across the D3 scoreboard for the first 4 weeks of this year, home teams have gone 224-197 for a .532 winning percentage.
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lewdogg11

Quote from: AUKaz00 on September 29, 2009, 10:48:28 AM
Looking across the D3 scoreboard for the first 4 weeks of this year, home teams have gone 224-197 for a .532 winning percentage.

Hardly a home-field advantage?

AUKaz00

Quote from: Dr. Lew Von Doggenstein on September 29, 2009, 10:49:53 AM
Quote from: AUKaz00 on September 29, 2009, 10:48:28 AM
Looking across the D3 scoreboard for the first 4 weeks of this year, home teams have gone 224-197 for a .532 winning percentage.

Hardly a home-field advantage?

It's worth something and displaces the notion that there is an away field advantage.  How much is that 6 out of 100 differential worth?  I say 3 points, but don't declare that gospel.
Check out the official card game of the AU Pep Band - Str8 Eight!

AUPepBand

Quote from: AUKaz00 on September 29, 2009, 10:53:13 AM
Quote from: Dr. Lew Von Doggenstein on September 29, 2009, 10:49:53 AM
Quote from: AUKaz00 on September 29, 2009, 10:48:28 AM
Looking across the D3 scoreboard for the first 4 weeks of this year, home teams have gone 224-197 for a .532 winning percentage.

Hardly a home-field advantage?

It's worth something and displaces the notion that there is an away field advantage.  How much is that 6 out of 100 differential worth?  I say 3 points, but don't declare that gospel.

Pep has always been impressed how Kaz00 can crunch numbers....Pep would rather read history.
On Saxon Warriors! On to Victory!
...Fight, fight for Alfred, A-L-F, R-E-D!

PBR...

Quote from: Dr. Lew Von Doggenstein on September 29, 2009, 10:42:11 AM
In the interest of science, I just crunched RPI's home vs. Away #'s since 2001(Including Playoffs)(not Including 2009 games)

Home Record - 31-8 (.794872)
Away Record - 32-10(.761905)

We have a Delta of 3.297%

dang...LD going hard core and bustin' out the abacus and showing AU how science and the flux capacitor works...well done

+ = 3.297%

lewdogg11

Quote from: AUKaz00 on September 29, 2009, 10:53:13 AM
Quote from: Dr. Lew Von Doggenstein on September 29, 2009, 10:49:53 AM
Quote from: AUKaz00 on September 29, 2009, 10:48:28 AM
Looking across the D3 scoreboard for the first 4 weeks of this year, home teams have gone 224-197 for a .532 winning percentage.

Hardly a home-field advantage?

It's worth something and displaces the notion that there is an away field advantage.  How much is that 6 out of 100 differential worth?  I say 3 points, but don't declare that gospel.

3 points if we were on a 'Every winning team scores 50 points' scale.  I bet it's closer to .5 ppg advantage.

dlippiel

Quite the ****in breakdown here fellas. ;)

AUPepBand

+K across the boards....for the math lessons....D3football...it's academic!
On Saxon Warriors! On to Victory!
...Fight, fight for Alfred, A-L-F, R-E-D!

'gro

Gro will add his 2 cents by saying that Dr. Von Doggenstein is 100% correct in everything he's posted about schedules, homefield advantage, etc.

In fact, its only a matter of time before he blacks out and wakes up as the original LD11 with a wing sauce goatee and empty bottles of all the ingredients to make irish car bombs scattered around the room.

Take advantage of this knowledge people.

lewdogg11

Quote from: 'gro on September 29, 2009, 11:03:49 AM
Gro will add his 2 cents by saying that Dr. Von Doggenstein is 100% correct in everything he's posted about schedules, homefield advantage, etc.

In fact, its only a matter of time before he blacks out and wakes up as the original LD11 with a wing sauce goatee and empty bottles of all the ingredients to make irish car bombs scattered around the room.

Take advantage of this knowledge people.

It's probably the right cross sucker punch that the Dr. absorbed Saturday night.

AUKaz00

Well, conventional gambling wisdom in the NFL is that home field advantage is worth 3 points (which is why I arbitrarily apply it to D3).  Looking at the first 3 weeks of the pro season (I know, SSS) the home team is 25-23 for a winning percentage of .521 which isn't all that different than D3's .532 advantage.  There is some advantage to playing at home, so if you're arguing in relation to a common opponent with the same margin of victory where the game was played should also factor into the discussion.
Check out the official card game of the AU Pep Band - Str8 Eight!

JQV

Quote from: Dr. Lew Von Doggenstein on September 29, 2009, 10:42:11 AM
In the interest of science, I just crunched RPI's home vs. Away #'s since 2001(Including Playoffs)(not Including 2009 games)

Home Record - 31-8 (.794872)
Away Record - 32-10(.761905)

We have a Delta of 3.297%

I like this.  Here are the numbers for IC since 2001

Home 38-5 (.883720)

Away 29-15 (659090)

Maybe the answer is that just some teams in D3 have a home-field advantage.

PBR...

Quote from: AUKaz00 on September 29, 2009, 11:06:34 AM
Well, conventional gambling wisdom in the NFL is that home field advantage is worth 3 points (which is why I arbitrarily apply it to D3).  Looking at the first 3 weeks of the pro season (I know, SSS) the home team is 25-23 for a winning percentage of .521 which isn't all that different than D3's .532 advantage.  There is some advantage to playing at home, so if you're arguing in relation to a common opponent with the same margin of victory where the game was played should also factor into the discussion.

that used to ring true but most professional odds makers now will tell you that number of +3 for home field was way too large and it is much more along the lines of .5/1 pt like LD stated. home field is factored in the line but it doesnt carry near as much weight as it used to....

AUKaz00

Quote from: uPBRmeASAP on September 29, 2009, 11:15:18 AM
Quote from: AUKaz00 on September 29, 2009, 11:06:34 AM
Well, conventional gambling wisdom in the NFL is that home field advantage is worth 3 points (which is why I arbitrarily apply it to D3).  Looking at the first 3 weeks of the pro season (I know, SSS) the home team is 25-23 for a winning percentage of .521 which isn't all that different than D3's .532 advantage.  There is some advantage to playing at home, so if you're arguing in relation to a common opponent with the same margin of victory where the game was played should also factor into the discussion.

that used to ring true but most professional odds makers now will tell you that number of +3 for home field was way too large and it is much more along the lines of .5/1 pt like LD stated. home field is factored in the line but it doesnt carry near as much weight as it used to....

That very well may be true and I'm not married to the 3 points, but merely use it as a way to try and make sense of what and where results occur.

Quote from: JoseQViper on September 29, 2009, 11:10:59 AM
Quote from: Dr. Lew Von Doggenstein on September 29, 2009, 10:42:11 AM
In the interest of science, I just crunched RPI's home vs. Away #'s since 2001(Including Playoffs)(not Including 2009 games)

Home Record - 31-8 (.794872)
Away Record - 32-10(.761905)

We have a Delta of 3.297%

I like this.  Here are the numbers for IC since 2001

Home 38-5 (.883720)

Away 29-15 (659090)

Maybe the answer is that just some teams in D3 have a home-field advantage.

And to continue the posting of numbers, here is Alfred's since 2001

Home 30-14 (.681818)

Away 23-18 (.560976)
Check out the official card game of the AU Pep Band - Str8 Eight!