BB: Pool B

[CrashDavisD3]

RPI is .75*SOS + .25*Win%. Pool B has been much stronger this year than in the past few years. I see between 1-4 Pool C bids to go along with the Pool B bids. I'd bet the the top 6 on this list will be regionally ranked.

Team     Win%   OWP           OOWP   NCAA      RPI
28 Piedmont   0.667   0.587 (27)   0.537   0.570   0.594
26 Chapman   0.652   0.597 (19)   0.524   0.573   0.593
65 Washington U.   0.676   0.557 (74)   0.535   0.550   0.582
67 Case Western Reserve   0.676   0.554 (87)   0.541   0.550   0.582
73 Emory   0.676   0.546 (111)   0.552   0.548   0.580
83 Maryville (Tenn.)   0.677   0.540 (118)   0.547   0.542   0.576
40 Brandeis   0.615   0.571 (45)   0.543   0.562   0.575
34 Huntingdon   0.577   0.578 (35)   0.546   0.567   0.570
353 St. John Fisher   0.789   0.336 (367)   0.563   0.412   0.506

Who would get the 2 Pool B bids if chosen today based upon numbers above. The SOS is really bad for SJF.
Piemont and Chapman control they own destiny. If they win out they are going.

[BigPoppa]

I think WashU took a HUGE hit when they lost three to U of Chicago last weekend. The only thing that can save them is their SoS. They need Chapman to get beat up a bit in the next two weeks.

[Ralph Turner]

UDallas is a good example of how tough, and how balanced, the ASC is.

Against a representative schedule of ASC teams (3 teams from each division, and 2 of the 6 foes making the ASC tourney), UDallas is only 9-6.  They went 3-3 against ASC tourney teams, East #2 UT-Dallas, losing 2 of 3, and West #3 Texas Lutheran, winning 2 of 3.  They might have qualified for the ASC East, where there was a 3-way tie for 2nd at 11-7 with UT-Dallas, Louisiana College and Mississippi College.

[CrashDavisD3]

RPI is .75*SOS + .25*Win%. Pool B has been much stronger this year than in the past few years. I see between 1-4 Pool C bids to go along with the Pool B bids. I'd bet the the top 6 on this list will be regionally ranked.

Team     Win%   OWP           OOWP   NCAA      RPI
28 Piedmont   0.667   0.587 (27)   0.537   0.570   0.594
26 Chapman   0.652   0.597 (19)   0.524   0.573   0.593
65 Washington U.   0.676   0.557 (74)   0.535   0.550   0.582
67 Case Western Reserve   0.676   0.554 (87)   0.541   0.550   0.582
73 Emory   0.676   0.546 (111)   0.552   0.548   0.580
83 Maryville (Tenn.)   0.677   0.540 (118)   0.547   0.542   0.576
40 Brandeis   0.615   0.571 (45)   0.543   0.562   0.575
34 Huntingdon   0.577   0.578 (35)   0.546   0.567   0.570
353 St. John Fisher   0.789   0.336 (367)   0.563   0.412   0.506

Who would get the 2 Pool B bids if chosen today based upon numbers above. The SOS is really bad for SJF.
Piemont and Chapman control they own destiny. If they win out they are going.

[Ralph Turner]

Chapman is trying to settle this on the field.  They beat the UDallas ace, Michael Schweiss, yesterday.  

A sweep of Dallas would really help the in-region record, by not giving them another loss.  Not trying to be facetious, but Chapman needs help with their winning percentage.

Winning 5 of 6 moves their in-region record to .690 (20-9).  Sweeping the last 2 series, (UDallas and Redlands) would move them to 21-8 (.724.)

The losses by UT-Tyler yesterday open up the West Region Rankings.  Chapman might even be the #2 West Region team by the end of the season.  

IMHO, that would give them a Pool B bid.  It also shakes up the fight for Pool C bids.

Chapman 7, UDallas 2 for the series sweep.

[dahlby]

I have to be pretty proud of the Chapman team this year considering their starting liine-up consists of:
3-Freshmen
2-Sophs
3-Jrs
1-Sr
and the pitching staff has:
3-Sophs
1-Sr

All things considered, they have come through without the experience depth of most of the nationally ranked teams. The more they play the more experience they will gather in order to make better decisions.
The team should be proud of what they have accomplished. The regular season conclusion against Redlands should be a good indicator as to where they are at. I do have much respect for the coach, who schedules top teams continuously, but can't control where they are at in the national rankings when they play them.

Plus K to Ralph for all his great postiings. I definitely will miss MC whe they move to D2. It was always a great series for both teams.

[JohnnyU]

My opinion on Pool B..

In contention for Pool B (in this order):
Piedmont
Case Western Reserve
Chapman

In contention for Pool C (All of the above plus):
St. John's Fisher
Maryville
Emory
Washington U.


The last three are very, very close. Brandeis is almost definitely out now.

[CrashDavisD3]

Great post by Dahlby. I concur with his assesment of Chapman. Good luck to the Panthers vs Redlands. I expect the Panthers making it to Abilene, TX in the West Regionals.

[tigerfan_2001]

Great post by Dahlby. I concur with his assesment of Chapman. Good luck to the Panthers vs Redlands. I expect the Panthers making it to Abilene, TX in the West Regionals.

they will be there.  they have earned the right to have a semi-down season (for them) and still get the benefit of the doubt.  Sweeping U-Dallas was key for them and they did it.  I hope TU gets matched up with them again in the first game.  Last years 4-3 game 1 was awesome.  I would love to see Klimesh and Rauh go toe to toe again

[Jim Dixon]

My opinion on Pool B..

In contention for Pool B (in this order):
Piedmont
Case Western Reserve
Chapman

In contention for Pool C (All of the above plus):
St. John's Fisher
Maryville
Emory
Washington U.


The last three are very, very close. Brandeis is almost definitely out now.

St, John Fisher is in the top group for a Pool B bid. 

Emory and Washington are probably looking from the outside as they are ranked last in their regions.  Maryville is out for the present time.

[ADL70]

CWRU and other contenders for the two Pool B bids, Piedmont and Chapman, are each ranked third this week in their respective regions.

Whichever is odd team out looks pretty solid for a Pool C bid.

SJF is fourth in its, so still in contention.

[Ralph Turner]

I think that four Pool B teams get in; 2 as Pool B, 2 as Pool C.

Chapman, Piedmont, CWRU and SJF.

[Ralph Turner]

Stevenson (and Hood) will leave the Capital AC to join the MAC Commonwealth in 2012-13.

Frostburg State had joined the Capital this year to keep the number of baseball playing members at 7, after Gallaudet moved to the NEAC.

Losing both schools changes several dynamics.  In baseball specifically, the CAC will have 6 members in the 2013 and 2014 seasons.  They will keep their Pool A baseball bid during that time.  By fall 2014, they will need another full member, or they will fall back into Pool B for the 2015 season.

Another thought about the Capital AC is that Wesley needs a football conference badly, and Stevenson, a football affiliate of the MAC just left the CAC as its home conference.  Where can Wesley find a football home?

CNU needs a football.  What does CNU think about that conference just to their north now?  Does that change anything for them?

[CrashDavisD3]

I have to be pretty proud of the Chapman team this year considering their starting liine-up consists of:
3-Freshmen
2-Sophs
3-Jrs
1-Sr
and the pitching staff has:
3-Sophs
1-Sr

All things considered, they have come through without the experience depth of most of the nationally ranked teams. The more they play the more experience they will gather in order to make better decisions.
The team should be proud of what they have accomplished. The regular season conclusion against Redlands should be a good indicator as to where they are at. I do have much respect for the coach, who schedules top teams continuously, but can't control where they are at in the national rankings when they play them.

Plus K to Ralph for all his great postiings. I definitely will miss MC whe they move to D2. It was always a great series for both teams.

Chapman strong this year will be strong in 2012 also. Only seniors are the 2B, C, #2 pitcher from the starters. 2 or 3 wins against Redlands should give them a Pool B bid.

We can always hope for miracle in ASC and McMurry can play in the regionals at the home park.

[Ralph Turner]

Chapman takes 2 out of 3 from Redlands.  I believe that moves Chapman to the #2 ranking in the West.  I also think that it moves Chapman into a definite Pool B bid.