University Athletic Association

[deiscanton]

7express--

I will make a detailed UAA update after Sunday's games are played, but I can tell you that Rochester will not fall out of the top 6 in the East Region rankings even if they lose to Wash U today.   Insinuating that Rochester's Pool C chances would be gone infers that Rochester would no longer be listed in the East regional rankings, which will certainly not be the case in the situation of the Yellowjackets-- at least, I would find that hard to believe.

Certainly, Rochester would be out of the UAA title hunt for the automatic bid with a loss to Wash U today-- however, you were asking about Rochester's at-large Pool C chances.

Should Rochester lose to Wash U today, the best in-region record that Rochester can end up with would be 17-6  (.739 in-region pct.-- assuming that Rochester wins out @Case, @CMU, and @Emory.).   Rochester came into the week with a .555 SOS through games of Feb. 6, and that number will be higher after this weekend's games vs Chicago and Wash U, even though Rochester's in-region record would be 14-6 (.700) with a loss to Wash U.

A Rochester loss to Wash U today would mean that Rochester would be 0-5 in-region against regionally ranked opponents.  (.000)   That would certainly give me cause for concern about Rochester's Pool C chances, but the East Region as a whole is not very strong, so Rochester could still make it to the national table for discussion.

The UAA would still get at least 2 teams in to the NCAAs (Chicago and Wash U) in this scenario.

[7express]

Rochester up 34-25 at the half over Wash U.  If this score holds up assuming Chicago doesn't look past Emory, they'll really be in control of the UAA.

[WUPHF]

Rochester has been leading by an average of 10-11 points through the firs ten minutes of the second half.  Rochester by 12 with 10:44 left.  Alex Hoover and Kathryn Berger both with four fouls.

Chicago up 15-7 on Emory early in the game.

[WUPHF]

Rochester gets the win 71-61.  The Bears fall two games down to Chicago, for the moment, having dug a much deeper hole than in the last matchup between these two teams.  The Bears lost Kathryn Berger, their leading scorer, who fouled out at the four minute mark.  Alex Hoover played for quite a while with four fouls.

The live stats have Kirsti Yess playing for the first time this season.  Just as with the previous game, I think maybe something is off at the table.

I was able to watch the video for much of the first half before closing the browser by mistake.  Unfortunately, I could not get the feed back.

[7express]

Rochester wins 71-61, Chicago up 38-27 with about 2:30 left in the first half.

[deiscanton]

Chicago defeated Emory, 81-62 today to take a 2 game lead over Wash U in the UAA.

Rochester has been eliminated from the UAA title hunt and needs a Pool C to get in-- the victory by Rochester over Wash U today has improved their Pool C chances.

I will write more about this on Monday.

[deiscanton]

Pool C tournament resumes for UAA Pool C candidates--

Note:  Chicago is the leader for the UAA automatic bid-- Chicago has a 2 game lead over Wash U with 3 games left to play.

Rochester--  #2 in East in Week 2 regional rankings

1.)  In-region record is 15-5 (.750)-- Best in-region mark that Rochester can reach is 18-5 (.783)

2.) Rochester's in-region SOS is .555 through games of Feb. 6-- awaiting Wednesday's update for the new SOS.

3.) Rochester is 1-4 in-region vs regionally ranked opponents  (Win vs Wash U, Losses vs Chicago (twice), Wash U, Medaille (#1 East).

4.) Rochester has no more regionally ranked opponents remaining on schedule-- Remaining games are @ Carnegie Mellon, @ Case, and @ Emory.

Wash U--  #6 in Central in Week 2 regional rankings

1.)  Wash U's in-region record is 15-3 (.833)-- Best in-region mark that Wash U can reach is 18-3 (.857)

2.)  Wash U's in-region SOS is .523 through games of 2/6-- awaiting Wednesday's update for new SOS.

3.)  Wash U is 1-3 in-region vs regionally ranked opponents  (Win over Rochester, Losses vs Rochester, Chicago, and Illinois Wesleyan (#1 Central)).

4.)  Wash U has one more regionally ranked opponent on schedule-- Chicago (#5 Central) on Feb. 26.

5.)  Remaining games are all at home vs NYU, Brandeis, and Chicago.

6.)  Wash U has a secondary criteria win vs DePauw (#6 Great Lakes-- out of region), and a secondary criteria loss vs Hope (#2 Great Lakes-- out of region).   However, I do not believe that the secondary criteria will need to be called upon, but it is available in case Wash U needs it.

[deiscanton]

New D3Hoops.com Top 25 Women's poll is out:

http://www.d3hoops.com/top25/women/2010-11/week11#

Poll can also be found at:

http://www.d3hoops.com/top25/index

UAA teams ranked in poll--

#8  Chicago-- 420 pts.
#9  Wash U-- 405 pts.
#16 Rochester-- 226 pts.

[deiscanton]

The Chicago Maroon student newspaper came out with their Feb. 14 edition.

Maroon reporter Eugene Chong wrote the article for the Feb. 14th edition of the Maroon on Chicago's weekend vs Rochester and Emory.

Comments from Chicago coach Aaron Roussell and Chicago player Dana Kaplan are included:

http://www.chicagomaroon.com/2011/02/14/fabulous-fifteen

[deiscanton]

Congratulations to Wash U's Kathryn Berger on becoming the 12th Bear in program history to score 1,000 points.   The feat was accomplished at Emory on Friday, Feb. 11.

In that game, Kathryn Berger had a career high 32 pts.   She also had 10 rebounds and 5 steals.

The Wash U Student Life student newspaper came out with their Wednesday, February 16, 2011 edition, in which Student Life Sports Reporter Kurt Rohrbeck covered Wash U's weekend at Rochester and Emory.

In the article, Kathryn Berger commented on the game vs Rochester, and on the occasion of scoring her 1,000th career point vs Emory last Friday.

Wash U Coach Nancy Fahey also commented on the game at Rochester, on Berger's performance vs Emory, and on the UAA standings.

The article can be found at:

  http://www.studlife.com/sports/womens-basketball/2011/02/16/bears-suffer-1st-conference-setback-in-5-weeks/

[Dave 'd-mac' McHugh]

Week 3 Regional Rankings are out: http://www.d3blogs.com/d3hoops/2011/02/16/ncaa-2011-regional-rankings-week-3/

[GuyFormerlyPSBBG]

The team I had ranked behind Wash U (Wheaton ILL) also lost this week, but I don't think the SOS for Wisconsin Lutheran has enough to jump into #6 spot, at least based on my rankings.

As posted on the top 25 discussion looks like Wisconsin Lutheran had enough to jump into the regional rankings...

[deiscanton]

Tournament resumes through games of February 13 for the UAA teams:

Chicago is UAA leader for Pool A at #4 in Central-- 2 game lead over Wash U.

Rochester-- #1 in East-- Pool C candidate

In-region record of 15-5 (.750), SOS of .575 (OWP is .595, OOWP is .534).  In-region mark of 2-4 (.333) vs regionally ranked teams  (Win vs Ithaca, (currently #4 in East), Win vs Wash U (once ranked/always ranked in Central-- UAA), Loss vs Wash U (once ranked/always ranked in Central-- UAA), 2 losses vs Chicago (#4 in Central-- UAA), loss vs Medaille (#2 in East).

Wash U-- Once ranked, always ranked in Central.

In-region record of 15-3 (.833), SOS of .535  (OWP is .530, OOWP is .545)  In-region mark of 1-3 (.250) vs regionally ranked opponents  (Win vs Rochester-- #1 in East-- UAA), Loss to Illinois Wesleyan (#1 in Central), Loss to Chicago (#4 in Central-- UAA).

The situation of Wash U is starting to remind me of the 2008-2009 Chicago women's basketball team, which had a stellar resume-- well deserving of a Pool C bid in my opinion, but because of their position in the regional rankings, never got to the national table to be considered because of upsets in conference tournaments-- involving the Central Region teams in particular-- I believe that St. Norbert was at #6 in the Central, ranked ahead of Chicago in the regional rankings at the time (Chicago was not in the Central rankings), but the Green Knights lost their conference tournament and did not get a Pool C, thereby preventing Chicago from getting to the national table for Pool C discussion.

The only way for Wash U to prevent this situation from happening again is to win out their remaining 3 UAA games at home and hope that the results in the CCIW, WIAC, and Northern Athletics Conference tournaments play out to form.  Should Illinois Wesleyan, Wisconsin Lutheran, and all three regionally ranked WIAC teams need Pool C bids to get in, Wash U may not be able to get to the national table for Pool C consideration.

However, should Wash U get to the national table for discussion, I believe that their tournament resume will be strong enough to get the Bears into the NCAAs via Pool C.  For that to happen, Wash U must beat NYU, Brandeis, and Chicago.   The Bears are essentially in single-elimination tournament mode right now.

[Dave 'd-mac' McHugh]

Remember... there is more then just SOS to discuss. WL % in region and other factors... so it isn't cut and dry - though I can understand if Wash U might be frustrated. That being said,keep winning and beat Chicago, things change quite a bit.

[GoGreenGoRed]

Wash U's lack of a current Regional Ranking makes me nervous. Who would have thought that four losses to four ranked teams could equal a team being left out? Who were Chicago's losses to when they didn't get in but should have?