MBB: University Athletic Association

[deiscanton]

Did Ethan Edwards get injured on Friday?  He played 8 minutes on Friday and did not play today.  Those results may look VERY different otherwise.

He may have gotten injured on Friday, but I did not notice it live or on the short time that I had to view the game replay on Saturday morning.  The absence of Ethan Edwards from the game is probably a game changer.

I just watched on-demand the first few minutes of the Brandeis vs Carnegie Mellon game from yesterday on the Brandeis Athletics Main Camera live streaming site.  Brandeis commentator Asher Kaplan did confirm at 17:41 left in the first half of that game that the Judges did lose Ethan Edwards on Friday to an undisclosed injury.  I am not sure how serious the injury is, or when/if Ethan Edwards will be back this season.

[Greek Tragedy]

Rochester has faltered even at full strength? Ryan Algier didn't play in the Emory loss, played 15 minutes in the Brandeis loss and just began starting over the weekend, probably still not at 100%.

[deiscanton]

Rochester has faltered even at full strength? Ryan Algier didn't play in the Emory loss, played 15 minutes in the Brandeis loss and just began starting over the weekend, probably still not at 100%.

Ryan Algier is definitely not at 100%, even though he has rehabbed enough to be back in the starting lineup.

[WUPHF]

By full strength, I meant a full rotation of players. Algier is playing and has been back for five games. He played 25 and 30 minutes over the weekend.

I am not sure how many teams are playing with a full rotation of perfectly healthy players but Rochester is definitely not the only team to struggle with injuries this season.

[WUPHF]

Thanks @deiscanton! Edwards is going to be an incredible pick-up for the Judges. Hate to hear that.

[deiscanton]

Here is an update on the UAA standings through Bob Quillman's road win/home loss system as of January 30, 2023.

First, here were the standings on the point system going into Games 6 and 7 of the home/away round robin

Here are the standngs as reflected by the Quillman system as of Monday, January 23, 2023-- (+1 for a road win, -1 for a home loss, 0 for any other scenario)

Emory +1
Rochester +1
Carnegie Mellon +1
Wash U  0
Brandeis  0
CWRU  -1
NYU   -1
UChicago   -1

Here are the +/- standings halfway through the UAA:

Wash U-- +2  (5-2 in UAA)
Emory-- 0  (5-2 in UAA)
Carnegie Mellon-- +2  (4-3 in UAA)
CWRU-- +1  (4-3 in UAA)
Rochester-- 0  (4-3 in UAA)
Brandeis-- -2  (3-4 in UAA)
NYU-- -2  (2-5 in UAA)
UChicago-- -1  (1-6 in UAA)

[WUPHF]

Massey has the UAA as follows:

Washington University, No. 14
Emory, No. 17
Rochester, No. 20
Case Western Reserve, No. 24
NYU, No. 49
Carnegie Mellon, No. 53
Brandeis, No. 62
Chicago, No. 98

If you look at the WIAC from last season, they finished with three in the Top 10 which is incredible, but falls a bit faster than the UAA from there. 

Oddly, the 4-win Stevens Point at No. 139 thanks to a crazy schedule.  I have to think that most single-digit teams finish far lower.

Injuries were mentioned earlier.  Chicago is one that had two players our for a number of games in the Fall, otherwise they might be higher.

[deiscanton]

UAA Men's Basketball Athlete of the Week-- January 31, 2023--

Mason Johnson, Emory

[deiscanton]

Friday, February 3, 2023

Daily score predictions for UAA Men's Basketball Games courtesy of:

tomaroonandgold.blogspot.com/p/division-iii-mens-basketball-efficiency.html

I will be listing home team's predicted score first and away team's predicted score second.

These scorelines are based on Matt Snyder's efficiency ratings program going into today.

Warning: For entertainment purposes only-- Do not gamble on these scorelines!

1.)  Rochester at Wash U

Wash U 70, Rochester 66

Wash U has a 65% chance to win this game, and is a -4.5 point home favorite

Predicted game tempo is 67 possessions per team

O/U total is 136.5

2.)  Emory at UChicago

UChicago 68, Emory 73

UChicago has a 30% chance to win this game, and is a +5.5 point home underdog.

Predicted game tempo is 73 possessions per team.

O/U total is 141.0

3.)  Brandeis at Case Western Reserve

CWRU 79, Brandeis 72

CWRU has a 73% chance to win this game, and is a -6.5 point home favorite

Predicted game tempo is 70 possessions per team

O/U total is 151.5

4.)  NYU at Carnegie Mellon

Carnegie Mellon 74, NYU 78

Carnegie Mellon has a 37% chance to win this game, and is a +3.5 point home underdog.

Predicted game tempo is 75 possessions per team

O/U total is 152.0

[deiscanton]

Did Ethan Edwards get injured on Friday?  He played 8 minutes on Friday and did not play today.  Those results may look VERY different otherwise.

He may have gotten injured on Friday, but I did not notice it live or on the short time that I had to view the game replay on Saturday morning.  The absence of Ethan Edwards from the game is probably a game changer.

I just watched on-demand the first few minutes of the Brandeis vs Carnegie Mellon game from yesterday on the Brandeis Athletics Main Camera live streaming site.  Brandeis commentator Asher Kaplan did confirm at 17:41 left in the first half of that game that the Judges did lose Ethan Edwards on Friday to an undisclosed injury.  I am not sure how serious the injury is, or when/if Ethan Edwards will be back this season.

Ethan Edwards just sent me a reply in response to a PM that I sent earlier this week.  Unfortunately, due to the injury, he is out for the remainder of the regular season.  The injury is foot-related, according to what he told me today.

If Brandeis somehow by some miracle goes 6-1 or 7-0 the rest of the way and qualifies for an NCAA tournament run, then Ethan Edwards may be healthy enough to participate in the postseason, from what he told me.

[deiscanton]

Throwback weekend at CWRU--

CWRU men are wearing the Western Reserve Red Cats uniforms vs Brandeis tonight.   The CWRU men will be wearing the Case Institute of Technology Rough Riders uniforms vs NYU on Sunday.

CWRU women are wearing the Mather College uniforms this weekend for both games.   

The guest play by play announcer today is CWRU professor Michael Goldberg, with CWRU president Eric Kaler serving as color commentator for the Friday doubleheader.   Ron Jantz is the third man in the booth tonight.

[deiscanton]

Halftime scores in the 7:30 PM Eastern tip-off games-- Home team listed first

1.)  CWRU 45, Brandeis 30

2.)  Carnegie Mellon 34, NYU 30

[E.115]

CWRU 81 Brandeis 48

with 9 min to go

[deiscanton]

Finals of 7:30 PM Eastern tip games--

Carnegie Mellon 80, NYU 62

CWRU 101, Brandeis 73

[deiscanton]

Halftime of Midwest games--

Wash U 38, Rochester 29

UChicago 44, Emory 39