MBB: University Athletic Association

[deiscanton]

Regarding the Region 2 opponents that Brandeis played this season, 3 of the 4 Region 2 teams that Brandeis played were the teams out of the region that got 3 out of the 20 Pool C bids last season.

Here are their current records:

UMass-Dartmouth:  3-11 (Got selected with a 24-4 mark last season)-- Brandeis defeated the Corsairs this season.

Babson: 8-6 (Got selected with an 18-7 mark last season)-- Brandeis lost to Babson this season (Babson had Nate Amado in the lineup in that game.)

One of Babson's 6 losses this season is to U.Chicago-- Babson lost at the Ratner Center without the services of Nate Amado, who was a key player in Babson's win at Brandeis this season.  Nate Amado got injured in Babson's game at Hope the game before UChicago, and hasn't played since.)

Emerson: 8-6 (Got selected with an 18-7 mark last season)-- Brandeis defeated Emerson this season.

Only other Region 2 team that Brandeis played this season was RI College-- Anchormen are currently 4-10, 2-4 LEC.

BTW, the D3 Datacast did mention about Emmanuel, which is at 10-4, 6-0 in GNAC right now, but the GNAC is in Region 1, so I'll wait until Feb. 8 to get an initial picture of where the whole of Region 1 stands.  For the first time ever, the Andy Yosinoff Court hosted a men's game between the Judges and the Saints, which Brandeis won in OT.  Brandeis used to play Emmanuel in women's basketball on a regular basis.

But enough of that discussion.  I know that if Brandeis does not go at least 9-5 in the UAA this season, any talk of a Pool C bid for the Judges won't matter, as Brandeis will not get it.

[deiscanton]

Ryan Algier update today--

According to JC DeLass in tonight's pregame vs CWRU-- Ryan Algier was able to return to practice this week and participated in this week's practices.

Although Ryan Algier is dressed in uniform, he will not play vs CWRU tonight.  This will be Algier's 4th straight missed game.

Still no definitive timetable on a return, as Algier's status is day-to-day.  Ryan Algier is reporting that he is still suffering some pain in his shooting hand as a lingering result of his recovery from a broken bone in his shooting hand.  JC DeLass is still hoping that Algier can return on Sunday vs Carnegie Mellon.

[deiscanton]

Halftime from the Louis Alexander Palestra in Rochester, NY--

Rochester 42, CWRU 32

Starting lineups are about to be introduced at Emory for the Carnegie Mellon at Emory men's game after the start of the women's game was delayed 45 minutes to tip due to late arrival of game officials.

Midwest games to tip at approx 8:30 PM Eastern. with NYU playing at Chicago, and Brandeis playing at Wash U.

[deiscanton]

Halftime in Atlanta--

Carnegie Mellon 30, Emory 25

Emory-- 0 of 13 from 3 point range in the first half.

CMU held Emory leading scorer, freshman Benjamin Pearce, to 4 points in the first half.

The other top Emory freshman, Jair Knight, outscored his teammate by 3 pts in the first half, and has 7 points.

[deiscanton]

Final score from Louis Alexander Palestra in Rochester, NY--

Rochester 85, CWRU 69

Career high from Rochester's Matt Wheeler-- 26 points.

[deiscanton]

Halftime from St. Louis--

Brandeis 32, Wash U 32

For Brandeis--

Dylan Lien-- Game high 14 points off the bench

Ethan Edwards-- 7 points

Griffin Walbridge-- 5 points

28 of Brandeis's 32 points came off the bench in the first half.

For Wash U--

Hayden Doyle leading with 8 points

Jake Wolf, Drake Kindsvater, and Will Grudzinski with 5 points a piece.

Wash U scored only 10 points off the bench.

[deiscanton]

Halftime from Chicago--

NYU 39, UChicago 37

Michael Savarino did not play for NYU in the first half, and is probably not playing tonight.  I have no word as to why.

NYU starters tonight:  Spencer Freedman, Hayden Peek, Quinn Clark, Zay Freeney, and Cinque Stephens

Spencer Freedman leading NYU with 9 points.

UChicago starters tonight-- Bryce Hopkins, Thomas Kurowski, Ezra Moos, Joe Berry, and Arrish Bhandal.

Bryce Hopkins-- Game high 12 points

Thomas Kurowski-- 10 points.

BTW, NYU men have not won at the Ratner Center since the 2011-12 season.

[deiscanton]

Final from Atlanta--

Carnegie Mellon has defeated the defending UAA Champs at the WoodPEC tonight.

Carnegie Mellon 78, Emory 69

[deiscanton]

Final from St. Louis--

Wash U 73, Brandeis 65

Final stats indicate that it was a 63 possession game for both teams.

[deiscanton]

Final from Chicago--

NYU 69, UChicago 64

NYU gets their first win at the Ratner Center since the 2011-12 season, and avoids going 0-3 on the road games at Brandeis, UChicago, and Wash U for the first time since the 2015-16 season.

NYU head coach Dave Klatsky picks up his first UAA victory.

Leading for NYU today was Spencer Freedman with a team high 21 points.  Freedman also had 4 rebounds and 2 assists.

Leading for UChicago today was Bryce Hopkins with a game high 22 points and a game high 9 rebounds.  Hopkins also had 1 assist.

[deiscanton]

Reviewing the results from tonight--

Friday, January 13, 2023

Daily score predictions for UAA Men's Basketball games courtesy of:

tomaroonandgold.blogspot.com/p/division-iii-mens-basketball-efficiency.html

I will be listing home team's predicted score first and away team's predicted score second.

These scorelines are based on Matt Snyder's efficiency ratings program going into today.

Warning: For entertainment purposes only-- Do not gamble on these scorelines!

1.)  CWRU at Rochester-- Rochester 83, CWRU 78

Rochester has a 68% chance to win this game, and is a -5.0 pt home favorite.

Predicted game tempo is 72 possessions per team.

Over/under total is 160.5

2.)  Carnegie Mellon at Emory-- Emory 83, Carnegie Mellon 73

Emory has an 83% chance to win this game, and is a -10.5 pt home favorite.

Predicted game tempo is 83 possessions per team.

Over/under total is 156.5

3.)  NYU at UChicago-- UChicago 65, NYU 77

UChicago has a 14% chance to win this game, and is a +12 pt. home underdog.

Predicted game tempo is 67 possessions per team.

Over/under total is 143.0

4.)  Brandeis at Wash U-- Wash U 68, Brandeis 61

Wash U has a 73% chance to win this game, and is a -6.5 pt. home favorite.

Predicted game tempo is 65 possessions per team.

Over/under total is 129.0

Results-- Home team listed first

1.)  Rochester 85, CWRU 69   Rochester covers the -5.0 point home favorite spread.

Rochester had approx 77 possessions in the win-- Game tempo a little faster than initally predicted.

Game total is 154-- Under wins that one.

2.)  Emory 71, Carnegie Mellon 78-- Road underdog Carnegie Mellon wins this game outright. (Corrected for final box score)

Carnegie Mellon had approx 81 possessions in the win-- Game tempo about the same as predicted.

Game total is 149-- Under wins that one.

3.)  Wash U 73, Brandeis 65-- Wash U covers the -6.5 point home favorite spread.

Wash U had 63 possessions in the win-- Game tempo about the same as predicted.

Game total is 138-- Over wins that one.

4.)  UChicago 64, NYU 69-- UChicago covers the +12 point home underdog spread.

NYU had approx 65 possessions in the win-- Game tempo about the same as predicted.

Game total is 133-- Under wins that one.

[WUPHF]

28 of Brandeis's 32 points came off the bench in the first half.

Wash U scored only 10 points off the bench.

Brandeis is bringing their second and third leading scorers off the bench and playing them substantial minutes.  26 and 28 minutes tonight, for example.  They are not the typical reserves.

I am not sure what these statistics say about the teams or the game they played.  People often use bench production as evidence of depth and I do not see that in Brandeis, yet.

As for the game, the Bears held Toby Harris and Ethan Edwards to a combined 10-30 from the field and played great team defense.  That was the difference.

Brandeis is a great team and one of the younger teams in the league.  The match-up in Waltham will be a battle.  I could easily see a 1-1 result in the series.

[deiscanton]

Sunday, January 15, 2023

Daily score predictions for UAA Men's Basketball Games courtesy of:

tomaroonandgold.blogspot.com/p/division-iii-mens-basketball-efficiency.html

I will be listing home team's predicted score first and away team's predicted score second.

These scorelines are based on Matt Snyder's efficiency ratings program going into today.

Warning: For entertainment purposes only-- Do not gamble on these scorelines!

1.)  CWRU at Emory

Emory 84, Case Western Reserve 78

Emory has a 70% chance to win this game, and is a -6.0 point home favorite.

Predicted game tempo is 79 possessions per team.

O/U total is 162.5

2.)  Carnegie Mellon at Rochester

Rochester 81, Carnegie Mellon 73

Rochester has a 78% chance to win this game, and is a -8.5 point home favorite.

Predicted game tempo is 76 possessions per team.

O/U total is 154.0

3.)  Brandeis at UChicago

UChicago 61, Brandeis 65

UChicago has a 36% chance to win this game, and is a +4.0 point home underdog.

Predicted game tempo is 64 possessions per team.

O/U total is 125.5

4.)  NYU at Wash U

Wash U 73, NYU 73 at end of regulation-- Game is predicted to go into overtime

Wash U has a 51% chance to win this game in regulation and is a -0.5 home point favorite to win outright in regulation.

  This game is a push if it goes into overtime

O/U total is 146.5 Regulation only

[deiscanton]

WUPHF--

I can see the Wash U men going 0-2 on the Brandeis/NYU road trip again this year, considering that Wash U will be playing NYU at the corner of Bleecker and Mercer in Manhattan, i.e. back on the main Washington Square Campus at the site of the former Coles Sports Center, for the first time in nearly 7 years. 

However, first things first.  Wash U plays NYU today at the Wash U Field House, and it is a Sunday noon local tip, a day where performance in these games could be the crucial factor in determining who wins the UAA title at the end of the season.

Michael Savarino did not play for NYU at UChicago on Friday, after starting the first 12 games of the season.  I am looking for a status update on him today.

[deiscanton]

Rochester is hoping that Ryan Algier may get a few minutes off the bench today vs Carnegie Mellon.  Algier is dressed, but will not start.    Algier has been the most hopeful in weeks that he may give it a go for a few minutes today.  He has been recovering from a broken bone in his shooting hand that he sustained against Ithaca on Dec. 7.