Early Predictions

[jashburn]

Enjoy...

http://www.atomicfootball.com/af_predictions_All.html#III

Click the team links, too. If you have questions, check out the FAQ first (http://www.atomicfootball.com/af-links.html).

Also, be aware that predictions beyond the FBS are a lot tougher since returning starters info and the like are hard to come by. The predictions will improve in accuracy as the season progresses.

Atomic Football
www.atomicfootball.com

[jashburn]

Sorry, bad link.  Try this one...

http://www.atomicfootball.com/archive/af_predictions_All.html#III

Click the team links, too. If you have questions, check out the FAQ first (http://www.atomicfootball.com/af-links.html).

Also, be aware that predictions beyond the FBS are a lot tougher since returning starters info and the like are hard to come by. The predictions will improve in accuracy as the season progresses.

Atomic Football
www.atomicfootball.com

[frank_ezelle]

While many might find fault with the numbers, especially here at the beginning of the season, this is an interesting site.  At this point two weeks prior to the open kickoff, I wish Millsaps was such a strong favorite over all the teams on their schedule, but with the graduation of Juan Joseph and a bunch of the top receivers, the strength of the Millsaps team is a question mark right now.

Link to Millsaps rating:  http://www.knology.net/~jashburn/football//archive/teams/tm_592.html

[jashburn]

While many might find fault with the numbers, especially here at the beginning of the season, this is an interesting site.  At this point two weeks prior to the open kickoff, I wish Millsaps was such a strong favorite over all the teams on their schedule, but with the graduation of Juan Joseph and a bunch of the top receivers, the strength of the Millsaps team is a question mark right now.

Link to Millsaps rating:  http://www.knology.net/~jashburn/football//archive/teams/tm_592.html

I wouldn't expect Milsaps to slide too much.  The average returning starter is worth about 1 point, with the exception of the quarterback, who's about 3.5 points.  3.5 points, in Milsap's case, would cost about half a win on average.  A star quarterback might amount to one win.  Graduating an entire receiving corps should be no more than half a win.

I originally projected Milsaps at 9 wins, but that was just barely (the average came in at 8.56).  Based upon what you've told me, they should still win at least 7 games.

If I had returning starter data on all the "non-FBS schools" (FCS, D2, D3, and NAIA), I could crank out better estimates for all of them.  Check back each week once the season starts -- we usually update our numbers on Sunday afternoons.

Best of luck to the Majors,

Atomic Football

[Ron Boerger]

If I had returning starter data on all the "non-FBS schools" (FCS, D2, D3, and NAIA), I could crank out better estimates for all of them. 

If you buy a copy of Kickoff from Pat, you'll get starter info for the D3 teams.