NESCAC

CacCaptain · October 31, 2014, 03:50:44 PM

NESCAC playoff time, great time of year. Here are my predictions. Curious to hear others.

Tufts 1 - Conn 0

Amherst 3 - Colby 0

Williams 1 - Bowdoin 2

Wesleyan 2- Middlebury 1

PaulNewman · October 31, 2014, 03:55:11 PM

Colby 1 Amherst 0 1st OT

Williams 2 Bowdoin 1

Wesleyan 2 Midd 1

Tufts 3 Conn 0

Semis

Williams 3 Colby 1

Wesleyan 2 Tufts 1

Final

Williams 2 Wesleyan 1 2OT

oldonionbag · October 31, 2014, 04:37:14 PM

So, NCAC, if your preditions hold true...Williams gets the automatic. Who else gets in? Amherst and Tufts? Does Wesleyan for making it all the way to the finals? Does the NESCAC get 3 and possibly 4 into the NCAAs in a "down year"...

PaulNewman · October 31, 2014, 05:26:55 PM

In that scenario I would say 3. Wesleyan would be in the conversation along with Rochester, RPI and maybe a 3rd NJAC team, but I don't think getting to the final would get them past Tufts or Amherst. I would predict Wesleyan in that scenario as one of the last teams out. They would have 6 losses, right? I think that's one too many.

Prediction is based mainly on the idea that I can't picture Williams going out. I think they have to get at least to the NESCAC final.

Mr.Right · October 31, 2014, 06:16:21 PM

First of all in your scenario Tufts would play Colby and Wes would play Williams. They reseed the teams after the first round.

I have been a big fan of Williams for a long time but even I have to admit that without Rashid and Westling they have really struggled. They still have the talent to win it but they really need players like Muralles and Madding to step up and play their best soccer this year. Their 3 best players this year have been Danilack, Grady and Pierce. They need that monster senior class to step it up if they are going to advance.

Mr.Right · October 31, 2014, 06:22:13 PM

The only gimme game I see is Tufts v Conn. If Conn is missing all those players due to injury and have serious GK issues they cannot win that game. I am sure they will bunker in and with Devlin anything ccould happen but I just do not see it.

Amherst will be able to survive vs Colby even w/o Rico as Colby's starting GK got injured against Bates. I am not sure if he will play or not.

Bowdoin has the potential to beat Williams and if they happen to score the first goal they should be good to go as they will bunker in after that and Williams has shown all year their struggles breaking down opponents. I still pick Williams in this one because of the home field and Bowdoin has some injuries and I am not sure who is not playing for them. I have not seen White, Keefe or Jones for a while.

Wesleyan and Midd will be a very close game and I expect Wesleyan to learn from the game last Saturday. That being said I think Midd will win this one in PK's or 1-0.

Mr.Right · October 31, 2014, 06:25:45 PM

Quote from: NCAC New England on October 31, 2014, 05:26:55 PM
In that scenario I would say 3. Wesleyan would be in the conversation along with Rochester, RPI and maybe a 3rd NJAC team, but I don't think getting to the final would get them past Tufts or Amherst. I would predict Wesleyan in that scenario as one of the last teams out. They would have 6 losses, right? I think that's one too many.

Prediction is based mainly on the idea that I can't picture Williams going out. I think they have to get at least to the NESCAC final.

Williams got a pool C last year with a record of 11-6 so 6 losses still would have a chance, a small chance. With all the UAA and Nescac teams with an abundance of losses this could possibly happen again

PaulNewman · October 31, 2014, 06:31:12 PM

Revision:

Conn 2 Tufts 1 -- I just am not sold on Tufts and losing a 2-0 lead to Bowdoin and loss of composure not good signs for me

Semis

Williams 3 Conn 1

Wesleyan 2 Colby 0

Final as noted before

PaulNewman · October 31, 2014, 06:38:30 PM

Mr.Right, Williams had 6 losses but no ties, so Wesleyan (or Williams with a loss) would actually have 8 blemishes.

I'll compromise and say Wes gets a spot if they lose final in PKs.

Mr.Right · October 31, 2014, 06:38:46 PM

Interesting fact..Conn and Colby are the only teams to never make a Nescac Semi-Final game in 15 years. It will not happen this year. Purgavie advanced Bates in 2008 and I cannot include Hamilton because it is still a small sample size.

Williams is the only team in 15 years to never have to go onto the road into the 1st round. They have never finished below 4th.

Mr.Right · October 31, 2014, 07:04:18 PM

Records in Championship Play: In Order of Winning %

Team Years Qualified W - L - T PK Advance PCT Championships Runner-Up

Williams 14 20-7-3 2-3 .717 6 3
Amherst 14 19-9-2 1-2 .667 4 3
Middlebury 14 20-10-4 3-4 .647 3 5
Bowdoin 13 9-11-3 1-3 .457 2
Wesleyan 14 8-12-2 1-2 .409 1
Trinity 7 3-7-0 0-0 .300 1
Tufts 12 1-9-4 1-4 .214
Bates 6 1-6-0 0-0 .143
Conn College 6 0-6-0 0-0 .000
Colby 3 0-3-0 0-0 .000
Hamilton 1 0-1-0 0-0 .000

Corazon · November 01, 2014, 07:35:21 AM

Predictions:

Tufts 2. Conn 0

Bowdoin 1. Williams 0

Amherst 2. Colby 0

Wesleyan 2. Middlebury 1.

All NESCAC · November 01, 2014, 09:01:21 AM

Quote from: NCAC New England on October 31, 2014, 06:31:12 PM
Revision:

Conn 2 Tufts 1 -- I just am not sold on Tufts and losing a 2-0 lead to Bowdoin and loss of composure not good signs for me

NCAC NEW ENGLAND. CONN will not beat Tufts. Even if Conn were healthy Murphy would screw it up. Hes not a good coach and he lost his team after his Bates game tantrum. The only reason they have done as well as they have is because of the skills of the players. His negativity continues to only beat down his players.

Williams 3 Conn 1

Wesleyan 2 Colby 0

Final as noted before

PaulNewman · November 01, 2014, 09:02:16 AM

Just can't picture Russo walking off the field with a home loss in a NESCAC quarterfinal for his final game. I give Bowdoin a 10% chance of advancing.

oldonionbag · November 01, 2014, 09:45:29 AM

Predictions:

Tufts 3 - 1 Conn

Williams 1 - 1 Bowdoin (Williams on PKs)

Amherst 2 - 0 Colby

Middlebury 1 - 0 Wesleyan 2OT