NCAA South Atlantic Region

lastguyoffthebench · October 13, 2014, 05:24:56 PM

Guessing the NSCAA rankings will look something like this:

1) Emory - loss to Chicago, but the CNU draw should still be enough to keep them at #1. UAA punishment soon cometh...
2) CNU -
3) Rutgers-Newark - Kean is going to draw either Newark or MSU this week...
4) MSU - moves up after a 2-0 week. Slowly getting in stride for the late NJAC surge. Tough week with Kean and Camden on the schedule.
5) Salisbury - Win over Roanoke keeps them ahead (could see them still sitting at 4th but MSU should bump them).
6) Roanoke
7) Birmingham Southern
8) Covenant - Strong early win before Newark got in gear.
9) Centre - game vs. Covenant was PPD early in year, but only 2 losses were to Kenyon and Thomas More (Tied OWU and Emory)
10) NC Wesleyan - bad result vs Covenant... could we see PSU Harrisburg (York W and Salis W) or Lynchburg in this 10th slot?

RV) Rowan, Lynchburg, Rutgers-Camden, PSU Harrisburg, Berry, VWU, W&L, Stockton.

lastguyoffthebench · October 15, 2014, 11:25:14 PM

CAC
York still struggling. St. Mary's with a big game vs CNU tomorrow and what seems like a free throw for Salisbury vs Marymount.

NJAC
Rutgers-Newark scores in the 107th minute to beat WPU. MSU keeps rolling, but looks like Kean gave them a fight. Ramapo beats the struggling Gothic Knights of NJCU. Rutgers-Camden will try to clinch a playoff birth vs TCNJ tomorrow at 7pm; Rowan at Stockton tomorrow at 8pm.

ODAC
Lynchburg gets a huge win over VA Wesleyan

1) Emory
2) CNU
3) Rutgers-Newark
4) MSU
5) Salisbury
6) Noke
7) Lynchburg or Covenant

lastguyoffthebench · October 17, 2014, 01:16:18 PM

Rutgers-Newark remaining 4 games:

10/18 vs. Kean * • 7:30 PM LS V
10/21 vs. Stevens • 7:30 PM
10/25 at Rutgers-Camden * • 1:00 PM
10/29 vs. Montclair State * • 7:30 PM

NJAC semi vs either MSU-RUC-Rowan-Kean-Stockton

lastguyoffthebench · October 19, 2014, 08:01:01 PM

NCAA will have a great time evaluating this region...

After this week of:
Emory 2 losses, CNU 1 loss, Rutgers-Newark 1 loss. Will teams like Salisbury and Roanoke benefit?

CNU
MSU
RU-N
Emory
Salisbury
Roanoke
Kean or Lynchburg
-------------------------
RU-C and York with the strong schedules, but are on the verge of barely qualifying for ECAC Tournaments...

Flying Weasel · October 19, 2014, 11:13:27 PM

I would think that Methodist (10-2-1) would be in the mix for the final couple spots.

lastguyoffthebench · October 20, 2014, 09:19:52 AM

I was looking at Methodist, but last night was just a quick evaluation. Methodist tie vs CNU and win over Covenenant helps, but the the SOS of 171 (Massey) and overall SOS of 241 certainly doesn't help (Averett (4-9-1), LaGrange (1-13-1) Huntingdon (2-8-4), Ferrum (4-10-2). They also lost to @ Greensboro and @ NCW.

Will be interesting to see how NCAA region stacks up against the Massey data (below). Who do you think will be the top seed, FW? I think 1-3 is tough to sort out (let the NCAA use their formula, but I think MSU is the best in the region), 5-6 Salisbury-Roanoke are locked in (Salisbury also beat Noke earlier in year). 7th slot could be 1 of 6 teams.

WP SOS SOS (including future games)
13) MSU .813 49 52
18) RU-N .833 86 59
22) Emory .767 29 25
26) CNU .794 60 57
34) Salisbury .821 101 79
49) Roanoke .786 151 138
51) Methodist .808 173 241
-------------------------------------------------------
62) Lynchburg .714 98 119
64) Kean .656 96 83
66) RU-C .562 22 23
70) Covenant .667 94 121
75) Mary Wash .533 31 51
82) Birm South .792 177 180
83) Centre .625 74 85

lastguyoffthebench · October 21, 2014, 05:29:31 PM

Big game for Lynchburg tonight, hosting Roanoke. ODAC seeding and NCAA regional placement implications. Lynchburg is probably on the outside looking in, but a win will bolster their chances. Lynchburg hasn't lost to Noke since 2008...

NokeAlum15 · October 22, 2014, 08:22:23 AM

Noke wins 1-0. Big rivalry game this Saturday for Roanoke vs W&L. Should be a good one.

lastguyoffthebench · October 22, 2014, 03:33:38 PM

Noke getting shunned for the first rankings...

1. Emory
2. CNU
3. MSU
4. RU-N
5. Salisbury
6. Covenant
7. Centre

Outside looking in assumptions... Roanoke, Birmingham Southern, Methodist, Kean

NokeAlum15 · October 22, 2014, 04:09:52 PM

Wow! Compare that to NSCAA:

1. Christopher Newport University
2   Salisbury University
3   Roanoke College
4   Emory University
5   Montclair State University
6   Rutgers University-Newark
7   Birmingham-Southern College

What's used for NCAA tournament seeding, hosting, etc.?

jknezek · October 22, 2014, 04:23:00 PM

Quote from: NokeAlum15 on October 22, 2014, 04:09:52 PM
Wow! Compare that to NSCAA:

1. Christopher Newport University
2   Salisbury University
3   Roanoke College
4   Emory University
5   Montclair State University
6   Rutgers University-Newark
7   Birmingham-Southern College

What's used for NCAA tournament seeding, hosting, etc.?

The Regional Rankings are used. All other polls are just for fun...

NokeAlum15 · October 23, 2014, 09:02:16 AM

The weakness of the bottom-half of the ODAC is going to hurt Roanoke. The way these rankings are formulated, a win will drop them in the rankings. Only way I see us making the tourney is by winning the ODAC tournament. An at large seems impossible if the NCAA rankings are the only ones taken into account.

jknezek · October 23, 2014, 09:15:15 AM

Quote from: NokeAlum15 on October 23, 2014, 09:02:16 AM
The weakness of the bottom-half of the ODAC is going to hurt Roanoke. The way these rankings are formulated, a win will drop them in the rankings. Only way I see us making the tourney is by winning the ODAC tournament. An at large seems impossible if the NCAA rankings are the only ones taken into account.

Win and you're in. That's the only guarantee. The ODAC isn't a power soccer conference right now so there isn't going to be a reputation affect. That limits the possibility of being a "second chance" school.

repete · October 23, 2014, 09:42:26 PM

Fairly entertaining Salisbury-CNU draw ... 50 fouls with 32 on CNU. Caps had a 16-6 edge in shots and probably thought they could have had a late PK and had the best chances in the OTs. Two tournament quality teams. Jalon Brown is a nice player but Salisbury, especially hard-nosed No. 6, did a solid job on him for most of the game.

NokeAlum15 · October 26, 2014, 04:27:19 PM

Noke clinches the regular season ODAC championship and the #1 seed. Finish up at home vs Guilford on Tuesday night.

Don't expect Noke to rest starters unless the game gets out of hand.