2015 D3 Season: NATIONAL PERSPECTIVE

[jknezek]

Am I correct that Roanoke and Lynchburg draw from beyond their campuses into the community?  I recall them having pretty sophisticated broadcast teams and a really good atmosphere compared to most D3s.

The weeknight games draw a few hundred officially, which we all know is probably a bit inflated by counting whoever walks within sight of the counter during the game. The weekend games do pretty well. You can get 500-1000 depending on if it is Homecoming or Parents Weekend or something. I wouldn't imagine it is a huge community event, but I doubt they play in front of less than 100 on a regular basis the way a lot of teams seem to.

[lastguyoffthebench]

If Haverford didn't have 0-13-1 Rosemont on the schedule, their SOS would be around .648!   I know FW mentioned on here that the OWP does not count the games vs the opponent itself, so my calculations are slightly off.  However, I have the Fords at .604 now.

Example:

When Calculating the games vs Montclair St. and Stockton, I do not include the results against Haverford in the OWP, correct (FW)?

So MSU would be 13-2 (not 14-2) and Stockton would be (13-2-1)...

[Mr.Right]

Does anyone know the approximate time the Regional Rankings come out tomorrow? Is it 1pm or 10am? or somewhere in between?

[Flying Weasel]

When Calculating the games vs Montclair St. and Stockton, I do not include the results against Haverford in the OWP, correct (FW)?

So MSU would be 13-2 (not 14-2) and Stockton would be (13-2-1)...

That's right. 

Not sure how you have your spreadsheet set-up (is it tracking win pcts. or the individual wins, losses, and ties), so I don't want to say it would be relatively easy to get it to take this into account.  But it certainly could be done without getting too burdensome if you already have each teams record split into the three components versus just their win pct.

[Flying Weasel]

Does anyone know the approximate time the Regional Rankings come out tomorrow? Is it 1pm or 10am? or somewhere in between?

If my memory serves correctly, it's usually mid-afternoon.  Does anybody else have the same recollection?

[jknezek]

SAA seems similar in terms of parity and has a handful of the Colleges That Change Lives colleges.  As I noted before, I am familiar with Centre, who are always pretty competitive and yet seem to end up with a very mediocre SAA record.

I would say part of the SAA's problem is simply travel. While Berry, Ogelthorpe, B-SC, and Sewanee are all within 4 bus riding hours one way, Millsaps, Rhodes, Centre, and Hendrix are a long way from parts of that grouping. So you spend a ton of time on buses and it's got to sap your desire. Hendrix is 8 hours from Centre and Ogelthorpe and similar to Berry and Sewanee. Centre is a long way from Hendrix and almost as far to Berry/Ogelthorpe/B-SC/Millsaps. Just using Google, Centre is 600 miles from Millsaps, 565 from Hendrix, 400 from B-SC, 300 plus from the GA schools.

Any way you cut it, the best positioned SAA school, probably B-SC, still has at least one mammoth conference road game (14+ hours round trip) and nothing that is going to be less than 6 hours on a bus round trip.

I'm not saying other conferences don't have this problem, but I'm thinking that's part of the reason its so hard to get traction. I wouldn't want to play in the SAA myself. Too much time away from school and sitting on buses.

[Mr.Right]

This Stevens v RUN is a HUGE game for both teams...Personally, the ONLY good win on Stevens resume is v Haverford. Is it just me or does Stevens need a couple more good WINS if they do not win the Empire 8 they could be on the bubble

[lastguyoffthebench]

When Calculating the games vs Montclair St. and Stockton, I do not include the results against Haverford in the OWP, correct (FW)?

So MSU would be 13-2 (not 14-2) and Stockton would be (13-2-1)...

That's right. 

Not sure how you have your spreadsheet set-up (is it tracking win pcts. or the individual wins, losses, and ties), so I don't want to say it would be relatively easy to get it to take this into account.  But it certainly could be done without getting too burdensome if you already have each teams record split into the three components versus just their win pct.

Tracked by win percentage and multiplier.  Next season I'm going to start fresh and create a pivot table with every result.  Way too much play catch-up now...  I will be like an unofficial Joe Lunardi bracketologist for d3soccer. 

[lastguyoffthebench]

This Stevens v RUN is a HUGE game for both teams...Personally, the ONLY good win on Stevens resume is v Haverford. Is it just me or does Stevens need a couple more good WINS if they do not win the Empire 8 they could be on the bubble

I don't see Newark getting a positive result here.

[Mr.Right]

RUN is in total control of their own destiny with their last 4 games. If they go 3-1-0 or even better 3-0-1 they will have to be considered on the right side of the bubble.

[lastguyoffthebench]

I was going to comment on that CMU slot as well.  The win over Messiah and close lose to Kenyon has them extremely overvalued...

Some big games today:

F&M at Muhlenberg
Eastern at Wilkes (never discredit a home team in some windy weather).
OWU at DePauw
Plymouth St at Middlebury
Stevens at Rutgers-Newark
Alvernia at Hood
Miseri at Kings
K-zoo at Hope
York at Wesley (for a strong position in the CAC table)
Messiah at Widener (upset special, where Widener can steal a point)
Wartburg at UW-Platteville

Lycoming at LVC 0-0 60 min in... shot count 6-2

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Lycoming wins 1-0. Messiah up 3-0 25 minutes in. F&M tied 0-0 with Mules. Eastern up 1-0 on Wilkes.

[D3soccerwatcher]

F&M now up 1-0 on Muhlenberg

[Ryan Harmanis]

Ohio Wesleyan wins at DePauw 3-2, taking over sole possession of first in the NCAC in the process.  That was a big, big win for OWU, which really lacked a signature W so far this year. 

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

What time will the rankings be released tomorrow?