2015 D3 Season: NATIONAL PERSPECTIVE

[TennesseeJed]

I do not see how OWU is a lock even if they win tonight. That is only 2 wins v ranked. I have never seen so many teams with 5+ regionally ranked wins. I feel like this has been inflated a bit for some reason but oh well.

OWU is a lock, IMO, because they now have three ranked wins for next week - Oberlin jumped into the rankings, meaning OWU has wins over DePauw x2 plus Oberlin.  And with a game at Kenyon plus tonight's game OWU's SoS is going to be around 0.600.  Even with a loss to Kenyon, OWU should be a lock at 15-4-2, 3-3-1 RvR, and SoS 0.590-0.600.

Won't OWU SOS go down against Kenyon? Listen after watching both teams I think they are both NCAA teams I just feel a .510 SOS should not be considered a LOCK

My prediction for the GL region is that CMU is a lock at this point, even w/ a loss to Case, as they'll still have a .566+ SoS (given an away game at CWRU remaining for their SoS), above .500 RvR and a high enough win rate to make them legit.  I think their position could change within the top 3 spots for the region, but I think the NCAA will want to diversify away from 2 pool C's going to NCAC schools and none to UAA or others.  I think TMC's stats are not going to be strong enough after the loss to Westminster to keep them in.  To me, it looks like CMU plus the loser of the OWU/Kenyon NCAC Finals on Saturday for GL region Pool C bids.  Kenyon's RvR and Win%, both still by far the region's highest at 5-1-0 (.833) and 16-1-0 (.941), resp., and rising SoS, as noted above and below by RH, should boost them ahead of DPU, who will now have a 2-3-2 RvR (.429), low relative Win % (.722), in spite of a still strong SoS of .557 (and rising since they played OWU away).  It's possible that the committee could keep DPU higher than Kenyon since the Lords lost a head to head game, but my instinct is that Kenyon should outrank DPU next week. 

[lastguyoffthebench]

NATIONWIDE SOS (AQ/POOL C ELIGIBLE, RANKED TEAMS IN BOLD)

637   Williams
623   Tufts
619   Brandeis
618   Wesleyan (CT)
609   Rochester (NY)
604   Babson
602   Loras
601   Centre
599   Chicago
597   Rutgers-Camden
595   UW-W
594   Swarthmore
585   Hamilton
584   Haverford
584   North Central (IL)
583   Oneonta St
582   Catholic
582   Roger Williams
581   PIT
581   MSU
580   Messiah
579   Middlebury
579   UC Santa Cruz
579   Wheaton (MA)
579   Rutgers-Newark
578   Coast Guard
578   OWU
578   Vassar
578   Emory
578   Rowan
578   William Peace
577   Luther
577   Ursinus
577   Washington U
575   MA-Boston
575   Muhlenberg
574   Plymouth St
573   Amherst
573   JHU
573   Potsdam St
573   Trinity (CT)
573   TCNJ
572   Fredonia
571   Benedictine
571   St. John's (MN)
571   Stockton
570   Wheaton (Ill)
569   Allegheny
569   Dickinson
569   NYU
567   Bowdoin
567   Dubuque
567   F&M
567   SLU
566   CMU
566   Connecticut
565   UW-O
564   Hamline
564   RPI
563   Clarkson
563   Colby
563   Plattsburgh St
562   Wittenberg
561   Alvernia
561   Geneseo St
561   Keene St
561   Lasell
561   Macalester
561   Ramapo
560   NJCU
559   St. Olaf
557   Bates
557   DePauw
556   UW-P
555   Brockport St
555   DeSales
555   MSOE
555   Scranton
554   St. John Fisher
554   St. Thomas
550   Cortland St
550   Denison
550   Hiram
550   Salve Regina
549   WNEC
548   North Park
547   York (PA)
546   Gettysburg
546   Oswego St
545   Lycoming
545   Oberlin
544   Carthage
544   Miseri
543   Merchant Marine
543   MIT
542   Augsburg
542   Carleton
542   Stevens Tech
542   Union
541   CNU
540   Hardin-Simmons
540   Rhode Island Col
536   Buffalo St
536   Kean
535   Wartburg
535   Frostburg St
535   Salisbury
534   Susquehanna
533   Elmhurt
533   Ithaca
532   GAC
532   Mary Washington
530   Dallas
530   Pomona-Pitzer
529   Claremont MS
529   Drew
529   Southern Maine
529   Southwestern
529   W&L
528   Pacific Lutheran
527   Austin
527   Marietta
527   New Paltz St
527   Wentworth
526   Aurora
526   CWRU
526   ECSU
526   Gordon
526   Ill Wesleyan
526   LVC
526   Olivet
526   Thomas More
526   Western Conn St
526   Wilmington (OH)
526   Eastern Mennonite
525   Concordia-M'head
525   E-town
525   Skidmore
524   Albion
524   Colorado
524   Dominican (IL)
524   Hobart
524   Manhattanville
524   Simpson
523   Kalamazoo
523   WPI
522   Heidelberg
522   Berry
521   Capital
521   Central (IA)
521   Trinity (TX)
520   FDU-Florham
520   Framingham St
520   St. Norbert
520   Texas-Tyler
520   Randolph
520   Southern Virginia
519   Carroll (WI)
519   Chapman
519   Goucher
519   Mt. St. Mary (NY)
519   St. Mary's (MN)
518   Calvin
518   Wabash
517   Curry
517   U New England
516   Eastern Mennonite
516   Moravian
516   Willamette
515   Augustana
515   Edgewood
515   Nichols
515   Stevenson
514   Geneva
514   Puget Sound
513   Albright
513   VWU
513   Wesley
512   Cal Lutheran
512   Clark (MA)
512   George Fox
512   Lynchburg
511   Mary Hardin-Baylor
511   Rose-Hulman
511   Whitman
511   St. Mary's (MD)
510   Kenyon
509   Anderson (IN)
509   Bethel (MN)
509   MA-Dartmouth
509   Milikin
509   Utica
509   Widener
508   John Carroll
508   Occidental
508   Redlands
508   Piedmont
507   Caltech
507   Purchase
507   St. Mary's (MD)
507   Whittier
507   Wisconsin Lutheran
506   Eastern
506   Hanover
506   Marymount (VA)
505   Concordia-Wis
505   Grove City
505   McDaniel
505   McMurry
505   Sewanee
504   Endicott
504   Washington Coll
504   Waynesburg
502   Arcadia
502   Bethany (WV)
502   Emmanuel (MA)
502   Juniata
502   Lakeland
502   Morrisville St
502   Wooster
500   Belhaven
500   Canton St
500   Emerson
500   Hope
499   Colby-Sawyer
499   Nazareth
499   Neumann
499   Salem St
499   Rhodes
498   D'Youville
498   Greenville
498   Linfield
498   Whitworth
498   Oglethorpe

[PaulNewman]

LGOTB, if you post one more SoS chart I'm gonna post winning % charts for the last 50 years  .

It's ONE out of the FIVE major criteria  .

[lastguyoffthebench]

Yes, it is...

People are always curious of SOS where it's not easily sorted out, thanks in part to the dumb PDF Files...

You're Welcome.

[PaulNewman]

Yes, it is...

People are always curious of SOS where it's not easily sorted out, thanks in part to the dumb PDF Files...

You're Welcome.

Love ya, LGOTB.  Let's meet at the Vince Lombardi Service Area on the Pike and watch all the games from there.  You bring 3 devices and I'll bring 3 and we'll run 6 games at a time.

[lastguyoffthebench]

I'll have to check my schedule:

NJAC FINAL    SAT 11/7/15
MSU's 7th conference final appearance in 10 years.  FOUR PEAT (2006-2007-2008-2009); (2014)
Rutgers-Camden's 6th conference final appearance in 8 years.  THREE PEAT (2011-2012-2013)

PREVIOUS NJAC CHAMPIONSHIP MATCH-UPS between the two:
2014: MSU 3, RUC 1.   MSU bounced by Stevens in first round.
2011: RUC 1, MSU 0.   MSU Went to the FINAL 4.  RUC lost to Oneonta St in 2OT ELITE 8
2008: MSU 1, RUC 0.   MSU was 21-0, Lost to Messiah 1-0 OT in Round of 32

[PaulNewman]

While we are bantering (and sweating) about who is in and who is out, imagine having to play some of these teams in a Rd of 32 game or even 1st round....Wheaton (Ill), Messiah, Tufts, Middlebury, OWU or Kenyon, RUC or Rowan, TMC, F&M or Haverford, SLU, Brockport, etc, etc.  Tournament is going to be wilder than ever this year.

[lastguyoffthebench]

I will wait for the Odds Specialist, Mr.Right before I go shopping for bananas.

Senior laden team, typically organized defensively, with a more than mediocre SOS or strong conference, and a solid goal scorer that can carry a team... 

I'd think Haverford at 20/1 odds would be a fair valuation...

[Mid-Atlantic Fan]

Yes, it is...

People are always curious of SOS where it's not easily sorted out, thanks in part to the dumb PDF Files...

You're Welcome.

Just LOL as my nephews would say! 

[Shooter McGavin]

I will wait for the Odds Specialist, Mr.Right before I go shopping for bananas.

Senior laden team, typically organized defensively, with a more than mediocre SOS or strong conference, and a solid goal scorer that can carry a team... 

I'd think Haverford at 20/1 odds would be a fair valuation...

I'd bet $5 you see either Oneonta St or Fords in the final or both!

[Mr.Right]

I will wait for the Odds Specialist, Mr.Right before I go shopping for bananas.

Senior laden team, typically organized defensively, with a more than mediocre SOS or strong conference, and a solid goal scorer that can carry a team... 

I'd think Haverford at 20/1 odds would be a fair valuation...

I'd bet $5 you see either Oneonta St or Fords in the final or both!

i'll take that action just add a couple zeroes to it.

[Shooter McGavin]

I will wait for the Odds Specialist, Mr.Right before I go shopping for bananas.

Senior laden team, typically organized defensively, with a more than mediocre SOS or strong conference, and a solid goal scorer that can carry a team... 

I'd think Haverford at 20/1 odds would be a fair valuation...

I'd bet $5 you see either Oneonta St or Fords in the final or both!

i'll take that action just add a couple zeroes to it.

Still waiting for my bananas from the Skid vs SLU match bet we had...

[lastguyoffthebench]

Back on the d3soccer forum... we had friendly entrance fee for the bracket pool... one college soccer t-shirt.

Winner gets the whole lot.   Not a bad gig if you don't mind using a PO Box or UPS Pick-up... Perhaps ship the shirts to me with no return mailing address haha.  I'll be winning it anyways

[Shooter McGavin]

Back on the d3soccer forum... we had friendly entrance fee for the bracket pool... one college soccer t-shirt.

Winner gets the whole lot.   Not a bad gig if you don't mind using a PO Box or UPS Pick-up... Perhaps ship the shirts to me with no return mailing address haha.  I'll be winning it anyways

I will do that. More interested in what the next D3Soccer Poll Question will be though :p

[lastguyoffthebench]

The next poll on D3soccer.com

Will Mr.Right be Mr.Wrong

YES

NO